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Steffen Elstner

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Citations

Many of the citations below have been collected in an experimental project, CitEc, where a more detailed citation analysis can be found. These are citations from works listed in RePEc that could be analyzed mechanically. So far, only a minority of all works could be analyzed. See under "Corrections" how you can help improve the citation analysis.

Wikipedia or ReplicationWiki mentions

(Only mentions on Wikipedia that link back to a page on a RePEc service)
  1. R?diger Bachmann & Steffen Elstner & Eric R. Sims, 2013. "Uncertainty and Economic Activity: Evidence from Business Survey Data," American Economic Journal: Macroeconomics, American Economic Association, vol. 5(2), pages 217-249, April.

    Mentioned in:

    1. Uncertainty and Economic Activity: Evidence from Business Survey Data (AEJ:MA 2013) in ReplicationWiki ()

Working papers

  1. Schmidt, Christoph & Feld, Lars & Christofzik, Désirée & Elstner, Steffen, 2021. "Unraveling the Productivity Paradox: Evidence for Germany," CEPR Discussion Papers 16187, C.E.P.R. Discussion Papers.

    Cited by:

    1. Lehmann, Robert & Zarges, Lara, 2025. "What drives German trend output growth? A sectoral view," Journal of Economic Dynamics and Control, Elsevier, vol. 174(C).

  2. Steffen Elstner & Christian Grimme & Valentin Kecht & Robert Lehmann, 2020. "The Diffusion of Technological Progress in ICT," CESifo Working Paper Series 8790, CESifo.

    Cited by:

    1. Xiang, Panwei & Wei, Muhua & Liu, Huili & Wu, Lianren & Qi, Jiayin, 2024. "How does technological value drive 6G development? Explanation from a systematic framework," Telecommunications Policy, Elsevier, vol. 48(7).
    2. Lehmann, Robert & Zarges, Lara, 2025. "What drives German trend output growth? A sectoral view," Journal of Economic Dynamics and Control, Elsevier, vol. 174(C).
    3. Purnomo, Agung, 2022. "Desa Wirausaha sebagai Eskalasi Ekonomi Desa berbasis Kewirausahaan," OSF Preprints np629, Center for Open Science.
    4. Pan, Junyu & Cifuentes-Faura, Javier & Zhao, Xin & Liu, Xiaoqian, 2024. "Unlocking the impact of digital technology progress and entry dynamics on firm's total factor productivity in Chinese industries," Global Finance Journal, Elsevier, vol. 60(C).
    5. Zarges, Lara & Lehmann, Robert, 2024. "What Drives Trend German GDP Growth? A Disaggregated Sectoral View," VfS Annual Conference 2024 (Berlin): Upcoming Labor Market Challenges 302409, Verein für Socialpolitik / German Economic Association.

  3. Belke, Ansgar & Elstner, Steffen & Rujin, Svetlana, 2020. "Growth prospects and the trade balance in advanced economies," Ruhr Economic Papers 827, RWI - Leibniz-Institut für Wirtschaftsforschung, Ruhr-University Bochum, TU Dortmund University, University of Duisburg-Essen, revised 2020.

    Cited by:

    1. Elstner, Steffen & Grimme, Christian & Kecht, Valentin & Lehmann, Robert, 2022. "The diffusion of technological progress in ICT," European Economic Review, Elsevier, vol. 149(C).
    2. Hayo, Bernd & Mierzwa, Sascha, 2023. "The effect of legislated tax changes on the trade balance: Empirical evidence for the United States, Germany, and the United Kingdom," Journal of Macroeconomics, Elsevier, vol. 78(C).
    3. Claudio, João C. & von Schweinitz, Gregor, 2020. "On the international dissemination of technology news shocks," IWH Discussion Papers 25/2020, Halle Institute for Economic Research (IWH).

  4. Elstner, Steffen & Rujin, Svetlana, 2019. "The consequences of U.S. technology changes for productivity in advanced economies," Ruhr Economic Papers 796, RWI - Leibniz-Institut für Wirtschaftsforschung, Ruhr-University Bochum, TU Dortmund University, University of Duisburg-Essen.

    Cited by:

    1. Rujin, Svetlana, 2019. "What are the effects of technology shocks on international labor markets?," Ruhr Economic Papers 806, RWI - Leibniz-Institut für Wirtschaftsforschung, Ruhr-University Bochum, TU Dortmund University, University of Duisburg-Essen.
    2. Dieppe, Alistair & Francis, Neville & Kindberg-Hanlon, Gene, 2021. "Technology and demand drivers of productivity dynamics in developed and emerging market economies," Working Paper Series 2533, European Central Bank.
    3. Rujin, Svetlana, 2024. "Labor market institutions and technology-induced labor adjustment along the extensive and intensive margins," Journal of Macroeconomics, Elsevier, vol. 79(C).
    4. Dieppe, Alistair & Francis, Neville & Kindberg-Hanlon, Gene, 2021. "Technological and non-technological drivers of productivity dynamics in developed and emerging market economies," Journal of Economic Dynamics and Control, Elsevier, vol. 131(C).

  5. Christofzik, Désirée I. & Elstner, Steffen, 2018. "International spillover effects of U.S. tax reforms: Evidence from Germany," Working Papers 08/2018, German Council of Economic Experts / Sachverständigenrat zur Begutachtung der gesamtwirtschaftlichen Entwicklung.

    Cited by:

    1. Dorine Boumans & Clemens Fuest & Carla Krolage & Klaus Wohlrabe, 2019. "Expected Effects of the US Tax Reform on Other Countries: Global and Local Survey Evidence," CESifo Working Paper Series 7491, CESifo.
    2. Luca Metelli & Filippo Natoli, 2019. "The international transmission of US tax shocks: a proxy-SVAR approach," Temi di discussione (Economic working papers) 1223, Bank of Italy, Economic Research and International Relations Area.
    3. Christofzik, Désirée I. & Fuest, Angela & Jessen, Robin, 2020. "Macroeconomic effects of the anticipation and implementation of tax changes in Germany: Evidence from a narrative account," Ruhr Economic Papers 852, RWI - Leibniz-Institut für Wirtschaftsforschung, Ruhr-University Bochum, TU Dortmund University, University of Duisburg-Essen.

  6. Steffen Elstner & Lars P. Feld & Christoph M. Schmidt, 2018. "The German Productivity Paradox - Facts and Explanations," CESifo Working Paper Series 7231, CESifo.

    Cited by:

    1. Bofinger, Peter & Feld, Lars P. & Schmidt, Christoph M. & Schnabel, Isabel & Wieland, Volker, 2018. "Vor wichtigen wirtschaftspolitischen Weichenstellungen. Jahresgutachten 2018/19 [Setting the Right Course for Economic Policy. Annual Report 2018/19]," Annual Economic Reports / Jahresgutachten, German Council of Economic Experts / Sachverständigenrat zur Begutachtung der gesamtwirtschaftlichen Entwicklung, volume 127, number 201819.
    2. Schreiber Sven & Schmidt Vanessa, 2022. "Missing growth measurement in Germany," German Economic Review, De Gruyter, vol. 23(3), pages 493-527, August.
    3. Gonçalves, Márcio & Simões, Nuno & Serra, Catarina & Flores-Colen, Inês, 2020. "A review of the challenges posed by the use of vacuum panels in external insulation finishing systems," Applied Energy, Elsevier, vol. 257(C).
    4. Ho, Calvin K. & McAuley, Kimberley B. & Peppley, Brant A., 2019. "Biolubricants through renewable hydrocarbons: A perspective for new opportunities," Renewable and Sustainable Energy Reviews, Elsevier, vol. 113(C), pages 1-1.
    5. Breuer Sebastian & Elstner Steffen, 2020. "Germany’s Growth Prospects against the Backdrop of Demographic Change," Journal of Economics and Statistics (Jahrbuecher fuer Nationaloekonomie und Statistik), De Gruyter, vol. 240(5), pages 565-605, October.
    6. Elstner, Steffen & Grimme, Christian & Kecht, Valentin & Lehmann, Robert, 2022. "The diffusion of technological progress in ICT," European Economic Review, Elsevier, vol. 149(C).
    7. Goldin, Ian & Koutroumpis, Pantelis & Lafond, François & Winkler, Julian, 2020. "Why is productivity slowing down?," MPRA Paper 99172, University Library of Munich, Germany.
    8. Fehr, Hans & Feldman, Maria, 2024. "Financing universal health care: Premiums or payroll taxes?," European Economic Review, Elsevier, vol. 166(C).
    9. Maria Tsiapa, 2023. "A holistic approach of the labour productivity slowdown in the regions of the European Union," Papers in Regional Science, Wiley Blackwell, vol. 102(3), pages 507-531, June.
    10. Karpagam Subramanian & Shauhrat S. Chopra & Weslynne S. Ashton, 2021. "Capital‐based life cycle sustainability assessment: Evaluation of potential industrial symbiosis synergies," Journal of Industrial Ecology, Yale University, vol. 25(5), pages 1161-1176, October.
    11. D. Dessì & R. Paci, 2023. "The impact of Global Value Chains participation on countries' productivity," Working Paper CRENoS 202305, Centre for North South Economic Research, University of Cagliari and Sassari, Sardinia.
    12. M. V. Evseeva & E. N. Starikov, 2024. "Innovations and Labor Productivity in Russian Regions: Determinants of Interdependence," Regional Research of Russia, Springer, vol. 14(4), pages 537-552, December.
    13. Feld, Lars P. & Fuest, Clemens & Haucap, Justus & Schweitzer, Heike & Wieland, Volker & Wigger, Berthold U., 2020. "No retreat into fortress Europe!," Kronberger Kreis-Studien 66e, Stiftung Marktwirtschaft / The Market Economy Foundation, Berlin.
    14. Feld, Lars P. & Schmidt, Christoph M. & Schnabel, Isabel & Truger, Achim & Wieland, Volker, 2019. "Den Strukturwandel meistern. Jahresgutachten 2019/20 [Dealing with Structural Change. Annual Report 2019/20]," Annual Economic Reports / Jahresgutachten, German Council of Economic Experts / Sachverständigenrat zur Begutachtung der gesamtwirtschaftlichen Entwicklung, volume 127, number 201920.
    15. Parteka, Aleksandra & Kordalska, Aleksandra, 2023. "Artificial intelligence and productivity: global evidence from AI patent and bibliometric data," Technovation, Elsevier, vol. 125(C).
    16. Serguei Kaniovski & Thomas Url & Helmut Hofer & Viola Garstenauer, 2021. "A Long-run Macroeconomic Model of the Austrian Economy (A-LMM 2.0). New Results (2021)," WIFO Studies, WIFO, number 67377, January.

  7. Breuer, Sebastian & Elstner, Steffen, 2017. "Die Wachstumsperspektiven der deutschen Wirtschaft vor dem Hintergrund des demografischen Wandels: Die Mittelfristprojektion des Sachverständigenrates," Working Papers 07/2017, German Council of Economic Experts / Sachverständigenrat zur Begutachtung der gesamtwirtschaftlichen Entwicklung.

    Cited by:

    1. Barabas, György & Gebhardt, Heinz & Schmidt, Torsten & Weyerstraß, Klaus, 2017. "Projektion der Wirtschaftsentwicklung bis 2022: Hohe Kapazitätsauslastung birgt Stabilitätsrisiken," RWI Konjunkturberichte, RWI - Leibniz-Institut für Wirtschaftsforschung, vol. 68(4), pages 39-53.

  8. Born, Benjamin & Breuer, Sebastian & Elstner, Steffen, 2017. "Uncertainty and the Great Recession," CEPR Discussion Papers 12083, C.E.P.R. Discussion Papers.

    Cited by:

