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Eric T. Swanson

Citations

Many of the citations below have been collected in an experimental project, CitEc, where a more detailed citation analysis can be found. These are citations from works listed in RePEc that could be analyzed mechanically. So far, only a minority of all works could be analyzed. See under "Corrections" how you can help improve the citation analysis.

Blog mentions

As found by EconAcademics.org, the blog aggregator for Economics research:
  1. Eric T. Swanson & John C. Williams, 2012. "Measuring the effect of the zero lower bound on medium- and longer-term interest rates," Working Paper Series 2012-02, Federal Reserve Bank of San Francisco.

    Mentioned in:

    1. Quel est l’effet de la borne zéro sur les taux d’intérêt à long terme ?
      by ? in D'un champ l'autre on 2014-09-17 04:35:00
  2. Refet S. Gürkaynak & Brian Sack & Eric Swanson, 2005. "The Sensitivity of Long-Term Interest Rates to Economic News: Evidence and Implications for Macroeconomic Models," American Economic Review, American Economic Association, vol. 95(1), pages 425-436, March.

    Mentioned in:

    1. Bernanke: Inflation Expectations and Inflation Forecasting
      by Mark Thoma in Economist's View on 2007-07-11 01:08:00
  3. Gurkaynak, Refet S & Sack, Brian & Swanson, Eric T, 2005. "Do Actions Speak Louder Than Words? The Response of Asset Prices to Monetary Policy Actions and Statements," MPRA Paper 820, University Library of Munich, Germany.

    Mentioned in:

    1. Quel est l’effet de la borne zéro sur les taux d’intérêt à long terme ?
      by ? in D'un champ l'autre on 2014-09-17 04:35:00
    2. Constructing forward interest rates in FRED
      by ? in FRED blog on 2023-05-01 13:00:00
  4. Eric T. Swanson, 2011. "Let’s twist again: a high-frequency event-study analysis of operation twist and its implications for QE2," Working Paper Series 2011-08, Federal Reserve Bank of San Francisco.

    Mentioned in:

    1. Blogs review: The Events Study methodology
      by ? in Bruegel blog on 2012-10-08 14:51:26
  5. Refet S Gürkaynak & Brian Sack & Eric Swanson, 2005. "Do Actions Speak Louder Than Words? The Response of Asset Prices to Monetary Policy Actions and Statements," International Journal of Central Banking, International Journal of Central Banking, vol. 1(1), May.

    Mentioned in:

    1. Quel est l’effet de la borne zéro sur les taux d’intérêt à long terme ?
      by ? in D'un champ l'autre on 2014-09-17 04:35:00
    2. Constructing forward interest rates in FRED
      by ? in FRED blog on 2023-05-01 13:00:00

Wikipedia or ReplicationWiki mentions

(Only mentions on Wikipedia that link back to a page on a RePEc service)
  1. Glenn D. Rudebusch & Eric T. Swanson, 2012. "The Bond Premium in a DSGE Model with Long-Run Real and Nominal Risks," American Economic Journal: Macroeconomics, American Economic Association, vol. 4(1), pages 105-143, January.

    Mentioned in:

    1. The Bond Premium in a DSGE Model with Long-Run Real and Nominal Risks (AEJ:MA 2012) in ReplicationWiki ()
  2. Eric T. Swanson, 2012. "Risk Aversion and the Labor Margin in Dynamic Equilibrium Models," American Economic Review, American Economic Association, vol. 102(4), pages 1663-1691, June.

    Mentioned in:

    1. Risk Aversion and the Labor Margin in Dynamic Equilibrium Models (AER 2012) in ReplicationWiki ()
  3. Refet S. Gürkaynak & Brian Sack & Eric Swanson, 2005. "The Sensitivity of Long-Term Interest Rates to Economic News: Evidence and Implications for Macroeconomic Models," American Economic Review, American Economic Association, vol. 95(1), pages 425-436, March.

    Mentioned in:

    1. The Sensitivity of Long-Term Interest Rates to Economic News:Evidence and Implications for Macroeconomic Models (AER 2005) in ReplicationWiki ()

Working papers

  1. Sebastian Graves & Christopher K. Huckfeldt & Eric T. Swanson, 2023. "The Labor Demand and Labor Supply Channels of Monetary Policy," NBER Working Papers 31770, National Bureau of Economic Research, Inc.

    Cited by:

    1. Kathrin Ellieroth & Amanda M. Michaud, 2024. "Quits, Layoffs, and Labor Supply," Opportunity and Inclusive Growth Institute Working Papers 094, Federal Reserve Bank of Minneapolis.

  2. Eric T. Swanson, 2023. "The Macroeconomic Effects of the Federal Reserve's Conventional and Unconventional Monetary Policies," NBER Working Papers 31603, National Bureau of Economic Research, Inc.

    Cited by:

    1. Brent Bundick & Trenton Herriford & Andrew Lee Smith, 2022. "The Term Structure of Monetary Policy Uncertainty," Research Working Paper RWP 2022-02, Federal Reserve Bank of Kansas City.
    2. Georgiadis, Georgios & Jarociński, Marek, 2023. "Global spillovers from multi-dimensional US monetary policy," Working Paper Series 2881, European Central Bank.
    3. Jean-Guillaume Sahuc & Grégory Levieuge & José Garcia-Revelo, 2024. "Revisiting 15 Years of Unusual Transatlantic Monetary Policies," EconomiX Working Papers 2024-13, University of Paris Nanterre, EconomiX.
    4. Itamar Caspi & Amit Friedman & Sigal Ribon, 2024. "Shocks and Currents: Monetary Policy and Israel’s Foreign Exchange Market," Comparative Economic Studies, Palgrave Macmillan;Association for Comparative Economic Studies, vol. 66(3), pages 454-481, September.
    5. Wilhelm, Stefan, 2023. "Efficiency of short-time work schemes and the role of monetary policy," Journal of Macroeconomics, Elsevier, vol. 78(C).

  3. Michael D. Bauer & Eric T. Swanson, 2022. "A Reassessment of Monetary Policy Surprises and High-Frequency Identification," CESifo Working Paper Series 9642, CESifo.

    Cited by:

    1. Santiago Camara, 2023. "International Spillovers of ECB Interest Rates: Monetary Policy & Information Effects," Papers 2306.04562, arXiv.org.
    2. Mr. Pragyan Deb & Julia Estefania-Flores & Melih Firat & Davide Furceri & Siddharth Kothari, 2023. "Monetary Policy Transmission Heterogeneity: Cross-Country Evidence," IMF Working Papers 2023/204, International Monetary Fund.
    3. Davide Brignone & Alessandro Franconi & Marco Mazzali, 2023. "Robust Impulse Responses using External Instruments: the Role of Information," Papers 2307.06145, arXiv.org.
    4. Bulat Gafarov & Madina Karamysheva & Andrey Polbin & Anton Skrobotov, 2024. "Policymaker meetings as heteroscedasticity shifters: Identification and simultaneous inference in unstable SVARs," Papers 2407.03265, arXiv.org.
    5. Brent Bundick & Trenton Herriford & Andrew Lee Smith, 2022. "The Term Structure of Monetary Policy Uncertainty," Research Working Paper RWP 2022-02, Federal Reserve Bank of Kansas City.
    6. Qi Li & Xu Zhang, 2023. "Monetary Policy and Racial Inequality in Housing Markets: A Study of 140 US Metropolitan Areas," Staff Working Papers 23-62, Bank of Canada.
    7. Pablo Aguilar Perez, 2024. "Global Spillovers of US Monetary Policy: New Insights from the Remittance Channel," EconomiX Working Papers 2024-27, University of Paris Nanterre, EconomiX.
    8. Cañon, Carlos & Gerba, Eddie & Pambira, Alberto & Stoja, Evarist, 2023. "An unconventional FX tail risk story," LSE Research Online Documents on Economics 120052, London School of Economics and Political Science, LSE Library.
    9. Alex Hsu & Indrajit Mitra & Linghang Zeng, 2023. "The Profitability Channel of Monetary Policy Transmission," FRB Atlanta Working Paper 2023-6, Federal Reserve Bank of Atlanta.
    10. Inoue, Atsushi & Jordà , Òscar & Kuersteiner, Guido, 2024. "Inference for Local Projections," CEPR Discussion Papers 19379, C.E.P.R. Discussion Papers.
    11. Sangyup Choi & Tim Willems & Seung Yong Yoo, 2022. "Revisiting the Monetary Transmission Mechanism Through an Industry-Level Differential Approach," IMF Working Papers 2022/017, International Monetary Fund.
    12. Evgenidis, Anastasios & Fasianos, Apostolos, 2023. "Modelling monetary policy’s impact on labour markets under Covid-19," Economics Letters, Elsevier, vol. 230(C).
    13. Willem THORBECKE, 2023. "Macroeconomic Shocks and Economic Performance in Malaysia: A sectoral analysis," Discussion papers 23070, Research Institute of Economy, Trade and Industry (RIETI).
    14. Walz, Stefan, 2024. "How does the fed affect corporate credit costs? Default risk, creditor segmentation and the post-FOMC drift," Journal of Monetary Economics, Elsevier, vol. 143(C).
    15. Ariadne Checo & Mr. Francesco Grigoli & Mr. Damiano Sandri, 2024. "Monetary Policy Transmission in Emerging Markets: Proverbial Concerns, Novel Evidence," IMF Working Papers 2024/093, International Monetary Fund.
    16. Jonathan J Adams & Philip Barrett, 2023. "Identifying News Shocks from Forecasts," Working Papers 001010, University of Florida, Department of Economics.
    17. Tomas Key & Jamie Lenney, 2024. "The Impact of Aggregate Fluctuations Across the UK Income Distribution," Discussion Papers 2430, Centre for Macroeconomics (CFM).
    18. Goodhead, Robert, 2024. "The economic impact of yield curve compression: Evidence from euro area forward guidance and unconventional monetary policy," European Economic Review, Elsevier, vol. 164(C).
    19. De Santis, Roberto A. & Tornese, Tommaso, 2024. "US monetary policy is more powerful in low economic growth regimes," Working Paper Series 2919, European Central Bank.
    20. Amina Enkhbold, 2024. "Monetary Policy Transmission Through Shadow and Traditional Banks," Staff Working Papers 24-8, Bank of Canada.
    21. Gökhan Ider & Alexander Kriwoluzky & Frederik Kurcz & Ben Schumann, 2023. "The Energy-Price Channel of (European) Monetary Policy," Discussion Papers of DIW Berlin 2033, DIW Berlin, German Institute for Economic Research.
    22. Chen, Kaiji & Higgins, Patrick & Zha, Tao, 2024. "Constructing quarterly Chinese time series usable for macroeconomic analysis," Journal of International Money and Finance, Elsevier, vol. 143(C).
    23. Holtemöller, Oliver & Kriwoluzky, Alexander & Kwak, Boreum, 2024. "Is there an information channel of monetary policy?," IWH Discussion Papers 17/2020, Halle Institute for Economic Research (IWH), revised 2024.
    24. Martin Iseringhausen, 2024. "The housing supply channel of monetary policy," Working Papers 59, European Stability Mechanism, revised 05 Feb 2024.
    25. Georgiadis, Georgios & Jarociński, Marek, 2023. "Global spillovers from multi-dimensional US monetary policy," Working Paper Series 2881, European Central Bank.
    26. Jarociński, Marek, 2021. "Estimating the Fed’s Unconventional Policy Shocks," Working Paper Series 20210, European Central Bank.
    27. Francesco Furlanetto & Antoine Lepetit, 2024. "The Slope of the Phillips Curve," Finance and Economics Discussion Series 2024-043, Board of Governors of the Federal Reserve System (U.S.).
    28. Alisdair McKay & Christian K. Wolf, 2023. "What Can Time-Series Regressions Tell Us About Policy Counterfactuals?," Staff Report 642, Federal Reserve Bank of Minneapolis.
    29. Ferroni, Filippo & Fisher, Jonas D.M. & Melosi, Leonardo, 2024. "Unusual shocks in our usual models," Journal of Monetary Economics, Elsevier, vol. 147(C).
    30. Laumer, Sebastian & Morais Santos, Italo, 2024. "The impact of monetary policy shocks — Do not rule out central bank information effects or economic news," Economics Letters, Elsevier, vol. 237(C).
    31. Lukas Berend & Jan Pruser, 2024. "The Transmission of Monetary Policy via Common Cycles in the Euro Area," Papers 2410.05741, arXiv.org, revised Oct 2024.
    32. William D. Larson & Andrew B. Martinez, 2024. "House Prices, Debt Burdens, and the Heterogeneous Effects of Mortgage Rate Shocks," Working Papers 2024-002, The George Washington University, Department of Economics, H. O. Stekler Research Program on Forecasting.
    33. Travis Adams & Andrea Ajello & Diego Silva & Francisco Vazquez-Grande, 2023. "More than Words: Twitter Chatter and Financial Market Sentiment," Papers 2305.16164, arXiv.org.
    34. Ehrmann, Michael & Gnan, Phillipp & Rieder, Kilian, 2023. "Central bank communication by ??? The economics of public policy leaks," Working Paper Series 2846, European Central Bank.
    35. Ding Dong & Zheng Liu & Pengfei Wang & Min Wei, 2024. "Inflation Disagreement Weakens the Power of Monetary Policy," Working Paper Series 2024-27, Federal Reserve Bank of San Francisco.
    36. Inessa BENCHORA & Aurélien LEROY & Louis RAFFESTIN, 2023. "Is Monetary Policy Transmission Green?," Bordeaux Economics Working Papers 2023-08, Bordeaux School of Economics (BSE).
    37. Santiago Camara & Sebastian Ramirez Venegas, 2022. "The Transmission of US Monetary Policy Shocks: The Role of Investment & Financial Heterogeneity," Papers 2209.11150, arXiv.org.
    38. Arbatli-Saxegaard, Elif & Furceri, Davide & González, Pablo & Ostry, Jonathan D. & Peiris, Shanaka, 2024. "Spillovers from US Monetary Policy: Role of Policy Drivers and Cyclical Conditions," CEPR Discussion Papers 18768, C.E.P.R. Discussion Papers.
    39. Holden, Tom D., 2024. "Robust Real Rate Rules," EconStor Preprints 279481, ZBW - Leibniz Information Centre for Economics, revised 2024.
    40. Gökhan Ider & Alexander Kriwoluzky & Frederik Kurcz & Ben Schumann, 2024. "Friend, Not Foe - Energy Prices and European Monetary Policy," Discussion Papers of DIW Berlin 2089, DIW Berlin, German Institute for Economic Research.
    41. Key, Tomas & Lenney, Jamie, 2024. "The impact of aggregate fluctuations across the UK income distribution," Bank of England working papers 1083, Bank of England.
    42. Haroon Mumtaz & Jumana Saleheen & Roxane Spitznagel, 2023. "Keep it Simple: Central Bank Communication and Asset Prices," Working Papers 960, Queen Mary University of London, School of Economics and Finance.
    43. Van Der Ploeg, Frederick & Willems, Tim, 2023. "Battle of the markups: conflict inflation and the aspirational channel of monetary policy transmission," CEPR Discussion Papers 18436, C.E.P.R. Discussion Papers.
    44. Andrea Ajello & Diego Silva & Travis Adams & Francisco Vazquez-Grande, 2023. "More than Words: Twitter Chatter and Financial Market Sentiment," Finance and Economics Discussion Series 2023-034, Board of Governors of the Federal Reserve System (U.S.).
    45. Carlos Cañon & Eddie Gerba & Alberto Pambira & Evarist Stoja, 2023. "An Unconventional FX Tail Risk Story," CESifo Working Paper Series 10629, CESifo.
    46. De Rezende, Rafael B., 2023. "An event-driven bank stress indicator: The case of US regional banks," Finance Research Letters, Elsevier, vol. 56(C).
    47. Jonathan Hambur & Qazi Haque, 2023. "Can we use high-frequency yield data to better understand the effects of monetary policy and its communication? Yes and no!," School of Economics and Public Policy Working Papers 2023-03 Classification-E4, University of Adelaide, School of Economics and Public Policy.
    48. Taeyoung Doh & JiHyung Lee & Woong Yong Park, 2024. "Heterogeneity in Household Inflation Expectations: Policy Implications," Research Working Paper RWP 24-06, Federal Reserve Bank of Kansas City.
    49. Lu, Dong & Tang, Huoqing & Zhang, Chengsi, 2023. "China's monetary policy surprises and corporate real investment," China Economic Review, Elsevier, vol. 77(C).
    50. Endong Wang, 2024. "Structural counterfactual analysis in macroeconomics: theory and inference," Papers 2409.09577, arXiv.org.
    51. Holm-Hadulla, Fédéric & Mazelis, Falk & Rast, Sebastian, 2023. "Bank and non-bank balance sheet responses to monetary policy shocks," Economics Letters, Elsevier, vol. 222(C).
    52. Dimitris Christopoulos & Peter McAdam & Elias Tzavalis, 2023. "Threshold Endogeneity in Threshold VARs: An Application to Monetary State Dependence," Research Working Paper RWP 23-09, Federal Reserve Bank of Kansas City.

  4. Michael D. Bauer & Eric T. Swanson, 2020. "The Fed's Response to Economic News Explains the "Fed Information Effect"," CESifo Working Paper Series 8151, CESifo.

    Cited by:

    1. Sui-Jade Ho & Özer Karagedikli, 2021. "Effects of Monetary Policy Communication in Emerging Market Economies: Evidence from Malaysia," Working Papers wp44, South East Asian Central Banks (SEACEN) Research and Training Centre.
    2. Gómez-Cram, Roberto & Grotteria, Marco, 2022. "Real-time price discovery via verbal communication: Method and application to Fedspeak," Journal of Financial Economics, Elsevier, vol. 143(3), pages 993-1025.
    3. Hoek, Jasper & Kamin, Steve & Yoldas, Emre, 2022. "Are higher U.S. interest rates always bad news for emerging markets?," Journal of International Economics, Elsevier, vol. 137(C).
    4. De Pooter, Michiel & Favara, Giovanni & Modugno, Michele & Wu, Jason, 2021. "Monetary policy uncertainty and monetary policy surprises," Journal of International Money and Finance, Elsevier, vol. 112(C).
    5. Benjamin Gardner & Chiara Scotti & Clara Vega, 2021. "Words Speak as Loudly as Actions: Central Bank Communication and the Response of Equity Prices to Macroeconomic Announcements," Finance and Economics Discussion Series 2021-074, Board of Governors of the Federal Reserve System (U.S.).
    6. Refet S. Gürkaynak & A. Hakan Kara & Burcin Kisacikoglu, 2020. "Monetary Policy Surprises and Exchange Rate Behavior," CESifo Working Paper Series 8557, CESifo.
    7. Miranda-Agrippino, Silvia & Ricco, Giovanni, 2023. "Identification with External Instruments in Structural VARs," Journal of Monetary Economics, Elsevier, vol. 135(C), pages 1-19.
    8. De Pooter, Michiel & Favara, Giovanni & Modugno, Michele & Wu, Jason, 2021. "Reprint: Monetary policy uncertainty and monetary policy surprises," Journal of International Money and Finance, Elsevier, vol. 114(C).
    9. Andrew C. Chang & Trace J. Levinson, 2020. "Raiders of the Lost High-Frequency Forecasts: New Data and Evidence on the Efficiency of the Fed's Forecasting," Finance and Economics Discussion Series 2020-090, Board of Governors of the Federal Reserve System (U.S.).
    10. Jarociński, Marek, 2022. "Central bank information effects and transatlantic spillovers," Journal of International Economics, Elsevier, vol. 139(C).
    11. Karnaukh, Nina & Vokata, Petra, 2022. "Growth forecasts and news about monetary policy," Journal of Financial Economics, Elsevier, vol. 146(1), pages 55-70.
    12. Dahlhaus, Tatjana & Vasishtha, Garima, 2020. "Monetary policy news in the US: Effects on emerging market capital flows," Journal of International Money and Finance, Elsevier, vol. 109(C).
    13. Julien Pinter & Evzen Kocenda, 2021. "Media Treatment of Monetary Policy Surprises and Their Impact on Firms' and Consumers' Expectations," Working Papers IES 2021/30, Charles University Prague, Faculty of Social Sciences, Institute of Economic Studies, revised Sep 2021.
    14. Hamza Bennani, 2023. "Overconfidence of the chair of the Federal Reserve and market expectations: Evidence based on media coverage," Post-Print hal-04202574, HAL.
    15. Yohei Yamamoto & Naoko Hara, 2022. "Identifying factor‐augmented vector autoregression models via changes in shock variances," Journal of Applied Econometrics, John Wiley & Sons, Ltd., vol. 37(4), pages 722-745, June.
    16. Tobias Adrian & Gaston Gelos & Nora Lamersdorf & Emanuel Moench, 2024. "The asymmetric and persistent effects of Fed policy on global bond yields," BIS Working Papers 1195, Bank for International Settlements.
    17. Dahlhaus, Tatjana & Vasishtha, Garima, 2021. "Reprint: Monetary policy news in the US: Effects on emerging market capital flows," Journal of International Money and Finance, Elsevier, vol. 114(C).
    18. Christopher D. Cotton, 2022. "Looking Beyond the Fed: Do Central Banks Cause Information Effects?," Working Papers 22-21, Federal Reserve Bank of Boston.
    19. Leonardo Melosi & Francesco Zanetti, 2022. "The Signaling Effects of Fiscal Announcements," Working Paper Series WP 2022-38, Federal Reserve Bank of Chicago.
    20. Schmeling, Maik & Schrimpf, Andreas & Steffensen, Sigurd A.M., 2022. "Monetary policy expectation errors," Journal of Financial Economics, Elsevier, vol. 146(3), pages 841-858.
    21. Martin Baumgärtner & Jens Klose, 2021. "Why central banks announcing liquidity injections is more effective than forward guidance," International Finance, Wiley Blackwell, vol. 24(2), pages 236-256, August.
    22. Assenmacher, Katrin & Glöckler, Gabriel & Holton, Sarah & Trautmann, Peter & Ioannou, Demosthenes & Mee, Simon & Alonso, Conception & Argiri, Eleni & Arigoni, Filippo & Bakk-Simon, Klára & Bergbauer, , 2021. "Clear, consistent and engaging: ECB monetary policy communication in a changing world," Occasional Paper Series 274, European Central Bank.
    23. Martin Baumgaertner, 2022. "Financial Markets and ECB Monetary Policy Communication – A Second QE Surprise," MAGKS Papers on Economics 202203, Philipps-Universität Marburg, Faculty of Business Administration and Economics, Department of Economics (Volkswirtschaftliche Abteilung).
    24. Ampudia, Miguel & Van den Heuvel, Skander J., 2022. "Monetary Policy and Bank Equity Values in a Time of Low and Negative Interest Rates," Journal of Monetary Economics, Elsevier, vol. 130(C), pages 49-67.
    25. Maurer, Tim D. & Nitschka, Thomas, 2023. "Stock market evidence on the international transmission channels of US monetary policy surprises," Journal of International Money and Finance, Elsevier, vol. 136(C).

  5. Michael D. Bauer & Eric T. Swanson, 2020. "An Alternative Explanation for the “Fed Information Effect”," NBER Working Papers 27013, National Bureau of Economic Research, Inc.

    Cited by:

    1. Troy Davig & Andrew T. Foerster, 2017. "Communicating Monetary Policy Rules," Research Working Paper RWP 17-4, Federal Reserve Bank of Kansas City.
    2. Julian di Giovanni & John Rogers, 2024. "The Impact of U.S. Monetary Policy on Foreign Firms," IMF Economic Review, Palgrave Macmillan;International Monetary Fund, vol. 72(1), pages 58-115, March.
    3. Keweloh, Sascha A. & Hetzenecker, Stephan & Seepe, Andre, 2023. "Monetary policy and information shocks in a block-recursive SVAR," Journal of International Money and Finance, Elsevier, vol. 137(C).
    4. Alex Hsu & Indrajit Mitra & Linghang Zeng, 2023. "The Profitability Channel of Monetary Policy Transmission," FRB Atlanta Working Paper 2023-6, Federal Reserve Bank of Atlanta.
    5. De Pooter, Michiel & Favara, Giovanni & Modugno, Michele & Wu, Jason, 2021. "Monetary policy uncertainty and monetary policy surprises," Journal of International Money and Finance, Elsevier, vol. 112(C).
    6. Benjamin Gardner & Chiara Scotti & Clara Vega, 2021. "Words Speak as Loudly as Actions: Central Bank Communication and the Response of Equity Prices to Macroeconomic Announcements," Finance and Economics Discussion Series 2021-074, Board of Governors of the Federal Reserve System (U.S.).
    7. Refet S. Gürkaynak & A. Hakan Kara & Burcin Kisacikoglu, 2020. "Monetary Policy Surprises and Exchange Rate Behavior," CESifo Working Paper Series 8557, CESifo.
    8. De Pooter, Michiel & Favara, Giovanni & Modugno, Michele & Wu, Jason, 2021. "Reprint: Monetary policy uncertainty and monetary policy surprises," Journal of International Money and Finance, Elsevier, vol. 114(C).
    9. Salomé Fofana & Paula Patzelt & Ricardo Reis, 2024. "Household Disagreement about Expected Inflation," Discussion Papers 2418, Centre for Macroeconomics (CFM).
    10. Andrew C. Chang & Trace J. Levinson, 2020. "Raiders of the Lost High-Frequency Forecasts: New Data and Evidence on the Efficiency of the Fed's Forecasting," Finance and Economics Discussion Series 2020-090, Board of Governors of the Federal Reserve System (U.S.).
    11. Ariadne Checo & Mr. Francesco Grigoli & Mr. Damiano Sandri, 2024. "Monetary Policy Transmission in Emerging Markets: Proverbial Concerns, Novel Evidence," IMF Working Papers 2024/093, International Monetary Fund.
    12. Frederic Boissay & Fabrice Collard & Cristina Manea & Adam Hale Shapiro, 2023. "Monetary Tightening, Inflation Drivers and Financial Stress," Working Paper Series 2023-38, Federal Reserve Bank of San Francisco.
    13. Marc Burri & Daniel Kaufmann, 2024. "Multi-dimensional monetary policy shocks based on heteroscedasticity," IRENE Working Papers 24-03, IRENE Institute of Economic Research.
    14. Zhao Han & Chengcheng Jia, 2023. "How Important Is the Information Effect of Monetary Policy?," Working Papers 23-32, Federal Reserve Bank of Cleveland.
    15. Jarociński, Marek, 2022. "Central bank information effects and transatlantic spillovers," Journal of International Economics, Elsevier, vol. 139(C).
    16. Nakamura, Fumitaka & Sudo, Nao & Sugisaki, Yu, 2024. "Assessing monetary policy surprises in Japan by high frequency identification," Journal of the Japanese and International Economies, Elsevier, vol. 71(C).
    17. Dahlhaus, Tatjana & Vasishtha, Garima, 2020. "Monetary policy news in the US: Effects on emerging market capital flows," Journal of International Money and Finance, Elsevier, vol. 109(C).
    18. Franconi, Alessandro & Rella, Giacomo, 2023. "Monetary Policy across the Wealth Distribution," SocArXiv hn3pc, Center for Open Science.
    19. Dahlhaus, Tatjana & Vasishtha, Garima, 2021. "Reprint: Monetary policy news in the US: Effects on emerging market capital flows," Journal of International Money and Finance, Elsevier, vol. 114(C).
    20. Jung, Alexander, 2023. "US monetary policy spillovers to European banks," Working Paper Series 2876, European Central Bank.
    21. Mariana García-Schmidt, 2024. "Is the Information Channel of Monetary Policy Alive in Emerging Markets?," Working Papers Central Bank of Chile 1017, Central Bank of Chile.
    22. Hie Joo Ahn & Leland E. Farmer, 2024. "Disagreement About the Term Structure of Inflation Expectations," Finance and Economics Discussion Series 2024-084, Board of Governors of the Federal Reserve System (U.S.).
    23. Flavia Corneli & Fabrizio Ferriani & Andrea Gazzani, 2023. "Macroeconomic news, the financial cycle and the commodity cycle: the Chinese footprint," Questioni di Economia e Finanza (Occasional Papers) 772, Bank of Italy, Economic Research and International Relations Area.
    24. Inessa BENCHORA & Aurélien LEROY & Louis RAFFESTIN, 2023. "Is Monetary Policy Transmission Green?," Bordeaux Economics Working Papers 2023-08, Bordeaux School of Economics (BSE).
    25. Alex Hsu & Indrajit Mitra & Yu Xu & Linghang Zeng, 2023. "The Fed Information Effect and Firm-Level Investment: Evidence and Theory," FRB Atlanta Working Paper 2023-6a, Federal Reserve Bank of Atlanta, revised Mar 2024.
    26. Schmeling, Maik & Schrimpf, Andreas & Steffensen, Sigurd A.M., 2022. "Monetary policy expectation errors," Journal of Financial Economics, Elsevier, vol. 146(3), pages 841-858.
    27. Martin Baumgärtner & Jens Klose, 2021. "Why central banks announcing liquidity injections is more effective than forward guidance," International Finance, Wiley Blackwell, vol. 24(2), pages 236-256, August.
    28. Sinem Kandemir & Peter Tillmann, 2023. "Not all ECB meetings are created equal," MAGKS Papers on Economics 202312, Philipps-Universität Marburg, Faculty of Business Administration and Economics, Department of Economics (Volkswirtschaftliche Abteilung).
    29. Assenmacher, Katrin & Glöckler, Gabriel & Holton, Sarah & Trautmann, Peter & Ioannou, Demosthenes & Mee, Simon & Alonso, Conception & Argiri, Eleni & Arigoni, Filippo & Bakk-Simon, Klára & Bergbauer, , 2021. "Clear, consistent and engaging: ECB monetary policy communication in a changing world," Occasional Paper Series 274, European Central Bank.
    30. Martin Baumgaertner, 2022. "Financial Markets and ECB Monetary Policy Communication – A Second QE Surprise," MAGKS Papers on Economics 202203, Philipps-Universität Marburg, Faculty of Business Administration and Economics, Department of Economics (Volkswirtschaftliche Abteilung).
    31. Braun, Robin & Miranda-Agrippino, Silvia & Saha, Tuli, 2023. "Measuring monetary policy in the UK: the UK Monetary Policy Event‑Study Database," Bank of England working papers 1050, Bank of England.

  6. Eric T. Swanson, 2018. "The Federal Reserve Is Not Very Constrained by the Lower Bound on Nominal Interest Rates," NBER Working Papers 25123, National Bureau of Economic Research, Inc.

    Cited by:

    1. Caballero, Ricardo & Simsek, Alp, 2022. "Monetary Policy and Asset Price Overshooting: A Rationale for the Wall/Main Street Disconnect," CEPR Discussion Papers 15163, C.E.P.R. Discussion Papers.
    2. Richard H. Clarida, 2019. "The Federal Reserve’s Review of Its Monetary Policy Strategy, Tools, and Communication Practices : A speech at \"Fed Policy: A Shadow Review\" Cato Institute’s 37th Annual Monetary Conferenc," Speech 1104, Board of Governors of the Federal Reserve System (U.S.).
    3. Hartmann, Philipp & Smets, Frank, 2018. "The first twenty years of the European Central Bank: monetary policy," CEPR Discussion Papers 13411, C.E.P.R. Discussion Papers.
    4. P. Andrade & J. Galí & H. Le Bihan & J. Matheron, 2018. "The Optimal Inflation Target and the Natural Rate of Interest," Working papers 670, Banque de France.
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    251. Kenneth N. Kuttner, 2018. "Outside the Box: Unconventional Monetary Policy in the Great Recession and Beyond," Department of Economics Working Papers 2018-04, Department of Economics, Williams College.
    252. Mo, Wan-Shin & Yang, J. Jimmy & Chen, Yu-Lun, 2023. "Exchange rate spillover, carry trades, and the COVID-19 pandemic," Economic Modelling, Elsevier, vol. 121(C).
    253. Richard H. Clarida, 2019. "The Federal Reserve's Review of Its Monetary Policy Strategy, Tools, and Communication Practices : a speech at the \"Fed Listens: Distributional Consequences of the Cycle and Monetary Policy\&quo," Speech 1054, Board of Governors of the Federal Reserve System (U.S.).
    254. Egemen Eren & Timothy Jackson & Giovanni Lombardo, 2024. "The macroprudential role of central bank balance sheets," Working Papers 202408, University of Liverpool, Department of Economics.
    255. Andrejs Zlobins, 2021. "On the Time-varying Effects of the ECB's Asset Purchases," Working Papers 2021/02, Latvijas Banka.
    256. Andrea Landi, Alex Sclip, Valeria Venturelli, 2019. "The effect of the Fed zero-lower bound announcementon bank profitability and diversification," Centro Studi di Banca e Finanza (CEFIN) (Center for Studies in Banking and Finance) 0079, Universita di Modena e Reggio Emilia, Dipartimento di Economia "Marco Biagi".
    257. Luo, Shaowen & Villar, Daniel, 2023. "Propagation of shocks in an input-output economy: Evidence from disaggregated prices," Journal of Monetary Economics, Elsevier, vol. 137(C), pages 26-46.
    258. Prasanna Gai & Cameron Haworth, 2024. "Alternative Monetary Policy Commitments and the Yield Curve," The Economic Record, The Economic Society of Australia, vol. 100(329), pages 137-159, June.
    259. Braun, Robin & Miranda-Agrippino, Silvia & Saha, Tuli, 2023. "Measuring monetary policy in the UK: the UK Monetary Policy Event‑Study Database," Bank of England working papers 1050, Bank of England.
    260. Antonia Lopez Villavicencio & Marc Pourroy, 2023. "Information Shocks in the U.S. and Asset Mispricing in Emerging Economies," Working Papers hal-04159830, HAL.
    261. Khalid ElFayoumi, 2020. "Firm Financing and the Relative Demand for Labor and Capital," Discussion Papers of DIW Berlin 1908, DIW Berlin, German Institute for Economic Research.
    262. Begoña Domínguez & Pedro Gomis‐Porqueras, 2023. "Normalizing the Central Bank's Balance Sheet: Implications for Inflation and Debt Dynamics," Journal of Money, Credit and Banking, Blackwell Publishing, vol. 55(4), pages 945-974, June.
    263. Rostagno, Massimo & Altavilla, Carlo & Carboni, Giacomo & Lemke, Wolfgang & Motto, Roberto & Saint Guilhem, Arthur & Yiangou, Jonathan, 2019. "A tale of two decades: the ECB’s monetary policy at 20," Working Paper Series 2346, European Central Bank.
    264. Motto, Roberto & Özen, Kadir, 2022. "Market-stabilization QE," Working Paper Series 2640, European Central Bank.
    265. John H. Rogers & Chiara Scotti & Jonathan H. Wright, 2016. "Unconventional Monetary Policy and International Risk Premia," International Finance Discussion Papers 1172, Board of Governors of the Federal Reserve System (U.S.).
    266. Benjamin Garcia & Arsenios Skaperdas, 2017. "Inferring the Shadow Rate from Real Activity," Finance and Economics Discussion Series 2017-106, Board of Governors of the Federal Reserve System (U.S.).
    267. Luca Fanelli & Antonio Marsi, 2021. "Unconventional Monetary Policy in the Euro Area: A Tale of Three Shocks," Working Papers wp1164, Dipartimento Scienze Economiche, Universita' di Bologna.
    268. Egemen Eren & Timothy Jackson & Giovanni Lombardo, 2024. "The macroprudential role of central bank balance sheets," BIS Working Papers 1173, Bank for International Settlements.
    269. Francisco Ilabaca, 2018. "Measuring the Effects of US Unconventional Monetary Policy on International Financial Markets," 2018 Meeting Papers 861, Society for Economic Dynamics.
    270. Barria, Rodrigo & Pinter, Gabor, 2023. "Mispricing in inflation markets," Bank of England working papers 1034, Bank of England.
    271. Finck, David & Hoffmann, Mathias & Hürtgen, Patrick, 2023. "On the empirical relevance of the exchange rate as a shock absorber at the zero lower bound," Discussion Papers 10/2023, Deutsche Bundesbank.
    272. Paul Rudel & Peter Tillmann, 2018. "News Shock Spillovers: How the Euro Area Responds to Expected Fed Policy," MAGKS Papers on Economics 201832, Philipps-Universität Marburg, Faculty of Business Administration and Economics, Department of Economics (Volkswirtschaftliche Abteilung).

