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Mark Wohar

Citations

Many of the citations below have been collected in an experimental project, CitEc, where a more detailed citation analysis can be found. These are citations from works listed in RePEc that could be analyzed mechanically. So far, only a minority of all works could be analyzed. See under "Corrections" how you can help improve the citation analysis.

RePEc Biblio mentions

As found on the RePEc Biblio, the curated bibliography of Economics:
  1. David C. Wheelock & Mark E. Wohar, 2009. "Can the term spread predict output growth and recessions? a survey of the literature," Review, Federal Reserve Bank of St. Louis, vol. 91(Sep), pages 419-440.

    Mentioned in:

    1. > Econometrics > Forecasting > Forecasting Economic Activity Using Financial Variables

Wikipedia or ReplicationWiki mentions

(Only mentions on Wikipedia that link back to a page on a RePEc service)
  1. Turnovsky, Stephen J & Wohar, Mark E, 1987. "Alternative Modes of Deficit Financing and Endogeneous Monetary and Fiscal Policy in the U.S.A. 1923-1982," Journal of Applied Econometrics, John Wiley & Sons, Ltd., vol. 2(1), pages 1-25, January.

    Mentioned in:

    1. Alternative modes of deficit financing and endogneous monetary and fiscal policy in the U.S.A. 1923–1982 (Journal of Applied Econometrics 1987) in ReplicationWiki ()
  2. Wohar, Mark E, 1996. "PcGive Professional (Version 8) and Eviews (MicroTSP for Windows Version 1.1A): A Comparative Review," Journal of Applied Econometrics, John Wiley & Sons, Ltd., vol. 11(1), pages 105-115, Jan.-Feb..

    Mentioned in:

    1. PcGive professional (version 8) and reviews (MicroTSP for Windows version 1.1a): a comparative review (Journal of Applied Econometrics 1996) in ReplicationWiki ()

Working papers

  1. Afees A. Salisu & Taofeek O. Ayinde & Rangan Gupta & Mark E. Wohar, 2021. "Global Evidence of the COVID-19 Shock on Real Equity Prices and Real Exchange Rates: A Counterfactual Analysis with a Threshold-Augmented GVAR Model," Working Papers 202154, University of Pretoria, Department of Economics.

    Cited by:

    1. Ruipeng Liu & Rangan Gupta & Elie Bouri, 2021. "Conventional and Unconventional Monetary Policy Rate Uncertainty and Stock Market Volatility: A Forecasting Perspective," Working Papers 202178, University of Pretoria, Department of Economics.
    2. Naveed, Hafiz Muhammad & HongXing, Yao & Memon, Bilal Ahmed & Ali, Shoaib & Alhussam, Mohammed Ismail & Sohu, Jan Muhammad, 2023. "Artificial neural network (ANN)-based estimation of the influence of COVID-19 pandemic on dynamic and emerging financial markets," Technological Forecasting and Social Change, Elsevier, vol. 190(C).

  2. Afees A. Salisu & Rangan Gupta & Ahamuefula E. Ogbonna & Mark E. Wohar, 2021. "Uncertainty and Predictability of Real Housing Returns in the United Kingdom: A Regional Analysis," Working Papers 202102, University of Pretoria, Department of Economics.

    Cited by:

    1. Oguzhan Cepni & Hardik A. Marfatia & Rangan Gupta, 2021. "The Time-Varying Impact of Uncertainty Shocks on the Comovement of Regional Housing Prices of the United Kingdom," Working Papers 202168, University of Pretoria, Department of Economics.
    2. Mehmet Balcilar & Gizem Uzuner & Festus Victor Bekun & Mark E. Wohar, 2023. "Housing price uncertainty and housing prices in the UK in a time-varying environment," Empirica, Springer;Austrian Institute for Economic Research;Austrian Economic Association, vol. 50(2), pages 523-549, May.

  3. Alex Plastun & Xolani Sibande & Rangan Gupta & Mark E. Wohar, 2020. "Evolution of Price Effects After One-Day of Abnormal Returns in the US Stock Market," Working Papers 202016, University of Pretoria, Department of Economics.

    Cited by:

    1. Plastun, Alex & Bouri, Elie & Gupta, Rangan & Ji, Qiang, 2022. "Price effects after one-day abnormal returns in developed and emerging markets: ESG versus traditional indices," The North American Journal of Economics and Finance, Elsevier, vol. 59(C).
    2. Alex Plastun & Xolani Sibande & Rangan Gupta & Qiang Ji, 2022. "Price Effects After One-Day Abnormal Returns and Crises in the Stock Markets," Working Papers 202222, University of Pretoria, Department of Economics.
    3. Weng Hoe Lam & Weng Siew Lam & Kah Fai Liew & Pei Fun Lee, 2023. "Decision Analysis on the Financial Performance of Companies Using Integrated Entropy-Fuzzy TOPSIS Model," Mathematics, MDPI, vol. 11(2), pages 1-18, January.

  4. Refk Selmi & Jamal Bouoiyour & Mark E Wohar & Youssef Errami, 2020. "Is there an effect of policy-related uncertainty on inflation? evidence from the United States under Trump," Post-Print hal-02482554, HAL.

    Cited by:

    1. Oluwatoyin Abidemi Somoye & Mehdi Seraj & Huseyin Ozdeser & Muhammad Mar’I, 2023. "Quantile relationship between financial development, income, price, CO2 emissions and renewable energy consumption: evidence from Nigeria," Letters in Spatial and Resource Sciences, Springer, vol. 16(1), pages 1-25, December.
    2. Mukhtarov, Shahriyar & Yüksel, Serhat & Dinçer, Hasan, 2022. "The impact of financial development on renewable energy consumption: Evidence from Turkey," Renewable Energy, Elsevier, vol. 187(C), pages 169-176.
    3. Wang, Yonglian & Wang, Lijun & Pan, Changchun & Hong, Songzhi, 2022. "Economic policy uncertainty and price pass-through effect of exchange rate in China," Pacific-Basin Finance Journal, Elsevier, vol. 75(C).

  5. Mehmet Balcilar & Rangan Gupta & Ricardo M. Sousa & Mark E. Wohar, 2020. "Linking U.S. State-Level Housing Market Returns and the Consumption-(Dis)Aggregate Wealth Ratio," Working Papers 202094, University of Pretoria, Department of Economics.

    Cited by:

    1. Mehmet Balcilar & Gizem Uzuner & Festus Victor Bekun & Mark E. Wohar, 2023. "Housing price uncertainty and housing prices in the UK in a time-varying environment," Empirica, Springer;Austrian Institute for Economic Research;Austrian Economic Association, vol. 50(2), pages 523-549, May.

  6. Refk Selmi & Youssef Errami & Mark E Wohar, 2020. "Are U.S. industries resilient in dealing with trade uncertainty ? The case of U.S.-China trade war," Post-Print hal-02523186, HAL.

    Cited by:

    1. Arunava Bandyopadhyay & Prabina Rajib, 2023. "The impact of Sino–US trade war on price discovery of soybean: A double‐edged sword?," Journal of Futures Markets, John Wiley & Sons, Ltd., vol. 43(7), pages 858-879, July.

  7. Oguzhan Cepni & Wiehan Dul & Rangan Gupta & Mark E. Wohar, 2020. "The Dynamics of U.S. REITs Returns to Uncertainty Shocks: A Proxy SVAR Approach," Working Papers 202001, University of Pretoria, Department of Economics.

    Cited by:

    1. Afees A. Salisu & Rangan Gupta & Sayar Karmakar & Sonali Das, 2021. "Forecasting Output Growth of Advanced Economies Over Eight Centuries: The Role of Gold Market Volatility as a Proxy of Global Uncertainty," Working Papers 202133, University of Pretoria, Department of Economics.
    2. Rangan Gupta & Sayar Karmakar & Christian Pierdzioch, 2022. "Safe Havens, Machine Learning, and the Sources of Geopolitical Risk: A Forecasting Analysis Using Over a Century of Data," Working Papers 202201, University of Pretoria, Department of Economics.
    3. David Gabauer & Rangan Gupta & Sayar Karmakar & Joshua Nielsen, 2022. "Stock Market Bubbles and the Forecastability of Gold Returns (and Volatility)," Working Papers 202228, University of Pretoria, Department of Economics.
    4. Naeem, Muhammad Abubakr & Karim, Sitara & Tiwari, Aviral Kumar, 2022. "Quantifying systemic risk in US industries using neural network quantile regression," Research in International Business and Finance, Elsevier, vol. 61(C).
    5. Shixuan Wang & Rangan Gupta & Matteo Bonato & Oguzhan Cepni, 2022. "The Effects of Conventional and Unconventional Monetary Policy Shocks on US REITs Moments: Evidence from VARs with Functional Shocks," Working Papers 202219, University of Pretoria, Department of Economics.

  8. Balcilar, Mehmet & Ozdemir, Zeynel Abidin & Ozdemir, Huseyin & Wohar, Mark E., 2020. "Transmission of US and EU Economic Policy Uncertainty Shock to Asian Economies in Bad and Good Times," IZA Discussion Papers 13274, Institute of Labor Economics (IZA).

    Cited by:

    1. Emmanuel Joel Aikins Abakah & Guglielmo Maria Caporale & Luis A. Gil-Alana, 2020. "Economic Policy Uncertainty: Persistence and Cross-Country Linkages," CESifo Working Paper Series 8289, CESifo.
    2. Balcilar, Mehmet & Elsayed, Ahmed H. & Hammoudeh, Shawkat, 2023. "Financial connectedness and risk transmission among MENA countries: Evidence from connectedness network and clustering analysis1," Journal of International Financial Markets, Institutions and Money, Elsevier, vol. 82(C).
    3. Qian, Biyu & Wang, Gang-Jin & Feng, Yusen & Xie, Chi, 2022. "Partial cross-quantilogram networks: Measuring quantile connectedness of financial institutions," The North American Journal of Economics and Finance, Elsevier, vol. 60(C).
    4. Balcilar, Mehmet & Ozdemir, Zeynel Abidin & Ozdemir, Huseyin & Aygun, Gurcan & Wohar, Mark E., 2022. "The macroeconomic impact of economic uncertainty and financial shocks under low and high financial stress," The North American Journal of Economics and Finance, Elsevier, vol. 63(C).
    5. Khalfaoui, Rabeh & Mefteh-Wali, Salma & Dogan, Buhari & Ghosh, Sudeshna, 2023. "Extreme spillover effect of COVID-19 pandemic-related news and cryptocurrencies on green bond markets: A quantile connectedness analysis," International Review of Financial Analysis, Elsevier, vol. 86(C).
    6. Dai, Zhifeng & Zhang, Xiaotong & Yin, Zhujia, 2023. "Extreme time-varying spillovers between high carbon emission stocks, green bond and crude oil: Evidence from a quantile-based analysis," Energy Economics, Elsevier, vol. 118(C).
    7. Chen, Jinyu & Liang, Zhipeng & Ding, Qian & Liu, Zhenhua, 2022. "Extreme spillovers among fossil energy, clean energy, and metals markets: Evidence from a quantile-based analysis," Energy Economics, Elsevier, vol. 107(C).
    8. M.A. Villanthenkodath & K. Hafsal & A. K. Dawood & N. Cheriyambadan, 2023. "Economic policy uncertainty and sectoral level output in India: The implications on structural change," Journal of Economic Policy and Management Issues, JEPMI, vol. 2(1), pages 1-13.
    9. Juan M. Londono & Sai Ma & Beth Anne Wilson, 2021. "The Global Transmission of Real Economic Uncertainty," International Finance Discussion Papers 1317, Board of Governors of the Federal Reserve System (U.S.).

  9. Rangan Gupta & Xin Sheng & Renee van Eyden & Mark E. Wohar, 2020. "The Impact of Disaggregated Oil Shocks on State-Level Real Housing Returns of the United States: The Role of Oil Dependence," Working Papers 202096, University of Pretoria, Department of Economics.

    Cited by:

    1. Sheng, Xin & Marfatia, Hardik A. & Gupta, Rangan & Ji, Qiang, 2023. "The non-linear response of US state-level tradable and non-tradable inflation to oil shocks: The role of oil-dependence," Research in International Business and Finance, Elsevier, vol. 64(C).
    2. Çepni, Oğuzhan & Gupta, Rangan & Pienaar, Daniel & Pierdzioch, Christian, 2022. "Forecasting the realized variance of oil-price returns using machine learning: Is there a role for U.S. state-level uncertainty?," Energy Economics, Elsevier, vol. 114(C).
    3. Stenvall, David & Hedström, Axel & Yoshino, Naoyuki & Uddin, Gazi Salah & Taghizadeh-Hesary, Farhad, 2022. "Nonlinear tail dependence between the housing and energy markets," Energy Economics, Elsevier, vol. 106(C).

  10. Gupta, Rangan & Ma, Jun & Theodoridis, Konstantinos & Wohar, Mark E, 2020. "Is there a National Housing Market Bubble Brewing in the United States?," Cardiff Economics Working Papers E2020/3, Cardiff University, Cardiff Business School, Economics Section.

    Cited by:

    1. Rangan Gupta & Hardik A. Marfatia & Christian Pierdzioch & Afees A. Salisu, 2020. "Machine Learning Predictions of Housing Market Synchronization across US States: The Role of Uncertainty," Working Papers 202077, University of Pretoria, Department of Economics.
    2. Sheng, Xin & Marfatia, Hardik A. & Gupta, Rangan & Ji, Qiang, 2021. "House price synchronization across the US states: The role of structural oil shocks," The North American Journal of Economics and Finance, Elsevier, vol. 56(C).
    3. Christophe Andre & David Gabauer & Rangan Gupta, 2020. "Time-Varying Spillovers between Housing Sentiment and Housing Market in the United States," Working Papers 202091, University of Pretoria, Department of Economics.
    4. Elie Bouri & Rangan Gupta & Clement Kweku Kyei & Rinsuna Shivambu, 2020. "Uncertainty and Daily Predictability of Housing Returns and Volatility of the United States: Evidence from a Higher-Order Nonparametric Causality-in-Quantiles Test," Working Papers 202071, University of Pretoria, Department of Economics.
    5. André, Christophe & Gabauer, David & Gupta, Rangan, 2021. "Time-varying spillovers between housing sentiment and housing market in the United States☆," Finance Research Letters, Elsevier, vol. 42(C).

  11. Rangan Gupta & Xin Sheng & Renee van Eyden & Mark E. Wohar, 2020. "The Impact of Disaggregated Oil Shocks on State-Level Consumption of the United States," Working Papers 202045, University of Pretoria, Department of Economics.

    Cited by:

    1. Sheng, Xin & Kim, Won Joong & Gupta, Rangan & Ji, Qiang, 2023. "The impacts of oil price volatility on financial stress: Is the COVID-19 period different?," International Review of Economics & Finance, Elsevier, vol. 85(C), pages 520-532.
    2. Gupta, Rangan & Sheng, Xin & van Eyden, Reneé & Wohar, Mark E., 2021. "The impact of disaggregated oil shocks on state-level real housing returns of the United States: The role of oil dependence," Finance Research Letters, Elsevier, vol. 43(C).
    3. Sheng, Xin & Marfatia, Hardik A. & Gupta, Rangan & Ji, Qiang, 2023. "The non-linear response of US state-level tradable and non-tradable inflation to oil shocks: The role of oil-dependence," Research in International Business and Finance, Elsevier, vol. 64(C).

  12. Mehmet Balcilar & Rangan Gupta & Shixuan Wang & Mark E. Wohar, 2019. "Oil Price Uncertainty and Movements in the US Government Bond Risk Premia," Working Papers 201919, University of Pretoria, Department of Economics.

    Cited by:

    1. Rangan Gupta & Syed Jawad Hussain Shahzad & Xin Sheng & Sowmya Subramaniam, 2023. "The role of oil and risk shocks in the high‐frequency movements of the term structure of interest rates: Evidence from the U.S. Treasury market," International Journal of Finance & Economics, John Wiley & Sons, Ltd., vol. 28(2), pages 1845-1857, April.
    2. Yin, Libo & Su, Zhi & Lu, Man, 2022. "Is oil risk important for commodity-related currency returns?," Research in International Business and Finance, Elsevier, vol. 60(C).
    3. Karol Szafranek & Michał Rubaszek & Gazi Salah Uddin, 2023. "The role of uncertainty and sentiment for intraday volatility connectedness between oil and financial markets," KAE Working Papers 2023-095, Warsaw School of Economics, Collegium of Economic Analysis.
    4. Khan, Nasir & Saleem, Asima & Ozkan, Oktay, 2023. "Do geopolitical oil price risk influence stock market returns and volatility of Pakistan: Evidence from novel non-parametric quantile causality approach," Resources Policy, Elsevier, vol. 81(C).
    5. Mensi, Walid & Hamed Al-Yahyaee, Khamis & Vinh Vo, Xuan & Hoon Kang, Sang, 2021. "Dynamic spillover and connectedness between oil futures and European bonds," The North American Journal of Economics and Finance, Elsevier, vol. 56(C).
    6. Oguzhan Cepni & Rangan Gupta & Cenk C. Karahan & Brian M. Lucey, 2020. "Oil Price Shocks and Yield Curve Dynamics in Emerging Markets," Working Papers 202036, University of Pretoria, Department of Economics.
    7. Dai, Zhifeng & Kang, Jie, 2021. "Bond yield and crude oil prices predictability," Energy Economics, Elsevier, vol. 97(C).
    8. Gök, Remzi & Bouri, Elie & Gemici, Eray, 2022. "Can Twitter-based economic uncertainty predict safe-haven assets under all market conditions and investment horizons?," Technological Forecasting and Social Change, Elsevier, vol. 185(C).
    9. Lee, Chi-Chuan & Lee, Chien-Chiang & Li, Yong-Yi, 2021. "Oil price shocks, geopolitical risks, and green bond market dynamics," The North American Journal of Economics and Finance, Elsevier, vol. 55(C).
    10. Semei Coronado & Rangan Gupta & Saban Nazlioglu & Omar Rojas, 2020. "Time-Varying Causality between Bond and Oil Markets of the United States: Evidence from Over One and Half Centuries of Data," Working Papers 202006, University of Pretoria, Department of Economics.
    11. Rangan Gupta & Syed Jawad Hussain Shahzad & Xin Sheng & Sowmya Subramaniam, 2020. "The Role of Oil and Risk Shocks in the High-Frequency Movements of the Term Structure of Interest Rates of the United States," Working Papers 202063, University of Pretoria, Department of Economics.
    12. Sheng, Xin & Kim, Won Joong & Gupta, Rangan & Ji, Qiang, 2023. "The impacts of oil price volatility on financial stress: Is the COVID-19 period different?," International Review of Economics & Finance, Elsevier, vol. 85(C), pages 520-532.
    13. Riza Demirer & Rangan Gupta & Jacobus Nel & Christian Pierdzioch, 2020. "Effect of Rare Disaster Risks on Crude Oil: Evidence from El Nino from Over 140 Years of Data," Working Papers 2020104, University of Pretoria, Department of Economics.
    14. Richter, Sylvia & Heyde, Frank & Horsch, Andreas & Wünsche, Andreas, 2021. "Determinants of project bond prices – Insights into infrastructure and energy capital markets," Energy Economics, Elsevier, vol. 97(C).
    15. Bouri, Elie & Demirer, Riza & Gupta, Rangan & Wohar, Mark E., 2021. "Gold, platinum and the predictability of bond risk premia," Finance Research Letters, Elsevier, vol. 38(C).
    16. Elie Bouri & Rangan Gupta & Clement Kweku Kyei & Sowmya Subramaniam, 2020. "High-Frequency Movements of the Term Structure of Interest Rates of the United States: The Role of Oil Market Uncertainty," Working Papers 202085, University of Pretoria, Department of Economics.
    17. Çepni, Oğuzhan & Guney, I. Ethem & Gupta, Rangan & Wohar, Mark E., 2020. "The role of an aligned investor sentiment index in predicting bond risk premia of the U.S," Journal of Financial Markets, Elsevier, vol. 51(C).
    18. Umar, Zaghum & Abrar, Afsheen & Hadhri, Sinda & Sokolova, Tatiana, 2023. "The connectedness of oil shocks, green bonds, sukuks and conventional bonds," Energy Economics, Elsevier, vol. 119(C).
    19. André, Marine C. & Armijo, Alberto & Espidio, Sebastián Medina & Sandoval, Jamel, 2023. "Policy mix in a small open emerging economy with commodity prices," Latin American Journal of Central Banking (previously Monetaria), Elsevier, vol. 4(1).
    20. Song, Xinyu & Yang, Baochen, 2022. "Oil price uncertainty, corporate governance and firm performance," International Review of Economics & Finance, Elsevier, vol. 80(C), pages 469-487.

  13. Samrat Goswami & Rangan Gupta & Mark E. Wohar, 2019. "Historical Volatility of Advanced Equity Markets: The Role of Local and Global Crises," Working Papers 201931, University of Pretoria, Department of Economics.

    Cited by:

    1. Pierdomenico Duttilo & Stefano Antonio Gattone & Tonio Di Battista, 2021. "Volatility Modeling: An Overview of Equity Markets in the Euro Area during COVID-19 Pandemic," Mathematics, MDPI, vol. 9(11), pages 1-18, May.

  14. Aviral Kumar Tiwari & Rangan Gupta & Mark E. Wohar, 2019. "Is the Housing Market in the United States Really Weakly-Efficient?," Working Papers 201934, University of Pretoria, Department of Economics.

    Cited by:

    1. Elie Bouri & Rangan Gupta & Clement Kweku Kyei & Rinsuna Shivambu, 2020. "Uncertainty and Daily Predictability of Housing Returns and Volatility of the United States: Evidence from a Higher-Order Nonparametric Causality-in-Quantiles Test," Working Papers 202071, University of Pretoria, Department of Economics.

  15. Jamal Bouoiyour & Refk Selmi & Mark E Wohar, 2019. "Safe havens in the face of Presidential election uncertainty: A comparison between Bitcoin, oil and precious metals," Post-Print hal-02408851, HAL.

    Cited by:

    1. Elgammal, Mohammed M. & Ahmed, Walid M.A. & Alshami, Abdullah, 2021. "Price and volatility spillovers between global equity, gold, and energy markets prior to and during the COVID-19 pandemic," Resources Policy, Elsevier, vol. 74(C).
    2. Ahmed, Walid M.A., 2022. "On the higher-order moment interdependence of stock and commodity markets: A wavelet coherence analysis," The Quarterly Review of Economics and Finance, Elsevier, vol. 83(C), pages 135-151.
    3. Su, Chi-Wei & Qin, Meng & Tao, Ran & Umar, Muhammad, 2020. "Financial implications of fourth industrial revolution: Can bitcoin improve prospects of energy investment?," Technological Forecasting and Social Change, Elsevier, vol. 158(C).
    4. Su, Chi-Wei & Qin, Meng & Tao, Ran & Shao, Xue-Feng & Albu, Lucian Liviu & Umar, Muhammad, 2020. "Can Bitcoin hedge the risks of geopolitical events?," Technological Forecasting and Social Change, Elsevier, vol. 159(C).
    5. Selmi, Refk & Bouoiyour, Jamal & Wohar, Mark E., 2022. "“Digital Gold” and geopolitics," Research in International Business and Finance, Elsevier, vol. 59(C).
    6. Gök, Remzi & Bouri, Elie & Gemici, Eray, 2022. "Can Twitter-based economic uncertainty predict safe-haven assets under all market conditions and investment horizons?," Technological Forecasting and Social Change, Elsevier, vol. 185(C).
    7. Clement Moyo & Izunna Anyikwa & Andrew Phiri, 2023. "The Impact of Covid-19 on Oil Market Returns: Has Market Efficiency Being Violated?," International Journal of Energy Economics and Policy, Econjournals, vol. 13(1), pages 118-127, January.
    8. Yang, Boyu & Sun, Yuying & Wang, Shouyang, 2020. "A novel two-stage approach for cryptocurrency analysis," International Review of Financial Analysis, Elsevier, vol. 72(C).
    9. Ihsan Erdem Kayral & Ahmed Jeribi & Sahar Loukil, 2023. "Are Bitcoin and Gold a Safe Haven during COVID-19 and the 2022 Russia–Ukraine War?," JRFM, MDPI, vol. 16(4), pages 1-22, April.
    10. Cagli, Efe Caglar & Mandaci, Pinar Evrim, 2023. "Time and frequency connectedness of uncertainties in cryptocurrency, stock, currency, energy, and precious metals markets," Emerging Markets Review, Elsevier, vol. 55(C).
    11. Refk Selmi, 2022. "A war in a pandemic-The recent spike in economic uncertainty and the hedging abilities of Bitcoin," Post-Print hal-03737131, HAL.
    12. Yu Song & Bo Chen & Xin-Yi Wang, 2023. "Cryptocurrency technology revolution: are Bitcoin prices and terrorist attacks related?," Financial Innovation, Springer;Southwestern University of Finance and Economics, vol. 9(1), pages 1-20, December.
    13. Fousekis, Panos & Tzaferi, Dimitra, 2021. "Returns and volume: Frequency connectedness in cryptocurrency markets," Economic Modelling, Elsevier, vol. 95(C), pages 13-20.
    14. Pho, Kim Hung & Ly, Sel & Lu, Richard & Hoang, Thi Hong Van & Wong, Wing-Keung, 2021. "Is Bitcoin a better portfolio diversifier than gold? A copula and sectoral analysis for China," International Review of Financial Analysis, Elsevier, vol. 74(C).
    15. Muhammad Abubakr Naeem & Mudassar Hasan & Muhammad Arif & Syed Jawad Hussain Shahzad, 2020. "Can Bitcoin Glitter More Than Gold for Investment Styles?," SAGE Open, , vol. 10(2), pages 21582440209, May.
    16. Mohamad, Azhar, 2022. "Safe flight to which haven when Russia invades Ukraine? A 48-hour story," Economics Letters, Elsevier, vol. 216(C).
    17. Long, Shaobo & Pei, Hongxia & Tian, Hao & Lang, Kun, 2021. "Can both Bitcoin and gold serve as safe-haven assets? — A comparative analysis based on the NARDL model," International Review of Financial Analysis, Elsevier, vol. 78(C).
    18. Jambotkar Mrunali Manohar & Guntur Anjana Raju, 2021. "Does Gold Retain its Hedge and Safe Haven Role for Energy Sector Indices During COVID-19 Pandemic? A Crossquantilogram Approach," International Journal of Energy Economics and Policy, Econjournals, vol. 11(1), pages 233-240.

  16. Alex Plastun & Xolani Sibande & Rangan Gupta & Mark E. Wohar, 2019. "Rise and Fall of Calendar Anomalies over a Century," Working Papers 201902, University of Pretoria, Department of Economics.

    Cited by:

    1. Qadan, Mahmoud & Nisani, Doron & Eichel, Ron, 2022. "Irregularities in forward-looking volatility," The Quarterly Review of Economics and Finance, Elsevier, vol. 86(C), pages 489-501.
    2. Gkillas, Konstantinos & Vortelinos, Dimitrios I. & Babalos, Vassilios & Wohar, Mark E., 2021. "Day-of-the-week effect and spread determinants: Some international evidence from equity markets," International Review of Economics & Finance, Elsevier, vol. 71(C), pages 268-288.
    3. Guglielmo Maria Caporale & Luis A. Gil-Alana & Alex Plastun & Ahniia Havrylina, 2022. "Persistence in the Passion Investment Market," CESifo Working Paper Series 9586, CESifo.
    4. Alex Plastun & Xolani Sibande & Rangan Gupta & Mark E. Wohar, 2019. "Price Gap Anomaly in the US Stock Market: The Whole Story," Working Papers 201963, University of Pretoria, Department of Economics.
    5. Khushboo Aggarwal & Mithilesh Kumar Jha, 2023. "Stock returns seasonality in emerging asian markets," Asia-Pacific Financial Markets, Springer;Japanese Association of Financial Economics and Engineering, vol. 30(1), pages 109-130, March.
    6. Plastun, Alex & Bouri, Elie & Gupta, Rangan & Ji, Qiang, 2022. "Price effects after one-day abnormal returns in developed and emerging markets: ESG versus traditional indices," The North American Journal of Economics and Finance, Elsevier, vol. 59(C).
    7. Alex Plastun & Xolani Sibande & Rangan Gupta & Mark E. Wohar, 2019. "Historical Evolution of Monthly Anomalies in International Stock Markets," Working Papers 201950, University of Pretoria, Department of Economics.
    8. Nuray Tosunoğlu & Hilal Abacı & Gizem Ateş & Neslihan Saygılı Akkaya, 2023. "Artificial neural network analysis of the day of the week anomaly in cryptocurrencies," Financial Innovation, Springer;Southwestern University of Finance and Economics, vol. 9(1), pages 1-24, December.
    9. Shanaev, Savva & Shuraeva, Arina & Fedorova, Svetlana, 2022. "The Groundhog Day stock market anomaly," Finance Research Letters, Elsevier, vol. 47(PA).
    10. Alex Plastun & Xolani Sibande & Rangan Gupta & Mark E. Wohar, 2020. "Evolution of Price Effects After One-Day of Abnormal Returns in the US Stock Market," Working Papers 202016, University of Pretoria, Department of Economics.
    11. Stefanescu Razvan & Dumitriu Ramona, 2021. "The Extended Holiday Effects on Bucharest Stock Exchange during Coronavirus Pandemic," Risk in Contemporary Economy, "Dunarea de Jos" University of Galati, Faculty of Economics and Business Administration, pages 293-303.
    12. Yasmeen Idilbi-Bayaa & Mahmoud Qadan, 2022. "Tell Me Why I Do Not Like Mondays," Mathematics, MDPI, vol. 10(11), pages 1-22, May.
    13. Benjamin R. Auer, 2022. "On false discoveries of standard t-tests in investment management applications," Review of Managerial Science, Springer, vol. 16(3), pages 751-768, April.
    14. Plastun, Alex & Bouri, Elie & Havrylina, Ahniia & Ji, Qiang, 2022. "Calendar anomalies in passion investments: Price patterns and profit opportunities," Research in International Business and Finance, Elsevier, vol. 61(C).

  17. Mehmet Balcilar & Zeynel Abidin Ozdemir & Huseyin Ozdemir & Mark E. Wohar, 2019. "Fed’s Unconventional Monetary Policy and Risk Spillover in the US Financial Markets," Working Papers 15-47, Eastern Mediterranean University, Department of Economics.

    Cited by:

    1. ?ikolaos A. Kyriazis, 2021. "Impacts of Stock Indices, Oil, and Twitter Sentiment on Major Cryptocurrencies during the COVID-19 First Wave," Bulletin of Applied Economics, Risk Market Journals, vol. 8(2), pages 133-146.
    2. Balcilar, Mehmet & Ozdemir, Zeynel Abidin & Ozdemir, Huseyin & Wohar, Mark E., 2020. "Transmission of US and EU Economic Policy Uncertainty Shock to Asian Economies in Bad and Good Times," IZA Discussion Papers 13274, Institute of Labor Economics (IZA).
    3. Li, Rongrong & Li, Shuyu, 2021. "Carbon emission post-coronavirus: Continual decline or rebound?," Structural Change and Economic Dynamics, Elsevier, vol. 57(C), pages 57-67.
    4. Mehmet Balcilar & Rangan Gupta & Christian Pierdzioch, 2022. "Oil-Price Uncertainty and International Stock Returns: Dissecting Quantile-Based Predictability and Spillover Effects Using More than a Century of Data," Energies, MDPI, vol. 15(22), pages 1-26, November.
    5. Balcilar, Mehmet & Usman, Ojonugwa & Gungor, Hasan & Roubaud, David & Wohar, Mark E., 2021. "Role of global, regional, and advanced market economic policy uncertainty on bond spreads in emerging markets," Economic Modelling, Elsevier, vol. 102(C).
    6. Chandra Utama & Insukindro & Ardyanto Fitrady, 2022. "Fiscal And Monetary Policy Interactions In Indonesia During Periods Of Economic Turmoil In The Us: 2001q1-2014q4," Bulletin of Monetary Economics and Banking, Bank Indonesia, vol. 25(1), pages 97-116, June.
    7. Gupta, Rangan & Sheng, Xin & Balcilar, Mehmet & Ji, Qiang, 2021. "Time-varying impact of pandemics on global output growth," Finance Research Letters, Elsevier, vol. 41(C).

  18. Mawuli Segnon & Rangan Gupta & Keagile Lesame & Mark E. Wohar, 2019. "High-Frequency Volatility Forecasting of US Housing Markets," Working Papers 201977, University of Pretoria, Department of Economics.

    Cited by:

    1. Bonato, Matteo & Çepni, Oğuzhan & Gupta, Rangan & Pierdzioch, Christian, 2021. "Do oil-price shocks predict the realized variance of U.S. REITs?," Energy Economics, Elsevier, vol. 104(C).
    2. Jiqian Wang & Rangan Gupta & Oğuzhan Çepni & Feng Ma, 2023. "Forecasting international REITs volatility: the role of oil-price uncertainty," The European Journal of Finance, Taylor & Francis Journals, vol. 29(14), pages 1579-1597, September.
    3. Rangan Gupta & Damien Moodley, 2023. "Housing Search Activity and Quantiles-Based Predictability of Housing Price Movements in the United States," Working Papers 202335, University of Pretoria, Department of Economics.
    4. Matteo Bonato & Oguzhan Cepni & Rangan Gupta & Christian Pierdzioch, 2021. "Forecasting Realized Volatility of International REITs: The Role of Realized Skewness and Realized Kurtosis," Working Papers 202114, University of Pretoria, Department of Economics.
    5. Goodness C. Aye & Christina Christou & Rangan Gupta & Christis Hassapis, 2021. "High-Frequency Contagion between Aggregate and Regional Housing Markets of the United States with Financial Assets: Evidence from Multichannel Tests," Working Papers 202159, University of Pretoria, Department of Economics.

  19. Alex Plastun & Xolani Sibande & Rangan Gupta & Mark E. Wohar, 2019. "Price Gap Anomaly in the US Stock Market: The Whole Story," Working Papers 201963, University of Pretoria, Department of Economics.

    Cited by:

    1. Su, Zhifang & Bao, Haohua & Li, Qifang & Xu, Boyu & Cui, Xin, 2022. "The prediction of price gap anomaly in Chinese stock market: Evidence from the dependent functional logit model," Finance Research Letters, Elsevier, vol. 47(PB).

  20. Yener Coskun & Christos Bouras & Rangan Gupta & Mark E. Wohar, 2019. "Multi-Horizon Financial and Housing Wealth Effects across the U.S. States," Working Papers 201958, University of Pretoria, Department of Economics.

    Cited by:

    1. Pierfrancesco De Paola & Francesco Tajani & Marco Locurcio, 2021. "Sustainable Real Estate: Management, Assessment and Innovations," Sustainability, MDPI, vol. 13(9), pages 1-6, April.

  21. Alex Plastun & Xolani Sibande & Rangan Gupta & Mark E. Wohar, 2019. "Historical Evolution of Monthly Anomalies in International Stock Markets," Working Papers 201950, University of Pretoria, Department of Economics.

    Cited by:

    1. Qadan, Mahmoud & Nisani, Doron & Eichel, Ron, 2022. "Irregularities in forward-looking volatility," The Quarterly Review of Economics and Finance, Elsevier, vol. 86(C), pages 489-501.
    2. Ivan S. Blahun & Lesia Dmytryshyn & Ivan I. Blahun & Semen Blahun, 2022. "Stock Indices as Indicators of Market Efficiency and Interaction," Economic Studies journal, Bulgarian Academy of Sciences - Economic Research Institute, issue 8, pages 87-106.
    3. Plastun, Alex & Bouri, Elie & Havrylina, Ahniia & Ji, Qiang, 2022. "Calendar anomalies in passion investments: Price patterns and profit opportunities," Research in International Business and Finance, Elsevier, vol. 61(C).

  22. Oguzhan Cepni & Rangan Gupta & Mark E. Wohar, 2019. "Variants of Consumption-Wealth Ratios and Predictability of U.S. Government Bond Risk Premia: Old is still Gold," Working Papers 201912, University of Pretoria, Department of Economics.

    Cited by:

    1. Mehmet Balcilar & Rangan Gupta & Ricardo M. Sousa & Mark E. Wohar, 2020. "Linking U.S. State-Level Housing Market Returns and the Consumption-(Dis)Aggregate Wealth Ratio," Working Papers 202094, University of Pretoria, Department of Economics.
    2. Bouri, Elie & Demirer, Riza & Gupta, Rangan & Wohar, Mark E., 2021. "Gold, platinum and the predictability of bond risk premia," Finance Research Letters, Elsevier, vol. 38(C).
    3. Çepni, Oğuzhan & Guney, I. Ethem & Gupta, Rangan & Wohar, Mark E., 2020. "The role of an aligned investor sentiment index in predicting bond risk premia of the U.S," Journal of Financial Markets, Elsevier, vol. 51(C).

  23. Rangan Gupta & Hardik A. Marfatia & Eric Olson, 2019. "Effect of Uncertainty on U.S. Stock Returns and Volatility: Evidence from Over Eighty Years of High-Frequency Data," Working Papers 201942, University of Pretoria, Department of Economics.

    Cited by:

    1. Rangan Gupta & Hardik A. Marfatia & Christian Pierdzioch & Afees A. Salisu, 2020. "Machine Learning Predictions of Housing Market Synchronization across US States: The Role of Uncertainty," Working Papers 202077, University of Pretoria, Department of Economics.
    2. Bonato, Matteo & Çepni, Oğuzhan & Gupta, Rangan & Pierdzioch, Christian, 2021. "Do oil-price shocks predict the realized variance of U.S. REITs?," Energy Economics, Elsevier, vol. 104(C).
    3. Vasilios Plakandaras & Rangan Gupta & Mehmet Balcilar & Qiang Ji, 2021. "Evolving United States Stock Market Volatility: The Role of Conventional and Unconventional Monetary Policies," Working Papers 202113, University of Pretoria, Department of Economics.
    4. Ioannis Chatziantoniou & David Gabauer & Hardik A. Marfatia, 2020. "Dynamic Connectedness And Spillovers Across Sectors: Evidence From The Indian Stock Market," Working Papers in Economics & Finance 2020-04, University of Portsmouth, Portsmouth Business School, Economics and Finance Subject Group.
    5. Elie Bouri & Rangan Gupta & Clement Kweku Kyei & Sowmya Subramaniam, 2020. "High-Frequency Movements of the Term Structure of Interest Rates of the United States: The Role of Oil Market Uncertainty," Working Papers 202085, University of Pretoria, Department of Economics.
    6. Elie Bouri & Rangan Gupta & Clement Kweku Kyei & Rinsuna Shivambu, 2020. "Uncertainty and Daily Predictability of Housing Returns and Volatility of the United States: Evidence from a Higher-Order Nonparametric Causality-in-Quantiles Test," Working Papers 202071, University of Pretoria, Department of Economics.
    7. Ruipeng Liu & Rangan Gupta, 2020. "Investors' Uncertainty and Forecasting Stock Market Volatility," Working Papers 202090, University of Pretoria, Department of Economics.

  24. Mehmet Balcilar & David Roubaud & Ojonugwa Usman & Mark E. Wohar, 2019. "Testing the Asymmetric Effects of Exchange Rate and Oil Price Pass-Through in BRICS Countries: Does the state of the economy matter?," Working Papers 15-49, Eastern Mediterranean University, Department of Economics.

    Cited by:

    1. Doki, Naomi Onyeje & Shitile, Tersoo Shimonkabir & Sule, Abubakar, 2021. "Imported Intermediate Inputs and Manufactured Exports in Nigeria: The Role of Dual Exchange Rate Regime," African Journal of Economic Review, African Journal of Economic Review, vol. 9(1), January.

  25. Elie Bouri & Riza Demirer & Rangan Gupta & Mark E. Wohar, 2019. "Gold, Platinum and the Predictability of Bond Risk Premia," Working Papers 201967, University of Pretoria, Department of Economics.

    Cited by:

    1. Rangan Gupta & Christian Pierdzioch & Wing-Keung Wong, 2021. "A Note on Forecasting the Historical Realized Variance of Oil-Price Movements: The Role of Gold-to-Silver and Gold-to-Platinum Price Ratios," Working Papers 202158, University of Pretoria, Department of Economics.
    2. Salisu, Afees A. & Pierdzioch, Christian & Gupta, Rangan & Gabauer, David, 2022. "Forecasting stock-market tail risk and connectedness in advanced economies over a century: The role of gold-to-silver and gold-to-platinum price ratios," International Review of Financial Analysis, Elsevier, vol. 83(C).
    3. Riza Demirer & David Gabauer & Rangan Gupta & Joshua Nielsen, 2023. "Gold-to-Platinum Price Ratio and the Predictability of Bubbles in Financial Markets," Working Papers 202317, University of Pretoria, Department of Economics.
    4. Duc Huynh, Toan Luu & Burggraf, Tobias & Wang, Mei, 2020. "Gold, platinum, and expected Bitcoin returns," Journal of Multinational Financial Management, Elsevier, vol. 56(C).

  26. Jamal Bouoiyour & Refk Selmi & Mark E Wohar, 2019. "Bitcoin: competitor or complement to gold?," Post-Print hal-01994187, HAL.

    Cited by:

    1. Jamal Bouoiyour & Refk Selmi, 2019. "Should Bitcoin be used to help devastated economies? Evidence from Greece," Post-Print hal-02407994, HAL.
    2. Jamal Bouoiyour & Refk Selmi, 2019. "How do futures contracts affect Bitcoin prices ?," Post-Print hal-02126234, HAL.
    3. Nurkhodzha Akbulaev & Tural Abdulhasanov, 2023. "Analyzing the Connection between Energy Prices and Cryptocurrency throughout the Pandemic Period," International Journal of Energy Economics and Policy, Econjournals, vol. 13(1), pages 227-234, January.
    4. Jamal Bouoiyour & Refk Selmi, 2019. "Beyond the Big Challenges facing Facebook's Libra," Working Papers hal-02309316, HAL.
    5. Selmi, Refk & Bouoiyour, Jamal & Wohar, Mark E., 2022. "“Digital Gold” and geopolitics," Research in International Business and Finance, Elsevier, vol. 59(C).
    6. Helmut Stix, 2019. "Ownership and purchase intention of crypto-assets – survey results," Working Papers 226, Oesterreichische Nationalbank (Austrian Central Bank).
    7. Prateek Goorha, 2020. "Bitcoinomics 101: principles of the Bitcoin market," Economics Bulletin, AccessEcon, vol. 40(1), pages 163-176.
    8. Akanksha Jalan & Roman Matkovskyy & Andrew Urquhart & Larisa Yarovaya, 2023. "The role of interpersonal trust in cryptocurrency adoption," Post-Print hal-03946536, HAL.
    9. Lin, Mei-Yin & An, Che-Lun, 2021. "The relationship between Bitcoin and resource commodity futures: Evidence from NARDL approach," Resources Policy, Elsevier, vol. 74(C).
    10. Khaled L. AL-Naif, 2020. "Coronavirus Pandemic Impact on the Nexus Between Gold and Bitcoin Prices," International Journal of Financial Research, International Journal of Financial Research, Sciedu Press, vol. 11(5), pages 442-449, October.
    11. Nikolaos A. Kyriazis, 2020. "Is Bitcoin Similar to Gold? An Integrated Overview of Empirical Findings," JRFM, MDPI, vol. 13(5), pages 1-19, May.
    12. Umar, Muhammad & Su, Chi-Wei & Rizvi, Syed Kumail Abbas & Shao, Xue-Feng, 2021. "Bitcoin: A safe haven asset and a winner amid political and economic uncertainties in the US?," Technological Forecasting and Social Change, Elsevier, vol. 167(C).
    13. Zhang, Shuai & Hou, Xinyu & Ba, Shusong, 2021. "What determines interest rates for bitcoin lending?," Research in International Business and Finance, Elsevier, vol. 58(C).
    14. R. K. Jana & Indranil Ghosh & Debojyoti Das, 2021. "A differential evolution-based regression framework for forecasting Bitcoin price," Annals of Operations Research, Springer, vol. 306(1), pages 295-320, November.
    15. Aiman Hairudin & Imtiaz Mohammad Sifat & Azhar Mohamad & Yusniliyana Yusof, 2022. "Cryptocurrencies: A survey on acceptance, governance and market dynamics," International Journal of Finance & Economics, John Wiley & Sons, Ltd., vol. 27(4), pages 4633-4659, October.
    16. Serda Selin Ozturk, 2020. "Dynamic Connectedness between Bitcoin, Gold, and Crude Oil Volatilities and Returns," JRFM, MDPI, vol. 13(11), pages 1-14, November.

  27. Mehmet Balcilar & Rangan Gupta & Ricardo M. Sousa & Mark E. Wohar, 2019. "What can Fifty-Two Collateralizable Wealth Measures tell us about Future Housing Market Returns? Evidence from U.S. State-Level Data," Working Papers 201974, University of Pretoria, Department of Economics.

    Cited by:

    1. Lake, A., 2020. "Behavioural Finance at Home: Testing Deviations of House Prices from their Fundamental Values," Cambridge Working Papers in Economics 20104, Faculty of Economics, University of Cambridge.
    2. Mehmet Balcilar & Rangan Gupta & Ricardo M. Sousa & Mark E. Wohar, 2020. "Linking U.S. State-Level Housing Market Returns and the Consumption-(Dis)Aggregate Wealth Ratio," Working Papers 202094, University of Pretoria, Department of Economics.

  28. Renee van Eyden & Rangan Gupta & Xin Sheng & Mark E. Wohar, 2019. "Impact of Oil Price Volatility on State-Level Consumption of the United States: The Role of Oil Dependence," Working Papers 201969, University of Pretoria, Department of Economics.

    Cited by:

    1. Bernd Hayo, 2023. "Does the ECB’s Monetary Policy Affect Personal Finances and Economic Inequality? A Household Perspective from Germany," MAGKS Papers on Economics 202023, Philipps-Universität Marburg, Faculty of Business Administration and Economics, Department of Economics (Volkswirtschaftliche Abteilung).

  29. Oguzhan Cepni & Rangan Gupta & Mark E. Wohar, 2019. "The Role of Real Estate Uncertainty in Predicting US Home Sales Growth: Evidence from a Quantiles-Based Bayesian Model Averaging Approach," Working Papers 201936, University of Pretoria, Department of Economics.

    Cited by:

    1. Stolbov, Mikhail & Shchepeleva, Maria, 2022. "Modeling global real economic activity: Evidence from variable selection across quantiles," The Journal of Economic Asymmetries, Elsevier, vol. 25(C).

  30. Jamal Bouoiyour & Refk Selmi & Shawkat Hammoudeh & Mark E Wohar, 2019. "What are the categories of geopolitical risks that could drive oil prices higher? Acts or threats?," Post-Print hal-02409062, HAL.

    Cited by:

    1. Assaf, Ata & Charif, Husni & Mokni, Khaled, 2021. "Dynamic connectedness between uncertainty and energy markets: Do investor sentiments matter?," Resources Policy, Elsevier, vol. 72(C).
    2. Das, Debojyoti & Bhatia, Vaneet & Kumar, Surya Bhushan & Basu, Sankarshan, 2022. "Do precious metals hedge crude oil volatility jumps?," International Review of Financial Analysis, Elsevier, vol. 83(C).
    3. Valérie Mignon & Yifei Cai & Jamel Saadaoui, 2022. "Not all political relation shocks are alike: Assessing the impacts of US-China tensions on the oil market," EconomiX Working Papers 2022-19, University of Paris Nanterre, EconomiX.
    4. Pan, Lijun & Wang, Yangjie & Sun, Xiaofei & Sadiq, Muhammad & Dagestani, Abd Alwahed, 2023. "Natural resources: A determining factor of geopolitical risk in Russia? Revisiting conflict-based perspective," Resources Policy, Elsevier, vol. 85(PA).
    5. Zhang, Zhikai & Wang, Yudong & Xiao, Jihong & Zhang, Yaojie, 2023. "Not all geopolitical shocks are alike: Identifying price dynamics in the crude oil market under tensions," Resources Policy, Elsevier, vol. 80(C).
    6. Feng, Chaonan & Han, Liyan & Vigne, Samuel & Xu, Yang, 2023. "Geopolitical risk and the dynamics of international capital flows," Journal of International Financial Markets, Institutions and Money, Elsevier, vol. 82(C).
    7. Li, Yingli & Huang, Jianbai & Chen, Jinyu, 2021. "Dynamic spillovers of geopolitical risks and gold prices: New evidence from 18 emerging economies," Resources Policy, Elsevier, vol. 70(C).
    8. Umar, Zaghum & Bossman, Ahmed & Choi, Sun-Yong & Teplova, Tamara, 2022. "Does geopolitical risk matter for global asset returns? Evidence from quantile-on-quantile regression," Finance Research Letters, Elsevier, vol. 48(C).
    9. Refk Selmi & Jamal Bouoiyour & Amal Miftah, 2020. "Oil price jumps and the uncertainty of oil supplies in a geopolitical perspective: The role of OPEC’s spare capacity," International Economics, CEPII research center, issue 164, pages 18-35.
    10. Faheem Aslam & Paulo Ferreira & Haider Ali & Ana Ercília José, 2022. "Application of Multifractal Analysis in Estimating the Reaction of Energy Markets to Geopolitical Acts and Threats," Sustainability, MDPI, vol. 14(10), pages 1-23, May.
    11. Long, Shaobo & Guo, Jiaqi, 2022. "Infectious disease equity market volatility, geopolitical risk, speculation, and commodity returns: Comparative analysis of five epidemic outbreaks," Research in International Business and Finance, Elsevier, vol. 62(C).
    12. Cui, Jinxin & Maghyereh, Aktham, 2023. "Time-frequency dependence and connectedness among global oil markets: Fresh evidence from higher-order moment perspective," Journal of Commodity Markets, Elsevier, vol. 30(C).
    13. Wang, Zhe & Teng, Yin-Pei & Wu, Shuzhao & Liu, Yuxiang & Liu, Xianchang, 2023. "Geopolitical risk, financial system and natural resources extraction: Evidence from China," Resources Policy, Elsevier, vol. 82(C).
    14. Lee, Chi-Chuan & Tang, Huayun & Li, Ding, 2022. "The roles of oil shocks and geopolitical uncertainties on China’s green bond returns," Economic Analysis and Policy, Elsevier, vol. 74(C), pages 494-505.
    15. Mohamed Albaity & Ray Saadaoui Mallek & Hasan Mustafa, 2022. "Bank Stock Return Reactions to the COVID-19 Pandemic: The Role of Investor Sentiment in MENA Countries," Risks, MDPI, vol. 10(2), pages 1-15, February.
    16. Fernandes, Leonardo H.S. & de Araujo, Fernando H.A. & Silva, José W.L. & Tabak, Benjamin Miranda, 2022. "Booms in commodities price: Assessing disorder and similarity over economic cycles," Resources Policy, Elsevier, vol. 79(C).
    17. Refk Selmi & Shawkat Hammoudeh & Mark E. Wohar, 2023. "What drives most jumps in global crude oil prices? Fundamental shortage conditions, cartel, geopolitics or the behaviour of financial market participants," The World Economy, Wiley Blackwell, vol. 46(3), pages 598-618, March.
    18. Rangan Gupta & Sayar Karmakar & Christian Pierdzioch, 2022. "Safe Havens, Machine Learning, and the Sources of Geopolitical Risk: A Forecasting Analysis Using Over a Century of Data," Working Papers 202201, University of Pretoria, Department of Economics.
    19. Dogan, Eyup & Majeed, Muhammad Tariq & Luni, Tania, 2021. "Analyzing the impacts of geopolitical risk and economic uncertainty on natural resources rents," Resources Policy, Elsevier, vol. 72(C).
    20. Riti, Joshua Sunday & Shu, Yang & Riti, Miriam-Kamah J., 2022. "Geopolitical risk and environmental degradation in BRICS: Aggregation bias and policy inference," Energy Policy, Elsevier, vol. 166(C).
    21. Cedic, Samir & Mahmoud, Alwan & Manera, Matteo & Uddin, Gazi Salah, 2021. "Uncertainty and Stock Returns in Energy Markets: A Quantile Regression Approach," FEEM Working Papers 310388, Fondazione Eni Enrico Mattei (FEEM).
    22. Zhang, Yi & Zhang, Leilei & Yu, Hang & Tu, Yanhong, 2023. "Does Geopolitical risk drive natural resources extraction globally? A Case of Global," Resources Policy, Elsevier, vol. 82(C).
    23. Lei, Wei & Yang, Jiaxin, 2022. "Does economic, political, and financial risk cause volatility in natural resources? Comparative study of China and Brazil," Resources Policy, Elsevier, vol. 77(C).
    24. Satish Kumar & Rabeh Khalfaoui & Aviral Kumar Tiwari, 2021. "Does geopolitical risk improve the directional predictability from oil to stock returns? Evidence from oil-exporting and oil-importing countries," Post-Print hal-03797578, HAL.
    25. Lee, Chi-Chuan & Lee, Chien-Chiang & Li, Yong-Yi, 2021. "Oil price shocks, geopolitical risks, and green bond market dynamics," The North American Journal of Economics and Finance, Elsevier, vol. 55(C).
    26. Qin, Yun & Hong, Kairong & Chen, Jinyu & Zhang, Zitao, 2020. "Asymmetric effects of geopolitical risks on energy returns and volatility under different market conditions," Energy Economics, Elsevier, vol. 90(C).
    27. Li, Songsong & Zhang, Weiqian & Zhang, Wei, 2023. "Dynamic time-frequency connectedness and risk spillover between geopolitical risks and natural resources," Resources Policy, Elsevier, vol. 82(C).
    28. Chen, Shengming & Bouteska, Ahmed & Sharif, Taimur & Abedin, Mohammad Zoynul, 2023. "The Russia–Ukraine war and energy market volatility: A novel application of the volatility ratio in the context of natural gas," Resources Policy, Elsevier, vol. 85(PA).
    29. Kong, Dongmin & Xiong, Mengxu & Xiang, Junyi, 2021. "Terrorist attacks and energy firms' crash risk in stock markets: Evidence from China," Energy Economics, Elsevier, vol. 102(C).
    30. Cheikh, Nidhaleddine Ben & Zaied, Younes Ben, 2023. "Investigating the dynamics of crude oil and clean energy markets in times of geopolitical tensions," Energy Economics, Elsevier, vol. 124(C).
    31. Tomiwa Sunday Adebayo & Seyi Saint Akadiri & Joshua Sunday Riti & Ada Tony Odu, 2023. "Interaction among geopolitical risk, trade openness, economic growth, carbon emissions and Its implication on climate change in india," Energy & Environment, , vol. 34(5), pages 1305-1326, August.
    32. Rao, Sandeep & Koirala, Santosh & Aldhawyan, Sulaiman & Corbet, Shaen, 2023. "Geopolitical risk and M&A: The role of national governance institutions," Economics Letters, Elsevier, vol. 225(C).
    33. Tumala, Mohammed M. & Salisu, Afees & Nmadu, Yaaba B., 2023. "Climate change and fossil fuel prices: A GARCH-MIDAS analysis," Energy Economics, Elsevier, vol. 124(C).
    34. Arango-Castillo, Lenin & Orraca, María José & Molina, G. Stefano, 2023. "The global component of headline and core inflation in emerging market economies and its ability to improve forecasting performance," Economic Modelling, Elsevier, vol. 120(C).
    35. Xiao, Jihong & Wen, Fenghua & He, Zhifang, 2023. "Impact of geopolitical risks on investor attention and speculation in the oil market: Evidence from nonlinear and time-varying analysis," Energy, Elsevier, vol. 267(C).
    36. Xiao, Jihong & Liu, Hong, 2023. "The time-varying impact of uncertainty on oil market fear: Does climate policy uncertainty matter?," Resources Policy, Elsevier, vol. 82(C).
    37. Wu, Jie & Zhao, Ruizeng & Sun, Jiasen & Zhou, Xuewei, 2023. "Impact of geopolitical risks on oil price fluctuations: Based on GARCH-MIDAS model," Resources Policy, Elsevier, vol. 85(PB).
    38. Yang, Tianle & Dong, Qingyuan & Du, Min & Du, Qunyang, 2023. "Geopolitical risks, oil price shocks and inflation: Evidence from a TVP–SV–VAR approach," Energy Economics, Elsevier, vol. 127(PB).
    39. Phan, Dinh Hoang Bach & Tran, Vuong Thao & Iyke, Bernard Njindan, 2022. "Geopolitical risk and bank stability," Finance Research Letters, Elsevier, vol. 46(PB).
    40. Aysan, Ahmet Faruk & Polat, Ali Yavuz & Tekin, Hasan & Tunalı, Ahmet Semih, 2022. "The Ascent of Geopolitics: Scientometric Analysis and Ramifications of Geopolitical Risk," MPRA Paper 112741, University Library of Munich, Germany.
    41. Shen, Huayu & Liang, Yue & Li, Hanwen & Liu, Jie & Lu, Guangxi, 2021. "Does geopolitical risk promote mergers and acquisitions of listed companies in energy and electric power industries," Energy Economics, Elsevier, vol. 95(C).
    42. Sweidan, Osama D. & Elbargathi, Khadiga, 2022. "The effect of oil rent on economic development in Saudi Arabia: Comparing the role of globalization and the international geopolitical risk," Resources Policy, Elsevier, vol. 75(C).
    43. Amjad Taha & Gulcay Tuna, 2023. "Oil Price and Composite Risk Exposure within International Capital Asset Pricing Model: A Case of Saudi Arabia and Turkey," Energies, MDPI, vol. 16(7), pages 1-18, March.
    44. Zhao, Jing, 2023. "Time-varying impact of geopolitical risk on natural resources prices: Evidence from the hybrid TVP-VAR model with large system," Resources Policy, Elsevier, vol. 82(C).
    45. Kai-Hua Wang & Jia-Min Kan & Cui-Feng Jiang & Chi-Wei Su, 2022. "Is Geopolitical Risk Powerful Enough to Affect Carbon Dioxide Emissions? Evidence from China," Sustainability, MDPI, vol. 14(13), pages 1-16, June.
    46. Muhammad Abubakr Naeem & Saqib Farid & Safwan Mohd Nor & Syed Jawad Hussain Shahzad, 2021. "Spillover and Drivers of Uncertainty among Oil and Commodity Markets," Mathematics, MDPI, vol. 9(4), pages 1-26, February.
    47. Liu, Yang & Han, Liyan & Xu, Yang, 2021. "The impact of geopolitical uncertainty on energy volatility," International Review of Financial Analysis, Elsevier, vol. 75(C).
    48. Layal Mansour-Ichrakieh, 2021. "The Impact of Israeli and Saudi Arabian Geopolitical Risks on the Lebanese Financial Market," JRFM, MDPI, vol. 14(3), pages 1-24, February.
    49. Wang, Xinghua & Lee, Zhengzheng & Wu, Shuang & Qin, Meng, 2023. "Exploring the vital role of geopolitics in the oil market: The case of Russia," Resources Policy, Elsevier, vol. 85(PB).
    50. Naif Alsagr & Stefan F. Van Hemmen Almazor, 2020. "Oil Rent, Geopolitical Risk and Banking Sector Performance," International Journal of Energy Economics and Policy, Econjournals, vol. 10(5), pages 305-314.
    51. Le, Thanh Ha, 2023. "Quantile time-frequency connectedness between cryptocurrency volatility and renewable energy volatility during the COVID-19 pandemic and Ukraine-Russia conflicts," Renewable Energy, Elsevier, vol. 202(C), pages 613-625.
    52. Evžen Kočenda & Michala Moravcová & Evžen Kocenda, 2024. "Frequency Volatility Connectedness and Portfolio Hedging of U.S. Energy Commodities," CESifo Working Paper Series 10889, CESifo.
    53. Lee, Chien-Chiang & Lou, Runchi & Wang, Fuhao, 2023. "Geopolitical risk and the sustainable utilization of natural resources: Evidence from developing countries," Resources Policy, Elsevier, vol. 85(PA).
    54. Wang, Kai-Hua & Zhao, Yan-Xin & Su, Yun Hsuan & Lobonţ, Oana-Ramona, 2023. "Energy security and CO2 emissions: New evidence from time-varying and quantile-varying aspects," Energy, Elsevier, vol. 273(C).
    55. Jiaying Peng & Zhenghui Li & Benjamin M. Drakeford, 2020. "Dynamic Characteristics of Crude Oil Price Fluctuation—From the Perspective of Crude Oil Price Influence Mechanism," Energies, MDPI, vol. 13(17), pages 1-19, August.
    56. Sweidan, Osama D. & Elbargathi, Khadiga, 2023. "Economic diversification in Saudi Arabia: Comparing the impact of oil prices, geopolitical risk, and government expenditures," International Economics, Elsevier, vol. 175(C), pages 13-24.
    57. Wang, Kai-Hua & Wen, Cui-Ping & Liu, Hong-Wen & Liu, Lu, 2023. "Promotion or hindrance? Exploring the bidirectional causality between geopolitical risk and green bonds from an energy perspective," Resources Policy, Elsevier, vol. 85(PB).
    58. Smriti Pathak & Jalpa Thakkar & Arpita Gurbaxani & Shreya Virani & Prerak Thakkar, 2023. "Impact of Russia-Ukraine War on Sustainable Development Goals: A Study through Indian Financial Market Perspective," International Journal of Energy Economics and Policy, Econjournals, vol. 13(1), pages 389-394, January.
    59. Liang, Xuedong & Luo, Peng & Li, Xiaoyan & Wang, Xia & Shu, Lingli, 2023. "Crude oil price prediction using deep reinforcement learning," Resources Policy, Elsevier, vol. 81(C).
    60. Afees A. Salisu & Christian Pierdzioch & Rangan Gupta, 2021. "Geopolitical Risk and Forecastability of Tail Risk in the Oil Market: Evidence from Over a Century of Monthly Data," Working Papers 202122, University of Pretoria, Department of Economics.
    61. Cheng, Sheng & Han, Lingyu & Cao, Yan & Jiang, Qisheng & Liang, Ruibin, 2022. "Gold-oil dynamic relationship and the asymmetric role of geopolitical risks: Evidence from Bayesian pdBEKK-GARCH with regime switching," Resources Policy, Elsevier, vol. 78(C).
    62. Zhang, Zhikai & He, Mengxi & Zhang, Yaojie & Wang, Yudong, 2022. "Geopolitical risk trends and crude oil price predictability," Energy, Elsevier, vol. 258(C).
    63. Gong, Xu & Sun, Yi & Du, Zhili, 2022. "Geopolitical risk and China's oil security," Energy Policy, Elsevier, vol. 163(C).
    64. Aleksander Jagiełło & Marcin Wołek & Wojciech Bizon, 2023. "Comparison of Tender Criteria for Electric and Diesel Buses in Poland—Has the Ongoing Revolution in Urban Transport Been Overlooked?," Energies, MDPI, vol. 16(11), pages 1-17, May.
    65. Gong, Xu & Xu, Jun, 2022. "Geopolitical risk and dynamic connectedness between commodity markets," Energy Economics, Elsevier, vol. 110(C).
    66. Ahdi Noomen Ajmi & Roula Inglesi-Lotz, 2021. "Revisiting the Kuznets Curve Hypothesis for Tunisia: Carbon Dioxide vs. Ecological Footprint," Working Papers 202171, University of Pretoria, Department of Economics.
    67. Adra, Samer & Gao, Yang & Huang, Jin & Yuan, Jiayi, 2023. "Geopolitical risk and corporate payout policy," International Review of Financial Analysis, Elsevier, vol. 87(C).
    68. Li, Sufang & Tu, Dalun & Zeng, Yan & Gong, Chenggang & Yuan, Di, 2022. "Does geopolitical risk matter in crude oil and stock markets? Evidence from disaggregated data," Energy Economics, Elsevier, vol. 113(C).
    69. Lee, Chien-Chiang & Zhou, Hegang & Xu, Chao & Zhang, Xiaoming, 2023. "Dynamic spillover effects among international crude oil markets from the time-frequency perspective," Resources Policy, Elsevier, vol. 80(C).
    70. Umar, Zaghum & Polat, Onur & Choi, Sun-Yong & Teplova, Tamara, 2022. "The impact of the Russia-Ukraine conflict on the connectedness of financial markets," Finance Research Letters, Elsevier, vol. 48(C).
    71. Alola, Andrew Adewale & Özkan, Oktay & Obekpa, Hephzibah Onyeje, 2023. "Examining the patterns of disaggregate energy security risk and crude oil price: the USA scenario over 1970–2040," Resources Policy, Elsevier, vol. 82(C).
    72. Song, Yuegang & Zhang, Xiaoyu & Hu, Guoheng, 2023. "Relationships among geopolitical risk, trade policy uncertainty, and crude oil import prices: Evidence from China," Resources Policy, Elsevier, vol. 82(C).
    73. Aloui, Donia & Benkraiem, Ramzi & Guesmi, Khaled & Mzoughi, Hela, 2023. "Managing natural resource prices in a geopolitical risk environment," Resources Policy, Elsevier, vol. 83(C).
    74. Li, Yingli & Huang, Jianbai & Gao, Wang & Zhang, Hongwei, 2021. "Analyzing the time-frequency connectedness among oil, gold prices and BRICS geopolitical risks," Resources Policy, Elsevier, vol. 73(C).
    75. Niu, Zibo & Wang, Chenlu & Zhang, Hongwei, 2023. "Forecasting stock market volatility with various geopolitical risks categories: New evidence from machine learning models," International Review of Financial Analysis, Elsevier, vol. 89(C).
    76. Choi, Sun-Yong, 2022. "Evidence from a multiple and partial wavelet analysis on the impact of geopolitical concerns on stock markets in North-East Asian countries," Finance Research Letters, Elsevier, vol. 46(PB).
    77. Gong, Xiao-Li & Feng, Yong-Kang & Liu, Jian-Min & Xiong, Xiong, 2023. "Study on international energy market and geopolitical risk contagion based on complex network," Resources Policy, Elsevier, vol. 82(C).
    78. Zhang, Yulian & Hamori, Shigeyuki, 2022. "A connectedness analysis among BRICS’s geopolitical risks and the US macroeconomy," Economic Analysis and Policy, Elsevier, vol. 76(C), pages 182-203.
    79. Zhang, Jialin & Shi, Shaodong, 2023. "Extraction of natural resources and geopolitical risk revisited: A novel perspective of research and development with financial development," Resources Policy, Elsevier, vol. 85(PA).
    80. Wang, Kai-Hua & Su, Chi-Wei & Umar, Muhammad, 2021. "Geopolitical risk and crude oil security: A Chinese perspective," Energy, Elsevier, vol. 219(C).
    81. Sohag, Kazi & Hammoudeh, Shawkat & Elsayed, Ahmed H. & Mariev, Oleg & Safonova, Yulia, 2022. "Do geopolitical events transmit opportunity or threat to green markets? Decomposed measures of geopolitical risks," Energy Economics, Elsevier, vol. 111(C).
    82. Wang, Lu & Ma, Feng & Hao, Jianyang & Gao, Xinxin, 2021. "Forecasting crude oil volatility with geopolitical risk: Do time-varying switching probabilities play a role?," International Review of Financial Analysis, Elsevier, vol. 76(C).
    83. Olanipekun, Ifedolapo Olabisi & Ozkan, Oktay & Olasehinde-Williams, Godwin, 2023. "Is renewable energy use lowering resource-related uncertainties?," Energy, Elsevier, vol. 271(C).
    84. Evrim Mandaci, Pınar & Azimli, Asil & Mandaci, Nazif, 2023. "The impact of geopolitical risks on connectedness among natural resource commodities: A quantile vector autoregressive approach," Resources Policy, Elsevier, vol. 85(PA).
    85. Fiorillo, Paolo & Meles, Antonio & Pellegrino, Luigi Raffaele & Verdoliva, Vincenzo, 2023. "Geopolitical risk and stock liquidity," Finance Research Letters, Elsevier, vol. 54(C).

  31. Jamal Bouoiyour & Refk Selmi & Mark Wohar, 2018. "Are Islamic Stock Markets Efficient? A Multifractal Detrended Fluctuation Analysis," Post-Print hal-01879668, HAL.

    Cited by:

    1. Addi, Abdelhamid & Bouoiyour, Jamal, 2023. "Interconnectedness and extreme risk: Evidence from dual banking systems," Economic Modelling, Elsevier, vol. 120(C).
    2. Deniz Erer & Elif Erer & Selim Güngör, 2023. "The aggregate and sectoral time-varying market efficiency during crisis periods in Turkey: a comparative analysis with COVID-19 outbreak and the global financial crisis," Financial Innovation, Springer;Southwestern University of Finance and Economics, vol. 9(1), pages 1-25, December.
    3. Tao Yin & Yiming Wang, 2021. "Market Efficiency and Nonlinear Analysis of Soybean Futures," Sustainability, MDPI, vol. 13(2), pages 1-10, January.
    4. Ghazani, Majid Mirzaee & Ebrahimi, Seyed Babak, 2019. "Testing the adaptive market hypothesis as an evolutionary perspective on market efficiency: Evidence from the crude oil prices," Finance Research Letters, Elsevier, vol. 30(C), pages 60-68.
    5. Shrestha, Keshab & Naysary, Babak & Philip, Sheena Sara Suresh, 2023. "Fintech market efficiency: A multifractal detrended fluctuation analysis," Finance Research Letters, Elsevier, vol. 54(C).
    6. Wang, Feng & Ye, Xin & Chen, HongTao & Wu, Congxin, 2021. "A portfolio strategy of stock market based on mean-MF-X-DMA model," Chaos, Solitons & Fractals, Elsevier, vol. 143(C).
    7. Jean-Claude Kouakou Brou & Jamal Bouoiyour, 2023. "South Africa's Public Debt: Long-term Dependence, Structural Breaks and Multifractality [La dette publique de l'Afrique du Sud : dépendance à long terme, ruptures structurelles et multifractalité]," Post-Print hal-04327950, HAL.
    8. Abdullah, Mohammad & Chowdhury, Mohammad Ashraful Ferdous & Sulong, Zunaidah, 2023. "Asymmetric efficiency and connectedness among green stocks, halal tourism stocks, cryptocurrencies, and commodities: Portfolio hedging implications," Resources Policy, Elsevier, vol. 81(C).
    9. Zhang, Wei & Wang, Pengfei & Li, Xiao & Shen, Dehua, 2018. "The inefficiency of cryptocurrency and its cross-correlation with Dow Jones Industrial Average," Physica A: Statistical Mechanics and its Applications, Elsevier, vol. 510(C), pages 658-670.

  32. Jamal Bouoiyour & Refk Selmi & Mark Wohar, 2018. "Measuring the response of gold prices to uncertainty: An analysis beyond the mean," Post-Print hal-01817067, HAL.

    Cited by:

    1. Asai, Manabu & Gupta, Rangan & McAleer, Michael, 2020. "Forecasting volatility and co-volatility of crude oil and gold futures: Effects of leverage, jumps, spillovers, and geopolitical risks," International Journal of Forecasting, Elsevier, vol. 36(3), pages 933-948.
    2. Demirer, Riza & Gkillas, Konstantinos & Gupta, Rangan & Pierdzioch, Christian, 2019. "Time-varying risk aversion and realized gold volatility," The North American Journal of Economics and Finance, Elsevier, vol. 50(C).
    3. Cui, Moyang & Wong, Wing-Keung & Wisetsri, Worakamol & Mabrouk, Fatma & Muda, Iskandar & Li, Zeyun & Hassan, Marria, 2023. "Do oil, gold and metallic price volatilities prove gold as a safe haven during COVID-19 pandemic? Novel evidence from COVID-19 data," Resources Policy, Elsevier, vol. 80(C).
    4. Mensi, Walid & Sensoy, Ahmet & Aslan, Aylin & Kang, Sang Hoon, 2019. "High-frequency asymmetric volatility connectedness between Bitcoin and major precious metals markets," The North American Journal of Economics and Finance, Elsevier, vol. 50(C).
    5. Refk Selmi & Jamal Bouoiyour & Amal Miftah, 2020. "Oil price jumps and the uncertainty of oil supplies in a geopolitical perspective: The role of OPEC’s spare capacity," International Economics, CEPII research center, issue 164, pages 18-35.
    6. Huilian Huang & Tao Xiong, 2023. "A good hedge or safe haven? The hedging ability of China's commodity futures market under extreme market conditions," Journal of Futures Markets, John Wiley & Sons, Ltd., vol. 43(7), pages 968-1035, July.
    7. Carmen Orden‐Cruz & Jessica Paule‐Vianez & Júlio Lobão, 2023. "The effect of Economic Policy Uncertainty on the credit risk of US commercial banks," International Journal of Finance & Economics, John Wiley & Sons, Ltd., vol. 28(3), pages 3420-3436, July.
    8. Jamal Bouoiyour & Refk Selmi & Shawkat Hammoudeh & Mark E Wohar, 2019. "What are the categories of geopolitical risks that could drive oil prices higher? Acts or threats?," Post-Print hal-02409062, HAL.
    9. Hoque, Mohammad Enamul & Soo-Wah, Low & Tiwari, Aviral Kumar & Akhter, Tahmina, 2023. "Time and frequency domain connectedness and spillover among categorical and regional financial stress, gold and bitcoin market," Resources Policy, Elsevier, vol. 85(PA).
    10. Rangan Gupta & Sayar Karmakar & Christian Pierdzioch, 2022. "Safe Havens, Machine Learning, and the Sources of Geopolitical Risk: A Forecasting Analysis Using Over a Century of Data," Working Papers 202201, University of Pretoria, Department of Economics.
    11. Islam, Md. Monirul & Sohag, Kazi & Mariev, Oleg, 2023. "Geopolitical risks and mineral-driven renewable energy generation in China: A decomposed analysis," Resources Policy, Elsevier, vol. 80(C).
    12. Refk Selmi & Jamal Bouoiyour, 2020. "Arab geopolitics in turmoil: Implications of Qatar-Gulf crisis for business," International Economics, CEPII research center, issue 161, pages 100-119.
    13. Selmi, Refk & Bouoiyour, Jamal & Miftah, Amal & Wohar, Mark E., 2021. "Managing exposure to volatile oil prices: Evidence from U.S. sectoral and industry-level data," Resources Policy, Elsevier, vol. 73(C).
    14. Konstantinos Gkillas & Rangan Gupta & Christian Pierdzioch, 2019. "Forecasting Realized Gold Volatility: Is there a Role of Geopolitical Risks?," Working Papers 201943, University of Pretoria, Department of Economics.
    15. Selmi, Refk & Bouoiyour, Jamal & Wohar, Mark E., 2022. "“Digital Gold” and geopolitics," Research in International Business and Finance, Elsevier, vol. 59(C).
    16. Tanin, Tauhidul Islam & Sarker, Ashutosh & Brooks, Robert & Do, Hung Xuan, 2022. "Does oil impact gold during COVID-19 and three other recent crises?," Energy Economics, Elsevier, vol. 108(C).
    17. Al Rababa'a, Abdel Razzaq & Alomari, Mohammad & Mensi, Walid & Matar, Ali & Saidat, Zaid, 2021. "Does tracking the infectious diseases impact the gold, oil and US dollar returns and correlation? A quantile regression approach," Resources Policy, Elsevier, vol. 74(C).
    18. Bonato, Matteo & Gkillas, Konstantinos & Gupta, Rangan & Pierdzioch, Christian, 2021. "A note on investor happiness and the predictability of realized volatility of gold," Finance Research Letters, Elsevier, vol. 39(C).
    19. Boubaker, Heni & Cunado, Juncal & Gil-Alana, Luis A. & Gupta, Rangan, 2020. "Global crises and gold as a safe haven: Evidence from over seven and a half centuries of data," Physica A: Statistical Mechanics and its Applications, Elsevier, vol. 540(C).
    20. Luo, Jiawen & Demirer, Riza & Gupta, Rangan & Ji, Qiang, 2022. "Forecasting oil and gold volatilities with sentiment indicators under structural breaks," Energy Economics, Elsevier, vol. 105(C).
    21. Chen, Jinyu & Wang, Yilin & Ren, Xiaohang, 2023. "Asymmetric effect of financial stress on China’s precious metals market: Evidence from a quantile-on-quantile regression," Research in International Business and Finance, Elsevier, vol. 64(C).
    22. Aslam, Faheem & Zil-e-huma, & Bibi, Rashida & Ferreira, Paulo, 2022. "Cross-correlations between economic policy uncertainty and precious and industrial metals: A multifractal cross-correlation analysis," Resources Policy, Elsevier, vol. 75(C).
    23. Qadan, Mahmoud & Idilbi, Yasmeen, 2022. "Presidential honeymoons, political cycles and the commodity market," Resources Policy, Elsevier, vol. 77(C).
    24. Zhu, Xuehong & Liao, Jianhui & Chen, Ying, 2021. "Time-varying effects of oil price shocks and economic policy uncertainty on the nonferrous metals industry: From the perspective of industrial security," Energy Economics, Elsevier, vol. 97(C).
    25. Jamal Bouoiyour & Refk Selmi & Mark E Wohar, 2019. "Bitcoin: competitor or complement to gold?," Post-Print hal-01994187, HAL.
    26. Qin, Meng & Su, Chi-Wei & Tao, Ran & Umar, Muhammad, 2020. "Is factionalism a push for gold price?," Resources Policy, Elsevier, vol. 67(C).
    27. Paule-Vianez, Jessica & Alcázar-Blanco, Antonio & Coca-Pérez, José Luis, 2022. "Effect of Economic Policy Uncertainty on the investment in numismatic assets: Evidence for the Walking Liberty Half Dollar," Finance Research Letters, Elsevier, vol. 46(PB).
    28. Adediran, Idris A. & Yinusa, Olalekan D. & Lakhani, Kanwal Hammad, 2021. "Where lies the silver lining when uncertainty hang dark clouds over the global financial markets?," Resources Policy, Elsevier, vol. 70(C).
    29. Si Mohammed, K. & Mellit, A., 2023. "The relationship between oil prices and the indices of renewable energy and technology companies based on QQR and GCQ techniques," Renewable Energy, Elsevier, vol. 209(C), pages 97-105.
    30. Chiang, Thomas C., 2022. "The effects of economic uncertainty, geopolitical risk and pandemic upheaval on gold prices," Resources Policy, Elsevier, vol. 76(C).
    31. Shahid, Muhammad Naeem & Azmi, Wajahat & Ali, Mohsin & Islam, Muhammad Umar & Rizvi, Syed Aun R., 2023. "Uncovering risk transmission between socially responsible investments, alternative energy investments and the implied volatility of major commodities," Energy Economics, Elsevier, vol. 120(C).
    32. Ana Alzate-Ortega & Natalia Garzón & Jesús Molina-Muñoz, 2024. "Volatility Spillovers in Emerging Markets: Oil Shocks, Energy, Stocks, and Gold," Energies, MDPI, vol. 17(2), pages 1-19, January.
    33. Tanin, Tauhidul Islam & Sarker, Ashutosh & Hammoudeh, Shawkat & Shahbaz, Muhammad, 2021. "Do volatility indices diminish gold's appeal as a safe haven to investors before and during the COVID-19 pandemic?," Journal of Economic Behavior & Organization, Elsevier, vol. 191(C), pages 214-235.
    34. Matteo Bonato & Rangan Gupta & Chi Keung Marco Lau & Shixuan Wang, 2019. "Moments-Based Spillovers across Gold and Oil Markets," Working Papers 201966, University of Pretoria, Department of Economics.
    35. Jamal Bouoiyour & Refk Selmi, 2019. "The Changing Geopolitics in the Arab World: Implications of the 2017 Gulf Crisis for Business," Post-Print hal-02071921, HAL.
    36. Tanin, Tauhidul Islam & Sarker, Ashutosh & Brooks, Robert, 2021. "Do currency exchange rates impact gold prices? New evidence from the ongoing COVID-19 period," International Review of Financial Analysis, Elsevier, vol. 77(C).
    37. Hasan, Md. Bokhtiar & Kabir Hassan, M. & Gider, Zeynullah & Tahsin Rafia, Humaira & Rashid, Mamunur, 2023. "Searching hedging instruments against diverse global risks and uncertainties," The North American Journal of Economics and Finance, Elsevier, vol. 66(C).
    38. Balcilar, Mehmet & Gupta, Rangan & Nel, Jacobus, 2022. "Rare disaster risks and gold over 700 years: Evidence from nonparametric quantile regressions," Resources Policy, Elsevier, vol. 79(C).
    39. Refk Selmi & Jamal Bouoiyour & Shawkat Hammoudeh, 2020. "Common and country-specific uncertainty fluctuations in oil-producing countries : Measures, macroeconomic effects and policy challenges," Post-Print hal-02929898, HAL.
    40. Rangan Gupta & Christian Pierdzioch, 2021. "Forecasting the Volatility of Crude Oil: The Role of Uncertainty and Spillovers," Energies, MDPI, vol. 14(14), pages 1-15, July.
    41. Yilanci, Veli & Kilci, Esra N., 2021. "The role of economic policy uncertainty and geopolitical risk in predicting prices of precious metals: Evidence from a time-varying bootstrap causality test," Resources Policy, Elsevier, vol. 72(C).
    42. Donald Lien & Ziling Wang & Xiaojian Yu, 2021. "Optimal quantile hedging under Markov regime switching," Empirical Economics, Springer, vol. 60(5), pages 2177-2201, May.
    43. Li, Jingwen & Wang, Yue & Song, Yubing & Su, Chi Wei, 2023. "How resistant is gold to stress? New evidence from global supply chain," Resources Policy, Elsevier, vol. 85(PB).
    44. Zhou, Mei-Jing & Huang, Jian-Bai & Chen, Jin-Yu, 2020. "The effects of geopolitical risks on the stock dynamics of China's rare metals: A TVP-VAR analysis," Resources Policy, Elsevier, vol. 68(C).
    45. Su, Chi-Wei & Pang, Lidong & Umar, Muhammad & Lobonţ, Oana-Ramona & Moldovan, Nicoleta-Claudia, 2022. "Does gold's hedging uncertainty aura fade away?," Resources Policy, Elsevier, vol. 77(C).
    46. Díaz, Juan D. & Hansen, Erwin & Cabrera, Gabriel, 2023. "Gold risk premium estimation with machine learning methods," Journal of Commodity Markets, Elsevier, vol. 31(C).
    47. Jessica Paule-Vianez & Júlio Lobão & Raúl Gómez-Martínez & Camilo Prado-Román, 2021. "Momentum strategies in times of economic policy uncertainty," Journal of Financial Economic Policy, Emerald Group Publishing Limited, vol. 13(3), pages 285-300, April.
    48. Johannes Eugster & Giovanni Donato, 2022. "The exchange rate elasticity of the Swiss current account," Working Papers 2022-14, Swiss National Bank.
    49. Khaskheli, Asadullah & Zhang, Hongyu & Raza, Syed Ali & Khan, Komal Akram, 2022. "Assessing the influence of news indicator on volatility of precious metals prices through GARCH-MIDAS model: A comparative study of pre and during COVID-19 period," Resources Policy, Elsevier, vol. 79(C).
    50. Duc Huynh, Toan Luu & Burggraf, Tobias & Wang, Mei, 2020. "Gold, platinum, and expected Bitcoin returns," Journal of Multinational Financial Management, Elsevier, vol. 56(C).
    51. Huang, Jianbai & Dong, Xuesong & Chen, Jinyu & Zhong, Meirui, 2022. "Do oil prices and economic policy uncertainty matter for precious metal returns? New insights from a TVP-VAR framework," International Review of Economics & Finance, Elsevier, vol. 78(C), pages 433-445.
    52. Riza Demirer & Rangan Gupta & Christian Pierdzioch & Syed Jawad Hussain Shahzad, 2021. "A note on oil price shocks and the forecastability of gold realized volatility," Applied Economics Letters, Taylor & Francis Journals, vol. 28(21), pages 1889-1897, December.
    53. Jamal Bouoiyour & Refk Selmi & Olivier Hueber, 2019. "Low on Trust and High on Risks: Is Sidechain a Good Solution to Bitcoin Problems?," Working Papers hal-02348406, HAL.
    54. Takashi Miyazaki, 2019. "Clarifying the Response of Gold Return to Financial Indicators: An Empirical Comparative Analysis Using Ordinary Least Squares, Robust and Quantile Regressions," JRFM, MDPI, vol. 12(1), pages 1-18, February.
    55. Qin, Meng & Su, Chi-Wei & Pirtea, Marilen Gabriel & Dumitrescu Peculea, Adelina, 2023. "The essential role of Russian geopolitics: A fresh perception into the gold market," Resources Policy, Elsevier, vol. 81(C).
    56. Mohammad Enamul Hoque & Soo-Wah Low, 2022. "Reactions of Bitcoin and Gold to Categorical Financial Stress: New Evidence from Quantile Estimation," Risks, MDPI, vol. 10(7), pages 1-10, July.
    57. Chi-Wei Su & Lidong Pang & Muhammad Umar & Oana-Ramona Lobonţ, 2022. "Will Gold Always Shine amid World Uncertainty?," Emerging Markets Finance and Trade, Taylor & Francis Journals, vol. 58(12), pages 3425-3438, September.
    58. Md. Monirul Islam & Kazi Sohag & Faheem ur Rehman, 2022. "Do Geopolitical Tensions and Economic Policy Uncertainties Reorient Mineral Imports in the USA? A Fat-Tailed Data Analysis Using Novel Quantile Approaches," Mathematics, MDPI, vol. 11(1), pages 1-25, December.
    59. Kazi Sohag & Anna Gainetdinova & Shawkat Hammoudeh & Riad Shams, 2022. "Dynamic Connectedness among Vaccine Companies’ Stock Prices: Before and after Vaccines Released," Mathematics, MDPI, vol. 10(15), pages 1-26, August.
    60. Yu, Fanchao, 2023. "Macroeconomic information, global economic policy uncertainty and gold futures return predictability," Finance Research Letters, Elsevier, vol. 55(PA).
    61. Esperanza García-Gonzalo & Paulino José García-Nieto & Gregorio Fidalgo Valverde & Pedro Riesgo Fernández & Fernando Sánchez Lasheras & Sergio Luis Suárez Gómez, 2024. "Hybrid DE-Optimized GPR and NARX/SVR Models for Forecasting Gold Spot Prices: A Case Study of the Global Commodities Market," Mathematics, MDPI, vol. 12(7), pages 1-18, March.

  33. Konstantinos Gkillas & Rangan Gupta & Mark E. Wohar, 2018. "Oil Shocks and Volatility Jumps," Working Papers 201825, University of Pretoria, Department of Economics.

    Cited by:

    1. Matteo Bonato & Konstantinos Gkillas & Rangan Gupta & Christian Pierdzioch, 2020. "Investor Happiness and Predictability of the Realized Volatility of Oil Price," Working Papers 202009, University of Pretoria, Department of Economics.
    2. Christos Floros & Konstantinos Gkillas & Christoforos Konstantatos & Athanasios Tsagkanos, 2020. "Realized Measures to Explain Volatility Changes over Time," JRFM, MDPI, vol. 13(6), pages 1-19, June.
    3. Sheng, Xin & Gupta, Rangan & Ji, Qiang, 2020. "The impacts of structural oil shocks on macroeconomic uncertainty: Evidence from a large panel of 45 countries," Energy Economics, Elsevier, vol. 91(C).
    4. Konstantinos Gkillas & Rangan Gupta & Chi Keung Marco Lau & Muhammad Tahir Suleman, 2020. "Jumps beyond the realms of cricket: India's performance in One Day Internationals and stock market movements," Journal of Applied Statistics, Taylor & Francis Journals, vol. 47(6), pages 1109-1127, April.
    5. Dutta, Anupam & Soytas, Ugur & Das, Debojyoti & Bhattacharyya, Asit, 2022. "In search of time-varying jumps during the turmoil periods: Evidence from crude oil futures markets," Energy Economics, Elsevier, vol. 114(C).
    6. Gkillas, Konstantinos & Konstantatos, Christoforos & Tsagkanos, Athanasios & Siriopoulos, Costas, 2021. "Do economic news releases affect tail risk? Evidence from an emerging market," Finance Research Letters, Elsevier, vol. 40(C).
    7. Konstantinos Gkillas & Elie Bouri & Rangan Gupta & David Roubaud, 2020. "Spillovers in Higher-Order Moments of Crude Oil, Gold, and Bitcoin," Working Papers 202068, University of Pretoria, Department of Economics.
    8. Konstantinos Gkillas & Rangan Gupta & Christian Pierdzioch & Seong-Min Yoon, 2020. "OPEC News and Jumps in the Oil Market," Working Papers 202053, University of Pretoria, Department of Economics.
    9. Oladosu, Gbadebo, 2022. "Bubbles in US gasoline prices: Assessing the role of hurricanes and anti–price gouging laws," Journal of Commodity Markets, Elsevier, vol. 27(C).

  34. Rangan Gupta & Christian Pierdzioch & Andrew J. Vivian & Mark E. Wohar, 2018. "The Predictive Value of Inequality Measures for Stock Returns: An Analysis of Long-Span UK Data Using Quantile Random Forests," Working Papers 201809, University of Pretoria, Department of Economics.

    Cited by:

    1. Rangan Gupta & Jacobus Nel & Christian Pierdzioch, 2023. "Drivers of Realized Volatility for Emerging Countries with a Focus on South Africa: Fundamentals versus Sentiment," Mathematics, MDPI, vol. 11(6), pages 1-26, March.
    2. Mehmet Balcilar & Rangan Gupta & Christian Pierdzioch, 2022. "Oil-Price Uncertainty and International Stock Returns: Dissecting Quantile-Based Predictability and Spillover Effects Using More than a Century of Data," Energies, MDPI, vol. 15(22), pages 1-26, November.
    3. Riza Demirer & Konstantinos Gkillas & Rangan Gupta & Christian Pierdzioch, 2022. "Risk aversion and the predictability of crude oil market volatility: A forecasting experiment with random forests," Journal of the Operational Research Society, Taylor & Francis Journals, vol. 73(8), pages 1755-1767, August.
    4. Hossein Hassani & Mohammad Reza Yeganegi & Rangan Gupta, 2018. "Does Inequality Really Matter in Forecasting Real Housing Returns of the United Kingdom?," Working Papers 201859, University of Pretoria, Department of Economics.
    5. Chia-Cheng Chen & Chun-Hung Chen & Ting-Yin Liu, 2020. "Investment Performance of Machine Learning: Analysis of S&P 500 Index," International Journal of Economics and Financial Issues, Econjournals, vol. 10(1), pages 59-66.
    6. Fazlollah Soleymani & Houman Masnavi & Stanford Shateyi, 2020. "Classifying a Lending Portfolio of Loans with Dynamic Updates via a Machine Learning Technique," Mathematics, MDPI, vol. 9(1), pages 1-15, December.
    7. Mehmet Balcilar & David Gabauer & Rangan Gupta & Christian Pierdzioch, 2023. "Climate Risks and Forecasting Stock Market Returns in Advanced Economies over a Century," Mathematics, MDPI, vol. 11(9), pages 1-21, April.
    8. Taussig, Roi D., 2021. "Competition risk and expected stock returns," Finance Research Letters, Elsevier, vol. 41(C).
    9. Afees A. Salisu & Rangan Gupta, 2021. "Commodity Prices and Forecastability of South African Stock Returns Over a Century: Sentiments versus Fundamentals," Working Papers 202144, University of Pretoria, Department of Economics.
    10. Hossein Hassani & Mohammad Reza Yeganegi & Rangan Gupta & Riza Demirer, 2022. "Forecasting stock market (realized) volatility in the United Kingdom: Is there a role of inequality?," International Journal of Finance & Economics, John Wiley & Sons, Ltd., vol. 27(2), pages 2146-2152, April.
    11. Elie Bouri & Konstantinos Gkillas & Rangan Gupta & Christian Pierdzioch, 2021. "Forecasting Realized Volatility of Bitcoin: The Role of the Trade War," Computational Economics, Springer;Society for Computational Economics, vol. 57(1), pages 29-53, January.
    12. Chin-Sheng Huang & Yi-Sheng Liu, 2019. "Machine Learning on Stock Price Movement Forecast: The Sample of the Taiwan Stock Exchange," International Journal of Economics and Financial Issues, Econjournals, vol. 9(2), pages 189-201.
    13. Chia-Cheng Chen & Yisheng Liu & Ting-Hsin Hsu, 2019. "An Analysis on Investment Performance of Machine Learning: An Empirical Examination on Taiwan Stock Market," International Journal of Economics and Financial Issues, Econjournals, vol. 9(4), pages 1-10.

  35. Mamothoana Difeto & Reneé van Eyden & Rangan Gupta & Mark E. Wohar, 2018. "Oil Price Volatility and Economic Growth: Evidence from Advanced OECD Countries using over One Century of Data," Working Papers 201813, University of Pretoria, Department of Economics.

    Cited by:

    1. Alfred Moyo, 2019. "Evaluating the impact of global oil prices on the SADC and the potential for increased trade in biofuels and natural gas within the region," WIDER Working Paper Series wp-2019-36, World Institute for Development Economic Research (UNU-WIDER).
    2. N. P. Ravindra Deyshappriya & I. A. D. D. W. Rukshan & N. P. Dammika Padmakanthi, 2023. "Impact of Oil Price on Economic Growth of OECD Countries: A Dynamic Panel Data Analysis," Sustainability, MDPI, vol. 15(6), pages 1-14, March.

  36. Rangan Gupta & Patrick Kanda & Aviral Kumar Tiwari & Mark E. Wohar, 2018. "Time-Varying Predictability of Oil Market Movements Over a Century of Data: The Role of US Financial Stress," Working Papers 201848, University of Pretoria, Department of Economics.

    Cited by:

    1. Konstantinos Gkillas & Rangan Gupta & Christian Pierdzioch, 2019. "Forecasting Realized Oil-Price Volatility: The Role of Financial Stress and Asymmetric Loss," Working Papers 201903, University of Pretoria, Department of Economics.
    2. Cai, Yifei & Chang, Hao-Wen & Chang, Tsangyao, 2023. "Evaluating time-varying granger causality between US-China political relation changes and China stock market," Finance Research Letters, Elsevier, vol. 55(PA).
    3. Rangan Gupta & Christian Pierdzioch, 2021. "Climate Risks and the Realized Volatility Oil and Gas Prices: Results of an Out-of-Sample Forecasting Experiment," Working Papers 202175, University of Pretoria, Department of Economics.
    4. Hong, Yanran & Li, Pan & Wang, Lu & Zhang, Yaojie, 2023. "New evidence of extreme risk transmission between financial stress and international crude oil markets," Research in International Business and Finance, Elsevier, vol. 64(C).
    5. Hu, Genhua & Jiang, Haifeng, 2023. "Time-varying jumps in China crude oil futures market impacted by COVID-19 pandemic," Resources Policy, Elsevier, vol. 82(C).
    6. Yang Hu & Yanran Hong & Kai Feng & Jikai Wang, 2023. "Evaluating the Importance of Monetary Policy Uncertainty: The Long- and Short-Term Effects and Responses," Evaluation Review, , vol. 47(2), pages 264-286, April.
    7. Zhang, Hongwei & Wang, Peijin, 2021. "Does Bitcoin or gold react to financial stress alike? Evidence from the U.S. and China," International Review of Economics & Finance, Elsevier, vol. 71(C), pages 629-648.
    8. Ozcelebi, Oguzhan, 2020. "Assessing the impacts of financial stress index of developed countries on the exchange market pressure index of emerging countries," International Review of Economics & Finance, Elsevier, vol. 70(C), pages 288-302.
    9. Dagher, Leila & Hasanov, Fakhri, 2022. "Oil Market Shocks and Financial Instability in Asian Countries," MPRA Paper 116079, University Library of Munich, Germany.
    10. Caporina, Massimiliano & Costola, Michele, 2021. "Time-varying granger causality tests for applications in global crude oil markets: A study on the DCC-MGARCH Hong test," SAFE Working Paper Series 324, Leibniz Institute for Financial Research SAFE.
    11. Wan, Xiaoli & Yan, Yuruo & Zeng, Zhixiong, 2020. "Exchange rate regimes and market integration: evidence from the dynamic relations between renminbi onshore and offshore markets," The North American Journal of Economics and Finance, Elsevier, vol. 52(C).
    12. Dutta, Anupam & Soytas, Ugur & Das, Debojyoti & Bhattacharyya, Asit, 2022. "In search of time-varying jumps during the turmoil periods: Evidence from crude oil futures markets," Energy Economics, Elsevier, vol. 114(C).
    13. Hong, Yanran & Wang, Lu & Liang, Chao & Umar, Muhammad, 2022. "Impact of financial instability on international crude oil volatility: New sight from a regime-switching framework," Resources Policy, Elsevier, vol. 77(C).
    14. Taicir Mezghani & Mouna Boujelbène Abbes, 2023. "Forecast the Role of GCC Financial Stress on Oil Market and GCC Financial Markets Using Convolutional Neural Networks," Asia-Pacific Financial Markets, Springer;Japanese Association of Financial Economics and Engineering, vol. 30(3), pages 505-530, September.
    15. Yang, Kun & Wei, Yu & Li, Shouwei & Liu, Liang & Wang, Lei, 2021. "Global financial uncertainties and China’s crude oil futures market: Evidence from interday and intraday price dynamics," Energy Economics, Elsevier, vol. 96(C).
    16. Das, Debojyoti & Maitra, Debasish & Dutta, Anupam & Basu, Sankarshan, 2022. "Financial stress and crude oil implied volatility: New evidence from continuous wavelet transformation framework," Energy Economics, Elsevier, vol. 115(C).
    17. Caporin, Massimiliano & Costola, Michele, 2022. "Time-varying Granger causality tests in the energy markets: A study on the DCC-MGARCH Hong test," Energy Economics, Elsevier, vol. 111(C).

  37. Matthew W. Clance & Rangan Gupta & Mark E. Wohar, 2018. "Geopolitical Risks and Recessions in a Panel of Advanced Economies: Evidence from Over a Century of Data," Working Papers 201807, University of Pretoria, Department of Economics.

    Cited by:

    1. Su, Chi-Wei & Qin, Meng & Tao, Ran & Shao, Xue-Feng & Albu, Lucian Liviu & Umar, Muhammad, 2020. "Can Bitcoin hedge the risks of geopolitical events?," Technological Forecasting and Social Change, Elsevier, vol. 159(C).
    2. Rangan Gupta & Sayar Karmakar & Christian Pierdzioch, 2022. "Safe Havens, Machine Learning, and the Sources of Geopolitical Risk: A Forecasting Analysis Using Over a Century of Data," Working Papers 202201, University of Pretoria, Department of Economics.
    3. Nguyen, Thanh Cong & Thuy, Tien Ho, 2023. "Geopolitical risk and the cost of bank loans," Finance Research Letters, Elsevier, vol. 54(C).
    4. Tam NguyenHuu & Deniz Karaman Orsal, 2022. "Geopolitical risks and financial stress in emerging economies," Working Papers 2022.09, International Network for Economic Research - INFER.
    5. Phan, Dinh Hoang Bach & Tran, Vuong Thao & Iyke, Bernard Njindan, 2022. "Geopolitical risk and bank stability," Finance Research Letters, Elsevier, vol. 46(PB).
    6. Cepni, Oguzhan & Emirmahmutoglu, Furkan & Guney, Ibrahim Ethem & Yilmaz, Muhammed Hasan, 2023. "Do the carry trades respond to geopolitical risks? Evidence from BRICS countries," Economic Systems, Elsevier, vol. 47(2).
    7. Shen, Huayu & Liang, Yue & Li, Hanwen & Liu, Jie & Lu, Guangxi, 2021. "Does geopolitical risk promote mergers and acquisitions of listed companies in energy and electric power industries," Energy Economics, Elsevier, vol. 95(C).
    8. Alam, Ahmed W. & Houston, Reza & Farjana, Ashupta, 2023. "Geopolitical risk and corporate investment: How do politically connected firms respond?," Finance Research Letters, Elsevier, vol. 53(C).
    9. Alqahtani, Abdullah & Bouri, Elie & Vo, Xuan Vinh, 2020. "Predictability of GCC stock returns: The role of geopolitical risk and crude oil returns," Economic Analysis and Policy, Elsevier, vol. 68(C), pages 239-249.
    10. Hille, Erik, 2023. "Europe's energy crisis: Are geopolitical risks in source countries of fossil fuels accelerating the transition to renewable energy?," Energy Economics, Elsevier, vol. 127(PA).
    11. Fiorillo, Paolo & Meles, Antonio & Pellegrino, Luigi Raffaele & Verdoliva, Vincenzo, 2023. "Geopolitical risk and stock liquidity," Finance Research Letters, Elsevier, vol. 54(C).

  38. Konstantinos Gkillas & Rangan Gupta & Mark E. Wohar, 2018. "Volatility Jumps: The Role of Geopolitical Risks," Working Papers 201805, University of Pretoria, Department of Economics.