    1. Hristov, Nikolay & Roth, Markus, 2019. "Uncertainty shocks and financial crisis indicators," Discussion Papers 36/2019, Deutsche Bundesbank.
    2. Idriss Fontaine, 2021. "Uncertainty and Labour Force Participation," Oxford Bulletin of Economics and Statistics, Department of Economics, University of Oxford, vol. 83(2), pages 437-471, April.
    3. Boysen-Hogrefe, Jens & Groll, Dominik & Hoffmann, Timo & Jannsen, Nils & Kooths, Stefan & Schröder, Christian & Sonnenberg, Nils, 2024. "Deutsche Wirtschaft im Winter 2024: Kein Aufschwung in Sicht [German Forecast in Winter 2024: No Recovery in Sight]," Kieler Konjunkturberichte 120, Kiel Institute for the World Economy (IfW Kiel).
    4. Robert Ulbricht & Ludwig Straub, 2015. "Endogenous Uncertainty and Credit Crunches," 2015 Meeting Papers 199, Society for Economic Dynamics.
    5. Munechika Katayama & Kwang Hwan Kim, 2018. "Uncertainty Shocks and the Relative Price of Investment Goods," Review of Economic Dynamics, Elsevier for the Society for Economic Dynamics, vol. 30, pages 163-178, October.
    6. Meinen, Philipp & Roehe, Oke, 2017. "On measuring uncertainty and its impact on investment: Cross-country evidence from the euro area," European Economic Review, Elsevier, vol. 92(C), pages 161-179.
    7. Ademmer, Martin & Gern, Klaus-Jürgen & Hauber, Philipp & Jannsen, Nils & Kooths, Stefan & Mösle, Saskia & Stolzenburg, Ulrich, 2019. "Weltkonjunktur im Sommer 2019 - Weltwirtschaft ohne Schwung [World Economy Summer 2019 - Global growth remains sluggish]," Kieler Konjunkturberichte 55, Kiel Institute for the World Economy (IfW Kiel).
    8. Born, Benjamin & Pfeifer, Johannes, 2016. "Uncertainty-driven business cycles: assessing the markup channel," VfS Annual Conference 2016 (Augsburg): Demographic Change 145608, Verein für Socialpolitik / German Economic Association.
    9. Bańbura, Marta & Albani, Maria & Ambrocio, Gene & Bursian, Dirk & Buss, Ginters & de Winter, Jasper & Gavura, Miroslav & Giordano, Claire & Júlio, Paulo & Le Roux, Julien & Lozej, Matija & Malthe-Thag, 2018. "Business investment in EU countries," Occasional Paper Series 215, European Central Bank.
    10. Chris Redl, 2019. "Uncertainty Matters: Evidence from Close Elections," NBER Chapters, in: NBER International Seminar on Macroeconomics 2019, National Bureau of Economic Research, Inc.
    11. Joonseok Oh, 2020. "The Propagation Of Uncertainty Shocks: Rotemberg Versus Calvo," International Economic Review, Department of Economics, University of Pennsylvania and Osaka University Institute of Social and Economic Research Association, vol. 61(3), pages 1097-1113, August.
    12. Christian Grimme, 2017. "Messung der Unternehmensunsicherheit in Deutschland – das ifo Streuungsmaß," ifo Schnelldienst, ifo Institute - Leibniz Institute for Economic Research at the University of Munich, vol. 70(15), pages 19-25, August.
    13. Feng Ma & Xinjie Lu & Bo Zhu, 2025. "Uncertainty and fluctuation in crude oil price: evidence from machine learning models," Annals of Operations Research, Springer, vol. 345(2), pages 725-755, February.
    14. Huang, Yisu & Xu, Weiju & Huang, Dengshi & Zhao, Chenchen, 2023. "Chinese crude oil futures volatility and sustainability: An uncertainty indices perspective," Resources Policy, Elsevier, vol. 80(C).
    15. Chia‐Yi Yen & Yu‐Hsi Chou, 2020. "Understanding The Macroeconomic Impact Of Illiquidity Shocks In The United States," Economic Inquiry, Western Economic Association International, vol. 58(3), pages 1245-1278, July.
    16. OH, Joonseok, 2019. "The propagation of uncertainty shocks : Rotemberg vs. Calvo," Economics Working Papers ECO 2019/01, European University Institute.
    17. Masayuki MORIKAWA, 2022. "Firms' Knightian Uncertainty during the COVID-19 Crisis," Discussion papers 22089, Research Institute of Economy, Trade and Industry (RIETI).
    18. Urtasun, Alberto & Martínez Matute, Marta, 2020. "Uncertainty and Firms' Labour Decisions. Evidence from European Countries," IZA Discussion Papers 13645, Institute of Labor Economics (IZA).
    19. Amélie Charles & Olivier Darné & Fabien Tripier, 2018. "Uncertainty and the macroeconomy: evidence from an uncertainty composite indicator," Applied Economics, Taylor & Francis Journals, vol. 50(10), pages 1093-1107, February.
    20. Giulia Piccillo & Poramapa Poonpakdee, 2021. "Effects of Macro Uncertainty on Mean Expectation and Subjective Uncertainty: Evidence from Households and Professional Forecasters," CESifo Working Paper Series 9486, CESifo.
    21. Huang, Yisu & Ma, Feng & Bouri, Elie & Huang, Dengshi, 2023. "A comprehensive investigation on the predictive power of economic policy uncertainty from non-U.S. countries for U.S. stock market returns," International Review of Financial Analysis, Elsevier, vol. 87(C).
    22. Netésunajev, Aleksei & Glass, Katharina, 2016. "Uncertainty and employment dynamics in the euro area and the US," SFB 649 Discussion Papers 2016-002, Humboldt University Berlin, Collaborative Research Center 649: Economic Risk.
    23. Liang, Chin Chia & Troy, Carol & Rouyer, Ellen, 2020. "U.S. uncertainty and Asian stock prices: Evidence from the asymmetric NARDL model," The North American Journal of Economics and Finance, Elsevier, vol. 51(C).
    24. Karaki, Mohamad B. & Rangaraju, Sandeep Kumar, 2023. "The confidence channel of U.S. financial uncertainty: Evidence from industry-level data," Economic Modelling, Elsevier, vol. 129(C).
    25. Sangyup Choi & Mr. Prakash Loungani, 2015. "Uncertainty and Unemployment: The Effects of Aggregate and Sectoral Channels," IMF Working Papers 2015/036, International Monetary Fund.
    26. Mei-Chih Wang & Pao-Lan Kuo & Chan-Sheng Chen & Chien-Liang Chiu & Tsangyao Chang, 2020. "Yield Spread and Economic Policy Uncertainty: Evidence from Japan," Sustainability, MDPI, vol. 12(10), pages 1-14, May.
    27. Maria Elena Bontempi & Michele Frigeri & Roberto Golinelli & Matteo Squadrani, 2021. "EURQ: A New Web Search‐based Uncertainty Index," Economica, London School of Economics and Political Science, vol. 88(352), pages 969-1015, October.
    28. Christian Grimme & Marc Stöckli, 2017. "Makroökonomische Unsicherheit in Deutschland," ifo Schnelldienst, ifo Institute - Leibniz Institute for Economic Research at the University of Munich, vol. 70(06), pages 41-50, March.
    29. Amélie Charles & Olivier Darné & Fabien Tripier, 2017. "Uncertainty and the Macroeconomy," Post-Print hal-01549625, HAL.
    30. Kanzola, Anna-Maria & Papaioannou, Konstantina & Petrakis, Panagiotis E., 2023. "Environmental behavioral perceptions under uncertainty of alternative economic futures," Technological Forecasting and Social Change, Elsevier, vol. 190(C).
    31. Berend, Lukas & Jannsen, Nils, 2024. "Zum Einfluss der wirtschaftspolitischen Unsicherheit auf die deutsche Konjunktur," Kiel Insight 2024.11, Kiel Institute for the World Economy (IfW Kiel).
    32. Ademmer, Martin & Beckmann, Joscha & Jannsen, Nils, 2019. "Zu den Auswirkungen des jüngsten Anstiegs der globalen wirtschaftspolitischen Unsicherheit," Kiel Insight 2019.7, Kiel Institute for the World Economy (IfW Kiel).
    33. Schläger, Dan, 2024. "Unmasking the significance of uncertainty: a case study of the German interwar economy (1919-1935)," LSE Research Online Documents on Economics 125837, London School of Economics and Political Science, LSE Library.
    34. Kovalenko, Tim, 2021. "Uncertainty shocks and employment fluctuations in Germany: The role of establishment size," Discussion Papers 119, Friedrich-Alexander University Erlangen-Nuremberg, Chair of Labour and Regional Economics.
    35. Berg, Tim Oliver, 2019. "Business Uncertainty And The Effectiveness Of Fiscal Policy In Germany," Macroeconomic Dynamics, Cambridge University Press, vol. 23(4), pages 1442-1470, June.
    36. Robert Czudaj, 2019. "Crude oil futures trading and uncertainty," Chemnitz Economic Papers 027, Department of Economics, Chemnitz University of Technology, revised Jan 2019.
    37. Hristov, Nikolay & Roth, Markus, 2022. "Uncertainty shocks and systemic-risk indicators," Journal of International Money and Finance, Elsevier, vol. 122(C).
    38. Haining Chen & Prince Asare Vitenu-Sackey & Isaac Akpemah Bathuure, 2024. "Uncertainty Measures and Business Cycles: Evidence From the US," SAGE Open, , vol. 14(2), pages 21582440241, April.
    39. Giulia Piccillo & Poramapa Poonpakdee, 2023. "Ambiguous Business Cycles, Recessions and Uncertainty: A Quantitative Analysis," CESifo Working Paper Series 10646, CESifo.
    40. Bofinger, Peter & Schnabel, Isabel & Feld, Lars P. & Schmidt, Christoph M. & Wieland, Volker, 2014. "Mehr Vertrauen in Marktprozesse. Jahresgutachten 2014/15 [More confidence in market processes. Annual Report 2014/15]," Annual Economic Reports / Jahresgutachten, German Council of Economic Experts / Sachverständigenrat zur Begutachtung der gesamtwirtschaftlichen Entwicklung, volume 127, number 201415.
    41. Dou, Yue & Li, Yiying & Dong, Kangyin & Ren, Xiaohang, 2022. "Dynamic linkages between economic policy uncertainty and the carbon futures market: Does Covid-19 pandemic matter?," Resources Policy, Elsevier, vol. 75(C).
    42. Fadekemi Chidinma Adeloye & Olayinka Olawoyin & Chinaemerem Daniel, 2024. "Economic Policy Uncertainty and Financial Markets in the United State," International Journal of Research and Innovation in Social Science, International Journal of Research and Innovation in Social Science (IJRISS), vol. 8(6), pages 998-1016, June.
    43. Stefan Sauer & Klaus Wohlrabe, 2020. "ifo Handbuch der Konjunkturumfragen," ifo Beiträge zur Wirtschaftsforschung, ifo Institute - Leibniz Institute for Economic Research at the University of Munich, number 88.
    44. Tim Kovalenko, 2021. "Uncertainty shocks and employment fluctuations in Germany: the role of establishment size," Working Papers 212, Bavarian Graduate Program in Economics (BGPE).

  9. Elstner, Steffen & Feld, Lars P. & Schmidt, Christoph M., 2016. "Bedingt abwehrbereit: Deutschland im digitalen Wandel," Working Papers 03/2016, German Council of Economic Experts / Sachverständigenrat zur Begutachtung der gesamtwirtschaftlichen Entwicklung.

    Cited by:

    1. Bofinger, Peter & Feld, Lars P. & Schmidt, Christoph M. & Schnabel, Isabel & Wieland, Volker, 2018. "Vor wichtigen wirtschaftspolitischen Weichenstellungen. Jahresgutachten 2018/19 [Setting the Right Course for Economic Policy. Annual Report 2018/19]," Annual Economic Reports / Jahresgutachten, German Council of Economic Experts / Sachverständigenrat zur Begutachtung der gesamtwirtschaftlichen Entwicklung, volume 127, number 201819.
    2. Matthias Pfaff & Rainer Walz, 2021. "Analysis of the development and structural drivers of raw‐material use in Germany," Journal of Industrial Ecology, Yale University, vol. 25(4), pages 1063-1075, August.
    3. Hösl, Maximilian & Kniep,Ronja, 2020. "Auf den Spuren eines Politikfeldes: Die Institutionalisierung von Internetpolitik in der Ministerialverwaltung," EconStor Open Access Articles and Book Chapters, ZBW - Leibniz Information Centre for Economics, vol. 29(3-4), pages 207-235.
    4. S. Bazi & R. Filieri & M. Gorton, 2020. "Customers’ motivation to engage with luxury brands on social media," Post-Print hal-04713685, HAL.
    5. Holger Zemanek & Jörg Krämer & Marco Wagner & Thieß Petersen & Tom Krebs & Martin Scheffel & Thomas Mayer & Steffen Elstner & Christoph M. Schmidt, 2016. "Geringes Wirtschaftswachstum und Abwärtstrend bei Investitionen: Wege aus der Wachstumsschwäche," ifo Schnelldienst, ifo Institute - Leibniz Institute for Economic Research at the University of Munich, vol. 69(22), pages 03-21, November.
    6. Roth, Ines, 2018. "Digitalisierung in der Energiewirtschaft: Technologische Trends und ihre Auswirkungen auf Arbeit und Qualifizierung," Working Paper Forschungsförderung 073, Hans-Böckler-Stiftung, Düsseldorf.
    7. Bogai, Dieter & Wiethölter, Doris & Buch, Tanja & Dengler, Katharina, 2017. "Digitalisierung der Arbeit : Abschätzung der Automatisierungspotenziale von Berufen in Berlin und Brandenburg," IAB-Regional. Berichte und Analysen aus dem Regionalen Forschungsnetz. IAB Berlin-Brandenburg 201702, Institut für Arbeitsmarkt- und Berufsforschung (IAB), Nürnberg [Institute for Employment Research, Nuremberg, Germany].

  10. Michaelis, Henrike & Elstner, Steffen & Schmidt, Christoph M. & Bofinger, Peter & Feld, Lars P. & Schnabel, Isabel & Wieland, Volker, 2015. "Keine Notwendigkeit einer Reform des Gesetzes zur Förderung der Stabilität und des Wachstums der Wirtschaft," Working Papers 02/2015, German Council of Economic Experts / Sachverständigenrat zur Begutachtung der gesamtwirtschaftlichen Entwicklung.

    Cited by:

    1. Bofinger, Peter & Feld, Lars P. & Schmidt, Christoph M. & Schnabel, Isabel & Wieland, Volker, 2018. "Vor wichtigen wirtschaftspolitischen Weichenstellungen. Jahresgutachten 2018/19 [Setting the Right Course for Economic Policy. Annual Report 2018/19]," Annual Economic Reports / Jahresgutachten, German Council of Economic Experts / Sachverständigenrat zur Begutachtung der gesamtwirtschaftlichen Entwicklung, volume 127, number 201819.
    2. Bofinger, Peter & Schnabel, Isabel & Feld, Lars P. & Schmidt, Christoph M. & Wieland, Volker, 2017. "Für eine zukunftsorientierte Wirtschaftspolitik. Jahresgutachten 2017/18 [Towards a Forward-Looking Economic Policy. Annual Report 2017/18]," Annual Economic Reports / Jahresgutachten, German Council of Economic Experts / Sachverständigenrat zur Begutachtung der gesamtwirtschaftlichen Entwicklung, volume 127, number 201718.
    3. Steffen Elstner & Henrike Michaelis & Christoph M. Schmidt, 2016. "Das leere Versprechen der aktiven Konjunktursteuerung [The Empty Promises of Active Economic Fine-Tuning]," Wirtschaftsdienst, Springer;ZBW - Leibniz Information Centre for Economics, vol. 96(8), pages 534-540, August.
    4. Sebastian Dullien & Till Treeck & Henrike Michaelis & Steffen Elstner & Christoph M. Schmidt, 2016. "Argumente gegen die Reform des Stabilitätsgesetzes wenig überzeugend — eine Replik [An Assessment of the Economic Stability and Growth Law — Reply and Response]," Wirtschaftsdienst, Springer;ZBW - Leibniz Information Centre for Economics, vol. 96(4), pages 258-264, April.

  11. Bachmann, Rüdiger & Hristov, Atanas, 2014. "Surprise, Surprise - Measuring Firm-level Investment Innovations," CEPR Discussion Papers 9894, C.E.P.R. Discussion Papers.

