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US Monetary Policy Announcements and the Term Structure of Interest Rate Differentials: Evidence from Hong Kong and Singapore

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Author Info
Giorgio Valente (University of Warwick, Hong Kong Institute for Monetary Research)

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Abstract

This paper investigates the effect of US monetary policy announcements on the term structure of US interest rate differentials with Hong Kong and Singapore. US monetary policy surprises on domestic and international interest rates are measured by using data from short-term interest rate futures markets in all three countries around the FOMC meetings dates. Our results, based on careful treatment of interest rate endogeneity and time-varying risk premia in the futures markets, document that US monetary policy announcements significantly affect the behavior of the term structure of interest rates in the US and in both Asian countries. The implications of these results in light of the expectations hypothesis of the term structure of interest rates (EHTS) are also discussed.

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Publisher Info
Paper provided by Hong Kong Institute for Monetary Research in its series Working Papers with number 092005.

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Length: 25 pages
Date of creation: Sep 2005
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Handle: RePEc:hkm:wpaper:092005

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Related research
Keywords: Monetary policy; interest rate futures; term structure of interest rates;

Find related papers by JEL classification:
E43 - Macroeconomics and Monetary Economics - - Money and Interest Rates - - - Determination of Interest Rates; Term Structure of Interest Rates
E44 - Macroeconomics and Monetary Economics - - Money and Interest Rates - - - Financial Markets and the Macroeconomy
E52 - Macroeconomics and Monetary Economics - - Monetary Policy, Central Banking, and the Supply of Money and Credit - - - Monetary Policy
F31 - International Economics - - International Finance - - - Foreign Exchange
G13 - Financial Economics - - General Financial Markets - - - Contingent Pricing; Futures Pricing

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