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The Influences of International Trade on Sustainable Economic Growth: An Economic Policy Perspective

Author

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  • Xiuping Ji

    (Department of Economics, Business School, The University of Sussex, Brighton BN1 9RH, UK)

  • Feiran Dong

    (Business School, Shandong University, Weihai 264209, China)

  • Chen Zheng

    (Business School, Edgehill University, Ormskirk L39 4QP, UK)

  • Naipeng Bu

    (Business School, Shandong University, Weihai 264209, China)

Abstract

This study uses the Gregory–Hansen cointegration method and the vector error correction model in the vector autoregression system to reveal how international trade contributes to economic sustainability. The Gregory–Hansen test for cointegration method reveals a permanent equilibrium relation among sustainably economic growth, exports, and imports and shows that exports facilitate GDP growth and accelerate improvements in the capability of imports in the long-run. The causality between GDP and exports is unidirectional, indicating that exports area determinant of sustainable economic growth. The bidirectional causality from imports to GDP also sheds light on the important influence of imports on economic sustainability; however, GDP growth also drives import growth. The interaction between imports and exports corresponds to their bidirectional causal relationship, which is indicative of imports contributing to export production and of export growth expanding the capacity for imports. This finding indicates that imports are both exogenous and endogenous factors for exports.

Suggested Citation

  • Xiuping Ji & Feiran Dong & Chen Zheng & Naipeng Bu, 2022. "The Influences of International Trade on Sustainable Economic Growth: An Economic Policy Perspective," Sustainability, MDPI, vol. 14(5), pages 1-15, February.
    • Handle: RePEc:gam:jsusta:v:14:y:2022:i:5:p:2781-:d:759758
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    Cited by:

    1. Xiuping Ji & Sujuan Wang & Honggen Xiao & Naipeng Bu & Xiaonan Lin, 2022. "Contagion Effect of Financial Markets in Crisis: An Analysis Based on the DCC–MGARCH Model," Mathematics, MDPI, vol. 10(11), pages 1-14, May.
    2. Xiuping Ji & Naipeng (Tom) Bu & Chen Zheng & Honggen Xiao & Caixia Liu & Xuesheng Chen & Kangping Wang, 2024. "Stock market reaction to the COVID-19 pandemic: an event study," Portuguese Economic Journal, Springer;Instituto Superior de Economia e Gestao, vol. 23(1), pages 167-186, January.
    3. Inna Čábelková & Luboš Smutka & Svitlana Rotterova & Olesya Zhytna & Vít Kluger & David Mareš, 2022. "The Sustainability of International Trade: The Impact of Ongoing Military Conflicts, Infrastructure, Common Language, and Economic Wellbeing in Post-Soviet Region," Sustainability, MDPI, vol. 14(17), pages 1-14, August.
    4. Cengizhan Karaca, 2023. "Dynamics of Trade Credit, Bank Credit Extension, Sustainable Economic Growth, and Imports: Evidence from the European Non-Financial Sector," Sustainability, MDPI, vol. 15(17), pages 1-24, August.
    5. Mei Song & Yujin Gao & Furong Dong & Yunan Feng, 2023. "Research on the Spatial Spillover Effect of Industrial Agglomeration on the Economic Growth in the Yellow River Basin," Sustainability, MDPI, vol. 15(5), pages 1-20, February.
    6. Mihaela Sterpu & Carmen Rocșoreanu & Georgeta Soava & Anca Mehedintu, 2023. "A Generalization of the Grey Lotka–Volterra Model and Application to GDP, Export, Import and Investment for the European Union," Mathematics, MDPI, vol. 11(15), pages 1-23, July.

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