Optimal Monetary Policy Rules, Financial Amplification, and Uncertain Business Cycles
AbstractThis paper studies whether financial variables per se should matter for monetary policy. Earlier consensus view - using financial amplification models with disturbances that have no direct effect on credit market conditions- suggests that financial variables should not be assigned an independent role in policy making. Introducing uncertainty, time- variation in cross-sectional dispersion of firms’ productive performance, alters this policy prescription. The results show that (i) optimal policy is to dampen the strength of financial amplification by responding to uncertainty (at the expense of creating a mild degree of fluctuations in inflation). Moreover, a higher uncertainty makes the planner more willing to relax the financial constraints. (ii) Credit spreads are a good proxy for uncertainty, and hence, within the class of simple monetary policy rules I consider, a non-negligible response to credit spreads -together with a strong anti-inflationary stance- achieves the highest aggregate welfare possible.
Download InfoIf you experience problems downloading a file, check if you have the proper application to view it first. In case of further problems read the IDEAS help page. Note that these files are not on the IDEAS site. Please be patient as the files may be large.
Bibliographic InfoPaper provided by Research and Monetary Policy Department, Central Bank of the Republic of Turkey in its series Working Papers with number 1126.
Date of creation: 2011
Date of revision:
Contact details of provider:
Postal: Head Office, Istiklal Cad. 10 Ulus, 06100 Ankara
Phone: (90 312) 507 5000
Fax: (90 312) 507 5640
Web page: http://www.tcmb.gov.tr
More information through EDIRC
Optimal Monetary Policy; Financial Amplification; Uncertainty Shocks;
This paper has been announced in the following NEP Reports:
- NEP-ALL-2011-12-13 (All new papers)
- NEP-CBA-2011-12-13 (Central Banking)
- NEP-MON-2011-12-13 (Monetary Economics)
You can help add them by filling out this form.
CitEc Project, subscribe to its RSS feed for this item.
- Mahir Binici & Hasan Erol & A. Hakan Kara & Pinar Ozlu & Deren Unalmis, 2013. "Faiz Koridoru bir Makro Ihtiyati Arac Olabilir mi?," CBT Research Notes in Economics 1320, Research and Monetary Policy Department, Central Bank of the Republic of Turkey.
For technical questions regarding this item, or to correct its authors, title, abstract, bibliographic or download information, contact: (Gulhanim Kayatas).
If references are entirely missing, you can add them using this form.