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UK Stock Returns and the Impact of Domestic Monetary Policy Shocks

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Author Info
Don Bredin
Stuart Hyde
Dirk Nitzsche
Gerard O'reilly

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Abstract

We investigate the influence of changes in UK monetary policy on UK stock returns and the possible reasons behind such a response. Firstly, we conduct an event study to assess the impact of unexpected changes in monetary policy on aggregate and sectoral stock returns. The decomposition of unexpected changes in the policy rate is based on futures markets data. Secondly, using a variance decomposition in the spirit of Campbell (1991) we attempt to identity the channels behind the response of stock returns to monetary policy surprises. The variance decomposition results indicate that the monetary policy shock leads to a persistent negative response in terms of future excess returns for a number of sectors. Copyright 2007 The Authors Journal compilation (c) 2007 Blackwell Publishing Ltd.

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File URL: http://www.blackwell-synergy.com/doi/abs/10.1111/j.1468-5957.2006.02001.x
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Publisher Info
Article provided by Blackwell Publishing in its journal Journal of Business Finance & Accounting.

Volume (Year): 34 (2007-06)
Issue (Month): 5-6 ()
Pages: 872-888
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Handle: RePEc:bla:jbfnac:v:34:y:2007-06:i:5-6:p:872-888

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  1. Massimo Guidolin & Stuart Hyde, 2008. "Equity portfolio diversification under time-varying predictability and comovements: evidence from Ireland, the US, and the UK," Working Papers 2008-005, Federal Reserve Bank of St. Louis. [Downloadable!]
  2. Don Bredin & Stuart Hyde & Dirk Nitzsche & Gerard O'Reilly, 2009. "European monetary policy surprises: the aggregate and sectoral stock market response," International Journal of Finance & Economics, John Wiley & Sons, Ltd., vol. 14(2), pages 156-171. [Downloadable!]
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  3. Aymen Belgacem, 2009. "Fundamentals, Macroeconomic Announcements and Asset Prices," EconomiX Working Papers 2009-16, University of Paris West - Nanterre la Défense, EconomiX. [Downloadable!]
  4. Francesco, Guidi, 2008. "European Central Bank and Federal Reserve USA: monetary policy effects on the returns volatility of the Italian Stock Market Index Mibtel," MPRA Paper 10759, University Library of Munich, Germany. [Downloadable!]
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