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Is There an On-the-Run Premium in TIPS?

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  • Jens H. E. Christensen
  • Jose A. Lopez
  • Patrick Shultz

Abstract

In the U.S. Treasury market, the most recently issued, or so-called ?on-the-run,? security typically trades at a price above those of more seasoned but otherwise comparable securities. This difference is known as the on-the-run premium. In this paper, yield spreads between pairs of Treasury Inflation-Protected Securities (TIPS) with identical maturities but of separate vintages are analyzed. Adjusting for differences in coupon rates and values of embedded deflation options, the results show a small, positive premium on recently issued TIPS - averaging between one and four basis points - that persists even after new similar TIPS are issued and hence is different from the on-the-run phenomenon observed in the nominal Treasury market.

Suggested Citation

  • Jens H. E. Christensen & Jose A. Lopez & Patrick Shultz, 2017. "Is There an On-the-Run Premium in TIPS?," Working Paper Series 2017-10, Federal Reserve Bank of San Francisco.
  • Handle: RePEc:fip:fedfwp:2017-10
    DOI: 10.24148/wp2017-10
    Note: This version: September 25, 2017.
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    Cited by:

    1. Magnani, Jacopo & Wang, Yabin, 2020. "Bond Lending and the Law of One Price in China's Treasury Markets," MPRA Paper 105027, University Library of Munich, Germany.
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    3. W. Arrata & B. Nguyen & I. Rahmouni-Rousseau & M. Vari, 2017. "Eurosystem’s asset purchases and money market rates," Working papers 652, Banque de France.
    4. Christensen, Jens H.E. & Fischer, Eric & Shultz, Patrick J., 2021. "Bond flows and liquidity: Do foreigners matter?," Journal of International Money and Finance, Elsevier, vol. 117(C).

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    More about this item

    JEL classification:

    • E43 - Macroeconomics and Monetary Economics - - Money and Interest Rates - - - Interest Rates: Determination, Term Structure, and Effects
    • E47 - Macroeconomics and Monetary Economics - - Money and Interest Rates - - - Forecasting and Simulation: Models and Applications
    • G12 - Financial Economics - - General Financial Markets - - - Asset Pricing; Trading Volume; Bond Interest Rates
    • G13 - Financial Economics - - General Financial Markets - - - Contingent Pricing; Futures Pricing

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