    Cited by:

    1. Saijo, Hikaru, 2017. "The uncertainty multiplier and business cycles," Journal of Economic Dynamics and Control, Elsevier, vol. 78(C), pages 1-25.
    2. Cheng CHEN & Tatsuro SENGA & Chang SUN & Hongyong ZHANG, 2018. "Uncertainty, Imperfect Information, and Expectation Formation over the Firm's Life Cycle," Discussion papers 18010, Research Institute of Economy, Trade and Industry (RIETI).
    3. Gaganan Awano & Nicholas Bloom & Ted Dolby & Paul Mizen & Rebecca Riley & Tatsuro Senga & John Van Reenen & Jenny Vyas & Philip Wales, 2018. "A firm-level perspective on micro- and macro-level uncertainty; An analysis of business expectations and uncertainty from the UK Management and Expectations Survey," Economic Statistics Centre of Excellence (ESCoE) Discussion Papers ESCoE DP-2018-10, Economic Statistics Centre of Excellence (ESCoE).
    4. Bachmann, Rüdiger, 2019. "Comments on “Monetary policy announcements and expectations: Evidence from German firms”," Journal of Monetary Economics, Elsevier, vol. 108(C), pages 64-68.
    5. Morikawa, Masayuki, 2019. "Uncertainty over production forecasts: An empirical analysis using monthly quantitative survey data," Journal of Macroeconomics, Elsevier, vol. 60(C), pages 163-179.
    6. Sebastian Link & Andreas Peichl & Christopher Roth & Johannes Wohlfart, 2022. "Information Frictions among Firms and Households," ECONtribute Discussion Papers Series 140, University of Bonn and University of Cologne, Germany.
    7. Lukas Buchheim & Sebastian Link, 2017. "The Effect of Disaggregate Information on the Expectation Formation of Firms," CESifo Working Paper Series 6768, CESifo.
    8. Cheng CHEN & Tatsuro SENGA & Chang SUN & Hongyong ZHANG, 2018. "Expectation Formation and Firm Activities: New evidence from a business outlook survey in Japan," Discussion papers 18059, Research Institute of Economy, Trade and Industry (RIETI).
    9. Bloom, Nicholas & Kawakubo, Taka & Meng, Charlotte & Mizen, Paul & Riley, Rebecca & Senga, Tatsuro & Van Reenen, John, 2022. "Do well managed firms make better forecasts?," LSE Research Online Documents on Economics 117748, London School of Economics and Political Science, LSE Library.
    10. Cosmin Ilut & Matthias Kehrig & Martin Schneider, 2018. "Slow to Hire, Quick to Fire: Employment Dynamics with Asymmetric Responses to News," Journal of Political Economy, University of Chicago Press, vol. 126(5), pages 2011-2071.
    11. Cheng Chen & Tatsuro Senga & Chang Sun & Hongyong Zhang, 2017. "Firm Expectations and Investment: Evidence from the China-Japan Island Dispute," Working Papers 838, Queen Mary University of London, School of Economics and Finance.
    12. Giuseppe Fiori & Filippo Scoccianti, 2021. "The Economic Effects of Firm-Level Uncertainty: Evidence Using Subjective Expectations," Questioni di Economia e Finanza (Occasional Papers) 630, Bank of Italy, Economic Research and International Relations Area.
    13. Fiorella De Fiore & Marco Jacopo Lombardi & Giacomo Mangiante, 2025. "The asymmetric and heterogeneous pass-through of input prices to firms' expectations and decisions," BIS Working Papers 1305, Bank for International Settlements.
    14. Rüdiger Bachmann & Peter Zorn, 2013. "What Drives Aggregate Investment? Evidence from German Survey Data," NBER Working Papers 18990, National Bureau of Economic Research, Inc.
    15. Danilo Cascaldi-Garcia & Cisil Sarisoy & Juan M. Londono & Bo Sun & Deepa D. Datta & Thiago Ferreira & Olesya Grishchenko & Mohammad R. Jahan-Parvar & Francesca Loria & Sai Ma & Marius Rodriguez & Ilk, 2023. "What Is Certain about Uncertainty?," Journal of Economic Literature, American Economic Association, vol. 61(2), pages 624-654, June.
    16. SedlÃ¡Ä ek, Petr, 2016. "Creative Destruction and Uncertainty," CEPR Discussion Papers 11296, C.E.P.R. Discussion Papers.
    17. Bofinger, Peter & Schnabel, Isabel & Feld, Lars P. & Schmidt, Christoph M. & Wieland, Volker, 2015. "Zukunftsfähigkeit in den Mittelpunkt. Jahresgutachten 2015/16 [Focus on Future Viability. Annual Report 2015/16]," Annual Economic Reports / Jahresgutachten, German Council of Economic Experts / Sachverständigenrat zur Begutachtung der gesamtwirtschaftlichen Entwicklung, volume 127, number 201516.
    18. David R. Munro, 2021. "Consumer Behavior and Firm Volatility," Journal of Money, Credit and Banking, Blackwell Publishing, vol. 53(4), pages 845-873, June.
    19. Cheng CHEN & Tatsuro SENGA & Chang SUN & Hongyong ZHANG, 2020. "Information Acquisition and Price Setting under Uncertainty: New Survey Evidence," Discussion papers 20078, Research Institute of Economy, Trade and Industry (RIETI).
    20. Stefan Sauer & Klaus Wohlrabe, 2020. "ifo Handbuch der Konjunkturumfragen," ifo Beiträge zur Wirtschaftsforschung, ifo Institute - Leibniz Institute for Economic Research at the University of Munich, number 88.

  12. Bachmann, Rüdiger & Born, Benjamin & Grimme, Christian, 2013. "Time-Varying Business Volatility and the Price Setting of Firms," CEPR Discussion Papers 9702, C.E.P.R. Discussion Papers.

    Cited by:

    1. Benjamin Born & Zeno Enders & Manuel Menkhoff & Gernot J. Müller & Knut Niemann, 2023. "Firm Expectations and News: Micro v Macro," ifo Working Paper Series 400, ifo Institute - Leibniz Institute for Economic Research at the University of Munich.
    2. Freund, L. B & Rendahl, P., 2020. "Unexpected Effects: Uncertainty, Unemployment, and Inflation," Cambridge Working Papers in Economics 2035, Faculty of Economics, University of Cambridge.
    3. Javier Turén, 2019. "Rational Inattention-driven dispersion with volatility shocks," Documentos de Trabajo 530, Instituto de Economia. Pontificia Universidad Católica de Chile..
    4. Khalil, Makram & Lewis, Vivien, 2024. "Product turnover and endogenous price flexibility in uncertain times," CEPR Discussion Papers 18941, C.E.P.R. Discussion Papers.
    5. Maiko Koga & Koichi Yoshino & Tomoya Sakata, 2020. "Strategic complementarity and asymmetric price setting among firms," BIS Papers chapters, in: Bank for International Settlements (ed.), Inflation dynamics in Asia and the Pacific, volume 111, pages 85-97, Bank for International Settlements.
    6. Kwangyong Park, 2019. "Uncertainty, Attention Allocation and Monetary Policy Asymmetry," Working Papers 2019-5, Economic Research Institute, Bank of Korea.
    7. Eickmeier, Sandra & Metiu, Norbert & Prieto, Esteban, 2016. "Time-varying Volatility, Financial Intermediation and Monetary Policy," IWH Discussion Papers 19/2016, Halle Institute for Economic Research (IWH).
    8. Canales, Mario & Lopez-Martin, Bernabe, 2024. "Exchange rates, uncertainty, and price-setting: Evidence from CPI microdata," Economic Modelling, Elsevier, vol. 139(C).
    9. Balleer, Almut & Noeller, Marvin, 2023. "Monetary policy in the presence of supply constraints: Evidence from German firm-level data," Ruhr Economic Papers 1060, RWI - Leibniz-Institut für Wirtschaftsforschung, Ruhr-University Bochum, TU Dortmund University, University of Duisburg-Essen.
    10. Berg, Tim Oliver, 2014. "Time Varying Fiscal Multipliers in Germany," MPRA Paper 57223, University Library of Munich, Germany.
    11. Almut Balleer & Marvin Noeller, 2023. "Monetary Policy in the Presence of Supply Constraints: Evidence from German Firm-Level Data," CESifo Working Paper Series 10261, CESifo.
    12. Bayat , Saeid & Ebrahimi , Sajad & Ghaderi , Omid, 2017. "The Effects of Exchange Rate on Price-Setting in Manufacturing Sector: Applying Price Micro Data of Iran," Journal of Money and Economy, Monetary and Banking Research Institute, Central Bank of the Islamic Republic of Iran, vol. 12(1), pages 1-21, January.
    13. Bachmann, Rüdiger, 2019. "Comments on “Monetary policy announcements and expectations: Evidence from German firms”," Journal of Monetary Economics, Elsevier, vol. 108(C), pages 64-68.
    14. Lenin Arango-Castillo & María José Orraca & Regina Briseño, 2025. "Inflation volatility across advanced and emerging economies during the COVID-19 pandemic," Working Papers 2025-13, Banco de México.
    15. Serafín Frache & Rodrigo Lluberas & Javier Turen, 2021. "Belief-Dependent Pricing Decisions," Documentos de trabajo 2021007, Banco Central del Uruguay.
    16. Nöller, Marvin & Balleer, Almut, 2023. "Monetary Policy in the Presence of Supply Constraints: Evidence from German Firm-level Data," VfS Annual Conference 2023 (Regensburg): Growth and the "sociale Frage" 277638, Verein für Socialpolitik / German Economic Association.
    17. Link, Sebastian, 2024. "The price and employment response of firms to the introduction of minimum wages," Journal of Public Economics, Elsevier, vol. 239(C).
    18. Andrés Blanco & Isaac Baley, 2016. "Menu Costs, Uncertainty Cycles, and the Propagation of Nominal Shocks," Working Papers 918, Barcelona School of Economics.
    19. Rünstler, Gerhard & Bräuer, Leonie, 2020. "Monetary policy transmission over the leverage cycle: evidence for the euro area," Working Paper Series 2421, European Central Bank.
    20. Grimme, Christian & Henzel, Steffen R., 2024. "Uncertainty and credit conditions: Non-linear evidence from firm-level data," International Review of Economics & Finance, Elsevier, vol. 93(PA), pages 1307-1323.
    21. Matthew Klepacz, 2018. "Price Setting and Volatility: Evidence from Oil Price Volatility Shocks," 2018 Meeting Papers 145, Society for Economic Dynamics.
    22. Saten Kumar & Yuriy Gorodnichenko & Olivier Coibion, 2022. "The Effect of Macroeconomic Uncertainty on Firm Decisions," NBER Working Papers 30288, National Bureau of Economic Research, Inc.
    23. Sebastian Link & Andreas Peichl & Christopher Roth & Johannes Wohlfart, 2022. "Information Frictions among Firms and Households," ECONtribute Discussion Papers Series 140, University of Bonn and University of Cologne, Germany.
    24. Christian Grimme, 2017. "Messung der Unternehmensunsicherheit in Deutschland – das ifo Streuungsmaß," ifo Schnelldienst, ifo Institute - Leibniz Institute for Economic Research at the University of Munich, vol. 70(15), pages 19-25, August.
    25. Enders, Zeno & Hünnekes, Franziska & Müller, Gernot J., 2019. "Monetary Policy Announcements and Expectations: Evidence from German Firms," Working Papers 10, German Research Foundation's Priority Programme 1859 "Experience and Expectation. Historical Foundations of Economic Behaviour", Humboldt University Berlin.
    26. Elena Mattevi & Tullia Padellini, 2025. "Firm-level uncertainty and output prices," Questioni di Economia e Finanza (Occasional Papers) 966, Bank of Italy, Economic Research and International Relations Area.
    27. DongIk Kang & Andrew Usher, 2023. "Does Product Revenue Matter for Price Setting and Monetary Policy Transmission?," Review of Economic Dynamics, Elsevier for the Society for Economic Dynamics, vol. 47, pages 297-345, January.
    28. Castelnuovo, Efrem & Pellegrino, Giovanni, 2018. "Uncertainty-dependent effects of monetary policy shocks: A new-Keynesian interpretation," Journal of Economic Dynamics and Control, Elsevier, vol. 93(C), pages 277-296.
    29. Masayuki MORIKAWA, 2022. "Firms' Knightian Uncertainty during the COVID-19 Crisis," Discussion papers 22089, Research Institute of Economy, Trade and Industry (RIETI).
    30. Ambrocio, Gene, 2020. "Inflationary household uncertainty shocks," Bank of Finland Research Discussion Papers 5/2020, Bank of Finland.
    31. Ma, Xiaohan & Samaniego, Roberto, 2019. "Deconstructing uncertainty," European Economic Review, Elsevier, vol. 119(C), pages 22-41.
    32. Gautier, Erwan & Karadi, Peter & Conflitti, Cristina & Fabo, Brian & Fadejeva, Ludmila & Fuss, Catherine & Kosma, Theodora & Jouvanceau, Valentin & Martins, Fernando & Menz, Jan-Oliver & Messner, Tere, 2023. "Price adjustment in the euro area in the low-inflation period: evidence from consumer and producer micro price data," Occasional Paper Series 319, European Central Bank.
    33. Arce-Alfaro, Gabriel & Blagov, Boris, 2021. "Monetary policy uncertainty and inflation expectations," Ruhr Economic Papers 899, RWI - Leibniz-Institut für Wirtschaftsforschung, Ruhr-University Bochum, TU Dortmund University, University of Duisburg-Essen.
    34. Fiorella De Fiore & Marco Jacopo Lombardi & Giacomo Mangiante, 2025. "The asymmetric and heterogeneous pass-through of input prices to firms' expectations and decisions," BIS Working Papers 1305, Bank for International Settlements.
    35. Kamalyan, Hayk, 2021. "The State-Dependent Effects of Monetary Policy," MPRA Paper 107489, University Library of Munich, Germany.
    36. Balleer, Almut & Zorn, Peter & Link, Sebastian & Menkhoff, Manuel, 2020. "Demand or Supply? Price Adjustment during the Covid-19 Pandemic," CEPR Discussion Papers 14907, C.E.P.R. Discussion Papers.
    37. Berner, Julian & Buchholz, Manuel & Tonzer, Lena, 2020. "Asymmetric investment responses to firm-specific forecast errors," IWH Discussion Papers 5/2020, Halle Institute for Economic Research (IWH).
    38. Lea Best & Benjamin Born & Manuel Menkhoff, 2025. "The Impact of Interest: Firms' Investment Sensitivity to Interest Rates," CESifo Working Paper Series 12167, CESifo.
    39. Wolfgang Nierhaus & Timo Wollmershäuser, 2016. "ifo Konjunkturumfragen und Konjunkturanalyse: Band II," ifo Forschungsberichte, ifo Institute - Leibniz Institute for Economic Research at the University of Munich, number 72.
    40. Christian Grimme & Christian Seiler & Klaus Wohlrabe, 2014. "Der Konflikt in der Ukraine und die Ergebnisse der ifo Unternehmensbefragungen," ifo Schnelldienst, ifo Institute - Leibniz Institute for Economic Research at the University of Munich, vol. 67(18), pages 46-48, September.
    41. Christian Grimme & Marc Stöckli, 2017. "Makroökonomische Unsicherheit in Deutschland," ifo Schnelldienst, ifo Institute - Leibniz Institute for Economic Research at the University of Munich, vol. 70(06), pages 41-50, March.
    42. Felix Leiss & Stefan Sauer & Klaus Wohlrabe, 2025. "Questions, Measures, and Meaning: Interpreting Indicators from the ifo Business Survey," CESifo Working Paper Series 12094, CESifo.
    43. Born, Benjamin & Breuer, Sebastian & Elstner, Steffen, 2017. "Uncertainty and the Great Recession," CEPR Discussion Papers 12083, C.E.P.R. Discussion Papers.
    44. Samaniego, Roberto M. & Sun, Juliana Y., 2019. "Uncertainty, depreciation and industry growth," European Economic Review, Elsevier, vol. 120(C).
    45. Ruediger Bachmann & Steffen Elstner & Atanas Hristov, 2014. "Surprise, Surprise - Measuring Firm-Level Investment Innovations," 2014 Meeting Papers 515, Society for Economic Dynamics.
    46. Luca Dedola & Erwan Gautier & Chiara Osbat & Sergio Santoro, 2024. "Price Stickiness in the Euro Area," Working papers 958, Banque de France.
    47. Almut Balleer & Nikolay Hristov & Dominik Menno, 2017. "Financial Constraints and Nominal Price Rigidities," CESifo Working Paper Series 6309, CESifo.
    48. Mario Canales & Bernabe Lopez-Martin, 2021. "Uncertainty, Risk, and Price-Setting: Evidence from CPI Microdata," Working Papers Central Bank of Chile 908, Central Bank of Chile.
    49. Joseph S. Vavra, 2014. "Time-Varying Phillips Curves," NBER Working Papers 19790, National Bureau of Economic Research, Inc.
    50. Matthew Klepacz, 2021. "Price Setting and Volatility: Evidence from Oil Price Volatility Shocks," International Finance Discussion Papers 1316, Board of Governors of the Federal Reserve System (U.S.).
    51. Chevaughn van der Westhuizen & Renee van Eyden & Goodness C. Aye, 2023. "Monetary Policy Effectiveness in the Face of Uncertainty: The Real Macroeconomic Impact of a Monetary Policy Shock in South Africa during High and Low Uncertainty States," Working Papers 202331, University of Pretoria, Department of Economics.
    52. Berg, Tim Oliver, 2019. "Business Uncertainty And The Effectiveness Of Fiscal Policy In Germany," Macroeconomic Dynamics, Cambridge University Press, vol. 23(4), pages 1442-1470, June.
    53. Balleer, Almut & Hristov, Nikolay & Menno, Dominik, 2020. "Menu costs, the price gap distribution and monetary non-neutrality: The role of financial constraints," CEPR Discussion Papers 11790, C.E.P.R. Discussion Papers.
    54. Masayuki MORIKAWA, 2023. "Price Setting of Firms under Cost Uncertainty," Discussion papers 23040, Research Institute of Economy, Trade and Industry (RIETI).
    55. Christian Grimme & Magnus Reif & Timo Wollmershäuser, 2016. "Die Auswirkungen des britischen Votums für einen Brexit auf die deutsche Konjunktur 2016/17," ifo Schnelldienst, ifo Institute - Leibniz Institute for Economic Research at the University of Munich, vol. 69(13), pages 38-43, July.
    56. D'Acunto, Francesco & Weber, Michael & Yang, Shuyao, 2017. "Manpower Constraints and Corporate Policies," VfS Annual Conference 2017 (Vienna): Alternative Structures for Money and Banking 168109, Verein für Socialpolitik / German Economic Association.
    57. Christian Grimme & Steffen Henzel, 2020. "Increasing Business Uncertainty and Credit Conditions in Times of Low and High Uncertainty: Evidence from Firm-Level Survey Data," CESifo Working Paper Series 8791, CESifo.
    58. Zulquar Nain & Bandi Kamaiah, 2020. "Uncertainty and Effectiveness of Monetary Policy: A Bayesian Markov Switching-VAR Analysis," Journal of Central Banking Theory and Practice, Central bank of Montenegro, vol. 9(special i), pages 237-265.
    59. Buchholz, Manuel & Tonzer, Lena & Berner, Julian, 2016. "Asymmetric Investment Responses to Firm-Specific Uncertainty," VfS Annual Conference 2016 (Augsburg): Demographic Change 145563, Verein für Socialpolitik / German Economic Association.
    60. Lu, Jiajun & Lv, Linying & Wang, Yizhong & Zhu, Yueteng, 2025. "The real effect of monetary policy under uncertainty: Evidence from the change in corporate financing purposes," Journal of Banking & Finance, Elsevier, vol. 172(C).
    61. Joshy Easaw & Christian Grimme, 2021. "The Impact of Aggregate Uncertainty on Firm-Level Uncertainty," CESifo Working Paper Series 8934, CESifo.
    62. Grimme, Christian & Henzel, Steffen, 2023. "Uncertainty Shocks in Times of Low and High Uncertainty," VfS Annual Conference 2023 (Regensburg): Growth and the "sociale Frage" 277629, Verein für Socialpolitik / German Economic Association.

