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Breaking the trilemma: the effects of financial regulations on foreign assets

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  • David Perez-Reyna
  • Mauricio Villamizar-Villegas

Abstract

In this paper we analyze the effects of financial constraints on the exchange rate through the portfolio balance channel. Our contribution is twofold: First, we construct a tractable two-period general equilibrium model in which financial constraints inhibit capital flows. Hence, departures from the uncovered interest rate parity condition are used to explain the effects of sterilized foreign exchange intervention. Second, using high frequency data during 2004-2015, we use a sharp policy discontinuity within Colombian regulatory banking limits to empirically test for the portfolio balance channel. Consistent with our model's postulations, our findings suggest that the effects on the exchange rate are short-lived, and significant only when banking constraints are binding.

Suggested Citation

  • David Perez-Reyna & Mauricio Villamizar-Villegas, 2018. "Breaking the trilemma: the effects of financial regulations on foreign assets," BIS Working Papers 718, Bank for International Settlements.
    • Handle: RePEc:bis:biswps:718
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    More about this item

    Keywords

    liquidity dependence; macro-financial linkages; Smooth Transition Bayesian VAR;
    All these keywords.

    JEL classification:

    • G2 - Financial Economics - - Financial Institutions and Services
    • O16 - Economic Development, Innovation, Technological Change, and Growth - - Economic Development - - - Financial Markets; Saving and Capital Investment; Corporate Finance and Governance
    • C32 - Mathematical and Quantitative Methods - - Multiple or Simultaneous Equation Models; Multiple Variables - - - Time-Series Models; Dynamic Quantile Regressions; Dynamic Treatment Effect Models; Diffusion Processes; State Space Models

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