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Dynamic correlations and volatility effects in the Balkan equity markets

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Author Info
Syriopoulos, Theodore
Roumpis, Efthimios

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Abstract

This paper investigates the presence of time-varying comovements, volatility implications and dynamic correlations in major Balkan and leading mature equity markets, in order to provide quantified responses to international asset allocation decisions. Since asset returns and correlation dynamics are critical inputs in asset pricing, portfolio management and risk hedging, emphasis is placed on the respective (constant and dynamic) equity market correlations produced by alternative multivariate GARCH forms, the Constant Conditional Correlation and the Asymmetric Dynamic Conditional Correlation models. The Balkan stock markets are seen to exhibit time-varying correlations as a peer group, although correlations with the mature markets remain relatively modest. In conjunction with sensitivity analysis on the asymmetric variance-covariance matrix, active portfolio diversification to the Balkan equity markets indicates to potentially improve investors' risk-return trade-off.

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File URL: http://www.sciencedirect.com/science/article/B6VGT-4TB77C2-1/2/e1b9664fbf36469da1ca4ee15d50b3ff
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Publisher Info
Article provided by Elsevier in its journal Journal of International Financial Markets, Institutions and Money.

Volume (Year): 19 (2009)
Issue (Month): 4 (October)
Pages: 565-587
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Handle: RePEc:eee:intfin:v:19:y:2009:i:4:p:565-587

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Web page: http://www.elsevier.com/locate/intfin

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Related research
Keywords: Portfolio diversification Multivariate GARCH models Constant-dynamic conditional correlations Balkan equity markets;

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This page was last updated on 2009-12-3.


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