  8. Eric Swanson, 2015. "A Macroeconomic Model of Equities and Real, Nominal, and Defaultable Debt," 2015 Meeting Papers 273, Society for Economic Dynamics.

    Cited by:

    1. Mumtaz, Haroon & Theodoridis, Konstantinos, 2017. "Common and country specific economic uncertainty," Journal of International Economics, Elsevier, vol. 105(C), pages 205-216.
    2. Erica Perego, 2018. "Sovereign Risk and Asset Market Dynamics in the Euro Area," Working Papers 2018-18, CEPII research center.
    3. Mumtaz, Haroon & Theodoridis, Konstantinos, 2018. "Dynamic Effects of Monetary Policy Shocks on Macroeconomic Volatility," Cardiff Economics Working Papers E2018/21, Cardiff University, Cardiff Business School, Economics Section.
    4. François Gourio & Phuong Ngo, 2020. "Risk Premia at the ZLB: A Macroeconomic Interpretation," Working Paper Series WP 2020-01, Federal Reserve Bank of Chicago.
    5. Rahul Nath, 2018. "Flexible Labour, Income Effects, and Asset Prices," Economics Series Working Papers 851, University of Oxford, Department of Economics.
    6. Iania, Leonardo & Tretiakov, Pavel & Wouters, Rafael, 2023. "The risk premium in New Keynesian DSGE models: The cost of inflation channel," LIDAM Reprints LFIN 2023013, Université catholique de Louvain, Louvain Finance (LFIN).
    7. Alex Ilek & Irit Rozenshtrom, 2017. "The Term Premium in a Small Open Economy: A Micro-Founded Approach," Bank of Israel Working Papers 2017.06, Bank of Israel.
    8. Haroon Mumtaz & Konstantinos Theodoridis, 2017. "Fiscal Policy Shocks and Stock Prices in the United States," Working Papers 817, Queen Mary University of London, School of Economics and Finance.
    9. Xu Zhang, 2021. "Evaluating the Effects of Forward Guidance and Large-scale Asset Purchases," Staff Working Papers 21-54, Bank of Canada.
    10. Eric T. Swanson, 2012. "Risk aversion, risk premia, and the labor margin with generalized recursive preferences," Working Paper Series 2012-17, Federal Reserve Bank of San Francisco.
    11. Rahul Nath, 2018. "Equity Pricing New Keynesian Models with Nominal Rigidities and Investment," Economics Series Working Papers 850, University of Oxford, Department of Economics.
    12. Rabitsch-Schilcher, Katrin & Marsal, Ales & Kaszab, Lorant, 2023. "From Linear to Nonlinear: Rethinking Inflation Dynamics in the Calvo Pricing Mechanism," Department of Economics Working Paper Series 350, WU Vienna University of Economics and Business.
    13. Haroon Mumtaz & Konstantinos Theodoridis, 2016. "Volatility Co-movement and the Great Moderation. An Empirical Analysis," Working Papers 804, Queen Mary University of London, School of Economics and Finance.
    14. Martin M. Andreasen & Kasper Jørgensen, 2016. "Explaining Asset Prices with Low Risk Aversion and Low Intertemporal Substitution," CREATES Research Papers 2016-16, Department of Economics and Business Economics, Aarhus University.

  9. Eric T. Swanson, 2015. "Measuring the Effects of Unconventional Monetary Policy on Asset Prices," NBER Working Papers 21816, National Bureau of Economic Research, Inc.

    Cited by:

    1. Eksi, Ozan & Tas, Bedri Kamil Onur, 2017. "Unconventional monetary policy and the stock market’s reaction to Federal Reserve policy actions," The North American Journal of Economics and Finance, Elsevier, vol. 40(C), pages 136-147.
    2. Gang Wang & Yi Shen, 2023. "Did quantitative easing reduce the borrowing costs of firms? The risk‐taking channel," Accounting and Finance, Accounting and Finance Association of Australia and New Zealand, vol. 63(1), pages 507-536, March.
    3. Miranda-Agrippino, Silvia, 2016. "Unsurprising shocks: information, premia, and the monetary transmission," Bank of England working papers 626, Bank of England.
    4. R. Erasmus & H. Hollander, 2020. "A Forward Guidance Indicator For The South African Reserve Bank: Implementing A Text Analysis Algorithm," Studies in Economics and Econometrics, Taylor & Francis Journals, vol. 44(3), pages 41-72, December.
    5. Marco Di Maggio & Amir Kermani & Christopher Palmer, 2016. "How Quantitative Easing Works: Evidence on the Refinancing Channel," NBER Working Papers 22638, National Bureau of Economic Research, Inc.
    6. Jongrim Ha & Inhwan So, 2017. "Which Monetary Shocks Matter in Small Open Economies? Evidence from SVARs," Working Papers 2017-2, Economic Research Institute, Bank of Korea.
    7. Lakdawala, Aeimit, 2016. "Decomposing the Effects of Monetary Policy Using an External Instruments SVAR," MPRA Paper 78254, University Library of Munich, Germany.
    8. Chen, Zhengyang, 2019. "The Long-term Rate and Interest Rate Volatility in Monetary Policy Transmission," EconStor Preprints 204579, ZBW - Leibniz Information Centre for Economics.
    9. Dimitra Kontana & Stilianos Fountas, 2021. "Consumption, personal income, financial wealth, housing wealth, and long-term interest rates: A panel cointegration approach for 50 US states," Discussion Paper Series 2021_10, Department of Economics, University of Macedonia, revised Sep 2021.
    10. Jeffrey R. Campbell & Thomas B. King & Anna Orlik & Rebecca Zarutskie, 2020. "Issues Regarding the Use of the Policy Rate Tool," Finance and Economics Discussion Series 2020-070, Board of Governors of the Federal Reserve System (U.S.).
    11. Carlos Viana de Carvalho & EriC Hsu & Fernanda Necchio, 2016. "Measuring the Effect of the Zero Lower Bound on Monetary Policy," Textos para discussão 649, Department of Economics PUC-Rio (Brazil).
    12. Christophe Blot & Paul Hubert & Fabien Labondance, 2020. "The asymmetric effects of monetary policy on stock price bubbles," Documents de Travail de l'OFCE 2020-12, Observatoire Francais des Conjonctures Economiques (OFCE).
    13. Jung, Alexander & Uhlig, Harald, 2019. "Monetary policy shocks and the health of banks," Working Paper Series 2303, European Central Bank.
    14. Claus, Edda & Claus, Iris & Krippner, Leo, 2018. "Asset market responses to conventional and unconventional monetary policy shocks in the United States," Journal of Banking & Finance, Elsevier, vol. 97(C), pages 270-282.
    15. Mansur Abdurakhmanov, 2023. "Modelling the Effect of Bank of Russia Key Rate Forecasts on Market Participants' Expectations," Russian Journal of Money and Finance, Bank of Russia, vol. 82(2), pages 3-20, June.
    16. Deng, Minjie & Fang, Min, 2022. "Debt maturity heterogeneity and investment responses to monetary policy," European Economic Review, Elsevier, vol. 144(C).
    17. Palazzo, Berardino & Yamarthy, Ram, 2022. "Credit risk and the transmission of interest rate shocks," Journal of Monetary Economics, Elsevier, vol. 130(C), pages 120-136.
    18. Stefania D'Amico & Tim Seida, 2020. "Unexpected Supply Effects of Quantitative Easing and Tightening," Working Paper Series WP-2020-17, Federal Reserve Bank of Chicago.
    19. Kiyotaka Nakashima & Masahiko Shibamoto & Koji Takahashi, 2017. "Risk-Taking Channel of Unconventional Monetary Policies in Bank Lending," Discussion Paper Series DP2017-24, Research Institute for Economics & Business Administration, Kobe University, revised Apr 2019.
    20. Richhild Moessner & David-Jan Jansen & Jakob de Haan, 2017. "Communication About Future Policy Rates In Theory And Practice: A Survey," Journal of Economic Surveys, Wiley Blackwell, vol. 31(3), pages 678-711, July.
    21. Marcello Pericoli & Giovanni Veronese, 2017. "Monetary policy surprises over time," Temi di discussione (Economic working papers) 1102, Bank of Italy, Economic Research and International Relations Area.
    22. Sophocles N. Brissimis & Evangelia A. Georgiou, 2022. "The effects of Federal Reserve's quantitative easing and balance sheet normalization policies on long-term interest rates," Working Papers 299, Bank of Greece.
    23. Rongrong Sun, 2018. "Monetary Policy Announcements and Market Interest Rates Response: Evidence from China," CFDS Discussion Paper Series 2018/5, Center for Financial Development and Stability at Henan University, Kaifeng, Henan, China.
    24. Takaoka, Sumiko & Takahashi, Koji, 2018. "Differential effects of unconventional monetary policy on syndicated loan contracts," MPRA Paper 89342, University Library of Munich, Germany.
    25. Stephanos Papadamou & Νikolaos A. Kyriazis & Panayiotis G. Tzeremes, 2020. "US non-linear causal effects on global equity indices in Normal times versus unconventional eras," International Economics and Economic Policy, Springer, vol. 17(2), pages 381-407, May.
    26. Joseph E. Gagnon, 2016. "Quantitative Easing: An Underappreciated Success," Policy Briefs PB16-4, Peterson Institute for International Economics.
    27. Shogbuyi, Abiodun & Steeley, James M., 2017. "The effect of quantitative easing on the variance and covariance of the UK and US equity markets," International Review of Financial Analysis, Elsevier, vol. 52(C), pages 281-291.
    28. Julio Carrillo, 2017. "Inquiry on the Transmission of U.S. Aggregate Shocks to Mexico: A SVAR Approach," 2017 Meeting Papers 1509, Society for Economic Dynamics.
    29. Albert, Juan-Francisco & Peñalver, Antonio & Perez-Bernabeu, Alberto, 2020. "The effects of monetary policy on income and wealth inequality in the U.S. Exploring different channels," Structural Change and Economic Dynamics, Elsevier, vol. 55(C), pages 88-106.

  10. John G. Fernald & Mark M. Spiegel & Eric T. Swanson, 2014. "Monetary Policy Effectiveness in China: Evidence from a FAVAR Model," Working Paper Series 2014-7, Federal Reserve Bank of San Francisco.

    Cited by:

    1. Zheng Liu & Mark M. Spiegel & Andrew Tai, 2016. "Measuring the Effects of Dollar Appreciation on Asia: A Favar Approach," Working Paper Series 2016-30, Federal Reserve Bank of San Francisco.
    2. Ivan Roberts & Graham White, 2015. "Seasonal Adjustment of Chinese Economic Statistics," RBA Research Discussion Papers rdp2015-13, Reserve Bank of Australia.
    3. John Fernald, 2015. "Comment on "Trends and Cycles in China's Macroeconomy"," NBER Chapters, in: NBER Macroeconomics Annual 2015, Volume 30, pages 90-100, National Bureau of Economic Research, Inc.
    4. Ratti, Ronald A. & Vespignani, Joaquin L., 2015. "Commodity prices and BRIC and G3 liquidity: A SFAVEC approach," Journal of Banking & Finance, Elsevier, vol. 53(C), pages 18-33.
    5. Steven Wei Ho & Ji Zhang & Hao Zhou, 2018. "Hot Money and Quantitative Easing: The Spillover Effects of U.S. Monetary Policy on the Chinese Economy," Journal of Money, Credit and Banking, Blackwell Publishing, vol. 50(7), pages 1543-1569, October.
    6. Kuhelika De & Ryan A. Compton & Daniel C. Giedeman & Gary A. Hoover, 2021. "Macroeconomic shocks and racial labor market differences," Southern Economic Journal, John Wiley & Sons, vol. 88(2), pages 680-704, October.
    7. Kang, Wensheng & Ratti, Ronald A. & Vespignani, Joaquin L., 2016. "Chinese liquidity increases and the U.S. economy," Economic Modelling, Elsevier, vol. 52(PB), pages 764-771.
    8. Li, Weixue & Wang, Sipei & Cheung, Adrian (Wai Kong) & Xu, Changsheng, 2024. "Shadow banking, investment and interest rate transmission: Evidence from macroprudential policy in China," Economic Analysis and Policy, Elsevier, vol. 81(C), pages 115-133.
    9. Mansur, Alfan & Liu, Yichang & Zaman, Kazi Arif Uz, 2015. "Portfolio Shocks and the Dynamics of the Real Economy of Australia (1980-2014): A Structural Vector Autoregressive Model Approach," MPRA Paper 93992, University Library of Munich, Germany, revised 17 May 2015.
    10. Chen, Hongyi & Tillmann, Peter, 2021. "Monetary policy uncertainty in China," Journal of International Money and Finance, Elsevier, vol. 110(C).
    11. S. Gangadaran, 2017. "Inflation in India: Behavior of Major Components," Working Papers wp18, South East Asian Central Banks (SEACEN) Research and Training Centre.
    12. Arpita Chatterjee & Richa Saraf, 2017. "Impact of China on World Commodity Prices and Commodity Exporters," Discussion Papers 2017-13, School of Economics, The University of New South Wales.
    13. Jiang, Lunan & Chen, Yinghui & Zhang, Lin, 2024. "Monetary policy surprises and corporate investment growth in China," Economic Modelling, Elsevier, vol. 131(C).
    14. Michael Funke & Petar Mihaylovski & Haibin Zhu, 2015. "Monetary Policy Transmission in China: A DSGE Model with Parallel Shadow Banking and Interest Rate Control," Working Papers 122015, Hong Kong Institute for Monetary Research.
    15. Wu, Nan & Zhang, Zuopeng & Lin, Boqiang, 2024. "Responses of financial stress and monetary policy to global warming: Evidence from China," International Review of Financial Analysis, Elsevier, vol. 92(C).
    16. Guo, Shen & Jiang, Zheng & Shi, Huimin, 2018. "The business cycle implications of bank discrimination in China," Economic Modelling, Elsevier, vol. 73(C), pages 264-278.
    17. Yifan Chen & Jianhua Gang & Zongxin Qian & Jinfan Zhang, 2023. "Rationality test in the housing market: Project‐level evidence from China," Journal of Regional Science, Wiley Blackwell, vol. 63(3), pages 583-616, June.
    18. Huang, Yiping & Li, Xiang & Qiu, Han & Yu, Changhua, 2023. "BigTech credit and monetary policy transmission: Micro-level evidence from China," BOFIT Discussion Papers 2/2023, Bank of Finland Institute for Emerging Economies (BOFIT).
    19. Funke, Michael & Tsang, Andrew, 2019. "The direction and intensity of China's monetary policy conduct: A dynamic factor modelling approach," BOFIT Discussion Papers 8/2019, Bank of Finland Institute for Emerging Economies (BOFIT).
    20. Zhaosu MENG & Wei WEI & Xiaotong LIU & Kedong YIN, 2018. "The Influence of International Capital Flow on the Effectiveness of Chinese Monetary Policy," Journal for Economic Forecasting, Institute for Economic Forecasting, vol. 0(4), pages 21-40, December.
    21. Han, Qian & Song, Zhaogang & Yuan, Yufei & Zhao, Yuanhang, 2023. "Monetary transmission and government investment in China," China Economic Review, Elsevier, vol. 82(C).
    22. Chen, Hongyi & Li, Ran & Tillmann, Peter, 2019. "Pushing on a string: State-owned enterprises and monetary policy transmission in China," China Economic Review, Elsevier, vol. 54(C), pages 26-40.
    23. Yin, Hong & Chang, Long & Wang, Shu, 2023. "The impact of China's economic uncertainty on commodity and financial markets," Resources Policy, Elsevier, vol. 84(C).
    24. Sara Hsu, 2016. "China's Banking Sector as the Foundation of Financial Reform," Asia and the Pacific Policy Studies, Wiley Blackwell, vol. 3(2), pages 244-248, May.
    25. Zuzana Fungacova & Riikka Nuutilainen & Laurent Weill, "undated". "Reserve requirements and the bank lending channel in China," GRU Working Paper Series GRU_2016_008, City University of Hong Kong, Department of Economics and Finance, Global Research Unit.
    26. Kaiji Chen & Patrick Higgins & Daniel F. Waggoner & Tao Zha, 2016. "Impacts of Monetary Stimulus on Credit Allocation and the Macroeconomy: Evidence from China," NBER Working Papers 22650, National Bureau of Economic Research, Inc.
    27. Lai, Jennifer & Chen, Hongyi & McNelis, Paul D., 2020. "Macroeconomic adjustment with managed exchange rates and capital controls: Some lessons from China," Economic Modelling, Elsevier, vol. 91(C), pages 759-768.
    28. Alistair Dieppe & Bjorn van Roye & Paolo. Bonomolo, 2017. "Re-assessing Monetary Policy Shocks in China," EcoMod2017 10524, EcoMod.
    29. Chen, Kaiji & Higgins, Patrick & Zha, Tao, 2024. "Constructing quarterly Chinese time series usable for macroeconomic analysis," Journal of International Money and Finance, Elsevier, vol. 143(C).
    30. Higgins, Patrick & Zha, Tao & Zhong, Wenna, 2016. "Forecasting China's economic growth and inflation," China Economic Review, Elsevier, vol. 41(C), pages 46-61.
    31. Yujia, Li & Zixiang, Zhu & Ming, Che, 2024. "Exploring the relationship between China's economic policy uncertainty and business cycles: Exogenous impulse or endogenous responses?," Emerging Markets Review, Elsevier, vol. 58(C).
    32. Fu, Buben & Wang, Bin, 2020. "The transition of China's monetary policy regime: Before and after the four trillion RMB stimulus," Economic Modelling, Elsevier, vol. 89(C), pages 273-303.
    33. Tao Zha & Kaiji Chen, 2017. "The Asymmetric Transmission of China's Monetary Policy," 2017 Meeting Papers 516, Society for Economic Dynamics.
    34. Bradley Jones & Joel Bowman, 2019. "China's Evolving Monetary Policy Framework in International Context," RBA Research Discussion Papers rdp2019-11, Reserve Bank of Australia.
    35. Chong, Terence Tai Leung & Li, Chen, 2020. "Search of Attention in Financial Market," MPRA Paper 99003, University Library of Munich, Germany.
    36. Stefan Angrick & Naoyuki Yoshino, 2020. "From Window Guidance to Interbank Rates: Tracing the Transition of Monetary Policy in Japan and China," International Journal of Central Banking, International Journal of Central Banking, vol. 16(3), pages 279-316, June.
    37. Serdar Varlik & M. Hakan Berument, 2020. "Monetary policy under a multiple‐tool environment," Bulletin of Economic Research, Wiley Blackwell, vol. 72(3), pages 225-250, July.
    38. Li, Huan & Ni, Jinlan & Xu, Yueli & Zhan, Minghua, 2021. "Monetary policy and its transmission channels: Evidence from China," Pacific-Basin Finance Journal, Elsevier, vol. 68(C).
    39. Soyoung Kim & Hongyi Chen, 2022. "From a Quantity to an Interest Rate‐Based Framework: Multiple Monetary Policy Instruments and Their Effects in China," Journal of Money, Credit and Banking, Blackwell Publishing, vol. 54(7), pages 2103-2123, October.
    40. Yemba, Boniface & Kitenge, Erick & Tang, Biyan & Gaekwad, Neepa B., 2024. "Monetary policy in China: A Factor Augmented VAR approach," International Review of Economics & Finance, Elsevier, vol. 89(PA), pages 975-1008.
    41. Domenico Lombardi & Pierre L. Siklos & Xiangyou Xie, 2018. "Monetary policy transmission in systemically important economies and China’s impact," CAMA Working Papers 2018-50, Centre for Applied Macroeconomic Analysis, Crawford School of Public Policy, The Australian National University.
    42. Mark M. Spiegel & Andrew Tai, 2017. "International Transmission of Japanese Monetary Shocks Under Low and Negative Interest Rates: A Global Favar Approach," Working Paper Series 2017-8, Federal Reserve Bank of San Francisco.
    43. Cheng, Xiaoqiang & Wang, Yabin, 2022. "Shadow banking and the bank lending channel of monetary policy in China," Journal of International Money and Finance, Elsevier, vol. 128(C).
    44. Mohamed BELHEDI & Ines SLAMA & Amine LAHIANI, 2015. "Tranmission Of International Shocks To An Emerging Small Open-Economy: Evidence From Tunisia," Region et Developpement, Region et Developpement, LEAD, Universite du Sud - Toulon Var, vol. 42, pages 231-258.
    45. Jianhao Lin & Jiacheng Fan & Yifan Zhang & Liangyuan Chen, 2023. "Real‐time macroeconomic projection using narrative central bank communication," Journal of Applied Econometrics, John Wiley & Sons, Ltd., vol. 38(2), pages 202-221, March.
    46. Liu, Ping & James Hueng, C., 2017. "Measuring real business condition in China," China Economic Review, Elsevier, vol. 46(C), pages 261-274.
    47. Li, Li & Tang, Yao & Xiang, Jingjie, 2020. "Measuring China's monetary policy uncertainty and its impact on the real economy," Emerging Markets Review, Elsevier, vol. 44(C).
    48. Kido, Yosuke, 2018. "The transmission of US economic policy uncertainty shocks to Asian and global financial markets," The North American Journal of Economics and Finance, Elsevier, vol. 46(C), pages 222-231.
    49. Das, Sonali & Song, Wenting, 2023. "Monetary policy transmission and policy coordination in China," China Economic Review, Elsevier, vol. 82(C).
    50. Kang, Wensheng & Ratti, Ronald A. & Vespignani, Joaquin L., 2014. "Liquidity expansion in China and the U.S. economy," MPRA Paper 59338, University Library of Munich, Germany.
    51. Hongyi Chen & Kenneth ChowAuthor-Workplace-Name: Hong Kong Monetary Authority & Peter Tillmann, 2016. "The Effectiveness of Monetary Policy in China: Evidence from a Qual VAR," Working Papers 062016, Hong Kong Institute for Monetary Research.
    52. Hongyi Chen & Andrew Tsang, 2016. "The Impact of US Monetary Policy and Other External Shocks on the Hong Kong Economy: A Factor-augmented VAR Approach," Working Papers 092016, Hong Kong Institute for Monetary Research.
    53. Chunni Wang, 2020. "Can RMB Exchange Rate Expectations Explain the Fluctuations of China’s Housing Prices?," Journal of Applied Finance & Banking, SCIENPRESS Ltd, vol. 10(5), pages 1-12.
    54. Jingya Li & Ming-Hua Liu, 2019. "Interest rate liberalization and pass-through of monetary policy rate to bank lending rates in China," Frontiers of Business Research in China, Springer, vol. 13(1), pages 1-19, December.
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    56. Thomas, Lina, 2023. "The tale of two titans: US and China's distinct impact on the global economy," Finance Research Letters, Elsevier, vol. 58(PC).
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    58. Huang, Zhuo & Tong, Chen & Qiu, Han & Shen, Yan, 2018. "The spillover of macroeconomic uncertainty between the U.S. and China," Economics Letters, Elsevier, vol. 171(C), pages 123-127.
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    61. Nektarios Michail & Christos Savva & Demetris Koursaros, 2018. "Effects of fiscal consolidation on business confidence in the Euro Area," Economics and Business Letters, Oviedo University Press, vol. 7(2), pages 76-83.
    62. Lin, Chaoying & He, Lerong, 2020. "Targeted monetary policy and agriculture business loans," The North American Journal of Economics and Finance, Elsevier, vol. 54(C).
    63. Tommaso Gabrieli & Keith Pilbeam & Bingxi Shi, 2018. "The impact of shadow banking on the implementation of Chinese monetary policy," International Economics and Economic Policy, Springer, vol. 15(2), pages 429-447, April.
    64. Pang, Ke & Siklos, Pierre L., 2015. "Macroeconomic consequences of the real-financial nexus: Imbalances and spillovers between China and the U.S," BOFIT Discussion Papers 2/2015, Bank of Finland Institute for Emerging Economies (BOFIT).
    65. Kuhelika De & Ryan A. Compton & Daniel C. Giedeman & Gary A. Hoover, 2019. "Macroeconomic Shocks and Racial Labour Market Differences in the U.S," CESifo Working Paper Series 8004, CESifo.
    66. Liu, Zixi, 2024. "Chinese monetary policy spillovers on its international portfolio investment flows," Journal of International Money and Finance, Elsevier, vol. 141(C).
    67. Belke, Ansgar & Osowski, Thomas, 2017. "International effects of euro area versus US policy uncertainty: A FAVAR approach," Ruhr Economic Papers 689, RWI - Leibniz-Institut für Wirtschaftsforschung, Ruhr-University Bochum, TU Dortmund University, University of Duisburg-Essen.
    68. De, Kuhelika & Sun, Wei, 2020. "Is the exchange rate a shock absorber or a source of shocks? Evidence from the U.S," Economic Modelling, Elsevier, vol. 89(C), pages 1-9.
    69. Zied Ftiti & Duc Khuong Nguyen & Khaled Guesmi & Frédéric Teulon, 2014. "Modelling Inflation Shifts and Persistence in Tunisia: Perspective from an Evolutionary spectral approach," Working Papers 2014-124, Department of Research, Ipag Business School.
    70. John G. Fernald & Eric Hsu & Mark M. Spiegel, 2014. "Has China’s economy become more “standard”?," FRBSF Economic Letter, Federal Reserve Bank of San Francisco.
    71. Uğur Akkoç & Anıl Akçağlayan & Gamze Kargın Akkoç, 2021. "The impacts of oil price shocks in Turkey: sectoral evidence from the FAVAR approach," Economic Change and Restructuring, Springer, vol. 54(4), pages 1147-1171, November.
    72. Adebayo Augustine Kutu & Ntokozo Patrick Nzimande & Simiso Msomi, 2017. "Effectiveness of Monetary Policy and the Growth of Industrial Sector in China," Journal of Economics and Behavioral Studies, AMH International, vol. 9(3), pages 46-59.
    73. Hongyi Chen & Michael Funke & Ivan Lozev & Andrew Tsang, 2020. "To Guide or Not to Guide? Quantitative Monetary Policy Tools and Macroeconomic Dynamics in China," International Journal of Central Banking, International Journal of Central Banking, vol. 16(5), pages 49-94, October.
    74. Fang, Liting & He, Lerong & Huang, Zhigang, 2019. "Asymmetric effects of monetary policy on firm scale in China: A quantile regression approach," Emerging Markets Review, Elsevier, vol. 38(C), pages 35-50.
    75. Tan, Ying & Sha, Wenbiao & Paudel, Krishna, 2017. "The Impact of Monetary Policy on Agricultural Price Index in China: A FAVAR Approach," 2017 Annual Meeting, February 4-7, 2017, Mobile, Alabama 252676, Southern Agricultural Economics Association.
    76. Min, Feng & Wen, Fenghua & Wang, Xiong, 2022. "Measuring the effects of monetary and fiscal policy shocks on domestic investment in China," International Review of Economics & Finance, Elsevier, vol. 77(C), pages 395-412.
    77. Michael Funke & Andrew Tsang, 2021. "The Direction and Intensity of China’s Monetary Policy: A Dynamic Factor Modelling Approach," The Economic Record, The Economic Society of Australia, vol. 97(316), pages 100-122, March.
    78. Junli Cheng & Feng Lin, 2022. "The Dynamic Effects of Urban–Rural Income Inequality on Sustainable Economic Growth under Urbanization and Monetary Policy in China," Sustainability, MDPI, vol. 14(11), pages 1-23, June.
    79. Lin Liu, 2022. "Economic Uncertainty and Exchange Market Pressure: Evidence From China," SAGE Open, , vol. 12(1), pages 21582440211, January.
    80. Long, Shaobo & Zuo, Yulan & Tian, Hao, 2023. "Asymmetries in multi-target monetary policy rule and the role of uncertainty: Evidence from China," Economic Analysis and Policy, Elsevier, vol. 80(C), pages 278-296.
    81. Fu, Liang & Ho, Chun-Yu, 2022. "Monetary policy surprises and interest rates under China's evolving monetary policy framework," Emerging Markets Review, Elsevier, vol. 52(C).
    82. srithilat, khaysy & Sun, Gang, 2017. "The Impact of Monetary Policy on Economic Development: Evidence from Lao PDR," MPRA Paper 79369, University Library of Munich, Germany, revised 27 Apr 2017.
    83. Chen, Yong & Liu, Dingming & Zhuang, Ziguan, 2023. "The spillover effects of China's monetary policy shock: Evidence from B&R countries," Emerging Markets Review, Elsevier, vol. 55(C).
    84. Xinze Li & Luojia Wang & Kerui Du, 2023. "How do environmental regulations influence resource misallocation in China? The role of investment flows," Business Strategy and the Environment, Wiley Blackwell, vol. 32(1), pages 538-550, January.
    85. Lu, Dong & Tang, Huoqing & Zhang, Chengsi, 2023. "China's monetary policy surprises and corporate real investment," China Economic Review, Elsevier, vol. 77(C).
    86. Steven Wei Ho & Ji Zhang & Hao Zhou, 2014. "Hot money and quantitative easing: the spillover effect of U.S. monetary policy on Chinese housing, equity and loan markets," Globalization Institute Working Papers 211, Federal Reserve Bank of Dallas.
    87. Max Breitenlechner & Riikka Nuutilainen, 2023. "China’s Monetary Policy and the Loan Market: How Strong is the Credit Channel in China?," Open Economies Review, Springer, vol. 34(3), pages 555-577, July.
    88. Xu, Qinhua & Fu, Buben & Wang, Bin, 2022. "The effects of oil price uncertainty on China’s economy," Energy Economics, Elsevier, vol. 107(C).
    89. Qin Zhang & He Ni & Hao Xu, 2023. "Forecasting models for the Chinese macroeconomy in a data‐rich environment: Evidence from large dimensional approximate factor models with mixed‐frequency data," Accounting and Finance, Accounting and Finance Association of Australia and New Zealand, vol. 63(1), pages 719-767, March.
    90. Makram El-Shagi & Lunan Jiang, 2023. "How the PBoC´s new MLF affects the yield curve," CFDS Discussion Paper Series 2023/1, Center for Financial Development and Stability at Henan University, Kaifeng, Henan, China.
    91. Liu, Ding & Sun, Weihong & Chang, Long, 2021. "Monetary–fiscal policy regime and macroeconomic dynamics in China," Economic Modelling, Elsevier, vol. 95(C), pages 121-135.
    92. Lin Liu, 2021. "U.S. Economic Uncertainty Shocks and China’s Economic Activities: A Time-Varying Perspective," SAGE Open, , vol. 11(3), pages 21582440211, July.
    93. Breitenlechner, Max & Nuutilainen, Riikka, 2019. "China's monetary policy and the loan market: How strong is the credit channel in China?," BOFIT Discussion Papers 15/2019, Bank of Finland Institute for Emerging Economies (BOFIT).
    94. Anastasios Evgenidis & Dionisis Philippas & Costas Siriopoulos, 2019. "Heterogeneous effects in the international transmission of the US monetary policy: a factor-augmented VAR perspective," Empirical Economics, Springer, vol. 56(5), pages 1549-1579, May.

  11. Eric T. Swanson & John C. Williams, 2013. "Measuring the Effect of the Zero Lower Bound on Yields and Exchange Rates in the U.K. and Germany," Working Paper Series 2013-21, Federal Reserve Bank of San Francisco.

