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Can asymmetric conditional volatility imply asymmetric tail dependence?

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  • Kim, Jong-Min
  • Jung, Hojin

Abstract

In this article, we investigate two types of asymmetries, that is, the asymmetry of conditional volatility and the asymmetry of tail dependence in the crude oil markets. We employ the two different sample datasets in which each dataset covers the time period of stable and unstable oil prices, individually. A variety of different copulas and three asymmetric GARCH regression models are used in order to capture the two types of asymmetries. In particular, we extend the TBL-GARCH model proposed by Choi et al. (2012) to the asymmetric GARCH regression type model. The findings from the two different approaches are congruent, in that there is no asymmetry of tail dependence and no asymmetric conditional volatility in crude oil returns over the two different sample periods. Our study reconfirms the findings of Aboura and Wagner (2016) by showing that asymmetric conditional volatility relates to asymmetric tail dependence.

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  • Kim, Jong-Min & Jung, Hojin, 2017. "Can asymmetric conditional volatility imply asymmetric tail dependence?," Economic Modelling, Elsevier, vol. 64(C), pages 409-418.
  • Handle: RePEc:eee:ecmode:v:64:y:2017:i:c:p:409-418
    DOI: 10.1016/j.econmod.2017.02.002
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    Cited by:

    1. Bentes, Sonia R., 2018. "Is stock market volatility asymmetric? A multi-period analysis for five countries," Physica A: Statistical Mechanics and its Applications, Elsevier, vol. 499(C), pages 258-265.
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    3. Li Liu & Yu-Min Liu & Jong-Min Kim & Rui Zhong & Guang-Qian Ren, 2020. "Analysis of Tail Dependence between Sovereign Debt Distress and Bank Non-Performing Loans," Sustainability, MDPI, vol. 12(2), pages 1-20, January.
    4. Jiang, Kunliang & Ye, Wuyi, 2022. "Does the asymmetric dependence volatility affect risk spillovers between the crude oil market and BRICS stock markets?," Economic Modelling, Elsevier, vol. 117(C).

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    More about this item

    Keywords

    Copula; Granger's causality; Tail dependence; Asymmetric GARCH regression; Asymmetric conditional volatility;
    All these keywords.

    JEL classification:

    • C10 - Mathematical and Quantitative Methods - - Econometric and Statistical Methods and Methodology: General - - - General
    • G10 - Financial Economics - - General Financial Markets - - - General (includes Measurement and Data)
    • Q40 - Agricultural and Natural Resource Economics; Environmental and Ecological Economics - - Energy - - - General

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