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Why do central banks intervene secretly? Preliminary evidence from the BoJ

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Author Info
Michel Beine () (DULBEA, Université libre de Bruxelles, Brussels)
Oscar Bernal (DULBEA, Université libre de Bruxelles, Brussels)

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Abstract

This paper empirically investigates the main determinants of secret interventions in the foreign exchange (FX) market. Using the recent experience of the Bank of Japan, we estimate a model that explains the share of secret to reported interventions in the FX market. Two sets of determinants are clearly identified: the first is related to the probability of detection of the central bank orders by market participants; the second, to the central bank’s internal decision to opt for secrecy. Our estimations support the arguments of current microstructure theories that rationalize the use of secret interventions.

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Publisher Info
Paper provided by Université libre de Bruxelles, Department of Applied Economics (DULBEA) in its series Working Papers DULBEA with number 05-09.RS.

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Length: 28 pages
Date of creation: Apr 2005
Date of revision:
Publication status: Forthcoming in the Journal of International Financial Markets, Institutions and Money.
Handle: RePEc:dul:wpaper:05-09rs

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Related research
Keywords: Central Bank Interventions Exchange Rates Market Secrecy Puzzle.

Other versions of this item:

Find related papers by JEL classification:
E58 - Macroeconomics and Monetary Economics - - Monetary Policy, Central Banking, and the Supply of Money and Credit - - - Central Banks and Their Policies
F31 - International Economics - - International Finance - - - Foreign Exchange
G15 - Financial Economics - - General Financial Markets - - - International Financial Markets

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References listed on IDEAS
Please report citation or reference errors to , or , if you are the registered author of the cited work, log in to your RePEc Author Service profile, click on "citations" and make appropriate adjustments.:
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  2. Christopher J. Neely, 2005. "The case for foreign exchange intervention: the government as an active reserve manager," Working Papers 2004-031, Federal Reserve Bank of St. Louis. [Downloadable!]
  3. Beine, Michel & Lecourt, Christelle, 2004. "Reported and secret interventions in the foreign exchange markets," Finance Research Letters, Elsevier, vol. 1(4), pages 215-225, December. [Downloadable!] (restricted)
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    Other versions:
  14. Vitale, Paolo, 1999. "Sterilised central bank intervention in the foreign exchange market," Journal of International Economics, Elsevier, vol. 49(2), pages 245-267, December. [Downloadable!] (restricted)
  15. Christopher J. Neely, 2001. "The practice of central bank intervention: looking under the hood," The Regional Economist, Federal Reserve Bank of St. Louis, issue May, pages 1-10. [Downloadable!]
    Other versions:
  16. Beine, Michel & Benassy-Quere, Agnes & Lecourt, Christelle, 2002. "Central bank intervention and foreign exchange rates: new evidence from FIGARCH estimations," Journal of International Money and Finance, Elsevier, vol. 21(1), pages 115-144, February. [Downloadable!] (restricted)
  17. Bonser-Neal, Catherine & Tanner, Glenn, 1996. "Central bank intervention and the volatility of foreign exchange rates: evidence from the options market," Journal of International Money and Finance, Elsevier, vol. 15(6), pages 853-878, December. [Downloadable!] (restricted)
  18. Hung, Juann H, 1997. "Intervention strategies and exchange rate volatility: a noise trading perspective," Journal of International Money and Finance, Elsevier, vol. 16(5), pages 779-793, September. [Downloadable!] (restricted)
  19. Agnes Benassy-Quere & Pascale Duran-Vigneron & Amina Lahreche-Revil & Valerie Mignon, 2004. "Burden Sharing and Exchange-Rate Misalignments within the Group of Twenty," Working Papers 2004-13, CEPII research center. [Downloadable!]
  20. Martin D. D. Evans & Richard K. Lyons, 2001. "Portfolio Balance, Price Impact, and Secret Intervention," NBER Working Papers 8356, National Bureau of Economic Research, Inc. [Downloadable!] (restricted)
  21. Charles Enoch, 1998. "Transparency in Central Bank Operations in the Foreign Exchange Market," IMF Policy Discussion Papers 98/2, International Monetary Fund.
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(explanations, Please report citation or reference errors to , or , if you are the registered author of the cited work, log in to your RePEc Author Service profile, click on "citations" and make appropriate adjustments.)

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  2. Oscar Bernal, 2006. "Do interactions between political authorities and central banks influence FX interventions? Evidence from Japan," Working Papers DULBEA 06-03.RS, Université libre de Bruxelles, Department of Applied Economics (DULBEA). [Downloadable!]
  3. Henri Capron, 2007. "Politique de cohésion et développement régional," Working Papers DULBEA 07-16.RS, Université libre de Bruxelles, Department of Applied Economics (DULBEA). [Downloadable!]
  4. Oscar Bernal & Jean-Yves Gnabo, 2007. "Talks, financial operations or both? Generalizing central banks’ FX reaction functions," Working Papers DULBEA 07-03.RS, Université libre de Bruxelles, Department of Applied Economics (DULBEA). [Downloadable!]
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  9. Michel Beine & Oscar Bernal & Jean-Yves Gnabo & Christelle Lecourt, 2007. "Intervention Policy of the BoJ: A Unified Approach," CESifo Working Paper Series CESifo Working Paper No. , CESifo GmbH. [Downloadable!]
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  10. Jean-Luc De Meulemeester, 2007. "L'Economie de l'Education fait-elle des Progrès? Une Perspective d'Histoire de la Pensée Economique," Working Papers DULBEA 07-15.RS, Université libre de Bruxelles, Department of Applied Economics (DULBEA). [Downloadable!]
  11. Vitale, Paolo, 2006. "A Critical Appraisal of Recent Developments in the Analysis of Foreign Exchange Intervention," CEPR Discussion Papers 5729, C.E.P.R. Discussion Papers. [Downloadable!] (restricted)
  12. Jérôme de Henau & Leila Maron & Danièle Meulders, 2007. "Travail et Maternité en Europe, COnditions de Travail et Politiques Publiques," Working Papers DULBEA 07-14.RS, Université libre de Bruxelles, Department of Applied Economics (DULBEA). [Downloadable!]
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