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International portfolio diversification to Central European stock markets

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  • Theodore Syriopoulos

Abstract

The presence of short- and long-run linkages among major emerging Central European stock markets, namely Poland, Czech Republic, Hungary, and Slovakia, as well as developed markets, particularly Germany and the USA, is investigated. An error correction vector autoregressive model is estimated to detect cointegration relationships and the empirical findings support the presence of one cointegration vector, indicating a stationary long-run relationship. Both domestic and external forces affect stock market behaviour, leading to long-run equilibrium but the individual Central European markets tend to display stronger linkages with their mature counterparts rather than their neighbours. Long-run co-movements imply that diversifying risk and attaining superior portfolio returns by investing in different Central European markets may be limited for international investors.

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Bibliographic Info

Article provided by Taylor & Francis Journals in its journal Applied Financial Economics.

Volume (Year): 14 (2004)
Issue (Month): 17 ()
Pages: 1253-1268

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Handle: RePEc:taf:apfiec:v:14:y:2004:i:17:p:1253-1268

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Citations

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Cited by:
  1. Aktham Maghyereh & Hiatham Al-Zuobi, 2005. "Free trade agreements and equity market integration: the case of the US and Jordan," Applied Financial Economics, Taylor & Francis Journals, vol. 15(14), pages 995-1005.
  2. Eduard Baumöhl & Mária Farkašovská & Tomáš Výrost, 2010. "Stock Market Integration: DCC MV-GARCH Model," Politická ekonomie, University of Economics, Prague, vol. 2010(4), pages 488-503.
  3. Athanassiou, Emmanuel & Kollias, Christos & Syriopoulos, Theodore, 2006. "Dynamic volatility and external security related shocks: The case of the Athens Stock Exchange," Journal of International Financial Markets, Institutions and Money, Elsevier, vol. 16(5), pages 411-424, December.
  4. Ahmed, Walid M.A., 2011. "Comovements and Causality of Sector Price Indices: Evidence from the Egyptian Stock Exchange," MPRA Paper 28127, University Library of Munich, Germany.
  5. Nikolaos L. Hourvouliades, 2009. "International Portfolio Diversification: Evidence from European Emerging Markets," European Research Studies Journal, European Research Studies Journal, vol. 0(4), pages 55-78.
  6. Hüseyin Dağli; & Uğur Sivri & Semra Bank, 2012. "International portfolio diversification opportunities between Turkey and other emerging markets," International Journal of Trade and Global Markets, Inderscience Enterprises Ltd, vol. 5(1), pages 4-23.
  7. Krenar AVDULAJ & Jozef BARUNIK, 2013. "Can We Still Benefit from International Diversification? The Case of the Czech and German Stock Markets," Czech Journal of Economics and Finance (Finance a uver), Charles University Prague, Faculty of Social Sciences, vol. 63(5), pages 425-442, November.
  8. Middleton, C.A.J. & Fifield, S.G.M. & Power, D.M., 2008. "An investigation of the benefits of portfolio investment in Central and Eastern European stock markets," Research in International Business and Finance, Elsevier, vol. 22(2), pages 162-174, June.
  9. Egert, Balazs & Kocenda, Evzen, 2007. "Interdependence between Eastern and Western European stock markets: Evidence from intraday data," Economic Systems, Elsevier, vol. 31(2), pages 184-203, June.
  10. Syllignakis, Manolis N. & Kouretas, Georgios P., 2011. "Dynamic correlation analysis of financial contagion: Evidence from the Central and Eastern European markets," International Review of Economics & Finance, Elsevier, vol. 20(4), pages 717-732, October.
  11. Caiado, Jorge & Crato, Nuno & Peña, Daniel, 2007. "Is there an identity within international stock market volatilities?," MPRA Paper 2069, University Library of Munich, Germany.
  12. Li Yang & Francis Tapon & Yiguo Sun, 2006. "International correlations across stock markets and industries: trends and patterns 1988-2002," Applied Financial Economics, Taylor & Francis Journals, vol. 16(16), pages 1171-1183.
  13. Numan Ülkü, 2011. "Modeling Comovement among Emerging Stock Markets: The Case of Budapest and Istanbul," Czech Journal of Economics and Finance (Finance a uver), Charles University Prague, Faculty of Social Sciences, vol. 61(3), pages 277-304, July.
  14. Caiado, Jorge & Crato, Nuno, 2008. "Identifying the evolution of stock markets stochastic structure after the euro," MPRA Paper 6609, University Library of Munich, Germany.
  15. Balázs Égert & Evžen Kocenda, 2007. "Time-Varying Comovements in Developed and Emerging European Stock Markets: Evidence from Intraday Data," William Davidson Institute Working Papers Series wp861, William Davidson Institute at the University of Michigan.
  16. Syriopoulos, Theodore, 2011. "Financial integration and portfolio investments to emerging Balkan equity markets," Journal of Multinational Financial Management, Elsevier, vol. 21(1), pages 40-54, February.
  17. Vardhan, Harsh & Vij, Madhu & Sinha, Pankaj, 2013. "Insight of Indian sector indices for the post subprime crisis period: a vector error correction model approach," MPRA Paper 49962, University Library of Munich, Germany.
  18. Ahmed, Walid M.A., 2008. "Cointegration and dynamic linkages of international stock markets: an emerging market perspective," MPRA Paper 26986, University Library of Munich, Germany.
  19. Syriopoulos, Theodore & Roumpis, Efthimios, 2009. "Dynamic correlations and volatility effects in the Balkan equity markets," Journal of International Financial Markets, Institutions and Money, Elsevier, vol. 19(4), pages 565-587, October.
  20. Caiado, Jorge & Crato, Nuno, 2007. "A GARCH-based method for clustering of financial time series: International stock markets evidence," MPRA Paper 2074, University Library of Munich, Germany.
  21. Li, Hong & Majerowska, Ewa, 2008. "Testing stock market linkages for Poland and Hungary: A multivariate GARCH approach," Research in International Business and Finance, Elsevier, vol. 22(3), pages 247-266, September.
  22. Chancharat,Surachai & Valadkhani, Abbas, 2007. "An Empirical Analysis of the Thai and Major International Stock Markets," Economics Working Papers wp07-13, School of Economics, University of Wollongong, NSW, Australia.

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