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Stock Prices and Monetary Policy Shocks: A General Equilibrium Approach

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  • Challe, Edouard
  • Giannitsarou, Chryssi

Abstract

Recent empirical literature documents that unexpected changes in the nominal interest rates have a significant effect on stock prices: a 25-basis point increase in the Fed funds rate is associated with an immediate decrease in broad stock indices that may range from 0.5 to 2.3 percent, followed by a gradual decay as stock prices revert towards their long-run expected value. In this paper, we assess the ability of a general equilibrium New Keynesian asset-pricing model to account for these facts. The model we consider allows for staggered price and wage setting, as well as time-varying risk aversion through habit formation. We find that the model predicts a stock market response to policy shocks that matches empirical estimates, both qualitatively and quantitatively. Our findings are robust to a range of variations and parameterizations of the model.

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Paper provided by C.E.P.R. Discussion Papers in its series CEPR Discussion Papers with number 8387.

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Date of creation: May 2011
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Handle: RePEc:cpr:ceprdp:8387

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Keywords: Asset prices; Monetary policy; New Keynesian general equilibrium model;

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Cited by:
  1. Jean-Bernard Chatelain & Kirsten Ralf, 2014. "Stability and Identification with Optimal Macroprudential Policy Rules," Université Paris1 Panthéon-Sorbonne (Post-Print and Working Papers) halshs-01018490, HAL.
  2. Castelnuovo , Efrem & Nisticò, Salvatore, 2010. "Stock market conditions and monetary policy in an DSGE model for the US," Research Discussion Papers 11/2010, Bank of Finland.
  3. Fabio Milani, 2008. "Learning about the Interdependence between the Macroeconomy and the Stock Market," Working Papers 070819, University of California-Irvine, Department of Economics.
  4. Rangan Gupta & Roula Inglesi-Lotz, 2012. "Macro Shocks and Real US Stock Prices with Special Focus on the "Great Recession"," Working Papers 201208, University of Pretoria, Department of Economics.
  5. repec:hal:cesptp:hal-00978145 is not listed on IDEAS
  6. Zervou, Anastasia S., 2013. "Financial market segmentation, stock market volatility and the role of monetary policy," European Economic Review, Elsevier, vol. 63(C), pages 256-272.

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