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An Empirical Investigation of Stock Market Behavior in the Middle East and North Africa

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Author Info
Cheng, Ai-ru
Jahan-Parvar, Mohammad R.
Rothman, Philip

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Abstract

This paper studies excess market returns in the relatively understudied nancial markets of nine Middle Eastern and North African (MENA) countries within the context of three variants of the Capital Asset Pricing Model: the static international CAPM; the constant-parameter intertemporal CAPM; and a Markov-switching intertemporal CAPM which allows for the degree of integration with international equity markets to be time-varying. On the whole we nd that: (1) Israel and Turkey are most strongly integrated with world nancial markets; (2) in most other MENA markets examined there is primarily local pricing of risk and evidence of a positive risk-return trade-o; and (3) there is substantial time variation in the weights on local and global pricing of risk for all of these markets. Our results suggest that investment in many of these markets over the sample studied would have provided returns uncor- related with global markets, and thus would have served as nancial instruments with which portfolio diversication could have been improved.

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Paper provided by University Library of Munich, Germany in its series MPRA Paper with number 13437.

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Date of creation: 05 Feb 2009
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Handle: RePEc:pra:mprapa:13437

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Related research
Keywords: Middle Eastern and North African (MENA); GARCH; CAPM; Markov switching; segmentation; integration; emerging markets;

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Find related papers by JEL classification:
G12 - Financial Economics - - General Financial Markets - - - Asset Pricing
G15 - Financial Economics - - General Financial Markets - - - International Financial Markets
C22 - Mathematical and Quantitative Methods - - Single Equation Models; Single Variables - - - Time-Series Models; Dynamic Quantile Regressions

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References listed on IDEAS
Please report citation or reference errors to , or , if you are the registered author of the cited work, log in to your RePEc Author Service profile, click on "citations" and make appropriate adjustments.:
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    Other versions:
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  8. Harvey, Campbell R, 1991. " The World Price of Covariance Risk," Journal of Finance, American Finance Association, vol. 46(1), pages 111-57, March. [Downloadable!] (restricted)
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Cited by:
(explanations, Please report citation or reference errors to , or , if you are the registered author of the cited work, log in to your RePEc Author Service profile, click on "citations" and make appropriate adjustments.)

  1. Jahan-Parvar, Mohammad & Waters, George, 2009. "Equity Price Bubbles in the Middle Eastern and North African Financial Markets," MPRA Paper 17859, University Library of Munich, Germany. [Downloadable!]
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