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Expectativas, tasa de interés y tasa de cambio: paridad cubierta y no cubierta en Colombia, 2000-2007

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Author Info
Juan José Echavarría
Diego Vásquez ()

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Abstract

En este trabajo se utilizan tasas marginales de interés, tasas de cambio forwards y encuestas sobre expectativas de devaluación con el fin de verificar las hipótesis de las paridades cubierta (PC) y no cubierta (PNC) de las tasas de interés en Colombia en el período 2000-2007. Se encuentra evidencia de cumplimiento de PC para períodos mayores o iguales a un día y de PNC en todos los plazos cuando se miden correctamente las variables. La “anomalía” que se detecta en algunos casos desaparece cuando se elimina el supuesto de expectativas racionales, y cuando se incorpora adecuadamente el riesgo país.

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Article provided by BANCO DE LA REPÚBLICA - ESPE in its journal ENSAYOS SOBRE POLÍTICA ECONÓMICA.

Volume (Year): (2008)
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Handle: RePEc:col:000107:005291

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This page was last updated on 2009-11-15.


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