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Examining the flight-to-safety with the implied volatilities

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  • Sarwar, Ghulam

Abstract

This paper investigates the flight-to-safety phenomenon by examining the interactions between the stock market volatility (VIX) and volatilities of the Treasury note, gold, and silver markets. We find that increases in VIX lead to contemporaneous and delayed increases in the volatilities of T-note, gold, and silver prices. The VIX Granger causes the volatilities of T-note, gold, and silver markets, but the latter volatilities do not predict the stock market volatility. Changes in VIX explain more of volatility increases in T-note and gold prices during the financial crisis than in other periods. The leading positive effect of VIX on other expected volatilities, along with the possible negative asset correlations, complements the cross-market hedging and is consistent with the flight-to-safety phenomenon.

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  • Sarwar, Ghulam, 2017. "Examining the flight-to-safety with the implied volatilities," Finance Research Letters, Elsevier, vol. 20(C), pages 118-124.
    • Handle: RePEc:eee:finlet:v:20:y:2017:i:c:p:118-124
    DOI: 10.1016/j.frl.2016.09.015
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    10. Urom, Christian & Ndubuisi, Gideon & Ozor, Jude, 2021. "Economic activity, and financial and commodity markets’ shocks: An analysis of implied volatility indexes," International Economics, Elsevier, vol. 165(C), pages 51-66.
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    17. Riadh Abed & Amna Zardoub, 2019. "On the co-movements among gold and other financial markets: a multivariate time-varying asymmetric approach," International Economics and Economic Policy, Springer, vol. 16(4), pages 701-719, October.

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    More about this item

    Keywords

    Flight-to-safety; VIX; Implied volatilities;
    All these keywords.

    JEL classification:

    • G11 - Financial Economics - - General Financial Markets - - - Portfolio Choice; Investment Decisions
    • G15 - Financial Economics - - General Financial Markets - - - International Financial Markets

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