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Does FOMC News Increase Global FX Trading?

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Author Info
Fischer, Andreas M
Ranaldo, Angelo

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Abstract

Does global currency volume increase on days when the Federal Open Market Committee (FOMC) meets? To test the hypothesis of excess currency volume on FOMC days, we use a novel data set from the Continuous Linked Settlement (CLS) Bank. The CLS measure captures roughly half of the global trading volume in foreign exchange (FX) markets. We find strong evidence that trading volume increases in the order of 5% across currency areas on FOMC days during 2003 to 2007. This result holds irrespective of the size of price changes in currency markets and FOMC policy shocks. The new evidence of excess FX trading on FOMC days is inconsistent with standard models of the asset market approach with homogenous agents.

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Paper provided by C.E.P.R. Discussion Papers in its series CEPR Discussion Papers with number 6753.

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Date of creation: Mar 2008
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Handle: RePEc:cpr:ceprdp:6753

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Related research
Keywords: FOMC; Global linkages; Trading volume;

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Find related papers by JEL classification:
F31 - International Economics - - International Finance - - - Foreign Exchange
G12 - Financial Economics - - General Financial Markets - - - Asset Pricing

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  3. Lacker, Jeffrey M., 2001. "The CLS bank: a solution to the risks of international payments settlement? A comment," Carnegie-Rochester Conference Series on Public Policy, Elsevier, vol. 54(1), pages 227-233, June. [Downloadable!] (restricted)
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  6. Fabio Panetta & Paolo Angelini & Giuseppe Grande & Aviram Levy & Roberto Perli & Pinar Yesin & Stefan Gerlach & Srichander Ramaswamy & Michela Scatigna, 2006. "The recent behaviour of financial market volatility," Questioni di Economia e Finanza (Occasional Papers) 2, Bank of Italy, Economic Research Department. [Downloadable!]
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  15. Kahn, Charles M. & Roberds, William, 2001. "The CLS bank: a solution to the risks of international payments settlement?," Carnegie-Rochester Conference Series on Public Policy, Elsevier, vol. 54(1), pages 191-226, June. [Downloadable!] (restricted)
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