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Whither the Yen? Implications of an intertemporal model of the Yen/Dollar rate Author info | Abstract | Publisher info | Download info | Related research | Statistics Menzie Chinn (University of California at Santa Cruz)
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This paper documents the evidence for a fiscal model of the Yen/Dollar real exchange rate over the 1974-1994 period. Cointegrating relationships between the real exchange rate and productivity, government spending and the real price of oil are estimated using the Johansen (1988) and Stock-Watson (1993) procedures. The neoclassical fixed-factors fiscal model of Rogoff (1992) is found to have some substantiation in the data. Estimates of the long-run equilibrium exchange rate indicate a current overvaluation of the Yen relative to the US Dollar of approximately 30%.
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Paper provided by EconWPA in its series International Finance with number
9508001.
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Date of creation: 22 Aug 1995Date of revision:
28 Aug 1995Handle: RePEc:wpa:wuwpif:9508001Note: International Finance yenxrateContact details of provider: Web page: http://129.3.20.41
For technical questions regarding this item, or to correct its listing, contact: (EconWPA).
Keywords: Find related papers by JEL classification: F3 - International Economics - - International Finance F4 - International Economics - - Macroeconomic Aspects of International Trade and Finance
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Matthew B. Canzoneri & Robert E. Cumby & Behzad Diba, 1996.
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NBER Working Papers
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Other versions:
Canzoneri, Matthew B & Cumby, Robert & Diba, Behzad, 1996.
"Relative Labour Productivity and the Real Exchange Rate in the Long Run: Evidence for a Panel of OECD Countries ,"
CEPR Discussion Papers
1464, C.E.P.R. Discussion Papers.
[Downloadable!] (restricted) Canzoneri, Matthew B. & Cumby, Robert E. & Diba, Behzad, 1999.
"Relative labor productivity and the real exchange rate in the long run: evidence for a panel of OECD countries ,"
Journal of International Economics ,
Elsevier, vol. 47(2), pages 245-266, April.
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