    Cited by:

    1. Nasir, Muhammad Ali, 2021. "Zero Lower Bound and negative interest rates: Choices for monetary policy in the UK," Journal of Policy Modeling, Elsevier, vol. 43(1), pages 200-229.
    2. Marcio Garcia & Marcelo Medeiros & Francisco Eduardo de Luna e Almeida Santos, 2014. "The impact of macroeconomic announcements in the Brazilian futures markets," Textos para discussão 623, Department of Economics PUC-Rio (Brazil).
    3. George A. Kahn & Lisa Taylor, 2014. "Evolving market perceptions of Federal Reserve policy objectives," Economic Review, Federal Reserve Bank of Kansas City, issue Q I, pages 5-64.
    4. Caruso, Alberto, 2019. "Macroeconomic news and market reaction: Surprise indexes meet nowcasting," International Journal of Forecasting, Elsevier, vol. 35(4), pages 1725-1734.
    5. Ben Omrane, Walid & Savaşer, Tanseli, 2017. "Exchange rate volatility response to macroeconomic news during the global financial crisis," International Review of Financial Analysis, Elsevier, vol. 52(C), pages 130-143.
    6. Haberis, Alex & Masolo, Riccardo & Reinold, Kate, 2016. "Deflation probability and the scope for monetary loosening in the United Kingdom," Bank of England working papers 627, Bank of England.
    7. Mykola Pinchuk, 2022. "Monetary Uncertainty as a Determinant of the Response of Stock Market to Macroeconomic News," Papers 2212.04525, arXiv.org.
    8. Linda S. Goldberg & Dr. Christian Grisse, 2013. "Time variation in asset price responses to macro announcements," Working Papers 2013-11, Swiss National Bank.
    9. Domenico Lombardi & Pierre L. Siklos & Samantha St. Amand, 2019. "Government Bond Yields At The Effective Lower Bound: International Evidence," Contemporary Economic Policy, Western Economic Association International, vol. 37(1), pages 102-120, January.
    10. Alberto Caruso, 2016. "The Impact of Macroeconomic News on the Euro-Dollar Exchange Rate," Working Papers ECARES ECARES 2016-32, ULB -- Universite Libre de Bruxelles.
    11. Santos, Francisco Luna & Garcia, Márcio Gomes Pinto & Medeiros, Marcelo Cunha, 2016. "The High Frequency Impact of Macroeconomic Announcements in the Brazilian Futures Markets," Brazilian Review of Econometrics, Sociedade Brasileira de Econometria - SBE, vol. 36(2), November.

  12. Eric T. Swanson, 2013. "Implications of Labor Market Frictions for Risk Aversion and Risk Premia," Working Paper Series 2013-30, Federal Reserve Bank of San Francisco.

    Cited by:

    1. Kangoh Lee, 2021. "Labor market frictions, capital, taxes and employment," International Tax and Public Finance, Springer;International Institute of Public Finance, vol. 28(6), pages 1329-1359, December.
    2. Lea Steininger & Jan Philipp Fritsche, 2022. "The Labor Share is a Catalyst for Monetary Policy - Two Million Firms' Production Dynamics," Department of Economics Working Papers wuwp326, Vienna University of Economics and Business, Department of Economics.
    3. Jan Philipp Fritsche & Lea Steininger, 2021. "Zooming in on Monetary Policy - The Labor Share and Production Dynamics of Two Million Firms," Discussion Papers of DIW Berlin 1967, DIW Berlin, German Institute for Economic Research.

  13. Eric T. Swanson, 2012. "Risk aversion, risk premia, and the labor margin with generalized recursive preferences," Working Paper Series 2012-17, Federal Reserve Bank of San Francisco.

    Cited by:

    1. Caggiano, Giovanni & Castelnuovo, Efrem & Pellegrino, Giovanni, 2021. "Uncertainty shocks and the great recession: Nonlinearities matter," Economics Letters, Elsevier, vol. 198(C).
    2. Li, Erica X.N. & Palomino, Francisco, 2014. "Nominal rigidities, asset returns, and monetary policy," Journal of Monetary Economics, Elsevier, vol. 66(C), pages 210-225.
    3. Moritz Kuhn & Sebastian Koehne, 2012. "Should unemployment insurance be asset-tested?," 2012 Meeting Papers 850, Society for Economic Dynamics.
    4. Kliem, Martin & Meyer-Gohde, Alexander, 2017. "(Un)expected Monetary Policy Shocks and Term Premia," SFB 649 Discussion Papers 2017-015, Humboldt University Berlin, Collaborative Research Center 649: Economic Risk.
    5. Curran, Michael & Dressler, Scott J., 2020. "Preferences, inflation, and welfare," European Economic Review, Elsevier, vol. 130(C).
    6. Iania, Leonardo & Tretiakov, Pavel & Wouters, Rafael, 2023. "The risk premium in New Keynesian DSGE models: The cost of inflation channel," LIDAM Reprints LFIN 2023013, Université catholique de Louvain, Louvain Finance (LFIN).
    7. Martin M. Andreasen & Giovanni Caggiano & Efrem Castelnuovo & Giovanni Pellegrino, 2021. "Why Does Risk Matter More in Recessions than in Expansions?," "Marco Fanno" Working Papers 0275, Dipartimento di Scienze Economiche "Marco Fanno".
    8. Andreasen, Martin M. & Jørgensen, Kasper, 2020. "The Importance of Timing Attitudes in Consumption-Based Asset Pricing Models," Journal of Monetary Economics, Elsevier, vol. 111(C), pages 95-117.
    9. Püschel, Veronika & Kindermann, Fabian, 2023. "Progressive Pensions as an Incentive for Labor Force Participation," VfS Annual Conference 2023 (Regensburg): Growth and the "sociale Frage" 277643, Verein für Socialpolitik / German Economic Association.
    10. Dunbar, Kwamie & Owusu-Amoako, Johnson, 2021. "The impact of hedging on risk-averse agents’ output decisions," Economic Modelling, Elsevier, vol. 104(C).
    11. Alex Ilek & Irit Rozenshtrom, 2017. "The Term Premium in a Small Open Economy: A Micro-Founded Approach," Bank of Israel Working Papers 2017.06, Bank of Israel.
    12. Meyer-Gohde, Alexander, 2017. "Generalized Entropy and Model Uncertainty," SFB 649 Discussion Papers 2017-017, Humboldt University Berlin, Collaborative Research Center 649: Economic Risk.
    13. Martin M. Andreasen, 2021. "The New Keynesian Model and Bond Yields," CREATES Research Papers 2021-01, Department of Economics and Business Economics, Aarhus University.
    14. Anastasios Karantounias, 2019. "A dynamic theory of the excess burden of taxation," 2019 Meeting Papers 1356, Society for Economic Dynamics.
    15. Eric Swanson, 2013. "Implications of Labor Market Frictions for Risk Aversion and Risk Premia," 2013 Meeting Papers 1137, Society for Economic Dynamics.
    16. Lorenzo Bretscher & Alex Hsu & Andrea Tamoni, 2019. "Response of the Macroeconomy to Uncertainty Shocks:the Risk Premium Channel," 2019 Meeting Papers 1567, Society for Economic Dynamics.
    17. Coenen, Günter & Montes-Galdón, Carlos & Saint Guilhem, Arthur & Hutchinson, John & Motto, Roberto, 2022. "Rate forward guidance in an environment of large central bank balance sheets: a Eurosystem stock-taking assessment," Occasional Paper Series 290, European Central Bank.
    18. Hiroatsu Tanaka, 2022. "Equilibrium Yield Curves with Imperfect Information," Finance and Economics Discussion Series 2022-086, Board of Governors of the Federal Reserve System (U.S.).
    19. Babiak, Mykola & Kozhan, Roman, 2024. "Parameter learning in production economies," Journal of Monetary Economics, Elsevier, vol. 144(C).
    20. Martin M Andreasen & Jesús Fernández-Villaverde & Juan F Rubio-Ramírez, 2018. "The Pruned State-Space System for Non-Linear DSGE Models: Theory and Empirical Applications," The Review of Economic Studies, Review of Economic Studies Ltd, vol. 85(1), pages 1-49.
    21. Hening Liu & Yuzhao Zhang, 2022. "Financial Uncertainty with Ambiguity and Learning," Management Science, INFORMS, vol. 68(3), pages 2120-2140, March.
    22. Pierlauro Lopez & J. David López-Salido & Francisco Vazquez-Grande, 2023. "Nominal Rigidities and the Term Structures of Equity and Bond Returns," Working Papers 23-11, Federal Reserve Bank of Cleveland.
    23. Zhang, Chu & Zhao, Shen, 2023. "The macroeconomic announcement premium and information environment," Journal of Monetary Economics, Elsevier, vol. 139(C), pages 55-73.
    24. Anthony M. Diercks, 2015. "The Equity Premium, Long-Run Risk, & Optimal Monetary Policy," Finance and Economics Discussion Series 2015-87, Board of Governors of the Federal Reserve System (U.S.).
    25. Poonpolkul, Phitawat, 2023. "Age-dependent risk aversion: Re-evaluating fiscal policy impacts of population aging," The Journal of the Economics of Ageing, Elsevier, vol. 26(C).
    26. Vadim Elenev & Tim Landvoigt & Patrick J. Shultz & Stijn Van Nieuwerburgh, 2021. "Can Monetary Policy Create Fiscal Capacity?," NBER Working Papers 29129, National Bureau of Economic Research, Inc.
    27. Gianni Amisano & Oreste Tristani, 2019. "Uncertainty Shocks, Monetary Policy and Long-Term Interest Rates," Finance and Economics Discussion Series 2019-024, Board of Governors of the Federal Reserve System (U.S.).
    28. Andreasen, Martin M. & Caggiano, Giovanni & Castelnuovo, Efrem & Pellegrino, Giovanni, 2024. "Does risk matter more in recessions than in expansions? Implications for monetary policy," Journal of Monetary Economics, Elsevier, vol. 143(C).
    29. Michael Patrick Curran & Scott J. Dressler, 2019. "Preference Heterogeneity, Inflation, and Welfare," Villanova School of Business Department of Economics and Statistics Working Paper Series 40, Villanova School of Business Department of Economics and Statistics.
    30. Burkhard Heer & Alfred Maußner & Halvor Ruf, 2017. "Q-Targeting in New Keynesian Models," Journal of Business Cycle Research, Springer;Centre for International Research on Economic Tendency Surveys (CIRET), vol. 13(2), pages 189-224, November.
    31. Johnson Kakeu, 2023. "Concerns for Long-Run Risks and Natural Resource Policy," Environmental & Resource Economics, Springer;European Association of Environmental and Resource Economists, vol. 84(4), pages 1051-1093, April.
    32. Huh, Sungjun & Kim, Insu, 2021. "Real estate and relative risk aversion with generalized recursive preferences," Journal of Macroeconomics, Elsevier, vol. 68(C).
    33. Bretscher, Lorenzo & Malkhozov, Aytek & Tamoni, Andrea, 2021. "Expectations and aggregate risk," Journal of Monetary Economics, Elsevier, vol. 123(C), pages 91-108.
    34. Gianni Amisano & Oreste Tristani, 2023. "Monetary policy and long‐term interest rates," Quantitative Economics, Econometric Society, vol. 14(2), pages 689-716, May.
    35. Balke, Nathan S. & Martínez-García, Enrique & Zeng, Zheng, 2021. "In no uncertain terms: The effect of uncertainty on credit frictions and monetary policy," Economic Modelling, Elsevier, vol. 100(C).
    36. Lorenzo Bretscher & Alex Hsu & Andrea Tamoni, 2023. "The Real Response to Uncertainty Shocks: The Risk Premium Channel," Management Science, INFORMS, vol. 69(1), pages 119-140, January.
    37. Phitawat Poonpolkul, 2023. "Age-Dependent Risk Aversion: Re-evaluating Fiscal Policy Impacts of Population Aging," PIER Discussion Papers 198, Puey Ungphakorn Institute for Economic Research.
    38. Pecoraro, Brandon, 2017. "Why don't voters ‘put the Gini back in the bottle'? Inequality and economic preferences for redistribution," European Economic Review, Elsevier, vol. 93(C), pages 152-172.
    39. Martin M. Andreasen, 2019. "Explaining Bond Return Predictability in an Estimated New Keynesian Model," CREATES Research Papers 2019-11, Department of Economics and Business Economics, Aarhus University.

  14. Eric T. Swanson & John C. Williams, 2012. "Measuring the effect of the zero lower bound on medium- and longer-term interest rates," Working Paper Series 2012-02, Federal Reserve Bank of San Francisco.

    Cited by:

    1. Tadle, Raul Cruz, 2022. "FOMC minutes sentiments and their impact on financial markets," Journal of Economics and Business, Elsevier, vol. 118(C).
    2. Garga, Vaishali & Singh, Sanjay R., 2021. "Output hysteresis and optimal monetary policy," Journal of Monetary Economics, Elsevier, vol. 117(C), pages 871-886.
    3. Choi, Sangyup & Shin, Junhyeok & Yoo, Seung Yong, 2022. "Are government spending shocks inflationary at the zero lower bound? New evidence from daily data," Journal of Economic Dynamics and Control, Elsevier, vol. 139(C).
    4. Schmeling, Maik & Schrimpf, Paul & Kroencke, Tim, 2019. "The FOMC Risk Shift," CEPR Discussion Papers 14037, C.E.P.R. Discussion Papers.
    5. Kurt Graden Lunsford, 2018. "Understanding the Aspects of Federal Reserve Forward Guidance," Working Papers (Old Series) 1815, Federal Reserve Bank of Cleveland.
    6. Michael D. Bauer & Eric T. Swanson, 2022. "A Reassessment of Monetary Policy Surprises and High-Frequency Identification," NBER Chapters, in: NBER Macroeconomics Annual 2022, volume 37, pages 87-155, National Bureau of Economic Research, Inc.
    7. Schrimpf, Paul & Kearns, Jonathan & Ferrari, Massimo, 2017. "Monetary policy's rising FX impact in the era of ultra-low rates," CEPR Discussion Papers 11918, C.E.P.R. Discussion Papers.
    8. Gu, Chen & Kurov, Alexander & Wolfe, Marketa Halova, 2018. "Relief Rallies after FOMC Announcements as a Resolution of Uncertainty," Journal of Empirical Finance, Elsevier, vol. 49(C), pages 1-18.
    9. Michael D. Bauer & Carolin Pflueger & Adi Sunderam, 2023. "Perceptions about Monetary Policy," Working Paper Series 2023-31, Federal Reserve Bank of San Francisco.
    10. Thomas B. King, 2016. "Expectation and Duration at the Effective Lower Bound," Working Paper Series WP-2016-21, Federal Reserve Bank of Chicago.
    11. Bernard Dumas & Marcel R. Savioz, 2020. "A theory of the nominal character of stock securities," Working Papers 2020-03, Swiss National Bank.
    12. Tzuo Hann Law & Dongho Song & Amir Yaron, 2017. "Fearing the Fed: How Wall Street Reads Main Street," 2017 Meeting Papers 1632, Society for Economic Dynamics.
    13. William T. Gavin & Benjamin D. Keen & Alexander W. Richter & Nathaniel A. Throckmorton, 2013. "The stimulative effect of forward guidance," Working Papers 2013-38, Federal Reserve Bank of St. Louis.
    14. Martin Eichenbaum & Sergio Rebelo & Arlene Wong, 2022. "State-Dependent Effects of Monetary Policy: The Refinancing Channel," American Economic Review, American Economic Association, vol. 112(3), pages 721-761, March.
    15. Caballero, Ricardo & Simsek, Alp, 2022. "Monetary Policy and Asset Price Overshooting: A Rationale for the Wall/Main Street Disconnect," CEPR Discussion Papers 15163, C.E.P.R. Discussion Papers.
    16. William Chen & Marco Del Negro & Michele Lenza & Giorgio E. Primiceri & Andrea Tambalotti, 2020. "What’s Up with the Phillips Curve?," Liberty Street Economics 20200918a, Federal Reserve Bank of New York.
    17. Callum Jones & Mariano Kulish & Daniel M. Rees, 2018. "International Spillovers of Forward Guidance Shocks," IMF Working Papers 2018/114, International Monetary Fund.
    18. John C. Williams, 2013. "The economy and monetary policy: follow the demand," Speech 116, Federal Reserve Bank of San Francisco.
    19. Sophocles Mavroeidis, 2021. "Identification at the Zero Lower Bound," Econometrica, Econometric Society, vol. 89(6), pages 2855-2885, November.
    20. Eric T. Swanson, 2018. "The Federal Reserve Is Not Very Constrained by the Lower Bound on Nominal Interest Rates," Brookings Papers on Economic Activity, Economic Studies Program, The Brookings Institution, vol. 49(2 (Fall)), pages 555-572.
    21. Ethan Struby & Michael F. Connolly, 2022. "Shadow Rate Models and Monetary Policy," Working Papers 2022-03, Carleton College, Department of Economics.
    22. Eric T. Swanson, 2013. "The zero lower bound and longer-term yields," FRBSF Economic Letter, Federal Reserve Bank of San Francisco, issue sept30.
    23. Czech, Robert & Huang, Shiyang & Lou, Dong & Wang, Tianyu, 2021. "Informed trading in government bond markets," LSE Research Online Documents on Economics 118857, London School of Economics and Political Science, LSE Library.
    24. Nathan Foley-Fisher & Rodney Ramcharan & Edison Yu, 2015. "The impact of unconventional monetary policy on firm financing constraints: evidence from the maturity extension program," Working Papers 15-30, Federal Reserve Bank of Philadelphia.
    25. Assefa, Tibebe A. & Esqueda, Omar A. & Mollick, André Varella, 2017. "Stock returns and interest rates around the World: A panel data approach," Journal of Economics and Business, Elsevier, vol. 89(C), pages 20-35.
    26. Janet L. Yellen, 2013. "Challenges Confronting Monetary Policy : a speech at the 2013 National Association for Business Economics Policy Conference, Washington, D.C., March 4, 2013," Speech 628, Board of Governors of the Federal Reserve System (U.S.).
    27. Laura Coroneo & Sergio Pastorello, 2017. "European spreads at the interest rate lower bound," Discussion Papers 17/10, Department of Economics, University of York.
    28. Philippe Andrade & Gaetano Gaballo & Eric Mengus & Benoît Mojon, 2019. "Forward Guidance and Heterogeneous Beliefs," American Economic Journal: Macroeconomics, American Economic Association, vol. 11(3), pages 1-29, July.
    29. Goliński, Adam, 2021. "Monetary policy at the zero lower bound: Information in the Federal Reserve’s balance sheet," European Economic Review, Elsevier, vol. 131(C).
    30. Lloyd, Simon & Ostry, Daniel, 2024. "The asymmetric effects of quantitative tightening and easing on financial markets," Economics Letters, Elsevier, vol. 238(C).
    31. Cai, Zongwu & Juhl, Ted, 2023. "The distribution of rolling regression estimators," Journal of Econometrics, Elsevier, vol. 235(2), pages 1447-1463.
    32. Woodford, Michael, 2013. "Forward Guidance by Inflation-Targeting Central Banks," CEPR Discussion Papers 9722, C.E.P.R. Discussion Papers.
    33. Michael J. Boskin, 2020. "Are Large Deficits and Debt Dangerous?," AEA Papers and Proceedings, American Economic Association, vol. 110, pages 145-148, May.
    34. Zhang, Mi & Sensoy, Ahmet & Cheng, Feiyang & Zhao, Xuankai, 2022. "Three channels of monetary policy international transmission: Identifying spillover effects from the US to China," Research in International Business and Finance, Elsevier, vol. 61(C).
    35. Juan Angel Garcia & Sebastian Werner, 2018. "Inflation News and Euro Area Inflation Expectations," IMF Working Papers 2018/167, International Monetary Fund.
    36. Giovanni Caggiano & Efrem Castelnuovo & Olivier Damette & Antoine Parent & Giovanni Pellegrino, 2017. "Liquidity traps and large-scale financial crises," Post-Print halshs-01675562, HAL.
    37. Galvao, Ana Beatriz & Costa, Sonia, 2013. "Does the euro area forward rate provide accurate forecasts of the short rate?," International Journal of Forecasting, Elsevier, vol. 29(1), pages 131-141.
    38. Daniel L. Thornton, 2012. "Monetary policy: why money matters, and interest rates don’t," Working Papers 2012-020, Federal Reserve Bank of St. Louis.
    39. Eric T. Swanson, 2017. "Measuring the Effects of Federal Reserve Forward Guidance and Asset Purchases on Financial Markets," NBER Working Papers 23311, National Bureau of Economic Research, Inc.
    40. Eric T. Swanson & John C. Williams, 2012. "Measuring the effect of the zero lower bound on medium- and longer-term interest rates," Working Paper Series 2012-02, Federal Reserve Bank of San Francisco.
    41. Christoffer Koch & Julieta Yung, 2016. "Macroeconomic news and asset prices before and after the zero lower bound," Globalization Institute Working Papers 287, Federal Reserve Bank of Dallas.
    42. Lawrence J. Christiano & Martin S. Eichenbaum & Mathias Trabandt, 2016. "Unemployment and Business Cycles," Econometrica, Econometric Society, vol. 84, pages 1523-1569, July.
    43. Eric T. Swanson & John C. Williams, 2013. "Measuring the Effect of the Zero Lower Bound on Yields and Exchange Rates in the U.K. and Germany," Working Paper Series 2013-21, Federal Reserve Bank of San Francisco.
    44. Richhild Moessner, 2014. "Effects of explicit FOMC policy-rate guidance on equities and risk measures," Applied Economics, Taylor & Francis Journals, vol. 46(18), pages 2139-2153, June.
    45. Mark Gertler & Nobuhiro Kiyotaki, 2013. "Banking, Liquidity and Bank Runs in an Infinite Horizon Economy," 2013 Meeting Papers 59, Society for Economic Dynamics.
    46. Philippe Andrade & Filippo Ferroni, 2018. "Delphic and Odyssean Monetary Policy Shocks: Evidence from the Euro Area," Working Paper Series WP-2018-12, Federal Reserve Bank of Chicago.
    47. R. Erasmus & H. Hollander, 2020. "A Forward Guidance Indicator For The South African Reserve Bank: Implementing A Text Analysis Algorithm," Studies in Economics and Econometrics, Taylor & Francis Journals, vol. 44(3), pages 41-72, December.
    48. Callum Jones, 2018. "Aging, Secular Stagnation and the Business Cycle," IMF Working Papers 2018/067, International Monetary Fund.
    49. Speck, Christian, 2016. "Inflation Anchoring in the Euro Area," VfS Annual Conference 2016 (Augsburg): Demographic Change 145697, Verein für Socialpolitik / German Economic Association.
    50. Liu, Zheng & Spiegel, Mark M. & Zhang, Jingyi, 2023. "Capital flows and income inequality," Journal of International Economics, Elsevier, vol. 144(C).
    51. Martin M. Andreasen & Jens H.E. Christensen & Glenn D. Rudebusch, 2017. "Term Structure Analysis with Big Data," CREATES Research Papers 2017-31, Department of Economics and Business Economics, Aarhus University.
    52. Adam S. Posen, 2012. "Commentary: methods of policy accommodation at the interest-rate lower bound," Proceedings - Economic Policy Symposium - Jackson Hole, Federal Reserve Bank of Kansas City, pages 289-302.
    53. Andrew Binning & Junior Maih, 2016. "Implementing the zero lower bound in an estimated regime-switching DSGE model," Working Paper 2016/3, Norges Bank.
    54. Daniel L. Thornton, 2012. "Greenspan’s conundrum and the Fed’s ability to affect long-term yields," Working Papers 2012-036, Federal Reserve Bank of St. Louis.
    55. Brandyn Bok & Thomas M. Mertens & John C. Williams, 2022. "Macroeconomic Drivers and the Pricing of Uncertainty, Inflation, and Bonds," Working Paper Series 2022-06, Federal Reserve Bank of San Francisco.
    56. Davide Debortoli & Jordi Galí & Luca Gambetti, 2019. "On the Empirical (Ir)Relevance of the Zero Lower Bound Constraint," NBER Working Papers 25820, National Bureau of Economic Research, Inc.
    57. Cole, Stephen J., 2016. "The Limits of Central Bank Forward Guidance under Learning," Working Papers and Research 2016-02, Marquette University, Center for Global and Economic Studies and Department of Economics.
    58. Olaf Posch, 2018. "Resurrecting the New-Keynesian Model: (Un)conventional Policy and the Taylor Rule," CESifo Working Paper Series 6925, CESifo.
    59. Evžen Kocenda & Balázs Varga, 2017. "The Impact of Monetary Strategies on Inflation Persistence," CESifo Working Paper Series 6306, CESifo.
    60. John C. Williams, 2013. "The economy and Fed policy: follow the demand," FRBSF Economic Letter, Federal Reserve Bank of San Francisco, issue feb25.
    61. Brand, Claus & Goy, Gavin W & Lemke, Wolfgang, 2020. "Natural rate chimera and bond pricing reality," VfS Annual Conference 2020 (Virtual Conference): Gender Economics 224546, Verein für Socialpolitik / German Economic Association.
    62. Daisuke Ikeda & Shangshang Li & Sophocles Mavroeidis & Francesco Zanetti, 2022. "Testing the Effectiveness of Unconventional Monetary Policy in Japan and the United States," CAMA Working Papers 2022-68, Centre for Applied Macroeconomic Analysis, Crawford School of Public Policy, The Australian National University.
    63. Lakdawala, Aeimit & Schaffer, Matthew, 2019. "Federal reserve private information and the stock market," Journal of Banking & Finance, Elsevier, vol. 106(C), pages 34-49.
    64. Janice C. Eberly & James H. Stock & Jonathan H. Wright, 2019. "The Federal Reserve’s Current Framework for Monetary Policy: A Review and Assessment," NBER Working Papers 26002, National Bureau of Economic Research, Inc.
    65. Lakdawala, Aeimit, 2016. "Decomposing the Effects of Monetary Policy Using an External Instruments SVAR," MPRA Paper 78254, University Library of Munich, Germany.
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    Cited by:

    1. Gourio, François & Siemer, Michael & Verdelhan, Adrien, 2013. "International risk cycles," Journal of International Economics, Elsevier, vol. 89(2), pages 471-484.
    2. Gourio, François, 2012. "Macroeconomic implications of time-varying risk premia," Working Paper Series 1463, European Central Bank.
    3. Jules H. van Binsbergen & Jesús Fernández-Villaverde & Ralph S.J. Koijen & Juan F. Rubio-Ramírez, 2010. "The Term Structure of Interest Rates in a DSGE Model with Recursive Preferences," PIER Working Paper Archive 10-011, Penn Institute for Economic Research, Department of Economics, University of Pennsylvania.
    4. Marcelo Ferman, 2011. "Switching Monetary Policy Regimes and the Nominal Term Structure," FMG Discussion Papers dp678, Financial Markets Group.
    5. Hakon Tretvoll, 2012. "Real exchange rate variability in a two country business cycle model," 2012 Meeting Papers 911, Society for Economic Dynamics.
    6. Bluwstein, Kristina & Yung, Julieta, 2019. "Back to the real economy: the effects of risk perception shocks on the term premium and bank lending," Bank of England working papers 806, Bank of England.

  17. Eric Swanson & Glenn Rudebusch, 2009. "Risk Premia on Equity and Debt in a DSGE Model with Long-Run Real and Nominal Risks," 2009 Meeting Papers 29, Society for Economic Dynamics.

    Cited by:

    1. Zuzana Mucka & Michal Horvath, 2015. "Fiscal Policy Matters A New DSGE Model for Slovakia," Discussion Papers Discussion Paper No. 1/20, Council for Budget Responsibility.

  18. Glenn D. Rudebusch & Eric T. Swanson, 2008. "The bond premium in a DSGE model with long-run real and nominal risks," Working Paper Series 2008-31, Federal Reserve Bank of San Francisco.

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    1. Breach, Tomas & D’Amico, Stefania & Orphanides, Athanasios, 2020. "The term structure and inflation uncertainty," Journal of Financial Economics, Elsevier, vol. 138(2), pages 388-414.
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    9. James Staveley-O'Carroll & Olena M. Staveley-O'Carroll, 2016. "Impact of Pension System Structure on International Financial Capital Allocation," Working Papers 1601, College of the Holy Cross, Department of Economics.
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    11. James McNeil, 2020. "Estimation of Impulse response functions with term structure local projections," Working Papers daleconwp2020-05, Dalhousie University, Department of Economics.
    12. François Gourio, 2013. "Credit Risk and Disaster Risk," American Economic Journal: Macroeconomics, American Economic Association, vol. 5(3), pages 1-34, July.
    13. Giovanni Pellegrino & Efrem Castelnuovo & Giovanni Caggiano, 2021. "Uncertainty and Monetary Policy during the Great Recession," Economics Working Papers 2021-05, Department of Economics and Business Economics, Aarhus University.
    14. Jonathan Benchimol & Sergey Ivashchenko, 2020. "Switching Volatility in a Nonlinear Open Economy," CFDS Discussion Paper Series 2020/8, Center for Financial Development and Stability at Henan University, Kaifeng, Henan, China.
    15. Kollmann, Robert, 2017. "Explaining International Business Cycle Synchronization: Recursive Preferences and the Terms of Trade Channel," CEPR Discussion Papers 11911, C.E.P.R. Discussion Papers.
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    23. Kliem, Martin & Meyer-Gohde, Alexander, 2017. "(Un)expected Monetary Policy Shocks and Term Premia," SFB 649 Discussion Papers 2017-015, Humboldt University Berlin, Collaborative Research Center 649: Economic Risk.
    24. Ginters Bušs & Patrick Grüning, 2023. "Fiscal DSGE model for Latvia," Baltic Journal of Economics, Baltic International Centre for Economic Policy Studies, vol. 23(1), pages 2173915-217.
    25. Bonciani, Dario & Oh, Joonseok Jason, 2019. "The long-run effects of uncertainty shocks," Bank of England working papers 802, Bank of England.
    26. Howard Kung, 2014. "Macroeconomic linkages between monetary policy and the term structure of interest rates," 2014 Meeting Papers 560, Society for Economic Dynamics.
    27. Curran, Michael & Dressler, Scott J., 2020. "Preferences, inflation, and welfare," European Economic Review, Elsevier, vol. 130(C).
    28. Fernández-Villaverde, Jesús & Levintal, Oren, 2016. "Solution Methods for Models with Rare Disasters," CEPR Discussion Papers 11115, C.E.P.R. Discussion Papers.
    29. Michael D. Bauer & James D. Hamilton, 2015. "Robust Bond Risk Premia," CESifo Working Paper Series 5541, CESifo.
    30. Casper de Vries & Xuedong Wang, 2015. "Inflation, Endogenous Market Segmentation and the Term Structure of Interest Rates," Tinbergen Institute Discussion Papers 15-066/VI, Tinbergen Institute.
    31. Drew D. Creal & Jing Cynthia Wu, 2020. "Bond risk premia in consumption‐based models," Quantitative Economics, Econometric Society, vol. 11(4), pages 1461-1484, November.
    32. Lakdawala, Aeimit & Wu, Shu, 2017. "Federal Reserve Credibility and the Term Structure of Interest Rates," MPRA Paper 78253, University Library of Munich, Germany.
    33. François Gourio & Phuong Ngo, 2020. "Risk Premia at the ZLB: A Macroeconomic Interpretation," Working Paper Series WP 2020-01, Federal Reserve Bank of Chicago.
    34. Meyer-Gohde, Alexander, 2014. "Risky linear approximations," SFB 649 Discussion Papers 2014-034, Humboldt University Berlin, Collaborative Research Center 649: Economic Risk.
    35. Michael D. Bauer & Glenn D. Rudebusch, 2017. "Interest Rates Under Falling Stars," CESifo Working Paper Series 6571, CESifo.
    36. M. Marx & B. Mojon & F. Velde, 2017. "Why Have Interest Rates Fallen far Below the Return on Capital," Working papers 630, Banque de France.
    37. Francisco Palomino & Alex Hsu, 2013. "What do Nominal Rigidities and Monetary Policy tell us about the Real Yield Curve?," 2013 Meeting Papers 50, Society for Economic Dynamics.
    38. Giovanni Pellegrino & Efrem Castelnuovo & Giovanni Caggiano, 2020. "Uncertainty and Monetary Policy during Extreme Events," Economics Working Papers 2020-11, Department of Economics and Business Economics, Aarhus University.
    39. Martin Ellison & Andreas Tischbirek, 2021. "Beauty Contests and the Term Structure [Risk Premia and Term Premia in General Equilibrium]," Journal of the European Economic Association, European Economic Association, vol. 19(4), pages 2234-2282.
    40. Brent Bundick & Trenton Herriford & Andrew Lee Smith, 2022. "The Term Structure of Monetary Policy Uncertainty," Research Working Paper RWP 2022-02, Federal Reserve Bank of Kansas City.
    41. Vasilev, Aleksandar, 2021. "An RBC model with Epstein-Zin (non-expected-utility) recursive preferences: lessons from Bulgaria (1999-2018)," EconStor Open Access Articles and Book Chapters, ZBW - Leibniz Information Centre for Economics, issue forthcomi.
    42. Iania, Leonardo & Tretiakov, Pavel & Wouters, Rafael, 2023. "The risk premium in New Keynesian DSGE models: The cost of inflation channel," LIDAM Reprints LFIN 2023013, Université catholique de Louvain, Louvain Finance (LFIN).
    43. Ales Marsal & Katrin Rabitsch & Lorant Kaszab, 2023. "Undesired Consequences of Calvo Pricing in a Non-linear World," Working and Discussion Papers WP 1/2023, Research Department, National Bank of Slovakia.
    44. Martin M. Andreasen & Giovanni Caggiano & Efrem Castelnuovo & Giovanni Pellegrino, 2021. "Why Does Risk Matter More in Recessions than in Expansions?," "Marco Fanno" Working Papers 0275, Dipartimento di Scienze Economiche "Marco Fanno".
    45. Darracq Pariès, Matthieu & Papadopoulou, Niki, 2019. "On the credit and exchange rate channels of central bank asset purchases in a monetary union," Working Paper Series 2259, European Central Bank.
    46. Bidder, R.M. & Smith, M.E., 2012. "Robust animal spirits," Journal of Monetary Economics, Elsevier, vol. 59(8), pages 738-750.
    47. Jens H. E. Christensen & Glenn D. Rudebusch, 2012. "The Response of Interest Rates to US and UK Quantitative Easing," Economic Journal, Royal Economic Society, vol. 122(564), pages 385-414, November.
    48. Peter Tillmann, 2018. "Monetary Policy Uncertainty and the Response of the Yield Curve to Policy Shocks," GRU Working Paper Series GRU_2018_004, City University of Hong Kong, Department of Economics and Finance, Global Research Unit.
    49. Brent Bundick & Andrew Lee Smith, 2020. "Did the Federal Reserve Break the Phillips Curve? Theory and Evidence of Anchoring Inflation Expectations," Research Working Paper RWP 20-11, Federal Reserve Bank of Kansas City.
    50. Andreasen, Martin M. & Jørgensen, Kasper, 2020. "The Importance of Timing Attitudes in Consumption-Based Asset Pricing Models," Journal of Monetary Economics, Elsevier, vol. 111(C), pages 95-117.
    51. J. David Lopez-Salido & Francisco Vazquez-Grande & Pierlauro Lopez, 2015. "Macro-Finance Separation by Force of Habit," 2015 Meeting Papers 980, Society for Economic Dynamics.
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    53. Markus Sihvonen, 2024. "Yield curve momentum," Review of Finance, European Finance Association, vol. 28(3), pages 805-830.
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    55. van der Wel, M., 2020. "Connecting Silos : On linking macroeconomics and finance, and the role of econometrics therein," ERIM Inaugural Address Series Research in Management 124748, Erasmus Research Institute of Management (ERIM), ERIM is the joint research institute of the Rotterdam School of Management, Erasmus University and the Erasmus School of Economics (ESE) at Erasmus University Rotterdam..
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    110. Jardet, C. & Monfort, A. & Pegoraro, F., 2009. "No-arbitrage Near-Cointegrated VAR(p) Term Structure Models, Term Premia and GDP Growth," Working papers 234, Banque de France.
    111. Ian Dew‐Becker, 2014. "Bond Pricing with a Time‐Varying Price of Risk in an Estimated Medium‐Scale Bayesian DSGE Model," Journal of Money, Credit and Banking, Blackwell Publishing, vol. 46(5), pages 837-888, August.
    112. Lamé, Gildas, 2013. "Was there a "Greenspan conundrum" in the Euro area ?," MPRA Paper 45870, University Library of Munich, Germany.
    113. Bretscher, Lorenzo & Hsu, Alex & Tamoni, Andrea, 2020. "Fiscal policy driven bond risk premia," Journal of Financial Economics, Elsevier, vol. 138(1), pages 53-73.
    114. Abdymomunov Azamat & Kang Kyu Ho, 2015. "The effects of monetary policy regime shifts on the term structure of interest rates," Studies in Nonlinear Dynamics & Econometrics, De Gruyter, vol. 19(2), pages 183-207, April.
    115. Parantap Basu & Kenji Wada, 2018. "Unconventional Monetary Policy and the Bond Market in Japan: A New-Keynesian Perspective," IMES Discussion Paper Series 18-E-12, Institute for Monetary and Economic Studies, Bank of Japan.
    116. Andreasen Martin M. & Zabczyk Pawel, 2015. "Efficient bond price approximations in non-linear equilibrium-based term structure models," Studies in Nonlinear Dynamics & Econometrics, De Gruyter, vol. 19(1), pages 1-33, February.
    117. Kozak, Serhiy, 2022. "Dynamics of bond and stock returns," Journal of Monetary Economics, Elsevier, vol. 126(C), pages 188-209.
    118. Bent Jesper Christensen & Olaf Posch & Michel van der Wel, 2014. "Estimating Dynamic Equilibrium Models Using Mixed Frequency Macro and Financial Data," CESifo Working Paper Series 5030, CESifo.
    119. Zbynek Stork, 2016. "Term Structure of Interest Rates: Macro-Finance Approach," EcoMod2016 9566, EcoMod.
    120. Asiye Aydilek & Harun Aydilek, 2020. "An optimization model of retiree decisions under recursive utility with housing," Journal of Economics and Finance, Springer;Academy of Economics and Finance, vol. 44(2), pages 258-277, April.
    121. M. Falagiarda & M. Marzo, 2012. "A DSGE model with Endogenous Term Structure," Working Papers wp830, Dipartimento Scienze Economiche, Universita' di Bologna.
    122. Martin M. Andreasen, 2019. "Explaining Bond Return Predictability in an Estimated New Keynesian Model," CREATES Research Papers 2019-11, Department of Economics and Business Economics, Aarhus University.
    123. Xu, Yuan, 2015. "Robustness to model uncertainty and the nominal term premium puzzle," Journal of Macroeconomics, Elsevier, vol. 44(C), pages 124-137.
    124. De Paoli, Bianca & Sondergaard, Jens, 2009. "Foreign exchange rate risk in a small open economy," Bank of England working papers 365, Bank of England.
    125. Eric Jondeau & Michael Rockinger, 2019. "Predicting Long‐Term Financial Returns: VAR versus DSGE Model—A Horse Race," Journal of Money, Credit and Banking, Blackwell Publishing, vol. 51(8), pages 2239-2291, December.
    126. Horváth, Roman & Maršál, Aleš, 2014. "The term structure of interest rates in a small open economy DSGE model with Markov switching," FinMaP-Working Papers 22, Collaborative EU Project FinMaP - Financial Distortions and Macroeconomic Performance: Expectations, Constraints and Interaction of Agents.
    127. Martin M. Andreasen & Kasper Jørgensen, 2016. "Explaining Asset Prices with Low Risk Aversion and Low Intertemporal Substitution," CREATES Research Papers 2016-16, Department of Economics and Business Economics, Aarhus University.

