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Quantitative Easing: A Sceptical Survey

Author

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  • Christopher Martin

    (Department of Economics, University of Bath, UK)

  • Costas Milas

    (Management School, University of Liverpool, UK; The Rimini Centre of Economic Analysis, Italy)

Abstract

Evaluation of quantitative easing (QE) is difficult as it is only used in response to severe and unusual economic difficulties. Despite this, we argue that two main conclusions can be drawn from a sceptical reading of the evidence. First, large-scale asset purchases reduce government bond rates, especially at the longer end of the yield curve. However, this effect may be temporary and is small if bond rates are already low, while initial waves of QE are more effective than subsequent programmes. Second, QE appears to have been effective in late 2008 and 2009, preventing even larger declines in output and inflation than were experienced. We argue that the literature is limited, relying on similar methodologies and largely originating in central banks. Exploration of alternative approaches to QE would be useful in widening an evidence base that is currently too narrow.

Suggested Citation

  • Christopher Martin & Costas Milas, 2012. "Quantitative Easing: A Sceptical Survey," Working Paper series 73_12, Rimini Centre for Economic Analysis.
  • Handle: RePEc:rim:rimwps:73_12
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    More about this item

    Keywords

    quantitative easing (QE); financial crisis;

    JEL classification:

    • E43 - Macroeconomics and Monetary Economics - - Money and Interest Rates - - - Interest Rates: Determination, Term Structure, and Effects
    • E58 - Macroeconomics and Monetary Economics - - Monetary Policy, Central Banking, and the Supply of Money and Credit - - - Central Banks and Their Policies

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