    Cited by:

    1. Konstantinos Gkillas & Rangan Gupta & Christian Pierdzioch, 2019. "Forecasting Realized Oil-Price Volatility: The Role of Financial Stress and Asymmetric Loss," Working Papers 201903, University of Pretoria, Department of Economics.
    2. Asai, Manabu & Gupta, Rangan & McAleer, Michael, 2020. "Forecasting volatility and co-volatility of crude oil and gold futures: Effects of leverage, jumps, spillovers, and geopolitical risks," International Journal of Forecasting, Elsevier, vol. 36(3), pages 933-948.
    3. Elie Bouri & Rangan Gupta & Xuan Vinh Vo, 2022. "Jumps in Geopolitical Risk and the Cryptocurrency Market: The Singularity of Bitcoin," Defence and Peace Economics, Taylor & Francis Journals, vol. 33(2), pages 150-161, February.
    4. Zheng, Jinlin & Wen, Baoyu & Jiang, Yaohui & Wang, Xiaohan & Shen, Yue, 2023. "Risk spillovers across geopolitical risk and global financial markets," Energy Economics, Elsevier, vol. 127(PA).
    5. António Afonso & José Alves & Sofia Monteiro, 2023. "Beyond Borders: Assessing the Influence of Geopolitical Tensions on Sovereign Risk Dynamics," Working Papers REM 2023/0300, ISEG - Lisbon School of Economics and Management, REM, Universidade de Lisboa.
    6. Wen, Jun & Zhao, Xin-Xin & Chang, Chun-Ping, 2021. "The impact of extreme events on energy price risk," Energy Economics, Elsevier, vol. 99(C).
    7. Rangan Gupta & Tahir Suleman & Mark E. Wohar, 2019. "The role of time‐varying rare disaster risks in predicting bond returns and volatility," Review of Financial Economics, John Wiley & Sons, vol. 37(3), pages 327-340, July.
    8. Long, Shaobo & Guo, Jiaqi, 2022. "Infectious disease equity market volatility, geopolitical risk, speculation, and commodity returns: Comparative analysis of five epidemic outbreaks," Research in International Business and Finance, Elsevier, vol. 62(C).
    9. Khan, Nasir & Saleem, Asima & Ozkan, Oktay, 2023. "Do geopolitical oil price risk influence stock market returns and volatility of Pakistan: Evidence from novel non-parametric quantile causality approach," Resources Policy, Elsevier, vol. 81(C).
    10. Cheng, Xian & Wu, Peng & Liao, Stephen Shaoyi & Wang, Xuelian, 2023. "An integrated model for crude oil forecasting: Causality assessment and technical efficiency," Energy Economics, Elsevier, vol. 117(C).
    11. Aviral Kumar Tiwari & Goodness C. Aye & Rangan Gupta & Konstantinos Gkillas, 2019. "Gold-Oil Dependence Dynamics and the Role of Geopolitical Risks: Evidence from a Markov-Switching Time-Varying Copula Model," Working Papers 201918, University of Pretoria, Department of Economics.
    12. Baur, Dirk G. & Smales, Lee A., 2020. "Hedging geopolitical risk with precious metals," Journal of Banking & Finance, Elsevier, vol. 117(C).
    13. Besma Hkiri & Juncal Cunado & Mehmet Balcilar & Rangan Gupta, 2019. "Time-Varying Relationship between Conventional and Unconventional Monetary Policies and Risk Aversion: International Evidence from Time- and Frequency-Domains," Working Papers 201965, University of Pretoria, Department of Economics.
    14. Ronnie Figueiredo & Mohammad Soliman & Alamir N. Al-Alawi & Maria José Sousa, 2022. "The Impacts of Geopolitical Risks on the Energy Sector: Micro-Level Operative Analysis in the European Union," Economies, MDPI, vol. 10(12), pages 1-12, November.
    15. Rangan Gupta & Chi Keung Marco Lau & Seong-Min Yoon, 2017. "OPEC News Announcement Effect on Volatility in the Crude Oil Market: A Reconsideration," Working Papers 201754, University of Pretoria, Department of Economics.
    16. Kannadhasan, M. & Das, Debojyoti, 2020. "Do Asian emerging stock markets react to international economic policy uncertainty and geopolitical risk alike? A quantile regression approach," Finance Research Letters, Elsevier, vol. 34(C).
    17. Zeng, Sheng & Liu, Xinchun & Li, Xiafei & Wei, Qi & Shang, Yue, 2019. "Information dominance among hedging assets: Evidence from return and volatility directional spillovers in time and frequency domains," Physica A: Statistical Mechanics and its Applications, Elsevier, vol. 536(C).
    18. Faiza Ahmed & Tooba Jivani & Azam Anwar Khan, 2023. "Political Instability and Stock Market: An Event Study," Journal of Policy Research (JPR), Research Foundation for Humanity (RFH), vol. 9(2), pages 339-345.
    19. Aysan, Ahmet Faruk & Polat, Ali Yavuz & Tekin, Hasan & Tunalı, Ahmet Semih, 2022. "The Ascent of Geopolitics: Scientometric Analysis and Ramifications of Geopolitical Risk," MPRA Paper 112741, University Library of Munich, Germany.
    20. Konstantinos Gkillas & Rangan Gupta & Chi Keung Marco Lau & Muhammad Tahir Suleman, 2020. "Jumps beyond the realms of cricket: India's performance in One Day Internationals and stock market movements," Journal of Applied Statistics, Taylor & Francis Journals, vol. 47(6), pages 1109-1127, April.
    21. Mensi, Walid & Lee, Yun-Jung & Vinh Vo, Xuan & Yoon, Seong-Min, 2021. "Does oil price variability affect the long memory and weak form efficiency of stock markets in top oil producers and oil Consumers? Evidence from an asymmetric MF-DFA approach," The North American Journal of Economics and Finance, Elsevier, vol. 57(C).
    22. Dutta, Anupam & Soytas, Ugur & Das, Debojyoti & Bhattacharyya, Asit, 2022. "In search of time-varying jumps during the turmoil periods: Evidence from crude oil futures markets," Energy Economics, Elsevier, vol. 114(C).
    23. Zhang, Yaojie & He, Jiaxin & He, Mengxi & Li, Shaofang, 2023. "Geopolitical risk and stock market volatility: A global perspective," Finance Research Letters, Elsevier, vol. 53(C).
    24. Aysan, Ahmet Faruk & Demir, Ender & Gozgor, Giray & Lau, Chi Keung Marco, 2019. "Effects of the geopolitical risks on Bitcoin returns and volatility," Research in International Business and Finance, Elsevier, vol. 47(C), pages 511-518.
    25. Canh Phuc Nguyen & Thanh Dinh Su, 2022. "When ‘uncertainty’ becomes ‘unknown’: Influences of economic uncertainty on the shadow economy," Annals of Public and Cooperative Economics, Wiley Blackwell, vol. 93(3), pages 677-716, September.
    26. Yue Liu & Hao Dong & Pierre Failler, 2019. "The Oil Market Reactions to OPEC’s Announcements," Energies, MDPI, vol. 12(17), pages 1-15, August.
    27. Salisu, Afees A. & Cuñado, Juncal & Gupta, Rangan, 2022. "Geopolitical risks and historical exchange rate volatility of the BRICS," International Review of Economics & Finance, Elsevier, vol. 77(C), pages 179-190.
    28. Konstantinos Gkillas & Elie Bouri & Rangan Gupta & David Roubaud, 2020. "Spillovers in Higher-Order Moments of Crude Oil, Gold, and Bitcoin," Working Papers 202068, University of Pretoria, Department of Economics.
    29. Konstantinos Gkillas & Rangan Gupta & Mark E. Wohar, 2020. "Oil shocks and volatility jumps," Review of Quantitative Finance and Accounting, Springer, vol. 54(1), pages 247-272, January.
    30. Jiasheng Yu & Maojun Zhang & Ruoyu Liu & Guodong Wang, 2023. "Dynamic Effects of Climate Policy Uncertainty on Green Bond Volatility: An Empirical Investigation Based on TVP-VAR Models," Sustainability, MDPI, vol. 15(2), pages 1-17, January.
    31. Νikolaos A. Kyriazis, 2021. "The effects of geopolitical uncertainty on cryptocurrencies and other financial assets," SN Business & Economics, Springer, vol. 1(1), pages 1-14, January.
    32. Wang, Kai-Hua & Wen, Cui-Ping & Liu, Hong-Wen & Liu, Lu, 2023. "Promotion or hindrance? Exploring the bidirectional causality between geopolitical risk and green bonds from an energy perspective," Resources Policy, Elsevier, vol. 85(PB).
    33. Liu, Jing & Ma, Feng & Tang, Yingkai & Zhang, Yaojie, 2019. "Geopolitical risk and oil volatility: A new insight," Energy Economics, Elsevier, vol. 84(C).
    34. Zhou, Mei-Jing & Huang, Jian-Bai & Chen, Jin-Yu, 2020. "The effects of geopolitical risks on the stock dynamics of China's rare metals: A TVP-VAR analysis," Resources Policy, Elsevier, vol. 68(C).
    35. Foglia, Matteo & Palomba, Giulio & Tedeschi, Marco, 2023. "Disentangling the geopolitical risk and its effects on commodities. Evidence from a panel of G8 countries," Resources Policy, Elsevier, vol. 85(PB).
    36. Gong, Xu & Xu, Jun, 2022. "Geopolitical risk and dynamic connectedness between commodity markets," Energy Economics, Elsevier, vol. 110(C).
    37. Ahdi Noomen Ajmi & Roula Inglesi-Lotz, 2021. "Revisiting the Kuznets Curve Hypothesis for Tunisia: Carbon Dioxide vs. Ecological Footprint," Working Papers 202171, University of Pretoria, Department of Economics.
    38. Li, Sufang & Tu, Dalun & Zeng, Yan & Gong, Chenggang & Yuan, Di, 2022. "Does geopolitical risk matter in crude oil and stock markets? Evidence from disaggregated data," Energy Economics, Elsevier, vol. 113(C).
    39. Kotcharin, Suntichai & Maneenop, Sakkakom, 2020. "Geopolitical risk and corporate cash holdings in the shipping industry," Transportation Research Part E: Logistics and Transportation Review, Elsevier, vol. 136(C).
    40. He, Zhifang, 2023. "Geopolitical risks and investor sentiment: Causality and TVP-VAR analysis," The North American Journal of Economics and Finance, Elsevier, vol. 67(C).
    41. Lee, Chien-Chiang & Chen, Mei-Ping, 2020. "Do natural disasters and geopolitical risks matter for cross-border country exchange-traded fund returns?," The North American Journal of Economics and Finance, Elsevier, vol. 51(C).
    42. Konstantinos Gkillas & Dimitrios Vortelinos & Christos Floros & Athanasios Tsagkanos, 2019. "Economic News Releases and Financial Markets in South Africa," Economies, MDPI, vol. 7(4), pages 1-13, November.
    43. Wang, Kai-Hua & Su, Chi-Wei & Umar, Muhammad, 2021. "Geopolitical risk and crude oil security: A Chinese perspective," Energy, Elsevier, vol. 219(C).
    44. Smales, L.A., 2021. "Geopolitical risk and volatility spillovers in oil and stock markets," The Quarterly Review of Economics and Finance, Elsevier, vol. 80(C), pages 358-366.

  39. Vasilios Plakandaras & Rangan Gupta & Mark E. Wohar, 2018. "Persistence of Economic Uncertainty: A Comprehensive Analysis," Working Papers 201810, University of Pretoria, Department of Economics.

    Cited by:

    1. Afees A. Salisu & Rangan Gupta & Sayar Karmakar & Sonali Das, 2021. "Forecasting Output Growth of Advanced Economies Over Eight Centuries: The Role of Gold Market Volatility as a Proxy of Global Uncertainty," Working Papers 202133, University of Pretoria, Department of Economics.
    2. OlaOluwa S. Yaya & Nurudeen Abu & Tayo P. Ogundunmade, 2021. "Economic policy uncertainty in G7 countries: evidence of long-range dependence and cointegration," Economic Change and Restructuring, Springer, vol. 54(2), pages 541-556, May.
    3. Xin Sheng & Rangan Gupta & Oguzhan Cepni, 2022. "Persistence of State-Level Uncertainty of the United States: The Role of Climate Risks," Working Papers 202208, University of Pretoria, Department of Economics.
    4. Christina Christou & Giray Gozgor & Rangan Gupta & Chi keung Marco Lau, 2020. "Are Uncertainties across the World Convergent?," Economics Bulletin, AccessEcon, vol. 40(1), pages 855-862.
    5. Adekoya, Oluwasegun B. & Oliyide, Johnson A., 2022. "Commodity and financial markets’ fear before and during COVID-19 pandemic: Persistence and causality analyses," Resources Policy, Elsevier, vol. 76(C).
    6. Solarin, Sakiru Adebola & Gil-Alana, Luis A., 2021. "The persistence of economic policy uncertainty: Evidence of long range dependence," Physica A: Statistical Mechanics and its Applications, Elsevier, vol. 568(C).
    7. Gupta, Rangan & Sun, Xiaojin, 2020. "Forecasting economic policy uncertainty of BRIC countries using Bayesian VARs," Economics Letters, Elsevier, vol. 186(C).
    8. Jacobus Nel & Rangan Gupta & Mark E. Wohar & Christian Pierdzioch, 2022. "Climate Risks and Predictability of Commodity Returns and Volatility: Evidence from Over 750 Years of Data," Working Papers 202242, University of Pretoria, Department of Economics.

  40. Rangan Gupta & Mark E. Wohar, 2018. "The Role of Monetary Policy Uncertainty in Predicting Equity Market Volatility of the United Kingdom: Evidence from over 150 Years of Data," Working Papers 201851, University of Pretoria, Department of Economics.

    Cited by:

    1. Matthew W. Clance & Riza Demirer & Rangan Gupta & Clement Kweku Kyei, 2020. "Predicting Firm-Level Volatility in the United States: The Role of Monetary Policy Uncertainty," Working Papers 202007, University of Pretoria, Department of Economics.
    2. Ruipeng Liu & Rangan Gupta & Elie Bouri, 2021. "Conventional and Unconventional Monetary Policy Rate Uncertainty and Stock Market Volatility: A Forecasting Perspective," Working Papers 202178, University of Pretoria, Department of Economics.

  41. Xolani Sibande & Rangan Gupta & Mark E. Wohar, 2018. "Time-Varying Causal Relationship between Stock Market and Unemployment in the United Kingdom: Historical Evidence from 1855 to 2017," Working Papers 201863, University of Pretoria, Department of Economics.

    Cited by:

    1. Caporina, Massimiliano & Costola, Michele, 2021. "Time-varying granger causality tests for applications in global crude oil markets: A study on the DCC-MGARCH Hong test," SAFE Working Paper Series 324, Leibniz Institute for Financial Research SAFE.
    2. Periklis Gogas & Theophilos Papadimitriou & Emmanouil Sofianos, 2022. "Forecasting unemployment in the euro area with machine learning," Journal of Forecasting, John Wiley & Sons, Ltd., vol. 41(3), pages 551-566, April.
    3. Shoukun Jiao & Wuyi Ye, 2022. "Dependence and Systemic Risk Analysis Between S&P 500 Index and Sector Indexes: A Conditional Value-at-Risk Approach," Computational Economics, Springer;Society for Computational Economics, vol. 59(3), pages 1203-1229, March.
    4. Caporin, Massimiliano & Costola, Michele, 2022. "Time-varying Granger causality tests in the energy markets: A study on the DCC-MGARCH Hong test," Energy Economics, Elsevier, vol. 111(C).

  42. Shinhye Chang & Rangan Gupta & Stephen M. Miller & Mark E. Wohar, 2018. "Growth Volatility and Inequality in the U.S.: A Wavelet Analysis," Working papers 2018-05, University of Connecticut, Department of Economics.

    Cited by:

    1. Mehmet Balcilar & Edmond Berisha & Rangan Gupta & Christian Pierdzioch, 2020. "Time-Varying Evidence of Predictability of Financial Stress in the United States over a Century: The Role of Inequality," Working Papers 202054, University of Pretoria, Department of Economics.
    2. Cai, Guixin & Zhang, Hao & Chen, Ziyue, 2019. "Comovement between commodity sectors," Physica A: Statistical Mechanics and its Applications, Elsevier, vol. 525(C), pages 1247-1258.
    3. Canh, Nguyen Phuc & Schinckus, Christophe & Thanh, Su Dinh & Hui Ling, Felicia Chong, 2020. "Effects of the internet, mobile, and land phones on income inequality and The Kuznets curve: Cross country analysis," Telecommunications Policy, Elsevier, vol. 44(10).

  43. Vasilios Plakandaras & Rangan Gupta & Luis A. Gil-Alana & Mark E. Wohar, 2018. "Are BRICS Exchange Rates Chaotic?," Working Papers 201822, University of Pretoria, Department of Economics.

    Cited by:

    1. Omane-Adjepong, Maurice & Alagidede, Imhotep Paul, 2020. "High- and low-level chaos in the time and frequency market returns of leading cryptocurrencies and emerging assets," Chaos, Solitons & Fractals, Elsevier, vol. 132(C).
    2. Aviral Kumar Tiwari & Rangan Gupta & Juncal Cunado & Xin Sheng, 2019. "Testing the White Noise Hypothesis in High-Frequency Housing Returns of the United States," Working Papers 201952, University of Pretoria, Department of Economics.
    3. Elie Bouri & Riza Demirer & Rangan Gupta & Xiaojin Sun, 2019. "The Predictability of Stock Market Volatility in Emerging Economies: Relative Roles of Local, Regional and Global Business Cycles," Working Papers 201938, University of Pretoria, Department of Economics.
    4. Joao F. Caldeira & Rangan Gupta & Tahir Suleman & Hudson S. Torrent, 2019. "Forecasting the Term Structure of Interest Rates of the BRICS: Evidence from a Nonparametric Functional Data Analysis," Working Papers 201911, University of Pretoria, Department of Economics.
    5. Oguzhan Cepni & David Gabauer & Rangan Gupta & Khuliso Ramabulana, 2020. "Time-Varying Spillover of US Trade War on the Growth of Emerging Economies," Working Papers 202002, University of Pretoria, Department of Economics.
    6. Rangan Gupta & Vasilios Plakandaras, 2018. "Efficiency in BRICS Currency Markets using Long-Spans of Data: Evidence from Model-Free Tests of Directional Predictability," Working Papers 201836, University of Pretoria, Department of Economics.
    7. Tiwari, Aviral Kumar & Aye, Goodness C. & Gupta, Rangan, 2019. "Stock market efficiency analysis using long spans of Data: A multifractal detrended fluctuation approach," Finance Research Letters, Elsevier, vol. 28(C), pages 398-411.
    8. Suman Das & Saikat Sinha Roy, 2021. "Predicting regime switching in BRICS currency volatility: a Markov switching autoregressive approach," DECISION: Official Journal of the Indian Institute of Management Calcutta, Springer;Indian Institute of Management Calcutta, vol. 48(2), pages 165-180, June.

  44. Rangan Gupta & Godwin Olasehinde-Williams & Mark E. Wohar, 2018. "The Impact of US Uncertainty Shocks on a Panel of Advanced and Emerging Market Economies: The Role of Exchange Rate, Trade and Financial Channels," Working Papers 201857, University of Pretoria, Department of Economics.

    Cited by:

    1. Mehmet Balcilar & Rangan Gupta & Theshne Kisten, 2020. "The Impact of Uncertainty Shocks in South Africa: The Role of Financial Regimes," Working Papers 202046, University of Pretoria, Department of Economics.
    2. Titus Ayobami Ojeyinka & Dauda Olalekan Yinusa, 2023. "External Shocks and Their Transmission Channels in Nigeria: A Dynamic Stochastic General Equilibrium Approach," Global Journal of Emerging Market Economies, Emerging Markets Forum, vol. 15(1), pages 132-153, January.
    3. Oguzhan Cepni & David Gabauer & Rangan Gupta & Khuliso Ramabulana, 2020. "Time-Varying Spillover of US Trade War on the Growth of Emerging Economies," Working Papers 202002, University of Pretoria, Department of Economics.
    4. Selçuk Gül & Rangan Gupta, 2021. "Time‐varying impact of global, region‐, and country‐specific uncertainties on the volatility of international trade," Contemporary Economic Policy, Western Economic Association International, vol. 39(4), pages 691-700, October.
    5. Siphumlile Mangisa & Sonali Das & Rangan Gupta, 2022. "Analyzing The Impact Of Brexit On Global Uncertainty Using Functional Linear Regression With Point Of Impact: The Role Of Currency And Equity Markets," The Singapore Economic Review (SER), World Scientific Publishing Co. Pte. Ltd., vol. 67(04), pages 1377-1388, June.
    6. Woraphon Yamaka & Rangan Gupta & Sukrit Thongkairat & Paravee Maneejuk, 2021. "Structural and Predictive Analyses with a Mixed Copula-Based Vector Autoregression Model," Working Papers 202108, University of Pretoria, Department of Economics.
    7. Mehmet Balcilar & David Gabauer & Rangan Gupta & Christian Pierdzioch, 2021. "Uncertainty and Forecastability of Regional Output Growth in the United Kingdom: Evidence from Machine Learning," Working Papers 202111, University of Pretoria, Department of Economics.
    8. Afees A. Salisu & Rangan Gupta & Ahamuefula E. Ogbonna, 2020. "Point and Density Forecasting of Macroeconomic and Financial Uncertainties of the United States," Working Papers 202058, University of Pretoria, Department of Economics.
    9. Christina Christou & Giray Gozgor & Rangan Gupta & Chi keung Marco Lau, 2020. "Are Uncertainties across the World Convergent?," Economics Bulletin, AccessEcon, vol. 40(1), pages 855-862.
    10. Selçuk Gul & Rangan Gupta, 2020. "A Note on the Time-Varying Impact of Global, Region- and Country-Specific Uncertainties on the Volatility of International Trade," Working Papers 202025, University of Pretoria, Department of Economics.

  45. Rangan Gupta & Patrick Kanda & Mark E. Wohar, 2018. "Predicting Stock Market Movements in the United States: The Role of Presidential Approval Ratings," Working Papers 201830, University of Pretoria, Department of Economics.

    Cited by:

    1. Semei Coronado & Jose N. Martinez & Victor Gualajara & Rafael Romero-Meza & Omar Rojas, 2023. "Time-Varying Granger Causality of COVID-19 News on Emerging Financial Markets: The Latin American Case," Mathematics, MDPI, vol. 11(2), pages 1-18, January.
    2. Oguzhan Cepni & Riza Demirer & Rangan Gupta & Christian Pierdzioch, 2024. "Political Geography and Stock Market Volatility: The Role of Political Alignment across Sentiment Regimes," Working Papers 202414, University of Pretoria, Department of Economics.
    3. Rangan Gupta & Yuvana Jaichand & Christian Pierdzioch & Reneé van Eyden, 2023. "Realized Stock-Market Volatility of the United States and the Presidential Approval Rating," Mathematics, MDPI, vol. 11(13), pages 1-27, July.
    4. Celso-Arellano, Pedro & Gualajara, Victor & Coronado, Semei & Martinez, Jose N. & Venegas-Martínez, Francisco, 2023. "Impact of the global fear index (covid-19 panic) on the S&P global indices associated with natural resources, agribusiness, energy, metals and mining: Granger Causality and Shannon and Rényi Transfer ," MPRA Paper 117138, University Library of Munich, Germany, revised 06 Feb 2023.
    5. Elie Bouri & Rangan Gupta & Christian Pierdzioch, 2024. "Modeling the Presidential Approval Ratings of the United States using Machine-Learning: Does Climate Policy Uncertainty Matter?," Working Papers 202406, University of Pretoria, Department of Economics.
    6. Caporin, Massimiliano & Costola, Michele, 2022. "Time-varying Granger causality tests in the energy markets: A study on the DCC-MGARCH Hong test," Energy Economics, Elsevier, vol. 111(C).

  46. Rangan Gupta & Christian Pierdzioch & Refk Selmi & Mark E. Wohar, 2017. "Does Partisan Conflict Predict a Reduction in US Stock Market (Realized) Volatility? Evidence from a Quantile-on-Quantile Regression Model," Working Papers 201744, University of Pretoria, Department of Economics.

    Cited by:

    1. Refk Selmi & Walid Mensi & Shawkat Hammoudeh & Jamal Bouoiyour, 2018. "Is Bitcoin a hedge, a safe haven or a diversifier for oil price movements? A comparison with gold," Post-Print hal-01879667, HAL.
    2. Jamal Bouoiyour & Refk Selmi & Mark Wohar, 2018. "Measuring the response of gold prices to uncertainty: An analysis beyond the mean," Post-Print hal-01817067, HAL.

  47. Rıza Demirer & Rangan Gupta & Tahir Suleman & Mark E. Wohar, 2017. "Time-Varying Rare Disaster Risks, Oil Returns and Volatility," Working Papers 201762, University of Pretoria, Department of Economics.

    Cited by:

    1. Matteo Bonato & Konstantinos Gkillas & Rangan Gupta & Christian Pierdzioch, 2020. "Investor Happiness and Predictability of the Realized Volatility of Oil Price," Working Papers 202009, University of Pretoria, Department of Economics.
    2. Asai, Manabu & Gupta, Rangan & McAleer, Michael, 2020. "Forecasting volatility and co-volatility of crude oil and gold futures: Effects of leverage, jumps, spillovers, and geopolitical risks," International Journal of Forecasting, Elsevier, vol. 36(3), pages 933-948.
    3. Mehmet Balcilar & Elie Bouri & Rangan Gupta & Christian Pierdzioch, 2021. "El Nino, La Nina, and the Forecastability of the Realized Variance of Heating Oil Price Movements," Working Papers 202138, University of Pretoria, Department of Economics.
    4. Salisu, Afees A. & Pierdzioch, Christian & Gupta, Rangan, 2022. "Oil tail risks and the forecastability of the realized variance of oil-price: Evidence from over 150 years of data," Finance Research Letters, Elsevier, vol. 46(PB).
    5. Refk Selmi & Jamal Bouoiyour & Amal Miftah, 2020. "Oil price jumps and the uncertainty of oil supplies in a geopolitical perspective: The role of OPEC’s spare capacity," International Economics, CEPII research center, issue 164, pages 18-35.
    6. Riza Demirer & Rangan Gupta & Qiang Ji & Aviral Kumar Tiwari, 2018. "Geopolitical Risks and the Predictability of Regional Oil Returns and Volatility," Working Papers 201860, University of Pretoria, Department of Economics.
    7. Rangan Gupta & Christian Pierdzioch, 2021. "Climate Risks and the Realized Volatility Oil and Gas Prices: Results of an Out-of-Sample Forecasting Experiment," Working Papers 202175, University of Pretoria, Department of Economics.
    8. Mehmet Balcilar & Rangan Gupta & Christian Pierdzioch, 2022. "Oil-Price Uncertainty and International Stock Returns: Dissecting Quantile-Based Predictability and Spillover Effects Using More than a Century of Data," Energies, MDPI, vol. 15(22), pages 1-26, November.
    9. Yang, Cai & Niu, Zibo & Gao, Wang, 2022. "The time-varying effects of trade policy uncertainty and geopolitical risks shocks on the commodity market prices: Evidence from the TVP-VAR-SV approach," Resources Policy, Elsevier, vol. 76(C).
    10. Lee, Chi-Chuan & Lee, Chien-Chiang & Li, Yong-Yi, 2021. "Oil price shocks, geopolitical risks, and green bond market dynamics," The North American Journal of Economics and Finance, Elsevier, vol. 55(C).
    11. Qin, Yun & Hong, Kairong & Chen, Jinyu & Zhang, Zitao, 2020. "Asymmetric effects of geopolitical risks on energy returns and volatility under different market conditions," Energy Economics, Elsevier, vol. 90(C).
    12. Riza Demirer & Rangan Gupta & Jacobus Nel & Christian Pierdzioch, 2020. "Effect of Rare Disaster Risks on Crude Oil: Evidence from El Nino from Over 140 Years of Data," Working Papers 2020104, University of Pretoria, Department of Economics.
    13. Darko B. Vuković & Senanu Dekpo-Adza & Vladislav Khmelnitskiy & Mustafa Özer, 2023. "Spillovers across the Asian OPEC+ Financial Market," Mathematics, MDPI, vol. 11(18), pages 1-23, September.
    14. Chen, Jinyu & Zhu, Xuehong & Li, Hailing, 2020. "The pass-through effects of oil price shocks on China's inflation: A time-varying analysis," Energy Economics, Elsevier, vol. 86(C).
    15. Hong, Yanran & Yu, Jize & Su, Yuquan & Wang, Lu, 2023. "Southern oscillation: Great value of its trends for forecasting crude oil spot price volatility," International Review of Economics & Finance, Elsevier, vol. 84(C), pages 358-368.
    16. Wei, Yu & Zhang, Jiahao & Chen, Yongfei & Wang, Yizhi, 2022. "The impacts of El Niño-southern oscillation on renewable energy stock markets: Evidence from quantile perspective," Energy, Elsevier, vol. 260(C).
    17. Nonejad, Nima, 2021. "Predicting the return on the spot price of crude oil out-of-sample by conditioning on news-based uncertainty measures: Some new empirical results," Energy Economics, Elsevier, vol. 104(C).
    18. Tang, Yumei & Chen, Xihui Haviour & Sarker, Provash Kumer & Baroudi, Sarra, 2023. "Asymmetric effects of geopolitical risks and uncertainties on green bond markets," Technological Forecasting and Social Change, Elsevier, vol. 189(C).
    19. Sun, Jie & Zhao, Xiaojun & Xu, Chao, 2021. "Crude oil market autocorrelation: Evidence from multiscale quantile regression analysis," Energy Economics, Elsevier, vol. 98(C).
    20. Vasilios Plakandaras & Rangan Gupta & Wing-Keung Wong, 2018. "Point and Density Forecasts of Oil Returns: The Role of Geopolitical Risks," Working Papers 201847, University of Pretoria, Department of Economics.
    21. Ivanovski, Kris & Hailemariam, Abebe, 2022. "Time-varying geopolitical risk and oil prices," International Review of Economics & Finance, Elsevier, vol. 77(C), pages 206-221.
    22. Salisu, Afees A. & Cuñado, Juncal & Gupta, Rangan, 2022. "Geopolitical risks and historical exchange rate volatility of the BRICS," International Review of Economics & Finance, Elsevier, vol. 77(C), pages 179-190.
    23. Shao, Liuguo & Zhang, Hua & Chen, Jinyu & Zhu, Xuehong, 2021. "Effect of oil price uncertainty on clean energy metal stocks in China: Evidence from a nonparametric causality-in-quantiles approach," International Review of Economics & Finance, Elsevier, vol. 73(C), pages 407-419.
    24. Konstantinos Gkillas & Rangan Gupta & Christian Pierdzioch, 2018. "Forecasting (Good and Bad) Realized Exchange-Rate Volatility: Is there a Role for Realized Skewness and Kurtosis?," Working Papers 201879, University of Pretoria, Department of Economics.
    25. Afees A. Salisu & Christian Pierdzioch & Rangan Gupta, 2021. "Geopolitical Risk and Forecastability of Tail Risk in the Oil Market: Evidence from Over a Century of Monthly Data," Working Papers 202122, University of Pretoria, Department of Economics.
    26. Ahdi Noomen Ajmi & Roula Inglesi-Lotz, 2021. "Revisiting the Kuznets Curve Hypothesis for Tunisia: Carbon Dioxide vs. Ecological Footprint," Working Papers 202171, University of Pretoria, Department of Economics.
    27. Salisu, Afees A. & Ogbonna, Ahamuefula E. & Vo, Xuan Vinh, 2023. "Oil tail risks and the realized variance of consumer prices in advanced economies," Resources Policy, Elsevier, vol. 83(C).
    28. Matteo Bonato & Oguzhan Cepni & Rangan Gupta & Christian Pierdzioch, 2021. "Forecasting Realized Volatility of International REITs: The Role of Realized Skewness and Realized Kurtosis," Working Papers 202114, University of Pretoria, Department of Economics.
    29. Merrill, Ryan K. & Orlando, Anthony W., 2020. "Oil at risk: Political violence and accelerated carbon extraction in the Middle East and North Africa," Energy Economics, Elsevier, vol. 92(C).
    30. Lee, Chien-Chiang & Chen, Mei-Ping, 2020. "Do natural disasters and geopolitical risks matter for cross-border country exchange-traded fund returns?," The North American Journal of Economics and Finance, Elsevier, vol. 51(C).
    31. Salisu, Afees A. & Gupta, Rangan & Ji, Qiang, 2022. "Forecasting oil prices over 150 years: The role of tail risks," Resources Policy, Elsevier, vol. 75(C).
    32. Yang, Kun & Wei, Yu & Li, Shouwei & Liu, Liang & Wang, Lei, 2021. "Global financial uncertainties and China’s crude oil futures market: Evidence from interday and intraday price dynamics," Energy Economics, Elsevier, vol. 96(C).
    33. Gupta, Rangan & Ji, Qiang & Pierdzioch, Christian & Plakandaras, Vasilios, 2023. "Forecasting the conditional distribution of realized volatility of oil price returns: The role of skewness over 1859 to 2023," Finance Research Letters, Elsevier, vol. 58(PC).
    34. Sohag, Kazi & Hammoudeh, Shawkat & Elsayed, Ahmed H. & Mariev, Oleg & Safonova, Yulia, 2022. "Do geopolitical events transmit opportunity or threat to green markets? Decomposed measures of geopolitical risks," Energy Economics, Elsevier, vol. 111(C).
    35. Arshian Sharif & Eyup Dogan & Ameenullah Aman & Hafizah Hammad Ahmad Khan & Isma Zaighum, 2020. "Rare disaster and renewable energy in the USA: new insights from wavelet coherence and rolling-window analysis," Natural Hazards: Journal of the International Society for the Prevention and Mitigation of Natural Hazards, Springer;International Society for the Prevention and Mitigation of Natural Hazards, vol. 103(3), pages 2731-2755, September.
    36. Konstantinos Gkillas & Christoforos Konstantatos & Costas Siriopoulos, 2021. "Uncertainty Due to Infectious Diseases and Stock–Bond Correlation," Econometrics, MDPI, vol. 9(2), pages 1-18, April.
    37. Smales, L.A., 2021. "Geopolitical risk and volatility spillovers in oil and stock markets," The Quarterly Review of Economics and Finance, Elsevier, vol. 80(C), pages 358-366.

  48. Rangan Gupta & Chi Keung Marco Lau & Stephen M. Miller & Mark E. Wohar, 2017. "U.S. Fiscal Policy and Asset Prices: The Role of Partisan Conflict," Working papers 2017-10, University of Connecticut, Department of Economics.

    Cited by:

    1. Christophe Andre & Petre Caraiani & Rangan Gupta, 2023. "Fiscal Policy and Stock Markets at the Effective Lower Bound," Working Papers 202309, University of Pretoria, Department of Economics.
    2. William B. Hankins & Anna‐Leigh Stone & Chak Hung Jack Cheng & Ching‐Wai (Jeremy) Chiu, 2020. "Corporate decision making in the presence of political uncertainty: The case of corporate cash holdings," The Financial Review, Eastern Finance Association, vol. 55(2), pages 307-337, May.
    3. Xin Sheng & Rangan Gupta, 2021. "A Note on State-Level Nonlinear Effects of Government Spending Shocks in the US: The Role of Partisan Conflict," Working Papers 202187, University of Pretoria, Department of Economics.
    4. Qin, Meng & Su, Chi-Wei & Tao, Ran & Umar, Muhammad, 2020. "Is factionalism a push for gold price?," Resources Policy, Elsevier, vol. 67(C).
    5. Christou, Christina & Gupta, Rangan & Nyakabawo, Wendy, 2019. "Time-varying impact of uncertainty shocks on the US housing market," Economics Letters, Elsevier, vol. 180(C), pages 15-20.

  49. Christina Christou & Rangan Gupta & Wendy Nyakabawo & Mark E. Wohar, 2017. "Do House Prices Hedge Inflation in the US? A Quantile Cointegration Approach," Working Papers 201707, University of Pretoria, Department of Economics.

    Cited by:

    1. Salisu, Afees A. & Raheem, Ibrahim D. & Ndako, Umar B., 2020. "The inflation hedging properties of gold, stocks and real estate: A comparative analysis," Resources Policy, Elsevier, vol. 66(C).
    2. Dimitra Kontana & Stilianos Fountas, 2021. "Consumption, personal income, financial wealth, housing wealth, and long-term interest rates: A panel cointegration approach for 50 US states," Discussion Paper Series 2021_10, Department of Economics, University of Macedonia, revised Sep 2021.
    3. Fehrle, Daniel, 2022. "Hedging Against Inflation: Housing vs. Equity," VfS Annual Conference 2022 (Basel): Big Data in Economics 264044, Verein für Socialpolitik / German Economic Association.
    4. Gupta, Rangan & Sheng, Xin & van Eyden, Reneé & Wohar, Mark E., 2021. "The impact of disaggregated oil shocks on state-level real housing returns of the United States: The role of oil dependence," Finance Research Letters, Elsevier, vol. 43(C).
    5. Adekoya, Oluwasegun B. & Oliyide, Johnson A. & Olubiyi, Ebenezer A. & Adedeji, Adedayo O., 2023. "The inflation-hedging performance of industrial metals in the world's most industrialized countries," Resources Policy, Elsevier, vol. 81(C).
    6. Benjamin Kwakye & Chan Tze Haw, 2020. "Interplay of the Macroeconomy and Real Estate: Systematic Review of Literature," International Journal of Economics and Financial Issues, Econjournals, vol. 10(5), pages 262-271.
    7. Fennee Chong & Venus Khim-Shen Liew, 2020. "New Zealand's Residential Price Dynamics: Do capability to consume and government policies matter?," Economics Bulletin, AccessEcon, vol. 40(3), pages 2262-2274.
    8. Aqsha, Nur Suhairah & Masih, Mansur, 2018. "Is residential property the ultimate hedge against inflation ? new evidence from Malaysia based on ARDL and nonlinear ARDL," MPRA Paper 91508, University Library of Munich, Germany.
    9. Tsai, I-Chun, 2020. "Alternative explanation of the money illusion: The effect of unexpected low inflation," International Review of Economics & Finance, Elsevier, vol. 69(C), pages 110-123.

  50. Rangan Gupta & Christos Kollias & Stephanos Papadamou & Mark E. Wohar, 2017. "News Implied Volatility and the Stock-Bond Nexus: Evidence from Historical Data for the USA and the UK Markets," Working Papers 201730, University of Pretoria, Department of Economics.

    Cited by:

    1. Aloui, Chaker & Shahzad, Syed Jawad Hussain & Hkiri, Besma & Hela, Ben Hamida & Khan, Muhammad Asif, 2021. "On the investors' sentiments and the Islamic stock-bond interplay across investments' horizons," Pacific-Basin Finance Journal, Elsevier, vol. 65(C).
    2. Liu, Xueyong & Chen, Zhihua & Chen, Zhensong & Yao, Yinhong, 2022. "The time-varying spillover effect of China’s stock market during the COVID-19 pandemic," Physica A: Statistical Mechanics and its Applications, Elsevier, vol. 603(C).
    3. Karkowska, Renata & Urjasz, Szczepan, 2021. "Connectedness structures of sovereign bond markets in Central and Eastern Europe," International Review of Financial Analysis, Elsevier, vol. 74(C).
    4. Refk Selmi & Christos Kollias & Stephanos Papadamou & Rangan Gupta, 2017. "A Copula-Based Quantile-on-Quantile Regression Approach to Modeling Dependence Structure between Stock and Bond Returns: Evidence from Historical Data of India, South Africa, UK and US," Working Papers 201747, University of Pretoria, Department of Economics.
    5. Dai, Zhifeng & Kang, Jie, 2021. "Bond yield and crude oil prices predictability," Energy Economics, Elsevier, vol. 97(C).
    6. Semei Coronado & Rangan Gupta & Saban Nazlioglu & Omar Rojas, 2020. "Time-Varying Causality between Bond and Oil Markets of the United States: Evidence from Over One and Half Centuries of Data," Working Papers 202006, University of Pretoria, Department of Economics.
    7. Jin, Jiayu & Han, Liyan & Xu, Yang, 2022. "Does the SDR stabilize investing in commodities?," International Review of Economics & Finance, Elsevier, vol. 81(C), pages 160-172.
    8. Nepp, Alexander & Okhrin, Ostap & Egorova, Julia & Dzhuraeva, Zarnigor & Zykov, Alexander, 2022. "What threatens stock markets more - The coronavirus or the hype around it?," International Review of Economics & Finance, Elsevier, vol. 78(C), pages 519-539.
    9. Bouri, Elie & Demirer, Riza & Gupta, Rangan & Wohar, Mark E., 2021. "Gold, platinum and the predictability of bond risk premia," Finance Research Letters, Elsevier, vol. 38(C).
    10. Mohammad Alomari & Abdel Razzaq Al rababa’a & Ghaith El-Nader & Ahmad Alkhataybeh, 2021. "Who’s behind the wheel? The role of social and media news in driving the stock–bond correlation," Review of Quantitative Finance and Accounting, Springer, vol. 57(3), pages 959-1007, October.
    11. Su, Zhi & Liu, Peng & Fang, Tong, 2022. "Uncertainty matters in US financial information spillovers: Evidence from a directed acyclic graph approach," The Quarterly Review of Economics and Finance, Elsevier, vol. 84(C), pages 229-242.

  51. Rangan Gupta & Jun Ma & Marian Risse & Mark E. Wohar, 2017. "Common Business Cycles and Volatilities in US States and MSAs: The Role of Economic Uncertainty," Working Papers 201766, University of Pretoria, Department of Economics.

    Cited by:

    1. Oğuzhan Çepni & Rangan Gupta & Mark E. Wohar, 2020. "The role of real estate uncertainty in predicting US home sales growth: evidence from a quantiles-based Bayesian model averaging approach," Applied Economics, Taylor & Francis Journals, vol. 52(5), pages 528-536, January.
    2. Afees A. Salisu & Rangan Gupta & Sayar Karmakar & Sonali Das, 2021. "Forecasting Output Growth of Advanced Economies Over Eight Centuries: The Role of Gold Market Volatility as a Proxy of Global Uncertainty," Working Papers 202133, University of Pretoria, Department of Economics.
    3. Wu, Bi-Bo, 2021. "The dynamics of oil on China’s commodity sectors: What can we learn from a quantile perspective?," Journal of Commodity Markets, Elsevier, vol. 23(C).
    4. Rangan Gupta & Hardik A. Marfatia & Christian Pierdzioch & Afees A. Salisu, 2020. "Machine Learning Predictions of Housing Market Synchronization across US States: The Role of Uncertainty," Working Papers 202077, University of Pretoria, Department of Economics.
    5. Antonakakis, Nikolaos & Gabauer, David & Gupta, Rangan, 2019. "Greek economic policy uncertainty: Does it matter for Europe? Evidence from a dynamic connectedness decomposition approach," Physica A: Statistical Mechanics and its Applications, Elsevier, vol. 535(C).
    6. Aviral Kumar Tiwari & Micheal Kofi Boachie & Rangan Gupta, 2019. "Network Analysis of Economic and Financial Uncertainties in Advanced Economies: Evidence from Graph-Theory," Working Papers 201982, University of Pretoria, Department of Economics.
    7. Gabauer, David & Gupta, Rangan, 2020. "Spillovers across macroeconomic, financial and real estate uncertainties: A time-varying approach," Structural Change and Economic Dynamics, Elsevier, vol. 52(C), pages 167-173.
    8. Afees A. Salisu & Wenting Liao & Rangan Gupta & Oguzhan Cepni, 2023. "Economic Conditions and Predictability of US Stock Returns Volatility: Local Factor versus National Factor in a GARCH-MIDAS Model," Working Papers 202323, University of Pretoria, Department of Economics.
    9. Oguzhan Cepni & David Gabauer & Rangan Gupta & Khuliso Ramabulana, 2020. "Time-Varying Spillover of US Trade War on the Growth of Emerging Economies," Working Papers 202002, University of Pretoria, Department of Economics.
    10. Selçuk Gül & Rangan Gupta, 2021. "Time‐varying impact of global, region‐, and country‐specific uncertainties on the volatility of international trade," Contemporary Economic Policy, Western Economic Association International, vol. 39(4), pages 691-700, October.
    11. Siphumlile Mangisa & Sonali Das & Rangan Gupta, 2022. "Analyzing The Impact Of Brexit On Global Uncertainty Using Functional Linear Regression With Point Of Impact: The Role Of Currency And Equity Markets," The Singapore Economic Review (SER), World Scientific Publishing Co. Pte. Ltd., vol. 67(04), pages 1377-1388, June.
    12. Matthew W. Clance & Riza Demirer & Rangan Gupta & Clement Kweku Kyei, 2020. "Predicting Firm-Level Volatility in the United States: The Role of Monetary Policy Uncertainty," Working Papers 202007, University of Pretoria, Department of Economics.
    13. Afees A. Salisu & Rangan Gupta & Riza Demirer, 2021. "The Financial US Uncertainty Spillover Multiplier: Evidence from a GVAR Model," Working Papers 202145, University of Pretoria, Department of Economics.
    14. Nikolaos Antonakakis & David Gabauer & Rangan Gupta & Vasilios Plakandaras, 2018. "Dynamic Connectedness of Uncertainty across Developed Economies: A Time-Varying Approach," Working Papers 201802, University of Pretoria, Department of Economics.
    15. Semei Coronado & Rangan Gupta & Besma Hkiri & Omar Rojas, 2020. "Time-Varying Spillovers between Currency and Stock Markets in the USA: Historical Evidence From More than Two Centuries," Advances in Decision Sciences, Asia University, Taiwan, vol. 24(4), pages 44-76, December.
    16. Christou Christina & Naraidoo Ruthira & Gupta Rangan, 2020. "Conventional and unconventional monetary policy reaction to uncertainty in advanced economies: evidence from quantile regressions," Studies in Nonlinear Dynamics & Econometrics, De Gruyter, vol. 24(3), pages 1-17, June.
    17. Aamir Aijaz Syed & Muhammad Abdul Kamal & Assad Ullah & Simon Grima, 2022. "An Asymmetric Analysis of the Influence That Economic Policy Uncertainty, Institutional Quality, and Corruption Level Have on India’s Digital Banking Services and Banking Stability," Sustainability, MDPI, vol. 14(6), pages 1-21, March.
    18. Aharon, David Y. & Umar, Zaghum & Aziz, Mukhriz Izraf Azman & Vo, Xuan vinh, 2022. "COVID-19 related media sentiment and the yield curve of G-7 economies," The North American Journal of Economics and Finance, Elsevier, vol. 61(C).
    19. Christos Bouras & Christina Christou & Rangan Gupta & Keagile Lesame, 2020. "Forecasting State- and MSA-Level Housing Returns of the US: The Role of Mortgage Default Risks," Working Papers 202037, University of Pretoria, Department of Economics.
    20. Rangan Gupta & Jun Ma & Konstantinos Theodoridis & Mark E. Wohar, 2020. "Is there a National Housing Market Bubble Brewing in the United States?," Working Papers 202023, University of Pretoria, Department of Economics.
    21. Hossein Hassani & Mohammad Reza Yeganegi & Rangan Gupta & Riza Demirer, 2018. "Forecasting Stock Market (Realized) Volatility in the United Kingdom: Is There a Role for Economic Inequality?," Working Papers 201880, University of Pretoria, Department of Economics.
    22. Samuel F. Onipede & Nafiu A. Bashir & Jamaladeen Abubakar, 2023. "Small open economies and external shocks: an application of Bayesian global vector autoregression model," Quality & Quantity: International Journal of Methodology, Springer, vol. 57(2), pages 1673-1699, April.
    23. Golitsis, Petros & Gkasis, Pavlos & Bellos, Sotirios K., 2022. "Dynamic spillovers and linkages between gold, crude oil, S&P 500, and other economic and financial variables. Evidence from the USA," The North American Journal of Economics and Finance, Elsevier, vol. 63(C).
    24. Xin Sheng & Rangan Gupta & Oguzhan Cepni, 2022. "Persistence of State-Level Uncertainty of the United States: The Role of Climate Risks," Working Papers 202208, University of Pretoria, Department of Economics.
    25. Woraphon Yamaka & Rangan Gupta & Sukrit Thongkairat & Paravee Maneejuk, 2021. "Structural and Predictive Analyses with a Mixed Copula-Based Vector Autoregression Model," Working Papers 202108, University of Pretoria, Department of Economics.
    26. Christina Christou & David Gabauer & Rangan Gupta, 2019. "Time-Varying Impact of Uncertainty Shocks on Macroeconomic Variables of the United Kingdom: Evidence from Over 150 Years of Monthly Data," Working Papers 201962, University of Pretoria, Department of Economics.
    27. Vasilios Plakandaras & Rangan Gupta & Mehmet Balcilar & Qiang Ji, 2021. "Evolving United States Stock Market Volatility: The Role of Conventional and Unconventional Monetary Policies," Working Papers 202113, University of Pretoria, Department of Economics.
    28. Mehmet Balcilar & David Gabauer & Rangan Gupta & Christian Pierdzioch, 2021. "Uncertainty and Forecastability of Regional Output Growth in the United Kingdom: Evidence from Machine Learning," Working Papers 202111, University of Pretoria, Department of Economics.
    29. Canh Phuc Nguyen & Su Dinh Thanh & Bach Nguyen, 2022. "Economic uncertainty and tourism consumption," Tourism Economics, , vol. 28(4), pages 920-941, June.
    30. Yang, Dong-Xiao & Wu, Bi-Bo & Tong, Jing-Yang, 2021. "Dynamics and causality of oil price shocks on commodities: Quantile-on-quantile and causality-in-quantiles methods," Resources Policy, Elsevier, vol. 74(C).
    31. Huynh, Toan Luu Duc & Nasir, Muhammad Ali & Nguyen, Duc Khuong, 2023. "Spillovers and connectedness in foreign exchange markets: The role of trade policy uncertainty," The Quarterly Review of Economics and Finance, Elsevier, vol. 87(C), pages 191-199.
    32. Nikolaos Antonakakis & David Gabauer & Rangan Gupta, 2018. "Greek Economic Policy Uncertainty: Does it Matter for the European Union?," Working Papers 201840, University of Pretoria, Department of Economics.
    33. Elie Bouri & Rangan Gupta & Clement Kweku Kyei & Rinsuna Shivambu, 2020. "Uncertainty and Daily Predictability of Housing Returns and Volatility of the United States: Evidence from a Higher-Order Nonparametric Causality-in-Quantiles Test," Working Papers 202071, University of Pretoria, Department of Economics.
    34. Ahmed Ali & Granberg Mark & Uddin Gazi Salah & Troster Victor, 2022. "Asymmetric dynamics between uncertainty and unemployment flows in the United States," Studies in Nonlinear Dynamics & Econometrics, De Gruyter, vol. 26(1), pages 155-172, February.
    35. Semei Coronado & Rangan Gupta & Besma Hkiri & Omar Rojas, 2020. "Time-Varying Spillover between Currency and Stock Markets in the United States: More than Two Centuries of Historical Evidence," Working Papers 202060, University of Pretoria, Department of Economics.
    36. Cepni, Oguzhan & Dul, Wiehan & Gupta, Rangan & Wohar, Mark E., 2021. "The dynamics of U.S. REITs returns to uncertainty shocks: A proxy SVAR approach," Research in International Business and Finance, Elsevier, vol. 58(C).
    37. Afees A. Salisu & Rangan Gupta & Ahamuefula E. Ogbonna, 2020. "Point and Density Forecasting of Macroeconomic and Financial Uncertainties of the United States," Working Papers 202058, University of Pretoria, Department of Economics.
    38. Renee van Eyden & Rangan Gupta & Christophe Andre & Xin Sheng, 2021. "The Effect of Macroeconomic Uncertainty on Housing Returns and Volatility: Evidence from US State-Level Data," Working Papers 202131, University of Pretoria, Department of Economics.
    39. Mehmet Balcilar & David Gabauer & Rangan Gupta & Christian Pierdzioch, 2022. "Uncertainty and forecastability of regional output growth in the UK: Evidence from machine learning," Journal of Forecasting, John Wiley & Sons, Ltd., vol. 41(6), pages 1049-1064, September.
    40. Christina Christou & Giray Gozgor & Rangan Gupta & Chi keung Marco Lau, 2020. "Are Uncertainties across the World Convergent?," Economics Bulletin, AccessEcon, vol. 40(1), pages 855-862.
    41. Syed Jawad Hussain Shahzad & Rangan Gupta & Riza Demirer & Christian Pierdzioch, 2022. "Oil shocks and directional predictability of macroeconomic uncertainties of developed economies: Evidence from high‐frequency data†," Scottish Journal of Political Economy, Scottish Economic Society, vol. 69(2), pages 169-185, May.
    42. David Gabauer & Rangan Gupta, 2018. "On the Transmission Mechanism of Country-Specific and International Economic Uncertainty Spillovers: Evidence from a TVP-VAR Connectedness Decomposition Approach," Working Papers 201829, University of Pretoria, Department of Economics.
    43. Pierdzioch Christian & Gupta Rangan, 2020. "Uncertainty and Forecasts of U.S. Recessions," Studies in Nonlinear Dynamics & Econometrics, De Gruyter, vol. 24(4), pages 1-20, September.
    44. Alan Tidwell & Yan (Olivia) Lu & Junsoo Lee & Piyali Banerjee, 2023. "Nature of comovements in US state and MSA housing prices," Real Estate Economics, American Real Estate and Urban Economics Association, vol. 51(4), pages 959-989, July.
    45. Demirer, Riza & Gupta, Rangan & Salisu, Afees A. & van Eyden, Reneé, 2023. "Firm-level business uncertainty and the predictability of the aggregate U.S. stock market volatility during the COVID-19 pandemic," The Quarterly Review of Economics and Finance, Elsevier, vol. 88(C), pages 295-302.
    46. Canh Phuc Nguyen & Thanh Dinh Su, 2022. "When ‘uncertainty’ becomes ‘unknown’: Influences of economic uncertainty on the shadow economy," Annals of Public and Cooperative Economics, Wiley Blackwell, vol. 93(3), pages 677-716, September.
    47. Oguzhan Cepni & Hardik A. Marfatia & Rangan Gupta, 2021. "The Time-Varying Impact of Uncertainty Shocks on the Comovement of Regional Housing Prices of the United Kingdom," Working Papers 202168, University of Pretoria, Department of Economics.
    48. Afees A. Salisu & Rangan Gupta & Ahamuefula E. Ogbonna, 2021. "Point and density forecasting of macroeconomic and financial uncertainties of the USA," Journal of Forecasting, John Wiley & Sons, Ltd., vol. 40(4), pages 700-707, July.
    49. Ji, Qiang & Gupta, Rangan & Bekun, Festus Victor & Balcilar, Mehmet, 2019. "Spillover of mortgage default risks in the United States: Evidence from metropolitan statistical areas and states," The Journal of Economic Asymmetries, Elsevier, vol. 19(C), pages 1-1.
    50. Oguzhan Cepni & Rangan Gupta & Wenting Liao & Jun Ma, 2022. "Climate Risks and Forecastability of the Weekly State-Level Economic Conditions of the United States," Working Papers 202251, University of Pretoria, Department of Economics.
    51. Rangan Gupta & Godwin Olasehinde-Williams & Mark E. Wohar, 2018. "The Impact of US Uncertainty Shocks on a Panel of Advanced and Emerging Market Economies: The Role of Exchange Rate, Trade and Financial Channels," Working Papers 201857, University of Pretoria, Department of Economics.
    52. Khoo, Joye & Cheung, Adrian (Wai Kong), 2021. "Does geopolitical uncertainty affect corporate financing? Evidence from MIDAS regression," Global Finance Journal, Elsevier, vol. 47(C).
    53. Selçuk Gul & Rangan Gupta, 2020. "A Note on the Time-Varying Impact of Global, Region- and Country-Specific Uncertainties on the Volatility of International Trade," Working Papers 202025, University of Pretoria, Department of Economics.
    54. Solarin, Sakiru Adebola & Gil-Alana, Luis A., 2021. "The persistence of economic policy uncertainty: Evidence of long range dependence," Physica A: Statistical Mechanics and its Applications, Elsevier, vol. 568(C).
    55. Rangan Gupta & Christian Pierdzioch, 2021. "Forecasting the Volatility of Crude Oil: The Role of Uncertainty and Spillovers," Energies, MDPI, vol. 14(14), pages 1-15, July.
    56. Canh Phuc Nguyen & Christophe Schinckus & Thanh Dinh Su, 2020. "Economic policy uncertainty and demand for international tourism: An empirical study," Tourism Economics, , vol. 26(8), pages 1415-1430, December.
    57. Śmiech, Sławomir & Papież, Monika & Dąbrowski, Marek A., 2019. "How important are different aspects of uncertainty in driving industrial production in the CEE countries?," Research in International Business and Finance, Elsevier, vol. 50(C), pages 252-266.
    58. Christou, Christina & Gupta, Rangan & Nyakabawo, Wendy, 2019. "Time-varying impact of uncertainty shocks on the US housing market," Economics Letters, Elsevier, vol. 180(C), pages 15-20.
    59. Gupta, Rangan & Sun, Xiaojin, 2020. "Forecasting economic policy uncertainty of BRIC countries using Bayesian VARs," Economics Letters, Elsevier, vol. 186(C).
    60. Hossein Hassani & Mohammad Reza Yeganegi & Rangan Gupta & Riza Demirer, 2022. "Forecasting stock market (realized) volatility in the United Kingdom: Is there a role of inequality?," International Journal of Finance & Economics, John Wiley & Sons, Ltd., vol. 27(2), pages 2146-2152, April.
    61. Ruipeng Liu & Rangan Gupta, 2020. "Investors' Uncertainty and Forecasting Stock Market Volatility," Working Papers 202090, University of Pretoria, Department of Economics.
    62. Linyan Dai & Xin Sheng, 2021. "The Impact of Uncertainty on State-Level Housing Markets of the United States: The Role of Social Cohesion," Sustainability, MDPI, vol. 13(6), pages 1-9, March.
    63. Rangan Gupta & Chi Keung Marco Lau & Jacobus A Nel & Xin Sheng, 2020. "Monetary Policy Uncertainty Spillovers in Time- and Frequency-Domains," Working Papers 202005, University of Pretoria, Department of Economics.
    64. Christian Pierdzioch & Rangan Gupta & Hossein Hassani & Emmanuel Silva, 2018. "Forecasting Changes of Economic Inequality: A Boosting Approach," Working Papers 201868, University of Pretoria, Department of Economics.
    65. Jacobus Nel & Rangan Gupta & Mark E. Wohar & Christian Pierdzioch, 2022. "Climate Risks and Predictability of Commodity Returns and Volatility: Evidence from Over 750 Years of Data," Working Papers 202242, University of Pretoria, Department of Economics.

  52. Mehmet Balcilar & Rangan Gupta & Ricardo M. Sousa & Mark E. Wohar, 2017. "Wealth-to-Income Ratio and Stock Market Movements: Evidence from a Nonparametric Causality Test," Working Papers 201731, University of Pretoria, Department of Economics.

    Cited by:

    1. Mehmet Balcilar & Rangan Gupta & Ricardo M. Sousa & Mark E. Wohar, 2020. "Linking U.S. State-Level Housing Market Returns and the Consumption-(Dis)Aggregate Wealth Ratio," Working Papers 202094, University of Pretoria, Department of Economics.
    2. Rangan Gupta & Hardik A. Marfatia & Eric Olson, 2020. "Effect of uncertainty on U.S. stock returns and volatility: evidence from over eighty years of high-frequency data," Applied Economics Letters, Taylor & Francis Journals, vol. 27(16), pages 1305-1311, September.
    3. Mauro Costantini & Ricardo M. Sousa, 2020. "Consumption, asset wealth, equity premium, term spread, and flight to quality," European Financial Management, European Financial Management Association, vol. 26(3), pages 778-807, June.

  53. Vasilios Plakandaras & Rangan Gupta & Constantinos Katrakilidis & Mark E. Wohar, 2017. "Time-Varying Role of Macroeconomic Shocks on House Prices in the US and UK: Evidence from Over 150 Years of Data," Working Papers 201765, University of Pretoria, Department of Economics.

    Cited by:

    1. Rangan Gupta & Zhihui Lv & Wing-Keung Wong, 2019. "Macroeconomic Shocks and Changing Dynamics of the U.S. REITs Sector," Sustainability, MDPI, vol. 11(10), pages 1-12, May.
    2. Petre Caraiani & Adrian C. Călin & Rangan Gupta, 2021. "Monetary policy and bubbles in US REITs," International Review of Finance, International Review of Finance Ltd., vol. 21(2), pages 675-687, June.
    3. Holmes, Mark J. & Otero, Jesús & Panagiotidis, Theodore, 2019. "Property heterogeneity and convergence club formation among local house prices," Journal of Housing Economics, Elsevier, vol. 43(C), pages 1-13.
    4. Petre Caraiani & Rangan Gupta & Chi Keung Marco Lau & Hardik A. Marfatia, 2022. "Effects of Conventional and Unconventional Monetary Policy Shocks on Housing Prices in the United States: The Role of Sentiment," Journal of Behavioral Finance, Taylor & Francis Journals, vol. 23(3), pages 241-261, July.
    5. Wendy Nyakabawo & Rangan Gupta & Hardik A. Marfatia, 2018. "High-Frequency Impact of Monetary Policy and Macroeconomic Surprises on US MSAs and Aggregate US Housing Returns and Volatility: A GJR-GARCH Approach," Working Papers 201817, University of Pretoria, Department of Economics.
    6. Oguzhan Cepni & Hardik A. Marfatia & Rangan Gupta, 2021. "The Time-Varying Impact of Uncertainty Shocks on the Comovement of Regional Housing Prices of the United Kingdom," Working Papers 202168, University of Pretoria, Department of Economics.
    7. Mehmet Balcilar & Gizem Uzuner & Festus Victor Bekun & Mark E. Wohar, 2023. "Housing price uncertainty and housing prices in the UK in a time-varying environment," Empirica, Springer;Austrian Institute for Economic Research;Austrian Economic Association, vol. 50(2), pages 523-549, May.
    8. Afees A. Salisu & Rangan Gupta & Ahamuefula E. Ogbonna & Mark E. Wohar, 2021. "Uncertainty and Predictability of Real Housing Returns in the United Kingdom: A Regional Analysis," Working Papers 202102, University of Pretoria, Department of Economics.
    9. Mikhail Stolbov & Maria Shchepeleva, 2023. "Sentiment-based indicators of real estate market stress and systemic risk: international evidence," Annals of Finance, Springer, vol. 19(3), pages 355-382, September.
    10. Christou, Christina & Gupta, Rangan & Nyakabawo, Wendy, 2019. "Time-varying impact of uncertainty shocks on the US housing market," Economics Letters, Elsevier, vol. 180(C), pages 15-20.
    11. Wendy Nyakabawo & Rangan Gupta & Hardik A. Marfatia, 2018. "High Frequency Impact Of Monetary Policy And Macroeconomic Surprises On Us Msas, Aggregate Us Housing Returns And Asymmetric Volatility," Advances in Decision Sciences, Asia University, Taiwan, vol. 22(1), pages 204-229, December.

  54. Aviral Kumar Tiwari & Juncal Cunado & Rangan Gupta & Mark E. Wohar, 2017. "Volatility Spillovers across Global Asset Classes: Evidence from Time and Frequency Domains," Working Papers 201780, University of Pretoria, Department of Economics.

    Cited by:

    1. Samrat Goswami & Rangan Gupta & Mark E. Wohar, 2019. "Historical Volatility of Advanced Equity Markets: The Role of Local and Global Crises," Working Papers 201931, University of Pretoria, Department of Economics.
    2. Aviral Kumar Tiwari & Christophe André & Rangan Gupta, 2020. "Spillovers between US real estate and financial assets in time and frequency domains," Journal of Property Investment & Finance, Emerald Group Publishing Limited, vol. 38(6), pages 525-537, April.
    3. Asai, Manabu & Gupta, Rangan & McAleer, Michael, 2020. "Forecasting volatility and co-volatility of crude oil and gold futures: Effects of leverage, jumps, spillovers, and geopolitical risks," International Journal of Forecasting, Elsevier, vol. 36(3), pages 933-948.
    4. Manabu Asai & Rangan Gupta & Michael McAleer, 2019. "The Impact of Jumps and Leverage in Forecasting the Co-Volatility of Oil and Gold Futures," Working Papers 201925, University of Pretoria, Department of Economics.
    5. Honghai Yu & Wangyu Chu & Yu’ang Ding & Xuezhou Zhao, 2021. "Risk contagion of global stock markets under COVID‐19:A network connectedness method," Accounting and Finance, Accounting and Finance Association of Australia and New Zealand, vol. 61(4), pages 5745-5782, December.
    6. Rangan Gupta & Jacobus Nel & Christian Pierdzioch, 2021. "Investor Confidence and Forecastability of US Stock Market Realized Volatility : Evidence from Machine Learning," Working Papers 202118, University of Pretoria, Department of Economics.
    7. Liow, Kim Hiang & Song, Jeong Seop, 2022. "Frequency volatility connectedness and market integration in international real estate investment trusts," Finance Research Letters, Elsevier, vol. 45(C).
    8. Mitra, Subrata Kumar & Chattopadhyay, Manojit & Jana, R.K., 2019. "Spillover analysis of tourist movements within Europe," Annals of Tourism Research, Elsevier, vol. 79(C).
    9. Lovcha, Yuliya & Perez-Laborda, Alejandro, 2020. "Dynamic frequency connectedness between oil and natural gas volatilities," Economic Modelling, Elsevier, vol. 84(C), pages 181-189.
    10. Bouri, Elie & Gabauer, David & Gupta, Rangan & Tiwari, Aviral Kumar, 2021. "Volatility connectedness of major cryptocurrencies: The role of investor happiness," Journal of Behavioral and Experimental Finance, Elsevier, vol. 30(C).
    11. Kang, Sang Hoon & Maitra, Debasish & Dash, Saumya Ranjan & Brooks, Robert, 2019. "Dynamic spillovers and connectedness between stock, commodities, bonds, and VIX markets," Pacific-Basin Finance Journal, Elsevier, vol. 58(C).
    12. Muneer Shaik & Mohd Ziaur Rehman, 2023. "The Dynamic Volatility Connectedness of Major Environmental, Social, and Governance (ESG) Stock Indices: Evidence Based on DCC-GARCH Model," Asia-Pacific Financial Markets, Springer;Japanese Association of Financial Economics and Engineering, vol. 30(1), pages 231-246, March.
    13. Shahzad, Syed Jawad Hussain & Aloui, Chaker & Jammazi, Rania, 2020. "On the interplay between US sectoral CDS, stock and VIX indices: Fresh insights from wavelet approaches," Finance Research Letters, Elsevier, vol. 33(C).
    14. Bonato, Matteo & Çepni, Oğuzhan & Gupta, Rangan & Pierdzioch, Christian, 2021. "Do oil-price shocks predict the realized variance of U.S. REITs?," Energy Economics, Elsevier, vol. 104(C).
    15. Mehmet Balcilar & Rangan Gupta & Christian Pierdzioch, 2022. "Oil-Price Uncertainty and International Stock Returns: Dissecting Quantile-Based Predictability and Spillover Effects Using More than a Century of Data," Energies, MDPI, vol. 15(22), pages 1-26, November.
    16. Linh Pham, 2021. "How Integrated are Regional Green Equity Markets? Evidence from a Cross-Quantilogram Approach," JRFM, MDPI, vol. 14(1), pages 1-58, January.
    17. Iwanicz-Drozdowska, Małgorzata & Rogowicz, Karol & Kurowski, Łukasz & Smaga, Paweł, 2021. "Two decades of contagion effect on stock markets: Which events are more contagious?," Journal of Financial Stability, Elsevier, vol. 55(C).
    18. Achraf Ghorbel & Wajdi Frikha & Yasmine Snene Manzli, 2022. "Testing for asymmetric non-linear short- and long-run relationships between crypto-currencies and stock markets," Eurasian Economic Review, Springer;Eurasia Business and Economics Society, vol. 12(3), pages 387-425, September.
    19. Chien-Fu Chen & Shu-hen Chiang, 2020. "Time-varying spillovers among first-tier housing markets in China," Urban Studies, Urban Studies Journal Limited, vol. 57(4), pages 844-864, March.
    20. Disli, Mustafa & Nagayev, Ruslan & Salim, Kinan & Rizkiah, Siti K. & Aysan, Ahmet F., 2021. "In search of safe haven assets during COVID-19 pandemic: An empirical analysis of different investor types," Research in International Business and Finance, Elsevier, vol. 58(C).
    21. Warshaw, Evan, 2020. "Asymmetric volatility spillover between European equity and foreign exchange markets: Evidence from the frequency domain," International Review of Economics & Finance, Elsevier, vol. 68(C), pages 1-14.
    22. Saban Nazlioglu & Rangan Gupta & Alper Gormus & Ugur Soytas, 2019. "Price and Volatility Linkages between International REITs and Oil Markets," Working Papers 201954, University of Pretoria, Department of Economics.
    23. Mensi, Walid & Nekhili, Ramzi & Kang, Sang Hoon, 2022. "Quantile connectedness and spillovers analysis between oil and international REIT markets," Finance Research Letters, Elsevier, vol. 48(C).
    24. ALIU Florin & NUHIU Artor & KNAPKOVA Adriana & LUBISHTANI Ermal & TRAN Khang, 2021. "Do Cryptocurrencies Offer Diversification Benefits For Equity Portfolios?," Studies in Business and Economics, Lucian Blaga University of Sibiu, Faculty of Economic Sciences, vol. 16(2), pages 5-18, August.
    25. Semei Coronado & Rangan Gupta & Saban Nazlioglu & Omar Rojas, 2020. "Time-Varying Causality between Bond and Oil Markets of the United States: Evidence from Over One and Half Centuries of Data," Working Papers 202006, University of Pretoria, Department of Economics.
    26. Cui, Jinxin & Goh, Mark & Li, Binlin & Zou, Huiwen, 2021. "Dynamic dependence and risk connectedness among oil and stock markets: New evidence from time-frequency domain perspectives," Energy, Elsevier, vol. 216(C).
    27. Peterson Owusu Junior & Imhotep Alagidede & George Tweneboah, 2020. "Shape-shift contagion in emerging markets equities: evidence from frequency- and time-domain analysis," Economics and Business Letters, Oviedo University Press, vol. 9(3), pages 146-156.
    28. Tangyong Liu & Xu Gong & Boqiang Lin, 2021. "Analyzing the frequency dynamics of volatility spillovers across precious and industrial metal markets," Journal of Futures Markets, John Wiley & Sons, Ltd., vol. 41(9), pages 1375-1396, September.
    29. Riza Demirer & Rangan Gupta & Jacobus Nel & Christian Pierdzioch, 2020. "Effect of Rare Disaster Risks on Crude Oil: Evidence from El Nino from Over 140 Years of Data," Working Papers 2020104, University of Pretoria, Department of Economics.
    30. Mukhriz Izraf Azman Aziz & Norzalina Ahmad & Jin Zichu & Safwan Mohd Nor, 2022. "The Impact of COVID-19 on the Connectedness of Stock Index in ASEAN+3 Economies," Mathematics, MDPI, vol. 10(9), pages 1-22, April.
    31. Gil-Alana, Luis Alberiko & Abakah, Emmanuel Joel Aikins & Rojo, María Fátima Romero, 2020. "Cryptocurrencies and stock market indices. Are they related?," Research in International Business and Finance, Elsevier, vol. 51(C).
    32. Tiantian Liu & Tadahiro Nakajima & Shigeyuki Hamori, 2022. "The impact of economic uncertainty caused by COVID-19 on renewable energy stocks," Empirical Economics, Springer, vol. 62(4), pages 1495-1515, April.
    33. Vaclav Broz & Evzen Kocenda, 2019. "Mortgage-Related Bank Penalties and Systemic Risk Among U.S. Banks," Working Papers IES 2019/25, Charles University Prague, Faculty of Social Sciences, Institute of Economic Studies, revised Sep 2019.
    34. Nazlioglu, Saban & Gupta, Rangan & Bouri, Elie, 2020. "Movements in international bond markets: The role of oil prices," International Review of Economics & Finance, Elsevier, vol. 68(C), pages 47-58.
    35. Yuki Toyoshima & Shigeyuki Hamori, 2018. "Measuring the Time-Frequency Dynamics of Return and Volatility Connectedness in Global Crude Oil Markets," Energies, MDPI, vol. 11(11), pages 1-18, October.
    36. Tangyong Liu & Xu Gong & Lizhi Tang, 2022. "The uncertainty spillovers of China's economic policy: Evidence from time and frequency domains," International Journal of Finance & Economics, John Wiley & Sons, Ltd., vol. 27(4), pages 4541-4555, October.
    37. Ehsan Bagheri & Seyed Babak Ebrahimi & Arman Mohammadi & Mahsa Miri & Stelios Bekiros, 2022. "The Dynamic Volatility Connectedness Structure of Energy Futures and Global Financial Markets: Evidence From a Novel Time–Frequency Domain Approach," Computational Economics, Springer;Society for Computational Economics, vol. 59(3), pages 1087-1111, March.
    38. Balcilar, Mehmet & Gupta, Rangan & Wang, Shixuan & Wohar, Mark E., 2020. "Oil price uncertainty and movements in the US government bond risk premia," The North American Journal of Economics and Finance, Elsevier, vol. 52(C).
    39. Baklaci, Hasan Fehmi & Aydoğan, Berna & Yelkenci, Tezer, 2020. "Impact of stock market trading on currency market volatility spillovers," Research in International Business and Finance, Elsevier, vol. 52(C).
    40. Liew, Ping-Xin & Lim, Kian-Ping & Goh, Kim-Leng, 2022. "The dynamics and determinants of liquidity connectedness across financial asset markets," International Review of Economics & Finance, Elsevier, vol. 77(C), pages 341-358.
    41. Spyros Papathanasiou & Dimitris Kenourgios & Drosos Koutsokostas & Georgios Pergeris, 2023. "Can treasury inflation-protected securities safeguard investors from outward risk spillovers? A portfolio hedging strategy through the prism of COVID-19," Journal of Asset Management, Palgrave Macmillan, vol. 24(3), pages 198-211, May.
    42. Ana Alzate-Ortega & Natalia Garzón & Jesús Molina-Muñoz, 2024. "Volatility Spillovers in Emerging Markets: Oil Shocks, Energy, Stocks, and Gold," Energies, MDPI, vol. 17(2), pages 1-19, January.
    43. Kai Shi, 2021. "Spillovers of Stock Markets among the BRICS: New Evidence in Time and Frequency Domains before the Outbreak of COVID-19 Pandemic," JRFM, MDPI, vol. 14(3), pages 1-37, March.
    44. Umar, Zaghum & Abrar, Afsheen & Hadhri, Sinda & Sokolova, Tatiana, 2023. "The connectedness of oil shocks, green bonds, sukuks and conventional bonds," Energy Economics, Elsevier, vol. 119(C).
    45. Jiang, Wei & Dong, Lingfei & Liu, Xinyi, 2023. "How does COVID-19 affect the spillover effects of green finance, carbon markets, and renewable/non-renewable energy markets? Evidence from China," Energy, Elsevier, vol. 281(C).
    46. Papathanasiou, Spyros & Dokas, Ioannis & Koutsokostas, Drosos, 2022. "Value investing versus other investment strategies: A volatility spillover approach and portfolio hedging strategies for investors," The North American Journal of Economics and Finance, Elsevier, vol. 62(C).
    47. Cevik, Emrah Ismail & Gunay, Samet & Zafar, Muhammad Wasif & Destek, Mehmet Akif & Bugan, Mehmet Fatih & Tuna, Fatih, 2022. "The impact of digital finance on the natural resource market: Evidence from DeFi, oil, and gold," Resources Policy, Elsevier, vol. 79(C).
    48. Samitas, Aristeidis & Papathanasiou, Spyros & Koutsokostas, Drosos & Kampouris, Elias, 2022. "Volatility spillovers between fine wine and major global markets during COVID-19: A portfolio hedging strategy for investors," International Review of Economics & Finance, Elsevier, vol. 78(C), pages 629-642.
    49. Ali, Sajid & Raza, Naveed & Vinh Vo, Xuan & Le, Van, 2022. "Modelling the joint dynamics of financial assets using MGARCH family models: Insights into hedging and diversification strategies," Resources Policy, Elsevier, vol. 78(C).
    50. Jiang, Junhua & Piljak, Vanja & Tiwari, Aviral Kumar & Äijö, Janne, 2020. "Frequency volatility connectedness across different industries in China," Finance Research Letters, Elsevier, vol. 37(C).
    51. Nader Trabelsi, 2018. "Are There Any Volatility Spill-Over Effects among Cryptocurrencies and Widely Traded Asset Classes?," JRFM, MDPI, vol. 11(4), pages 1-17, October.
    52. Naeem, Muhammad Abubakr & Hamouda, Foued & Karim, Sitara & Vigne, Samuel A., 2023. "Return and volatility spillovers among global assets: Comparing health crisis with geopolitical crisis," International Review of Economics & Finance, Elsevier, vol. 87(C), pages 557-575.
    53. Xie He & Tetsuya Takiguchi & Tadahiro Nakajima & Shigeyuki Hamori, 2020. "Spillover effects between energies, gold, and stock: the United States versus China," Energy & Environment, , vol. 31(8), pages 1416-1447, December.
    54. Shah, Adil Ahmad & Dar, Arif Billah, 2022. "Asymmetric, time and frequency-based spillover transmission in financial and commodity markets," The Journal of Economic Asymmetries, Elsevier, vol. 25(C).
    55. He, Xie & Hamori, Shigeyuki, 2021. "Is volatility spillover enough for investor decisions? A new viewpoint from higher moments," Journal of International Money and Finance, Elsevier, vol. 116(C).
    56. Mário Nuno Mata & Muhammad Najib Razali & Sónia R. Bentes & Isabel Vieira, 2021. "Volatility Spillover Effect of Pan-Asia’s Property Portfolio Markets," Mathematics, MDPI, vol. 9(12), pages 1-20, June.
    57. Iwanicz-Drozdowska Małgorzata & Rogowicz Karol & Smaga Paweł, 2023. "Market-moving events and their role in portfolio optimization of generations X, Y, and Z," International Journal of Management and Economics, Warsaw School of Economics, Collegium of World Economy, vol. 59(4), pages 371-397, December.
    58. Tiantian Liu & Shigeyuki Hamori, 2020. "Spillovers to Renewable Energy Stocks in the US and Europe: Are They Different?," Energies, MDPI, vol. 13(12), pages 1-28, June.
    59. Roy, Archi & Soni, Anchal & Deb, Soudeep, 2023. "A wavelet-based methodology to compare the impact of pandemic versus Russia–Ukraine conflict on crude oil sector and its interconnectedness with other energy and non-energy markets," Energy Economics, Elsevier, vol. 124(C).
    60. Rangan Gupta & Chi Keung Marco Lau & Jacobus A Nel & Xin Sheng, 2020. "Monetary Policy Uncertainty Spillovers in Time- and Frequency-Domains," Working Papers 202005, University of Pretoria, Department of Economics.
    61. Sun, Qingru & Gao, Xiangyun & An, Haizhong & Guo, Sui & Liu, Xueyong & Wang, Ze, 2021. "Which time-frequency domain dominates spillover in the Chinese energy stock market?," International Review of Financial Analysis, Elsevier, vol. 73(C).
    62. Li, Haiping & Semeyutin, Artur & Lau, Chi Keung Marco & Gozgor, Giray, 2020. "The relationship between oil and financial markets in emerging economies: The significant role of Kazakhstan as the oil exporting country," Finance Research Letters, Elsevier, vol. 32(C).
    63. Ivanovski, Kris & Hailemariam, Abebe, 2023. "Forecasting the stock-cryptocurrency relationship: Evidence from a dynamic GAS model," International Review of Economics & Finance, Elsevier, vol. 86(C), pages 97-111.
    64. Billah, Mabruk & Elsayed, Ahmed H. & Hadhri, Sinda, 2023. "Asymmetric relationship between green bonds and Sukuk markets: The role of global risk factors," Journal of International Financial Markets, Institutions and Money, Elsevier, vol. 83(C).
    65. Anwer, Zaheer & Khan, Ashraf & Kabir Hassan, M. & Rashid, Mamunur, 2022. "Does the regional proximity lead to exchange rate spillover?," Journal of International Financial Markets, Institutions and Money, Elsevier, vol. 81(C).
    66. Wenting Zhang & Xie He & Tadahiro Nakajima & Shigeyuki Hamori, 2020. "How Does the Spillover among Natural Gas, Crude Oil, and Electricity Utility Stocks Change over Time? Evidence from North America and Europe," Energies, MDPI, vol. 13(3), pages 1-26, February.
    67. Ferrer, Román & Shahzad, Syed Jawad Hussain & López, Raquel & Jareño, Francisco, 2018. "Time and frequency dynamics of connectedness between renewable energy stocks and crude oil prices," Energy Economics, Elsevier, vol. 76(C), pages 1-20.
    68. Su, Zhi & Liu, Peng & Fang, Tong, 2022. "Uncertainty matters in US financial information spillovers: Evidence from a directed acyclic graph approach," The Quarterly Review of Economics and Finance, Elsevier, vol. 84(C), pages 229-242.
    69. Li, Zheng-Zheng & Li, Yameng & Huang, Chia-Yun & Peculea, Adelina Dumitrescu, 2023. "Volatility spillover across Chinese carbon markets: Evidence from quantile connectedness method," Energy Economics, Elsevier, vol. 119(C).
    70. Bai, Lan & Zhang, Xuhui & Liu, Yuntong & Wang, Qian, 2019. "Economic risk contagion among major economies: New evidence from EPU spillover analysis in time and frequency domains," Physica A: Statistical Mechanics and its Applications, Elsevier, vol. 535(C).
    71. Sangram Keshari Jena & Aviral Kumar Tiwari & Ashutosh Dash & Emmanuel Joel Aikins Abakah, 2021. "Volatility Spillover Dynamics between Large-, Mid-, and Small-Cap Stocks in the Time-Frequency Domain: Implications for Portfolio Management," JRFM, MDPI, vol. 14(11), pages 1-22, November.

  55. Rangan Gupta & Tahir Suleman & Mark E. Wohar, 2017. "Exchange Rate Returns and Volatility: The Role of Time-Varying Rare Disaster Risks," Working Papers 201767, University of Pretoria, Department of Economics.

    Cited by:

    1. Liming Chen & Zhi Zhang & Ziqing Du & Lingling Deng, 2021. "Heterogeneous determinants of the exchange rate market in China with structural breaks," Applied Economics, Taylor & Francis Journals, vol. 53(59), pages 6839-6854, December.
    2. Mehmet Balcilar & Elie Bouri & Rangan Gupta & Christian Pierdzioch, 2021. "El Nino, La Nina, and the Forecastability of the Realized Variance of Heating Oil Price Movements," Working Papers 202138, University of Pretoria, Department of Economics.
    3. Rangan Gupta & Tahir Suleman & Mark E. Wohar, 2019. "The role of time‐varying rare disaster risks in predicting bond returns and volatility," Review of Financial Economics, John Wiley & Sons, vol. 37(3), pages 327-340, July.
    4. Bonato, Matteo & Cepni, Oguzhan & Gupta, Rangan & Pierdzioch, Christian, 2023. "Climate risks and realized volatility of major commodity currency exchange rates," Journal of Financial Markets, Elsevier, vol. 62(C).
    5. Riza Demirer & Rangan Gupta & Jacobus Nel & Christian Pierdzioch, 2020. "Effect of Rare Disaster Risks on Crude Oil: Evidence from El Nino from Over 140 Years of Data," Working Papers 2020104, University of Pretoria, Department of Economics.
    6. Dąbrowski, Marek A. & Janus, Jakub, 2021. "Does the interest parity puzzle hold for Central and Eastern European economies?," MPRA Paper 107558, University Library of Munich, Germany.
    7. Salisu, Afees A. & Gupta, Rangan & Nel, Jacobus & Bouri, Elie, 2022. "The (Asymmetric) effect of El Niño and La Niña on gold and silver prices in a GVAR model," Resources Policy, Elsevier, vol. 78(C).
    8. Renee van Eyden & Geoffrey Ngene & Oguzhan Cepni & Rangan Gupta, 2022. "The Heterogeneous Impact of Temperature Growth on Real House Price Returns across the US States," Working Papers 202236, University of Pretoria, Department of Economics.
    9. Konstantinos Gkillas & Rangan Gupta & Christian Pierdzioch, 2018. "Forecasting (Good and Bad) Realized Exchange-Rate Volatility: Is there a Role for Realized Skewness and Kurtosis?," Working Papers 201879, University of Pretoria, Department of Economics.
    10. Balcilar, Mehmet & Gupta, Rangan & Nel, Jacobus, 2022. "Rare disaster risks and gold over 700 years: Evidence from nonparametric quantile regressions," Resources Policy, Elsevier, vol. 79(C).
    11. Ahdi Noomen Ajmi & Roula Inglesi-Lotz, 2021. "Revisiting the Kuznets Curve Hypothesis for Tunisia: Carbon Dioxide vs. Ecological Footprint," Working Papers 202171, University of Pretoria, Department of Economics.
    12. Matteo Bonato & Oguzhan Cepni & Rangan Gupta & Christian Pierdzioch, 2021. "Forecasting Realized Volatility of International REITs: The Role of Realized Skewness and Realized Kurtosis," Working Papers 202114, University of Pretoria, Department of Economics.
    13. Salisu, Afees A. & Gupta, Rangan & Ji, Qiang, 2022. "Forecasting oil prices over 150 years: The role of tail risks," Resources Policy, Elsevier, vol. 75(C).
    14. Arshian Sharif & Eyup Dogan & Ameenullah Aman & Hafizah Hammad Ahmad Khan & Isma Zaighum, 2020. "Rare disaster and renewable energy in the USA: new insights from wavelet coherence and rolling-window analysis," Natural Hazards: Journal of the International Society for the Prevention and Mitigation of Natural Hazards, Springer;International Society for the Prevention and Mitigation of Natural Hazards, vol. 103(3), pages 2731-2755, September.

  56. Ruipeng Liu & Riza Demirer & Rangan Gupta & Mark E. Wohar, 2017. "Do Bivariate Multifractal Models Improve Volatility Forecasting in Financial Time Series? An Application to Foreign Exchange and Stock Markets," Working Papers 201728, University of Pretoria, Department of Economics.

    Cited by:

    1. Afees A. Salisu & Riza Demirer & Rangan Gupta, 2021. "Financial Turbulence, Systemic Risk and the Predictability of Stock Market Volatility," Working Papers 202162, University of Pretoria, Department of Economics.
    2. Ruipeng Liu & Rangan Gupta & Elie Bouri, 2021. "Conventional and Unconventional Monetary Policy Rate Uncertainty and Stock Market Volatility: A Forecasting Perspective," Working Papers 202178, University of Pretoria, Department of Economics.
    3. Belasen, Ariel R. & Demirer, Rıza, 2019. "Commodity-currencies or currency-commodities: Evidence from causality tests," Resources Policy, Elsevier, vol. 60(C), pages 162-168.

  57. Rangan Gupta & Tahir Suleman & Mark E. Wohar, 2017. "The Role of Time-Varying Rare Disaster Risks in Predicting Bond Returns and Volatility," Working Papers 201770, University of Pretoria, Department of Economics.

    Cited by:

    1. Su, Hao & Ying, Chengwei & Zhu, Xiaoneng, 2022. "Disaster risk matters in the bond market," Finance Research Letters, Elsevier, vol. 47(PA).
    2. Salisu, Afees A. & Gupta, Rangan & Nel, Jacobus & Bouri, Elie, 2022. "The (Asymmetric) effect of El Niño and La Niña on gold and silver prices in a GVAR model," Resources Policy, Elsevier, vol. 78(C).
    3. Konstantinos Gkillas & Rangan Gupta & Christian Pierdzioch, 2018. "Forecasting (Good and Bad) Realized Exchange-Rate Volatility: Is there a Role for Realized Skewness and Kurtosis?," Working Papers 201879, University of Pretoria, Department of Economics.
    4. Balcilar, Mehmet & Gupta, Rangan & Nel, Jacobus, 2022. "Rare disaster risks and gold over 700 years: Evidence from nonparametric quantile regressions," Resources Policy, Elsevier, vol. 79(C).
    5. Ana Belén Alonso-Conde & Javier Rojo-Suárez, 2020. "Nuclear Hazard and Asset Prices: Implications of Nuclear Disasters in the Cross-Sectional Behavior of Stock Returns," Sustainability, MDPI, vol. 12(22), pages 1-24, November.
    6. Salisu, Afees A. & Gupta, Rangan & Ji, Qiang, 2022. "Forecasting oil prices over 150 years: The role of tail risks," Resources Policy, Elsevier, vol. 75(C).

  58. Aviral Kumar Tiwari & Juncal Cunado & Rangan Gupta & Mark E. Wohar, 2017. "Are Stock Returns an Inflation Hedge for the UK? Evidence from a Wavelet Analysis Using Over Three Centuries of Data," Working Papers 201735, University of Pretoria, Department of Economics.

    Cited by:

    1. Neifar, Malika, 2023. "Macroeconomic Factors and UK Stock Market: Evidence through the Non-Linear ARDL model," MPRA Paper 116298, University Library of Munich, Germany.
    2. Semei Coronado & Rangan Gupta & Besma Hkiri & Omar Rojas, 2020. "Time-Varying Spillovers between Currency and Stock Markets in the USA: Historical Evidence From More than Two Centuries," Advances in Decision Sciences, Asia University, Taiwan, vol. 24(4), pages 44-76, December.
    3. Bilgili, Faik & Kocak, Emrah & Kuskaya, Sevda & Bulut, Umit, 2022. "Co-movements and causalities between ethanol production and corn prices in the USA: New evidence from wavelet transform analysis," Energy, Elsevier, vol. 259(C).
    4. Semei Coronado & Rangan Gupta & Besma Hkiri & Omar Rojas, 2020. "Time-Varying Spillover between Currency and Stock Markets in the United States: More than Two Centuries of Historical Evidence," Working Papers 202060, University of Pretoria, Department of Economics.
    5. Oguzhan Cepni & Rangan Gupta & Qiang Ji, 2021. "Sentiment Regimes and Reaction of Stock Markets to Conventional and Unconventional Monetary Policies: Evidence from OECD Countries," Working Papers 202126, University of Pretoria, Department of Economics.
    6. Bošnjak Mile & Novak Ivan & Bašić Maja, 2021. "Capital Market Returns and Inflation Nexus in Croatia: Wavelet Coherence Analysis," Business Systems Research, Sciendo, vol. 12(2), pages 253-267, December.
    7. Kregždė Arvydas & Kišonaitė Karolina, 2018. "Co-movements of Lithuanian and Central European Stock Markets Across Different Time Horizons: A Wavelet Approach," Ekonomika (Economics), Sciendo, vol. 97(2), pages 55-69, December.
    8. NEIFAR, MALIKA & HACHICHA, Fatma, 2022. "GFH validity for Canada, UK, and Suisse stock markets: Evidence ‎from univariate and panel ARDL models," MPRA Paper 114613, University Library of Munich, Germany.
    9. Aggarwal, Divya & Kalia, Deepali, 2022. "Examining comovement and causality between producer price index for P&C insurance premium and uncertainty indices: Wavelet and non-parametric quantile causality approach," Research in Economics, Elsevier, vol. 76(2), pages 141-148.

  59. Mehmet Balcilar & Rangan Gupta & Christian Pierdzioch & Mark Wohar, 2016. "Terror Attacks and Stock-Market Fluctuations: Evidence Based on a Nonparametric Causality-in-Quantiles Test for the G7 Countries," Working Papers 201608, University of Pretoria, Department of Economics.

    Cited by:

    1. Ismail O Fasanya & Oluwatomisin J Oyewole & Taofeek Agbatogun, 2021. "How Does Economic Policy Uncertainty Connect With the Volatility Spillovers in Asia-Pacific Markets?," Asian Economics Letters, Asia-Pacific Applied Economics Association, vol. 2(2), pages 1-6.
    2. Wang, Fanyi & Ma, Wanying & Mirza, Nawazish & Altuntaş, Mehmet, 2023. "Green financing, financial uncertainty, geopolitical risk, and oil prices volatility," Resources Policy, Elsevier, vol. 83(C).
    3. Wael Hemrit, 2022. "Does insurance demand react to economic policy uncertainty and geopolitical risk? Evidence from Saudi Arabia," The Geneva Papers on Risk and Insurance - Issues and Practice, Palgrave Macmillan;The Geneva Association, vol. 47(2), pages 460-492, April.
    4. Rangan Gupta & Tahir Suleman & Mark E. Wohar, 2019. "The role of time‐varying rare disaster risks in predicting bond returns and volatility," Review of Financial Economics, John Wiley & Sons, vol. 37(3), pages 327-340, July.
    5. Rıza Demirer & Rangan Gupta & Tahir Suleman & Mark E. Wohar, 2017. "Time-Varying Rare Disaster Risks, Oil Returns and Volatility," Working Papers 201762, University of Pretoria, Department of Economics.
    6. Parthajit Kayal & G. Balasubramanian, 2021. "Excess Volatility in Bitcoin: Extreme Value Volatility Estimation," IIM Kozhikode Society & Management Review, , vol. 10(2), pages 222-231, July.
    7. Balcilar, Mehmet & Bouri, Elie & Gupta, Rangan & Roubaud, David, 2017. "Can volume predict Bitcoin returns and volatility? A quantiles-based approach," Economic Modelling, Elsevier, vol. 64(C), pages 74-81.
    8. Gupta, Rangan & Majumdar, Anandamayee & Pierdzioch, Christian & Wohar, Mark E., 2017. "Do terror attacks predict gold returns? Evidence from a quantile-predictive-regression approach," The Quarterly Review of Economics and Finance, Elsevier, vol. 65(C), pages 276-284.
    9. Jalloul, Maya & Miescu, Mirela, 2023. "Equity market connectedness across regimes of geopolitical risks: Historical evidence and theory," Journal of International Money and Finance, Elsevier, vol. 137(C).
    10. Bos, Martijn & Demirer, Riza & Gupta, Rangan & Tiwari, Aviral Kumar, 2018. "Oil returns and volatility: The role of mergers and acquisitions," Energy Economics, Elsevier, vol. 71(C), pages 62-69.
    11. Christos Bouras & Christina Christou & Rangan Gupta & Tahir Suleman, 2019. "Geopolitical Risks, Returns, and Volatility in Emerging Stock Markets: Evidence from a Panel GARCH Model," Emerging Markets Finance and Trade, Taylor & Francis Journals, vol. 55(8), pages 1841-1856, June.
    12. Boido, Claudio & Aliano, Mauro, 2023. "Digital art and non-fungible-token: Bubble or revolution?," Finance Research Letters, Elsevier, vol. 52(C).
    13. Baur, Dirk G. & Smales, Lee A., 2020. "Hedging geopolitical risk with precious metals," Journal of Banking & Finance, Elsevier, vol. 117(C).
    14. Feng, Hao & Gao, Da & Duan, Kun & Urquhart, Andrew, 2023. "Does Bitcoin affect decomposed oil shocks differently? Evidence from a quantile-based framework," International Review of Financial Analysis, Elsevier, vol. 89(C).
    15. Mehmet Balcilar & Elie Bouri & Rangan Gupta & David Roubaud, 2016. "Can Volume Predict Bitcoin Returns and Volatility? A Nonparametric Causality-in-Quantiles Approach," Working Papers 201662, University of Pretoria, Department of Economics.
    16. Iwanicz-Drozdowska, Małgorzata & Rogowicz, Karol & Kurowski, Łukasz & Smaga, Paweł, 2021. "Two decades of contagion effect on stock markets: Which events are more contagious?," Journal of Financial Stability, Elsevier, vol. 55(C).
    17. Chang, Tsangyao & Gupta, Rangan & Majumdar, Anandamayee & Pierdzioch, Christian, 2019. "Predicting stock market movements with a time-varying consumption-aggregate wealth ratio," International Review of Economics & Finance, Elsevier, vol. 59(C), pages 458-467.
    18. Elie Bouri & Riza Demirer & Rangan Gupta & Hardik A. Marfatia, 2019. "Geopolitical Risks and Movements in Islamic Bond and Equity Markets: A Note," Defence and Peace Economics, Taylor & Francis Journals, vol. 30(3), pages 367-379, April.
    19. Fasanya, Ismail O. & Adekoya, Oluwasegun B. & Adetokunbo, Abiodun M., 2021. "On the connection between oil and global foreign exchange markets: The role of economic policy uncertainty," Resources Policy, Elsevier, vol. 72(C).
    20. Rangan Gupta, 2018. "Manager Sentiment and Stock Market Volatility," Working Papers 201853, University of Pretoria, Department of Economics.
    21. Mokni, Khaled & Bouteska, Ahmed & Nakhli, Mohamed Sahbi, 2022. "Investor sentiment and Bitcoin relationship: A quantile-based analysis," The North American Journal of Economics and Finance, Elsevier, vol. 60(C).
    22. Walid Bahloul & Mehmet Balcilar & Juncal Cunado & Rangan Gupta, 2017. "The Role of Economic and Financial Uncertainties in Predicting Commodity Futures Returns and Volatility: Evidence from a Nonparametric Causality-in-Quantiles Test," Working Papers 201725, University of Pretoria, Department of Economics.
    23. Li, Xiao, 2021. "Does Chinese investor sentiment predict Asia-pacific stock markets? Evidence from a nonparametric causality-in-quantiles test," Finance Research Letters, Elsevier, vol. 38(C).
    24. Cepni, Oguzhan & Emirmahmutoglu, Furkan & Guney, Ibrahim Ethem & Yilmaz, Muhammed Hasan, 2023. "Do the carry trades respond to geopolitical risks? Evidence from BRICS countries," Economic Systems, Elsevier, vol. 47(2).
    25. Ismail O. Fasanya & Oluwatomisin J. Oyewole & Johnson A. Oliyide, 2021. "Can Uncertainty Due to Pandemic Predict Asia-Pacific Energy Stock Markets?," Asian Economics Letters, Asia-Pacific Applied Economics Association, vol. 2(1), pages 1-7.
    26. Rangan Gupta & Jacobus Nel & Joshua Nielsen & Christian Pierdzioch, 2023. "Stock Market Volatility and Multi-Scale Positive and Negative Bubbles," Working Papers 202310, University of Pretoria, Department of Economics.
    27. Arfaoui, Nadia & Naoui, Kamel, 2022. "Terrorism, investor sentiment, and stock market reaction: Evidence from the British and the French markets," Finance Research Letters, Elsevier, vol. 46(PB).
    28. Konstantinos Gkillas & Rangan Gupta & Christian Pierdzioch & Seong-Min Yoon, 2020. "OPEC News and Jumps in the Oil Market," Working Papers 202053, University of Pretoria, Department of Economics.
    29. Zhang, Zhengyong & Bouri, Elie & Klein, Tony & Jalkh, Naji, 2022. "Geopolitical risk and the returns and volatility of global defense companies: A new race to arms?," International Review of Financial Analysis, Elsevier, vol. 83(C).
    30. Duan, Kun & Liu, Yang & Yan, Cheng & Huang, Yingying, 2023. "Differences in carbon risk spillovers with green versus traditional assets: Evidence from a full distributional analysis," Energy Economics, Elsevier, vol. 127(PA).
    31. Saffet Akdag & Ömer İskenderoglu & Andrew Adewale Alola, 2020. "The volatility spillover effects among risk appetite indexes: insight from the VIX and the rise," Letters in Spatial and Resource Sciences, Springer, vol. 13(1), pages 49-65, April.
    32. Ahdi Noomen Ajmi & Roula Inglesi-Lotz, 2021. "Revisiting the Kuznets Curve Hypothesis for Tunisia: Carbon Dioxide vs. Ecological Footprint," Working Papers 202171, University of Pretoria, Department of Economics.
    33. Li, Sufang & Tu, Dalun & Zeng, Yan & Gong, Chenggang & Yuan, Di, 2022. "Does geopolitical risk matter in crude oil and stock markets? Evidence from disaggregated data," Energy Economics, Elsevier, vol. 113(C).
    34. Rangan Gupta & Chi Keung Marco Lau & Wendy Nyakabawo, 2018. "Predicting Aggregate and State-Level US House Price Volatility: The Role of Sentiment," Working Papers 201866, University of Pretoria, Department of Economics.
    35. Nicholas Apergis & Matteo Bonato & Rangan Gupta & Clement Kyei, 2016. "Does Geopolitical Risks Predict Stock Returns and Volatility of Leading Defense Companies? Evidence from a Nonparametric Approach," Working Papers 201671, University of Pretoria, Department of Economics.

  60. Rangan Gupta & Chi Keung Marco Lau & Mark E. Wohar, 2016. "The Impact of US Uncertainty on the Euro Area in Good and Bad Times: Evidence from a Quantile Structural Vector Autoregressive Model," Working Papers 201681, University of Pretoria, Department of Economics.

    Cited by:

    1. Sheng, Xin & Gupta, Rangan & Ji, Qiang, 2020. "The impacts of structural oil shocks on macroeconomic uncertainty: Evidence from a large panel of 45 countries," Energy Economics, Elsevier, vol. 91(C).
    2. Afees A. Salisu & Rangan Gupta & Sayar Karmakar & Sonali Das, 2021. "Forecasting Output Growth of Advanced Economies Over Eight Centuries: The Role of Gold Market Volatility as a Proxy of Global Uncertainty," Working Papers 202133, University of Pretoria, Department of Economics.
    3. Liang, Chin Chia & Troy, Carol & Rouyer, Ellen, 2020. "U.S. uncertainty and Asian stock prices: Evidence from the asymmetric NARDL model," The North American Journal of Economics and Finance, Elsevier, vol. 51(C).
    4. Rangan Gupta & Hardik A. Marfatia & Christian Pierdzioch & Afees A. Salisu, 2020. "Machine Learning Predictions of Housing Market Synchronization across US States: The Role of Uncertainty," Working Papers 202077, University of Pretoria, Department of Economics.
    5. Antonakakis, Nikolaos & Gabauer, David & Gupta, Rangan, 2019. "Greek economic policy uncertainty: Does it matter for Europe? Evidence from a dynamic connectedness decomposition approach," Physica A: Statistical Mechanics and its Applications, Elsevier, vol. 535(C).
    6. Aviral Kumar Tiwari & Micheal Kofi Boachie & Rangan Gupta, 2019. "Network Analysis of Economic and Financial Uncertainties in Advanced Economies: Evidence from Graph-Theory," Working Papers 201982, University of Pretoria, Department of Economics.
    7. Maryam Abid & Danish Ahmed Siddique, 2020. "Impact of Financial Market Uncertainty on Market Returns: A Global Analysis," Business and Economic Research, Macrothink Institute, vol. 10(3), pages 216-244, September.
    8. Gabauer, David & Gupta, Rangan, 2020. "Spillovers across macroeconomic, financial and real estate uncertainties: A time-varying approach," Structural Change and Economic Dynamics, Elsevier, vol. 52(C), pages 167-173.
    9. Afees A. Salisu & Rangan Gupta & Idris A. Adediran, 2021. "The Effect of US Uncertainty Shock on International Equity Markets: The Role of the Global Financial Cycle," Working Papers 202136, University of Pretoria, Department of Economics.
    10. Oguzhan Cepni & David Gabauer & Rangan Gupta & Khuliso Ramabulana, 2020. "Time-Varying Spillover of US Trade War on the Growth of Emerging Economies," Working Papers 202002, University of Pretoria, Department of Economics.
    11. Selçuk Gül & Rangan Gupta, 2021. "Time‐varying impact of global, region‐, and country‐specific uncertainties on the volatility of international trade," Contemporary Economic Policy, Western Economic Association International, vol. 39(4), pages 691-700, October.
    12. Siphumlile Mangisa & Sonali Das & Rangan Gupta, 2022. "Analyzing The Impact Of Brexit On Global Uncertainty Using Functional Linear Regression With Point Of Impact: The Role Of Currency And Equity Markets," The Singapore Economic Review (SER), World Scientific Publishing Co. Pte. Ltd., vol. 67(04), pages 1377-1388, June.
    13. Afees A. Salisu & Rangan Gupta & Riza Demirer, 2021. "The Financial US Uncertainty Spillover Multiplier: Evidence from a GVAR Model," Working Papers 202145, University of Pretoria, Department of Economics.
    14. Petre Caraiani & Rangan Gupta & Chi Keung Marco Lau & Hardik A. Marfatia, 2022. "Effects of Conventional and Unconventional Monetary Policy Shocks on Housing Prices in the United States: The Role of Sentiment," Journal of Behavioral Finance, Taylor & Francis Journals, vol. 23(3), pages 241-261, July.
    15. Oscar Claveria, 2020. "Measuring and assessing economic uncertainty," IREA Working Papers 202011, University of Barcelona, Research Institute of Applied Economics, revised Jul 2020.
    16. Samuel F. Onipede & Nafiu A. Bashir & Jamaladeen Abubakar, 2023. "Small open economies and external shocks: an application of Bayesian global vector autoregression model," Quality & Quantity: International Journal of Methodology, Springer, vol. 57(2), pages 1673-1699, April.
    17. Woraphon Yamaka & Rangan Gupta & Sukrit Thongkairat & Paravee Maneejuk, 2021. "Structural and Predictive Analyses with a Mixed Copula-Based Vector Autoregression Model," Working Papers 202108, University of Pretoria, Department of Economics.
    18. Christina Christou & David Gabauer & Rangan Gupta, 2019. "Time-Varying Impact of Uncertainty Shocks on Macroeconomic Variables of the United Kingdom: Evidence from Over 150 Years of Monthly Data," Working Papers 201962, University of Pretoria, Department of Economics.
    19. Vasilios Plakandaras & Rangan Gupta & Mehmet Balcilar & Qiang Ji, 2021. "Evolving United States Stock Market Volatility: The Role of Conventional and Unconventional Monetary Policies," Working Papers 202113, University of Pretoria, Department of Economics.
    20. Mehmet Balcilar & David Gabauer & Rangan Gupta & Christian Pierdzioch, 2021. "Uncertainty and Forecastability of Regional Output Growth in the United Kingdom: Evidence from Machine Learning," Working Papers 202111, University of Pretoria, Department of Economics.
    21. Gupta, Rangan & Lau, Chi-Keung (Marco) & Sheng, Xin, 2020. "Graph theory-based network analysis of regional uncertainties of the US Economy," Physica A: Statistical Mechanics and its Applications, Elsevier, vol. 540(C).
    22. Nikolaos Antonakakis & David Gabauer & Rangan Gupta, 2018. "Greek Economic Policy Uncertainty: Does it Matter for the European Union?," Working Papers 201840, University of Pretoria, Department of Economics.
    23. Cepni, Oguzhan & Dul, Wiehan & Gupta, Rangan & Wohar, Mark E., 2021. "The dynamics of U.S. REITs returns to uncertainty shocks: A proxy SVAR approach," Research in International Business and Finance, Elsevier, vol. 58(C).
    24. Afees A. Salisu & Rangan Gupta & Ahamuefula E. Ogbonna, 2020. "Point and Density Forecasting of Macroeconomic and Financial Uncertainties of the United States," Working Papers 202058, University of Pretoria, Department of Economics.
    25. Mehmet Balcilar & David Gabauer & Rangan Gupta & Christian Pierdzioch, 2022. "Uncertainty and forecastability of regional output growth in the UK: Evidence from machine learning," Journal of Forecasting, John Wiley & Sons, Ltd., vol. 41(6), pages 1049-1064, September.
    26. Christina Christou & Giray Gozgor & Rangan Gupta & Chi keung Marco Lau, 2020. "Are Uncertainties across the World Convergent?," Economics Bulletin, AccessEcon, vol. 40(1), pages 855-862.
    27. Syed Jawad Hussain Shahzad & Rangan Gupta & Riza Demirer & Christian Pierdzioch, 2022. "Oil shocks and directional predictability of macroeconomic uncertainties of developed economies: Evidence from high‐frequency data†," Scottish Journal of Political Economy, Scottish Economic Society, vol. 69(2), pages 169-185, May.
    28. David Gabauer & Rangan Gupta, 2018. "On the Transmission Mechanism of Country-Specific and International Economic Uncertainty Spillovers: Evidence from a TVP-VAR Connectedness Decomposition Approach," Working Papers 201829, University of Pretoria, Department of Economics.
    29. Pierdzioch Christian & Gupta Rangan, 2020. "Uncertainty and Forecasts of U.S. Recessions," Studies in Nonlinear Dynamics & Econometrics, De Gruyter, vol. 24(4), pages 1-20, September.
    30. Oscar Claveria, 2021. "Uncertainty indicators based on expectations of business and consumer surveys," Empirica, Springer;Austrian Institute for Economic Research;Austrian Economic Association, vol. 48(2), pages 483-505, May.
    31. Afees A. Salisu & Rangan Gupta & Ahamuefula E. Ogbonna, 2021. "Point and density forecasting of macroeconomic and financial uncertainties of the USA," Journal of Forecasting, John Wiley & Sons, Ltd., vol. 40(4), pages 700-707, July.
    32. Oscar Claveria, 2021. "On the Aggregation of Survey-Based Economic Uncertainty Indicators Between Different Agents and Across Variables," Journal of Business Cycle Research, Springer;Centre for International Research on Economic Tendency Surveys (CIRET), vol. 17(1), pages 1-26, April.
    33. Śmiech, Sławomir & Papież, Monika & Shahzad, Syed Jawad Hussain, 2020. "Spillover among financial, industrial and consumer uncertainties. The case of EU member states," International Review of Financial Analysis, Elsevier, vol. 70(C).
    34. Selçuk Gul & Rangan Gupta, 2020. "A Note on the Time-Varying Impact of Global, Region- and Country-Specific Uncertainties on the Volatility of International Trade," Working Papers 202025, University of Pretoria, Department of Economics.
    35. Rangan Gupta & Christian Pierdzioch, 2021. "Forecasting the Volatility of Crude Oil: The Role of Uncertainty and Spillovers," Energies, MDPI, vol. 14(14), pages 1-15, July.
    36. Chin Chia Liang & Carol Troy & Ellen Rouyer, 2020. "The Stock Price Impact of Domestic and Foreign Economic Policy Uncertainty: Evidence from China," Economics Bulletin, AccessEcon, vol. 40(2), pages 1747-1755.
    37. Ruipeng Liu & Rangan Gupta, 2020. "Investors' Uncertainty and Forecasting Stock Market Volatility," Working Papers 202090, University of Pretoria, Department of Economics.
    38. Linyan Dai & Xin Sheng, 2021. "The Impact of Uncertainty on State-Level Housing Markets of the United States: The Role of Social Cohesion," Sustainability, MDPI, vol. 13(6), pages 1-9, March.
    39. Rangan Gupta & Chi-Keung (Marco) Lau & Xin Sheng, 2019. "Macroeconomic Uncertainty Connections across the US States: Evidence from a Bayesian Graphical Structural VAR (BGSVAR) Model," Working Papers 201910, University of Pretoria, Department of Economics.
    40. Genc, Ismail H., 2022. "Are Indian Subcontinent remittance markets connected to each other?," Journal of Asian Economics, Elsevier, vol. 80(C).
    41. Oscar Claveria, 2021. "Disagreement on expectations: firms versus consumers," SN Business & Economics, Springer, vol. 1(12), pages 1-23, December.
    42. Jacobus Nel & Rangan Gupta & Mark E. Wohar & Christian Pierdzioch, 2022. "Climate Risks and Predictability of Commodity Returns and Volatility: Evidence from Over 750 Years of Data," Working Papers 202242, University of Pretoria, Department of Economics.

