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US monetary shocks and global stock prices

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  • Laeven, Luc
  • Tong, Hui

Abstract

This paper studies how US monetary policy affects global stock prices. We find that global stock prices respond strongly to changes in US interest rates, with stock prices increasing (decreasing) following unexpected monetary loosening (tightening). This impact is more pronounced for sectors that depend on external financing, and for countries whose domestic monetary policy is more aligned with that of the United States. Using investment data, we present results consistent with this effect operating primarily through changes in risk premiums as opposed to changes in expected returns. These findings suggest that US monetary shocks affect firms’ stock prices by influencing local interest rates, and offer new evidence that financial frictions play an important role in the transmission of monetary policy to the real economy.

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Bibliographic Info

Article provided by Elsevier in its journal Journal of Financial Intermediation.

Volume (Year): 21 (2012)
Issue (Month): 3 ()
Pages: 530-547

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Handle: RePEc:eee:jfinin:v:21:y:2012:i:3:p:530-547

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Web page: http://www.elsevier.com/locate/inca/622875

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Keywords: Monetary policy; Asset prices; Monetary transmission; Financial constraints;

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Cited by:
  1. Eijffinger, S.C.W. & Mahieu, R.J. & Raes, L.B.D., 2012. "Can the Fed talk the Hind Legs off the Stock Market? (replaces CentER DP 2011-072)," Discussion Paper 2012-012, Tilburg University, Center for Economic Research.
  2. Raes, L.B.D. & Eijffinger, S.C.W. & Mahieu, R.J., 2011. "Can the Fed Talk the Hind Legs off the Stock Market? (replaced by CentER DP 2012-012)," Discussion Paper 2011-072, Tilburg University, Center for Economic Research.
  3. Tsai, Chun-Li, 2014. "The effects of monetary policy on stock returns: Financing constraints and “informative” and “uninformative” FOMC statements," International Review of Economics & Finance, Elsevier, vol. 29(C), pages 273-290.

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