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Exchange rate fluctuations and international portfolio rebalancing

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  • Gyntelberg, Jacob
  • Loretan, Mico
  • Subhanij, Tientip
  • Chan, Eric

Abstract

We present empirical evidence for several hypotheses of how exchange rates are affected by investors' cross-border equity portfolio rebalancing decisions. Our results are based on comprehensive, daily-frequency datasets of foreign exchange market transactions and equity market capital flows undertaken by nonresident investors in Thailand in 2005 and 2006. We find that net purchases of Thai equities by nonresident investors systematically lead to an appreciation of the Thai baht. Furthermore, higher returns on Thai equities relative to those on a reference market are associated with subsequent sales of Thai equities by foreign investors as well as a depreciation of the Thai baht, although the latter effect is not statistically significant.

Suggested Citation

  • Gyntelberg, Jacob & Loretan, Mico & Subhanij, Tientip & Chan, Eric, 2014. "Exchange rate fluctuations and international portfolio rebalancing," Emerging Markets Review, Elsevier, vol. 18(C), pages 34-44.
    • Handle: RePEc:eee:ememar:v:18:y:2014:i:c:p:34-44
    DOI: 10.1016/j.ememar.2013.11.004
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    Cited by:

    1. Fischer, Andreas M. & Greminger, Rafael P. & Grisse, Christian & Kaufmann, Sylvia, 2021. "Portfolio rebalancing in times of stress," Journal of International Money and Finance, Elsevier, vol. 113(C).
    2. O. P. C. Muhammed Rafi & M. Ramachandran, 2018. "Capital flows and exchange rate volatility: experience of emerging economies," Indian Economic Review, Springer, vol. 53(1), pages 183-205, December.
    3. Suxiao Li & Jakob de Haan & Bert Scholtens, 2018. "Are International Fund Flows Related to Exchange Rate Dynamics?," Open Economies Review, Springer, vol. 29(1), pages 31-48, February.
    4. Ree, Jack Joo K. & Yoon, Kyoungsoo & Park, Hail, 2015. "FX funding risks and exchange rate volatility," Emerging Markets Review, Elsevier, vol. 25(C), pages 163-175.
    5. Gyntelberg, Jacob & Loretan, Mico & Subhanij, Tientip, 2018. "Private information, capital flows, and exchange rates," Journal of International Money and Finance, Elsevier, vol. 81(C), pages 40-55.
    6. Narayan, Paresh Kumar & Mishra, Sagarika & Narayan, Seema & Thuraisamy, Kannan, 2015. "Is Exchange Rate Trading Profitable?," Journal of International Financial Markets, Institutions and Money, Elsevier, vol. 38(C), pages 217-229.
    7. Dongwon Lee & Kyungkeun Kim, 2016. "Global Risk and International Equity Portfolio Rebalancing," Working Papers 201605, University of California at Riverside, Department of Economics.
    8. Ingomar Krohn & Vladyslav Sushko & Witit Synsatayakul, 2023. "Foreign investor feedback trading in an emerging financial market," BIS Working Papers 1154, Bank for International Settlements.
    9. Jae Young Jang & Min Jae Park, 2019. "A Study on Global Investors’ Criteria for Investment in the Local Currency Bond Markets Using AHP Methods: The Case of the Republic of Korea," Risks, MDPI, vol. 7(4), pages 1-20, October.
    10. Ülkü, Numan & Fatullayev, Sabutay & Diachenko, Daria, 2016. "Can risk-rebalancing explain the negative correlation between stock return differential and currency? Or, does source status drive it?," Journal of Financial Markets, Elsevier, vol. 27(C), pages 28-54.

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    More about this item

    Keywords

    Foreign exchange market; Capital flows; Thailand; Equity market; Nonresident investors; Portfolio rebalancing;
    All these keywords.

    JEL classification:

    • F3 - International Economics - - International Finance
    • F4 - International Economics - - Macroeconomic Aspects of International Trade and Finance
    • G1 - Financial Economics - - General Financial Markets

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