  61. Vasilios Plakandaras & Juncal Cunado & Rangan Gupta & Mark E. Wohar, 2016. "Do Leading Indicators Forecast U.S. Recessions? A Nonlinear Re-Evaluation Using Historical Data," Working Papers 201685, University of Pretoria, Department of Economics.

    Cited by:

    1. Gupta, Rangan & Kanda, Patrick & Tiwari, Aviral Kumar & Wohar, Mark E., 2019. "Time-varying predictability of oil market movements over a century of data: The role of US financial stress," The North American Journal of Economics and Finance, Elsevier, vol. 50(C).

  62. Helena Chuliá & Rangan Gupta & Jorge M. Uribe & Mark E. Wohar, 2016. "Impact of US Uncertainties on Emerging and Mature Markets: Evidence from a Quantile-Vector Autoregressive Approach," Working Papers 201656, University of Pretoria, Department of Economics.

    Cited by:

    1. Oğuzhan Çepni & Rangan Gupta & Mark E. Wohar, 2020. "The role of real estate uncertainty in predicting US home sales growth: evidence from a quantiles-based Bayesian model averaging approach," Applied Economics, Taylor & Francis Journals, vol. 52(5), pages 528-536, January.
    2. Sheng, Xin & Gupta, Rangan & Ji, Qiang, 2020. "The impacts of structural oil shocks on macroeconomic uncertainty: Evidence from a large panel of 45 countries," Energy Economics, Elsevier, vol. 91(C).
    3. Nikolaos Antonakakis & Mehmet Balcilar & Elie Bouri & Rangan Gupta, 2017. "Is Wine a Safe-Haven? Evidence from a Nonparametric Causality-in-Quantiles Test," Working Papers 201708, University of Pretoria, Department of Economics.
    4. Rangan Gupta & Hardik A. Marfatia & Christian Pierdzioch & Afees A. Salisu, 2020. "Machine Learning Predictions of Housing Market Synchronization across US States: The Role of Uncertainty," Working Papers 202077, University of Pretoria, Department of Economics.
    5. Costola, Michele & Lorusso, Marco, 2021. "Spillovers among Energy Commodities and the Russian Stock Market," MPRA Paper 108990, University Library of Munich, Germany.
    6. Balcilar, Mehmet & Ozdemir, Zeynel Abidin & Ozdemir, Huseyin & Wohar, Mark E., 2020. "Transmission of US and EU Economic Policy Uncertainty Shock to Asian Economies in Bad and Good Times," IZA Discussion Papers 13274, Institute of Labor Economics (IZA).
    7. Chang, Kuang-Liang, 2021. "Do U.S. and Japanese uncertainty shocks play important roles in affecting transition mechanisms of Japanese stock market?," The North American Journal of Economics and Finance, Elsevier, vol. 58(C).
    8. Jiang, Yonghong & Wu, Lanxin & Tian, Gengyu & Nie, He, 2021. "Do cryptocurrencies hedge against EPU and the equity market volatility during COVID-19? – New evidence from quantile coherency analysis," Journal of International Financial Markets, Institutions and Money, Elsevier, vol. 72(C).
    9. Giovanni Bonaccolto & Massimiliano Caporin & Rangan Gupta, 2015. "The Dynamic Impact of Uncertainty in Causing and Forecasting the Distribution of Oil Returns and Risk," Working Papers 201564, University of Pretoria, Department of Economics.
    10. Afees A. Salisu & Rangan Gupta & Idris A. Adediran, 2021. "The Effect of US Uncertainty Shock on International Equity Markets: The Role of the Global Financial Cycle," Working Papers 202136, University of Pretoria, Department of Economics.
    11. Bonato, Matteo & Çepni, Oğuzhan & Gupta, Rangan & Pierdzioch, Christian, 2021. "Do oil-price shocks predict the realized variance of U.S. REITs?," Energy Economics, Elsevier, vol. 104(C).
    12. Nikolaos Antonakakis & David Gabauer & Rangan Gupta & Vasilios Plakandaras, 2018. "Dynamic Connectedness of Uncertainty across Developed Economies: A Time-Varying Approach," Working Papers 201802, University of Pretoria, Department of Economics.
    13. Elie Bouri & Rangan Gupta & Aviral Kumar Tiwari & David Roubaud, 2017. "Does Bitcoin hedge global uncertainty? Evidence from wavelet-based quantile-in-quantile regressions," Post-Print hal-02008552, HAL.
    14. Balcilar, Mehmet & Usman, Ojonugwa & Gungor, Hasan & Roubaud, David & Wohar, Mark E., 2021. "Role of global, regional, and advanced market economic policy uncertainty on bond spreads in emerging markets," Economic Modelling, Elsevier, vol. 102(C).
    15. Saban Nazlioglu & Rangan Gupta & Alper Gormus & Ugur Soytas, 2019. "Price and Volatility Linkages between International REITs and Oil Markets," Working Papers 201954, University of Pretoria, Department of Economics.
    16. Wang, Gang-Jin & Xie, Chi & Wen, Danyan & Zhao, Longfeng, 2019. "When Bitcoin meets economic policy uncertainty (EPU): Measuring risk spillover effect from EPU to Bitcoin," Finance Research Letters, Elsevier, vol. 31(C).
    17. Christina Christou & David Gabauer & Rangan Gupta, 2019. "Time-Varying Impact of Uncertainty Shocks on Macroeconomic Variables of the United Kingdom: Evidence from Over 150 Years of Monthly Data," Working Papers 201962, University of Pretoria, Department of Economics.
    18. Gurdgiev, Constantin & O’Loughlin, Daniel, 2020. "Herding and anchoring in cryptocurrency markets: Investor reaction to fear and uncertainty," Journal of Behavioral and Experimental Finance, Elsevier, vol. 25(C).
    19. Gkillas Konstantinos & Gupta Rangan & Vortelinos Dimitrios I., 2023. "Uncertainty and realized jumps in the pound-dollar exchange rate: evidence from over one century of data," Studies in Nonlinear Dynamics & Econometrics, De Gruyter, vol. 27(1), pages 25-47, February.
    20. Fang, Yi & Jing, Zhongbo & Shi, Yukun & Zhao, Yang, 2021. "Financial spillovers and spillbacks: New evidence from China and G7 countries," Economic Modelling, Elsevier, vol. 94(C), pages 184-200.
    21. Gupta, Rangan & Lau, Chi-Keung (Marco) & Sheng, Xin, 2020. "Graph theory-based network analysis of regional uncertainties of the US Economy," Physica A: Statistical Mechanics and its Applications, Elsevier, vol. 540(C).
    22. Rangan Gupta & Chi Keung Marco Lau & Mark E. Wohar, 2016. "The Impact of US Uncertainty on the Euro Area in Good and Bad Times: Evidence from a Quantile Structural Vector Autoregressive Model," Working Papers 201681, University of Pretoria, Department of Economics.
    23. Tan, Xueping & Geng, Yong & Vivian, Andrew & Wang, Xinyu, 2021. "Measuring risk spillovers between oil and clean energy stocks: Evidence from a systematic framework," Resources Policy, Elsevier, vol. 74(C).
    24. Kang, Wensheng & de Gracia, Fernando Perez & Ratti, Ronald A., 2019. "The asymmetric response of gasoline prices to oil price shocks and policy uncertainty," Energy Economics, Elsevier, vol. 77(C), pages 66-79.
    25. Dong, Xiyong & Li, Changhong & Yoon, Seong-Min, 2020. "Asymmetric dependence structures for regional stock markets: An unconditional quantile regression approach," The North American Journal of Economics and Finance, Elsevier, vol. 52(C).
    26. Elie Bouri & Rangan Gupta & Clement Kweku Kyei & Sowmya Subramaniam, 2020. "High-Frequency Movements of the Term Structure of Interest Rates of the United States: The Role of Oil Market Uncertainty," Working Papers 202085, University of Pretoria, Department of Economics.
    27. Cepni, Oguzhan & Dul, Wiehan & Gupta, Rangan & Wohar, Mark E., 2021. "The dynamics of U.S. REITs returns to uncertainty shocks: A proxy SVAR approach," Research in International Business and Finance, Elsevier, vol. 58(C).
    28. Afees A. Salisu & Rangan Gupta & Ahamuefula E. Ogbonna, 2020. "Point and Density Forecasting of Macroeconomic and Financial Uncertainties of the United States," Working Papers 202058, University of Pretoria, Department of Economics.
    29. Wang, Xinyu & Luo, Yi & Wang, Zhuqing & Xu, Yan & Wu, Congxin, 2021. "The impact of economic policy uncertainty on volatility of China’s financial stocks: An empirical analysis," Finance Research Letters, Elsevier, vol. 39(C).
    30. Wilson Donzwa & Rangan Gupta & Mark E. Wohar, 2017. "Volatility Spillovers between Interest Rates and Equity Markets of Developed Economies: A Note," Working Papers 201764, University of Pretoria, Department of Economics.
    31. Serdar Ongan & Ismet Gocer, 2017. "Testing The Causalities Between Economic Policy Uncertainty And The Us Stock Indices: Applications Of Linear And Nonlinear Approaches," Annals of Financial Economics (AFE), World Scientific Publishing Co. Pte. Ltd., vol. 12(04), pages 1-20, December.
    32. Balcilar, Mehmet & Gupta, Rangan & Wang, Shixuan & Wohar, Mark E., 2020. "Oil price uncertainty and movements in the US government bond risk premia," The North American Journal of Economics and Finance, Elsevier, vol. 52(C).
    33. Cakici, Nusret & Zaremba, Adam, 2023. "Misery on Main Street, victory on Wall Street: Economic discomfort and the cross-section of global stock returns," Journal of Banking & Finance, Elsevier, vol. 149(C).
    34. Christina Christou & Giray Gozgor & Rangan Gupta & Chi keung Marco Lau, 2020. "Are Uncertainties across the World Convergent?," Economics Bulletin, AccessEcon, vol. 40(1), pages 855-862.
    35. Syed Jawad Hussain Shahzad & Rangan Gupta & Riza Demirer & Christian Pierdzioch, 2022. "Oil shocks and directional predictability of macroeconomic uncertainties of developed economies: Evidence from high‐frequency data†," Scottish Journal of Political Economy, Scottish Economic Society, vol. 69(2), pages 169-185, May.
    36. David Gabauer & Rangan Gupta, 2018. "On the Transmission Mechanism of Country-Specific and International Economic Uncertainty Spillovers: Evidence from a TVP-VAR Connectedness Decomposition Approach," Working Papers 201829, University of Pretoria, Department of Economics.
    37. Benzid, Lamia & Bakari, Sayef, 2021. "Modeling the Asymmetric Relationship between the Covid-19 and the U.S Dollar Exchange Rate: an Empirical Analysis via the NARDL Approach," MPRA Paper 105566, University Library of Munich, Germany.
    38. Abid, Abir, 2020. "Economic policy uncertainty and exchange rates in emerging markets: Short and long runs evidence," Finance Research Letters, Elsevier, vol. 37(C).
    39. Afees A. Salisu & Rangan Gupta & Ahamuefula E. Ogbonna, 2021. "Point and density forecasting of macroeconomic and financial uncertainties of the USA," Journal of Forecasting, John Wiley & Sons, Ltd., vol. 40(4), pages 700-707, July.
    40. Shabir Mohsin Hashmi & Muhammad Akram Gilal & Wing-Keung Wong, 2021. "Sustainability of Global Economic Policy and Stock Market Returns in Indonesia," Sustainability, MDPI, vol. 13(10), pages 1-18, May.
    41. Mikhail Stolbov & Alexander Karminsky & Maria Shchepeleva, 2018. "Does Economic Policy Uncertainty Lead Systemic Risk? A Comparative Analysis of Selected European Countries," Comparative Economic Studies, Palgrave Macmillan;Association for Comparative Economic Studies, vol. 60(3), pages 332-360, September.
    42. Resul Aydemir & Huzeyfe Zahit Atan & Bulent Guloglu, 2022. "How do the global equity and bond markets affect Islamic and conventional banks? A comparative cross-country analysis using multivariate regression quantiles," Eurasian Economic Review, Springer;Eurasia Business and Economics Society, vol. 12(1), pages 95-114, March.
    43. Pierre-Richard Agénor & Luiz A. Pereira da Silva, 2022. "Financial spillovers, spillbacks, and the scope for international macroprudential policy coordination," International Economics and Economic Policy, Springer, vol. 19(1), pages 79-127, February.
    44. Vasilios Plakandaras & Rangan Gupta & Mark E. Wohar, 2018. "Persistence of Economic Uncertainty: A Comprehensive Analysis," Working Papers 201810, University of Pretoria, Department of Economics.
    45. LI, Yang & Luo, Jingqiu & Jiang, Yongmu, 2021. "Policy uncertainty spillovers and financial risk contagion in the Asia-Pacific network," Pacific-Basin Finance Journal, Elsevier, vol. 67(C).
    46. Rangan Gupta & Godwin Olasehinde-Williams & Mark E. Wohar, 2018. "The Impact of US Uncertainty Shocks on a Panel of Advanced and Emerging Market Economies: The Role of Exchange Rate, Trade and Financial Channels," Working Papers 201857, University of Pretoria, Department of Economics.
    47. Md Gyasuddin Ansari & Rudra Sensarma, 2019. "US Monetary Policy, Oil and Gold Prices: Which has a greater impact on BRICS Stock Markets?," Working papers 343, Indian Institute of Management Kozhikode.
    48. Makushkin, Mikhail & Lapshin, Victor, 2020. "Modelling tail dependencies between Russian and foreign stock markets: Application for market risk valuation," Applied Econometrics, Russian Presidential Academy of National Economy and Public Administration (RANEPA), vol. 57, pages 30-52.
    49. Han, Liyan & Liu, Yang & Yin, Libo, 2019. "Uncertainty and currency performance: A quantile-on-quantile approach," The North American Journal of Economics and Finance, Elsevier, vol. 48(C), pages 702-729.
    50. Mikhail Stolbov & Maria Shchepeleva, 2021. "Macrofinancial linkages in Europe: Evidence from quantile local projections," International Journal of Finance & Economics, John Wiley & Sons, Ltd., vol. 26(4), pages 5557-5569, October.
    51. Christou, Christina & Gupta, Rangan & Nyakabawo, Wendy, 2019. "Time-varying impact of uncertainty shocks on the US housing market," Economics Letters, Elsevier, vol. 180(C), pages 15-20.
    52. Phan, Dinh Hoang Bach & Sharma, Susan Sunila & Tran, Vuong Thao, 2018. "Can economic policy uncertainty predict stock returns? Global evidence," Journal of International Financial Markets, Institutions and Money, Elsevier, vol. 55(C), pages 134-150.
    53. Nguyen, Dat Thanh & Phan, Dinh Hoang Bach & Anglingkusumo, Reza & Sasongko, Aryo, 2021. "US government shutdowns and Indonesian stock market," Pacific-Basin Finance Journal, Elsevier, vol. 67(C).
    54. Ruipeng Liu & Rangan Gupta, 2020. "Investors' Uncertainty and Forecasting Stock Market Volatility," Working Papers 202090, University of Pretoria, Department of Economics.
    55. Dou, Yue & Li, Yiying & Dong, Kangyin & Ren, Xiaohang, 2022. "Dynamic linkages between economic policy uncertainty and the carbon futures market: Does Covid-19 pandemic matter?," Resources Policy, Elsevier, vol. 75(C).
    56. Boskabadi, Elahe, 2022. "Economic policy uncertainty and forecast bias in the survey of professional forecasters," MPRA Paper 115081, University Library of Munich, Germany.
    57. Linyan Dai & Xin Sheng, 2021. "The Impact of Uncertainty on State-Level Housing Markets of the United States: The Role of Social Cohesion," Sustainability, MDPI, vol. 13(6), pages 1-9, March.
    58. Rangan Gupta & Chi-Keung (Marco) Lau & Xin Sheng, 2019. "Macroeconomic Uncertainty Connections across the US States: Evidence from a Bayesian Graphical Structural VAR (BGSVAR) Model," Working Papers 201910, University of Pretoria, Department of Economics.
    59. Jiang, Yonghong & Zhu, Zixuan & Tian, Gengyu & Nie, He, 2019. "Determinants of within and cross-country economic policy uncertainty spillovers: Evidence from US and China," Finance Research Letters, Elsevier, vol. 31(C).
    60. Wen, Fenghua & Shui, Aojie & Cheng, Yuxiang & Gong, Xu, 2022. "Monetary policy uncertainty and stock returns in G7 and BRICS countries: A quantile-on-quantile approach," International Review of Economics & Finance, Elsevier, vol. 78(C), pages 457-482.
    61. Jacobus Nel & Rangan Gupta & Mark E. Wohar & Christian Pierdzioch, 2022. "Climate Risks and Predictability of Commodity Returns and Volatility: Evidence from Over 750 Years of Data," Working Papers 202242, University of Pretoria, Department of Economics.
    62. Cheuathonghua, Massaporn & de Boyrie, Maria E. & Pavlova, Ivelina & Wongkantarakorn, Jutamas, 2022. "Extreme risk spillovers from commodity indexes to sovereign CDS spreads of commodity dependent countries: A VAR quantile analysis," International Review of Financial Analysis, Elsevier, vol. 80(C).
    63. Balli, Faruk & Hasan, Mudassar & Ozer-Balli, Hatice & Gregory-Allen, Russell, 2021. "Why do U.S. uncertainties drive stock market spillovers? International evidence," International Review of Economics & Finance, Elsevier, vol. 76(C), pages 288-301.

  63. Rangan Gupta & Anandamayee Majumdar & Mark Wohar, 2016. "The Role of Current Account Balance in Forecasting the US Equity Premium: Evidence from a Quantile Predictive Regression Approach," Working Papers 201612, University of Pretoria, Department of Economics.

    Cited by:

    1. Rangan Gupta & Patrick Kanda & Mark E. Wohar, 2021. "Predicting Stock Market Movements in the United States: The Role of Presidential Approval Ratings," International Review of Finance, International Review of Finance Ltd., vol. 21(1), pages 324-335, March.
    2. Mehmet Balcilar & Rangan Gupta & Christian Pierdzioch, 2022. "Oil-Price Uncertainty and International Stock Returns: Dissecting Quantile-Based Predictability and Spillover Effects Using More than a Century of Data," Energies, MDPI, vol. 15(22), pages 1-26, November.
    3. Afees A. Salisu & Rangan Gupta & Ahamuefula E. Ogbonna, 2023. "Tail risks and forecastability of stock returns of advanced economies: evidence from centuries of data," The European Journal of Finance, Taylor & Francis Journals, vol. 29(4), pages 466-481, March.
    4. Rangan Gupta & Christian Pierdzioch, 2023. "Do U.S. economic conditions at the state level predict the realized volatility of oil-price returns? A quantile machine-learning approach," Financial Innovation, Springer;Southwestern University of Finance and Economics, vol. 9(1), pages 1-22, December.
    5. Mehmet Balcilar & David Gabauer & Rangan Gupta & Christian Pierdzioch, 2023. "Climate Risks and Forecasting Stock Market Returns in Advanced Economies over a Century," Mathematics, MDPI, vol. 11(9), pages 1-21, April.
    6. Afees A. Salisu & Rangan Gupta, 2021. "Commodity Prices and Forecastability of South African Stock Returns Over a Century: Sentiments versus Fundamentals," Working Papers 202144, University of Pretoria, Department of Economics.
    7. Gupta, Rangan & Huber, Florian & Piribauer, Philipp, 2020. "Predicting international equity returns: Evidence from time-varying parameter vector autoregressive models," International Review of Financial Analysis, Elsevier, vol. 68(C).
    8. Gupta, Rangan & Ji, Qiang & Pierdzioch, Christian & Plakandaras, Vasilios, 2023. "Forecasting the conditional distribution of realized volatility of oil price returns: The role of skewness over 1859 to 2023," Finance Research Letters, Elsevier, vol. 58(PC).

  64. Mehmet Balcilar & Rangan Gupta & Charl Jooste & Mark E. Wohar, 2016. "Periodically Collapsing Bubbles in the South African Stock Market," Working Papers 201624, University of Pretoria, Department of Economics.

    Cited by:

    1. Carol Thiago Costa & Wesley Vieirada Silva & Lauro Britode Almeida & Claudimar Pereirada Veiga, 2017. "Empirical evidence of the existence of speculative bubbles in the prices of stocks traded on the São Paulo Stock Exchange," Contaduría y Administración, Accounting and Management, vol. 62(4), pages 1317-1334, Octubre-D.
    2. Renee van Eyden & Rangan Gupta & Joshua Nielsen & Elie Bouri, 2022. "Investor Sentiment and Multi-Scale Positive and Negative Stock Market Bubbles in a Panel of G7 Countries," Working Papers 202256, University of Pretoria, Department of Economics.
    3. Xie, Zixiong & Chen, Shyh-Wei & Wu, An-Chi, 2019. "Asymmetric adjustment, non-linearity and housing price bubbles: New international evidence," The North American Journal of Economics and Finance, Elsevier, vol. 50(C).
    4. Chen, Shyh-Wei & Xie, Zixiong, 2017. "Asymmetric adjustment and smooth breaks in dividend yields: Evidence from international stock markets," International Review of Economics & Finance, Elsevier, vol. 48(C), pages 339-354.
    5. Kassouri, Yacouba, 2022. "Boom-bust cycles in oil consumption: The role of explosive bubbles and asymmetric adjustments," Energy Economics, Elsevier, vol. 111(C).
    6. Iliyasu, Jamilu & Rafindadi Sanusi, Aliyu & Suleiman, Dahiru, 2019. "Testing For Multiple Bubble Episodes In Nigerian Stock Exchange Market," Ilorin Journal of Economic Policy, Department of Economics, University of Ilorin, vol. 6(6), pages 13-26, June.
    7. Ayesha Liaqat & Mian Sajid Nazir & Iftikhar Ahmad, 2019. "Identification of multiple stock bubbles in an emerging market: application of GSADF approach," Economic Change and Restructuring, Springer, vol. 52(3), pages 301-326, August.
    8. David Gabauer & Rangan Gupta & Sayar Karmakar & Joshua Nielsen, 2022. "Stock Market Bubbles and the Forecastability of Gold Returns (and Volatility)," Working Papers 202228, University of Pretoria, Department of Economics.
    9. Rangan Gupta & Jacobus Nel & Joshua Nielsen, 2022. "US Monetary Policy and BRICS Stock Market Bubbles," Working Papers 202243, University of Pretoria, Department of Economics.
    10. Zeren Feyyaz & Yilanci Veli, 2019. "Are there Multiple Bubbles in the Stock Markets? Further Evidence from Selected Countries," Ekonomika (Economics), Sciendo, vol. 98(1), pages 81-95, June.
    11. Adedoyin Isola Lawal & Adeniyi Olayanju & Afeez Adebare Salisu & Abiola John Asaleye & Olatunde Dahunsi & Oluwasogo Dada & Oluwasola Emmanel Omoju & Olabisi Rasheedat Popoola, 2019. "Examining Rational Bubbles in Oil Prices: Evidence From Frequency Domain Estimates," International Journal of Energy Economics and Policy, Econjournals, vol. 9(2), pages 166-173.
    12. Adél Bosch & Steven F. Koch, 2020. "The South African Financial Cycle and its Relation to Household Deleveraging," South African Journal of Economics, Economic Society of South Africa, vol. 88(2), pages 145-173, June.
    13. Riza Demirer & Guilherme Demos & Rangan Gupta & Didier Sornette, 2017. "On the Predictability of Stock Market Bubbles: Evidence from LPPLS ConfidenceTM Multi-scale Indicators," Working Papers 201752, University of Pretoria, Department of Economics.
    14. Ayesha Liaqat & Mian Sajid Nazir & Iftikhar Ahmad & Hammad Hassan Mirza & Farooq Anwar, 2020. "Do stock price bubbles correlate between China and Pakistan? An inquiry of pre‐ and post‐Chinese investment in Pakistani capital market under China‐Pakistan Economic Corridor regime," International Journal of Finance & Economics, John Wiley & Sons, Ltd., vol. 25(3), pages 323-335, July.
    15. Caraiani, Petre & Gupta, Rangan & Nel, Jacobus & Nielsen, Joshua, 2023. "Monetary policy and bubbles in G7 economies using a panel VAR approach: Implications for sustainable development," Economic Analysis and Policy, Elsevier, vol. 78(C), pages 133-155.
    16. Bago, Jean-Louis & Souratié, Wamadini M. & Ouédraogo, Moussa & Ouédraogo, Ernest & Dembélé, Alou, 2019. "Financial Bubbles : New Evidence from South Africa’s Stock Market," MPRA Paper 95685, University Library of Munich, Germany.
    17. Binge, Laurie H. & Boshoff, Willem H., 2021. "Measuring alternative asset prices in an emerging market: The case of the South African art market," Emerging Markets Review, Elsevier, vol. 47(C).
    18. Wesson, N. & Smit, E.v.d.M. & Kidd, M. & Hamman, W.D., 2018. "Determinants of the choice between share repurchases and dividend payments," Research in International Business and Finance, Elsevier, vol. 45(C), pages 180-196.

  65. Mawuli Segnon & Rangan Gupta & Stelios Bekiros & Mark E. Wohar, 2016. "Forecasting US GNP Growth: The Role of Uncertainty," Working Papers 201667, University of Pretoria, Department of Economics.

    Cited by:

    1. Wang, Yudong & Liu, Li & Wu, Chongfeng, 2020. "Forecasting commodity prices out-of-sample: Can technical indicators help?," International Journal of Forecasting, Elsevier, vol. 36(2), pages 666-683.
    2. Afees A. Salisu & Rangan Gupta & Sayar Karmakar & Sonali Das, 2021. "Forecasting Output Growth of Advanced Economies Over Eight Centuries: The Role of Gold Market Volatility as a Proxy of Global Uncertainty," Working Papers 202133, University of Pretoria, Department of Economics.
    3. Magnus Reif, 2020. "Macroeconomics, Nonlinearities, and the Business Cycle," ifo Beiträge zur Wirtschaftsforschung, ifo Institute - Leibniz Institute for Economic Research at the University of Munich, number 87.
    4. Afees A. Salisu & Rangan Gupta & Riza Demirer, 2022. "A Note On Uncertainty Due To Infectious Diseases And Output Growth Of The United States: A Mixed-Frequency Forecasting Experiment," Annals of Financial Economics (AFE), World Scientific Publishing Co. Pte. Ltd., vol. 17(02), pages 1-9, June.
    5. Martina Hengge, 2019. "Uncertainty as a Predictor of Economic Activity," IHEID Working Papers 19-2019, Economics Section, The Graduate Institute of International Studies.
    6. Rangan Gupta & Chi Keung Marco Lau & Mark E. Wohar, 2016. "The Impact of US Uncertainty on the Euro Area in Good and Bad Times: Evidence from a Quantile Structural Vector Autoregressive Model," Working Papers 201681, University of Pretoria, Department of Economics.
    7. Ahmed Ali & Granberg Mark & Uddin Gazi Salah & Troster Victor, 2022. "Asymmetric dynamics between uncertainty and unemployment flows in the United States," Studies in Nonlinear Dynamics & Econometrics, De Gruyter, vol. 26(1), pages 155-172, February.
    8. Mehmet Balcilar & David Gabauer & Rangan Gupta & Christian Pierdzioch, 2022. "Uncertainty and forecastability of regional output growth in the UK: Evidence from machine learning," Journal of Forecasting, John Wiley & Sons, Ltd., vol. 41(6), pages 1049-1064, September.
    9. Reif Magnus, 2021. "Macroeconomic uncertainty and forecasting macroeconomic aggregates," Studies in Nonlinear Dynamics & Econometrics, De Gruyter, vol. 25(2), pages 1-20, April.
    10. Pierdzioch Christian & Gupta Rangan, 2020. "Uncertainty and Forecasts of U.S. Recessions," Studies in Nonlinear Dynamics & Econometrics, De Gruyter, vol. 24(4), pages 1-20, September.
    11. Tihana Škrinjarić, 2023. "Credit-to-GDP Gap Estimates in Real Time: A Stable Indicator for Macroprudential Policy Making in Croatia," Comparative Economic Studies, Palgrave Macmillan;Association for Comparative Economic Studies, vol. 65(3), pages 582-614, September.
    12. Heinrich, Markus, 2020. "Does the Current State of the Business Cycle matter for Real-Time Forecasting? A Mixed-Frequency Threshold VAR approach," EconStor Preprints 219312, ZBW - Leibniz Information Centre for Economics.
    13. Rangan Gupta & Christian Pierdzioch & Afees A. Salisu, 2020. "Oil-Price Uncertainty and the U.K. Unemployment Rate: A Forecasting Experiment with Random Forests Using 150 Years of Data," Working Papers 202095, University of Pretoria, Department of Economics.
    14. Uribe, Jorge M. & Chuliá, Helena & Guillén, Montserrat, 2017. "Uncertainty, systemic shocks and the global banking sector: Has the crisis modified their relationship?," Journal of International Financial Markets, Institutions and Money, Elsevier, vol. 50(C), pages 52-68.

  66. Rangan Gupta & Hylton Hollander & Mark E. Wohar, 2016. "The Impact of Oil Shocks in a Small Open Economy New-Keynesian Dynamic Stochastic General Equilibrium Model for South Africa," Working Papers 201652, University of Pretoria, Department of Economics.

    Cited by:

    1. Ruthira Naraidoo & Vo Phuong Mai Le, 2019. "Monetary policy in a model with commodity and financial market," Working Papers 782, Economic Research Southern Africa.
    2. Omotosho, Babatunde S., 2020. "Oil price shocks, fuel subsidies and macroeconomic (in)stability in Nigeria," MPRA Paper 105464, University Library of Munich, Germany.
    3. Omotosho, Babatunde S., 2019. "Business Cycle Fluctuations in Nigeria: Some Insights from an Estimated DSGE Model," MPRA Paper 98351, University Library of Munich, Germany.
    4. van Eyden, Reneé & Difeto, Mamothoana & Gupta, Rangan & Wohar, Mark E., 2019. "Oil price volatility and economic growth: Evidence from advanced economies using more than a century’s data," Applied Energy, Elsevier, vol. 233, pages 612-621.

  67. Mehmet Balcilar & Rangan Gupta & Christian Pierdzioch & Mark Wohar, 2016. "Do Terror Attacks Affect the Dollar-Pound Exchange Rate? A Nonparametric Causality-in-Quantiles Analysis," Working Papers 201615, University of Pretoria, Department of Economics.

    Cited by:

    1. Gupta, Rangan & Majumdar, Anandamayee & Pierdzioch, Christian & Wohar, Mark E., 2017. "Do terror attacks predict gold returns? Evidence from a quantile-predictive-regression approach," The Quarterly Review of Economics and Finance, Elsevier, vol. 65(C), pages 276-284.
    2. Christos Bouras & Christina Christou & Rangan Gupta & Tahir Suleman, 2019. "Geopolitical Risks, Returns, and Volatility in Emerging Stock Markets: Evidence from a Panel GARCH Model," Emerging Markets Finance and Trade, Taylor & Francis Journals, vol. 55(8), pages 1841-1856, June.
    3. Chang, Tsangyao & Gupta, Rangan & Majumdar, Anandamayee & Pierdzioch, Christian, 2019. "Predicting stock market movements with a time-varying consumption-aggregate wealth ratio," International Review of Economics & Finance, Elsevier, vol. 59(C), pages 458-467.
    4. Elie Bouri & Riza Demirer & Rangan Gupta & Hardik A. Marfatia, 2019. "Geopolitical Risks and Movements in Islamic Bond and Equity Markets: A Note," Defence and Peace Economics, Taylor & Francis Journals, vol. 30(3), pages 367-379, April.
    5. Rangan Gupta, 2018. "Manager Sentiment and Stock Market Volatility," Working Papers 201853, University of Pretoria, Department of Economics.
    6. Godwin Olasehinde-Williams & Mehmet Balcilar, 2018. "The Long-run Effect of Geopolitical Risks on Insurance Premiums," Working Papers 15-44, Eastern Mediterranean University, Department of Economics.
    7. Salisu, Afees A. & Cuñado, Juncal & Gupta, Rangan, 2022. "Geopolitical risks and historical exchange rate volatility of the BRICS," International Review of Economics & Finance, Elsevier, vol. 77(C), pages 179-190.
    8. Nicholas Apergis & Matteo Bonato & Rangan Gupta & Clement Kyei, 2016. "Does Geopolitical Risks Predict Stock Returns and Volatility of Leading Defense Companies? Evidence from a Nonparametric Approach," Working Papers 201671, University of Pretoria, Department of Economics.

  68. Goodness C. Aye & Tsangyao Chang & Wen-Yi Chen & Rangan Gupta & Mark Wohar, 2016. "Testing the Efficiency of the Art Market using Quantile-Based Unit Root Tests with Sharp and Smooth Breaks," Working Papers 201625, University of Pretoria, Department of Economics.

    Cited by:

    1. Assaf, Ata, 2018. "Testing for bubbles in the art markets: An empirical investigation," Economic Modelling, Elsevier, vol. 68(C), pages 340-355.

  69. Rangan Gupta & Anandamayee Majumdar & Christian Pierdzioch & Mark Wohar, 2016. "Do Terror Attacks Predict Gold Returns? Evidence from a Quantile-Predictive-Regression Approach," Working Papers 201626, University of Pretoria, Department of Economics.

    Cited by:

    1. Chen, Guojin & Liu, Yanzhen & Zhang, Yu, 2020. "Can systemic risk measures predict economic shocks? Evidence from China," China Economic Review, Elsevier, vol. 64(C).
    2. Jamal Bouoiyour & Refk Selmi & Shawkat Hammoudeh & Mark E Wohar, 2019. "What are the categories of geopolitical risks that could drive oil prices higher? Acts or threats?," Post-Print hal-02409062, HAL.
    3. Christos Bouras & Christina Christou & Rangan Gupta & Tahir Suleman, 2019. "Geopolitical Risks, Returns, and Volatility in Emerging Stock Markets: Evidence from a Panel GARCH Model," Emerging Markets Finance and Trade, Taylor & Francis Journals, vol. 55(8), pages 1841-1856, June.
    4. Rangan Gupta & Sayar Karmakar & Christian Pierdzioch, 2022. "Safe Havens, Machine Learning, and the Sources of Geopolitical Risk: A Forecasting Analysis Using Over a Century of Data," Working Papers 202201, University of Pretoria, Department of Economics.
    5. David Gabauer & Rangan Gupta & Sayar Karmakar & Joshua Nielsen, 2022. "Stock Market Bubbles and the Forecastability of Gold Returns (and Volatility)," Working Papers 202228, University of Pretoria, Department of Economics.
    6. Elie Bouri & Riza Demirer & Rangan Gupta & Hardik A. Marfatia, 2019. "Geopolitical Risks and Movements in Islamic Bond and Equity Markets: A Note," Defence and Peace Economics, Taylor & Francis Journals, vol. 30(3), pages 367-379, April.
    7. Mehmet Balcilar & Matteo Bonato & Riza Demirer & Rangan Gupta, 2016. "Geopolitical Risks and Stock Market Dynamics of the BRICS," Working Papers 201648, University of Pretoria, Department of Economics.
    8. Gupta, Rangan & Pierdzioch, Christian & Vivian, Andrew J. & Wohar, Mark E., 2019. "The predictive value of inequality measures for stock returns: An analysis of long-span UK data using quantile random forests," Finance Research Letters, Elsevier, vol. 29(C), pages 315-322.
    9. Cepni, Oguzhan & Emirmahmutoglu, Furkan & Guney, Ibrahim Ethem & Yilmaz, Muhammed Hasan, 2023. "Do the carry trades respond to geopolitical risks? Evidence from BRICS countries," Economic Systems, Elsevier, vol. 47(2).
    10. Chen, Jinyu & Huang, Yuxin & Ren, Xiaohang & Qu, Jingxiao, 2022. "Time-varying spillovers between trade policy uncertainty and precious metal markets: Evidence from China-US trade conflict," Resources Policy, Elsevier, vol. 76(C).
    11. Salisu, Afees A. & Gupta, Rangan & Nel, Jacobus & Bouri, Elie, 2022. "The (Asymmetric) effect of El Niño and La Niña on gold and silver prices in a GVAR model," Resources Policy, Elsevier, vol. 78(C).
    12. Liu, Yang & Han, Liyan & Xu, Yang, 2021. "The impact of geopolitical uncertainty on energy volatility," International Review of Financial Analysis, Elsevier, vol. 75(C).
    13. Demirer, Riza & Pierdzioch, Christian & Zhang, Huacheng, 2017. "On the short-term predictability of stock returns: A quantile boosting approach," Finance Research Letters, Elsevier, vol. 22(C), pages 35-41.
    14. Yilanci, Veli & Kilci, Esra N., 2021. "The role of economic policy uncertainty and geopolitical risk in predicting prices of precious metals: Evidence from a time-varying bootstrap causality test," Resources Policy, Elsevier, vol. 72(C).
    15. Shahzad, Syed Jawad Hussain & Rahman, Md Lutfur & Lucey, Brian M. & Uddin, Gazi Salah, 2021. "Re-examining the real option characteristics of gold for gold mining companies," Resources Policy, Elsevier, vol. 70(C).
    16. Cheng, Sheng & Han, Lingyu & Cao, Yan & Jiang, Qisheng & Liang, Ruibin, 2022. "Gold-oil dynamic relationship and the asymmetric role of geopolitical risks: Evidence from Bayesian pdBEKK-GARCH with regime switching," Resources Policy, Elsevier, vol. 78(C).
    17. Plakandaras, Vasilios & Ji, Qiang, 2022. "Intrinsic decompositions in gold forecasting," Journal of Commodity Markets, Elsevier, vol. 28(C).
    18. Li, Sufang & Tu, Dalun & Zeng, Yan & Gong, Chenggang & Yuan, Di, 2022. "Does geopolitical risk matter in crude oil and stock markets? Evidence from disaggregated data," Energy Economics, Elsevier, vol. 113(C).
    19. Nicholas Apergis & Matteo Bonato & Rangan Gupta & Clement Kyei, 2016. "Does Geopolitical Risks Predict Stock Returns and Volatility of Leading Defense Companies? Evidence from a Nonparametric Approach," Working Papers 201671, University of Pretoria, Department of Economics.
    20. Dichtl, Hubert, 2020. "Forecasting excess returns of the gold market: Can we learn from stock market predictions?," Journal of Commodity Markets, Elsevier, vol. 19(C).
    21. Mazhar Ummad, 2019. "Terrorism and Firm Performance: Empirical Evidence from Pakistan," The B.E. Journal of Economic Analysis & Policy, De Gruyter, vol. 19(1), pages 1-17, January.
    22. Christian Pierdzioch & Marian Risse, 2020. "Forecasting precious metal returns with multivariate random forests," Empirical Economics, Springer, vol. 58(3), pages 1167-1184, March.

  70. Vasilios Plakandaras & Rangan Gupta & Mark E. Wohar, 2016. "The Depreciation of the Pound Post-Brexit: Could it have been Predicted?," Working Papers 201670, University of Pretoria, Department of Economics.

    Cited by:

    1. Ning, Ye & Han, Chenyu & Wang, Yiming, 2018. "The multifractal properties of Euro and Pound exchange rates and comparisons," Physica A: Statistical Mechanics and its Applications, Elsevier, vol. 509(C), pages 578-587.
    2. Dao, Thong M. & McGroarty, Frank & Urquhart, Andrew, 2019. "The Brexit vote and currency markets," Journal of International Financial Markets, Institutions and Money, Elsevier, vol. 59(C), pages 153-164.
    3. Rangan Gupta & Tahir Suleman & Mark E. Wohar, 2019. "Exchange rate returns and volatility: the role of time-varying rare disaster risks," The European Journal of Finance, Taylor & Francis Journals, vol. 25(2), pages 190-203, January.
    4. Christina Christou & Rangan Gupta & Christis Hassapis & Tahir Suleman, 2018. "The role of economic uncertainty in forecasting exchange rate returns and realized volatility: Evidence from quantile predictive regressions," Journal of Forecasting, John Wiley & Sons, Ltd., vol. 37(7), pages 705-719, November.
    5. Nikolaos A. Kyriazis & Emmanouil M. L. Economou, 2017. "Brexit Decision Effects on European Derivatives Markets: A Sectoral Analysis," Bulletin of Political Economy, Bulletin of Political Economy, vol. 11(1), pages 45-58, June.
    6. Xue, Dong & Minford, Patrick & Meenagh, David, 2018. "How Important are International Financial Market Imperfections for Foreign Exchange Rate Dynamics: A Study of the Sterling Exchange Rate," Cardiff Economics Working Papers E2018/11, Cardiff University, Cardiff Business School, Economics Section.
    7. Akram Alkhatib & Murad Harasheh, 2018. "Performance of Exchange Traded Funds during the Brexit Referendum: An Event Study," IJFS, MDPI, vol. 6(3), pages 1-12, July.
    8. Plakandaras, Vasilios & Tiwari, Aviral Kumar & Gupta, Rangan & Ji, Qiang, 2020. "Spillover of sentiment in the European Union: Evidence from time- and frequency-domains," International Review of Economics & Finance, Elsevier, vol. 68(C), pages 105-130.
    9. Abuzayed, Bana & Al-Fayoumi, Nedal & Bouri, Elie, 2022. "Hedging UK stock portfolios with gold and oil: The impact of Brexit," Resources Policy, Elsevier, vol. 75(C).
    10. Han, Chenyu & Wang, Yiming & Ning, Ye, 2019. "Comparative analysis of the multifractality and efficiency of exchange markets: Evidence from exchange rates dynamics of major world currencies," Physica A: Statistical Mechanics and its Applications, Elsevier, vol. 535(C).
    11. Huang, Yisu & Ma, Feng & Bouri, Elie & Huang, Dengshi, 2023. "A comprehensive investigation on the predictive power of economic policy uncertainty from non-U.S. countries for U.S. stock market returns," International Review of Financial Analysis, Elsevier, vol. 87(C).

  71. Rangan Gupta & John W. Muteba Mwamba & Mark E. Wohar, 2016. "The Role of Partisan Conflict in Forecasting the U.S. Equity Premium: A Nonparametric Approach," Working Papers 201686, University of Pretoria, Department of Economics.

    Cited by:

    1. Rangan Gupta & Patrick Kanda & Mark E. Wohar, 2021. "Predicting Stock Market Movements in the United States: The Role of Presidential Approval Ratings," International Review of Finance, International Review of Finance Ltd., vol. 21(1), pages 324-335, March.
    2. Pandey, Dharen Kumar & Lucey, Brian M. & Kumar, Satish, 2023. "Border disputes, conflicts, war, and financial markets research: A systematic review," Research in International Business and Finance, Elsevier, vol. 65(C).
    3. Cheng, Chak Hung Jack & Chiu, Ching-Wai (Jeremy) & Hankins, William B. & Stone, Anna-Leigh, 2018. "Partisan conflict, policy uncertainty and aggregate corporate cash holdings," Journal of Macroeconomics, Elsevier, vol. 58(C), pages 78-90.
    4. Mehmet Balcilar & Rangan Gupta & Christian Pierdzioch, 2022. "Oil-Price Uncertainty and International Stock Returns: Dissecting Quantile-Based Predictability and Spillover Effects Using More than a Century of Data," Energies, MDPI, vol. 15(22), pages 1-26, November.
    5. Xianzheng Zhou & Hui Zhou & Huaigang Long, 2023. "Forecasting the equity premium: Do deep neural network models work?," Modern Finance, Modern Finance Institute, vol. 1(1), pages 1-11.
    6. Cai, Yifei & Wu, Yanrui, 2019. "Time-varied causality between US partisan conflict shock and crude oil return," Energy Economics, Elsevier, vol. 84(C).
    7. Mehmet Balcilar & David Gabauer & Rangan Gupta & Christian Pierdzioch, 2023. "Climate Risks and Forecasting Stock Market Returns in Advanced Economies over a Century," Mathematics, MDPI, vol. 11(9), pages 1-21, April.
    8. Yong Jiang & Yi-Shuai Ren & Chao-Qun Ma & Jiang-Long Liu & Basil Sharp, 2018. "Does the price of strategic commodities respond to U.S. Partisan Conflict?," Papers 1810.08396, arXiv.org, revised Feb 2020.
    9. Afees A. Salisu & Rangan Gupta, 2021. "Commodity Prices and Forecastability of South African Stock Returns Over a Century: Sentiments versus Fundamentals," Working Papers 202144, University of Pretoria, Department of Economics.
    10. Demiralay, Sercan, 2020. "Political uncertainty and the us tourism index returns," Annals of Tourism Research, Elsevier, vol. 84(C).
    11. Jonathan A. Batten & Harald Kinateder & Niklas Wagner, 2022. "Beating the Average: Equity Premium Variations, Uncertainty, and Liquidity," Abacus, Accounting Foundation, University of Sydney, vol. 58(3), pages 567-588, September.
    12. Jia, Boxiang & Goodell, John W. & Shen, Dehua, 2021. "US partisan conflict and high-yield exchange rates," Finance Research Letters, Elsevier, vol. 40(C).
    13. Jiang, Yong & Ren, Yi-Shuai & Ma, Chao-Qun & Liu, Jiang-Long & Sharp, Basil, 2020. "Does the price of strategic commodities respond to U.S. partisan conflict?," Resources Policy, Elsevier, vol. 66(C).
    14. Rangan Gupta & Christian Pierdzioch & Refk Selmi & Mark E. Wohar, 2017. "Does Partisan Conflict Predict a Reduction in US Stock Market (Realized) Volatility? Evidence from a Quantile-on-Quantile Regression Model," Working Papers 201744, University of Pretoria, Department of Economics.

  72. Mehmet Balcilar & Riza Demirer & Rangan Gupta & Mark E. Wohar, 2016. "Differences of Opinion and Stock Market Volatility: Evidence from a Nonparametric Causality-in-Quantiles Approach," Working Papers 201668, University of Pretoria, Department of Economics.

    Cited by:

    1. Rangan Gupta, 2018. "Manager Sentiment and Stock Market Volatility," Working Papers 201853, University of Pretoria, Department of Economics.
    2. Afees A. Salisu & Riza Demirer & Rangan Gupta, 2022. "Policy Uncertainty and Stock Market Volatility Revisited: The Predictive Role of Signal Quality," Working Papers 202232, University of Pretoria, Department of Economics.
    3. Konstantinos Gkillas & Rangan Gupta & Chi Keung Marco Lau & Muhammad Tahir Suleman, 2020. "Jumps beyond the realms of cricket: India's performance in One Day Internationals and stock market movements," Journal of Applied Statistics, Taylor & Francis Journals, vol. 47(6), pages 1109-1127, April.
    4. Matteo Bonato & Oguzhan Cepni & Rangan Gupta & Christian Pierdzioch, 2022. "Business Applications and State-Level Stock Market Realized Volatility: A Forecasting Experiment," Working Papers 202247, University of Pretoria, Department of Economics.
    5. Rangan Gupta & Chi Keung Marco Lau & Wendy Nyakabawo, 2018. "Predicting Aggregate and State-Level US House Price Volatility: The Role of Sentiment," Working Papers 201866, University of Pretoria, Department of Economics.

  73. Goodness C. Aye & Luis A. Gil-Alana & Rangan Gupta & Mark Wohar, 2016. "The Efficiency of the Art Market: Evidence from Variance Ratio Tests, Linear and Nonlinear Fractional Integration Approaches," Working Papers 201610, University of Pretoria, Department of Economics.

    Cited by:

    1. Aviral Kumar Tiwari & Rangan Gupta & Juncal Cunado & Xin Sheng, 2019. "Testing the White Noise Hypothesis in High-Frequency Housing Returns of the United States," Working Papers 201952, University of Pretoria, Department of Economics.
    2. Guglielmo Maria Caporale & Luis A. Gil-Alana & Alex Plastun & Ahniia Havrylina, 2022. "Persistence in the Passion Investment Market," CESifo Working Paper Series 9586, CESifo.
    3. Madhavi Latha Challa & Venkataramanaiah Malepati & Siva Nageswara Rao Kolusu, 2020. "S&P BSE Sensex and S&P BSE IT return forecasting using ARIMA," Financial Innovation, Springer;Southwestern University of Finance and Economics, vol. 6(1), pages 1-19, December.
    4. Rangan Gupta & Vasilios Plakandaras, 2018. "Efficiency in BRICS Currency Markets using Long-Spans of Data: Evidence from Model-Free Tests of Directional Predictability," Working Papers 201836, University of Pretoria, Department of Economics.
    5. Wang, Fang, 2023. "Do emerging art market segments have their own price dynamics? Evidence from the Chinese art market," International Review of Economics & Finance, Elsevier, vol. 84(C), pages 318-331.
    6. Tiwari, Aviral Kumar & Aye, Goodness C. & Gupta, Rangan, 2019. "Stock market efficiency analysis using long spans of Data: A multifractal detrended fluctuation approach," Finance Research Letters, Elsevier, vol. 28(C), pages 398-411.
    7. Goodness C. Aye & Tsangyao Chang & Wen-Yi Chen & Rangan Gupta & Mark Wohar, 2016. "Testing the Efficiency of the Art Market using Quantile-Based Unit Root Tests with Sharp and Smooth Breaks," Working Papers 201625, University of Pretoria, Department of Economics.
    8. Assaf, Ata & Kristoufek, Ladislav & Demir, Ender & Kumar Mitra, Subrata, 2021. "Market efficiency in the art markets using a combination of long memory, fractal dimension, and approximate entropy measures," Journal of International Financial Markets, Institutions and Money, Elsevier, vol. 71(C).
    9. Emmanuel Joel Aikins Abakah & Aviral Kumar Tiwari & Emmanuel Kwesi Arthur & Luis Alberiko Gil-Alana, 2023. "The influence of economic policy uncertainty shocks on art market," Applied Economics, Taylor & Francis Journals, vol. 55(29), pages 3404-3421, June.

  74. Mehmet Balcilar & Rangan Gupta & Mark E. Wohar, 2015. "Common Cycles and Common Trends in the Stock and Oil markets: Evidence from More than 150 Years of Data," Working Papers 201572, University of Pretoria, Department of Economics.

    Cited by:

    1. Atil, Ahmed & Nawaz, Kishwar & Lahiani, Amine & Roubaud, David, 2020. "Are natural resources a blessing or a curse for financial development in Pakistan? The importance of oil prices, economic growth and economic globalization," Resources Policy, Elsevier, vol. 67(C).
    2. Huthaifa Sameeh Alqaralleh & Ahmad Al-Saraireh & Alessandra Canepa, 2021. "Energy Market Risk Management under Uncertainty: A VaR Based on Wavelet Approach," International Journal of Energy Economics and Policy, Econjournals, vol. 11(5), pages 130-137.
    3. Batten, Jonathan A. & Kinateder, Harald & Szilagyi, Peter G. & Wagner, Niklas F., 2019. "Time-varying energy and stock market integration in Asia," Energy Economics, Elsevier, vol. 80(C), pages 777-792.
    4. Rangan Gupta & Syed Jawad Hussain Shahzad & Xin Sheng & Sowmya Subramaniam, 2023. "The role of oil and risk shocks in the high‐frequency movements of the term structure of interest rates: Evidence from the U.S. Treasury market," International Journal of Finance & Economics, John Wiley & Sons, Ltd., vol. 28(2), pages 1845-1857, April.
    5. Bos, Martijn & Demirer, Riza & Gupta, Rangan & Tiwari, Aviral Kumar, 2018. "Oil returns and volatility: The role of mergers and acquisitions," Energy Economics, Elsevier, vol. 71(C), pages 62-69.
    6. Marcin Wk{a}torek & Stanis{l}aw Dro.zd.z & Pawe{l} O'swic{e}cimka & Marek Stanuszek, 2018. "Multifractal cross-correlations between the World Oil and other Financial Markets in 2012-2017," Papers 1812.08548, arXiv.org, revised Jun 2019.
    7. Batten, Jonathan A. & Kinateder, Harald & Szilagyi, Peter G. & Wagner, Niklas F., 2021. "Hedging stocks with oil," Energy Economics, Elsevier, vol. 93(C).
    8. Gupta, Rangan & Wohar, Mark, 2017. "Forecasting oil and stock returns with a Qual VAR using over 150years off data," Energy Economics, Elsevier, vol. 62(C), pages 181-186.
    9. Batten, Jonathan A. & Kinateder, Harald & Szilagyi, Peter G. & Wagner, Niklas F., 2017. "Can stock market investors hedge energy risk? Evidence from Asia," Energy Economics, Elsevier, vol. 66(C), pages 559-570.
    10. Dutta, Anupam, 2018. "Oil and energy sector stock markets: An analysis of implied volatility indexes," Journal of Multinational Financial Management, Elsevier, vol. 44(C), pages 61-68.
    11. Marfatia, Hardik A. & Gupta, Rangan & Cakan, Esin, 2021. "Dynamic impact of the U.S. monetary policy on oil market returns and volatility," The Quarterly Review of Economics and Finance, Elsevier, vol. 80(C), pages 159-169.
    12. Sheng, Xin & Marfatia, Hardik A. & Gupta, Rangan & Ji, Qiang, 2021. "House price synchronization across the US states: The role of structural oil shocks," The North American Journal of Economics and Finance, Elsevier, vol. 56(C).
    13. Semei Coronado & Rangan Gupta & Saban Nazlioglu & Omar Rojas, 2020. "Time-Varying Causality between Bond and Oil Markets of the United States: Evidence from Over One and Half Centuries of Data," Working Papers 202006, University of Pretoria, Department of Economics.
    14. Zhou, Wei & Chen, Yan & Chen, Jin, 2022. "Risk spread in multiple energy markets: Extreme volatility spillover network analysis before and during the COVID-19 pandemic," Energy, Elsevier, vol. 256(C).
    15. Rangan Gupta & Syed Jawad Hussain Shahzad & Xin Sheng & Sowmya Subramaniam, 2020. "The Role of Oil and Risk Shocks in the High-Frequency Movements of the Term Structure of Interest Rates of the United States," Working Papers 202063, University of Pretoria, Department of Economics.
    16. Riza Demirer & Rangan Gupta & Jacobus Nel & Christian Pierdzioch, 2020. "Effect of Rare Disaster Risks on Crude Oil: Evidence from El Nino from Over 140 Years of Data," Working Papers 2020104, University of Pretoria, Department of Economics.
    17. Xu, Jia & Tan, Xiujie & He, Gang & Liu, Yu, 2019. "Disentangling the drivers of carbon prices in China's ETS pilots — An EEMD approach," Technological Forecasting and Social Change, Elsevier, vol. 139(C), pages 1-9.
    18. Gupta, Rangan & Yoon, Seong-Min, 2018. "OPEC news and predictability of oil futures returns and volatility: Evidence from a nonparametric causality-in-quantiles approach," The North American Journal of Economics and Finance, Elsevier, vol. 45(C), pages 206-214.
    19. Batten, Jonathan A. & Kinateder, Harald & Szilagyi, Peter G. & Wagner, Niklas F., 2018. "Addressing COP21 using a stock and oil market integration index," Energy Policy, Elsevier, vol. 116(C), pages 127-136.
    20. Massimiliano Caporin & Chia-Lin Chang & Michael McAleer, 2016. "Are the S&P 500 Index and Crude Oil, Natural Gas and Ethanol Futures related for Intra-Day Data?," Tinbergen Institute Discussion Papers 16-006/III, Tinbergen Institute.
    21. Afees A. Salisu & Rangan Gupta, 2023. "Oil Price Returns Skewness and Forecastability of International Stock Returns Over One Century of Data," Working Papers 202339, University of Pretoria, Department of Economics.
    22. Mont'Alverne Duarte, Angelo & Gaglianone, Wagner Piazza & de Carvalho Guillén, Osmani Teixeira & Issler, João Victor, 2021. "Commodity prices and global economic activity: A derived-demand approach," Energy Economics, Elsevier, vol. 96(C).
    23. Vatsa, Puneet & Basnet, Hem C., 2020. "The dynamics of energy prices and the Norwegian economy: A common trends and common cycles analysis," Resources Policy, Elsevier, vol. 68(C).
    24. Vatsa, Puneet, 2020. "Comovement amongst the demand for New Zealand tourism," Annals of Tourism Research, Elsevier, vol. 83(C).
    25. Walid Bahloul & Rangan Gupta, 2018. "Impact of macroeconomic news surprises and uncertainty for major economies on returns and volatility of oil futures," International Economics, CEPII research center, issue 156, pages 247-253.
    26. Corbet, Shaen & Goodell, John W. & Günay, Samet, 2020. "Co-movements and spillovers of oil and renewable firms under extreme conditions: New evidence from negative WTI prices during COVID-19," Energy Economics, Elsevier, vol. 92(C).
    27. Kim, Jong-Min & Jung, Hojin, 2017. "Can asymmetric conditional volatility imply asymmetric tail dependence?," Economic Modelling, Elsevier, vol. 64(C), pages 409-418.
    28. Salisu, Afees A. & Gupta, Rangan & Ji, Qiang, 2022. "Forecasting oil prices over 150 years: The role of tail risks," Resources Policy, Elsevier, vol. 75(C).
    29. Zhu, Zhaobo & Ji, Qiang & Sun, Licheng & Zhai, Pengxiang, 2020. "Oil price shocks, investor sentiment, and asset pricing anomalies in the oil and gas industry," International Review of Financial Analysis, Elsevier, vol. 70(C).
    30. Orlowski, Lucjan T., 2017. "Volatility of commodity futures prices and market-implied inflation expectations," Journal of International Financial Markets, Institutions and Money, Elsevier, vol. 51(C), pages 133-141.

  75. Rangan Gupta & Mark E. Wohar, 2015. "Forecasting Oil and Stock Returns with a Qual VAR using over 150 Years of Data," Working Papers 201589, University of Pretoria, Department of Economics.

    Cited by:

    1. Xia, Tongshui & Ji, Qiang & Geng, Jiang-Bo, 2020. "Nonlinear dependence and information spillover between electricity and fuel source markets: New evidence from a multi-scale analysis," Physica A: Statistical Mechanics and its Applications, Elsevier, vol. 537(C).
    2. Riza Demirer & Rangan Gupta & Qiang Ji & Aviral Kumar Tiwari, 2018. "Geopolitical Risks and the Predictability of Regional Oil Returns and Volatility," Working Papers 201860, University of Pretoria, Department of Economics.
    3. Rangan Gupta & Syed Jawad Hussain Shahzad & Xin Sheng & Sowmya Subramaniam, 2023. "The role of oil and risk shocks in the high‐frequency movements of the term structure of interest rates: Evidence from the U.S. Treasury market," International Journal of Finance & Economics, John Wiley & Sons, Ltd., vol. 28(2), pages 1845-1857, April.
    4. Gupta, Rangan & Kanda, Patrick & Tiwari, Aviral Kumar & Wohar, Mark E., 2019. "Time-varying predictability of oil market movements over a century of data: The role of US financial stress," The North American Journal of Economics and Finance, Elsevier, vol. 50(C).
    5. Bos, Martijn & Demirer, Riza & Gupta, Rangan & Tiwari, Aviral Kumar, 2018. "Oil returns and volatility: The role of mergers and acquisitions," Energy Economics, Elsevier, vol. 71(C), pages 62-69.
    6. Afees A. Salisu & Raymond Swaray & Tirimisyu F. Oloko, 2017. "A multi-factor predictive model for oil-US stock nexus with persistence, endogeneity and conditional heteroscedasticity effects," Working Papers 024, Centre for Econometric and Allied Research, University of Ibadan.
    7. Tian, Guangning & Peng, Yuchao & Meng, Yuhao, 2023. "Forecasting crude oil prices in the COVID-19 era: Can machine learn better?," Energy Economics, Elsevier, vol. 125(C).
    8. Ramzi Benkraiem & Thi Hong Van Hoang & Amine Lahiani & Anthony Miloudi, 2018. "Crude oil and equity markets in major European countries: New evidence," Post-Print hal-01914607, HAL.
    9. Mehmet Balcilar & Rangan Gupta & Christian Pierdzioch, 2022. "Oil-Price Uncertainty and International Stock Returns: Dissecting Quantile-Based Predictability and Spillover Effects Using More than a Century of Data," Energies, MDPI, vol. 15(22), pages 1-26, November.
    10. Marfatia, Hardik A. & Gupta, Rangan & Cakan, Esin, 2021. "Dynamic impact of the U.S. monetary policy on oil market returns and volatility," The Quarterly Review of Economics and Finance, Elsevier, vol. 80(C), pages 159-169.
    11. Mustanen, Dmitri & Maaitah, Ahmad & Mishra, Tapas & Parhi, Mamata, 2022. "The power of investors’ optimism and pessimism in oil market forecasting," Energy Economics, Elsevier, vol. 114(C).
    12. Sheng, Xin & Marfatia, Hardik A. & Gupta, Rangan & Ji, Qiang, 2021. "House price synchronization across the US states: The role of structural oil shocks," The North American Journal of Economics and Finance, Elsevier, vol. 56(C).
    13. Karasu, Seçkin & Altan, Aytaç, 2022. "Crude oil time series prediction model based on LSTM network with chaotic Henry gas solubility optimization," Energy, Elsevier, vol. 242(C).
    14. Saban Nazlioglu & Rangan Gupta & Alper Gormus & Ugur Soytas, 2019. "Price and Volatility Linkages between International REITs and Oil Markets," Working Papers 201954, University of Pretoria, Department of Economics.
    15. Semei Coronado & Rangan Gupta & Saban Nazlioglu & Omar Rojas, 2020. "Time-Varying Causality between Bond and Oil Markets of the United States: Evidence from Over One and Half Centuries of Data," Working Papers 202006, University of Pretoria, Department of Economics.
    16. Rangan Gupta & Syed Jawad Hussain Shahzad & Xin Sheng & Sowmya Subramaniam, 2020. "The Role of Oil and Risk Shocks in the High-Frequency Movements of the Term Structure of Interest Rates of the United States," Working Papers 202063, University of Pretoria, Department of Economics.
    17. Riza Demirer & Rangan Gupta & Jacobus Nel & Christian Pierdzioch, 2020. "Effect of Rare Disaster Risks on Crude Oil: Evidence from El Nino from Over 140 Years of Data," Working Papers 2020104, University of Pretoria, Department of Economics.
    18. Demirer, Riza & Gupta, Rangan & Pierdzioch, Christian & Shahzad, Syed Jawad Hussain, 2020. "The predictive power of oil price shocks on realized volatility of oil: A note," Resources Policy, Elsevier, vol. 69(C).
    19. Gupta, Rangan & Yoon, Seong-Min, 2018. "OPEC news and predictability of oil futures returns and volatility: Evidence from a nonparametric causality-in-quantiles approach," The North American Journal of Economics and Finance, Elsevier, vol. 45(C), pages 206-214.
    20. Chai, Jian & Xing, Li-Min & Zhou, Xiao-Yang & Zhang, Zhe George & Li, Jie-Xun, 2018. "Forecasting the WTI crude oil price by a hybrid-refined method," Energy Economics, Elsevier, vol. 71(C), pages 114-127.
    21. Afees A. Salisu & Rangan Gupta, 2023. "Oil Price Returns Skewness and Forecastability of International Stock Returns Over One Century of Data," Working Papers 202339, University of Pretoria, Department of Economics.
    22. Gupta, Rangan & Sheng, Xin & van Eyden, Reneé & Wohar, Mark E., 2021. "The impact of disaggregated oil shocks on state-level real housing returns of the United States: The role of oil dependence," Finance Research Letters, Elsevier, vol. 43(C).
    23. Drachal, Krzysztof, 2021. "Forecasting crude oil real prices with averaging time-varying VAR models," Resources Policy, Elsevier, vol. 74(C).
    24. Shian-Chang Huang & Cheng-Feng Wu, 2018. "Energy Commodity Price Forecasting with Deep Multiple Kernel Learning," Energies, MDPI, vol. 11(11), pages 1-16, November.
    25. Vasilios Plakandaras & Rangan Gupta & Wing-Keung Wong, 2018. "Point and Density Forecasts of Oil Returns: The Role of Geopolitical Risks," Working Papers 201847, University of Pretoria, Department of Economics.
    26. Konstantinos Gkillas & Rangan Gupta & Mark E. Wohar, 2020. "Oil shocks and volatility jumps," Review of Quantitative Finance and Accounting, Springer, vol. 54(1), pages 247-272, January.
    27. Geng, Jiang-Bo & Chen, Fu-Rui & Ji, Qiang & Liu, Bing-Yue, 2021. "Network connectedness between natural gas markets, uncertainty and stock markets," Energy Economics, Elsevier, vol. 95(C).
    28. Walid Bahloul & Rangan Gupta, 2018. "Impact of macroeconomic news surprises and uncertainty for major economies on returns and volatility of oil futures," International Economics, CEPII research center, issue 156, pages 247-253.
    29. Linlin Zhao & Jasper Mbachu & Zhansheng Liu, 2019. "Exploring the Trend of New Zealand Housing Prices to Support Sustainable Development," Sustainability, MDPI, vol. 11(9), pages 1-18, April.
    30. Qi Zhang & Yi Hu & Jianbin Jiao & Shouyang Wang, 2022. "Exploring the Trend of Commodity Prices: A Review and Bibliometric Analysis," Sustainability, MDPI, vol. 14(15), pages 1-22, August.
    31. Manickavasagam, Jeevananthan & Visalakshmi, S. & Apergis, Nicholas, 2020. "A novel hybrid approach to forecast crude oil futures using intraday data," Technological Forecasting and Social Change, Elsevier, vol. 158(C).
    32. Cortazar, Gonzalo & Ortega, Hector & Valencia, Consuelo, 2021. "How good are analyst forecasts of oil prices?," Energy Economics, Elsevier, vol. 102(C).
    33. Salisu, Afees A. & Gupta, Rangan & Ji, Qiang, 2022. "Forecasting oil prices over 150 years: The role of tail risks," Resources Policy, Elsevier, vol. 75(C).
    34. Ivanovski, Kris & Hailemariam, Abebe, 2021. "Forecasting the dynamic relationship between crude oil and stock prices since the 19th century," Journal of Commodity Markets, Elsevier, vol. 24(C).

  76. Mehmet Balcilar & Rangan Gupta & Clement Kyei & Mark Wohar, 2015. "Does Economic Policy Uncertainty Predict Exchange Rate Returns and Volatility? Evidence from a Nonparametric Causality-in-Quantiles Test," Working Papers 201599, University of Pretoria, Department of Economics.

    Cited by:

    1. Yonghong Jiang & Gengyu Tian & Yiqi Wu & Bin Mo, 2022. "Impacts of geopolitical risks and economic policy uncertainty on Chinese tourism‐listed company stock," International Journal of Finance & Economics, John Wiley & Sons, Ltd., vol. 27(1), pages 320-333, January.
    2. Mohsen Bahmani-Oskooee & Majid Maki-Nayeri, 2019. "Asymmetric Effects of Policy Uncertainty on Domestic Investment in G7 Countries," Open Economies Review, Springer, vol. 30(4), pages 675-693, September.
    3. Li, Xiao-Lin & Li, Xin & Si, Deng-Kui, 2020. "Investigating asymmetric determinants of the CNY–CNH exchange rate spreads: The role of economic policy uncertainty," Economics Letters, Elsevier, vol. 186(C).
    4. Khyati Kathuria & Nand Kumar, 2022. "Pandemic‐induced fear and government policy response as a measure of uncertainty in the foreign exchange market: Evidence from (a)symmetric wild bootstrap likelihood ratio test," Pacific Economic Review, Wiley Blackwell, vol. 27(4), pages 361-379, October.
    5. Kazutaka Kurasawa, 2016. "Policy Uncertainty and Foreign Exchange Rates: The DCC-GARCH Model of the US / Japanese Foreign Exchange Rate," International Journal of Economic Sciences, International Institute of Social and Economic Sciences, vol. 5(4), pages 1-19, December.
    6. Balcilar, Mehmet & Bouri, Elie & Gupta, Rangan & Roubaud, David, 2017. "Can volume predict Bitcoin returns and volatility? A quantiles-based approach," Economic Modelling, Elsevier, vol. 64(C), pages 74-81.
    7. Boqiang Lin & Tong Su, 2023. "Uncertainties and green bond markets: Evidence from tail dependence," International Journal of Finance & Economics, John Wiley & Sons, Ltd., vol. 28(4), pages 4458-4475, October.
    8. Balcilar, Mehmet & Ozdemir, Zeynel Abidin & Ozdemir, Huseyin & Wohar, Mark E., 2020. "Transmission of US and EU Economic Policy Uncertainty Shock to Asian Economies in Bad and Good Times," IZA Discussion Papers 13274, Institute of Labor Economics (IZA).
    9. Vasilios Plakandaras & Rangan Gupta & Luis A. Gil-Alana & Mark E. Wohar, 2018. "Are BRICS Exchange Rates Chaotic?," Working Papers 201822, University of Pretoria, Department of Economics.
    10. Al-Thaqeb, Saud Asaad & Algharabali, Barrak Ghanim, 2019. "Economic policy uncertainty: A literature review," The Journal of Economic Asymmetries, Elsevier, vol. 20(C).
    11. Giovanni Bonaccolto & Massimiliano Caporin & Rangan Gupta, 2015. "The Dynamic Impact of Uncertainty in Causing and Forecasting the Distribution of Oil Returns and Risk," Working Papers 201564, University of Pretoria, Department of Economics.
    12. Mehmet Balcilar & George Ike & Rangan Gupta, 2019. "The Role of Economic Policy Uncertainty in Predicting Output Growth in Emerging Markets: A Mixed-Frequency Granger Causality Approach," Working Papers 201975, University of Pretoria, Department of Economics.
    13. Feng, Hao & Gao, Da & Duan, Kun & Urquhart, Andrew, 2023. "Does Bitcoin affect decomposed oil shocks differently? Evidence from a quantile-based framework," International Review of Financial Analysis, Elsevier, vol. 89(C).
    14. Bonato, Matteo & Cepni, Oguzhan & Gupta, Rangan & Pierdzioch, Christian, 2023. "Climate risks and realized volatility of major commodity currency exchange rates," Journal of Financial Markets, Elsevier, vol. 62(C).
    15. Thobekile Qabhobho, 2023. "Assessing the Asymmetric Effect of Local Realized Exchange Rate Volatility and Implied Volatilities in Energy Market on Exchange Rate Returns in BRICS," International Journal of Energy Economics and Policy, Econjournals, vol. 13(2), pages 231-239, March.
    16. Mehmet Balcilar & Elie Bouri & Rangan Gupta & David Roubaud, 2016. "Can Volume Predict Bitcoin Returns and Volatility? A Nonparametric Causality-in-Quantiles Approach," Working Papers 201662, University of Pretoria, Department of Economics.
    17. Adedokun Adeniyi J. & Falayi Olabusuyi R. & Adeyemi Francis O. & Kumeka Terver T., 2022. "Global Economic Uncertainties and Exchange Rate Management in Africa: A Panel Study," Acta Universitatis Sapientiae, Economics and Business, Sciendo, vol. 10(1), pages 161-184, September.
    18. Ruipeng Liu & Riza Demirer & Rangan Gupta & Mark Wohar, 2020. "Volatility forecasting with bivariate multifractal models," Journal of Forecasting, John Wiley & Sons, Ltd., vol. 39(2), pages 155-167, March.
    19. Rangan Gupta & Anandamayee Majumdar & Mark E. Wohar, 2017. "The Role of Current Account Balance in Forecasting the US Equity Premium: Evidence From a Quantile Predictive Regression Approach," Open Economies Review, Springer, vol. 28(1), pages 47-59, February.
    20. Balcilar, Mehmet & Usman, Ojonugwa & Gungor, Hasan & Roubaud, David & Wohar, Mark E., 2021. "Role of global, regional, and advanced market economic policy uncertainty on bond spreads in emerging markets," Economic Modelling, Elsevier, vol. 102(C).
    21. Wangfang Xu & Wenjia Rao & Longbao Wei & Qianqian Wang, 2023. "A Normalized Global Economic Policy Uncertainty Index from Unsupervised Machine Learning," Mathematics, MDPI, vol. 11(15), pages 1-10, July.
    22. Kamal, Javed Bin & Wohar, Mark & Kamal, Khaled Bin, 2022. "Do gold, oil, equities, and currencies hedge economic policy uncertainty and geopolitical risks during covid crisis?," Resources Policy, Elsevier, vol. 78(C).
    23. Muhammad Shahbaz & Arshian Sharif & Fateh Belaid & Xuan Vinh Vo, 2023. "Long‐run co‐variability between oil prices and economic policy uncertainty," International Journal of Finance & Economics, John Wiley & Sons, Ltd., vol. 28(2), pages 1308-1326, April.
    24. Wang, Yonglian & Wang, Lijun & Pan, Changchun & Hong, Songzhi, 2022. "Economic policy uncertainty and price pass-through effect of exchange rate in China," Pacific-Basin Finance Journal, Elsevier, vol. 75(C).
    25. Ifedolapo Olabisi Olanipekun & Hasan Güngör & Godwin Olasehinde-Williams, 2019. "Unraveling the Causal Relationship Between Economic Policy Uncertainty and Exchange Market Pressure in BRIC Countries: Evidence From Bootstrap Panel Granger Causality," SAGE Open, , vol. 9(2), pages 21582440198, June.
    26. Soylu, Pınar Kaya & Güloğlu, Bülent, 2019. "Financial contagion and flight to quality between emerging markets and U.S. bond market," The North American Journal of Economics and Finance, Elsevier, vol. 50(C).
    27. Goodness C. Aye & Rangan Gupta & Chi Keung Marco Lau & Xin Sheng, 2018. "Is There a Role for Uncertainty in Forecasting Output Growth in OECD Countries? Evidence from a Time Varying Parameter-Panel Vector Autoregressive Model," Working Papers 201823, University of Pretoria, Department of Economics.
    28. Christina Christou & David Gabauer & Rangan Gupta, 2019. "Time-Varying Impact of Uncertainty Shocks on Macroeconomic Variables of the United Kingdom: Evidence from Over 150 Years of Monthly Data," Working Papers 201962, University of Pretoria, Department of Economics.
    29. Mehmet Balcilar & Matteo Bonato & Riza Demirer & Rangan Gupta, 2016. "Geopolitical Risks and Stock Market Dynamics of the BRICS," Working Papers 201648, University of Pretoria, Department of Economics.
    30. Mokni, Khaled & Bouteska, Ahmed & Nakhli, Mohamed Sahbi, 2022. "Investor sentiment and Bitcoin relationship: A quantile-based analysis," The North American Journal of Economics and Finance, Elsevier, vol. 60(C).
    31. Zhou, Zhongbao & Fu, Zhangyan & Jiang, Yong & Zeng, Ximei & Lin, Ling, 2020. "Can economic policy uncertainty predict exchange rate volatility? New evidence from the GARCH-MIDAS model," Finance Research Letters, Elsevier, vol. 34(C).
    32. Christina Christou & Rangan Gupta & Christis Hassapis & Tahir Suleman, 2018. "The role of economic uncertainty in forecasting exchange rate returns and realized volatility: Evidence from quantile predictive regressions," Journal of Forecasting, John Wiley & Sons, Ltd., vol. 37(7), pages 705-719, November.
    33. Mehmet Balcilar & Esin Cakan & Rangan Gupta, 2016. "Does U.S. News Impact Asian Emerging Markets? Evidence from Nonparametric Causality-in-Quantiles Test," Working Papers 201631, University of Pretoria, Department of Economics.
    34. Al-Shboul, Mohammad & Assaf, Ata & Mokni, Khaled, 2023. "Does economic policy uncertainty drive the dynamic spillover among traditional currencies and cryptocurrencies? The role of the COVID-19 pandemic," Research in International Business and Finance, Elsevier, vol. 64(C).
    35. Yang, Dong-Xiao & Wu, Bi-Bo & Tong, Jing-Yang, 2021. "Dynamics and causality of oil price shocks on commodities: Quantile-on-quantile and causality-in-quantiles methods," Resources Policy, Elsevier, vol. 74(C).
    36. Li, Xiao, 2021. "Does Chinese investor sentiment predict Asia-pacific stock markets? Evidence from a nonparametric causality-in-quantiles test," Finance Research Letters, Elsevier, vol. 38(C).
    37. Feng, Gen-Fu & Zheng, Mingbo, 2022. "Economic policy uncertainty and renewable energy innovation: International evidence," Innovation and Green Development, Elsevier, vol. 1(2).
    38. Amine Ben Amar & Jean‐Étienne Carlotti, 2021. "Who drives the dance? Further insights from a time‐frequency wavelet analysis of the interrelationship between stock markets and uncertainty," International Journal of Finance & Economics, John Wiley & Sons, Ltd., vol. 26(1), pages 1623-1636, January.
    39. Wei, Yu & Zhang, Jiahao & Chen, Yongfei & Wang, Yizhi, 2022. "The impacts of El Niño-southern oscillation on renewable energy stock markets: Evidence from quantile perspective," Energy, Elsevier, vol. 260(C).
    40. Martha Flores‐Sosa & Ezequiel Avilés‐Ochoa & José M. Merigó, 2022. "Exchange rate and volatility: A bibliometric review," International Journal of Finance & Economics, John Wiley & Sons, Ltd., vol. 27(1), pages 1419-1442, January.
    41. Balcilar, Mehmet & Gupta, Rangan & Wang, Shixuan & Wohar, Mark E., 2020. "Oil price uncertainty and movements in the US government bond risk premia," The North American Journal of Economics and Finance, Elsevier, vol. 52(C).
    42. Rangan Gupta & Vasilios Plakandaras, 2018. "Efficiency in BRICS Currency Markets using Long-Spans of Data: Evidence from Model-Free Tests of Directional Predictability," Working Papers 201836, University of Pretoria, Department of Economics.
    43. Plakandaras, Vasilios & Gupta, Rangan & Wohar, Mark E., 2017. "The depreciation of the pound post-Brexit: Could it have been predicted?," Finance Research Letters, Elsevier, vol. 21(C), pages 206-213.
    44. Yahui Yang & Zhe Peng, 2024. "Openness and Real Exchange Rate Volatility: Evidence from China," Open Economies Review, Springer, vol. 35(1), pages 121-158, February.
    45. Bush, Georgia & López Noria, Gabriela, 2021. "Uncertainty and exchange rate volatility: Evidence from Mexico," International Review of Economics & Finance, Elsevier, vol. 75(C), pages 704-722.
    46. Song, Lu & Tian, Gengyu & Jiang, Yonghong, 2022. "Connectedness of commodity, exchange rate and categorical economic policy uncertainties — Evidence from China," The North American Journal of Economics and Finance, Elsevier, vol. 60(C).
    47. Abir ABID & Christophe RAULT, 2020. "On the Exchange Rates Volatility and Economic Policy Uncertainty Nexus: A Panel VAR Approach for Emerging Markets," LEO Working Papers / DR LEO 2894, Orleans Economics Laboratory / Laboratoire d'Economie d'Orleans (LEO), University of Orleans.
    48. Yu, Xiaoling & Huang, Yirong, 2021. "The impact of economic policy uncertainty on stock volatility: Evidence from GARCH–MIDAS approach," Physica A: Statistical Mechanics and its Applications, Elsevier, vol. 570(C).
    49. Ruipeng Liu & Riza Demirer & Rangan Gupta & Mark E. Wohar, 2017. "Do Bivariate Multifractal Models Improve Volatility Forecasting in Financial Time Series? An Application to Foreign Exchange and Stock Markets," Working Papers 201728, University of Pretoria, Department of Economics.
    50. Raza, Syed Ali & Shah, Nida & Guesmi, Khaled & Msolli, Badreddine, 2022. "How does COVID-19 influence dynamic spillover connectedness between cryptocurrencies? Evidence from non-parametric causality-in-quantiles techniques," Finance Research Letters, Elsevier, vol. 47(PA).
    51. Yue Liu & Pierre Failler & Jiaying Peng & Yuhang Zheng, 2020. "Time-Varying Relationship between Crude Oil Price and Exchange Rate in the Context of Structural Breaks," Energies, MDPI, vol. 13(9), pages 1-17, May.
    52. Shao, Liuguo & Zhang, Hua & Chen, Jinyu & Zhu, Xuehong, 2021. "Effect of oil price uncertainty on clean energy metal stocks in China: Evidence from a nonparametric causality-in-quantiles approach," International Review of Economics & Finance, Elsevier, vol. 73(C), pages 407-419.
    53. Long, Shaobo & Zhang, Rui & Hao, Jing, 2022. "Asymmetric impact of Sino-US interest rate differentials and economic policy uncertainty ratio on RMB exchange rate," Journal of International Financial Markets, Institutions and Money, Elsevier, vol. 78(C).
    54. Oğuz Tümtürk, 2023. "Key Macroeconomic Variables under Exchange Rate Volatility: Time-Varying Causality in the Presence of Structural Breaks and Nonlinearity," EKOIST Journal of Econometrics and Statistics, Istanbul University, Faculty of Economics, vol. 0(39), pages 49-64, December.
    55. Cagli, Efe Caglar & Mandaci, Pinar Evrim, 2023. "Time and frequency connectedness of uncertainties in cryptocurrency, stock, currency, energy, and precious metals markets," Emerging Markets Review, Elsevier, vol. 55(C).
    56. Christina Christou & Juncal Cunado & Rangan Gupta & Christis Hassapis, 2016. "Economic Policy Uncertainty and Stock Market Returns in Pacific-Rim Countries: Evidence based on a Bayesian Panel VAR Model," Working Papers 201661, University of Pretoria, Department of Economics.
    57. Elie Bouri & Konstantinos Gkillas & Rangan Gupta, 2020. "Trade uncertainties and the hedging abilities of Bitcoin," Economic Notes, Banca Monte dei Paschi di Siena SpA, vol. 49(3), September.
    58. Bogdan DIMA & Marius Sorin DINCĂ & Ştefana Maria DIMA & Gheorghiţa DINCĂ, 2017. "Does Economic Policies Uncertainty affect Economic Activity? Evidences from the United States of America," Journal for Economic Forecasting, Institute for Economic Forecasting, vol. 0(1), pages 60-74, March.
    59. Abid, Abir & Rault, Christophe, 2020. "On the Exchange Rate and Economic Policy Uncertainty Nexus: A Panel VAR Approach for Emerging Markets," IZA Discussion Papers 13365, Institute of Labor Economics (IZA).
    60. Ifedolapo Olabisi Olanipekun & Godwin Olasehinde-Williams & Hasan Güngör, 2019. "Impact of Economic Policy Uncertainty on Exchange Market Pressure," SAGE Open, , vol. 9(3), pages 21582440198, September.
    61. Wei-long Wu & Changqi Shao, 2023. "How does home and host-country policy uncertainty affect outward FDI? Firm-level evidence from China," Economia Politica: Journal of Analytical and Institutional Economics, Springer;Fondazione Edison, vol. 40(2), pages 495-515, July.
    62. Lin Liu, 2022. "Economic Uncertainty and Exchange Market Pressure: Evidence From China," SAGE Open, , vol. 12(1), pages 21582440211, January.
    63. Alola, Andrew A. & Adekoya, Oluwasegun B. & Oliyide, Johnson A., 2022. "Outlook of oil prices and volatility from 1970 to 2040 through global energy mix-security from production to reserves: A nonparametric causality-in-quantiles approach," Resources Policy, Elsevier, vol. 79(C).
    64. Zeng, Qing & Lu, Xinjie & Dong, Dayong & Li, Pan, 2022. "Category-specific EPU indices, macroeconomic variables and stock market return predictability," International Review of Financial Analysis, Elsevier, vol. 84(C).
    65. Caixe, Daniel Ferreira, 2022. "Corporate governance and investment sensitivity to policy uncertainty in Brazil," Emerging Markets Review, Elsevier, vol. 51(PB).
    66. Saud Asaad Al‐Thaqeb & Barrak Ghanim Algharabali & Khaled Tareq Alabdulghafour, 2022. "The pandemic and economic policy uncertainty," International Journal of Finance & Economics, John Wiley & Sons, Ltd., vol. 27(3), pages 2784-2794, July.
    67. Yonghong JIANG & Juan MENG & He NIE, 2018. "Visiting the Economic Policy Uncertainty Shocks - Economic Growth Relationship: Wavelet-based Granger-Causality in Quantiles Approac," Journal for Economic Forecasting, Institute for Economic Forecasting, vol. 0(2), pages 80-94, December.
    68. Liya Hau & Huiming Zhu & Muhammad Shahbaz & Ke Huang, 2023. "Quantile Dependence between Crude Oil and China’s Biofuel Feedstock Commodity Market," Sustainability, MDPI, vol. 15(11), pages 1-17, June.
    69. Bartsch, Zachary, 2019. "Economic policy uncertainty and dollar-pound exchange rate return volatility," Journal of International Money and Finance, Elsevier, vol. 98(C), pages 1-1.
    70. Terver Theophilus Kumeka & Olabusuyi Rufus Falayi & Adeniyi Jimmy Adedokun & Francis Olayinka Adeyemi, 2023. "Economic policy uncertainty and exchange market pressure in Nigeria: a quantile regression analysis," International Journal of Sustainable Economy, Inderscience Enterprises Ltd, vol. 15(2), pages 135-166.
    71. Abir ABID & Christophe RAULT, 2020. "On the Exchange Rates Volatility and Economic Policy Uncertainty Nexus: A Panel VAR Approach for Emerging Markets," LEO Working Papers / DR LEO 2816, Orleans Economics Laboratory / Laboratoire d'Economie d'Orleans (LEO), University of Orleans.
    72. Nicholas Apergis & Matteo Bonato & Rangan Gupta & Clement Kyei, 2016. "Does Geopolitical Risks Predict Stock Returns and Volatility of Leading Defense Companies? Evidence from a Nonparametric Approach," Working Papers 201671, University of Pretoria, Department of Economics.
    73. Yang, Kun & Wei, Yu & Li, Shouwei & Liu, Liang & Wang, Lei, 2021. "Global financial uncertainties and China’s crude oil futures market: Evidence from interday and intraday price dynamics," Energy Economics, Elsevier, vol. 96(C).
    74. Ololade Periola-Fatunsin & Johnson A. Oliyide & Ismail O. Fasanya, 2021. "Uncertainty Due to Pandemic and the Volatility Connectedness Among Asian REITs Market," Asian Economics Letters, Asia-Pacific Applied Economics Association, vol. 2(2), pages 1-5.
    75. S. M. Woahid Murad, 2022. "The role of domestic and foreign economic uncertainties in determining the foreign exchange rates: an extended monetary approach," Journal of Economics and Finance, Springer;Academy of Economics and Finance, vol. 46(4), pages 666-677, October.
    76. Tomiwa Sunday Adebayo & Seyi Saint Akadiri & Ilham Haouas & Husam Rjoub, 2023. "A Time-Varying Analysis between Financial Development and Carbon Emissions: Evidence from the MINT countries," Energy & Environment, , vol. 34(5), pages 1207-1227, August.
    77. Balcilar, Mehmet & Gupta, Rangan & Pierdzioch, Christian, 2016. "Does uncertainty move the gold price? New evidence from a nonparametric causality-in-quantiles test," Resources Policy, Elsevier, vol. 49(C), pages 74-80.
    78. Yin DAI & Jing-wen ZHANG & Xiu-zhen YU & Xin LI, 2017. "Causality between economic policy uncertainty and exchange rate in China with considering quantile differences," Theoretical and Applied Economics, Asociatia Generala a Economistilor din Romania - AGER, vol. 0(3(612), A), pages 29-38, Autumn.
    79. Terver T. Kumeka & Olabusuyi R. Falayi & Adeniyi J. Adedokun & Francis O. Adeyemi, 2022. "An econometric analysis of economic policy uncertainty and exchange market pressure of the three largest economies in West Africa," SN Business & Economics, Springer, vol. 2(11), pages 1-33, November.
    80. Chen, Hao & Xu, Chao, 2022. "The impact of cryptocurrencies on China's carbon price variation during COVID-19: A quantile perspective," Technological Forecasting and Social Change, Elsevier, vol. 183(C).
    81. Lee A. Smales, 2022. "The influence of policy uncertainty on exchange rate forecasting," Journal of Forecasting, John Wiley & Sons, Ltd., vol. 41(5), pages 997-1016, August.
    82. Chen, Jinyu & Wang, Yilin & Ren, Xiaohang, 2022. "Asymmetric effects of non-ferrous metal price shocks on clean energy stocks: Evidence from a quantile-on-quantile method," Resources Policy, Elsevier, vol. 78(C).
    83. Wu, Xinyu & Xie, Haibin & Zhang, Huanming, 2022. "Time-varying risk aversion and renminbi exchange rate volatility: Evidence from CARR-MIDAS model," The North American Journal of Economics and Finance, Elsevier, vol. 61(C).
    84. Chen, Liming & Du, Ziqing & Hu, Zhihao, 2020. "Impact of economic policy uncertainty on exchange rate volatility of China," Finance Research Letters, Elsevier, vol. 32(C).
    85. Kisswani, Khalid M. & Elian, Mohammad I., 2021. "Analyzing the (a)symmetric impacts of oil price, economic policy uncertainty, and global geopolitical risk on exchange rate," The Journal of Economic Asymmetries, Elsevier, vol. 24(C).
    86. Balcilar, Mehmet & Gupta, Rangan & Lee, Chien-Chiang & Olasehinde-Williams, Godwin, 2020. "Insurance and economic policy uncertainty," Research in International Business and Finance, Elsevier, vol. 54(C).
    87. Idilbi-Bayaa, Yasmeen & Qadan, Mahmoud, 2022. "What the current yield curve says, and what the future prices of energy do," Resources Policy, Elsevier, vol. 75(C).

  77. Bataa, Erdenebat & Wohar, Mark & Vivian, Andrew, 2015. "Changes in the relationship between short-term interest rate, inflation and growth: Evidence from the UK, 1820-2014," MPRA Paper 72422, University Library of Munich, Germany.

    Cited by:

    1. Vasilios Plakandaras & Rangan Gupta & Mark E. Wohar, 2017. "An Assessment of UK Macroeconomic Volatility: Historical Evidence Using Over Seven Centuries of Data," Working Papers 201779, University of Pretoria, Department of Economics.
    2. Christina Christou & David Gabauer & Rangan Gupta, 2019. "Time-Varying Impact of Uncertainty Shocks on Macroeconomic Variables of the United Kingdom: Evidence from Over 150 Years of Monthly Data," Working Papers 201962, University of Pretoria, Department of Economics.
    3. Zakamulin, Valeriy & Hunnes, John A., 2021. "Stock earnings and bond yields in the US 1871–2017: The story of a changing relationship," The Quarterly Review of Economics and Finance, Elsevier, vol. 79(C), pages 182-197.
    4. Bruna, Karel & Tran, Quang Van, 2020. "The central banks’ ability to control variability of money market interest rates: The case of inflation targeting countries," Journal of Economic Behavior & Organization, Elsevier, vol. 176(C), pages 384-402.
    5. E. C. Mamatzakis & C. Staikouras, 2020. "Testing for the effects of credit crunch on agriculture investment in the EU," Bulletin of Economic Research, Wiley Blackwell, vol. 72(4), pages 434-450, October.

  78. Mehmet Balcilar & Rangan Gupta & Duc K. Nguyen & Mark E. Wohar, 2015. "Causal Effects of the United States and Japan on Pacific-Rim Stock Markets: Nonparametric Quantile Causality Approach," Working Papers 201595, University of Pretoria, Department of Economics.

    Cited by:

    1. Mehmet Balcilar & Elie Bouri & Rangan Gupta & Christian Pierdzioch, 2021. "El Nino, La Nina, and the Forecastability of the Realized Variance of Heating Oil Price Movements," Working Papers 202138, University of Pretoria, Department of Economics.
    2. Riza Demirer & Rangan Gupta & Qiang Ji & Aviral Kumar Tiwari, 2018. "Geopolitical Risks and the Predictability of Regional Oil Returns and Volatility," Working Papers 201860, University of Pretoria, Department of Economics.
    3. Rangan Gupta & Yuvana Jaichand & Christian Pierdzioch & Reneé van Eyden, 2023. "Realized Stock-Market Volatility of the United States and the Presidential Approval Rating," Mathematics, MDPI, vol. 11(13), pages 1-27, July.
    4. Khan, Nasir & Saleem, Asima & Ozkan, Oktay, 2023. "Do geopolitical oil price risk influence stock market returns and volatility of Pakistan: Evidence from novel non-parametric quantile causality approach," Resources Policy, Elsevier, vol. 81(C).
    5. Chuliá, Helena & Koser, Christoph & Uribe, Jorge M., 2021. "Analyzing the Nonlinear Pricing of Liquidity Risk according to the Market State," Finance Research Letters, Elsevier, vol. 38(C).
    6. Balcilar, Mehmet & Bathia, Deven & Demirer, Riza & Gupta, Rangan, 2021. "Credit ratings and predictability of stock return dynamics of the BRICS and the PIIGS: Evidence from a nonparametric causality-in-quantiles approach," The Quarterly Review of Economics and Finance, Elsevier, vol. 79(C), pages 290-302.
    7. Balcilar, Mehmet & Usman, Ojonugwa & Gungor, Hasan & Roubaud, David & Wohar, Mark E., 2021. "Role of global, regional, and advanced market economic policy uncertainty on bond spreads in emerging markets," Economic Modelling, Elsevier, vol. 102(C).
    8. Faisal Alqahtani & Nader Trabelsi & Nahla Samargandi & Syed Jawad Hussain Shahzad, 2020. "Tail Dependence and Risk Spillover from the US to GCC Banking Sectors," Mathematics, MDPI, vol. 8(11), pages 1-18, November.
    9. Rangan Gupta, 2018. "Manager Sentiment and Stock Market Volatility," Working Papers 201853, University of Pretoria, Department of Economics.
    10. Riza Demirer & Rangan Gupta & Jacobus Nel & Christian Pierdzioch, 2020. "Effect of Rare Disaster Risks on Crude Oil: Evidence from El Nino from Over 140 Years of Data," Working Papers 2020104, University of Pretoria, Department of Economics.
    11. Vasilios Plakandaras & Rangan Gupta & Mehmet Balcilar & Qiang Ji, 2021. "Evolving United States Stock Market Volatility: The Role of Conventional and Unconventional Monetary Policies," Working Papers 202113, University of Pretoria, Department of Economics.
    12. Helena Chuliá & Rangan Gupta & Jorge M. Uribe & Mark E. Wohar, 2016. "Impact of US Uncertainties on Emerging and Mature Markets: Evidence from a Quantile-Vector Autoregressive Approach," Working Papers 201656, University of Pretoria, Department of Economics.
    13. Mehmet Balcilar & Rangan Gupta & Ricardo M. Sousa & Mark E. Wohar, 2020. "Linking U.S. State-Level Housing Market Returns and the Consumption-(Dis)Aggregate Wealth Ratio," Working Papers 202094, University of Pretoria, Department of Economics.
    14. Mehmet Balcilar & Elie Bouri & Rangan Gupta & Mark E. Wohar, 2018. "Mortgage Default Risks and High-Frequency Predictability of the US Housing Market: A Reconsideration," Working Papers 201875, University of Pretoria, Department of Economics.
    15. Rangan Gupta & Hardik A. Marfatia & Eric Olson, 2020. "Effect of uncertainty on U.S. stock returns and volatility: evidence from over eighty years of high-frequency data," Applied Economics Letters, Taylor & Francis Journals, vol. 27(16), pages 1305-1311, September.
    16. Elie Bouri & Rangan Gupta & Clement Kweku Kyei & Rinsuna Shivambu, 2020. "Uncertainty and Daily Predictability of Housing Returns and Volatility of the United States: Evidence from a Higher-Order Nonparametric Causality-in-Quantiles Test," Working Papers 202071, University of Pretoria, Department of Economics.
    17. Rangan Gupta & Jacobus Nel & Joshua Nielsen & Christian Pierdzioch, 2023. "Stock Market Volatility and Multi-Scale Positive and Negative Bubbles," Working Papers 202310, University of Pretoria, Department of Economics.
    18. Salisu, Afees A. & Gupta, Rangan & Nel, Jacobus & Bouri, Elie, 2022. "The (Asymmetric) effect of El Niño and La Niña on gold and silver prices in a GVAR model," Resources Policy, Elsevier, vol. 78(C).
    19. Balcilar, Mehmet & Gupta, Rangan & Wang, Shixuan & Wohar, Mark E., 2020. "Oil price uncertainty and movements in the US government bond risk premia," The North American Journal of Economics and Finance, Elsevier, vol. 52(C).
    20. Elie Bouri & Rangan Gupta & Hardik A. Marfatia & Jacobus Nel, 2022. "Do Climate Risks Predict US Housing Returns and Volatility? Evidence from a Quantiles-Based Approach," Working Papers 202240, University of Pretoria, Department of Economics.
    21. Pata, Ugur Korkut & Yilanci, Veli & Zhang, Qianxiao & Shah, Syed Ale Raza, 2022. "Does financial development promote renewable energy consumption in the USA? Evidence from the Fourier-wavelet quantile causality test," Renewable Energy, Elsevier, vol. 196(C), pages 432-443.
    22. Riza Demirer & David Gabauer & Rangan Gupta & Joshua Nielsen, 2023. "Gold-to-Platinum Price Ratio and the Predictability of Bubbles in Financial Markets," Working Papers 202317, University of Pretoria, Department of Economics.
    23. Christina Christou & Juncal Cunado & Rangan Gupta & Christis Hassapis, 2016. "Economic Policy Uncertainty and Stock Market Returns in Pacific-Rim Countries: Evidence based on a Bayesian Panel VAR Model," Working Papers 201661, University of Pretoria, Department of Economics.
    24. Fasanya, Ismail O. & Oliyide, Johnson A. & Adekoya, Oluwasegun B. & Agbatogun, Taofeek, 2021. "How does economic policy uncertainty connect with the dynamic spillovers between precious metals and bitcoin markets?," Resources Policy, Elsevier, vol. 72(C).
    25. Balcilar, Mehmet & Gupta, Rangan & Nel, Jacobus, 2022. "Rare disaster risks and gold over 700 years: Evidence from nonparametric quantile regressions," Resources Policy, Elsevier, vol. 79(C).
    26. Rangan Gupta & Mark E. Wohar, 2018. "The Role of Monetary Policy Uncertainty in Predicting Equity Market Volatility of the United Kingdom: Evidence from over 150 Years of Data," Working Papers 201851, University of Pretoria, Department of Economics.
    27. Rangan Gupta & Damien Moodley, 2023. "Housing Search Activity and Quantiles-Based Predictability of Housing Price Movements in the United States," Working Papers 202335, University of Pretoria, Department of Economics.
    28. Zhuhua Jiang & Rangan Gupta & Sowmya Subramaniam & Seong-Min Yoon, 2021. "The Effect of Air Quality and Weather on the Chinese Stock: Evidence from Shenzhen Stock Exchange," Sustainability, MDPI, vol. 13(5), pages 1-20, March.
    29. Massaporn Cheuathonghua & Chaiyuth Padungsaksawasdi & Pattana Boonchoo & Jittima Tongurai, 2019. "Extreme spillovers of VIX fear index to international equity markets," Financial Markets and Portfolio Management, Springer;Swiss Society for Financial Market Research, vol. 33(1), pages 1-38, March.
    30. Mehmet Balcilar & Riza Demirer, 2022. "U.S. monetary policy and the predictability of global economic synchronization patterns," Journal of Economics and Finance, Springer;Academy of Economics and Finance, vol. 46(3), pages 473-492, July.
    31. Olanipekun, Ifedolapo Olabisi & Ozkan, Oktay & Olasehinde-Williams, Godwin, 2023. "Is renewable energy use lowering resource-related uncertainties?," Energy, Elsevier, vol. 271(C).

