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Monetary Policy and Long-term Interest Rates Author info | Abstract | Publisher info | Download info | Related research | Statistics Shu Wu (Department of Economics, The University of Kansas)
This paper documents some new empirical results about the monetary policy and long-term interest rates in the United States. It shows that changes in the monetary policy stance are more predictable to the bond market in the 1990s than in the 1970s. This shift in the predictability of the monetary policy actions affects the policy¡¯s impact on long-term interest rates as well as the forecasting power of the yield spread for the future changes in short-term interest rates.
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Paper provided by University of Kansas, Department of Economics in its series WORKING PAPERS SERIES IN THEORETICAL AND APPLIED ECONOMICS with number
200512.
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Length: 19 pages
Date of creation: Apr 2005Date of revision:
Apr 2005Handle: RePEc:kan:wpaper:200512Contact details of provider: Postal: 415 Snow Hall, Lawrence, KS 66045 Phone: (785) 864-3501 Fax: (785) 864-5270 Email: Web page: http://www2.ku.edu/~kuwpaper/ More information through EDIRC
For technical questions regarding this item, or to correct its listing, contact: (Ronald Caldwell).
Keywords: monetary policy ; interest rates ; predictability ; Find related papers by JEL classification: E52 - Macroeconomics and Monetary Economics - - Monetary Policy, Central Banking, and the Supply of Money and Credit - - - Monetary Policy E43 - Macroeconomics and Monetary Economics - - Money and Interest Rates - - - Determination of Interest Rates; Term Structure of Interest Rates
This paper has been announced in the following NEP Reports :
References listed on IDEAS Please report citation or reference errors to , or , if you are the registered author of the cited work, log in to your RePEc Author Service profile , click on "citations" and make appropriate adjustments.: Richard Clarida & Jordi Gali & Mark Gertler, 1997.
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Peter Hordahl & Oreste Tristani & David Vestin, 2004.
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"Anticipations of monetary policy in financial markets ,"
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Lawrence J. Christiano & Martin Eichenbaum & Charles L. Evans, 1998.
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NBER Working Papers
6400, National Bureau of Economic Research, Inc.
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Lawrence J. Christiano & Martin Eichenbaum & Charles L. Evans, 1997.
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Working Paper Series, Macroeconomic Issues
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Jeffrey C. Fuhrer, 1995.
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New England Economic Review ,
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"Yield Spreads and Interest Rate Movements: A Bird's Eye View ,"
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"Monetary policy shocks and long-term interest rates ,"
Economic Perspectives ,
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Swanson, Eric T., 2006.
"Have Increases in Federal Reserve Transparency Improved Private Sector Interest Rate Forecasts? ,"
Journal of Money, Credit and Banking ,
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Juha Seppala & Federico Ravenna, 2005.
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Other versions: Kuttner, Kenneth N., 2001.
"Monetary policy surprises and interest rates: Evidence from the Fed funds futures market ,"
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