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European monetary policy surprises: the aggregate and sectoral stock market response

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Author Info

  • Don Bredin

    (University College Dublin, Ireland)

  • Stuart Hyde

    (University of Manchester, UK)

  • Dirk Nitzsche

    (City University, UK)

  • Gerard O'Reilly

    (CBSFAI, Ireland)

Abstract

In this paper we investigate the stock market response to international monetary policy changes in the UK and Germany. Specifically, we analyse the impact of (un)expected changes in the UK and German|Euro area policy rates on the UK and German aggregate and sectoral equity returns in an event study. The decomposition of (un)expected changes in policy rates is based on futures markets. Overall, our results suggest that, the UK monetary policy surprises have a significant negative influence on both aggregate and industry level returns in both countries. The influence of German|Euro area monetary policy shocks appears insignificant for both Germany and the UK. Copyright © 2007 John Wiley & Sons, Ltd.

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Bibliographic Info

Article provided by John Wiley & Sons, Ltd. in its journal International Journal of Finance & Economics.

Volume (Year): 14 (2009)
Issue (Month): 2 ()
Pages: 156-171

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Handle: RePEc:ijf:ijfiec:v:14:y:2009:i:2:p:156-171

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References

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Citations

Blog mentions

As found by EconAcademics.org, the blog aggregator for Economics research:
  1. Blogs review: The Events Study methodology
    by ? in Bruegel blog on 2012-10-08 09:51:26
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Cited by:
  1. Jan Hanousek & Evzen Kocenda & Ali M. Kutan, 2008. "The Reaction of Asset Prices to Macroeconomic Announcements in New EU Markets: Evidence from Intraday Data," CERGE-EI Working Papers wp349, The Center for Economic Research and Graduate Education - Economic Institute, Prague.
  2. Jan Hanousek & Evžen Kočenda, 2010. "Effect of Intraday Information Flow on the Emerging European Stock Markets," Politická ekonomie, University of Economics, Prague, vol. 2010(4), pages 435-457.
  3. Chris Florackis & Alexandros Kontonikas & Alexandros Kostakis, 2010. "Transmission of macro-liquidity shocks to liquidity-sorted stock portfolios’ returns: The role of the financial crisis," Working Papers 2011_22, Business School - Economics, University of Glasgow, revised Apr 2011.
  4. Alexandros Kontonikas & Ronald MacDonald & Aman Saggu, 2012. "Stock market reaction to fed funds rate surprises: state dependence and the financial crisis," Working Papers 2012_11, Business School - Economics, University of Glasgow.
  5. Tang, Yong & Luo, Yong & Xiong, Jie & Zhao, Fei & Zhang, Yi-Cheng, 2013. "Impact of monetary policy changes on the Chinese monetary and stock markets," Physica A: Statistical Mechanics and its Applications, Elsevier, vol. 392(19), pages 4435-4449.
  6. Pilar Abad & Helena Chuliá, 2013. "“European Government Bond Markets and Monetary Policy Surprises: Returns, Volatility and Integration”," IREA Working Papers 201325, University of Barcelona, Research Institute of Applied Economics, revised Dec 2013.
  7. Bredin, Don & Hyde, Stuart & Reilly, Gerard O., 2010. "Monetary policy surprises and international bond markets," Journal of International Money and Finance, Elsevier, vol. 29(6), pages 988-1002, October.
  8. Guan-Ru Chen & Ming-Hung Wu, 2013. "How does Monetary Policy Influence Capital Markets? Using a Threshold Regression Model," Asia-Pacific Financial Markets, Springer, vol. 20(1), pages 31-47, March.
  9. Jan Hanousek & Evzen Kocenda, 2009. "Intraday Price Discovery in Emerging European Stock Markets," CERGE-EI Working Papers wp382, The Center for Economic Research and Graduate Education - Economic Institute, Prague.

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