IDEAS home Printed from https://ideas.repec.org/a/eee/transa/v174y2023ics0965856423001660.html
   My bibliography  Save this article

Toward sustainable port-hinterland transportation: A holistic approach to design modal shift policy mixes

Author

Listed:
  • Guo, Taolei
  • Liu, Pei
  • Wang, Chao
  • Xie, Jingci
  • Du, Jianbang
  • Lim, Ming K.

Abstract

Port-hinterland transport involves freight gathering and distribution between hinterland economies and ports. It is responsible for a major portion of the negative externalities of the entire port-related logistic chain. This study proposes an integrated model framework to facilitate the design of modal shift policy mixes to increase the sustainable performance of port-hinterland transport. The integrated model framework consists of three parts: (1) an econometric model to transform the hinterland economic scenarios into changes in port throughput, (2) a system dynamic model to estimate the changes in port-hinterland freight externalities due to changes in port throughput, and (3) a Monte Carlo simulation to identify those modal shift policy mixes with lower freight externalities. The proposed methodology is applied to Qingdao Port and its hinterland freight transport in China. The results show that hinterland economic growth will significantly raise port throughput and port-hinterland transport externalities. Four common modal shift policy instruments are considered, namely, internalization of external cost (IEC)-based pricing, road construction, increasing railway service level, and railway subsidy. The results show that the policy mix’s efficacy in reducing externalities increases with the increase in freight demand, but the holistic effect of the policy mix is lower than the sum of the effects of individual policies because these policies share the goal of facilitating modal shifts. The results of Monte Carlo simulations show that despite the uncertainty for hinterland economic prospects, the policy mixes with better performance in reducing externalities commonly include IEC-based pricing and increasing railway service level. The proposed methodology provides decision makers with a systematic framework for policy making toward sustainable port-hinterland transport.

Suggested Citation

  • Guo, Taolei & Liu, Pei & Wang, Chao & Xie, Jingci & Du, Jianbang & Lim, Ming K., 2023. "Toward sustainable port-hinterland transportation: A holistic approach to design modal shift policy mixes," Transportation Research Part A: Policy and Practice, Elsevier, vol. 174(C).
    • Handle: RePEc:eee:transa:v:174:y:2023:i:c:s0965856423001660
    DOI: 10.1016/j.tra.2023.103746
    as

    Download full text from publisher

    File URL: http://www.sciencedirect.com/science/article/pii/S0965856423001660
    Download Restriction: Full text for ScienceDirect subscribers only
    File URL: https://libkey.io/10.1016/j.tra.2023.103746?utm_source=ideas
    LibKey link: if access is restricted and if your library uses this service, LibKey will redirect you to where you can use your library subscription to access this item
    ---><---

    As the access to this document is restricted, you may want to search for a different version of it.

