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Cosmin Ilut

Citations

Many of the citations below have been collected in an experimental project, CitEc, where a more detailed citation analysis can be found. These are citations from works listed in RePEc that could be analyzed mechanically. So far, only a minority of all works could be analyzed. See under "Corrections" how you can help improve the citation analysis.

Blog mentions

As found by EconAcademics.org, the blog aggregator for Economics research:
  1. Cosmin Ilut & Martin Schneider, 2012. "Ambiguous Business Cycles," Working Papers 12-06, Duke University, Department of Economics.

    Mentioned in:

    1. Ambiguous Business Cycles
      by Christian Zimmermann in NEP-DGE blog on 2012-06-10 01:57:11

Wikipedia or ReplicationWiki mentions

(Only mentions on Wikipedia that link back to a page on a RePEc service)
  1. Francesco Bianchi & Cosmin L. Ilut & Martin Schneider, 2018. "Uncertainty Shocks, Asset Supply and Pricing over the Business Cycle," The Review of Economic Studies, Review of Economic Studies Ltd, vol. 85(2), pages 810-854.

    Mentioned in:

    1. Uncertainty shocks, asset supply and pricing over the business cycle (REStud 2018) in ReplicationWiki ()
  2. Cosmin Ilut, 2012. "Ambiguity Aversion: Implications for the Uncovered Interest Rate Parity Puzzle," American Economic Journal: Macroeconomics, American Economic Association, vol. 4(3), pages 33-65, July.

    Mentioned in:

    1. Ambiguity Aversion: Implications for the Uncovered Interest Rate Parity Puzzle (AEJ:MA 2012) in ReplicationWiki ()

Working papers

  1. Cosmin L. Ilut & Ralph Luetticke & Martin Schneider, 2025. "HANK's Response to Aggregate Uncertainty in an Estimated Business Cycle Model," NBER Working Papers 33331, National Bureau of Economic Research, Inc.

    Cited by:

    1. Hanno Kase & Matthias Rottner & Fabio Stohler, 2025. "Generative economic modeling," BIS Working Papers 1312, Bank for International Settlements.

  2. Francesco Bianchi & Cosmin L. Ilut & Hikaru Saijo, 2024. "Smooth Diagnostic Expectations," NBER Working Papers 32152, National Bureau of Economic Research, Inc.

    Cited by:

    1. Aktuğ, Emrehan & Rezghi, Abolfazl, 2025. "Asymmetric overreaction," European Economic Review, Elsevier, vol. 180(C).
    2. James Cloyne & Òscar Jordà & Sanjay R. Singh & Alan M. Taylor, 2025. "Asset Prices and Credit with Diagnostic Expectations," Working Paper Series 2025-15, Federal Reserve Bank of San Francisco.
    3. Na, Seunghoon & Yoo, Donghoon, 2025. "Overreaction and macroeconomic fluctuation of the external balance," Journal of Monetary Economics, Elsevier, vol. 151(C).

  3. Cosmin L. Ilut & Martin Schneider, 2022. "Modeling Uncertainty as Ambiguity: a Review," NBER Working Papers 29915, National Bureau of Economic Research, Inc.

    Cited by:

    1. Yoshida, Valter T. & Schiozer, Rafael & de Genaro, Alan & dos Santos, Toni R.E., 2025. "A novel credit model risk measure: Do more data lead to lower model risk?," The Quarterly Review of Economics and Finance, Elsevier, vol. 100(C).
    2. Suen, Richard M. H., 2022. "Precautionary Saving Behaviour under Ambiguity," MPRA Paper 114382, University Library of Munich, Germany.
    3. Estey, Clayton, 2024. "Robust Bellman State Prediction with Learning and Model Preferences," OSF Preprints 75fc9, Center for Open Science.
    4. Yang Hao, 2023. "Financial Market with Learning from Price under Knightian Uncertainty," Working Papers hal-03686748, HAL.
    5. Pamela Giustinelli, 2022. "Expectations in Education: Framework, Elicitation, and Evidence," Working Papers 2022-026, Human Capital and Economic Opportunity Working Group.
    6. Meyer, Steffen & Uhr, Charline, 2024. "Ambiguity and private investors’ behavior after forced fund liquidations," Journal of Financial Economics, Elsevier, vol. 156(C).
    7. Chitralekha Basu & Matthew Knowles, 2025. "The revelation incentive for issue engagement in campaigns," Journal of Theoretical Politics, , vol. 37(4), pages 261-289, October.
    8. Staffa, Ruben Marek, 2023. "Macroeconomic effects from sovereign risk vs. Knightian uncertainty," IWH Discussion Papers 27/2023, Halle Institute for Economic Research (IWH).
    9. Louis Soumoy & Jules Welgryn, 2025. "Derisking Electricity Prices For Decarbonisation: A novel perspective on market incompleteness through irreversibility," EconomiX Working Papers 2025-37, University of Paris Nanterre, EconomiX.
    10. Roman Frydman & Morten Nyboe Tabor, 2022. "Muth's Hypothesis Under Knightian Uncertainty: A Novel Account of Inflation Forecasts," Working Papers Series inetwp194, Institute for New Economic Thinking.
    11. Olkhov, Victor, 2024. "Lower bounds of uncertainty and upper limits on the accuracy of forecasts of macroeconomic variables," MPRA Paper 121628, University Library of Munich, Germany.
    12. Krivenko, Pavel, 2023. "Asset prices in a labor search model with confidence shocks," Journal of Economic Dynamics and Control, Elsevier, vol. 146(C).
    13. Alexander Erlei & Tahir Abbas & Kilian Bizer & Ujwal Gadiraju, 2026. "The Data-Dollars Tradeoff: Privacy Harms vs. Economic Risk in Personalized AI Adoption," Papers 2603.08848, arXiv.org.
    14. Valter T. Yoshida Jr & Alan de Genaro & Rafael Schiozer & Toni R. E. dos Santos, 2023. "A Novel Credit Model Risk Measure: does more data lead to lower model risk in credit scoring models?," Working Papers Series 582, Central Bank of Brazil, Research Department.
    15. Giulia Piccillo & Poramapa Poonpakdee, 2023. "Ambiguous Business Cycles, Recessions and Uncertainty: A Quantitative Analysis," CESifo Working Paper Series 10646, CESifo.
    16. Masayuki MORIKAWA, 2022. "Firms' Knightian Uncertainty during the COVID-19 Crisis," Discussion papers 22089, Research Institute of Economy, Trade and Industry (RIETI).
    17. Alicia Vidler & Toby Walsh, 2024. "TraderTalk: An LLM Behavioural ABM applied to Simulating Human Bilateral Trading Interactions," Papers 2410.21280, arXiv.org.
    18. Zeng, Jingjing & Li, Zheng & Hensher, David A., 2025. "Travel decision making under uncertainty and road traffic behavior: The multifold role of ambiguity attitude," Transportation Research Part A: Policy and Practice, Elsevier, vol. 192(C).
    19. Goodman, Aaron & Puri, Indira, 2025. "Overvaluing simple bets: Evidence from the options market," Journal of Financial Economics, Elsevier, vol. 172(C).

  4. Francesco Bianchi & Cosmin L. Ilut & Hikaru Saijo, 2021. "Diagnostic Business Cycles," NBER Working Papers 28604, National Bureau of Economic Research, Inc.

    Cited by:

    1. Constantin Bürgi & Julio L. Ortiz, 2022. "Overreaction through Anchoring," CESifo Working Paper Series 10193, CESifo.
    2. Kolasa, Marcin & Ravgotra, Sahil & Zabczyk, Pawel, 2025. "Monetary policy and exchange rate dynamics in a behavioral open economy model," Journal of International Economics, Elsevier, vol. 155(C).
    3. Brianti, Marco & Cormun, Vito, 2024. "Expectation-driven boom-bust cycles," Journal of Monetary Economics, Elsevier, vol. 146(C).
    4. Chen, Heng & Li, Xu & Pei, Guangyu & Xin, Qian, 2024. "Heterogeneous overreaction in expectation formation: Evidence and theory," Journal of Economic Theory, Elsevier, vol. 218(C).
    5. Jean-Paul L’Huillier & Pierlauro Lopez & Sanjay R. Singh, 2025. "A Behavioral Foundation for the Investment Wedge," Working Paper Series 2025-22, Federal Reserve Bank of San Francisco.
    6. Alistair Macaulay, 2022. "Heterogeneous Information, Subjective Model Beliefs, and the Time-Varying Transmission of Shocks," CESifo Working Paper Series 9733, CESifo.
    7. Jonathan J Adams, 2024. "Optimal Policy Without Rational Expectations: A Sufficient Statistic Solution," Working Papers 001011, University of Florida, Department of Economics.
    8. Pedro Bordalo & Nicola Gennaioli & Rafael La Porta & Matthew OBrien & Andrei Shleifer, 2023. "Long-Term Expectations and Aggregate Fluctuations," NBER Chapters, in: NBER Macroeconomics Annual 2023, volume 38, pages 311-347, National Bureau of Economic Research, Inc.
    9. Alistair Macaulay, 2026. "The Causal Effects of Heterogeneous Expectation Formation in General Equilibrium," School of Economics Discussion Papers 0326, School of Economics, University of Surrey.
    10. Na, Seunghoon & Yoo, Donghoon, 2025. "Overreaction and macroeconomic fluctuation of the external balance," Journal of Monetary Economics, Elsevier, vol. 151(C).
    11. Francesco Bianchi & Cosmin Ilut & Hikaru Saijo, 2024. "Smooth Diagnostic Expectations," ISER Discussion Paper 1249, Institute of Social and Economic Research, The University of Osaka.
    12. Gerotto, Luca & Paradiso, Antonio & Pellizzari, Paolo, 2025. "A tale of inattentiveness and the loss function: A model for household-level macroeconomic expectations," Journal of Economic Behavior & Organization, Elsevier, vol. 236(C).
    13. Fontanier, Paul, 2025. "Optimal policy for behavioral financial crises," Journal of Financial Economics, Elsevier, vol. 166(C).
    14. Dmitry Novikov, 2026. "Consumers' Inflation Expectations in Russia and the US: Testing the Diagnostic Expectations Hypothesis," Russian Journal of Money and Finance, Bank of Russia, vol. 85(1), pages 35-62, March.
    15. Sarantis Tsiaplias, 2024. "Inflation as a 'bad', heuristics and aggregate shocks: New evidence on expectation formation," Melbourne Institute Working Paper Series wp2024n03, Melbourne Institute of Applied Economic and Social Research, The University of Melbourne.
    16. George-Marios Angeletos, 2023. "Comment on "Long Term Expectations and Aggregate Fluctuations" 2," NBER Chapters, in: NBER Macroeconomics Annual 2023, volume 38, pages 348-362, National Bureau of Economic Research, Inc.

