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Spillovers between food and energy prices and structural breaks

Author

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  • Al-Maadid, Alanoud
  • Caporale, Guglielmo Maria
  • Spagnolo, Fabio
  • Spagnolo, Nicola

Abstract

This paper estimates a bivariate VAR-GARCH(1,1) model to examine linkages between food and energy prices. The adopted framework is suitable to analyse both mean and volatility spillovers, and also allows for possible parameter shifts resulting from four recent events, namely: (1) the 2006 food crisis, (2) the Brent oil bubble, (3) the introduction of the Renewable Fuel Standard (RFS) policy, and (4) the 2008 global financial crisis. The empirical findings suggest that there are significant linkages between food and both oil and ethanol prices. Further, the four events considered had mixed effects, the 2006 food crisis and 2008 financial crisis leading to the most significant shifts in the (volatility) spillovers between the price series considered.

Suggested Citation

  • Al-Maadid, Alanoud & Caporale, Guglielmo Maria & Spagnolo, Fabio & Spagnolo, Nicola, 2017. "Spillovers between food and energy prices and structural breaks," International Economics, Elsevier, vol. 150(C), pages 1-18.
    • Handle: RePEc:eee:inteco:v:150:y:2017:i:c:p:1-18
    DOI: 10.1016/j.inteco.2016.06.005
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    More about this item

    Keywords

    Energy and food prices; VAR-GARCH BEKK model; Mean and volatility spillovers;
    All these keywords.

    JEL classification:

    • C32 - Mathematical and Quantitative Methods - - Multiple or Simultaneous Equation Models; Multiple Variables - - - Time-Series Models; Dynamic Quantile Regressions; Dynamic Treatment Effect Models; Diffusion Processes; State Space Models
    • F36 - International Economics - - International Finance - - - Financial Aspects of Economic Integration
    • G15 - Financial Economics - - General Financial Markets - - - International Financial Markets

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