    References listed on IDEAS

    as
    1. Francesco Bianchi & Cosmin Ilut, 2017. "Monetary/Fiscal Policy Mix and Agent's Beliefs," Review of Economic Dynamics, Elsevier for the Society for Economic Dynamics, vol. 26, pages 113-139, October.
    2. Deng, Ping & Lu, Shiqing & Xiao, Hanbin, 2013. "Evaluation of the relevance measure between ports and regional economy using structural equation modeling," Transport Policy, Elsevier, vol. 27(C), pages 123-133.
    3. Talley, Wayne K. & Ng, ManWo, 2017. "Hinterland transport chains: Determinant effects on chain choice," International Journal of Production Economics, Elsevier, vol. 185(C), pages 175-179.
    4. Cai, Bofeng & Yang, Weishan & Cao, Dong & Liu, Lancui & Zhou, Ying & Zhang, Zhansheng, 2012. "Estimates of China's national and regional transport sector CO2 emissions in 2007," Energy Policy, Elsevier, vol. 41(C), pages 474-483.
    5. Sdoukopoulos, Eleftherios & Boile, Maria, 2020. "Port-hinterland concept evolution: A critical review," Journal of Transport Geography, Elsevier, vol. 86(C).
    6. Nocera, Silvio & Tonin, Stefania & Cavallaro, Federico, 2015. "Carbon estimation and urban mobility plans: Opportunities in a context of austerity," Research in Transportation Economics, Elsevier, vol. 51(C), pages 71-82.
    7. Yang, Zhongzhen & Guo, Liquan & Lian, Feng, 2019. "Port integration in a region with multiport gateways in the context of industrial transformation and upgrading of the port," Transportation Research Part E: Logistics and Transportation Review, Elsevier, vol. 122(C), pages 231-246.
    8. Robert A. Mundell, 1962. "The Appropriate Use of Monetary and Fiscal Policy for Internal and External Stability," IMF Staff Papers, Palgrave Macmillan, vol. 9(1), pages 70-79, March.
    9. Cui, Qi & He, Ling & Liu, Yu & Zheng, Yanting & Wei, Wei & Yang, Bo & Zhou, Meifang, 2021. "The impacts of COVID-19 pandemic on China’s transport sectors based on the CGE model coupled with a decomposition analysis approach," Transport Policy, Elsevier, vol. 103(C), pages 103-115.
    10. Shan, Jun & Yu, Mingzhu & Lee, Chung-Yee, 2014. "An empirical investigation of the seaport’s economic impact: Evidence from major ports in China," Transportation Research Part E: Logistics and Transportation Review, Elsevier, vol. 69(C), pages 41-53.
    11. Rashed, Yasmine & Meersman, Hilde & Sys, Christa & Van de Voorde, Eddy & Vanelslander, Thierry, 2018. "A combined approach to forecast container throughput demand: Scenarios for the Hamburg-Le Havre range of ports," Transportation Research Part A: Policy and Practice, Elsevier, vol. 117(C), pages 127-141.
    12. Bösch, Patrick M. & Becker, Felix & Becker, Henrik & Axhausen, Kay W., 2018. "Cost-based analysis of autonomous mobility services," Transport Policy, Elsevier, vol. 64(C), pages 76-91.
    13. Wang, Chao & Lim, Ming K. & Zhang, Xinyi & Zhao, Longfeng & Lee, Paul Tae-Woo, 2020. "Railway and road infrastructure in the Belt and Road Initiative countries: Estimating the impact of transport infrastructure on economic growth," Transportation Research Part A: Policy and Practice, Elsevier, vol. 134(C), pages 288-307.