  5. Cosmin L. Ilut & Rosen Valchev, 2020. "Economic Agents as Imperfect Problem Solvers," NBER Working Papers 27820, National Bureau of Economic Research, Inc.

    Cited by:

    1. Carstensen, Kai & Bachmann, Rüdiger & Schneider, Martin & Lautenbacher, Stefan, 2018. "Uncertainty is Change," VfS Annual Conference 2018 (Freiburg, Breisgau): Digital Economy 181572, Verein für Socialpolitik / German Economic Association.
    2. D'Acunto, Francesco & Hoang, Daniel & Weber, Michael, 2021. "Managing households' expectations with unconventional policies," Working Paper Series in Economics 148, Karlsruhe Institute of Technology (KIT), Department of Economics and Management.
    3. Bartosz Maćkowiak & Filip Matějka & Mirko Wiederholt, 2023. "Rational Inattention: A Review," Sciences Po Economics Publications (main) hal-03878692, HAL.
    4. Francesco D’Acunto & Daniel Hoang & Maritta Paloviita & Michael Weber, 2019. "IQ, Expectations, and Choice," NBER Working Papers 25496, National Bureau of Economic Research, Inc.
    5. Philippe Andrade & Erwan Gautier & Eric Mengus, 2021. "What Matters in Households' Inflation Expectations?," CESifo Working Paper Series 9005, CESifo.
    6. Bruno Albuquerque & Georgina Green, 2022. "Financial concerns and the marginal propensity to consume in Covid times: evidence from UK survey data," Bank of England working papers 965, Bank of England.
    7. Yang Hao, 2023. "Financial Market with Learning from Price under Knightian Uncertainty," Working Papers hal-03686748, HAL.
    8. Nimark, Kristoffer P. & Sundaresan, Savitar, 2019. "Inattention and belief polarization," Journal of Economic Theory, Elsevier, vol. 180(C), pages 203-228.
    9. D'Acunto, Francesco & Hoang, Daniel & Paloviita, Maritta & Weber, Michael, 2019. "Human frictions in the transmission of economic policy," Working Paper Series in Economics 128, Karlsruhe Institute of Technology (KIT), Department of Economics and Management.
    10. Hackethal, Andreas & Hanspal, Tobin & Hartzmark, Samuel M. & Bräuer, Konstantin, 2024. "Educating investors about dividends," CFS Working Paper Series 725, Center for Financial Studies (CFS).
    11. Artem Kuriksha, 2021. "An Economy of Neural Networks: Learning from Heterogeneous Experiences," Papers 2110.11582, arXiv.org.
    12. Hassan Afrouzi, 2020. "Strategic Inattention, Inflation Dynamics, and the Non-Neutrality of Money," CESifo Working Paper Series 8218, CESifo.
    13. Chen Lian, 2023. "Mistakes in Future Consumption, High MPCs Now," American Economic Review: Insights, American Economic Association, vol. 5(4), pages 563-581, December.
    14. Chen Lian, 2021. "Mistakes in Future Consumption, High MPCs Now," NBER Working Papers 29517, National Bureau of Economic Research, Inc.
    15. George-Marios Angeletos & Karthik Sastry, 2019. "Inattentive Economies," NBER Working Papers 26413, National Bureau of Economic Research, Inc.
    16. Hackethal, Andreas & Hanspal, Tobin & Hartzmark, Samuel M. & Bräuer, Konstantin, 2024. "Educating investors about dividends," SAFE Working Paper Series 420, Leibniz Institute for Financial Research SAFE.

  6. Bianchi, Francesco & Ilut, Cosmin & Schneider, Martin, 2017. "Uncertainty shocks, asset supply and pricing over the business cycle," CEPR Discussion Papers 11950, Centre for Economic Policy Research.

    Cited by:

    1. Eran Hoffmann, 2018. "The Cyclical Composition of Startups," 2018 Meeting Papers 553, Society for Economic Dynamics.
    2. Saijo, Hikaru, 2017. "The uncertainty multiplier and business cycles," Journal of Economic Dynamics and Control, Elsevier, vol. 78(C), pages 1-25.
    3. Asano, Takao & Osaki, Yusuke, 2021. "Optimal investment under ambiguous technology shocks," European Journal of Operational Research, Elsevier, vol. 293(1), pages 304-311.
    4. Mauro Sayar Ferreira & André Cordeiro Valério, 2020. "Global shocks and emerging economies: disentangling the commodity roller coaster," Textos para Discussão Cedeplar-UFMG 623, Cedeplar, Universidade Federal de Minas Gerais.
    5. Barraza, Santiago & Civelli, Andrea, 2020. "Economic policy uncertainty and the supply of business loans," Journal of Banking & Finance, Elsevier, vol. 121(C).
    6. Efrem Castelnuovo, 2022. "Uncertainty Before and During COVID-19: A Survey," "Marco Fanno" Working Papers 0279, Dipartimento di Scienze Economiche "Marco Fanno".
    7. Frank Kwabi & Andrews Owusu & Ernest Ezeani & Agyenim Boateng, 2024. "The impact of political uncertainty on the cost of capital," Review of Quantitative Finance and Accounting, Springer, vol. 62(4), pages 1397-1429, May.
    8. Jun Gao & Sheng Zhu & Niall O’Sullivan & Meadhbh Sherman, 2019. "The Role of Economic Uncertainty in UK Stock Returns," JRFM, MDPI, vol. 12(1), pages 1-16, January.
    9. Jesús Fernández-Villaverde & Pablo A. Guerrón-Quintana, 2020. "Uncertainty Shocks and Business Cycle Research," NBER Working Papers 26768, National Bureau of Economic Research, Inc.
    10. Drobetz, Wolfgang & El Ghoul, Sadok & Guedhami, Omrane & Janzen, Malte, 2018. "Policy uncertainty, investment, and the cost of capital," Journal of Financial Stability, Elsevier, vol. 39(C), pages 28-45.
    11. Francesco Bianchi & Leonardo Melosi, 2017. "The Dire Effects of the Lack of Monetary and Fiscal Coordination," NBER Working Papers 23605, National Bureau of Economic Research, Inc.
    12. Cosmin L. Ilut & Martin Schneider, 2022. "Modeling Uncertainty as Ambiguity: a Review," NBER Working Papers 29915, National Bureau of Economic Research, Inc.
    13. Becard, Yvan & Gauthier, David, 2023. "Banks, nonbanks, and business cycles," European Economic Review, Elsevier, vol. 154(C).
    14. Gianluca Benigno & Andrew Foerster & Christopher Otrok & Alessandro Rebucci, 2020. "Estimating Macroeconomic Models of Financial Crises: An Endogenous Regime-Switching Approach," NBER Working Papers 26935, National Bureau of Economic Research, Inc.
    15. Bassanin, Marzio & Faia, Ester & Patella, Valeria, 2021. "Ambiguity attitudes and the leverage cycle," Journal of International Economics, Elsevier, vol. 129(C).
    16. Timothy Cogley & Boyan Jovanovic, 2020. "Structural Breaks in an Endogenous Growth Model," NBER Working Papers 28026, National Bureau of Economic Research, Inc.
    17. Yu, Haiyang & Chen, Haisong, 2023. "Economic policy uncertainty and green innovation: Does corporate social responsibility matter?," Finance Research Letters, Elsevier, vol. 58(PC).
    18. Ömer YALÇINKAYA & Ali Kemal ÇELİK, 2021. "The Impact of Global Uncertainties on Economic Growth: Evidence from the US Economy (1996: Q1-2018: Q4)," Journal for Economic Forecasting, Institute for Economic Forecasting, vol. 0(2), pages 35-54, June.
    19. Kozeniauskas, Nicholas & Orlik, Anna & Veldkamp, Laura, 2018. "What are uncertainty shocks?," Journal of Monetary Economics, Elsevier, vol. 100(C), pages 1-15.
    20. Yu, Edison G., 2018. "Dynamic market participation and endogenous information aggregation," Journal of Economic Theory, Elsevier, vol. 175(C), pages 491-517.
    21. Paweł Dziewulski & John K.‐H. Quah, 2024. "Comparative Statics With Linear Objectives: Normality, Complementarity, and Ranking Multi‐Prior Beliefs," Econometrica, Econometric Society, vol. 92(1), pages 167-200, January.
    22. Dew-Becker, Ian & Nathanson, Charles G., 2019. "Directed attention and nonparametric learning," Journal of Economic Theory, Elsevier, vol. 181(C), pages 461-496.
    23. Lorenzo Bretscher & Alex Hsu & Andrea Tamoni, 2019. "Response of the Macroeconomy to Uncertainty Shocks:the Risk Premium Channel," 2019 Meeting Papers 1567, Society for Economic Dynamics.
    24. Ferreira, Mauro Sayar & Valério, André Cordeiro, 2023. "Global Shocks and Emerging Economies: Disentangling the Commodity Roller Coaster," Revista Brasileira de Economia - RBE, EPGE Brazilian School of Economics and Finance - FGV EPGE (Brazil), vol. 76(3), February.
    25. Hikaru Saijo, 2018. "Redistribution and Fiscal Uncertainty Shocks," IMES Discussion Paper Series 18-E-15, Institute for Monetary and Economic Studies, Bank of Japan.
    26. Guihai Zhao, 2020. "Learning, Equilibrium Trend, Cycle, and Spread in Bond Yields," Staff Working Papers 20-14, Bank of Canada.
    27. Hening Liu & Yuzhao Zhang, 2022. "Financial Uncertainty with Ambiguity and Learning," Management Science, INFORMS, vol. 68(3), pages 2120-2140, March.
    28. Mao, Jie & Shen, Guanxiong & Yan, Jingzhou, 2023. "A continuous-time macro-finance model with Knightian uncertainty," Pacific-Basin Finance Journal, Elsevier, vol. 77(C).
    29. Francesco Bianchi & Howard Kung & Mikhail Tirskikh, 2019. "The Origins and Effects of Macroeconomic Uncertainty," 2019 Meeting Papers 245, Society for Economic Dynamics.
    30. Carlo Pizzinelli & Konstantinos Theodoridis & Francesco Zanetti, 2020. "State Dependence In Labor Market Fluctuations," International Economic Review, Department of Economics, University of Pennsylvania and Osaka University Institute of Social and Economic Research Association, vol. 61(3), pages 1027-1072, August.
    31. Alonso, Irasema & Prado, Mauricio, 2015. "Ambiguity aversion, asset prices, and the welfare costs of aggregate fluctuations," Journal of Economic Dynamics and Control, Elsevier, vol. 51(C), pages 78-92.
    32. Francesco Bianchi & Leonardo Melosi, 2016. "Modeling The Evolution Of Expectations And Uncertainty In General Equilibrium," International Economic Review, Department of Economics, University of Pennsylvania and Osaka University Institute of Social and Economic Research Association, vol. 57(2), pages 717-756, May.
    33. Sadowski, Philipp & Sarver, Todd, 2024. "Adaptive preferences: An evolutionary model of non-expected utility and ambiguity aversion," Journal of Economic Theory, Elsevier, vol. 218(C).
    34. Zhao, Zhiming & Qiu, Lingyan & Shu, Jianping, 2025. "The impact of write-down equity on bank stability under ambiguity aversion," International Review of Economics & Finance, Elsevier, vol. 98(C).
    35. Ilut, Cosmin & Saijo, Hikaru, 2021. "Learning, confidence, and business cycles," Journal of Monetary Economics, Elsevier, vol. 117(C), pages 354-376.
    36. Altug, Sumru & Collard, Fabrice & Cakmakli, Cem & Mukerji, Sujoy & Ozsöylev, Han, 2020. "Ambiguous Business Cycles: A Quantitative Assessment," TSE Working Papers 20-1107, Toulouse School of Economics (TSE), revised 10 Jun 2026.
    37. Lutz Kilian & Michael D. Plante & Alexander W. Richter, 2025. "Macroeconomic Responses to Uncertainty Shocks: The Perils of Recursive Orderings," Journal of Applied Econometrics, John Wiley & Sons, Ltd., vol. 40(4), pages 395-410, June.
    38. Anmol Bhandari & Jaroslav Borovicka & Paul Ho, 2019. "Survey Data and Subjective Beliefs in Business Cycle Models," Working Paper 19-14, Federal Reserve Bank of Richmond.
    39. Bali, Turan G. & Brown, Stephen J. & Tang, Yi, 2017. "Is economic uncertainty priced in the cross-section of stock returns?," Journal of Financial Economics, Elsevier, vol. 126(3), pages 471-489.
    40. Takao Asano & Xiaojing Cai & Ryuta Sakemoto, 2023. "Time-varying ambiguity shocks and business cycles," KIER Working Papers 1094, Kyoto University, Institute of Economic Research.
    41. Chang, Chong-Chuo & Chen, Hsien-Yi & Mon, Khin Thiri, 2024. "Impact of economic policy uncertainty on the firm's working capital requirements," Pacific-Basin Finance Journal, Elsevier, vol. 86(C).
    42. Claassen, Bart & Dam, Lammertjan & Heijnen, Pim, 2023. "Corporate financing policies, financial leverage, and stock returns," The North American Journal of Economics and Finance, Elsevier, vol. 68(C).
    43. Jaroslav Borovicka, 2016. "Identifying ambiguity shocks in business cycle models using survey data," 2016 Meeting Papers 1615, Society for Economic Dynamics.
    44. Pflueger, Carolin & Rinaldi, Gianluca, 2022. "Why does the Fed move markets so much? A model of monetary policy and time-varying risk aversion," Journal of Financial Economics, Elsevier, vol. 146(1), pages 71-89.
    45. Stéphane Lhuissier & Fabien Tripier, 2021. "Regime‐dependent effects of uncertainty shocks: A structural interpretation," Quantitative Economics, Econometric Society, vol. 12(4), pages 1139-1170, November.
    46. Tihana Škrinjarić & Zrinka Orlović, 2020. "Economic Policy Uncertainty and Stock Market Spillovers: Case of Selected CEE Markets," Mathematics, MDPI, vol. 8(7), pages 1-33, July.
    47. Tong Zhang, 2019. "Haircut Cycles," 2019 Meeting Papers 124, Society for Economic Dynamics.
    48. Borovicka, J. & Hansen, L.P., 2016. "Term Structure of Uncertainty in the Macroeconomy," Handbook of Macroeconomics, in: J. B. Taylor & Harald Uhlig (ed.), Handbook of Macroeconomics, edition 1, volume 2, chapter 0, pages 1641-1696, Elsevier.
    49. Daniel L. Greenwald & Martin Lettau & Sydney C. Ludvigson, 2014. "Origins of Stock Market Fluctuations," NBER Working Papers 19818, National Bureau of Economic Research, Inc.
    50. A. Ronald Gallant & Mohammad Jahan-Parvar & Hening Liu, 2015. "Measuring Ambiguity Aversion," Finance and Economics Discussion Series 2015-105, Board of Governors of the Federal Reserve System (U.S.).
    51. Giulia Piccillo & Poramapa Poonpakdee, 2023. "Ambiguous Business Cycles, Recessions and Uncertainty: A Quantitative Analysis," CESifo Working Paper Series 10646, CESifo.
    52. Yongheng Hu, 2025. "How Big Data Dilutes Cognitive Resources, Interferes with Rational Decision-making and Affects Wealth Distribution ?," Papers 2508.20435, arXiv.org, revised Aug 2025.
    53. Paciello, Luigi & Michelacci, Claudio, 2020. "Aggregate Risk or Aggregate Uncertainty? Evidence from UK Households," CEPR Discussion Papers 14557, Centre for Economic Policy Research.
    54. Sydney C. Ludvigson & Sai Ma & Serena Ng, 2015. "Uncertainty and Business Cycles: Exogenous Impulse or Endogenous Response?," NBER Working Papers 21803, National Bureau of Economic Research, Inc.
    55. Gianni Amisano & Oreste Tristani, 2023. "Monetary policy and long‐term interest rates," Quantitative Economics, Econometric Society, vol. 14(2), pages 689-716, May.
    56. Francesco Bianchi & Sydney C. Ludvigson & Sai Ma, 2020. "Belief Distortions and Macroeconomic Fluctuations," NBER Working Papers 27406, National Bureau of Economic Research, Inc.
    57. Chatterjee, Pratiti, 2024. "Uncertainty shocks, financial frictions, and business cycle asymmetries across countries," European Economic Review, Elsevier, vol. 162(C).
    58. Jiang, Lunan & Chen, Yinghui & Zhang, Lin, 2024. "Monetary policy shocks and firm investment decisions: Evidence from China," International Review of Financial Analysis, Elsevier, vol. 95(PB).
    59. Boyan Jovanovic & Sai Ma, 2020. "Uncertainty and Growth Disasters," International Finance Discussion Papers 1279, Board of Governors of the Federal Reserve System (U.S.).
    60. Rohan Kekre & Moritz Lenel, 2022. "Monetary Policy, Redistribution, and Risk Premia," Econometrica, Econometric Society, vol. 90(5), pages 2249-2282, September.
    61. Diego Comin & Ana Maria Santacreu & Mark Gertler & Phuong Ngo, 2018. "Stock Price Fluctuations and Productivity Growth," 2018 Meeting Papers 1147, Society for Economic Dynamics.

  7. Cosmin L. Ilut & Hikaru Saijo, 2016. "Learning, Confidence, and Business Cycles," NBER Working Papers 22958, National Bureau of Economic Research, Inc.

    Cited by:

    1. Saijo, Hikaru, 2017. "The uncertainty multiplier and business cycles," Journal of Economic Dynamics and Control, Elsevier, vol. 78(C), pages 1-25.
    2. Xu, Xiangyun & Li, Xing & Meng, Jie & Hu, Xueqi & Ge, Yingfan, 2024. "The impact of the tail risk of demand on corporate investment: Evidence from Chinese manufacturing firms," Pacific-Basin Finance Journal, Elsevier, vol. 85(C).
    3. Cosmin L. Ilut & Martin Schneider, 2022. "Modeling Uncertainty as Ambiguity: a Review," NBER Working Papers 29915, National Bureau of Economic Research, Inc.
    4. George-Marios Angeletos, 2018. "Frictional Coordination," Journal of the European Economic Association, European Economic Association, vol. 16(3), pages 563-603.
    5. Brianti, Marco & Cormun, Vito, 2024. "Expectation-driven boom-bust cycles," Journal of Monetary Economics, Elsevier, vol. 146(C).
    6. Anastasiia Antonova & Mykhailo Matvieiev & Céline Poilly, 2025. "Macroeconomic Shocks in the Fog: The Role of Endogenous Uncertainty," AMSE Working Papers 2538, Aix-Marseille School of Economics, France.
    7. Yoo, Donghoon, 2019. "Ambiguous information, permanent income, and consumption fluctuations," European Economic Review, Elsevier, vol. 119(C), pages 79-96.
    8. Hiroatsu Tanaka, 2022. "Equilibrium Yield Curves with Imperfect Information," Finance and Economics Discussion Series 2022-086r1, Board of Governors of the Federal Reserve System (U.S.), revised 13 Aug 2024.
    9. Jochen Guentner & Elena Afanasyeva, 2017. "Noise-Ridden Lending Cycles," 2017 Meeting Papers 1211, Society for Economic Dynamics.
    10. Guangyu PEI, 2019. "Uncertainty, Pessimism and Economic Fluctuations," 2019 Meeting Papers 1494, Society for Economic Dynamics.
    11. Tian, Can, 2022. "Learning and firm dynamics in a stochastic equilibrium," Journal of Economic Theory, Elsevier, vol. 203(C).
    12. Alexander Richter & Nathaniel Throckmorton, 2018. "A New Way to Quantify the Effect of Uncertainty," 2018 Meeting Papers 565, Society for Economic Dynamics.
    13. Mirela Miescu, 2019. "Uncertainty shocks in emerging economies," Working Papers 277077821, Lancaster University Management School, Economics Department.
    14. Carmen-Elena Dorobat & Matthew McCaffrey & Nicolai J. Foss & Peter G. Klein, 2026. "Knightian Uncertainty in Entrepreneurship Research: Retrospect and Prospect," Entrepreneurship Theory and Practice, , vol. 50(1), pages 192-230, January.
    15. Anastasiia Antonova & Mykhailo Matvieiev & Céline Poilly, 2024. "Supply Shocks in the Fog: The Role of Endogenous Uncertainty," AMSE Working Papers 2427, Aix-Marseille School of Economics, France.
    16. Haining Chen & Prince Asare Vitenu-Sackey & Isaac Akpemah Bathuure, 2024. "Uncertainty Measures and Business Cycles: Evidence From the US," SAGE Open, , vol. 14(2), pages 21582440241, April.
    17. Fiori, Giuseppe & Scoccianti, Filippo, 2023. "The economic effects of firm-level uncertainty: Evidence using subjective expectations," Journal of Monetary Economics, Elsevier, vol. 140(C), pages 92-105.
    18. Tanaka, Hiroatsu, 2025. "Equilibrium yield curves with imperfect information," Journal of Monetary Economics, Elsevier, vol. 149(C).
    19. Helder Ferreira de Mendonça & Eduardo Schirmer Finn, 2022. "Can credibility offset electricity price effect on business confidence? An empirical investigation from a large emerging economy," Applied Economics, Taylor & Francis Journals, vol. 54(11), pages 1229-1242, March.
    20. Tyler Atkinson & Michael Plante & Alexander Richter & Nathaniel Throckmorton, 2022. "Complementarity and Macroeconomic Uncertainty," Review of Economic Dynamics, Elsevier for the Society for Economic Dynamics, vol. 44, pages 225-243, April.
    21. Paciello, Luigi & Michelacci, Claudio, 2020. "Aggregate Risk or Aggregate Uncertainty? Evidence from UK Households," CEPR Discussion Papers 14557, Centre for Economic Policy Research.
    22. Kostopoulos, Dimitrios & Meyer, Steffen & Uhr, Charline, 2022. "Ambiguity about volatility and investor behavior," Journal of Financial Economics, Elsevier, vol. 145(1), pages 277-296.
    23. Chen, Cheng & Senga, Tatsuro & Sun, Chang & Zhang, Hongyong, 2023. "Uncertainty, imperfect information, and expectation formation over the firm’s life cycle," Journal of Monetary Economics, Elsevier, vol. 140(C), pages 60-77.
    24. Thierry U. Kame Babilla, 2024. "Bank‐lending channel of monetary policy transmission in WAEMU: An estimated DSGE model approach," International Journal of Finance & Economics, John Wiley & Sons, Ltd., vol. 29(2), pages 1277-1300, April.
    25. Paul Levine & Joseph Pearlman & Stephen Wright & Bo Yang, 2023. "Imperfect Information and Hidden Dynamics," School of Economics Discussion Papers 1223, School of Economics, University of Surrey.
    26. Valeriu Nalban & Andra Smadu, 2022. "Uncertainty shocks and the monetary-macroprudential policy mix," Working Papers 739, DNB.