  13. Carstensen, Kai & Elstner, Steffen & Paula, Georg, 2013. "How much did oil market developments contribute to the 2009 recession in Germany?," Munich Reprints in Economics 19935, University of Munich, Department of Economics.

    Cited by:

    1. Lee, Chi-Chuan & Lee, Chien-Chiang & Ning, Shao-Lin, 2017. "Dynamic relationship of oil price shocks and country risks," Energy Economics, Elsevier, vol. 66(C), pages 571-581.
    2. Berger, Eva M. & Bialek, Sylwia & Garnadt, Niklas & Grimm, Veronika & Other, Lars & Salzmann, Leonard & Schnitzer, Monika & Truger, Achim & Wieland, Volker, 2022. "A potential sudden stop of energy imports from Russia: Effects on energy security and economic output in Germany and the EU," IMFS Working Paper Series 166, Goethe University Frankfurt, Institute for Monetary and Financial Stability (IMFS).
    3. Sebastian Link, 2018. "Harmonization and Interpretation of the ifo Business Survey's Micro Data," CESifo Working Paper Series 7427, CESifo.
    4. Enders, Almira & Enders, Zeno, 2017. "Second-round effects after oil-price shocks: Evidence for the euro area and Germany," Economics Letters, Elsevier, vol. 159(C), pages 208-213.
    5. Tunc, Ahmet & Kocoglu, Mustafa & Aslan, Alper, 2022. "Time-varying characteristics of the simultaneous interactions between economic uncertainty, international oil prices and GDP: A novel approach for Germany," Resources Policy, Elsevier, vol. 77(C).
    6. Chen, Shiu-Sheng & Huang, Shiangtsz & Lin, Tzu-Yu, 2022. "How do oil prices affect emerging market sovereign bond spreads?," Journal of International Money and Finance, Elsevier, vol. 128(C).
    7. Hutter, Christian & Weber, Enzo, 2023. "Russia–Ukraine war: A note on short-run production and labour market effects of the energy crisis," Energy Policy, Elsevier, vol. 183(C).
    8. Bofinger, Peter & Buch, Claudia M. & Feld, Lars P. & Schmidt, Christoph M. & Wieland, Volker, 2013. "Gegen eine rückwärtsgewandte Wirtschaftspolitik. Jahresgutachten 2013/14 [Against a backward-looking economic policy. Annual Report 2013/14]," Annual Economic Reports / Jahresgutachten, German Council of Economic Experts / Sachverständigenrat zur Begutachtung der gesamtwirtschaftlichen Entwicklung, volume 127, number 201314.
    9. Abate, Megersa, 2014. "Does fuel price affect trucking industry’s network characteristics?: evidence from Denmark," Working papers in Transport Economics 2014:26, CTS - Centre for Transport Studies Stockholm (KTH and VTI).
    10. Christopher Thiem, 2018. "Oil price uncertainty and the business cycle: Accounting for the influences of global supply and demand within a VAR GARCH-in-mean framework," Applied Economics, Taylor & Francis Journals, vol. 50(34-35), pages 3735-3751, July.
    11. Herwartz, Helmut & Plödt, Martin, 2016. "The macroeconomic effects of oil price shocks: Evidence from a statistical identification approach," Journal of International Money and Finance, Elsevier, vol. 61(C), pages 30-44.
    12. Antonakakis, Nikolaos & Chatziantoniou, Ioannis & Filis, George, 2014. "Dynamic spillovers of oil price shocks and economic policy uncertainty," Energy Economics, Elsevier, vol. 44(C), pages 433-447.
    13. Link Sebastian, 2020. "Harmonization of the ifo Business Survey’s Micro Data," Journal of Economics and Statistics (Jahrbuecher fuer Nationaloekonomie und Statistik), De Gruyter, vol. 240(4), pages 543-555, August.
    14. Antonakakis, Nikolaos & Chatziantoniou, Ioannis & Filis, George, 2014. "Dynamic Spillovers of Oil Price Shocks and Policy Uncertainty," Department of Economics Working Paper Series 166, WU Vienna University of Economics and Business.
    15. Jarko Fidrmuc & Christa Hainz & Werner Hölzl, 2018. "Individual Credit Market Experience and Perception of Aggregate Bank Lending. Evidence from a Firm Survey," WIFO Working Papers 574, WIFO.
    16. Magnus Reif, 2021. "Time-Varying Dynamics of the German Business Cycle: A Comprehensive Investigation," CESifo Working Paper Series 9271, CESifo.
    17. Bofinger, Peter & Schnabel, Isabel & Feld, Lars P. & Schmidt, Christoph M. & Wieland, Volker, 2015. "Zukunftsfähigkeit in den Mittelpunkt. Jahresgutachten 2015/16 [Focus on Future Viability. Annual Report 2015/16]," Annual Economic Reports / Jahresgutachten, German Council of Economic Experts / Sachverständigenrat zur Begutachtung der gesamtwirtschaftlichen Entwicklung, volume 127, number 201516.

  14. Ruediger Bachmann & Steffen Elstner, 2013. "Firms' Optimism and Pessimism," CESifo Working Paper Series 4176, CESifo.

    Cited by:

