Bayesian estimation of the output gap for a small open economy: The case of Canada
AbstractWe introduce a novel approach for estimating output gaps for small open economies. Identification is based on a multivariate trend-cycle decomposition in which transitory exchange rate movements are linked to the output gap and inflation. The model is then applied to Canadian data.
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Bibliographic InfoArticle provided by Elsevier in its journal Economics Letters.
Volume (Year): 112 (2011)
Issue (Month): 1 (July)
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Web page: http://www.elsevier.com/locate/ecolet
Output gap Unobserved components Kalman filter Bayesian analysis;
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