  8. Cosmin Ilut & Rosen Valchev & Nicolas Vincent, 2016. "Paralyzed by Fear: Rigid and Discrete Pricing under Demand Uncertainty," Boston College Working Papers in Economics 940, Boston College Department of Economics.

    Cited by:

    1. Guojun He & Jeffrey T. LaFrance & Jeffrey M. Perloff & Richard Volpe, 2024. "How do Everyday-Low-Price Supermarkets Adjust Their Prices?," Review of Industrial Organization, Springer;The Industrial Organization Society, vol. 64(1), pages 117-146, February.
    2. Xu, Xiangyun & Li, Xing & Meng, Jie & Hu, Xueqi & Ge, Yingfan, 2024. "The impact of the tail risk of demand on corporate investment: Evidence from Chinese manufacturing firms," Pacific-Basin Finance Journal, Elsevier, vol. 85(C).
    3. Rebelo, Sergio & Santana, Miguel & Teles, Pedro, 2025. "Behavioral sticky prices," Journal of Monetary Economics, Elsevier, vol. 155(S).
    4. Cosmin L. Ilut & Martin Schneider, 2022. "Modeling Uncertainty as Ambiguity: a Review," NBER Working Papers 29915, National Bureau of Economic Research, Inc.
    5. Cosmin Ilut & Rosen Valchev & Nicolas Vincent, 2020. "Paralyzed by Fear: Rigid and Discrete Pricing Under Demand Uncertainty," Econometrica, Econometric Society, vol. 88(5), pages 1899-1938, September.
    6. Diego Aparicio & Roberto Rigobon, 2020. "Quantum Prices," NBER Working Papers 26646, National Bureau of Economic Research, Inc.
    7. Olivier Coibion & Yuriy Gorodnichenko & Tiziano Ropele, 2018. "Inflation Expectations and Firm Decisions: New Causal Evidence," NBER Working Papers 25412, National Bureau of Economic Research, Inc.
    8. Martin Harding & Jesper Lindé & Mathias Trabandt, 2022. "Understanding Post-COVID Inflation Dynamics," Staff Working Papers 22-50, Bank of Canada.
    9. Michael Reiter & Adrian Wende, 2024. "Generalized Rotemberg Price-Setting," CESifo Working Paper Series 11297, CESifo.
    10. Paciello, Luigi & Michelacci, Claudio, 2017. "Ambiguous Policy Announcements," CEPR Discussion Papers 11754, Centre for Economic Policy Research.
    11. Canales, Mario & Lopez-Martin, Bernabe, 2024. "Exchange rates, uncertainty, and price-setting: Evidence from CPI microdata," Economic Modelling, Elsevier, vol. 139(C).
    12. Ogawa, Shogo, 2022. "Survey of non-Walrasian disequilibrium economic theory," MPRA Paper 115011, University Library of Munich, Germany.
    13. Axelle Ferriere & Anastasios Karantounias, 2019. "Fiscal Austerity in Ambiguous Times," PSE-Ecole d'économie de Paris (Postprint) halshs-02084280, HAL.
    14. Radoslaw Paluszynski & Pei Cheng Yu, 2023. "Commitment versus Flexibility and Sticky Prices: Evidence from Life Insurance," Review of Economic Dynamics, Elsevier for the Society for Economic Dynamics, vol. 49, pages 99-122, July.
    15. Matthew Fink & Jonathan Hambur, 2026. "Shifts in Australian Price-setting Behaviour around Large Shocks," RBA Research Discussion Papers rdp2026-02, Reserve Bank of Australia.
    16. Staffa, Ruben Marek, 2023. "Macroeconomic effects from sovereign risk vs. Knightian uncertainty," IWH Discussion Papers 27/2023, Halle Institute for Economic Research (IWH).
    17. Stéphane Dupraz, 2017. "A Kinked-Demand Theory of Price Rigidity," Working papers 656, Banque de France.
    18. Aparicio, Diego & Rigobon, Roberto, 2023. "Quantum prices," Journal of International Economics, Elsevier, vol. 143(C).
    19. Luo, Yulei & Nie, Jun & Wang, Xiaowen & Young, Eric R., 2025. "Production and inventory dynamics under ambiguity aversion," Journal of Monetary Economics, Elsevier, vol. 152(C).
    20. Ilut, Cosmin & Saijo, Hikaru, 2021. "Learning, confidence, and business cycles," Journal of Monetary Economics, Elsevier, vol. 117(C), pages 354-376.
    21. Cosmin Ilut & Rosen Valchev, 2024. "Learning Optimal Behavior Through Reasoning and Experiences," Papers 2403.18185, arXiv.org.
    22. Jean-Paul L'Huillier & Gregory Phelan, 2023. "Can Supply Shocks Be Inflationary with a Flat Phillips Curve?," Working Papers 23-36, Federal Reserve Bank of Cleveland.
    23. Artem Kuriksha, 2021. "An Economy of Neural Networks: Learning from Heterogeneous Experiences," Papers 2110.11582, arXiv.org.
    24. Timothy J. Richards, 2022. "Agribusiness and policy failures," Applied Economic Perspectives and Policy, John Wiley & Sons, vol. 44(1), pages 350-363, March.
    25. Carmen-Elena Dorobat & Matthew McCaffrey & Nicolai J. Foss & Peter G. Klein, 2026. "Knightian Uncertainty in Entrepreneurship Research: Retrospect and Prospect," Entrepreneurship Theory and Practice, , vol. 50(1), pages 192-230, January.
    26. Maximilian Blesch & Philipp Eisenhauer, 2023. "Robust Decision-Making under Risk and Ambiguity," Rationality and Competition Discussion Paper Series 463, CRC TRR 190 Rationality and Competition.
    27. Cosmin L. Ilut & Rosen Valchev, 2020. "Economic Agents as Imperfect Problem Solvers," NBER Working Papers 27820, National Bureau of Economic Research, Inc.
    28. Richards, Timothy, 2025. "Market Concentration and Resilience in Agricultural Supply Chains," 2025 AAEA & WAEA Joint Annual Meeting, July 27-29, 2025, Denver, CO 361139, Agricultural and Applied Economics Association.
    29. Paciello, Luigi & Michelacci, Claudio, 2020. "Aggregate Risk or Aggregate Uncertainty? Evidence from UK Households," CEPR Discussion Papers 14557, Centre for Economic Policy Research.
    30. Hahn, Volker & Marenčák, Michal, 2020. "Price points and price dynamics," Journal of Monetary Economics, Elsevier, vol. 115(C), pages 127-144.
    31. Chen, Cheng & Senga, Tatsuro & Sun, Chang & Zhang, Hongyong, 2023. "Uncertainty, imperfect information, and expectation formation over the firm’s life cycle," Journal of Monetary Economics, Elsevier, vol. 140(C), pages 60-77.
    32. Barbara Rudolf & Pascal Seiler, 2022. "Price setting before and during the pandemic: evidence from Swiss consumer prices," Working Papers 2022-12, Swiss National Bank.
    33. Maximilian Blesch & Philipp Eisenhauer, 2021. "Robust Decision-Making Under Risk and Ambiguity," ECONtribute Discussion Papers Series 104, University of Bonn and University of Cologne, Germany.
    34. James Costain & Anton Nakov, 2019. "Logit Price Dynamics," Journal of Money, Credit and Banking, Blackwell Publishing, vol. 51(1), pages 43-78, February.

  9. Pavel Krivenko & Martin Schneider & Cosmin Ilut, 2015. "Uncertainty aversion and heterogeneous beliefs in linear models," 2015 Meeting Papers 1407, Society for Economic Dynamics.

