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Fiscal policy for households and public budget constraint in Italy

Author

Listed:
  • Irfan Ahmed

    (Jazan University)

  • Claudio Socci

    (University of Macerata)

  • Francesca Severini

    (University of Macerata)

  • Rosita Pretaroli

    (University of Macerata)

Abstract

This study quantifies the economic impact of tax-cut policy implemented by Italian government on GDP and income distribution among institutional sectors. To this end, a computable general equilibrium model is calibrated on a social accounting matrix for Italian economy where households are disaggregated into five classes according to the income level. Two policy scenarios are simulated: the first considers an increase in transfers to the low-income households financed by a reduction in government expenditure; the second simulation considers a reduction in income taxes on low-income financed by an increase, of the same amount, in income tax on high-income households. The results of first policy scenario confirm the negative impact on GDP and disposable incomes of all institutional sectors except low income households. On the other hand, results of second policy scenario present the positive impact on GDP and disposable incomes of other institutional sectors.

Suggested Citation

  • Irfan Ahmed & Claudio Socci & Francesca Severini & Rosita Pretaroli, 2019. "Fiscal policy for households and public budget constraint in Italy," Economia Politica: Journal of Analytical and Institutional Economics, Springer;Fondazione Edison, vol. 36(1), pages 19-35, April.
    • Handle: RePEc:spr:epolit:v:36:y:2019:i:1:d:10.1007_s40888-018-0114-6
    DOI: 10.1007/s40888-018-0114-6
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    References listed on IDEAS

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    Cited by:

    1. Irfan Ahmed & Claudio Socci & Ali Medabesh & Francesca Severini & Jacopo Zotti, 2021. "Economic impact of monetary policy: Focus on real estate sector in Italy," International Journal of Finance & Economics, John Wiley & Sons, Ltd., vol. 26(1), pages 1256-1269, January.
    2. Ali Bayar & Barbara Bratta & Silvia Carta & Paolo Di Caro & Marco Manzo & Carlo Orecchia, 2021. "Assessing the effects of VAT policies with an integrated CGE-microsimulation approach: evidence on Italy," Working Papers wp2021-14, Ministry of Economy and Finance, Department of Finance.
    3. Deriu, S. & Cassar, I.P. & Pretaroli, R. & Socci, C., 2022. "The economic impact of Covid-19 pandemic in Sardinia," Research in Transportation Economics, Elsevier, vol. 93(C).
    4. Irfan Ahmed & Claudio Socci & Francesca Severini & Rosita Pretaroli & Hassan Kasady Al Mahdi, 2020. "Unconventional monetary policy and real estate sector: a financial dynamic computable general equilibrium model for Italy," Economic Systems Research, Taylor & Francis Journals, vol. 32(2), pages 221-238, April.

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    More about this item

    Keywords

    Fiscal policy; Social accounting matrix; CGE analysis;
    All these keywords.

    JEL classification:

    • E2 - Macroeconomics and Monetary Economics - - Consumption, Saving, Production, Employment, and Investment
    • H2 - Public Economics - - Taxation, Subsidies, and Revenue
    • H3 - Public Economics - - Fiscal Policies and Behavior of Economic Agents

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