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Are Foreign Exchange Intervention and Monetary Policy Related, and Does It Really Matter?

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Author Info
Lewis, Karen K
Abstract

The relationship between foreign exchange intervention and monetary policy underlies the question of whether sterilized interventions can affect the exchange rate. In this article, the author examines this relationship using data on U.S. foreign exchange interventions from 1985 to 1990, recently made publicly available. She examines whether interventions could be viewed as 'signaling' changes in future monetary policy variables. The author also considers whether changes in monetary policy may induce interventions in an effort by central bankers to 'lean against the wind' of exchange rate movements. Interestingly, she finds evidence both that interventions help predict monetary policy variables and that monetary variables help predict interventions. Copyright 1995 by University of Chicago Press.

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Publisher Info
Article provided by University of Chicago Press in its journal Journal of Business.

Volume (Year): 68 (1995)
Issue (Month): 2 (April)
Pages: 185-214
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Handle: RePEc:ucp:jnlbus:v:68:y:1995:i:2:p:185-214

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  1. Fischer, Andreas M, 2000. "Do Interventions Smooth Interest Rates?," CEPR Discussion Papers 2479, C.E.P.R. Discussion Papers. [Downloadable!] (restricted)
    Other versions:
  2. Vitale, Paolo, 2006. "A Market Microstructure Analysis of Foreign Exchange Intervention," CEPR Discussion Papers 5468, C.E.P.R. Discussion Papers. [Downloadable!] (restricted)
    Other versions:
  3. Pierre L. Siklos & Diana N. Weymark, 2006. "Measuring the Impact of Intervention on Exchange Market Pressure," Working Papers 0604, Department of Economics, Vanderbilt University. [Downloadable!]
    Other versions:
  4. Richard N. Cooper & Jane Sneddon Little, 2000. "U.S. monetary policy in an integrating world: 1960 to 2000," Conference Series ; [Proceedings], Federal Reserve Bank of Boston, issue Oct, pages 77-121. [Downloadable!]
  5. Rasmus Fatum & Barry Scholnick, 2003. "Do Exchange Rates Respond to Day-to-Day Changes in Monetary Policy Expectations? Evidence from the Federal Funds Futures Market," Santa Cruz Center for International Economics, Working Paper Series 1007, Center for International Economics, UC Santa Cruz. [Downloadable!]
  6. Sarantis Kalyvitis & Ifigeneia Skotida, 2008. "Some Empirical Evidence on the Effects of U.S. Monetary Policy Shocks on Cross Exchange Rates," Working Papers 65, Bank of Greece. [Downloadable!]
  7. Jonathan Kearns & Roberto Rigobon, 2003. "Identifying the Efficacy of Central Bank Interventions: Evidence from Australia," RBA Research Discussion Papers rdp2003-04, Reserve Bank of Australia. [Downloadable!]
  8. Christopher J. Neely, 2007. "Central bank authorities’ beliefs about foreign exchange intervention," Working Papers 2006-045, Federal Reserve Bank of St. Louis. [Downloadable!]
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  9. Beine, Michel & Szafarz, Ariane, 2003. "The design of effective Central Bank interventions: the yen/dollar case," Economic Literature ULB 2013-767, Université libre de Bruxelles, Libraries. [Downloadable!]
    Other versions:
  10. Paolo Vitale, 2007. "An assessment of some open issues in the analysis of foreign exchange intervention," International Journal of Finance & Economics, John Wiley & Sons, Ltd., vol. 12(2), pages 155-170. [Downloadable!]
  11. Owen F. Humpage, 1998. "The Federal Reserve as an informed foreign-exchange trader," Working Paper 9815, Federal Reserve Bank of Cleveland. [Downloadable!]
  12. Matías Tapia & Andrea Tokman, 2004. "Effects of Foreign Exchange Intervention Under Public Information: the Chilean Case," Working Papers Central Bank of Chile 255, Central Bank of Chile. [Downloadable!]
  13. Rasmus Fatum & Barry Scholnick, 2003. "Do Exchange Rates Respond to Day-to-Day Changes in Monetary Policy Expectations? Evidence from the Federal Funds Futures Market," EPRU Working Paper Series 03-18, Economic Policy Research Unit (EPRU), University of Copenhagen. Department of Economics, revised Aug 2003. [Downloadable!]
  14. Rasmus Fatum & Michael M. Hutchison, . "Is Sterilized Foreign Exchange Intervention Effective After All? An Event Study Approach," EPRU Working Paper Series 99-09, Economic Policy Research Unit (EPRU), University of Copenhagen. Department of Economics. [Downloadable!]
    Other versions:
  15. Rasmus Fatum & Barry Scholnick, . "Monetary Policy News and Exchange Rate Responses: Do Only Surprises Matter?," EPRU Working Paper Series 05-14, Economic Policy Research Unit (EPRU), University of Copenhagen. Department of Economics, revised Nov 2005. [Downloadable!]
  16. Ozge Akinci & Olcay Yucel Culha & Umit Ozlale & Gulbin Sahinbeyoglu, 2005. "The Effectiveness of Foreign Exchange Interventions for the Turkish Economy : A Post-Crisis Period Analysis," Working Papers 0506, Research and Monetary Policy Department, Central Bank of the Republic of Turkey. [Downloadable!]
  17. Rasmus Fatum, 2009. "Official Japanese Intervention in the JPY/USD Exchange Rate Market: Is It Effective and Through Which Channel Does It Work?," IMES Discussion Paper Series 09-E-12, Institute for Monetary and Economic Studies, Bank of Japan. [Downloadable!]
  18. Moura, Marcelo L. & Lima, Adauto R. S., 2007. "Empirical exchange rate models fit: Evidence from the Brazilian economy," Ibmec Working Papers wpe_85, Ibmec Working Paper, Ibmec São Paulo. [Downloadable!]
  19. Vitale, Paolo, 2006. "A Critical Appraisal of Recent Developments in the Analysis of Foreign Exchange Intervention," CEPR Discussion Papers 5729, C.E.P.R. Discussion Papers. [Downloadable!] (restricted)
  20. Graciela L. Kaminsky & Karen K. Lewis, 1996. "Does foreign exchange intervention signal future monetary policy?," Working Papers 96-7, Federal Reserve Bank of Philadelphia. [Downloadable!]
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  21. Özge Akinci & Olcay Yücel Çulha & Ümit Özlale & Gülbin Şahinbeyoğlu, 2006. "The effectiveness of foreign exchange interventions under a floating exchange rate regime for the Turkish economy: a post-crisis period analysis," Applied Economics, Taylor and Francis Journals, vol. 38(12), pages 1371-1388, July. [Downloadable!] (restricted)
  22. Moura, Marcelo L. , & Lima, Adauto R. S. & Mendonça, Rodrigo M., 2008. "Exchange Rate and Fundamentals: The Case of Brazil," Ibmec Working Papers wpe_112, Ibmec Working Paper, Ibmec São Paulo. [Downloadable!]
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