    1. Anja Kukuvec & Harald Oberhofer, 2020. "The Propagation of Business Expectations within the European Union," CESifo Working Paper Series 8198, CESifo.
    2. David Altig & Jose Maria Barrero & Nicholas Bloom & Steven J. Davis & Brent H. Meyer & Nicholas Parker, 2019. "Surveying Business Uncertainty," NBER Working Papers 25956, National Bureau of Economic Research, Inc.
    3. Joel M. David & Venky Venkateswaran, 2019. "The Sources of Capital Misallocation," American Economic Review, American Economic Association, vol. 109(7), pages 2531-2567, July.
    4. Poutineau, Jean-Christophe & Vermandel, Gauthier, 2015. "Cross-border banking flows spillovers in the Eurozone: Evidence from an estimated DSGE model," Journal of Economic Dynamics and Control, Elsevier, vol. 51(C), pages 378-403.
    5. Charles F. Manski, 2017. "Survey Measurement of Probabilistic Macroeconomic Expectations: Progress and Promise," NBER Working Papers 23418, National Bureau of Economic Research, Inc.
    6. Bachmann, Rüdiger & Born, Benjamin & Elstner, Steffen & Grimme, Christian, 2019. "Time-varying business volatility and the price setting of firms," Journal of Monetary Economics, Elsevier, vol. 101(C), pages 82-99.
    7. Cheng CHEN & Tatsuro SENGA & Chang SUN & Hongyong ZHANG, 2018. "Uncertainty, Imperfect Information, and Expectation Formation over the Firm's Life Cycle," Discussion papers 18010, Research Institute of Economy, Trade and Industry (RIETI).
    8. Michele Dell'Era & Luca David Opromolla & Luís Santos‐Pinto, 2023. "Can optimism solve the entrepreneurial earnings puzzle?," Scandinavian Journal of Economics, Wiley Blackwell, vol. 125(1), pages 139-169, January.
    9. Mari Tanaka & Nicholas Bloom & Maiko Koga & Haruko Kato, 2018. "Firm Performance and Macro Forecast Accuracy," Bank of Japan Working Paper Series 18-E-9, Bank of Japan.
    10. Nakazono, Yoshiyuki & Koga, Maiko & Sugo, Tomohiro, 2020. "Private information and analyst coverage: Evidence from firm survey data," Journal of Economic Behavior & Organization, Elsevier, vol. 174(C), pages 284-298.
    11. Sebastian Link, 2018. "Harmonization and Interpretation of the ifo Business Survey's Micro Data," CESifo Working Paper Series 7427, CESifo.
    12. Artūras Juodis & Simas Kučinskas, 2023. "Quantifying noise in survey expectations," Quantitative Economics, Econometric Society, vol. 14(2), pages 609-650, May.
    13. Sowa, Konrad & Przegalinska, Aleksandra & Ciechanowski, Leon, 2021. "Cobots in knowledge work," Journal of Business Research, Elsevier, vol. 125(C), pages 135-142.
    14. Olivier Coibion & Yuriy Gorodnichenko & Tiziano Ropele, 2018. "Inflation Expectations and Firm Decisions: New Causal Evidence," NBER Working Papers 25412, National Bureau of Economic Research, Inc.
    15. Triebs, Thomas & Tumlinson, Justin, 2014. "Learning Capitalism The Hard Way: Evidence From Germany's Reunification," VfS Annual Conference 2014 (Hamburg): Evidence-based Economic Policy 100457, Verein für Socialpolitik / German Economic Association.
    16. Jose Maria Barrero & Nicholas Bloom & Steven J. Davis, 2020. "COVID-19 Is Also a Reallocation Shock," Brookings Papers on Economic Activity, Economic Studies Program, The Brookings Institution, vol. 51(2 (Summer), pages 329-383.
    17. Balleer, Almut & Noeller, Marvin, 2023. "Monetary policy in the presence of supply constraints: Evidence from German firm-level data," Ruhr Economic Papers 1060, RWI - Leibniz-Institut für Wirtschaftsforschung, Ruhr-University Bochum, TU Dortmund University, University of Duisburg-Essen.
    18. Massenot, Baptiste & Pettinicchi, Yuri, 2018. "Can firms see into the future? Survey evidence from Germany," Journal of Economic Behavior & Organization, Elsevier, vol. 145(C), pages 66-79.
    19. Botsis, Alexandros & Görtz, Christoph & Sakellaris, Plutarchos, 2024. "Quantifying qualitative survey data with panel data," Journal of Economic Dynamics and Control, Elsevier, vol. 167(C).
    20. Okan Akarsu & Emrehan Aktug & Huzeyfe Torun, 2025. "Inflation Expectations and Firms' Decisions in High Inflation: Evidence from a Randomized Control Trial," Working Papers 2512, Research and Monetary Policy Department, Central Bank of the Republic of Turkey.
    21. Bachmann, Rüdiger, 2019. "Comments on “Monetary policy announcements and expectations: Evidence from German firms”," Journal of Monetary Economics, Elsevier, vol. 108(C), pages 64-68.
    22. Morikawa, Masayuki, 2019. "Uncertainty over production forecasts: An empirical analysis using monthly quantitative survey data," Journal of Macroeconomics, Elsevier, vol. 60(C), pages 163-179.
    23. Kohei Kawaguchi & Naomi Kodama & Hiroshi Kumanomido & Mari Tanaka, 2023. "Using managers' expectations for ex‐ante policy evaluation: Evidence from the COVID‐19 crisis," Journal of Economics & Management Strategy, Wiley Blackwell, vol. 32(4), pages 714-732, October.
    24. Serafín Frache & Rodrigo Lluberas & Javier Turen, 2021. "Belief-Dependent Pricing Decisions," Documentos de trabajo 2021007, Banco Central del Uruguay.
    25. Link, Sebastian, 2024. "The price and employment response of firms to the introduction of minimum wages," Journal of Public Economics, Elsevier, vol. 239(C).
    26. Balduzzi, Pierluigi & Brancati, Emanuele & Brianti, Marco & Schiantarelli, Fabio, 2024. "Credit constraints and firms’ decisions: Lessons from the COVID-19 outbreak," Journal of Monetary Economics, Elsevier, vol. 142(C).
    27. Dovern, Jonas & Müller, Lena Sophia & Wohlrabe, Klaus, 2023. "Local information and firm expectations about aggregates," Journal of Monetary Economics, Elsevier, vol. 138(C), pages 1-13.
    28. Joel Suss & Adam Hughes, 2023. "Bank expectations and prudential outcomes," Bank of England working papers 1035, Bank of England.
    29. Lukas Buchheim & Sebastian Link, 2017. "The Effect of Disaggregate Information on the Expectation Formation of Firms," CESifo Working Paper Series 6768, CESifo.
    30. Alexandros Botsis & Christoph Görtz & Plutarchos Sakellaris, 2020. "Quantifying Qualitative Survey Data: New Insights on the (Ir)Rationality of Firms' Forecasts," CESifo Working Paper Series 8148, CESifo.
    31. Buchheim, Lukas & Dovern, Jonas & Krolage, Carla & Link, Sebastian, 2022. "Sentiment and firm behavior during the COVID-19 pandemic," Journal of Economic Behavior & Organization, Elsevier, vol. 195(C), pages 186-198.
    32. Manuel Buchholz & Lena Tonzer & Julian Berner, 2022. "Firm‐specific forecast errors and asymmetric investment propensity," Economic Inquiry, Western Economic Association International, vol. 60(2), pages 764-793, April.
    33. Enders, Zeno & Hünnekes, Franziska & Müller, Gernot J., 2019. "Monetary Policy Announcements and Expectations: Evidence from German Firms," Working Papers 10, German Research Foundation's Priority Programme 1859 "Experience and Expectation. Historical Foundations of Economic Behaviour", Humboldt University Berlin.
    34. Cheng Chen & Chang Sun & Hongyong Zhang, 2020. "Learning and Information Transmission within Multinational Corporations," CESifo Working Paper Series 8477, CESifo.
    35. Zeno Enders & Franziska Hünnekes & Gernot Müller, 2022. "Firm Expectations and Economic Activity," Journal of the European Economic Association, European Economic Association, vol. 20(6), pages 2396-2439.
    36. Antonecchia, Gianluca, 2023. "Heterogeneous expectations, forecast accuracy and firms’ credit demand," European Economic Review, Elsevier, vol. 154(C).
    37. Benigno, Pierpaolo & Karantounias, Anastasios G., 2019. "Overconfidence, subjective perception and pricing behavior," Journal of Economic Behavior & Organization, Elsevier, vol. 164(C), pages 107-132.
    38. Anja Kukuvec & Harald Oberhofer, 2018. "The propagation of business sentiment within the European Union," Department of Economics Working Papers wuwp257, Vienna University of Economics and Business, Department of Economics.
    39. Bloom, Nicholas & Kawakubo, Taka & Meng, Charlotte & Mizen, Paul & Riley, Rebecca & Senga, Tatsuro & Van Reenen, John, 2022. "Do well managed firms make better forecasts?," LSE Research Online Documents on Economics 117748, London School of Economics and Political Science, LSE Library.
    40. Gatti, Roberta & Lederman, Daniel & Islam, Asif M. & Nguyen, Ha & Lotfi, Rana & Emam Mousa, Mennatallah, 2024. "Data transparency and GDP growth forecast errors," Journal of International Money and Finance, Elsevier, vol. 140(C).
    41. Jonas Dovern & Lena Sophia Müller & Klaus Wohlrabe, 2020. "How Do Firms Form Expectations of Aggregate Growth? New Evidence from a Large-Scale Business Survey," CESifo Working Paper Series 8179, CESifo.
    42. Santiago Pinto & Pierre-Daniel Sarte & Robert Sharp, 2020. "The Information Content and Statistical Properties of Diffusion Indexes," International Journal of Central Banking, International Journal of Central Banking, vol. 16(4), pages 47-99, September.
    43. Alexandros Botsis & Christoph Gortz & Plutarchos Sakellaris, 2024. "Quantifying Qualitative Survey Data with Panel Data Structure," CAMA Working Papers 2024-21, Centre for Applied Macroeconomic Analysis, Crawford School of Public Policy, The Australian National University.
    44. Maiko Koga & Haruko Kato, 2017. "Behavioral Biases in Firms' Growth Expectations," Bank of Japan Working Paper Series 17-E-9, Bank of Japan.
    45. Kodama, Naomi & Murakami, Yoshiaki & Tanaka, Mari, 2021. "No Successor, No Success? Impact of a Little Son on Business Performance," Journal of the Japanese and International Economies, Elsevier, vol. 62(C).
    46. Jose Maria Barrero, 2017. "Firm Dynamics with Subjective Beliefs," 2017 Meeting Papers 367, Society for Economic Dynamics.
    47. Rüdiger Bachmann & Peter Zorn, 2013. "What Drives Aggregate Investment? Evidence from German Survey Data," NBER Working Papers 18990, National Bureau of Economic Research, Inc.
    48. Berner, Julian & Buchholz, Manuel & Tonzer, Lena, 2020. "Asymmetric investment responses to firm-specific forecast errors," IWH Discussion Papers 5/2020, Halle Institute for Economic Research (IWH).
    49. Link Sebastian, 2020. "Harmonization of the ifo Business Survey’s Micro Data," Journal of Economics and Statistics (Jahrbuecher fuer Nationaloekonomie und Statistik), De Gruyter, vol. 240(4), pages 543-555, August.
    50. Santiago Pinto & Pierre-Daniel G. Sarte & Robert Sharp, 2015. "Learning About Consumer Uncertainty from Qualitative Surveys: As Uncertain As Ever," Working Paper 15-9, Federal Reserve Bank of Richmond.
    51. Phan Le, 2022. "Capital Misallocation and State Ownership Policy in Vietnam," The Economic Record, The Economic Society of Australia, vol. 98(S1), pages 52-64, September.
    52. Venky Venkateswaran & Joel David, 2017. "Capital Misallocation: Frictions or Distortions?," 2017 Meeting Papers 1636, Society for Economic Dynamics.
    53. Jarko Fidrmuc & Christa Hainz & Werner Hölzl, 2018. "Individual Credit Market Experience and Perception of Aggregate Bank Lending. Evidence from a Firm Survey," WIFO Working Papers 574, WIFO.
    54. Yoichi Tsuchiya, 2022. "Evaluating plant managers’ production plans over business cycles: asymmetric loss and rationality," SN Business & Economics, Springer, vol. 2(8), pages 1-29, August.
    55. Bofinger, Peter & Schnabel, Isabel & Feld, Lars P. & Schmidt, Christoph M. & Wieland, Volker, 2015. "Zukunftsfähigkeit in den Mittelpunkt. Jahresgutachten 2015/16 [Focus on Future Viability. Annual Report 2015/16]," Annual Economic Reports / Jahresgutachten, German Council of Economic Experts / Sachverständigenrat zur Begutachtung der gesamtwirtschaftlichen Entwicklung, volume 127, number 201516.
    56. Adriana Grasso & Tiziano Ropele, 2018. "Firms’ inflation expectations and investment plans," Temi di discussione (Economic working papers) 1203, Bank of Italy, Economic Research and International Relations Area.
    57. Barrero, Jose Maria, 2022. "The micro and macro of managerial beliefs," Journal of Financial Economics, Elsevier, vol. 143(2), pages 640-667.
    58. W. Hölzl & S. Kaniovski & Y. Kaniovski, 2019. "Exploring the dynamics of business survey data using Markov models," Computational Management Science, Springer, vol. 16(4), pages 621-649, October.
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    Cited by:

    1. Döhrn, Roland & an de Meulen, Philipp & Grozea-Helmenstein, Daniela & Kitlinski, Tobias & Schmidt, Torsten & Vosen, Simeon, 2013. "Die wirtschaftliche Entwicklung im Ausland: Zögerliche Erholung der Weltwirtschaft," RWI Konjunkturberichte, RWI - Leibniz-Institut für Wirtschaftsforschung, vol. 64(1), pages 5-40.
    2. Anmol Bhandari & Jaroslav Borovička & Paul Ho, 2016. "Identifying Ambiguity Shocks in Business Cycle Models Using Survey Data," NBER Working Papers 22225, National Bureau of Economic Research, Inc.
    3. Byomakesh Debata & Jitendra Mahakud, 2018. "Economic policy uncertainty and stock market liquidity," Journal of Financial Economic Policy, Emerald Group Publishing Limited, vol. 10(1), pages 112-135, April.
    4. Simon Gilchrist & Egon Zakrajsek & Cristina Fuentes Albero & Dario Caldara, 2013. "On the Identification of Financial and Uncertainty Shocks," 2013 Meeting Papers 965, Society for Economic Dynamics.

  16. Kai Carstensen & Steffen Elstner & Georg Paula, 2011. "How Strongly Did the 2007/08 Oil Price Hike Contribute to the Subsequent Recession?," CESifo Working Paper Series 3357, CESifo.

    Cited by:

    1. Christian Seiler, 2012. "The Data Sets of the LMU-ifo Economics & Business Data Center - A Guide for Researchers," ifo Working Paper Series 138, ifo Institute - Leibniz Institute for Economic Research at the University of Munich.
    2. Maisonnave, Hélène & Pycroft, Jonathan & Saveyn, Bert & Ciscar, Juan-Carlos, 2012. "Does climate policy make the EU economy more resilient to oil price rises? A CGE analysis," Energy Policy, Elsevier, vol. 47(C), pages 172-179.

  17. Ruediger Bachmann & Steffen Elstner & Eric R. Sims, 2010. "Uncertainty and Economic Activity: Evidence from Business Survey Data," NBER Working Papers 16143, National Bureau of Economic Research, Inc.

    Cited by:

    1. Blanka Škrabić Perić & Petar Sorić, 2018. "A Note on the “Economic Policy Uncertainty Index”," Social Indicators Research: An International and Interdisciplinary Journal for Quality-of-Life Measurement, Springer, vol. 137(2), pages 505-526, June.
    2. Hristov, Nikolay & Roth, Markus, 2019. "Uncertainty shocks and financial crisis indicators," Discussion Papers 36/2019, Deutsche Bundesbank.
    3. Carstensen, Kai & Bachmann, Rüdiger & Schneider, Martin & Lautenbacher, Stefan, 2018. "Uncertainty is Change," VfS Annual Conference 2018 (Freiburg, Breisgau): Digital Economy 181572, Verein für Socialpolitik / German Economic Association.
    4. Dario Caldara & Cristina Fuentes-Albero & Simon Gilchrist & Egon Zakrajšek, 2016. "The Macroeconomic Impact of Financial and Uncertainty Shocks," International Finance Discussion Papers 1166, Board of Governors of the Federal Reserve System (U.S.).
    5. Moench, Emanuel & Soofi-Siavash, Soroosh, 2022. "What moves treasury yields?," Journal of Financial Economics, Elsevier, vol. 146(3), pages 1016-1043.
    6. Bonciani, Dario, 2015. "Estimating the effects of uncertainty over the business cycle," MPRA Paper 65921, University Library of Munich, Germany.
    7. Saijo, Hikaru, 2017. "The uncertainty multiplier and business cycles," Journal of Economic Dynamics and Control, Elsevier, vol. 78(C), pages 1-25.
    8. Benjamin Born & Zeno Enders & Manuel Menkhoff & Gernot J. Müller & Knut Niemann, 2023. "Firm Expectations and News: Micro v Macro," ifo Working Paper Series 400, ifo Institute - Leibniz Institute for Economic Research at the University of Munich.
    9. Anja Kukuvec & Harald Oberhofer, 2020. "The Propagation of Business Expectations within the European Union," CESifo Working Paper Series 8198, CESifo.
    10. Jonathan Benchimol & Makram El-Shagi & Yossi Saadon, 2020. "Do Expert Experience and Characteristics Affect Inflation Forecasts?," Bank of Israel Working Papers 2020.11, Bank of Israel.
    11. Ivana Lolić & Petar Sorić & Marija Logarušić, 2022. "Economic Policy Uncertainty Index Meets Ensemble Learning," Computational Economics, Springer;Society for Computational Economics, vol. 60(2), pages 401-437, August.
    12. Idriss Fontaine, 2021. "Uncertainty and Labour Force Participation," Oxford Bulletin of Economics and Statistics, Department of Economics, University of Oxford, vol. 83(2), pages 437-471, April.
    13. Timo Wollmershäuser & Wolfgang Nierhaus & Nikolay Hristov & Dorine Boumans & Johanna Garnitz & Marcell Göttert & Christian Grimme & Stefan Lauterbacher & Robert Lehmann & Wolfgang Meister & Magnus Rei, 2016. "ifo Konjunkturprognose 2016–2018: Robuste deutsche Konjunktur vor einem Jahr ungewisser internationaler Wirtschaftspolitik," ifo Schnelldienst, ifo Institute - Leibniz Institute for Economic Research at the University of Munich, vol. 69(24), pages 28-73, December.
    14. Salzmann, Leonard, 2020. "The Impact of Uncertainty and Financial Shocks in Recessions and Booms," VfS Annual Conference 2020 (Virtual Conference): Gender Economics 224588, Verein für Socialpolitik / German Economic Association.
    15. David Altig & Jose Maria Barrero & Nicholas Bloom & Steven J. Davis & Brent H. Meyer & Nicholas Parker, 2019. "Surveying Business Uncertainty," NBER Working Papers 25956, National Bureau of Economic Research, Inc.
    16. Sourafel Girma & Sandra Lancheros & Alejandro Riaño, 2015. "Global Engagement and Returns Volatility," CESifo Working Paper Series 5650, CESifo.
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    21. Dzung Bui & Lena Dräger & Bernd Hayo & Giang Nghiem, 2021. "Consumer Sentiment during the Covid-19 Pandemic: The Role of Others' Beliefs," CESifo Working Paper Series 9010, CESifo.
    22. Tian, Can, 2011. "Technology choice and endogenous productivity dispersion over the business cycles," MPRA Paper 34480, University Library of Munich, Germany, revised 02 Nov 2011.
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    29. Bart Keijsers & Dick van Dijk, 2022. "Does economic uncertainty predict real activity in real-time?," Tinbergen Institute Discussion Papers 22-069/III, Tinbergen Institute, revised 01 Mar 2023.
    30. Piergiorgio Alessandri & Haroon Mumtaz, 2014. "Financial regimes and uncertainty shocks," BCAM Working Papers 1404, Birkbeck Centre for Applied Macroeconomics.
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    32. Paolo Gambetti & Francesco Roccazzella & Frédéric Vrins, 2022. "Meta-Learning Approaches for Recovery Rate Prediction," Risks, MDPI, vol. 10(6), pages 1-29, June.
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    34. Zeqiraj, Veton & Gurdgiev, Constantin & Sohag, Kazi & Hammoudeh, Shawkat, 2024. "Economic uncertainty, public debt and non-performing loans in the Eurozone: Three systemic crises," International Review of Financial Analysis, Elsevier, vol. 93(C).
    35. Popp, Aaron & Zhang, Fang, 2016. "The macroeconomic effects of uncertainty shocks: The role of the financial channel," Journal of Economic Dynamics and Control, Elsevier, vol. 69(C), pages 319-349.
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    38. Emmanuel Joel Aikins Abakah & Guglielmo Maria Caporale & Luis A. Gil-Alana, 2020. "Economic Policy Uncertainty: Persistence and Cross-Country Linkages," CESifo Working Paper Series 8289, CESifo.
    39. Bas Aarle & Cindy Moons, 2017. "Sentiment and Uncertainty Fluctuations and Their Effects on the Euro Area Business Cycle," Journal of Business Cycle Research, Springer;Centre for International Research on Economic Tendency Surveys (CIRET), vol. 13(2), pages 225-251, November.
    40. Klodiana Istrefi & Sarah Mouabbi, 2017. "Subjective interest rate uncertainty and the macroeconomy : a cross-country analysis," Rue de la Banque, Banque de France, issue 48, september.
    41. Lukas Hack & Davud Rostam-Afschar, 2024. "Understanding Firm Dynamics with Daily Data," CRC TR 224 Discussion Paper Series crctr224_2024_593, University of Bonn and University of Mannheim, Germany.
    42. Bachmann, Rüdiger & Born, Benjamin & Elstner, Steffen & Grimme, Christian, 2019. "Time-varying business volatility and the price setting of firms," Journal of Monetary Economics, Elsevier, vol. 101(C), pages 82-99.
    43. Cheng CHEN & Tatsuro SENGA & Chang SUN & Hongyong ZHANG, 2018. "Uncertainty, Imperfect Information, and Expectation Formation over the Firm's Life Cycle," Discussion papers 18010, Research Institute of Economy, Trade and Industry (RIETI).
    44. Jesús Fernández-Villaverde & Pablo A. Guerrón-Quintana, 2020. "Uncertainty Shocks and Business Cycle Research," NBER Working Papers 26768, National Bureau of Economic Research, Inc.
    45. Drobetz, Wolfgang & El Ghoul, Sadok & Guedhami, Omrane & Janzen, Malte, 2018. "Policy uncertainty, investment, and the cost of capital," Journal of Financial Stability, Elsevier, vol. 39(C), pages 28-45.
    46. Gaganan Awano & Nicholas Bloom & Ted Dolby & Paul Mizen & Rebecca Riley & Tatsuro Senga & John Van Reenen & Jenny Vyas & Philip Wales, 2018. "A firm-level perspective on micro- and macro-level uncertainty; An analysis of business expectations and uncertainty from the UK Management and Expectations Survey," Economic Statistics Centre of Excellence (ESCoE) Discussion Papers ESCoE DP-2018-10, Economic Statistics Centre of Excellence (ESCoE).
    47. Antonakakis, Nikolaos & Chatziantoniou, Ioannis & Filis, George, 2012. "Dynamic Co-movements between Stock Market Returns and Policy Uncertainty," MPRA Paper 42905, University Library of Munich, Germany.
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    52. Christian Seiler, 2013. "Nonresponse in Business Tendency Surveys: Theoretical Discourse and Empirical Evidence," ifo Beiträge zur Wirtschaftsforschung, ifo Institute - Leibniz Institute for Economic Research at the University of Munich, number 52.
    53. Bijapur, Mohan, 2014. "What Drives Business Cycle Fluctuations: Aggregate or Idiosyncratic Uncertainty Shocks?," MPRA Paper 60361, University Library of Munich, Germany.
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    55. Kovács, Olivér, 2017. "Az ipar 4.0 komplexitása - I [The complexity of industry 4.0 - Part 1]," Közgazdasági Szemle (Economic Review - monthly of the Hungarian Academy of Sciences), Közgazdasági Szemle Alapítvány (Economic Review Foundation), vol. 0(7), pages 823-851.
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    60. Jochen Güntner & Johannes Henßler, 2021. "Ease on the Cannons, Tighten on the Trumpets: Geopolitical Risk and the Transmission of Monetary Policy Shocks," Economics working papers 2021-09, Department of Economics, Johannes Kepler University Linz, Austria.
    61. Luca Gambetti & Dimitris Korobilis & John D. Tsoukalas & Francesco Zanetti, 2025. "Agreed and Disagreed Uncertainty," Working Papers 2025_01, Business School - Economics, University of Glasgow.
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    63. Oscar Claveria & Enric Monte & Salvador Torra, 2018. "“A geometric approach to proxy economic uncertainty by a metric of disagreement among qualitative expectations”," AQR Working Papers 201803, University of Barcelona, Regional Quantitative Analysis Group, revised Jun 2018.
    64. Azzimonti, Marina, 2018. "Partisan conflict and private investment," Journal of Monetary Economics, Elsevier, vol. 93(C), pages 114-131.
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    67. Carmen Orden‐Cruz & Jessica Paule‐Vianez & Júlio Lobão, 2023. "The effect of Economic Policy Uncertainty on the credit risk of US commercial banks," International Journal of Finance & Economics, John Wiley & Sons, Ltd., vol. 28(3), pages 3420-3436, July.
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    641. Daniel Dejuan-Bitria & Corinna Ghirelli, 2021. "Economic policy uncertainty and investment in Spain," SERIEs: Journal of the Spanish Economic Association, Springer;Spanish Economic Association, vol. 12(3), pages 351-388, September.
    642. Ellis, Michael A. & Liu, Dandan, 2021. "FOMC policy preferences and economic policy uncertainty," Economics Letters, Elsevier, vol. 205(C).
    643. Grebe, Moritz & Kandemir, Sinem & Tillmann, Peter, 2024. "Uncertainty about the war in Ukraine: Measurement and effects on the German economy," Journal of Economic Behavior & Organization, Elsevier, vol. 217(C), pages 493-506.
    644. Pavlo Blavatskyy, 2021. "A measure of ambiguity (Knightian uncertainty)," Theory and Decision, Springer, vol. 91(2), pages 153-171, September.
    645. Grossmann, Axel & Ngo, Thanh, 2020. "Economic policy uncertainty and ADR mispricing," Journal of Multinational Financial Management, Elsevier, vol. 55(C).
    646. Seuk Wai Phoong & Masnun Al Mahi & Seuk Yen Phoong, 2023. "A Markov Switching Approach in Assessing Oil Price and Stock Market Nexus in the Last Decade: The Impact of the COVID-19 Pandemic," SAGE Open, , vol. 13(1), pages 21582440231, February.
    647. Ryan Banerjee & Aaron Mehrotra, 2021. "Disagreeing during Deflations," Journal of Money, Credit and Banking, Blackwell Publishing, vol. 53(7), pages 1867-1885, October.
    648. Wang, Bo & Hu, Tiantian & Zheng, Suli, 2023. "Earning inflation, real investment and self-fulfilling uncertainty," Finance Research Letters, Elsevier, vol. 58(PC).
    649. Laura Veldkamp, 2022. "Understanding Uncertainty Shocks and the Role of Black Swans," Finance and Economics Discussion Series 2022-083, Board of Governors of the Federal Reserve System (U.S.).
    650. Andras Chabin & Sébastien Lamproye & Milan Výškrabka, 2020. "Are We More Accurate? Revisiting the European Commission’s Macroeconomic Forecasts," European Economy - Discussion Papers 128, Directorate General Economic and Financial Affairs (DG ECFIN), European Commission.
    651. Tim Kovalenko, 2021. "Uncertainty shocks and employment fluctuations in Germany: the role of establishment size," Working Papers 212, Bavarian Graduate Program in Economics (BGPE).
    652. Buchholz, Manuel & Tonzer, Lena & Berner, Julian, 2016. "Asymmetric Investment Responses to Firm-Specific Uncertainty," VfS Annual Conference 2016 (Augsburg): Demographic Change 145563, Verein für Socialpolitik / German Economic Association.
    653. Elisa Guglielminetti, 2016. "The labor market channel of macroeconomic uncertainty," Temi di discussione (Economic working papers) 1068, Bank of Italy, Economic Research and International Relations Area.
    654. Lee A. Smales, 2022. "The influence of policy uncertainty on exchange rate forecasting," Journal of Forecasting, John Wiley & Sons, Ltd., vol. 41(5), pages 997-1016, August.
    655. Simon Gilchrist & Egon Zakrajsek & Cristina Fuentes Albero & Dario Caldara, 2013. "On the Identification of Financial and Uncertainty Shocks," 2013 Meeting Papers 965, Society for Economic Dynamics.
    656. Christian Glocker & Werner Hölzl, 2019. "Assessing the Economic Content of Direct and Indirect Business Uncertainty Measures," WIFO Working Papers 576, WIFO.
    657. Laura Veldkamp & Anna Orlik, 2014. "Uncertainty Shocks and the Role of the Black Swan," 2014 Meeting Papers 275, Society for Economic Dynamics.
    658. Christian Grimme & Timo Wollmershäuser, 2018. "Unsicherheit deutscher Unternehmen deutlich gestiegen," ifo Schnelldienst, ifo Institute - Leibniz Institute for Economic Research at the University of Munich, vol. 71(20), pages 51-52, October.
    659. Bui, Dzung & Dräger, Lena & Hayo, Bernd & Nghiem, Giang, 2023. "Macroeconomic expectations and consumer sentiment during the COVID-19 pandemic: The role of others’ beliefs," European Journal of Political Economy, Elsevier, vol. 77(C).
    660. Tonzer Lena, 2019. "Elevated Uncertainty during the Financial Crisis: Do Effects on Subjective Well-Being Differ across European Countries?," The B.E. Journal of Economic Analysis & Policy, De Gruyter, vol. 19(2), pages 1-15, April.
    661. Marcelo E. A. Silva & Rafael Vasconcelos & Paulo Vaz, 2022. "Expectations and firm dynamics: Aggregate versus idiosyncratic shocks in emerging economies," Economics Bulletin, AccessEcon, vol. 42(3), pages 1370-1380.
    662. Guerello, Chiara, 2016. "The effect of investors’ confidence on monetary policy transmission mechanism," The North American Journal of Economics and Finance, Elsevier, vol. 37(C), pages 248-266.
    663. Li, Li & Chen, Hongyi & Xiang, Jingjie, 2023. "Oil price uncertainty, financial distress and real economic activities: Evidence from China," Pacific-Basin Finance Journal, Elsevier, vol. 81(C).
    664. Joshy Easaw & Christian Grimme, 2021. "The Impact of Aggregate Uncertainty on Firm-Level Uncertainty," CESifo Working Paper Series 8934, CESifo.
    665. Ralf Fendel & Nicola Mai & Oliver Mohr, 2019. "The Shape of Eurozone’s Uncertainty: Its Impact and Predictive Value on GDP," WHU Working Paper Series - Economics Group 19-01, WHU - Otto Beisheim School of Management.
    666. Grimme, Christian & Henzel, Steffen, 2023. "Uncertainty Shocks in Times of Low and High Uncertainty," VfS Annual Conference 2023 (Regensburg): Growth and the "sociale Frage" 277629, Verein für Socialpolitik / German Economic Association.
    667. Paul Rudel & Peter Tillmann, 2018. "News Shock Spillovers: How the Euro Area Responds to Expected Fed Policy," MAGKS Papers on Economics 201832, Philipps-Universität Marburg, Faculty of Business Administration and Economics, Department of Economics (Volkswirtschaftliche Abteilung).
    668. James H. Stock & Mark W. Watson, 2012. "Disentangling the Channels of the 2007-2009 Recession," NBER Working Papers 18094, National Bureau of Economic Research, Inc.

Articles

  1. Christofzik Désirée I. & Elstner Steffen & Feld Lars P. & Schmidt Christoph M., 2024. "Unraveling the Productivity Paradox: Evidence for Germany," German Economic Review, De Gruyter, vol. 25(3), pages 165-207.
    See citations under working paper version above.
  2. Elstner, Steffen & Rujin, Svetlana, 2023. "The consequences of US technology changes for productivity in advanced economies," Macroeconomic Dynamics, Cambridge University Press, vol. 27(3), pages 718-742, April.
    See citations under working paper version above.
  3. Ansgar Belke & Steffen Elstner & Svetlana Rujin, 2022. "Growth Prospects and the Trade Balance in Advanced Economies," Oxford Bulletin of Economics and Statistics, Department of Economics, University of Oxford, vol. 84(5), pages 1209-1234, October.
    See citations under working paper version above.
  4. Elstner, Steffen & Grimme, Christian & Kecht, Valentin & Lehmann, Robert, 2022. "The diffusion of technological progress in ICT," European Economic Review, Elsevier, vol. 149(C).
    See citations under working paper version above.
  5. Désirée I Christofzik & Steffen Elstner, 2021. "International spillover effects of U.S. tax reforms: evidence from Germany," Oxford Economic Papers, Oxford University Press, vol. 73(2), pages 578-600.
    See citations under working paper version above.
  6. Breuer Sebastian & Elstner Steffen, 2020. "Germany’s Growth Prospects against the Backdrop of Demographic Change," Journal of Economics and Statistics (Jahrbuecher fuer Nationaloekonomie und Statistik), De Gruyter, vol. 240(5), pages 565-605, October.

    Cited by:

    1. Lars-H. R. Siemers, 2024. "On the Hamilton-HP Filter Controversy: Evidence from German Business Cycles," MAGKS Papers on Economics 202421, Philipps-Universität Marburg, Faculty of Business Administration and Economics, Department of Economics (Volkswirtschaftliche Abteilung).
    2. Feld, Lars P. & Nöh, Lukas & Reuter, Wolf Heinrich & Yeter, Mustafa, 2021. "Von der Corona-bedingten Schuldenaufnahme zur Wiedereinhaltung der Schuldenbremse," Freiburg Discussion Papers on Constitutional Economics 21/8, Walter Eucken Institut e.V..
    3. Christian Ochsner & Christopher Zuber, 2022. "Die Konjunkturbereinigung der Schuldenbremse: ein Plädoyer für methodische Reformen [The Cyclical Adjustment Procedure of the German Debt Brake: a Plea for Methodical Reforms]," Wirtschaftsdienst, Springer;ZBW - Leibniz Information Centre for Economics, vol. 102(11), pages 822-825, November.

