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The Role of Debt and Equity Finance over the Business Cycle Author info | Abstract | Publisher info | Download info | Related research | Statistics Francisco Covas
Wouter J. den Haan
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The authors show that debt and equity issuance are procyclical for most listed U.S. firms. The procyclicality of equity issuance decreases monotonically with firm size. At the aggregate level, however, the authors' results are not conclusive: issuance is countercyclical for very large firms that, although few in number, have a large effect on the aggregate because of their enormous size. If firms use the standard one-period contract, then the shadow price of external funds is procyclical and the cyclicality decreases with firm size. This property generates equity to be procyclical and--as in the data--the procyclicality decreases with firm size. Other factors that cause equity to be procyclical in the model are a countercyclical price of risk and a countercyclical cost of equity issuance. The model (i) generates a countercyclical default rate, (ii) magnifies shocks, and (iii) generates a stronger cyclical response for small firms, whereas the model without equity does the exact opposite.
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Paper provided by Bank of Canada in its series Working Papers with number
06-45.
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Length: 65 pages
Date of creation: 2006Date of revision:
Handle: RePEc:bca:bocawp:06-45Contact details of provider: Postal: 234 Wellington Street, Ottawa, Ontario, K1A 0G9, Canada Phone: 613 782-8899 Fax: 613 782-8874 Web page: http://www.bank-banque-canada.ca/
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Keywords: Financial stability ; Business fluctuations and cycles ; Other versions of this item:
Find related papers by JEL classification: E3 - Macroeconomics and Monetary Economics - - Prices, Business Fluctuations, and Cycles G1 - Financial Economics - - General Financial Markets G3 - Financial Economics - - Corporate Finance and Governance
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Canadian Macro Study Group
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