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Monthly pass-through ratios

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  • Amstad, Marlene
  • Fischer, Andreas M.

Abstract

This paper estimates monthly pass-through ratios from import prices to consumer prices in real time. Conventional time series methods impose restrictions to generate exogenous shocks on exchange rates or import prices when estimating pass-through coefficients. Instead, our estimation strategy follows an event-study approach based on monthly releases in import prices. Projections from a dynamic common factor model with daily panels before and after monthly releases of import prices define the innovation for import prices. We apply our identification procedure to Swiss prices and find strong evidence that the median of the monthly pass-through ratio is around 0.3. Tests show that standard assumptions of non-real time data and limited information breath are critical for the pass-through estimates.

Suggested Citation

  • Amstad, Marlene & Fischer, Andreas M., 2010. "Monthly pass-through ratios," Journal of Economic Dynamics and Control, Elsevier, vol. 34(7), pages 1202-1213, July.
    • Handle: RePEc:eee:dyncon:v:34:y:2010:i:7:p:1202-1213
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    Cited by:

    1. Marlene Amstad & Simon M. Potter & Robert W. Rich, 2014. "The FRBNY staff underlying inflation gauge: UIG," Staff Reports 672, Federal Reserve Bank of New York.
    2. International Monetary Fund, 2011. "Switzerland: Selected Issues Paper," IMF Staff Country Reports 2011/116, International Monetary Fund.
    3. Shirota, Toyoichiro, 2017. "Not All Exchange Rate Movements Are Alike : Exchange Rate Persistence and Pass-Through to Consumer Prices," Discussion paper series. A 311, Graduate School of Economics and Business Administration, Hokkaido University.
    4. Marlene Amstad & Ye Huan & Guonan Ma, 2014. "Developing an underlying inflation gauge for China," BIS Working Papers 465, Bank for International Settlements.
    5. Kellermann, Kersten & Schlag, Carsten-Henning, 2011. "Frankenstärke und Importpreisreagibilität: Kurz-, mittel- und langfristige Effekte," KOFL Working Papers 10, Konjunkturforschungsstelle Liechtenstein (KOFL), Vaduz.
    6. Marlene Amstad & Andreas M. Fischer, 2009. "Do macroeconomic announcements move inflation forecasts?," Review, Federal Reserve Bank of St. Louis, vol. 91(Sep), pages 507-518.
    7. Mark A. Wynne, 2012. "Five Years of Research on Globalization and Monetary Policy: What Have We Learned?," Annual Report, Globalization and Monetary Policy Institute, Federal Reserve Bank of Dallas, pages 2-17.
    8. Marlene Amstad & Simon M. Potter & Robert W. Rich, 2017. "The New York Fed Staff Underlying Inflation Gauge (UIG)," Economic Policy Review, Federal Reserve Bank of New York, issue 23-2, pages 1-32.

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    More about this item

    Keywords

    Common factors Pass-through Real-time data;

    JEL classification:

    • E52 - Macroeconomics and Monetary Economics - - Monetary Policy, Central Banking, and the Supply of Money and Credit - - - Monetary Policy
    • E58 - Macroeconomics and Monetary Economics - - Monetary Policy, Central Banking, and the Supply of Money and Credit - - - Central Banks and Their Policies

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