  7. Bachmann, Rüdiger & Born, Benjamin & Elstner, Steffen & Grimme, Christian, 2019. "Time-varying business volatility and the price setting of firms," Journal of Monetary Economics, Elsevier, vol. 101(C), pages 82-99.
    See citations under working paper version above.
  8. Benjamin Born & Sebastian Breuer & Steffen Elstner, 2018. "Uncertainty and the Great Recession," Oxford Bulletin of Economics and Statistics, Department of Economics, University of Oxford, vol. 80(5), pages 951-971, October.
    See citations under working paper version above.
  9. Enzo Weber & Steffen Elstner & Christoph M. Schmidt & Ulrich Fritsche & Patrick Christian Harms & Marianne Saam & Jochen Hartwig & Hagen Krämer, 2017. "Schwaches Produktivitätswachstum — zyklisches oder strukturelles Phänomen? [Weak Productivity Growth — A Cyclical or Structural Phenomenon?]," Wirtschaftsdienst, Springer;ZBW - Leibniz Information Centre for Economics, vol. 97(2), pages 83-102, February.

    Cited by:

    1. Gruhle, Tobias & Harms, Philipp, 2022. "Producer Services and the Current Account," Journal of International Money and Finance, Elsevier, vol. 121(C).

  10. Bachmann, Rüdiger & Elstner, Steffen & Hristov, Atanas, 2017. "Surprise, surprise – Measuring firm-level investment innovations," Journal of Economic Dynamics and Control, Elsevier, vol. 83(C), pages 107-148.
    See citations under working paper version above.
  11. Steffen Elstner & Henrike Michaelis & Christoph M. Schmidt, 2016. "Das leere Versprechen der aktiven Konjunktursteuerung [The Empty Promises of Active Economic Fine-Tuning]," Wirtschaftsdienst, Springer;ZBW - Leibniz Information Centre for Economics, vol. 96(8), pages 534-540, August.

    Cited by:

    1. Clemens Fuest & Klaus Gründler & Niklas Potrafke & Marcel Fratzscher & Alexander Kriwoluzky & Claus Michelsen & Michael Hüther & Peter Bofinger & Lars P. Feld & Wolf Heinrich Reuter, 2019. "Schuldenbremse — Investitionshemmnis oder Vorbild für Europa? [Debt Brake — Investment Barrier or Role Model for Europe?]," Wirtschaftsdienst, Springer;ZBW - Leibniz Information Centre for Economics, vol. 99(5), pages 307-329, May.
    2. Bofinger, Peter & Schnabel, Isabel & Feld, Lars P. & Schmidt, Christoph M. & Wieland, Volker, 2017. "Für eine zukunftsorientierte Wirtschaftspolitik. Jahresgutachten 2017/18 [Towards a Forward-Looking Economic Policy. Annual Report 2017/18]," Annual Economic Reports / Jahresgutachten, German Council of Economic Experts / Sachverständigenrat zur Begutachtung der gesamtwirtschaftlichen Entwicklung, volume 127, number 201718.
    3. Breuer, Sebastian & Elstner, Steffen, 2017. "Die Wachstumsperspektiven der deutschen Wirtschaft vor dem Hintergrund des demografischen Wandels: Die Mittelfristprojektion des Sachverständigenrates," Working Papers 07/2017, German Council of Economic Experts / Sachverständigenrat zur Begutachtung der gesamtwirtschaftlichen Entwicklung.
    4. Feld, Lars P. & Schmidt, Christoph M. & Schnabel, Isabel & Truger, Achim & Wieland, Volker, 2019. "Den Strukturwandel meistern. Jahresgutachten 2019/20 [Dealing with Structural Change. Annual Report 2019/20]," Annual Economic Reports / Jahresgutachten, German Council of Economic Experts / Sachverständigenrat zur Begutachtung der gesamtwirtschaftlichen Entwicklung, volume 127, number 201920.

  12. Sebastian Dullien & Till Treeck & Henrike Michaelis & Steffen Elstner & Christoph M. Schmidt, 2016. "Argumente gegen die Reform des Stabilitätsgesetzes wenig überzeugend — eine Replik [An Assessment of the Economic Stability and Growth Law — Reply and Response]," Wirtschaftsdienst, Springer;ZBW - Leibniz Information Centre for Economics, vol. 96(4), pages 258-264, April.

    Cited by:

    1. Silvia Blum & Till van Treeck, 2019. "Ordoliberalism: The Next Generation. What Do Prospective Social Science Teachers in Germany Think About the Euro Crisis?," Journal of Common Market Studies, Wiley Blackwell, vol. 57(4), pages 787-804, July.

  13. Holger Zemanek & Jörg Krämer & Marco Wagner & Thieß Petersen & Tom Krebs & Martin Scheffel & Thomas Mayer & Steffen Elstner & Christoph M. Schmidt, 2016. "Geringes Wirtschaftswachstum und Abwärtstrend bei Investitionen: Wege aus der Wachstumsschwäche," ifo Schnelldienst, ifo Institute - Leibniz Institute for Economic Research at the University of Munich, vol. 69(22), pages 03-21, November.

    Cited by:

    1. Christian Enz, 2022. "Optimization potential in SME marketing communication in a Czech-German comparison," Economics Working Papers 2022-03, University of South Bohemia in Ceske Budejovice, Faculty of Economics, revised 14 Apr 2022.

  14. Bachmann, Rüdiger & Elstner, Steffen, 2015. "Firm optimism and pessimism," European Economic Review, Elsevier, vol. 79(C), pages 297-325.
    See citations under working paper version above.
  15. Henrike Michaelis & Steffen Elstner & Christoph Schmidt, 2015. "Überprüfung des Stabilitäts- und Wachstumsgesetzes," Wirtschaftsdienst, Springer;ZBW - Leibniz Information Centre for Economics, vol. 95(12), pages 830-836, December.

    Cited by:

    1. Welter, Friederike & Levering, Britta & May-Strobl, Eva, 2016. "Mittelstandspolitik im Wandel," IfM-Materialien 247, Institut für Mittelstandsforschung (IfM) Bonn.
    2. Sebastian Dullien & Till Treeck & Henrike Michaelis & Steffen Elstner & Christoph M. Schmidt, 2016. "Argumente gegen die Reform des Stabilitätsgesetzes wenig überzeugend — eine Replik [An Assessment of the Economic Stability and Growth Law — Reply and Response]," Wirtschaftsdienst, Springer;ZBW - Leibniz Information Centre for Economics, vol. 96(4), pages 258-264, April.

  16. R?diger Bachmann & Steffen Elstner & Eric R. Sims, 2013. "Uncertainty and Economic Activity: Evidence from Business Survey Data," American Economic Journal: Macroeconomics, American Economic Association, vol. 5(2), pages 217-249, April.
    See citations under working paper version above.
  17. Steffen Elstner & Christian Grimme & Ulrich Haskamp, 2013. "Das ifo Exportklima – ein Frühindikator für die deutsche Exportprognose," ifo Schnelldienst, ifo Institute - Leibniz Institute for Economic Research at the University of Munich, vol. 66(04), pages 36-43, March.

    Cited by:

    1. Robert Lehmann, 2016. "Economic Growth and Business Cycle Forecasting at the Regional Level," ifo Beiträge zur Wirtschaftsforschung, ifo Institute - Leibniz Institute for Economic Research at the University of Munich, number 65.
    2. Timo Wollmershäuser & Wolfgang Nierhaus & Nikolay Hristov & Dorine Boumans & Johanna Garnitz & Marcell Göttert & Christian Grimme & Stefan Lauterbacher & Robert Lehmann & Wolfgang Meister & Magnus Rei, 2016. "ifo Konjunkturprognose 2016–2018: Robuste deutsche Konjunktur vor einem Jahr ungewisser internationaler Wirtschaftspolitik," ifo Schnelldienst, ifo Institute - Leibniz Institute for Economic Research at the University of Munich, vol. 69(24), pages 28-73, December.
    3. Christian Seiler & Klaus Wohlrabe, 2013. "Das ifo Geschäftsklima und die deutsche Konjunktur," ifo Schnelldienst, ifo Institute - Leibniz Institute for Economic Research at the University of Munich, vol. 66(18), pages 17-21, October.
    4. Robert Lehmann, 2015. "Survey-based indicators vs. hard data: What improves export forecasts in Europe?," ifo Working Paper Series 196, ifo Institute - Leibniz Institute for Economic Research at the University of Munich.
    5. Behrens, Christoph, 2019. "Evaluating the Joint Efficiency of German Trade Forecasts. A nonparametric multivariate approach," Working Papers 9, German Research Foundation's Priority Programme 1859 "Experience and Expectation. Historical Foundations of Economic Behaviour", Humboldt University Berlin.
    6. Christian Grimme & Robert Lehmann, 2020. "The ifo Export Climate – A Leading Indicator to Forecast German Export Growth," CESifo Forum, ifo Institute - Leibniz Institute for Economic Research at the University of Munich, vol. 20(04), pages 36-42, January.
    7. Hanslin Grossmann, Sandra & Scheufele, Rolf, 2015. "Foreign PMIs: A reliable indicator for Swiss exports," VfS Annual Conference 2015 (Muenster): Economic Development - Theory and Policy 112830, Verein für Socialpolitik / German Economic Association.
    8. Sandra Hanslin Grossmann & Rolf Scheufele, 2016. "Foreign PMIs: A reliable indicator for exports?," Working Papers 2016-01, Swiss National Bank.
    9. Simon Litsche & Przemyslaw Wojciechowski, 2016. "Konjunkturtest im Fokus: Maschinenbau," ifo Schnelldienst, ifo Institute - Leibniz Institute for Economic Research at the University of Munich, vol. 69(05), pages 33-37, March.
    10. Robert Lehmann, 2020. "The Forecasting Power of the ifo Business Survey," CESifo Working Paper Series 8291, CESifo.
    11. Christian Grimme & Robert Lehmann & Marvin Noeller, 2019. "Forecasting Imports with Information from Abroad," ifo Working Paper Series 294, ifo Institute - Leibniz Institute for Economic Research at the University of Munich.
    12. Christian Grimme & Robert Lehmann & Marvin Nöller, 2018. "Das ifo Importklima – ein erster Frühindikator für die Prognose der deutschen Importe," ifo Schnelldienst, ifo Institute - Leibniz Institute for Economic Research at the University of Munich, vol. 71(12), pages 27-32, June.
    13. Christoph Behrens, 2019. "A Nonparametric Evaluation of the Optimality of German Export and Import Growth Forecasts under Flexible Loss," Economies, MDPI, vol. 7(3), pages 1-23, September.
    14. Robert Lehmann & Andreas Sharik & Michael Weber, 2014. "Der Erklärungsgehalt der regionalen ifo-Indikatoren am Beispiel der Industrie- und Bauumsätze," ifo Dresden berichtet, ifo Institute - Leibniz Institute for Economic Research at the University of Munich, vol. 21(04), pages 18-24, August.
    15. Timo Wollmershäuser & Wolfgang Nierhaus & Tim Oliver Berg & Christian Breuer & Johanna Garnitz & Christian Grimme & Atanas Hristov & Nikolay Hristov & Wolfgang Meister & Magnus Reif & Felix Schröter &, 2015. "ifo Konjunkturprognose 2015/2017: Verhaltener Aufschwung setzt sich fort," ifo Schnelldienst, ifo Institute - Leibniz Institute for Economic Research at the University of Munich, vol. 68(24), pages 23-66, December.
    16. Bofinger, Peter & Schnabel, Isabel & Feld, Lars P. & Schmidt, Christoph M. & Wieland, Volker, 2015. "Zukunftsfähigkeit in den Mittelpunkt. Jahresgutachten 2015/16 [Focus on Future Viability. Annual Report 2015/16]," Annual Economic Reports / Jahresgutachten, German Council of Economic Experts / Sachverständigenrat zur Begutachtung der gesamtwirtschaftlichen Entwicklung, volume 127, number 201516.
    17. Sohrabpour, Vahid & Oghazi, Pejvak & Toorajipour, Reza & Nazarpour, Ali, 2021. "Export sales forecasting using artificial intelligence," Technological Forecasting and Social Change, Elsevier, vol. 163(C).
    18. Kaan Celebi & Michaela Hönig, 2019. "The Impact of Macroeconomic Factors on the German Stock Market: Evidence for the Crisis, Pre- and Post-Crisis Periods," IJFS, MDPI, vol. 7(2), pages 1-13, March.
    19. Timo Wollmershäuser & Silvia Delrio & Clemens Fuest & Marcell Göttert & Christian Grimme & Carla Krolage & Stefan Lautenbacher & Robert Lehmann & Wolfgang Nierhaus & Andreas Peichl & Magnus Reif & Rad, 2017. "ifo Konjunkturprognose 2017–2019: Deutsche Wirtschaft auf dem Weg in die Hochkonjunktur," ifo Schnelldienst, ifo Institute - Leibniz Institute for Economic Research at the University of Munich, vol. 70(24), pages 28-81, December.
    20. Stefan Sauer & Klaus Wohlrabe, 2020. "ifo Handbuch der Konjunkturumfragen," ifo Beiträge zur Wirtschaftsforschung, ifo Institute - Leibniz Institute for Economic Research at the University of Munich, number 88.

  18. Kai Carstensen & Steffen Elstner & Georg Paula, 2013. "How Much Did Oil Market Developments Contribute to the 2009 Recession in Germany?," Scandinavian Journal of Economics, Wiley Blackwell, vol. 115(3), pages 695-721, July.
    See citations under working paper version above.
  19. Johanna Garnitz & Gernot Nerb & Klaus Abberger & Steffen Elstner, 2012. "CESifo World Economic Survey February 2012," ifo World Economic Survey, ifo Institute - Leibniz Institute for Economic Research at the University of Munich, vol. 11(01), pages 1-24, February.

    Cited by:

    1. Bunea-Bontas, Cristina Aurora & Petre, Mihaela Cosmina, 2009. "Fiscal Policy during the current Crisis," MPRA Paper 18676, University Library of Munich, Germany.

  20. Anna Billharz & Steffen Elstner & Marcus Jüppner, 2012. "Methoden der ifo Kurzfristprognose am Beispiel der Ausrüstungsinvestitionen," ifo Schnelldienst, ifo Institute - Leibniz Institute for Economic Research at the University of Munich, vol. 65(21), pages 24-33, November.