  79. Rangan Gupta & Eric Olson & Mark E. Wohar, 2015. "Forecasting Key US Macroeconomic Variables with a Factor-Augmented Qual VAR," Working Papers 201585, University of Pretoria, Department of Economics.

    Cited by:

    1. Gupta, Rangan & Wohar, Mark, 2017. "Forecasting oil and stock returns with a Qual VAR using over 150years off data," Energy Economics, Elsevier, vol. 62(C), pages 181-186.
    2. Hany Guirguis & Vaneesha Boney Dutra & Zoe McGreevy, 2022. "The impact of global economies on US inflation: A test of the Phillips curve," Journal of Economics and Finance, Springer;Academy of Economics and Finance, vol. 46(3), pages 575-592, July.
    3. Knut Lehre Seip & Dan Zhang, 2021. "The Yield Curve as a Leading Indicator: Accuracy and Timing of a Parsimonious Forecasting Model," Forecasting, MDPI, vol. 3(2), pages 1-16, May.

  80. Mehmet Balcilar & Rangan Gupta & Ricardo M. Sousa & Mark E. Wohar, 2015. "The Predictability of cay and cayMS for Stock and Housing Returns: A Nonparametric Causality in Quantile Test," Working Papers 201577, University of Pretoria, Department of Economics.

    Cited by:

    1. Chang, Tsangyao & Gupta, Rangan & Majumdar, Anandamayee & Pierdzioch, Christian, 2019. "Predicting stock market movements with a time-varying consumption-aggregate wealth ratio," International Review of Economics & Finance, Elsevier, vol. 59(C), pages 458-467.
    2. Rangan Gupta & Hardik A. Marfatia & Eric Olson, 2020. "Effect of uncertainty on U.S. stock returns and volatility: evidence from over eighty years of high-frequency data," Applied Economics Letters, Taylor & Francis Journals, vol. 27(16), pages 1305-1311, September.

  81. Kavita Sirichand & Andrew Vivian & Mark E.Wohar, 2014. "Examining real interest parity: which component reverts quickest and in which regime?," Discussion Paper Series 2014_05, Department of Economics, Loughborough University, revised Jul 2014.

    Cited by:

    1. Mohsen Bahmani‐Oskooee & Tsangyao Chang & Zahra (Mila) Elmi & Omid Ranjbar, 2019. "Real Interest Rate Parity And Fourier Quantile Unit Root Test," Bulletin of Economic Research, Wiley Blackwell, vol. 71(3), pages 348-358, July.
    2. Riedel, Jana, 2013. "Real interest rate convergence among G7 countries," VfS Annual Conference 2013 (Duesseldorf): Competition Policy and Regulation in a Global Economic Order 79928, Verein für Socialpolitik / German Economic Association.
    3. Abdullah Gulcu & Dilem Yildirim, 2018. "Smooth Breaks And Nonlinear Mean Reversion In Real Interest Parity: Evidence From East Asian Countries," ERC Working Papers 1804, ERC - Economic Research Center, Middle East Technical University, revised Feb 2018.
    4. Zixiong Xie & Shyh-Wei Chen & An-Chi Wu, 2023. "Real interest rate parity in the Pacific Rim countries: new empirical evidence," Empirical Economics, Springer, vol. 64(3), pages 1471-1515, March.
    5. Kim, Daehwan & Moneta, Fabio, 2021. "Long-term foreign exchange risk premia and inflation risk," International Review of Financial Analysis, Elsevier, vol. 78(C).

  82. David Harvey & Neil Kellard & Jakob Madsen & Mark Wohar, 2012. "Trends and Cycles in Real Commodity Prices: 1650-2010," CEH Discussion Papers 010, Centre for Economic History, Research School of Economics, Australian National University.

    Cited by:

    1. Han, Liyan & Xu, Yang & Yin, Libo, 2017. "Does investor attention matter? The attention-return relation in gold futures market," Economics Discussion Papers 2017-37, Kiel Institute for the World Economy (IfW Kiel).
    2. Luis Alberiko Gil-Alaña & Rangan Gupta, 2016. "Trends and Cycles in Historical Gold and Silver Prices," NCID Working Papers 05/2016, Navarra Center for International Development, University of Navarra.
    3. Awaworyi-Churchill, Sefa & Inekwe, John & Ivanovski, Kris & Smyth, Russell, 2022. "Breaks, trends and correlations in commodity prices in the very long-run," Energy Economics, Elsevier, vol. 108(C).

  83. Georgios KOURETAS & Mark E. WOHAR, 2010. "The Dynamics of Inflation: A Study of a Large Number of Countries," EcoMod2010 259600096, EcoMod.

    Cited by:

    1. Giorgio Canarella & Stephen M Miller, 2017. "Inflation Persistence Before and After Inflation Targeting: A Fractional Integration Approach," Eastern Economic Journal, Palgrave Macmillan;Eastern Economic Association, vol. 43(1), pages 78-103, January.
    2. Giorgio Canarella & Stephen M. Miller, 2016. "Inflation Persistence and Structural Breaks: The Experience of Inflation Targeting Countries and the US," Working papers 2016-11, University of Connecticut, Department of Economics.
    3. Robinson Kruse & Daniel Ventosa-Santaulària & Antonio E. Noriega, 2013. "Changes in persistence, spurious regressions and the Fisher hypothesis," CREATES Research Papers 2013-11, Department of Economics and Business Economics, Aarhus University.
    4. Heni Boubaker & Giorgio Canarella & Rangan Gupta & Stephen M. Miller, 2018. "Long-Memory Modeling and Forecasting: Evidence from the U.S. Historical Series of Inflation," Working Papers 201869, University of Pretoria, Department of Economics.
    5. Fernando Zarzosa Valdivia, 2020. "Inflation Dynamics in the ABC (Argentina, Brazil and Chile) countries," Ensayos de Política Económica, Departamento de Investigación Francisco Valsecchi, Facultad de Ciencias Económicas, Pontificia Universidad Católica Argentina., vol. 3(2), pages 77-99, Octubre.
    6. Castelnuovo, Efrem, 2010. "Trend inflation and macroeconomic volatilities in the post-WWII U.S. economy," The North American Journal of Economics and Finance, Elsevier, vol. 21(1), pages 19-33, March.
    7. Inês da Cunha Cabral & João Nicolau, 2022. "Inflation in the G7 and the expected time to reach the reference rate: A nonparametric approach," International Journal of Finance & Economics, John Wiley & Sons, Ltd., vol. 27(2), pages 1608-1620, April.
    8. Canarella, Giorgio & Miller, Stephen M., 2017. "Inflation targeting and inflation persistence: New evidence from fractional integration and cointegration," Journal of Economics and Business, Elsevier, vol. 92(C), pages 45-62.
    9. Luis A. Gil-Alana & Yadollah Dadgar & Rouhollah Nazari, 2019. "Iranian inflation: peristence and structural breaks," Journal of Economics and Finance, Springer;Academy of Economics and Finance, vol. 43(2), pages 398-408, April.

  84. Sarno, Lucio & Wohar, Mark, 2003. "Monetary Fundamentals and Exchange Rate Dynamics Under Different Nominal Regimes," Computing in Economics and Finance 2003 310, Society for Computational Economics.

    Cited by:

    1. Joseph P. Byrne & Dimitris Korobilis & Pinho J. Ribeiro, 2014. "Exchange Rate Predictability in a Changing World," Working Paper series 06_14, Rimini Centre for Economic Analysis.
    2. Hauzenberger, Niko & Huber, Florian, 2018. "Model instability in predictive exchange rate regressions," Department of Economics Working Paper Series 276, WU Vienna University of Economics and Business.
    3. Nikolaos Giannellis & Athanasios Papadopoulos, 2007. "Estimating the Equilibrium Effective Exchange Rate for Potential EMU Members," Open Economies Review, Springer, vol. 18(3), pages 307-326, July.
    4. Soon, Siew-Voon & Baharumshah, Ahmad Zubaidi, 2021. "Exchange rates and fundamentals: Further evidence based on asymmetric causality test," International Economics, Elsevier, vol. 165(C), pages 67-84.
    5. Carlo Altavilla & Paul De Grauwe, 2010. "Non-linearities in the relation between the exchange rate and its fundamentals," International Journal of Finance & Economics, John Wiley & Sons, Ltd., vol. 15(1), pages 1-21.
    6. Abhyankar, Abhay & Sarno, Lucio & Valente, Giorgio, 2005. "Exchange rates and fundamentals: evidence on the economic value of predictability," Journal of International Economics, Elsevier, vol. 66(2), pages 325-348, July.
    7. Hsing, Yu, 2009. "Analysis of the Behavior of the New Zealand Dollar Exchange Rate: Comparison of Four Major Models," Review of Applied Economics, Lincoln University, Department of Financial and Business Systems, vol. 5(1-2), pages 1-10, March.
    8. Cheolbeom Park & Sookyung Park, 2013. "Exchange Rate Predictability and a Monetary Model with Time-varying Cointegration Coefficients," Discussion Paper Series 1302, Institute of Economic Research, Korea University.
    9. Chang, Ming-Jen & Su, Che-Yi, 2014. "The dynamic relationship between exchange rates and macroeconomic fundamentals: Evidence from Pacific Rim countries," Journal of International Financial Markets, Institutions and Money, Elsevier, vol. 30(C), pages 220-246.
    10. Ronald MacDonald & Lukas Menkhoff & Rafael R. Rebitzky, 2009. "Exchange rate forecasters’ performance: evidence of skill?," Working Papers 2009_13, Business School - Economics, University of Glasgow.
    11. Yutaka Kurihara, 2012. "Exchange rate determination and structural changes in response to monetary policies," Studies in Economics and Finance, Emerald Group Publishing Limited, vol. 29(3), pages 187-196, July.
    12. Menkhoff, Lukas & Rebitzky, Rafael R., 2008. "Investor sentiment in the US-dollar: Longer-term, non-linear orientation on PPP," Journal of Empirical Finance, Elsevier, vol. 15(3), pages 455-467, June.
    13. Yuliya Lovcha & Alejandro Perez-Laborda, 2010. "Is exchange rate – customer order flow relationship linear? Evidence from the Hungarian FX market," MNB Working Papers 2010/10, Magyar Nemzeti Bank (Central Bank of Hungary).
    14. Beckmann, Joscha, 2011. "Nonlinear Adjustment, Purchasing Power Parity and the Role of Nominal Exchange Rates and Prices," Ruhr Economic Papers 272, RWI - Leibniz-Institut für Wirtschaftsforschung, Ruhr-University Bochum, TU Dortmund University, University of Duisburg-Essen.
    15. Beckmann, Joscha & Czudaj, Robert, 2014. "Regime shifts and the Canada/US exchange rate in a multivariate framework," Economics Letters, Elsevier, vol. 123(2), pages 206-211.
    16. Michael Frömmel & Darko B. Vukovic & Jinyuan Wu, 2022. "The Dollar Exchange Rate, Adjustment to the Purchasing Power Parity, and the Interest Rate Differential," Mathematics, MDPI, vol. 10(23), pages 1-17, November.
    17. Angelos Kanas & Georgios Tsiotas, 2005. "Real interest rates linkages between the USA and the UK in the postwar period," International Journal of Finance & Economics, John Wiley & Sons, Ltd., vol. 10(3), pages 251-262.
    18. Joscha Beckmann & Ansgar Belke & Michael Kühl, 2009. "How Stable Are Monetary Models of the Dollar-Euro Exchange Rate?: A Time-Varying Coefficient Approach," Discussion Papers of DIW Berlin 944, DIW Berlin, German Institute for Economic Research.
    19. Chen, Shiu-Sheng & Chou, Yu-Hsi, 2015. "Revisiting the relationship between exchange rates and fundamentals," Journal of Macroeconomics, Elsevier, vol. 46(C), pages 1-22.
    20. Max Gillman & Michal Kejak & Giulia Ghiani, 2014. "Money, Banking and Interest Rates: Monetary Policy Regimes with Markov-Switching VECM Evidence," CEU Working Papers 2014_3, Department of Economics, Central European University.
    21. Hwa-Taek Lee & Gawon Yoon, 2013. "Does purchasing power parity hold sometimes? Regime switching in real exchange rates," Applied Economics, Taylor & Francis Journals, vol. 45(16), pages 2279-2294, June.
    22. Beckmann, Joscha & Czudaj, Robert, 2014. "Effective exchange rates, current accounts and global imbalances," VfS Annual Conference 2014 (Hamburg): Evidence-based Economic Policy 100364, Verein für Socialpolitik / German Economic Association.
    23. Angelos Kanas, 2009. "Real exchange rates and developing countries," International Journal of Finance & Economics, John Wiley & Sons, Ltd., vol. 14(3), pages 280-299.
    24. Lee, Hsiu-Yun & Chang, Wen-Ya, 2007. "Central bank intervention and exchange rate dynamics: A rationale for the regime-switching process of exchange rates," Journal of the Japanese and International Economies, Elsevier, vol. 21(1), pages 64-77, March.
    25. Dimitris A. Georgoutsos & Georgios P. Kouretas, 2017. "The Relevance of the Monetary Model for the Euro / USD Exchange Rate Determination: a Long Run Perspective," Open Economies Review, Springer, vol. 28(5), pages 989-1010, November.
    26. Kühl, Michael, 2009. "Excess comovements between the Euro/US dollar and British pound/US dollar exchange rates," University of Göttingen Working Papers in Economics 89, University of Goettingen, Department of Economics.
    27. Sofiane H. Sekioua, 2004. "Real interest parity (RIP) over the 20th century: New evidence based on confidence intervals for the dominant root and half-lives of shocks," Money Macro and Finance (MMF) Research Group Conference 2004 91, Money Macro and Finance Research Group.
    28. Yu Hsing, 2006. "Analysis of Short-term Exchange Rate Movements in Korea: Application of an Extended Mundell-Fleming Model," Global Economic Review, Taylor & Francis Journals, vol. 35(2), pages 145-151.
    29. Lee, Hwa-Taek & Yoon, Gawon, 2007. "Does Purchasing Power Parity Hold Sometimes? Regime Switching in Real Exchange Rates," Economics Working Papers 2007-24, Christian-Albrechts-University of Kiel, Department of Economics.
    30. Huseyin Ince & Ali Fehim Cebeci & Salih Zeki Imamoglu, 2019. "An Artificial Neural Network-Based Approach to the Monetary Model of Exchange Rate," Computational Economics, Springer;Society for Computational Economics, vol. 53(2), pages 817-831, February.
    31. Adam, Tomáš & Benecká, Soňa & Matějů, Jakub, 2018. "Financial stress and its non-linear impact on CEE exchange rates," Journal of Financial Stability, Elsevier, vol. 36(C), pages 346-360.
    32. MacDonald, Ronald & Menkhoff, Lukas & Rebitzky, Rafael R., 2009. "Exchange rate forecasters’ performance: evidence of skill?," SIRE Discussion Papers 2009-10, Scottish Institute for Research in Economics (SIRE).
    33. Yu Hsing, 2010. "Analysis of movements in the AUD/USD exchange rate: comparison of four major models," Applied Economics Letters, Taylor & Francis Journals, vol. 17(6), pages 575-580.
    34. Sarno, Lucio & Valente, Giorgio, 2005. "Empirical exchange rate models and currency risk: some evidence from density forecasts," Journal of International Money and Finance, Elsevier, vol. 24(2), pages 363-385, March.
    35. HSING, Yu, 2006. "Determinants Of Exchange Rate Fluctuations For Venezuela: Application Of An Extended Mundell-Fleming Model," Applied Econometrics and International Development, Euro-American Association of Economic Development, vol. 6(1).
    36. Joscha Beckmann & Ansgar Belke & Michael Kühl, 2011. "Cointegration, structural breaks and monetary fundamentals of the Dollar/Yen Exchange," International Advances in Economic Research, Springer;International Atlantic Economic Society, vol. 17(4), pages 397-412, November.
    37. Kempa, Bernd & Riedel, Jana, 2013. "Nonlinearities in exchange rate determination in a small open economy: Some evidence for Canada," The North American Journal of Economics and Finance, Elsevier, vol. 24(C), pages 268-278.
    38. Yougbaré, Lassana, 2011. "Exchange rate arrangements and misalignments: contrasting words and deeds," MPRA Paper 32362, University Library of Munich, Germany.
    39. Joscha Beckmann & Ansgar Belke & Michael Kühl, 2011. "The dollar-euro exchange rate and macroeconomic fundamentals: a time-varying coefficient approach," Review of World Economics (Weltwirtschaftliches Archiv), Springer;Institut für Weltwirtschaft (Kiel Institute for the World Economy), vol. 147(1), pages 11-40, April.
    40. Dąbrowski, Marek A. & Papież, Monika & Śmiech, Sławomir, 2014. "Exchange rates and monetary fundamentals in CEE countries: Evidence from a panel approach," Journal of Macroeconomics, Elsevier, vol. 41(C), pages 148-159.
    41. Syllignakis, Manolis N. & Kouretas, Georgios P., 2011. "Markov-switching regimes and the monetary model of exchange rate determination: Evidence from the Central and Eastern European markets," Journal of International Financial Markets, Institutions and Money, Elsevier, vol. 21(5), pages 707-723.
    42. Habimana, Olivier, 2017. "The multiscale relationship between exchange rates and fundamentals differentials: Empirical evidence from Scandinavia," MPRA Paper 75956, University Library of Munich, Germany.
    43. Joscha Beckmann & Dionysius Glycopantis & Keith Pilbeam, 2018. "The dollar–euro exchange rate and monetary fundamentals," Empirical Economics, Springer, vol. 54(4), pages 1389-1410, June.

  85. Kellard, Neil & Mark E Wohar, 2003. "Trends and Persistence in Primary Commodity Prices," Royal Economic Society Annual Conference 2003 118, Royal Economic Society.

    Cited by:

    1. DAUBANES Julien, 2009. "Taxation of Oil Products and GDP Dynamics of Oil-rich Countries," LERNA Working Papers 09.03.279, LERNA, University of Toulouse.

  86. John B. Carlson & Eduard A. Pelz & Mark E. Wohar, 2001. "Will the valuation ratios revert to their historical means? Some evidence from breakpoint tests," Working Papers (Old Series) 0113, Federal Reserve Bank of Cleveland.

    Cited by:

    1. Charles R. Nelson & Jinho Bae, 2004. "Earnings Growth and the Bull Market of the 1990s: Is There a Case for Rational Exuberance?," Econometric Society 2004 Far Eastern Meetings 452, Econometric Society.
    2. Andrew Vivian, 2005. "The Equity Premium: 101 years of Empirical Evidence from the UK," Money Macro and Finance (MMF) Research Group Conference 2005 92, Money Macro and Finance Research Group.
    3. GIOT, Pierre & PETITJEAN, Mikael, 2007. "The information content of the Bond-Equity Yield Ratio: Better than a random walk?," LIDAM Reprints CORE 1982, Université catholique de Louvain, Center for Operations Research and Econometrics (CORE).
    4. McMillan, David G., 2013. "Consumption and stock prices: Evidence from a small international panel," Journal of Macroeconomics, Elsevier, vol. 36(C), pages 76-88.
    5. Anne Vila Wetherilt & Simon Wells, 2004. "Long-horizon equity return predictability: some new evidence for the United Kingdom," Bank of England working papers 244, Bank of England.
    6. Coakley, Jerry & Fuertes, Ana-Maria, 2006. "Valuation ratios and price deviations from fundamentals," Journal of Banking & Finance, Elsevier, vol. 30(8), pages 2325-2346, August.
    7. Boucher, Christophe, 2006. "Stock prices-inflation puzzle and the predictability of stock market returns," Economics Letters, Elsevier, vol. 90(2), pages 205-212, February.

  87. P. Newbold & S. J. Leybourne & R. Sollis & M. E. Wohar, 2001. "U.S. and U.K. Interest Rates 1890 - 1934: New Evidence on Structural Breaks," Trinity Economics Papers 20011, Trinity College Dublin, Department of Economics.

    Cited by:

    1. Cerrato, Mario & Kim, Hyunsok & MacDonald, Ronald, 2010. "Nominal Interest Rates and Stationarity," SIRE Discussion Papers 2010-43, Scottish Institute for Research in Economics (SIRE).
    2. Mario Cerrato & Christian de Peretti & Rolf Larsson & Nicholas Sarantis, 2011. "A nonlinear panel unit root test under cross section dependence," Working Papers 2011_08, Business School - Economics, University of Glasgow.
    3. Abakah, Emmanuel Joel Aikins & Gil-Alana, Luis A., 2022. "Persistence in US Treasury bonds," Finance Research Letters, Elsevier, vol. 45(C).
    4. Amarasekara, Chandranath, 2005. "Interest Rate Pass-through in Sri Lanka," MPRA Paper 64865, University Library of Munich, Germany.
    5. Georgi MARINOV, 2016. "Small Sample Properties Of Panel Cointegration Tests In The Presence Of Structural Change," Journal of Social and Economic Statistics, Bucharest University of Economic Studies, vol. 5(1), pages 35-41, JULY.

  88. Nathan S. Balke & Mark E. Wohar, 2000. "Low frequency movements in stock prices: a state space decomposition," Working Papers 0001, Federal Reserve Bank of Dallas.

    Cited by:

    1. Bohl, Martin T. & Siklos, Pierre L., 2004. "The present value model of U.S. stock prices redux: a new testing strategy and some evidence," The Quarterly Review of Economics and Finance, Elsevier, vol. 44(2), pages 208-223, May.
    2. Heejoon Han & Na Kyeong Lee, 2018. "Modeling the Dynamics between Stock Price and Dividend: An Endogenous Regime Switching Approach," Korean Economic Review, Korean Economic Association, vol. 34, pages 213-235.
    3. David G. McMillan, 2010. "Present Value Model, Bubbles and Returns Predictability: Sector‐Level Evidence," Journal of Business Finance & Accounting, Wiley Blackwell, vol. 37(5‐6), pages 668-686, June.
    4. McMillan, David G., 2009. "Are share prices still too high?," Research in International Business and Finance, Elsevier, vol. 23(3), pages 223-232, September.
    5. Esteve García, Vicente & Navarro Ibáñez, Manuel & Prats Albentosa, María Asuncíon, 2017. "The present value model of U.S. stock prices revisited: Long-run evidence with structural breaks, 1871-2012," Economics Discussion Papers 2017-93, Kiel Institute for the World Economy (IfW Kiel).
    6. Balke, Nathan S. & Ma, Jun & Wohar, Mark E., 2013. "The contribution of economic fundamentals to movements in exchange rates," Journal of International Economics, Elsevier, vol. 90(1), pages 1-16.
    7. Chang, Shu-Lien & Lee, Yun-Huan, 2019. "Returns spillovers between tourism ETFs," The North American Journal of Economics and Finance, Elsevier, vol. 50(C).
    8. Trenkler, Carsten & Weber, Enzo, 2015. "On the identification of multivariate correlated unobserved components models," Working Papers 15-12, University of Mannheim, Department of Economics.
    9. Liow, Kim Hiang & Song, Jeong Seop, 2022. "Frequency volatility connectedness and market integration in international real estate investment trusts," Finance Research Letters, Elsevier, vol. 45(C).
    10. Acosta-Smith, Jonathan & Barunik, Jozef & Gerba, Eddie & Katsoulis, Petros, 2024. "Moderation or indulgence? Effects of bank distribution restrictions during stress," Bank of England working papers 1053, Bank of England.
    11. Edward Bernard Bastiaan de Rivera y Rivera & Diógenes Manoel Leiva Martin & Emerson Fernandes Marçal & Leonardo Fernando Cruz Basso, 2012. "Present value model between prices and dividends with constant and time-varying expected returns: enterprise-level Brazilian stock market evidence from non-stationary panels," Brazilian Business Review, Fucape Business School, vol. 9(4), pages 51-86, October.
    12. Nathan S. Balke & Mark E. Wohar, 2001. "Explaining stock price movements: is there a case for fundamentals?," Economic and Financial Policy Review, Federal Reserve Bank of Dallas, issue Q III, pages 22-34.
    13. Brendan McCabe & Stephen Leybourne & David Harris, 2003. "Testing for Stochastic Cointegration and Evidence for Present Value Models," Econometrics 0311009, University Library of Munich, Germany.
    14. Nagayasu, Jun, 2007. "Putting the dividend-price ratio under the microscope," Finance Research Letters, Elsevier, vol. 4(3), pages 186-195, September.
    15. Barunik, Jozef & Krehlik, Tomas, 2016. "Measuring the frequency dynamics of financial and macroeconomic connectedness," FinMaP-Working Papers 54, Collaborative EU Project FinMaP - Financial Distortions and Macroeconomic Performance: Expectations, Constraints and Interaction of Agents.
    16. Ma, Jun & Wohar, Mark E., 2014. "Determining what drives stock returns: Proper inference is crucial: Evidence from the UK," International Review of Economics & Finance, Elsevier, vol. 33(C), pages 371-390.
    17. Wang, Xunxiao, 2020. "Frequency dynamics of volatility spillovers among crude oil and international stock markets: The role of the interest rate," Energy Economics, Elsevier, vol. 91(C).
    18. Xie, Zixiong & Chen, Shyh-Wei & Wu, An-Chi, 2019. "Asymmetric adjustment, non-linearity and housing price bubbles: New international evidence," The North American Journal of Economics and Finance, Elsevier, vol. 50(C).
    19. Barigozzi, Matteo & Hallin, Marc & Soccorsi, Stefano & von Sachs, Rainer, 2020. "Time-varying general dynamic factor models and the measurement of financial connectedness," LIDAM Reprints ISBA 2020015, Université catholique de Louvain, Institute of Statistics, Biostatistics and Actuarial Sciences (ISBA).
    20. F Alexandre & P Bacao, 2006. "Investment and Non-fundamental Movements in Asset Prices: is there a role for monetary policy?," Economic Issues Journal Articles, Economic Issues, vol. 11(1), pages 65-95, March.
    21. Chen, Shyh-Wei & Xie, Zixiong, 2017. "Asymmetric adjustment and smooth breaks in dividend yields: Evidence from international stock markets," International Review of Economics & Finance, Elsevier, vol. 48(C), pages 339-354.
    22. Kim, Jan R. & Chung, Keunsuk, 2020. "Regime switching in the present value models: A backward-solving method," Finance Research Letters, Elsevier, vol. 32(C).
    23. Max Soloschenko & Enzo Weber, 2021. "Trend-Cycle Interactions and the Subprime Crisis: Analysis of US and Canadian Output," Journal of Business Cycle Research, Springer;Centre for International Research on Economic Tendency Surveys (CIRET), vol. 17(2), pages 109-128, November.
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    27. Wang, Xunxiao & Wang, Yudong, 2019. "Volatility spillovers between crude oil and Chinese sectoral equity markets: Evidence from a frequency dynamics perspective," Energy Economics, Elsevier, vol. 80(C), pages 995-1009.
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    29. Huang, MeiChi & Chiang, Hsiu-Hsuan, 2017. "An early alarm system for housing bubbles," The Quarterly Review of Economics and Finance, Elsevier, vol. 63(C), pages 34-49.
    30. David G. McMillan, 2010. "Level‐shifts and non‐linearity in US financial ratios," Review of Accounting and Finance, Emerald Group Publishing Limited, vol. 9(2), pages 189-207, May.
    31. Mensi, Walid & Al-Yahyaee, Khamis Hamed & Wanas Al-Jarrah, Idries Mohammad & Vo, Xuan Vinh & Kang, Sang Hoon, 2021. "Does volatility connectedness across major cryptocurrencies behave the same at different frequencies? A portfolio risk analysis," International Review of Economics & Finance, Elsevier, vol. 76(C), pages 96-113.
    32. MeiChi Huang & Tzu-Chien Wang, 2015. "Housing-bubble vulnerability and diversification opportunities during housing boom–bust cycles: evidence from decomposition of asset price returns," The Annals of Regional Science, Springer;Western Regional Science Association, vol. 54(2), pages 605-637, March.
    33. John Goddard & David Mcmillan & John Wilson, 2008. "Dividends, prices and the present value model: firm-level evidence," The European Journal of Finance, Taylor & Francis Journals, vol. 14(3), pages 195-210.
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    1. Kant, Chander, 2005. "Capital mobility among advanced countries," Journal of Policy Modeling, Elsevier, vol. 27(9), pages 1067-1081, December.
    2. Levy Yeyati, Eduardo & Schmukler, Sergio L. & Van Horen, Neeltje, 2006. "International financial integration through the law of one price," Policy Research Working Paper Series 3897, The World Bank.
    3. Pasricha, Gurnain, 2008. "Financial Integration in Emerging Market Economies," Santa Cruz Department of Economics, Working Paper Series qt7z35t1cn, Department of Economics, UC Santa Cruz.
    4. Ahmad Zubaidi Baharumshah & Venus Khim‐Sen Liew & Chan Tze Haw, 2009. "The Real Interest Rate Differential: International Evidence Based On Non‐Linear Unit Root Tests," Bulletin of Economic Research, Wiley Blackwell, vol. 61(1), pages 83-94, January.
    5. Melike Bildirici & Elçin Aykaç Alp, 2012. "Minimum wage is efficient wage in Turkish labor market: TAR–cointegration analysis," Quality & Quantity: International Journal of Methodology, Springer, vol. 46(4), pages 1261-1270, June.
    6. Sekioua, Sofiane H., 2006. "Nonlinear adjustment in the forward premium: evidence from a threshold unit root test," International Review of Economics & Finance, Elsevier, vol. 15(2), pages 164-183.
    7. Trapani, Lorenzo, 2021. "Inferential theory for heterogeneity and cointegration in large panels," Journal of Econometrics, Elsevier, vol. 220(2), pages 474-503.
    8. Jakob de Haan & Tigran Poghosyan & Jakob de Haan, 2007. "Interest Rate Linkages in EMU Countries: A Rolling Threshold Vector Error-Correction Approach," CESifo Working Paper Series 2060, CESifo.
    9. Bhar, Ramprasad & Kim, Suk-Joong & Pham, Toan M., 2004. "Exchange rate volatility and its impact on the transaction costs of covered interest rate parity," Japan and the World Economy, Elsevier, vol. 16(4), pages 503-525, December.
    10. Dominique Torre, 2012. "The monetary views of Paul Einzig," Post-Print halshs-00726126, HAL.
    11. Ledenyov, Dimitri O. & Ledenyov, Viktor O., 2015. "Wave function method to forecast foreign currencies exchange rates at ultra high frequency electronic trading in foreign currencies exchange markets," MPRA Paper 67470, University Library of Munich, Germany.
    12. Öge Güney, Pelin & Hasanov, Mübariz, 2014. "Real interest rate parity hypothesis in post-Soviet countries: Evidence from unit root tests," Economic Modelling, Elsevier, vol. 36(C), pages 120-129.
    13. Levy Yeyati, Eduardo & Schmukler, Sergio L. & Van Horen, Neeltje, 2009. "International financial integration through the law of one price: The role of liquidity and capital controls," Journal of Financial Intermediation, Elsevier, vol. 18(3), pages 432-463, July.
    14. Bai, Shuming & Mollick, Andre Varella, 2010. "Currency crisis and the forward discount bias: Evidence from emerging economies under breaks," Journal of International Financial Markets, Institutions and Money, Elsevier, vol. 20(5), pages 556-574, December.
    15. Pippenger, John, 2013. "The Failure Of Uncovered Interest Parity, Forward Bias And Related Puzzles," University of California at Santa Barbara, Economics Working Paper Series qt50n5p8bv, Department of Economics, UC Santa Barbara.
    16. Ayşegül Çorakcı & Furkan Emirmahmutoglu & Tolga Omay, 2017. "Re-examining the real interest rate parity hypothesis (RIPH) using panel unit root tests with asymmetry and cross-section dependence," Empirica, Springer;Austrian Institute for Economic Research;Austrian Economic Association, vol. 44(1), pages 91-120, February.
    17. Alan, King, 2011. "A comment on: "The solution to the forward-bias puzzleâ," Journal of International Financial Markets, Institutions and Money, Elsevier, vol. 21(4), pages 623-628, October.
    18. Pippenger, John E, 2010. "The Solution to the Forward-Bias and Related Puzzles," University of California at Santa Barbara, Economics Working Paper Series qt6br3599r, Department of Economics, UC Santa Barbara.
    19. Maurice Obstfeld & Alan M. Taylor, 2002. "Globalization and Capital Markets," NBER Working Papers 8846, National Bureau of Economic Research, Inc.
    20. Uctum, Remzi, 2007. "Économétrie des modèles à changement de régimes : un essai de synthèse," L'Actualité Economique, Société Canadienne de Science Economique, vol. 83(4), pages 447-482, décembre.
    21. Jie-Cao He & Hsing-Hua Chang & Ting-Fu Chen & Shih-Kuei Lin, 2023. "Upside and downside correlated jump risk premia of currency options and expected returns," Financial Innovation, Springer;Southwestern University of Finance and Economics, vol. 9(1), pages 1-58, December.
    22. Juan José Echavarría & Diego Vásquez, 2008. "Expectativas, tasa de interés y tasa de cambio: paridad cubierta y no cubierta en Colombia, 2000-2007," Revista ESPE - Ensayos Sobre Política Económica, Banco de la República, June.
    23. Pippenger, John, 2018. "Forward Bias, Uncovered Interest Parity and Related Puzzles," University of California at Santa Barbara, Economics Working Paper Series qt2cm6p186, Department of Economics, UC Santa Barbara.
    24. Lin, Xiaoqiang & Tang, Zhenpeng & Fei, Fangyu, 2013. "Testing for relationships between Shanghai and Shenzhen stock markets: A threshold cointegration perspective," Physica A: Statistical Mechanics and its Applications, Elsevier, vol. 392(18), pages 4064-4074.
    25. Nidhi Aggarwal & Sanchit Arora & Rajeswari Sengupta, 2021. "Capital account liberalisation in a large emerging economy: An Analysis of onshore-offshore arbitrage," Indira Gandhi Institute of Development Research, Mumbai Working Papers 2021-013, Indira Gandhi Institute of Development Research, Mumbai, India.
    26. King, Alan, 2011. "Pippenger's CIP-based solution to the forward-bias puzzle: A rejoinder," Journal of International Financial Markets, Institutions and Money, Elsevier, vol. 21(5), pages 867-873.
    27. Fong, Wai-Ming & Valente, Giorgio & Fung, Joseph K.W., 2010. "Covered interest arbitrage profits: The role of liquidity and credit risk," Journal of Banking & Finance, Elsevier, vol. 34(5), pages 1098-1107, May.
    28. Nelson C. Mark & Young-Kyu Moh, 2005. "The real exchange rate and real interest differentials: the role of nonlinearities," International Journal of Finance & Economics, John Wiley & Sons, Ltd., vol. 10(4), pages 323-335.
    29. Jing Li & Junsoo Lee, 2010. "ADL tests for threshold cointegration," Journal of Time Series Analysis, Wiley Blackwell, vol. 31(4), pages 241-254, July.
    30. Ramirez-Rondan, N.R. & Terrones, Marco E., 2019. "Uncertainty and the Uncovered Interest Parity Condition: How Are They Related?," MPRA Paper 97524, University Library of Munich, Germany.
    31. Canto, Bea & Kräussl, Roman, 2007. "Electronic trading systems and intraday non-linear dynamics: An examination of the FTSE 100 cash and futures returns," CFS Working Paper Series 2007/20, Center for Financial Studies (CFS).
    32. Li, Ming-Yuan Leon, 2008. "Clarifying the dynamics of the relationship between option and stock markets using the threshold vector error correction model," Mathematics and Computers in Simulation (MATCOM), Elsevier, vol. 79(3), pages 511-520.
    33. Ming-Yuan Leon Li, 2009. "Nonlinear interrelations between ADRs and their underlying stocks revisited: application of threshold VECM," Applied Economics Letters, Taylor & Francis Journals, vol. 16(18), pages 1867-1873.
    34. Byoung Hark Yoo, 2008. "Interest Arbitrage and Interest Rates in Korea," Economic Analysis (Quarterly), Economic Research Institute, Bank of Korea, vol. 14(3), pages 133-155, September.
    35. Giofré, Maela/M., 2008. "EMU Effects on Stock Markets: From Home Bias to Euro Bias," MPRA Paper 13926, University Library of Munich, Germany.
    36. Coakley, Jerry & Fuertes, Ana-Maria, 2006. "Testing for sign and amplitude asymmetries using threshold autoregressions," Journal of Economic Dynamics and Control, Elsevier, vol. 30(4), pages 623-654, April.
    37. Nazım Ekren & Elçin Aykaç Alp & Mete Han Yağmur, 2017. "Macroeconomic performance index: a new approach to calculation of economic wellbeing," Applied Economics, Taylor & Francis Journals, vol. 49(53), pages 5462-5476, November.
    38. Takashi Matsuki, 2016. "Linear and nonlinear comovement in Southeast Asian local currency bond markets: a stepwise multiple testing approach," Empirical Economics, Springer, vol. 51(2), pages 591-619, September.
    39. Holmes, Mark J. & Maghrebi, Nabil, 2006. "Are international real interest rate linkages characterized by asymmetric adjustments?," Journal of International Financial Markets, Institutions and Money, Elsevier, vol. 16(4), pages 384-396, October.
    40. Nidhi Aggarwal & Sanchit Arora & Rajeswari Sengupta, 2022. "Capital account openness in India and a comparison with China: Then versus now," Indira Gandhi Institute of Development Research, Mumbai Working Papers 2022-005, Indira Gandhi Institute of Development Research, Mumbai, India.
    41. Kim, Bong-Han & Chun, Sun-Eae & Min, Hong-Ghi, 2010. "Nonlinear dynamics in arbitrage of the S&P 500 index and futures: A threshold error-correction model," Economic Modelling, Elsevier, vol. 27(2), pages 566-573, March.
    42. Pippenger, John, 2009. "The Forward-Bias Puzzle: A Solution Based on Covered Interest Parity," University of California at Santa Barbara, Economics Working Paper Series qt4dd1075r, Department of Economics, UC Santa Barbara.
    43. Nektarios Aslanidis & George Kouretas, 2003. "Testing for two-regime threshold cointegration in the parallel and official markets for foreign currency in Greece," Working Papers 0311, University of Crete, Department of Economics.
    44. Ted Juhl & William Miles & Marc D. Weidenmier, 2004. "Covered Interest Arbitrage: Then vs. Now," NBER Working Papers 10961, National Bureau of Economic Research, Inc.
    45. Al-Awad, Mouawiya & Grennes, Thomas J., 2002. "Real interest parity and transaction costs for the group of 10 countries," International Review of Economics & Finance, Elsevier, vol. 11(4), pages 363-372.
    46. Bilson, Chris & Brailsford, Tim & Rajaguru, Gulasekaran, 2022. "Covered interest rate parity deviations in the Asia-Pacific," Journal of International Financial Markets, Institutions and Money, Elsevier, vol. 77(C).
    47. Hansen, Bruce E. & Seo, Byeongseon, 2002. "Testing for two-regime threshold cointegration in vector error-correction models," Journal of Econometrics, Elsevier, vol. 110(2), pages 293-318, October.
    48. El in Ayka Alp & Zeynep Biyik, 2018. "Inflation Expectation Dynamics: A Structural Long-run Analysis for Turkey," International Journal of Economics and Financial Issues, Econjournals, vol. 8(2), pages 350-356.
    49. Holmes, Mark J. & Maghrebi, Nabil, 2004. "Asian real interest rates, nonlinear dynamics, and international parity," International Review of Economics & Finance, Elsevier, vol. 13(4), pages 387-405.
    50. Nath, Golaka, 2013. "The Spot Forward Exchange Rate Relation in Indian Foreign Exchange Market - An Analysis," MPRA Paper 51591, University Library of Munich, Germany.
    51. Jack Strauss & Mark E. Wohar, 2007. "Domestic‐Foreign Interest Rate Differentials: Near Unit Roots and Symmetric Threshold Models," Southern Economic Journal, John Wiley & Sons, vol. 73(3), pages 814-829, January.
    52. Pippenger, John, 2011. "A Complete Solution To The Forward-Bias Puzzle," University of California at Santa Barbara, Economics Working Paper Series qt5gq9z4j0, Department of Economics, UC Santa Barbara.
    53. Pippenger, John E, 2009. "The Forward-Bias Puzzle: A Solution Based on Covered Interest Parity," University of California at Santa Barbara, Economics Working Paper Series qt05d0t24b, Department of Economics, UC Santa Barbara.
    54. Batten, Jonathan A. & Szilagyi, Peter G., 2007. "Covered interest parity arbitrage and temporal long-term dependence between the US dollar and the Yen," Physica A: Statistical Mechanics and its Applications, Elsevier, vol. 376(C), pages 409-421.
    55. Pippenger, John, 2011. "The solution to the forward-bias puzzle," Journal of International Financial Markets, Institutions and Money, Elsevier, vol. 21(2), pages 296-304, April.
    56. Holmes, Mark J., 2001. "Some new evidence on exchange rates, capital controls and European Union financial integration," International Review of Economics & Finance, Elsevier, vol. 10(2), pages 135-146.
    57. Tigran Poghosyan, 2009. "Are “new” and “old” EU members becoming more financially integrated? A threshold cointegration analysis," International Economics and Economic Policy, Springer, vol. 6(3), pages 259-281, October.

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    Cited by:

    1. Alex Maynard, 2003. "Testing for Forward-Rate Unbiasedness: On Regression in Levels and in Returns," The Review of Economics and Statistics, MIT Press, vol. 85(2), pages 313-327, May.
    2. Kellard, Neil & Sarantis, Nicholas, 2008. "Can exchange rate volatility explain persistence in the forward premium?," Journal of Empirical Finance, Elsevier, vol. 15(4), pages 714-728, September.
    3. Alex Maynard, 2006. "The forward premium anomaly: statistical artefact or economic puzzle? New evidence from robust tests," Canadian Journal of Economics/Revue canadienne d'économique, John Wiley & Sons, vol. 39(4), pages 1244-1281, November.
    4. Zivot, Eric, 2000. "Cointegration and forward and spot exchange rate regressions," Journal of International Money and Finance, Elsevier, vol. 19(6), pages 785-812, December.
    5. Kerstin Bernoth & Jürgen von Hagen & Casper G. de Vries, 2007. "The Forward Premium Puzzle only emerges gradually," Tinbergen Institute Discussion Papers 07-033/2, Tinbergen Institute.
    6. Kellard, Neil, 2006. "On the robustness of cointegration tests when assessing market efficiency," Finance Research Letters, Elsevier, vol. 3(1), pages 57-64, March.
    7. S. Young Chung & William J. Crowder, 2004. "Why Are Real Interest Rates Not Equalized Internationally?," Southern Economic Journal, John Wiley & Sons, vol. 71(2), pages 441-458, October.
    8. Yamani, Ehab, 2021. "Foreign exchange market efficiency and the global financial crisis: Fundamental versus technical information," The Quarterly Review of Economics and Finance, Elsevier, vol. 79(C), pages 74-89.
    9. Yamani, Ehab, 2021. "Can technical trading beat the foreign exchange market in times of crisis?," Global Finance Journal, Elsevier, vol. 48(C).
    10. Eric Zivot, 1998. "Cointegration and Forward and Spot Exchange Rate Regressions," Econometrics 9812001, University Library of Munich, Germany.
    11. Kutan, Ali M. & Zhou, Su, 2002. "Has the link between the spot and forward exchange rates broken down? Evidence from rolling cointegration tests," ZEI Working Papers B 08-2002, University of Bonn, ZEI - Center for European Integration Studies.
    12. Liu, Wei & Maynard, Alex, 2005. "Testing forward rate unbiasedness allowing for persistent regressors," Journal of Empirical Finance, Elsevier, vol. 12(5), pages 613-628, December.
    13. Angelos Kanas & Christos Ioannidis, 2012. "Revisiting the forward—spot relation: an application of the nonparametric long-run correlation coefficient," Journal of Economics and Finance, Springer;Academy of Economics and Finance, vol. 36(1), pages 148-161, January.
    14. Alex Maynard & Peter C. B. Phillips, 2001. "Rethinking an old empirical puzzle: econometric evidence on the forward discount anomaly," Journal of Applied Econometrics, John Wiley & Sons, Ltd., vol. 16(6), pages 671-708.
    15. Xiao-Ming Li, 2014. "Rethinking Long Memory and Structural Breaks in the Forward Premium," Scottish Journal of Political Economy, Scottish Economic Society, vol. 61(4), pages 455-485, September.
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    17. Aroskar, Raj & Sarkar, Salil K. & Swanson, Peggy E., 2004. "European foreign exchange market efficiency: Evidence based on crisis and noncrisis periods," International Review of Financial Analysis, Elsevier, vol. 13(3), pages 333-347.
    18. Peter G. Szilagyi & Jonathan A. Batten, 2006. "Arbitrage, Covered Interest Parity and Long-Term Dependence between the US Dollar and the Yen," The Institute for International Integration Studies Discussion Paper Series iiisdp128, IIIS.
    19. Aaron Smallwood; Alex Maynard; Mark Wohar, 2005. "The Long and the Short of It: Long Memory Regressors and Predictive Regressions," Computing in Economics and Finance 2005 384, Society for Computational Economics.
    20. Batten, Jonathan A. & Szilagyi, Peter G., 2007. "Covered interest parity arbitrage and temporal long-term dependence between the US dollar and the Yen," Physica A: Statistical Mechanics and its Applications, Elsevier, vol. 376(C), pages 409-421.
    21. Sofiane Amri, 2008. "Analysing the forward premium anomaly using a Logistic Smooth Transition Regression model," Economics Bulletin, AccessEcon, vol. 6(26), pages 1-18.
    22. Azad, A.S.M. Sohel, 2009. "Random walk and efficiency tests in the Asia-Pacific foreign exchange markets: Evidence from the post-Asian currency crisis data," Research in International Business and Finance, Elsevier, vol. 23(3), pages 322-338, September.
    23. Snaith, Stuart & Coakley, Jerry & Kellard, Neil, 2013. "Does the forward premium puzzle disappear over the horizon?," Journal of Banking & Finance, Elsevier, vol. 37(9), pages 3681-3693.

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    2. Saidat Fehintola Olaniran & Oyebayo Ridwan Olaniran & Jeza Allohibi & Abdulmajeed Atiah Alharbi & Mohd Tahir Ismail, 2024. "A Generalized Residual-Based Test for Fractional Cointegration in Panel Data with Fixed Effects," Mathematics, MDPI, vol. 12(8), pages 1-11, April.
    3. Zhang, Yue-Jun & Zhang, Han, 2023. "Volatility forecasting of crude oil futures market: Which structural change-based HAR models have better performance?," International Review of Financial Analysis, Elsevier, vol. 85(C).
    4. Seda Yıldırım & Durmuş Çağrı Yıldırım & Seda H. Bostancı & Elif Nur Tarı, 2022. "Winner or loser? The asymmetric role of natural resource rents on financial development among resource‐rich countries," Sustainable Development, John Wiley & Sons, Ltd., vol. 30(6), pages 1921-1933, December.
    5. Veli Yilanci & Muhammed Sehid Gorus & Sakiru Adebola Solarin, 2022. "Convergence in per capita carbon footprint and ecological footprint for G7 countries: Evidence from panel Fourier threshold unit root test," Energy & Environment, , vol. 33(3), pages 527-545, May.
    6. Lin-Hong Zheng & Nor Eeza Zainal Abidin & Mohammad Nazri Mohd Nor & Yue-Yun Xu & Xiao-Wei Feng, 2023. "Sustainable Coupling Coordination and Influencing Factors of Sports Facilities Construction and Social Economy Development in China," Sustainability, MDPI, vol. 15(3), pages 1-17, February.

  6. Mawuli Segnon & Rangan Gupta & Keagile Lesame & Mark E. Wohar, 2021. "High-Frequency Volatility Forecasting of US Housing Markets," The Journal of Real Estate Finance and Economics, Springer, vol. 62(2), pages 283-317, February.
    See citations under working paper version above.
  7. Mehmet Balcilar & Rangan Gupta & Ricardo M. Sousa & Mark E. Wohar, 2021. "What Can Fifty-Two Collateralizable Wealth Measures Tell Us About Future Housing Market Returns? Evidence from U.S. State-Level Data," The Journal of Real Estate Finance and Economics, Springer, vol. 62(1), pages 81-107, January.
    See citations under working paper version above.
  8. Apostolakis, George N. & Floros, Christos & Gkillas, Konstantinos & Wohar, Mark, 2021. "Financial stress, economic policy uncertainty, and oil price uncertainty," Energy Economics, Elsevier, vol. 104(C).

    Cited by:

    1. Das, Debojyoti & Bhatia, Vaneet & Kumar, Surya Bhushan & Basu, Sankarshan, 2022. "Do precious metals hedge crude oil volatility jumps?," International Review of Financial Analysis, Elsevier, vol. 83(C).
    2. Ren, Xiaohang & liu, Ziqing & Jin, Chenglu & Lin, Ruya, 2023. "Oil price uncertainty and enterprise total factor productivity: Evidence from China," International Review of Economics & Finance, Elsevier, vol. 83(C), pages 201-218.
    3. Yuan, Di & Li, Sufang & Li, Rong & Zhang, Feipeng, 2022. "Economic policy uncertainty, oil and stock markets in BRIC: Evidence from quantiles analysis," Energy Economics, Elsevier, vol. 110(C).
    4. Oumayma GHARBI & Yousra TRICHILI & Mouna BOUJELBENE ABBES, 2022. "Impact of the COVID-19 pandemic on the relationship between uncertainty factors, investor’s behavioral biases and the stock market reaction of US Fintech companies," Journal of Academic Finance, RED research unit, university of Gabes, Tunisia, vol. 13(1), pages 101-122, June.
    5. Sheng, Xin & Kim, Won Joong & Gupta, Rangan & Ji, Qiang, 2023. "The impacts of oil price volatility on financial stress: Is the COVID-19 period different?," International Review of Economics & Finance, Elsevier, vol. 85(C), pages 520-532.
    6. Marina Yu. Malkina & Rodion V. Balakin, 2023. "The Relation of Financial and Industrial Stresses to Monetary Policy Parameters in the Russian Economy," Finansovyj žhurnal — Financial Journal, Financial Research Institute, Moscow 125375, Russia, issue 3, pages 104-121, June.
    7. Dagher, Leila & Hasanov, Fakhri, 2022. "Oil Market Shocks and Financial Instability in Asian Countries," MPRA Paper 116079, University Library of Munich, Germany.
    8. Chiah, Mardy & Phan, Dinh Hoang Bach & Tran, Vuong Thao & Zhong, Angel, 2022. "Energy price uncertainty and the value premium," International Review of Financial Analysis, Elsevier, vol. 81(C).
    9. Wang, Kai-Hua & Liu, Lu & Zhong, Yifan & Lobonţ, Oana-Ramona, 2022. "Economic policy uncertainty and carbon emission trading market: A China's perspective," Energy Economics, Elsevier, vol. 115(C).
    10. Hu, Yang & Lang, Chunlin & Corbet, Shaen & Hou, Yang (Greg) & Oxley, Les, 2023. "Exploring the dynamic behaviour of commodity market tail risk connectedness during the negative WTI pricing event," Energy Economics, Elsevier, vol. 125(C).
    11. Boubaker, Sabri & Goodell, John W. & Kumar, Satish & Sureka, Riya, 2023. "COVID-19 and finance scholarship: A systematic and bibliometric analysis," International Review of Financial Analysis, Elsevier, vol. 85(C).
    12. Tsagkanos, Athanasios & Argyropoulou, Despoina & Androulakis, Georgios, 2022. "Asymmetric economic effects via the dependence structure of green bonds and financial stress index," The Journal of Economic Asymmetries, Elsevier, vol. 26(C).
    13. Tan, Sook-Rei & Li, Changtai & Yeap, Xiu Wei, 2022. "A time-varying copula approach for constructing a daily financial systemic stress index," The North American Journal of Economics and Finance, Elsevier, vol. 63(C).
    14. Das, Debojyoti & Maitra, Debasish & Dutta, Anupam & Basu, Sankarshan, 2022. "Financial stress and crude oil implied volatility: New evidence from continuous wavelet transformation framework," Energy Economics, Elsevier, vol. 115(C).
    15. Dai, Zhifeng & Zhang, Xiaotong, 2023. "Climate policy uncertainty and risks taken by the bank: Evidence from China," International Review of Financial Analysis, Elsevier, vol. 87(C).
    16. Si, Deng-Kui & Wan, Shen & Li, Xiao-Lin & Kong, Dongmin, 2022. "Economic policy uncertainty and shadow banking: Firm-level evidence from China," Research in International Business and Finance, Elsevier, vol. 63(C).

  9. Rangan Gupta & Patrick Kanda & Mark E. Wohar, 2021. "Predicting Stock Market Movements in the United States: The Role of Presidential Approval Ratings," International Review of Finance, International Review of Finance Ltd., vol. 21(1), pages 324-335, March.
    See citations under working paper version above.
  10. Balcilar, Mehmet & Usman, Ojonugwa & Gungor, Hasan & Roubaud, David & Wohar, Mark E., 2021. "Role of global, regional, and advanced market economic policy uncertainty on bond spreads in emerging markets," Economic Modelling, Elsevier, vol. 102(C).

    Cited by:

    1. Khan, Nasir & Saleem, Asima & Ozkan, Oktay, 2023. "Do geopolitical oil price risk influence stock market returns and volatility of Pakistan: Evidence from novel non-parametric quantile causality approach," Resources Policy, Elsevier, vol. 81(C).
    2. Ojeda-Joya, Jair & Romero, José Vicente, 2023. "Global uncertainty shocks and exchange-rate expectations in Latin America," Economic Modelling, Elsevier, vol. 120(C).
    3. Zhu, Huiming & Chen, Yiwen & Ren, Yinghua & Xing, Zhanming & Hau, Liya, 2022. "Time-frequency causality and dependence structure between crude oil, EPU and Chinese industry stock: Evidence from multiscale quantile perspectives," The North American Journal of Economics and Finance, Elsevier, vol. 61(C).
    4. Lien, Donald & Zhang, Jiewen & Yu, Xiaojian, 2022. "Effects of economic policy uncertainty: A regime switching connectedness approach," Economic Modelling, Elsevier, vol. 113(C).
    5. Yildirim, Zekeriya, 2022. "Global financial risk, the risk-taking channel, and monetary policy in emerging markets," Economic Modelling, Elsevier, vol. 116(C).
    6. Chada, Swechha, 2023. "Economic policy uncertainties and institutional ownership in India," The Journal of Economic Asymmetries, Elsevier, vol. 27(C).
    7. Alola, Andrew Adewale & Özkan, Oktay & Usman, Ojonugwa, 2023. "Examining crude oil price outlook amidst substitute energy price and household energy expenditure in the USA: A novel nonparametric multivariate QQR approach," Energy Economics, Elsevier, vol. 120(C).
    8. Tee, Chwee-Ming & Hooy, Chee-Wooi, 2023. "Political connections and economic policy uncertainty: A global evidence," Finance Research Letters, Elsevier, vol. 51(C).

  11. Gupta, Rangan & Sheng, Xin & van Eyden, Reneé & Wohar, Mark E., 2021. "The impact of disaggregated oil shocks on state-level real housing returns of the United States: The role of oil dependence," Finance Research Letters, Elsevier, vol. 43(C).
    See citations under working paper version above.
  12. Balcilar, Mehmet & Roubaud, David & Usman, Ojonugwa & Wohar, Mark E., 2021. "Moving out of the linear rut: A period-specific and regime-dependent exchange rate and oil price pass-through in the BRICS countries," Energy Economics, Elsevier, vol. 98(C).

    Cited by:

    1. Ma, Beiling & Sharif, Arshian & Bashir, Madiha & Bashir, Muhammad Farhan, 2023. "The dynamic influence of energy consumption, fiscal policy and green innovation on environmental degradation in BRICST economies," Energy Policy, Elsevier, vol. 183(C).
    2. Yin, Libo & Su, Zhi & Lu, Man, 2022. "Is oil risk important for commodity-related currency returns?," Research in International Business and Finance, Elsevier, vol. 60(C).
    3. Usman, Ojonugwa & Alola, Andrew Adewale & Akadiri, Seyi Saint, 2022. "Effects of domestic material consumption, renewable energy, and financial development on environmental sustainability in the EU-28: Evidence from a GMM panel-VAR," Renewable Energy, Elsevier, vol. 184(C), pages 239-251.
    4. Mehmet Balcilar & Rangan Gupta & Christian Pierdzioch, 2022. "Oil-Price Uncertainty and International Stock Returns: Dissecting Quantile-Based Predictability and Spillover Effects Using More than a Century of Data," Energies, MDPI, vol. 15(22), pages 1-26, November.
    5. Boateng, Ebenezer & Adam, Anokye M. & Junior, Peterson Owusu, 2021. "Modelling the heterogeneous relationship between the crude oil implied volatility index and African stocks in the coronavirus pandemic," Resources Policy, Elsevier, vol. 74(C).
    6. Mehmet Balcilar & David Gabauer & Rangan Gupta & Christian Pierdzioch, 2023. "Climate Risks and Forecasting Stock Market Returns in Advanced Economies over a Century," Mathematics, MDPI, vol. 11(9), pages 1-21, April.
    7. Alola, Andrew Adewale & Özkan, Oktay & Usman, Ojonugwa, 2023. "Examining crude oil price outlook amidst substitute energy price and household energy expenditure in the USA: A novel nonparametric multivariate QQR approach," Energy Economics, Elsevier, vol. 120(C).
    8. Li, Li & Chen, Hongyi & Xiang, Jingjie, 2023. "Oil price uncertainty, financial distress and real economic activities: Evidence from China," Pacific-Basin Finance Journal, Elsevier, vol. 81(C).

  13. Bouri, Elie & Demirer, Riza & Gupta, Rangan & Wohar, Mark E., 2021. "Gold, platinum and the predictability of bond risk premia," Finance Research Letters, Elsevier, vol. 38(C).
    See citations under working paper version above.
  14. Balcilar, Mehmet & Gupta, Rangan & Sousa, Ricardo M. & Wohar, Mark E., 2021. "Linking U.S. State-level housing market returns, and the consumption-(Dis)Aggregate wealth ratio," International Review of Economics & Finance, Elsevier, vol. 71(C), pages 779-810.
    See citations under working paper version above.
  15. Balcilar, Mehmet & Roubaud, David & Uzuner, Gizem & Wohar, Mark E., 2021. "Housing sector and economic policy uncertainty: A GMM panel VAR approach," International Review of Economics & Finance, Elsevier, vol. 76(C), pages 114-126.

    Cited by:

    1. Alqaralleh, Huthaifa & Canepa, Alessandra & Salah Uddin, Gazi, 2023. "Dynamic relations between housing Markets, stock Markets, and uncertainty in global Cities: A Time-Frequency approach," The North American Journal of Economics and Finance, Elsevier, vol. 68(C).
    2. Lu, Yunzhi & Li, Jie & Yang, Haisheng, 2023. "Time-varying impacts of monetary policy uncertainty on China's housing market," Economic Modelling, Elsevier, vol. 118(C).
    3. Nada Mallah Boustani & Magnaghi Elisabetta, 2022. "Smart Insurance Contracts Shielding Pandemic Business Disruption in Developing Countries and Blockchain Solution," FinTech, MDPI, vol. 1(4), pages 1-16, October.
    4. Oguzhan Cepni & Hardik A. Marfatia & Rangan Gupta, 2021. "The Time-Varying Impact of Uncertainty Shocks on the Comovement of Regional Housing Prices of the United Kingdom," Working Papers 202168, University of Pretoria, Department of Economics.
    5. Mehmet Balcilar & Gizem Uzuner & Festus Victor Bekun & Mark E. Wohar, 2023. "Housing price uncertainty and housing prices in the UK in a time-varying environment," Empirica, Springer;Austrian Institute for Economic Research;Austrian Economic Association, vol. 50(2), pages 523-549, May.
    6. Shams, Syed & Gunaskerage, Abeyratna & Velayutham, Eswaran, 2022. "Economic policy uncertainty and acquisition performance: Australian evidence," International Review of Economics & Finance, Elsevier, vol. 78(C), pages 286-308.
    7. Schäfer, Dorothea & Stephan, Andreas & Weser, Henriette, 2023. "Crisis stress for the diversity of financial portfolios — evidence from European households," International Review of Economics & Finance, Elsevier, vol. 83(C), pages 330-347.

  16. Selmi, Refk & Bouoiyour, Jamal & Hammoudeh, Shawkat & Errami, Youssef & Wohar, Mark E., 2021. "The energy transition, Trump energy agenda and COVID-19," International Economics, Elsevier, vol. 165(C), pages 140-153.

    Cited by:

    1. Refk Selmi & Farid Makhlouf & Kamal Kasmaoui & Youssef Errami & Oussama Ben Atta, 2022. "“There is No vaccine for climate change” - How well Governments’COVID-19 green stimulus announcements contribute to business sustainability?," International Economics, CEPII research center, issue 171, pages 1-17.
    2. Daniel Stefan Armeanu & Stefan Cristian Gherghina & Jean Vasile Andrei & Camelia Catalina Joldes, 2023. "Evidence from the nonlinear autoregressive distributed lag model on the asymmetric influence of the first wave of the COVID-19 pandemic on energy markets," Energy & Environment, , vol. 34(5), pages 1433-1470, August.
    3. Ullah, Atta & Ullah, Saif & Pinglu, Chen & Khan, Saba, 2023. "Impact of FinTech, governance and environmental taxes on energy transition: Pre-post COVID-19 analysis of belt and road initiative countries," Resources Policy, Elsevier, vol. 85(PA).

  17. Plastun, Alex & Sibande, Xolani & Gupta, Rangan & Wohar, Mark E., 2021. "Evolution of price effects after one-day abnormal returns in the US stock market," The North American Journal of Economics and Finance, Elsevier, vol. 57(C).
    See citations under working paper version above.
  18. Xi Zhang & Renatas Kizys & Christos Floros & Konstantinos Gkillas & Mark E. Wohar, 2021. "Testing for rational bubbles in the UK housing market," Applied Economics, Taylor & Francis Journals, vol. 53(8), pages 962-975, February.

    Cited by:

    1. Ozkan Haykir & Ibrahim Yagli, 2022. "Speculative bubbles and herding in cryptocurrencies," Financial Innovation, Springer;Southwestern University of Finance and Economics, vol. 8(1), pages 1-33, December.

  19. Mehmet Balcilar & David Roubaud & Ojonugwa Usman & Mark E. Wohar, 2021. "Testing the asymmetric effects of exchange rate pass‐through in BRICS countries: Does the state of the economy matter?," The World Economy, Wiley Blackwell, vol. 44(1), pages 188-233, January.

    Cited by:

    1. Zou, Zongsen & Zhang, Yu & Wang, Meng & Wang, Xiuling, 2022. "Do export quality and destination income matter for exchange rate pass-through? Evidence from China," Economic Modelling, Elsevier, vol. 117(C).
    2. Mehmet Balcilar & Rangan Gupta & Christian Pierdzioch, 2022. "Oil-Price Uncertainty and International Stock Returns: Dissecting Quantile-Based Predictability and Spillover Effects Using More than a Century of Data," Energies, MDPI, vol. 15(22), pages 1-26, November.
    3. Balcilar, Mehmet & Usman, Ojonugwa, 2021. "Exchange rate and oil price pass-through in the BRICS countries: Evidence from the spillover index and rolling-sample analysis," Energy, Elsevier, vol. 229(C).
    4. Mehmet Balcilar & David Gabauer & Rangan Gupta & Christian Pierdzioch, 2023. "Climate Risks and Forecasting Stock Market Returns in Advanced Economies over a Century," Mathematics, MDPI, vol. 11(9), pages 1-21, April.
    5. Doki, Naomi Onyeje & Shitile, Tersoo Shimonkabir & Sule, Abubakar, 2021. "Imported Intermediate Inputs and Manufactured Exports in Nigeria: The Role of Dual Exchange Rate Regime," African Journal of Economic Review, African Journal of Economic Review, vol. 9(1), January.
    6. Mohamed Ali Chroufa & Nouri Chtourou, 2023. "Asymmetric relationship between exchange rate and inflation in Tunisia: fresh evidence from multiple-threshold NARDL model and Granger quantile causality," SN Business & Economics, Springer, vol. 3(7), pages 1-21, July.
    7. Mohamed Tidjane Kinda & Hamidou Barry, 2021. "Exchange rate pass‐through to import prices: Evidence from a heterogeneous panel of West African countries," Review of Development Economics, Wiley Blackwell, vol. 25(4), pages 2454-2472, November.

  20. Rangan Gupta & Xin Sheng & Reneé van Eyden & Mark Wohar, 2021. "The impact of disaggregated oil shocks on state-level consumption of the United States," Applied Economics Letters, Taylor & Francis Journals, vol. 28(21), pages 1818-1824, December.
    See citations under working paper version above.
  21. Cepni, Oguzhan & Dul, Wiehan & Gupta, Rangan & Wohar, Mark E., 2021. "The dynamics of U.S. REITs returns to uncertainty shocks: A proxy SVAR approach," Research in International Business and Finance, Elsevier, vol. 58(C).
    See citations under working paper version above.
  22. Gkillas, Konstantinos & Vortelinos, Dimitrios I. & Babalos, Vassilios & Wohar, Mark E., 2021. "Day-of-the-week effect and spread determinants: Some international evidence from equity markets," International Review of Economics & Finance, Elsevier, vol. 71(C), pages 268-288.

    Cited by:

    1. Faheem Aslam & Ahmed Imran Hunjra & Tahar Tayachi & Peter Verhoeven & Yasir Tariq Mohmand, 2022. "Calendar Anomalies in Islamic Frontier Markets," SAGE Open, , vol. 12(2), pages 21582440221, May.
    2. Chowdhury, Anup & Uddin, Moshfique & Anderson, Keith, 2022. "Trading behaviour and market sentiment: Firm-level evidence from an emerging Islamic market," Global Finance Journal, Elsevier, vol. 53(C).

  23. Apostolakis, George N. & Floros, Christos & Gkillas, Konstantinos & Wohar, Mark, 2021. "Political uncertainty, COVID-19 pandemic and stock market volatility transmission," Journal of International Financial Markets, Institutions and Money, Elsevier, vol. 74(C).

    Cited by:

    1. Anastasiou, Dimitris & Ballis, Antonis & Drakos, Konstantinos, 2022. "Constructing a positive sentiment index for COVID-19: Evidence from G20 stock markets," International Review of Financial Analysis, Elsevier, vol. 81(C).
    2. Naeem, Muhammad Abubakr & Karim, Sitara & Uddin, Gazi Salah & Junttila, Juha, 2022. "Small fish in big ponds: Connections of green finance assets to commodity and sectoral stock markets," International Review of Financial Analysis, Elsevier, vol. 83(C).
    3. Kwadwo Boateng Prempeh & Joseph Magnus Frimpong & Newman Amaning, 2023. "Determining the return volatility of the Ghana stock exchange before and during the COVID-19 pandemic using the exponential GARCH model," SN Business & Economics, Springer, vol. 3(1), pages 1-20, January.
    4. Qiuyun Wang & Lu Liu, 2022. "Pandemic or panic? A firm-level study on the psychological and industrial impacts of COVID-19 on the Chinese stock market," Financial Innovation, Springer;Southwestern University of Finance and Economics, vol. 8(1), pages 1-38, December.
    5. Kazi Sohag & Anna Gainetdinova & Shawkat Hammoudeh & Riad Shams, 2022. "Dynamic Connectedness among Vaccine Companies’ Stock Prices: Before and after Vaccines Released," Mathematics, MDPI, vol. 10(15), pages 1-26, August.

  24. Aviral Kumar Tiwari & Rangan Gupta & Mark E. Wohar, 2020. "Is the Housing Market in the United States Really Weakly-Efficient?," Applied Economics Letters, Taylor & Francis Journals, vol. 27(14), pages 1124-1134, July.
    See citations under working paper version above.
  25. Olayeni, Olaolu Richard & Tiwari, Aviral Kumar & Wohar, Mark E., 2020. "Global economic activity, crude oil price and production, stock market behaviour and the Nigeria-US exchange rate," Energy Economics, Elsevier, vol. 92(C).

    Cited by:

    1. Sarit Maitra, 2023. "Impact of Economic Uncertainty, Geopolitical Risk, Pandemic, Financial & Macroeconomic Factors on Crude Oil Returns -- An Empirical Investigation," Papers 2310.01123, arXiv.org, revised Oct 2023.
    2. Xu, Xin & Huang, Shupei & An, Haizhong, 2022. "The dynamic moderating function of the exchange rate market on the oil-stock nexus," International Review of Financial Analysis, Elsevier, vol. 81(C).
    3. Nong, Huifu & Liu, Hongxiao, 2023. "Measuring the frequency and quantile connectedness between policy categories and global oil price," Resources Policy, Elsevier, vol. 83(C).
    4. Shaobo Long & Mengxue Zhang & Keaobo Li & Shuyu Wu, 2021. "Do the RMB exchange rate and global commodity prices have asymmetric or symmetric effects on China’s stock prices?," Financial Innovation, Springer;Southwestern University of Finance and Economics, vol. 7(1), pages 1-21, December.
    5. Liu, Donghui & Meng, Lingjie & Wang, Yudong, 2021. "The asymmetric effects of oil price changes on China’s exports: New evidence from a nonlinear autoregressive distributed lag model," Journal of Asian Economics, Elsevier, vol. 77(C).
    6. Chowdhury, Emon, 2023. "The Impact of Commodity Market on the Economy of Developing Countries," MPRA Paper 119462, University Library of Munich, Germany, revised 05 Dec 2023.
    7. Guo, Jiaqi & Long, Shaobo & Luo, Weijie, 2022. "Nonlinear effects of climate policy uncertainty and financial speculation on the global prices of oil and gas," International Review of Financial Analysis, Elsevier, vol. 83(C).
    8. Sarit Maitra & Vivek Mishra & Sukanya Kundu & Manav Chopra, 2023. "Econometric Model Using Arbitrage Pricing Theory and Quantile Regression to Estimate the Risk Factors Driving Crude Oil Returns," Papers 2309.13096, arXiv.org, revised Oct 2023.
    9. Chaturvedi, Priya & Kumar, Kuldeep, 2022. "Econometric modelling of exchange rate volatility using mixed-frequency data," MPRA Paper 115222, University Library of Munich, Germany.

  26. Vasilios Plakandaras & Rangan Gupta & Constantinos Katrakilidis & Mark E. Wohar, 2020. "Time-varying role of macroeconomic shocks on house prices in the US and UK: evidence from over 150 years of data," Empirical Economics, Springer, vol. 58(5), pages 2249-2285, May.
    See citations under working paper version above.
  27. Refk Selmi & Jamal Bouoiyour & Mark E. Wohar & Youssef Errami, 2020. "Is there an effect of policy-related uncertainty on inflation? evidence from the United States under Trump," Applied Economics, Taylor & Francis Journals, vol. 52(35), pages 3858-3873, July.
    See citations under working paper version above.
  28. Goswami, Samrat & Gupta, Rangan & Wohar, Mark E., 2020. "Historical volatility of advanced equity markets: The role of local and global crises," Finance Research Letters, Elsevier, vol. 34(C).
    See citations under working paper version above.
  29. Ruipeng Liu & Riza Demirer & Rangan Gupta & Mark Wohar, 2020. "Volatility forecasting with bivariate multifractal models," Journal of Forecasting, John Wiley & Sons, Ltd., vol. 39(2), pages 155-167, March.

    Cited by:

    1. Kunal Saha & Vinodh Madhavan & Chandrashekhar G. R. & David McMillan, 2020. "Pitfalls in long memory research," Cogent Economics & Finance, Taylor & Francis Journals, vol. 8(1), pages 1733280-173, January.
    2. Bonato, Matteo & Cepni, Oguzhan & Gupta, Rangan & Pierdzioch, Christian, 2023. "Climate risks and realized volatility of major commodity currency exchange rates," Journal of Financial Markets, Elsevier, vol. 62(C).
    3. Semei Coronado & Rangan Gupta & Besma Hkiri & Omar Rojas, 2020. "Time-Varying Spillovers between Currency and Stock Markets in the USA: Historical Evidence From More than Two Centuries," Advances in Decision Sciences, Asia University, Taiwan, vol. 24(4), pages 44-76, December.
    4. Afees A. Salisu & Riza Demirer & Rangan Gupta, 2021. "Financial Turbulence, Systemic Risk and the Predictability of Stock Market Volatility," Working Papers 202162, University of Pretoria, Department of Economics.
    5. Semei Coronado & Rangan Gupta & Besma Hkiri & Omar Rojas, 2020. "Time-Varying Spillover between Currency and Stock Markets in the United States: More than Two Centuries of Historical Evidence," Working Papers 202060, University of Pretoria, Department of Economics.
    6. Yuan, Ying & Zhang, Tonghui, 2020. "Forecasting stock market in high and low volatility periods: a modified multifractal volatility approach," Chaos, Solitons & Fractals, Elsevier, vol. 140(C).
    7. Tao Yin & Yiming Wang, 2021. "Market Efficiency and Nonlinear Analysis of Soybean Futures," Sustainability, MDPI, vol. 13(2), pages 1-10, January.
    8. Usha Rekha Chinthapalli, 2021. "A Comparative Analysis on Probability of Volatility Clusters on Cryptocurrencies, and FOREX Currencies," JRFM, MDPI, vol. 14(7), pages 1-23, July.
    9. Ruipeng Liu & Mawuli Segnon & Oguzhan Cepni & Rangan Gupta, 2023. "Forecasting Volatility of Commodity, Currency, and Stock Markets: Evidence from Markov Switching Multifractal Models," Working Papers 202340, University of Pretoria, Department of Economics.

  30. Çepni, Oğuzhan & Guney, I. Ethem & Gupta, Rangan & Wohar, Mark E., 2020. "The role of an aligned investor sentiment index in predicting bond risk premia of the U.S," Journal of Financial Markets, Elsevier, vol. 51(C).

    Cited by:

    1. Dai, Zhifeng & Chang, Xiaoming, 2021. "Forecasting stock market volatility: Can the risk aversion measure exert an important role?," The North American Journal of Economics and Finance, Elsevier, vol. 58(C).
    2. Wen, Chufu & Zhu, Haoyang & Dai, Zhifeng, 2023. "Forecasting commodity prices returns: The role of partial least squares approach," Energy Economics, Elsevier, vol. 125(C).
    3. Gang Chu & John W. Goodell & Dehua Shen & Yongjie Zhang, 2022. "Machine learning to establish proxies for investor attention: evidence of improved stock-return prediction," Annals of Operations Research, Springer, vol. 318(1), pages 103-128, November.
    4. Jiang, Zhe & Zhang, Lin & Zhang, Lingling & Wen, Bo, 2022. "Investor sentiment and machine learning: Predicting the price of China's crude oil futures market," Energy, Elsevier, vol. 247(C).
    5. David Gabauer & Rangan Gupta & Sayar Karmakar & Joshua Nielsen, 2022. "Stock Market Bubbles and the Forecastability of Gold Returns (and Volatility)," Working Papers 202228, University of Pretoria, Department of Economics.
    6. Larissa Batrancea, 2021. "Empirical Evidence Regarding the Impact of Economic Growth and Inflation on Economic Sentiment and Household Consumption," JRFM, MDPI, vol. 14(7), pages 1-16, July.
    7. Bouri, Elie & Gupta, Rangan & Majumdar, Anandamayee & Subramaniam, Sowmya, 2021. "Time-varying risk aversion and forecastability of the US term structure of interest rates," Finance Research Letters, Elsevier, vol. 42(C).
    8. Bissoondoyal-Bheenick, Emawtee & Do, Hung & Hu, Xiaolu & Zhong, Angel, 2022. "Sentiment and stock market connectedness: Evidence from the U.S. – China trade war," International Review of Financial Analysis, Elsevier, vol. 80(C).
    9. Seok, Sangik & Cho, Hoon & Ryu, Doojin, 2022. "Scheduled macroeconomic news announcements and intraday market sentiment," The North American Journal of Economics and Finance, Elsevier, vol. 62(C).
    10. Oguzhan Cepni & Rangan Gupta & Yigit Onay, 2022. "The role of investor sentiment in forecasting housing returns in China: A machine learning approach," Journal of Forecasting, John Wiley & Sons, Ltd., vol. 41(8), pages 1725-1740, December.
    11. Agoraki, Maria-Eleni K. & Aslanidis, Nektarios & Kouretas, Georgios P., 2022. "U.S. banks’ lending, financial stability, and text-based sentiment analysis," Journal of Economic Behavior & Organization, Elsevier, vol. 197(C), pages 73-90.
    12. Li, Yulin, 2021. "Investor sentiment and sovereign bonds," Journal of International Money and Finance, Elsevier, vol. 115(C).
    13. Joseph J. French, 2021. "#Bitcoin, #COVID-19: Twitter-Based Uncertainty and Bitcoin Before and during the Pandemic," IJFS, MDPI, vol. 9(2), pages 1-7, May.
    14. Seok, Sang Ik & Cho, Hoon & Ryu, Doojin, 2021. "Stock Market’s responses to intraday investor sentiment," The North American Journal of Economics and Finance, Elsevier, vol. 58(C).
    15. Agoraki, Maria-Eleni & Aslanidis, Nektarios & Kouretas, Georgios P., 2021. "U.S. Banks’ lending behaviour, financial stability, and investor sentiment: A textual analysis," Working Papers 2072/534915, Universitat Rovira i Virgili, Department of Economics.

  31. Balcilar, Mehmet & Ozdemir, Zeynel Abidin & Ozdemir, Huseyin & Wohar, Mark E., 2020. "Spillover effects in oil-related CDS markets during and after the sub-prime crisis," The North American Journal of Economics and Finance, Elsevier, vol. 54(C).

    Cited by:

    1. David Y. Aharon & Zaghum Umar & Xuan Vinh Vo, 2021. "Dynamic spillovers between the term structure of interest rates, bitcoin, and safe-haven currencies," Financial Innovation, Springer;Southwestern University of Finance and Economics, vol. 7(1), pages 1-25, December.
    2. Sheng, Xin & Kim, Won Joong & Gupta, Rangan & Ji, Qiang, 2023. "The impacts of oil price volatility on financial stress: Is the COVID-19 period different?," International Review of Economics & Finance, Elsevier, vol. 85(C), pages 520-532.
    3. Bajaj, Vimmy & Kumar, Pawan & Singh, Vipul Kumar, 2023. "Systemwide directional connectedness from Crude Oil to sovereign credit risk," Journal of Commodity Markets, Elsevier, vol. 30(C).
    4. Yihong Ma, Simon Cottrell, Sarath Delpachitra, Xiao Yu, Ping Jiang, and Quan Tran Ha Minh, 2023. "What Drives Credit Spreads of Oil Companies? Evidence from the Upstream, Integrated and Downstream Industries," The Energy Journal, International Association for Energy Economics, vol. 0(Number 5).
    5. Ozdemir, Huseyin & Ozdemir, Zeynel Abidin, 2021. "A Survey of Hedge and Safe Havens Assets against G-7 Stock Markets before and during the COVID-19 Pandemic," IZA Discussion Papers 14888, Institute of Labor Economics (IZA).
    6. Wang, Shu & Zhou, Baicheng & Gao, Tianshu, 2023. "Speculation or actual demand? The return spillover effect between stock and commodity markets," Journal of Commodity Markets, Elsevier, vol. 29(C).
    7. Abuzayed, Bana & Al-Fayoumi, Nedal, 2021. "Risk spillover from crude oil prices to GCC stock market returns: New evidence during the COVID-19 outbreak," The North American Journal of Economics and Finance, Elsevier, vol. 58(C).
    8. Karol Szafranek & Marek Kwas & Grzegorz Szafrański & Zuzanna Wośko, 2020. "Common Determinants of Credit Default Swap Premia in the North American Oil and Gas Industry. A Panel BMA Approach," Energies, MDPI, vol. 13(23), pages 1-23, November.

  32. Jun Ma & Andrew Vivian & Mark E. Wohar, 2020. "What Drives Commodity Returns? Market, Sector or Idiosyncratic Factors?," Oxford Bulletin of Economics and Statistics, Department of Economics, University of Oxford, vol. 82(2), pages 311-330, April.

    Cited by:

    1. Elgammal, Mohammed M. & Ahmed, Walid M.A. & Alshami, Abdullah, 2021. "Price and volatility spillovers between global equity, gold, and energy markets prior to and during the COVID-19 pandemic," Resources Policy, Elsevier, vol. 74(C).
    2. Philip Bertram & Teresa Flock & Jun Ma & Philipp Sibbertsen, 2022. "Real Exchange Rates and Fundamentals in a new Markov‐STAR Model," Oxford Bulletin of Economics and Statistics, Department of Economics, University of Oxford, vol. 84(2), pages 356-379, April.
    3. Yingying Xu & Donald Lien, 2022. "Forecasting volatilities of oil and gas assets: A comparison of GAS, GARCH, and EGARCH models," Journal of Forecasting, John Wiley & Sons, Ltd., vol. 41(2), pages 259-278, March.

  33. Plastun, Alex & Sibande, Xolani & Gupta, Rangan & Wohar, Mark E., 2020. "Price gap anomaly in the US stock market: The whole story," The North American Journal of Economics and Finance, Elsevier, vol. 52(C).
    See citations under working paper version above.
  34. Balcilar, Mehmet & Ozdemir, Zeynel Abidin & Ozdemir, Huseyin & Wohar, Mark E., 2020. "Fed’s unconventional monetary policy and risk spillover in the US financial markets," The Quarterly Review of Economics and Finance, Elsevier, vol. 78(C), pages 42-52.
    See citations under working paper version above.
  35. Oğuzhan Çepni & Rangan Gupta & Mark E. Wohar, 2020. "The role of real estate uncertainty in predicting US home sales growth: evidence from a quantiles-based Bayesian model averaging approach," Applied Economics, Taylor & Francis Journals, vol. 52(5), pages 528-536, January.
    See citations under working paper version above.
  36. Plastun, Alex & Sibande, Xolani & Gupta, Rangan & Wohar, Mark E., 2020. "Historical evolution of monthly anomalies in international stock markets," Research in International Business and Finance, Elsevier, vol. 52(C).
    See citations under working paper version above.
  37. Plastun, Alex & Sibande, Xolani & Gupta, Rangan & Wohar, Mark E., 2020. "Halloween Effect in developed stock markets: A historical perspective," International Economics, Elsevier, vol. 161(C), pages 130-138.

    Cited by:

    1. Qadan, Mahmoud & Nisani, Doron & Eichel, Ron, 2022. "Irregularities in forward-looking volatility," The Quarterly Review of Economics and Finance, Elsevier, vol. 86(C), pages 489-501.
    2. Kenourgios, Dimitris & Samios, Yiannis, 2021. "Halloween effect and active fund management," The Quarterly Review of Economics and Finance, Elsevier, vol. 80(C), pages 534-544.
    3. Muhammad Sarmad Irtiza & Shahbaz Khan & Nida Baig & Syed Muhammad Ali Tirmizi & Ilyas Ahmad, 2021. "The turn-of-the-month effect in Pakistani stock market," Future Business Journal, Springer, vol. 7(1), pages 1-11, December.

  38. Rangan Gupta & Godwin Olasehinde-Williams & Mark E. Wohar, 2020. "The impact of US uncertainty shocks on a panel of advanced and emerging market economies," The Journal of International Trade & Economic Development, Taylor & Francis Journals, vol. 29(6), pages 711-721, August.

    Cited by:

    1. Afees A. Salisu & Rangan Gupta & Sayar Karmakar & Sonali Das, 2021. "Forecasting Output Growth of Advanced Economies Over Eight Centuries: The Role of Gold Market Volatility as a Proxy of Global Uncertainty," Working Papers 202133, University of Pretoria, Department of Economics.
    2. Mehmet Balcilar & Rangan Gupta & Theshne Kisten, 2020. "The Impact of Uncertainty Shocks in South Africa: The Role of Financial Regimes," Working Papers 202046, University of Pretoria, Department of Economics.
    3. Rangan Gupta & Hardik A. Marfatia & Christian Pierdzioch & Afees A. Salisu, 2020. "Machine Learning Predictions of Housing Market Synchronization across US States: The Role of Uncertainty," Working Papers 202077, University of Pretoria, Department of Economics.
    4. Afees A. Salisu & Rangan Gupta & Idris A. Adediran, 2021. "The Effect of US Uncertainty Shock on International Equity Markets: The Role of the Global Financial Cycle," Working Papers 202136, University of Pretoria, Department of Economics.
    5. Selçuk Gül & Rangan Gupta, 2021. "Time‐varying impact of global, region‐, and country‐specific uncertainties on the volatility of international trade," Contemporary Economic Policy, Western Economic Association International, vol. 39(4), pages 691-700, October.
    6. Afees A. Salisu & Rangan Gupta & Riza Demirer, 2021. "The Financial US Uncertainty Spillover Multiplier: Evidence from a GVAR Model," Working Papers 202145, University of Pretoria, Department of Economics.
    7. Woraphon Yamaka & Rangan Gupta & Sukrit Thongkairat & Paravee Maneejuk, 2021. "Structural and Predictive Analyses with a Mixed Copula-Based Vector Autoregression Model," Working Papers 202108, University of Pretoria, Department of Economics.
    8. Josué Diwambuena & Jean-Paul K. Tsasa, 2021. "The Real Effects of Uncertainty Shocks: New Evidence from Linear and Nonlinear SVAR Models," BEMPS - Bozen Economics & Management Paper Series BEMPS87, Faculty of Economics and Management at the Free University of Bozen.
    9. Vasilios Plakandaras & Rangan Gupta & Mehmet Balcilar & Qiang Ji, 2021. "Evolving United States Stock Market Volatility: The Role of Conventional and Unconventional Monetary Policies," Working Papers 202113, University of Pretoria, Department of Economics.
    10. Godwin Olasehinde-Williams & Oktay Özkan, 2022. "Is interest rate uncertainty a predictor of investment volatility? evidence from the wild bootstrap likelihood ratio approach," Journal of Economics and Finance, Springer;Academy of Economics and Finance, vol. 46(3), pages 507-521, July.
    11. Afees A. Salisu & Rangan Gupta & Ahamuefula E. Ogbonna, 2020. "Point and Density Forecasting of Macroeconomic and Financial Uncertainties of the United States," Working Papers 202058, University of Pretoria, Department of Economics.
    12. Christina Christou & Giray Gozgor & Rangan Gupta & Chi keung Marco Lau, 2020. "Are Uncertainties across the World Convergent?," Economics Bulletin, AccessEcon, vol. 40(1), pages 855-862.
    13. Syed Jawad Hussain Shahzad & Rangan Gupta & Riza Demirer & Christian Pierdzioch, 2022. "Oil shocks and directional predictability of macroeconomic uncertainties of developed economies: Evidence from high‐frequency data†," Scottish Journal of Political Economy, Scottish Economic Society, vol. 69(2), pages 169-185, May.
    14. Chevaughn van der Westhuizen & Renee van Eyden & Goodness C. Aye, 2023. "Monetary Policy Effectiveness in the Face of Uncertainty: The Real Macroeconomic Impact of a Monetary Policy Shock in South Africa during High and Low Uncertainty States," Working Papers 202331, University of Pretoria, Department of Economics.
    15. Balcilar, Mehmet & Ozdemir, Zeynel Abidin & Ozdemir, Huseyin & Aygun, Gurcan & Wohar, Mark E., 2022. "The macroeconomic impact of economic uncertainty and financial shocks under low and high financial stress," The North American Journal of Economics and Finance, Elsevier, vol. 63(C).
    16. Afees A. Salisu & Rangan Gupta & Ahamuefula E. Ogbonna, 2021. "Point and density forecasting of macroeconomic and financial uncertainties of the USA," Journal of Forecasting, John Wiley & Sons, Ltd., vol. 40(4), pages 700-707, July.
    17. Selçuk Gul & Rangan Gupta, 2020. "A Note on the Time-Varying Impact of Global, Region- and Country-Specific Uncertainties on the Volatility of International Trade," Working Papers 202025, University of Pretoria, Department of Economics.
    18. Rangan Gupta & Christian Pierdzioch, 2021. "Forecasting the Volatility of Crude Oil: The Role of Uncertainty and Spillovers," Energies, MDPI, vol. 14(14), pages 1-15, July.
    19. Lin Liu, 2022. "Economic Uncertainty and Exchange Market Pressure: Evidence From China," SAGE Open, , vol. 12(1), pages 21582440211, January.
    20. Ruipeng Liu & Rangan Gupta, 2020. "Investors' Uncertainty and Forecasting Stock Market Volatility," Working Papers 202090, University of Pretoria, Department of Economics.

  39. Tiwari, Aviral Kumar & Adewuyi, Adeolu O. & Albulescu, Claudiu T. & Wohar, Mark E., 2020. "Empirical evidence of extreme dependence and contagion risk between main cryptocurrencies," The North American Journal of Economics and Finance, Elsevier, vol. 51(C).

    Cited by:

    1. António Portugal Duarte & Fátima Sol Murta & Nuno Baetas da Silva & Beatriz Rodrigues Vieira, 2023. "Flip the Coin: Heads, Tails or Cryptocurrencies?," Scientific Annals of Economics and Business (continues Analele Stiintifice), Alexandru Ioan Cuza University, Faculty of Economics and Business Administration, vol. 70(SI), pages 1-18, February.
    2. Alessandra Cretarola & Gianna Figà-Talamanca & Cyril Grunspan, 2021. "Blockchain and cryptocurrencies: economic and financial research," Decisions in Economics and Finance, Springer;Associazione per la Matematica, vol. 44(2), pages 781-787, December.
    3. Bouri, Elie & Gabauer, David & Gupta, Rangan & Tiwari, Aviral Kumar, 2021. "Volatility connectedness of major cryptocurrencies: The role of investor happiness," Journal of Behavioral and Experimental Finance, Elsevier, vol. 30(C).
    4. Figà-Talamanca, Gianna & Focardi, Sergio & Patacca, Marco, 2021. "Regime switches and commonalities of the cryptocurrencies asset class," The North American Journal of Economics and Finance, Elsevier, vol. 57(C).
    5. Martin Waltz & Abhay Kumar Singh & Ostap Okhrin, 2022. "Vulnerability-CoVaR: Investigating the Crypto-market," Papers 2203.10777, arXiv.org.
    6. Kumar, Ashish & Iqbal, Najaf & Mitra, Subrata Kumar & Kristoufek, Ladislav & Bouri, Elie, 2022. "Connectedness among major cryptocurrencies in standard times and during the COVID-19 outbreak," Journal of International Financial Markets, Institutions and Money, Elsevier, vol. 77(C).
    7. Cao, Guangxi & Xie, Wenhao, 2021. "The impact of the shutdown policy on the asymmetric interdependence structure and risk transmission of cryptocurrency and China’s financial market," The North American Journal of Economics and Finance, Elsevier, vol. 58(C).
    8. Mensi, Walid & Al-Yahyaee, Khamis Hamed & Al-Jarrah, Idries Mohammad Wanas & Vo, Xuan Vinh & Kang, Sang Hoon, 2020. "Dynamic volatility transmission and portfolio management across major cryptocurrencies: Evidence from hourly data," The North American Journal of Economics and Finance, Elsevier, vol. 54(C).
    9. Jinxin Cui & Aktham Maghyereh, 2022. "Time–frequency co-movement and risk connectedness among cryptocurrencies: new evidence from the higher-order moments before and during the COVID-19 pandemic," Financial Innovation, Springer;Southwestern University of Finance and Economics, vol. 8(1), pages 1-56, December.
    10. Abdullah, Mohammad & Abakah, Emmanuel Joel Aikins & Wali Ullah, G M & Tiwari, Aviral Kumar & Khan, Isma, 2023. "Tail risk contagion across electricity markets in crisis periods," Energy Economics, Elsevier, vol. 127(PB).
    11. Charfeddine, Lanouar & Benlagha, Noureddine & Khediri, Karim Ben, 2022. "An intra-cryptocurrency analysis of volatility connectedness and its determinants: Evidence from mining coins, non-mining coins and tokens," Research in International Business and Finance, Elsevier, vol. 62(C).
    12. Hanif, Waqas & Areola Hernandez, Jose & Troster, Victor & Kang, Sang Hoon & Yoon, Seong-Min, 2022. "Nonlinear dependence and spillovers between cryptocurrency and global/regional equity markets," Pacific-Basin Finance Journal, Elsevier, vol. 74(C).
    13. BRIK, Hatem & El OUAKDI, Jihene & FTITI, Zied, 2022. "Roles of stable versus nonstable cryptocurrencies in Bitcoin market dynamics," Research in International Business and Finance, Elsevier, vol. 62(C).
    14. Yao, Can-Zhong & Li, Min-Jian, 2023. "GARCH-MIDAS-GAS-copula model for CoVaR and risk spillover in stock markets," The North American Journal of Economics and Finance, Elsevier, vol. 66(C).
    15. Cao, Guangxi & Ling, Meijun, 2022. "Asymmetry and conduction direction of the interdependent structure between cryptocurrency and US dollar, renminbi, and gold markets," Chaos, Solitons & Fractals, Elsevier, vol. 155(C).
    16. Ahmed Jeribi & Mohamed Fakhfekh, 2021. "Portfolio management and dependence structure between cryptocurrencies and traditional assets: evidence from FIEGARCH-EVT-Copula," Journal of Asset Management, Palgrave Macmillan, vol. 22(3), pages 224-239, May.

  40. Balcilar, Mehmet & Gupta, Rangan & Wang, Shixuan & Wohar, Mark E., 2020. "Oil price uncertainty and movements in the US government bond risk premia," The North American Journal of Economics and Finance, Elsevier, vol. 52(C).
    See citations under working paper version above.
  41. Balcilar, Mehmet & Demirer, Riza & Gupta, Rangan & Wohar, Mark E., 2020. "The effect of global and regional stock market shocks on safe haven assets," Structural Change and Economic Dynamics, Elsevier, vol. 54(C), pages 297-308.

    Cited by:

    1. Rangan Gupta & Sayar Karmakar & Christian Pierdzioch, 2022. "Safe Havens, Machine Learning, and the Sources of Geopolitical Risk: A Forecasting Analysis Using Over a Century of Data," Working Papers 202201, University of Pretoria, Department of Economics.
    2. Zhenghui Li & Zhiming Ao & Bin Mo, 2021. "Revisiting the Valuable Roles of Global Financial Assets for International Stock Markets: Quantile Coherence and Causality-in-Quantiles Approaches," Mathematics, MDPI, vol. 9(15), pages 1-18, July.
    3. David Gabauer & Rangan Gupta & Sayar Karmakar & Joshua Nielsen, 2022. "Stock Market Bubbles and the Forecastability of Gold Returns (and Volatility)," Working Papers 202228, University of Pretoria, Department of Economics.
    4. Beirne, John & Sugandi, Eric, 2023. "Risk-off shocks and spillovers in safe havens," Pacific-Basin Finance Journal, Elsevier, vol. 80(C).
    5. Mensi, Walid & Vo, Xuan Vinh & Kang, Sang Hoon, 2021. "Time and frequency connectedness and network across the precious metal and stock markets: Evidence from top precious metal importers and exporters," Resources Policy, Elsevier, vol. 72(C).
    6. Yousaf, Imran & Suleman, Muhammad Tahir & Demirer, Riza, 2022. "Green investments: A luxury good or a financial necessity?," Energy Economics, Elsevier, vol. 105(C).
    7. Rangan Gupta & Christian Pierdzioch, 2023. "Do U.S. economic conditions at the state level predict the realized volatility of oil-price returns? A quantile machine-learning approach," Financial Innovation, Springer;Southwestern University of Finance and Economics, vol. 9(1), pages 1-22, December.
    8. Matteo Bonato & Rangan Gupta & Chi Keung Marco Lau & Shixuan Wang, 2019. "Moments-Based Spillovers across Gold and Oil Markets," Working Papers 201966, University of Pretoria, Department of Economics.
    9. Marco Tronzano, 2023. "Safe-Haven Currencies as Defensive Assets in Global Stocks Portfolios: A Reassessment of the Empirical Evidence (1999–2022)," JRFM, MDPI, vol. 16(5), pages 1-23, May.
    10. Imran Yousaf & Vasilios Plakandaras & Elie Bouri & Rangan Gupta, 2022. "Hedge and Safe Haven Properties of Gold, US Treasury, Bitcoin, and Dollar/CHF against the FAANA Companies and S&P 500," Working Papers 202227, University of Pretoria, Department of Economics.
    11. Hadhri, Sinda, 2023. "News-based economic policy uncertainty and financial contagion: An international evidence," The Quarterly Review of Economics and Finance, Elsevier, vol. 90(C), pages 63-76.
    12. Çepni, Oğuzhan & Gupta, Rangan & Pienaar, Daniel & Pierdzioch, Christian, 2022. "Forecasting the realized variance of oil-price returns using machine learning: Is there a role for U.S. state-level uncertainty?," Energy Economics, Elsevier, vol. 114(C).

  42. Konstantinos Gkillas & Rangan Gupta & Mark E. Wohar, 2020. "Oil shocks and volatility jumps," Review of Quantitative Finance and Accounting, Springer, vol. 54(1), pages 247-272, January.
    See citations under working paper version above.
  43. Jamal Bouoiyour & Refk Selmi & Mark E. Wohar, 2019. "Safe havens in the face of Presidential election uncertainty: A comparison between Bitcoin, oil and precious metals," Applied Economics, Taylor & Francis Journals, vol. 51(57), pages 6076-6088, December.
    See citations under working paper version above.
  44. Rangan Gupta & Chi Keung Marco Lau & Stephen M. Miller & Mark E. Wohar, 2019. "US Fiscal Policy and Asset Prices: The Role of Partisan Conflict," International Review of Finance, International Review of Finance Ltd., vol. 19(4), pages 851-862, December.
    See citations under working paper version above.
  45. Sibande, Xolani & Gupta, Rangan & Wohar, Mark E., 2019. "Time-varying causal relationship between stock market and unemployment in the United Kingdom: Historical evidence from 1855 to 2017," Journal of Multinational Financial Management, Elsevier, vol. 49(C), pages 81-88.
    See citations under working paper version above.
  46. Matthew W. Clance & Rangan Gupta & Mark E. Wohar, 2019. "Geopolitical risks and recessions in a panel of advanced economies: evidence from over a century of data," Applied Economics Letters, Taylor & Francis Journals, vol. 26(16), pages 1317-1321, September.
    See citations under working paper version above.
  47. Bouoiyour, Jamal & Selmi, Refk & Hammoudeh, Shawkat & Wohar, Mark E., 2019. "What are the categories of geopolitical risks that could drive oil prices higher? Acts or threats?," Energy Economics, Elsevier, vol. 84(C).
    See citations under working paper version above.
  48. Rangan Gupta & Tahir Suleman & Mark E. Wohar, 2019. "Exchange rate returns and volatility: the role of time-varying rare disaster risks," The European Journal of Finance, Taylor & Francis Journals, vol. 25(2), pages 190-203, January.
    See citations under working paper version above.
  49. Gupta, Rangan & Pierdzioch, Christian & Vivian, Andrew J. & Wohar, Mark E., 2019. "The predictive value of inequality measures for stock returns: An analysis of long-span UK data using quantile random forests," Finance Research Letters, Elsevier, vol. 29(C), pages 315-322.
    See citations under working paper version above.
  50. Olson, Eric & Vivian, Andrew & Wohar, Mark E., 2019. "What is a better cross-hedge for energy: Equities or other commodities?," Global Finance Journal, Elsevier, vol. 42(C).

    Cited by:

    1. Matteo Bonato & Konstantinos Gkillas & Rangan Gupta & Christian Pierdzioch, 2020. "Investor Happiness and Predictability of the Realized Volatility of Oil Price," Working Papers 202009, University of Pretoria, Department of Economics.
    2. Chen, Xiangyu & Tongurai, Jittima, 2021. "Cross-commodity hedging for illiquid futures: Evidence from China's base metal futures market," Global Finance Journal, Elsevier, vol. 49(C).
    3. Jose, Nithin & Jose, Babu & Varghese, James, 2022. "Is cross-hedging an effective strategy in equity futures market?," Finance Research Letters, Elsevier, vol. 50(C).
    4. Afees A. Salisu & Kingsley Obiora, 2021. "COVID-19 pandemic and the crude oil market risk: hedging options with non-energy financial innovations," Financial Innovation, Springer;Southwestern University of Finance and Economics, vol. 7(1), pages 1-19, December.
    5. Matteo Bonato & Rangan Gupta & Chi Keung Marco Lau & Shixuan Wang, 2019. "Moments-Based Spillovers across Gold and Oil Markets," Working Papers 201966, University of Pretoria, Department of Economics.
    6. Suleman, Muhammad Tahir & McIver, Ron & Kang, Sang Hoon, 2021. "Asymmetric volatility connectedness between Islamic stock and commodity markets," Global Finance Journal, Elsevier, vol. 49(C).

  51. Vasilios Plakandaras & Rangan Gupta & Mark E. Wohar, 2019. "Persistence of economic uncertainty: a comprehensive analysis," Applied Economics, Taylor & Francis Journals, vol. 51(41), pages 4477-4498, September.
    See citations under working paper version above.
  52. Gebka, Bartosz & Wohar, Mark E., 2019. "Stock return distribution and predictability: Evidence from over a century of daily data on the DJIA index," International Review of Economics & Finance, Elsevier, vol. 60(C), pages 1-25.

    Cited by:

    1. Shixuan Wang & Rangan Gupta & Yue-Jun Zhang, 2020. "Bear, Bull, Sidewalk, and Crash: The Evolution of the US Stock Market Using Over a Century of Daily Data," Working Papers 202097, University of Pretoria, Department of Economics.
    2. Mehmet Balcilar & Rangan Gupta & Christian Pierdzioch, 2022. "Oil-Price Uncertainty and International Stock Returns: Dissecting Quantile-Based Predictability and Spillover Effects Using More than a Century of Data," Energies, MDPI, vol. 15(22), pages 1-26, November.
    3. Okorie, David Iheke & Lin, Boqiang, 2020. "Did China’s ICO ban alter the Bitcoin market?," International Review of Economics & Finance, Elsevier, vol. 69(C), pages 977-993.
    4. Rangan Gupta & Christian Pierdzioch, 2023. "Do U.S. economic conditions at the state level predict the realized volatility of oil-price returns? A quantile machine-learning approach," Financial Innovation, Springer;Southwestern University of Finance and Economics, vol. 9(1), pages 1-22, December.
    5. Yu, Jing-Rung & Paul Chiou, Wan-Jiun & Lee, Wen-Yi & Lin, Shun-Ji, 2020. "Portfolio models with return forecasting and transaction costs," International Review of Economics & Finance, Elsevier, vol. 66(C), pages 118-130.

