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Impacto de las Intervenciones Cambiarias sobre el Nivel y la Volatilidad de la Tasa de Cambio en Colombia

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Author Info

  • Juan José Echavarría

    ()

  • Diego Vásquez

    ()

  • Mauricio Villamizar

    ()

Abstract

Este trabajo evalúa los determinantes de las compras de divisas y su impacto sobre la tasa de cambio nominal en Colombia durante 2000-2008. Estimaciones Tobit muestran que el Banco Central compró divisas para compensar las reevaluaciones frente al día anterior y para corregir tendencias excesivas", cuando se redujo la presión inflacionaria y cuando el Banco Central tuvo una posición acreedora neta. La estimación de un modelo E-GARCH muestra que las compras de divisas devaluaron la tasa de cambio y redujeron su volatilidad, tanto en el corto (1 día) como en el mediano plazo (1 mes, 3 meses y 6 meses). Las posibles contradicciones macroeconómicas no fueron suficientemente fuertes como para afectar la función de reacción de las autoridades o el impacto de las intervenciones. El trabajo utiliza metodologías que permiten evaluar la estabilidad de los parámetros de la ecuación de media y de volatilidad para el modelo E-GARCH en forma simultánea."

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Bibliographic Info

Paper provided by BANCO DE LA REPÚBLICA in its series BORRADORES DE ECONOMIA with number 005509.

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Length: 45
Date of creation: 28 Apr 2009
Date of revision:
Handle: RePEc:col:000094:005509

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Related research

Keywords: Intervenciones cambiarias; monto; modalidades e impacto de las intervenciones; función de reaccióndel banco central; estabilidad de parámetros y estimación Tobit; E-GARCH.;

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Cited by:
  1. Andres Felipe García-Suaza & José E. Gómez González, 2011. "A simple test of momentum in foreign exchange markets," DOCUMENTOS DE TRABAJO 008170, UNIVERSIDAD DEL ROSARIO.
  2. Hernando Vargas Herrera & Andrés González & Diego Rodríguez, 2013. "Foreign Exchange Intervention in Colombia," BORRADORES DE ECONOMIA 010465, BANCO DE LA REPÚBLICA.
  3. Hernán Rincón & Jorge Toro, 2010. "Are Capital Controls and Central Bank Intervention Effective?," BORRADORES DE ECONOMIA 007622, BANCO DE LA REPÚBLICA.
  4. Mauricio Lopera Castaño & Ramón Javier Mesa Callejas & Sergio Iván Restrepo Ochoa & Charle Augusto Londoño Henao, 2013. "Modelando el esquema de intervenciones del tipo de cambio para Colombia. una aplicación empírica de la técnica de regresión del cuantil bajo redes neu," REVISTA CUADERNOS DE ECONOMÍA, UN - RCE - CID.
  5. Hernando Vargas & Andrés González & Diego Rodríguez, 2013. "Foreign exchange intervention in Colombia," BIS Papers chapters, in: Bank for International Settlements (ed.), Sovereign risk: a world without risk-free assets?, volume 73, pages 95-125 Bank for International Settlements.

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