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News about Aggregate Demand and the Business Cycle

Author

Listed:
  • Jang-Ting Guo

    (University of California, Riverside)

  • Anca-Ioana Sirbu

    (Department of Economics, West Virginia University)

  • Mark Weder

    (University of Adelaide)

Abstract

We show that an otherwise standard one-sector real business cycle model with variable capital utilization and mild increasing returns-to-scale is able to generate qualitatively as well as quantitatively realistic aggregate fluctuations driven by news shocks to future consumption demand. In sharp contrast to many studies in the existing expectations-driven business cycle literature, our results do not rely on non-separable preferences or investment adjustment costs.

Suggested Citation

  • Jang-Ting Guo & Anca-Ioana Sirbu & Mark Weder, 2012. "News about Aggregate Demand and the Business Cycle," Working Papers 12-02, Department of Economics, West Virginia University.
  • Handle: RePEc:wvu:wpaper:12-02
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    References listed on IDEAS

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    Cited by:

    1. Munechika Katayama & Kwang Hwan Kim, 2018. "Intersectoral Labor Immobility, Sectoral Comovement, and News Shocks," Journal of Money, Credit and Banking, Blackwell Publishing, vol. 50(1), pages 77-114, February.
    2. Marinko Škare & Saša Stjepanović, 2016. "Measuring Business Cycles: A Review," Contemporary Economics, University of Economics and Human Sciences in Warsaw., vol. 10(1), March.
    3. Christopher M. Gunn, 2018. "Overaccumulation, Interest, and Prices," Journal of Money, Credit and Banking, Blackwell Publishing, vol. 50(2-3), pages 479-511, March.
    4. Paul Beaudry & Franck Portier, 2014. "News-Driven Business Cycles: Insights and Challenges," Journal of Economic Literature, American Economic Association, vol. 52(4), pages 993-1074, December.
    5. Tania Karamisheva, 2021. "Measuring the Business Cycle in Bulgaria," Economic Studies journal, Bulgarian Academy of Sciences - Economic Research Institute, issue 3, pages 17-38.
    6. Ali, Syed Zahid & Qureshi, Irfan A., 2021. "Anticipated versus unanticipated productivity shocks and hours-worked," International Review of Economics & Finance, Elsevier, vol. 72(C), pages 547-572.
    7. Yong, Chen & Dingming, Liu, 2019. "How does government spending news affect interest rates? Evidence from the United States," Journal of Economic Dynamics and Control, Elsevier, vol. 108(C).

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    More about this item

    Keywords

    News Shocks; Aggregate Demand; Business Cycles;
    All these keywords.

    JEL classification:

    • E32 - Macroeconomics and Monetary Economics - - Prices, Business Fluctuations, and Cycles - - - Business Fluctuations; Cycles

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