    Cited by:

    1. Christian Seiler & Klaus Wohlrabe, 2013. "Das ifo Geschäftsklima und die deutsche Konjunktur," ifo Schnelldienst, ifo Institute - Leibniz Institute for Economic Research at the University of Munich, vol. 66(18), pages 17-21, October.
    2. Robert Lehmann, 2020. "The Forecasting Power of the ifo Business Survey," CESifo Working Paper Series 8291, CESifo.
    3. Wolfgang Nierhaus & Timo Wollmershäuser, 2016. "ifo Konjunkturumfragen und Konjunkturanalyse: Band II," ifo Forschungsberichte, ifo Institute - Leibniz Institute for Economic Research at the University of Munich, number 72.
    4. Robert Lehmann & Andreas Sharik & Michael Weber, 2014. "Der Erklärungsgehalt der regionalen ifo-Indikatoren am Beispiel der Industrie- und Bauumsätze," ifo Dresden berichtet, ifo Institute - Leibniz Institute for Economic Research at the University of Munich, vol. 21(04), pages 18-24, August.
    5. Isabel Hanisch & Elisabeth Wieland & Timo Wollmershäuser, 2015. "Entwicklung der deutschen Investitionstätigkeit imeuropäischen Vergleich: Die Rolle von Preis- undMengeneffekten," ifo Schnelldienst, ifo Institute - Leibniz Institute for Economic Research at the University of Munich, vol. 68(16), pages 39-50, August.

  21. Kai Carstensen & Wolfgang Nierhaus & Tim Oliver Berg & Benjamin Born & Christian Breuer & Teresa Buchen & Steffen Elstner & Christian Grimme & Steffen Henzel & Nikolay Hristov & Michael Kleemann & Wol, 2012. "ifo Konjunkturprognose 2012/2013: Erhöhte Unsicherheit dämpft deutsche Konjunktur erneut," ifo Schnelldienst, ifo Institute - Leibniz Institute for Economic Research at the University of Munich, vol. 65(13), pages 15-68, July.

    Cited by:

    1. Frank Westermann, 2014. "Discussion of "Target2 and Central Bank Balance Sheets"," IEER Working Papers 99, Institute of Empirical Economic Research, Osnabrueck University.
    2. Wolfgang Nierhaus, 2013. "Wirtschaftskonjunktur 2012: Prognose und Wirklichkeit," ifo Schnelldienst, ifo Institute - Leibniz Institute for Economic Research at the University of Munich, vol. 66(02), pages 30-33, January.
    3. Joachim Gürtler & Arno Städtler, 2012. "Investitionen im Sog der Finanzkrise – Mobilien-Leasing wächst noch überdurchschnittlich," ifo Schnelldienst, ifo Institute - Leibniz Institute for Economic Research at the University of Munich, vol. 65(19), pages 47-50, October.

  22. Kai Carstensen & Wolfgang Nierhaus & Klaus Abberger & Tim Oliver Berg & Benjamin Born & Teresa Buchen & Christian Breuer & Steffen Elstner & Christian Grimme & Steffen Henzel & Nikolay Hristov & Micha, 2011. "ifo Konjunkturprognose 2011/2012: Schuldenkrise bremst deutsche Wirtschaft aus," ifo Schnelldienst, ifo Institute - Leibniz Institute for Economic Research at the University of Munich, vol. 64(24), pages 26-72, December.

    Cited by:

    1. Wolfgang Nierhaus, 2013. "Wirtschaftskonjunktur 2012: Prognose und Wirklichkeit," ifo Schnelldienst, ifo Institute - Leibniz Institute for Economic Research at the University of Munich, vol. 66(02), pages 30-33, January.

  23. Kai Carstensen & Wolfgang Nierhaus & Klaus Abberger & Tim Oliver Berg & Christian Breuer & Teresa Buchen & Steffen Elstner & Christian Grimme & Steffen Henzel & Nikolay Hristov & Michael Kleemann & Wo, 2011. "ifo Konjunkturprognose 2011/2012: Aufschwung geht langsamer voran," ifo Schnelldienst, ifo Institute - Leibniz Institute for Economic Research at the University of Munich, vol. 64(13), pages 16-62, July.

    Cited by:

    1. Stefan Sauer & Arno Städtler, 2016. "Investitionsneigung schwächt sich ab – Leasing expandiert überdurchschnittlich," ifo Schnelldienst, ifo Institute - Leibniz Institute for Economic Research at the University of Munich, vol. 69(18), pages 47-51, September.
    2. Stefan Sauer, 2011. "Großhandel: Steigende Umsätze und schwungvolle Investitionsdynamik," ifo Schnelldienst, ifo Institute - Leibniz Institute for Economic Research at the University of Munich, vol. 64(15), pages 32-35, August.
    3. Stefan Sauer & Klaus Wohlrabe, 2020. "ifo Handbuch der Konjunkturumfragen," ifo Beiträge zur Wirtschaftsforschung, ifo Institute - Leibniz Institute for Economic Research at the University of Munich, number 88.

  24. Kai Carstensen & Wolfgang Nierhaus & Klaus Abberger & Christian Breuer & Teresa Buchen & Steffen Elstner & Christian Grimme & Steffen Henzel & Nikolay Hristov & Michael Kleemann & Johannes Mayr & Wolf, 2010. "ifo Konjunkturprognose 2010/2011:Auftriebskräfte verlagern sich nach Deutschland," ifo Schnelldienst, ifo Institute - Leibniz Institute for Economic Research at the University of Munich, vol. 63(12), pages 12-63, June.

    Cited by:

    1. Alexander Eck & Joachim Ragnitz & Johannes Steinbrecher & Christian Thater, 2011. "Haushaltskonsolidierung, Infrastruktur und Standortwettbewerb : Gutachten im Auftrag des Bayerischen Staatsministeriums für Wirtschaft, Infrastruktur, Verkehr und Technologie," ifo Dresden Studien, ifo Institute - Leibniz Institute for Economic Research at the University of Munich, number 58, February.
    2. Steffen Elstner & Christian Grimme & Thomas Siemsen, 2010. "Die größten aufstrebenden Märkte für deutsche Exporte liegen in Asien und Osteuropa," ifo Schnelldienst, ifo Institute - Leibniz Institute for Economic Research at the University of Munich, vol. 63(16), pages 22-25, August.
    3. Wolfgang Nierhaus & Timo Wollmershäuser, 2016. "ifo Konjunkturumfragen und Konjunkturanalyse: Band II," ifo Forschungsberichte, ifo Institute - Leibniz Institute for Economic Research at the University of Munich, number 72.

  25. Steffen Elstner & Christian Grimme & Thomas Siemsen, 2010. "Die größten aufstrebenden Märkte für deutsche Exporte liegen in Asien und Osteuropa," ifo Schnelldienst, ifo Institute - Leibniz Institute for Economic Research at the University of Munich, vol. 63(16), pages 22-25, August.

    Cited by:

    1. Christian Grimme & Claire Thürwächter, 2015. "Der Einfluss des Wechselkurses auf den deutschen Export – Simulationen mit Fehlerkorrekturmodellen," ifo Schnelldienst, ifo Institute - Leibniz Institute for Economic Research at the University of Munich, vol. 68(20), pages 35-38, October.
    2. Projektgruppe Gemeinschaftsdiagnose, 2011. "Gemeinschaftsdiagnose Frühjahr 2011: Aufschwung setzt sich fort - Europäische Schuldenkrise noch ungelöst," ifo Schnelldienst, ifo Institute - Leibniz Institute for Economic Research at the University of Munich, vol. 64(08), pages 03-63, April.
    3. Timo Wollmershäuser & Wolfgang Nierhaus & Tim Oliver Berg & Christian Breuer & Johanna Garnitz & Christian Grimme & Atanas Hristov & Nikolay Hristov & Wolfgang Meister & Magnus Reif & Felix Schröter &, 2015. "ifo Konjunkturprognose 2015/2017: Verhaltener Aufschwung setzt sich fort," ifo Schnelldienst, ifo Institute - Leibniz Institute for Economic Research at the University of Munich, vol. 68(24), pages 23-66, December.
    4. Steffen Elstner & Christian Grimme & Ulrich Haskamp, 2013. "Das ifo Exportklima – ein Frühindikator für die deutsche Exportprognose," ifo Schnelldienst, ifo Institute - Leibniz Institute for Economic Research at the University of Munich, vol. 66(04), pages 36-43, March.
    5. Anna Billharz & Steffen Elstner & Marcus Jüppner, 2012. "Methoden der ifo Kurzfristprognose am Beispiel der Ausrüstungsinvestitionen," ifo Schnelldienst, ifo Institute - Leibniz Institute for Economic Research at the University of Munich, vol. 65(21), pages 24-33, November.
    6. Christian Grimme & Magnus Reif & Timo Wollmershäuser, 2016. "Die Auswirkungen des britischen Votums für einen Brexit auf die deutsche Konjunktur 2016/17," ifo Schnelldienst, ifo Institute - Leibniz Institute for Economic Research at the University of Munich, vol. 69(13), pages 38-43, July.

  26. Kai Carstensen & Wolfgang Nierhaus & Klaus Abberger & Tim Oliver Berg & Teresa Buchen & Christian Breuer & Steffen Elstner & Christian Grimme & Steffen Henzel & Nikolay Hristov & Michael Kleemann & Jo, 2010. "ifo Konjunkturprognose 2011: Aufschwung setzt sich verlangsamt fort," ifo Schnelldienst, ifo Institute - Leibniz Institute for Economic Research at the University of Munich, vol. 63(24), pages 18-68, December.

    Cited by:

    1. Wolfgang Nierhaus, 2018. "Wirtschaftskonjunktur 2017: Prognose und Wirklichkeit," ifo Schnelldienst, ifo Institute - Leibniz Institute for Economic Research at the University of Munich, vol. 71(03), pages 35-42, February.
    2. Wolfgang Nierhaus, 2020. "Wirtschaftskonjunktur 2019: Prognose und Wirklichkeit," ifo Schnelldienst, ifo Institute - Leibniz Institute for Economic Research at the University of Munich, vol. 73(01), pages 51-57, January.
    3. Wolfgang Nierhaus, 2019. "Wirtschaftskonjunktur 2018: Prognose und Wirklichkeit," ifo Schnelldienst, ifo Institute - Leibniz Institute for Economic Research at the University of Munich, vol. 72(03), pages 22-29, February.
    4. Stefan Sauer & Klaus Wohlrabe, 2020. "ifo Handbuch der Konjunkturumfragen," ifo Beiträge zur Wirtschaftsforschung, ifo Institute - Leibniz Institute for Economic Research at the University of Munich, number 88.

  27. Kai Carstensen & Wolfgang Nierhaus & Oliver Hülsewig & Klaus Abberger & Teresa Buchen & Christian Breuer & Steffen Elstner & Steffen Henzel & Nikolay Hristov & Michael Kleemann & Johannes Mayr & Wolfg, 2009. "ifo Konjunkturprognose 2010: Deutsche Wirtschaft ohne Dynamik," ifo Schnelldienst, ifo Institute - Leibniz Institute for Economic Research at the University of Munich, vol. 62(24), pages 17-64, December.

    Cited by:

    1. Christian Grimme & Timo Wollmershäuser, 2017. "Zu den Auswirkungen von Rohstoffpreisänderungen auf den Leistungsbilanzsaldo," ifo Schnelldienst, ifo Institute - Leibniz Institute for Economic Research at the University of Munich, vol. 70(14), pages 44-46, July.
    2. Thomas Strobel & Arno Städtler, 2015. "Weiterhin moderates Wachstum von Investitionen und Leasing," ifo Schnelldienst, ifo Institute - Leibniz Institute for Economic Research at the University of Munich, vol. 68(13), pages 52-55, July.
    3. Wolfgang Nierhaus, 2018. "Wirtschaftskonjunktur 2017: Prognose und Wirklichkeit," ifo Schnelldienst, ifo Institute - Leibniz Institute for Economic Research at the University of Munich, vol. 71(03), pages 35-42, February.
    4. Stefan Sauer & Arno Städtler, 2015. "Anhaltend moderates Investitionswachstum – Leasing expandiert mit abnehmender Dynamik," ifo Schnelldienst, ifo Institute - Leibniz Institute for Economic Research at the University of Munich, vol. 68(18), pages 67-70, September.
    5. Magnus Reif & Arno Städtler, 2018. "Investitionen springen an – Leasing boomt," ifo Schnelldienst, ifo Institute - Leibniz Institute for Economic Research at the University of Munich, vol. 71(01), pages 26-29, January.
    6. Wolfgang Nierhaus, 2011. "Wirtschaftskonjunktur 2010: Prognose und Wirklichkeit," ifo Schnelldienst, ifo Institute - Leibniz Institute for Economic Research at the University of Munich, vol. 64(02), pages 22-25, February.
    7. Christian Breuer & Matthias Müller, 2010. "Staatsverschuldung in Europa: Status quo," ifo Schnelldienst, ifo Institute - Leibniz Institute for Economic Research at the University of Munich, vol. 63(04), pages 49-52, February.

  28. Kai Carstensen & Wolfgang Nierhaus & Oliver Hülsewig & Klaus Abberger & Christian Breuer & Steffen Elstner & Steffen Henzel & Johannes Mayr & Wolfgang Meister & Georg Paula & Anna Wolf & Timo Wollmers, 2009. "ifo Konjunkturprognose 2009/2010: Abschwung setzt sich fort," ifo Schnelldienst, ifo Institute - Leibniz Institute for Economic Research at the University of Munich, vol. 62(12), pages 11-57, June.

    Cited by:

    1. Projektgruppe Gemeinschaftsdiagnose, 2009. "Gemeinschaftsdiagnose Herbst 2009:Zögerliche Belebung – steigende Staatsschulden," ifo Schnelldienst, ifo Institute - Leibniz Institute for Economic Research at the University of Munich, vol. 62(20), pages 03-64, October.
    2. Giuseppe Bertola & John Driffill & Harold James & Hans-Werner Sinn & Jan-Egbert Sturm & Ákos Valentinyi, 2015. "Chapter 1: Macroeconomic Outlook," EEAG Report on the European Economy, CESifo, vol. 0, pages 13-50, February.
    3. Wolfgang Nierhaus, 2012. "Wirtschaftskonjunktur 2011: Prognose und Wirklichkeit," ifo Schnelldienst, ifo Institute - Leibniz Institute for Economic Research at the University of Munich, vol. 65(02), pages 22-27, January.

  29. Kai Carstensen & Wolfgang Nierhaus & Klaus Abberger & Steffen Elstner & Steffen Henzel & Oliver Hülsewig & Johannes Mayr & Wolfgang Meister & Dirk Ulbricht & Timo Wollmershäuser, 2008. "ifo Konjunkturprognose 2008/2009: Aufschwung geht zu Ende," ifo Schnelldienst, ifo Institute - Leibniz Institute for Economic Research at the University of Munich, vol. 61(12), pages 09-54, June.

    Cited by:

    1. Ludwig Dorffmeister, 2008. "Finanzkrise bremst europäische BauwirtschaftAusgewählte Ergebnisse der Euroconstruct-Sommerkonferenz 2008," ifo Schnelldienst, ifo Institute - Leibniz Institute for Economic Research at the University of Munich, vol. 61(13), pages 27-32, July.

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