  20. Eric Swanson & Glenn Rudebusch, 2008. "Long-Run Inflation Risk and the Postwar Term Premium," 2008 Meeting Papers 988, Society for Economic Dynamics.

    Cited by:

    1. Mehmet Pasaogullari & Simeon Tsonevy, 2011. "The term structure of inflation compensation in the nominal yield curve," Working Papers (Old Series) 1133, Federal Reserve Bank of Cleveland.

  21. Ehrmann, Michael & Fratzscher, Marcel & Gürkaynak, Refet & Swanson, Eric T., 2007. "Convergence and Anchoring of Yield Curves in the Euro Area," CEPR Discussion Papers 6456, C.E.P.R. Discussion Papers.

    Cited by:

    1. Martins, Manuel M.F. & Afonso, António, 2010. "Level, slope, curvature of the sovereign yield curve, and fiscal behaviour," Working Paper Series 1276, European Central Bank.
    2. Dieppe, Alistair & Mourinho Félix, Ricardo & Marchiori, Luca & Grech, Owen & Albani, Maria & Lalouette, Laure & Kulikov, Dmitry & Papadopoulou, Niki & Sideris, Dimitris & Irac, Delphine & Gordo Mora, , 2015. "Public debt, population ageing and medium-term growth," Occasional Paper Series 165, European Central Bank.
    3. Nautz, Dieter & Netšunajev, Aleksei & Strohsal, Till, 2016. "The anchoring of inflation expectations in the short and in the long run," SFB 649 Discussion Papers 2016-015, Humboldt University Berlin, Collaborative Research Center 649: Economic Risk.
    4. Christian Leschinski & Michelle Voges & Philipp Sibbertsen, 2021. "Integration and Disintegration of EMU Government Bond Markets," Econometrics, MDPI, vol. 9(1), pages 1-17, March.
    5. Indermit S Gill & Naotaka Sugawara & Juan Zalduendo, 2014. "The Center Still Holds: Financial Integration in the Euro Area," Comparative Economic Studies, Palgrave Macmillan;Association for Comparative Economic Studies, vol. 56(3), pages 351-375, September.
    6. Borsi, Mihály Tamás & Metiu, Norbert, 2013. "The evolution of economic convergence in the European Union," Discussion Papers 28/2013, Deutsche Bundesbank.
    7. Hartmann, Philipp & Smets, Frank, 2018. "The first twenty years of the European Central Bank: monetary policy," CEPR Discussion Papers 13411, C.E.P.R. Discussion Papers.
    8. Galina Hale & Maurice Obstfeld, 2014. "The Euro and the Geography of International Debt Flows," Working Paper Series 2014-10, Federal Reserve Bank of San Francisco.
    9. Grothe, Magdalena & Lejsgaard Autrup, Søren, 2014. "Economic surprises and inflation expectations: Has anchoring of expectations survived the crisis?," Working Paper Series 1671, European Central Bank.
    10. Mengus, Eric, 2017. "Asset Purchase Bailouts and Endogenous Implicit Guarantees," HEC Research Papers Series 1248, HEC Paris, revised 22 Jan 2018.
    11. Georgoutsos, Dimitris A. & Migiakis, Petros M., 2013. "Heterogeneity of the determinants of euro-area sovereign bond spreads; what does it tell us about financial stability?," Journal of Banking & Finance, Elsevier, vol. 37(11), pages 4650-4664.
    12. Eric T. Swanson & John C. Williams, 2013. "Measuring the Effect of the Zero Lower Bound on Yields and Exchange Rates in the U.K. and Germany," Working Paper Series 2013-21, Federal Reserve Bank of San Francisco.
    13. Petra Gerlach-Kristen & Richhild Moessner & Rina Rosenblatt-Wisch, 2018. "Computing Long-Term Market Inflation Expectations for Countries without Inflation Expectation Markets," Russian Journal of Money and Finance, Bank of Russia, vol. 77(3), pages 23-48, September.
    14. Ian Schaeffer & Miguel D. Ramirez, 2017. "Is there a Long-Term Relationship among European Sovereign Bond Yields?," Business and Economic Research, Macrothink Institute, vol. 7(1), pages 68-86, June.
    15. Vogel, Lukas & Kollmann, Robert & Ratto, Marco & Roeger, Werner & in 't Veld, Jan, 2015. "What drives the German current account? And how does it affect other EU Member States?," VfS Annual Conference 2015 (Muenster): Economic Development - Theory and Policy 112810, Verein für Socialpolitik / German Economic Association.
    16. Diebold, Francis X. & Yilmaz, Kamil, 2015. "Financial and Macroeconomic Connectedness: A Network Approach to Measurement and Monitoring," OUP Catalogue, Oxford University Press, number 9780199338306.
    17. Michele Lenza, 2011. "Revisiting the information content of core inflation," Research Bulletin, European Central Bank, vol. 14, pages 11-13.
    18. Maela Giofré, 2009. "Convergence of EMU Equity Portfolios," CeRP Working Papers 88, Center for Research on Pensions and Welfare Policies, Turin (Italy).
    19. Matthias Neuenkirch & Maria Repko & Enzo Weber, 2023. "Hawks and Doves: Financial Market Perception of Western Support for Ukraine," Research Papers in Economics 2023-03, University of Trier, Department of Economics.
    20. Bicu, A.C. & Candelon, B., 2012. "Government bond market dynamics and sovereign risk: systemic or idiosyncratic?," Research Memorandum 032, Maastricht University, Maastricht Research School of Economics of Technology and Organization (METEOR).
    21. Natoli, Filippo & Sigalotti, Laura, 2017. "Tail co-movement in inflation expectations as an indicator of anchoring," Working Paper Series 1997, European Central Bank.
    22. Hammoudeh, Shawkat & Reboredo, Juan C., 2018. "Oil price dynamics and market-based inflation expectations," Energy Economics, Elsevier, vol. 75(C), pages 484-491.
    23. Söderström, Ulf, 2008. "Re-Evaluating Swedish Membership in EMU: Evidence from an Estimated Model," CEPR Discussion Papers 7062, C.E.P.R. Discussion Papers.
    24. Jean-Charles Bricongne & Antoine Cosson & Albane Garnier-Sauveplane & Rémy Lecat & Irena Peresa & Yuliya Vanzhulova, 2021. "Financial flows, macro-prudential policies, capital restrictions and institutions: what do gravity equations tell us?," Working papers 842, Banque de France.
    25. Caporin, Massimiliano & Pelizzon, Loriana & Plazzi, Alberto, 2020. "Does monetary policy impact international market co-movements?," SAFE Working Paper Series 276, Leibniz Institute for Financial Research SAFE.
    26. Ehrmann, Michael & Osbat, Chiara & Stráský, Jan & Uusküla, Lenno, 2013. "The euro exchange rate during the European sovereign debt crisis - dancing to its own tune?," Working Paper Series 1532, European Central Bank.
    27. Rodrigues, Paulo M.M. & Sibbertsen, Philipp & Voges, Michelle, 2019. "Testing for breaks in the cointegrating relationship: On the stability of government bond markets' equilibrium," Hannover Economic Papers (HEP) dp-656, Leibniz Universität Hannover, Wirtschaftswissenschaftliche Fakultät.
    28. Krista Schwarz, 2019. "Mind the Gap: Disentangling Credit and Liquidity in Risk Spreads," Review of Finance, European Finance Association, vol. 23(3), pages 557-597.
    29. Hülsewig, Oliver & Rottmann, Horst, 2021. "Euro area periphery countries' fiscal policy and monetary policy surprises," Weidener Diskussionspapiere 81, University of Applied Sciences Amberg-Weiden (OTH).
    30. Felix Geiger & Oliver Sauter & Kai D. Schmid, 2009. "The Camp View of Inflation Forecasts," Diskussionspapiere aus dem Institut für Volkswirtschaftslehre der Universität Hohenheim 320/2009, Department of Economics, University of Hohenheim, Germany.
    31. Coffinet, J. & Frappa, S., 2008. "Macroeconomic Surprises and the Inflation Compensation Curve in the Euro Area," Working papers 220, Banque de France.
    32. Claudia M. Buch, 2012. "From the Stability Pact to ESM - What next?," IAW Discussion Papers 85, Institut für Angewandte Wirtschaftsforschung (IAW).
    33. Sebastian Missio, 2012. "Government bond market integration and the EMU: Correlation based evidence," Working Papers 125, Bavarian Graduate Program in Economics (BGPE).
    34. Jonas Dovern & Ulrich Fritsche & Jiri Slacalek, 2012. "Disagreement Among Forecasters in G7 Countries," The Review of Economics and Statistics, MIT Press, vol. 94(4), pages 1081-1096, November.
    35. Qin, Weiping & Cho, Sungjun & Hyde, Stuart, 2023. "Time-varying bond market integration and the impact of financial crises," International Review of Financial Analysis, Elsevier, vol. 90(C).
    36. Omid M. Ardakani & N. Kundan Kishor & Suyong Song, 2024. "Does membership of the EMU matter for economic and financial outcomes?," Contemporary Economic Policy, Western Economic Association International, vol. 42(3), pages 416-447, July.
    37. Mita Bhattacharya & John Inekwe, 2021. "Convergence in Sovereign Debt Defaults: Quantifying the Roles of Institutions," Oxford Bulletin of Economics and Statistics, Department of Economics, University of Oxford, vol. 83(3), pages 792-811, June.
    38. Nghiem, Giang & Dräger, Lena & Dalloul, Ami, 2024. "Anchoring Households' Inflation Expectations when Inflation is High," Hannover Economic Papers (HEP) dp-719, Leibniz Universität Hannover, Wirtschaftswissenschaftliche Fakultät.
    39. Ehrmann, Michael & Fratzscher, Marcel, 2017. "Euro area government bonds – Fragmentation and contagion during the sovereign debt crisis," Journal of International Money and Finance, Elsevier, vol. 70(C), pages 26-44.
    40. Pelizzon, Loriana & Sottocornola, Matteo, 2018. "The impact of monetary policy iInterventions on the insurance industry," SAFE Working Paper Series 204, Leibniz Institute for Financial Research SAFE.
    41. Charlotte Christiansen, 2012. "Integration of European Bond Markets," CREATES Research Papers 2012-33, Department of Economics and Business Economics, Aarhus University.
    42. Ashoka Mody & Damiano Sandri, 2012. "The eurozone crisis: how banks and sovereigns came to be joined at the hip [‘A pyrrhic victory? Bank bailouts and sovereign credit risk’]," Economic Policy, CEPR, CESifo, Sciences Po;CES;MSH, vol. 27(70), pages 199-230.
    43. Bursian, Dirk & Faia, Ester, 2013. "Trust in the monetary authority," SAFE Working Paper Series 14, Leibniz Institute for Financial Research SAFE, revised 2013.
    44. van Riet, Ad, 2017. "Addressing the safety trilemma: a safe sovereign asset for the eurozone," ESRB Working Paper Series 35, European Systemic Risk Board.
    45. Andrea Terzi, 2014. "When Good Intentions Pave the Road to Hell: Monetization Fears and Europe's Narrowing Options," Economics Working Paper Archive wp_810, Levy Economics Institute.
    46. Ahmet Sensoy & Duc Khuong Nguyen & Erk Hacihasanoglu & Ahmed Rostom, 2018. "Dynamic Integration and Network Structure of the EMU Sovereign Bond Markets," Working Papers 2018-009, Department of Research, Ipag Business School.
    47. Ludovit Odor & Pavol Povala, 2016. "Risk Premiums in Slovak Government Bonds," Discussion Papers Discussion Paper No. 3/20, Council for Budget Responsibility.
    48. D'Agostino, Antonello & Ehrmann, Michael, 2012. "The pricing of G7 sovereign bond spreads – the times, they are a-changin," MPRA Paper 40604, University Library of Munich, Germany.
    49. Miguel Ampudia & Michael Ehrmann, 2014. "Macroeconomic Experiences and Risk Taking of Euro Area Households," Staff Working Papers 14-10, Bank of Canada.
    50. Bartels, Bernhard & Weiser, Constantin, 2015. "Public Debt & Sovereign Ratings - Do Industrialized Countries Enjoy a Privilege?," VfS Annual Conference 2015 (Muenster): Economic Development - Theory and Policy 112822, Verein für Socialpolitik / German Economic Association.
    51. Pilar Abad & Helena Chuliá, 2014. "European government bond market integration in turbulent times," Working Papers 2014-08, Universitat de Barcelona, UB Riskcenter.
    52. Giovanni Lombardo & Luca Dedola, 2011. "Financial frictions, financial integration and the international propagation of shocks," Research Bulletin, European Central Bank, vol. 14, pages 5-10.
    53. Jean Boivin & Marc P. Giannoni & Benoît Mojon, 2008. "How Has the Euro Changed the Monetary Transmission?," NBER Working Papers 14190, National Bureau of Economic Research, Inc.
    54. Recchioni, Maria Cristina & Tedeschi, Gabriele, 2017. "From bond yield to macroeconomic instability: A parsimonious affine model," European Journal of Operational Research, Elsevier, vol. 262(3), pages 1116-1135.
    55. Ben Omrane, Walid & Savaser, Tanseli & Welch, Robert & Zhou, Xinyao, 2019. "Time-varying effects of macroeconomic news on euro-dollar returns," The North American Journal of Economics and Finance, Elsevier, vol. 50(C).
    56. Torój, Andrzej & Bednarek, Elżbieta & Bęza-Bojanowska, Joanna & Osińska, Joanna & Waćko, Katarzyna & Witkowski, Dariusz, 2012. "EMU: the (post-)crisis perspective. Literature survey and implications for the euro-candidates," MF Working Papers 12, Ministry of Finance in Poland, revised 06 Mar 2012.
    57. Mark M. Spiegel, 2012. "Developing Asian Local Currency Bond Markets: Why and How?," Chapters, in: Masahiro Kawai & David G. Mayes & Peter Morgan (ed.), Implications of the Global Financial Crisis for Financial Reform and Regulation in Asia, chapter 11, Edward Elgar Publishing.
    58. Ya-Chi Lin & Kuo-Chun Yeh, 2017. "Measuring the end of the European financial crisis," The Economics of Transition, The European Bank for Reconstruction and Development, vol. 25(4), pages 663-680, October.
    59. Meredith J. Beechey & Benjamin K. Johannsen & Andrew T. Levin, 2008. "Are long-run inflation expectations anchored more firmly in the Euro area than in the United States?," Finance and Economics Discussion Series 2008-23, Board of Governors of the Federal Reserve System (U.S.).
    60. Georgoutsos, Dimitris A. & Kouretas, Georgios P., 2016. "Interest parity, cointegration, and the term structure: Testing in an integrated framework," International Review of Financial Analysis, Elsevier, vol. 46(C), pages 281-294.
    61. Winkelmann, Lars & Bibinger, Markus & Linzert, Tobias, 2013. "ECB monetary policy surprises: identification through cojumps in interest rates," VfS Annual Conference 2013 (Duesseldorf): Competition Policy and Regulation in a Global Economic Order 79721, Verein für Socialpolitik / German Economic Association.
    62. Fratzscher, Marcel & Stracca, Livio, 2009. "Does it pay to have the euro? Italy’s politics and financial markets under the lira and the euro," Working Paper Series 1064, European Central Bank.
    63. Linda S. Goldberg & Dr. Christian Grisse, 2013. "Time variation in asset price responses to macro announcements," Working Papers 2013-11, Swiss National Bank.
    64. Gilbert, Thomas & Scotti, Chiara & Strasser, Georg & Vega, Clara, 2017. "Is the intrinsic value of a macroeconomic news announcement related to its asset price impact?," Journal of Monetary Economics, Elsevier, vol. 92(C), pages 78-95.
    65. Jean Boivin & Marc P. Giannoni & Benoît Mojon, 2009. "How Has the Euro Changed the Monetary Transmission Mechanism?," NBER Chapters, in: NBER Macroeconomics Annual 2008, Volume 23, pages 77-125, National Bureau of Economic Research, Inc.
    66. Asgharian, Hossein & Liu, Lu & Larsson, Marcus, 2018. "Cross-border asset holdings and comovements in sovereign bond markets," Journal of International Money and Finance, Elsevier, vol. 86(C), pages 189-206.
    67. Juan Camilo Galvis Ciro & Juan Camilo Anzoategui-Zapata, 2019. "Efectos de los anuncios de política monetaria y la credibilidad sobre las expectativas de inflación: evidencia para Colombia," Apuntes del Cenes, Universidad Pedagógica y Tecnológica de Colombia, vol. 38(67), pages 73-94, February.
    68. González-Sánchez, Mariano, 2018. "Causality in the EMU sovereign bond markets," Finance Research Letters, Elsevier, vol. 26(C), pages 281-290.
    69. Oussama Kchaou & Makram Bellalah & Sofiane Tahi, 2022. "Transmission of the Greek crisis on the sovereign debt markets in the euro area," Annals of Operations Research, Springer, vol. 313(2), pages 1117-1139, June.
    70. Strohsal, Till & Melnick, Rafi & Nautz, Dieter, 2016. "The time-varying degree of inflation expectations anchoring," Journal of Macroeconomics, Elsevier, vol. 48(C), pages 62-71.
    71. Ulf Söderström, 2010. "Reevaluating Swedish Membership in the European Monetary Union: Evidence from an Estimated Model," NBER Chapters, in: Europe and the Euro, pages 379-414, National Bureau of Economic Research, Inc.
    72. Biswa Nath Bhattacharyay, 2010. "Financing Asia’s Infrastructure : Modes of Development and Integration of Asian Financial Markets," Finance Working Papers 21883, East Asian Bureau of Economic Research.
    73. Lena Dräger & Michael Lamla, 2018. "Is the Anchoring of Consumers' Inflation Expectations Shaped by Inflational Experience?," CESifo Working Paper Series 7042, CESifo.
    74. Andreas Dür & Christoph Moser & Gabriele Spilker, 2020. "The political economy of the European Union," The Review of International Organizations, Springer, vol. 15(3), pages 561-572, July.
    75. Bernd Bartels & Constantin Weiser, 2014. "Public Debt & Sovereign Ratings - Do Industrialized Countries Enjoy a Privilege?," Working Papers 1417, Gutenberg School of Management and Economics, Johannes Gutenberg-Universität Mainz, revised 29 Nov 2014.
    76. Winkelmann, Lars & Bibinger, Markus & Linzert, Tobias, 2013. "ECB monetary policy surprises: Identification through cojumps in interest rates," SFB 649 Discussion Papers 2013-038, Humboldt University Berlin, Collaborative Research Center 649: Economic Risk.
    77. Ciccarelli, Matteo & Garcí­a, Juan Angel, 2009. "What drives euro area break-even inflation rates?," Working Paper Series 996, European Central Bank.
    78. Arnold, Ivo J.M. & Soederhuizen, Beau, 2016. "Internal or external devaluation? What does the EC Consumer Survey tell us about macroeconomic adjustment in the Euro area?," Journal of International Money and Finance, Elsevier, vol. 64(C), pages 88-103.
    79. Giovanni Amisano & Oreste Tristani, 2011. "The euro area sovereign crisis: monitoring spillovers and contagion," Research Bulletin, European Central Bank, vol. 14, pages 2-4.
    80. Bhatt, Vipul & Kishor, N Kundan & Ma, Jun, 2017. "The impact of EMU on bond yield convergence: Evidence from a time-varying dynamic factor model," Journal of Economic Dynamics and Control, Elsevier, vol. 82(C), pages 206-222.
    81. Ciccarelli, Matteo & García, Juan Angel, 2015. "International spillovers in inflation expectations," Working Paper Series 1857, European Central Bank.
    82. Linzert, Tobias & Winkelmann, Lars & Bibinger, Markus, 2014. "ECB monetary policy surprises: identification through cojumps in interest rates," Working Paper Series 1674, European Central Bank.
    83. Maria Cristina Recchioni & Gabriele Tedeschi, 2016. "From bond yield to macroeconomic instability: The effect of negative interest rates," Working Papers 2016/06, Economics Department, Universitat Jaume I, Castellón (Spain).
    84. Jonathan H. Wright, 2008. "Term premiums and inflation uncertainty: empirical evidence from an international panel dataset," Finance and Economics Discussion Series 2008-25, Board of Governors of the Federal Reserve System (U.S.).
    85. Vácha, Lukáš & Šmolík, Filip & Baxa, Jaromír, 2019. "Comovement and disintegration of EU sovereign bond markets during the crisis," International Review of Economics & Finance, Elsevier, vol. 64(C), pages 541-556.
    86. Sensoy, Ahmet & Hacihasanoglu, Erk & Rostom, Ahmed, 2015. "European economic and monetary union sovereign debt markets," Policy Research Working Paper Series 7149, The World Bank.

  22. Eric T. Swanson, 2007. "Real wage cyclicality in the PSID," Working Paper Series 2007-15, Federal Reserve Bank of San Francisco.

    Cited by:

    1. Martins, Pedro S., 2007. "Heterogeneity in Real Wage Cyclicality," IZA Discussion Papers 2929, Institute of Labor Economics (IZA).
    2. Dany Brouillette & Olena Kostyshyna & Natalia Kyui, 2018. "Downward nominal wage rigidity in Canada: Evidence from micro‐level data," Canadian Journal of Economics/Revue canadienne d'économique, John Wiley & Sons, vol. 51(3), pages 968-1002, August.
    3. Jinpeng MA, 2009. "Jobless Recovery, Idle Productivity, and the Role of Capital," EcoMod2009 21500060, EcoMod.
    4. Ouyang, Min, 2009. "The scarring effect of recessions," Journal of Monetary Economics, Elsevier, vol. 56(2), pages 184-199, March.
    5. María Cervini-Plá & Antonia López-Villavicencio & José Ignacio Silva, 2015. "The heterogeneous cyclicality of income and wages among the distribution," Working Papers halshs-01133823, HAL.

  23. Refet S. Gürkaynak & Andrew T. Levin & Andrew N. Marder & Eric T. Swanson, 2006. "Inflation Targeting and the Anchoring of Inflation Expectations in The Western Hemisphere," Working Papers Central Bank of Chile 400, Central Bank of Chile.

    Cited by:

    1. Michelle L. Barnes & N. Aaron Pancost, 2010. "The sensitivity of long-term interest rates to economic news: comment," Working Papers 10-7, Federal Reserve Bank of Boston.
    2. Olesya Grishchenko & Sarah Mouabbi & Jean‐Paul Renne, 2019. "Measuring Inflation Anchoring and Uncertainty: A U.S. and Euro Area Comparison," Journal of Money, Credit and Banking, Blackwell Publishing, vol. 51(5), pages 1053-1096, August.
    3. Angelo Ranaldo & Dr. Enzo Rossi, 2007. "The reaction of asset markets to Swiss National Bank communication," Working Papers 2007-11, Swiss National Bank.
    4. Mariscal, Rodrigo & Powell, Andrew & Tavella, Pilar, 2014. "On the Credibility of Inflation Targeting Regimes in Latin America," IDB Publications (Working Papers) 6604, Inter-American Development Bank.
    5. Michael Pedersen, 2020. "Surveying the survey: What can we learn about the effects of monetary policy on inflation expectations?," Working Papers Central Bank of Chile 889, Central Bank of Chile.
    6. Juan Angel Garcia & Sebastian Werner, 2018. "Inflation News and Euro Area Inflation Expectations," IMF Working Papers 2018/167, International Monetary Fund.
    7. Coenen, Günter & Schmidt, Sebastian, 2016. "The role of the ECB’s asset purchases in preventing a potential de-anchoring of longer-term inflation expectations," Research Bulletin, European Central Bank, vol. 25.
    8. Carlos Medel, 2018. "Econometric Analysis on Survey-data-based Anchoring of Inflation Expectations in Chile," Working Papers Central Bank of Chile 825, Central Bank of Chile.
    9. Martin Melecky & Diego Rodríguez Palenzuela & Ulf Söderström, 2008. "Inflation Target Transparency and the Macroeconomy," Working Papers Central Bank of Chile 490, Central Bank of Chile.
    10. Pierpaolo Benigno & Michael Woodford, 2006. "Optimal Inflation Targeting under Alternative Fiscal Regimes," NBER Working Papers 12158, National Bureau of Economic Research, Inc.
    11. N. A. Karlova & E. V. Puzanova & I. V. Bogacheva & A. G. Morozov, 2020. "How Are Inflation Expectations of Enterprises Formed: Survey Results," Studies on Russian Economic Development, Springer, vol. 31(5), pages 522-532, September.
    12. Speck, Christian, 2016. "Inflation Anchoring in the Euro Area," VfS Annual Conference 2016 (Augsburg): Demographic Change 145697, Verein für Socialpolitik / German Economic Association.
    13. Lahiri, Kajal & Sheng, Xuguang, 2010. "Learning and heterogeneity in GDP and inflation forecasts," International Journal of Forecasting, Elsevier, vol. 26(2), pages 265-292, April.
    14. Di Bartolomeo Giovanni & Giuli Francesco, 2009. "Fiscal and monetary interaction under monetary policy uncertainty," wp.comunite 0061, Department of Communication, University of Teramo.
    15. Brent Bundick & Andrew Lee Smith, 2020. "Did the Federal Reserve Break the Phillips Curve? Theory and Evidence of Anchoring Inflation Expectations," Research Working Paper RWP 20-11, Federal Reserve Bank of Kansas City.
    16. Kenneth N. Kuttner & Adam S. Posen, 2011. "How Flexible Can Inflation Targeting Be and Still Work?," Working Paper Series WP11-15, Peterson Institute for International Economics.
    17. Rodrigo Caputo & Felipe Liendo & Juan Pablo Medina, 2006. "New Keynesian Models For Chile During the Inflation Targeting Regime: A Structural Approach," Working Papers Central Bank of Chile 402, Central Bank of Chile.
    18. Klaus Schmidt-Hebbel., 2009. "Inflation Targeting Twenty Years on: Where, When, Why, With what Effects, What lies ahead?," Documentos de Trabajo 360, Instituto de Economia. Pontificia Universidad Católica de Chile..
    19. Pär Stockhammar & Pär Österholm, 2018. "Do inflation expectations granger cause inflation?," Economia Politica: Journal of Analytical and Institutional Economics, Springer;Fondazione Edison, vol. 35(2), pages 403-431, August.
    20. Cem Cakmakli & Selva Demiralp, 2020. "A Dynamic Evaluation of Central Bank Credibility," Koç University-TUSIAD Economic Research Forum Working Papers 2015, Koc University-TUSIAD Economic Research Forum.
    21. Perevyshin, Yury (Перевышин, Юрий) & Rykalin, A.S. (Рыкалин, А.С.), 2018. "Modeling Inflation Expectations in the Russian Economy [Моделирование Инфляционных Ожиданий В Российской Экономике]," Working Papers 031816, Russian Presidential Academy of National Economy and Public Administration.
    22. Aaron Drew & Özer Karagedikli, 2008. "Some benefits of monetary policy transparency in New Zealand," Reserve Bank of New Zealand Discussion Paper Series DP2008/01, Reserve Bank of New Zealand.
    23. Goran Petrevski, 2023. "Macroeconomic Effects of Inflation Targeting: A Survey of the Empirical Literature," Papers 2305.17474, arXiv.org.
    24. Frederic S. Mishkin & Klaus Schmidt-Hebbel, 2006. "Does Inflation Targeting Make a Difference?," Working Papers 2006/13, Czech National Bank.
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    32. Boubaker Heni & Canarella Giorgio & Gupta Rangan & Miller Stephen M., 2017. "Time-varying persistence of inflation: evidence from a wavelet-based approach," Studies in Nonlinear Dynamics & Econometrics, De Gruyter, vol. 21(4), pages 1-18, September.
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    37. Linda S. Goldberg & Michael W. Klein, 2010. "Evolving Perceptions of Central Bank Credibility: The European Central Bank Experience," NBER Chapters, in: NBER International Seminar on Macroeconomics 2010, pages 153-182, National Bureau of Economic Research, Inc.
    38. Ali Alichi & Kevin Clinton & Charles Freedman & Mr. Ondrej Kamenik & Michel Juillard & Mr. Douglas Laxton & Mr. Jarkko Turunen & Hou Wang, 2015. "Avoiding Dark Corners: A Robust Monetary Policy Framework for the United States," IMF Working Papers 2015/134, International Monetary Fund.
    39. Lars E. O. Svensson, 2007. "Optimal inflation Targeting: Further Developments of Inflation Targeting," Central Banking, Analysis, and Economic Policies Book Series, in: Frederic S. Miskin & Klaus Schmidt-Hebbel & Norman Loayza (Series Editor) & Klaus Schmidt-Hebbel (Se (ed.),Monetary Policy under Inflation Targeting, edition 1, volume 11, chapter 6, pages 187-225, Central Bank of Chile.
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    42. Mikael Apel & Anders Vredin, 2007. "Monetary-Policy Communication: The Experience of the Swedish Riksbank," Czech Journal of Economics and Finance (Finance a uver), Charles University Prague, Faculty of Social Sciences, vol. 57(11-12), pages 499-520, December.
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    45. Carbone, Jared C. & Gazzale, Robert S., 2017. "A shared sense of responsibility: Money versus effort contributions in the voluntary provision of public goods," Journal of Economic Behavior & Organization, Elsevier, vol. 139(C), pages 74-87.
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    49. Nergiz Dincer & Barry Eichengreen, 2009. "Central Bank Transparency: Causes, Consequences and Updates," NBER Working Papers 14791, National Bureau of Economic Research, Inc.
    50. Robert Lavigne & Rhys R. Mendes & Subrata Sarker, 2012. "Inflation Targeting: The Recent International Experience," Bank of Canada Review, Bank of Canada, vol. 2012(Spring), pages 16-28.
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    54. Kevin Clinton & Charles Freedman & Michel Juillard & Mr. Ondrej Kamenik & Mr. Douglas Laxton & Hou Wang, 2015. "Inflation-Forecast Targeting: Applying the Principle of Transparency," IMF Working Papers 2015/132, International Monetary Fund.
    55. Oleksiy Kryvtsov & Luba Petersen, 2019. "Central Bank Communication That Works: Lessons from Lab Experiments," Staff Working Papers 19-21, Bank of Canada.
    56. Meredith J. Beechey & Benjamin K. Johannsen & Andrew T. Levin, 2008. "Are long-run inflation expectations anchored more firmly in the Euro area than in the United States?," Finance and Economics Discussion Series 2008-23, Board of Governors of the Federal Reserve System (U.S.).
    57. Nikos Apokoritis & Gabriele Galati & Richhild Moessner & Federica Teppa, 2019. "Inflation expectations anchoring: new insights from micro evidence of a survey at high-frequency and of distributions," BIS Working Papers 809, Bank for International Settlements.
    58. Vaishali Garga & Aeimit K. Lakdawala & Rajeswari Sengupta, 2022. "Assessing Central Bank Commitment to Inflation Targeting: Evidence from Financial Market Expectations in India," Working Papers 22-19, Federal Reserve Bank of Boston.
    59. Csermely, Ágnes, 2006. "Az inflációs cél követésének rendszere Magyarországon [The system for targeting inflation goals in Hungary]," Közgazdasági Szemle (Economic Review - monthly of the Hungarian Academy of Sciences), Közgazdasági Szemle Alapítvány (Economic Review Foundation), vol. 0(12), pages 1058-1079.
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  24. Glenn D. Rudebusch & Brian P. Sack & Eric T. Swanson, 2006. "Macroeconomic implications of changes in the term premium," Working Paper Series 2006-46, Federal Reserve Bank of San Francisco.