    Cited by:

    1. Krivenko, Pavel, 2023. "Asset prices in a labor search model with confidence shocks," Journal of Economic Dynamics and Control, Elsevier, vol. 146(C).

  10. Cosmin Ilut & Matthias Kehrig & Martin Schneider, 2015. "Slow to Hire, Quick to Fire: Employment Dynamics with Asymmetric Responses to News," Working Papers 15-02, Center for Economic Studies, U.S. Census Bureau.

    Cited by:

    1. Carstensen, Kai & Bachmann, Rüdiger & Schneider, Martin & Lautenbacher, Stefan, 2018. "Uncertainty is Change," VfS Annual Conference 2018 (Freiburg, Breisgau): Digital Economy 181572, Verein für Socialpolitik / German Economic Association.
    2. Sebastian Graves, 2020. "The State Dependent Effectiveness of Hiring Subsidies," International Finance Discussion Papers 1290, Board of Governors of the Federal Reserve System (U.S.).
    3. Stefano Giglio & Ian Dew-Becker & David Berger, 2017. "Uncertainty Shocks as Second-Moment News Shocks," 2017 Meeting Papers 403, Society for Economic Dynamics.
    4. Xie, Victoria Wenxin, 2024. "Labor market adjustment to extreme heat shocks: Evidence from Brazil," Journal of Economic Behavior & Organization, Elsevier, vol. 222(C), pages 266-283.
    5. John (Jianqiu) Bai & Erik Brynjolfsson & Wang Jin & Sebastian Steffen & Chi Wan, 2021. "Digital Resilience: How Work-From-Home Feasibility Affects Firm Performance," NBER Working Papers 28588, National Bureau of Economic Research, Inc.
    6. Cosmin L. Ilut & Martin Schneider, 2022. "Modeling Uncertainty as Ambiguity: a Review," NBER Working Papers 29915, National Bureau of Economic Research, Inc.
    7. Sergio Salgado & Fatih Guvenen & Nicholas Bloom, 2019. "Skewed Business Cycles," 2019 Meeting Papers 1189, Society for Economic Dynamics.
    8. Francesco Ferrante & Sebastian Graves & Matteo Iacoviello, 2023. "The Inflationary Effects of Sectoral Reallocation," International Finance Discussion Papers 1369, Board of Governors of the Federal Reserve System (U.S.).
    9. David Domeij & Fatih Guvenen & Rocio Madera & Christopher Busch, 2020. "Skewed Idiosyncratic Income Risk over the Business Cycle: Sources and Insurance," Working Papers 1180, Barcelona School of Economics.
    10. Domenico Ferraro & Giuseppe Fiori, 2022. "Search Frictions, Labor Supply, and the Asymmetric Business Cycle," International Finance Discussion Papers 1355, Board of Governors of the Federal Reserve System (U.S.).
    11. Sangyup Choi & Davide Furceri & Seung Yong Yoo, 2023. "Heterogeneity in the Effects of Uncertainty Shocks on Labor Market Dynamics and Extensive vs. Intensive Margins of Adjustment," Working papers 2023rwp-222, Yonsei University, Yonsei Economics Research Institute.
    12. Benhabib, Jess & Liu, Xuewen & Wang, Pengfei, 2016. "Endogenous information acquisition and countercyclical uncertainty," Journal of Economic Theory, Elsevier, vol. 165(C), pages 601-642.
    13. Yoo, Donghoon, 2019. "Ambiguous information, permanent income, and consumption fluctuations," European Economic Review, Elsevier, vol. 119(C), pages 79-96.
    14. Yu, Edison G., 2018. "Dynamic market participation and endogenous information aggregation," Journal of Economic Theory, Elsevier, vol. 175(C), pages 491-517.
    15. Joshua Bernstein & Alexander W. Richter & Nathaniel A. Throckmorton, 2020. "Entry and Exit, Unemployment, and the Business Cycle," Working Papers 2018, Federal Reserve Bank of Dallas, revised 12 Jan 2021.
    16. Ian Dew‐Becker, 2023. "Tail Risk in Production Networks," Econometrica, Econometric Society, vol. 91(6), pages 2089-2123, November.
    17. Ambrogio Cesa-Bianchi & M. Hashem Pesaran & Alessandro Rebucci, 2018. "Uncertainty and Economic Activity: A Multi-Country Perspective," NBER Working Papers 24325, National Bureau of Economic Research, Inc.
    18. Baqaee, David Rezza, 2020. "Asymmetric inflation expectations, downward rigidity of wages, and asymmetric business cycles," Journal of Monetary Economics, Elsevier, vol. 114(C), pages 174-193.
    19. Kehrig, Matthias & Vincent, Nicolas, 2018. "The Micro-Level Anatomy of the Labor Share Decline," CEPR Discussion Papers 13333, Centre for Economic Policy Research.
    20. Kölling, Arnd, 2018. "It's not about adjustment costs: Estimating asymmetries in long-run labor demand using a fractional panel probit model," Working Papers 95, Berlin School of Economics and Law, Institute of Management Berlin (IMB).
    21. Guihai Zhao, 2020. "Learning, Equilibrium Trend, Cycle, and Spread in Bond Yields," Staff Working Papers 20-14, Bank of Canada.
    22. Straub, Ludwig & Ulbricht, Robert, 2016. "Endogenous Second Moments: A Unified Approach to Fluctuations in Risk, Dispersion, and Uncertainty," TSE Working Papers 16-664, Toulouse School of Economics (TSE), revised Mar 2018.
    23. Gondhi, Naveen, 2023. "Rational inattention, misallocation, and the aggregate economy," Journal of Monetary Economics, Elsevier, vol. 136(C), pages 50-75.
    24. Botelho, Vasco & Foroni, Claudia & Renzetti, Andrea, 2023. "Labour at risk," Working Paper Series 2840, European Central Bank.
    25. David R. Munro, 2021. "Consumer Behavior and Firm Volatility," Journal of Money, Credit and Banking, Blackwell Publishing, vol. 53(4), pages 845-873, June.
    26. Yu, Deshui & Huang, Difang, 2023. "Cross-sectional uncertainty and expected stock returns," Journal of Empirical Finance, Elsevier, vol. 72(C), pages 321-340.
    27. Dongya Koh & Raül Santaeulàlia-Llopis, 2017. "Countercyclical Elasticity of Substitution," Working Papers 946, Barcelona School of Economics.
    28. Lutz Kilian & Michael D. Plante & Alexander W. Richter, 2025. "Macroeconomic Responses to Uncertainty Shocks: The Perils of Recursive Orderings," Journal of Applied Econometrics, John Wiley & Sons, Ltd., vol. 40(4), pages 395-410, June.
    29. Yu-Ting Chiang, 2022. "Attention and a Paradox of Uncertainty," Working Papers 2022-004, Federal Reserve Bank of St. Louis, revised 08 Oct 2024.
    30. Chiara Scotti, 2023. "Financial Shocks in an Uncertain Economy," Working Papers 2308, Federal Reserve Bank of Dallas.
    31. Lautenbacher, Stefan, 2020. "Subjective Uncertainty, Expectations, and Firm Behavior," MPRA Paper 103516, University Library of Munich, Germany.
    32. Botelho, Vasco & Foroni, Claudia & Renzetti, Andrea, 2024. "Labour at risk," European Economic Review, Elsevier, vol. 170(C).
    33. Chacko George & Florian Kuhn, 2019. "Business Cycle Implications of Capacity Constraints under Demand Shocks," Review of Economic Dynamics, Elsevier for the Society for Economic Dynamics, vol. 32, pages 94-121, April.
    34. Barrero, Jose Maria, 2022. "The micro and macro of managerial beliefs," Journal of Financial Economics, Elsevier, vol. 143(2), pages 640-667.
    35. Domenico Ferraro & Giuseppe Fiori, 2018. "The Scarring Effect of Asymmetric Business Cycles," 2018 Meeting Papers 283, Society for Economic Dynamics.
    36. Julien Champagne & Émilien Gouin-Bonenfant, 2022. "Monetary Policy, Credit Constraints and SME Employment," Staff Working Papers 22-49, Bank of Canada.
    37. Bernstein, Joshua & Richter, Alexander W. & Throckmorton, Nathaniel A., 2021. "Cyclical net entry and exit," European Economic Review, Elsevier, vol. 136(C).
    38. Dew-Becker, Ian & Giglio, Stefano & Kelly, Bryan, 2021. "Hedging macroeconomic and financial uncertainty and volatility," Journal of Financial Economics, Elsevier, vol. 142(1), pages 23-45.
    39. Larry G. Epstein & Yoram Halevy, 2019. "Hard-to-Interpret Signals," Working Papers tecipa-634, University of Toronto, Department of Economics.
    40. David Berger & Joseph Vavra, 2017. "Shocks vs. Responsiveness: What Drives Time-Varying Dispersion?," NBER Working Papers 23143, National Bureau of Economic Research, Inc.
    41. Bachmann, Rüdiger & Elstner, Steffen & Hristov, Atanas, 2017. "Surprise, surprise – Measuring firm-level investment innovations," Journal of Economic Dynamics and Control, Elsevier, vol. 83(C), pages 107-148.
    42. Joshua Bernstein & Michael D. Plante & Alexander W. Richter & Nathaniel A. Throckmorton, 2021. "Countercyclical Fluctuations in Uncertainty are Endogenous," Working Papers 2109, Federal Reserve Bank of Dallas.
    43. Francesco Bianchi & Cosmin Ilut & Hikaru Saijo, 2024. "Smooth Diagnostic Expectations," ISER Discussion Paper 1249, Institute of Social and Economic Research, The University of Osaka.
    44. Tyler Atkinson & Michael Plante & Alexander Richter & Nathaniel Throckmorton, 2022. "Complementarity and Macroeconomic Uncertainty," Review of Economic Dynamics, Elsevier for the Society for Economic Dynamics, vol. 44, pages 225-243, April.
    45. Ravenna, Federico & Cacciatore, Matteo, 2020. "Uncertainty, Wages, and the Business Cycle," CEPR Discussion Papers 14715, Centre for Economic Policy Research.
    46. Ian Dew-Becker, 2024. "Real-time forward-looking skewness over the business cycle," Review of Economic Dynamics, Elsevier for the Society for Economic Dynamics, vol. 54, October.
    47. Schmidt, Lawrence D.W., 2025. "Climbing and falling off the ladder: Asset pricing implications of labor market event risk," Journal of Financial Economics, Elsevier, vol. 172(C).
    48. Shaowei Ke & Qi Zhang, 2020. "Randomization and Ambiguity Aversion," Econometrica, Econometric Society, vol. 88(3), pages 1159-1195, May.
    49. Domenico Ferraro, 2018. "The Asymmetric Cyclical Behavior of the U.S. Labor Market," Review of Economic Dynamics, Elsevier for the Society for Economic Dynamics, vol. 30, pages 145-162, October.
    50. Li, Yulin & Wald, John K. & Wang, Zijun, 2025. "Not just the news: Higher moments of macroeconomic variables and sovereign bond returns," Global Finance Journal, Elsevier, vol. 66(C).
    51. Muzaffarjon Ahunov & Dilnovoz Abdurazzakova & Nurmukhammad Yusupov, 2019. "Who creates jobs in transition economies? The role of entrepreneurial risk preferences," Economics Bulletin, AccessEcon, vol. 39(3), pages 1876-1886.
    52. Wang, Bo & Hu, Tiantian & Zheng, Suli, 2023. "Earning inflation, real investment and self-fulfilling uncertainty," Finance Research Letters, Elsevier, vol. 58(PC).
    53. Jun E. Li, 2025. "Credit Market Frictions and the Linkage Between Dispersion and Macro Uncertainty," Management Science, INFORMS, vol. 71(6), pages 5288-5307, June.
    54. Thiago Revil T. Ferreira, 2022. "Cross-Sectional Financial Conditions, Business Cycles and The Lending Channel," International Finance Discussion Papers 1335, Board of Governors of the Federal Reserve System (U.S.).
    55. Domenico Ferraro, 2023. "Fast Rises, Slow Declines: Asymmetric Unemployment Dynamics with Matching Frictions," Journal of Money, Credit and Banking, Blackwell Publishing, vol. 55(2-3), pages 349-378, March.
    56. Valeriu Nalban & Andra Smadu, 2022. "Uncertainty shocks and the monetary-macroprudential policy mix," Working Papers 739, DNB.
    57. Joshua Bernstein & Alexander W. Richter & Nathaniel A. Throckmorton, 2021. "Nonlinear Search and Matching Explained," Working Papers 2106, Federal Reserve Bank of Dallas.
    58. Ryan A. Decker & John Haltiwanger & Ron S. Jarmin & Javier Miranda, 2018. "Changing Business Dynamism and Productivity : Shocks vs. Responsiveness," Finance and Economics Discussion Series 2018-007, Board of Governors of the Federal Reserve System (U.S.).
    59. Calvino, Flavio & Criscuolo, Chiara & Menon, Carlo & Secchi, Angelo, 2018. "Growth volatility and size: A firm-level study," Journal of Economic Dynamics and Control, Elsevier, vol. 90(C), pages 390-407.
    60. Cooper, Russell & Horn, Carl-Wolfram & Indraccolo, Leonardo, 2024. "Covid and productivity in Europe: A responsiveness perspective," European Economic Review, Elsevier, vol. 163(C).