    14. Demir, Emrah & Huang, Yuan & Scholts, Sebastiaan & Van Woensel, Tom, 2015. "A selected review on the negative externalities of the freight transportation: Modeling and pricing," Transportation Research Part E: Logistics and Transportation Review, Elsevier, vol. 77(C), pages 95-114.
    15. Kurtuluş, Ercan & Çetin, İsmail Bilge, 2020. "Analysis of modal shift potential towards intermodal transportation in short-distance inland container transport," Transport Policy, Elsevier, vol. 89(C), pages 24-37.
    16. Talley, Wayne K. & Ng, ManWo, 2018. "Hinterland transport chains: A behavioral examination approach," Transportation Research Part E: Logistics and Transportation Review, Elsevier, vol. 113(C), pages 94-98.
    17. Bottasso, Anna & Conti, Maurizio & Ferrari, Claudio & Tei, Alessio, 2014. "Ports and regional development: A spatial analysis on a panel of European regions," Transportation Research Part A: Policy and Practice, Elsevier, vol. 65(C), pages 44-55.
    18. Huo, Hong & Wang, Michael, 2012. "Modeling future vehicle sales and stock in China," Energy Policy, Elsevier, vol. 43(C), pages 17-29.
    19. Jochen Einbeck & Gerhard Tutz, 2006. "Modelling beyond regression functions: an application of multimodal regression to speed–flow data," Journal of the Royal Statistical Society Series C, Royal Statistical Society, vol. 55(4), pages 461-475, August.
    20. Tavasszy, Lóránt & Minderhoud, Michiel & Perrin, Jean-François & Notteboom, Theo, 2011. "A strategic network choice model for global container flows: specification, estimation and application," Journal of Transport Geography, Elsevier, vol. 19(6), pages 1163-1172.
    21. Liu, Shiyong & Triantis, Konstantinos P. & Sarangi, Sudipta, 2010. "A framework for evaluating the dynamic impacts of a congestion pricing policy for a transportation socioeconomic system," Transportation Research Part A: Policy and Practice, Elsevier, vol. 44(8), pages 596-608, October.
    22. Iannone, Fedele, 2012. "The private and social cost efficiency of port hinterland container distribution through a regional logistics system," Transportation Research Part A: Policy and Practice, Elsevier, vol. 46(9), pages 1424-1448.
    23. Söderholm, Patrik & Hellsmark, Hans & Frishammar, Johan & Hansson, Julia & Mossberg, Johanna & Sandström, Annica, 2019. "Technological development for sustainability: The role of network management in the innovation policy mix," Technological Forecasting and Social Change, Elsevier, vol. 138(C), pages 309-323.
    24. Sathaye, Nakul & Horvath, Arpad & Madanat, Samer, 2010. "Unintended impacts of increased truck loads on pavement supply-chain emissions," Transportation Research Part A: Policy and Practice, Elsevier, vol. 44(1), pages 1-15, January.
    25. Welch, Timothy F. & Mishra, Sabyasachee, 2014. "A framework for determining road pricing revenue use and its welfare effects," Research in Transportation Economics, Elsevier, vol. 44(C), pages 61-70.
    Full references (including those not matched with items on IDEAS)