    Cited by:

    1. Hans Dewachter & Leonardo Iania & Marco Lyrio, 2014. "Information in the yield curve: A Macro-Finance approach," Working Paper Research 254, National Bank of Belgium.
    2. Yunus Aksoy & Henriqu S Basso, 2012. "Liquidity, Term Spreads and Monetary Policy," Birkbeck Working Papers in Economics and Finance 1211, Birkbeck, Department of Economics, Mathematics & Statistics.
    3. Kliem, Martin & Meyer-Gohde, Alexander, 2017. "(Un)expected Monetary Policy Shocks and Term Premia," SFB 649 Discussion Papers 2017-015, Humboldt University Berlin, Collaborative Research Center 649: Economic Risk.
    4. Martin Pažický, 2021. "Predicting Recessions in Germany Using the German and the US Yield Curve," Journal of Business Cycle Research, Springer;Centre for International Research on Economic Tendency Surveys (CIRET), vol. 17(3), pages 263-291, December.
    5. McMillan, David G., 2021. "When and why do stock and bond markets predict US economic growth?," The Quarterly Review of Economics and Finance, Elsevier, vol. 80(C), pages 331-343.
    6. Michael D. Bauer & Glenn D. Rudebusch, 2014. "The Signaling Channel for Federal Reserve Bond Purchases," International Journal of Central Banking, International Journal of Central Banking, vol. 10(3), pages 233-289, September.
    7. Taboga, Marco & Pericoli, Marcello, 2008. "Bond risk premia, macroeconomic fundamentals and the exchange rate," MPRA Paper 9523, University Library of Munich, Germany.
    8. Pereira, Manuel C, 2009. "A new measure of fiscal shocks based on budget forecasts and its implications," MPRA Paper 17475, University Library of Munich, Germany.
    9. Belke, Ansgar & Gros, Daniel & Osowski, Thomas, 2016. "Did quantitative easing affect interest rates outside the US? New evidence based on interest tate differentials," Ruhr Economic Papers 600, RWI - Leibniz-Institut für Wirtschaftsforschung, Ruhr-University Bochum, TU Dortmund University, University of Duisburg-Essen.
    10. Petra Gerlach-Kristen & Barbara Rudolf, 2010. "Macroeconomic and interest rate volatility under alternative monetary operating procedures," BIS Working Papers 319, Bank for International Settlements.
    11. Mr. Wendell A. Samuel & Emilio Pineda & Mr. Mario Dehesa, 2009. "Optimal Reserves in the Eastern Caribbean Currency Union," IMF Working Papers 2009/077, International Monetary Fund.
    12. Bingbing Dong, 2014. "Asset Pricing and Monetary Policy," 2014 Meeting Papers 881, Society for Economic Dynamics.
    13. Bordo, Michael D. & Haubrich, Joseph G., 2024. "Low interest rates and the predictive content of the yield curve," The North American Journal of Economics and Finance, Elsevier, vol. 71(C).
    14. Guimarães, Rodrigo, 2014. "Expectations, risk premia and information spanning in dynamic term structure model estimation," Bank of England working papers 489, Bank of England.
    15. Paolo Zagaglia, 2013. "Forecasting Long-Term Interest Rates with a General-Equilibrium Model of the Euro Area: What Role for Liquidity Services of Bonds?," Asia-Pacific Financial Markets, Springer;Japanese Association of Financial Economics and Engineering, vol. 20(4), pages 383-430, November.
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    17. Bini Smaghi, Lorenzo, 2007. "Global imbalances and monetary policy," Journal of Policy Modeling, Elsevier, vol. 29(5), pages 711-727.
    18. Ireland, Peter N., 2015. "Monetary policy, bond risk premia, and the economy," Journal of Monetary Economics, Elsevier, vol. 76(C), pages 124-140.
    19. Glenn D. Rudebusch, 2010. "Macro-finance models of interest rates and the economy," Working Paper Series 2010-01, Federal Reserve Bank of San Francisco.
    20. Elizondo Rocío, 2023. "The Three Intelligible Factors of the Yield Curve in Mexico," Working Papers 2023-13, Banco de México.
    21. Ray C. Fair, 2008. "Estimating Term Structure Equations Using Macroeconomic Variables," Cowles Foundation Discussion Papers 1634, Cowles Foundation for Research in Economics, Yale University.
    22. Pesaran, M. Hashem & Schuermann, Til & Smith, L. Vanessa, 2009. "Forecasting economic and financial variables with global VARs," International Journal of Forecasting, Elsevier, vol. 25(4), pages 642-675, October.
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    24. Borio, Claudio & Zhu, Haibin, 2012. "Capital regulation, risk-taking and monetary policy: A missing link in the transmission mechanism?," Journal of Financial Stability, Elsevier, vol. 8(4), pages 236-251.
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    26. Ferre de Graeve & Maarten Dossche & Marina Emiris & Henri Sneessens & Raf Wouters, 2009. "Risk Premiums and Macroeconomic Dynamics in a Heterogeneous Agent Model," DEM Discussion Paper Series 09-17, Department of Economics at the University of Luxembourg.
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    29. Mirkov, Nikola, 2012. "International Financial Transmission of the US Monetary Policy: An Empirical Assessment," Working Papers on Finance 1201, University of St. Gallen, School of Finance.
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    31. Francois John Nana, 2020. "Foreign official holdings of US treasuries, stock effect and the economy: a DSGE approach," The B.E. Journal of Macroeconomics, De Gruyter, vol. 20(1), pages 1-28, January.
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    35. Jeanne, Olivier & Rancière, Romain, 2008. "The Optimal Level of International Reserves For Emerging Market Countries: A New Formula and Some Applications," CEPR Discussion Papers 6723, C.E.P.R. Discussion Papers.
    36. Marcello, Pericoli & Marco, Taboga, 2005. "A specification analysis of discrete-time no-arbitrage term structure models with observable and unobservable factors," MPRA Paper 4969, University Library of Munich, Germany, revised Sep 2007.
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    38. Yu-chin Chen & Kwok Ping Tsang, 2011. "A Macro-Finance Approach to Exchange Rate Determination," Working Papers 012011, Hong Kong Institute for Monetary Research.
    39. Rangan Gupta & Hylton Hollander & Rudi Steinbach, 2020. "Forecasting output growth using a DSGE-based decomposition of the South African yield curve," Empirical Economics, Springer, vol. 58(1), pages 351-378, January.
    40. Luis Ceballos & Alberto Naudon & Damián Romero, 2016. "Nominal term structure and term premia: evidence from Chile," Applied Economics, Taylor & Francis Journals, vol. 48(29), pages 2721-2735, June.
    41. John H. Cochrane, 2009. "Comment on "On the Need for a New Approach to Analyzing Monetary Policy"," NBER Chapters, in: NBER Macroeconomics Annual 2008, Volume 23, pages 427-448, National Bureau of Economic Research, Inc.
    42. Morell, Joseph, 2018. "The decline in the predictive power of the US term spread: A structural interpretation," Journal of Macroeconomics, Elsevier, vol. 55(C), pages 314-331.
    43. Eric T. Swanson, 2007. "What we do and don't know about the term premium," FRBSF Economic Letter, Federal Reserve Bank of San Francisco, issue jul20.
    44. Michael T. Kiley, 2014. "The Aggregate Demand Effects of Short- and Long-Term Interest Rates," International Journal of Central Banking, International Journal of Central Banking, vol. 10(4), pages 69-104, December.
    45. Rajmund MIRDALA, 2015. "Decomposing Euro Area Sovereign Debt Yields into Inflation Expectations and Expected Real Interest Rates," Journal of Advanced Research in Law and Economics, ASERS Publishing, vol. 6(4), pages 714-737.
    46. Rudebusch, Glenn D. & Swanson, Eric T., 2008. "Examining the bond premium puzzle with a DSGE model," Journal of Monetary Economics, Elsevier, vol. 55(Supplemen), pages 111-126, October.
    47. Anna Florio, 2016. "The central bank as shaper and observer of events: The case of the yield spread," Canadian Journal of Economics, Canadian Economics Association, vol. 49(1), pages 320-346, February.
    48. Gilchrist, Simon & López-Salido, J David & Zakrajsek, Egon, 2014. "Monetary Policy and Real Borrowing Costs at the Zero Lower Bound," CEPR Discussion Papers 9971, C.E.P.R. Discussion Papers.
    49. Francesco Bianchi & Howard Kung & Mikhail Tirskikh, 2019. "The Origins and Effects of Macroeconomic Uncertainty," 2019 Meeting Papers 245, Society for Economic Dynamics.
    50. Katagiri, Mitsuru & Takahashi, Koji, 2023. "Do term premiums matter? Transmission via exchange rate dynamics," Journal of International Money and Finance, Elsevier, vol. 139(C).
    51. Camelia Minoiu & Andrés Schneider & Min Wei, 2023. "Why Does the Yield Curve Predict GDP Growth? The Role of Banks," FRB Atlanta Working Paper 2023-14, Federal Reserve Bank of Atlanta.
    52. Zagaglia, Paolo, 2009. "Forecasting with a DSGE Model of the term Structure of Interest Rates: The Role of the Feedback," Research Papers in Economics 2009:14, Stockholm University, Department of Economics.
    53. Grzegorz Wesoƚowski, 2018. "Do long-term interest rates drive GDP and inflation in small open economies? Evidence from Poland," Applied Economics, Taylor & Francis Journals, vol. 50(57), pages 6174-6192, December.
    54. Christiane Baumeister & Luca Benati, 2012. "Unconventional Monetary Policy and the Great Recession: Estimating the Macroeconomic Effects of a Spread Compression at the Zero Lower Bound," Staff Working Papers 12-21, Bank of Canada.
    55. Catte, Pietro & Cova, Pietro & Pagano, Patrizio & Visco, Ignazio, 2011. "The role of macroeconomic policies in the global crisis," Journal of Policy Modeling, Elsevier, vol. 33(6), pages 787-803.
    56. Eric Swanson, 2015. "A Macroeconomic Model of Equities and Real, Nominal, and Defaultable Debt," 2015 Meeting Papers 273, Society for Economic Dynamics.
    57. Richard K. Crump & Stefano Eusepi & Emanuel Moench, 2016. "The term structure of expectations and bond yields," Staff Reports 775, Federal Reserve Bank of New York.
    58. Darvas, Zsolt & Schepp, Zoltán, 2007. "Kelet-közép-európai devizaárfolyamok előrejelzése határidős árfolyamok segítségével [Forecasting the exchange rates of three Central-Eastern European currencies with forward exchange rates]," Közgazdasági Szemle (Economic Review - monthly of the Hungarian Academy of Sciences), Közgazdasági Szemle Alapítvány (Economic Review Foundation), vol. 0(6), pages 501-528.
    59. Elena Pelinescu & Mihaela Simionescu, 2017. "The Effects of the Recent Economic and Financial Crisis on the Romanian Economy," Working papers Globalization - Economic, Social and Moral Implications, April 2017 15, Research Association for Interdisciplinary Studies.
    60. Juneja, Januj A., 2016. "Financial crises and estimation bias in international bond markets," Research in International Business and Finance, Elsevier, vol. 38(C), pages 593-607.
    61. John H. Cochrane, 2007. "Commentary on \\"Macroeconomic implications of changes in the term premium\\"," Review, Federal Reserve Bank of St. Louis, vol. 89(Jul), pages 271-282.
    62. Sharon Kozicki & Peter A. Tinsley, 2005. "Term structure transmission of monetary policy," Research Working Paper RWP 05-06, Federal Reserve Bank of Kansas City.
    63. Felix Geiger, 2009. "International Interest-Rate Risk Premia in Affine Term Structure Models," Diskussionspapiere aus dem Institut für Volkswirtschaftslehre der Universität Hohenheim 316/2009, Department of Economics, University of Hohenheim, Germany.
    64. Pažický Martin, 2021. "Oil price shock in the US and the euro area – evidence from the shadow rate and the term premium," Review of Economic Perspectives, Sciendo, vol. 21(3), pages 309-346, September.
    65. Modena, Matteo, 2008. "Yield curve, time varying term premia, and business cycle fluctuations," MPRA Paper 8873, University Library of Munich, Germany.
    66. Mirdala, Rajmund, 2014. "Interest Rates and Structural Shocks in European Transition Economies," MPRA Paper 62031, University Library of Munich, Germany.
    67. Aguilar-Argaez Ana María & Diego-Fernández Forseck María & Elizondo Rocío & Roldán-Peña Jessica, 2020. "Term Premium Dynamics and its Determinants: The Mexican Case," Working Papers 2020-18, Banco de México.
    68. Sophocles N. Brissimis & Evangelia A. Georgiou, 2022. "The effects of Federal Reserve's quantitative easing and balance sheet normalization policies on long-term interest rates," Working Papers 299, Bank of Greece.
    69. Olivier Jeanne, 2007. "International Reserves in Emerging Market Countries: Too Much of a Good Thing?," Brookings Papers on Economic Activity, Economic Studies Program, The Brookings Institution, vol. 38(1), pages 1-80.
    70. De Graeve, Ferre & Emiris, Marina & Wouters, Raf, 2009. "A structural decomposition of the US yield curve," Journal of Monetary Economics, Elsevier, vol. 56(4), pages 545-559, May.
    71. Lange, Ronald Henry, 2018. "The predictive content of the term premium for GDP growth in Canada: Evidence from linear, Markov-switching and probit estimations," The North American Journal of Economics and Finance, Elsevier, vol. 44(C), pages 80-91.
    72. Jiyoung Lee, 2015. "Disentangling the Predictive Power of Term Spreads under Inflation Targeting," International Economic Journal, Taylor & Francis Journals, vol. 29(3), pages 419-450, September.
    73. Hou, Keqiang & Li, Xing & Li, Zeguang & Wu, Ting, 2021. "Forecasting bond returns in a macro model," International Review of Economics & Finance, Elsevier, vol. 72(C), pages 524-545.
    74. Glenn D. Rudebusch & Eric T. Swanson, 2008. "The bond premium in a DSGE model with long-run real and nominal risks," Working Paper Research 143, National Bank of Belgium.
    75. Craig S. Hakkio & Andrew Lee Smith, 2017. "Bond Premiums and the Natural Real Rate of Interest," Economic Review, Federal Reserve Bank of Kansas City, issue Q I, pages 5-39.
    76. Martin Møller Andreasen, 2008. "Explaining Macroeconomic and Term Structure Dynamics Jointly in a Non-linear DSGE Model," CREATES Research Papers 2008-43, Department of Economics and Business Economics, Aarhus University.
    77. Juneja, Januj, 2017. "How Germany benefits the most from its Eurozone membership," Research in International Business and Finance, Elsevier, vol. 42(C), pages 1074-1088.
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  25. Monika Piazzesi & Eric T. Swanson, 2006. "Futures prices as risk-adjusted forecasts of monetary policy," Working Paper Series 2006-23, Federal Reserve Bank of San Francisco.

    Cited by:

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  26. Levin, Andrew & Gürkaynak, Refet & Swanson, Eric T., 2006. "Does Inflation Targeting Anchor Long-Run Inflation Expectations? Evidence from Long-Term Bond Yields in the US, UK and Sweden," CEPR Discussion Papers 5808, C.E.P.R. Discussion Papers.

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    7. Carrasco, Carlos A., 2013. "El Nuevo Consenso Macroeconómico y la mediocridad del crecimiento económico en México [New Consensus Macroeconomics and the mediocrity of economic growth in Mexico]," MPRA Paper 53391, University Library of Munich, Germany.
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    86. Stojanovikj, Martin, 2022. "Can inflation targeting reduce price information asymmetry and alleviate corruptive behavior? Evidence from developing countries," Economic Systems, Elsevier, vol. 46(3).
    87. Menachem Brenner & Meir Sokoler, 2010. "Inflation Targeting and Exchange Rate Regimes: Evidence from the Financial Markets," Review of Finance, European Finance Association, vol. 14(2), pages 295-311.
    88. Jonathan H. Wright, 2008. "Term premiums and inflation uncertainty: empirical evidence from an international panel dataset," Finance and Economics Discussion Series 2008-25, Board of Governors of the Federal Reserve System (U.S.).
    89. Christine Fay & Toni Gravelle, 2010. "Has the Inclusion of Forward-Looking Statements in Monetary Policy Communications Made the Bank of Canada More Transparent?," Discussion Papers 10-15, Bank of Canada.

  27. Glenn D. Rudebusch & Eric T. Swanson & Tao Wu, 2006. "The bond yield \"conundrum\" from a macro-finance perspective," Working Paper Series 2006-16, Federal Reserve Bank of San Francisco.

    Cited by:

    1. Taboga, Marco, 2007. "Structural change and the bond yield conundrum," MPRA Paper 4965, University Library of Munich, Germany.
    2. Kliem, Martin & Meyer-Gohde, Alexander, 2017. "(Un)expected Monetary Policy Shocks and Term Premia," SFB 649 Discussion Papers 2017-015, Humboldt University Berlin, Collaborative Research Center 649: Economic Risk.
    3. Luis Gil-Alana & Antonio Moreno, 2007. "Uncovering the U.S. Term Premium: An Alternative Route," Faculty Working Papers 12/07, School of Economics and Business Administration, University of Navarra.
    4. Diebold, Francis X. & Yilmaz, Kamil, 2015. "Financial and Macroeconomic Connectedness: A Network Approach to Measurement and Monitoring," OUP Catalogue, Oxford University Press, number 9780199338306.
    5. Mehmet Pasaogullari & Simeon Tsonevy, 2011. "The term structure of inflation compensation in the nominal yield curve," Working Papers (Old Series) 1133, Federal Reserve Bank of Cleveland.
    6. Andrew Atkeson & Patrick J. Kehoe, 2008. "On the Need for a New Approach to Analyzing Monetary Policy," NBER Working Papers 14260, National Bureau of Economic Research, Inc.
    7. Mansur, Alfan & Al Arif, Munafsin, 2017. "Dampak Kepemilikan Asing terhadap Pasar Surat Berharga Negara (SBN) Indonesia [The Impact of Foreign Ownership on the Indonesian Government Bonds Market]," MPRA Paper 93944, University Library of Munich, Germany, revised 14 Jun 2017.
    8. Daniel L. Thornton, 2012. "Greenspan’s conundrum and the Fed’s ability to affect long-term yields," Working Papers 2012-036, Federal Reserve Bank of St. Louis.
    9. Catherine L. Mann & Oren Klachkin, 2014. "U.S. Treasury Auction Yields Before and During Quantitative Easing: Market Factors vs.Auction Specific Factors," Working Papers 67, Brandeis University, Department of Economics and International Business School.
    10. Leo Krippner, 2012. "A theoretical foundation for the Nelson and Siegel class of yield curve models," CAMA Working Papers 2012-11, Centre for Applied Macroeconomic Analysis, Crawford School of Public Policy, The Australian National University.
    11. Ben S. Bernanke & Carol C. Bertaut & Steven B. Kamin & Laurie Pounder DeMarco, 2011. "International capital flows and the returns to safe assets in the United States, 2003-2007," International Finance Discussion Papers 1014, Board of Governors of the Federal Reserve System (U.S.).
    12. Ioannidis, Christos & Ka, Kook, 2018. "The impact of oil price shocks on the term structure of interest rates," Energy Economics, Elsevier, vol. 72(C), pages 601-620.
    13. David K. Backus & Jonathan H. Wright, 2007. "Cracking the Conundrum," Brookings Papers on Economic Activity, Economic Studies Program, The Brookings Institution, vol. 38(1), pages 293-329.
    14. Glenn D. Rudebusch, 2010. "Macro-finance models of interest rates and the economy," Working Paper Series 2010-01, Federal Reserve Bank of San Francisco.
    15. Joseph P Byrne & Giorgio Fazio & Norbert Fiess, 2010. "Domestic vs. International Correlations of Interest Rate Maturities," Economics Bulletin, AccessEcon, vol. 30(2), pages 1082-1090.
    16. Kaminska, Iryna & Vayanos, Dimitri & Zinna, Gabriele, 2011. "Preferred-habitat investors and the US term structure of real rates," LSE Research Online Documents on Economics 119074, London School of Economics and Political Science, LSE Library.
    17. Mönch, Emanuel, 2005. "Forecasting the yield curve in a data-rich environment: a no-arbitrage factor-augmented VAR approach," Working Paper Series 544, European Central Bank.
    18. Jens H. E. Christensen & Francis X. Diebold & Glenn D. Rudebusch, 2007. "The Affine Arbitrage-Free Class of Nelson-Siegel Term Structure Models," PIER Working Paper Archive 07-029, Penn Institute for Economic Research, Department of Economics, University of Pennsylvania.
    19. Junko Koeda & Ryo Kato, 2010. "The Role of Monetary Policy Uncertainty in the Term Structure of Interest Rates," IMES Discussion Paper Series 10-E-24, Institute for Monetary and Economic Studies, Bank of Japan.
    20. Refet S. Gürkaynak & Jonathan H. Wright, 2012. "Macroeconomics and the Term Structure," Journal of Economic Literature, American Economic Association, vol. 50(2), pages 331-367, June.
    21. Liuren Wu & Frank Xiaoling Zhang, 2008. "A No-Arbitrage Analysis of Macroeconomic Determinants of the Credit Spread Term Structure," Management Science, INFORMS, vol. 54(6), pages 1160-1175, June.
    22. Kaminska, Iryna, 2008. "A no-arbitrage structural vector autoregressive model of the UK yield curve," Bank of England working papers 357, Bank of England.
    23. Mr. Emil Stavrev & Mr. Thomas Harjes & Mr. Martin Cihak, 2009. "Euro Area Monetary Policy in Uncharted Waters," IMF Working Papers 2009/185, International Monetary Fund.
    24. Dong He & Robert N. McCauley, 2010. "Offshore Markets for the Domestic Currency: Monetary and Financial Stability Issues," Working Papers 1002, Hong Kong Monetary Authority.
    25. Glenn D. Rudebusch, 2006. "Monetary Policy Inertia: Fact or Fiction?," International Journal of Central Banking, International Journal of Central Banking, vol. 2(4), December.
    26. Daniel L. Thornton, 2008. "The unusual behavior of the federal funds and 10-year Treasury rates: a conundrum or Goodhart’s Law?," Working Papers 2007-039, Federal Reserve Bank of St. Louis.
    27. James D. Hamilton & Jing Cynthia Wu, 2011. "Testable Implications of Affine Term Structure Models," NBER Working Papers 16931, National Bureau of Economic Research, Inc.
    28. Rudebusch, Glenn D. & Swanson, Eric T., 2008. "Examining the bond premium puzzle with a DSGE model," Journal of Monetary Economics, Elsevier, vol. 55(Supplemen), pages 111-126, October.
    29. Anna Florio, 2016. "The central bank as shaper and observer of events: The case of the yield spread," Canadian Journal of Economics, Canadian Economics Association, vol. 49(1), pages 320-346, February.
    30. Bandholz, Harm & Clostermann, Jörg & Seitz, Franz, 2007. "Explaining the US bond yield conundrum," Weidener Diskussionspapiere 2, University of Applied Sciences Amberg-Weiden (OTH).
    31. Eijffinger, S.C.W. & Mahieu, R.J. & Raes, L.B.D., 2010. "The Bond Yield Conundrum : Alternative Hypotheses and the State of the Economy," Other publications TiSEM 8b320ebf-1447-46c9-82e3-c, Tilburg University, School of Economics and Management.
    32. Saar, Dan & Yagil, Yossi, 2015. "Forecasting growth and stock performance using government and corporate yield curves: Evidence from the European and Asian markets," Journal of International Financial Markets, Institutions and Money, Elsevier, vol. 37(C), pages 27-41.
    33. James D. Hamilton & Jing Cynthia Wu, 2012. "Identification and Estimation of Gaussian Affine Term Structure Models," NBER Working Papers 17772, National Bureau of Economic Research, Inc.
    34. Yunus Aksoy & Henrique S. Basso, 2015. "Securitization and Asset Prices," CESifo Working Paper Series 5213, CESifo.
    35. Glenn D. Rudebusch & Brian P. Sack & Eric T. Swanson, 2006. "Macroeconomic implications of changes in the term premium," Working Paper Series 2006-46, Federal Reserve Bank of San Francisco.
    36. Taboga, Marco, 2009. "Macro-finance VARs and bond risk premia: A caveat," Review of Financial Economics, Elsevier, vol. 18(4), pages 163-171, October.
    37. Junko Koeda & Ryo Kato, 2010. "The Role of Uncertainty in the Term Structure of Interest Rates: A Macro-Finance Perspective," CARF F-Series CARF-F-207, Center for Advanced Research in Finance, Faculty of Economics, The University of Tokyo.
    38. Hibiki Ichiue & Yoichi Ueno, 2007. "Equilibrium Interest Rate and the Yield Curve in a Low Interest Rate Environment," Bank of Japan Working Paper Series 07-E-18, Bank of Japan.
    39. Menzie D. Chinn & Kavan J. Kucko, 2010. "The Predictive Power of the Yield Curve across Countries and Time," NBER Working Papers 16398, National Bureau of Economic Research, Inc.
    40. Paolo Angelini & Sergio Nicoletti-Altimari & Ignazio Visco, 2012. "Macroprudential, microprudential and monetary policies: conflicts, complementarities and trade-offs," Questioni di Economia e Finanza (Occasional Papers) 140, Bank of Italy, Economic Research and International Relations Area.
    41. Felix Geiger, 2009. "International Interest-Rate Risk Premia in Affine Term Structure Models," Diskussionspapiere aus dem Institut für Volkswirtschaftslehre der Universität Hohenheim 316/2009, Department of Economics, University of Hohenheim, Germany.
    42. Serkan Arslanalp & Tigran Poghosyan, 2016. "Foreign Investor Flows and Sovereign Bond Yields in Advanced Economies," Journal of Banking and Financial Economics, University of Warsaw, Faculty of Management, vol. 2(6), pages 45-67, June.
    43. Weißbach, Rafael & Ponyatovskyy, Vladyslav & Zimmermann, Guido, 2006. "The Yield of Ten-Year T-Bonds: Stumbling Towards a 'Good' Forecast," Technical Reports 2006,50, Technische Universität Dortmund, Sonderforschungsbereich 475: Komplexitätsreduktion in multivariaten Datenstrukturen.
    44. de Roode, F.A., 2014. "Model uncertainty in financial markets : Long run risk and parameter uncertainty," Other publications TiSEM c425daf8-c7a3-4ea4-8b18-3, Tilburg University, School of Economics and Management.
    45. Andrew Hughes Hallett & Ansgar Rannenberg & Sven Schreiber, 2017. "Reassessing the Impact of the US Fiscal Stimulus: The Role of the Monetary Policy Stance," International Business Research, Canadian Center of Science and Education, vol. 10(4), pages 12-31, April.
    46. Iryna Kaminska & Gabriele Zinna, 2014. "Official Demand for U.S. Debt: Implications for U.S. Real Interest Rates," IMF Working Papers 2014/066, International Monetary Fund.
    47. Gregory Bauer & Antonio Diez de los Rios, 2012. "An International Dynamic Term Structure Model with Economic Restrictions and Unspanned Risks," Staff Working Papers 12-5, Bank of Canada.
    48. Lange, Ronald H., 2017. "The expected real yield and inflation components of the nominal yield curve," The North American Journal of Economics and Finance, Elsevier, vol. 39(C), pages 1-18.
    49. Hasan Cömert, 2012. "Decoupling between the Federal Funds Rate and Long-term Interest Rates: Decreasing Effectiveness of Monetary Policy in the U.S," Working Papers wp295, Political Economy Research Institute, University of Massachusetts at Amherst.
    50. Goda, Thomas & Lysandrou, Photis & Stewart, Chris, 2013. "The contribution of US bond demand to the US bond yield conundrum of 2004–2007: An empirical investigation," Journal of International Financial Markets, Institutions and Money, Elsevier, vol. 27(C), pages 113-136.
    51. Catherine Mann & Oren Klachkin, 2015. "Has Quantitative Easing Affected the U.S. Treasury Auction Market?," Atlantic Economic Journal, Springer;International Atlantic Economic Society, vol. 43(1), pages 135-146, March.
    52. Simeon Coleman & Kavita Sirichand, 2014. "International yield curve comovements: impact of the recent financial crisis," Discussion Paper Series 2014_07, Department of Economics, Loughborough University, revised Jul 2014.
    53. Jardet, C. & Monfort, A. & Pegoraro, F., 2009. "No-arbitrage Near-Cointegrated VAR(p) Term Structure Models, Term Premia and GDP Growth," Working papers 234, Banque de France.
    54. Troy Davig & Jeffrey R. Gerlach, 2006. "State-Dependent Stock Market Reactions to Monetary Policy," International Journal of Central Banking, International Journal of Central Banking, vol. 2(4), December.
    55. Samuel Maurer & Joshua V. Rosenberg, 2008. "Signal or noise? Implications of the term premium for recession forecasting," Economic Policy Review, Federal Reserve Bank of New York, vol. 14(Jul), pages 1-11.
    56. Bertaut, Carol & DeMarco, Laurie Pounder & Kamin, Steven & Tryon, Ralph, 2012. "ABS inflows to the United States and the global financial crisis," Journal of International Economics, Elsevier, vol. 88(2), pages 219-234.
    57. Joslin, Scott & Konchitchki, Yaniv, 2018. "Interest rate volatility, the yield curve, and the macroeconomy," Journal of Financial Economics, Elsevier, vol. 128(2), pages 344-362.
    58. Lange, Ronald H., 2015. "International long-term yields and monetary policy in a small open economy: The case of Canada," The North American Journal of Economics and Finance, Elsevier, vol. 31(C), pages 292-310.
    59. Carol Bertaut & Laurie Pounder DeMarco & Steven B. Kamin & Ralph W. Tryon, 2011. "ABS Inflows to the United States and the Global Financial Crisis," NBER Working Papers 17350, National Bureau of Economic Research, Inc.
    60. Carol C. Bertaut & Steven B. Kamin & Laurie Pounder DeMarco & Ralph W. Tryon, 2011. "ABS inflows to the United States and the global financial crisis," International Finance Discussion Papers 1028, Board of Governors of the Federal Reserve System (U.S.).

  28. Eric T. Swanson, 2006. "The relative price and relative productivity channels for aggregate fluctuations," Working Paper Series 2006-20, Federal Reserve Bank of San Francisco.