  53. Erdenebat Bataa & Andrew Vivian & Mark Wohar, 2019. "Changes in the relationship between short‐term interest rate, inflation and growth: evidence from the UK, 1820–2014," Bulletin of Economic Research, Wiley Blackwell, vol. 71(4), pages 616-640, October.
    See citations under working paper version above.
  54. Chang, Shinhye & Gupta, Rangan & Miller, Stephen M. & Wohar, Mark E., 2019. "Growth volatility and inequality in the U.S.: A wavelet analysis," Physica A: Statistical Mechanics and its Applications, Elsevier, vol. 521(C), pages 48-73.
    See citations under working paper version above.
  55. Guglielmo Maria Caporale & Ricardo M. Sousa & Mark E. Wohar, 2019. "Can the Consumption–Wealth Ratio Predict Housing Returns? Evidence from OECD Countries," Real Estate Economics, American Real Estate and Urban Economics Association, vol. 47(4), pages 935-976, December.

    Cited by:

    1. Costantini, Mauro & Sousa, Ricardo M., 2022. "What uncertainty does to euro area sovereign bond markets: Flight to safety and flight to quality," Journal of International Money and Finance, Elsevier, vol. 122(C).
    2. Hossein Hassani & Mohammad Reza Yeganegi & Rangan Gupta, 2018. "Does Inequality Really Matter in Forecasting Real Housing Returns of the United Kingdom?," Working Papers 201859, University of Pretoria, Department of Economics.
    3. Christina Christou & Rangan Gupta & Fredj Jawadi, 2017. "Does Inequality Help in Forecasting Equity Premium in a Panel of G7 Countries?," Working Papers 201720, University of Pretoria, Department of Economics.
    4. Mehmet Balcilar & Rangan Gupta & Ricardo M. Sousa & Mark E. Wohar, 2020. "Linking U.S. State-Level Housing Market Returns and the Consumption-(Dis)Aggregate Wealth Ratio," Working Papers 202094, University of Pretoria, Department of Economics.
    5. Jie Chen & William Hardin & Mingzhi Hu, 2020. "Housing, Wealth, Income and Consumption: China and Homeownership Heterogeneity," Real Estate Economics, American Real Estate and Urban Economics Association, vol. 48(2), pages 373-405, June.

  56. Gupta, Rangan & Kanda, Patrick & Tiwari, Aviral Kumar & Wohar, Mark E., 2019. "Time-varying predictability of oil market movements over a century of data: The role of US financial stress," The North American Journal of Economics and Finance, Elsevier, vol. 50(C).
    See citations under working paper version above.
  57. Rangan Gupta & Mark E. Wohar, 2019. "Presidential Cycles In The Usa And The Dollar-Pound Exchange Rate: Evidence From Over Two Centuries," Advances in Decision Sciences, Asia University, Taiwan, vol. 23(2), pages 151-163, June.

    Cited by:

    1. Samar Ashour & David Rakowski & Salil K. Sarkar, 2021. "Currency risk exposure and the presidential effect in stock returns," Journal of Economics and Finance, Springer;Academy of Economics and Finance, vol. 45(3), pages 469-485, July.

  58. Rangan Gupta & Tahir Suleman & Mark E. Wohar, 2019. "The role of time‐varying rare disaster risks in predicting bond returns and volatility," Review of Financial Economics, John Wiley & Sons, vol. 37(3), pages 327-340, July.
    See citations under working paper version above.
  59. Wilson Donzwa & Rangan Gupta & Mark E. Wohar, 2019. "Volatility Spillovers between Interest Rates and Equity Markets of Developed Economies," Journal of Central Banking Theory and Practice, Central bank of Montenegro, vol. 8(3), pages 39-50.

    Cited by:

    1. Ruipeng Liu & Rangan Gupta & Elie Bouri, 2021. "Conventional and Unconventional Monetary Policy Rate Uncertainty and Stock Market Volatility: A Forecasting Perspective," Working Papers 202178, University of Pretoria, Department of Economics.

  60. Rangan Gupta & Chi Keung Marco Lau & Mark E. Wohar, 2019. "The impact of US uncertainty on the Euro area in good and bad times: evidence from a quantile structural vector autoregressive model," Empirica, Springer;Austrian Institute for Economic Research;Austrian Economic Association, vol. 46(2), pages 353-368, May.
    See citations under working paper version above.
  61. van Eyden, Reneé & Difeto, Mamothoana & Gupta, Rangan & Wohar, Mark E., 2019. "Oil price volatility and economic growth: Evidence from advanced economies using more than a century’s data," Applied Energy, Elsevier, vol. 233, pages 612-621.

    Cited by:

    1. Nigar Huseynli, 2022. "Impact of Revenues from Oil and Non-Oil Sectors on the Economic Growth of Azerbaijan," International Journal of Energy Economics and Policy, Econjournals, vol. 12(5), pages 31-35, September.
    2. Xiao, Jihong & Chen, Xian & Li, Yang & Wen, Fenghua, 2022. "Oil price uncertainty and stock price crash risk: Evidence from China," Energy Economics, Elsevier, vol. 112(C).
    3. Adilson de Oliveira & Susan Schommer & Ledson L. G. da Rosa, 2023. "Oil price volatility: impacts in the Brazilian economy," Economics Bulletin, AccessEcon, vol. 43(1), pages 429-440.
    4. Novelli, Giacomo, 2022. "Energy Dependency and Long-Run Growth," FEEM Working Papers 329650, Fondazione Eni Enrico Mattei (FEEM).
    5. Carpio, Lucio Guido Tapia, 2019. "The effects of oil price volatility on ethanol, gasoline, and sugar price forecasts," Energy, Elsevier, vol. 181(C), pages 1012-1022.
    6. Wen, Jun & Zhao, Xin-Xin & Chang, Chun-Ping, 2021. "The impact of extreme events on energy price risk," Energy Economics, Elsevier, vol. 99(C).
    7. Salisu, Afees A. & Pierdzioch, Christian & Gupta, Rangan, 2022. "Oil tail risks and the forecastability of the realized variance of oil-price: Evidence from over 150 years of data," Finance Research Letters, Elsevier, vol. 46(PB).
    8. Oguzhan Ozcelebi & Kaya Tokmakcioglu, 2022. "Assessment of the asymmetric impacts of the geopolitical risk on oil market dynamics," International Journal of Finance & Economics, John Wiley & Sons, Ltd., vol. 27(1), pages 275-289, January.
    9. Rangan Gupta & Christian Pierdzioch, 2021. "Climate Risks and the Realized Volatility Oil and Gas Prices: Results of an Out-of-Sample Forecasting Experiment," Working Papers 202175, University of Pretoria, Department of Economics.
    10. Sohag, Kazi & Sokhanvar, Amin & Belyaeva, Zhanna & Mirnezami, Seyed Reza, 2022. "Hydrocarbon prices shocks, fiscal stability and consolidation: Evidence from Russian Federation," Resources Policy, Elsevier, vol. 76(C).
    11. Umar Tijjani Babuga & Niaz Ahmad Mohd Naseem, 2022. "Oil Price Change and Economic Growth: Evidence from Net Sub-Saharan Africa Oil Exporting Countries," International Journal of Energy Economics and Policy, Econjournals, vol. 12(2), pages 369-378, March.
    12. Mohammad Aladwan & Mohammaad Almaharmeh & Husni Samara, 2023. "Modeling and Mediating the Interaction between Oil Prices and Economic Sectors Advancement: The Case of Middle East," International Journal of Energy Economics and Policy, Econjournals, vol. 13(2), pages 51-60, March.
    13. Marfatia, Hardik A. & Gupta, Rangan & Cakan, Esin, 2021. "Dynamic impact of the U.S. monetary policy on oil market returns and volatility," The Quarterly Review of Economics and Finance, Elsevier, vol. 80(C), pages 159-169.
    14. Saban Nazlioglu & Rangan Gupta & Alper Gormus & Ugur Soytas, 2019. "Price and Volatility Linkages between International REITs and Oil Markets," Working Papers 201954, University of Pretoria, Department of Economics.
    15. Adeosun, Opeoluwa Adeniyi & Tabash, Mosab I. & Anagreh, Suhaib, 2022. "Oil price and economic performance: Additional evidence from advanced economies," Resources Policy, Elsevier, vol. 77(C).
    16. Sheng, Xin & Kim, Won Joong & Gupta, Rangan & Ji, Qiang, 2023. "The impacts of oil price volatility on financial stress: Is the COVID-19 period different?," International Review of Economics & Finance, Elsevier, vol. 85(C), pages 520-532.
    17. Shahriyar Mukhtarov & Sannur Aliyev & Javid Zeynalov, 2020. "The Effects of Oil Prices on Macroeconomic Variables: Evidence from Azerbaijan," International Journal of Energy Economics and Policy, Econjournals, vol. 10(1), pages 72-80.
    18. Riza Demirer & Rangan Gupta & Jacobus Nel & Christian Pierdzioch, 2020. "Effect of Rare Disaster Risks on Crude Oil: Evidence from El Nino from Over 140 Years of Data," Working Papers 2020104, University of Pretoria, Department of Economics.
    19. Wang, Kai-Hua & Su, Chi-Wei & Xiao, Yidong & Liu, Lu, 2022. "Is the oil price a barometer of China's automobile market? From a wavelet-based quantile-on-quantile regression perspective," Energy, Elsevier, vol. 240(C).
    20. Giacomo Novelli, 2022. "Energy Dependency and Long-Run Growth," Working Papers 2022.42, Fondazione Eni Enrico Mattei.
    21. Rangan Gupta & Christian Pierdzioch & Wing-Keung Wong, 2021. "A Note on Forecasting the Historical Realized Variance of Oil-Price Movements: The Role of Gold-to-Silver and Gold-to-Platinum Price Ratios," Working Papers 202158, University of Pretoria, Department of Economics.
    22. Demirer, Riza & Gupta, Rangan & Pierdzioch, Christian & Shahzad, Syed Jawad Hussain, 2020. "The predictive power of oil price shocks on realized volatility of oil: A note," Resources Policy, Elsevier, vol. 69(C).
    23. Liu, Donghui & Meng, Lingjie & Wang, Yudong, 2020. "Oil price shocks and Chinese economy revisited: New evidence from SVAR model with sign restrictions," International Review of Economics & Finance, Elsevier, vol. 69(C), pages 20-32.
    24. Elder, John, 2020. "Employment and energy uncertainty," The Journal of Economic Asymmetries, Elsevier, vol. 21(C).
    25. Badeeb, Ramez Abubakr & Szulczyk, Kenneth R. & Lean, Hooi Hooi, 2021. "Asymmetries in the effect of oil rent shocks on economic growth: A sectoral analysis from the perspective of the oil curse," Resources Policy, Elsevier, vol. 74(C).
    26. Borozan, Djula & Lolic Cipcic, Marina, 2022. "Asymmetric and nonlinear oil price pass-through to economic growth in Croatia: Do oil-related policy shocks matter?," Resources Policy, Elsevier, vol. 76(C).
    27. Sun-Yong Choi & Changsoo Hong, 2020. "Relationship between uncertainty in the oil and stock markets before and after the shale gas revolution: Evidence from the OVX, VIX, and VKOSPI volatility indices," PLOS ONE, Public Library of Science, vol. 15(5), pages 1-26, May.
    28. Xu Gong & Mingchao Wang & Liuguo Shao, 2022. "The impact of macro economy on the oil price volatility from the perspective of mixing frequency," International Journal of Finance & Economics, John Wiley & Sons, Ltd., vol. 27(4), pages 4487-4514, October.
    29. Jesus Cuauhtemoc Tellez Gaytan & Aqila Rafiuddin & Gyanendra Singh Sisodia & Gouher Ahmed & CH Paramaiah, 2023. "Pass-through Effects of Oil Prices on LATAM Emerging Stocks before and during COVID-19: An Evidence from a Wavelet -VAR Analysis," International Journal of Energy Economics and Policy, Econjournals, vol. 13(1), pages 529-543, January.
    30. Daryoosh Borzuei & Seyed Farhan Moosavian & Abolfazl Ahmadi, 2022. "Investigating the dependence of energy prices and economic growth rates with emphasis on the development of renewable energy for sustainable development in Iran," Sustainable Development, John Wiley & Sons, Ltd., vol. 30(5), pages 848-854, October.
    31. Yu, Hongchu & Fang, Zhixiang & Lu, Feng & Murray, Alan T. & Zhang, Hengcai & Peng, Peng & Mei, Qiang & Chen, Jinhai, 2019. "Impact of oil price fluctuations on tanker maritime network structure and traffic flow changes," Applied Energy, Elsevier, vol. 237(C), pages 390-403.
    32. Wen, Fenghua & Chen, Meng & Zhang, Yun & Miao, Xiao, 2023. "Oil price uncertainty and audit fees: Evidence from the energy industry," Energy Economics, Elsevier, vol. 125(C).
    33. James Ming Chen & Mobeen Ur Rehman, 2021. "A Pattern New in Every Moment: The Temporal Clustering of Markets for Crude Oil, Refined Fuels, and Other Commodities," Energies, MDPI, vol. 14(19), pages 1-58, September.
    34. Debojyoti Das & Anupam Dutta & Rabin K. Jana & Indranil Ghosh, 2023. "The asymmetric impact of oil price uncertainty on emerging market financial stress: A quantile regression approach," International Journal of Finance & Economics, John Wiley & Sons, Ltd., vol. 28(4), pages 4299-4323, October.
    35. Ma, Qiang & Zhang, Mei & Ali, Sher & Kirikkaleli, Dervis & Khan, Zeeshan, 2021. "Natural resources commodity prices volatility and economic performance: Evidence from China pre and post COVID-19," Resources Policy, Elsevier, vol. 74(C).
    36. Balcilar, Mehmet & Gupta, Rangan & Wang, Shixuan & Wohar, Mark E., 2020. "Oil price uncertainty and movements in the US government bond risk premia," The North American Journal of Economics and Finance, Elsevier, vol. 52(C).
    37. Rangan Gupta & Christian Pierdzioch, 2023. "Do U.S. economic conditions at the state level predict the realized volatility of oil-price returns? A quantile machine-learning approach," Financial Innovation, Springer;Southwestern University of Finance and Economics, vol. 9(1), pages 1-22, December.
    38. Afees A. Salisu & Rangan Gupta & Riza Demirer, 2021. "The Effect of Oil Price Uncertainty Shock on International Equity Markets: Evidence from a GVAR Model," Working Papers 202160, University of Pretoria, Department of Economics.
    39. Guo, Yawei & Li, Jianping & Li, Yehua & You, Wanhai, 2021. "The roles of political risk and crude oil in stock market based on quantile cointegration approach: A comparative study in China and US," Energy Economics, Elsevier, vol. 97(C).
    40. Afees A. Salisu & Rangan Gupta & Abeeb Olaniran, 2021. "The Effect of Oil Uncertainty Shock on Real GDP of 33 Countries: A Global VAR Approach," Working Papers 202153, University of Pretoria, Department of Economics.
    41. Nguyen, Thi Thu Ha & Naeem, Muhammad Abubakr & Balli, Faruk & Balli, Hatice Ozer & Syed, Iqbal, 2021. "Information transmission between oil and housing markets," Energy Economics, Elsevier, vol. 95(C).
    42. Alao, Rasheed O. & Payaslioglu, Cem, 2021. "Oil price uncertainty and industrial production in oil-exporting countries," Resources Policy, Elsevier, vol. 70(C).
    43. Dutta, Anupam & Bouri, Elie & Saeed, Tareq, 2021. "News-based equity market uncertainty and crude oil volatility," Energy, Elsevier, vol. 222(C).
    44. Guan, Lu & Zhang, Wei-Wei & Ahmad, Ferhana & Naqvi, Bushra, 2021. "The volatility of natural resource prices and its impact on the economic growth for natural resource-dependent economies: A comparison of oil and gold dependent economies," Resources Policy, Elsevier, vol. 72(C).
    45. Mo, Bin & Chen, Cuiqiong & Nie, He & Jiang, Yonghong, 2019. "Visiting effects of crude oil price on economic growth in BRICS countries: Fresh evidence from wavelet-based quantile-on-quantile tests," Energy, Elsevier, vol. 178(C), pages 234-251.
    46. Sonja Tilly & Giacomo Livan, 2021. "Macroeconomic forecasting with statistically validated knowledge graphs," Papers 2104.10457, arXiv.org.
    47. Qian, Lihua & Zeng, Qing & Li, Tao, 2022. "Geopolitical risk and oil price volatility: Evidence from Markov-switching model," International Review of Economics & Finance, Elsevier, vol. 81(C), pages 29-38.
    48. Konstantinos Gkillas & Rangan Gupta & Christian Pierdzioch & Seong-Min Yoon, 2020. "OPEC News and Jumps in the Oil Market," Working Papers 202053, University of Pretoria, Department of Economics.
    49. Nikkinen, Jussi & Rothovius, Timo, 2019. "Energy sector uncertainty decomposition: New approach based on implied volatilities," Applied Energy, Elsevier, vol. 248(C), pages 141-148.
    50. Afees A. Salisu & Rangan Gupta & Elie Bouri & Qiang Ji, 2022. "Mixed‐frequency forecasting of crude oil volatility based on the information content of global economic conditions," Journal of Forecasting, John Wiley & Sons, Ltd., vol. 41(1), pages 134-157, January.
    51. Muntasir Murshed & Haider Mahmood & Tarek Tawfik Yousef Alkhateeb & Mohga Bassim, 2020. "The Impacts of Energy Consumption, Energy Prices and Energy Import-Dependency on Gross and Sectoral Value-Added in Sri Lanka," Energies, MDPI, vol. 13(24), pages 1-22, December.
    52. Sandra Chukwudumebi Obiora & Olusola Bamisile & Evans Opoku-Mensah & Adasa Nkrumah Kofi Frimpong, 2020. "Impact of Banking and Financial Systems on Environmental Sustainability: An Overarching Study of Developing, Emerging, and Developed Economies," Sustainability, MDPI, vol. 12(19), pages 1-21, September.
    53. Jiaying Peng & Zhenghui Li & Benjamin M. Drakeford, 2020. "Dynamic Characteristics of Crude Oil Price Fluctuation—From the Perspective of Crude Oil Price Influence Mechanism," Energies, MDPI, vol. 13(17), pages 1-19, August.
    54. Arif, Asma & Minh Vu, Hieu & Cong, Ma & Hon Wei, Leow & Islam, Md. Monirul & Niedbała, Gniewko, 2022. "Natural resources commodity prices volatility and economic performance: Evaluating the role of green finance," Resources Policy, Elsevier, vol. 76(C).
    55. Xiangfa Li & Zhe Zhang & Weixian Xue & Hua Wang, 2022. "The Effects of Household Debt and Oil Price Shocks on Economic Growth in the Shadow of the Pandemic," Sustainability, MDPI, vol. 14(22), pages 1-16, November.
    56. Cui, Lianbiao & Weng, Shimei & Kirikkaleli, Dervis & Bashir, Muhammad Adnan & Rjoub, Husam & Zhou, Yuanxiang, 2021. "Exploring the role of natural resources, natural gas and oil production for economic growth of China," Resources Policy, Elsevier, vol. 74(C).
    57. David Iheke Okorie & Boqiang Lin, 2022. "Crude oil market and Nigerian stocks: An asymmetric information spillover approach," International Journal of Finance & Economics, John Wiley & Sons, Ltd., vol. 27(4), pages 4002-4017, October.
    58. Rangan Gupta & Christian Pierdzioch, 2021. "Forecasting the Volatility of Crude Oil: The Role of Uncertainty and Spillovers," Energies, MDPI, vol. 14(14), pages 1-15, July.
    59. Hammoudeh, Shawkat & Uddin, Gazi Salah & Sousa, Ricardo M. & Wadström, Christoffer & Sharmi, Rubaiya Zaman, 2022. "Do pandemic, trade policy and world uncertainties affect oil price returns?," Resources Policy, Elsevier, vol. 77(C).
    60. Cheng, Dong & Shi, Xunpeng & Yu, Jian & Zhang, Dayong, 2019. "How does the Chinese economy react to uncertainty in international crude oil prices?," International Review of Economics & Finance, Elsevier, vol. 64(C), pages 147-164.
    61. Bourghelle, David & Jawadi, Fredj & Rozin, Philippe, 2021. "Oil price volatility in the context of Covid-19," International Economics, Elsevier, vol. 167(C), pages 39-49.
    62. Zhao, Jing, 2022. "Exploring the influence of the main factors on the crude oil price volatility: An analysis based on GARCH-MIDAS model with Lasso approach," Resources Policy, Elsevier, vol. 79(C).
    63. Dong, Chunlong & Wu, Hao & Zhou, Jianwen & Lin, Huifang & Chang, Lei, 2023. "Role of renewable energy investment and geopolitical risk in green finance development: Empirical evidence from BRICS countries," Renewable Energy, Elsevier, vol. 207(C), pages 234-241.
    64. Apostolakis, George N. & Floros, Christos & Gkillas, Konstantinos & Wohar, Mark, 2021. "Financial stress, economic policy uncertainty, and oil price uncertainty," Energy Economics, Elsevier, vol. 104(C).
    65. Yuri Ermoliev & Anatolij G. Zagorodny & Vjacheslav L. Bogdanov & Tatiana Ermolieva & Petr Havlik & Elena Rovenskaya & Nadejda Komendantova & Michael Obersteiner, 2022. "Linking Distributed Optimization Models for Food, Water, and Energy Security Nexus Management," Sustainability, MDPI, vol. 14(3), pages 1-14, January.
    66. Yang, Xiaoming & Zhang, Jia & Xu, Zhaoyi, 2023. "Natural resources for policy makers: Revisiting COVID-19 perspective of aggregate South Asian economies," Resources Policy, Elsevier, vol. 83(C).
    67. Śmiech, Sławomir & Papież, Monika & Rubaszek, Michał & Snarska, Małgorzata, 2021. "The role of oil price uncertainty shocks on oil-exporting countries," Energy Economics, Elsevier, vol. 93(C).
    68. Nan, Yu & Sun, Renjin & Zhen, Zhao & Fangjing, Chu, 2022. "Measurement of international crude oil price cyclical fluctuations and correlation with the world economic cyclical changes," Energy, Elsevier, vol. 260(C).
    69. Albert Olusanmi ILUGBEMI & Festus Olumide FAWEHINMI, 2020. "Impacts of Oil Price Volatility and Monetary Policy on Economic Performance Of Non-Oil Producing Countries in Africa," Business & Management Compass, University of Economics Varna, issue 2, pages 180-197.
    70. Cai, Lu & Le, Thanh Tiep, 2023. "Natural resources and financial development: Role of corporate social responsibility on green economic growth in Vietnam," Resources Policy, Elsevier, vol. 81(C).
    71. Alola, Andrew A. & Adekoya, Oluwasegun B. & Oliyide, Johnson A., 2022. "Outlook of oil prices and volatility from 1970 to 2040 through global energy mix-security from production to reserves: A nonparametric causality-in-quantiles approach," Resources Policy, Elsevier, vol. 79(C).
    72. Shi, Tao & Li, Chongyang & Zhang, Wei & Zhang, Yi, 2023. "Forecasting on metal resource spot settlement price: New evidence from the machine learning model," Resources Policy, Elsevier, vol. 81(C).
    73. Dąbrowski, Marek A. & Papież, Monika & Rubaszek, Michał & Śmiech, Sławomir, 2022. "The role of economic development for the effect of oil market shocks on oil-exporting countries. Evidence from the interacted panel VAR model," Energy Economics, Elsevier, vol. 110(C).
    74. Rangan Gupta & Christian Pierdzioch & Afees A. Salisu, 2020. "Oil-Price Uncertainty and the U.K. Unemployment Rate: A Forecasting Experiment with Random Forests Using 150 Years of Data," Working Papers 202095, University of Pretoria, Department of Economics.
    75. Husam Abbas Ali & Hiba Youssef Taha, 2023. "The Impact of the Development of the Banking Sector in Rentier Countries on Economic Growth in Light of Recurrent Crises," International Journal of Finance, Insurance and Risk Management, International Journal of Finance, Insurance and Risk Management, vol. 13(3), pages 113-130.
    76. Tumala, Mohammed M. & Salisu, Afees A. & Atoi, Ngozi V., 2022. "Oil-growth nexus in Nigeria: An ADL-MIDAS approach," Resources Policy, Elsevier, vol. 77(C).
    77. Zhaoyong Sun & Xinyu Cai & Wei-Chiao Huang, 2022. "The Impact of Oil Price Fluctuations on Consumption, Output, and Investment in China’s Industrial Sectors," Energies, MDPI, vol. 15(9), pages 1-19, May.
    78. Kassouri, Yacouba & Altıntaş, Halil & Bilgili, Faik, 2020. "An investigation of the financial resource curse hypothesis in oil-exporting countries: The threshold effect of democratic accountability," Journal of Multinational Financial Management, Elsevier, vol. 56(C).
    79. Çepni, Oğuzhan & Gupta, Rangan & Pienaar, Daniel & Pierdzioch, Christian, 2022. "Forecasting the realized variance of oil-price returns using machine learning: Is there a role for U.S. state-level uncertainty?," Energy Economics, Elsevier, vol. 114(C).
    80. Sun, Li & Wang, Yang, 2021. "Global economic performance and natural resources commodity prices volatility: Evidence from pre and post COVID-19 era," Resources Policy, Elsevier, vol. 74(C).
    81. Managi, Shunsuke & Yousfi, Mohamed & Ben Zaied, Younes & Ben Mabrouk, Nejah & Ben Lahouel, Béchir, 2022. "Oil price, US stock market and the US business conditions in the era of COVID-19 pandemic outbreak," Economic Analysis and Policy, Elsevier, vol. 73(C), pages 129-139.
    82. Abdulmecit YILDIRIM & Gökhan KONAT, 2023. "Exploring the Relationship Between Oil Prices and Economic Growth in Türkiye," Bingol University Journal of Economics and Administrative Sciences, Bingol University, Faculty of Economics and Administrative Sciences, vol. 7(2), pages 103-117, December.
    83. Hu, Jinyan & Wang, Kai-Hua & Su, Chi Wei & Umar, Muhammad, 2022. "Oil price, green innovation and institutional pressure: A China's perspective," Resources Policy, Elsevier, vol. 78(C).
    84. Tong Liu & Yanlin Shi, 2022. "Forecasting Crude Oil Future Volatilities with a Threshold Zero-Drift GARCH Model," Mathematics, MDPI, vol. 10(15), pages 1-20, August.
    85. Bigerna, Simona & D'Errico, Maria Chiara & Polinori, Paolo & Simshauer, Paul, 2022. "Renewable energy and portfolio volatility spillover effects of GCC oil exporting countries," MPRA Paper 114164, University Library of Munich, Germany.
    86. Rabin K. Jana & Aviral Kumar Tiwari & Shawkat Hammoudeh & Claudiu Albulescu, 2022. "Financial modeling, risk management of energy and environmental instruments and derivatives: past, present, and future," Annals of Operations Research, Springer, vol. 313(1), pages 1-7, June.
    87. Gupta, Rangan & Ji, Qiang & Pierdzioch, Christian & Plakandaras, Vasilios, 2023. "Forecasting the conditional distribution of realized volatility of oil price returns: The role of skewness over 1859 to 2023," Finance Research Letters, Elsevier, vol. 58(PC).
    88. Rosnawintang Rosnawintang & Tajuddin Tajuddin & Pasrun Adam & Yuwanda Purnamasari Pasrun & La Ode Saidi, 2021. "Effects of Crude Oil Prices Volatility, the Internet and Inflation on Economic Growth in ASEAN-5 Countries: A Panel Autoregressive Distributed Lag Approach," International Journal of Energy Economics and Policy, Econjournals, vol. 11(1), pages 15-21.
    89. Elie Bouri, 2019. "The Effect of Jumps in the Crude Oil Market on the Sovereign Risks of Major Oil Exporters," Risks, MDPI, vol. 7(4), pages 1-15, December.
    90. Zulfigarov, Farid & Neuenkirch, Matthias, 2020. "The impact of oil price changes on selected macroeconomic indicators in Azerbaijan," Economic Systems, Elsevier, vol. 44(4).
    91. Zhang, Yonggang & Hyder, Mansoor & Baloch, Zulfiqar Ali & Qian, Chong & Berk Saydaliev, Hayot, 2022. "Nexus between oil price volatility and inflation: Mediating nexus from exchange rate," Resources Policy, Elsevier, vol. 79(C).
    92. Fan, Wenrui & Wang, Zanxin, 2022. "Whether to abandon or continue the petroleum product price regulation in China？," Energy Policy, Elsevier, vol. 165(C).

  62. Plastun, Alex & Sibande, Xolani & Gupta, Rangan & Wohar, Mark E., 2019. "Rise and fall of calendar anomalies over a century," The North American Journal of Economics and Finance, Elsevier, vol. 49(C), pages 181-205.
    See citations under working paper version above.
  63. Rangan Gupta & Mark Wohar, 2019. "The role of monetary policy uncertainty in predicting equity market volatility of the United Kingdom: evidence from over 150 years of data," Economics and Business Letters, Oviedo University Press, vol. 8(3), pages 138-146.
    See citations under working paper version above.
  64. Hylton Hollander & Rangan Gupta & Mark E. Wohar, 2019. "The Impact of Oil Shocks in a Small Open Economy New-Keynesian Dynamic Stochastic General Equilibrium Model for an Oil-Importing Country: The Case of South Africa," Emerging Markets Finance and Trade, Taylor & Francis Journals, vol. 55(7), pages 1593-1618, May.

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    1. Sheng, Xin & Gupta, Rangan & Ji, Qiang, 2020. "The impacts of structural oil shocks on macroeconomic uncertainty: Evidence from a large panel of 45 countries," Energy Economics, Elsevier, vol. 91(C).
    2. Romain Houssa & Jolan Mohimont & Chris Otrok, 2019. "A Model for International Spillovers to Emerging Markets," CESifo Working Paper Series 7702, CESifo.
    3. Omotosho, Babatunde S., 2020. "Oil price shocks, fuel subsidies and macroeconomic (in)stability in Nigeria," MPRA Paper 105464, University Library of Munich, Germany.
    4. Zając, P. & Avdiushchenko, A., 2020. "The impact of converting waste into resources on the regional economy, evidence from Poland," Ecological Modelling, Elsevier, vol. 437(C).
    5. Mo, Bin & Chen, Cuiqiong & Nie, He & Jiang, Yonghong, 2019. "Visiting effects of crude oil price on economic growth in BRICS countries: Fresh evidence from wavelet-based quantile-on-quantile tests," Energy, Elsevier, vol. 178(C), pages 234-251.
    6. Pavitra Dhamija, 2020. "Economic Development and South Africa: 25 Years Analysis (1994 to 2019)," South African Journal of Economics, Economic Society of South Africa, vol. 88(3), pages 298-322, September.
    7. Kassouri, Yacouba & Altıntaş, Halil & Bilgili, Faik, 2020. "An investigation of the financial resource curse hypothesis in oil-exporting countries: The threshold effect of democratic accountability," Journal of Multinational Financial Management, Elsevier, vol. 56(C).
    8. Shangle, Ai & Solaymani, Saeed, 2020. "Responses of monetary policies to oil price changes in Malaysia," Energy, Elsevier, vol. 200(C).
    9. Omotosho, Babatunde S., 2019. "Business Cycle Fluctuations in Nigeria: Some Insights from an Estimated DSGE Model," MPRA Paper 98351, University Library of Munich, Germany.
    10. Turgut Yokuş, 2024. "Early Warning Systems for World Energy Crises," Sustainability, MDPI, vol. 16(6), pages 1-18, March.

  65. Vasilios Plakandaras & Rangan Gupta & Luis A. Gil-Alana & Mark E. Wohar, 2019. "Are BRICS exchange rates chaotic?," Applied Economics Letters, Taylor & Francis Journals, vol. 26(13), pages 1104-1110, July.
    See citations under working paper version above.
  66. Jamal Bouoiyour & Refk Selmi & Mark E. Wohar, 2019. "Bitcoin: competitor or complement to gold?," Economics Bulletin, AccessEcon, vol. 39(1), pages 186-191.
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  67. Tiwari Aviral Kumar & Cunado Juncal & Gupta Rangan & Wohar Mark E., 2019. "Are stock returns an inflation hedge for the UK? Evidence from a wavelet analysis using over three centuries of data," Studies in Nonlinear Dynamics & Econometrics, De Gruyter, vol. 23(3), pages 1-17, June.
    See citations under working paper version above.
  68. Gupta, Rangan & Mwamba, John W. Muteba & Wohar, Mark E., 2018. "The role of partisan conflict in forecasting the U.S. equity premium: A nonparametric approach," Finance Research Letters, Elsevier, vol. 25(C), pages 131-136.
    See citations under working paper version above.
  69. Mehmet Balcilar & Rangan Gupta & Duc Khuong Nguyen & Mark E. Wohar, 2018. "Causal effects of the United States and Japan on Pacific-Rim stock markets: nonparametric quantile causality approach," Applied Economics, Taylor & Francis Journals, vol. 50(53), pages 5712-5727, November.
    See citations under working paper version above.
  70. Siew-Voon Soon & Ahmad Zubaidi Baharumshah & Mark E. Wohar, 2018. "Exchange rate pass-through in the Asian countries: does inflation volatility matter?," Applied Economics Letters, Taylor & Francis Journals, vol. 25(5), pages 309-312, March.

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    1. Yu Hsing, 2020. "A Simultaneous-Equation Model of Estimating the Response of the Consumer Price to Exchange Rate Movements in Thailand," Business and Economic Research, Macrothink Institute, vol. 10(1), pages 284-293, March.
    2. Coşkun Akdeniz & Abdurrahman Nazif Çatık & Esra Ballı, 2022. "Inflationary effects of oil price and exchange rate shocks in South Africa: Evidence from time‐varying pass‐through coefficients," South African Journal of Economics, Economic Society of South Africa, vol. 90(3), pages 301-328, September.
    3. Agustiar, Memet, 2019. "Indonesia’s Monetary Integration with OIC Member Countries: New Evidence," Jurnal Ekonomi Malaysia, Faculty of Economics and Business, Universiti Kebangsaan Malaysia, vol. 53(1), pages 135-144.
    4. Balcilar, Mehmet & Roubaud, David & Usman, Ojonugwa & Wohar, Mark E., 2021. "Moving out of the linear rut: A period-specific and regime-dependent exchange rate and oil price pass-through in the BRICS countries," Energy Economics, Elsevier, vol. 98(C).

  71. Mehmet Balcilar & Rangan Gupta & Christian Pierdzioch & Mark E. Wohar, 2018. "Terror attacks and stock-market fluctuations: evidence based on a nonparametric causality-in-quantiles test for the G7 countries," The European Journal of Finance, Taylor & Francis Journals, vol. 24(4), pages 333-346, March.
    See citations under working paper version above.
  72. Goodness C. Aye & Tsang Yao Chang & Wen†Yi Chen & Rangan Gupta & Mark Wohar, 2018. "Testing the Efficiency of the Art Market Using Quantile†Based Unit Root Tests with Sharp and Smooth Breaks," Manchester School, University of Manchester, vol. 86(4), pages 488-511, July.

    Cited by:

    1. Aviral Kumar Tiwari & Rangan Gupta & Juncal Cunado & Xin Sheng, 2019. "Testing the White Noise Hypothesis in High-Frequency Housing Returns of the United States," Working Papers 201952, University of Pretoria, Department of Economics.
    2. Guglielmo Maria Caporale & Luis A. Gil-Alana & Alex Plastun & Ahniia Havrylina, 2022. "Persistence in the Passion Investment Market," CESifo Working Paper Series 9586, CESifo.
    3. Tiwari, Aviral Kumar & Aye, Goodness C. & Gupta, Rangan, 2019. "Stock market efficiency analysis using long spans of Data: A multifractal detrended fluctuation approach," Finance Research Letters, Elsevier, vol. 28(C), pages 398-411.
    4. Assaf, Ata & Kristoufek, Ladislav & Demir, Ender & Kumar Mitra, Subrata, 2021. "Market efficiency in the art markets using a combination of long memory, fractal dimension, and approximate entropy measures," Journal of International Financial Markets, Institutions and Money, Elsevier, vol. 71(C).
    5. Plastun, Alex & Bouri, Elie & Havrylina, Ahniia & Ji, Qiang, 2022. "Calendar anomalies in passion investments: Price patterns and profit opportunities," Research in International Business and Finance, Elsevier, vol. 61(C).

  73. Gupta, Rangan & Kollias, Christos & Papadamou, Stephanos & Wohar, Mark E., 2018. "News implied volatility and the stock-bond nexus: Evidence from historical data for the USA and the UK markets," Journal of Multinational Financial Management, Elsevier, vol. 47, pages 76-90.
    See citations under working paper version above.
  74. Gupta, Rangan & Pierdzioch, Christian & Selmi, Refk & Wohar, Mark E., 2018. "Does partisan conflict predict a reduction in US stock market (realized) volatility? Evidence from a quantile-on-quantile regression model☆," The North American Journal of Economics and Finance, Elsevier, vol. 43(C), pages 87-96.

    Cited by:

    1. Beyer, Deborah B. & Fan, Zaifeng S., 2023. "The calming effects of conflict: The impact of partisan conflict on market volatility," International Review of Financial Analysis, Elsevier, vol. 85(C).
    2. Yonghong Jiang & Gengyu Tian & Yiqi Wu & Bin Mo, 2022. "Impacts of geopolitical risks and economic policy uncertainty on Chinese tourism‐listed company stock," International Journal of Finance & Economics, John Wiley & Sons, Ltd., vol. 27(1), pages 320-333, January.
    3. Cheng, Chak Hung Jack & Chiu, Ching-Wai (Jeremy) & Hankins, William B. & Stone, Anna-Leigh, 2018. "Partisan conflict, policy uncertainty and aggregate corporate cash holdings," Journal of Macroeconomics, Elsevier, vol. 58(C), pages 78-90.
    4. William B. Hankins & Anna‐Leigh Stone & Chak Hung Jack Cheng & Ching‐Wai (Jeremy) Chiu, 2020. "Corporate decision making in the presence of political uncertainty: The case of corporate cash holdings," The Financial Review, Eastern Finance Association, vol. 55(2), pages 307-337, May.
    5. Khan, Khalid & Su, Chi-Wei & Zhu, Meng Nan, 2022. "Examining the behaviour of energy prices to COVID-19 uncertainty: A quantile on quantile approach," Energy, Elsevier, vol. 239(PE).
    6. George S. Atsalakis & Elie Bouri & Fotios Pasiouras, 2021. "Natural disasters and economic growth: a quantile on quantile approach," Annals of Operations Research, Springer, vol. 306(1), pages 83-109, November.
    7. Dong, Zibing & Li, Yanshuang & Zhuang, Xintian & Wang, Jian, 2022. "Impacts of COVID-19 on global stock sectors: Evidence from time-varying connectedness and asymmetric nexus analysis," The North American Journal of Economics and Finance, Elsevier, vol. 62(C).
    8. Afees A. Salisu & Rangan Gupta & Ahamuefula E. Ogbonna, 2022. "A moving average heterogeneous autoregressive model for forecasting the realized volatility of the US stock market: Evidence from over a century of data," International Journal of Finance & Economics, John Wiley & Sons, Ltd., vol. 27(1), pages 384-400, January.
    9. Hossein Hassani & Mohammad Reza Yeganegi & Rangan Gupta & Riza Demirer, 2018. "Forecasting Stock Market (Realized) Volatility in the United Kingdom: Is There a Role for Economic Inequality?," Working Papers 201880, University of Pretoria, Department of Economics.
    10. Su, Chi-Wei & Khan, Khalid & Umar, Muhammad & Chang, Tsangyao, 2022. "Renewable energy in prism of technological innovation and economic uncertainty," Renewable Energy, Elsevier, vol. 189(C), pages 467-478.
    11. Yang, Dong-Xiao & Wu, Bi-Bo & Tong, Jing-Yang, 2021. "Dynamics and causality of oil price shocks on commodities: Quantile-on-quantile and causality-in-quantiles methods," Resources Policy, Elsevier, vol. 74(C).
    12. Dong, Xiyong & Li, Changhong & Yoon, Seong-Min, 2020. "Asymmetric dependence structures for regional stock markets: An unconditional quantile regression approach," The North American Journal of Economics and Finance, Elsevier, vol. 52(C).
    13. Rufei Zhang & Haizhen Zhang & Qingzhu Fan & Wang Gao & Xue Luo & Shixiong Yang, 2022. "Partisan Conflict, National Security Policy Uncertainty and Tourism," Sustainability, MDPI, vol. 14(17), pages 1-22, August.
    14. Xolani Sibande & Rangan Gupta & Riza Demirer & Elie Bouri, 2023. "Investor Sentiment and (Anti) Herding in the Currency Market: Evidence from Twitter Feed Data," Journal of Behavioral Finance, Taylor & Francis Journals, vol. 24(1), pages 56-72, January.
    15. Pattanaporn Chatjuthamard & Sirimon Treepongkaruna & Pornsit Jiraporn & Napatsorn Jiraporn, 2021. "Does firm‐level political risk influence corporate social responsibility (CSR)? Evidence from earnings conference calls," The Financial Review, Eastern Finance Association, vol. 56(4), pages 721-741, November.
    16. Khuntia, Sashikanta & Pattanayak, J.K., 2020. "Adaptive long memory in volatility of intra-day bitcoin returns and the impact of trading volume," Finance Research Letters, Elsevier, vol. 32(C).
    17. Iqbal, Najaf & Fareed, Zeeshan & Wan, Guangcai & Shahzad, Farrukh, 2021. "Asymmetric nexus between COVID-19 outbreak in the world and cryptocurrency market," International Review of Financial Analysis, Elsevier, vol. 73(C).
    18. Oktay Ozkan, 2020. "Time-varying return predictability and adaptive markets hypothesis: Evidence on MIST countries from a novel wild bootstrap likelihood ratio approach," Bogazici Journal, Review of Social, Economic and Administrative Studies, Bogazici University, Department of Economics, vol. 34(2), pages 101-113.
    19. Yong Jiang & Yi-Shuai Ren & Chao-Qun Ma & Jiang-Long Liu & Basil Sharp, 2018. "Does the price of strategic commodities respond to U.S. Partisan Conflict?," Papers 1810.08396, arXiv.org, revised Feb 2020.
    20. Han, Liyan & Liu, Yang & Yin, Libo, 2019. "Uncertainty and currency performance: A quantile-on-quantile approach," The North American Journal of Economics and Finance, Elsevier, vol. 48(C), pages 702-729.
    21. Hossein Hassani & Mohammad Reza Yeganegi & Rangan Gupta & Riza Demirer, 2022. "Forecasting stock market (realized) volatility in the United Kingdom: Is there a role of inequality?," International Journal of Finance & Economics, John Wiley & Sons, Ltd., vol. 27(2), pages 2146-2152, April.
    22. Jia, Boxiang & Goodell, John W. & Shen, Dehua, 2021. "US partisan conflict and high-yield exchange rates," Finance Research Letters, Elsevier, vol. 40(C).
    23. Jiang, Yong & Ren, Yi-Shuai & Ma, Chao-Qun & Liu, Jiang-Long & Sharp, Basil, 2020. "Does the price of strategic commodities respond to U.S. partisan conflict?," Resources Policy, Elsevier, vol. 66(C).
    24. Yifei Cai & Angeliki Menegaki, 2021. "FDI, growth and trade partisan conflict in the US: TVP-BVAR approach," Empirical Economics, Springer, vol. 60(3), pages 1335-1362, March.
    25. Umar, Zaghum & Bossman, Ahmed & Choi, Sun-Yong & Teplova, Tamara, 2023. "The relationship between global risk aversion and returns from safe-haven assets," Finance Research Letters, Elsevier, vol. 51(C).
    26. Umar, Muhammad & Su, Chi-Wei & Rizvi, Syed Kumail Abbas & Shao, Xue-Feng, 2021. "Bitcoin: A safe haven asset and a winner amid political and economic uncertainties in the US?," Technological Forecasting and Social Change, Elsevier, vol. 167(C).
    27. Hau, Liya & Zhu, Huiming & Huang, Rui & Ma, Xiang, 2020. "Heterogeneous dependence between crude oil price volatility and China’s agriculture commodity futures: Evidence from quantile-on-quantile regression," Energy, Elsevier, vol. 213(C).

  75. Mehmet Balcilar & Rangan Gupta & Ricardo M. Sousa & Mark E. Wohar, 2018. "Wealth‐to‐Income Ratio and Stock Market Movements: Evidence from a Nonparametric Causality Test," International Review of Finance, International Review of Finance Ltd., vol. 18(3), pages 495-506, September.
    See citations under working paper version above.
  76. Demirer, Riza & Gupta, Rangan & Suleman, Tahir & Wohar, Mark E., 2018. "Time-varying rare disaster risks, oil returns and volatility," Energy Economics, Elsevier, vol. 75(C), pages 239-248.
    See citations under working paper version above.
  77. Mehmet Balcilar & Riza Demirer & Rangan Gupta & Mark E. Wohar, 2018. "Differences of opinion and stock market volatility: evidence from a nonparametric causality-in-quantiles approach," Journal of Economics and Finance, Springer;Academy of Economics and Finance, vol. 42(2), pages 339-351, April.
    See citations under working paper version above.
  78. Mawuli Segnon & Rangan Gupta & Stelios Bekiros & Mark E. Wohar, 2018. "Forecasting US GNP growth: The role of uncertainty," Journal of Forecasting, John Wiley & Sons, Ltd., vol. 37(5), pages 541-559, August.
    See citations under working paper version above.
  79. Bouoiyour, Jamal & Selmi, Refk & Wohar, Mark E., 2018. "Are Islamic stock markets efficient? A multifractal detrended fluctuation analysis," Finance Research Letters, Elsevier, vol. 26(C), pages 100-105.
    See citations under working paper version above.
  80. Steven J. Jordan & Andrew Vivian & Mark E. Wohar, 2018. "Stock returns forecasting with metals: sentiment vs. fundamentals," The European Journal of Finance, Taylor & Francis Journals, vol. 24(6), pages 458-477, April.

    Cited by:

    1. Sun, Yuying & Hong, Yongmiao & Wang, Shouyang & Zhang, Xinyu, 2023. "Penalized time-varying model averaging," Journal of Econometrics, Elsevier, vol. 235(2), pages 1355-1377.
    2. Mehmet Balcilar & Rangan Gupta & Christian Pierdzioch, 2022. "Oil-Price Uncertainty and International Stock Returns: Dissecting Quantile-Based Predictability and Spillover Effects Using More than a Century of Data," Energies, MDPI, vol. 15(22), pages 1-26, November.
    3. Afees A. Salisu & Rangan Gupta & Ahamuefula E. Ogbonna, 2023. "Tail risks and forecastability of stock returns of advanced economies: evidence from centuries of data," The European Journal of Finance, Taylor & Francis Journals, vol. 29(4), pages 466-481, March.
    4. Oguzhan Cepni & Rangan Gupta & Qiang Ji, 2021. "Sentiment Regimes and Reaction of Stock Markets to Conventional and Unconventional Monetary Policies: Evidence from OECD Countries," Working Papers 202126, University of Pretoria, Department of Economics.
    5. Mehmet Balcilar & David Gabauer & Rangan Gupta & Christian Pierdzioch, 2023. "Climate Risks and Forecasting Stock Market Returns in Advanced Economies over a Century," Mathematics, MDPI, vol. 11(9), pages 1-21, April.
    6. Afees A. Salisu & Rangan Gupta, 2021. "Commodity Prices and Forecastability of South African Stock Returns Over a Century: Sentiments versus Fundamentals," Working Papers 202144, University of Pretoria, Department of Economics.
    7. Tan, Xueping & Sirichand, Kavita & Vivian, Andrew & Wang, Xinyu, 2022. "Forecasting European carbon returns using dimension reduction techniques: Commodity versus financial fundamentals," International Journal of Forecasting, Elsevier, vol. 38(3), pages 944-969.

  81. Ma Jun & Olson Eric & Wohar Mark E., 2018. "Nonlinear Taylor rules: evidence from a large dataset," Studies in Nonlinear Dynamics & Econometrics, De Gruyter, vol. 22(1), pages 1-14, February.

    Cited by:

    1. Akyurek, Cem & Kutan, Ali M. & Yilmazkuday, Hakan, 2011. "Can inflation targeting regimes be effective in developing countries? The Turkish experience," Journal of Asian Economics, Elsevier, vol. 22(5), pages 343-355, October.
    2. Christou Christina & Naraidoo Ruthira & Gupta Rangan, 2020. "Conventional and unconventional monetary policy reaction to uncertainty in advanced economies: evidence from quantile regressions," Studies in Nonlinear Dynamics & Econometrics, De Gruyter, vol. 24(3), pages 1-17, June.
    3. Pierdzioch Christian & Gupta Rangan, 2020. "Uncertainty and Forecasts of U.S. Recessions," Studies in Nonlinear Dynamics & Econometrics, De Gruyter, vol. 24(4), pages 1-20, September.
    4. Semih Emre Cekin & Besma Hkiri & Aviral Kumar Tiwari & Rangan Gupta, 2019. "The Relationship between Monetary Policy and Uncertainty in Advanced Economies: Evidence from Time- and Frequency-Domains," Working Papers 201904, University of Pretoria, Department of Economics.

  82. Gupta, Rangan & Ma, Jun & Risse, Marian & Wohar, Mark E., 2018. "Common business cycles and volatilities in US states and MSAs: The role of economic uncertainty," Journal of Macroeconomics, Elsevier, vol. 57(C), pages 317-337.
    See citations under working paper version above.
  83. Tiwari, Aviral Kumar & Cunado, Juncal & Gupta, Rangan & Wohar, Mark E., 2018. "Volatility spillovers across global asset classes: Evidence from time and frequency domains," The Quarterly Review of Economics and Finance, Elsevier, vol. 70(C), pages 194-202.
    See citations under working paper version above.
  84. Gkillas, Konstantinos & Gupta, Rangan & Wohar, Mark E., 2018. "Volatility jumps: The role of geopolitical risks," Finance Research Letters, Elsevier, vol. 27(C), pages 247-258.
    See citations under working paper version above.
  85. Jun Ma & Andrew Vivian & Mark E. Wohar, 2018. "Global factors and equity market valuations: Do country characteristics matter?," International Journal of Finance & Economics, John Wiley & Sons, Ltd., vol. 23(4), pages 427-441, October.

    Cited by:

  86. Gebka, Bartosz & Wohar, Mark E., 2018. "The predictive power of the yield spread for future economic expansions: Evidence from a new approach," Economic Modelling, Elsevier, vol. 75(C), pages 181-195.

    Cited by:

    1. Riza Demirer & Rangan Gupta & Asli Yuksel & Aydin Yuksel, 2020. "The U.S. Term Structure and Return Volatility in Global REIT Markets," Working Papers 202069, University of Pretoria, Department of Economics.
    2. Riza Demirer & Asli Yuksel & Aydin Yuksel, 2020. "The U.S. term structure and return volatility in emerging stock markets," Journal of Economics and Finance, Springer;Academy of Economics and Finance, vol. 44(4), pages 687-707, October.
    3. Yutaka Kurihara & Akio Fukushima, 2019. "AR Model or Machine Learning for Forecasting GDP and Consumer Price for G7 Countries," Applied Economics and Finance, Redfame publishing, vol. 6(3), pages 1-6, May.
    4. Qadan, Mahmoud & Idilbi-Bayaa, Yasmeen, 2021. "The day-of-the-week-effect on the volatility of commodities," Resources Policy, Elsevier, vol. 71(C).
    5. Saeed, Momna & Elnahass, Marwa & Izzeldin, Marwan & Tsionas, Mike, 2021. "Yield spread determinants of sukuk and conventional bonds," Economic Modelling, Elsevier, vol. 105(C).
    6. Idilbi-Bayaa, Yasmeen & Qadan, Mahmoud, 2022. "What the current yield curve says, and what the future prices of energy do," Resources Policy, Elsevier, vol. 75(C).

  87. Bouoiyour, Jamal & Selmi, Refk & Wohar, Mark E., 2018. "Measuring the response of gold prices to uncertainty: An analysis beyond the mean," Economic Modelling, Elsevier, vol. 75(C), pages 105-116.
    See citations under working paper version above.
  88. Christou, Christina & Gupta, Rangan & Nyakabawo, Wendy & Wohar, Mark E., 2018. "Do house prices hedge inflation in the US? A quantile cointegration approach," International Review of Economics & Finance, Elsevier, vol. 54(C), pages 15-26.
    See citations under working paper version above.
  89. Aye, Goodness C. & Gil-Alana, Luis A. & Gupta, Rangan & Wohar, Mark E., 2017. "The efficiency of the art market: Evidence from variance ratio tests, linear and nonlinear fractional integration approaches," International Review of Economics & Finance, Elsevier, vol. 51(C), pages 283-294.
    See citations under working paper version above.
  90. Plakandaras, Vasilios & Gupta, Rangan & Wohar, Mark E., 2017. "The depreciation of the pound post-Brexit: Could it have been predicted?," Finance Research Letters, Elsevier, vol. 21(C), pages 206-213.
    See citations under working paper version above.
  91. Vasilios Plakandaras & Juncal Cunado & Rangan Gupta & Mark E. Wohar, 2017. "Do leading indicators forecast U.S. recessions? A nonlinear re†evaluation using historical data," International Finance, Wiley Blackwell, vol. 20(3), pages 289-316, December.

    Cited by:

    1. Christophe Andre & Petre Caraiani & Rangan Gupta, 2023. "Fiscal Policy and Stock Markets at the Effective Lower Bound," Working Papers 202309, University of Pretoria, Department of Economics.
    2. Shixuan Wang & Rangan Gupta & Yue-Jun Zhang, 2020. "Bear, Bull, Sidewalk, and Crash: The Evolution of the US Stock Market Using Over a Century of Daily Data," Working Papers 202097, University of Pretoria, Department of Economics.
    3. Gupta, Rangan & Kanda, Patrick & Tiwari, Aviral Kumar & Wohar, Mark E., 2019. "Time-varying predictability of oil market movements over a century of data: The role of US financial stress," The North American Journal of Economics and Finance, Elsevier, vol. 50(C).
    4. Joao F. Caldeira & Rangan Gupta & Tahir Suleman & Hudson S. Torrent, 2019. "Forecasting the Term Structure of Interest Rates of the BRICS: Evidence from a Nonparametric Functional Data Analysis," Working Papers 201911, University of Pretoria, Department of Economics.
    5. Oguzhan Cepni & Rangan Gupta & Cenk C. Karahan & Brian M. Lucey, 2020. "Oil Price Shocks and Yield Curve Dynamics in Emerging Markets," Working Papers 202036, University of Pretoria, Department of Economics.
    6. Marfatia, Hardik A. & Gupta, Rangan & Cakan, Esin, 2021. "Dynamic impact of the U.S. monetary policy on oil market returns and volatility," The Quarterly Review of Economics and Finance, Elsevier, vol. 80(C), pages 159-169.
    7. Sheng, Xin & Marfatia, Hardik A. & Gupta, Rangan & Ji, Qiang, 2021. "House price synchronization across the US states: The role of structural oil shocks," The North American Journal of Economics and Finance, Elsevier, vol. 56(C).
    8. Gupta, Rangan & Sheng, Xin & Balcilar, Mehmet & Ji, Qiang, 2021. "Time-varying impact of pandemics on global output growth," Finance Research Letters, Elsevier, vol. 41(C).
    9. Riza Demirer & Rangan Gupta & Jacobus Nel & Christian Pierdzioch, 2020. "Effect of Rare Disaster Risks on Crude Oil: Evidence from El Nino from Over 140 Years of Data," Working Papers 2020104, University of Pretoria, Department of Economics.
    10. Duan, Yunlong & Mu, Chang & Yang, Meng & Deng, Zhiqing & Chin, Tachia & Zhou, Li & Fang, Qifeng, 2021. "Study on early warnings of strategic risk during the process of firms’ sustainable innovation based on an optimized genetic BP neural networks model: Evidence from Chinese manufacturing firms," International Journal of Production Economics, Elsevier, vol. 242(C).
    11. Bouri, Elie & Demirer, Riza & Gupta, Rangan & Wohar, Mark E., 2021. "Gold, platinum and the predictability of bond risk premia," Finance Research Letters, Elsevier, vol. 38(C).
    12. Oguzhan Cepni & Rangan Gupta & Qiang Ji, 2021. "Sentiment Regimes and Reaction of Stock Markets to Conventional and Unconventional Monetary Policies: Evidence from OECD Countries," Working Papers 202126, University of Pretoria, Department of Economics.
    13. Çepni, Oğuzhan & Guney, I. Ethem & Gupta, Rangan & Wohar, Mark E., 2020. "The role of an aligned investor sentiment index in predicting bond risk premia of the U.S," Journal of Financial Markets, Elsevier, vol. 51(C).
    14. Gupta, Rangan & Sheng, Xin & van Eyden, Reneé & Wohar, Mark E., 2021. "The impact of disaggregated oil shocks on state-level real housing returns of the United States: The role of oil dependence," Finance Research Letters, Elsevier, vol. 43(C).
    15. Matteo Bonato & Rangan Gupta & Chi Keung Marco Lau & Shixuan Wang, 2019. "Moments-Based Spillovers across Gold and Oil Markets," Working Papers 201966, University of Pretoria, Department of Economics.
    16. Gupta, Rangan & Huber, Florian & Piribauer, Philipp, 2020. "Predicting international equity returns: Evidence from time-varying parameter vector autoregressive models," International Review of Financial Analysis, Elsevier, vol. 68(C).
    17. Elie Bouri & Rangan Gupta & Shixuan Wang, 2019. "Contagion between Stock and Real Estate Markets: International Evidence from a Local Gaussian Correlation Approach," Working Papers 201917, University of Pretoria, Department of Economics.
    18. Salisu, Afees A. & Gupta, Rangan & Ji, Qiang, 2022. "Forecasting oil prices over 150 years: The role of tail risks," Resources Policy, Elsevier, vol. 75(C).
    19. Andreas Psimopoulos, 2020. "Forecasting Economic Recessions Using Machine Learning:An Empirical Study in Six Countries," South-Eastern Europe Journal of Economics, Association of Economic Universities of South and Eastern Europe and the Black Sea Region, vol. 18(1), pages 40-99.
    20. Ronald Ravinesh Kumar & Peter Josef Stauvermann & Hang Thi Thu Vu, 2021. "The Relationship between Yield Curve and Economic Activity: An Analysis of G7 Countries," JRFM, MDPI, vol. 14(2), pages 1-23, February.
    21. Jacobus Nel & Rangan Gupta & Mark E. Wohar & Christian Pierdzioch, 2022. "Climate Risks and Predictability of Commodity Returns and Volatility: Evidence from Over 750 Years of Data," Working Papers 202242, University of Pretoria, Department of Economics.

  92. Harvey, David I. & Kellard, Neil M. & Madsen, Jakob B. & Wohar, Mark E., 2017. "Long-Run Commodity Prices, Economic Growth, and Interest Rates: 17th Century to the Present Day," World Development, Elsevier, vol. 89(C), pages 57-70.

    Cited by:

    1. Yasmeen Idilbi-Bayaa & Mahmoud Qadan, 2021. "Forecasting Commodity Prices Using the Term Structure," JRFM, MDPI, vol. 14(12), pages 1-39, December.
    2. Christophe Gouel & Qingyin Ma & John Stachurski, 2023. "Interest Rate Dynamics and Commodity Prices," Papers 2308.07577, arXiv.org.
    3. Saidi, Samir & Mani, Venkatesh & Mefteh, Haifa & Shahbaz, Muhammad & Akhtar, Pervaiz, 2020. "Dynamic linkages between transport, logistics, foreign direct Investment, and economic growth: Empirical evidence from developing countries," Transportation Research Part A: Policy and Practice, Elsevier, vol. 141(C), pages 277-293.
    4. Jair N. Ojeda-Joya & Oscar Jaulin-Mendez & Juan C. Bustos-Peláez, 2015. "The Interdependence between Commodity-Price and GDP Cycles: A Frequency Domain Approach," Borradores de Economia 913, Banco de la Republica de Colombia.
    5. Juncal Cunado & Luis A. Gil-Alana & Rangan Gupta, 2018. "Persistence in Trends and Cycles of Gold and Silver Prices: Evidence from Historical Data," Working Papers 201816, University of Pretoria, Department of Economics.
    6. Makhlouf, Yousef & Kellard, Neil M. & Vinogradov, Dmitri, 2017. "Child mortality, commodity price volatility and the resource curse," Social Science & Medicine, Elsevier, vol. 178(C), pages 144-156.
    7. Awaworyi-Churchill, Sefa & Inekwe, John & Ivanovski, Kris & Smyth, Russell, 2022. "Breaks, trends and correlations in commodity prices in the very long-run," Energy Economics, Elsevier, vol. 108(C).
    8. Fernandez, Viviana, 2019. "A readily computable commodity price index: 1900–2016," Finance Research Letters, Elsevier, vol. 31(C).
    9. Winkelried, Diego, 2017. "Unit roots in real primary commodity prices? A meta-analysis of the Grilli and Yang data set," Working Papers 2017-013, Banco Central de Reserva del Perú.
    10. Umair Kashif & Junguo Shi & Snovia Naseem & Muhammad Ayaz & Rehan Sohail Butt & Waris Ali Khan & Mamdouh Abdulaziz Saleh Al-Faryan, 2023. "Do agricultural commodity prices asymmetrically affect the performance of value-added agriculture? Evidence from Pakistan using a NARDL model," Palgrave Communications, Palgrave Macmillan, vol. 10(1), pages 1-9, December.
    11. Ge, Yiqing & Tang, Ke, 2020. "Commodity prices and GDP growth," International Review of Financial Analysis, Elsevier, vol. 71(C).
    12. Yousef Makhlouf, 2023. "Trends in Income Inequality: Evidence from Developing and Developed Countries," Social Indicators Research: An International and Interdisciplinary Journal for Quality-of-Life Measurement, Springer, vol. 165(1), pages 213-243, January.
    13. Gray, Rowena & Narciso, Gaia & Tortorici, Gaspare, 2019. "Globalization, agricultural markets and mass migration: Italy, 1881–1912," Explorations in Economic History, Elsevier, vol. 74(C).
    14. Fernandez, Viviana, 2019. "Assessing cycles of mine production and prices of industrial metals," Resources Policy, Elsevier, vol. 63(C), pages 1-1.
    15. Abbas, Syed Kanwar & Lan, Hao, 2020. "Commodity price pass-through and inflation regimes," Energy Economics, Elsevier, vol. 92(C).
    16. Ghoshray, Atanu, 2019. "Do international primary commodity prices exhibit asymmetric adjustment?," Journal of Commodity Markets, Elsevier, vol. 14(C), pages 40-50.
    17. Yves Jégourel, 2017. "Tendances et cyclicité du prix des matières premières (partie 1) : le débat sur l’hypothèse de Prebisch-Singer," Policy notes & Policy briefs 1729, Policy Center for the New South.
    18. Infante-Amate, Juan & Krausmann, Fridolin, 2019. "Trade, Ecologically Unequal Exchange and Colonial Legacy: The Case of France and its Former Colonies (1962–2015)," Ecological Economics, Elsevier, vol. 156(C), pages 98-109.

  93. Olson, Eric & Vivian, Andrew & Wohar, Mark E., 2017. "Do commodities make effective hedges for equity investors?," Research in International Business and Finance, Elsevier, vol. 42(C), pages 1274-1288.

    Cited by:

    1. Matteo Bonato & Konstantinos Gkillas & Rangan Gupta & Christian Pierdzioch, 2020. "Investor Happiness and Predictability of the Realized Volatility of Oil Price," Working Papers 202009, University of Pretoria, Department of Economics.
    2. Jitmaneeroj, Boonlert, 2018. "The effect of the rebalancing horizon on the tradeoff between hedging effectiveness and transaction costs," International Review of Economics & Finance, Elsevier, vol. 58(C), pages 282-298.
    3. Belhassine, Olfa & Karamti, Chiraz, 2021. "Contagion and portfolio management in times of COVID-19," Economic Analysis and Policy, Elsevier, vol. 72(C), pages 73-86.
    4. Belhassine, Olfa, 2020. "Volatility spillovers and hedging effectiveness between the oil market and Eurozone sectors: A tale of two crises," Research in International Business and Finance, Elsevier, vol. 53(C).
    5. Belhassine, Olfa & Karamti, Chiraz, 2021. "Volatility spillovers and hedging effectiveness between oil and stock markets: Evidence from a wavelet-based and structural breaks analysis," Energy Economics, Elsevier, vol. 102(C).
    6. Kang, Sanghoon & Hernandez, Jose Arreola & Sadorsky, Perry & McIver, Ronald, 2021. "Frequency spillovers, connectedness, and the hedging effectiveness of oil and gold for US sector ETFs," Energy Economics, Elsevier, vol. 99(C).
    7. Babu Jose & Nithin Jose, 2023. "Is Cross-Hedging Effective for Mitigating Equity Investment Risks in the Indian Banking Sector?," Asia-Pacific Financial Markets, Springer;Japanese Association of Financial Economics and Engineering, vol. 30(1), pages 189-210, March.
    8. Tsuji, Chikashi, 2018. "Return transmission and asymmetric volatility spillovers between oil futures and oil equities: New DCC-MEGARCH analyses," Economic Modelling, Elsevier, vol. 74(C), pages 167-185.
    9. Chen, Xiangyu & Tongurai, Jittima, 2021. "Cross-commodity hedging for illiquid futures: Evidence from China's base metal futures market," Global Finance Journal, Elsevier, vol. 49(C).
    10. Nader Naifar, 2018. "Exploring the Dynamic Links between GCC Sukuk and Commodity Market Volatility," IJFS, MDPI, vol. 6(3), pages 1-18, August.
    11. Jose, Nithin & Jose, Babu & Varghese, James, 2022. "Is cross-hedging an effective strategy in equity futures market?," Finance Research Letters, Elsevier, vol. 50(C).
    12. Olson, Eric & Vivian, Andrew & Wohar, Mark E., 2019. "What is a better cross-hedge for energy: Equities or other commodities?," Global Finance Journal, Elsevier, vol. 42(C).
    13. Matteo Bonato & Rangan Gupta & Chi Keung Marco Lau & Shixuan Wang, 2019. "Moments-Based Spillovers across Gold and Oil Markets," Working Papers 201966, University of Pretoria, Department of Economics.
    14. Rehman, Mobeen Ur & Vo, Xuan Vinh & McIver, Ron & Kang, Sang Hoon, 2022. "Sensitivity of US sectoral returns to energy commodities under different investment horizons and market conditions," Energy Economics, Elsevier, vol. 108(C).
    15. Tsuji, Chikashi, 2018. "New DCC analyses of return transmission, volatility spillovers, and optimal hedging among oil futures and oil equities in oil-producing countries," Applied Energy, Elsevier, vol. 229(C), pages 1202-1217.
    16. Kuang, Wei, 2022. "The economic value of high-frequency data in equity-oil hedge," Energy, Elsevier, vol. 239(PA).
    17. Liu, Pan & Vedenov, Dmitry & Power, Gabriel J., 2020. "Commodity financialization and sector ETFs: Evidence from crude oil futures," Research in International Business and Finance, Elsevier, vol. 51(C).
    18. Tian, Tingting & Lai, Kee-hung & Wong, Christina W.Y., 2022. "Connectedness mechanisms in the “Carbon-Commodity-Finance” system: Investment and management policy implications for emerging economies," Energy Policy, Elsevier, vol. 169(C).
    19. Suleman, Muhammad Tahir & McIver, Ron & Kang, Sang Hoon, 2021. "Asymmetric volatility connectedness between Islamic stock and commodity markets," Global Finance Journal, Elsevier, vol. 49(C).
    20. Wajdi Hamma & Ahmed Ghorbel & Anis Jarboui, 2021. "Hedging Islamic and conventional stock markets with other financial assets: comparison between competing DCC models on hedging effectiveness," Journal of Asset Management, Palgrave Macmillan, vol. 22(3), pages 179-199, May.
    21. Chen, Xiangyu & Tongurai, Jittima, 2022. "Spillovers and interdependency across base metals: Evidence from China's futures and spot markets," Resources Policy, Elsevier, vol. 75(C).
    22. Jin, Jiayu & Han, Liyan & Wu, Lei & Zeng, Hongchao, 2020. "The hedging effectiveness of global sectors in emerging and developed stock markets," International Review of Economics & Finance, Elsevier, vol. 66(C), pages 92-117.

  94. Rangan Gupta & Eric Olson & Mark E. Wohar, 2017. "Forecasting key US macroeconomic variables with a factor‐augmented Qual VAR," Journal of Forecasting, John Wiley & Sons, Ltd., vol. 36(6), pages 640-650, September.
    See citations under working paper version above.
  95. Gupta, Rangan & Majumdar, Anandamayee & Pierdzioch, Christian & Wohar, Mark E., 2017. "Do terror attacks predict gold returns? Evidence from a quantile-predictive-regression approach," The Quarterly Review of Economics and Finance, Elsevier, vol. 65(C), pages 276-284.
    See citations under working paper version above.
  96. Gupta, Rangan & Wohar, Mark, 2017. "Forecasting oil and stock returns with a Qual VAR using over 150years off data," Energy Economics, Elsevier, vol. 62(C), pages 181-186.
    See citations under working paper version above.
  97. Bashar, Omar H.M.N. & Bhattacharya, Prasad Sankar & Wohar, Mark E., 2017. "The cyclicality of fiscal policy: New evidence from unobserved components approach," Journal of Macroeconomics, Elsevier, vol. 53(C), pages 222-234.

    Cited by:

    1. Lim, Jamus Jerome, 2020. "The political economy of fiscal procyclicality," European Journal of Political Economy, Elsevier, vol. 65(C).
    2. Igor Chugunov & Valentina Makohon & Tetniana Krykun, 2019. "Fiscal Policy And Institutional Budget Architectonics," Baltic Journal of Economic Studies, Publishing house "Baltija Publishing", vol. 5(5).
    3. Kassouri, Yacouba & Altıntaş, Halil, 2021. "Cyclical drivers of fiscal policy in sub-Saharan Africa: New insights from the time-varying heterogeneity approach," Economic Analysis and Policy, Elsevier, vol. 70(C), pages 51-67.
    4. Canh Phuc NGUYEN & Christophe SCHINCKUS, 2020. "The Spending Behavior of Government through the Lenses of Global Uncertainty and Economic Integration," Journal for Economic Forecasting, Institute for Economic Forecasting, vol. 0(2), pages 35-57, July.
    5. Alfan Mansur, 2023. "Simultaneous identification of fiscal and monetary policy shocks," Empirical Economics, Springer, vol. 65(2), pages 697-728, August.
    6. Luis Ayala-Cañón & María Jesús Delgado-Rodríguez & Sonia De Lucas-Santos, 2022. "Synchronization and cyclicality of social spending in economic crises," Empirica, Springer;Austrian Institute for Economic Research;Austrian Economic Association, vol. 49(4), pages 1153-1187, November.
    7. Aizenman, Joshua & Jinjarak, Yothin & Nguyen, Hien Thi Kim & Park, Donghyun, 2019. "Fiscal space and government-spending and tax-rate cyclicality patterns: A cross-country comparison, 1960–2016," Journal of Macroeconomics, Elsevier, vol. 60(C), pages 229-252.

  98. Balcilar, Mehmet & Gupta, Rangan & Sousa, Ricardo M. & Wohar, Mark E., 2017. "Do cay and cayMS predict stock and housing returns? Evidence from a nonparametric causality test," International Review of Economics & Finance, Elsevier, vol. 48(C), pages 269-279.

    Cited by:

    1. Maghyereh, Aktham & Abdoh, Hussein, 2020. "The tail dependence structure between investor sentiment and commodity markets," Resources Policy, Elsevier, vol. 68(C).
    2. Oğuzhan Çepni & Rangan Gupta & Mark E. Wohar, 2021. "Variants of consumption‐wealth ratios and predictability of U.S. government bond risk premia," International Review of Finance, International Review of Finance Ltd., vol. 21(2), pages 661-674, June.
    3. Balcilar, Mehmet & Gupta, Rangan & Kim, Won Joong & Kyei, Clement, 2019. "The role of economic policy uncertainties in predicting stock returns and their volatility for Hong Kong, Malaysia and South Korea," International Review of Economics & Finance, Elsevier, vol. 59(C), pages 150-163.
    4. Oguzhan Cepni & Rangan Gupta & Mark E. Wohar, 2019. "Variants of Consumption-Wealth Ratios and Predictability of U.S. Government Bond Risk Premia: Old is still Gold," Working Papers 201912, University of Pretoria, Department of Economics.

  99. Rangan Gupta & Anandamayee Majumdar & Mark E. Wohar, 2017. "The Role of Current Account Balance in Forecasting the US Equity Premium: Evidence From a Quantile Predictive Regression Approach," Open Economies Review, Springer, vol. 28(1), pages 47-59, February.
    See citations under working paper version above.
  100. Baharumshah, Ahmad Zubaidi & Soon, Siew-Voon & Wohar, Mark E., 2017. "Markov-switching analysis of exchange rate pass-through: Perspective from Asian countries," International Review of Economics & Finance, Elsevier, vol. 51(C), pages 245-257.

    Cited by:

    1. Vo, Duc, 2018. "Exchange Rate Pass-through in ASEAN Countries: An Application of the SVAR Model," MPRA Paper 103283, University Library of Munich, Germany.
    2. Fabrizio Almeida Marodin & Marcelo Savino Portugal, 2019. "Exchange Rate Pass-Through in Brazil: À Markov Switching DSGE Estimation for the Inflation Targeting Period," Russian Journal of Money and Finance, Bank of Russia, vol. 78(1), pages 36-66, March.
    3. Gorman, Michael & Orlowski, Lucjan T. & Roessler, Matthew H., 2020. "Dynamic interactions between Central European currencies and the euro," Economic Systems, Elsevier, vol. 44(3).
    4. Dejan Zivkov & Slavica Manic & Jasmina Duraskovic & Jelena Kovacevic, 2019. "Bidirectional Nexus between Inflation and Inflation Uncertainty in the Asian Emerging Markets – The GARCH-in-Mean Approach," Czech Journal of Economics and Finance (Finance a uver), Charles University Prague, Faculty of Social Sciences, vol. 69(6), pages 580-599, December.
    5. Christina Anderl & Guglielmo Maria Caporale, 2022. "Nonlinearities in the Exchange Rate Pass-Through: The Role of Inflation Expectations," CESifo Working Paper Series 9544, CESifo.
    6. Wang, Yonglian & Wang, Lijun & Pan, Changchun & Hong, Songzhi, 2022. "Economic policy uncertainty and price pass-through effect of exchange rate in China," Pacific-Basin Finance Journal, Elsevier, vol. 75(C).
    7. Shahrestani, Parnia & Rafei, Meysam, 2020. "The impact of oil price shocks on Tehran Stock Exchange returns: Application of the Markov switching vector autoregressive models," Resources Policy, Elsevier, vol. 65(C).
    8. Williams Corey J. M., 2023. "Unraveling Producer Price Inflation Pass-Through: Quantification, Structural Breaks, and Causal Direction," Economics - The Open-Access, Open-Assessment Journal, De Gruyter, vol. 17(1), pages 1-16, January.
    9. Eduardo Saucedo & Jorge Gonzalez, 2021. "Exchange Rate Pass-Through to Prices in Mexico: A Study of the Main Border and Non-Border Cities," Remef - Revista Mexicana de Economía y Finanzas Nueva Época REMEF (The Mexican Journal of Economics and Finance), Instituto Mexicano de Ejecutivos de Finanzas, IMEF, vol. 16(2), pages 1-24, Abril - J.
    10. Ben Cheikh, Nidhaleddine & Ben Zaied, Younes & Ben Ameur, Hachmi, 2023. "Recent developments in exchange rate pass-through: What have we learned from uncertain times?," Journal of International Money and Finance, Elsevier, vol. 131(C).
    11. Vo, Duc, 2019. "Macroeconomics Determinants of Exchange Rate Pass-through: New Evidence from the Asia-Pacific Region," MPRA Paper 103293, University Library of Munich, Germany.
    12. Abbas, Syed Kanwar & Lan, Hao, 2020. "Commodity price pass-through and inflation regimes," Energy Economics, Elsevier, vol. 92(C).
    13. Mehmet Balcilar & David Roubaud & Ojonugwa Usman & Mark E. Wohar, 2019. "Testing the Asymmetric Effects of Exchange Rate and Oil Price Pass-Through in BRICS Countries: Does the state of the economy matter?," Working Papers 15-49, Eastern Mediterranean University, Department of Economics.
    14. Liu, Min & Lee, Chien-Chiang, 2021. "Capturing the dynamics of the China crude oil futures: Markov switching, co-movement, and volatility forecasting," Energy Economics, Elsevier, vol. 103(C).
    15. Ibrahim L. Awad, 2019. "Revisiting the Exchange Rate Pass-Through to Domestic Inflation in Egypt: Why Is the Statistical Association Weak in the Short Run?," International Journal of Business and Economics, School of Management Development, Feng Chia University, Taichung, Taiwan, vol. 18(1), pages 59-77, June.
    16. Christina Anderl & Guglielmo Maria Caporale, 2021. "Nonlinearities and asymmetric adjustment to PPP in an exchange rate model with inflation expectations," Journal of Economic Studies, Emerald Group Publishing Limited, vol. 49(6), pages 937-959, August.

  101. Paul M. Jones & Eric Olson & Mark E. Wohar, 2017. "A Reexamination of Real Stock Returns, Real Interest Rates, Real Activity, and Inflation: Evidence from a Large Data Set," The Financial Review, Eastern Finance Association, vol. 52(3), pages 405-433, August.

    Cited by:

    1. Konrad Farrugia & Janice Duca & Peter J. Baldacchino & Simon Grima, 2021. "The Relationship between Inflation and Stock Returns in a Small Island State: An Analysis," International Journal of Finance, Insurance and Risk Management, International Journal of Finance, Insurance and Risk Management, vol. 11(2), pages 51-78.
    2. Ahmed, Walid M.A., 2020. "Stock market reactions to domestic sentiment: Panel CS-ARDL evidence," Research in International Business and Finance, Elsevier, vol. 54(C).
    3. Ahmed, Walid M.A., 2020. "Corruption and equity market performance: International comparative evidence," Pacific-Basin Finance Journal, Elsevier, vol. 60(C).
    4. Murphy, Austin & AlSalman, Zeina, 2023. "Relationships between stock returns and real earnings yields over the last 150 years," Finance Research Letters, Elsevier, vol. 57(C).

  102. Jordan, Steven J. & Vivian, Andrew & Wohar, Mark E., 2017. "Forecasting market returns: bagging or combining?," International Journal of Forecasting, Elsevier, vol. 33(1), pages 102-120.

    Cited by:

    1. Özen, Kadir & Yıldırım, Dilem, 2021. "Application of bagging in day-ahead electricity price forecasting and factor augmentation," Energy Economics, Elsevier, vol. 103(C).
    2. Manuel Lukas & Eric Hillebrand, 2014. "Bagging Weak Predictors," CREATES Research Papers 2014-01, Department of Economics and Business Economics, Aarhus University.
    3. Lyu, Zhichong & Ma, Feng & Zhang, Jixiang, 2023. "Oil futures volatility prediction: Bagging or combination?," International Review of Economics & Finance, Elsevier, vol. 87(C), pages 457-467.
    4. Mehmet Balcilar & Rangan Gupta & Christian Pierdzioch, 2022. "Oil-Price Uncertainty and International Stock Returns: Dissecting Quantile-Based Predictability and Spillover Effects Using More than a Century of Data," Energies, MDPI, vol. 15(22), pages 1-26, November.
    5. Afees A. Salisu & Rangan Gupta & Ahamuefula E. Ogbonna, 2023. "Tail risks and forecastability of stock returns of advanced economies: evidence from centuries of data," The European Journal of Finance, Taylor & Francis Journals, vol. 29(4), pages 466-481, March.
    6. Gupta, Rangan & Pierdzioch, Christian & Vivian, Andrew J. & Wohar, Mark E., 2019. "The predictive value of inequality measures for stock returns: An analysis of long-span UK data using quantile random forests," Finance Research Letters, Elsevier, vol. 29(C), pages 315-322.
    7. Mehmet Sahiner & David G. McMillan & Dimos Kambouroudis, 2023. "Do artificial neural networks provide improved volatility forecasts: Evidence from Asian markets," Journal of Economics and Finance, Springer;Academy of Economics and Finance, vol. 47(3), pages 723-762, September.
    8. Oguzhan Cepni & Rangan Gupta & Qiang Ji, 2021. "Sentiment Regimes and Reaction of Stock Markets to Conventional and Unconventional Monetary Policies: Evidence from OECD Countries," Working Papers 202126, University of Pretoria, Department of Economics.
    9. Fabian Hollstein & Marcel Prokopczuk & Björn Tharann & Chardin Wese Simen, 2019. "Predicting the equity market with option-implied variables," The European Journal of Finance, Taylor & Francis Journals, vol. 25(10), pages 937-965, July.
    10. Mehmet Balcilar & David Gabauer & Rangan Gupta & Christian Pierdzioch, 2023. "Climate Risks and Forecasting Stock Market Returns in Advanced Economies over a Century," Mathematics, MDPI, vol. 11(9), pages 1-21, April.
    11. Afees A. Salisu & Rangan Gupta, 2021. "Commodity Prices and Forecastability of South African Stock Returns Over a Century: Sentiments versus Fundamentals," Working Papers 202144, University of Pretoria, Department of Economics.
    12. Gupta, Rangan & Huber, Florian & Piribauer, Philipp, 2020. "Predicting international equity returns: Evidence from time-varying parameter vector autoregressive models," International Review of Financial Analysis, Elsevier, vol. 68(C).
    13. Hammami, Yacine & Zhu, Jie, 2020. "Understanding time-varying short-horizon predictability✰," Finance Research Letters, Elsevier, vol. 32(C).
    14. Lu, Qinye & Vivian, Andrew, 2020. "Domestically formed international diversification," Journal of International Money and Finance, Elsevier, vol. 103(C).
    15. Kadir Özen & Dilem Yıldırım, 2021. "Application of Bagging in Day-Ahead Electricity Price Forecasting and Factor Augmentation," ERC Working Papers 2101, ERC - Economic Research Center, Middle East Technical University, revised Apr 2021.
    16. Tan, Xueping & Sirichand, Kavita & Vivian, Andrew & Wang, Xinyu, 2022. "Forecasting European carbon returns using dimension reduction techniques: Commodity versus financial fundamentals," International Journal of Forecasting, Elsevier, vol. 38(3), pages 944-969.
    17. Pedro Henrique Melo Albuquerque & Yaohao Peng & João Pedro Fontoura da Silva, 2022. "Making the whole greater than the sum of its parts: A literature review of ensemble methods for financial time series forecasting," Journal of Forecasting, John Wiley & Sons, Ltd., vol. 41(8), pages 1701-1724, December.
    18. Luo, Qin & Bu, Jinfeng & Xu, Weiju & Huang, Dengshi, 2023. "Stock market volatility prediction: Evidence from a new bagging model," International Review of Economics & Finance, Elsevier, vol. 87(C), pages 445-456.

  103. Balcilar, Mehmet & Gupta, Rangan & Wohar, Mark E., 2017. "Common cycles and common trends in the stock and oil markets: Evidence from more than 150years of data," Energy Economics, Elsevier, vol. 61(C), pages 72-86.
    See citations under working paper version above.
  104. Valcarcel, Victor J. & Vivian, Andrew J. & Wohar, Mark E., 2017. "Predictability and underreaction in industry-level returns: Evidence from commodity markets," Journal of Commodity Markets, Elsevier, vol. 6(C), pages 1-15.

    Cited by:

    1. Pham, Quynh Thi Thuy & Rudolf, Markus, 2021. "Gold, platinum, and industry stock returns," International Review of Economics & Finance, Elsevier, vol. 75(C), pages 252-266.
    2. Lazzarino, Marco & Berrill, Jenny & Šević, Aleksandar, 2022. "The importance of distinguishing between precious and industrial metals when investing in mining stocks," Resources Policy, Elsevier, vol. 78(C).
    3. Chen, Yanhua & Pantelous, Athanasios A., 2022. "The U.S.-China trade conflict impacts on the Chinese and U.S. stock markets: A network-based approach," Finance Research Letters, Elsevier, vol. 46(PB).

  105. Chuliá, Helena & Gupta, Rangan & Uribe, Jorge M. & Wohar, Mark E., 2017. "Impact of US uncertainties on emerging and mature markets: Evidence from a quantile-vector autoregressive approach," Journal of International Financial Markets, Institutions and Money, Elsevier, vol. 48(C), pages 178-191.
    See citations under working paper version above.
  106. Balcilar, Mehmet & Gupta, Rangan & Jooste, Charl & Wohar, Mark E., 2016. "Periodically collapsing bubbles in the South African stock market," Research in International Business and Finance, Elsevier, vol. 38(C), pages 191-201.
    See citations under working paper version above.
  107. Mehmet Balcilar & Rangan Gupta & Clement Kyei & Mark E. Wohar, 2016. "Does Economic Policy Uncertainty Predict Exchange Rate Returns and Volatility? Evidence from a Nonparametric Causality-in-Quantiles Test," Open Economies Review, Springer, vol. 27(2), pages 229-250, April.
    See citations under working paper version above.
  108. Baharumshah, Ahmad Zubaidi & Slesman, Ly & Wohar, Mark E., 2016. "Inflation, inflation uncertainty, and economic growth in emerging and developing countries: Panel data evidence," Economic Systems, Elsevier, vol. 40(4), pages 638-657.

    Cited by:

    1. Anuar Sanusi & Faurani Santi Singagerda & Ahmad Zaharuddin Sani, 2021. "World Oil Price Shocks in Macroeconomic ASEAN +3 Countries: Measurement of Risk Management and Decision-making a Linear Dynamic Panel Approach," International Journal of Energy Economics and Policy, Econjournals, vol. 11(4), pages 75-83.
    2. Slesman, Ly & Abubakar, Yazid Abdullahi & Mitra, Jay, 2021. "Foreign direct investment and entrepreneurship: Does the role of institutions matter?," International Business Review, Elsevier, vol. 30(4).
    3. R, Rekha & M, Suresh Babu, 2022. "Premature deindustrialisation and growth slowdowns in middle-income countries," Structural Change and Economic Dynamics, Elsevier, vol. 62(C), pages 377-389.
    4. Cabral,Rene & Carneiro,Francisco Galrao & Mollick,Andre Varella, 2016. "Inflation targeting and exchange rate volatility in emerging markets," Policy Research Working Paper Series 7712, The World Bank.
    5. Davidmac O. Ekeocha & Jonathan E. Ogbuabor & Oliver E. Ogbonna & Anthony Orji, 2023. "Economic policy uncertainty, governance institutions and economic performance in Africa: are there regional differences?," Economic Change and Restructuring, Springer, vol. 56(3), pages 1367-1431, June.
    6. Angus C. Chu & Guido Cozzi & Yuichi Furukawa & Chih‐Hsing Liao, 2019. "Inflation and Innovation in a Schumpeterian Economy with North–South Technology Transfer," Journal of Money, Credit and Banking, Blackwell Publishing, vol. 51(2-3), pages 683-719, March.
    7. Mehmet Canakci, 2021. "Does Inflation Affect Economic Growth? A case of Turkey and U.S," International Journal of Economics and Financial Issues, Econjournals, vol. 11(3), pages 45-54.
    8. Nell, Kevin, 2023. "Inflation and growth in developing economies: A tribute to Professor Thirlwall," MPRA Paper 118757, University Library of Munich, Germany, revised 01 Sep 2023.
    9. Njindan Iyke, Bernard & Ho, Sin-Yu, 2018. "Inflation, Inflation Uncertainty, and Growth: Evidence from Ghana," MPRA Paper 85191, University Library of Munich, Germany.
    10. Xiuping Ji & Feiran Dong & Chen Zheng & Naipeng Bu, 2022. "The Influences of International Trade on Sustainable Economic Growth: An Economic Policy Perspective," Sustainability, MDPI, vol. 14(5), pages 1-15, February.
    11. Dumitrescu, Bogdan Andrei & Kagitci, Meral & Cepoi, Cosmin-Octavian, 2022. "Nonlinear effects of public debt on inflation. Does the size of the shadow economy matter?," Finance Research Letters, Elsevier, vol. 46(PA).
    12. Chakamera, Chengete & Alagidede, Paul, 2018. "Electricity crisis and the effect of CO2 emissions on infrastructure-growth nexus in Sub Saharan Africa," Renewable and Sustainable Energy Reviews, Elsevier, vol. 94(C), pages 945-958.
    13. Mekki Hamdaoui & Samir Maktouf, 2019. "Overall effects of financial liberalization: financial crisis versus economic growth," International Review of Applied Economics, Taylor & Francis Journals, vol. 33(4), pages 568-595, July.
    14. Soleman O. Alsabban & Sarah N. Alnuwaiser, 2021. "Estimating Optimal Inflation Rate in Saudi Arabia: Using Dynamic Threshold Regression Model," International Journal of Economics and Finance, Canadian Center of Science and Education, vol. 13(3), pages 1-40, March.
    15. Baharumshah, Ahmad Zubaidi & Soon, Siew-Voon & Wohar, Mark E., 2017. "Markov-switching analysis of exchange rate pass-through: Perspective from Asian countries," International Review of Economics & Finance, Elsevier, vol. 51(C), pages 245-257.

  109. Sousa, Ricardo M. & Vivian, Andrew & Wohar, Mark E., 2016. "Predicting asset returns in the BRICS: The role of macroeconomic and fundamental predictors," International Review of Economics & Finance, Elsevier, vol. 41(C), pages 122-143.

    Cited by:

    1. Elie Bouri & Riza Demirer & Rangan Gupta & Xiaojin Sun, 2019. "The Predictability of Stock Market Volatility in Emerging Economies: Relative Roles of Local, Regional and Global Business Cycles," Working Papers 201938, University of Pretoria, Department of Economics.
    2. Apergis, Nicholas & Gupta, Rangan, 2017. "Can (unusual) weather conditions in New York predict South African stock returns?," Research in International Business and Finance, Elsevier, vol. 41(C), pages 377-386.
    3. Christina Christou & Rangan Gupta, 2016. "Forecasting Equity Premium in a Panel of OECD Countries: The Role of Economic Policy Uncertainty," Working Papers 201622, University of Pretoria, Department of Economics.
    4. Afees A. Salisu & Rangan Gupta & Idris A. Adediran, 2021. "The Effect of US Uncertainty Shock on International Equity Markets: The Role of the Global Financial Cycle," Working Papers 202136, University of Pretoria, Department of Economics.
    5. Ruipeng Liu & Riza Demirer & Rangan Gupta & Mark Wohar, 2020. "Volatility forecasting with bivariate multifractal models," Journal of Forecasting, John Wiley & Sons, Ltd., vol. 39(2), pages 155-167, March.
    6. Christina Christou & Rangan Gupta & Fredj Jawadi, 2017. "Does Inequality Help in Forecasting Equity Premium in a Panel of G7 Countries?," Working Papers 201720, University of Pretoria, Department of Economics.
    7. Gupta, Rangan & Pierdzioch, Christian & Vivian, Andrew J. & Wohar, Mark E., 2019. "The predictive value of inequality measures for stock returns: An analysis of long-span UK data using quantile random forests," Finance Research Letters, Elsevier, vol. 29(C), pages 315-322.
    8. Mehmet Balcilar & Rangan Gupta & Ricardo M. Sousa & Mark E. Wohar, 2020. "Linking U.S. State-Level Housing Market Returns and the Consumption-(Dis)Aggregate Wealth Ratio," Working Papers 202094, University of Pretoria, Department of Economics.
    9. Samargandi, Nahla & Kutan, Ali M. & Sohag, Kazi & Alqahtani, Faisal, 2020. "Equity market and money supply spillovers and economic growth in BRICS economies: A global vector autoregressive approach," The North American Journal of Economics and Finance, Elsevier, vol. 51(C).
    10. Rangan Gupta & Hardik A. Marfatia & Eric Olson, 2020. "Effect of uncertainty on U.S. stock returns and volatility: evidence from over eighty years of high-frequency data," Applied Economics Letters, Taylor & Francis Journals, vol. 27(16), pages 1305-1311, September.
    11. Agnello, Luca & Castro, Vitor & Hammoudeh, Shawkat & Sousa, Ricardo M., 2017. "Spillovers from the oil sector to the housing market cycle," Energy Economics, Elsevier, vol. 61(C), pages 209-220.
    12. Bouri, Elie & Gupta, Rangan & Hosseini, Seyedmehdi & Lau, Chi Keung Marco, 2018. "Does global fear predict fear in BRICS stock markets? Evidence from a Bayesian Graphical Structural VAR model," Emerging Markets Review, Elsevier, vol. 34(C), pages 124-142.
    13. Dladla, Pholile & Malikane, Christopher, 2019. "Stock return predictability: Evidence from a structural model," International Review of Economics & Finance, Elsevier, vol. 59(C), pages 412-424.
    14. Mehmet Balcilar & Riza Demirer & Festus V. Bekun, 2021. "Flexible Time-Varying Betas in a Novel Mixture Innovation Factor Model with Latent Threshold," Mathematics, MDPI, vol. 9(8), pages 1-20, April.
    15. Afees A. Salisu & Rangan Gupta & Riza Demirer, 2021. "The Effect of Oil Price Uncertainty Shock on International Equity Markets: Evidence from a GVAR Model," Working Papers 202160, University of Pretoria, Department of Economics.
    16. Adnen Ben Nasr & Juncal Cunado & Rıza Demirer & Rangan Gupta, 2018. "Country Risk Ratings and Stock Market Returns in Brazil, Russia, India, and China (BRICS) Countries: A Nonlinear Dynamic Approach," Risks, MDPI, vol. 6(3), pages 1-22, September.
    17. Ruipeng Liu & Riza Demirer & Rangan Gupta & Mark E. Wohar, 2017. "Do Bivariate Multifractal Models Improve Volatility Forecasting in Financial Time Series? An Application to Foreign Exchange and Stock Markets," Working Papers 201728, University of Pretoria, Department of Economics.
    18. Ahmad, Wasim & Sharma, Sumit Kumar, 2018. "Testing output gap and economic uncertainty as an explicator of stock market returns," Research in International Business and Finance, Elsevier, vol. 45(C), pages 293-306.
    19. Lai, Ya-Wen, 2017. "Macroeconomic factors and index option returns," International Review of Economics & Finance, Elsevier, vol. 48(C), pages 452-477.
    20. Afees A. Salisu & Rangan Gupta, 2021. "Commodity Prices and Forecastability of South African Stock Returns Over a Century: Sentiments versus Fundamentals," Working Papers 202144, University of Pretoria, Department of Economics.
    21. Gupta, Rangan & Huber, Florian & Piribauer, Philipp, 2020. "Predicting international equity returns: Evidence from time-varying parameter vector autoregressive models," International Review of Financial Analysis, Elsevier, vol. 68(C).
    22. Azmi, Wajahat & Mohamad, Shamsher & Shah, Mohamed Eskandar, 2020. "Ethical investments and financial performance: An international evidence," Pacific-Basin Finance Journal, Elsevier, vol. 62(C).
    23. Kutan, Ali M. & Shi, Yukun & Wei, Mingzhe & Zhao, Yang, 2018. "Does the introduction of index futures stabilize stock markets? Further evidence from emerging markets," International Review of Economics & Finance, Elsevier, vol. 57(C), pages 183-197.
    24. Liu, Qingfu & Tse, Yiuman, 2017. "Overnight returns of stock indexes: Evidence from ETFs and futures," International Review of Economics & Finance, Elsevier, vol. 48(C), pages 440-451.
    25. Elie Bouri & Rangan Gupta & Seyedmehdi Hosseini & Chi Keung Marco Lau, 2017. "Does Global Fear Predict Fear in BRICS Stock Markets? Evidence from a Bayesian Graphical VAR Model," Working Papers 201704, University of Pretoria, Department of Economics.
    26. Rajabrata Banerjee & Tony Cavoli & Ron McIver & Shannon Meng & John K. Wilson, 2023. "Predicting long‐run risk factors of stock returns: Evidence from Australia," Australian Economic Papers, Wiley Blackwell, vol. 62(3), pages 377-395, September.
    27. Nicholas Apergis & Rangan Gupta, 2016. "Can Weather Conditions in New York Predict South African Stock Returns?," Working Papers 201634, University of Pretoria, Department of Economics.

  110. Jinlan Ni & Mark E. Wohar & Beichen Wang, 2016. "Structural Breaks in Volatility: The Case of Chinese Stock Returns," Chinese Economy, Taylor & Francis Journals, vol. 49(2), pages 81-93, March.

    Cited by:

    1. Chong, Terence Tai Leung & Li, Nasha & Zou, Lin, 2016. "A New Approach to Modelling Sector Stock Returns in China," MPRA Paper 80554, University Library of Munich, Germany.
    2. Pasquale Tridico & Riccardo Pariboni, 2017. "Structural Change, Aggregate Demand And The Decline Of Labour Productivity: A Comparative Perspective," Departmental Working Papers of Economics - University 'Roma Tre' 0221, Department of Economics - University Roma Tre.
    3. Yang-Chao Wang & Jui-Jung Tsai & Qiaoqiao Li, 2017. "Policy Impact on the Chinese Stock Market: From the 1994 Bailout Policies to the 2015 Shanghai-Hong Kong Stock Connect," IJFS, MDPI, vol. 5(1), pages 1-19, January.
    4. Davide De Gaetano, 2017. "A Bootstrap Bias Correction Of Long Run Fourth Order Moment Estimation In The Cusum Of Squares Test," Departmental Working Papers of Economics - University 'Roma Tre' 0220, Department of Economics - University Roma Tre.

  111. Jordan, Steven J. & Vivian, Andrew & Wohar, Mark E., 2016. "Can commodity returns forecast Canadian sector stock returns?," International Review of Economics & Finance, Elsevier, vol. 41(C), pages 172-188.

    Cited by:

    1. Ayedi Ahmed & Marjène Gana & Stéphane Goutte & Khaled Guesmi, 2023. "Managing Portfolio Risk During the BREXIT Crisis: A Cross-Quantilogram Analysis of Stock Markets and Commodities Across European Countries, the US, and BRICS," Working Papers halshs-04068651, HAL.
    2. Lin, Arthur J. & Chang, Hai Yen & Hsiao, Jung Lieh, 2019. "Does the Baltic Dry Index drive volatility spillovers in the commodities, currency, or stock markets?," Transportation Research Part E: Logistics and Transportation Review, Elsevier, vol. 127(C), pages 265-283.
    3. Lyu, Zhichong & Ma, Feng & Zhang, Jixiang, 2023. "Oil futures volatility prediction: Bagging or combination?," International Review of Economics & Finance, Elsevier, vol. 87(C), pages 457-467.
    4. Jitmaneeroj, Boonlert, 2018. "The effect of the rebalancing horizon on the tradeoff between hedging effectiveness and transaction costs," International Review of Economics & Finance, Elsevier, vol. 58(C), pages 282-298.
    5. Reboredo, Juan Carlos & Ugolini, Andrea & Hernandez, Jose Arreola, 2021. "Dynamic spillovers and network structure among commodity, currency, and stock markets," Resources Policy, Elsevier, vol. 74(C).
    6. Zhang, Yue-Jun & Li, Zhao-Chen, 2021. "Forecasting the stock returns of Chinese oil companies: Can investor attention help?," International Review of Economics & Finance, Elsevier, vol. 76(C), pages 531-555.
    7. Wen, Danyan & Wang, Yudong, 2021. "Volatility linkages between stock and commodity markets revisited: Industry perspective and portfolio implications," Resources Policy, Elsevier, vol. 74(C).
    8. Gebka, Bartosz & Wohar, Mark E., 2019. "Stock return distribution and predictability: Evidence from over a century of daily data on the DJIA index," International Review of Economics & Finance, Elsevier, vol. 60(C), pages 1-25.
    9. Gagnon, Marie-Hélène & Manseau, Guillaume & Power, Gabriel J., 2020. "They're back! Post-financialization diversification benefits of commodities," International Review of Financial Analysis, Elsevier, vol. 71(C).
    10. Arthur J. Lin & Hai-Yen Chang, 2020. "Volatility Transmission from Equity, Bulk Shipping, and Commodity Markets to Oil ETF and Energy Fund—A GARCH-MIDAS Model," Mathematics, MDPI, vol. 8(9), pages 1-21, September.
    11. Gülin Vardar & Yener Coşkun & Tezer Yelkenci, 2018. "Shock transmission and volatility spillover in stock and commodity markets: evidence from advanced and emerging markets," Eurasian Economic Review, Springer;Eurasia Business and Economics Society, vol. 8(2), pages 231-288, August.
    12. Balcilar, Mehmet & Gupta, Rangan & Kim, Won Joong & Kyei, Clement, 2019. "The role of economic policy uncertainties in predicting stock returns and their volatility for Hong Kong, Malaysia and South Korea," International Review of Economics & Finance, Elsevier, vol. 59(C), pages 150-163.
    13. Jordan, Steven J. & Vivian, Andrew & Wohar, Mark E., 2017. "Forecasting market returns: bagging or combining?," International Journal of Forecasting, Elsevier, vol. 33(1), pages 102-120.
    14. Liu, Pan & Vedenov, Dmitry & Power, Gabriel J., 2020. "Commodity financialization and sector ETFs: Evidence from crude oil futures," Research in International Business and Finance, Elsevier, vol. 51(C).
    15. Salisu, Afees A. & Isah, Kazeem O. & Raheem, Ibrahim D., 2019. "Testing the predictability of commodity prices in stock returns of G7 countries: Evidence from a new approach," Resources Policy, Elsevier, vol. 64(C).

  112. Kellard, Neil M. & Jiang, Ying & Wohar, Mark, 2015. "Spurious long memory, uncommon breaks and the implied–realized volatility puzzle," Journal of International Money and Finance, Elsevier, vol. 56(C), pages 36-54.

    Cited by:

    1. Cró, Susana & Martins, António Miguel, 2017. "Structural breaks in international tourism demand: Are they caused by crises or disasters?," Tourism Management, Elsevier, vol. 63(C), pages 3-9.
    2. Ruipeng Liu & Riza Demirer & Rangan Gupta & Mark Wohar, 2020. "Volatility forecasting with bivariate multifractal models," Journal of Forecasting, John Wiley & Sons, Ltd., vol. 39(2), pages 155-167, March.
    3. Gong, Xu & Lin, Boqiang, 2018. "Structural changes and out-of-sample prediction of realized range-based variance in the stock market," Physica A: Statistical Mechanics and its Applications, Elsevier, vol. 494(C), pages 27-39.
    4. Becker, Janis & Leschinski, Christian & Sibbertsen, Philipp, 2019. "Robust Multivariate Local Whittle Estimation and Spurious Fractional Cointegration," Hannover Economic Papers (HEP) dp-660, Leibniz Universität Hannover, Wirtschaftswissenschaftliche Fakultät.
    5. Ruipeng Liu & Riza Demirer & Rangan Gupta & Mark E. Wohar, 2017. "Do Bivariate Multifractal Models Improve Volatility Forecasting in Financial Time Series? An Application to Foreign Exchange and Stock Markets," Working Papers 201728, University of Pretoria, Department of Economics.
    6. Lin, Ling & Zhou, Zhongbao & Jiang, Yong & Ou, Yangchen, 2021. "Risk spillovers and hedge strategies between global crude oil markets and stock markets: Do regime switching processes combining long memory and asymmetry matter?," The North American Journal of Economics and Finance, Elsevier, vol. 57(C).
    7. Al-Shboul, Mohammad & Anwar, Sajid, 2016. "Fractional integration in daily stock market indices at Jordan's Amman stock exchange," The North American Journal of Economics and Finance, Elsevier, vol. 37(C), pages 16-37.
    8. Gil-Alana, Luis A. & Huijbens, Edward H., 2018. "Tourism in Iceland: Persistence and seasonality," Annals of Tourism Research, Elsevier, vol. 68(C), pages 20-29.
    9. Giorgio Canarella & Luis A. Gil-Alana & Rangan Gupta & Stephen M. Miller, 2020. "The Behavior of Real Interest Rates: New Evidence from a ``Suprasecular" Perspective," Working Papers 202093, University of Pretoria, Department of Economics.

