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Central Bank's Two-Way Communication with the Public and Inflation Dynamics

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  • Kosuke Aoki
  • Takeshi Kimura

Abstract

Using a model of island economy where financial markets aggregate dispersed information of the public, we analyze how two-way communication between the central bank and the public affects inflation dynamics. When inflation target is observable and credible to the public, markets provide the bank with information about the aggregate state of the economy, and hence the bank can stabilize inflation. However, when inflation target is unobservable or less credible, the public updates their perceived inflation target and the information revealed from markets to the bank becomes less perfect. The degree of uncertainty facing the bank crucially depends on how two-way communication works.

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Bibliographic Info

Paper provided by Centre for Economic Performance, LSE in its series CEP Discussion Papers with number dp0899.

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Date of creation: Nov 2008
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Handle: RePEc:cep:cepdps:dp0899

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Web page: http://cep.lse.ac.uk/_new/publications/series.asp?prog=CEP

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Keywords: Monetary policy; central bank communication; inflation target;

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References

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Cited by:
  1. Carboni, Giacomo & Ellison, Martin, 2011. "Inflation and output volatility under asymmetric incomplete information," Journal of Economic Dynamics and Control, Elsevier, vol. 35(1), pages 40-51, January.
  2. Man-Keung Tang & Xiangrong Yu, 2011. "Communication of Central Bank Thinking and Inflation Dynamics," IMF Working Papers 11/209, International Monetary Fund.

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