    Cited by:

    1. Luca Guerrieri & Dale Henderson & Jinill Kim, 2014. "Modeling Investment‐Sector Efficiency Shocks: When Does Disaggregation Matter?," International Economic Review, Department of Economics, University of Pennsylvania and Osaka University Institute of Social and Economic Research Association, vol. 55(3), pages 891-917, August.
    2. Michael Kloß & Oskar Krohmer & Joachim Ragnitz, 2012. "Self-financing of Government Aid Programs," ifo Dresden Studien, ifo Institute - Leibniz Institute for Economic Research at the University of Munich, number 66.
    3. Susanto Basu & John G. Fernald, 1997. "Aggregate productivity and aggregate technology," International Finance Discussion Papers 593, Board of Governors of the Federal Reserve System (U.S.).
    4. Sean HOLLY & Ivan PETRELLA, 2010. "Factor demand linkages, technology shocks and the business cycle," Working Papers of Department of Economics, Leuven ces10.26, KU Leuven, Faculty of Economics and Business (FEB), Department of Economics, Leuven.
    5. Gabler Alain, 2011. "Sector-Specific Markup Fluctuations and the Business Cycle: A Cross-Country Analysis," The B.E. Journal of Macroeconomics, De Gruyter, vol. 11(1), pages 1-32, December.
    6. Bianca Barbaro & Giorgio Massari & Patrizio Tirelli, 2022. "Who killed business dynamism in the U.S.?," Working Papers 494, University of Milano-Bicocca, Department of Economics, revised Aug 2022.

  29. Gary S. Anderson & Andrew T. Levin & Eric T. Swanson, 2006. "Higher-order perturbation solutions to dynamic, discrete-time rational expectations models," Working Paper Series 2006-01, Federal Reserve Bank of San Francisco.

    Cited by:

    1. Susanto Basu & Brent Bundick, 2011. "Uncertainty Shocks in a Model of Effective Demand," Boston College Working Papers in Economics 774, Boston College Department of Economics, revised 01 Nov 2015.
    2. Kollmann, Robert & Kim, Jinill & Kim, Sunghyun H., 2011. "Solving the multi-country Real Business Cycle model using a perturbation method," Journal of Economic Dynamics and Control, Elsevier, vol. 35(2), pages 203-206, February.
    3. Sherwin Lott, 2018. "Perturbations in DSGE Models: Odd Derivatives Theorem," PIER Working Paper Archive 18-011, Penn Institute for Economic Research, Department of Economics, University of Pennsylvania, revised 21 May 2018.
    4. Luigi MARATTIN & Massimiliano MARZO & Paolo ZAGAGLIA, 2010. "Distortionary Tax Instruments and Implementable Monetary Policy," EcoMod2010 259600110, EcoMod.
    5. Meyer-Gohde, Alexander, 2014. "Risky linear approximations," SFB 649 Discussion Papers 2014-034, Humboldt University Berlin, Collaborative Research Center 649: Economic Risk.
    6. Taisuke Nakata, 2013. "Welfare costs of shifting trend inflation," Finance and Economics Discussion Series 2013-12, Board of Governors of the Federal Reserve System (U.S.).
    7. Michael Plante & Nora Traum, 2012. "Time-Varying Oil Price Volatility and Macroeconomic Aggregates," CAEPR Working Papers 2012-002, Center for Applied Economics and Policy Research, Department of Economics, Indiana University Bloomington.
    8. Viktors Ajevskis, 2013. "Non-Local Solutions to Dynamic Equilibrium Models: the Approximate Stable Manifolds Approach," Working Papers 2013/03, Latvijas Banka.
    9. Yi Wen & Huabin Wu, 2011. "Dynamics of externalities: a second-order perspective," Review, Federal Reserve Bank of St. Louis, vol. 93(May), pages 187-206.
    10. L. Marattin & S. Salotti, 2009. "The Response of Private Consumption to Different Public Spending Categories: VAR Evidence from UK," Working Papers 670, Dipartimento Scienze Economiche, Universita' di Bologna.
    11. Rubio-Ramírez, Juan Francisco & Schorfheide, Frank & Fernández-Villaverde, Jesús, 2015. "Solution and Estimation Methods for DSGE Models," CEPR Discussion Papers 11032, C.E.P.R. Discussion Papers.
    12. Levintal, Oren, 2017. "Fifth-order perturbation solution to DSGE models," Journal of Economic Dynamics and Control, Elsevier, vol. 80(C), pages 1-16.
    13. Denny Lie, 2015. "Straightforward Approximate Stochastic Equilibria for Nonlinear Rational Expectations Models," 2015 Meeting Papers 523, Society for Economic Dynamics.
    14. Andreasen , Martin & Zabczyk, Pawel, 2011. "An efficient method of computing higher-order bond price perturbation approximations," Bank of England working papers 416, Bank of England.
    15. Meyer-Gohde, Alexander & Saecker, Johanna, 2024. "Solving linear DSGE models with Newton methods," Economic Modelling, Elsevier, vol. 133(C).
    16. M. Marzo & I. Strid & P. Zagaglia, 2006. "Optimal Opportunistic Monetary Policy in A New-Keynesian Model," Working Papers 573, Dipartimento Scienze Economiche, Universita' di Bologna.
    17. Eric Swanson, 2013. "Implications of Labor Market Frictions for Risk Aversion and Risk Premia," 2013 Meeting Papers 1137, Society for Economic Dynamics.
    18. Yıldırım-Karaman, Seçil, 2018. "Uncertainty in financial markets and business cycles," Economic Modelling, Elsevier, vol. 68(C), pages 329-339.
    19. Schorfheide, Frank & An, Sungbae, 2005. "Bayesian Analysis of DSGE Models," CEPR Discussion Papers 5207, C.E.P.R. Discussion Papers.
    20. Eric T. Swanson, 2012. "Risk aversion, risk premia, and the labor margin with generalized recursive preferences," Working Paper Series 2012-17, Federal Reserve Bank of San Francisco.
    21. Rudebusch, Glenn D. & Swanson, Eric T., 2008. "Examining the bond premium puzzle with a DSGE model," Journal of Monetary Economics, Elsevier, vol. 55(Supplemen), pages 111-126, October.
    22. Maral Shamloo & Aytek Malkhozov, 2010. "Asset Prices in a News Driven Real Business Cycle Model," 2010 Meeting Papers 546, Society for Economic Dynamics.
    23. Lan, Hong & Meyer-Gohde, Alexander, 2014. "Solvability of perturbation solutions in DSGE models," Journal of Economic Dynamics and Control, Elsevier, vol. 45(C), pages 366-388.
    24. Lan, Hong & Meyer-Gohde, Alexander, 2012. "Existence and Uniqueness of Perturbation Solutions in DSGE Models," Dynare Working Papers 14, CEPREMAP.
    25. Martin Andreasen, 2012. "On the Effects of Rare Disasters and Uncertainty Shocks for Risk Premia in Non-Linear DSGE Models," Review of Economic Dynamics, Elsevier for the Society for Economic Dynamics, vol. 15(3), pages 295-316, July.
    26. Thomas Mertens, 2012. "Solving General Incomplete Market Models with Substantial Heterogeneity," 2012 Meeting Papers 1173, Society for Economic Dynamics.
    27. Andrew Binning, 2013. "Third-order approximation of dynamic models without the use of tensors," Working Paper 2013/13, Norges Bank.
    28. Maliar, Lilia & Maliar, Serguei & Villemot, Sébastien, 2011. "Taking Perturbation to the Accuracy Frontier: A Hybrid of Local and Global Solutions," Dynare Working Papers 6, CEPREMAP, revised Jul 2012.
    29. Glenn D. Rudebusch & Brian P. Sack & Eric T. Swanson, 2006. "Macroeconomic implications of changes in the term premium," Working Paper Series 2006-46, Federal Reserve Bank of San Francisco.
    30. Meyer-Gohde, Alexander, 2021. "On the accuracy of linear DSGE solution methods and the consequences for log-normal asset pricing," IMFS Working Paper Series 154, Goethe University Frankfurt, Institute for Monetary and Financial Stability (IMFS).
    31. Eric Swanson, 2015. "A Macroeconomic Model of Equities and Real, Nominal, and Defaultable Debt," 2015 Meeting Papers 273, Society for Economic Dynamics.
    32. Lan, Hong & Meyer-Gohde, Alexander, 2013. "Decomposing risk in dynamic stochastic general equilibrium," SFB 649 Discussion Papers 2013-022, Humboldt University Berlin, Collaborative Research Center 649: Economic Risk.
    33. L. Marattin & M. Marzo & P. Zagaglia, 2010. "A welfare perspective on the fiscal-monetary policy mix: The role of alternative fiscal instruments," Working Papers wp720, Dipartimento Scienze Economiche, Universita' di Bologna.
    34. Lan, Hong & Meyer-Gohde, Alexander, 2013. "Pruning in perturbation DSGE models: Guidance from nonlinear moving average approximations," SFB 649 Discussion Papers 2013-024, Humboldt University Berlin, Collaborative Research Center 649: Economic Risk.
    35. Lott, Sherwin, 2019. "Perturbations in DSGE models: An odd derivatives theorem," Journal of Economic Dynamics and Control, Elsevier, vol. 106(C), pages 1-1.
    36. Glenn D. Rudebusch & Eric T. Swanson, 2008. "The bond premium in a DSGE model with long-run real and nominal risks," Working Paper Research 143, National Bank of Belgium.
    37. Lan, Hong, 2014. "Comparing solution methods for DSGE models with labor market search," SFB 649 Discussion Papers 2014-049, Humboldt University Berlin, Collaborative Research Center 649: Economic Risk.
    38. Meyer-Gohde, Alexander, 2023. "Solving linear DSGE models with Bernoulli iterations," IMFS Working Paper Series 182, Goethe University Frankfurt, Institute for Monetary and Financial Stability (IMFS).
    39. Eric Swanson & Glenn Rudebusch, 2008. "Long-Run Inflation Risk and the Postwar Term Premium," 2008 Meeting Papers 988, Society for Economic Dynamics.
    40. Andreasen, Martin, 2011. "How non-Gaussian shocks affect risk premia in non-linear DSGE models," Bank of England working papers 417, Bank of England.
    41. Alali, Walid Y., 2009. "Solution Strategies of Dynamic Stochastic General Equilibrium (DSGE) models," MPRA Paper 116480, University Library of Munich, Germany.
    42. Bruce Preston & Mauro Roca, 2007. "Incomplete Markets, Heterogeneity and Macroeconomic Dynamics," NBER Working Papers 13260, National Bureau of Economic Research, Inc.
    43. Eric T. Swanson, 2012. "Risk Aversion and the Labor Margin in Dynamic Equilibrium Models," American Economic Review, American Economic Association, vol. 102(4), pages 1663-1691, June.
    44. João Valle e Azevedo & João Tovar Jalles, 2011. "Rational vs. Professional Forecasts," Working Papers w201114, Banco de Portugal, Economics and Research Department.
    45. Lan, Hong & Meyer-Gohde, Alexander, 2011. "Solving DSGE models with a nonlinear moving average," SFB 649 Discussion Papers 2011-087, Humboldt University Berlin, Collaborative Research Center 649: Economic Risk.
    46. Malkhozov, Aytek, 2014. "Asset prices in affine real business cycle models," Journal of Economic Dynamics and Control, Elsevier, vol. 45(C), pages 180-193.
    47. Paolo Zagaglia, 2007. "Operational Fiscal and Monetary Policy with Staggered Wage and Price Dynamics," Finnish Economic Papers, Finnish Economic Association, vol. 20(2), pages 121-138, Autumn.

  30. Refet S. Gürkaynak & Brian P. Sack & Eric T. Swanson, 2006. "Market-based measures of monetary policy expectations," Working Paper Series 2006-04, Federal Reserve Bank of San Francisco.

    Cited by:

    1. Lahura, Erick, 2012. "Midiendo los efectos de la política monetaria a través de las expectativas de mercado," Revista Estudios Económicos, Banco Central de Reserva del Perú, issue 23, pages 39-52.
    2. Mehmet Ivrendi & Douglas K. Pearce, 2014. "Asset prices and expected monetary policy: evidence from daily data," Applied Economics, Taylor & Francis Journals, vol. 46(9), pages 985-995, March.
    3. Åhl, Magnus, 2017. "How big is the toolbox of a central banker? Managing expectations with policy-rate forecasts: Evidence from Sweden," Working Paper Series 339, Sveriges Riksbank (Central Bank of Sweden).
    4. Gurkaynak, Refet S. & Sack, Brian T. & Swanson, Eric P., 2007. "Market-Based Measures of Monetary Policy Expectations," Journal of Business & Economic Statistics, American Statistical Association, vol. 25, pages 201-212, April.
    5. Bredin, Don & Hyde, Stuart & Reilly, Gerard O., 2010. "Monetary policy surprises and international bond markets," Journal of International Money and Finance, Elsevier, vol. 29(6), pages 988-1002, October.
    6. Andreas Neuhierl & Michael Weber, 2020. "Monetary Momentum," Working Papers 2020-39, Becker Friedman Institute for Research In Economics.
    7. Bredin, Don & Hyde, Stuart & O'Reilly, Gerard, 2005. "European Monetary Policy Surprises: The Aggregate and Sectoral Stock Market Response," Research Technical Papers 10/RT/05, Central Bank of Ireland.
    8. Bianchi, Francesco & Gómez-Cram, Roberto & Kind, Thilo & Kung, Howard, 2023. "Threats to central bank independence: High-frequency identification with twitter," Journal of Monetary Economics, Elsevier, vol. 135(C), pages 37-54.
    9. Christian Bredemeier & Andreas Schabert & Christoph Kaufmann, 2018. "Interest Rate Spreads and Forward Guidance," 2018 Meeting Papers 491, Society for Economic Dynamics.
    10. Sophocles N. Brissimis & Nicholas S. Magginas, 2004. "Forward-Looking Information in VAR Models and the Price Puzzle," Working Papers 10, Bank of Greece.
    11. Andreas M. Fischer & Angelo Ranaldo, 2008. "Does FOMC News Increase Global FX Trading?," Working Papers 2008-09, Swiss National Bank.
    12. Marfatia, Hardik A., 2015. "Monetary policy's time-varying impact on the US bond markets: Role of financial stress and risks," The North American Journal of Economics and Finance, Elsevier, vol. 34(C), pages 103-123.
    13. Atsushi Inoue & Barbara Rossi, 2019. "A New Approach to Measuring Economic Policy Shocks, with an Application to Conventional and Unconventional Monetary Policy," Working Papers 1082, Barcelona School of Economics.
    14. Daniel L. Thornton, 2014. "The identification of the response of interest rates to monetary policy actions using market-based measures of monetary policy shocks," Oxford Economic Papers, Oxford University Press, vol. 66(1), pages 67-87, January.
    15. Chadha, Jagjit S. & Waters, Alex, 2014. "Applying a macro-finance yield curve to UK quantitative Easing," Journal of Banking & Finance, Elsevier, vol. 39(C), pages 68-86.
    16. Rosa, Carlo, 2011. "The high-frequency response of exchange rates to monetary policy actions and statements," Journal of Banking & Finance, Elsevier, vol. 35(2), pages 478-489, February.
    17. Ali Ozdagli & Mihail Velikov, 2016. "Show me the money: the monetary policy risk premium," Working Papers 16-27, Federal Reserve Bank of Boston.
    18. Eric T. Swanson, 2017. "Measuring the Effects of Federal Reserve Forward Guidance and Asset Purchases on Financial Markets," NBER Working Papers 23311, National Bureau of Economic Research, Inc.
    19. Eric T. Swanson & John C. Williams, 2012. "Measuring the effect of the zero lower bound on medium- and longer-term interest rates," Working Paper Series 2012-02, Federal Reserve Bank of San Francisco.
    20. Liu, Jianguo & Liu, Liya & Min, Min & Tan, Shuying & Zhao, Fanqing, 2022. "Can central bank communication effectively guide the monetary policy expectation of the public?," China Economic Review, Elsevier, vol. 75(C).
    21. J. Benson Durham, 2003. "Estimates of the term premium on near-dated federal funds futures contracts," Finance and Economics Discussion Series 2003-19, Board of Governors of the Federal Reserve System (U.S.).
    22. Eugene F. Fama, 2013. "Does the Fed Control Interest Rates?," The Review of Asset Pricing Studies, Society for Financial Studies, vol. 3(2), pages 180-199.
    23. Andrea Monticini & Giacomo Vaciago, 2005. "Are Europe's Interest Rates led by FED Announcements?," Macroeconomics 0507022, University Library of Munich, Germany.
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    169. Carlo Rosa, 2011. "Talking Less And Moving The Market More: Evidence From The Ecb And The Fed," Scottish Journal of Political Economy, Scottish Economic Society, vol. 58(1), pages 51-81, February.
    170. David O. Lucca & Francesco Trebbi, 2009. "Measuring Central Bank Communication: An Automated Approach with Application to FOMC Statements," NBER Working Papers 15367, National Bureau of Economic Research, Inc.
    171. Jean-Sébastien Fontaine, 2012. "Estimating the Policy Rule from Money Market Rates when Target Rate Changes Are Lumpy," Staff Working Papers 12-41, Bank of Canada.
    172. Rövekamp, Ingmar, 2019. "US Monetary Policy and the Stability of Currency Pegs," VfS Annual Conference 2019 (Leipzig): 30 Years after the Fall of the Berlin Wall - Democracy and Market Economy 203525, Verein für Socialpolitik / German Economic Association.
    173. Mr. Richard Varghese & Ms. Yuanyan S Zhang, 2018. "A New Wave of ECB’s Unconventional Monetary Policies: Domestic Impact and Spillovers," IMF Working Papers 2018/011, International Monetary Fund.
    174. Kenneth B. Petersen & Vladimir Pozdnyakov, 2008. "Predicting the Fed," Working papers 2008-07, University of Connecticut, Department of Economics.
    175. James D. Hamilton, 2007. "Assessing Monetary Policy Effects Using Daily Fed Funds Futures Contracts," NBER Working Papers 13569, National Bureau of Economic Research, Inc.
    176. Jung, Alexander, 2023. "Are monetary policy shocks causal to bank health? Evidence from the euro area," Journal of Macroeconomics, Elsevier, vol. 75(C).
    177. Refet S. Gürkaynak & Brian Sack & Eric Swanson, 2005. "The Sensitivity of Long-Term Interest Rates to Economic News: Evidence and Implications for Macroeconomic Models," American Economic Review, American Economic Association, vol. 95(1), pages 425-436, March.
    178. Rochelle M. Edge & Refet S. Gürkaynak, 2011. "How useful are estimated DSGE model forecasts?," Finance and Economics Discussion Series 2011-11, Board of Governors of the Federal Reserve System (U.S.).
    179. Christian Upper, 2006. "Derivatives activity and monetary policy," BIS Quarterly Review, Bank for International Settlements, September.
    180. Yasuo Nishiyama, 2017. "Open market operations and associated movements of the federal funds rate during the week prior to target changes," Journal of Economics and Finance, Springer;Academy of Economics and Finance, vol. 41(4), pages 806-828, October.
    181. Brian P. Sack, 2002. "Extracting the expected path of monetary policy from futures rates," Finance and Economics Discussion Series 2002-56, Board of Governors of the Federal Reserve System (U.S.).
    182. Andrea Monticini & Giacomo Vaciago, 2007. "Are Euro Interest Rates led by FED Announcements?," Money Macro and Finance (MMF) Research Group Conference 2006 16, Money Macro and Finance Research Group.
    183. Refet S. Gürkaynak, 2005. "Using federal funds futures contracts for monetary policy analysis," Finance and Economics Discussion Series 2005-29, Board of Governors of the Federal Reserve System (U.S.).
    184. Akkaya, Yildiz & Belfrage, Carl-Johan & Di Casola, Paola & Strid, Ingvar, 2023. "Effects of foreign and domestic central bank government bond purchases in a small open economy DSGE model: Evidence from Sweden before and during the coronavirus pandemic," Working Paper Series 421, Sveriges Riksbank (Central Bank of Sweden).

  31. Eric T. Swanson, 2005. "Optimal nonlinear policy: signal extraction with a non-normal prior," Working Paper Series 2005-24, Federal Reserve Bank of San Francisco.

    Cited by:

    1. Esther Hauk & Andrea Lanteri & Albert Marcet, 2016. "Optimal Policy with General Signal Extraction," Working Papers 932, Barcelona School of Economics.
    2. Martin Mandler, 2010. "Macroeconomic dynamics and inflation regimes in the U.S. Results from threshold vector autoregressions," MAGKS Papers on Economics 201012, Philipps-Universität Marburg, Faculty of Business Administration and Economics, Department of Economics (Volkswirtschaftliche Abteilung).
    3. Eric T. Swanson, 2005. "Optimal nonlinear policy: signal extraction with a non-normal prior," Working Paper Series 2005-24, Federal Reserve Bank of San Francisco.
    4. Lim, G.C. & McNelis, Paul D., 2007. "Inflation targeting, learning and Q volatility in small open economies," Journal of Economic Dynamics and Control, Elsevier, vol. 31(11), pages 3699-3722, November.
    5. Lim, G.C. & McNelis, Paul D., 2008. "Computational Macroeconomics for the Open Economy," MIT Press Books, The MIT Press, edition 1, volume 1, number 0262123061, April.
    6. Andrea Lanteri & Albert Marcet & Esther Hauk, 2014. "Optimal Policy with Endogenous Signal Extraction," 2014 Meeting Papers 677, Society for Economic Dynamics.
    7. Laurence H. Meyer & Eric T. Swanson & Volker W. Wieland, 2001. "NAIRU Uncertainty and Nonlinear Policy Rules," American Economic Review, American Economic Association, vol. 91(2), pages 226-231, May.
    8. Neuenkirch, Matthias & Tillmann, Peter, 2014. "Inflation targeting, credibility, and non-linear Taylor rules," Journal of International Money and Finance, Elsevier, vol. 41(C), pages 30-45.
    9. Christopher J. Erceg & James Hebden & Michael T. Kiley & J. David López-Salido & Robert J. Tetlow, 2018. "Some Implications of Uncertainty and Misperception for Monetary Policy," Finance and Economics Discussion Series 2018-059, Board of Governors of the Federal Reserve System (U.S.).

  32. Andrew Levin & Eric Swanson, 2004. "Optimal Monetary Policy in an Imperfect World," Computing in Economics and Finance 2004 235, Society for Computational Economics.

    Cited by:

    1. Raf Wouters & Frank Smets, 2004. "Welfare analysis of non-fundamental asset price and investment shocks: Implications for monetary policy," Computing in Economics and Finance 2004 132, Society for Computational Economics.

  33. (Kim | Lopez-Salido | Swanson) & Andrew Levin, 2004. "The magnitude and Cyclical Behavior of Financial Market Frictions," Computing in Economics and Finance 2004 224, Society for Computational Economics.

    Cited by:

    1. Francisco Covas & Wouter Denhaan, 2006. "The role of debt and equity finance over the business cycle," 2006 Meeting Papers 407, Society for Economic Dynamics.
    2. Ilhyock Shim & Goetz von Peter, 2007. "Distress selling and asset market feedback," BIS Working Papers 229, Bank for International Settlements.
    3. Christopher M. Gunn & Alok Johri & Marc-Andre Letendre, 2020. "Charge-offs, Defaults and the Financial Accelerator," Department of Economics Working Papers 2020-17, McMaster University.
    4. De Fiore, Fiorella & Teles, Pedro & Tristani, Oreste, 2009. "Monetary Policy and the Financing of Firms," Working Paper Series 1123, European Central Bank.
    5. Afanasyeva, Elena & Güntner, Jochen, 2014. "Lending standards, credit booms and monetary policy," IMFS Working Paper Series 85, Goethe University Frankfurt, Institute for Monetary and Financial Stability (IMFS).
    6. Nicolas Petrosky-Nadeau, "undated". "TFP during a Credit Crunch," GSIA Working Papers 2010-E70, Carnegie Mellon University, Tepper School of Business.
    7. Jae Sim & Egon Zakrajsek & Simon Gilchrist, 2010. "Uncertainty, Financial Frictions, and Investment Dynamics," 2010 Meeting Papers 1285, Society for Economic Dynamics.
    8. Lindé, Jesper & Smets, Frank & Wouters, Rafael, 2016. "Challenges for Central Banks´ Macro Models," Working Paper Series 323, Sveriges Riksbank (Central Bank of Sweden).
    9. Queijo von Heideken, Virginia, 2008. "How Important are Financial Frictions in the U.S. and the Euro Area?," Working Paper Series 223, Sveriges Riksbank (Central Bank of Sweden).
    10. Christiano, Lawrence & Motto, Roberto & Rostagno, Massimo, 2010. "Financial factors in economic fluctuations," Working Paper Series 1192, European Central Bank.
    11. Gelain, Paolo, 2010. "The external finance premium in the Euro area: A dynamic stochastic general equilibrium analysis," The North American Journal of Economics and Finance, Elsevier, vol. 21(1), pages 49-71, March.
    12. Gabriela Castro & Ricardo M. Felix & Paulo Julio & Jose R. Maria, 2014. "Fiscal multipliers in a small euro area economy: How big can they get in crisis times?," CEFAGE-UE Working Papers 2014_07, University of Evora, CEFAGE-UE (Portugal).
    13. Ippei Fujiwara & Yuki Teranishi, 2008. "Real Exchange Rate Dynamics under Staggered Loan Contracts," IMES Discussion Paper Series 08-E-11, Institute for Monetary and Economic Studies, Bank of Japan.
    14. Rossana Merola, 2013. "The role of financial frictions in the 2007-2008 crisis: an estimated DSGE model," Working Papers Department of Economics 2013/08, ISEG - Lisbon School of Economics and Management, Department of Economics, Universidade de Lisboa.
    15. Stéphane Lhuissier & Fabien Tripier, 2016. "Do Uncertainty Shocks Always Matter for Business Cycles?," Working Papers 2016-19, CEPII research center.
    16. Rossana Merola, 2013. "The role of financial frictions during the crisis: An estimated DSGE model," Working Paper Research 249, National Bank of Belgium.
    17. Nicolas Petrosky-Nadeau, 2008. "Credit, Vacancies and Unemployment Fluctuations," 2008 Meeting Papers 640, Society for Economic Dynamics.
    18. Chugh, Sanjay K., 2013. "Costly external finance and labor market dynamics," Journal of Economic Dynamics and Control, Elsevier, vol. 37(12), pages 2882-2912.
    19. Giacomo Candian & Mikhail Dmitriev, 2019. "Default Recovery Rates and Aggregate Fluctuations," Working Papers wp2019_09_01, Department of Economics, Florida State University.
    20. Tambalotti, Andrea & Primiceri, Giorgio & Justiniano, Alejandro, 2009. "Investment Shocks and the Relative Price of Investment," CEPR Discussion Papers 7598, C.E.P.R. Discussion Papers.
    21. Marina-Eliza Spaliara & Serafeim Tsoukas, 2010. "The Role of Bond Finance in Firms' Survival During the Asian Crisis," Working Papers 032010, Hong Kong Institute for Monetary Research.
    22. Gelain, Paolo, 2010. "The external finance premium in the euro area A useful indicator for monetary policy?," Working Paper Series 1171, European Central Bank.
    23. Tommaso Monacelli & Ester Faia, 2005. "Optimal Interest Rate Rules, Asset Prices and Credit Frictions," Computing in Economics and Finance 2005 452, Society for Computational Economics.
    24. Holly, S. & Santoro, E., 2008. "Financial Fragility, Heterogeneous Firms and the Cross Section of the Business Cycle," Cambridge Working Papers in Economics 0846, Faculty of Economics, University of Cambridge.
    25. Gross, Marco, 2011. "Corporate bond spreads and real activity in the euro area - Least Angle Regression forecasting and the probability of the recession," Working Paper Series 1286, European Central Bank.
    26. Cristina Fuentes-Albero, 2014. "Financial Frictions, Financial Shocks, and Aggregate Volatility," Finance and Economics Discussion Series 2014-84, Board of Governors of the Federal Reserve System (U.S.).
    27. Paul Mizen & Serafeim Tsoukas, 2012. "The response of the external finance premium in Asian corporate bond markets to financial characteristics, financial constraints and two financial crises," Working Papers 2012_08, Business School - Economics, University of Glasgow.
    28. Sanjay K. Chugh, 2013. "Firm Risk and Leverage Based Business Cycles," Boston College Working Papers in Economics 844, Boston College Department of Economics.
    29. Mishkin, Frederic S., 2010. "Monetary policy flexibility, risk management, and financial disruptions," Journal of Asian Economics, Elsevier, vol. 21(3), pages 242-246, June.
    30. Elena Afanasyeva & Jochen Güntner, 2018. "Bank Market Power and the Risk Channel of Monetary Policy," Finance and Economics Discussion Series 2018-006, Board of Governors of the Federal Reserve System (U.S.).
    31. De Graeve Ferre, 2007. "The External Finance Premium and the Macroeconomy: US post-WWII Evidence," Money Macro and Finance (MMF) Research Group Conference 2006 83, Money Macro and Finance Research Group.
    32. Kévin Beaubrun-Diant & Fabien Tripier, 2009. "The Credit Spread Cycle with Matching Friction," Working Papers hal-00430809, HAL.
    33. Yasin Mimir, 2011. "Financial Intermediaries, Leverage Ratios and Business Cycles," 2011 Meeting Papers 19, Society for Economic Dynamics.
    34. Mr. Fabian Valencia, 2008. "Banks’ Precautionary Capital and Persistent Credit Crunches," IMF Working Papers 2008/248, International Monetary Fund.
    35. Surach Tanboon & Suchot Piamchol & Tanawat Ruenbanterng & Paiboon Pongpaichet, 2009. "Impacts of Financial Factors on Thailand's Business Cycle Fluctuations," Working Papers 2009-01, Monetary Policy Group, Bank of Thailand.
    36. Salih Fendoglu, 2011. "Optimal Monetary Policy Rules, Financial Amplification, and Uncertain Business Cycles," Working Papers 1126, Research and Monetary Policy Department, Central Bank of the Republic of Turkey.
    37. De Fiore, Fiorella & Tristani, Oreste, 2009. "Optimal monetary policy in a model of the credit channel," Working Paper Series 1043, European Central Bank.
    38. Finkelstein Shapiro, Alan & González Gómez, Andrés, 2017. "Credit market imperfections, labor markets, and leverage dynamics in emerging economies," Journal of International Money and Finance, Elsevier, vol. 78(C), pages 44-63.
    39. Christopher M. Gunn, 2018. "Overaccumulation, Interest, and Prices," Journal of Money, Credit and Banking, Blackwell Publishing, vol. 50(2-3), pages 479-511, March.
    40. Smets, Frank & Villa, Stefania, 2016. "Slow recoveries: Any role for corporate leverage?," Journal of Economic Dynamics and Control, Elsevier, vol. 70(C), pages 54-85.
    41. Spaliara, Marina-Eliza & Tsoukas, Serafeim, 2013. "What matters for corporate failures in Asia? Exploring the role of firm-specific characteristics during the Asian crisis," Structural Change and Economic Dynamics, Elsevier, vol. 26(C), pages 83-96.
    42. Andrew T. Levin & Alexei Onatski & John C. Williams & Noah Williams, 2005. "Monetary Policy Under Uncertainty in Micro-Founded Macroeconometric Models," NBER Working Papers 11523, National Bureau of Economic Research, Inc.
    43. Meisenzahl, Ralf R., 2014. "Verifying the state of financing constraints: Evidence from U.S. business credit contracts," Journal of Economic Dynamics and Control, Elsevier, vol. 43(C), pages 58-77.
    44. Fiorella De Fiore & Oreste Tristani, 2011. "Credit and the Natural Rate of Interest," Journal of Money, Credit and Banking, Blackwell Publishing, vol. 43, pages 407-440, March.
    45. Hisashi Nakamura, 2007. "A Continuous-Time Analysis of Optimal Debt Contracts: Theory and Applications," 2007 Meeting Papers 230, Society for Economic Dynamics.
    46. Gareth Anderson & Ambrogio Cesa-Bianchi, 2020. "Crossing the Credit Channel: Credit Spreads and Firm Heterogeneity," IMF Working Papers 2020/267, International Monetary Fund.
    47. Cavalcanti, Marco Antonio F.H., 2010. "Credit market imperfections and the power of the financial accelerator: A theoretical and empirical investigation," Journal of Macroeconomics, Elsevier, vol. 32(1), pages 118-144, March.
    48. Virginia Queijo, 2005. "Bayesian Estimation of a DSGE Model with Financial Frictions for the U.S. and the Euro Area," Computing in Economics and Finance 2005 306, Society for Computational Economics.
    49. Andrew Levin, 2007. "Comment on "Monetary Policy in Europe versus the United States: What Explains the Difference?"," NBER Chapters, in: International Dimensions of Monetary Policy, pages 533-545, National Bureau of Economic Research, Inc.
    50. Paul Mizen & Serafeim Tsoukas, 2006. "Evidence on the external finance premium from the US and emerging Asian corporate bond markets," Discussion Papers 06/04, University of Nottingham, Centre for Finance, Credit and Macroeconomics (CFCM).
    51. Stijn Claessens & M Ayhan Kose, 2018. "Frontiers of macrofinancial linkages," BIS Papers, Bank for International Settlements, number 95.
    52. Christopher M. Gunn & Alok Johri & Marc-André Letendre, 2019. "Charge-offs, Defaults and U.S. Business Cycles," Carleton Economic Papers 19-04, Carleton University, Department of Economics.
    53. Jelena Zivanovic, 2019. "What Does Structural Analysis of the External Finance Premium Say About Financial Frictions?," Staff Working Papers 19-38, Bank of Canada.
    54. Virginia Queijo von Heideken, 2009. "How Important are Financial Frictions in the United States and the Euro Area?," Scandinavian Journal of Economics, Wiley Blackwell, vol. 111(3), pages 567-596, September.
    55. Christopher M. Gunn & Alok Johri, 2013. "An Expectations-Driven Interpretation of the "Great Recession"," Carleton Economic Papers 13-02, Carleton University, Department of Economics.
    56. Aysun, Uluc & Brady, Ryan & Honig, Adam, 2013. "Financial frictions and the strength of monetary transmission," Journal of International Money and Finance, Elsevier, vol. 32(C), pages 1097-1119.
    57. Mr. Jorge Roldos, 2006. "Disintermediation and Monetary Transmission in Canada," IMF Working Papers 2006/084, International Monetary Fund.
    58. Lindé, J. & Smets, F. & Wouters, R., 2016. "Challenges for Central Banks’ Macro Models," Handbook of Macroeconomics, in: J. B. Taylor & Harald Uhlig (ed.), Handbook of Macroeconomics, edition 1, volume 2, chapter 0, pages 2185-2262, Elsevier.
    59. Michael Bleaney & Veronica Veleanu, 2017. "Currency risk in corporate bond spreads in the eurozone," Discussion Papers 2017/07, University of Nottingham, Centre for Finance, Credit and Macroeconomics (CFCM).
    60. Merola, Rossana, 2010. "Optimal monetary policy in a small open economy with financial frictions," Discussion Paper Series 1: Economic Studies 2010,01, Deutsche Bundesbank.
    61. Ralf R. Meisenzahl, 2011. "Verifying the state of financing constraints: evidence from U.S. business credit contracts," Finance and Economics Discussion Series 2011-04, Board of Governors of the Federal Reserve System (U.S.).
    62. Seungjun Baek, 2020. "Uncertainty, Incentives, and Misallocation," Journal of Money, Credit and Banking, Blackwell Publishing, vol. 52(7), pages 1821-1851, October.
    63. , & Lein, Sarah & ,, 2022. "Firm net worth, external finance premia and monitoring cost: Estimates based on firm-level data," CEPR Discussion Papers 17508, C.E.P.R. Discussion Papers.
    64. Zia Abbas & Syed Faizan Iftikhar & Shaista Alam, 2019. "Does bank capital affect the monetary policy transmission mechanism? A case study of Emerging Market Economies (EMEs)," International Journal of Financial Engineering (IJFE), World Scientific Publishing Co. Pte. Ltd., vol. 6(02), pages 1-20, June.
    65. Shingo Watanabe, 2012. "The Role Of Technology And Nontechnology Shocks In Business Cycles," International Economic Review, Department of Economics, University of Pennsylvania and Osaka University Institute of Social and Economic Research Association, vol. 53(4), pages 1287-1321, November.
    66. John Bailey Jones & Sangeeta Pratap, 2017. "An Estimated Structural Model of Entrepreneurial Behavior," Working Paper 17-7, Federal Reserve Bank of Richmond.
    67. Ines Drumond & José Jorge, 2009. "Basel II Capital Requirements, Firms' Heterogeneity, and the Business Cycle," FEP Working Papers 307, Universidade do Porto, Faculdade de Economia do Porto.
    68. Hitoshi Fuchi & Ichiro Muto & Hiroshi Ugai, 2005. "A Historical Evaluation of Financial Accelerator Effects in Japan's Economy," Bank of Japan Working Paper Series 05-E-8, Bank of Japan.
    69. Josef Hollmayr & Michael Kuehl, 2016. "Imperfect Information about Financial Frictions and Consequences for the Business Cycle," Review of Economic Dynamics, Elsevier for the Society for Economic Dynamics, vol. 22, pages 179-207, October.
    70. Spaliara, Marina-Eliza & Tsoukas, Serafeim, 2017. "Corporate failures and the denomination of corporate bonds: Evidence from emerging Asian economies over two financial crises," Journal of International Financial Markets, Institutions and Money, Elsevier, vol. 46(C), pages 84-97.
    71. Yagihashi, Takeshi, 2011. "Estimating Taylor rules in a credit channel environment," The North American Journal of Economics and Finance, Elsevier, vol. 22(3), pages 344-364.
    72. Balke, Nathan S. & Martínez-García, Enrique & Zeng, Zheng, 2021. "In no uncertain terms: The effect of uncertainty on credit frictions and monetary policy," Economic Modelling, Elsevier, vol. 100(C).
    73. Tan, Anthony C.K. & Goh, Kim-Leng, 2009. "Financial Disintermediation in the 1990s : Implications on Monetary Policy in Malaysia," Hitotsubashi Journal of Economics, Hitotsubashi University, vol. 50(1), pages 1-27, June.
    74. Mimir, Yasin, 2012. "Financial intermediaries, credit Shocks and business cycles," MPRA Paper 39648, University Library of Munich, Germany.

