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Real Exchange Rate Volatility and Economic Openness: Theory and Evidence

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Hau, Harald

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Abstract

This paper relates the volatility of the (trade-weighted) effective real exchange rate to the degree of trade openness of an economy. The theoretical part presents an intertemporal monetary model with nominal labour (factor) market rigidities. Both monetary and aggregate supply shocks are shown to imply a (non-linear) inverse relationship between the import share of an economy and the volatility of its real exchange rate. Empirical evidence on a cross-section of 54 countries confirms this relationship: Difference in trade openness explain a large part of the cross-country variation in the volatility of the effective real exchange rate.

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Paper provided by C.E.P.R. Discussion Papers in its series CEPR Discussion Papers with number 2356.

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Date of creation: Jan 2000
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Handle: RePEc:cpr:ceprdp:2356

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Related research
Keywords: Nontradeables; Real Effective Exchange Rates; Volatility;

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Find related papers by JEL classification:
F30 - International Economics - - International Finance - - - General
F40 - International Economics - - Macroeconomic Aspects of International Trade and Finance - - - General

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  3. Blanchard, Olivier Jean & Kiyotaki, Nobuhiro, 1987. "Monopolistic Competition and the Effects of Aggregate Demand," American Economic Review, American Economic Association, vol. 77(4), pages 647-66, September. [Downloadable!] (restricted)
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  16. Cukierman, Alex & Webb, Steven B & Neyapti, Bilin, 1992. "Measuring the Independence of Central Banks and Its Effect on Policy Outcomes," World Bank Economic Review, Oxford University Press, vol. 6(3), pages 353-98, September.
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  20. Asseery, A. & Peel, D. A., 1991. "The effects of exchange rate volatility on exports : Some new estimates," Economics Letters, Elsevier, vol. 37(2), pages 173-177, October. [Downloadable!] (restricted)
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  23. Cushman, David O., 1983. "The effects of real exchange rate risk on international trade," Journal of International Economics, Elsevier, vol. 15(1-2), pages 45-63, August. [Downloadable!] (restricted)
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  25. Lindbeck, Assar & Snower, Dennis J., 1987. "Efficiency wages versus insiders and outsiders," European Economic Review, Elsevier, vol. 31(1-2), pages 407-416. [Downloadable!] (restricted)
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  26. Haley, James, 1990. " Theoretical Foundations for Sticky Wages," Journal of Economic Surveys, Blackwell Publishing, vol. 4(2), pages 115-55.
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