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Monetary policy shocks and Bitcoin prices

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  • Ma, Chaoqun
  • Tian, Yonggang
  • Hsiao, Shisong
  • Deng, Liurui

Abstract

This paper investigates the impact of US monetary policy shocks on Bitcoin prices. On the day of the Federal Open Market Committee (FOMC) meeting, a hypothetical unexpected monetary tightening by 1 basis point of two-year Treasury yield is associated with a 0.25% drop in the price of Bitcoin, comparable in magnitude to the effect on the gold price. The cumulative effect is much stronger in the next few days following the FOMC meeting. Impulse response analysis shows that this effect is very persistent. According to quantile regression, monetary policy surprises have a greater impact on Bitcoin prices during a market boom.

Suggested Citation

  • Ma, Chaoqun & Tian, Yonggang & Hsiao, Shisong & Deng, Liurui, 2022. "Monetary policy shocks and Bitcoin prices," Research in International Business and Finance, Elsevier, vol. 62(C).
    • Handle: RePEc:eee:riibaf:v:62:y:2022:i:c:s027553192200099x
    DOI: 10.1016/j.ribaf.2022.101711
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    More about this item

    Keywords

    Monetary policy; Bitcoin; Impulse response analysis; Quantile regression;
    All these keywords.

    JEL classification:

    • E44 - Macroeconomics and Monetary Economics - - Money and Interest Rates - - - Financial Markets and the Macroeconomy
    • E52 - Macroeconomics and Monetary Economics - - Monetary Policy, Central Banking, and the Supply of Money and Credit - - - Monetary Policy
    • G12 - Financial Economics - - General Financial Markets - - - Asset Pricing; Trading Volume; Bond Interest Rates
    • G18 - Financial Economics - - General Financial Markets - - - Government Policy and Regulation

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