  34. Eric T. Swanson, 2004. "Federal Reserve transparency and financial market forecasts of short-term interest rates," Finance and Economics Discussion Series 2004-06, Board of Governors of the Federal Reserve System (U.S.).

    Cited by:

    1. Min Fan, 2006. "Heterogeneous Beliefs, the Term Structure and Time-varying Risk Premia," Annals of Finance, Springer, vol. 2(3), pages 259-285, July.
    2. Glenn D. Rudebusch & John C. Williams, 2008. "Revealing the Secrets of the Temple: The Value of Publishing Central Bank Interest Rate Projections," NBER Chapters, in: Asset Prices and Monetary Policy, pages 247-289, National Bureau of Economic Research, Inc.
    3. Eijffinger, S.C.W. & Geraats, P., 2002. "How Transparent are Central Banks?," Other publications TiSEM fbb8af2d-0508-4185-9710-4, Tilburg University, School of Economics and Management.
    4. Geraats, P. & Eijffinger, S.C.W. & van der Cruijsen, C.A.B., 2006. "Does Central Bank Transparency Reduce Interest Rates?," Other publications TiSEM fd5584c7-1654-4695-ac85-e, Tilburg University, School of Economics and Management.
    5. Peter Lildholdt & Anne Vila Wetherilt, 2004. "Anticipation of monetary policy in UK financial markets," Bank of England working papers 241, Bank of England.
    6. Ehrmann, Michael & Fratzscher, Marcel, 2007. "Explaining monetary policy in press conferences," Working Paper Series 767, European Central Bank.
    7. Geraats, P.M, 2005. "Transparency of Monetary Policy: Theory and Practice," Cambridge Working Papers in Economics 0549, Faculty of Economics, University of Cambridge.
    8. Downing, Chris & Oliner, Stephen, 2007. "The term structure of commercial paper rates," Journal of Financial Economics, Elsevier, vol. 83(1), pages 59-86, January.
    9. Marc D. Hayford & A. G. Malliaris, 2012. "Transparent US monetary policy: theory and tests," Applied Economics, Taylor & Francis Journals, vol. 44(7), pages 813-824, March.
    10. TUYSUZ, Sukriye, 2007. "Central Bank transparency and the U.S. interest rates level and volatility response to U.S. news," MPRA Paper 5217, University Library of Munich, Germany.
    11. da Costa Filho, Adonias Evaristo & Rocha, Fabiana, 2009. "Communication, transparency, monetary policy index, central bank watching," Revista Brasileira de Economia - RBE, EPGE Brazilian School of Economics and Finance - FGV EPGE (Brazil), vol. 63(4), December.
    12. Janet L. Yellen, 2006. "Enhancing Fed credibility," FRBSF Economic Letter, Federal Reserve Bank of San Francisco, issue mar17.
    13. Papadamou, Stephanos, 2013. "Market anticipation of monetary policy actions and interest rate transmission to US Treasury market rates," Economic Modelling, Elsevier, vol. 33(C), pages 545-551.
    14. Eijffinger, Sylvester & van der Cruijsen, Carin, 2007. "The Economic Impact of Central Bank Transparency: A Survey," CEPR Discussion Papers 6070, C.E.P.R. Discussion Papers.
    15. C.J.M. Kool & S. Rosenkranz & M. Middeldorp, 2007. "Listening Without Understanding: Central Bank Transparency, Financial Markets and the Crowding Out of Private Information," Working Papers 07-19, Utrecht School of Economics.
    16. Lavan Mahadeva, 2007. "A model of market surprises," Bank of England working papers 327, Bank of England.
    17. Jakob Haan, 2008. "The effect of ECB communication on interest rates: An assessment," The Review of International Organizations, Springer, vol. 3(4), pages 375-398, December.
    18. John B. Carlson & Ben R. Craig & William R. Melick, 2005. "Recovering market expectations of FOMC rate changes with options on federal funds futures," Journal of Futures Markets, John Wiley & Sons, Ltd., vol. 25(12), pages 1203-1242, December.
    19. Alan S. Blinder & Michael Ehrmann & Marcel Fratzscher & Jakob De Haan & David-Jan Jansen, 2008. "Central Bank Communication and Monetary Policy: A Survey of Theory and Evidence," NBER Working Papers 13932, National Bureau of Economic Research, Inc.
    20. Lyziak, Tomasz & Mackiewicz, Joanna & Stanislawska, Ewa, 2007. "Central bank transparency and credibility: The case of Poland, 1998-2004," European Journal of Political Economy, Elsevier, vol. 23(1), pages 67-87, March.
    21. Edward Kutsoati & Sharun Mukand, 2004. "Expectations and the Central Banker: Making Decisions the Market Expects to See? [revised]," Discussion Papers Series, Department of Economics, Tufts University 0418, Department of Economics, Tufts University.
    22. Beechey, Meredith, 2004. "Excess Sensitivity and Volatility of Long Interest Rates: The Role of Limited Information in Bond Markets," Working Paper Series 173, Sveriges Riksbank (Central Bank of Sweden).
    23. Adonias Evaristo Costa Filho & Fabiana Rocha, 2008. "Comunicação e política monetária no Brasil," Working Papers 08_17, Universidade de São Paulo, Faculdade de Economia, Administração e Contabilidade de Ribeirão Preto.
    24. Richhild Moessner & William R. Nelson, 2008. "Central Bank Policy Rate Guidance and Financial Market Functioning," International Journal of Central Banking, International Journal of Central Banking, vol. 4(4), pages 193-226, December.
    25. Kia, Amir, 2017. "Monetary policy transparency in a forward-looking market: Evidence from the United States," The North American Journal of Economics and Finance, Elsevier, vol. 42(C), pages 597-617.
    26. Akosah, Nana & Alagidede, Paul & Schaling, Eric, 2019. "Monetary Policy Transparency in Ghana: Recent Evidence," MPRA Paper 96998, University Library of Munich, Germany.
    27. Csávás, Csaba & Erhart, Szilárd & Naszódi, Anna & Pintér, Klára, 2012. "Changing central bank transparency in Central and Eastern Europe during the financial crisis," MPRA Paper 40335, University Library of Munich, Germany.
    28. Zafar Hayat, 2017. "Pakistan’s Monetary Policy: Some Fundamental Issues," The Pakistan Development Review, Pakistan Institute of Development Economics, vol. 56(1), pages 31-58.
    29. Marie Musard-Gies, 2005. "Do ECB's statements steer short-term and long-term interest rates in the euro zone?," Money Macro and Finance (MMF) Research Group Conference 2005 56, Money Macro and Finance Research Group.

  35. Refet S. Gürkaynak & Brian P. Sack & Eric T. Swanson, 2004. "Do actions speak louder than words? the response of asset prices to monetary policy actions and statements," Finance and Economics Discussion Series 2004-66, Board of Governors of the Federal Reserve System (U.S.).

    Cited by:

    1. Tadle, Raul Cruz, 2022. "FOMC minutes sentiments and their impact on financial markets," Journal of Economics and Business, Elsevier, vol. 118(C).
    2. Snezana Eminidou & Marios Zachariadis, 2019. "Firms’ Expectations and Monetary Policy Shocks in the Eurozone," University of Cyprus Working Papers in Economics 02-2019, University of Cyprus Department of Economics.
    3. Ippolito, Filippo & Ozdagli, Ali K. & Perez-Orive, Ander, 2018. "The transmission of monetary policy through bank lending: The floating rate channel," Journal of Monetary Economics, Elsevier, vol. 95(C), pages 49-71.
    4. Chernov, Mikhail & Bauer, Michael, 2021. "Interest Rate Skewness and Biased Beliefs," CEPR Discussion Papers 16274, C.E.P.R. Discussion Papers.
    5. Yuriy Gorodnichenko & Tho Pham & Oleksandr Talavera, 2021. "The Voice of Monetary Policy," Discussion Papers 21-02, Department of Economics, University of Birmingham.
    6. Fergus Cumming & Paul Hubert, 2019. "The role of households' borrowing constraints in the transmission of monetary policy," SciencePo Working papers Main hal-03403257, HAL.
    7. Schmeling, Maik & Schrimpf, Paul & Kroencke, Tim, 2019. "The FOMC Risk Shift," CEPR Discussion Papers 14037, C.E.P.R. Discussion Papers.
    8. Maxime Phillot & Dr. Samuel Reynard, 2021. "Monetary policy financial transmission and treasury liquidity premia," Working Papers 2021-14, Swiss National Bank.
    9. Kerssenfischer, Mark, 2017. "The effects of US monetary policy shocks: Applying external instrument identification to a dynamic factor model," Discussion Papers 08/2017, Deutsche Bundesbank.
    10. Michelle Alexopoulos & Xinfen Han & Oleksiy Kryvtsov & Xu Zhang, 2022. "More Than Words: Fed Chairs’ Communication During Congressional Testimonies," Staff Working Papers 22-20, Bank of Canada.
    11. Dario Caldara & Cristina Fuentes-Albero & Simon Gilchrist & Egon Zakrajšek, 2016. "The Macroeconomic Impact of Financial and Uncertainty Shocks," International Finance Discussion Papers 1166, Board of Governors of the Federal Reserve System (U.S.).
    12. Michael D. Bauer & Eric T. Swanson, 2022. "A Reassessment of Monetary Policy Surprises and High-Frequency Identification," NBER Chapters, in: NBER Macroeconomics Annual 2022, volume 37, pages 87-155, National Bureau of Economic Research, Inc.
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    Cited by:

    1. Paul Pichler, 2007. "Forecasting with estimated dynamic stochastic general equilibrium models: The role of nonlinearities," Vienna Economics Papers vie0702, University of Vienna, Department of Economics.

  37. Refet S. Gürkaynak & Brian P. Sack & Eric T. Swanson, 2003. "The excess sensitivity of long-term interest rates: evidence and implications for macroeconomic models," Finance and Economics Discussion Series 2003-50, Board of Governors of the Federal Reserve System (U.S.).

    Cited by:

    1. Mr. Douglas Laxton & Charles Freedman, 2009. "It Framework Design Parameters," IMF Working Papers 2009/087, International Monetary Fund.
    2. Dreher, Axel & Moser, Christoph, 2008. "Do Markets Care About Central Bank Governor Changes? Evidence from Emerging Markets," Proceedings of the German Development Economics Conference, Zurich 2008 29, Verein für Socialpolitik, Research Committee Development Economics.
    3. Geert Bekaert & Seonghoon Cho & Antonio Moreno, 2005. "New-Keynesian Macroeconomics and the Term Structure," NBER Working Papers 11340, National Bureau of Economic Research, Inc.
    4. Isela Elizabeth Téllez León & Francisco Venegas Martínez, 2013. "Principales determinantes en las decisiones de política monetaria de México: un análisis econométrico," Estudios Económicos, El Colegio de México, Centro de Estudios Económicos, vol. 28(1), pages 79-108.
    5. Angelo Ranaldo & Dr. Enzo Rossi, 2007. "The reaction of asset markets to Swiss National Bank communication," Working Papers 2007-11, Swiss National Bank.
    6. Glenn D. Rudebusch & John C. Williams, 2008. "Revealing the Secrets of the Temple: The Value of Publishing Central Bank Interest Rate Projections," NBER Chapters, in: Asset Prices and Monetary Policy, pages 247-289, National Bureau of Economic Research, Inc.
    7. Jagjit Chadha & Sean Holly, 2006. "Macroeconomic Models and the Yield Curve," Computing in Economics and Finance 2006 105, Society for Computational Economics.
    8. Chadha, Jagjit S. & Waters, Alex, 2014. "Applying a macro-finance yield curve to UK quantitative Easing," Journal of Banking & Finance, Elsevier, vol. 39(C), pages 68-86.
    9. William T. Gavin & Finn E. Kydland & Michael R. Pakko, 2006. "Monetary policy, taxes and the business cycle," Working Papers 2004-017, Federal Reserve Bank of St. Louis.
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    68. Kriwoluzky, Alexander, 2012. "Pre-announcement and timing: The effects of a government expenditure shock," European Economic Review, Elsevier, vol. 56(3), pages 373-388.
    69. Detlef Seese & Christof Weinhardt & Frank Schlottmann (ed.), 2008. "Handbook on Information Technology in Finance," International Handbooks on Information Systems, Springer, number 978-3-540-49487-4, November.
    70. Georgios Georgiadis, 2016. "To bi, or not to bi? Differences in Spillover Estimates from Bilateral and Multilateral Multi-country Models," EcoMod2016 9145, EcoMod.
    71. Christopher D. Carroll, 2007. "Comment on "Macroeconomic Derivatives: An Initial Analysis of Market-Based Macro Forecasts, Uncertainty, and Risk"," NBER Chapters, in: NBER International Seminar on Macroeconomics 2005, pages 51-59, National Bureau of Economic Research, Inc.
    72. Martin D. D. Evans(Georgetown University and NBER) and Richard K. Lyons(U.C. Berkeley and NBER, Haas School of Business), 2005. "A New Micro Model of Exchange Rate Dynamics (March 2004)," Working Papers gueconwpa~05-05-04, Georgetown University, Department of Economics.
    73. Bachmann, Rüdiger & Gödl-Hanisch, Isabel & Sims, Eric R., 2022. "Identifying monetary policy shocks using the central bank’s information set," Journal of Economic Dynamics and Control, Elsevier, vol. 145(C).
    74. Norman C. Miller, 2014. "Exchange Rate Economics," Books, Edward Elgar Publishing, number 14981.
    75. Ashesh Rambachan & Neil Shephard, 2019. "Econometric analysis of potential outcomes time series: instruments, shocks, linearity and the causal response function," Papers 1903.01637, arXiv.org, revised Feb 2020.
    76. Andrej Sokol & Ambrogio Cesa-Bianchi, 2017. "The International Credit Channel of U.S. Monetary Policy and Financial Shocks," 2017 Meeting Papers 724, Society for Economic Dynamics.
    77. Stock, J.H. & Watson, M.W., 2016. "Dynamic Factor Models, Factor-Augmented Vector Autoregressions, and Structural Vector Autoregressions in Macroeconomics," Handbook of Macroeconomics, in: J. B. Taylor & Harald Uhlig (ed.), Handbook of Macroeconomics, edition 1, volume 2, chapter 0, pages 415-525, Elsevier.
    78. Jonathan Kearns & Phil Manners, 2006. "The Impact of Monetary Policy on the Exchange Rate: A Study Using Intraday Data," International Journal of Central Banking, International Journal of Central Banking, vol. 2(4), December.
    79. John H. Rogers & Chiara Scotti & Jonathan H. Wright, 2016. "Unconventional Monetary Policy and International Risk Premia," International Finance Discussion Papers 1172, Board of Governors of the Federal Reserve System (U.S.).
    80. Santos, Francisco Luna & Garcia, Márcio Gomes Pinto & Medeiros, Marcelo Cunha, 2016. "The High Frequency Impact of Macroeconomic Announcements in the Brazilian Futures Markets," Brazilian Review of Econometrics, Sociedade Brasileira de Econometria - SBE, vol. 36(2), November.

  40. Laurence H. Meyer & Eric T. Swanson & Volker W. Wieland, 2001. "NAIRU uncertainty and nonlinear policy rules," Finance and Economics Discussion Series 2001-01, Board of Governors of the Federal Reserve System (U.S.).

    Cited by:

    1. Akosah, Nana Kwame & Alagidede, Imhotep Paul & Schaling, Eric, 2020. "Testing for asymmetry in monetary policy rule for small-open developing economies: Multiscale Bayesian quantile evidence from Ghana," The Journal of Economic Asymmetries, Elsevier, vol. 22(C).
    2. Athanasios Orphanides & John C. Williams, 2002. "Robust Monetary Policy Rules with Unknown Natural Rates," Brookings Papers on Economic Activity, Economic Studies Program, The Brookings Institution, vol. 33(2), pages 63-146.
    3. Costas Milas & Ruthira Naraidoo, 2009. "Financial Market Conditions, Real Time, Nonlinearity and European Central Bank Monetary Policy: In-Sample and Out-of-Sample Assessment," Working Paper series 42_09, Rimini Centre for Economic Analysis.
    4. Wallace, Frederick H. & Shelley, Gary L. & Cabrera Castellanos, Luis Fernando, 2004. "Pruebas de la neutralidad monetaria a largo plazo. El caso de Nicaragua," El Trimestre Económico, Fondo de Cultura Económica, vol. 0(283), pages 613-624, julio-sep.
    5. El-Shagi, Makram & Jung, Alexander, 2015. "Does the Greenspan era provide evidence on leadership in the FOMC?," Journal of Macroeconomics, Elsevier, vol. 43(C), pages 173-190.
    6. Martin Mandler, 2010. "Macroeconomic dynamics and inflation regimes in the U.S. Results from threshold vector autoregressions," MAGKS Papers on Economics 201012, Philipps-Universität Marburg, Faculty of Business Administration and Economics, Department of Economics (Volkswirtschaftliche Abteilung).
    7. Luis Mario Hernández Acevedo, 2004. "Señales de política monetaria y tasas de interés en México," Monetaria, CEMLA, vol. 0(4), pages 343-367, octubre-d.
    8. Coenen, Guenter & Levin, Andrew & Wieland, Volker, 2003. "Data Uncertainty and the Role of Money as an Information Variable for Monetary Policy," CFS Working Paper Series 2003/07, Center for Financial Studies (CFS).
    9. Eric T. Swanson, 2005. "Optimal nonlinear policy: signal extraction with a non-normal prior," Working Paper Series 2005-24, Federal Reserve Bank of San Francisco.
    10. Wolters, Maik Hendrik, 2010. "Estimating Monetary Policy Reaction Functions Using Quantile Regressions," MPRA Paper 23857, University Library of Munich, Germany.
    11. Salgado, Maria José S. & Garcia, Márcio G. P. & Medeiros, Marcelo C., 2005. "Monetary Policy During Brazil´s Real Plan: Estimating the Central Bank´s Reaction Function," Revista Brasileira de Economia - RBE, EPGE Brazilian School of Economics and Finance - FGV EPGE (Brazil), vol. 59(1), January.
    12. John C. Williams & Andrew T. Levin, 2003. "Robust Monetary Policy with Competing Reference Models," Computing in Economics and Finance 2003 291, Society for Computational Economics.
    13. Mayes, David & Virén, Matti, 2004. "Asymmetries in the Euro area economy," Bank of Finland Research Discussion Papers 9/2004, Bank of Finland.
    14. Francois Gourio & Jonas Fisher, 2015. "Risk Management for Monetary Policy at the Zero Lower Bound," 2015 Meeting Papers 665, Society for Economic Dynamics.
    15. Arabinda Basistha & Richard Startz, 2004. "Measuring the NAIRU with Reduced Uncertainty: A Multiple Indicator-Common Component Approach," Working Papers UWEC-2004-22, University of Washington, Department of Economics.
    16. Sharon Kozicki, 2004. "¿De qué forma afectan las revisiones de datos a la evaluación y conducción de la política monetaria?," Monetaria, CEMLA, vol. 0(4), pages 369-405, octubre-d.
    17. Felipe Morandé Lavín & Mauricio Tejada, 2008. "Sources of Uncertainty for Conducting Monetary Policy in Chile," Working Papers wp285, University of Chile, Department of Economics.
    18. Sharon Kozicki, 2004. "How do data revisions affect the evaluation and conduct of monetary policy?," Economic Review, Federal Reserve Bank of Kansas City, vol. 89(Q I), pages 5-38.
    19. Mateusz Machaj, 2016. "Can the Taylor Rule be a Good Guidance for Policy? The Case of 2001-2008 Real Estate Bubble," Prague Economic Papers, Prague University of Economics and Business, vol. 2016(4), pages 381-395.
    20. Paolo Surico, 2004. "Inflation Targeting and Nonlinear Policy Rules: the Case of Asymmetric Preferences," Computing in Economics and Finance 2004 108, Society for Computational Economics.
    21. Neuenkirch, Matthias & Tillmann, Peter, 2014. "Inflation targeting, credibility, and non-linear Taylor rules," Journal of International Money and Finance, Elsevier, vol. 41(C), pages 30-45.
    22. Claudia Arguedas Gonzales, 2004. "Las tasas de interés en moneda nacional y la inflación: una revisión de la Hipótesis de Fisher para Bolivia," Monetaria, CEMLA, vol. 0(4), pages 325-341, octubre-d.
    23. Valerija Botric, 2012. "NAIRU estimates for Croatia," Zbornik radova Ekonomskog fakulteta u Rijeci/Proceedings of Rijeka Faculty of Economics, University of Rijeka, Faculty of Economics and Business, vol. 30(1), pages 163-180.
    24. Dolado, Juan J. & Maria-Dolores, Ramon & Naveira, Manuel, 2005. "Are monetary-policy reaction functions asymmetric?: The role of nonlinearity in the Phillips curve," European Economic Review, Elsevier, vol. 49(2), pages 485-503, February.
    25. Naveen Srinivasan & Vidya Mahambare & M. Ramachandran, 2006. "UK monetary policy under inflation forecast targeting: is behaviour consistent with symmetric preferences?," Oxford Economic Papers, Oxford University Press, vol. 58(4), pages 706-721, October.
    26. Semmler, Willi & Zhang, Wenlang, 2007. "Asset price volatility and monetary policy rules: A dynamic model and empirical evidence," Economic Modelling, Elsevier, vol. 24(3), pages 411-430, May.
    27. Paolo Surico, 2004. "Inflation Targeting and Nonlinear Policy Rules: The Case of Asymmetric Preferences (new title: The Fed's monetary policy rule and U.S. inflation: The case of asymmetric preferences)," CESifo Working Paper Series 1280, CESifo.
    28. Surico, Paolo, 2007. "The Fed's monetary policy rule and U.S. inflation: The case of asymmetric preferences," Journal of Economic Dynamics and Control, Elsevier, vol. 31(1), pages 305-324, January.
    29. Felipe Morandé L. & Mauricio Tejada G., 2008. "Sources of Uncertainty in Monetary Policy Conduct in Chile," Journal Economía Chilena (The Chilean Economy), Central Bank of Chile, vol. 11(3), pages 45-80, December.

  41. Eric Swanson, 2000. "On Signal Extraction and Non-Certainty-Equivalence in Optimal Monetary Policy Rules," Econometric Society World Congress 2000 Contributed Papers 1085, Econometric Society.

    Cited by:

    1. William H.Greene & Max Gillman & Mark N. Harris & Christopher Spencer, 2013. "The Tempered Ordered Probit (TOP) model with an application to monetary policy," Discussion Paper Series 2013_10, Department of Economics, Loughborough University, revised Sep 2013.
    2. Leitemo, Kai & Soderstrom, Ulf, 2005. "Simple monetary policy rules and exchange rate uncertainty," Journal of International Money and Finance, Elsevier, vol. 24(3), pages 481-507, April.
    3. Athanasios Orphanides & John C. Williams, 2002. "Robust Monetary Policy Rules with Unknown Natural Rates," Brookings Papers on Economic Activity, Economic Studies Program, The Brookings Institution, vol. 33(2), pages 63-146.
    4. Andrés González Gómez & Lavan Mahadeva & Diego Rodríguez & Luis Eduardo Rojas, 2009. "Monetary Policy Forecasting In A Dsge Model With Data That Is Uncertain, Unbalanced And About The Future," Borradores de Economia 5480, Banco de la Republica.
    5. Aoki, Kosuke, 2006. "Optimal commitment policy under noisy information," Journal of Economic Dynamics and Control, Elsevier, vol. 30(1), pages 81-109, January.
    6. Michael Ehrmann and Frank Smets, 2001. "Uncertain Potential Output: Implications for Monetary Policy," Computing in Economics and Finance 2001 8, Society for Computational Economics.
    7. Glenn D. Rudebusch, 1999. "Is the Fed too timid? Monetary policy in an uncertain world," Working Papers in Applied Economic Theory 99-05, Federal Reserve Bank of San Francisco.
    8. Lavan Mahadeva & Alex Muscatelli, 2005. "National Accounts Revisions and Output Gap Estimates in a Model of Monetary Policy with Data Uncertainty," Discussion Papers 14, Monetary Policy Committee Unit, Bank of England.
    9. Bauer, Christian & Neuenkirch, Matthias, 2017. "Forecast uncertainty and the Taylor rule," Journal of International Money and Finance, Elsevier, vol. 77(C), pages 99-116.
    10. Alexei Onatski & Noah Williams, 2003. "Modeling Model Uncertainty," Journal of the European Economic Association, MIT Press, vol. 1(5), pages 1087-1122, September.
    11. Gabriel Srour, 2003. "Some Notes on Monetary Policy Rules with Uncertainty," Staff Working Papers 03-16, Bank of Canada.
    12. Ajax R. B. Moreira & Marco A. F. H. Cavalcanti, 2015. "Robustness and Stabilization Properties of Monetary Policy Rules in Brazil," Discussion Papers 0100, Instituto de Pesquisa Econômica Aplicada - IPEA.
    13. Paul Hubert, 2009. "An Empirical Review of Federal Reserve’s Informational Advantage," Documents de Travail de l'OFCE 2009-03, Observatoire Francais des Conjonctures Economiques (OFCE).
    14. Eric T. Swanson, 2005. "Optimal nonlinear policy: signal extraction with a non-normal prior," Working Paper Series 2005-24, Federal Reserve Bank of San Francisco.
    15. Dotsey, Michael & Hornstein, Andreas, 2003. "Should a monetary policymaker look at money?," Journal of Monetary Economics, Elsevier, vol. 50(3), pages 547-579, April.
    16. Cukierman, Alex & Lippi, Francesco, 2003. "Endogenous Monetary Policy with Unobserved Potential Output," CEPR Discussion Papers 3763, C.E.P.R. Discussion Papers.
    17. Fabrizio Zampolli & Andrew Blake, 2005. "Time Consistent Policy in Markov Switching Models," Money Macro and Finance (MMF) Research Group Conference 2005 2, Money Macro and Finance Research Group.
    18. Christopher Martin & Costas Milas, 2009. "Uncertainty And Monetary Policy Rules In The United States," Economic Inquiry, Western Economic Association International, vol. 47(2), pages 206-215, April.
    19. Svensson, Lars & Woodford, Michael, 2000. "Indicator Variables for Optimal Policy," Seminar Papers 688, Stockholm University, Institute for International Economic Studies.
    20. Belderbos, Rene & Ikeuchi, Kenta & Fukao, Kyoji & Kim, Young Gak & Kwon, Hyeog Ug, 2013. "Plant Productivity Dynamics and Private and Public R&D Spillovers: Technological, Geographic and Relational Proximity," CEI Working Paper Series 2013-05, Center for Economic Institutions, Institute of Economic Research, Hitotsubashi University.
    21. Alina Carare & Robert Tchaidze, 2008. "The Use and Abuse of Taylor Rules: How Precisely Can We Estimate Them?," Working Papers 006-08, International School of Economics at TSU, Tbilisi, Republic of Georgia.
    22. Levin, Andrew T. & Wieland, Volker & Williams, John C., 2001. "The performance of forecast-based monetary policy rules under model uncertainty," Working Paper Series 68, European Central Bank.
    23. Francois Gourio & Jonas Fisher, 2015. "Risk Management for Monetary Policy at the Zero Lower Bound," 2015 Meeting Papers 665, Society for Economic Dynamics.
    24. Travaglini, Guido, 2007. "The U.S. Dynamic Taylor Rule With Multiple Breaks, 1984-2001," MPRA Paper 3419, University Library of Munich, Germany, revised 15 Jun 2007.
    25. Christopher Martin & Costas Milas, 2005. "Uncertainty and UK Monetary Policy," Keele Economics Research Papers KERP 2005/11, Centre for Economic Research, Keele University.
    26. Aoki, Kosuke, 2003. "On the optimal monetary policy response to noisy indicators," Journal of Monetary Economics, Elsevier, vol. 50(3), pages 501-523, April.
    27. John C. Williams, 2005. "Robust estimation and monetary policy with unobserved structural change," Proceedings, Board of Governors of the Federal Reserve System (U.S.), pages 53-81.
    28. Mr. Helmut Wagner, 2001. "Implications of Globalization for Monetary Policy," IMF Working Papers 2001/184, International Monetary Fund.
    29. Leitemo, Kai & Lonning, Ingunn, 2006. "Simple Monetary Policymaking without the Output Gap," Journal of Money, Credit and Banking, Blackwell Publishing, vol. 38(6), pages 1619-1640, September.
    30. Jarkko Jääskelä & Tony Yates, 2005. "Monetary policy and data uncertainty," Bank of England working papers 281, Bank of England.
    31. Rageh, Rania, 2010. "Interest rate rule for the conduct of monetary policy: analysis for Egypt (1997:2007)," MPRA Paper 26639, University Library of Munich, Germany.
    32. Gerlach-Kristen, Petra, 2005. "Too little, too late: Interest rate setting and the costs of consensus," Economics Letters, Elsevier, vol. 88(3), pages 376-381, September.
    33. Christophe Planas & Alessandro Rossi, 2004. "Can inflation data improve the real-time reliability of output gap estimates?," Journal of Applied Econometrics, John Wiley & Sons, Ltd., vol. 19(1), pages 121-133.
    34. Andrew P Blake & Fabrizio Zampolli, 2006. "Optimal monetary policy in Markov-switching models with rational expectations agents," Bank of England working papers 298, Bank of England.
    35. George Kapetanios & Tony Yates, 2004. "Estimating time-variation in measurement error from data revisions; an application to forecasting in dynamic models," Bank of England working papers 238, Bank of England.
    36. Laurence H. Meyer & Eric T. Swanson & Volker W. Wieland, 2001. "NAIRU Uncertainty and Nonlinear Policy Rules," American Economic Review, American Economic Association, vol. 91(2), pages 226-231, May.
    37. Lansing, Kevin J. & Trehan, Bharat, 2003. "Forward-looking behavior and optimal discretionary monetary policy," Economics Letters, Elsevier, vol. 81(2), pages 249-256, November.
    38. Michael Dotsey & Andreas Hornstein, 2002. "Should optimal discretionary monetary policy look at money?," Working Paper 02-04, Federal Reserve Bank of Richmond.
    39. Iris Claus, 2003. "Estimating potential output for New Zealand," Applied Economics, Taylor & Francis Journals, vol. 35(7), pages 751-760.
    40. George Kapetanios & Tony Yates, 2010. "Estimating time variation in measurement error from data revisions: an application to backcasting and forecasting in dynamic models," Journal of Applied Econometrics, John Wiley & Sons, Ltd., vol. 25(5), pages 869-893.
    41. Mr. Helge Berger & Mr. Henning Weber, 2012. "Money As Indicator for the Natural Rate of Interest," IMF Working Papers 2012/006, International Monetary Fund.
    42. Ruthira Naraidoo & Leroi Raputsoane, 2013. "Financial markets and the response of monetary policy to uncertainty in South Africa," Working Papers 201310, University of Pretoria, Department of Economics.
    43. Giese, Guido & Wagner, Helmut, 2009. "A New Keynesian Model with Endogenous Frictions," Discussion Paper Series a520, Institute of Economic Research, Hitotsubashi University.
    44. Paul Hubert, 2010. "Monetary policy, imperfect information and the expectations channel [Politique monétaire,information imparfaite et canal des anticipations]," SciencePo Working papers Main tel-04095385, HAL.
    45. Jean-Philippe Cayen & Simon van Norden, 2002. "La fiabilité des estimations de l'écart de production au Canada," Staff Working Papers 02-10, Bank of Canada.
    46. Michael Scharnagl & Christina Gerberding & Franz Seitz, 2010. "Should Monetary Policy Respond to Money Growth? New Results for the Euro Area," International Finance, Wiley Blackwell, vol. 13(3), pages 409-441, December.
    47. Mr. Robert Tchaidze & Ms. Alina Carare, 2005. "The Use and Abuse of Taylor Rules: How Precisely Can We Estimate Them?," IMF Working Papers 2005/148, International Monetary Fund.
    48. Boehm, Christoph E. & House, Christopher L., 2019. "Optimal Taylor rules when targets are uncertain," European Economic Review, Elsevier, vol. 119(C), pages 274-286.
    49. Blake, Andrew P. & Zampolli, Fabrizio, 2011. "Optimal policy in Markov-switching rational expectations models," Journal of Economic Dynamics and Control, Elsevier, vol. 35(10), pages 1626-1651, October.
    50. James D. Hamilton, 2000. "Indicator variables for optimal policy, comments," Proceedings, Federal Reserve Bank of San Francisco.