  11. Peter Benczur & Cosmin L. Ilut, 2014. "Evidence for Relational Contracts in Sovereign Bank Lending," NBER Working Papers 20391, National Bureau of Economic Research, Inc.

    Cited by:

    1. Marin Ferry & Marc Raffinot, 2018. "Curse or Blessing? Has the impact of debt relief lived up to expectations? A review of the effects of the multilateral debt relief initiatives for low-income countries," Working Papers DT/2018/12, DIAL (Développement, Institutions et Mondialisation).
    2. Mr. Tamon Asonuma, 2016. "Serial Sovereign Defaults and Debt Restructurings," IMF Working Papers 2016/066, International Monetary Fund.
    3. Maxime TERRIEUX & Benoît Jonveaux & Marin Ferry (Université Gustave Eiffel, DIAL), 2021. "Debt sustainability in Africa: state of play and future challenges," Working Paper 5b1b8e30-4a94-42f3-9e4b-9, Agence française de développement.
    4. Maxime TERRIEUX & Benoît Jonveaux & Marin Ferry (Université Gustave Eiffel, DIAL), 2021. "La soutenabilité des dettes en Afrique : état des lieux et enjeux futurs," Working Paper 5b1b8e30-4a94-42f3-9e4b-9, Agence française de développement.
    5. Fløgstad, Cathrin N. & Nordtveit, Ingvild, 2014. "Lending to developing countries: How do official creditors respond to sovereign defaults?," Working Papers in Economics 01/14, University of Bergen, Department of Economics.
    6. Christoph Trebesch & Mr. Michael G. Papaioannou & Mr. Udaibir S Das, 2012. "Sovereign Debt Restructurings 1950-2010: Literature Survey, Data, and Stylized Facts," IMF Working Papers 2012/203, International Monetary Fund.
    7. Wache, Benjamin, 2021. "Information Frictions, Global Capital Markets, and the Telegraph," VfS Annual Conference 2021 (Virtual Conference): Climate Economics 242444, Verein für Socialpolitik / German Economic Association.
    8. Juan J. Cruces & Christoph Trebesch, 2011. "Sovereign Defaults: The Price of Haircuts," CESifo Working Paper Series 3604, CESifo.
    9. Eberhardt, Markus, 2018. "(At Least) Four Theories for Sovereign Default," CEPR Discussion Papers 13084, Centre for Economic Policy Research.
    10. Mr. Luis Catão & Rui Mano, 2015. "Default Premium," IMF Working Papers 2015/167, International Monetary Fund.
    11. Silano, Filippo, 2023. "Agency costs in primary dealer systems," ILE Working Paper Series 69, University of Hamburg, Institute of Law and Economics.

  12. Ilut, Cosmin & Bianchi, Francesco, 2013. "Monetary/Fiscal Policy Mix and Agents' Beliefs," CEPR Discussion Papers 9645, Centre for Economic Policy Research.

    Cited by:

    1. Kostas Mavromatis, 2020. "Finite Horizons and the Monetary/Fiscal Policy Mix," International Journal of Central Banking, International Journal of Central Banking, vol. 16(4), pages 327-378, September.
    2. Hack, Lukas & Istrefi, Klodiana & Meier, Matthias, 2023. "Identification of systematic monetary policy," Working Paper Series 2851, European Central Bank.
    3. Guido Ascari & Anna Florio & Alessandro Gobbi, 2020. "Controlling Inflation With Timid Monetary–Fiscal Regime Changes," International Economic Review, Department of Economics, University of Pennsylvania and Osaka University Institute of Social and Economic Research Association, vol. 61(2), pages 1001-1024, May.
    4. Howard Kung & Gonzalo Morales & Francesco Bianchi, 2015. "Monetary/Fiscal Policy Mix and Asset Prices," 2015 Meeting Papers 1224, Society for Economic Dynamics.
    5. Hinterlang, Natascha & Hollmayr, Josef, 2022. "Classification of monetary and fiscal dominance regimes using machine learning techniques," Journal of Macroeconomics, Elsevier, vol. 74(C).
    6. António Afonso & José Alves & Serena Ionta, 2023. "Monetary policy surprises shocks under different fiscal regimes: a panel analysis of the Euro Area," Working Papers REM 2023/0284, ISEG - Lisbon School of Economics and Management, REM, Universidade de Lisboa.
    7. Ruopu Hu & Junior Maith & Shin-Ichi Nishiyama, 2026. "Regime Shifts in U.S. Trend Inflation: Pre-Volcker to Post-Great Moderation," Discussion Papers 2604, Graduate School of Economics, Kobe University.
    8. Luchelle Soobyah & Mulalo Mamburu & Nicola Viegi, 2023. "Is South Africa falling into a fiscal dominant regime," Working Papers 11046, South African Reserve Bank.
    9. Begona Dominguez & Pedro Gomis-Porqueras, 2019. "The effects of secondary markets for government bonds on inflation dynamics," Review of Economic Dynamics, Elsevier for the Society for Economic Dynamics, vol. 32, pages 249-273, April.
    10. Howard Kung & Gonzalo Morales & Alexandre Corhay, 2017. "Fiscal Discount Rates and Debt Maturity," 2017 Meeting Papers 840, Society for Economic Dynamics.
    11. Lhuissier, Stéphane & Zabelina, Margarita, 2015. "On the stability of Calvo-style price-setting behavior," Journal of Economic Dynamics and Control, Elsevier, vol. 57(C), pages 77-95.
    12. Kronick, Jeremy & Petersen, Luba, 2025. "Is monetary and fiscal policy conflict that dire?," Journal of Economic Dynamics and Control, Elsevier, vol. 172(C).
    13. Omotosho, Babatunde S. & Yang, Bo, 2024. "Oil price shocks and macroeconomic dynamics in resource-rich emerging economies under regime shifts," Journal of International Money and Finance, Elsevier, vol. 144(C).
    14. Ruoyun Mao & Wenyi Shen & Shu-Chun S. Yang, 2023. "Can Passive Monetary Policy Decrease the Debt Burden?," IEAS Working Paper : academic research 23-A007, Institute of Economics, Academia Sinica, Taipei, Taiwan.
    15. Hanlin Xia & Lin Zhang, 2025. "The Coordination of Monetary and Local Government Fiscal Policies and Local Fiscal Sustainability in China," Sustainability, MDPI, vol. 17(16), pages 1-34, August.
    16. Dhital, Saroj & Gomis-Porqueras, Pedro & Haslag, Joseph H., 2021. "Monetary and fiscal policy interactions in a frictional model of fiat money, nominal public debt and banking," European Economic Review, Elsevier, vol. 139(C).
    17. Ascari, Guido & Florio, Anna & Gobbi, Alessandro, 2017. "Controlling inflation with switching monetary and fiscal policies: expectations, fiscal guidance and timid regime changes," Bank of Finland Research Discussion Papers 9/2017, Bank of Finland.
    18. Christoffel, Kai & Farkas, Mátyás, 2025. "Managing the risks of inflation expectation de-anchoring," Working Paper Series 3082, European Central Bank.
    19. Kazeem Abimbola Sanusi & Zandri Dickason-Koekemoer, 2023. "Fiscal and Monetary Policies Interactions in Nigeria and South Africa: Dynamic Stochastic General Equilibrium Approach," International Journal of Economics and Financial Issues, Econjournals, vol. 13(5), pages 21-31, September.
    20. Liu, Guangling & Mustapher, Marrium, 2025. "Spillover effects of the recent US monetary policy shocks on the South African economy: The role of monetary and fiscal policy coordination," Emerging Markets Review, Elsevier, vol. 69(C).
    21. Leeper, E.M. & Leith, C., 2016. "Understanding Inflation as a Joint Monetary–Fiscal Phenomenon," Handbook of Macroeconomics, in: J. B. Taylor & Harald Uhlig (ed.), Handbook of Macroeconomics, edition 1, volume 2, chapter 0, pages 2305-2415, Elsevier.
    22. Ali, Amjad & Hasan, Zohaib Ul & Abbasi, Qasim & Sulehri, Fiaz Ahmad, 2023. "Business or Politics: Exploring the Determinants of Policy Mix in South Asia," MPRA Paper 120120, University Library of Munich, Germany.
    23. Chemla, Gilles & Hennessy, Christopher, 2019. "Equilibrium Counterfactuals," CEPR Discussion Papers 14146, Centre for Economic Policy Research.
    24. John Cochrane, 2022. "A fiscal theory of monetary policy with partially repaid long-term debt," Review of Economic Dynamics, Elsevier for the Society for Economic Dynamics, vol. 45, pages 1-21, July.
    25. Ethan Ilzetzki, 2024. "Fiscal Events and Anchored Inflation Expectations," Discussion Papers 2410, Centre for Macroeconomics (CFM).
    26. Katagiri, Mitsuru & Konishi, Hideki & Ueda, Kozo, 2020. "Aging and deflation from a fiscal perspective," Journal of Monetary Economics, Elsevier, vol. 111(C), pages 1-15.
    27. Hommes, Cars & Lustenhouwer, Joep & Mavromatis, Kostas, 2018. "Fiscal consolidations and heterogeneous expectations," Journal of Economic Dynamics and Control, Elsevier, vol. 87(C), pages 173-205.
    28. Anis Foresto & Monique Reid & Jeffrey Rakgalakane, 2025. "State dependence of the Phillips curve what does this mean for monetary policy," Working Papers 11080, South African Reserve Bank.
    29. Gilles Chemla & Christopher Hennessy, 2021. "Equilibrium Counterfactuals," International Economic Review, Department of Economics, University of Pennsylvania and Osaka University Institute of Social and Economic Research Association, vol. 62(2), pages 639-669, May.
    30. Martin Geiger & Marios Zachariadis, 2019. "Assessing Expectations as a Monetary/Fiscal State-Dependent Phenomenon," University of Cyprus Working Papers in Economics 01-2019, University of Cyprus Department of Economics.
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    39. Axelle Ferriere & Anastasios Karantounias, 2019. "Fiscal Austerity in Ambiguous Times," Post-Print halshs-02084280, HAL.
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    53. Snarska, Małgorzata & Frydrych, Sylwia & Łukowski, Michał & Czech, Maria & Perez, Katarzyna, 2025. "Semiconductor game of thrones: A comprehensive study of geopolitical and equity market uncertainty transmission," International Review of Financial Analysis, Elsevier, vol. 106(C).
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  14. Peter Benczur & Cosmin Ilut, 2011. "Evidence for Dynamic Contracts in Sovereign Bank Lending," Working Papers 11-06, Duke University, Department of Economics.