  113. Ly Slesman & Ahmad Zubaidi Baharumshah & Mark E. Wohar, 2015. "Capital Inflows and Economic Growth: Does the Role of Institutions Matter?," International Journal of Finance & Economics, John Wiley & Sons, Ltd., vol. 20(3), pages 253-275, July.

    Cited by:

    1. Slesman, Ly & Baharumshah, Ahmad Zubaidi & Azman-Saini, W.N.W., 2019. "Political institutions and finance-growth nexus in emerging markets and developing countries: A tale of one threshold," The Quarterly Review of Economics and Finance, Elsevier, vol. 72(C), pages 80-100.
    2. Michael Effah Asamoah & Imhotep Paul Alagidede & Frank Adu, 2021. "Private Capital Flows, Real Sector Growth and Institutional Quality in Africa," Journal of International Development, John Wiley & Sons, Ltd., vol. 33(1), pages 171-207, January.
    3. Ketteni, Elena & Kottaridi, Constantina, 2019. "The impact of regulations on the FDI-growth nexus within the institution-based view: A nonlinear specification with varying coefficients," International Business Review, Elsevier, vol. 28(3), pages 415-427.
    4. Slesman, Ly & Abubakar, Yazid Abdullahi & Mitra, Jay, 2021. "Foreign direct investment and entrepreneurship: Does the role of institutions matter?," International Business Review, Elsevier, vol. 30(4).
    5. Hui Wang & Xin Zhong, 2023. "An Empirical Study on the Impact of Chinese OFDI on the Global Value Chain Positions of Countries Along the Belt and Road and Threshold Effects," SAGE Open, , vol. 13(1), pages 21582440231, February.
    6. Sailesh Tanna & Chengchun Li & Glauco De Vita, 2018. "The role of external debt in the foreign direct investment–growth relationship," International Journal of Finance & Economics, John Wiley & Sons, Ltd., vol. 23(4), pages 393-412, October.
    7. Zeqiraj, Veton & Sohag, Kazi & Hammoudeh, Shawkat, 2022. "Financial inclusion in developing countries: Do quality institutions matter?," Journal of International Financial Markets, Institutions and Money, Elsevier, vol. 81(C).
    8. Wako, Hassen Abda, 2018. "Foreign direct investment in sub-Saharan Africa: Beyond its growth effect," MERIT Working Papers 2018-013, United Nations University - Maastricht Economic and Social Research Institute on Innovation and Technology (MERIT).
    9. Slesman, Ly & Baharumshah, Ahmad Zubaidi & Ra'ees, Wahabuddin, 2015. "Institutional infrastructure and economic growth in member countries of the Organization of Islamic Cooperation (OIC)," Economic Modelling, Elsevier, vol. 51(C), pages 214-226.
    10. Chengchun Li & Sailesh Tanna & Baseerit Nissah, 2023. "The effect of institutions on the foreign direct investment‐growth nexus: What matters most?," The World Economy, Wiley Blackwell, vol. 46(7), pages 1999-2031, July.
    11. Hu, Dengfeng & You, Kefei & Esiyok, Bulent, 2021. "Foreign direct investment among developing markets and its technological impact on host: Evidence from spatial analysis of Chinese investment in Africa," Technological Forecasting and Social Change, Elsevier, vol. 166(C).
    12. H. Kent Baker & Satish Kumar & Kirti Goyal & Prashant Gupta, 2023. "International journal of finance and economics: A bibliometric overview," International Journal of Finance & Economics, John Wiley & Sons, Ltd., vol. 28(1), pages 9-46, January.
    13. Rafał Wolski & Monika Bolek & Jerzy Gajdka & Janusz Brzeszczyński & Ali M. Kutan, 2023. "Do investment fund managers behave rationally in the light of central bank communication? Survey evidence from Poland," Qualitative Research in Financial Markets, Emerald Group Publishing Limited, vol. 15(5), pages 757-794, February.
    14. Arogundade, Sodiq & Biyase, Mduduzi & Eita, Joel H., 2021. "Foreign Direct Investment and Inclusive Human Development in Sub-Saharan African Countries: Domestic Conditions Matter," Economia Internazionale / International Economics, Camera di Commercio Industria Artigianato Agricoltura di Genova, vol. 74(4), pages 463-498.
    15. Maruta, Admasu Asfaw & Banerjee, Rajabrata & Cavoli, Tony, 2020. "Foreign aid, institutional quality and economic growth: Evidence from the developing world," Economic Modelling, Elsevier, vol. 89(C), pages 444-463.
    16. Brzeszczyński, Janusz & Bohl, Martin T. & Serwa, Dobromił, 2019. "Pension funds, large capital inflows and stock returns in a thin market," Journal of Pension Economics and Finance, Cambridge University Press, vol. 18(3), pages 347-387, July.
    17. Ndiweni, Zinzile Lorna & Bonga-Bonga, Lumengo, 2021. "Capital inflows and economic growth nexus in Sub-Saharan Africa: evidence on the role of institutions," MPRA Paper 107392, University Library of Munich, Germany.
    18. Samuel Kwaku Agyei & Godwin Adolf Idan, 2022. "Trade Openness, Institutions, and Inclusive Growth in Sub-Saharan Africa," SAGE Open, , vol. 12(2), pages 21582440221, May.
    19. Pinar, Mehmet & Volkan, Engin, 2018. "Institutions and information flows, and their effect on capital flows," Information Economics and Policy, Elsevier, vol. 43(C), pages 34-47.
    20. Isaac Appiah‐Otoo & Na Song, 2022. "Finance‐growth nexus: New insight from Ghana," International Journal of Finance & Economics, John Wiley & Sons, Ltd., vol. 27(3), pages 2682-2723, July.
    21. Erdal Özmen & Fatma Taşdemir, 2019. "Globalisation And Governance: Thresholds For The Impacts Of The Main Determinants Of Capital Inflows?," ERC Working Papers 1902, ERC - Economic Research Center, Middle East Technical University, revised Mar 2019.
    22. Xie, En & Reddy, K.S. & Liang, Jie, 2017. "Country-specific determinants of cross-border mergers and acquisitions: A comprehensive review and future research directions," Journal of World Business, Elsevier, vol. 52(2), pages 127-183.
    23. Haldar, Anasuya & Sethi, Narayan, 2022. "Effect of sectoral foreign aid allocation on growth and structural transformation in sub-Saharan Africa—Analysing the roles of institutional quality and human capital," Economic Analysis and Policy, Elsevier, vol. 76(C), pages 1010-1026.
    24. Folasade Bosede Adegboye & Uchechukwu Emena Okorie, 2023. "Fragility of FDI flows in sub-Saharan Africa region: does the paradox persist?," Future Business Journal, Springer, vol. 9(1), pages 1-9, December.
    25. Humaira Raffat & Danish Ahmed Siddiqui, 2020. "Does Openness, and Productivity Matters for FDI: A Global Interactive Analysis Based on the Complementary Role of Institutions," Issues in Economics and Business, Macrothink Institute, vol. 6(2), pages 1-21, December.
    26. Chengchun Li & Yun Luo & Glauco Vita, 2020. "Institutional difference and outward FDI: evidence from China," Empirical Economics, Springer, vol. 58(4), pages 1837-1862, April.
    27. Samitas, Aristeidis & Polyzos, Stathis & Siriopoulos, Costas, 2018. "Brexit and financial stability: An agent-based simulation," Economic Modelling, Elsevier, vol. 69(C), pages 181-192.
    28. Beirne, John & Panthi, Pradeep, 2022. "Institutional Quality and Macrofinancial Resilience in Asia," ADBI Working Papers 1336, Asian Development Bank Institute.
    29. Sini, Snow & Abdul-Rahim, A.S. & Chin, Lee & Said, Rusmawati & Sulaiman, Chindo, 2022. "Natural resources’ impact on capital flow and conflict relationship in Africa: A novel insight from GMM and quantile regression," Resources Policy, Elsevier, vol. 78(C).

  114. Jones, Paul M. & Olson, Eric & Wohar, Mark E., 2015. "Asymmetric tax multipliers," Journal of Macroeconomics, Elsevier, vol. 43(C), pages 38-48.

    Cited by:

    1. Bernd Hayo & Sascha Mierzwa, 2021. "State-Dependent Effects of Tax Changes in Germany and the United Kingdom," MAGKS Papers on Economics 202125, Philipps-Universität Marburg, Faculty of Business Administration and Economics, Department of Economics (Volkswirtschaftliche Abteilung).
    2. Hayo, Bernd & Mierzwa, Sascha, 2023. "The effect of legislated tax changes on the trade balance: Empirical evidence for the United States, Germany, and the United Kingdom," Journal of Macroeconomics, Elsevier, vol. 78(C).
    3. Ivan T. Ivanov & Tom Zimmermann, 2018. "Claim Dilution in the Municipal Debt Market," Finance and Economics Discussion Series 2018-011, Board of Governors of the Federal Reserve System (U.S.).
    4. Gábor P. Kiss, 2020. "Aggregate Fiscal Stabilisation Policy: Panacea or Scapegoat?," Financial and Economic Review, Magyar Nemzeti Bank (Central Bank of Hungary), vol. 19(2), pages 55-87.
    5. Sascha Mierzwa, 2021. "Spillovers from Tax Shocks to the Euro Area," MAGKS Papers on Economics 202133, Philipps-Universität Marburg, Faculty of Business Administration and Economics, Department of Economics (Volkswirtschaftliche Abteilung).
    6. van der Wielen, Wouter, 2020. "The macroeconomic effects of tax changes: Evidence using real-time data for the European Union," Economic Modelling, Elsevier, vol. 90(C), pages 302-321.
    7. Bossie, Andrew, 2020. "The asymmetric response of the economy to tax changes before and after 1980," The North American Journal of Economics and Finance, Elsevier, vol. 51(C).
    8. Choi, Sangyup & Shin, Junhyeok, 2023. "Household indebtedness and the macroeconomic effects of tax changes," Journal of Economic Behavior & Organization, Elsevier, vol. 209(C), pages 22-52.
    9. Steven M. Fazzari & James Morley & Irina B. Panovska, 2017. "When Do Discretionary Changes in Government Spending or Taxes Have Larger Effects?," Discussion Papers 2017-04, School of Economics, The University of New South Wales.
    10. Hussain, Syed M. & Malik, Samreen, 2016. "Asymmetric Effects of Exogenous Tax Changes," Journal of Economic Dynamics and Control, Elsevier, vol. 69(C), pages 268-300.
    11. Anthony M. Diercks & William Waller, 2017. "Taxes and the Fed : Theory and Evidence from Equities," Finance and Economics Discussion Series 2017-104, Board of Governors of the Federal Reserve System (U.S.).

  115. Steven J. Jordan & Andrew Vivian & Mark E. Wohar, 2015. "Location, location, location: currency effects and return predictability?," Applied Economics, Taylor & Francis Journals, vol. 47(18), pages 1883-1898, April.

    Cited by:

    1. Adam Zaremba, 2019. "The Cross Section of Country Equity Returns: A Review of Empirical Literature," JRFM, MDPI, vol. 12(4), pages 1-26, October.
    2. Kim, Daehwan & Moneta, Fabio, 2021. "Long-term foreign exchange risk premia and inflation risk," International Review of Financial Analysis, Elsevier, vol. 78(C).
    3. Lawrenz, Jochen & Zorn, Josef, 2017. "Predicting international stock returns with conditional price-to-fundamental ratios," Journal of Empirical Finance, Elsevier, vol. 43(C), pages 159-184.
    4. Zaremba, Adam & Szyszka, Adam & Long, Huaigang & Zawadka, Dariusz, 2020. "Business sentiment and the cross-section of global equity returns," Pacific-Basin Finance Journal, Elsevier, vol. 61(C).
    5. Li, Zeming & Sakkas, Athanasios & Urquhart, Andrew, 2022. "Intraday time series momentum: Global evidence and links to market characteristics," Journal of Financial Markets, Elsevier, vol. 57(C).

  116. Balke, Nathan S. & Ma, Jun & Wohar, Mark E., 2015. "A Bayesian Analysis Of Weak Identification In Stock Price Decompositions," Macroeconomic Dynamics, Cambridge University Press, vol. 19(4), pages 728-752, June.

    Cited by:

    1. Lawrenz, Jochen & Zorn, Josef, 2018. "Decomposing the predictive power of local and global financial valuation ratios," The Quarterly Review of Economics and Finance, Elsevier, vol. 70(C), pages 137-149.

  117. Sirichand, Kavita & Vivian, Andrew & Wohar, Mark E., 2015. "Examining real interest parity: Which component reverts quickest and in which regime?," International Review of Financial Analysis, Elsevier, vol. 39(C), pages 72-83.
    See citations under working paper version above.
  118. Rocha Armada, Manuel J. & Sousa, Ricardo M. & Wohar, Mark E., 2015. "Consumption growth, preference for smoothing, changes in expectations and risk premium," The Quarterly Review of Economics and Finance, Elsevier, vol. 56(C), pages 80-97.

    Cited by:

    1. Sousa, João & Sousa, Ricardo M., 2013. "Asset returns under model uncertainty: evidence from the euro area, the U.S. and the U.K," Working Paper Series 1575, European Central Bank.
    2. Vighneswara Swamy, 2019. "Wealth Effects and Macroeconomic Dynamics," Economics Bulletin, AccessEcon, vol. 39(3), pages 1755-1773.
    3. Sousa, Ricardo M. & Vivian, Andrew & Wohar, Mark E., 2016. "Predicting asset returns in the BRICS: The role of macroeconomic and fundamental predictors," International Review of Economics & Finance, Elsevier, vol. 41(C), pages 122-143.
    4. Chang, Tsangyao & Gupta, Rangan & Majumdar, Anandamayee & Pierdzioch, Christian, 2019. "Predicting stock market movements with a time-varying consumption-aggregate wealth ratio," International Review of Economics & Finance, Elsevier, vol. 59(C), pages 458-467.
    5. Mehmet Balcilar & Rangan Gupta & Ricardo M. Sousa & Mark E. Wohar, 2020. "Linking U.S. State-Level Housing Market Returns and the Consumption-(Dis)Aggregate Wealth Ratio," Working Papers 202094, University of Pretoria, Department of Economics.
    6. Rangan Gupta & Hardik A. Marfatia & Eric Olson, 2020. "Effect of uncertainty on U.S. stock returns and volatility: evidence from over eighty years of high-frequency data," Applied Economics Letters, Taylor & Francis Journals, vol. 27(16), pages 1305-1311, September.
    7. Balcilar, Mehmet & Gupta, Rangan & Sousa, Ricardo M. & Wohar, Mark E., 2017. "Do cay and cayMS predict stock and housing returns? Evidence from a nonparametric causality test," International Review of Economics & Finance, Elsevier, vol. 48(C), pages 269-279.

  119. Baharumshah & Siew-Voon Soon & Wohar, 2015. "Parity reversion in the Asian real exchange rates: new evidence from the local-persistent model," Applied Economics, Taylor & Francis Journals, vol. 47(59), pages 6395-6408, December.

    Cited by:

    1. BAHMANI-OSKOOEE, Mohsen & Wu, Tsung-Pao, 2017. "Purchasing Power Parity in the 34 OECD Countries: Evidence from Quantile-Based Unit Root Tests with both Smooth and Sharp Breaks," MPRA Paper 81820, University Library of Munich, Germany, revised 07 Feb 2017.

  120. Ghoshray Atanu & Kejriwal Mohitosh & Wohar Mark, 2014. "Breaks, trends and unit roots in commodity prices: a robust investigation," Studies in Nonlinear Dynamics & Econometrics, De Gruyter, vol. 18(1), pages 23-40, February.

    Cited by:

    1. Joseph P Byrne & Ryuta Sakemoto & Bing Xu, 2020. "Commodity price co-movement: heterogeneity and the time-varying impact of fundamentals [Oil price shocks and the stock market: evidence from Japan]," European Review of Agricultural Economics, Oxford University Press and the European Agricultural and Applied Economics Publications Foundation, vol. 47(2), pages 499-528.
    2. Atanu Ghoshray & Faiza Khan, 2015. "New empirical evidence on income convergence," Empirical Economics, Springer, vol. 49(1), pages 343-361, August.
    3. Tony Addison & Atanu Ghoshray, 2020. "Discerning trends in international metal prices in the presence of non-stationary volatility," WIDER Working Paper Series wp-2020-104, World Institute for Development Economic Research (UNU-WIDER).
    4. Juncal Cunado & Luis A. Gil-Alana & Rangan Gupta, 2018. "Persistence in Trends and Cycles of Gold and Silver Prices: Evidence from Historical Data," Working Papers 201816, University of Pretoria, Department of Economics.
    5. Yifei Cai & Tolga Omay, 2022. "Using Double Frequency in Fourier Dickey–Fuller Unit Root Test," Computational Economics, Springer;Society for Computational Economics, vol. 59(2), pages 445-470, February.
    6. Winkelried, Diego, 2017. "Unit roots in real primary commodity prices? A meta-analysis of the Grilli and Yang data set," Working Papers 2017-013, Banco Central de Reserva del Perú.
    7. Sun, Jingwei & Shi, Wendong, 2015. "Breaks, trends, and unit roots in spot prices for crude oil and petroleum products," Energy Economics, Elsevier, vol. 50(C), pages 169-177.
    8. Michał Rubaszek & Karol Szafranek, 2022. "Have European natural gas prices decoupled from crude oil prices? Evidence from TVP-VAR analysis," KAE Working Papers 2022-078, Warsaw School of Economics, Collegium of Economic Analysis.
    9. Zhao, Jing, 2023. "Time-varying impact of geopolitical risk on natural resources prices: Evidence from the hybrid TVP-VAR model with large system," Resources Policy, Elsevier, vol. 82(C).
    10. Winkelried, Diego, 2015. "Unit Roots, Flexible Trends and the Prebisch-Singer Hypothesis," Working Papers 2015-007, Banco Central de Reserva del Perú.
    11. Manuel Landajo & María José Presno, 2022. "The prices of renewable commodities: a robust stationarity analysis," Australian Journal of Agricultural and Resource Economics, Australian Agricultural and Resource Economics Society, vol. 66(2), pages 447-470, April.
    12. Atanu Ghoshray & Issam Malki & Javier Ordóñez, 2022. "On the long-run dynamics of income and wealth inequality," Empirical Economics, Springer, vol. 62(2), pages 375-408, February.
    13. Ghoshray, Atanu, 2019. "Do international primary commodity prices exhibit asymmetric adjustment?," Journal of Commodity Markets, Elsevier, vol. 14(C), pages 40-50.
    14. Indrė Lapinskaitė & Algita Miečinskienė, 2019. "Assessment of the Impact of Hard Commodity Prices Changes on Inflation in European Union Countries," Central European Business Review, Prague University of Economics and Business, vol. 2019(5), pages 18-35.
    15. Ioanna Konstantakopoulou, 2017. "The aggregate exports-GDP relation under the prism of infrequent trend breaks and multi-horizon causality," International Economics and Economic Policy, Springer, vol. 14(4), pages 661-689, October.
    16. Manuel Landajo & María José Presno & Paula Fernández González, 2021. "Stationarity in the Prices of Energy Commodities. A Nonparametric Approach," Energies, MDPI, vol. 14(11), pages 1-16, June.
    17. Ghoshray, Atanu, 2015. "A robust estimation of the terms of trade between the United Kingdom and British India, 1858–1947," Economic Modelling, Elsevier, vol. 51(C), pages 53-57.
    18. Atanu Ghoshray, 2013. "Dynamic Persistence of Primary Commodity Prices," American Journal of Agricultural Economics, Agricultural and Applied Economics Association, vol. 95(1), pages 153-164.
    19. Martin B. Schmidt, 2021. "On the evolution of athlete anthropometric measurements: racial integration, expansion, and steroids," Empirical Economics, Springer, vol. 61(6), pages 3419-3443, December.

  121. David A. Volkman & Olivier J. P. Maisondieu Laforge & Mark Wohar, 2014. "The conditional influence of term spread and pattern changes on future equity returns," Applied Economics, Taylor & Francis Journals, vol. 46(9), pages 913-923, March.

    Cited by:

    1. Gupta, Rangan & Risse, Marian & Volkman, David A. & Wohar, Mark E., 2019. "The role of term spread and pattern changes in predicting stock returns and volatility of the United Kingdom: Evidence from a nonparametric causality-in-quantiles test using over 250 years of data," The North American Journal of Economics and Finance, Elsevier, vol. 47(C), pages 391-405.

  122. Olson, Eric & J. Vivian, Andrew & Wohar, Mark E., 2014. "The relationship between energy and equity markets: Evidence from volatility impulse response functions," Energy Economics, Elsevier, vol. 43(C), pages 297-305.

    Cited by:

    1. Al-Maadid, Alanoud & Caporale, Guglielmo Maria & Spagnolo, Fabio & Spagnolo, Nicola, 2017. "Spillovers between food and energy prices and structural breaks," International Economics, Elsevier, vol. 150(C), pages 1-18.
    2. Peri, Massimo, 2015. "Cliamte Variability and Agricultural Price volatility: the case of corn and soybeans," 2015 Conference, August 9-14, 2015, Milan, Italy 212623, International Association of Agricultural Economists.
    3. Fengler, Matthias & Polivka, Jeannine, 2022. "Structural Volatility Impulse Response Analysis," Economics Working Paper Series 2211, University of St. Gallen, School of Economics and Political Science.
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    26. Al-Yahyaee, Khamis Hamed & Mensi, Walid & Sensoy, Ahmet & Kang, Sang Hoon, 2019. "Energy, precious metals, and GCC stock markets: Is there any risk spillover?," Pacific-Basin Finance Journal, Elsevier, vol. 56(C), pages 45-70.
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    35. Lya Paola Sierra & Luis Eduardo Gir n & Carolina Osorio, 2017. "Has Financialization in Commodity Markets Affected the Predictability in Metal Markets? The Efficient Markets Hypotheses for Metal Returns," International Journal of Economics and Financial Issues, Econjournals, vol. 7(4), pages 15-22.
    36. Dejan Živkov & Jovan Njegiæ & Mirela Momèiloviæ, 2018. "Bidirectional spillover effect between Russian stock index and the selected commodities," Zbornik radova Ekonomskog fakulteta u Rijeci/Proceedings of Rijeka Faculty of Economics, University of Rijeka, Faculty of Economics and Business, vol. 36(1), pages 29-53.
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    42. Tiwari, Aviral Kumar & Nasreen, Samia & Shahbaz, Muhammad & Hammoudeh, Shawkat, 2020. "Time-frequency causality and connectedness between international prices of energy, food, industry, agriculture and metals," Energy Economics, Elsevier, vol. 85(C).
    43. Alessandro Banterle & Daniela Vandone, 2019. "Price volatility and risk management: The case of rice in the EU," Economia agro-alimentare, FrancoAngeli Editore, vol. 21(2), pages 255-274.
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    47. Yao Axel Ehouman, 2019. "Volatility transmission between oil prices and banks stock prices as a new source of instability: Lessons from the US Experience," EconomiX Working Papers 2019-19, University of Paris Nanterre, EconomiX.
    48. Szczygielski, Jan Jakub & Charteris, Ailie & Obojska, Lidia, 2023. "Do commodity markets catch a cold from stock markets? Modelling uncertainty spillovers using Google search trends and wavelet coherence," International Review of Financial Analysis, Elsevier, vol. 87(C).
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    51. Ikram Jebabli & David Roubaud, 2018. "Time-varying efficiency in food and energy markets: Evidence and implications," Post-Print hal-02330557, HAL.
    52. Brahim Gaies, Khaled Guesmi, Thomas Porcher, Raphael Boroumand, 2020. "Financial instability and oil price fluctuations: evidence from oil exporting developing countries," European Journal of Comparative Economics, Cattaneo University (LIUC), vol. 17(1), pages 55-71, June.
    53. Rangga Handika & Sania Ashraf, 2018. "Financialized Commodities and Stock Indices Volatilities," European Research Studies Journal, European Research Studies Journal, vol. 0(1), pages 153-164.
    54. Daniel Ştefan Armeanu & Camelia Cătălina Joldeş & Ştefan Cristian Gherghina, 2019. "On the Linkage between the Energy Market and Stock Returns: Evidence from Romania," Energies, MDPI, vol. 12(8), pages 1-21, April.
    55. Caporin, Massimiliano & Naeem, Muhammad Abubakr & Arif, Muhammad & Hasan, Mudassar & Vo, Xuan Vinh & Hussain Shahzad, Syed Jawad, 2021. "Asymmetric and time-frequency spillovers among commodities using high-frequency data," Resources Policy, Elsevier, vol. 70(C).
    56. Huiming Zhu & Xianfang Su & Yawei Guo & Yinghua Ren, 2016. "The Asymmetric Effects of Oil Price Shocks on the Chinese Stock Market: Evidence from a Quantile Impulse Response Perspective," Sustainability, MDPI, vol. 8(8), pages 1-19, August.
    57. Lei, Lei & Aziz, Ghazala & Sarwar, Suleman & Waheed, Rida & Tiwari, Aviral Kumar, 2023. "Spillover and portfolio analysis for oil and stock market: A new insight across financial crisis, COVID-19 and Russian-Ukraine war," Resources Policy, Elsevier, vol. 85(PA).
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  123. Jordan, Steven J. & Vivian, Andrew & Wohar, Mark E., 2014. "Sticky prices or economically-linked economies: The case of forecasting the Chinese stock market," Journal of International Money and Finance, Elsevier, vol. 41(C), pages 95-109.

    Cited by:

    1. Chen, Jian & Jiang, Fuwei & Liu, Yangshu & Tu, Jun, 2017. "International volatility risk and Chinese stock return predictability," Journal of International Money and Finance, Elsevier, vol. 70(C), pages 183-203.
    2. Sousa, Ricardo M. & Vivian, Andrew & Wohar, Mark E., 2016. "Predicting asset returns in the BRICS: The role of macroeconomic and fundamental predictors," International Review of Economics & Finance, Elsevier, vol. 41(C), pages 122-143.
    3. Rocha Armada, Manuel J. & Sousa, Ricardo M. & Wohar, Mark E., 2015. "Consumption growth, preference for smoothing, changes in expectations and risk premium," The Quarterly Review of Economics and Finance, Elsevier, vol. 56(C), pages 80-97.
    4. Wang, Xiaosong & Wu, Huan & Woo, Wing Thye & Xie, Shenxiang, 2021. "OFDI and stock returns: Evidence from manufacturing firms listed on the Chinese A-shares market," Journal of Asian Economics, Elsevier, vol. 74(C).
    5. Carvalho, Carlos & Masini, Ricardo & Medeiros, Marcelo C., 2018. "ArCo: An artificial counterfactual approach for high-dimensional panel time-series data," Journal of Econometrics, Elsevier, vol. 207(2), pages 352-380.
    6. Ellington, Michael & Stamatogiannis, Michalis P. & Zheng, Yawen, 2022. "A study of cross-industry return predictability in the Chinese stock market," International Review of Financial Analysis, Elsevier, vol. 83(C).
    7. Jordan, Steven J. & Vivian, Andrew & Wohar, Mark E., 2017. "Forecasting market returns: bagging or combining?," International Journal of Forecasting, Elsevier, vol. 33(1), pages 102-120.
    8. Balcilar, Mehmet & Gupta, Rangan & Sousa, Ricardo M. & Wohar, Mark E., 2017. "Do cay and cayMS predict stock and housing returns? Evidence from a nonparametric causality test," International Review of Economics & Finance, Elsevier, vol. 48(C), pages 269-279.
    9. Tissaoui, Kais & Azibi, Jamel, 2019. "International implied volatility risk indexes and Saudi stock return-volatility predictabilities," The North American Journal of Economics and Finance, Elsevier, vol. 47(C), pages 65-84.
    10. Bruno Deschamps & Tianlun Fei & Ying Jiang & Xiaoquan Liu, 2022. "Procyclical volatility in Chinese stock markets," Review of Quantitative Finance and Accounting, Springer, vol. 58(3), pages 1117-1144, April.
    11. Dehua Shen & Yongjie Zhang & Xiong Xiong & Wei Zhang, 2017. "Baidu index and predictability of Chinese stock returns," Financial Innovation, Springer;Southwestern University of Finance and Economics, vol. 3(1), pages 1-8, December.
    12. Chen, Jian & Jiang, Fuwei & Li, Hongyi & Xu, Weidong, 2016. "Chinese stock market volatility and the role of U.S. economic variables," Pacific-Basin Finance Journal, Elsevier, vol. 39(C), pages 70-83.

  124. Zhenhua Su & Jun Ma & Mark E. Wohar, 2014. "Sources of the stock price fluctuations in Chinese equity market," The European Journal of Finance, Taylor & Francis Journals, vol. 20(7-9), pages 829-846, September.

    Cited by:

    1. Michael O'Neill & Kent Wang & Zhangxin (Frank) Liu & Tom Smith, 2016. "A State-Price Volatility Index for China's Stock Market," Accounting and Finance, Accounting and Finance Association of Australia and New Zealand, vol. 56(3), pages 607-626, September.
    2. Wu, Ming & Ohk, Kiyool & Ko, Kwangsoo, 2019. "Are cash-flow betas really bad? Evidence from the Greater Chinese stock markets," International Review of Financial Analysis, Elsevier, vol. 63(C), pages 58-68.
    3. Bruno Deschamps & Tianlun Fei & Ying Jiang & Xiaoquan Liu, 2022. "Procyclical volatility in Chinese stock markets," Review of Quantitative Finance and Accounting, Springer, vol. 58(3), pages 1117-1144, April.

  125. Ma, Jun & Wohar, Mark E., 2014. "Determining what drives stock returns: Proper inference is crucial: Evidence from the UK," International Review of Economics & Finance, Elsevier, vol. 33(C), pages 371-390.

    Cited by:

    1. Lin, Yi-Mien & Lee, Chih-Chen & Chao, Chin-Fang & Liu, Chih-Liang, 2015. "The information content of unexpected stock returns: Evidence from intellectual capital," International Review of Economics & Finance, Elsevier, vol. 37(C), pages 208-225.
    2. Chou, Yu-Hsi, 2018. "Understanding the sources of the exchange rate disconnect puzzle: A variance decomposition approach," International Review of Economics & Finance, Elsevier, vol. 56(C), pages 267-287.

  126. Jun Ma & Mark E. Wohar, 2014. "Expected returns and expected dividend growth: time to rethink an established empirical literature," Applied Economics, Taylor & Francis Journals, vol. 46(21), pages 2462-2476, July.

    Cited by:

    1. Mazur, Mieszko & Dang, Man & Vo, Thuy Anh Thi, 2020. "Dividend Policy and the COVID-19 Crisis," MPRA Paper 108765, University Library of Munich, Germany.
    2. Mittal, Amit & Garg, Ajay Kumar, 2021. "Bank stocks inform higher growth—A System GMM analysis of ten emerging markets in Asia," The Quarterly Review of Economics and Finance, Elsevier, vol. 79(C), pages 210-220.
    3. Ma, Jun & Wohar, Mark E., 2014. "Determining what drives stock returns: Proper inference is crucial: Evidence from the UK," International Review of Economics & Finance, Elsevier, vol. 33(C), pages 371-390.
    4. Dooruj Rambaccussing, 2021. "The price–rent ratio inequality in Scottish Cities: fluctuations in discount rates and expected rent growth," SN Business & Economics, Springer, vol. 1(9), pages 1-15, September.
    5. Mittal, Amit & Garg, Ajay Kumar, 2018. "Bank stocks inform higher growth – A System GMM analysis of ten emerging markets in Asia," MPRA Paper 98253, University Library of Munich, Germany.

  127. Guidolin, Massimo & McMillan, David G. & Wohar, Mark E., 2013. "Time varying stock return predictability: Evidence from US sectors," Finance Research Letters, Elsevier, vol. 10(1), pages 34-40.

    Cited by:

    1. Devpura, Neluka & Narayan, Paresh Kumar & Sharma, Susan Sunila, 2019. "Structural instability and predictability," Journal of International Financial Markets, Institutions and Money, Elsevier, vol. 63(C).
    2. McMillan, David G., 2014. "Stock return, dividend growth and consumption growth predictability across markets and time: Implications for stock price movement," International Review of Financial Analysis, Elsevier, vol. 35(C), pages 90-101.
    3. Leirvik, Thomas, 2014. "The bond–stock mix under time-varying interest rates and predictable stock returns," Finance Research Letters, Elsevier, vol. 11(3), pages 231-237.
    4. Lindaas, Knut F. & Simlai, Prodosh, 2014. "The value premium, aggregate risk innovations, and average stock returns," Finance Research Letters, Elsevier, vol. 11(3), pages 303-317.
    5. McMillan, David G., 2019. "Predicting firm level stock returns: Implications for asset pricing and economic links," The British Accounting Review, Elsevier, vol. 51(4), pages 333-351.
    6. Boucher, C. & Jasinski, A. & Tokpavi, S., 2023. "Conditional mean reversion of financial ratios and the predictability of returns," Journal of International Money and Finance, Elsevier, vol. 137(C).
    7. Önder, Ali Sina & Yilmazkuday, Hakan, 2016. "Trade partner diversification and growth: How trade links matter," Journal of Macroeconomics, Elsevier, vol. 50(C), pages 241-258.
    8. Hammami, Yacine & Zhu, Jie, 2020. "Understanding time-varying short-horizon predictability✰," Finance Research Letters, Elsevier, vol. 32(C).
    9. Mikihito Nishi, 2023. "Testing for Stationary or Persistent Coefficient Randomness in Predictive Regressions," Papers 2309.04926, arXiv.org, revised Jan 2024.
    10. Chen, Xiaoyu & Chiang, Thomas C., 2016. "Stock returns and economic forces—An empirical investigation of Chinese markets," Global Finance Journal, Elsevier, vol. 30(C), pages 45-65.
    11. David G. McMillan, 2021. "Forecasting sector stock market returns," Journal of Asset Management, Palgrave Macmillan, vol. 22(4), pages 291-300, July.
    12. Devpura, Neluka & Narayan, Paresh Kumar & Sharma, Susan Sunila, 2018. "Is stock return predictability time-varying?," Journal of International Financial Markets, Institutions and Money, Elsevier, vol. 52(C), pages 152-172.

  128. Vivian, Andrew & Wohar, Mark E., 2013. "The output gap and stock returns: Do cyclical fluctuations predict portfolio returns?," International Review of Financial Analysis, Elsevier, vol. 26(C), pages 40-50.

    Cited by:

    1. Bernd Hayo & Britta Niehof, 2014. "Monetary and Fiscal Policy in Times of Crises: A New Keynesian Perspective in Continuous Time," MAGKS Papers on Economics 201455, Philipps-Universität Marburg, Faculty of Business Administration and Economics, Department of Economics (Volkswirtschaftliche Abteilung).
    2. Pham, Quynh Thi Thuy & Rudolf, Markus, 2021. "Gold, platinum, and industry stock returns," International Review of Economics & Finance, Elsevier, vol. 75(C), pages 252-266.
    3. Bernd Hayo & Britta Niehof, 2014. "Analysis of Monetary Policy Responses After Financial Market Crises in a Continuous Time New Keynesian Model," MAGKS Papers on Economics 201421, Philipps-Universität Marburg, Faculty of Business Administration and Economics, Department of Economics (Volkswirtschaftliche Abteilung).
    4. Bernd Hayo & Britta Niehof, 2013. "Studying International Spillovers in a New Keynesian Continuous Time Framework with Financial Markets," MAGKS Papers on Economics 201342, Philipps-Universität Marburg, Faculty of Business Administration and Economics, Department of Economics (Volkswirtschaftliche Abteilung).
    5. Rocha Armada, Manuel J. & Sousa, Ricardo M. & Wohar, Mark E., 2015. "Consumption growth, preference for smoothing, changes in expectations and risk premium," The Quarterly Review of Economics and Finance, Elsevier, vol. 56(C), pages 80-97.
    6. Dladla, Pholile & Malikane, Christopher, 2019. "Stock return predictability: Evidence from a structural model," International Review of Economics & Finance, Elsevier, vol. 59(C), pages 412-424.
    7. Pierdzioch, Christian & Risse, Marian & Rohloff, Sebastian, 2014. "The international business cycle and gold-price fluctuations," The Quarterly Review of Economics and Finance, Elsevier, vol. 54(2), pages 292-305.
    8. Ahmad, Wasim & Sharma, Sumit Kumar, 2018. "Testing output gap and economic uncertainty as an explicator of stock market returns," Research in International Business and Finance, Elsevier, vol. 45(C), pages 293-306.
    9. Apergis, Nicholas & Eleftheriou, Sofia, 2016. "Gold returns: Do business cycle asymmetries matter? Evidence from an international country sample," Economic Modelling, Elsevier, vol. 57(C), pages 164-170.
    10. Ekaterini Panopoulou & Sotiria Plastira, 2014. "Fama French factors and US stock return predictability," Journal of Asset Management, Palgrave Macmillan, vol. 15(2), pages 110-128, April.
    11. Baker, H. Kent & Kumar, Satish & Goyal, Kirti & Sharma, Anuj, 2021. "International review of financial analysis: A retrospective evaluation between 1992 and 2020," International Review of Financial Analysis, Elsevier, vol. 78(C).

  129. David G. McMillan & Mark E. Wohar, 2013. "The relationship between temperature and CO 2 emissions: evidence from a short and very long dataset," Applied Economics, Taylor & Francis Journals, vol. 45(26), pages 3683-3690, September.

    Cited by:

    1. Xu Huang & Hossein Hassani & Mansi Ghodsi & Zinnia Mukherjee & Rangan Gupta, 2016. "Do Trend Extraction Approaches Affect Causality Detection in Climate Change Studies?," Working Papers 201660, University of Pretoria, Department of Economics.
    2. Yang, Tianle & Li, Fangmin & Du, Min & Huang, Miao & Li, Yinuo, 2023. "Impacts of alternative energy production innovation on reducing CO2 emissions: Evidence from China," Energy, Elsevier, vol. 268(C).
    3. Hassani, Hossein & Silva, Emmanuel Sirimal & Gupta, Rangan & Das, Sonali, 2018. "Predicting global temperature anomaly: A definitive investigation using an ensemble of twelve competing forecasting models," Physica A: Statistical Mechanics and its Applications, Elsevier, vol. 509(C), pages 121-139.

  130. Gębka, Bartosz & Wohar, Mark E., 2013. "International herding: Does it differ across sectors?," Journal of International Financial Markets, Institutions and Money, Elsevier, vol. 23(C), pages 55-84.

    Cited by:

    1. Bouri, Elie & Gupta, Rangan & Roubaud, David, 2019. "Herding behaviour in cryptocurrencies," Finance Research Letters, Elsevier, vol. 29(C), pages 216-221.
    2. Júlio Lobão, 2022. "Herding Behavior in the Market for Green Cryptocurrencies: Evidence from CSSD and CSAD Approaches," Sustainability, MDPI, vol. 14(19), pages 1-17, October.
    3. Bohl, Martin T. & Branger, Nicole & Trede, Mark, 2017. "The case for herding is stronger than you think," Journal of Banking & Finance, Elsevier, vol. 85(C), pages 30-40.
    4. Vo, Xuan Vinh & Phan, Dang Bao Anh, 2019. "Herd behavior and idiosyncratic volatility in a frontier market," Pacific-Basin Finance Journal, Elsevier, vol. 53(C), pages 321-330.
    5. D'Arcangelis, Anna Maria & Rotundo, Giulia, 2021. "Herding in mutual funds: A complex network approach," Journal of Business Research, Elsevier, vol. 129(C), pages 679-686.
    6. Vassilios Babalos & Mehmet Balcilar & Rangan Gupta & Nikolaos Philippas, 2014. "Revisiting Herding Behavior in REITs: A RegimeSwitching Approach," Working Papers 15-15, Eastern Mediterranean University, Department of Economics.
    7. Jiang, Rui & Wen, Conghua & Zhang, Ruonan & Cui, Yu, 2022. "Investor's herding behavior in Asian equity markets during COVID-19 period," Pacific-Basin Finance Journal, Elsevier, vol. 73(C).
    8. Elie Bouri & Rangan Gupta & David Roubaud, 2018. "Herding Behaviour in the Cryptocurrency Market," Working Papers 201834, University of Pretoria, Department of Economics.
    9. Mohamad, Azhar & Stavroyiannis, Stavros, 2022. "Do birds of a feather flock together? Evidence from time-varying herding behaviour of bitcoin and foreign exchange majors during Covid-19," Journal of International Financial Markets, Institutions and Money, Elsevier, vol. 80(C).
    10. Pegah Dehghani & Ros Zam Zam Sapian, 2014. "Sectoral herding behavior in the aftermarket of Malaysian IPOs," Venture Capital, Taylor & Francis Journals, vol. 16(3), pages 227-246, July.
    11. Gavriilidis, Konstantinos & Kallinterakis, Vasileios & Ferreira, Mario Pedro Leite, 2013. "Institutional industry herding: Intentional or spurious?," Journal of International Financial Markets, Institutions and Money, Elsevier, vol. 26(C), pages 192-214.
    12. Humayun Kabir, M. & Shakur, Shamim, 2018. "Regime-dependent herding behavior in Asian and Latin American stock markets," Pacific-Basin Finance Journal, Elsevier, vol. 47(C), pages 60-78.
    13. BenSaïda, Ahmed, 2017. "Herding effect on idiosyncratic volatility in U.S. industries," Finance Research Letters, Elsevier, vol. 23(C), pages 121-132.
    14. Puput Tri Komalasari & Marwan Asri & Bernardinus M. Purwanto & Bowo Setiyono, 2022. "Herding behaviour in the capital market: What do we know and what is next?," Management Review Quarterly, Springer, vol. 72(3), pages 745-787, September.
    15. Fang, Hao & Shen, Chung-Hua & Lee, Yen-Hsien, 2017. "The dynamic and asymmetric herding behavior of US equity fund managers in the stock market," International Review of Economics & Finance, Elsevier, vol. 49(C), pages 353-369.
    16. Chong, Oiping & Bany- Ariffin, A.N. & Matemilola, Bolaji Tunde & McGowan, C.B., 2020. "Can China’s cross-sectional dispersion of stock returns influence the herding behaviour of traders in other local markets and China’s trading partners?," Journal of International Financial Markets, Institutions and Money, Elsevier, vol. 65(C).
    17. Yi-Chang Chen & Hung-Che Wu & Jen-Jsung Huang, 2017. "Herd Behavior and Rational Expectations: A Test of China's Market Using Quantile Regression," International Journal of Economics and Financial Issues, Econjournals, vol. 7(2), pages 649-663.
    18. Fei, Tianlun & Liu, Xiaoquan, 2021. "Herding and market volatility," International Review of Financial Analysis, Elsevier, vol. 78(C).
    19. Xie, Tian & Xu, Yi & Zhang, Xinsheng, 2015. "A new method of measuring herding in stock market and its empirical results in Chinese A-share market," International Review of Economics & Finance, Elsevier, vol. 37(C), pages 324-339.
    20. Raja Mazhar Hameed & Abdul Rafae Mazhar Raja & Nida Zahid, 2023. "Herding Spillover among the Stock Markets: Pakistan & China Covering Covid-19 and Its Repercussions," Journal of Policy Research (JPR), Research Foundation for Humanity (RFH), vol. 9(2), pages 257-267.
    21. Ukpong, Idibekeabasi & Tan, Handy & Yarovaya, Larisa, 2021. "Determinants of industry herding in the US stock market," Finance Research Letters, Elsevier, vol. 43(C).
    22. Economou, Fotini & Gavriilidis, Konstantinos & Goyal, Abhinav & Kallinterakis, Vasileios, 2015. "Herding dynamics in exchange groups: Evidence from Euronext," Journal of International Financial Markets, Institutions and Money, Elsevier, vol. 34(C), pages 228-244.
    23. Lee, Kyuseok, 2017. "Herd behavior of the overall market: Evidence based on the cross-sectional comovement of returns," The North American Journal of Economics and Finance, Elsevier, vol. 42(C), pages 266-284.
    24. Guney, Yilmaz & Kallinterakis, Vasileios & Komba, Gabriel, 2017. "Herding in frontier markets: Evidence from African stock exchanges," Journal of International Financial Markets, Institutions and Money, Elsevier, vol. 47(C), pages 152-175.
    25. Andrikopoulos, Panagiotis & Kallinterakis, Vasileios & Leite Ferreira, Mario Pedro & Verousis, Thanos, 2017. "Intraday herding on a cross-border exchange," International Review of Financial Analysis, Elsevier, vol. 53(C), pages 25-36.
    26. Zhao, Yuan & Liu, Nan & Li, Wanpeng, 2022. "Industry herding in crypto assets," International Review of Financial Analysis, Elsevier, vol. 84(C).
    27. Stavroyiannis, Stavros & Babalos, Vassilios, 2019. "Herding behavior in cryptocurrencies revisited: Novel evidence from a TVP model," Journal of Behavioral and Experimental Finance, Elsevier, vol. 22(C), pages 57-63.
    28. Babalos, Vassilios & Stavroyiannis, Stavros & Gupta, Rangan, 2015. "Do commodity investors herd? Evidence from a time-varying stochastic volatility model," Resources Policy, Elsevier, vol. 46(P2), pages 281-287.
    29. Andrikopoulos, Panagiotis & Gebka, Bartosz & Kallinterakis, Vasileios, 2021. "Regulatory mood-congruence and herding: Evidence from cannabis stocks," Journal of Economic Behavior & Organization, Elsevier, vol. 185(C), pages 842-864.
    30. Huang, Chuangxia & Cai, Yaqian & Yang, Xiaoguang & Deng, Yanchen & Yang, Xin, 2023. "Laplacian-energy-like measure: Does it improve the Cross-Sectional Absolute Deviation herding model?," Economic Modelling, Elsevier, vol. 127(C).
    31. Fu, Jingxue & Wu, Lan, 2021. "Regime-switching herd behavior: Novel evidence from the Chinese A-share market," Finance Research Letters, Elsevier, vol. 39(C).
    32. Han, Liyan & Liu, Yang & Yin, Libo, 2019. "Uncertainty and currency performance: A quantile-on-quantile approach," The North American Journal of Economics and Finance, Elsevier, vol. 48(C), pages 702-729.
    33. Sung, Ming-Chien & McDonald, David C.J. & Johnson, Johnnie E.V. & Tai, Chung-Ching & Cheah, Eng-Tuck, 2019. "Improving prediction market forecasts by detecting and correcting possible over-reaction to price movements," European Journal of Operational Research, Elsevier, vol. 272(1), pages 389-405.
    34. Bekiros, Stelios & Jlassi, Mouna & Lucey, Brian & Naoui, Kamel & Uddin, Gazi Salah, 2017. "Herding behavior, market sentiment and volatility: Will the bubble resume?," The North American Journal of Economics and Finance, Elsevier, vol. 42(C), pages 107-131.
    35. Vijay Kumar Shrotryia & Himanshi Kalra, 2021. "Analysis of Sectoral Herding through Quantile Regression: A Study of S&P BSE 500 Stocks," International Journal of Business and Economics, School of Management Development, Feng Chia University, Taichung, Taiwan, vol. 20(1), pages 1-16, June.
    36. Kizys, Renatas & Tzouvanas, Panagiotis & Donadelli, Michael, 2021. "From COVID-19 herd immunity to investor herding in international stock markets: The role of government and regulatory restrictions," International Review of Financial Analysis, Elsevier, vol. 74(C).
    37. Cui, Yueting & Gebka, Bartosz & Kallinterakis, Vasileios, 2019. "Do closed-end fund investors herd?," Journal of Banking & Finance, Elsevier, vol. 105(C), pages 194-206.
    38. Li, Jie & Zhang, Yongjie & Feng, Xu & An, Yahui, 2019. "Which kind of investor causes comovement?," Journal of International Financial Markets, Institutions and Money, Elsevier, vol. 61(C), pages 1-15.
    39. Oi-Ping Chong & A.N. Bany-Ariffin & Annuar Md Nassir & Junaina Muhammad, 2019. "An Empirical Study of Herding Behaviour in China’s A-Share and B-Share Markets: Evidence of Bidirectional Herding Activities," Capital Markets Review, Malaysian Finance Association, vol. 27(2), pages 37-57.
    40. Kumar, Ashish & Badhani, K.N. & Bouri, Elie & Saeed, Tareq, 2021. "Herding behavior in the commodity markets of the Asia-Pacific region," Finance Research Letters, Elsevier, vol. 41(C).

  131. Alex Maynard & Aaron Smallwood & Mark E. Wohar, 2013. "Long Memory Regressors and Predictive Testing: A Two-stage Rebalancing Approach," Econometric Reviews, Taylor & Francis Journals, vol. 32(3), pages 318-360, November.

    Cited by:

    1. de Truchis, Gilles & Dell’Eva, Cyril & Keddad, Benjamin, 2017. "On exchange rate comovements: New evidence from a Taylor rule fundamentals model with adaptive learning," Journal of International Financial Markets, Institutions and Money, Elsevier, vol. 48(C), pages 82-98.
    2. Daniela Osterrieder & Daniel Ventosa-Santaulària & J. Eduardo Vera-Valdés, 2015. "Unbalanced Regressions and the Predictive Equation," CREATES Research Papers 2015-09, Department of Economics and Business Economics, Aarhus University.
    3. Torben G. Andersen & Rasmus T. Varneskov, 2021. "Consistent Inference for Predictive Regressions in Persistent Economic Systems," NBER Working Papers 28568, National Bureau of Economic Research, Inc.
    4. Chen, Yong & Eaton, Gregory W. & Paye, Bradley S., 2018. "Micro(structure) before macro? The predictive power of aggregate illiquidity for stock returns and economic activity," Journal of Financial Economics, Elsevier, vol. 130(1), pages 48-73.
    5. Robinson Kruse & Daniel Ventosa-Santaulària & Antonio E. Noriega, 2013. "Changes in persistence, spurious regressions and the Fisher hypothesis," CREATES Research Papers 2013-11, Department of Economics and Business Economics, Aarhus University.
    6. Javier Haulde & Morten Ørregaard Nielsen, 2022. "Fractional integration and cointegration," CREATES Research Papers 2022-02, Department of Economics and Business Economics, Aarhus University.
    7. Aistis Raudys & Edvinas Goldstein, 2022. "Forecasting Detrended Volatility Risk and Financial Price Series Using LSTM Neural Networks and XGBoost Regressor," JRFM, MDPI, vol. 15(12), pages 1-12, December.
    8. Narayan, Seema & Smyth, Russell, 2015. "The financial econometrics of price discovery and predictability," International Review of Financial Analysis, Elsevier, vol. 42(C), pages 380-393.
    9. Jayawardena, Nirodha I. & Todorova, Neda & Li, Bin & Su, Jen-Je & Gau, Yin-Feng, 2022. "Risk-return trade-off in the Australian Securities Exchange: Accounting for overnight effects, realized higher moments, long-run relations, and fractional cointegration," International Review of Economics & Finance, Elsevier, vol. 80(C), pages 384-401.
    10. Hualde, Javier, 2014. "Estimation of long-run parameters in unbalanced cointegration," Journal of Econometrics, Elsevier, vol. 178(2), pages 761-778.
    11. Torben G. Andersen & Rasmus T. Varneskov, 2018. "Consistent Inference for Predictive Regressions in Persistent VAR Economies," CREATES Research Papers 2018-09, Department of Economics and Business Economics, Aarhus University.
    12. Robin Dee & Armin Fügenschuh & George Kaimakamis, 2021. "The Unit Re-Balancing Problem," Mathematics, MDPI, vol. 9(24), pages 1-19, December.
    13. Chen, Cathy Yi-Hsuan & Chiang, Thomas C. & Härdle, Wolfgang Karl, 2018. "Downside risk and stock returns in the G7 countries: An empirical analysis of their long-run and short-run dynamics," Journal of Banking & Finance, Elsevier, vol. 93(C), pages 21-32.
    14. Tim Bollerslev & Daniela Osterrieder & Natalia Sizova & George Tauchen, 2011. "Risk and Return: Long-Run Relationships, Fractional Cointegration, and Return Predictability," CREATES Research Papers 2011-51, Department of Economics and Business Economics, Aarhus University.

  132. Valcarcel, Victor J. & Wohar, Mark E., 2013. "Changes in the oil price-inflation pass-through," Journal of Economics and Business, Elsevier, vol. 68(C), pages 24-42.

    Cited by:

    1. Valadkhani, Abbas & Ghazanfari, Arezoo & Nguyen, Jeremy & Moradi-Motlagh, Amir, 2021. "The asymmetric effects of COVID19 on wholesale fuel prices in Australia," Economic Analysis and Policy, Elsevier, vol. 71(C), pages 255-266.
    2. Frédérique Bec & Annabelle de Gaye, 2016. "How do oil price forecast errors impact inflation forecast errors? An empirical analysis from US, French and UK inflation forecasts," Post-Print hal-02980184, HAL.
    3. Siok Kun Sek, 2023. "A new look at asymmetric effect of oil price changes on inflation: Evidence from Malaysia," Energy & Environment, , vol. 34(5), pages 1524-1547, August.
    4. Umar Bala & Lee Chin, 2018. "Asymmetric Impacts of Oil Price on Inflation: An Empirical Study of African OPEC Member Countries," Energies, MDPI, vol. 11(11), pages 1-21, November.
    5. KARGI, Bilal, 2014. "The Effects of Oil Prices On Inflation and Growth: Time Series Analysis In Turkish Economy For 1988:01-2013:04 Period," EconStor Open Access Articles and Book Chapters, ZBW - Leibniz Information Centre for Economics, vol. 5(2), pages 29-36.
    6. Huang, Xuan & Liu, Xueyong, 2022. "The time-frequency evolution of multidimensional relations between global oil prices and China's general price level," Energy, Elsevier, vol. 244(PA).
    7. Kamaruddin Kamaruddin & Yusri Hazmi & Raja Masbar & Sofyan Syahnur & M. Shabri Abd. Majid, 2021. "Asymmetric Impact of World Oil Prices on Marketing Margins: Application of NARDL Model for the Indonesian Coffee," International Journal of Energy Economics and Policy, Econjournals, vol. 11(6), pages 212-220.
    8. Tural Karimli & Nigar Jafarova & Heyran Aliyeva & Salman Huseynov, 2016. "Oil Price Pass-Through into Inflation: The Evidence from Oil Exporting Countries," IHEID Working Papers 01-2016, Economics Section, The Graduate Institute of International Studies.
    9. Claudiu Tiberiu Albulescu & Cornel Oros & Aviral Kumar Tiwari, 2017. "Oil price–inflation pass-through in Romania during the inflation targeting regime," Applied Economics, Taylor & Francis Journals, vol. 49(15), pages 1527-1542, March.
    10. Abbas Ali Abounoori & Rafik Nazarian & Ashkan Amiri, 2014. "Oil Price Pass-Through into Domestic Inflation: The Case of Iran," International Journal of Energy Economics and Policy, Econjournals, vol. 4(4), pages 662-669.
    11. Ding, Shusheng & Zheng, Dandan & Cui, Tianxiang & Du, Min, 2023. "The oil price-inflation nexus: The exchange rate pass- through effect," Energy Economics, Elsevier, vol. 125(C).
    12. Salisu, Afees A. & Isah, Kazeem O. & Oyewole, Oluwatomisin J. & Akanni, Lateef O., 2017. "Modelling oil price-inflation nexus: The role of asymmetries," Energy, Elsevier, vol. 125(C), pages 97-106.
    13. Konstantakis, Konstantinos N. & Michaelides, Panayotis G., 2014. "Transmission of the debt crisis: From EU15 to USA or vice versa? A GVAR approach," Journal of Economics and Business, Elsevier, vol. 76(C), pages 115-132.
    14. Dedeoğlu, Dinçer & Kaya, Hüseyin, 2014. "Pass-through of oil prices to domestic prices: Evidence from an oil-hungry but oil-poor emerging market," Economic Modelling, Elsevier, vol. 43(C), pages 67-74.
    15. Ozgur, Onder & Aydin, Levent & Karagol, Erdal Tanas & Ozbugday, Fatih Cemil, 2021. "The fuel price pass-through in Turkey: The case study of motor fuel price subsidy system," Energy, Elsevier, vol. 226(C).
    16. Sarwar, Muhammad Nadeem & Hussain, Hamid & Maqbool, Muhammad Bilal, 2020. "Pass through effects of oil price on food and non-food prices in Pakistan: A nonlinear ARDL approach," Resources Policy, Elsevier, vol. 69(C).
    17. Chen, Jinyu & Zhu, Xuehong & Li, Hailing, 2020. "The pass-through effects of oil price shocks on China's inflation: A time-varying analysis," Energy Economics, Elsevier, vol. 86(C).
    18. Zafar Ahmad Sultan & Tarek Tawfek Yousef Alkhateeb & Mahmoud Mohamed Fawaz, 2020. "Empirical Investigation of Relationship between Oil Price and Inflation: The case of India," International Journal of Energy Economics and Policy, Econjournals, vol. 10(3), pages 90-94.
    19. Pal, Debdatta & Mitra, Subrata Kumar, 2019. "Asymmetric oil price transmission to the purchasing power of the U.S. dollar: A multiple threshold NARDL modelling approach," Resources Policy, Elsevier, vol. 64(C).
    20. Baharumshah, Ahmad Zubaidi & Sirag, Abdalla & Soon, Siew-Voon, 2017. "Asymmetric exchange rate pass-through in an emerging market economy: The case of Mexico," Research in International Business and Finance, Elsevier, vol. 41(C), pages 247-259.
    21. Zakaria, Muhammad & Khiam, Shahzeb & Mahmood, Hamid, 2021. "Influence of oil prices on inflation in South Asia: Some new evidence," Resources Policy, Elsevier, vol. 71(C).
    22. Chuxiong Deng & Zhujun Jiang & Chuanwang Sun, 2018. "Estimating the Efficiency and Impacts of Petroleum Product Pricing Reforms in China," Sustainability, MDPI, vol. 10(4), pages 1-17, April.
    23. Özgür Özaydın, 2019. "Energy Prices-Inflation Nexus: A Historical Analysis for the Case of Ottoman Empire," International Journal of Economics and Financial Research, Academic Research Publishing Group, vol. 5(4), pages 86-93, 04-2019.
    24. Alsamara, Mouyad & Mrabet, Zouhair & Dombrecht, Michel, 2018. "Asymmetric import cost pass-through in GCC countries: Evidence from nonlinear panel analysis," Economic Modelling, Elsevier, vol. 75(C), pages 432-440.
    25. César Castro & Rebeca Jiménez-Rodríguez & Pilar Poncela & Eva Senra, 2017. "A new look at oil price pass-through into inflation: evidence from disaggregated European data," Economia Politica: Journal of Analytical and Institutional Economics, Springer;Fondazione Edison, vol. 34(1), pages 55-82, April.
    26. Zhou, Ying-Zhe & Huang, Jian-Bai & Chen, Jin-Yu, 2019. "Time-varying effect of the financialization of nonferrous metals markets on China's industrial sector," Resources Policy, Elsevier, vol. 64(C).
    27. Salem, Leila Ben & Nouira, Ridha & Rault, Christophe, 2024. "On the Impact of Oil Prices on Sectoral Inflation: Evidence from World's Top Oil Exporters and Importers," IZA Discussion Papers 16706, Institute of Labor Economics (IZA).
    28. Oloko, Tirimisiyu F. & Ogbonna, Ahamuefula E. & Adedeji, Abdulfatai A. & Lakhani, Noman, 2021. "Oil price shocks and inflation rate persistence: A Fractional Cointegration VAR approach," Economic Analysis and Policy, Elsevier, vol. 70(C), pages 259-275.
    29. Krzysztof DRACHAL, 2020. "Forecasting the Inflation Rate in Poland and U.S. Using Dynamic Model Averaging (DMA) and Google Queries," Journal for Economic Forecasting, Institute for Economic Forecasting, vol. 0(2), pages 18-34, July.
    30. Raheem, Ibrahim D. & Bello, Ajide Kazeem & Agboola, Yusuf H., 2020. "A new insight into oil price-inflation nexus," Resources Policy, Elsevier, vol. 68(C).
    31. Mehmet Balcilar & David Roubaud & Ojonugwa Usman & Mark E. Wohar, 2019. "Testing the Asymmetric Effects of Exchange Rate and Oil Price Pass-Through in BRICS Countries: Does the state of the economy matter?," Working Papers 15-49, Eastern Mediterranean University, Department of Economics.

  133. Jun Ma & Mark E. Wohar, 2013. "An Unobserved Components Model that Yields Business and Medium-Run Cycles," Journal of Money, Credit and Banking, Blackwell Publishing, vol. 45(7), pages 1351-1373, October.

    Cited by:

    1. Xuan, Chunji & Kim, Chang-Jin & Kim, Dong Heon, 2019. "New dynamics of consumption and output," Journal of Macroeconomics, Elsevier, vol. 60(C), pages 50-59.
    2. Han, Yang & Liu, Zehao & Ma, Jun, 2020. "Growth cycles and business cycles of the Chinese economy through the lens of the unobserved components model," China Economic Review, Elsevier, vol. 63(C).
    3. Koki Kyo & Hideo Noda & Genshiro Kitagawa, 2022. "Co-movement of Cyclical Components Approach to Construct a Coincident Index of Business Cycles," Journal of Business Cycle Research, Springer;Centre for International Research on Economic Tendency Surveys (CIRET), vol. 18(1), pages 101-127, March.

  134. Gębka, Bartosz & Wohar, Mark E., 2013. "The determinants of quantile autocorrelations: Evidence from the UK," International Review of Financial Analysis, Elsevier, vol. 29(C), pages 51-61.

    Cited by:

    1. Xue, Wen-Jun & Zhang, Li-Wen, 2017. "Stock return autocorrelations and predictability in the Chinese stock market—Evidence from threshold quantile autoregressive models," Economic Modelling, Elsevier, vol. 60(C), pages 391-401.
    2. Chao Kevin Li, 2021. "Wealth effects of dividend regulation: Evidence from China," Australian Journal of Management, Australian School of Business, vol. 46(2), pages 197-223, May.
    3. Chen, Yu-Lun & Mo, Wan-Shin, 2023. "Determinants and dynamic interactions of trader positions in the gold futures market," Journal of Commodity Markets, Elsevier, vol. 31(C).
    4. Fotini Economou & Konstantinos Gavriilidis & Bartosz Gebka & Vasileios Kallinterakis, 2022. "Feedback trading: a review of theory and empirical evidence," Review of Behavioral Finance, Emerald Group Publishing Limited, vol. 15(4), pages 429-476, February.
    5. González, María de la O & Jareño, Francisco, 2019. "Testing extensions of Fama & French models: A quantile regression approach," The Quarterly Review of Economics and Finance, Elsevier, vol. 71(C), pages 188-204.
    6. Lili Li & Shan Leng & Jun Yang & Mei Yu, 2016. "Stock Market Autoregressive Dynamics: A Multinational Comparative Study with Quantile Regression," Mathematical Problems in Engineering, Hindawi, vol. 2016, pages 1-15, September.
    7. Jain, Pawan & Xue, Wenjun, 2017. "Global investigation of return autocorrelation and its determinants," Pacific-Basin Finance Journal, Elsevier, vol. 43(C), pages 200-217.

  135. Gebka, Bartosz & Wohar, Mark E., 2013. "Causality between trading volume and returns: Evidence from quantile regressions," International Review of Economics & Finance, Elsevier, vol. 27(C), pages 144-159.

    Cited by:

    1. Hau, Liya & Zhu, Huiming & Shahbaz, Muhammad & Sun, Wuqin, 2021. "Does transaction activity predict Bitcoin returns? Evidence from quantile-on-quantile analysis," The North American Journal of Economics and Finance, Elsevier, vol. 55(C).
    2. Balcilar, Mehmet & Bouri, Elie & Gupta, Rangan & Roubaud, David, 2017. "Can volume predict Bitcoin returns and volatility? A quantiles-based approach," Economic Modelling, Elsevier, vol. 64(C), pages 74-81.
    3. Chuliá, Helena & Guillén, Montserrat & Uribe, Jorge M., 2017. "Spillovers from the United States to Latin American and G7 stock markets: A VAR quantile analysis," Emerging Markets Review, Elsevier, vol. 31(C), pages 32-46.
    4. Ashok Chanabasangouda Patil & Shailesh Rastogi, 2019. "Time-Varying Price–Volume Relationship and Adaptive Market Efficiency: A Survey of the Empirical Literature," JRFM, MDPI, vol. 12(2), pages 1-18, June.
    5. Li, Haiqi & Zhong, Wanling & Park, Sung Y., 2016. "Generalized cross-spectral test for nonlinear Granger causality with applications to money–output and price–volume relations," Economic Modelling, Elsevier, vol. 52(PB), pages 661-671.
    6. Xu, Yongdeng & Taylor, Nick & Lu, Wenna, 2018. "Illiquidity and Volatility Spillover effects in Equity Markets during and after the Global Financial Crisis: an MEM approach," Cardiff Economics Working Papers E2018/6, Cardiff University, Cardiff Business School, Economics Section.
    7. Enoksen, F.A. & Landsnes, Ch.J. & Lučivjanská, K. & Molnár, P., 2020. "Understanding risk of bubbles in cryptocurrencies," Journal of Economic Behavior & Organization, Elsevier, vol. 176(C), pages 129-144.
    8. Sousa, Ricardo M. & Vivian, Andrew & Wohar, Mark E., 2016. "Predicting asset returns in the BRICS: The role of macroeconomic and fundamental predictors," International Review of Economics & Finance, Elsevier, vol. 41(C), pages 122-143.
    9. Mehmet Balcilar & Elie Bouri & Rangan Gupta & David Roubaud, 2016. "Can Volume Predict Bitcoin Returns and Volatility? A Nonparametric Causality-in-Quantiles Approach," Working Papers 201662, University of Pretoria, Department of Economics.
    10. Rocco Caferra & Pasquale Marcello Falcone & Andrea Morone & Piergiuseppe Morone, 2022. "Is COVID-19 anticipating the future? Evidence from investors’ sustainable orientation," Eurasian Business Review, Springer;Eurasia Business and Economics Society, vol. 12(1), pages 177-196, March.
    11. Lee, Jaeram & Lee, Geul & Ryu, Doojin, 2018. "Difference in the intraday return-volume relationships of spots and futures: A quantile regression approach," Economics Discussion Papers 2018-68, Kiel Institute for the World Economy (IfW Kiel).
    12. Ralf Brüggemann & Markus Glaser & Stefan Schaarschmidt & Sandra Stankiewicz, 2014. "The Stock Return - Trading Volume Relationship in European Countries: Evidence from Asymmetric Impulse Responses," Working Paper Series of the Department of Economics, University of Konstanz 2014-24, Department of Economics, University of Konstanz.
    13. Ciner, Cetin, 2015. "Time variation in systematic risk, returns and trading volume: Evidence from precious metals mining stocks," International Review of Financial Analysis, Elsevier, vol. 41(C), pages 277-283.
    14. Elina Pradkhan, 2016. "Information Content of Trading Activity in Precious Metals Futures Markets," Journal of Futures Markets, John Wiley & Sons, Ltd., vol. 36(5), pages 421-456, May.
    15. Park, Jin Suk & Newaz, Mohammad Khaleq, 2021. "Liquidity and short-run predictability: Evidence from international stock markets," Global Finance Journal, Elsevier, vol. 50(C).
    16. Ben Rejeb, Aymen & Arfaoui, Mongi, 2016. "Financial market interdependencies: A quantile regression analysis of volatility spillover," Research in International Business and Finance, Elsevier, vol. 36(C), pages 140-157.
    17. Batten, Jonathan A. & Ciner, Cetin & Kosedag, Arman & Lucey, Brian M., 2017. "Is the price of gold to gold mining stocks asymmetric?," Economic Modelling, Elsevier, vol. 60(C), pages 402-407.
    18. Hong Cheng & Yunqing Wang & Yihong Wang & Tinggan Yang, 2022. "Inferring Causal Interactions in Financial Markets Using Conditional Granger Causality Based on Quantile Regression," Computational Economics, Springer;Society for Computational Economics, vol. 59(2), pages 719-748, February.
    19. Mensi, Walid & Hammoudeh, Shawkat & Reboredo, Juan Carlos & Nguyen, Duc Khuong, 2014. "Do global factors impact BRICS stock markets? A quantile regression approach," Emerging Markets Review, Elsevier, vol. 19(C), pages 1-17.
    20. Sayyed Sadaqat Hussain Shah & Muhammad Asif Khan & Natanya Meyer & Daniel F. Meyer & Judit Oláh, 2019. "Does Herding Bias Drive the Firm Value? Evidence from the Chinese Equity Market," Sustainability, MDPI, vol. 11(20), pages 1-20, October.
    21. Pradkhan, Elina, 2017. "Financial activity in agricultural futures markets: evidence from quantile regressions," Australian Journal of Agricultural and Resource Economics, Australian Agricultural and Resource Economics Society, vol. 61(4), October.
    22. Andre M. Marques & Gilberto Tadeu Lima, 2021. "Testing for Granger Causality in Quantiles Between the Wage Share and Capacity Utilization," Working Papers, Department of Economics 2021_03, University of São Paulo (FEA-USP).
    23. Nath, Harmindar B. & Brooks, Robert D., 2020. "Investor-herding and risk-profiles: A State-Space model-based assessment," Pacific-Basin Finance Journal, Elsevier, vol. 62(C).
    24. Rey Dang & Duc Khuong Nguyen, 2014. "Does Board Gender Diversity Make a Difference? New Evidence from Quantile Regression Analysis," Working Papers 2014-297, Department of Research, Ipag Business School.
    25. Chevapatrakul, Thanaset & Xu, Zhongxiang & Yao, Kai, 2019. "The impact of tail risk on stock market returns: The role of market sentiment," International Review of Economics & Finance, Elsevier, vol. 59(C), pages 289-301.
    26. Kao, Yu-Sheng & Zhao, Kai & Chuang, Hwei-Lin & Ku, Yu-Cheng, 2024. "The asymmetric relationships between the Bitcoin futures’ return, volatility, and trading volume," International Review of Economics & Finance, Elsevier, vol. 89(PA), pages 524-542.
    27. Laura Ferrando & Román Ferrer & Francisco Jareño, 2017. "Interest Rate Sensitivity of Spanish Industries: A Quantile Regression Approach," Manchester School, University of Manchester, vol. 85(2), pages 212-242, March.
    28. Su, Xianfang, 2020. "Measuring extreme risk spillovers across international stock markets: A quantile variance decomposition analysis," The North American Journal of Economics and Finance, Elsevier, vol. 51(C).
    29. Qian, Biyu & Wang, Gang-Jin & Feng, Yusen & Xie, Chi, 2022. "Partial cross-quantilogram networks: Measuring quantile connectedness of financial institutions," The North American Journal of Economics and Finance, Elsevier, vol. 60(C).
    30. Wenjing Zu & Guoda Gu & Sihan Lei, 2022. "Does Digital Transformation in Manufacturing Affect Trade Imbalances? Evidence from US–China Trade," Sustainability, MDPI, vol. 14(14), pages 1-14, July.
    31. Laura Garcia-Jorcano & Lidia Sanchis-Marco, 2023. "Measuring Systemic Risk Using Multivariate Quantile-Located ES Models," Journal of Financial Econometrics, Oxford University Press, vol. 21(1), pages 1-72.
    32. Pramod Kumar Naik & Rangan Gupta & Puja Padhi, 2018. "The Relationship Between Stock Market Volatility And Trading Volume: Evidence From South Africa," Journal of Developing Areas, Tennessee State University, College of Business, vol. 52(1), pages 99-114, January-M.
    33. Yu-Yen Ku & Tze-Yu Yen, 2016. "Heterogeneous Effect of Financial Leverage on Corporate Performance: A Quantile Regression Analysis of Taiwanese Companies," Review of Pacific Basin Financial Markets and Policies (RPBFMP), World Scientific Publishing Co. Pte. Ltd., vol. 19(03), pages 1-33, September.
    34. Panpan Wang & Tsungwu Ho & Yishi Li, 2020. "The Price-Volume Relationship of the Shanghai Stock Index: Structural Change and the Threshold Effect of Volatility," Sustainability, MDPI, vol. 12(8), pages 1-17, April.
    35. Ngene, Geoffrey M. & Mungai, Ann Nduati, 2022. "Stock returns, trading volume, and volatility: The case of African stock markets," International Review of Financial Analysis, Elsevier, vol. 82(C).
    36. Marques, André M. & Lima, Gilberto Tadeu, 2022. "Testing for Granger causality in quantiles between the wage share in income and productive capacity utilization," Structural Change and Economic Dynamics, Elsevier, vol. 62(C), pages 290-312.
    37. Gupta, Suman & Das, Debojyoti & Hasim, Haslifah & Tiwari, Aviral Kumar, 2018. "The dynamic relationship between stock returns and trading volume revisited: A MODWT-VAR approach," Finance Research Letters, Elsevier, vol. 27(C), pages 91-98.
    38. Zhu, Huiming & Peng, Cheng & You, Wanhai, 2016. "Quantile behaviour of cointegration between silver and gold prices," Finance Research Letters, Elsevier, vol. 19(C), pages 119-125.
    39. Uribe, Jorge M. & Guillen, Montserrat & Mosquera-López, Stephania, 2018. "Uncovering the nonlinear predictive causality between natural gas and electricity prices," Energy Economics, Elsevier, vol. 74(C), pages 904-916.
    40. Balcilar, Mehmet & Gupta, Rangan & Kim, Won Joong & Kyei, Clement, 2019. "The role of economic policy uncertainties in predicting stock returns and their volatility for Hong Kong, Malaysia and South Korea," International Review of Economics & Finance, Elsevier, vol. 59(C), pages 150-163.
    41. González, María de la O & Jareño, Francisco, 2019. "Testing extensions of Fama & French models: A quantile regression approach," The Quarterly Review of Economics and Finance, Elsevier, vol. 71(C), pages 188-204.
    42. Shen, Yifan & Shi, Xunpeng & Variam, Hari Malamakkavu Padinjare, 2018. "Risk transmission mechanism between energy markets: A VAR for VaR approach," Energy Economics, Elsevier, vol. 75(C), pages 377-388.
    43. Garcia-Jorcano, Laura & Sanchis-Marco, Lidia, 2022. "Spillover effects between commodity and stock markets: A SDSES approach," Resources Policy, Elsevier, vol. 79(C).
    44. Chi-Wei Su & Xu-Yu Cai & Ran Tao, 2020. "Can Stock Investor Sentiment Be Contagious in China?," Sustainability, MDPI, vol. 12(4), pages 1-16, February.
    45. BenMabrouk, Houda & Litimi, Houda, 2018. "Cross herding between American industries and the oil market," The North American Journal of Economics and Finance, Elsevier, vol. 45(C), pages 196-205.
    46. Lili Li & Shan Leng & Jun Yang & Mei Yu, 2016. "Stock Market Autoregressive Dynamics: A Multinational Comparative Study with Quantile Regression," Mathematical Problems in Engineering, Hindawi, vol. 2016, pages 1-15, September.
    47. Dias, Ishanka K. & Fernando, J.M. Ruwani & Fernando, P. Narada D., 2022. "Does investor sentiment predict bitcoin return and volatility? A quantile regression approach," International Review of Financial Analysis, Elsevier, vol. 84(C).
    48. Shen, Yifan, 2018. "International risk transmission of stock market movements," Economic Modelling, Elsevier, vol. 69(C), pages 220-236.
    49. Mensi, Walid & Shahzad, Syed Jawad Hussain & Hammoudeh, Shawkat & Zeitun, Rami & Rehman, Mobeen Ur, 2017. "Diversification potential of Asian frontier, BRIC emerging and major developed stock markets: A wavelet-based value at risk approach," Emerging Markets Review, Elsevier, vol. 32(C), pages 130-147.
    50. Fousekis, Panos & Tzaferi, Dimitra, 2021. "Returns and volume: Frequency connectedness in cryptocurrency markets," Economic Modelling, Elsevier, vol. 95(C), pages 13-20.
    51. Stephanos Papadamou & Νikolaos A. Kyriazis & Panayiotis G. Tzeremes, 2020. "US non-linear causal effects on global equity indices in Normal times versus unconventional eras," International Economics and Economic Policy, Springer, vol. 17(2), pages 381-407, May.
    52. Senarathne, Chamil W., . "The Information Flow Interpretation of Margin Debt Value Data: Evidence from New York Stock Exchange," Asian Journal of Applied Economics, Kasetsart University, Center for Applied Economics Research, vol. 26(1).
    53. Park, Sung Y. & Ryu, Doojin & Song, Jeongseok, 2017. "The dynamic conditional relationship between stock market returns and implied volatility," Physica A: Statistical Mechanics and its Applications, Elsevier, vol. 482(C), pages 638-648.
    54. Saif Siddiqui & Preeti Roy, 2019. "Asymmetric relationship between implied volatility, index returns and trading volume: an application of quantile regression model," DECISION: Official Journal of the Indian Institute of Management Calcutta, Springer;Indian Institute of Management Calcutta, vol. 46(3), pages 239-252, September.
    55. Arjoon, Vaalmikki & Bhatnagar, Chandra Shekhar & Ramlakhan, Prakash, 2020. "Herding in the Singapore stock Exchange," Journal of Economics and Business, Elsevier, vol. 109(C).
    56. Zheng, Dazhi & Li, Huimin & Chiang, Thomas C., 2017. "Herding within industries: Evidence from Asian stock markets," International Review of Economics & Finance, Elsevier, vol. 51(C), pages 487-509.
    57. Bouri, Elie & Lau, Chi Keung Marco & Lucey, Brian & Roubaud, David, 2019. "Trading volume and the predictability of return and volatility in the cryptocurrency market," Finance Research Letters, Elsevier, vol. 29(C), pages 340-346.
    58. Elina Pradkhan, 2017. "Financial activity in agricultural futures markets: evidence from quantile regressions," Australian Journal of Agricultural and Resource Economics, Australian Agricultural and Resource Economics Society, vol. 61(4), pages 610-625, October.
    59. Muhammad Ali Nasir & Toan Luu Duc Huynh & Sang Phu Nguyen & Duy Duong, 2019. "Forecasting cryptocurrency returns and volume using search engines," Financial Innovation, Springer;Southwestern University of Finance and Economics, vol. 5(1), pages 1-13, December.
    60. Kao, Yu-Sheng & Chuang, Hwei-Lin & Ku, Yu-Cheng, 2020. "The empirical linkages among market returns, return volatility, and trading volume: Evidence from the S&P 500 VIX Futures," The North American Journal of Economics and Finance, Elsevier, vol. 54(C).

  136. David G. Mcmillan & Mark E. Wohar, 2013. "A Panel Analysis Of The Stock Return–Dividend Yield Relation: Predicting Returns And Dividend Growth," Manchester School, University of Manchester, vol. 81(3), pages 386-400, June.

    Cited by:

    1. McMillan, David G., 2014. "Stock return, dividend growth and consumption growth predictability across markets and time: Implications for stock price movement," International Review of Financial Analysis, Elsevier, vol. 35(C), pages 90-101.
    2. McMillan, David G., 2019. "Predicting firm level stock returns: Implications for asset pricing and economic links," The British Accounting Review, Elsevier, vol. 51(4), pages 333-351.
    3. Boucher, C. & Jasinski, A. & Tokpavi, S., 2023. "Conditional mean reversion of financial ratios and the predictability of returns," Journal of International Money and Finance, Elsevier, vol. 137(C).
    4. Lawrenz, Jochen & Zorn, Josef, 2017. "Predicting international stock returns with conditional price-to-fundamental ratios," Journal of Empirical Finance, Elsevier, vol. 43(C), pages 159-184.
    5. David G. McMillan, 2021. "Forecasting sector stock market returns," Journal of Asset Management, Palgrave Macmillan, vol. 22(4), pages 291-300, July.
    6. David G. McMillan, 2016. "Stock return predictability and market integration: The role of global and local information," Cogent Economics & Finance, Taylor & Francis Journals, vol. 4(1), pages 1178363-117, December.
    7. McMillan, David G., 2019. "Stock return predictability: Using the cyclical component of the price ratio," Research in International Business and Finance, Elsevier, vol. 48(C), pages 228-242.

  137. Balke, Nathan S. & Ma, Jun & Wohar, Mark E., 2013. "The contribution of economic fundamentals to movements in exchange rates," Journal of International Economics, Elsevier, vol. 90(1), pages 1-16.

    Cited by:

    1. Kano, Takashi & Morita, Hiroshi, 2015. "An equilibrium foundation of the Soros chart," Journal of the Japanese and International Economies, Elsevier, vol. 37(C), pages 21-42.
    2. Joseph P. Byrne & Dimitris Korobilis & Pinho J. Ribeiro, 2014. "Exchange Rate Predictability in a Changing World," Working Paper series 06_14, Rimini Centre for Economic Analysis.
    3. Suxiao Li & Jakob de Haan & Bert Scholtens, 2018. "Are International Fund Flows Related to Exchange Rate Dynamics?," Open Economies Review, Springer, vol. 29(1), pages 31-48, February.
    4. Bertram, Philip & Ma, Jun & Sibbertsen, Philipp, 2015. "Real exchange rates and economic fundamentals: An investigation based on a Markov-STAR model," Hannover Economic Papers (HEP) dp-565, Leibniz Universität Hannover, Wirtschaftswissenschaftliche Fakultät.
    5. Jennifer Castle & Takamitsu Kurita, 2019. "Modelling and forecasting the dollar-pound exchange rate in the presence of structural breaks," Economics Series Working Papers 866, University of Oxford, Department of Economics.
    6. Yi‐Chiuan Wang & Jyh‐Lin Wu, 2015. "Fundamentals and Exchange Rate Prediction Revisited," Journal of Money, Credit and Banking, Blackwell Publishing, vol. 47(8), pages 1651-1671, December.
    7. Papahristodoulou, Christos, 2019. "Is there any theory that explains the SEK?," MPRA Paper 95072, University Library of Munich, Germany, revised 08 Jul 2019.
    8. Takamitsu Kurita & Patrick James, 2022. "The Canadian–US dollar exchange rate over the four decades of the post‐Bretton Woods float: An econometric study allowing for structural breaks," Metroeconomica, Wiley Blackwell, vol. 73(3), pages 856-883, July.
    9. Caraiani, Petre & Gupta, Rangan, 2020. "Is the response of the bank of England to exchange rate movements frequency-dependent?," Journal of Macroeconomics, Elsevier, vol. 63(C).
    10. Castle, Jennifer L. & Kurita, Takamitsu, 2021. "A dynamic econometric analysis of the dollar-pound exchange rate in an era of structural breaks and policy regime shifts," Journal of Economic Dynamics and Control, Elsevier, vol. 128(C).
    11. Logan T. Lewis, 2017. "How Important Are Trade Prices for Trade Flows?," IMF Economic Review, Palgrave Macmillan;International Monetary Fund, vol. 65(3), pages 471-497, August.
    12. Cumperayot, Phornchanok & Kouwenberg, Roy, 2021. "The discount factor for expected fundamentals: Evidence from a panel of 25 exchange rates," International Economics, Elsevier, vol. 166(C), pages 167-176.
    13. Philip Bertram & Teresa Flock & Jun Ma & Philipp Sibbertsen, 2022. "Real Exchange Rates and Fundamentals in a new Markov‐STAR Model," Oxford Bulletin of Economics and Statistics, Department of Economics, University of Oxford, vol. 84(2), pages 356-379, April.
    14. Chen, Shiu-Sheng & Chou, Yu-Hsi, 2015. "Revisiting the relationship between exchange rates and fundamentals," Journal of Macroeconomics, Elsevier, vol. 46(C), pages 1-22.
    15. Young Min Kim & Seojin Lee, 2017. "The Role of Unobservable Fundamentals in Korea Exchange Rate Fluctuations: Bayesian Approach," Economic Analysis (Quarterly), Economic Research Institute, Bank of Korea, vol. 23(3), pages 1-22, September.
    16. Abbate, Angela & Marcellino, Massimiliano, 2016. "Point, interval and density forecasts of exchange rates with time-varying parameter models," Discussion Papers 19/2016, Deutsche Bundesbank.
    17. Kano, Takashi & 加納, 隆, 2019. "Exchange Rates and Fundamentals: A General Equilibrium Exploration," Discussion paper series HIAS-E-19, Hitotsubashi Institute for Advanced Study, Hitotsubashi University.
    18. Han, Liyan & Xu, Yang & Yin, Libo, 2018. "Forecasting the CNY-CNH pricing differential: The role of investor attention," Pacific-Basin Finance Journal, Elsevier, vol. 49(C), pages 232-247.
    19. Kharrat, Sabrine & Hammami, Yacine & Fatnassi, Ibrahim, 2020. "On the cross-sectional relation between exchange rates and future fundamentals," Economic Modelling, Elsevier, vol. 89(C), pages 484-501.
    20. Han, Liyan & Xu, Yang & Yin, Libo, 2018. "Does investor attention matter? The attention-return relationships in FX markets," Economic Modelling, Elsevier, vol. 68(C), pages 644-660.
    21. Phornchanok Cumperayot & Casper G. de Vries, 2006. "Large Swings in Currencies driven by Fundamentals," Tinbergen Institute Discussion Papers 06-086/2, Tinbergen Institute.
    22. Kelly Burns, 2016. "A Reconsideration of the Meese-Rogoff Puzzle: An Alternative Approach to Model Estimation and Forecast Evaluation," Multinational Finance Journal, Multinational Finance Journal, vol. 20(1), pages 41-83, March.
    23. Wang, Xinyu & Qi, Zikang & Huang, Jianglu, 2023. "How do monetary shock, financial crisis, and quotation reform affect the long memory of exchange rate volatility? Evidence from major currencies," Economic Modelling, Elsevier, vol. 120(C).
    24. Wenting Liao & Jun Ma & Chengsi Zhang, 2023. "Identifying exchange rate effects and spillovers of US monetary policy shocks in the presence of time‐varying instrument relevance," Journal of Applied Econometrics, John Wiley & Sons, Ltd., vol. 38(7), pages 989-1006, November.
    25. Wellmann, Dennis & Trück, Stefan, 2018. "Factors of the term structure of sovereign yield spreads," Journal of International Money and Finance, Elsevier, vol. 81(C), pages 56-75.
    26. Nestor Azcona, 2017. "Non-Traded Goods and Real Exchange Rate Fluctuations: A Structural VAR Analysis," International Advances in Economic Research, Springer;International Atlantic Economic Society, vol. 23(2), pages 137-148, May.
    27. Kano, Takashi & 加納, 隆, 2014. "Exchange Rates and Fundamentals: Closing a Two-country Model," Discussion Papers 2013-07, Graduate School of Economics, Hitotsubashi University.
    28. Kevin J. Lansing & Jun Ma, 2014. "Explaining Exchange Rate Anomalies in a Model with Taylor-Rule Fundamentals and Consistent Expectations," Working Paper Series 2014-22, Federal Reserve Bank of San Francisco.
    29. Liu, Clark & Wang, Ben Zhe & Wang, Huanhuan & Zhang, Ji, 2019. "What drives fluctuations in exchange rate growth in emerging markets – A multi-level dynamic factor approach," Economic Systems, Elsevier, vol. 43(2), pages 1-1.
    30. Chou, Yu-Hsi, 2018. "Understanding the sources of the exchange rate disconnect puzzle: A variance decomposition approach," International Review of Economics & Finance, Elsevier, vol. 56(C), pages 267-287.
    31. Xie, Zixiong & Chen, Shyh-Wei, 2019. "Exchange rates and fundamentals: A bootstrap panel data analysis," Economic Modelling, Elsevier, vol. 78(C), pages 209-224.
    32. Eslamloueyan , Karim & Yazdanpanah , Hamideh, 2013. "The Contribution of Observed and Unobserved Fundamentals to Exchange Rate Movements in Iran," Journal of Money and Economy, Monetary and Banking Research Institute, Central Bank of the Islamic Republic of Iran, vol. 8(3), pages 89-115, July.
    33. Eric Hillebrand & Jakob Mikkelsen & Lars Spreng & Giovanni Urga, 2020. "Exchange Rates and Macroeconomic Fundamentals: Evidence of Instabilities from Time-Varying Factor Loadings," CREATES Research Papers 2020-19, Department of Economics and Business Economics, Aarhus University.
    34. Utku Altunoz, 2020. "Determining the Interaction of the International Portfolio Flows with Exchange Rate Volatility in Developing Countries," World Journal of Applied Economics, WERI-World Economic Research Institute, vol. 6(1), pages 41-54, June.
    35. You, Yu & Liu, Xiaochun, 2020. "Forecasting short-run exchange rate volatility with monetary fundamentals: A GARCH-MIDAS approach," Journal of Banking & Finance, Elsevier, vol. 116(C).

  138. David Greasley & Jakob B. Madsen & Mark E. Wohar, 2013. "Long-run growth empirics and new challenges for unified theory," Applied Economics, Taylor & Francis Journals, vol. 45(28), pages 3973-3987, October.

    Cited by:

    1. Steven Bond-Smith, 2021. "The unintended consequences of increasing returns to scale in geographical economics," Working Papers 2021-4, University of Hawaii Economic Research Organization, University of Hawaii at Manoa.
    2. Nick Hanley & Les Oxley & David Greasley & Eoin McLaughlin & Matthias Blum, 2016. "Empirical Testing of Genuine Savings as an Indicator of Weak Sustainability: A Three-Country Analysis of Long-Run Trends," Environmental & Resource Economics, Springer;European Association of Environmental and Resource Economists, vol. 63(2), pages 313-338, February.
    3. Stern, David I. & Enflo, Kerstin, 2013. "Causality between energy and output in the long-run," Energy Economics, Elsevier, vol. 39(C), pages 135-146.
    4. Madsen, Jakob B. & Robertson, Peter E. & Ye, Longfeng, 2019. "Malthus was right: Explaining a millennium of stagnation," European Economic Review, Elsevier, vol. 118(C), pages 51-68.
    5. Crafts, Nicholas & Mills, Terence, 2016. "Six Centuries of British Economic Growth: a Time-Series Perspective," CEPR Discussion Papers 11427, C.E.P.R. Discussion Papers.
    6. Peretto, Pietro F., 2018. "Robust endogenous growth," European Economic Review, Elsevier, vol. 108(C), pages 49-77.

  139. Vivian, Andrew & Wohar, Mark E., 2012. "Commodity volatility breaks," Journal of International Financial Markets, Institutions and Money, Elsevier, vol. 22(2), pages 395-422.

    Cited by:

    1. Salem, Leila Ben & Nouira, Ridha & Jeguirim, Khaled & Rault, Christophe, 2022. "The Determinants of Crude Oil Prices: Evidence from ARDL and Nonlinear ARDL Approaches," IZA Discussion Papers 15666, Institute of Labor Economics (IZA).
    2. Harvey, David I. & Leybourne, Stephen J. & Sollis, Robert & Taylor, A.M. Robert, 2016. "Tests for explosive financial bubbles in the presence of non-stationary volatility," Journal of Empirical Finance, Elsevier, vol. 38(PB), pages 548-574.
    3. Amélie Charles & Olivier Darné, 2012. "Volatility Persistence in Crude Oil Markets," Working Papers hal-00719387, HAL.
    4. Tsvetanov, Daniel & Coakley, Jerry & Kellard, Neil, 2016. "Bubbling over! The behaviour of oil futures along the yield curve," Journal of Empirical Finance, Elsevier, vol. 38(PB), pages 516-533.
    5. Mongi Arfaoui & Aymen Ben Rejeb, 2017. "Oil, gold, US dollar and stock market interdependencies: a global analytical insight," European Journal of Management and Business Economics, Emerald Group Publishing Limited, vol. 26(3), pages 278-293, October.
    6. Khan, Aftab & Masih, Mansur, 2019. "Do Islamic stocks and commodity markets comove at different investment horizons ? evidence from wavelet time-frequency approach," MPRA Paper 100992, University Library of Munich, Germany.
    7. Syed Jawad Hussain Shahzad & Saba Ameer & Muhammad Shahbaz, 2016. "Disaggregating the correlation under bearish and bullish markets: A Quantile-quantile approach," Post-Print hal-02013740, HAL.
    8. Jean-Pierre Allegret & Valérie Mignon & Audrey Allegret, 2014. "Oil price shocks and global imbalances: Lessons from a model with trade and financial interdependencies," Working Papers hal-04141352, HAL.
    9. McMillan, David G., 2021. "When and why do stock and bond markets predict US economic growth?," The Quarterly Review of Economics and Finance, Elsevier, vol. 80(C), pages 331-343.
    10. Sadorsky, Perry, 2014. "Modeling volatility and correlations between emerging market stock prices and the prices of copper, oil and wheat," Energy Economics, Elsevier, vol. 43(C), pages 72-81.
    11. Mohamed Yousfi & Abderrazak Dhaoui & Houssam Bouzgarrou, 2021. "Risk Spillover during the COVID-19 Global Pandemic and Portfolio Management," JRFM, MDPI, vol. 14(5), pages 1-29, May.
    12. Lin, Arthur J. & Chang, Hai Yen & Hsiao, Jung Lieh, 2019. "Does the Baltic Dry Index drive volatility spillovers in the commodities, currency, or stock markets?," Transportation Research Part E: Logistics and Transportation Review, Elsevier, vol. 127(C), pages 265-283.
    13. Raza, Naveed & Ali, Sajid & Shahzad, Syed Jawad Hussain & Raza, Syed Ali, 2018. "Do commodities effectively hedge real estate risk? A multi-scale asymmetric DCC approach," Resources Policy, Elsevier, vol. 57(C), pages 10-29.
    14. Dehua Shen & Andrew Urquhart & Pengfei Wang, 2020. "Forecasting the volatility of Bitcoin: The importance of jumps and structural breaks," European Financial Management, European Financial Management Association, vol. 26(5), pages 1294-1323, November.
    15. Heckelei, T. & Amrouk, E.M. & Grosche, S., 2018. "International interdependence between cash crop and staple food futures price indices: A wavelet-BEKK-GARCH assessment," 2018 Conference, July 28-August 2, 2018, Vancouver, British Columbia 277376, International Association of Agricultural Economists.
    16. Diaz-Rainey, Ivan & Roberts, Helen & Lont, David H., 2017. "Crude inventory accounting and speculation in the physical oil market," Energy Economics, Elsevier, vol. 66(C), pages 508-522.
    17. Chatziantoniou, Ioannis & Degiannakis, Stavros & Filis, George, 2019. "Futures-based forecasts: How useful are they for oil price volatility forecasting?," Energy Economics, Elsevier, vol. 81(C), pages 639-649.
    18. Bildirici, Melike E. & Turkmen, Ceren, 2015. "Nonlinear causality between oil and precious metals," Resources Policy, Elsevier, vol. 46(P2), pages 202-211.
    19. Amanjot Singh, 2018. "A Note on Conditional Variance and Decaying Rate: Chinese Equity Market," Journal of Quantitative Economics, Springer;The Indian Econometric Society (TIES), vol. 16(2), pages 595-611, June.
    20. Jean-Christophe Statnik & David Verstraete, 2015. "Price dynamics in agricultural commodity markets: a comparison of European and US markets," Empirical Economics, Springer, vol. 48(3), pages 1103-1117, May.
    21. Lovcha, Yuliya & Perez-Laborda, Alejandro, 2020. "Dynamic frequency connectedness between oil and natural gas volatilities," Economic Modelling, Elsevier, vol. 84(C), pages 181-189.
    22. Kuruppuarachchi, Duminda & Lin, Hai & Premachandra, I.M., 2019. "Testing commodity futures market efficiency under time-varying risk premiums and heteroscedastic prices," Economic Modelling, Elsevier, vol. 77(C), pages 92-112.
    23. Reem Khamis Hamdan & Allam Mohammed Hamdan, 2020. "Liner and nonliner sectoral response of stock markets to oil price movements: The case of Saudi Arabia," International Journal of Finance & Economics, John Wiley & Sons, Ltd., vol. 25(3), pages 336-348, July.
    24. Jozef Baruník, Evzen Kocenda and Lukáa Vácha, 2015. "Volatility Spillovers Across Petroleum Markets," The Energy Journal, International Association for Energy Economics, vol. 0(Number 3).
    25. Olson, Eric & Vivian, Andrew & Wohar, Mark E., 2017. "Do commodities make effective hedges for equity investors?," Research in International Business and Finance, Elsevier, vol. 42(C), pages 1274-1288.
    26. Reboredo, Juan C. & Ugolini, Andrea, 2015. "Downside/upside price spillovers between precious metals: A vine copula approach," The North American Journal of Economics and Finance, Elsevier, vol. 34(C), pages 84-102.
    27. Vera Mirovic & Dejan Zivkov & Jovan Njegic, 2017. "Construction of Commodity Portfolio and Its Hedge Effectiveness Gauging – Revisiting DCC Models," Czech Journal of Economics and Finance (Finance a uver), Charles University Prague, Faculty of Social Sciences, vol. 67(5), pages 396-422, October.
    28. Guo, Jin, 2018. "Co-movement of international copper prices, China's economic activity, and stock returns: Structural breaks and volatility dynamics," Global Finance Journal, Elsevier, vol. 36(C), pages 62-77.
    29. Farid, Saqib & Kayani, Ghulam Mujtaba & Naeem, Muhammad Abubakr & Shahzad, Syed Jawad Hussain, 2021. "Intraday volatility transmission among precious metals, energy and stocks during the COVID-19 pandemic," Resources Policy, Elsevier, vol. 72(C).
    30. Maghyereh, Aktham & Abdoh, Hussein, 2020. "Asymmetric effects of oil price uncertainty on corporate investment," Energy Economics, Elsevier, vol. 86(C).
    31. Troster, Victor & Bouri, Elie & Roubaud, David, 2019. "A quantile regression analysis of flights-to-safety with implied volatilities," Resources Policy, Elsevier, vol. 62(C), pages 482-495.
    32. Imhotep Paul Alagidede & Gideon Boako & Bo Sjo, 2021. "African equity markets’ exposure to oil and other commodities - implications for global portfolio diversification," Journal of Economics and Finance, Springer;Academy of Economics and Finance, vol. 45(2), pages 288-315, April.
    33. Mensi, Walid & Hammoudeh, Shawkat & Yoon, Seong-Min, 2014. "Structural breaks and long memory in modeling and forecasting volatility of foreign exchange markets of oil exporters: The importance of scheduled and unscheduled news announcements," International Review of Economics & Finance, Elsevier, vol. 30(C), pages 101-119.
    34. Dutta, Anupam, 2018. "A note on the implied volatility spillovers between gold and silver markets," Resources Policy, Elsevier, vol. 55(C), pages 192-195.
    35. Aloui, Chaker & Hamida, Hela ben, 2014. "Modelling and forecasting value at risk and expected shortfall for GCC stock markets: Do long memory, structural breaks, asymmetry, and fat-tails matter?," The North American Journal of Economics and Finance, Elsevier, vol. 29(C), pages 349-380.
    36. Dennis Alvaro & Ángel Guillén & Gabriel Rodríguez, 2017. "Modelling the volatility of commodities prices using a stochastic volatility model with random level shifts," Review of World Economics (Weltwirtschaftliches Archiv), Springer;Institut für Weltwirtschaft (Kiel Institute for the World Economy), vol. 153(1), pages 71-103, February.
    37. Liu, Pan & Power, Gabriel J. & Vedenov, Dmitry, 2021. "Fair-weather Friends? Sector-specific volatility connectedness and transmission," International Review of Economics & Finance, Elsevier, vol. 76(C), pages 712-736.
    38. Jin, Jiayu & Han, Liyan & Xu, Yang, 2022. "Does the SDR stabilize investing in commodities?," International Review of Economics & Finance, Elsevier, vol. 81(C), pages 160-172.
    39. Sarwar, Suleman & Shahbaz, Muhammad & Anwar, Awais & Tiwari, Aviral Kumar, 2019. "The importance of oil assets for portfolio optimization: The analysis of firm level stocks," Energy Economics, Elsevier, vol. 78(C), pages 217-234.
    40. Bhatia, Vaneet & Das, Debojyoti & Tiwari, Aviral Kumar & Shahbaz, Muhammad & Hasim, Haslifah M., 2018. "Do precious metal spot prices influence each other? Evidence from a nonparametric causality-in-quantiles approach," Resources Policy, Elsevier, vol. 55(C), pages 244-252.
    41. Yadav, Miklesh Prasad & Sharif, Taimur & Ashok, Shruti & Dhingra, Deepika & Abedin, Mohammad Zoynul, 2023. "Investigating volatility spillover of energy commodities in the context of the Chinese and European stock markets," Research in International Business and Finance, Elsevier, vol. 65(C).
    42. Mehmet Balcilar & Zeynel Abidin Ozdemir, 2018. "The volatility effect on precious metals prices in a stochastic volatility in mean model with time-varying parameters," Working Papers 15-34, Eastern Mediterranean University, Department of Economics.
    43. Mensi, Walid & Hammoudeh, Shawkat & Nguyen, Duc Khuong & Yoon, Seong-Min, 2014. "Dynamic spillovers among major energy and cereal commodity prices," Energy Economics, Elsevier, vol. 43(C), pages 225-243.
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    45. Hayette Gatfaoui, 2016. "Linking the gas and oil markets with the stock market: Investigating the U.S. relationship," Post-Print hal-01562989, HAL.
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    1. Charles, Amélie & Darné, Olivier, 2014. "Large shocks in the volatility of the Dow Jones Industrial Average index: 1928–2013," Journal of Banking & Finance, Elsevier, vol. 43(C), pages 188-199.
    2. Yarovaya, Larisa & Matkovskyy, Roman & Jalan, Akanksha, 2022. "The COVID-19 black swan crisis: Reaction and recovery of various financial markets," Research in International Business and Finance, Elsevier, vol. 59(C).
    3. Bijsterbosch, Martin & Falagiarda, Matteo & Pasricha, Gurnain & Aizenman, Joshua, 2015. "Domestic and multilateral effects of capital controls in emerging markets," Working Paper Series 1844, European Central Bank.
    4. Casavecchia, Lorenzo & Loudon, Geoffrey F. & Wu, Eliza, 2018. "What moves benchmark money market rates? Evidence from the BBSW market," Pacific-Basin Finance Journal, Elsevier, vol. 51(C), pages 137-154.
    5. Claudio Morana, 2013. "New Insights on the US OIS Spreads Term Structure During the Recent Financial Turmoil," CeRP Working Papers 137, Center for Research on Pensions and Welfare Policies, Turin (Italy).
    6. Leung, W.S. & Taylor, N. & Evans, K.P., 2015. "The determinants of bank risks: Evidence from the recent financial crisis," Journal of International Financial Markets, Institutions and Money, Elsevier, vol. 34(C), pages 277-293.
    7. Juan Ángel Lafuente & Nuria Petit & Jesús Ruiz & Pedro Serrano, 2020. "Dissecting interbank risk using basis swap spreads," The World Economy, Wiley Blackwell, vol. 43(3), pages 729-757, March.
    8. Woon Sau Leung & Nicholas Taylor, 2013. "Testing for contagion: the impact of US structured markets on international financial markets," Chapters, in: Adrian R. Bell & Chris Brooks & Marcel Prokopczuk (ed.), Handbook of Research Methods and Applications in Empirical Finance, chapter 11, pages 256-284, Edward Elgar Publishing.
    9. Cui, Jin & In, Francis & Maharaj, Elizabeth Ann, 2016. "What drives the Libor–OIS spread? Evidence from five major currency Libor–OIS spreads," International Review of Economics & Finance, Elsevier, vol. 45(C), pages 358-375.

  142. Olson, Eric & Enders, Walter & Wohar, Mark E., 2012. "An empirical investigation of the Taylor curve," Journal of Macroeconomics, Elsevier, vol. 34(2), pages 380-390.

