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Common Stochastic Trends among the Cyprus Stock Exchange and the ASE, LSE and NYSE

Author

Listed:
  • Eleni Constantinou

    (Department of Accounting and Finance, The Philips College, 4-6 Lamias Street, CY-2100, Nicosia,)

  • Avo Kazandjian

    (Department of Business Studies, The Philips College, 4-6 Lamias Street, CY-2100, Nicosia, Cyprus.)

  • George Kouretas

    (Department of Economics, University of Crete, Greece)

  • Vera Tahmazian

    (Department of Business Studies, The Philips College, 4-6 Lamias Street, CY-2100, Nicosia, Cyprus.)

Abstract

Common stochastic trends among major international stock price indices has been a very intensively analyzed issue mainly as a result of the 1987 stock market crash and the need for policy coordination in financial markets. This paper investigates the existence of common stochastic trends among an emerging equity market, the Cyprus Stock Exchange and three mature equity markets namely ASE, LSE and NYSE. The main finding of our analysis is that there is evidence of one long-run relationship among the four equity markets and therefore three common stochastic trends. We use the Gonzalo and Granger (1995) methodology to identify, estimate and test for the number of common trends that leads to permanent changes among the four stock markets. Furthermore, we identify as driving forces of the system the ASE, LSE and NYSE equity markets while the emerging stock market of Cyprus does not enter significantly the common trends. Finally, we show that although cointegration exists there are small long-run benefits from international portfolio diversification since the stock prices adjust very slowly to these common trends.

Suggested Citation

  • Eleni Constantinou & Avo Kazandjian & George Kouretas & Vera Tahmazian, 2005. "Common Stochastic Trends among the Cyprus Stock Exchange and the ASE, LSE and NYSE," Working Papers 0520, University of Crete, Department of Economics.
    • Handle: RePEc:crt:wpaper:0520
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    More about this item

    Keywords

    cointegration; common trends; identification; international stock markets;
    All these keywords.

    JEL classification:

    • G15 - Financial Economics - - General Financial Markets - - - International Financial Markets
    • G21 - Financial Economics - - Financial Institutions and Services - - - Banks; Other Depository Institutions; Micro Finance Institutions; Mortgages
    • G32 - Financial Economics - - Corporate Finance and Governance - - - Financing Policy; Financial Risk and Risk Management; Capital and Ownership Structure; Value of Firms; Goodwill
    • G34 - Financial Economics - - Corporate Finance and Governance - - - Mergers; Acquisitions; Restructuring; Corporate Governance

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