    Cited by:

    1. Sandleris, Guido, 2016. "The costs of sovereign default: theory and empirical evidence," LSE Research Online Documents on Economics 123224, London School of Economics and Political Science, LSE Library.
    2. Peter Benczur & Cosmin L. Ilut, 2014. "Evidence for Relational Contracts in Sovereign Bank Lending," NBER Working Papers 20391, National Bureau of Economic Research, Inc.

  15. Cosmin L. Ilut & Lawrence J. Christiano & Roberto Motto & Massimo Rostagno, 2010. "Monetary Policy and Stock Market Booms," Working Papers 10-69, Duke University, Department of Economics.

    Cited by:

    1. Adam, Klaus & Woodford, Michael, 2021. "Robustly optimal monetary policy in a new Keynesian model with housing," Journal of Economic Theory, Elsevier, vol. 198(C).
    2. Kyle Jurado, 2016. "Advance Information and Distorted Beliefs in Macroeconomic and Financial Fluctuations," 2016 Meeting Papers 154, Society for Economic Dynamics.
    3. Jackson, Laura E. & Owyang, Michael T. & Soques, Daniel, 2018. "Nonlinearities, smoothing and countercyclical monetary policy," Journal of Economic Dynamics and Control, Elsevier, vol. 95(C), pages 136-154.
    4. Ryan Chahrour & Kyle Jurado, 2016. "News or Noise? The Missing Link," Boston College Working Papers in Economics 917, Boston College Department of Economics, revised 02 Nov 2017.
    5. Jan Zacek, 2016. "Financial Variables in a Policy Rule: Does It Bring Macroeconomic Benefits?," Working Papers IES 2016/25, Charles University Prague, Faculty of Social Sciences, Institute of Economic Studies, revised Dec 2016.
    6. Pierre-Richard Agénor & Luiz A. Pereira da Silva, 2013. "Inflation Targeting and Financial Stability: A Perspective from the Developing World," Working Papers Series 324, Central Bank of Brazil, Research Department.
    7. Paul Kitney, 2016. "Financial Factors and Monetary Policy: Determinacy and Learnability of Equilibrium," CAMA Working Papers 2016-41, Centre for Applied Macroeconomic Analysis, Crawford School of Public Policy, The Australian National University.
    8. Winkler, Fabian, 2020. "The role of learning for asset prices and business cycles," Journal of Monetary Economics, Elsevier, vol. 114(C), pages 42-58.
    9. Ms. Valerie Cerra & Ms. Sweta Chaman Saxena, 2017. "Booms, Crises, and Recoveries: A New Paradigm of the Business Cycle and its Policy Implications," IMF Working Papers 2017/250, International Monetary Fund.
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  16. Cosmin L. Ilut, 2010. "Ambiguity Aversion: Implications for the Uncovered Interest Rate Parity Puzzle," Working Papers 10-53, Duke University, Department of Economics.

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    1. Gertsman, Gleb, 2023. "Behavioral preferences and beliefs in asset pricing," Other publications TiSEM c7196596-1bf8-47c9-a147-6, Tilburg University, School of Economics and Management.
    2. Costantini, Mauro & Crespo Cuaresma, Jesus & Hlouskova, Jaroslava, 2014. "Can Macroeconomists Get Rich Forecasting Exchange Rates?," Department of Economics Working Paper Series 176, WU Vienna University of Economics and Business.
    3. Larry G. Epstein & Martin Schneider, 2010. "Ambiguity and Asset Markets," NBER Working Papers 16181, National Bureau of Economic Research, Inc.
    4. Adrien Verdelhan, 2012. "The Share of Systematic Variation in Bilateral Exchange Rates," 2012 Meeting Papers 763, Society for Economic Dynamics.
    5. Kolasa, Marcin & Ravgotra, Sahil & Zabczyk, Pawel, 2025. "Monetary policy and exchange rate dynamics in a behavioral open economy model," Journal of International Economics, Elsevier, vol. 155(C).
    6. Krahnen, Jan Pieter & Ockenfels, Peter & Wilde, Christian, 2014. "Measuring ambiguity aversion: A systematic experimental approach," SAFE Working Paper Series 55, Leibniz Institute for Financial Research SAFE.
    7. Francis Breedon & Dagfinn Rime & Paolo Vital, 2010. "A Transaction Data Study of the Forward Bias Puzzle," Working Paper 2010/26, Norges Bank.
    8. Charles Engel, 2013. "Exchange Rates and Interest Parity," NBER Working Papers 19336, National Bureau of Economic Research, Inc.
    9. Cosmin L. Ilut & Martin Schneider, 2022. "Modeling Uncertainty as Ambiguity: a Review," NBER Working Papers 29915, National Bureau of Economic Research, Inc.
    10. Charles Engel, 2015. "Exchange Rates, Interest Rates, and the Risk Premium," NBER Working Papers 21042, National Bureau of Economic Research, Inc.
    11. Alfred V Guender, 2015. "International Evidence on the Role of Monetary Policy in the Uncovered Interest Rate Parity Puzzle," Working Papers in Economics 15/15, University of Canterbury, Department of Economics and Finance.
    12. Engel, Charles, 2011. "The Real Exchange Rate, Real Interest Rates, and the Risk Premium," Economics Series 265, Institute for Advanced Studies.
    13. Philipp Matros & Enzo Weber, 2014. "Non-stationary Interest Rate Differentials and the Role of Monetary Policy," International Economic Journal, Taylor & Francis Journals, vol. 28(3), pages 497-512, September.
    14. Meglena Jeleva & Jean-Marc Tallon, 2014. "Ambiguïté, comportements et marchés financiers," Documents de travail du Centre d'Economie de la Sorbonne 14064, Université Panthéon-Sorbonne (Paris 1), Centre d'Economie de la Sorbonne.
    15. Iliopulos, Eleni & Perego, Erica & Sopraseuth, Thepthida, 2021. "International business cycles: Information matters," Journal of Monetary Economics, Elsevier, vol. 123(C), pages 19-34.
    16. Rosen Valchev, 2015. "Exchange Rates and UIP Violations at Short and Long Horizons," 2015 Meeting Papers 1446, Society for Economic Dynamics.
    17. Ippei Fujiwara & Yasuo Hirose, 2024. "Connecting Exchange Rates to Fundamentals Under Indeterminacy," Keio-IES Discussion Paper Series 2024-024, Institute for Economics Studies, Keio University.
    18. Francis Breedon & Dagfinn Rime & Paolo Vitale, 2016. "Carry Trades, Order Flow, and the Forward Bias Puzzle," Journal of Money, Credit and Banking, Blackwell Publishing, vol. 48(6), pages 1113-1134, September.
    19. Yoo, Donghoon, 2019. "Ambiguous information, permanent income, and consumption fluctuations," European Economic Review, Elsevier, vol. 119(C), pages 79-96.
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    22. Tarek A. Hassan & Rui C. Mano, 2014. "Forward and Spot Exchange Rates in a Multi-currency World," NBER Working Papers 20294, National Bureau of Economic Research, Inc.
    23. Baqaee, David Rezza, 2020. "Asymmetric inflation expectations, downward rigidity of wages, and asymmetric business cycles," Journal of Monetary Economics, Elsevier, vol. 114(C), pages 174-193.
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    25. Guihai Zhao, 2020. "Learning, Equilibrium Trend, Cycle, and Spread in Bond Yields," Staff Working Papers 20-14, Bank of Canada.
    26. Steve Furnagiev & Josh Stillwagon, 2015. "Subjective Currency Risk Premia and Deviations from Moving Averages," Working Papers 1506, Trinity College, Department of Economics.
    27. Li, Jing & Miller, Norman C., 2015. "Foreign exchange market inefficiency and exchange rate anomalies," Journal of International Financial Markets, Institutions and Money, Elsevier, vol. 34(C), pages 311-320.
    28. Rosen Valchev, 2017. "Bond Convenience Yields and Exchange Rate Dynamics," Boston College Working Papers in Economics 943, Boston College Department of Economics.
    29. Taylor, Alan M. & Jordà , Òscar, 2009. "The Carry Trade and Fundamentals: Nothing to Fear But FEER Itself," CEPR Discussion Papers 7568, Centre for Economic Policy Research.
    30. Granziera, Eleonora & Sihvonen, Markus, 2020. "Bonds, currencies and expectational errors," Bank of Finland Research Discussion Papers 7/2020, Bank of Finland.
    31. Ziyun Zhang & Sen Guo, 2021. "What Factors Affect the RMB Carry Trade Return for Sustainability? An Empirical Analysis by Using an ARDL Model," Sustainability, MDPI, vol. 13(24), pages 1-19, December.
    32. Guangyu PEI, 2019. "Uncertainty, Pessimism and Economic Fluctuations," 2019 Meeting Papers 1494, Society for Economic Dynamics.
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    36. Javier Bianchi & Saki Bigio & Charles Engel, 2022. "Scrambling for Dollars: International Liquidity, Banks and Exchange Rates," Working Papers 182, Peruvian Economic Association.
    37. Taylor, Mark & Xu, Qi & Kozhan, Roman, 2020. "Prospect Theory and Currency Returns: Empirical Evidence," CEPR Discussion Papers 15306, Centre for Economic Policy Research.
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    40. Shi, Zhan, 2019. "Time-varying ambiguity, credit spreads, and the levered equity premium," Journal of Financial Economics, Elsevier, vol. 134(3), pages 617-646.
    41. Ryan Chahrour & Vito Cormun & Pierre De Leo & Pablo Guerron-Quintana & Rosen Valchev, 2021. "Exchange Rate Disconnect Revisited," Boston College Working Papers in Economics 1041, Boston College Department of Economics, revised 12 May 2023.
    42. Moran, Kevin & Nono, Simplice Aimé, 2018. "Gradual learning about shocks and the forward premium puzzle," Journal of International Money and Finance, Elsevier, vol. 88(C), pages 79-100.
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    51. Husnu C. Dalgic, 2025. "When Is Liquidity Bad?," CRC TR 224 Discussion Paper Series crctr224_2025_723, University of Bonn and University of Mannheim, Germany.
    52. Djeutem, Edouard, 2014. "Model uncertainty and the Forward Premium Puzzle," Journal of International Money and Finance, Elsevier, vol. 46(C), pages 16-40.
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  17. Christiano, Lawrence & Motto, Roberto & Rostagno, Massimo & Ilut, Cosmin, 2008. "Monetary policy and stock market boom-bust cycles," Working Paper Series 955, European Central Bank.