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    1. Bogdan CAPRARU & Norel Ionut MOISE & Andrei RADULESCU, 2015. "The Monetary Policy Of The National Bank Of Romania In The Inflation Targeting Era. A Taylor Rule Approach," Review of Economic and Business Studies, Alexandru Ioan Cuza University, Faculty of Economics and Business Administration, issue 16, pages 91-102, December.
    2. Kesavarajah Mayandy & Paul Middleditch, 2020. "Monetary Policy and Inflation-Output Variability in Sri Lanka: Lessons for Developing Economies," Economics Discussion Paper Series 2001, Economics, The University of Manchester.
    3. Eric Olson & Walter Enders, 2012. "A Historical Analysis of the Taylor Curve," Journal of Money, Credit and Banking, Blackwell Publishing, vol. 44(7), pages 1285-1299, October.
    4. Eliphas Ndou & Nombulelo Gumata & Mthuli Ncube & Eric Olson, 2013. "Working Paper 189 - An Empirical Investigation of the Taylor Curve in South Africa," Working Paper Series 992, African Development Bank.
    5. Baaziz, Yosra & Labidi, Moez & Lahiani, Amine, 2013. "Does the South African Reserve Bank follow a nonlinear interest rate reaction function?," Economic Modelling, Elsevier, vol. 35(C), pages 272-282.

  143. Kuttner, Kenneth N., 2011. "Pierre L. Siklos, Martin T. Bohl and Mark E. Wohar, Challenges in central banking: the current institutional environment and forces affecting monetary policy , Cambridge University Press (2010)," Journal of International Economics, Elsevier, vol. 83(1), pages 93-94, January.

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    1. Tomáš Heryán & Panayiotis G. Tzeremes & Roman Matousek, 2016. "European lending channel: differences in transmission mechanisms due to the global financial crisis," Working Papers 0027, Silesian University, School of Business Administration.
    2. Tomáš Heryán & Iveta Palečková & Nemanja Radić, 2015. "Comparison of monetary policy effects on lending channel in EMU and non-EMU countries: Evidence from period 1999-2012," Working Papers 0003, Silesian University, School of Business Administration.

  144. David G. Mcmillan & Mark E. Wohar, 2011. "Profit Persistence Revisited: The Case Of The Uk," Manchester School, University of Manchester, vol. 79(3), pages 510-527, June.

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    1. Giorgio Canarella & Stephen M. Miller & Mahmoud M. Nourayi, 2012. "Firm Profitability: Mean-Reverting or Random-Walk Behavior?," Working Papers 1202, University of Nevada, Las Vegas , Department of Economics.
    2. François Rycx & Stephan Kampelmann & Benoit Mahy & Guillaume Vermeylen, 2016. "Who is your perfect match? Educational norms, educational mismatch and firm profitability," ULB Institutional Repository 2013/245817, ULB -- Universite Libre de Bruxelles.
    3. Rycx, François & Saks, Yves & Tojerow, Ilan, 2015. "Does Education Raise Productivity and Wages Equally? The Moderating Roles of Age, Gender and Industry," IZA Discussion Papers 9043, Institute of Labor Economics (IZA).
    4. Johan E. Eklund & Emma Lappi, 2019. "Persistence of profits in the EU: how competitive are EU member countries?," Empirica, Springer;Austrian Institute for Economic Research;Austrian Economic Association, vol. 46(2), pages 327-351, May.
    5. Maury, Benjamin, 2018. "Sustainable competitive advantage and profitability persistence: Sources versus outcomes for assessing advantage," Journal of Business Research, Elsevier, vol. 84(C), pages 100-113.
    6. Stefan Hirsch & David Lanter & Robert Finger, 2021. "Profitability and profit persistence in EU food retailing: Differences between top competitors and fringe firms," Agribusiness, John Wiley & Sons, Ltd., vol. 37(2), pages 235-263, April.
    7. José A. Gómez‐Limón & Sandra Sánchez‐Cañizares & Amalia Hidalgo‐Fernández & Ana M. Castillo‐Canalejo, 2023. "Profit and viability persistence: Evidence from the Spanish agricultural sector," Agribusiness, John Wiley & Sons, Ltd., vol. 39(4), pages 1300-1332, October.
    8. Nikola Butigan & Duro Benic, 2017. "The Impact of Membership in Strategic Alliances on the Profitability of Firms in the Retail Sector," Croatian Economic Survey, The Institute of Economics, Zagreb, vol. 19(2), pages 47-82, December.
    9. François Rycx & Yves Saks & Ilan Tojerow, 2016. "Misalignment of productivity and wages across regions ? Evidence from Belgian matched panel data," Working Paper Research 300, National Bank of Belgium.
    10. Csonka, Arnold & Bareith, Tibor, 2019. "Profitperzisztencia vizsgálata a magyar sertésszektorban [Analysis of profit persistence in the Hungarian pig sector]," Közgazdasági Szemle (Economic Review - monthly of the Hungarian Academy of Sciences), Közgazdasági Szemle Alapítvány (Economic Review Foundation), vol. 0(7), pages 847-862.
    11. Leiv Opstad & Johannes Idso & Robin Valenta, 2021. "The Degree of Profit Persistence in the Tourism Industry: The Case of Norwegian Campsites," International Journal of Economics & Business Administration (IJEBA), International Journal of Economics & Business Administration (IJEBA), vol. 0(4), pages 140-155.
    12. Sri Mulyantini, 2019. "Building Persistent Financial Performance," GATR Journals jfbr153, Global Academy of Training and Research (GATR) Enterprise.
    13. Giuliano, Romina & Kampelmann, Stephan & Mahy, Benoît & Rycx, François, 2017. "Short Notice, Big Difference? The Effect of Temporary Employment on Firm Competitiveness across Sectors," IZA Discussion Papers 10579, Institute of Labor Economics (IZA).
    14. Lanter, David & Hirsch, Stefan & Finger, Robert, 2018. "Profitability and Competition in EU Food Retailing," 2018 Annual Meeting, August 5-7, Washington, D.C. 274202, Agricultural and Applied Economics Association.
    15. Stefan Hirsch & Jan Schiefer, 2016. "What Causes Firm Profitability Variation in the EU Food Industry? A Redux of Classical Approaches of Variance Decomposition," Agribusiness, John Wiley & Sons, Ltd., vol. 32(1), pages 79-92, January.

  145. David G. McMillan & Mark E. Wohar, 2010. "Stock return predictability and dividend-price ratio: a nonlinear approach," International Journal of Finance & Economics, John Wiley & Sons, Ltd., vol. 15(4), pages 351-365.

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    1. Heejoon Han & Na Kyeong Lee, 2018. "Modeling the Dynamics between Stock Price and Dividend: An Endogenous Regime Switching Approach," Korean Economic Review, Korean Economic Association, vol. 34, pages 213-235.
    2. Esteve García, Vicente & Navarro Ibáñez, Manuel & Prats Albentosa, María Asuncíon, 2017. "The present value model of U.S. stock prices revisited: Long-run evidence with structural breaks, 1871-2012," Economics Discussion Papers 2017-93, Kiel Institute for the World Economy (IfW Kiel).
    3. Kurmaş Akdoğan, 2017. "Unemployment hysteresis and structural change in Europe," Empirical Economics, Springer, vol. 53(4), pages 1415-1440, December.
    4. McMillan, David G., 2014. "Stock return, dividend growth and consumption growth predictability across markets and time: Implications for stock price movement," International Review of Financial Analysis, Elsevier, vol. 35(C), pages 90-101.
    5. McMillan, David G., 2013. "Consumption and stock prices: Evidence from a small international panel," Journal of Macroeconomics, Elsevier, vol. 36(C), pages 76-88.
    6. McMillan, David G., 2019. "Predicting firm level stock returns: Implications for asset pricing and economic links," The British Accounting Review, Elsevier, vol. 51(4), pages 333-351.
    7. Esteve, Vicente & Navarro-Ibáñez, Manuel & Prats, María A., 2020. "Stock prices, dividends, and structural changes in the long-term: The case of U.S," The North American Journal of Economics and Finance, Elsevier, vol. 52(C).
    8. Kurmaş Akdoğan, 2015. "Unemployment Hysteresis and Structural Change in Europe," EY International Congress on Economics II (EYC2015), November 5-6, 2015, Ankara, Turkey 266, Ekonomik Yaklasim Association.
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    10. Vicente Esteve & Manuel Navarro-Ibáñez & María A. Prats, 2013. "The present value model of U.S. stock prices revisited: long-run evidence with structural breaks, 1871-2010," Working Papers 13-04, Asociación Española de Economía y Finanzas Internacionales.
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    1. Delis, Manthos & Savva, Christos & Theodossiou, Panayiotis, 2020. "A Coronavirus Asset Pricing Model: The Role of Skewness," MPRA Paper 100877, University Library of Munich, Germany.
    2. Delis, Manthos D. & Savva, Christos S. & Theodossiou, Panayiotis, 2021. "The impact of the coronavirus crisis on the market price of risk," Journal of Financial Stability, Elsevier, vol. 53(C).
    3. Engsted, Tom & Pedersen, Thomas Q., 2012. "Return predictability and intertemporal asset allocation: Evidence from a bias-adjusted VAR model," Journal of Empirical Finance, Elsevier, vol. 19(2), pages 241-253.
    4. Rocha Armada, Manuel J. & Sousa, Ricardo M. & Wohar, Mark E., 2015. "Consumption growth, preference for smoothing, changes in expectations and risk premium," The Quarterly Review of Economics and Finance, Elsevier, vol. 56(C), pages 80-97.
    5. Daniel Giamouridis & Athanasios Sakkas & Nikolaos Tessaromatis, 2017. "Dynamic Asset Allocation with Liabilities," European Financial Management, European Financial Management Association, vol. 23(2), pages 254-291, March.
    6. Steven J. Jordan & Andrew Vivian & Mark E. Wohar, 2015. "Location, location, location: currency effects and return predictability?," Applied Economics, Taylor & Francis Journals, vol. 47(18), pages 1883-1898, April.
    7. Panayiotis Theodossiou & Christos S. Savva, 2016. "Skewness and the Relation Between Risk and Return," Management Science, INFORMS, vol. 62(6), pages 1598-1609, June.
    8. Huang, MeiChi, 2018. "Time-varying diversification strategies: The roles of state-level housing assets in optimal portfolios," International Review of Economics & Finance, Elsevier, vol. 55(C), pages 145-172.
    9. Jordan, Steven J. & Vivian, Andrew & Wohar, Mark E., 2017. "Forecasting market returns: bagging or combining?," International Journal of Forecasting, Elsevier, vol. 33(1), pages 102-120.
    10. MeiChi Huang, 2019. "Risk diversification gains from metropolitan housing assets," Review of Financial Economics, John Wiley & Sons, vol. 37(4), pages 453-481, October.
    11. Bart Diris & Franz Palm & Peter Schotman, 2015. "Long-Term Strategic Asset Allocation: An Out-of-Sample Evaluation," Management Science, INFORMS, vol. 61(9), pages 2185-2202, September.
    12. Salvatore Bruno & Ludwig Chincarini, 2010. "A historical examination of optimal real return portfolios for non‐US investors," Review of Financial Economics, John Wiley & Sons, vol. 19(4), pages 161-178, October.
    13. Jordan, Steven J. & Vivian, Andrew & Wohar, Mark E., 2016. "Can commodity returns forecast Canadian sector stock returns?," International Review of Economics & Finance, Elsevier, vol. 41(C), pages 172-188.
    14. Bruno, Salvatore & Chincarini, Ludwig, 2010. "A historical examination of optimal real return portfolios for non-US investors," Review of Financial Economics, Elsevier, vol. 19(4), pages 161-178, October.
    15. Panayiotis Theodossiou & Dimitris Tsouknidis & Christos Savva, 2020. "Freight rates in downside and upside markets: pricing of own and spillover risks from other shipping segments," Journal of the Royal Statistical Society Series A, Royal Statistical Society, vol. 183(3), pages 1097-1119, June.

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    1. Mehmet Balcilar & Edmond Berisha & Oguzhan Cepni & Rangan Gupta, 2019. "The Predictive Power of the Term Spread on Inequality in the United Kingdom: An Empirical Analysis," Working Papers 201981, University of Pretoria, Department of Economics.
    2. Hammami, Yacine & Lindahl, Anna, 2014. "An intertemporal capital asset pricing model with bank credit growth as a state variable," Journal of Banking & Finance, Elsevier, vol. 39(C), pages 14-28.
    3. Jean-Baptiste Hasse & Quentin Lajaunie, 2020. "Does the Yield Curve Signal Recessions? New Evidence from an International Panel Data Analysis," AMSE Working Papers 2013, Aix-Marseille School of Economics, France.
    4. Engemann, Kristie M. & Kliesen, Kevin L. & Owyang, Michael T., 2011. "Do Oil Shocks Drive Business Cycles? Some U.S. And International Evidence," Macroeconomic Dynamics, Cambridge University Press, vol. 15(S3), pages 498-517, November.
    5. Nathan Foley-Fisher & Rodney Ramcharan & Edison Yu, 2015. "The impact of unconventional monetary policy on firm financing constraints: evidence from the maturity extension program," Working Papers 15-30, Federal Reserve Bank of Philadelphia.
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    21. Berisha, Edmond, 2017. "Yield spread and the income distribution," The Quarterly Review of Economics and Finance, Elsevier, vol. 65(C), pages 363-377.
    22. Nakaota, Hiroshi & Fukuta, Yuichi, 2013. "The leading indicator property of the term spread and the monetary policy factors in Japan," Japan and the World Economy, Elsevier, vol. 28(C), pages 85-98.
    23. Smimou, K. & Khallouli, W., 2016. "On the intensity of liquidity spillovers in the Eurozone," International Review of Financial Analysis, Elsevier, vol. 48(C), pages 388-405.
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    25. Wojnilower, Joshua, 2018. "On credit and output: Is the supply of credit relevant?," The North American Journal of Economics and Finance, Elsevier, vol. 45(C), pages 38-56.
    26. Aharon, David Y. & Umar, Zaghum & Aziz, Mukhriz Izraf Azman & Vo, Xuan vinh, 2022. "COVID-19 related media sentiment and the yield curve of G-7 economies," The North American Journal of Economics and Finance, Elsevier, vol. 61(C).
    27. Gupta, Rangan & Risse, Marian & Volkman, David A. & Wohar, Mark E., 2019. "The role of term spread and pattern changes in predicting stock returns and volatility of the United Kingdom: Evidence from a nonparametric causality-in-quantiles test using over 250 years of data," The North American Journal of Economics and Finance, Elsevier, vol. 47(C), pages 391-405.
    28. Baghestani, Hamid & Toledo, Hugo, 2017. "Do analysts' forecasts of term spread differential help predict directional change in exchange rates?," International Review of Economics & Finance, Elsevier, vol. 47(C), pages 62-69.
    29. Boda Kang & Christina Sklibosios Nikitopoulos & Marcel Prokopczuk, 2019. "Economic Determinants of Oil Futures Volatility: A Term Structure Perspective," Research Paper Series 401, Quantitative Finance Research Centre, University of Technology, Sydney.
    30. Bernard LANDAIS, 2010. "The Monetary Origins Of The Economic And Financial Crisis," Journal of Applied Economic Sciences, Spiru Haret University, Faculty of Financial Management and Accounting Craiova, vol. 5(3(13)/Fal), pages 280-291.
    31. Evgenidis, Anastasios & Papadamou, Stephanos & Siriopoulos, Costas, 2020. "The yield spread's ability to forecast economic activity: What have we learned after 30 years of studies?," Journal of Business Research, Elsevier, vol. 106(C), pages 221-232.
    32. Landais, Bernard, 2010. "The monetary origins of the financial and economic crisis," MPRA Paper 23769, University Library of Munich, Germany.
    33. Morell, Joseph, 2018. "The decline in the predictive power of the US term spread: A structural interpretation," Journal of Macroeconomics, Elsevier, vol. 55(C), pages 314-331.
    34. J. Boeckx & M. de Sola Perea & M. Deroose & G. de Walque & Th. Lejeune & Ch. Van Nieuwenhuyse, 2018. "What will happen when interest rates go up?," Economic Review, National Bank of Belgium, issue iii, pages 35-56, september.
    35. Markku Lanne & Henri Nyberg, 2016. "Generalized Forecast Error Variance Decomposition for Linear and Nonlinear Multivariate Models," Oxford Bulletin of Economics and Statistics, Department of Economics, University of Oxford, vol. 78(4), pages 595-603, August.
    36. Rossi, Barbara, 2013. "Advances in Forecasting under Instability," Handbook of Economic Forecasting, in: G. Elliott & C. Granger & A. Timmermann (ed.), Handbook of Economic Forecasting, edition 1, volume 2, chapter 0, pages 1203-1324, Elsevier.
    37. Helbling, Thomas & Huidrom, Raju & Kose, M. Ayhan & Otrok, Christopher, 2011. "Do credit shocks matter? A global perspective," European Economic Review, Elsevier, vol. 55(3), pages 340-353, April.
    38. Karnizova, Lilia & Li, Jiaxiong (Chris), 2014. "Economic policy uncertainty, financial markets and probability of US recessions," Economics Letters, Elsevier, vol. 125(2), pages 261-265.
    39. Kurt Graden Lunsford, 2018. "Can Yield Curve Inversions Be Predicted?," Economic Commentary, Federal Reserve Bank of Cleveland, vol. 2018(06), pages 1-6, July.
    40. Smimou, K., 2017. "Does gold Liquidity learn from the greenback or the equity?," Research in International Business and Finance, Elsevier, vol. 41(C), pages 461-479.
    41. Kuosmanen, Petri & Vataja, Juuso, 2014. "Forecasting GDP growth with financial market data in Finland: Revisiting stylized facts in a small open economy during the financial crisis," Review of Financial Economics, Elsevier, vol. 23(2), pages 90-97.
    42. Drechsel, Katja & Scheufele, Rolf, 2012. "The performance of short-term forecasts of the German economy before and during the 2008/2009 recession," International Journal of Forecasting, Elsevier, vol. 28(2), pages 428-445.
    43. Kuosmanen, Petri & Nabulsi, Nasib & Vataja, Juuso, 2015. "Financial variables and economic activity in the Nordic countries," International Review of Economics & Finance, Elsevier, vol. 37(C), pages 368-379.
    44. Ibarra-Ramírez Raúl, 2021. "The Yield Curve as a Predictor of Economic Activity in Mexico: The Role of the Term Premium," Working Papers 2021-07, Banco de México.
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    46. Uhde, André, 2021. "Tax avoidance through securitization," The Quarterly Review of Economics and Finance, Elsevier, vol. 79(C), pages 411-421.
    47. Neville Francis & Michael T. Owyang & Daniel Soques, 2019. "Business Cycles Across Space and Time," Working Papers 2019-010, Federal Reserve Bank of St. Louis, revised 05 May 2021.
    48. Gebka, Bartosz & Wohar, Mark E., 2018. "The predictive power of the yield spread for future economic expansions: Evidence from a new approach," Economic Modelling, Elsevier, vol. 75(C), pages 181-195.
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    56. Schock, Matthias, 2015. "Predicting Economic Activity via Eurozone Yield Spreads: Impact of Credit Risk," Hannover Economic Papers (HEP) dp-542, Leibniz Universität Hannover, Wirtschaftswissenschaftliche Fakultät.
    57. Argyropoulos, Efthymios & Tzavalis, Elias, 2016. "Forecasting economic activity from yield curve factors," The North American Journal of Economics and Finance, Elsevier, vol. 36(C), pages 293-311.
    58. Apergis, Nicholas & Chatziantoniou, Ioannis, 2021. "Credit supply conditions and business cycles: New evidence from bank lending survey data," Research in International Business and Finance, Elsevier, vol. 55(C).
    59. Kuosmanen, Petri & Rahko, Jaana & Vataja, Juuso, 2019. "Predictive ability of financial variables in changing economic circumstances," The North American Journal of Economics and Finance, Elsevier, vol. 47(C), pages 37-47.

  149. Nathan S. Balke & Mark E. Wohar, 2009. "Market fundamentals versus rational bubbles in stock prices: a Bayesian perspective," Journal of Applied Econometrics, John Wiley & Sons, Ltd., vol. 24(1), pages 35-75.

    Cited by:

    1. Renhe Liu & Eddie Chi-man Hui & Jiaqi Lv & Yi Chen, 2017. "What Drives Housing Markets: Fundamentals or Bubbles?," The Journal of Real Estate Finance and Economics, Springer, vol. 55(4), pages 395-415, November.
    2. Ozan Hatipoglu & Onur Uyar, 2012. "Do Bubbles Spill Over? Estimating Financial Bubbles in Emerging Markets," Emerging Markets Finance and Trade, Taylor & Francis Journals, vol. 48(S5), pages 64-75, November.
    3. Adelina Gschwandtner & Michael Hauser, 2016. "Profit persistence and stock returns," Applied Economics, Taylor & Francis Journals, vol. 48(37), pages 3538-3549, August.
    4. Chan, Joshua C.C. & Santi, Caterina, 2021. "Speculative bubbles in present-value models: A Bayesian Markov-switching state space approach," Journal of Economic Dynamics and Control, Elsevier, vol. 127(C).
    5. Kim, Jan R. & Lim, Gieyoung, 2016. "Fundamentals and rational bubbles in the Korean housing market: A modified present-value approach," Economic Modelling, Elsevier, vol. 59(C), pages 174-181.
    6. Huang, MeiChi & Chiang, Hsiu-Hsuan, 2017. "An early alarm system for housing bubbles," The Quarterly Review of Economics and Finance, Elsevier, vol. 63(C), pages 34-49.
    7. MeiChi Huang & Tzu-Chien Wang, 2015. "Housing-bubble vulnerability and diversification opportunities during housing boom–bust cycles: evidence from decomposition of asset price returns," The Annals of Regional Science, Springer;Western Regional Science Association, vol. 54(2), pages 605-637, March.
    8. Marlon Fritz & Thomas Gries & Lukas Wiechers, 2022. "An Early Indicator for Anomalous Stock Market Performance," Working Papers CIE 153, Paderborn University, CIE Center for International Economics.
    9. Jan R. Kim & Gieyoung Lim, 2018. "A look into German housing markets: A bubble call?," International Area Studies Review, Center for International Area Studies, Hankuk University of Foreign Studies, vol. 21(4), pages 289-301, December.
    10. Poitras, Geoffrey & Heaney, John, 2008. "‘How is the Stock Market Doing?’ Using Absence of Arbitrage to Measure Stock Market Performance," MPRA Paper 114056, University Library of Munich, Germany.
    11. Busse, Stefan & Brümmer, Bernard & Ihle, Rico, 2010. "Interdependencies between fossil fuel and renewable energy markets: the German biodiesel market," DARE Discussion Papers 1010, Georg-August University of Göttingen, Department of Agricultural Economics and Rural Development (DARE).
    12. Velinov, Anton & Chen, Wenjuan, 2015. "Do stock prices reflect their fundamentals? New evidence in the aftermath of the financial crisis," Journal of Economics and Business, Elsevier, vol. 80(C), pages 1-20.

  150. Decker, Christopher S. & Thompson, Eric C. & Wohar, Mark E., 2009. "Determinants of State Labor Productivity: The Changing Role of Density," Journal of Regional Analysis and Policy, Mid-Continent Regional Science Association, vol. 39(1), pages 1-10.

    Cited by:

    1. valdivia coria, joab dan & Valdivia Coria, Daney, 2019. "Determinantes de la dinámica en salarios [Determinants of wage dynamics]," MPRA Paper 105203, University Library of Munich, Germany.
    2. Rangel González Erick & López Ornelas Luis Fernando, 2021. "Foreign Direct Investment and Labor Productivity in Regional Manufacturing Industry," Working Papers 2021-12, Banco de México.

  151. Kuhlmann, Angela & Decker, Christopher S. & Wohar, Mark E., 2008. "The Composition of Industry and the Duration of State Recessions," Journal of Regional Analysis and Policy, Mid-Continent Regional Science Association, vol. 38(3), pages 1-16.

    Cited by:

    1. Salisu, Afees A. & Adekunle, Wasiu & Alimi, Wasiu A. & Emmanuel, Zachariah, 2019. "Predicting exchange rate with commodity prices: New evidence from Westerlund and Narayan (2015) estimator with structural breaks and asymmetries," Resources Policy, Elsevier, vol. 62(C), pages 33-56.
    2. Salisu, Afees A. & Ndako, Umar B. & Oloko, Tirimisiyu F., 2019. "Assessing the inflation hedging of gold and palladium in OECD countries," Resources Policy, Elsevier, vol. 62(C), pages 357-377.
    3. Barth, James R. & Benefield, Justin D. & Hollans, Harris, 2015. "Industry Concentration and Regional Housing Market Performance," Journal of Regional Analysis and Policy, Mid-Continent Regional Science Association, vol. 45(2).

  152. Christopher Decker & Mark Wohar, 2007. "Determinants of state diesel fuel excise tax rates: the political economy of fuel taxation in the United States," The Annals of Regional Science, Springer;Western Regional Science Association, vol. 41(1), pages 171-188, March.

    Cited by:

    1. Marion, Justin & Muehlegger, Erich J., 2010. "Fuel Tax Incidence and Supply Conditions," Scholarly Articles 4448995, Harvard Kennedy School of Government.
    2. Li, Shanjun & Linn, Joshua & Muehlegger, Erich, 2012. "Gasoline Taxes and Consumer Behavior," Working Paper Series rwp12-006, Harvard University, John F. Kennedy School of Government.
    3. Steven M. Karceski & Nives Dolšak & Aseem Prakash & Travis N. Ridout, 2020. "Did TV ads funded by fossil fuel industry defeat the Washington carbon tax?," Climatic Change, Springer, vol. 158(3), pages 301-307, February.
    4. Andrew C. Chang, 2014. "Tax Policy Endogeneity: Evidence from R&D Tax Credits," Finance and Economics Discussion Series 2014-101, Board of Governors of the Federal Reserve System (U.S.).
    5. Fay Dunkerley & Amihai Glazer & Stef Proost, 2010. "What Drives Gasoline Prices?," Working Papers 091005, University of California-Irvine, Department of Economics.
    6. Martin F. Grace & David L. Sjoquist & Laura Wheeler, 2014. "The Effect of Insurance Premium Taxes on Interstate Differences in the Size of the Property-Casualty Insurance Industry," National Tax Journal, National Tax Association;National Tax Journal, vol. 67(1), pages 151-182, March.
    7. Georg Hirte & Stefan Tscharaktschiew, 2015. "Optimal Fuel Taxes and Heterogeneity of Cities," Review of Regional Research: Jahrbuch für Regionalwissenschaft, Springer;Gesellschaft für Regionalforschung (GfR), vol. 35(2), pages 173-209, October.
    8. Vladimir Kossov & Elena Kossova, 2013. "International dispersion of retail diesel fuel prices and the estimation of normal price values," HSE Working papers WP BRP 27/EC/2013, National Research University Higher School of Economics.
    9. Ramón López & Amparo Palacios, 2014. "Why has Europe Become Environmentally Cleaner? Decomposing the Roles of Fiscal, Trade and Environmental Policies," Environmental & Resource Economics, Springer;European Association of Environmental and Resource Economists, vol. 58(1), pages 91-108, May.
    10. López, Ramón & Palacios, Amparo, 2011. "Why Europe has become environmentally cleaner: Decomposing the roles of fiscal, trade and environmental policies," CEPR Discussion Papers 8551, C.E.P.R. Discussion Papers.
    11. Wu, Huiting & Colson, Gregory & Escalante, Cesar & Wetzstein, Michael, 2012. "An optimal U.S. biodiesel fuel subsidy," Energy Policy, Elsevier, vol. 48(C), pages 601-610.
    12. Joshua C. Hall & Christopher Shultz & E. Frank Stephenson, 2018. "The political economy of local fracking bans," Journal of Economics and Finance, Springer;Academy of Economics and Finance, vol. 42(2), pages 397-408, April.
    13. Kolesnikova, Anna & Fantazzini, Dean, 2021. "Asymmetry and hysteresis in the Russian gasoline market: The rationale for green energy exports," Energy Policy, Elsevier, vol. 157(C).
    14. Shiau, Ching-Shin Norman & Michalek, Jeremy J. & Hendrickson, Chris T., 2009. "A structural analysis of vehicle design responses to Corporate Average Fuel Economy policy," Transportation Research Part A: Policy and Practice, Elsevier, vol. 43(9-10), pages 814-828, November.

  153. Christopher Decker & Mark Wohar, 2007. "Do increases in petroleum product prices put the incumbent party at risk in US presidential elections?," Applied Economics, Taylor & Francis Journals, vol. 39(6), pages 727-737.

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    1. Gerald T. Fox, 2009. "Partisan Divide on War and the Economy," Journal of Conflict Resolution, Peace Science Society (International), vol. 53(6), pages 905-933, December.
    2. Wong, Wing-Keung & McAleer, Michael, 2009. "Mapping the Presidential Election Cycle in US stock markets," Mathematics and Computers in Simulation (MATCOM), Elsevier, vol. 79(11), pages 3267-3277.
    3. Christensen, Adam & Siddiqui, Sauleh, 2015. "Fuel price impacts and compliance costs associated with the Renewable Fuel Standard (RFS)," Energy Policy, Elsevier, vol. 86(C), pages 614-624.

  154. Mark E. Wohar & David E. Rapach, 2007. "Forecasting the recent behavior of US business fixed investment spending: an analysis of competing models This is a significantly revised version of our previous paper, 'Forecasting US Business Fixed ," Journal of Forecasting, John Wiley & Sons, Ltd., vol. 26(1), pages 33-51.

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    1. Mark J. Holmes, 2010. "An Alternative Perspective on Tobin's Q and Aggregate Investment Expenditure," International Journal of Business and Economics, School of Management Development, Feng Chia University, Taichung, Taiwan, vol. 9(1), pages 23-28, April.

  155. Robert Sollis & Mark E. Wohar, 2006. "The real exchange rate-real interest rate relation: evidence from tests for symmetric and asymmetric threshold cointegration," International Journal of Finance & Economics, John Wiley & Sons, Ltd., vol. 11(2), pages 139-153.

    Cited by:

    1. Hsing, Yu, 2009. "Analysis of the Behavior of the New Zealand Dollar Exchange Rate: Comparison of Four Major Models," Review of Applied Economics, Lincoln University, Department of Financial and Business Systems, vol. 5(1-2), pages 1-10, March.
    2. Li, Kui-Wai & Wong, Douglas K T, 2011. "The Exchange Rate and Interest Rate Differential Relationship: Evidence from Two Financial Crises," MPRA Paper 35297, University Library of Munich, Germany.
    3. Afsin Sahin, 2019. "Loom of Symmetric Pass-Through," Economies, MDPI, vol. 7(1), pages 1-25, February.
    4. Mendonca, Gui Pedro, 2008. "Structural Breaks, Regime Change and Asymmetric Adjustment: A Short and Long Run Global Approach to the Output/Unemployment Dynamics," MPRA Paper 14648, University Library of Munich, Germany.
    5. H. F. Tareq Ahmed & Nur Syazwani Mazlan, 2021. "The Impact of Interest Rate on Exchange Rate Within ASEAN Countries: Evidence from Linear and Nonlinear ARDL Frameworks," Global Journal of Emerging Market Economies, Emerging Markets Forum, vol. 13(1), pages 7-34, January.
    6. Yu Hsing, 2010. "Analysis of movements in the AUD/USD exchange rate: comparison of four major models," Applied Economics Letters, Taylor & Francis Journals, vol. 17(6), pages 575-580.
    7. Andrew Phiri, 2018. "Asymmetric Pass-through Effects from Monetary Policy to Housing Prices in South Africa," Managing Global Transitions, University of Primorska, Faculty of Management Koper, vol. 16(2 (Summer), pages 123-140.
    8. Dinçer Afat & Michael Frömmel, 2020. "An Alternative Version of Purchasing Power Parity," International Journal of Finance & Economics, John Wiley & Sons, Ltd., vol. 25(4), pages 511-517, October.
    9. Wan, Jer-Yuh & Kao, Chung-Wei, 2009. "Price discovery in Taiwan's foreign exchange market," Journal of International Financial Markets, Institutions and Money, Elsevier, vol. 19(1), pages 77-93, February.

  156. Rapach, David E. & Wohar, Mark E., 2006. "The out-of-sample forecasting performance of nonlinear models of real exchange rate behavior," International Journal of Forecasting, Elsevier, vol. 22(2), pages 341-361.

    Cited by:

    1. Shaoping Wang & Jiyu Yu, 2017. "A new unit root test based on -statistic in ESTAR framework," Applied Economics Letters, Taylor & Francis Journals, vol. 24(19), pages 1412-1416, November.
    2. Buncic, Daniel, 2009. "Understanding forecast failure in ESTAR models of real exchange rates," MPRA Paper 13121, University Library of Munich, Germany.
    3. Bertram, Philip & Ma, Jun & Sibbertsen, Philipp, 2015. "Real exchange rates and economic fundamentals: An investigation based on a Markov-STAR model," Hannover Economic Papers (HEP) dp-565, Leibniz Universität Hannover, Wirtschaftswissenschaftliche Fakultät.
    4. Barbara Rossi, 2013. "Exchange rate predictability," Economics Working Papers 1369, Department of Economics and Business, Universitat Pompeu Fabra.
    5. Mehmet Balcilar & Rangan Gupta & Clement Kyei & Mark Wohar, 2015. "Does Economic Policy Uncertainty Predict Exchange Rate Returns and Volatility? Evidence from a Nonparametric Causality-in-Quantiles Test," Working Papers 201599, University of Pretoria, Department of Economics.
    6. Canepa, Alessandra & Zanetti Chini, Emilio & Alqaralleh, Huthaifa, 2023. "Modelling and Forecasting Energy Market Cycles: A Generalized Smooth Transition Approach," Department of Economics and Statistics Cognetti de Martiis. Working Papers 202318, University of Turin.
    7. Ferrara, Laurent & Marcellino, Massimiliano & Mogliani, Matteo, 2015. "Macroeconomic forecasting during the Great Recession: The return of non-linearity?," International Journal of Forecasting, Elsevier, vol. 31(3), pages 664-679.
    8. Cuestas, Juan Carlos & Regis, Paulo José, 2013. "Purchasing power parity in OECD countries: Nonlinear unit root tests revisited," Economic Modelling, Elsevier, vol. 32(C), pages 343-346.
    9. Mehmet Balcilar & Rangan Gupta & Stephen M. Miller, 2012. "The Out-of-Sample Forecasting Performance of Non-Linear Models of Regional Housing Prices in the US," Working Papers 1209, University of Nevada, Las Vegas , Department of Economics.
    10. Fu, Sibao & Li, Yongwu & Sun, Shaolong & Li, Hongtao, 2019. "Evolutionary support vector machine for RMB exchange rate forecasting," Physica A: Statistical Mechanics and its Applications, Elsevier, vol. 521(C), pages 692-704.
    11. Cees Diks & Valentyn Panchenko & Dick van Dijk, 2008. "Partial Likelihood-Based Scoring Rules for Evaluating Density Forecasts in Tails," Discussion Papers 2008-10, School of Economics, The University of New South Wales.
    12. Dimitrios I. Vortelinos & Konstantinos Gkillas, 2018. "Intraday realised volatility forecasting and announcements," International Journal of Banking, Accounting and Finance, Inderscience Enterprises Ltd, vol. 9(1), pages 88-118.
    13. Mehmet Balcilar & Rangan Gupta & Christian Pierdzioch & Mark Wohar, 2016. "Do Terror Attacks Affect the Dollar-Pound Exchange Rate? A Nonparametric Causality-in-Quantiles Analysis," Working Papers 201615, University of Pretoria, Department of Economics.
    14. Cees Diks & Valentyn Panchenko & Dick van Dijk, 2011. "Likelihood-based scoring rules for comparing density forecasts in tails," Post-Print hal-00834423, HAL.
    15. Wang, Rudan & Morley, Bruce & Stamatogiannis, Michalis P., 2019. "Forecasting the exchange rate using nonlinear Taylor rule based models," International Journal of Forecasting, Elsevier, vol. 35(2), pages 429-442.
    16. Gawon Yoon, 2008. "Further evidence on purchasing power parity over two centuries with multiple changes in persistence," Applied Economics Letters, Taylor & Francis Journals, vol. 15(14), pages 1093-1096.
    17. Niango Ange Joseph Yapi, 2020. "Exchange rate predictive densities and currency risks: A quantile regression approach," EconomiX Working Papers 2020-16, University of Paris Nanterre, EconomiX.
    18. Robinson Kruse, 2011. "A new unit root test against ESTAR based on a class of modified statistics," Statistical Papers, Springer, vol. 52(1), pages 71-85, February.
    19. Yaojie Zhang & Mengxi He & Danyan Wen & Yudong Wang, 2022. "Forecasting Bitcoin volatility: A new insight from the threshold regression model," Journal of Forecasting, John Wiley & Sons, Ltd., vol. 41(3), pages 633-652, April.
    20. Rangan Gupta & Tahir Suleman & Mark E. Wohar, 2019. "Exchange rate returns and volatility: the role of time-varying rare disaster risks," The European Journal of Finance, Taylor & Francis Journals, vol. 25(2), pages 190-203, January.
    21. Christina Christou & Rangan Gupta & Christis Hassapis & Tahir Suleman, 2018. "The role of economic uncertainty in forecasting exchange rate returns and realized volatility: Evidence from quantile predictive regressions," Journal of Forecasting, John Wiley & Sons, Ltd., vol. 37(7), pages 705-719, November.
    22. Alessandra Canepa & Emilio Zanetti Chini & Huthaifa Alqaralleh, 2022. "Global Cities and Local Challenges: Booms and Busts in the London Real Estate Market," The Journal of Real Estate Finance and Economics, Springer, vol. 64(1), pages 1-29, January.
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    1. Rangan Gupta & Patrick Kanda & Mark E. Wohar, 2021. "Predicting Stock Market Movements in the United States: The Role of Presidential Approval Ratings," International Review of Finance, International Review of Finance Ltd., vol. 21(1), pages 324-335, March.
    2. Yin, Anwen, 2015. "Forecasting and model averaging with structural breaks," ISU General Staff Papers 201501010800005727, Iowa State University, Department of Economics.
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    5. Andrew Ang & Allan Timmermann, 2011. "Regime Changes and Financial Markets," NBER Working Papers 17182, National Bureau of Economic Research, Inc.
    6. Florens Odendahl & Barbara Rossi & Tatevik Sekhposyan, 2021. "Evaluating Forecast Performance with State Dependence," Working Papers 1295, Barcelona School of Economics.
    7. Devpura, Neluka & Narayan, Paresh Kumar & Sharma, Susan Sunila, 2019. "Structural instability and predictability," Journal of International Financial Markets, Institutions and Money, Elsevier, vol. 63(C).
    8. Tom Boot & Andreas Pick, 2017. "A near optimal test for structural breaks when forecasting under square error loss," Tinbergen Institute Discussion Papers 17-039/III, Tinbergen Institute.
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    41. John M. Maheu & Thomas H. McCurdy, 2007. "How useful are historical data for forecasting the long-run equity return distribution?," Working Paper series 19_07, Rimini Centre for Economic Analysis.
    42. Allan Timmermann, 2018. "Forecasting Methods in Finance," Annual Review of Financial Economics, Annual Reviews, vol. 10(1), pages 449-479, November.
    43. Dichtl, Hubert & Drobetz, Wolfgang & Neuhierl, Andreas & Wendt, Viktoria-Sophie, 2021. "Data snooping in equity premium prediction," International Journal of Forecasting, Elsevier, vol. 37(1), pages 72-94.
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    46. Salisu, Afees A. & Ndako, Umar B. & Oloko, Tirimisiyu F., 2019. "Assessing the inflation hedging of gold and palladium in OECD countries," Resources Policy, Elsevier, vol. 62(C), pages 357-377.
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    48. Narayan, Seema & Smyth, Russell, 2015. "The financial econometrics of price discovery and predictability," International Review of Financial Analysis, Elsevier, vol. 42(C), pages 380-393.
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    50. Goodness C. Aye & Rangan Gupta & Mampho P. Modise, 2012. "Structural Breaks and Predictive Regressions Models of South African Equity Premium," Working Papers 201209, University of Pretoria, Department of Economics.
    51. Gungor, Sermin & Luger, Richard, 2020. "Small-sample tests for stock return predictability with possibly non-stationary regressors and GARCH-type effects," Journal of Econometrics, Elsevier, vol. 218(2), pages 750-770.
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    59. Kentaka Aruga, 2011. "Are the Tokyo Grain Exchange non‐genetically modified organism (non‐GMO) and conventional soybean futures markets integrated?," Agricultural Finance Review, Emerald Group Publishing Limited, vol. 71(1), pages 84-97, May.
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    61. Gonzalo, Jesús & Pitarakis, Jean-Yves, 2019. "Predictive Regressions," UC3M Working papers. Economics 28554, Universidad Carlos III de Madrid. Departamento de Economía.
    62. Ryan Compton & Syeed Khan, 2010. "An examination of the stability of short-run Canadian stock predictability," Economics Bulletin, AccessEcon, vol. 30(2), pages 1293-1306.
    63. Valeriy Zakamulin & Javier Giner, 2020. "Trend following with momentum versus moving averages: a tale of differences," Quantitative Finance, Taylor & Francis Journals, vol. 20(6), pages 985-1007, June.
    64. Park, Cheolbeom, 2010. "When does the dividend-price ratio predict stock returns?," Journal of Empirical Finance, Elsevier, vol. 17(1), pages 81-101, January.
    65. Anwen Yin, 2019. "Equity Premium Prediction with Structural Breaks: A Two-Stage Forecast Combination Approach," International Journal of Economics and Finance, Canadian Center of Science and Education, vol. 11(12), pages 1-50, December.
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    Cited by:

    1. Sarwar, Ghulam, 2017. "Examining the flight-to-safety with the implied volatilities," Finance Research Letters, Elsevier, vol. 20(C), pages 118-124.
    2. Cheong, Siew Ann & Fornia, Robert Paulo & Lee, Gladys Hui Ting & Kok, Jun Liang & Yim, Woei Shyr & Xu, Danny Yuan & Zhang, Yiting, 2011. "The Japanese economy in crises: A time series segmentation study," Economics Discussion Papers 2011-24, Kiel Institute for the World Economy (IfW Kiel).
    3. Melike Bildirici & Işıl Şahin Onat & Özgür Ömer Ersin, 2023. "Forecasting BDI Sea Freight Shipment Cost, VIX Investor Sentiment and MSCI Global Stock Market Indicator Indices: LSTAR-GARCH and LSTAR-APGARCH Models," Mathematics, MDPI, vol. 11(5), pages 1-27, March.
    4. Sarwar, Ghulam, 2012. "Is VIX an investor fear gauge in BRIC equity markets?," Journal of Multinational Financial Management, Elsevier, vol. 22(3), pages 55-65.
    5. N. Baba & Y. Sakurai, 2011. "Predicting regime switches in the VIX index with macroeconomic variables," Applied Economics Letters, Taylor & Francis Journals, vol. 18(15), pages 1415-1419.
    6. Marco Neffelli & Marina Resta, 2018. "Is VIX still the investor fear gauge? Evidence for the US and BRIC markets," Papers 1806.07556, arXiv.org, revised Jul 2018.
    7. Melike E. Bildirici & Memet Salman & Özgür Ömer Ersin, 2022. "Nonlinear Contagion and Causality Nexus between Oil, Gold, VIX Investor Sentiment, Exchange Rate and Stock Market Returns: The MS-GARCH Copula Causality Method," Mathematics, MDPI, vol. 10(21), pages 1-16, October.
    8. Cheong, Siew Ann & Fornia, Robert Paulo & Lee, Gladys Hui Ting & Kok, Jun Liang & Yim, Woei Shyr & Xu, Danny Yuan & Zhang, Yiting, 2012. "The Japanese economy in crises: A time series segmentation study," Economics - The Open-Access, Open-Assessment E-Journal (2007-2020), Kiel Institute for the World Economy (IfW Kiel), vol. 6, pages 1-81.
    9. Jerry Coakley & Jian Dollery & Neil Kellard, 2011. "Long memory and structural breaks in commodity futures markets," Journal of Futures Markets, John Wiley & Sons, Ltd., vol. 31(11), pages 1076-1113, November.
    10. Alqahtani, Abdullah & Klein, Tony, 2021. "Oil price changes, uncertainty, and geopolitical risks: On the resilience of GCC countries to global tensions," Energy, Elsevier, vol. 236(C).
    11. Mr. Michael G. Papaioannou & Mr. Joonkyu Park & Jukka Pihlman & Han van der Hoorn, 2013. "Procyclical Behavior of Institutional Investors During the Recent Financial Crisis: Causes, Impacts, and Challenges," IMF Working Papers 2013/193, International Monetary Fund.
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    13. Bu Ruijun & Cheng Jie & Hadri Kaddour, 2017. "Specification analysis in regime-switching continuous-time diffusion models for market volatility," Studies in Nonlinear Dynamics & Econometrics, De Gruyter, vol. 21(1), pages 65-80, February.
    14. Zhang, Yiting & Lee, Gladys Hui Ting & Wong, Jian Cheng & Kok, Jun Liang & Prusty, Manamohan & Cheong, Siew Ann, 2011. "Will the US economy recover in 2010? A minimal spanning tree study," Physica A: Statistical Mechanics and its Applications, Elsevier, vol. 390(11), pages 2020-2050.

  159. J. Hughen & Mark Wohar, 2006. "Identifying regime changes in closed-end fund discounts," Journal of Economics and Finance, Springer;Academy of Economics and Finance, vol. 30(1), pages 115-132, March.

    Cited by:

    1. Nazif Durmaz & Hyeongwoo Kim & Hyejin Lee & Yanfei Sun, 2023. "Trend Breaks and the Persistence of Closed-End Mutual Fund Discounts," Auburn Economics Working Paper Series auwp2023-03, Department of Economics, Auburn University.

  160. Rapach, David E. & Wohar, Mark E., 2006. "In-sample vs. out-of-sample tests of stock return predictability in the context of data mining," Journal of Empirical Finance, Elsevier, vol. 13(2), pages 231-247, March.

    Cited by:

    1. Goodness C. Aye & Stephen M. Miller & Rangan Gupta & Mehmet Balcilar, 2013. "Forecasting the US Real Private Residential Fixed Investment Using Large Number of Predictors," Working Papers 201348, University of Pretoria, Department of Economics.
    2. Lansing, Kevin J. & LeRoy, Stephen F. & Ma, Jun, 2022. "Examining the sources of excess return predictability: Stochastic volatility or market inefficiency?," Journal of Economic Behavior & Organization, Elsevier, vol. 197(C), pages 50-72.
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    9. Møller, Stig V. & Rangvid, Jesper, 2015. "End-of-the-year economic growth and time-varying expected returns," Journal of Financial Economics, Elsevier, vol. 115(1), pages 136-154.
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    11. Felix Haase & Matthias Neuenkirch, 2020. "Predictability of Bull and Bear Markets: A New Look at Forecasting Stock Market Regimes (and Returns) in the US," Research Papers in Economics 2020-01, University of Trier, Department of Economics.
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    52. Straetmans, S.T.M. & Candelon, B. & Ahmed, J., 2012. "Predicting and capitalizing on stock market bears in the U.S," Research Memorandum 019, Maastricht University, Maastricht Research School of Economics of Technology and Organization (METEOR).
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    56. Rangan Gupta & John W. Muteba Mwamba & Mark E. Wohar, 2016. "The Role of Partisan Conflict in Forecasting the U.S. Equity Premium: A Nonparametric Approach," Working Papers 201686, University of Pretoria, Department of Economics.
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    63. Narayan, Paresh Kumar & Phan, Dinh Hoang Bach & Sharma, Susan Sunila & Westerlund, Joakim, 2016. "Are Islamic stock returns predictable? A global perspective," Pacific-Basin Finance Journal, Elsevier, vol. 40(PA), pages 210-223.
    64. Pierdzioch, Christian & Reitz, Stefan & Ruelke, Jan-Christoph, 2014. "Heterogeneous Forecasters and Nonlinear Expectation Formation in the U.S. Stock Market," FinMaP-Working Papers 11, Collaborative EU Project FinMaP - Financial Distortions and Macroeconomic Performance: Expectations, Constraints and Interaction of Agents.
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    67. Shi, Jinyan & Yu, Conghui & Liu, Xiangkun & Li, Yanxi, 2020. "Predicting firm stock returns with customer stock returns: Moderating effects of customer characteristics," Research in International Business and Finance, Elsevier, vol. 54(C).
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    69. Nuno Silva, 2013. "Equity Premia Predictability in the EuroZone," GEMF Working Papers 2013-22, GEMF, Faculty of Economics, University of Coimbra.
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    85. Goodness C. Aye & Rangan Gupta & Mampho P. Modise, 2012. "Structural Breaks and Predictive Regressions Models of South African Equity Premium," Working Papers 201209, University of Pretoria, Department of Economics.
    86. Helmut Herwartz & Konstantin A. Kholodilin, 2011. "In-Sample and Out-of-Sample Prediction of Stock Market Bubbles: Cross-Sectional Evidence," Discussion Papers of DIW Berlin 1173, DIW Berlin, German Institute for Economic Research.
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    Cited by:

    1. Chen, Shiu-Sheng & Chou, Yu-Hsi, 2023. "Liquidity yield and exchange rate predictability," Journal of International Money and Finance, Elsevier, vol. 137(C).
    2. Goodness C. Aye & Frederick W. Deale & Rangan Gupta, 2016. "Does Debt Ceiling and Government Shutdown Help in Forecasting the US Equity Risk Premium?," Panoeconomicus, Savez ekonomista Vojvodine, Novi Sad, Serbia, vol. 63(3), pages 273-291.
    3. David McMillan & Alan Speight, 2006. "Non-linear long horizon returns predictability: evidence from six south-east Asian markets," Asia-Pacific Financial Markets, Springer;Japanese Association of Financial Economics and Engineering, vol. 13(2), pages 95-111, June.
    4. Theologos Dergiades & Panos K. Pouliasis, 2021. "Should Stock Returns Predictability be hooked on Long Horizon Regressions?," Discussion Paper Series 2021_03, Department of Economics, University of Macedonia, revised Feb 2021.
    5. Lee, King Fuei, 2011. "Demographics and the Long-Horizon Returns of Dividend-Yield Strategies in the US," MPRA Paper 46350, University Library of Munich, Germany.
    6. Thomas Q. Pedersen, 2015. "Predictable Return Distributions," Journal of Forecasting, John Wiley & Sons, Ltd., vol. 34(2), pages 114-132, March.
    7. McMillan, David G., 2009. "Revisiting dividend yield dynamics and returns predictability: Evidence from a time-varying ESTR model," The Quarterly Review of Economics and Finance, Elsevier, vol. 49(3), pages 870-883, August.
    8. McMillan, David G., 2013. "Consumption and stock prices: Evidence from a small international panel," Journal of Macroeconomics, Elsevier, vol. 36(C), pages 76-88.
    9. Narayan, Paresh Kumar & Narayan, Seema & Sharma, Susan Sunila, 2013. "An analysis of commodity markets: what gain for investors?," Working Papers fe_2013_02, Deakin University, Department of Economics.
    10. Maynard, Alex & Ren, Dongmeng, 2019. "The finite sample power of long-horizon predictive tests in models with financial bubbles," International Review of Financial Analysis, Elsevier, vol. 63(C), pages 418-430.
    11. Tseng, Chih-Hsiung & Cheng, Sheng-Tzong & Wang, Yi-Hsien & Peng, Jin-Tang, 2008. "Artificial neural network model of the hybrid EGARCH volatility of the Taiwan stock index option prices," Physica A: Statistical Mechanics and its Applications, Elsevier, vol. 387(13), pages 3192-3200.
    12. Algaba, Andres & Boudt, Kris, 2017. "Generalized financial ratios to predict the equity premium," Economic Modelling, Elsevier, vol. 66(C), pages 244-257.
    13. Ralf Becker & Junsoo Lee & Benton Gup, 2012. "An empirical analysis of mean reversion of the S&P 500’s P/E ratios," Journal of Economics and Finance, Springer;Academy of Economics and Finance, vol. 36(3), pages 675-690, July.
    14. Huong Dang & Michael Jolly, 2016. "IPOs in New Zealand: Valuation Multiples and Benchmark Adjusted Performance," Working Papers in Economics 16/32, University of Canterbury, Department of Economics and Finance.
    15. Hjalmarsson, Erik, 2012. "Some curious power properties of long-horizon tests," Finance Research Letters, Elsevier, vol. 9(2), pages 81-91.
    16. Lee, King Fuei, 2013. "Demographics and the long-horizon returns of dividend-yield strategies," The Quarterly Review of Economics and Finance, Elsevier, vol. 53(2), pages 202-218.
    17. Nikolaos Mitianoudis & Theologos Dergiades, 2016. "Stock Prices Predictability at Long-horizons: Two Tales from the Time-Frequency Domain," Discussion Paper Series 2016_04, Department of Economics, University of Macedonia, revised Dec 2016.
    18. Shih, Kuang Hsun & Cheng, Ching Chan & Wang, Yi Hsien, 2011. "Financial Information Fraud Risk Warning for Manufacturing Industry - Using Logistic Regression and Neural Network," Journal for Economic Forecasting, Institute for Economic Forecasting, vol. 0(1), pages 54-71, March.
    19. Ivan Contreras & J. Ignacio Hidalgo & Laura Nuñez, 2018. "Exploring the influence of industries and randomness in stock prices," Empirical Economics, Springer, vol. 55(2), pages 713-729, September.
    20. Erik Hjalmarsson, 2006. "Inference in Long-Horizon Regressions," International Finance Discussion Papers 853, Board of Governors of the Federal Reserve System (U.S.).
    21. Yung, Julieta, 2021. "Can interest rate factors explain exchange rate fluctuations?," Journal of Empirical Finance, Elsevier, vol. 61(C), pages 34-56.
    22. David G. McMillan & Mark E. Wohar, 2010. "Stock return predictability and dividend-price ratio: a nonlinear approach," International Journal of Finance & Economics, John Wiley & Sons, Ltd., vol. 15(4), pages 351-365.
    23. Nan-Kuang Chen & Han-Liang Cheng, 2017. "House price to income ratio and fundamentals: Evidence on long-horizon forecastability," Pacific Economic Review, Wiley Blackwell, vol. 22(3), pages 293-311, August.
    24. McMillan, David G., 2007. "Bubbles in the dividend-price ratio? Evidence from an asymmetric exponential smooth-transition model," Journal of Banking & Finance, Elsevier, vol. 31(3), pages 787-804, March.
    25. Snaith, Stuart & Coakley, Jerry & Kellard, Neil, 2013. "Does the forward premium puzzle disappear over the horizon?," Journal of Banking & Finance, Elsevier, vol. 37(9), pages 3681-3693.

  165. Rapach, David E. & Wohar, Mark E., 2004. "Testing the monetary model of exchange rate determination: a closer look at panels," Journal of International Money and Finance, Elsevier, vol. 23(6), pages 867-895, October.

    Cited by:

    1. Chien-Chung Nieh & Yu-Shan Wang, 2005. "ARDL Approach to the Exchange Rate Overshooting in Taiwan," Review of Quantitative Finance and Accounting, Springer, vol. 25(1), pages 55-71, August.
    2. Din 祲 Afat & Marta G -Puig & Sim osvilla-Rivero, 2015. "The failure of the monetary model of exchange rate determination," Applied Economics, Taylor & Francis Journals, vol. 47(43), pages 4607-4629, September.
    3. Venus Khim-Sen Liew & Kian-Ping Lim & Evan Lau & Chee-Keong Choong, 2003. "Exchange Rate – Relative Price Relationship: Nonlinear Evidence from Malaysia," International Finance 0311014, University Library of Munich, Germany.
    4. Gangopadhyay, Partha, 2020. "A new & simple model of currency crisis: Bifurcations and the emergence of a bad equilibrium," Physica A: Statistical Mechanics and its Applications, Elsevier, vol. 538(C).
    5. Christopher J. Neely & Lucio Sarno, 2002. "How well do monetary fundamentals forecast exchange rates?," Review, Federal Reserve Bank of St. Louis, vol. 84(Sep), pages 51-74.
    6. Garey C. Durden & Patricia E. Gaynor, 2014. "Publishing in The Journal of Regional Analysis and Policy and an Evaluation (via Citation Counts) of JRAP’s Influence on Scholarship in Regional Science," Working Papers 14-07, Department of Economics, Appalachian State University.
    7. Barbara Rossi, 2013. "Exchange rate predictability," Economics Working Papers 1369, Department of Economics and Business, Universitat Pompeu Fabra.
    8. Smimou, K. & Khallouli, W., 2015. "Does the Euro affect the dynamic relation between stock market liquidity and the business cycle?," Emerging Markets Review, Elsevier, vol. 25(C), pages 125-153.
    9. Charles Engel & Nelson C. Mark & Kenneth D. West, 2015. "Factor Model Forecasts of Exchange Rates," Econometric Reviews, Taylor & Francis Journals, vol. 34(1-2), pages 32-55, February.
    10. Ryan Greenaway-McGrevy & Nelson C. Mark & Donggyu Sul & Jyh-Lin Wu, 2012. "Exchange Rates as Exchange Rate Common Factors," Working Papers 212012, Hong Kong Institute for Monetary Research.
    11. Costantini, Valeria & Martini, Chiara, 2010. "The causality between energy consumption and economic growth: A multi-sectoral analysis using non-stationary cointegrated panel data," Energy Economics, Elsevier, vol. 32(3), pages 591-603, May.
    12. Ekong, Christopher N. & Onye, Kenneth U., 2013. "The Failure of the Monetary Exchange Rate Model for the Naira-Dollar," MPRA Paper 88238, University Library of Munich, Germany.
    13. Lasha Kavtaradze & Manouchehr Mokhtari, 2018. "Factor Models And Time†Varying Parameter Framework For Forecasting Exchange Rates And Inflation: A Survey," Journal of Economic Surveys, Wiley Blackwell, vol. 32(2), pages 302-334, April.
    14. Yi‐Chiuan Wang & Jyh‐Lin Wu, 2015. "Fundamentals and Exchange Rate Prediction Revisited," Journal of Money, Credit and Banking, Blackwell Publishing, vol. 47(8), pages 1651-1671, December.
    15. Manoel Bittencourt & Rangan Gupta & Lardo Stander, 2013. "Tax evasion, financial development and inflation: theory and empirical evidence," Working Papers 201316, University of Pretoria, Department of Economics.
    16. Lee, Chien-Chiang & Lee, Chi-Chuan & Chiu, Yi-Bin, 2013. "The link between life insurance activities and economic growth: Some new evidence," Journal of International Money and Finance, Elsevier, vol. 32(C), pages 405-427.
    17. Funashima, Yoshito, 2020. "Money stock versus monetary base in time–frequency exchange rate determination," Journal of International Money and Finance, Elsevier, vol. 104(C).
    18. Kim, Young Se, 2009. "Exchange rates and fundamentals under adaptive learning," Journal of Economic Dynamics and Control, Elsevier, vol. 33(4), pages 843-863, April.
    19. Beckmann, Joscha & Belke, Ansgar & Dobnik, Frauke, 2011. "Cross-section Dependence and the Monetary Exchange Rate Mode – A Panel Analysis," Ruhr Economic Papers 252, RWI - Leibniz-Institut für Wirtschaftsforschung, Ruhr-University Bochum, TU Dortmund University, University of Duisburg-Essen.
    20. Levent KORAP, 2008. "Exchange Rate Determination Of Tl/Us$:A Co-Integration Approach," Istanbul University Econometrics and Statistics e-Journal, Department of Econometrics, Faculty of Economics, Istanbul University, vol. 7(1), pages 24-50, May.
    21. Balazs Egert, 2009. "The Impact of Monetary and Commodity Fundamentals, Macro News and Central Bank Communication on the Exchange Rate: Evidence from South Africa," William Davidson Institute Working Papers Series wp955, William Davidson Institute at the University of Michigan.
    22. Badi H. Baltagi, 2008. "Forecasting with panel data," Journal of Forecasting, John Wiley & Sons, Ltd., vol. 27(2), pages 153-173.
    23. Oliver Hossfeld, 2010. "Equilibrium Real Effective Exchange Rates and Real Exchange Rate Misalignments: Time Series vs. Panel Estimates," Working Papers 2010.3, International Network for Economic Research - INFER.
    24. Joakim Westerlund & Syed A. Basher, 2007. "Can panel data really improve the predictability of the monetary exchange rate model?," Journal of Forecasting, John Wiley & Sons, Ltd., vol. 26(5), pages 365-383.
    25. Sangjoon Jun, 2006. "The Nexus between IT Investment and Banking Performance in Korea," Global Economic Review, Taylor & Francis Journals, vol. 35(1), pages 67-96.
    26. Joscha Beckmann & Ansgar Belke & Michael Kühl, 2009. "How Stable Are Monetary Models of the Dollar-Euro Exchange Rate?: A Time-Varying Coefficient Approach," Discussion Papers of DIW Berlin 944, DIW Berlin, German Institute for Economic Research.
    27. Baltagi, Badi H., 2013. "Panel Data Forecasting," Handbook of Economic Forecasting, in: G. Elliott & C. Granger & A. Timmermann (ed.), Handbook of Economic Forecasting, edition 1, volume 2, chapter 0, pages 995-1024, Elsevier.
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    30. Sarthak Behera & Hyeongwoo Kim, 2019. "Forecasting Dollar Real Exchange Rates and the Role of Real Activity Factors," Auburn Economics Working Paper Series auwp2019-04, Department of Economics, Auburn University.
    31. Rangan Gupta & Lardo Stander & Andrea Vaona, 2023. "Openness and growth: Is the relationship non‐linear?," International Journal of Finance & Economics, John Wiley & Sons, Ltd., vol. 28(3), pages 3071-3099, July.
    32. Baltagi B-H & Bresson G. & Pirotte A., 2007. "Forecasting with Spatial Panel Data," Working Papers ERMES 0710, ERMES, University Paris 2.
    33. Szabo Andrea, 2015. "Testing Monetary Exchange Rate Models With Panel Cointegration Tests," Annals of Faculty of Economics, University of Oradea, Faculty of Economics, vol. 1(1), pages 643-651, July.
    34. Ma, Hengyun & Oxley, Les, 2010. "The integration of major fuel source markets in China: Evidence from panel cointegration tests," Energy Economics, Elsevier, vol. 32(5), pages 1139-1146, September.
    35. Hsiu-Hsin Ko & Masao Ogaki, 2013. "Granger Causality from Exchange Rates to Fundamentals: What Does the Bootstrap Test Show Us?," RCER Working Papers 577, University of Rochester - Center for Economic Research (RCER).
    36. Badi H. Baltagi, 2013. "Dynamic panel data models," Chapters, in: Nigar Hashimzade & Michael A. Thornton (ed.), Handbook of Research Methods and Applications in Empirical Macroeconomics, chapter 10, pages 229-248, Edward Elgar Publishing.
    37. Christina Christou & Rangan Gupta & Christis Hassapis & Tahir Suleman, 2018. "The role of economic uncertainty in forecasting exchange rate returns and realized volatility: Evidence from quantile predictive regressions," Journal of Forecasting, John Wiley & Sons, Ltd., vol. 37(7), pages 705-719, November.
    38. Ren, Yu & Liang, Xuanxuan & Wang, Qin, 2021. "Short-term exchange rate forecasting: A panel combination approach," Journal of International Financial Markets, Institutions and Money, Elsevier, vol. 73(C).
    39. Riane de Bruyn & Rangan Gupta & Lardo stander, 2011. "Testing the Monetary Model for Exchange Rate Determination in South Africa: Evidence from 101 Years of Data," Working Papers 201134, University of Pretoria, Department of Economics.
    40. Deniz Dilan Karaman Örsal & Antonia Arsova, 2015. "Meta-analytic cointegrating rank tests for dependent panels," Working Paper Series in Economics 349, University of Lüneburg, Institute of Economics.
    41. Kenneth S. Rogoff & Vania Stavrakeva, 2008. "The Continuing Puzzle of Short Horizon Exchange Rate Forecasting," NBER Working Papers 14071, National Bureau of Economic Research, Inc.
    42. Huber, Florian & Zörner, Thomas O., 2019. "Threshold cointegration in international exchange rates:A Bayesian approach," International Journal of Forecasting, Elsevier, vol. 35(2), pages 458-473.
    43. Lee, Chien-Chiang & Chang, Chun-Ping, 2008. "Energy consumption and economic growth in Asian economies: A more comprehensive analysis using panel data," Resource and Energy Economics, Elsevier, vol. 30(1), pages 50-65, January.
    44. Shiu‐Sheng Chen & Yu‐Hsi Chou, 2010. "Exchange Rates and Fundamentals: Evidence from Long‐Horizon Regression Tests," Oxford Bulletin of Economics and Statistics, Department of Economics, University of Oxford, vol. 72(1), pages 63-88, February.
    45. Ouedraogo, Nadia S., 2013. "Energy consumption and human development: Evidence from a panel cointegration and error correction model," Energy, Elsevier, vol. 63(C), pages 28-41.
    46. Bernd Kempa, 2005. "Exchange Rate Disconnect in a Standard Open-Economy Macro Model," Open Economies Review, Springer, vol. 16(3), pages 283-293, July.
    47. Noor Zainab.Tunggal & Shariff Umar Shariff Abd. Kadir & Venus-Khim Sen Liew, 2018. "Panel Analysis of Monetary Model of ASEAN-5 Exchange Rates," International Business Research, Canadian Center of Science and Education, vol. 11(11), pages 1-7, November.
    48. Gengenbach, C. & Urbain, J.R.Y.J. & Westerlund, J., 2008. "Panel error correction testing with global stochastic trends," Research Memorandum 051, Maastricht University, Maastricht Research School of Economics of Technology and Organization (METEOR).
    49. Wang, Xinyu & Qi, Zikang & Huang, Jianglu, 2023. "How do monetary shock, financial crisis, and quotation reform affect the long memory of exchange rate volatility? Evidence from major currencies," Economic Modelling, Elsevier, vol. 120(C).
    50. David Grreasley, 2010. "Cliometrics and Time Series Econometrics: Some Theory and Applications," Working Papers in Economics 10/56, University of Canterbury, Department of Economics and Finance.
    51. Marcelo Moura, 2010. "Testing the Taylor Model Predictability for Exchange Rates in Latin America," Open Economies Review, Springer, vol. 21(4), pages 547-564, September.
    52. Simionescu, Mihaela, 2022. "Stochastic convergence in per capita energy use in the EU-15 countries. The role of economic growth," Applied Energy, Elsevier, vol. 322(C).
    53. Carrion-i-Silvestre Josep Lluis & Surdeanu Laura, 2011. "Panel Cointegration Rank Testing with Cross-Section Dependence," Studies in Nonlinear Dynamics & Econometrics, De Gruyter, vol. 15(4), pages 1-43, September.
    54. Morales-Arias, Leonardo & Moura, Guilherme V., 2013. "Adaptive forecasting of exchange rates with panel data," International Journal of Forecasting, Elsevier, vol. 29(3), pages 493-509.
    55. Takashi Matsuki, 2016. "Linear and nonlinear comovement in Southeast Asian local currency bond markets: a stepwise multiple testing approach," Empirical Economics, Springer, vol. 51(2), pages 591-619, September.
    56. Jose Eduardo de A. Ferreira, 2006. "Effects of Fundamentals on the Exchange Rate: A Panel Analysis for a Sample of Industrialised and Emerging Economies," Studies in Economics 0603, School of Economics, University of Kent.
    57. Mohsen Bahmani-Oskooee & Tsangyao Chang & Tsung-Pao Wu, 2015. "Purchasing Power Parity in Transition Countries: Panel Stationary Test with Smooth and Sharp Breaks," IJFS, MDPI, vol. 3(2), pages 1-9, May.
    58. Moura, Marcelo L. , & Lima, Adauto R. S. & Mendonça, Rodrigo M., 2008. "Exchange Rate and Fundamentals: The Case of Brazil," Insper Working Papers wpe_114, Insper Working Paper, Insper Instituto de Ensino e Pesquisa.
    59. Uz, Idil & Ketenci, Natalya, 2008. "Panel analysis of the monetary approach to exchange rates: Evidence from ten new EU members and Turkey," Emerging Markets Review, Elsevier, vol. 9(1), pages 57-69, March.
    60. Xie, Zixiong & Chen, Shyh-Wei, 2019. "Exchange rates and fundamentals: A bootstrap panel data analysis," Economic Modelling, Elsevier, vol. 78(C), pages 209-224.
    61. Kok, Christoffer & Werner, Thomas, 2006. "Bank interest rate pass-through in the euro area: a cross country comparison," Working Paper Series 580, European Central Bank.
    62. Galimberti, Jaqueson K. & Moura, Marcelo L., 2010. "Taylor Rules and Exchange Rate Predictability in Emerging Economies," Insper Working Papers wpe_214, Insper Working Paper, Insper Instituto de Ensino e Pesquisa.
    63. Ibhagui, Oyakhilome W., 2019. "Does the long-run monetary model hold for Sub-Saharan Africa? A time series and panel-cointegration study," Research in International Business and Finance, Elsevier, vol. 47(C), pages 279-303.
    64. Nautz, Dieter & Offermanns, Christian J., 2006. "Does the Euro follow the German Mark? Evidence from the monetary model of the exchange rate," European Economic Review, Elsevier, vol. 50(5), pages 1279-1295, July.
    65. Andrey V. Polbin & Andrey V. Shumilov, 2022. "Forecasting Output Growth of Russian Manufacturing Industries Using Panel Data Models [Об Использовании Моделей Панельных Данных Для Прогнозирования Темпов Роста Отраслей Российской Обрабатывающей ," Russian Economic Development, Gaidar Institute for Economic Policy, issue 2, pages 15-19, February.
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    69. Ma, Hengyun & Oxley, Les, 2011. "Are China's energy markets cointegrated?," China Economic Review, Elsevier, vol. 22(3), pages 398-407, September.
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  167. William Crowder & Mark Wohar, 2004. "A cointegrated structural VAR model of the Canadian economy," Applied Economics, Taylor & Francis Journals, vol. 36(3), pages 195-213.

    Cited by:

    1. Byron J. Idrovo-Aguirre & Javier E. Contreras-Reyes, 2019. "Backcasting cement production and characterizing cement’s economic cycles for Chile 1991–2015," Empirical Economics, Springer, vol. 57(5), pages 1829-1852, November.
    2. Par Osterholm, 2008. "A structural Bayesian VAR for model-based fan charts," Applied Economics, Taylor & Francis Journals, vol. 40(12), pages 1557-1569.
    3. Idrovo Aguirre, Byron & Contreras, Javier, 2015. "Back-splicing of cement production and characterization of its economic cycle: The case of Chile (1991-2015)," MPRA Paper 67387, University Library of Munich, Germany, revised 20 Sep 2015.

  168. Catherine Co & Mark Wohar, 2004. "Technological convergence among US regions and states," Economics of Innovation and New Technology, Taylor & Francis Journals, vol. 13(2), pages 101-126.

    Cited by:

    1. Habibullah, M.S. & Dayang-Afizzah, A.M., 2008. "Bordering neighbours: Testing for border effect on Malaysia's northern states and Southern Thailand," MPRA Paper 12103, University Library of Munich, Germany.
    2. Catherine Y. Co & John S. Landon‐Lane & Myeong‐Su Yun, 2006. "Inter‐state dynamics of invention activities, 1930–2000," Journal of Applied Econometrics, John Wiley & Sons, Ltd., vol. 21(8), pages 1111-1134, December.
    3. Vicente German-Soto & Luis Gutiérrez Flores, 2015. "A Standardized Coefficients Model to Analyze the Regional Patents Activity: Evidence from the Mexican States," Journal of the Knowledge Economy, Springer;Portland International Center for Management of Engineering and Technology (PICMET), vol. 6(1), pages 72-89, March.
    4. Amit Batabyal & Peter Nijkamp, 2014. "Technology, Learning, and Long Run Economic Growth in Leading and Lagging Regions," ERSA conference papers ersa14p893, European Regional Science Association.
    5. Catherine Co & John List, 2004. "Is foreign direct investment attracted to 'knowledge creators'?," Applied Economics, Taylor & Francis Journals, vol. 36(11), pages 1143-1149.
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    7. Barrette, Julie & Thiffault, Evelyne & Achim, Alexis & Junginger, Martin & Pothier, David & De Grandpré, Louis, 2017. "A financial analysis of the potential of dead trees from the boreal forest of eastern Canada to serve as feedstock for wood pellet export," Applied Energy, Elsevier, vol. 198(C), pages 410-425.

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    1. Christopher J. Neely & David E. Rapach, 2008. "Real interest rate persistence: evidence and implications," Review, Federal Reserve Bank of St. Louis, vol. 90(Nov), pages 609-642.
    2. Guglielmo Maria Caporale & Hector Carcel & Luis A. Gil-Alana, 2017. "Central Bank Policy Rates: Are they Cointegrated?," CESifo Working Paper Series 6389, CESifo.
    3. Firouz Fallahi, 2019. "Persistence and stationarity of sectoral energy consumption in the US: A confidence interval approach," Energy & Environment, , vol. 30(5), pages 882-897, August.
    4. Ji, Philip Inyeob & Kim, Jae H., 2009. "Real interest rate linkages in the Pacific-Basin region," International Review of Economics & Finance, Elsevier, vol. 18(3), pages 440-448, June.
    5. Dreger, Christian, 2010. "Does the nominal exchange rate regime affect the real interest parity condition?," The North American Journal of Economics and Finance, Elsevier, vol. 21(3), pages 274-285, December.
    6. Yoon, Gawon, 2009. "Is high real interest rate persistence an intrinsic characteristic of industrialized economies?," Economic Modelling, Elsevier, vol. 26(2), pages 359-363, March.
    7. Zhou, Bo & Zhang, Ying & Zhou, Peng, 2021. "Multilateral Political Effects on Outbound Tourism," Cardiff Economics Working Papers E2021/2, Cardiff University, Cardiff Business School, Economics Section.
    8. Narayan, Paresh Kumar & Narayan, Seema & Smyth, Russell, 2011. "Energy consumption at business cycle horizons: The case of the United States," Energy Economics, Elsevier, vol. 33(2), pages 161-167, March.
    9. Campbell, Sean D. & Davis, Morris A. & Gallin, Joshua & Martin, Robert F., 2009. "What moves housing markets: A variance decomposition of the rent-price ratio," Journal of Urban Economics, Elsevier, vol. 66(2), pages 90-102, September.
    10. H. Kent Baker & Satish Kumar & Kirti Goyal & Prashant Gupta, 2023. "International journal of finance and economics: A bibliometric overview," International Journal of Finance & Economics, John Wiley & Sons, Ltd., vol. 28(1), pages 9-46, January.
    11. Choi, Chi-Young & Matsubara, Kiyoshi, 2007. "Heterogeneity in the persistence of relative prices: What do the Japanese cities tell us?," Journal of the Japanese and International Economies, Elsevier, vol. 21(2), pages 260-286, June.
    12. Philip Inyeob Ji & Sangbae Kim, 2013. "Mean-reversion in closed-end fund discount: evidence from half-life," Applied Economics, Taylor & Francis Journals, vol. 45(32), pages 4503-4515, November.
    13. Zeynel Abidin Ozdemir & Emre Aksoy, 2015. "Are real exchanges rate series really persistent?: evidence from three commonwealth of independent states countries," Applied Economics, Taylor & Francis Journals, vol. 47(40), pages 4299-4309, August.
    14. Kim, Jae H. & Silvapulle, Param & Hyndman, Rob J., 2007. "Half-life estimation based on the bias-corrected bootstrap: A highest density region approach," Computational Statistics & Data Analysis, Elsevier, vol. 51(7), pages 3418-3432, April.
    15. Sofiane H. Sekioua, 2004. "Real interest parity (RIP) over the 20th century: New evidence based on confidence intervals for the dominant root and half-lives of shocks," Money Macro and Finance (MMF) Research Group Conference 2004 91, Money Macro and Finance Research Group.
    16. Komivi Afawubo & Samuel Mathey, 2014. "Employment and education effects on HIV/AIDS prevalence rate and economic growth: empirical investigation in ECOWAS," Post-Print hal-01369791, HAL.
    17. Fallahi, Firouz & Voia, Marcel-Cristian, 2015. "Convergence and persistence in per capita energy use among OECD countries: Revisited using confidence intervals," Energy Economics, Elsevier, vol. 52(PA), pages 246-253.
    18. Fallahi, Firouz & Karimi, Mohammad & Voia, Marcel-Cristian, 2016. "Persistence in world energy consumption: Evidence from subsampling confidence intervals," Energy Economics, Elsevier, vol. 57(C), pages 175-183.
    19. Fallahi, Firouz, 2017. "Stochastic convergence in per capita energy use in world," Energy Economics, Elsevier, vol. 65(C), pages 228-239.
    20. Ozdemir, Zeynel Abidin & Cakan, Esin, 2010. "The persistence in real exchange rate: Evidence from East Asian countries," Economic Modelling, Elsevier, vol. 27(5), pages 891-895, September.
    21. Sonali Das & Rangan Gupta & Patrick Kanda & Monique Reid & Christian Tipoy & Mulatu Zerihun, 2014. "Real interest rate persistence in South Africa: evidence and implications," Economic Change and Restructuring, Springer, vol. 47(1), pages 41-62, February.
    22. Soon, Siew-Voon & Baharumshah, Ahmad Zubaidi & Mohamad Shariff, Nurul Sima, 2017. "The persistence in real interest rates: Does it solve the intertemporal consumption behavior puzzle?," Journal of International Financial Markets, Institutions and Money, Elsevier, vol. 50(C), pages 36-51.
    23. Menelaos Karananos & S.H Sekioua & N Zeng, 2005. "On the order of integration of monthly US ex-ante and ex-post real interest rates new evidence from over a century of data," Money Macro and Finance (MMF) Research Group Conference 2005 21, Money Macro and Finance Research Group.
    24. Jayasuriya, Sisira & Kim, Jae H. & Kumar, Parmod, 2007. "International and Internal Market Integration in Indian agriculture: A study of the Indian Rice Market," 106th Seminar, October 25-27, 2007, Montpellier, France 7935, European Association of Agricultural Economists.
    25. Costantini, Mauro & Lupi, Claudio, 2007. "An analysis of inflation and interest rates. New panel unit root results in the presence of structural breaks," Economics Letters, Elsevier, vol. 95(3), pages 408-414, June.
    26. Kim, Jae H. & Ji, Philip Inyeob, 2011. "Mean-reversion in international real interest rates," Economic Modelling, Elsevier, vol. 28(4), pages 1959-1966, July.
    27. Ozdemir, Zeynel Abidin & Gokmenoglu, Korhan & Ekinci, Cagdas, 2013. "Persistence in crude oil spot and futures prices," Energy, Elsevier, vol. 59(C), pages 29-37.
    28. Omid Ranjbar & Tsangyao Chang & Zahra Mila Elmi & Chien-Chiang Lee, 2018. "A New Unit Root Test against Asymmetric ESTAR Nonlinearity with Smooth Breaks," Iranian Economic Review (IER), Faculty of Economics,University of Tehran.Tehran,Iran, vol. 22(1), pages 51-62, Winter.
    29. Chih-Kai Chang & Tsangyao Chang, 2012. "Statistical evidence on the mean reversion of real interest rates: SPSM using the Panel KSS test with a Fourier function," Applied Economics Letters, Taylor & Francis Journals, vol. 19(13), pages 1299-1304, September.
    30. Chang, Chih Kai, 2012. "Mean Reversion of Real Interest Rates in G-20: Panel Kss Test by Spsm with a Fourier Function," Journal for Economic Forecasting, Institute for Economic Forecasting, vol. 0(3), pages 58-68, September.
    31. Giorgio Canarella & Luis A. Gil-Alana & Rangan Gupta & Stephen M. Miller, 2020. "The Behavior of Real Interest Rates: New Evidence from a ``Suprasecular" Perspective," Working Papers 202093, University of Pretoria, Department of Economics.
    32. Wilde, Wolfram, 2012. "The influence of Taylor rule deviations on the real exchange rate," International Review of Economics & Finance, Elsevier, vol. 24(C), pages 51-61.
    33. Atanu Ghoshray, 2013. "Dynamic Persistence of Primary Commodity Prices," American Journal of Agricultural Economics, Agricultural and Applied Economics Association, vol. 95(1), pages 153-164.
    34. Firouz Fallahi & Mohammad Karimi & Marcel-Cristian Voia, 2014. "Are Shocks to Energy Consumption Persistent? Evidence from Subsampling Confidence Intervals," Carleton Economic Papers 14-02, Carleton University, Department of Economics.

  170. Rapach, David E. & Wohar, Mark E., 2002. "Testing the monetary model of exchange rate determination: new evidence from a century of data," Journal of International Economics, Elsevier, vol. 58(2), pages 359-385, December.

    Cited by:

    1. Bruce Morley, 2009. "A Comparison of Two Alternative Monetary Approaches to Exchange Rate Determination over the Long-Run," International Econometric Review (IER), Econometric Research Association, vol. 1(2), pages 63-76, April.
    2. Lucio Sarno & Giorgio Valente, 2009. "Exchange Rates and Fundamentals: Footloose or Evolving Relationship?," Journal of the European Economic Association, MIT Press, vol. 7(4), pages 786-830, June.
    3. Chien-Chung Nieh & Yu-Shan Wang, 2005. "ARDL Approach to the Exchange Rate Overshooting in Taiwan," Review of Quantitative Finance and Accounting, Springer, vol. 25(1), pages 55-71, August.
    4. Hauzenberger, Niko & Huber, Florian, 2018. "Model instability in predictive exchange rate regressions," Department of Economics Working Paper Series 276, WU Vienna University of Economics and Business.
    5. Bertram, Philip & Ma, Jun & Sibbertsen, Philipp, 2015. "Real exchange rates and economic fundamentals: An investigation based on a Markov-STAR model," Hannover Economic Papers (HEP) dp-565, Leibniz Universität Hannover, Wirtschaftswissenschaftliche Fakultät.
    6. Christopher J. Neely & Lucio Sarno, 2002. "How well do monetary fundamentals forecast exchange rates?," Review, Federal Reserve Bank of St. Louis, vol. 84(Sep), pages 51-74.
    7. Balke, Nathan S. & Ma, Jun & Wohar, Mark E., 2013. "The contribution of economic fundamentals to movements in exchange rates," Journal of International Economics, Elsevier, vol. 90(1), pages 1-16.
    8. Garey C. Durden & Patricia E. Gaynor, 2014. "Publishing in The Journal of Regional Analysis and Policy and an Evaluation (via Citation Counts) of JRAP’s Influence on Scholarship in Regional Science," Working Papers 14-07, Department of Economics, Appalachian State University.
    9. Barbara Rossi, 2013. "Exchange rate predictability," Economics Working Papers 1369, Department of Economics and Business, Universitat Pompeu Fabra.
    10. Charles Engel, 2013. "Exchange Rates and Interest Parity," NBER Working Papers 19336, National Bureau of Economic Research, Inc.
    11. Stephanos Papadamou & Thomas Markopoulos, 2012. "The Monetary Approach to the Exchange Rate Determination for a “Petrocurrency”: The Case of Norwegian Krone," International Advances in Economic Research, Springer;International Atlantic Economic Society, vol. 18(3), pages 299-314, August.
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    15. Christopher J. Neely, 2005. "The case for foreign exchange intervention: the government as an active reserve manager," Working Papers 2004-031, Federal Reserve Bank of St. Louis.
    16. Ryan Greenaway-McGrevy & Nelson C. Mark & Donggyu Sul & Jyh-Lin Wu, 2012. "Exchange Rates as Exchange Rate Common Factors," Working Papers 212012, Hong Kong Institute for Monetary Research.
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    18. Qi, Min & Wu, Yangru, 2003. "Nonlinear prediction of exchange rates with monetary fundamentals," Journal of Empirical Finance, Elsevier, vol. 10(5), pages 623-640, December.
    19. Liew, Venus Khim-Sen & Baharumshah, Ahmad Zubaidi & Habibullah, Muzafar Shah & Midi, Habshah, 2008. "Monetary exchange rate model: supportive evidence from nonlinear testing procedures," MPRA Paper 7293, University Library of Munich, Germany.
    20. Chunming Yuan, 2008. "The Exchange Rate and Macroeconomic Determinants: Time-Varying Transitional Dynamics," UMBC Economics Department Working Papers 09-114, UMBC Department of Economics, revised 01 Nov 2009.
    21. E.Panopoulou, 2005. "A Resolution of the Fisher Effect Puzzle: A Comparison of Estimators," Economics Department Working Paper Series n1500205, Department of Economics, National University of Ireland - Maynooth.
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    109. Yu-Hsi Chou, 2017. "Dissecting Exchange Rates and Fundamentals in the Modern Floating Era: The Role of Permanent and Transitory Shocks," Review of International Economics, Wiley Blackwell, vol. 25(1), pages 165-194, February.
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    120. Adhitya Wardhono & Badara Shofi Dana & M.Abd. Nasir, 2017. "Rethinking the exchange rate disconnect puzzle theory in ASEAN-6," Economic Journal of Emerging Markets, Universitas Islam Indonesia, vol. 9(1), pages 98-103, April.
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    122. Evans, Olaniyi, 2013. "The Monetary Model of Exchange Rate in Nigeria: an Autoregressive Distributed Lag (ARDL) Approach," MPRA Paper 52457, University Library of Munich, Germany.
    123. Panopoulou, Ekaterini & Souropanis, Ioannis, 2019. "The role of technical indicators in exchange rate forecasting," Journal of Empirical Finance, Elsevier, vol. 53(C), pages 197-221.
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    Cited by:

    1. Harvey, David I. & Leybourne, Stephen J. & Sollis, Robert & Taylor, A.M. Robert, 2016. "Tests for explosive financial bubbles in the presence of non-stationary volatility," Journal of Empirical Finance, Elsevier, vol. 38(PB), pages 548-574.
    2. Tsvetanov, Daniel & Coakley, Jerry & Kellard, Neil, 2016. "Bubbling over! The behaviour of oil futures along the yield curve," Journal of Empirical Finance, Elsevier, vol. 38(PB), pages 516-533.
    3. Bohl, Martin T. & Siklos, Pierre L., 2004. "The present value model of U.S. stock prices redux: a new testing strategy and some evidence," The Quarterly Review of Economics and Finance, Elsevier, vol. 44(2), pages 208-223, May.
    4. McMillan, David G., 2009. "Are share prices still too high?," Research in International Business and Finance, Elsevier, vol. 23(3), pages 223-232, September.
    5. Olkhov, Victor, 2018. "Expectations, Price Fluctuations and Lorenz Attractor," MPRA Paper 89105, University Library of Munich, Germany.
    6. Brendan McCabe & Stephen Leybourne & David Harris, 2003. "Testing for Stochastic Cointegration and Evidence for Present Value Models," Econometrics 0311009, University Library of Munich, Germany.
    7. Taipalus, Katja, 2012. "Detecting asset price bubbles with time-series methods," Bank of Finland Scientific Monographs, Bank of Finland, volume 0, number sm2012_047.
    8. Patrick BISCIARI & Alain DURRE & Alain NYSSENS, 2003. "Stock Market Valuation In The United States," Finance 0312011, University Library of Munich, Germany.
    9. Gerdesmeier Dieter & Roffia Barbara & Reimers Hans-Eggert, 2010. "Applying a New Bubble Test for a Composite Indicator," Folia Oeconomica Stetinensia, Sciendo, vol. 9(1), pages 1-23, January.
    10. David G. McMillan, 2010. "Level‐shifts and non‐linearity in US financial ratios," Review of Accounting and Finance, Emerald Group Publishing Limited, vol. 9(2), pages 189-207, May.
    11. Taipalus, Katja, 2006. "Bubbles in the Finnish and US equities markets," Bank of Finland Scientific Monographs, Bank of Finland, volume 0, number sm2006_035.
    12. Filis, George, 2010. "Macro economy, stock market and oil prices: Do meaningful relationships exist among their cyclical fluctuations?," Energy Economics, Elsevier, vol. 32(4), pages 877-886, July.
    13. Gerdesmeier, Dieter & Reimers, Hans-Eggert & Roffia, Barbara, 2013. "Testing for the existence of a bubble in the stock market," Wismar Discussion Papers 01/2013, Hochschule Wismar, Wismar Business School.
    14. Binswanger, Mathias, 2004. "Stock returns and real activity in the G-7 countries: did the relationship change during the 1980s?," The Quarterly Review of Economics and Finance, Elsevier, vol. 44(2), pages 237-252, May.
    15. Woglom, Geoffrey, 2003. "Endowment spending rates, intergenerational equity and the sources of capital gains," Economics of Education Review, Elsevier, vol. 22(6), pages 591-601, December.
    16. McMillan, David G., 2007. "Bubbles in the dividend-price ratio? Evidence from an asymmetric exponential smooth-transition model," Journal of Banking & Finance, Elsevier, vol. 31(3), pages 787-804, March.
    17. McMillan, David G., 2006. "The price-dividend ratio and limits to arbitrage: Evidence from a time-varying ESTR model," Economics Letters, Elsevier, vol. 91(3), pages 408-412, June.
    18. Binswanger, Mathias, 2004. "How important are fundamentals?--Evidence from a structural VAR model for the stock markets in the US, Japan and Europe," Journal of International Financial Markets, Institutions and Money, Elsevier, vol. 14(2), pages 185-201, April.
    19. Shamsuddin, Abul F. M. & Hillier, John R., 2004. "Fundamental determinants of the Australian price-earnings multiple," Pacific-Basin Finance Journal, Elsevier, vol. 12(5), pages 565-576, November.

  173. Newbold, Paul & Leybourne, Stephen & Wohar, Mark E., 2001. "Trend-stationarity, difference-stationarity, or neither: further diagnostic tests with an application to U.S. Real GNP, 1875-1993," Journal of Economics and Business, Elsevier, vol. 53(1), pages 85-102.

    Cited by:

    1. Roberto Leon-Gonzalez & Fuyu Yang, 2010. "Bayesian Estimation and Model Selection in the Generalised Stochastic Unit Root Model," SFB 649 Discussion Papers SFB649DP2010-006, Sonderforschungsbereich 649, Humboldt University, Berlin, Germany.
    2. Alberto Baffigi & Roberto Golinelli & Giuseppe Parigi, 2002. "Real-time GDP forecasting in the euro area," Temi di discussione (Economic working papers) 456, Bank of Italy, Economic Research and International Relations Area.
    3. Pedro Clavijo-Cortes, 2021. "How persistent is unemployment in major Latin American economies?," Economics Bulletin, AccessEcon, vol. 41(2), pages 342-360.
    4. Giorgio Canarella & Stephen M. Miller & Stephen K. Pollard, 2010. "Unit Roots and Structural Change: An Application to US House-Price Indices," Working Papers 1004, University of Nevada, Las Vegas , Department of Economics.
    5. Vougas, Dimitrios V., 2007. "Is the trend in post-WW II US real GDP uncertain or non-linear?," Economics Letters, Elsevier, vol. 94(3), pages 348-355, March.
    6. Olivier Darné & Amélie Charles, 2012. "A note on the uncertain trend in US real GNP: Evidence from robust unit root tests," Economics Bulletin, AccessEcon, vol. 32(3), pages 2399-2406.
    7. Darné, Olivier, 2009. "The uncertain unit root in real GNP: A re-examination," Journal of Macroeconomics, Elsevier, vol. 31(1), pages 153-166, March.
    8. Kim, Chang-Jin & Kim, Jaeho, 2013. "The `Pile-up Problem' in Trend-Cycle Decomposition of Real GDP: Classical and Bayesian Perspectives," MPRA Paper 51118, University Library of Munich, Germany.
    9. Huang, Yu-Lieh & Huang, Chao-Hsi, 2015. "Uncertain Effects Of Shocks Vs. Uncertain Unit Root: An Alternative View Of U.S. Real Gdp," Hitotsubashi Journal of Economics, Hitotsubashi University, vol. 56(1), pages 117-134, June.
    10. Xiao-Ming Li, 2004. "A Quasi-Bayesian Analysis of Structural Breaks: China's Output and Productivity Series," International Journal of Business and Economics, School of Management Development, Feng Chia University, Taichung, Taiwan, vol. 3(1), pages 57-65, April.
    11. Baffigi, Alberto & Golinelli, Roberto & Parigi, Giuseppe, 2004. "Bridge models to forecast the euro area GDP," International Journal of Forecasting, Elsevier, vol. 20(3), pages 447-460.
    12. Steven Cook, 2003. "The Convergence of Regional House Prices in the UK," Urban Studies, Urban Studies Journal Limited, vol. 40(11), pages 2285-2294, October.

  174. Crowder, William J. & Wohar, Mark E., 1999. "The changing long-run linkage between yields on Treasury and municipal bonds and the 1986 Tax Act," Review of Financial Economics, Elsevier, vol. 8(2), pages 101-119.

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    1. Thomas Luke Spreen & Ed Gerrish, 2022. "Taxes and tax‐exempt bonds: A literature review," Journal of Economic Surveys, Wiley Blackwell, vol. 36(4), pages 767-808, September.

  175. Whidbee, David A. & Wohar, Mark, 1999. "Derivative activities and managerial incentives in the banking industry," Journal of Corporate Finance, Elsevier, vol. 5(3), pages 251-276, September.

    Cited by:

    1. Maria João Jorge & Mário Gomes Augusto, 2011. "The Value Of Hedging Through Corporate Governance: A Literature Review And Directions For Future Research," Portuguese Journal of Management Studies, ISEG, Universidade de Lisboa, vol. 0(2), pages 113-130.
    2. Sinha, Pankaj & Sharma, Sakshi, 2016. "Derivative use and its impact on Systematic Risk of Indian Banks: Evidence using Tobit model," MPRA Paper 72251, University Library of Munich, Germany.
    3. Ugur Lel, 2006. "Currency hedging and corporate governance: a cross-country analysis," International Finance Discussion Papers 858, Board of Governors of the Federal Reserve System (U.S.).
    4. Lee C. Adkins, 2008. "Small Sample Performance of Instrumental Variables Probit Estimators: A Monte Carlo Investigation," Economics Working Paper Series 0807, Oklahoma State University, Department of Economics and Legal Studies in Business.
    5. Pour, Eilnaz Kashefi & Uddin, Moshfique & Murinde, Victor & Amini, Shima, 2023. "CEO power, bank risk-taking and national culture: International evidence," Journal of Financial Stability, Elsevier, vol. 67(C).
    6. Dewally, Michaël & Shao, Yingying, 2013. "Financial derivatives, opacity, and crash risk: Evidence from large US banks," Journal of Financial Stability, Elsevier, vol. 9(4), pages 565-577.
    7. Lee C. Adkins, 2009. "An Instrumental Variables Probit Estimator Using Gretl," EHUCHAPS, in: Ignacio Díaz-Emparanza & Petr Mariel & María Victoria Esteban (ed.), Econometrics with gretl. Proceedings of the gretl Conference 2009, edition 1, chapter 4, pages 59-74, Universidad del País Vasco - Facultad de Ciencias Económicas y Empresariales.
    8. María Rodríguez-Moreno & Sergio Mayordomo & Juan Ignacio Peña, 2012. "Derivatives Holdings and Systemic Risk in the U.S. Banking Sector," Faculty Working Papers 21/12, School of Economics and Business Administration, University of Navarra.
    9. Alastair Marsden & Andrew K. Prevost, 2005. "Derivatives Use, Corporate Governance, and Legislative Change: An Empirical Analysis of New Zealand Listed Companies," Journal of Business Finance & Accounting, Wiley Blackwell, vol. 32(1‐2), pages 255-295, January.
    10. Belkhir, Mohamed, 2013. "Do subordinated debt holders discipline bank risk-taking? Evidence from risk management decisions," Journal of Financial Stability, Elsevier, vol. 9(4), pages 705-719.
    11. Georges Dionne & Thouraya Triki, 2005. "Risk Management and Corporate Governance: the Importance of Independence and Financial Knowledge for the Board and the Audit Committee," Cahiers de recherche 0515, CIRPEE.
    12. Christian Harm, 2002. "Bank management between shareholders and regulators," SUERF Studies, SUERF - The European Money and Finance Forum, number 21 edited by Morten Balling, May.
    13. Dionne, Georges & Triki, Thouraya, 2004. "On risk management determinants: What really matters?," Working Papers 04-4, HEC Montreal, Canada Research Chair in Risk Management.
    14. Mohamed Belkhir & Sabri Boubaker, 2013. "CEO inside debt and hedging decisions: Lessons from the U.S. banking industry," Post-Print hal-01155502, HAL.
    15. Heaney, Richard & Winata, Henry, 2005. "Use of derivatives by Australian companies," Pacific-Basin Finance Journal, Elsevier, vol. 13(4), pages 411-430, September.
    16. Tim Brailsford & Richard Heaney & Barry Oliver, 2005. "Use of derivatives in public sector organizations," Accounting and Finance, Accounting and Finance Association of Australia and New Zealand, vol. 45(1), pages 43-66, March.
    17. Sikarwar, Ekta, 2022. "Board attributes, hedging activities and exchange rate risk: Multi-country firm-level evidence," Economic Modelling, Elsevier, vol. 110(C).
    18. Zhou, Victoria Yun & Wang, Peijie, 2013. "Managing foreign exchange risk with derivatives in UK non-financial firms," International Review of Financial Analysis, Elsevier, vol. 29(C), pages 294-302.
    19. Blasko, Matej & Sinkey, Joseph Jr., 2006. "Bank asset structure, real-estate lending, and risk-taking," The Quarterly Review of Economics and Finance, Elsevier, vol. 46(1), pages 53-81, February.
    20. Ken Cyree & Pinghsun Huang & James Lindley, 2012. "The Economic Consequences of Banks’ Derivatives Use in Good Times and Bad Times," Journal of Financial Services Research, Springer;Western Finance Association, vol. 41(3), pages 121-144, June.
    21. Hassan Tanha & Michael Dempsey & Mena Labeb, 2018. "Derivatives Usage by Australian Industrial Firms: Pre-, during and post-GFC," Review of Economics & Finance, Better Advances Press, Canada, vol. 11, pages 31-39, February.

  176. William J. Crowder & Mark E. Wohar, 1999. "Are Tax Effects Important in the Long‐Run Fisher Relationship? Evidence from the Municipal Bond Market," Journal of Finance, American Finance Association, vol. 54(1), pages 307-317, February.

    Cited by:

    1. Vicente Martínez, Eva, 2006. "Properties of two U.S. inflation measures (1985-2005)," DES - Working Papers. Statistics and Econometrics. WS ws066818, Universidad Carlos III de Madrid. Departamento de Estadística.
    2. Christopher J. Neely & David E. Rapach, 2008. "Real interest rate persistence: evidence and implications," Review, Federal Reserve Bank of St. Louis, vol. 90(Nov), pages 609-642.
    3. Margaret Lamb & Andrew Lymer, 1999. "Taxation research in an accounting context: future prospects and interdisciplinary perspectives," European Accounting Review, Taylor & Francis Journals, vol. 8(4), pages 749-776.
    4. Su Zhou, 2013. "Nonlinearity and stationarity of inflation rates: evidence from the euro-zone countries," Applied Economics, Taylor & Francis Journals, vol. 45(7), pages 849-856, March.
    5. Daniel Garrett & Andrey Ordin & James W Roberts & Juan Carlos Suárez Serrato, 2023. "Tax Advantages and Imperfect Competition in Auctions for Municipal Bonds," The Review of Economic Studies, Review of Economic Studies Ltd, vol. 90(2), pages 815-851.
    6. Diego Romero-Ávila, 2007. "Unit roots and persistence in the nominal interest rate: a confirmatory analysis applied to the OECD," Canadian Journal of Economics, Canadian Economics Association, vol. 40(3), pages 980-1007, August.
    7. Rapach, David E. & Weber, Christian E., 2004. "Are real interest rates really nonstationary? New evidence from tests with good size and power," Journal of Macroeconomics, Elsevier, vol. 26(3), pages 409-430, September.
    8. Anari, Ali & Kolari, James, 2019. "The Fisher puzzle, real rate anomaly, and Wicksell effect," Journal of Empirical Finance, Elsevier, vol. 52(C), pages 128-148.
    9. Augustine Arize & John Malindretos & Kiseok Nam, 2005. "Inflation and Structural Change in 50 Developing Countries," Atlantic Economic Journal, Springer;International Atlantic Economic Society, vol. 33(4), pages 461-471, December.
    10. Crowder, William J. & Wohar, Mark E., 1999. "The changing long-run linkage between yields on Treasury and municipal bonds and the 1986 Tax Act," Review of Financial Economics, Elsevier, vol. 8(2), pages 101-119.
    11. Paulo M.M. Rodrigues & Gabriel Zsurkis, 2019. "A reexamination of inflation persistence dynamics in OECD countries: A new approach," Working Papers w201909, Banco de Portugal, Economics and Research Department.
    12. Peter Kehinde, Mogaji, 2010. "Fisher Effect and the Relationship between Nominal Interest Rates and Inflation: The Case of Nigeria," MPRA Paper 98760, University Library of Munich, Germany.
    13. William J. Crowder, 2020. "Does the Fed Control Trend Inflation?," Annals of Economics and Finance, Society for AEF, vol. 21(2), pages 241-261, November.
    14. Bolat, Süleyman & Tiwari, Aviral Kumar & Kyophilavong, Phouphet, 2017. "Testing the inflation rates in MENA countries: Evidence from quantile regression approach and seasonal unit root test," Research in International Business and Finance, Elsevier, vol. 42(C), pages 1089-1095.
    15. Anari, Ali & Kolari, James, 2016. "Dynamics of interest and inflation rates," Journal of Empirical Finance, Elsevier, vol. 39(PA), pages 129-144.
    16. Tsong, Ching-Chuan & Lee, Cheng-Feng, 2011. "Asymmetric inflation dynamics: Evidence from quantile regression analysis," Journal of Macroeconomics, Elsevier, vol. 33(4), pages 668-680.
    17. S. Young Chung & William J. Crowder, 2004. "Why Are Real Interest Rates Not Equalized Internationally?," Southern Economic Journal, John Wiley & Sons, vol. 71(2), pages 441-458, October.
    18. Chang, Tsangyao & Ranjbar, Omid & Tang, D.P., 2013. "Revisiting the mean reversion of inflation rates for 22 OECD countries," Economic Modelling, Elsevier, vol. 30(C), pages 245-252.
    19. Guglielmo Maria Caporale & Luis A. Gil-Alana, 2017. "Testing the Fisher Hypothesis in the G-7 Countries Using I(d) Techniques," Discussion Papers of DIW Berlin 1667, DIW Berlin, German Institute for Economic Research.
    20. Somayeh Madadpour & Mohsen Asgari, 2019. "The puzzling relationship between stocks return and inflation: a review article," International Review of Economics, Springer;Happiness Economics and Interpersonal Relations (HEIRS), vol. 66(2), pages 115-145, June.
    21. A. Hatemi-J, 2011. "A re-examination of the Fisher effect using an alternative approach," Applied Economics Letters, Taylor & Francis Journals, vol. 18(9), pages 855-858.
    22. Arize, Augustine C. & Malindretos, John, 2012. "Nonstationarity and nonlinearity in inflation rate: Some further evidence," International Review of Economics & Finance, Elsevier, vol. 24(C), pages 224-234.
    23. Christou, Christina & Gupta, Rangan & Nyakabawo, Wendy & Wohar, Mark E., 2018. "Do house prices hedge inflation in the US? A quantile cointegration approach," International Review of Economics & Finance, Elsevier, vol. 54(C), pages 15-26.
    24. Andrew Phiri & Peter Lusanga, 2011. "Can asymmetries account for the empirical failure of the Fisher effect in South Africa?," Economics Bulletin, AccessEcon, vol. 31(3), pages 1968-1979.
    25. James R. Rhodes, 2006. "DEVOLUTION OF THE FISHER EQUATION: Rational Appreciation to Money Illusion," GRIPS Discussion Papers 08-04, National Graduate Institute for Policy Studies, revised Jun 2008.
    26. Pavol Povala & Anna Cieslak, 2012. "Understanding bond risk premia," 2012 Meeting Papers 771, Society for Economic Dynamics.
    27. Ali Anari & James Kolari, 2001. "Stock Prices And Inflation," Journal of Financial Research, Southern Finance Association;Southwestern Finance Association, vol. 24(4), pages 587-602, December.
    28. Çiçek, Serkan & Akar, Cüneyt, 2013. "The asymmetry of inflation adjustment in Turkey," Economic Modelling, Elsevier, vol. 31(C), pages 104-118.
    29. Ka-Fu Wong & Hai-Jun Wu, 2003. "Testing Fisher hypothesis in long horizons for G7 and eight Asian countries.1," Applied Economics Letters, Taylor & Francis Journals, vol. 10(14), pages 917-923.
    30. Hyun Joung Jin & Jang-Chul Kim, 2008. "The effects of the BSE outbreak on the security values of US agribusiness and food processing firms," Applied Economics, Taylor & Francis Journals, vol. 40(3), pages 357-372.
    31. Maydew, Edward L., 2001. "Empirical tax research in accounting: A discussion," Journal of Accounting and Economics, Elsevier, vol. 31(1-3), pages 389-403, September.
    32. Salah Nusair, 2008. "Testing for the Fisher hypothesis under regime shifts: an application to Asian countries," International Economic Journal, Taylor & Francis Journals, vol. 22(2), pages 273-284.
    33. Henry, Olan T. & Shields, Kalvinder, 2004. "Is there a unit root in inflation?," Journal of Macroeconomics, Elsevier, vol. 26(3), pages 481-500, September.
    34. Booth, G. Geoffrey & Ciner, Cetin, 2001. "The relationship between nominal interest rates and inflation: international evidence," Journal of Multinational Financial Management, Elsevier, vol. 11(3), pages 269-280, July.

