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A Study on "Spurious Long Memory in Nonlinear Time Series Models"

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Author Info
Kuswanto, Heri
Sibbertsen, Philipp

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Abstract

This paper discusses the existence of spurious long memory in common nonlinear time series models, namely Markov switching and threshold models. We describe the asymptotic behavior of the process in terms of autocovariance and autocorrelation function and support the theoretical evidences by providing Monte Carlo simulation. The existence of long memory in these nonlinear processes is induced by the nature of the process in certain conditions. In addition, GPH estimator itself introduces bias.

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Publisher Info
Paper provided by Universität Hannover, Wirtschaftswissenschaftliche Fakultät in its series Diskussionspapiere der Wirtschaftswissenschaftlichen Fakultät der Universität Hannover with number dp-410.

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Length: 26 pages
Date of creation: Nov 2008
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Handle: RePEc:han:dpaper:dp-410

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Related research
Keywords: long memory; nonlinear time series; regime switching;

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Find related papers by JEL classification:
C12 - Mathematical and Quantitative Methods - - Econometric and Statistical Methods: General - - - Hypothesis Testing
C22 - Mathematical and Quantitative Methods - - Single Equation Models; Single Variables - - - Time-Series Models; Dynamic Quantile Regressions

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Please report citation or reference errors to , or , if you are the registered author of the cited work, log in to your RePEc Author Service profile, click on "citations" and make appropriate adjustments.:
  1. Granger, Clive W. J. & Ding, Zhuanxin, 1996. "Varieties of long memory models," Journal of Econometrics, Elsevier, vol. 73(1), pages 61-77, July. [Downloadable!] (restricted)
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  2. Rohit Deo & Meng-Chen Hsieh & Clifford M. Hurvich & Philippe Soulier, 2007. "Long Memory in Nonlinear Processes," Quantitative Finance Papers 0706.1836, arXiv.org. [Downloadable!]
  3. Bondonio, Daniele, 2002. "Evaluating the Employment Impact of Business Incentive Programs in EU Disadvantaged Areas. A case from Northern Italy," P.O.L.I.S. department's Working Papers 27, Department of Public Policy and Public Choice - POLIS. [Downloadable!]
  4. Davidson, James & Sibbertsen, Philipp, 2005. "Generating schemes for long memory processes: regimes, aggregation and linearity," Journal of Econometrics, Elsevier, vol. 128(2), pages 253-282, October. [Downloadable!] (restricted)
  5. Hamilton, James D, 1989. "A New Approach to the Economic Analysis of Nonstationary Time Series and the Business Cycle," Econometrica, Econometric Society, vol. 57(2), pages 357-84, March. [Downloadable!] (restricted)
  6. Kuswanto, Heri & Sibbertsen, Philipp, 2007. "Can we distinguish between common nonlinear time series models and long memory?," Diskussionspapiere der Wirtschaftswissenschaftlichen Fakultät der Universität Hannover dp-380, Universität Hannover, Wirtschaftswissenschaftliche Fakultät. [Downloadable!]
  7. Dominique Guegan & Stéphanie Rioublanc, 2005. "Regime switching models : real or spurious long memory ?," Cahiers de la Maison des Sciences Economiques b05100, Université Panthéon-Sorbonne (Paris 1). [Downloadable!]
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  8. Francis X. Diebold & Atsushi Inoue, 2000. "Long Memory and Regime Switching," NBER Technical Working Papers 0264, National Bureau of Economic Research, Inc. [Downloadable!] (restricted)
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  9. Guégan D., 2004. "How Can We Define The Concept of Long Memory? An Econometric Survey," School of Economics and Finance Discussion Papers and Working Papers Series 178, School of Economics and Finance, Queensland University of Technology. [Downloadable!]
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  10. Gourieroux, Christian & Jasiak, Joann, 2001. "Memory and infrequent breaks," Economics Letters, Elsevier, vol. 70(1), pages 29-41, January. [Downloadable!] (restricted)
  11. Carrasco, Marine, 2002. "Misspecified Structural Change, Threshold, and Markov-switching models," Journal of Econometrics, Elsevier, vol. 109(2), pages 239-273, August. [Downloadable!] (restricted)
  12. William R. Parke, 1999. "What Is Fractional Integration?," The Review of Economics and Statistics, MIT Press, vol. 81(4), pages 632-638, November. [Downloadable!] (restricted)
  13. van Dijk, Dick & Teräsvirta, Timo & Franses, Philip Hans, 2000. "Smooth Transition Autoregressive Models - A Survey of Recent Developments," Working Paper Series in Economics and Finance 380, Stockholm School of Economics, revised 17 Jan 2001. [Downloadable!]
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(explanations, Please report citation or reference errors to , or , if you are the registered author of the cited work, log in to your RePEc Author Service profile, click on "citations" and make appropriate adjustments.)

  1. Kuswanto, Heri, 2009. "A New Simple Test Against Spurious Long Memory Using Temporal Aggregation," Diskussionspapiere der Wirtschaftswissenschaftlichen Fakultät der Universität Hannover dp-425, Universität Hannover, Wirtschaftswissenschaftliche Fakultät. [Downloadable!]
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