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    1. Nikolay Iskrev & Sandra Gomes & Caterina Mendicino, 2013. "Monetary policy shocks: We got news!," Working Papers w201307, Banco de Portugal, Economics and Research Department.
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    3. Ali, Syed Zahid & Anwar, Sajid, 2018. "Anticipated versus unanticipated terms of trade shocks and the J-curve phenomenon," Journal of International Money and Finance, Elsevier, vol. 81(C), pages 1-19.
    4. Canzoneri, Matthew B & Cumby, Robert & Diba, Behzad & López-Salido, J David, 2008. "Monetary Aggregates and Liquidity in a Neo-Wicksellian Framework," CEPR Discussion Papers 6813, Centre for Economic Policy Research.
    5. Lawrence Christiano & Mathias Trabandt & Karl Walentin, 2021. "Involuntary Unemployment and the Business Cycle," Review of Economic Dynamics, Elsevier for the Society for Economic Dynamics, vol. 39, pages 26-54, January.
    6. Wieland, Volker & Beck, Günter W., 2008. "Central Bank misperceptions and the role of money in interest rate rules," Working Paper Series 967, European Central Bank.
    7. Pierre-Richard Agénor & Koray Alper & Luiz A. Pereira da Silva, 2011. "Capital Regulation, Monetary Policy and Financial Stability," Working Papers Series 237, Central Bank of Brazil, Research Department.
    8. Pesaran, M. Hashem & Xu, TengTeng, 2011. "Business Cycle Effects of Credit and Technology Shocks in a DSGE Model with Firm Defaults," IZA Discussion Papers 6027, IZA Network @ LISER.
    9. Rebelo, Sérgio & Jaimovich, Nir, 2006. "Can News About the Future Drive the Business Cycle?," CEPR Discussion Papers 5877, Centre for Economic Policy Research.
    10. Luisa Lambertini & Caterina Mendicino & Maria Teresa Punzi, 2012. "Expectations-Driven Cycles in the Housing Market," Discussion Papers 12/08, University of Nottingham, Centre for Finance, Credit and Macroeconomics (CFCM).
    11. Christopher M. Gunn & Alok Johri, 2015. "Financial News, Banks and Business Cycles," Department of Economics Working Papers 2015-12, McMaster University.
    12. Ye Bai & Christopher Green, 2011. "Determinants of cross-sectional stock return variations in emerging markets," Empirical Economics, Springer, vol. 41(1), pages 81-102, August.
    13. Keiichiro KOBAYASHI, 2009. "Asset-Price Collapse and Market Disruption - A model of financial crises -," Discussion papers 09045, Research Institute of Economy, Trade and Industry (RIETI).
    14. Stephane Auray & Paul Gomme & Shen Guo, 2012. "Nominal Rigidities, Monetary Policy and Pigou Cycles," Working Papers 12006, Concordia University, Department of Economics.
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    16. Mario Forni & Luca Gambetti & Marco Lippi & Luca Sala, 2014. "Noise Bubbles," Center for Economic Research (RECent) 096, University of Modena and Reggio E., Dept. of Economics "Marco Biagi".
      • Lippi, Marco & Forni, Mario & Sala, Luca & Gambetti, Luca, 2013. "Noise Bubbles," CEPR Discussion Papers 9532, Centre for Economic Policy Research.
      • Mario Forni & Luca Gambetti & Marco Lippi & Luca Sala, 2017. "Noise Bubbles," Economic Journal, Royal Economic Society, vol. 127(604), pages 1940-1976, September.
      • Mario Forni & Luca Gambetti & Marco Lippi & Luca Sala, 2014. "Noise Bubbles," Working Papers 532, IGIER (Innocenzo Gasparini Institute for Economic Research), Bocconi University.
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  18. Péter Banczúr & Cosmin Ilut, 2006. "Determinants of Spreads on Sovereign Bank Loans: The Role of Credit History," MNB Working Papers 2006/1, Magyar Nemzeti Bank (Central Bank of Hungary).

    Cited by:

    1. Veronica Guerrieri & Péter Kondor, 2009. "Fund Managers, Career Concerns, and Asset Price Volatility," NBER Working Papers 14898, National Bureau of Economic Research, Inc.
    2. Ugo Panizza, 2013. "Do We Need a Mechanism for Solving Sovereign Debt Crises? A Rule-Based Discussion," IHEID Working Papers 03-2013, Economics Section, The Graduate Institute of International Studies.
    3. Ugo Panizza & Federico Sturzenegger & Jeromin Zettelmeyer, 2009. "The Economics and Law of Sovereign Debt and Default," Journal of Economic Literature, American Economic Association, vol. 47(3), pages 651-698, September.
    4. Vidovics-Dancs, Ágnes, 2014. "Az államcsőd költségei régen és ma [Costs of sovereign defaults now and long ago]," Közgazdasági Szemle (Economic Review - monthly of the Hungarian Academy of Sciences), Közgazdasági Szemle Alapítvány (Economic Review Foundation), vol. 0(3), pages 262-278.

Articles

  1. Cosmin Ilut & Matthias Kehrig & Martin Schneider, 2018. "Slow to Hire, Quick to Fire: Employment Dynamics with Asymmetric Responses to News," Journal of Political Economy, University of Chicago Press, vol. 126(5), pages 2011-2071.
    See citations under working paper version above.
  2. Francesco Bianchi & Cosmin L. Ilut & Martin Schneider, 2018. "Uncertainty Shocks, Asset Supply and Pricing over the Business Cycle," The Review of Economic Studies, Review of Economic Studies Ltd, vol. 85(2), pages 810-854.
    See citations under working paper version above.
  3. Francesco Bianchi & Cosmin Ilut, 2017. "Monetary/Fiscal Policy Mix and Agent's Beliefs," Review of Economic Dynamics, Elsevier for the Society for Economic Dynamics, vol. 26, pages 113-139, October.
    See citations under working paper version above.
  4. Péter Benczúr & Cosmin L. Ilut, 2016. "Evidence For Relational Contracts In Sovereign Bank Lending," Journal of the European Economic Association, European Economic Association, vol. 14(2), pages 375-404, April.
    See citations under working paper version above.
  5. Cosmin L. Ilut & Martin Schneider, 2014. "Ambiguous Business Cycles," American Economic Review, American Economic Association, vol. 104(8), pages 2368-2399, August.
    See citations under working paper version above.
  6. Cosmin Ilut, 2012. "Ambiguity Aversion: Implications for the Uncovered Interest Rate Parity Puzzle," American Economic Journal: Macroeconomics, American Economic Association, vol. 4(3), pages 33-65, July.
    See citations under working paper version above.
  7. Lawrence J. Christiano & Cosmin Ilut & Roberto Motto & Massimo Rostagno, 2010. "Monetary policy and stock market booms," Proceedings - Economic Policy Symposium - Jackson Hole, Federal Reserve Bank of Kansas City, pages 85-145.
    See citations under working paper version above.Sorry, no citations of articles recorded.

Software components

  1. Francesco Bianchi & Cosmin Ilut, 2017. "Code and data files for "Monetary/Fiscal Policy Mix and Agent's Beliefs"," Computer Codes 16-166, Review of Economic Dynamics.
    See citations under working paper version above.Sorry, no citations of software components recorded.
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