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Chapter 1: Macroeconomic Outlook

Author

Listed:
  • Lars Calmfors
  • Giancarlo Corsetti
  • John Hassler
  • Gilles Saint-Paul
  • Hans-Werner Sinn
  • Jan-Egbert Sturm
  • Ákos Valentinyi
  • Xavier Vives

Abstract

Global economic conditions have deteriorated considerably since summer 2011. Europe in particular has been obliged to revise its growth expectations sharply downwards. The debt crisis and its consequences have stifled demand worldwide, even impacting regions that have long been developing dynamically, like East Asia. The only recent ray of hope came from the US economy, which outperformed forecasts last autumn. Overall, the world economy is expected to expand at a slower pace during the winter of 2011–2012 and to recover tentatively over the rest of the year. This forecast is based on the assumption, however, that the debt crisis in Europe will not worsen.

Suggested Citation

  • Lars Calmfors & Giancarlo Corsetti & John Hassler & Gilles Saint-Paul & Hans-Werner Sinn & Jan-Egbert Sturm & Ákos Valentinyi & Xavier Vives, 2012. "Chapter 1: Macroeconomic Outlook," EEAG Report on the European Economy, CESifo Group Munich, vol. 0, pages 17-56, February.
  • Handle: RePEc:ces:eeagre:v::y:2012:i::p:17-56
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    1. Jeroen Klomp & Jakob de Haan, 2010. "Inflation And Central Bank Independence: A Meta-Regression Analysis," Journal of Economic Surveys, Wiley Blackwell, vol. 24(4), pages 593-621, September.
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