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Housing Investment and the U.S. Economy: How Have the Relationships Changed?

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Author Info
William Miles () (Wichita State University)
Abstract

Previous research has found that housing investment has a disproportionate role in the U.S. business cycle. This paper demonstrates that the relationship between housing and the rest of the economy has changed since financial deregulation and innovation in the early1980s. In particular, residential investment increases both consumption, as well as non-residential investment palpably more than in years past. Additionally, in the pre-deregulation years, non-residential investment appeared to crowd out housing activity. However, the results indicate that this effect is smaller in the present era than before the early 1980s, in all likelihood due to the switch from thrift-based financing of home mortgages to the current system in which secondary mortgage markets play a predominant role.

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File URL: http://aux.zicklin.baruch.cuny.edu/jrer/papers/pdf/new_current/vol31n03/04.329_350.pdf
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Publisher Info
Article provided by American Real Estate Society in its journal journal of Real Estate Research.

Volume (Year): 31 (2009)
Issue (Month): 3 ()
Pages: 329-350
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Handle: RePEc:jre:issued:v:31:n:3:2009:p:329-350

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Postal: American Real Estate Society Clemson University School of Business & Behavioral Science Department of Finance 401 Sirrine Hall Clemson, SC 29634-1323
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Postal: Diane Quarles American Real Estate Society Manager of Member Services Clemson University Box 341323 Clemson, SC 29634-1323
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Find related papers by JEL classification:
L85 - Industrial Organization - - Industry Studies: Services - - - Real Estate Services

References listed on IDEAS
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  1. Schwert, G William, 1989. "Tests for Unit Roots: A Monte Carlo Investigation," Journal of Business & Economic Statistics, American Statistical Association, vol. 7(2), pages 147-59, April.
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  2. Edward E. Leamer, 2007. "Housing is the business cycle," Proceedings, Federal Reserve Bank of Kansas City, pages 149-233. [Downloadable!]
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  3. Stephen A. Pyhrr & Stephen E. Roulac & Waldo L. Born, 1999. "Real Estate Cycles and Their Strategic Implications for Investors and Portfolio Managers in the Global Economy," Journal of Real Estate Research, American Real Estate Society, vol. 18(1), pages 7-68. [Downloadable!]
  4. Dynan, Karen E. & Elmendorf, Douglas W. & Sichel, Daniel E., 2006. "Can financial innovation help to explain the reduced volatility of economic activity?," Journal of Monetary Economics, Elsevier, vol. 53(1), pages 123-150, January. [Downloadable!] (restricted)
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  5. Ronald W. Kaiser, 1997. "The Long Cycle of Real Estate," Journal of Real Estate Research, American Real Estate Society, vol. 14(3), pages 233-258. [Downloadable!]
  6. Edwin S. Mills, 1987. "Has the United States Overinvested in Housing?," Real Estate Economics, American Real Estate and Urban Economics Association, vol. 15(1), pages 601-616. [Downloadable!] (restricted)
  7. Paul R. Goebel & Christopher K. Ma, 1993. "The Integration of Mortgage Markets and Capital Markets," Real Estate Economics, American Real Estate and Urban Economics Association, vol. 21(4), pages 511-538. [Downloadable!] (restricted)
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This page was last updated on 2009-12-3.


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