  42. Eric T. Swanson, 1999. "Models of sectoral reallocation," Finance and Economics Discussion Series 1999-03, Board of Governors of the Federal Reserve System (U.S.).

    Cited by:

    1. Giovanni Gallipoli & Gianluigi Pelloni, 2013. "Macroeconomic Effects of Job Reallocations: A Survey," Review of Economic Analysis, Digital Initiatives at the University of Waterloo Library, vol. 5(2), pages 127-176, December.
    2. Chang, Yongsung & Kwark, Noh-Sun, 2001. "Decomposition of hours based on extensive and intensive margins of labor," Economics Letters, Elsevier, vol. 72(3), pages 361-367, September.
    3. Eric T. Swanson, 1999. "Measuring the cyclicality of real wages: how important is aggregation across industries?," Finance and Economics Discussion Series 1999-52, Board of Governors of the Federal Reserve System (U.S.).
    4. Giovanni Gallipoli & Gianluigi Pelloni, 2008. "Aggregate Shocks vs Reallocation Shocks: an Appraisal of the Applied Literature," Working Paper series 27_08, Rimini Centre for Economic Analysis.

Articles

  1. Michael D. Bauer & Eric T. Swanson, 2023. "A Reassessment of Monetary Policy Surprises and High-Frequency Identification," NBER Macroeconomics Annual, University of Chicago Press, vol. 37(1), pages 87-155.
    See citations under working paper version above.
  2. Eric T. Swanson, 2023. "The Importance of Fed Chair Speeches as a Monetary Policy Tool," AEA Papers and Proceedings, American Economic Association, vol. 113, pages 394-400, May.

    Cited by:

    1. Ahrens, Maximilian & Erdemlioglu, Deniz & Mcmahon, Michael & Neely, Christopher J & Yang, Xiye, 2023. "Mind Your Language: Market Responses to Central Bank Speeches," CEPR Discussion Papers 18191, C.E.P.R. Discussion Papers.
    2. Bekaert, Geert & Hoerova, Marie & Xu, Nancy R., 2023. "Risk, monetary policy and asset prices in a global world," Working Paper Series 2879, European Central Bank.
    3. Marc Burri & Daniel Kaufmann, 2024. "Multi-dimensional monetary policy shocks based on heteroscedasticity," IRENE Working Papers 24-03, IRENE Institute of Economic Research.
    4. Nakamura, Fumitaka & Sudo, Nao & Sugisaki, Yu, 2024. "Assessing monetary policy surprises in Japan by high frequency identification," Journal of the Japanese and International Economies, Elsevier, vol. 71(C).
    5. Ko, Eunmi, 2024. "An affine term structure model with Fed chairs’ speeches," Finance Research Letters, Elsevier, vol. 63(C).
    6. Ehrmann, Michael & Gnan, Phillipp & Rieder, Kilian, 2023. "Central bank communication by ??? The economics of public policy leaks," Working Paper Series 2846, European Central Bank.
    7. Haroon Mumtaz & Jumana Saleheen & Roxane Spitznagel, 2023. "Keep it Simple: Central Bank Communication and Asset Prices," Working Papers 960, Queen Mary University of London, School of Economics and Finance.

  3. Michael D. Bauer & Eric T. Swanson, 2023. "An Alternative Explanation for the "Fed Information Effect"," American Economic Review, American Economic Association, vol. 113(3), pages 664-700, March.
    See citations under working paper version above.
  4. Swanson, Eric T., 2021. "Measuring the effects of federal reserve forward guidance and asset purchases on financial markets," Journal of Monetary Economics, Elsevier, vol. 118(C), pages 32-53.
    See citations under working paper version above.
  5. Eric T. Swanson, 2020. "Implications of Labor Market Frictions for Risk Aversion and Risk Premia," American Economic Journal: Macroeconomics, American Economic Association, vol. 12(2), pages 194-240, April.
    See citations under working paper version above.
  6. Eric Swanson, 2018. "Risk Aversion, Risk Premia, and the Labor Margin with Generalized Recursive Preferences," Review of Economic Dynamics, Elsevier for the Society for Economic Dynamics, vol. 28, pages 290-321, April.
    See citations under working paper version above.
  7. Eric T. Swanson, 2018. "The Federal Reserve Is Not Very Constrained by the Lower Bound on Nominal Interest Rates," Brookings Papers on Economic Activity, Economic Studies Program, The Brookings Institution, vol. 49(2 (Fall)), pages 555-572.
    See citations under working paper version above.
  8. Eric T. Swanson, 2016. "Measuring the effects of unconventional monetary policy on asset prices," Journal Economía Chilena (The Chilean Economy), Central Bank of Chile, vol. 19(2), pages 78-100, August.
    See citations under working paper version above.
  9. Fernald, John G. & Spiegel, Mark M. & Swanson, Eric T., 2014. "Monetary policy effectiveness in China: Evidence from a FAVAR model," Journal of International Money and Finance, Elsevier, vol. 49(PA), pages 83-103.
    See citations under working paper version above.
  10. Eric T. Swanson & John C. Williams, 2014. "Measuring the Effect of the Zero Lower Bound on Medium- and Longer-Term Interest Rates," American Economic Review, American Economic Association, vol. 104(10), pages 3154-3185, October.
    See citations under working paper version above.
  11. Eric T. Swanson, 2012. "Risk Aversion and the Labor Margin in Dynamic Equilibrium Models," American Economic Review, American Economic Association, vol. 102(4), pages 1663-1691, June.

    Cited by:

    1. Mumtaz, Haroon & Theodoridis, Konstantinos, 2017. "Common and country specific economic uncertainty," Journal of International Economics, Elsevier, vol. 105(C), pages 205-216.
    2. Timo Boppart & Per Krusell, 2016. "Labor Supply in the Past, Present, and Future: a Balanced-Growth Perspective," NBER Working Papers 22215, National Bureau of Economic Research, Inc.
    3. Li, Erica X.N. & Palomino, Francisco, 2014. "Nominal rigidities, asset returns, and monetary policy," Journal of Monetary Economics, Elsevier, vol. 66(C), pages 210-225.
    4. François Gourio, 2013. "Credit Risk and Disaster Risk," American Economic Journal: Macroeconomics, American Economic Association, vol. 5(3), pages 1-34, July.
    5. Giovanni Pellegrino & Efrem Castelnuovo & Giovanni Caggiano, 2021. "Uncertainty and Monetary Policy during the Great Recession," Economics Working Papers 2021-05, Department of Economics and Business Economics, Aarhus University.
    6. Takeshi Yagihashi & Juan Du, 2015. "Intertemporal elasticity of substitution and risk aversion: are they related empirically?," Applied Economics, Taylor & Francis Journals, vol. 47(15), pages 1588-1605, March.
    7. Mumtaz, Haroon & Theodoridis, Konstantinos, 2018. "Dynamic Effects of Monetary Policy Shocks on Macroeconomic Volatility," Cardiff Economics Working Papers E2018/21, Cardiff University, Cardiff Business School, Economics Section.
    8. Andreasen, Martin M., 2012. "An estimated DSGE model: Explaining variation in nominal term premia, real term premia, and inflation risk premia," European Economic Review, Elsevier, vol. 56(8), pages 1656-1674.
    9. Zanetti, Francesco, 2014. "Housing and relative risk aversion," Economics Letters, Elsevier, vol. 123(1), pages 23-25.
    10. Kliem, Martin & Meyer-Gohde, Alexander, 2017. "(Un)expected Monetary Policy Shocks and Term Premia," SFB 649 Discussion Papers 2017-015, Humboldt University Berlin, Collaborative Research Center 649: Economic Risk.
    11. Fernández-Villaverde, Jesús & Levintal, Oren, 2016. "Solution Methods for Models with Rare Disasters," CEPR Discussion Papers 11115, C.E.P.R. Discussion Papers.
    12. Francisco Palomino & Alex Hsu, 2013. "What do Nominal Rigidities and Monetary Policy tell us about the Real Yield Curve?," 2013 Meeting Papers 50, Society for Economic Dynamics.
    13. Fulford, Scott L., 2015. "The surprisingly low importance of income uncertainty for precaution," European Economic Review, Elsevier, vol. 79(C), pages 151-171.
    14. Yan Ji, 2017. "Job Search under Debt: Aggregate Implications of Student Loans," 2017 Meeting Papers 222, Society for Economic Dynamics.
    15. Christopher Heiberger & Daniel Fehrle, 2020. "The return on everything and the business cycle in production economies," Discussion Paper Series 338, Universitaet Augsburg, Institute for Economics.
    16. Giovanni Pellegrino & Efrem Castelnuovo & Giovanni Caggiano, 2020. "Uncertainty and Monetary Policy during Extreme Events," Economics Working Papers 2020-11, Department of Economics and Business Economics, Aarhus University.
    17. Jesús Fernández-Villaverde & Pablo A. Guerrón-Quintana, 2020. "Uncertainty Shocks and Business Cycle Research," NBER Working Papers 26768, National Bureau of Economic Research, Inc.
    18. Martin M. Andreasen & Giovanni Caggiano & Efrem Castelnuovo & Giovanni Pellegrino, 2021. "Why Does Risk Matter More in Recessions than in Expansions?," "Marco Fanno" Working Papers 0275, Dipartimento di Scienze Economiche "Marco Fanno".
    19. Bidder, R.M. & Smith, M.E., 2012. "Robust animal spirits," Journal of Monetary Economics, Elsevier, vol. 59(8), pages 738-750.
    20. Posch, Olaf, 2011. "Risk premia in general equilibrium," Journal of Economic Dynamics and Control, Elsevier, vol. 35(9), pages 1557-1576, September.
    21. J. David Lopez-Salido & Francisco Vazquez-Grande & Pierlauro Lopez, 2015. "Macro-Finance Separation by Force of Habit," 2015 Meeting Papers 980, Society for Economic Dynamics.
    22. Jonathan Heathcote & Kjetil Storesletten & Giovanni L. Violante, 2009. "Consumption and labor supply with partial insurance: an analytical framework," Staff Report 432, Federal Reserve Bank of Minneapolis.
    23. Kaszab, Lorant & Marsal, Ales, 2013. "Fiscal Policy and the Nominal Term Premium," Cardiff Economics Working Papers E2013/13, Cardiff University, Cardiff Business School, Economics Section.
    24. Alex Ilek & Irit Rozenshtrom, 2017. "The Term Premium in a Small Open Economy: A Micro-Founded Approach," Bank of Israel Working Papers 2017.06, Bank of Israel.
    25. Yu Zhu & Randall Wright & Chao He, 2013. "Housing and Liquidity," 2013 Meeting Papers 168, Society for Economic Dynamics.
    26. de Groot, Oliver & Richter, Alexander W. & Throckmorton, Nathaniel, 2020. "Valuation Risk Revalued," CEPR Discussion Papers 14588, C.E.P.R. Discussion Papers.
    27. Lorenzo Bretscher & Alex Hsu & Andrea Tamoni, 2017. "Level and Volatility Shocks to Fiscal Policy: Term Structure Implications," 2017 Meeting Papers 258, Society for Economic Dynamics.
    28. Meyer-Gohde, Alexander, 2017. "Generalized Entropy and Model Uncertainty," SFB 649 Discussion Papers 2017-017, Humboldt University Berlin, Collaborative Research Center 649: Economic Risk.
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  13. Glenn D. Rudebusch & Eric T. Swanson, 2012. "The Bond Premium in a DSGE Model with Long-Run Real and Nominal Risks," American Economic Journal: Macroeconomics, American Economic Association, vol. 4(1), pages 105-143, January.
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    4. Steve Brito & Mr. Yan Carriere-Swallow & Bertrand Gruss, 2018. "Disagreement about Future Inflation: Understanding the Benefits of Inflation Targeting and Transparency," IMF Working Papers 2018/024, International Monetary Fund.
    5. Yunus Aksoy & Henriqu S Basso, 2012. "Liquidity, Term Spreads and Monetary Policy," Birkbeck Working Papers in Economics and Finance 1211, Birkbeck, Department of Economics, Mathematics & Statistics.
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    8. Ehrmann, Michael, 2021. "Point targets, tolerance bands or target ranges? Inflation target types and the anchoring of inflation expectations," Journal of International Economics, Elsevier, vol. 132(C).
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  23. Gurkaynak, Refet S. & Sack, Brian T. & Swanson, Eric P., 2007. "Market-Based Measures of Monetary Policy Expectations," Journal of Business & Economic Statistics, American Statistical Association, vol. 25, pages 201-212, April.
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    5. Shuhei Takahashi, 2015. "Time-Varying Wage Risk, Incomplete Markets, and Business Cycles," KIER Working Papers 912, Kyoto University, Institute of Economic Research.
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  25. Swanson, Eric T., 2006. "Optimal nonlinear policy: signal extraction with a non-normal prior," Journal of Economic Dynamics and Control, Elsevier, vol. 30(2), pages 185-203, February.
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    2. Gabriela Galati & Steven Poelhekke & Chen Zhou, 2011. "Did the Crisis Affect Inflation Expectations?," International Journal of Central Banking, International Journal of Central Banking, vol. 7(1), pages 167-207, March.

  27. Swanson, Eric T., 2006. "Have Increases in Federal Reserve Transparency Improved Private Sector Interest Rate Forecasts?," Journal of Money, Credit and Banking, Blackwell Publishing, vol. 38(3), pages 791-819, April.

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    417. Coleman, Winnie & Nautz, Dieter, 2022. "Inflation Expectations, Inflation Target Credibility and the COVID-19 Pandemic: New Evidence from Germany," VfS Annual Conference 2022 (Basel): Big Data in Economics 264094, Verein für Socialpolitik / German Economic Association.
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  33. Swanson, Eric T., 2004. "Signal Extraction And Non-Certainty-Equivalence In Optimal Monetary Policy Rules," Macroeconomic Dynamics, Cambridge University Press, vol. 8(1), pages 27-50, February.
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  34. Faust, Jon & Swanson, Eric T. & Wright, Jonathan H., 2004. "Identifying VARS based on high frequency futures data," Journal of Monetary Economics, Elsevier, vol. 51(6), pages 1107-1131, September.
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  35. Eric T. Swanson, 2004. "Measuring the Cyclicality of Real Wages: How Important Is the Firm's Point of View?," The Review of Economics and Statistics, MIT Press, vol. 86(1), pages 362-377, February.

    Cited by:

    1. Eran Hoffmann, 2018. "The Cyclical Composition of Startups," 2018 Meeting Papers 553, Society for Economic Dynamics.
    2. Grace Weishi Gu & Eswar Prasad & Thomas Moehrle, 2020. "New Evidence on Cyclical Variation in Average Labor Costs in the United States," The Review of Economics and Statistics, MIT Press, vol. 102(5), pages 966-979, December.
    3. Gu, Grace Weishi & Prasad, Eswar, 2018. "New Evidence on Cyclical Variation in Labor Costs in the U.S," IZA Discussion Papers 11311, Institute of Labor Economics (IZA).
    4. Eichengreen, Barry, 2021. "Gold and South Africa's Great Depression," CEPR Discussion Papers 15812, C.E.P.R. Discussion Papers.
    5. Eichengreen, Barry & Park, Donghyun & Shin, Kwanho, 2016. "Deflation in Asia: Should the Dangers Be Dismissed?," ADB Economics Working Paper Series 490, Asian Development Bank.
    6. Gregory Verdugo, 2016. "Real wage cyclicality in the Eurozone before and during the Great Recession: Evidence from micro data," SciencePo Working papers Main hal-01296738, HAL.
    7. Eichengreen, Barry & Park, Donghyun & Shin, Kwanho, 2017. "Should the dangers of deflation be dismissed?," Journal of Macroeconomics, Elsevier, vol. 52(C), pages 287-307.

  36. Faust Jon & Swanson Eric T & Wright Jonathan H, 2004. "Do Federal Reserve Policy Surprises Reveal Superior Information about the Economy?," The B.E. Journal of Macroeconomics, De Gruyter, vol. 4(1), pages 1-31, October.

    Cited by:

    1. Andreas Neuhierl & Michael Weber, 2020. "Monetary Momentum," Working Papers 2020-39, Becker Friedman Institute for Research In Economics.
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    4. D'Agostino, A & Whelan, K, 2007. "Federal Reserve Information During the Great Moderation," MPRA Paper 6092, University Library of Munich, Germany.
    5. Bedri Kamil Onur Taş, 2016. "Does the Federal Reserve have Private Information about its Future Actions?," Economica, London School of Economics and Political Science, vol. 83(331), pages 498-517, July.
    6. Gamber, Edward N. & Smith, Julie K. & McNamara, Dylan C., 2014. "Where is the Fed in the distribution of forecasters?," Journal of Policy Modeling, Elsevier, vol. 36(2), pages 296-312.
    7. Hubert, Paul & Labondance, Fabien, 2021. "The signaling effects of central bank tone," European Economic Review, Elsevier, vol. 133(C).
    8. Lakdawala, Aeimit & Schaffer, Matthew, 2019. "Federal reserve private information and the stock market," Journal of Banking & Finance, Elsevier, vol. 106(C), pages 34-49.
    9. Andreas Neuhierl & Michael Weber, 2016. "Monetary Policy and the Stock Market: Time-Series Evidence," NBER Working Papers 22831, National Bureau of Economic Research, Inc.
    10. Chunya Bu & John Rogers & Wenbin Wu, 2019. "A Unified Measure of Fed Monetary Policy Shocks," Finance and Economics Discussion Series 2019-043, Board of Governors of the Federal Reserve System (U.S.).
    11. Abdullah Mamun & M. Kabir Hassan, 2014. "What explains the lack of monetary policy influence on bank holding companies?," Review of Financial Economics, John Wiley & Sons, vol. 23(4), pages 227-235, November.
    12. Benjamin Gardner & Chiara Scotti & Clara Vega, 2021. "Words Speak as Loudly as Actions: Central Bank Communication and the Response of Equity Prices to Macroeconomic Announcements," Finance and Economics Discussion Series 2021-074, Board of Governors of the Federal Reserve System (U.S.).
    13. Neuhierl, Andreas & Weber, Michael, 2019. "Monetary policy communication, policy slope, and the stock market," Journal of Monetary Economics, Elsevier, vol. 108(C), pages 140-155.
    14. Michael Weber & Ali Ozdagli, 2016. "Monetary Policy Through Production Networks: Evidence from the Stock Market," 2016 Meeting Papers 148, Society for Economic Dynamics.
    15. Paul Hubert, 2009. "An Empirical Review of Federal Reserve’s Informational Advantage," Documents de Travail de l'OFCE 2009-03, Observatoire Francais des Conjonctures Economiques (OFCE).
    16. Seung Kwak, 2022. "How Does Monetary Policy Affect Prices of Corporate Loans?," Finance and Economics Discussion Series 2022-008, Board of Governors of the Federal Reserve System (U.S.).
    17. Gurkaynak, Refet S & Sack, Brian & Swanson, Eric T, 2005. "Do Actions Speak Louder Than Words? The Response of Asset Prices to Monetary Policy Actions and Statements," MPRA Paper 820, University Library of Munich, Germany.
    18. Kishor N. Kundan, 2010. "The Superiority of Greenbook Forecasts and the Role of Recessions," NBP Working Papers 74, Narodowy Bank Polski.
    19. Friedrich Heinemann & Katrin Ullrich, 2007. "Does it Pay to Watch Central Bankers’ Lips? The Information Content of ECB Wording," Swiss Journal of Economics and Statistics (SJES), Swiss Society of Economics and Statistics (SSES), vol. 143(II), pages 155-185, June.
    20. Frankel, Alex & Kartik, Navin, 2018. "What kind of central bank competence?," Theoretical Economics, Econometric Society, vol. 13(2), May.
    21. Ben S. Bernanke & Kenneth N. Kuttner, 2004. "What explains the stock market's reaction to Federal Reserve policy?," Finance and Economics Discussion Series 2004-16, Board of Governors of the Federal Reserve System (U.S.).
    22. Karnaukh, Nina & Vokata, Petra, 2022. "Growth forecasts and news about monetary policy," Journal of Financial Economics, Elsevier, vol. 146(1), pages 55-70.
    23. Paul Hubert & Fabien Labondance, 2019. "Central bank tone and the dispersion of views within monetary policy committees," Working Papers hal-03403256, HAL.
    24. Jia, Chengcheng, 2023. "The informational effect of monetary policy and the case for policy commitment," European Economic Review, Elsevier, vol. 156(C).
    25. Marek Jarocinski & Peter Karadi, 2017. "Central Bank Information Shocks," 2017 Meeting Papers 1193, Society for Economic Dynamics.
    26. Paul Hubert, 2015. "Revisiting the Greenbook’s relative forecasting performance," Revue de l'OFCE, Presses de Sciences-Po, vol. 0(1), pages 151-179.
    27. Olivier Coibion & Yuriy Gorodnichenko, 2011. "Why Are Target Interest Rate Changes So Persistent?," NBER Working Papers 16707, National Bureau of Economic Research, Inc.
    28. Emi Nakamura & Jón Steinsson, 2018. "Identification in Macroeconomics," Journal of Economic Perspectives, American Economic Association, vol. 32(3), pages 59-86, Summer.
    29. Paul Hubert, 2009. "Informational Advantage and Influence of Communicating Central Banks," Documents de Travail de l'OFCE 2009-04, Observatoire Francais des Conjonctures Economiques (OFCE).
    30. Lavan Mahadeva, 2007. "A model of market surprises," Bank of England working papers 327, Bank of England.
    31. Jackson, Aaron L., 2010. "Policy futures markets with multiple goals," Journal of Macroeconomics, Elsevier, vol. 32(1), pages 45-54, March.
    32. Michael Smolyansky & Gustavo A. Suarez, 2021. "Monetary policy and the corporate bond market: How important is the Fed information effect?," Finance and Economics Discussion Series 2021-010, Board of Governors of the Federal Reserve System (U.S.).
    33. Kurov, Alexander, 2012. "What determines the stock market's reaction to monetary policy statements?," Review of Financial Economics, Elsevier, vol. 21(4), pages 175-187.
    34. Mariana García-Schmidt, 2024. "Is the Information Channel of Monetary Policy Alive in Emerging Markets?," Working Papers Central Bank of Chile 1017, Central Bank of Chile.
    35. Paul Hubert, 2015. "Do Central Bank forecasts influence private agents? Forecasting Performance vs. Signals," Post-Print hal-03399242, HAL.
    36. S. Rubun Dey & Christopher J. Neely, 2010. "A survey of announcement effects on foreign exchange returns," Review, Federal Reserve Bank of St. Louis, vol. 92(Sep), pages 417-464.
    37. Brett W. Fawley & Christopher J. Neely, 2014. "The evolution of Federal Reserve policy and the impact of monetary policy surprises on asset prices," Review, Federal Reserve Bank of St. Louis, vol. 96(1), pages 73-109.
    38. Vipul Bhatt & N. Kundan Kishor & Hardik Marfatia, 2020. "Estimating Excess Sensitivity and Habit Persistence in Consumption Using Greenbook Forecasts," Oxford Bulletin of Economics and Statistics, Department of Economics, University of Oxford, vol. 82(2), pages 257-284, April.
    39. Kwamie Dunbar, 2008. "The Impact of the FOMC's Monetary Policy Actions on the growth of Credit Risk: the Monetary Policy - Liquidity Paradox," Working papers 2008-05, University of Connecticut, Department of Economics.
    40. Gorodnichenko, Y & Coibion, O, 2016. "How inertial is monetary policy? implications for the fed’s exit strategy," Department of Economics, Working Paper Series qt2qc6f09b, Department of Economics, Institute for Business and Economic Research, UC Berkeley.
    41. Marek Jarociński & Peter Karadi, 2020. "Deconstructing Monetary Policy Surprises—The Role of Information Shocks," American Economic Journal: Macroeconomics, American Economic Association, vol. 12(2), pages 1-43, April.
    42. Calvin He, 2021. "Monetary Policy, Equity Markets and the Information Effect," RBA Research Discussion Papers rdp2021-04, Reserve Bank of Australia.
    43. Kramkov, Viacheslav & Maksimov, Andrey, 2024. "Monetary surprises and term structure of interest rates: Identification through heteroscedasticity," Applied Econometrics, Russian Presidential Academy of National Economy and Public Administration (RANEPA), vol. 74, pages 5-34.
    44. Emi Nakamura & Jón Steinsson, 2018. "High-Frequency Identification of Monetary Non-Neutrality: The Information Effect," The Quarterly Journal of Economics, President and Fellows of Harvard College, vol. 133(3), pages 1283-1330.
    45. Thealexa Becker & Andrew Lee Smith, 2015. "Has Forward Guidance Been Effective?," Economic Review, Federal Reserve Bank of Kansas City, issue Q III, pages 57-78.
    46. Patrice T. Robitaille & Jennifer E. Roush, 2006. "How do FOMC actions and U.S. macroeconomic data announcements move Brazilian sovereign yield spreads and stock prices?," International Finance Discussion Papers 868, Board of Governors of the Federal Reserve System (U.S.).
    47. Sophocles N. Brissimis & Nicholas S. Magginas, 2008. "Inflation Forecasts and the New Keynesian Phillips Curve," International Journal of Central Banking, International Journal of Central Banking, vol. 4(2), pages 1-22, June.
    48. Faust, Jon & Wright, Jonathan H., 2008. "Efficient forecast tests for conditional policy forecasts," Journal of Econometrics, Elsevier, vol. 146(2), pages 293-303, October.
    49. Elmar Mertens, 2010. "Managing beliefs about monetary policy under discretion," Finance and Economics Discussion Series 2010-11, Board of Governors of the Federal Reserve System (U.S.).
    50. Bennett Schmanski & Chiara Scotti & Clara Vega, 2023. "Fed Communication, News, Twitter, and Echo Chambers," Finance and Economics Discussion Series 2023-036, Board of Governors of the Federal Reserve System (U.S.).
    51. Aymen Belgacem, 2009. "Fundamentals, Macroeconomic Announcements and Asset Prices," EconomiX Working Papers 2009-16, University of Paris Nanterre, EconomiX.
    52. Tas, Bedri Kamil Onur, 2011. "An explanation for the price puzzle: Asymmetric information and expectation dynamics," Journal of Macroeconomics, Elsevier, vol. 33(2), pages 259-275, June.
    53. Baghestani, Hamid, 2006. "Federal reserve vs. private forecasts of real net exports," Economics Letters, Elsevier, vol. 91(3), pages 349-353, June.
    54. Samuel Hanson & Jeremy C. Stein, 2012. "Monetary policy and long-term real rates," Finance and Economics Discussion Series 2012-46, Board of Governors of the Federal Reserve System (U.S.).
    55. Karlyn Mitchell & Douglas K. Pearce, 2020. "How Did Unconventional Monetary Policy Affect Economic Forecasts?," Contemporary Economic Policy, Western Economic Association International, vol. 38(1), pages 206-220, January.
    56. Paul Hubert & Becky Maule, 2021. "Policy and Macro Signals from Central Bank Announcements," International Journal of Central Banking, International Journal of Central Banking, vol. 17(2), pages 255-296, June.
    57. Paul Hubert, 2010. "Monetary policy, imperfect information and the expectations channel [Politique monétaire,information imparfaite et canal des anticipations]," SciencePo Working papers Main tel-04095385, HAL.
    58. Kenneth N. Kuttner, 2008. "Commentary on \\"Assessing monetary policy effects using daily federal funds futures contracts\\"," Review, Federal Reserve Bank of St. Louis, vol. 90(Jul), pages 399-404.
    59. Bedri Kamil Onur Tas, 2007. "Inflation Targeting as a Signalling Mechanism," Working Papers 0701, TOBB University of Economics and Technology, Department of Economics.
    60. Kishor, N. Kundan, 2023. "Estimating Expected Asset Returns With the Present Value Model of Consumption and Fed Forecasts," MPRA Paper 119617, University Library of Munich, Germany.
    61. Samer Adra & Elie Menassa, 2023. "Uncertainty and corporate investments in response to the Fed's dual shocks," The Financial Review, Eastern Finance Association, vol. 58(3), pages 463-484, August.
    62. de Jong, Eelke & Verschoor, Willem F.C. & Zwinkels, Remco C.J., 2010. "Heterogeneity of agents and exchange rate dynamics: Evidence from the EMS," Journal of International Money and Finance, Elsevier, vol. 29(8), pages 1652-1669, December.
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  37. Jon Faust & John H. Rogers & Eric Swanson & Jonathan H. Wright, 2003. "Identifying the Effects of Monetary Policy Shocks on Exchange Rates Using High Frequency Data," Journal of the European Economic Association, MIT Press, vol. 1(5), pages 1031-1057, September.
    See citations under working paper version above.
  38. Refet S. Gürkaynak & Brian P. Sack & Eric T. Swanson, 2003. "The excess sensitivity of long-term interest rates: evidence and implications for macroeconomic models," Proceedings, Federal Reserve Bank of San Francisco, issue Mar.
    See citations under working paper version above.
  39. Laurence H. Meyer & Eric T. Swanson & Volker W. Wieland, 2001. "NAIRU Uncertainty and Nonlinear Policy Rules," American Economic Review, American Economic Association, vol. 91(2), pages 226-231, May.
    See citations under working paper version above.

Software components

    Sorry, no citations of software components recorded.

Chapters

  1. Michael D. Bauer & Eric T. Swanson, 2022. "A Reassessment of Monetary Policy Surprises and High-Frequency Identification," NBER Chapters, in: NBER Macroeconomics Annual 2022, volume 37, pages 87-155, National Bureau of Economic Research, Inc.
    See citations under working paper version above.
  2. Eric T. Swanson, 2016. "Measuring the Effects of Unconventional Monetary Policy on Asset Prices," Central Banking, Analysis, and Economic Policies Book Series, in: Elías Albagli & Diego Saravia & Michael Woodford (ed.),Monetary Policy through Asset Markets: Lessons from Unconventional Measures and Implications for an Integrated World, edition 1, volume 24, chapter 4, pages 105-130, Central Bank of Chile.
    See citations under working paper version above.
  3. Eric T. Swanson & John C. Williams, 2013. "Measuring the Effect of the Zero Lower Bound on Yields and Exchange Rates in the U.K. and Germany," NBER Chapters, in: NBER International Seminar on Macroeconomics 2013, pages 2-21, National Bureau of Economic Research, Inc.
    See citations under working paper version above.
  4. Refet S. Gürkaynak & Andrew T. Levin & Andrew N. Marder & Eric T. Swanson, 2007. "Inflation Targeting and the Anchoring of Inflation Expectations in the Western Hemisphere," Central Banking, Analysis, and Economic Policies Book Series, in: Frederic S. Miskin & Klaus Schmidt-Hebbel & Norman Loayza (Series Editor) & Klaus Schmidt-Hebbel (Se (ed.),Monetary Policy under Inflation Targeting, edition 1, volume 11, chapter 11, pages 415-465, Central Bank of Chile.
    See citations under working paper version above.Sorry, no citations of chapters recorded.
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