    Most related items

    These are the items that most often cite the same works as this one and are cited by the same works as this one.
    1. Zhao, Deng & Zhen-fu, Li & Yu-tao, Zhou & Xiao, Chen & Shan-shan, Liang, 2020. "Measurement and spatial spillover effects of port comprehensive strength: Empirical evidence from China," Transport Policy, Elsevier, vol. 99(C), pages 288-298.
    2. Ziaul Haque Munim & Hans-Joachim Schramm, 2018. "The impacts of port infrastructure and logistics performance on economic growth: the mediating role of seaborne trade," Journal of Shipping and Trade, Springer, vol. 3(1), pages 1-19, December.
    3. Feiyan Han & Daming Wang & Bo Li, 2019. "Spillover Effects of Ports and Logistics Development on Economic Power: Evidence from the Chinese BTH Regions," Sustainability, MDPI, vol. 11(16), pages 1-17, August.
    4. Park, Jin Suk & Seo, Young-Joon, 2016. "The impact of seaports on the regional economies in South Korea: Panel evidence from the augmented Solow model," Transportation Research Part E: Logistics and Transportation Review, Elsevier, vol. 85(C), pages 107-119.
    5. Hidalgo-Gallego, Soraya & Núñez-Sánchez, Ramón, 2023. "The effect of port activity on urban employment: An analysis for the Spanish functional urban areas," Journal of Transport Geography, Elsevier, vol. 108(C).
    6. Taolei Guo & Junjie Chen & Pei Liu, 2022. "Impact of Emerging Transport Technologies on Freight Economic and Environmental Performance: A System Dynamics View," IJERPH, MDPI, vol. 19(22), pages 1-17, November.
    7. Bottasso, Anna & Conti, Maurizio & Ferrari, Claudio & Tei, Alessio, 2014. "Ports and regional development: A spatial analysis on a panel of European regions," Transportation Research Part A: Policy and Practice, Elsevier, vol. 65(C), pages 44-55.
    8. Agata Marcysiak, 2020. "Analysis of the Rail Transport Market in Poland," European Research Studies Journal, European Research Studies Journal, vol. 0(Special 1), pages 819-832.
    9. Wu, Zhen & Woo, Su-Han & Lai, Po-Lin & Chen, Xiaoyi, 2022. "The economic impact of inland ports on regional development: Evidence from the Yangtze River region," Transport Policy, Elsevier, vol. 127(C), pages 80-91.
    10. Jiang, Xiaodan & Fan, Houming & Luo, Meifeng & Xu, Zhenlin, 2020. "Strategic port competition in multimodal network development considering shippers’ choice," Transport Policy, Elsevier, vol. 90(C), pages 68-89.
    11. Peng, Tianduo & Ou, Xunmin & Yuan, Zhiyi & Yan, Xiaoyu & Zhang, Xiliang, 2018. "Development and application of China provincial road transport energy demand and GHG emissions analysis model," Applied Energy, Elsevier, vol. 222(C), pages 313-328.
    12. W. Matekenya & R. Ncwadi, 2022. "The impact of maritime transport financing on total trade in South Africa," Journal of Shipping and Trade, Springer, vol. 7(1), pages 1-17, December.
    13. Yang, Jinglei & Luo, Meifeng & Ji, Abing, 2016. "Analyzing the spatial–temporal evolution of a gateway’s hinterland: A case study of Shanghai, China," Transportation Research Part E: Logistics and Transportation Review, Elsevier, vol. 95(C), pages 355-367.
    14. Halim, Ronald A. & Kwakkel, Jan H. & Tavasszy, Lóránt A., 2016. "A strategic model of port-hinterland freight distribution networks," Transportation Research Part E: Logistics and Transportation Review, Elsevier, vol. 95(C), pages 368-384.
    15. Mounir Amdaoud & César Ducruet & Marc-Antoine Faure, 2021. "Port-city linkages and multi-level hinterlands: the case of France," EconomiX Working Papers 2021-29, University of Paris Nanterre, EconomiX.
    16. Jiaguo Liu & Jinxia Zhou & Fan Liu & Xiaohang Yue & Yudan Kong & Xiaoye Wang, 2019. "Interaction Analysis and Sustainable Development Strategy between Port and City: The Case of Liaoning," Sustainability, MDPI, vol. 11(19), pages 1-25, September.
    17. Yang, Yang & Liu, Qing & Chang, Chia-Hsun, 2023. "China-Europe freight transportation under the first wave of COVID-19 pandemic and government restriction measures," Research in Transportation Economics, Elsevier, vol. 97(C).
    18. Courage Mlambo, 2021. "The Impact of Port Performance on Trade: The Case of Selected African States," Economies, MDPI, vol. 9(4), pages 1-18, September.
    19. Song, Lili & van Geenhuizen, Marina, 2014. "Port infrastructure investment and regional economic growth in China: Panel evidence in port regions and provinces," Transport Policy, Elsevier, vol. 36(C), pages 173-183.
    20. Baiqing Sun & Ramadhan Kauzen, 2023. "The Impact of Port Infrastructure and Economic Growth in Tanzania: Adopting a Structural Equation Modeling Approach," SAGE Open, , vol. 13(1), pages 21582440221, January.

    Corrections

    All material on this site has been provided by the respective publishers and authors. You can help correct errors and omissions. When requesting a correction, please mention this item's handle: RePEc:eee:transa:v:174:y:2023:i:c:s0965856423001660. See general information about how to correct material in RePEc.

    If you have authored this item and are not yet registered with RePEc, we encourage you to do it here. This allows to link your profile to this item. It also allows you to accept potential citations to this item that we are uncertain about.

    If CitEc recognized a bibliographic reference but did not link an item in RePEc to it, you can help with this form .

    If you know of missing items citing this one, you can help us creating those links by adding the relevant references in the same way as above, for each refering item. If you are a registered author of this item, you may also want to check the "citations" tab in your RePEc Author Service profile, as there may be some citations waiting for confirmation.

    For technical questions regarding this item, or to correct its authors, title, abstract, bibliographic or download information, contact: Catherine Liu (email available below). General contact details of provider: http://www.elsevier.com/wps/find/journaldescription.cws_home/547/description#description .

    Please note that corrections may take a couple of weeks to filter through the various RePEc services.

    IDEAS is a RePEc service. RePEc uses bibliographic data supplied by the respective publishers.