  177. Tufte, David & Wohar, Mark E, 1999. "Models with Unexpected Components: The Case for Efficient Estimation," Review of Quantitative Finance and Accounting, Springer, vol. 13(3), pages 295-313, November.

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    1. Lahrech, Abdelmounaim & Sylwester, Kevin, 2011. "U.S. and Latin American stock market linkages," Journal of International Money and Finance, Elsevier, vol. 30(7), pages 1341-1357.
    2. Alexey Akimov & Simon Stevenson, 2013. "Securitised Real Estate Regime-Switching Behaviour and the Relationship with Market Interest Rates," ERES eres2013_346, European Real Estate Society (ERES).
    3. Kim, J.W. & Leatham, D.J. & Bessler, D.A., 2007. "REITs' dynamics under structural change with unknown break points," Journal of Housing Economics, Elsevier, vol. 16(1), pages 37-58, March.

  178. Crowder, William J. & Wohar, Mark E., 1998. "Cointegration, forecasting and international stock prices," Global Finance Journal, Elsevier, vol. 9(2), pages 181-204.

    Cited by:

    1. Eisa A. Aleisa & Shawkat Hammoudeh & Yuan Yuan, 2008. "External and Regional Shocks in the GCC Region: Implications for a Common Exchange Rate Regime," Working Papers 426, Economic Research Forum, revised 06 Jan 2008.
    2. Chris Higson & Sean Holly & Ivan Petrella, 2009. "The Financial Integration of the European Union: Common and Idiosyncratic Drivers," Working Paper / FINESS 1.1d, DIW Berlin, German Institute for Economic Research.
    3. Phengpis, Chanwit, 2006. "Market efficiency and cointegration of spot exchange rates during periods of economic turmoil: Another look at European and Asian currency crises," Journal of Economics and Business, Elsevier, vol. 58(4), pages 323-342.
    4. Eleni Constantinou & Avo Kazandjian & George Kouretas & Vera Tahmazian, 2005. "Common Stochastic Trends among the Cyprus Stock Exchange and the ASE, LSE and NYSE," Working Papers 0520, University of Crete, Department of Economics.
    5. Maria-Eleni K. Agoraki & Dimitris A. Georgoutsos & Georgios P. Kouretas, 2019. "Capital Markets Integration and Cointegration: Testing for the Correct Specification of Stock Market Indices," JRFM, MDPI, vol. 12(4), pages 1-20, December.
    6. Nafeesa Yunus, 2009. "Increasing Convergence Between U.S. and International Securitized Property Markets: Evidence Based on Cointegration Tests," Real Estate Economics, American Real Estate and Urban Economics Association, vol. 37(3), pages 383-411, September.
    7. Yunus, Nafeesa & Swanson, Peggy E., 2012. "Changing integration of EMU public property markets," Journal of International Financial Markets, Institutions and Money, Elsevier, vol. 22(1), pages 194-208.
    8. Diamandis, Panayiotis F., 2009. "International stock market linkages: Evidence from Latin America," Global Finance Journal, Elsevier, vol. 20(1), pages 13-30.
    9. Phengpis, Chanwit & Apilado, Vince P., 2004. "Economic interdependence and common stochastic trends: A comparative analysis between EMU and non-EMU stock markets," International Review of Financial Analysis, Elsevier, vol. 13(3), pages 245-263.
    10. Hammoudeh, Shawkat & Dibooglu, Sel & Aleisa, Eisa, 2004. "Relationships among U.S. oil prices and oil industry equity indices," International Review of Economics & Finance, Elsevier, vol. 13(4), pages 427-453.
    11. Hammoudeh, Shawkat & Choi, Kyongwook, 2006. "Behavior of GCC stock markets and impacts of US oil and financial markets," Research in International Business and Finance, Elsevier, vol. 20(1), pages 22-44, March.
    12. Nafeesa Yunus, 2013. "Dynamic interactions among property types," Journal of Property Investment & Finance, Emerald Group Publishing Limited, vol. 31(2), pages 135-159, March.
    13. Nafeesa Yunus & J. Hansz & Paul Kennedy, 2012. "Dynamic Interactions Between Private and Public Real Estate Markets: Some International Evidence," The Journal of Real Estate Finance and Economics, Springer, vol. 45(4), pages 1021-1040, November.
    14. Nafeesa Yunus, 2016. "Modelling interactions among the housing market and key US sectors," Journal of Property Research, Taylor & Francis Journals, vol. 33(2), pages 121-146, April.
    15. Bank for International Settlements, 2008. "Integration of India's stock market with global and major regional markets," BIS Papers chapters, in: Bank for International Settlements (ed.), Regional financial integration in Asia: present and future, volume 42, pages 202-236, Bank for International Settlements.
    16. Hammoudeh, Shawkat & Li, Huimin, 2005. "Oil sensitivity and systematic risk in oil-sensitive stock indices," Journal of Economics and Business, Elsevier, vol. 57(1), pages 1-21.
    17. Choudhry, Taufiq & Lu, Lin & Peng, Ke, 2007. "Common stochastic trends among Far East stock prices: Effects of the Asian financial crisis," International Review of Financial Analysis, Elsevier, vol. 16(3), pages 242-261.
    18. Aleksandra Matuszewska-Janica, 2011. "Long-run Relationships between Selected Central European Indexes," International Advances in Economic Research, Springer;International Atlantic Economic Society, vol. 17(2), pages 157-168, May.
    19. Ramya Rajajagadeesan Aroul & Peggy E. Swanson, 2018. "Linkages Between the Foreign Exchange Markets of BRIC Countries—Brazil, Russia, India and China—and the USA," Journal of Emerging Market Finance, Institute for Financial Management and Research, vol. 17(3), pages 333-353, December.
    20. Bank for International Settlements & Hong Kong Institute for Monetary Research, 2008. "Regional financial integration in Asia: present and future," BIS Papers, Bank for International Settlements, number 42.
    21. Nafeesa Yunus & Peggy Swanson, 2007. "Modelling Linkages between US and Asia‐Pacific Securitized Property Markets," Journal of Property Research, Taylor & Francis Journals, vol. 24(2), pages 95-122.
    22. Nafeesa Yunus, 2023. "Co‐movement among oil, stock, bond, and housing markets: An analysis of U.S., Asian, and European economies," International Review of Finance, International Review of Finance Ltd., vol. 23(2), pages 393-436, June.

  179. Mark E. Wohar & Nathan S. Balke, 1998. "Nonlinear dynamics and covered interest rate parity," Empirical Economics, Springer, vol. 23(4), pages 535-559.
    See citations under working paper version above.
  180. Crowder, William J & Wohar, Mark E, 1998. "Stock Price Effects of Permanent and Transitory Shocks," Economic Inquiry, Western Economic Association International, vol. 36(4), pages 540-552, October.

    Cited by:

    1. Nélson Leitão Paes & Cássio Da Nóbrega Besarria & Marcelo Eduardo Alves Da Silva, 2018. "Bubbles In The Prices Of Housing? Evidence To Brazil?S Economy," Anais do XLIV Encontro Nacional de Economia [Proceedings of the 44th Brazilian Economics Meeting] 118, ANPEC - Associação Nacional dos Centros de Pós-Graduação em Economia [Brazilian Association of Graduate Programs in Economics].
    2. Edward Bernard Bastiaan de Rivera y Rivera & Diógenes Manoel Leiva Martin & Emerson Fernandes Marçal & Leonardo Fernando Cruz Basso, 2012. "Present value model between prices and dividends with constant and time-varying expected returns: enterprise-level Brazilian stock market evidence from non-stationary panels," Brazilian Business Review, Fucape Business School, vol. 9(4), pages 51-86, October.
    3. Nathan S. Balke & Mark E. Wohar, 2009. "Market fundamentals versus rational bubbles in stock prices: a Bayesian perspective," Journal of Applied Econometrics, John Wiley & Sons, Ltd., vol. 24(1), pages 35-75.
    4. Cunado, J. & Gil-Alana, L.A. & de Gracia, F. Perez, 2005. "A test for rational bubbles in the NASDAQ stock index: A fractionally integrated approach," Journal of Banking & Finance, Elsevier, vol. 29(10), pages 2633-2654, October.
    5. Natalya (Natasha) Delcoure & Harmeet Singh, 2018. "Oil and equity: too deep into each other," Journal of Economics and Finance, Springer;Academy of Economics and Finance, vol. 42(1), pages 89-111, January.
    6. Ye, Yonggang & Chang, Tsangyao & Hung, Ken & Lu, Yang-Cheng, 2011. "Revisiting rational bubbles in the G-7 stock markets using the Fourier unit root test and the nonparametric rank test for cointegration," Mathematics and Computers in Simulation (MATCOM), Elsevier, vol. 82(2), pages 346-357.
    7. Cássio da Nóbrega Besarria & Nelson Leitão Paes & Marcelo Eduardo Alves Silva, 2018. "Testing for bubbles in housing markets: some evidence for Brazil," International Journal of Housing Markets and Analysis, Emerald Group Publishing Limited, vol. 11(5), pages 754-770, June.
    8. Tsangyao Chang & Wen-Chi Liu, 2008. "Rational Bubbles in the Korea Stock Market? Further Evidence based on Nonlinear and Nonparametric Cointegration Tests," Economics Bulletin, AccessEcon, vol. 3(34), pages 1-12.
    9. Tsangyao Chang & Luis Gil-Alana & Goodness C. Aye & Rangan Gupta & Omid Ranjbar, 2016. "Testing for bubbles in the BRICS stock markets," Journal of Economic Studies, Emerald Group Publishing Limited, vol. 43(4), pages 646-660, September.
    10. Ullah, Irfan & Ahmed, Mumtaz, 2021. "Identifying Phases of Ebullience in EFTA Stock Markets," MPRA Paper 109633, University Library of Munich, Germany.
    11. Leone, Vitor & de Medeiros, Otavio Ribeiro, 2015. "Signalling the Dotcom bubble: A multiple changes in persistence approach," The Quarterly Review of Economics and Finance, Elsevier, vol. 55(C), pages 77-86.
    12. Nasseh, Alireza & Strauss, Jack, 2004. "Stock prices and the dividend discount model: did their relation break down in the 1990s?," The Quarterly Review of Economics and Finance, Elsevier, vol. 44(2), pages 191-207, May.

  181. Newbold, Paul & Wohar, Mark E. & Rayner, Tony & Kellard, Neil & Ennew, Christine, 1998. "Two puzzles in the analysis of foreign exchange market efficiency," International Review of Financial Analysis, Elsevier, vol. 7(2), pages 95-111.
    See citations under working paper version above.
  182. Siklos, Pierre L & Wohar, Mark E, 1997. "Convergence in Interest Rates and Inflation Rates across Countries and over Time," Review of International Economics, Wiley Blackwell, vol. 5(1), pages 129-141, February.

    Cited by:

    1. Pierre Siklos, 1999. "Inflation Targets and the Yield Curve: New Zealand and Australia vs. the US," Research Paper Series 25, Quantitative Finance Research Centre, University of Technology, Sydney.
    2. Christoph Berninger & Almond Stöcker & David Rügamer, 2022. "A Bayesian time‐varying autoregressive model for improved short‐term and long‐term prediction," Journal of Forecasting, John Wiley & Sons, Ltd., vol. 41(1), pages 181-200, January.
    3. Giorgio Canarella & Stephen Miller & Stephen Pollard, 2011. "The Global Financial Crisis and Stochastic Convergence in the Euro Area," International Advances in Economic Research, Springer;International Atlantic Economic Society, vol. 17(3), pages 315-333, August.
    4. T. Berger & B. Kempa & -, 2010. "Taylor rules and the Canadian-US equilibrium exchange rate," Working Papers of Faculty of Economics and Business Administration, Ghent University, Belgium 10/643, Ghent University, Faculty of Economics and Business Administration.
    5. Giulio Palomba & Emma Sarno & Alberto Zazzaro, 2009. "Testing similarities of short-run inflation dynamics among EU-25 countries after the Euro," Empirical Economics, Springer, vol. 37(2), pages 231-270, October.
    6. Mark E. Wohar & Robert Sollis, 2007. "Tests for Asymmetric Threshold Cointegration with an Application to the Term Structure," Journal of Economic Insight, Missouri Valley Economic Association, vol. 33(2), pages 1-19.
    7. Lucio Sarno & Daniel L. Thornton, 2002. "The dynamic relationship between the federal funds rate and the Treasury bill rate: an empirical investigation," Working Papers 2000-032, Federal Reserve Bank of St. Louis.
    8. Siklos, P.L. & Granger, C.W.J., 1997. "Regime Sensitive Cointegration with an Application to Interest rate Parity," Working Papers 97-5, Wilfrid Laurier University, Department of Economics.
    9. Mentz, Markus & Sebastian, Steffen P., 2003. "Inflation convergence after the introduction of the Euro," CFS Working Paper Series 2003/30, Center for Financial Studies (CFS).
    10. Juan Carlos Cuestas & Luis A. Gil-Alana & Paulo José Regis, 2015. "The Sustainability of European External Debt: What have We Learned?," Review of International Economics, Wiley Blackwell, vol. 23(3), pages 445-468, August.
    11. A M Spiru, 2007. "Inflation convergence in the new EU member states," Working Papers 590260, Lancaster University Management School, Economics Department.
    12. Alberto Montagnoli & Andros Gregoriou & Alexandros Kontonikas, 2007. "Euro Area Inflation Differentials: Unit Roots, Structural Breaks and Non-Linear Adjustment," Working Papers 2007_13, Business School - Economics, University of Glasgow.
    13. PIROVANO, Mara & VAN POECK, André, 2011. "Eurozone inflation differentials and the ECB," Working Papers 2011014, University of Antwerp, Faculty of Business and Economics.
    14. Antonakakis, Nikolaos & Christou, Christina & Cunado, Juncal & Gupta, Rangan, 2017. "Convergence patterns in sovereign bond yield spreads: Evidence from the Euro Area," Journal of International Financial Markets, Institutions and Money, Elsevier, vol. 49(C), pages 129-139.
    15. Cavallero, Alessandro, 2011. "The convergence of inflation rates in the EU-12 area: A distribution dynamics approach," Journal of Macroeconomics, Elsevier, vol. 33(2), pages 341-357, June.
    16. Sang Hoon Kang & Salim Lahmiri & Gazi Salah Uddin & Jose Arreola Hernandez & Seong-Min Yoon, 2020. "Inflation cycle synchronization in ASEAN countries," Post-Print hal-02779489, HAL.
    17. Vassalou, Maria, 2000. "Exchange rate and foreign inflation risk premiums in global equity returns," Journal of International Money and Finance, Elsevier, vol. 19(3), pages 433-470, June.
    18. Sibbertsen, Philipp & Wegener, Christoph & Basse, Tobias, 2013. "Testing for a Break in the Persistence in Yield Spreads of EMU Government Bonds," Hannover Economic Papers (HEP) dp-517, Leibniz Universität Hannover, Wirtschaftswissenschaftliche Fakultät.
    19. Hassler Uwe & Demetrescu Matei, 2005. "Spurious Persistence and Unit Roots due to Seasonal Differencing: The Case of Inflation Rates / Künstliche Persistenz und Einheitswurzeln infolge saisonaler Differenzen: Das Beispiel Inflationsraten," Journal of Economics and Statistics (Jahrbuecher fuer Nationaloekonomie und Statistik), De Gruyter, vol. 225(4), pages 413-426, August.
    20. Alfred A. Haug & Pierre L. Siklos, 2002. "The Term Spread International Evidence of Non-Linear Adjustment," Working Papers 2002_08, York University, Department of Economics, revised Jul 2004.
    21. Giannellis, Nikolaos, 2013. "Asymmetric behavior of inflation differentials in the euro area: Evidence from a threshold unit root test," Research in Economics, Elsevier, vol. 67(2), pages 133-144.
    22. Arestis, Philip & Chortareas, Georgios & Magkonis, Georgios & Moschos, Demetrios, 2014. "Inflation targeting and inflation convergence: International evidence," Journal of International Financial Markets, Institutions and Money, Elsevier, vol. 31(C), pages 285-295.
    23. Khalid Kisswani & Salah Nusair, 2014. "Nonlinear convergence in Asian interest and inflation rates: evidence from Asian countries," Economic Change and Restructuring, Springer, vol. 47(3), pages 155-186, August.
    24. Massimiliano Affinito & Fabio Farabullini, 2009. "Does the Law of One Price Hold in Euro-Area Retail Banking? An Empirical Analysis of Interest Rate Differentials across the Monetary Union," International Journal of Central Banking, International Journal of Central Banking, vol. 5(1), pages 5-37, March.
    25. Bohl, Martin & Mayes, David G. & Siklos, Pierre L., 2009. "The quality of monetary policy and inflation performance: globalization and its aftermath," Bank of Finland Research Discussion Papers 31/2009, Bank of Finland.
    26. Vassalou, Maria, 2000. "Exchange Rate And Foreign Inflation Risk Premiums In Global Equity Returns," CEPR Discussion Papers 2448, C.E.P.R. Discussion Papers.
    27. Christoph Berninger & Almond Stocker & David Rugamer, 2020. "A Bayesian Time-Varying Autoregressive Model for Improved Short- and Long-Term Prediction," Papers 2006.05750, arXiv.org, revised Feb 2021.
    28. Gadea, María Dolores & Kaabia, Monia Ben & Sabaté, Marcela, 2009. "Exchange rate regimes and prices: The cases of Italy, Spain and the United Kingdom (1874-1998)," Journal of International Financial Markets, Institutions and Money, Elsevier, vol. 19(3), pages 477-489, July.
    29. Giulio PALOMBA & Emma SARNO & Alberto ZAZZARO, 2007. "Testing similarities of short-run inflation dynamics among EU countries after the Euro," Working Papers 289, Universita' Politecnica delle Marche (I), Dipartimento di Scienze Economiche e Sociali.
    30. Sartaj Rasool Rather & S. Raja Sethu Durai & M. Ramachandran, 2015. "Inflation and the Dispersion of Component Price Indices: A Case for Four Percent Solution," Working Papers 2015-134, Madras School of Economics,Chennai,India.
    31. Juliane Scharff, 2007. "Inflation and the Divergence of Relative Prices: Evidence from a Cointegration Analysis," AStA Advances in Statistical Analysis, Springer;German Statistical Society, vol. 91(2), pages 141-158, August.
    32. Kremer, Manfred, 1999. "Die Kapitalmarktzinsen in Deutschland und den USA: Wie eng ist der Zinsverbund? Eine Anwendung der multivariaten Kointegrationsanalyse," Discussion Paper Series 1: Economic Studies 1999,02, Deutsche Bundesbank.
    33. Siklos, Pierre L., 2010. "Meeting Maastricht: Nominal convergence of the new member states toward EMU," Economic Modelling, Elsevier, vol. 27(2), pages 507-515, March.
    34. Sartaj Rasool Rather & Raja Sethu Durai & Muthia Ramachandran, 2018. "Inflation and the Dispersion of Relative Prices: A Case for 4 % Solution," Australian Economic Papers, Wiley Blackwell, vol. 57(1), pages 81-91, March.
    35. Kisswani, Khalid/ M. & Nusair, Salah/ A., 2011. "Non-linear convergence in Asian interest rates and inflation rates," MPRA Paper 34179, University Library of Munich, Germany.

  183. Volkman, David A. & Wohar, Mark E., 1996. "Abnormal profits and relative strength in mutual fund returns," Review of Financial Economics, Elsevier, vol. 5(2), pages 101-116.

    Cited by:

    1. Jason P. Berkowitz & Patrick J. Schorno & Dmitry A. Shapiro, 2017. "Characteristics of mutual funds with extreme performance," Review of Financial Economics, John Wiley & Sons, vol. 34(1), pages 50-60, September.
    2. Prather, Laurie & Bertin, William J. & Henker, Thomas, 2004. "Mutual fund characteristics, managerial attributes, and fund performance," Review of Financial Economics, Elsevier, vol. 13(4), pages 305-326.
    3. Loviscek, Anthony L. & Jordan, W. John, 2000. "Stock selection based on Morningstar's ten-year, five-star general equity mutual funds," Financial Services Review, Elsevier, vol. 9(2), pages 145-157, 00.
    4. Berkowitz, Jason P. & Schorno, Patrick J. & Shapiro, Dmitry A., 2017. "Characteristics of mutual funds with extreme performance," Review of Financial Economics, Elsevier, vol. 34(C), pages 50-60.
    5. Laurie Prather & William J. Bertin & Thomas Henker, 2004. "Mutual fund characteristics, managerial attributes, and fund performance," Review of Financial Economics, John Wiley & Sons, vol. 13(4), pages 305-326.

  184. Wohar, Mark E, 1996. "PcGive Professional (Version 8) and Eviews (MicroTSP for Windows Version 1.1A): A Comparative Review," Journal of Applied Econometrics, John Wiley & Sons, Ltd., vol. 11(1), pages 105-115, Jan.-Feb..

    Cited by:

    1. C. R. McKenzie & Sumiko Takaoka, 2007. "EViews 5.1," Journal of Applied Econometrics, John Wiley & Sons, Ltd., vol. 22(6), pages 1145-1152.

  185. Breuer, Janice Boucher & Wohar, Mark E, 1996. "The Road Less Travelled: Institutional Aspects of Data and Their Influence on Empirical Estimates with an Application to Tests of Forward Rate Unbiasedness," Economic Journal, Royal Economic Society, vol. 106(434), pages 26-38, January.

    Cited by:

    1. Frankel, Jeffrey & Poonawala, Jumana, 2009. "The Forward Market in Emerging Currencies: Less Biased Than in Major Currencies," Working Paper Series rwp09-023, Harvard University, John F. Kennedy School of Government.
    2. Zhou, Su & Kutan, Ali M., 2005. "Does the forward premium anomaly depend on the sample period used or on the sign of the premium?," International Review of Economics & Finance, Elsevier, vol. 14(1), pages 17-25.
    3. Ligeralde, Antonio V., 1997. "Covariance matrix estimators and tests of market efficiency," Journal of International Money and Finance, Elsevier, vol. 16(2), pages 323-343, April.
    4. Campa, J.M. & Chang, P.H.K., 1995. "The Forecasting Ability of Correlations Implied in Foreign Exchange Options," Papers 95-26, Columbia - Graduate School of Business.
    5. Zhao, Yanping & de Haan, Jakob & Scholtens, Bert & Yang, Haizhen, 2013. "The relationship between the Renminbi future spot return and the forward discount rate," Journal of International Money and Finance, Elsevier, vol. 32(C), pages 156-168.
    6. Stuart Landon & Constance E. Smith, 2003. "The Risk Premium, Exchange Rate Expectations, and the Forward Exchange Rate: Estimates for the Yen–Dollar Rate," Review of International Economics, Wiley Blackwell, vol. 11(1), pages 144-158, February.
    7. Zhou, Su & Kutan, Ali M., 2002. "Is there asymmetry in forward exchange rate bias? Multi-country evidence," ZEI Working Papers B 06-2002, University of Bonn, ZEI - Center for European Integration Studies.
    8. Mark, Nelson C & Wu, Yangru, 1998. "Rethinking Deviations from Uncovered Interest Parity: The Role of Covariance Risk and Noise," Economic Journal, Royal Economic Society, vol. 108(451), pages 1686-1706, November.
    9. Zhou, Su, 2002. "The forward premium anomaly and the trend behavior of the exchange rates," Economics Letters, Elsevier, vol. 76(2), pages 273-279, July.
    10. Chong, James, 2005. "The forecasting abilities of implied and econometric variance-covariance models across financial measures," Journal of Economics and Business, Elsevier, vol. 57(5), pages 463-490.
    11. Ding, Liang, 2012. "The Thursday effect of the forward premium puzzle," International Review of Economics & Finance, Elsevier, vol. 21(1), pages 302-318.
    12. C. Ennew, & N. Kellard, & P. Newbold, A. J. Rayner & M. E. Wohar,, 1996. "Two Puzzles in the Analysis of Foreign Exchange Market Efficiency," Discussion Papers 96/18, University of Nottingham, School of Economics.
    13. Brian Lucey & Grace Loring, 2012. "Forward Exchange Rate Biasedness across Developed and Developing Country Currencies - Do Observed Patterns Persist Out of Sample?Abstract:," The Institute for International Integration Studies Discussion Paper Series iiisdp404, IIIS.
    14. Loring, Grace & Lucey, Brian, 2013. "An analysis of forward exchange rate biasedness across developed and developing country currencies: Do observed patterns persist out of sample?," Emerging Markets Review, Elsevier, vol. 17(C), pages 14-28.

  186. Siklos, Pierre L. & Wohar, Mark E., 1996. "Cointegration and the term structure: A multicountry comparison," International Review of Economics & Finance, Elsevier, vol. 5(1), pages 21-34.

    Cited by:

    1. Pierre Siklos, 1999. "Inflation Targets and the Yield Curve: New Zealand and Australia vs. the US," Research Paper Series 25, Quantitative Finance Research Centre, University of Technology, Sydney.
    2. Holmes, Mark J. & Otero, Jesús & Panagiotidis, Theodore, 2011. "The term structure of interest rates, the expectations hypothesis and international financial integration: Evidence from Asian economies," International Review of Economics & Finance, Elsevier, vol. 20(4), pages 679-689, October.
    3. Lucio Sarno & Daniel L. Thornton, 2002. "The dynamic relationship between the federal funds rate and the Treasury bill rate: an empirical investigation," Working Papers 2000-032, Federal Reserve Bank of St. Louis.
    4. Sousa, Ricardo M. & Vivian, Andrew & Wohar, Mark E., 2016. "Predicting asset returns in the BRICS: The role of macroeconomic and fundamental predictors," International Review of Economics & Finance, Elsevier, vol. 41(C), pages 122-143.
    5. Pelin ÖGE GÜNEY, 2013. "The Term Structure of Interest Rates: A Cointegration Analysis in the Non-Linear STAR Framework," Journal of Economics and Behavioral Studies, AMH International, vol. 5(12), pages 851-860.
    6. Shigeyuki Hamori & Naoko Hamori, 2009. "Introduction of the Euro and the Monetary Policy of the European Central Bank," World Scientific Books, World Scientific Publishing Co. Pte. Ltd., number 7169.
    7. Mahdi Barakchian, S., 2015. "Transmission of US monetary policy into the Canadian economy: A structural cointegration analysis," Economic Modelling, Elsevier, vol. 46(C), pages 11-26.
    8. Smant, David / D.J.C., 2010. "Direct tests of the expectations theory of the term structure: Survey expectations, the term premium and coefficient biases," MPRA Paper 19815, University Library of Munich, Germany.
    9. Pilar Abad Romero, 2003. "Un Contraste Alternativo De La Hipótesis De Las Expectativas En Swaps De Tipos De Interés," Working Papers 0306, Universidade de Vigo, Departamento de Economía Aplicada.
    10. Georgoutsos, Dimitris A. & Kouretas, Georgios P., 2016. "Interest parity, cointegration, and the term structure: Testing in an integrated framework," International Review of Financial Analysis, Elsevier, vol. 46(C), pages 281-294.
    11. Shigeyuki Hamori & Naoko Hamori, 2009. "International term structure of interest rates in the Euro area," Applied Economics Letters, Taylor & Francis Journals, vol. 16(11), pages 1113-1116.
    12. Ayşen ARAÇ, 2015. "Nonlinear Dynamics in Term Structure of Interest Rates: Evidence from the Euro Area," Sosyoekonomi Journal, Sosyoekonomi Society, issue 23(26).

  187. Choi, Seungmook & Wohar, Mark E., 1995. "The expectations theory of interest rates: Cointegration and factor decomposition," International Journal of Forecasting, Elsevier, vol. 11(2), pages 253-262, June.

    Cited by:

    1. Pierre Siklos, 1999. "Inflation Targets and the Yield Curve: New Zealand and Australia vs. the US," Research Paper Series 25, Quantitative Finance Research Centre, University of Technology, Sydney.
    2. A. Durre, 2006. "The Liquidity Premium in the Money Market: A Comparison of the German Mark Period and the Euro Area," Post-Print hal-00171141, HAL.
    3. Durré, Alain & Evjen, Snorre & Pilegaard, Rasmus, 2003. "Estimating risk premia in money market rates," Working Paper Series 221, European Central Bank.
    4. Niffikeer, Cindy I. & Hewins, Robin D. & Flavell, Richard B., 2000. "A synthetic factor approach to the estimation of value-at-risk of a portfolio of interest rate swaps," Journal of Banking & Finance, Elsevier, vol. 24(12), pages 1903-1932, December.
    5. Gerd Hansen, 1996. "The domestic term structure and international interest rate linkages: A cointegration analysis," Review of World Economics (Weltwirtschaftliches Archiv), Springer;Institut für Weltwirtschaft (Kiel Institute for the World Economy), vol. 132(4), pages 675-689, December.

  188. David A. Volkman & Mark E. Wohar, 1995. "Determinants Of Persistence In Relative Performance Of Mutual Funds," Journal of Financial Research, Southern Finance Association;Southwestern Finance Association, vol. 18(4), pages 415-430, December.

    Cited by:

    1. David A. Volkman, 1999. "Market Volatility And Perverse Timing Performance Of Mutual Fund Managers," Journal of Financial Research, Southern Finance Association;Southwestern Finance Association, vol. 22(4), pages 449-470, December.
    2. Collinet, Lance & Firer, Colin, 2003. "Characterising persistence of performance amongst South African general equity unit trusts," Omega, Elsevier, vol. 31(6), pages 523-538, December.
    3. Martina Bers & Jeff Madura, 2000. "Why Does Performance Persistence Vary Among Closed-End Funds?," Journal of Financial Services Research, Springer;Western Finance Association, vol. 17(2), pages 127-147, August.
    4. Jason P. Berkowitz & Patrick J. Schorno & Dmitry A. Shapiro, 2017. "Characteristics of mutual funds with extreme performance," Review of Financial Economics, John Wiley & Sons, vol. 34(1), pages 50-60, September.
    5. Keith Cuthbertson & Dirk Nitzsche & Niall O' Sullivan, 2004. "UK Mutual Fund Performance: Genuine Stock-Picking Ability or Luck," Money Macro and Finance (MMF) Research Group Conference 2004 55, Money Macro and Finance Research Group.
    6. G.V. Satya Sekhar, 2016. "Ten Myths of Performance Evaluation of Mutual Funds: a Snapshot View," Journal of Applied Management and Investments, Department of Business Administration and Corporate Security, International Humanitarian University, vol. 5(1), pages 59-65, February.
    7. Qiang Bu & Nelson Lacey, 2010. "Smart money meets smart size," Journal of Asset Management, Palgrave Macmillan, vol. 10(6), pages 392-405, February.
    8. Porter, Gary E. & Trifts, Jack W., 1998. "Performance Persistence of Experienced Mutual Fund Managers," Financial Services Review, Elsevier, vol. 7(1), pages 57-68.
    9. Prather, Laurie & Bertin, William J. & Henker, Thomas, 2004. "Mutual fund characteristics, managerial attributes, and fund performance," Review of Financial Economics, Elsevier, vol. 13(4), pages 305-326.
    10. Nicolaj Siggelkow, 1999. "Expense Shifting: An Empirical Study of Agency Costs in the Mutual Fund Industry," Center for Financial Institutions Working Papers 99-09, Wharton School Center for Financial Institutions, University of Pennsylvania.
    11. Berkowitz, Jason P. & Schorno, Patrick J. & Shapiro, Dmitry A., 2017. "Characteristics of mutual funds with extreme performance," Review of Financial Economics, Elsevier, vol. 34(C), pages 50-60.
    12. Pi‐Hsia Hung & Donald Lien & Yun‐Ju Chien, 2020. "Portfolio concentration and fund manager performance," Review of Financial Economics, John Wiley & Sons, vol. 38(3), pages 423-451, July.
    13. Hung, Pi-Hsia & Lien, Donald & Kuo, Ming-Sin, 2020. "Window dressing in equity mutual funds," The Quarterly Review of Economics and Finance, Elsevier, vol. 78(C), pages 338-354.
    14. Justin Davis & G. Tyge Payne & Gary McMahan, 2007. "A Few Bad Apples? Scandalous Behavior of Mutual Fund Managers," Journal of Business Ethics, Springer, vol. 76(3), pages 319-334, December.
    15. Maria Do Ceu Ribeiro Cortez & Dean Paxson & Manuel Jose Da Rocha Armada, 1999. "Persistence in Portuguese mutual fund performance," The European Journal of Finance, Taylor & Francis Journals, vol. 5(4), pages 342-365.
    16. Gao, Jun & O’Sullivan, Niall & Sherman, Meadhbh, 2017. "Performance persistence in Chinese securities investment funds," Research in International Business and Finance, Elsevier, vol. 42(C), pages 1467-1477.
    17. Ming-Chuan Chen & Chen-Fu Lee & Chien-Ming Huang, 2016. "The Effects of Corporate Social Responsibility on Equity Fund Returns: Evidence from China," International Journal of Economics and Finance, Canadian Center of Science and Education, vol. 8(10), pages 92-102, October.
    18. Laurie Prather & William J. Bertin & Thomas Henker, 2004. "Mutual fund characteristics, managerial attributes, and fund performance," Review of Financial Economics, John Wiley & Sons, vol. 13(4), pages 305-326.
    19. Joe‐Ming Lee, 2021. "Regime switching dynamics in mutual fund cash holdings, risk, and size threshold effect," International Journal of Finance & Economics, John Wiley & Sons, Ltd., vol. 26(2), pages 2832-2845, April.

  189. Bradley, Michael G & Gabriel, Stuart A & Wohar, Mark E, 1995. "The Thrift Crisis, Mortgage-Credit Intermediation, and Housing Activity," Journal of Money, Credit and Banking, Blackwell Publishing, vol. 27(2), pages 476-497, May.

    Cited by:

    1. Deng, Yongheng & Gabriel, Stuart A. & Sanders, Anthony B., 2011. "CDO market implosion and the pricing of subprime mortgage-backed securities," Journal of Housing Economics, Elsevier, vol. 20(2), pages 68-80, June.
    2. Giorgio Primiceri & Alejandro Justiniano, 2006. "The Time Varying Volatility of Macroeconomic Fluctuations," 2006 Meeting Papers 353, Society for Economic Dynamics.
    3. Stuart Gabriel & Yongheng Deng, 2002. "Enhancing Mortgage Credit Availability Among Underserved And Higher Credit-Risk Populations: An Assessment Of Default And Prepayment Option Exercise Among Fha-Insured Borrowers," Working Paper 8622, USC Lusk Center for Real Estate.
    4. Yongheng Deng & Stuart Gabriel, 2005. "Are Underserved Borrowers Lower Risk? New Evidence on the Performance and Pricing of FHA-Insured Mortgages* (Revised)," Working Paper 8579, USC Lusk Center for Real Estate.
    5. Bennett, Paul & Peach, Richard & Peristiani, Stavros, 2001. "Structural Change in the Mortgage Market and the Propensity to Refinance," Journal of Money, Credit and Banking, Blackwell Publishing, vol. 33(4), pages 955-975, November.
    6. Xudong An & Yongheng Deng & Stuart Gabriel, 2009. "Value Creation through Securitization: Evidence from the CMBS Market," The Journal of Real Estate Finance and Economics, Springer, vol. 38(3), pages 302-326, April.
    7. William Miles, 2009. "Housing Investment and the U.S. Economy: How Have the Relationships Changed?," Journal of Real Estate Research, American Real Estate Society, vol. 31(3), pages 329-350.
    8. An, Xudong & Deng, Yongheng & Gabriel, Stuart A., 2011. "Asymmetric information, adverse selection, and the pricing of CMBS," Journal of Financial Economics, Elsevier, vol. 100(2), pages 304-325, May.
    9. Jonathan McCarthy & Richard Peach, 2002. "Monetary policy transmission to residential investment," Economic Policy Review, Federal Reserve Bank of New York, vol. 8(May), pages 139-158.
    10. Minye Zhang & Yongheng Deng, 2008. "REITs Return Behavior and Legal Infrastructure: The 1993 Revenue Reconciliation Act & Inspirations for China's Emerging REITS Market," Working Paper 8532, USC Lusk Center for Real Estate.

  190. Erenburg, S. J. & Wohar, Mark E., 1995. "Public and private investment: Are there causal linkages?," Journal of Macroeconomics, Elsevier, vol. 17(1), pages 1-30.

    Cited by:

    1. Diego Martínez López, 2001. "Linking public investment to private investment. The case of the Spanish regions," Economic Working Papers at Centro de Estudios Andaluces E2001/04, Centro de Estudios Andaluces.
    2. Malcom SAWYER, 2009. "Budget deficits, public debt and the level of public investment," Departmental Working Papers 2009-31, Department of Economics, Management and Quantitative Methods at Università degli Studi di Milano.
    3. Jean-Marc Fournier, 2016. "The Positive Effect of Public Investment on Potential Growth," OECD Economics Department Working Papers 1347, OECD Publishing.
    4. Andreas Stephan, 1997. "The Impact of Road Infrastructure on Productivity and Growth: Some Preliminary Results for the German Manufacturing Sector," CIG Working Papers FS IV 97-47, Wissenschaftszentrum Berlin (WZB), Research Unit: Competition and Innovation (CIG).
    5. Abiad (ADB), Abdul & Furceri (IMF and University of Palermo), Davide & Topalova (IMF), Petia, 2016. "The macroeconomic effects of public investment: Evidence from advanced economies," Journal of Macroeconomics, Elsevier, vol. 50(C), pages 224-240.
    6. Ari, Ibrahim & Akkas, Erhan & Asutay, Mehmet & Koç, Muammer, 2019. "Public and private investment in the hydrocarbon-based rentier economies: A case study for the GCC countries," Resources Policy, Elsevier, vol. 62(C), pages 165-175.
    7. Ibrahim Ari & Muammer Koc, 2020. "Economic Growth, Public and Private Investment: A Comparative Study of China and the United States," Sustainability, MDPI, vol. 12(6), pages 1-19, March.
    8. Mathilde Le Moigne & Francesco Saraceno & Sebastien Villemot, 2016. "Probably too Little, Certainly too Late. An Assessement of the Juncker Investment Plan," Documents de Travail de l'OFCE 2016-10, Observatoire Francais des Conjonctures Economiques (OFCE).
    9. Ljungwall, Christer, 2005. "State fixed investment and non-state sector growth in China," Journal of Policy Modeling, Elsevier, vol. 27(2), pages 211-229, March.
    10. Herrera-Echeverri Hernán & Haar Jerry & Estevez-Bretón Juan Benavides, 2014. "Foreign Investment, Institutional Quality, Public Expenditure, and Activity of Venture Capital Funds in Emerging Market Countries," Global Economy Journal, De Gruyter, vol. 14(2), pages 1-36, April.
    11. Alberto Bucci & Chiara Del Bo, 2010. "On the Interaction between Public Investment and Private Capital in Economic Growth," DEGIT Conference Papers c015_007, DEGIT, Dynamics, Economic Growth, and International Trade.
    12. Isabel Argimon & Jose Gonzalez-Paramo & Jose Roldan, 1997. "Evidence of public spending crowding-out from a panel of OECD countries," Applied Economics, Taylor & Francis Journals, vol. 29(8), pages 1001-1010.
    13. Romp, Ward & de Haan, Jakob, 2005. "Public capital and economic growth: a critical survey," EIB Papers 2/2005, European Investment Bank, Economics Department.
    14. Chiara DEL BO, 2009. "Recent advances in public investment, fiscal policy and growth," Departmental Working Papers 2009-25, Department of Economics, Management and Quantitative Methods at Università degli Studi di Milano.
    15. Chen, Jie & Nong, Huifu, 2016. "The heterogeneity of market supply effects of public housing provision: Empirical evidence from China," Journal of Housing Economics, Elsevier, vol. 33(C), pages 115-127.
    16. Martin Gurtler, 2018. "What Influences Private Investment? The Case of the Czech Republic," Working Papers 2018/14, Czech National Bank.
    17. Voss, Graham M., 2002. "Public and private investment in the United States and Canada," Economic Modelling, Elsevier, vol. 19(4), pages 641-664, August.
    18. Waqar Ameer & Kazi Sohag & Helian Xu & Musaad Mansoor Halwan, 2020. "The Impact of OFDI and Institutional Quality on Domestic Capital Formation at the Disaggregated Level: Evidence for Developed and Emerging Countries," Sustainability, MDPI, vol. 12(9), pages 1-18, May.
    19. Waqar Ameer & Helian Xu & Kazi Sohag & Syed Hasanat Shah, 2021. "Outflow FDI and Domestic Investment: Aggregated and Disaggregated Analysis," Sustainability, MDPI, vol. 13(13), pages 1-19, June.
    20. Toshiya Hatano, 2010. "Crowding - in Effect of Public Investment on Private Investment," Public Policy Review, Policy Research Institute, Ministry of Finance Japan, vol. 6(1), pages 105-120, February.
    21. Chakraborty, Lekha S., 2006. "Fiscal deficit, capital formation, and crowding out: Evidence from India," Working Papers 06/43, National Institute of Public Finance and Policy.
    22. Diego Martínez López, 2005. "Linking public investment to private investment," Economic Working Papers at Centro de Estudios Andaluces E2001/04Revision, Centro de Estudios Andaluces.
    23. Nusrat Akber & Megha Gupta & Kirtti Ranjan Paltasingh, 2020. "The Crowding-in/ out Debate in Investments in India: Fresh Evidence from NARDL Application," South Asian Journal of Macroeconomics and Public Finance, , vol. 9(2), pages 167-189, December.
    24. Alfredo M. Pereira, 2001. "On the Effects of Public Investment on Private Investment: What Crowds in What?," Public Finance Review, , vol. 29(1), pages 3-25, January.
    25. Sturm, Jan-egbert & Jacobs, Jan & Groote, Peter, 1999. "Output Effects of Infrastructure Investment in the Netherlands, 1853-1913," Journal of Macroeconomics, Elsevier, vol. 21(2), pages 355-380, April.
    26. Renato Santiago & Matheus Koengkan & José Alberto Fuinhas & António Cardoso Marques, 2020. "The relationship between public capital stock, private capital stock and economic growth in the Latin American and Caribbean countries," International Review of Economics, Springer;Happiness Economics and Interpersonal Relations (HEIRS), vol. 67(3), pages 293-317, September.
    27. Taiwo Akinlo & Olusola Joel Oyeleke, 2018. "Effects of Government Expenditure on Private Investment in Nigerian Economy (1980–2016)," Emerging Economy Studies, International Management Institute, vol. 4(2), pages 147-156, November.
    28. Sau‐Him Paul Lau & Chor‐Yiu Sin, 1997. "Public Infrastructure and Economic Growth: Time‐Series Properties and Evidence," The Economic Record, The Economic Society of Australia, vol. 73(221), pages 125-135, June.
    29. Olegs Matvejevs & Olegs Tkacevs, 2022. "Public investment crowds in private investment - with ifs and buts," Working Papers 2022/04, Latvijas Banka.
    30. Ghassan, Hassan & Alhajhoj, Hassan, 2010. "الارتباط الحركي بين الاستثمار في مؤسسات القطاع الحكومي والاستثمار الخاص عبر نموذج التقهقر الذاتي البنيوي: حالة الاقتصاد السعودي [The Dynamic Relationship between the Investment in Public and Privat," MPRA Paper 54398, University Library of Munich, Germany.
    31. Agenor, Pierre-Richard & Nabli, Mustapha K. & Yousef, Tarik M., 2005. "Public infrastructure and private investment in the Middle East and North Africa," Policy Research Working Paper Series 3661, The World Bank.
    32. Ghassan, Hassan B., 2002. "الإنفاق العمومي والإستثمار الخاص اختبار أثر المزاحمة عبر المعاينة المعادة [Public Spending and Private Investment: Test of Crowding-out Effects through Re-sampling]," MPRA Paper 56381, University Library of Munich, Germany, revised 03 Dec 2002.
    33. Abdulrahman M. Jolo & Muammer Koç, 2023. "The Impact of Capital Formation on Economic Diversification in GCC Countries—Empirical Analysis Based on the PVAR Model," Sustainability, MDPI, vol. 15(14), pages 1-11, July.
    34. Alberto Bucci, 2012. "Public Capital, Private Capital and Economic Growth," Rivista Internazionale di Scienze Sociali, Vita e Pensiero, Pubblicazioni dell'Universita' Cattolica del Sacro Cuore, vol. 120(2), pages 149-180.
    35. M.Rosaria Alfano & A. Laura Baraldi, 2008. "The design of electoral rules and their impact on economic growth: the Italian case," Working Papers 3_2008, D.E.S. (Department of Economic Studies), University of Naples "Parthenope", Italy.
    36. Erdal Atukeren, 2005. "Interactions Between Public and Private Investment: Evidence from Developing Countries," Kyklos, Wiley Blackwell, vol. 58(3), pages 307-330, July.
    37. Adegboye, Abiodun Adewale & Alimi, R. Santos, 2017. "Public – Private Investment Nexus in Developing Economies: Does Financial Sector Development Matter for Nigeria?," MPRA Paper 80908, University Library of Munich, Germany.
    38. Nader Alber & Vivian Bushra Kheir, 2019. "Public-Private Investment and Macroeconomic Determinants: Evidence from MENA Countries," International Journal of Economics and Finance, Canadian Center of Science and Education, vol. 11(1), pages 15-27, January.
    39. Davide Furceri & Ricardo M. Sousa, 2011. "Does Government Spending Crowd Out Private Consumption and Investment?," World Economics, World Economics, 1 Ivory Square, Plantation Wharf, London, United Kingdom, SW11 3UE, vol. 12(4), pages 153-170, October.
    40. Sajad Ahmad Bhat & Javed Ahmad Bhat & Taufeeq Ajaz, 2020. "The Public–Private Investment Nexus In India: Evidence From A Policy Simulation Approach," Economic Annals, Faculty of Economics and Business, University of Belgrade, vol. 65(224), pages 101-128, January –.
    41. Mr. Serhan Cevik, 2019. "You Are Suffocating Me! Firm-Level Evidence on Crowding Out," IMF Working Papers 2019/080, International Monetary Fund.
    42. Abdul Rashid, 2005. "Public / Private Investment Linkages: A Multivariate Cointegration Analysis," The Pakistan Development Review, Pakistan Institute of Development Economics, vol. 44(4), pages 805-817.
    43. Alberto Bucci & Chiara Del Bo, 2012. "On the interaction between public and private capital in economic growth," Journal of Economics, Springer, vol. 106(2), pages 133-152, June.
    44. Forssbaeck, Jens & Oxelheim, Lars, 2005. "On the Link between Exchange-Rate Regimes and Monetary-Policy Autonomy: The European Experience," Working Paper Series 637, Research Institute of Industrial Economics.
    45. Syed Hasanat Shah & Waqar Ameer & Sarath Delpachitra, 2020. "OFDI Impact on Private Investment in the Gulf Economies," Sustainability, MDPI, vol. 12(11), pages 1-13, June.
    46. Marie-Ange VEGANZONES-VAROUDAKIS, 2000. "Infrastructures, investissement et croissance : un bilan de dix années de recherches," Working Papers 200007, CERDI.
    47. Iszan Hana Kaharudin & Mohammad Syuhaimi Ab-Rahman, 2022. "Fiscal Policy Effects on Private Expenditure for Sustainable Economic Growth: A Panel VAR Study from Selected Developing Countries," Sustainability, MDPI, vol. 14(17), pages 1-21, August.
    48. Philip Arestis & Malcolm Sawyer, 2011. "The economic policies of the political economy of the Australian patriot and Cambridge economist," European Journal of Economics and Economic Policies: Intervention, Edward Elgar Publishing, vol. 8(1), pages 129-145.
    49. Abdul Rashid, 2006. "Public-Private Investment Linkage in Pakistan," South Asia Economic Journal, Institute of Policy Studies of Sri Lanka, vol. 7(2), pages 219-230, September.
    50. Basil Dalamagas, 1998. "Endogenous growth and the dynamic Laffer curve," Applied Economics, Taylor & Francis Journals, vol. 30(1), pages 63-75.
    51. Jan-Egbert Sturm & Gerard H. Kuper,, 1996. "The dual approach to the public capital hypothesis: the case of The Netherlands," Working Papers 26, Centre for Economic Research, University of Groningen and University of Twente.
    52. Arthur M. Diamond, 1999. "Does Federal Funding “Crowd In” Private Funding Of Science?," Contemporary Economic Policy, Western Economic Association International, vol. 17(4), pages 423-431, October.
    53. Ghassan, Hassan B. & Alhajhoj, Hassan R., 2008. "ما هي طبيعة العلاقة بين الإنفاق الحكومي والإستثمار الخاص في الإقتصاد السعودي؟ [What is the Nature of the Relationship between Government Spending and Private Investment in Saudi Arabia?]," MPRA Paper 56377, University Library of Munich, Germany, revised 11 Jan 2009.
    54. E. C. Mamatzakis, 2001. "Public Spending and Private Investment: Evidence From Greece," International Economic Journal, Taylor & Francis Journals, vol. 15(4), pages 33-46.
    55. Lutfi Erden & Randall G. Holcombe, 2006. "The Linkage Between Public and Private Investment: A Co-integration Analysis of a Panel of Developing Countries," Eastern Economic Journal, Eastern Economic Association, vol. 32(3), pages 479-492, Summer.

  191. Cordell, Lawrence R & MacDonald, Gregor D & Wohar, Mark E, 1993. "Corporate Ownership and the Thrift Crisis," Journal of Law and Economics, University of Chicago Press, vol. 36(2), pages 719-756, October.

    Cited by:

    1. Fabio R. Chaddad & Michael L. Cook, 2004. "The Economics of Organization Structure Changes: a US perspective on demutualization," Annals of Public and Cooperative Economics, Wiley Blackwell, vol. 75(4), pages 575-594, December.
    2. Whidbee, David A. & Wohar, Mark, 1999. "Derivative activities and managerial incentives in the banking industry," Journal of Corporate Finance, Elsevier, vol. 5(3), pages 251-276, September.
    3. Mattia Girotti & Richard Meade, 2017. "U.S. Savings Banks' Demutualization and Depositor Welfare," Working Papers 2017-08, Auckland University of Technology, Department of Economics.
    4. Eva A. Arnold & Ingrid Größl & Philipp Koziol, 2015. "Market Discipline Across Bank Governance Models. Empirical Evidence from German Depositors," Macroeconomics and Finance Series 201502, University of Hamburg, Department of Socioeconomics.
    5. Hogan, Arthur M. B. & Rossi, Clifford, 1997. "The characteristics of derivatives users: An analysis of the thrift industry," Journal of Economics and Business, Elsevier, vol. 49(6), pages 587-598.
    6. Garci­a-Marco, Teresa & Robles-Fernández, M. Dolores, 2008. "Risk-taking behaviour and ownership in the banking industry: The Spanish evidence," Journal of Economics and Business, Elsevier, vol. 60(4), pages 332-354.
    7. Acharya, Viral V. & Cooley, Thomas & Richardson, Matthew & Walter, Ingo, 2011. "Market Failures and Regulatory Failures: Lessons from Past and Present Financial Crises," ADBI Working Papers 264, Asian Development Bank Institute.
    8. Ludányi, Arnold, 2001. "A tőkeerő és az alapítói háttér hatása a kockázatitőke-szervezetek befektetési magatartására - I [The effect of capital strength and founder background on the investment behaviour of risk-capital o," Közgazdasági Szemle (Economic Review - monthly of the Hungarian Academy of Sciences), Közgazdasági Szemle Alapítvány (Economic Review Foundation), vol. 0(7), pages 659-672.
    9. Karels, Gordon V. & McClatchey, Christine A., 1999. "Deposit insurance and risk-taking behavior in the credit union industry," Journal of Banking & Finance, Elsevier, vol. 23(1), pages 105-134, January.
    10. Cagle, Julie A. B. & Porter, Gary E., 1997. "Conversions of mutual savings institutions: Do initial returns from these IPOS provide investors with windfall profits?," Financial Services Review, Elsevier, vol. 6(2), pages 141-150.
    11. Paul A. Gompers & Josh Lerner, 1998. "The Determinants of Corporate Venture Capital Successes: Organizational Structure, Incentives, and Complementarities," NBER Working Papers 6725, National Bureau of Economic Research, Inc.
    12. Giuliano Iannotta & Giacomo Nocera & Andrea Sironi, 2007. "Ownership structure, risk and performance in the European banking industry," Post-Print hal-00861806, HAL.
    13. Neil Murphy & Dan Salandro, 1997. "Form of ownership and risk taking in banking: Some evidence from Massachusetts savings banks," Journal of Economics and Finance, Springer;Academy of Economics and Finance, vol. 21(3), pages 19-28, September.
    14. Adalgiso Amendola & Cristian Barra & Marinella Boccia & Anna Papaccio, 2021. "Market Structure and Financial Stability: the Interaction between Profit-Oriented and Mutual Cooperative Banks in Italy," Journal of Financial Services Research, Springer;Western Finance Association, vol. 60(2), pages 235-259, December.
    15. Esty, Benjamin C., 1997. "Organizational form and risk taking in the savings and loan industry," Journal of Financial Economics, Elsevier, vol. 44(1), pages 25-55, April.
    16. Fraser, Donald R. & Zardkoohi, Asghar, 1996. "Ownership structure, deregulation, and risk in the savings and loan industry," Journal of Business Research, Elsevier, vol. 37(1), pages 63-69, September.
    17. Haluk Unal, 1995. "Regulatory Misconceptions in Pricing Thrift Conversions: A Closer Look at the Appraisal Process," Center for Financial Institutions Working Papers 95-15, Wharton School Center for Financial Institutions, University of Pennsylvania.
    18. Hogan, Arthur M. B. & Malmquist, David H., 1999. "Barriers to depository uses of derivatives: an empirical analysis," Journal of Multinational Financial Management, Elsevier, vol. 9(3-4), pages 419-440, November.
    19. Paul Leonard & Rita Biswas, 1998. "The Impact of Regulatory Changes on the Risk-Taking Behavior of State Chartered Savings Banks," Journal of Financial Services Research, Springer;Western Finance Association, vol. 13(1), pages 37-69, February.
    20. Aharony, Joseph & Falk, Haim & Lin, Chan-Jane, 1996. "Changes in ownership structure and the value of the firm: The case of mutual-to-stock converting thrift institutions," Journal of Corporate Finance, Elsevier, vol. 2(3), pages 301-316, February.
    21. Catherine M. Schrand & Haluk Unal, 1995. "Hedging and Coordinated Risk Management: Evidence from Thrift Conversions," Center for Financial Institutions Working Papers 96-05, Wharton School Center for Financial Institutions, University of Pennsylvania.

  192. Christos Agiakloglou & Paul Newbold & Mark Wohar, 1993. "Bias In An Estimator Of The Fractional Difference Parameter," Journal of Time Series Analysis, Wiley Blackwell, vol. 14(3), pages 235-246, May.

    Cited by:

    1. Bisaglia, Luisa & Guegan, Dominique, 1998. "A comparison of techniques of estimation in long-memory processes," Computational Statistics & Data Analysis, Elsevier, vol. 27(1), pages 61-81, March.
    2. Morten Ø. Nielsen & Per Houmann Frederiksen, 2005. "Finite Sample Comparison Of Parametric, Semiparametric, And Wavelet Estimators Of Fractional Integration," Working Paper 1189, Economics Department, Queen's University.
    3. McMillan, David G., 2009. "The confusing time-series behaviour of real exchange rates: Are asymmetries important?," Journal of International Financial Markets, Institutions and Money, Elsevier, vol. 19(4), pages 692-711, October.
    4. Ngene, Geoffrey & Tah, Kenneth A. & Darrat, Ali F., 2017. "Long memory or structural breaks: Some evidence for African stock markets," Review of Financial Economics, Elsevier, vol. 34(C), pages 61-73.
    5. Smith, Aaron, 2005. "Level Shifts and the Illusion of Long Memory in Economic Time Series," Journal of Business & Economic Statistics, American Statistical Association, vol. 23, pages 321-335, July.
    6. Garey C. Durden & Patricia E. Gaynor, 2014. "Publishing in The Journal of Regional Analysis and Policy and an Evaluation (via Citation Counts) of JRAP’s Influence on Scholarship in Regional Science," Working Papers 14-07, Department of Economics, Appalachian State University.
    7. Neil Kellard & Denise Osborn & Jerry Coakley & Simone D. Grose & Gael M. Martin & Donald S. Poskitt, 2015. "Bias Correction of Persistence Measures in Fractionally Integrated Models," Journal of Time Series Analysis, Wiley Blackwell, vol. 36(5), pages 721-740, September.
    8. Choi, Kyongwook & Zivot, Eric, 2007. "Long memory and structural changes in the forward discount: An empirical investigation," Journal of International Money and Finance, Elsevier, vol. 26(3), pages 342-363, April.
    9. Kuswanto, Heri & Sibbertsen, Philipp, 2008. "A Study on "Spurious Long Memory in Nonlinear Time Series Models"," Hannover Economic Papers (HEP) dp-410, Leibniz Universität Hannover, Wirtschaftswissenschaftliche Fakultät.
    10. Kunal Saha & Vinodh Madhavan & Chandrashekhar G. R. & David McMillan, 2020. "Pitfalls in long memory research," Cogent Economics & Finance, Taylor & Francis Journals, vol. 8(1), pages 1733280-173, January.
    11. Tomasz Wójtowicz & Henryk Gurgul, 2009. "Long memory of volatility measures in time series," Operations Research and Decisions, Wroclaw University of Science and Technology, Faculty of Management, vol. 19(1), pages 37-54.
    12. Jia Li & Peter C. B. Phillips & Shuping Shi & Jun Yu, 2022. "Weak Identification of Long Memory with Implications for Inference," Cowles Foundation Discussion Papers 2334, Cowles Foundation for Research in Economics, Yale University.
    13. L.A. Gil-Alana & G.M. caporale, 2004. "Long-run and Cyclical Dynamics in the US Stock Market," Econometric Society 2004 Latin American Meetings 344, Econometric Society.
    14. Giorgio Canarella & Stephen M Miller, 2017. "Inflation Persistence Before and After Inflation Targeting: A Fractional Integration Approach," Eastern Economic Journal, Palgrave Macmillan;Eastern Economic Association, vol. 43(1), pages 78-103, January.
    15. Velasco, Carlos, 1998. "Non-stationary log-periodogram regression," DES - Working Papers. Statistics and Econometrics. WS 4554, Universidad Carlos III de Madrid. Departamento de Estadística.
    16. Abderrazak Ben Maatoug & Rim Lamouchi & Russell Davidson & Ibrahim Fatnassi, 2018. "Modelling Foreign Exchange Realized Volatility Using High Frequency Data: Long Memory versus Structural Breaks," Post-Print hal-01982032, HAL.
    17. Pérez, Ana & Ruiz Ortega, Esther, 2001. "Modelos de memoria larga para series económicas y financieras," DES - Documentos de Trabajo. Estadística y Econometría. DS ds010101, Universidad Carlos III de Madrid. Departamento de Estadística.
    18. La Spada Gabriele & Lillo Fabrizio, 2014. "The effect of round-off error on long memory processes," Studies in Nonlinear Dynamics & Econometrics, De Gruyter, vol. 18(4), pages 1-38, September.
    19. John T. Barkoulas & Christopher F. Baum & Mustafa Caglayan & Atreya Chakraborty, 1998. "Persistent Dependence in Foreign Exchange Rates? A Reexamination," Boston College Working Papers in Economics 377, Boston College Department of Economics, revised 21 Apr 2000.
    20. Gael Martin, 2001. "Bayesian Analysis Of A Fractional Cointegration Model," Econometric Reviews, Taylor & Francis Journals, vol. 20(2), pages 217-234.
    21. Maharaj, E.A., 1999. "A Test for the Difference Parameter of the ARFIMA Model Using the Moving Blocks Bootstrap," Monash Econometrics and Business Statistics Working Papers 11/99, Monash University, Department of Econometrics and Business Statistics.
    22. Juncal Cunado & Luis A. Gil-Alana & Fernando Pérez de Gracia, 2006. "Additional Empirical Evidence on Real Convergence: A Fractionally Integrated Approach," Review of World Economics (Weltwirtschaftliches Archiv), Springer;Institut für Weltwirtschaft (Kiel Institute for the World Economy), vol. 142(1), pages 67-91, April.
    23. D.S. Poskitt & Gael M. Martin & Simone D. Grose, 2012. "Bias Reduction of Long Memory Parameter Estimators via the Pre-filtered Sieve Bootstrap," Monash Econometrics and Business Statistics Working Papers 8/12, Monash University, Department of Econometrics and Business Statistics.
    24. Arteche, Josu & Orbe, Jesus, 2009. "Using the bootstrap for finite sample confidence intervals of the log periodogram regression," Computational Statistics & Data Analysis, Elsevier, vol. 53(6), pages 1940-1953, April.
    25. Anoop S. Kumar, 2014. "Testing For Long Memory In Volatility In The Indian Forex Market," Economic Annals, Faculty of Economics and Business, University of Belgrade, vol. 59(203), pages 75-90, October –.
    26. Offer Lieberman, 2001. "The Exact Bias Of The Log-Periodogram Regression Estimator," Econometric Reviews, Taylor & Francis Journals, vol. 20(3), pages 369-383.
    27. Giorgio Canarella & Stephen M. Miller, 2016. "Inflation Persistence and Structural Breaks: The Experience of Inflation Targeting Countries and the US," Working papers 2016-11, University of Connecticut, Department of Economics.
    28. Gilles Dufrénot & Valérie Mignon & Théo Naccache, 2009. "The slow convergence of per capita income between the developing countries: “growth resistance” and sometimes “growth tragedy”," Discussion Papers 09/03, University of Nottingham, CREDIT.
    29. Chang Sik Kim & Peter C.B. Phillips, 2006. "Log Periodogram Regression: The Nonstationary Case," Cowles Foundation Discussion Papers 1587, Cowles Foundation for Research in Economics, Yale University.
    30. Davidson, James & Sibbertsen, Philipp, 2005. "Tests of Bias in Log-Periodogram Regression," Hannover Economic Papers (HEP) dp-317, Leibniz Universität Hannover, Wirtschaftswissenschaftliche Fakultät.
    31. Param Silvapulle, 1995. "A Score Test for Seasonal Fractional Integration and Cointegration," Econometrics 9506005, University Library of Munich, Germany, revised 16 Jun 1995.
    32. Javier Haulde & Morten Ørregaard Nielsen, 2022. "Fractional integration and cointegration," CREATES Research Papers 2022-02, Department of Economics and Business Economics, Aarhus University.
    33. Manmohan S. Kumar & Tatsuyoshi Okimoto, 2007. "Dynamics of Persistence in International Inflation Rates," Journal of Money, Credit and Banking, Blackwell Publishing, vol. 39(6), pages 1457-1479, September.
    34. Leïla Nouira & Mohamed Boutahar & Vêlayoudom Marimoutou, 2009. "The effect of tapering on the semiparametric estimators for nonstationary long memory processes," Statistical Papers, Springer, vol. 50(2), pages 225-248, March.
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    38. Henryk Gurgul & Tomasz Wójtowicz, 2006. "Long-run properties of trading volume and volatility of equities listed in DJIA index," Operations Research and Decisions, Wroclaw University of Science and Technology, Faculty of Management, vol. 16(3-4), pages 29-56.
    39. David G. McMillan, 2010. "Level‐shifts and non‐linearity in US financial ratios," Review of Accounting and Finance, Emerald Group Publishing Limited, vol. 9(2), pages 189-207, May.
    40. Clifford M. Hurvich & Bonnie K. Ray, 1995. "Estimation Of The Memory Parameter For Nonstationary Or Noninvertible Fractionally Integrated Processes," Journal of Time Series Analysis, Wiley Blackwell, vol. 16(1), pages 17-41, January.
    41. John T. Barkoulas & Christopher F. Baum & Nickolaos Travlos, 1996. "Long Memory in the Greek Stock Market," Boston College Working Papers in Economics 356., Boston College Department of Economics.
    42. John Barkoulas & Christopher F. Baum, 1997. "Long Memory and Forecasting in Euroyen Deposit Rates," Boston College Working Papers in Economics 361, Boston College Department of Economics.
    43. Cevik, Emrah Ismail, 2012. "İstanbul Menkul Kıymetler Borsası’nda etkin piyasa hipotezinin uzun hafıza modelleri ile analizi: sektörel bazda bir inceleme [The testing of efficient market hypothesis in the Istanbul Stock Excha," MPRA Paper 71484, University Library of Munich, Germany, revised 2012.
    44. Francis Ahking, 2010. "Non-parametric tests of real exchange rates in the post-Bretton Woods era," Empirical Economics, Springer, vol. 39(2), pages 439-456, October.
    45. Pan, Ming-Shiun & Liu, Y. Angela, 1999. "Fractional cointegration, long memory, and exchange rate dynamics," International Review of Economics & Finance, Elsevier, vol. 8(3), pages 305-316, September.
    46. Andersson, Michael K., 2000. "Do long-memory models have long memory?," International Journal of Forecasting, Elsevier, vol. 16(1), pages 121-124.
    47. Martínez, Cristina & Velilla Cerdan, Santiago, 1996. "Trimming frequencies in log-periodogram regression of long memory time series," DES - Working Papers. Statistics and Econometrics. WS 10428, Universidad Carlos III de Madrid. Departamento de Estadística.
    48. Jerry Coakley & Jian Dollery & Neil Kellard, 2011. "Long memory and structural breaks in commodity futures markets," Journal of Futures Markets, John Wiley & Sons, Ltd., vol. 31(11), pages 1076-1113, November.
    49. S. Lardic & V. Mignon, 2003. "The exact minimum likelihood estimation of ARFIMA processes and model selection criteria: A Monte Carlo study," THEMA Working Papers 2003-06, THEMA (THéorie Economique, Modélisation et Applications), Université de Cergy-Pontoise.
    50. Arielle Beyaert, 2004. "Fractional Output Convergence, with an Application to Nine Developed Countries," Econometric Society 2004 Australasian Meetings 280, Econometric Society.
    51. Rania Jammazi & Chaker Aloui, 2014. "Cyclical components and dual long memory in the foreign exchange rate dynamics: the Tunisian case," Working Papers 2014-198, Department of Research, Ipag Business School.
    52. Kyongwook Choi & Eric Zivot, 2003. "Long Memory and Structural Changes in the Forward Discount: An Empirical Investigation," EERI Research Paper Series EERI_RP_2003_02, Economics and Econometrics Research Institute (EERI), Brussels.
    53. Alex Maynard & Peter C. B. Phillips, 2001. "Rethinking an old empirical puzzle: econometric evidence on the forward discount anomaly," Journal of Applied Econometrics, John Wiley & Sons, Ltd., vol. 16(6), pages 671-708.
    54. Saeed Heravi & Kerry Patterson, 2013. "Log-Periodogram Estimation of the Long-Memory Parameter: An Evaluation of Competing Estimators," Economics Discussion Papers em-dp2013-02, Department of Economics, University of Reading.
    55. Mohamed Boutahar, 2007. "Optimal prediction with nonstationary ARFIMA model," Journal of Forecasting, John Wiley & Sons, Ltd., vol. 26(2), pages 95-111.
    56. Geoffrey Ngene & Kenneth A. Tah & Ali F. Darrat, 2017. "Long memory or structural breaks: Some evidence for African stock markets," Review of Financial Economics, John Wiley & Sons, vol. 34(1), pages 61-73, September.
    57. Grace Yap & Wen Cheong Chin, 2016. "Spectral bandwidth selection for long memory," Modern Applied Science, Canadian Center of Science and Education, vol. 10(8), pages 1-63, August.
    58. Jardet, C. & Monfort, A. & Pegoraro, F., 2009. "No-arbitrage Near-Cointegrated VAR(p) Term Structure Models, Term Premia and GDP Growth," Working papers 234, Banque de France.
    59. Adnan Kasman & Saadet Kirbas-Kasman & Evrim Turgutlu, 2005. "Nominal and real convergence between the CEE countries and the EU: a fractional cointegration analysis," Applied Economics, Taylor & Francis Journals, vol. 37(21), pages 2487-2500.
    60. Saadet Kirbas Kasman & Adnan Kasman & Evrim Turgutlu, 2005. "Fisher Hypothesis Revisited: A Fractional Cointegration Analysis," Discussion Paper Series 05/04, Dokuz Eylül University, Faculty of Business, Department of Economics, revised 23 Nov 2005.
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  193. Choi, Seungmook & Wohar, Mark E, 1992. "Implied Volatility in Options Markets and Conditional Heteroscedasticity in Stock Markets," The Financial Review, Eastern Finance Association, vol. 27(4), pages 503-530, November.

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    1. Carl H. Korkpoe & Peterson Owusu Junior, 2018. "Behaviour of Johannesburg Stock Exchange All Share Index Returns - An Asymmetric GARCH and News Impact Effects Approach," SPOUDAI Journal of Economics and Business, SPOUDAI Journal of Economics and Business, University of Piraeus, vol. 68(1), pages 26-42, January-M.

  194. Seungmook Choi & Mark E. Wohar, 1991. "New Evidence Concerning The Expectations Theory For The Short End Of The Maturity Spectrum," Journal of Financial Research, Southern Finance Association;Southwestern Finance Association, vol. 14(1), pages 83-92, March.

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    1. Sharon Kozicki & Peter A. Tinsley, 1996. "Moving endpoints and the internal consistency of agents' ex ante forecasts," Finance and Economics Discussion Series 96-47, Board of Governors of the Federal Reserve System (U.S.).
    2. Kozicki, Sharon & Tinsley, P. A., 2001. "Shifting endpoints in the term structure of interest rates," Journal of Monetary Economics, Elsevier, vol. 47(3), pages 613-652, June.
    3. Sharon Kozicki & Peter A. Tinsley, "undated". "Moving Endpoints in Macrofinance," Computing in Economics and Finance 1996 _058, Society for Computational Economics.
    4. Nourzad, Farrokh & Scott Grennier, R., 1995. "Cointegration analysis of the expectations theory of the term structure," Journal of Economics and Business, Elsevier, vol. 47(3), pages 281-292, August.
    5. Shigeyuki Hamori & Naoko Hamori, 2009. "Introduction of the Euro and the Monetary Policy of the European Central Bank," World Scientific Books, World Scientific Publishing Co. Pte. Ltd., number 7169.
    6. Mahdi Barakchian, S., 2015. "Transmission of US monetary policy into the Canadian economy: A structural cointegration analysis," Economic Modelling, Elsevier, vol. 46(C), pages 11-26.
    7. Samih Antoine Azar, 2018. "Forward Unbiasedness in the Short End of the Interest Rate Market," International Business Research, Canadian Center of Science and Education, vol. 11(2), pages 70-78, February.
    8. Choi, Seungmook & Wohar, Mark E., 1995. "The expectations theory of interest rates: Cointegration and factor decomposition," International Journal of Forecasting, Elsevier, vol. 11(2), pages 253-262, June.
    9. Shively, Philip A., 2005. "Threshold nonlinear interest rates," Economics Letters, Elsevier, vol. 88(3), pages 313-317, September.
    10. Smant, David / D.J.C., 2010. "Direct tests of the expectations theory of the term structure: Survey expectations, the term premium and coefficient biases," MPRA Paper 19815, University Library of Munich, Germany.
    11. Michael Dotsey & Christopher Otrok, 1995. "The rational expectations hypothesis of the term structure, monetary policy, and time-varying term premia," Economic Quarterly, Federal Reserve Bank of Richmond, issue Win, pages 65-81.
    12. Chiang, Thomas C. & Chiang, Jeanette Jin, 1995. "Emperical analysis of short-term eurocurrency rates: Evidence from a transfer function error correction model," Journal of Economics and Business, Elsevier, vol. 47(4), pages 335-351, October.
    13. Siklos, Pierre L. & Wohar, Mark E., 1996. "Cointegration and the term structure: A multicountry comparison," International Review of Economics & Finance, Elsevier, vol. 5(1), pages 21-34.
    14. Azar, Samih Antoine, 2010. "Testing the Expectations Hypothesis on Corporate Bond Yields," Review of Applied Economics, Lincoln University, Department of Financial and Business Systems, vol. 6(1-2), pages 1-11, April.
    15. Chiang, Thomas C., 1997. "Time series dynamics of short-term interest rates: evidence from Eurocurrency markets," Journal of International Financial Markets, Institutions and Money, Elsevier, vol. 7(3), pages 201-220, October.
    16. Chiang, Thomas C. & Kim, Doseong, 2000. "Short-term eurocurrency rate behavior and specifications of cointegrating processes," International Review of Economics & Finance, Elsevier, vol. 9(2), pages 157-179.

  195. Burdekin, Richard C. K. & Wohar, Mark E., 1990. "Monetary institutions, budget deficits and inflation : Empirical results for eight countries," European Journal of Political Economy, Elsevier, vol. 6(4), pages 531-551.

    Cited by:

    1. Saungweme, Talknice & Odhiambo, Nicholas M, 2021. "Does public debt granger-cause inflation? A multivariate analysis," Working Papers 28342, University of South Africa, Department of Economics.
    2. Jakob De Haan & Jan Egbert Sturm, 1992. "The Case for Central Bank Independence," BNL Quarterly Review, Banca Nazionale del Lavoro, vol. 45(182), pages 305-327.
    3. Khieu Van, Hoang, 2014. "Budget deficit, money growth and inflation: Empirical evidence from Vietnam," MPRA Paper 54488, University Library of Munich, Germany, revised 12 Feb 2014.
    4. T. Saungweme & N.M. Odhiambo, 2021. "Does Public Debt Granger-Cause Inflation In Tanzania? A Multivariate Analysis," Working Papers AESRI-2021-25, African Economic and Social Research Institute (AESRI), revised Dec 2022.
    5. Richard C. K. Burdekin & Leroy O. Laney, 2016. "Fiscal policymaking and the central bank institutional constraint Una Vez Más: New Latin American evidence," Public Choice, Springer, vol. 167(3), pages 277-289, June.
    6. Bilin Neyapti, 2003. "Budget Deficits and Inflation: The Roles of Central Bank Independence and Financial Market Development," Contemporary Economic Policy, Western Economic Association International, vol. 21(4), pages 458-475, October.
    7. Saungweme, Talknice & Odhiambo, Nicholas M., 2022. "Does Public Debt Granger-Cause Inflation in Tanzania? A Multivariate Analysis," Economia Internazionale / International Economics, Camera di Commercio Industria Artigianato Agricoltura di Genova, vol. 75(1), pages 75-100.

  196. Fishe, Raymond P H & Wohar, Mark, 1990. "The Adjustment of Expectations to a Change in Regime: Comment," American Economic Review, American Economic Association, vol. 80(4), pages 968-976, September.

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    1. Clemens J. M. Kool & Daniel L. Thornton, 2003. "A note on the expectations hypothesis at the founding of the Fed," Working Papers 2000-004, Federal Reserve Bank of St. Louis.
    2. Asaf Bernstein & Eric Hughson & Marc D. Weidenmier, 2008. "Can a Lender of Last Resort Stabilize Financial Markets? Lessons from the Founding of the Fed," NBER Working Papers 14422, National Bureau of Economic Research, Inc.
    3. Bordo, Michael D. & Schwartz, Anna J., 1999. "Monetary policy regimes and economic performance: The historical record," Handbook of Macroeconomics, in: J. B. Taylor & M. Woodford (ed.), Handbook of Macroeconomics, edition 1, volume 1, chapter 3, pages 149-234, Elsevier.
    4. Reinhart, Carmen & Felton, Andrew, 2008. "The First Global Financial Crisis of the 21st Century," MPRA Paper 11862, University Library of Munich, Germany.
    5. P. Newbold & S. J. Leybourne & R. Sollis & M. E. Wohar, 2001. "U.S. and U.K. Interest Rates 1890 - 1934: New Evidence on Structural Breaks," Trinity Economics Papers 20011, Trinity College Dublin, Department of Economics.
    6. Gary B. Gorton & Andrew Metrick, 2013. "The Federal Reserve and Financial Regulation: The First Hundred Years," NBER Working Papers 19292, National Bureau of Economic Research, Inc.
    7. Gilbert, R. Alton, 2000. "The Advent of the Federal Reserve and the Efficiency of the Payments System: The Collection of Checks, 1915-1930," Explorations in Economic History, Elsevier, vol. 37(2), pages 121-148, April.
    8. Eugene N. White, 2011. ""To Establish a More Effective Supervision of Banking": How the Birth of the Fed Altered Bank Supervision," NBER Working Papers 16825, National Bureau of Economic Research, Inc.
    9. R. Alton Gilbert, 1999. "Effects of Federal Reserve services on the efficiency of the system for collecting checks in the United States: 1915--30," Working Papers 1999-014, Federal Reserve Bank of St. Louis.
    10. Eugene N. White, 2009. "Lessons from the Great American Real Estate Boom and Bust of the 1920s," NBER Working Papers 15573, National Bureau of Economic Research, Inc.
    11. Santos, Joseph, 2003. "Commodity futures contracts: Furnishing an elastic currency in the nineteenth century," Journal of Macroeconomics, Elsevier, vol. 25(4), pages 561-578, December.
    12. Gary Gorton & Andrew Metrick, 2013. "The Federal Reserve and Panic Prevention: The Roles of Financial Regulation and Lender of Last Resort," Journal of Economic Perspectives, American Economic Association, vol. 27(4), pages 45-64, Fall.
    13. Bernstein, Asaf & Hughson, Eric & Weidenmier, Marc D., 2010. "Identifying the effects of a lender of last resort on financial markets: Lessons from the founding of the fed," Journal of Financial Economics, Elsevier, vol. 98(1), pages 40-53, October.
    14. Hubbard, Raymond & Vetter, Daniel E., 1996. "An empirical comparison of published replication research in accounting, economics, finance, management, and marketing," Journal of Business Research, Elsevier, vol. 35(2), pages 153-164, February.

  197. Turnovsky, Stephen J & Wohar, Mark E, 1987. "Alternative Modes of Deficit Financing and Endogeneous Monetary and Fiscal Policy in the U.S.A. 1923-1982," Journal of Applied Econometrics, John Wiley & Sons, Ltd., vol. 2(1), pages 1-25, January.

    Cited by:

    1. Arora, Harjit K. & Smyth, David J., 1995. "Presidential regimes and the federal reserve's accommodation of federal budget deficits," The North American Journal of Economics and Finance, Elsevier, vol. 6(1), pages 53-63.

  198. Turnovsky, Stephen J & Wohar, Mark E, 1984. "Monetarism and the Aggregate Economy: Some Longer-Run Evidence," The Review of Economics and Statistics, MIT Press, vol. 66(4), pages 619-629, November.

    Cited by:

    1. Stephen J. Turnovsky, 1987. "Alternative Modes of Deficit Financing and Endogenous Monetary and Fiscal Policy 1923-1982," NBER Working Papers 2123, National Bureau of Economic Research, Inc.
    2. Akhtar Hossain, 1990. "The Monetarist versus the Neo-Keynesian Views on the Acceleration of Inflation: Some Evidence from South Asian Countries (with Special Emphasis on Pakistan)," The Pakistan Development Review, Pakistan Institute of Development Economics, vol. 29(1), pages 19-32.
    3. Maganya, Mnaku H. & Ndanshau, Michael O. A., 2020. "Money and Output in Tanzania: A Test for Causality," African Journal of Economic Review, African Journal of Economic Review, vol. 8(2), July.
    4. Quentin Giai Gianetto & Hamdi Raïssi, 2015. "Testing Instantaneous Causality in Presence of Nonconstant Unconditional Covariance," Journal of Business & Economic Statistics, Taylor & Francis Journals, vol. 33(1), pages 46-53, January.
    5. JONATHAN D. JONES & NASIR M. KHIUl, 1988. "Money Growth, Inflation, and Causality (EmpiricalEvidence for Pakistan, 1973-1985)," The Pakistan Development Review, Pakistan Institute of Development Economics, vol. 27(1), pages 45-58.
    6. Eltejaei , Ebrahim & Montazeri Shoorekchali , Jalal, 2021. "Investigating the Relationship between Money Growth and Inflation in Turkey: A Nonlinear Causality Approach," Journal of Money and Economy, Monetary and Banking Research Institute, Central Bank of the Islamic Republic of Iran, vol. 16(3), pages 305-322, September.
    7. Victor Pinga & Gerald Nelson, 2001. "Money, prices and causality: monetarist versus structuralist explanations using pooled country evidence," Applied Economics, Taylor & Francis Journals, vol. 33(10), pages 1271-1281.
    8. Tang, Chor Foon, 2008. "Is inflation always a monetary phenomenon in Malaysia?," MPRA Paper 19778, University Library of Munich, Germany.
    9. Chor Foon Tang & Ilhan Ozturk, 2017. "Can Inflation be Claimed as a Monetary Phenomenon? The Malaysian Experience," International Journal of Economics and Financial Issues, Econjournals, vol. 7(3), pages 453-460.

  199. Nelson, Randy A & Wohar, Mark E, 1983. "Regulation, Scale Economies, and Productivity in Steam-Electric Generation," International Economic Review, Department of Economics, University of Pennsylvania and Osaka University Institute of Social and Economic Research Association, vol. 24(1), pages 57-79, February.

    Cited by:

    1. Takanori Ida & Tetsuya Kuwahara, 2004. "Yardstick Cost Comparison and Economies of Scale and Scope in Japan's Electric Power Industry," Asian Economic Journal, East Asian Economic Association, vol. 18(4), pages 423-438, December.
    2. Hisnanick, John J. & Kymn, Kern O., 1999. "Modeling economies of scale: the case of US electric power companies," Energy Economics, Elsevier, vol. 21(3), pages 225-237, June.
    3. Ali Akkemik, K., 2009. "Cost function estimates, scale economies and technological progress in the Turkish electricity generation sector," Energy Policy, Elsevier, vol. 37(1), pages 204-213, January.
    4. Philipp Steinbrunner, 2023. "I want a quiet life! On productivity and competition in the Central European energy sector," Economics of Transition and Institutional Change, John Wiley & Sons, vol. 31(2), pages 403-428, April.
    5. Fumitoshi Mizutani & Eri Nakamura, 2017. "How do governance factors affect inefficiency? Stochastic frontier analysis of public utility firms in Japan," Economia e Politica Industriale: Journal of Industrial and Business Economics, Springer;Associazione Amici di Economia e Politica Industriale, vol. 44(3), pages 267-289, September.
    6. Verdolini, Elena & Johnstone, Nick & Hascic, Ivan, 2011. "Technological Change, Fuel Efficiency and Carbon Intensity in Electricity Generation: A Cross-Country Empirical Study," Climate Change and Sustainable Development 120043, Fondazione Eni Enrico Mattei (FEEM).
    7. Ajayi, Victor & Weyman-Jones, Thomas & Glass, Anthony, 2017. "Cost efficiency and electricity market structure: A case study of OECD countries," Energy Economics, Elsevier, vol. 65(C), pages 283-291.
    8. McNerney, James & Doyne Farmer, J. & Trancik, Jessika E., 2011. "Historical costs of coal-fired electricity and implications for the future," Energy Policy, Elsevier, vol. 39(6), pages 3042-3054, June.
    9. Subal C. Kumbhakar, 1996. "Le ralentissement de la productivité des entreprises d'électricité au Texas : le rôle des marges, des rendements d'échelle et du progrès technique," Économie et Prévision, Programme National Persée, vol. 126(5), pages 77-89.
    10. Edwin R. Dean & Kent Kunze, 1992. "Productivity Measurement in Service Industries," NBER Chapters, in: Output Measurement in the Service Sectors, pages 73-107, National Bureau of Economic Research, Inc.
    11. Gerald Granderson, 2000. "Regulation, Open-Access Transportation, and Productive Efficiency," Review of Industrial Organization, Springer;The Industrial Organization Society, vol. 16(3), pages 251-266, May.
    12. Jin-Peng Liu & Qian-Ru Yang & Lin He, 2017. "Total-Factor Energy Efficiency (TFEE) Evaluation on Thermal Power Industry with DEA, Malmquist and Multiple Regression Techniques," Energies, MDPI, vol. 10(7), pages 1-14, July.
    13. Gerald Granderson & Finn Forsund, 2014. "Rate of return regulation and the Le Chatelier principle," Journal of Productivity Analysis, Springer, vol. 41(2), pages 263-275, April.
    14. Chang, Dong-Shang & Chen, Yi-Tui & Chen, Wen-Den, 2009. "The exogenous factors affecting the cost efficiency of power generation," Energy Policy, Elsevier, vol. 37(12), pages 5540-5545, December.
    15. Gerald Granderson & C. A. Knox Lovell, 1998. "The Impact of Regulation on Input Substitution and Operating Cost," Southern Economic Journal, John Wiley & Sons, vol. 65(1), pages 83-97, July.
    16. Mervi Taalas, 1997. "Generalised Cost Functions for Producers of Performing Arts – Allocative Inefficiencies and Scale Economies in Theatres," Journal of Cultural Economics, Springer;The Association for Cultural Economics International, vol. 21(4), pages 335-353, December.
    17. Robert W. Kling, 1989. "General Equilibrium Effects of Regulation," The American Economist, Sage Publications, vol. 33(2), pages 53-59, October.
    18. Gerald Granderson, 2006. "Externalities, efficiency, regulation, and productivity growth in the U.S. electric utility industry," Journal of Productivity Analysis, Springer, vol. 26(3), pages 269-287, December.
    19. Travaglini, Giuseppe, 2012. "Trade-off between labor productivity and capital accumulation in Italian energy sector," Journal of Policy Modeling, Elsevier, vol. 34(1), pages 35-48.
    20. Førsund, Finn & Granderson, Gerald, 2013. "The impacts of the Clean Air Act on production cost, and the substitution between inputs in the electric utility industry," Energy Economics, Elsevier, vol. 40(C), pages 785-794.
    21. Fumitoshi Mizutani & Eri Nakamura, 2016. "Factors Affecting Inefficiency Level: Stochastic Frontier Analysis of Public Utility Firms in Japan," Discussion Papers 2016-02, Kobe University, Graduate School of Business Administration.
    22. Ramos-Real, Francisco Javier, 2005. "Cost functions and the electric utility industry. A contribution to the debate on deregulation," Energy Policy, Elsevier, vol. 33(1), pages 69-87, January.
    23. Gerald Granderson & Diego Prior, 2013. "Environmental externalities and regulation constrained cost productivity growth in the US electric utility industry," Journal of Productivity Analysis, Springer, vol. 39(3), pages 243-257, June.
    24. Fumitoshi Mizutani & Eri Nakamura, 2013. "Regulation, Competition, Diversification, Governance and Costs: An Empirical Analysis of Public Utility and Manufacturing Firms in Japan," Discussion Papers 2013-25, Kobe University, Graduate School of Business Administration.
    25. Fumitoshi Mizutani & Eri Nakamura, 2014. "What Most Affects A Firm' s Costs: Internal or External Factors, or Both?," Discussion Papers 2014-22, Kobe University, Graduate School of Business Administration.
    26. Gerald Granderson, 1999. "The Impact of Regulation on Technical Change," Southern Economic Journal, John Wiley & Sons, vol. 65(4), pages 807-822, April.
    27. Rafael Domenech Vilariño, 1993. "Funciones de costes para la banca española: un análisis con datos de panel," Investigaciones Economicas, Fundación SEPI, vol. 17(2), pages 263-284, May.
    28. Gerald Granderson & Carl Linvill, 1999. "Parametric and Nonparametric Approaches to Benchmarking the Regulated Firm," Journal of Productivity Analysis, Springer, vol. 12(3), pages 211-231, November.
    29. Nemoto, Jiro & Goto, Mika, 2004. "Technological externalities and economies of vertical integration in the electric utility industry," International Journal of Industrial Organization, Elsevier, vol. 22(1), pages 67-81, January.

Chapters

    Sorry, no citations of chapters recorded.

Books

  1. Jun Ma & Mark Wohar (ed.), 2014. "Recent Advances in Estimating Nonlinear Models," Springer Books, Springer, edition 127, number 978-1-4614-8060-0, September.

    Cited by:

    1. P.A.V.B. Swamy & I-Lok Chang & Jatinder S. Mehta & William H. Greene & Stephen G. Hall & George S. Tavlas, 2016. "Removing Specification Errors from the Usual Formulation of Binary Choice Models," Econometrics, MDPI, vol. 4(2), pages 1-21, June.
    2. Alfred Haug & Syed Basher & Perry Sadorsky, 2016. "The impact of oil price shocks on exchange rates: A non-linear smooth-transition approach," EcoMod2016 9226, EcoMod.
    3. Oguzhan Cepni & Rangan Gupta, 2020. "Time-Varying Impact of Monetary Policy Shocks on U.S. Stock Returns: The Role of Investor Sentiment," Working Papers 202039, University of Pretoria, Department of Economics.
    4. Rangan Gupta & Jacobus Nel & Christian Pierdzioch, 2021. "Investor Confidence and Forecastability of US Stock Market Realized Volatility : Evidence from Machine Learning," Working Papers 202118, University of Pretoria, Department of Economics.
    5. Catherine Doz & Laurent Ferrara & Pierre-Alain Pionnier, 2020. "Business cycle dynamics after the Great Recession: An Extended Markov-Switching Dynamic Factor Model," Working Papers halshs-02443364, HAL.
    6. P.A.V.B. Swamy & Jatinder S. Mehta & I-Lok Chang, 2017. "Endogeneity, Time-Varying Coefficients, and Incorrect vs. Correct Ways of Specifying the Error Terms of Econometric Models," Econometrics, MDPI, vol. 5(1), pages 1-17, February.
    7. Pierre Perron & Mototsugu Shintani & Tomoyoshi Yabu, 2015. "Testing for Flexible Nonlinear Trends with an Integrated or Stationary Noise Component," Vanderbilt University Department of Economics Working Papers 15-00001, Vanderbilt University Department of Economics.
    8. Beylunioğlu Fuat C. & Yazgan M. Ege & Stengos Thanasis, 2018. "Regime switching with structural breaks in output convergence," Studies in Nonlinear Dynamics & Econometrics, De Gruyter, vol. 22(3), pages 1-17, June.
    9. Philip Bertram & Teresa Flock & Jun Ma & Philipp Sibbertsen, 2022. "Real Exchange Rates and Fundamentals in a new Markov‐STAR Model," Oxford Bulletin of Economics and Statistics, Department of Economics, University of Oxford, vol. 84(2), pages 356-379, April.
    10. Alfred A. Haug & Syed Abul Basher, 2019. "Exchange rates of oil exporting countries and global oil price shocks: a nonlinear smooth-transition approach," Applied Economics, Taylor & Francis Journals, vol. 51(48), pages 5282-5296, October.
    11. Fossati, Sebastian, 2017. "Testing for State-Dependent Predictive Ability," Working Papers 2017-9, University of Alberta, Department of Economics.
    12. Swamy, P.A.V.B. & Mehta, J.S. & Tavlas, G.S. & Hall, S.G., 2015. "Two applications of the random coefficient procedure: Correcting for misspecifications in a small area level model and resolving Simpson's paradox," Economic Modelling, Elsevier, vol. 45(C), pages 93-98.
    13. Oguzhan Cepni & Rangan Gupta & Qiang Ji, 2021. "Sentiment Regimes and Reaction of Stock Markets to Conventional and Unconventional Monetary Policies: Evidence from OECD Countries," Working Papers 202126, University of Pretoria, Department of Economics.
    14. Chauvet, Marcelle & Senyuz, Zeynep, 2016. "A dynamic factor model of the yield curve components as a predictor of the economy," International Journal of Forecasting, Elsevier, vol. 32(2), pages 324-343.
    15. Winkelried, Diego, 2015. "Unit Roots, Flexible Trends and the Prebisch-Singer Hypothesis," Working Papers 2015-007, Banco Central de Reserva del Perú.
    16. P.A.V.B. Swamy & Stephen G. Hall & George S. Tavlas & I-Lok Chang & Heather D. Gibson & William H. Greene & Jatinder S. Mehta, 2016. "A Method for Measuring Treatment Effects on the Treated without Randomization," Econometrics, MDPI, vol. 4(2), pages 1-23, March.
    17. Afees A. Salisu & Rangan Gupta, 2021. "Commodity Prices and Forecastability of South African Stock Returns Over a Century: Sentiments versus Fundamentals," Working Papers 202144, University of Pretoria, Department of Economics.
    18. Guido Erreygers & Philip Clarke & Qiong Zheng, 2017. "On the measurement of socioeconomic inequality of health between countries," The Journal of Economic Inequality, Springer;Society for the Study of Economic Inequality, vol. 15(2), pages 175-193, June.
    19. Alper Kara & Dilem Yıldırım & Gül İpek Tunç, 2021. "Market Efficiency In Non-Renewable Resource Markets: Evidence From Stationarity Tests With Structural Changes," ERC Working Papers 2103, ERC - Economic Research Center, Middle East Technical University, revised Apr 2021.

  2. Siklos,Pierre L. & Bohl,Martin T. & Wohar,Mark E. (ed.), 2013. "Challenges in Central Banking," Cambridge Books, Cambridge University Press, number 9781107616493.

    Cited by:

    1. Donato Masciandaro & Davide Romelli, 2017. "Optimal Currency Area and European Monetary Membership: Economics and Political Economy," BAFFI CAREFIN Working Papers 1760, BAFFI CAREFIN, Centre for Applied Research on International Markets Banking Finance and Regulation, Universita' Bocconi, Milano, Italy.

  3. Siklos,Pierre L. & Bohl,Martin T. & Wohar,Mark E. (ed.), 2010. "Challenges in Central Banking," Cambridge Books, Cambridge University Press, number 9780521199292.

    Cited by:

    1. Eijffinger, Sylvester & Hoogduin, Lex & van der Cruijsen, Carin, 2008. "Optimal Central Bank Transparency," CEPR Discussion Papers 6889, C.E.P.R. Discussion Papers.
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    3. Pierre L. Siklos, Matthias Neuenkirch, 2014. "How Monetary Policy is Made: Two Canadian Tales," LCERPA Working Papers 0075, Laurier Centre for Economic Research and Policy Analysis, revised 01 Mar 2014.
    4. Szabolcs Deák & Paul Levine & Afrasiab Mirza & Joseph Pearlman, 2019. "Designing Robust Monetary Policy Using Prediction Pools," School of Economics Discussion Papers 1219, School of Economics, University of Surrey.
    5. M. Neuenkirch, P. Siklos, 2014. "When Is Lift-Off? Evaluating Forward Guidance From The Shadow," LCERPA Working Papers wm0066, Laurier Centre for Economic Research and Policy Analysis.
    6. Berger, Helge & Nitsch, Volker, 2008. "Too many cooks? Committees in monetary policy," Discussion Papers 2008/8, Free University Berlin, School of Business & Economics.
    7. Neuenkirch, Matthias, 2012. "Managing financial market expectations: The role of central bank transparency and central bank communication," European Journal of Political Economy, Elsevier, vol. 28(1), pages 1-13.
    8. Richard C.K. Burdekin & Kris James Mitchener & Marc D. Weidenmier, 2011. "Irving Fisher and Price-Level Targeting in Austria: Was Silver the Answer?," NBER Working Papers 17123, National Bureau of Economic Research, Inc.
    9. Bernd Hayo & Ummad Mazhar, 2011. "Monetary Policy Committee Transparency: Measurement,Determinants, and Economic Effects," MAGKS Papers on Economics 201140, Philipps-Universität Marburg, Faculty of Business Administration and Economics, Department of Economics (Volkswirtschaftliche Abteilung).
    10. Camille Cornand & Frank Heinemann, 2014. "Experiments on Monetary Policy and Central Banking," Research in Experimental Economics, in: Experiments in Macroeconomics, volume 17, pages 167-227, Emerald Group Publishing Limited.
    11. Sheng-Yeh, Wu & Guan-Ru, Chen, 2020. "Price Stickiness under Stochastic Demand," Bulletin of Applied Economics, Risk Market Journals, vol. 7(2), pages 109-117.
    12. Kenneth N. Kuttner & Adam S. Posen, 2011. "How Flexible Can Inflation Targeting Be and Still Work?," Working Paper Series WP11-15, Peterson Institute for International Economics.
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    14. Ichiro Muto, 2007. "Productivity Growth, Transparency, and Monetary Policy," IMES Discussion Paper Series 07-E-08, Institute for Monetary and Economic Studies, Bank of Japan.
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    16. Bernd Hayo & Florian Neumeier, 2017. "Explaining Central Bank Trust in an Inflation Targeting Country: The Case of the Reserve Bank of New Zealand," MAGKS Papers on Economics 201728, Philipps-Universität Marburg, Faculty of Business Administration and Economics, Department of Economics (Volkswirtschaftliche Abteilung).
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    37. Paul Levine & Joseph Pearlman & Bo Yang, 2012. "Imperfect Information, Optimal Monetary Policy and Informational Consistency," School of Economics Discussion Papers 1012, School of Economics, University of Surrey.
    38. William T. Gavin & Benjamin D. Keen & Michael R. Pakko, 2012. "Taylor-type rules and total factor productivity," Review, Federal Reserve Bank of St. Louis, vol. 94(Jan), pages 41-64.
    39. Mai, Nhat Chi, 2016. "The Influence Of Macroeconomic Announcements Into Vietnamese Stock Market Volatility," OSF Preprints ydmhx, Center for Open Science.
    40. Horváth Roman & Šmídková Kateřina & Zápal Jan, 2016. "Voting in Central Banks: Theory versus Stylized Facts," The B.E. Journal of Economic Analysis & Policy, De Gruyter, vol. 16(4), pages 1-62, October.
    41. Bernd Hayo & Florian Neumeier, 2018. "Central Bank Independence in New Zealand: Public Knowledge About and Attitude Towards the Policy Target Agreement," ifo Working Paper Series 266, ifo Institute - Leibniz Institute for Economic Research at the University of Munich.
    42. Carbone, Jared C. & Gazzale, Robert S., 2017. "A shared sense of responsibility: Money versus effort contributions in the voluntary provision of public goods," Journal of Economic Behavior & Organization, Elsevier, vol. 139(C), pages 74-87.
    43. Stephen M. Miller & WenShwo Fang & Ozkan Eren, 2012. "Inflation Targeting: Does It Improve Economic Performance?," Working Papers 1207, University of Nevada, Las Vegas , Department of Economics.
    44. Dai, Meixing & Spyromitros, Eleftherios, 2012. "Inflation contract, central bank transparency and model uncertainty," Economic Modelling, Elsevier, vol. 29(6), pages 2371-2381.
    45. Carsten Hefeker, 2019. "Political polarization, term length and too much delegation," Constitutional Political Economy, Springer, vol. 30(1), pages 50-69, March.
    46. Cornel Oros & Blandine Zimmer, 2015. "Uncertainty and fiscal policy in a monetary union: Why does monetary policy transmission matter?," Post-Print hal-01233214, HAL.
    47. Tavana, Madjid & Behzadian, Majid & Pirdashti, Mohsen & Pirdashti, Hasan, 2013. "A PROMETHEE-GDSS for oil and gas pipeline planning in the Caspian Sea basin," Energy Economics, Elsevier, vol. 36(C), pages 716-728.
    48. Philipp Hartman & Frank Smets, 2018. "The European Central Bank’s Monetary Policy during Its First 20 Years," Brookings Papers on Economic Activity, Economic Studies Program, The Brookings Institution, vol. 49(2 (Fall)), pages 1-146.
    49. Dai, Meixing & Sidiropoulos, Moïse, 2010. "Monetary and fiscal policy interactions with central bank transparency and public investment," MPRA Paper 23704, University Library of Munich, Germany.
    50. Donato Masciandaro & Davide Romelli, 2017. "Optimal Currency Area and European Monetary Membership: Economics and Political Economy," BAFFI CAREFIN Working Papers 1760, BAFFI CAREFIN, Centre for Applied Research on International Markets Banking Finance and Regulation, Universita' Bocconi, Milano, Italy.
    51. Giuseppe Ciccarone & Enrico Marchetti, 2012. "Optimal linear contracts under common agency and uncertain central bank preferences," Public Choice, Springer, vol. 150(1), pages 263-282, January.
    52. Tavana, Madjid & Pirdashti, Mohsen & Kennedy, Dennis T. & Belaud, Jean-Pierre & Behzadian, Majid, 2012. "A hybrid Delphi-SWOT paradigm for oil and gas pipeline strategic planning in Caspian Sea basin," Energy Policy, Elsevier, vol. 40(C), pages 345-360.
    53. Florin Cornel DUMITER, 2014. "Central Bank Independence, Transparency and Accountability Indexes: a Survey," Timisoara Journal of Economics and Business, West University of Timisoara, Romania, Faculty of Economics and Business Administration, vol. 7(1), pages 35-54.
    54. Carsten Hefeker & Blandine Zimmer, 2015. "Optimal Conservatism and Collective Monetary Policymaking under Uncertainty," Open Economies Review, Springer, vol. 26(2), pages 259-278, April.
    55. Pierre L. Siklos, 2018. "Has Monetary Policy Changed? How the Crisis Shifted the Ground Under Central Banks," Working Paper series 18-10, Rimini Centre for Economic Analysis.
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    58. Donato Masciandaro & Marc Quintyn, 2013. "The Evolution of Financial Supervision: the Continuing Search for the Holy Grail," SUERF 50th Anniversary Volume Chapters, in: Morten Balling & Ernest Gnan (ed.), 50 Years of Money and Finance: Lessons and Challenges, chapter 8, pages 263-318, SUERF - The European Money and Finance Forum.
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    66. Sylvester Eijffinger & Ronald Mahieu & Louis Raes, 2016. "Monetary Policy Committees, Voting Behavior and Ideal Points," BAFFI CAREFIN Working Papers 1628, BAFFI CAREFIN, Centre for Applied Research on International Markets Banking Finance and Regulation, Universita' Bocconi, Milano, Italy.
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