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Spurious Persistence and Unit Roots due to Seasonal Differencing: The Case of Inflation Rates

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Author Info
Uwe Hassler () (Universitaet Frankfurt)
Matei Demetrescu () (Universitaet Frankfurt)

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Abstract

Studying annual growth rates (seasonal differences) in case of seasonal data produces much more persistence, autocorrelation and stronger evidence in favour of a unit root than analyzing seasonal growth rates (ordinary differences). First, this statement is quantified theoretically. Second, it is supported experimentally which simulations, and, finally, it is empirically illustrated with quarterly GDP deflators from 7 European economies.

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Publisher Info
Article provided by Justus-Liebig University Giessen, Department of Statistics and Economics in its journal Journal of Economics and Statistics.

Volume (Year): 225 (2005)
Issue (Month): 4 (July)
Pages: 413-426
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Handle: RePEc:jns:jbstat:v:225:y:2005:i:4:p:413-426

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Web page: http://wiwi.uni-giessen.de/home/oekonometrie/Jahrbuecher/
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Related research
Keywords: Annual growth rates; nonstationarity; Dickey-Fuller test; loss of power;

Find related papers by JEL classification:
C22 - Mathematical and Quantitative Methods - - Single Equation Models; Single Variables - - - Time-Series Models; Dynamic Quantile Regressions
E31 - Macroeconomics and Monetary Economics - - Prices, Business Fluctuations, and Cycles - - - Price Level; Inflation; Deflation

Cited by:
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  1. Giovanni Caggiano & Efrem Castelnuovo, 2008. "Long Memory and Non-Linearities in International Inflation," "Marco Fanno" Working Papers 0076, Dipartimento di Scienze Economiche "Marco Fanno". [Downloadable!]
Statistics
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This page was last updated on 2009-12-17.


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