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A Conditionally Heteroskedastic Time Series Model for Speculative Prices and Rates of Return

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Cited by:

  1. Ahmed Bensaida, 2012. "Improving the Forecasting Power of Volatility Models," International Journal of Academic Research in Accounting, Finance and Management Sciences, Human Resource Management Academic Research Society, International Journal of Academic Research in Accounting, Finance and Management Sciences, vol. 2(3), pages 51-64, July.
  2. Leopoldo Catania & Nima Nonejad, 2016. "Density Forecasts and the Leverage Effect: Some Evidence from Observation and Parameter-Driven Volatility Models," Papers 1605.00230, arXiv.org, revised Nov 2016.
  3. Fernando Perez-cruz & Julio Afonso-rodriguez & Javier Giner, 2003. "Estimating GARCH models using support vector machines," Quantitative Finance, Taylor & Francis Journals, vol. 3(3), pages 163-172.
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  5. Fredj Jawadi & Wael Louhichi & Hachmi Ben Ameur & Abdoulkarim Idi Cheffou, 2017. "On Oil-US Exchange Rate Volatility Relationships: an Intradaily Analysis," Working Papers hal-04141662, HAL.
  6. Lee, Tae-Hwy & Long, Xiangdong, 2009. "Copula-based multivariate GARCH model with uncorrelated dependent errors," Journal of Econometrics, Elsevier, vol. 150(2), pages 207-218, June.
  7. Li, Liuling & Mizrach, Bruce, 2010. "Tail return analysis of Bear Stearns' credit default swaps," Economic Modelling, Elsevier, vol. 27(6), pages 1529-1536, November.
  8. Rasmus S. Pedersen & Anders Rahbek, 2014. "Multivariate variance targeting in the BEKK–GARCH model," Econometrics Journal, Royal Economic Society, vol. 17(1), pages 24-55, February.
  9. Isao Ishida, 2005. "Scanning Multivariate Conditional Densities with Probability Integral Transforms," CIRJE F-Series CIRJE-F-369, CIRJE, Faculty of Economics, University of Tokyo.
  10. Booth, G. Geoffrey & Kaen, Fred R. & Koutmos, Gregory & Sherman, Heidemarie C., 2000. "Bundesbank intervention effects through interest rate policy," Journal of International Financial Markets, Institutions and Money, Elsevier, vol. 10(3-4), pages 263-274, December.
  11. Shively, Gerald E., 2001. "Price thresholds, price volatility, and the private costs of investment in a developing country grain market," Economic Modelling, Elsevier, vol. 18(3), pages 399-414, August.
  12. Bohl, Martin T. & Diesteldorf, Jeanne & Siklos, Pierre L., 2015. "The effect of index futures trading on volatility: Three markets for Chinese stocks," China Economic Review, Elsevier, vol. 34(C), pages 207-224.
  13. Delle Monache, Davide & Petrella, Ivan, 2017. "Adaptive models and heavy tails with an application to inflation forecasting," International Journal of Forecasting, Elsevier, vol. 33(2), pages 482-501.
  14. Blair, Bevan J. & Poon, Ser-Huang & Taylor, Stephen J., 2001. "Modelling S&P 100 volatility: The information content of stock returns," Journal of Banking & Finance, Elsevier, vol. 25(9), pages 1665-1679, September.
  15. E. Ruiz & M.A. Carnero & D. Pereira, 2004. "Effects of Level Outliers on the Identification and Estimation of GARCH Models," Econometric Society 2004 Australasian Meetings 21, Econometric Society.
  16. Xing Yu, 2012. "The optimal portfolio model based on multivariate t distribution with linear weighted sum method," E3 Journal of Business Management and Economics., E3 Journals, vol. 3(1), pages 044-047.
  17. Lisa Crosato & Luigi Grossi, 2019. "Correcting outliers in GARCH models: a weighted forward approach," Statistical Papers, Springer, vol. 60(6), pages 1939-1970, December.
  18. Anne Péguin-Feissolle & Bilel Sanhaji, 2016. "Tests of the Constancy of Conditional Correlations of Unknown Functional Form in Multivariate GARCH Models," Annals of Economics and Statistics, GENES, issue 123-124, pages 77-101.
  19. Sehgal, Sanjay & Pandey, Piyush & Diesting, Florent, 2017. "Examining dynamic currency linkages amongst South Asian economies: An empirical study," Research in International Business and Finance, Elsevier, vol. 42(C), pages 173-190.
  20. Jinan Liu & Apostolos Serletis, 2023. "Volatility and dependence in energy markets," Journal of Economics and Finance, Springer;Academy of Economics and Finance, vol. 47(1), pages 15-37, March.
  21. Charles, Amélie & Darné, Olivier, 2014. "Volatility persistence in crude oil markets," Energy Policy, Elsevier, vol. 65(C), pages 729-742.
  22. Jose Sanchez-Fung, 2003. "Non-linear modelling of daily exchange rate returns, volatility, and 'news' in a small developing economy," Applied Economics Letters, Taylor & Francis Journals, vol. 10(4), pages 247-250.
  23. Swarn Chatterjee & Amy Hubble, 2016. "Day-Of-The-Week Effect In Us Biotechnology Stocks — Do Policy Changes And Economic Cycles Matter?," Annals of Financial Economics (AFE), World Scientific Publishing Co. Pte. Ltd., vol. 11(02), pages 1-17, June.
  24. Alexandros Gabrielsen & Axel Kirchner & Zhuoshi Liu & Paolo Zagaglia, 2015. "Forecasting Value-At-Risk With Time-Varying Variance, Skewness And Kurtosis In An Exponential Weighted Moving Average Framework," Annals of Financial Economics (AFE), World Scientific Publishing Co. Pte. Ltd., vol. 10(01), pages 1-29.
  25. Janus, Paweł & Koopman, Siem Jan & Lucas, André, 2014. "Long memory dynamics for multivariate dependence under heavy tails," Journal of Empirical Finance, Elsevier, vol. 29(C), pages 187-206.
  26. Kim, Suk-Joong & Sheen, Jeffrey, 2000. "International linkages and macroeconomic news effects on interest rate volatility -- Australia and the US," Pacific-Basin Finance Journal, Elsevier, vol. 8(1), pages 85-113, March.
  27. Necula Ciprian & Radu Alina-Nicoleta, 2009. "Detecting Regime Switches In The Eur/Ron Exchange Rate Volatility," Annals of Faculty of Economics, University of Oradea, Faculty of Economics, vol. 3(1), pages 610-615, May.
  28. Nigar ZEHRA* & Ambreen FATIMA**, 2019. "FOOD PRICE VOLATILITY: A Comparative Analysis among Major Cities of Pakistan," Pakistan Journal of Applied Economics, Applied Economics Research Centre, vol. 29(1), pages 71-91.
  29. Georgios Bampinas & Konstantinos Ladopoulos & Theodore Panagiotidis, 2018. "A note on the estimated GARCH coefficients from the S&P1500 universe," Applied Economics, Taylor & Francis Journals, vol. 50(34-35), pages 3647-3653, July.
  30. Asai, Manabu & McAleer, Michael & Medeiros, Marcelo C., 2012. "Modelling and forecasting noisy realized volatility," Computational Statistics & Data Analysis, Elsevier, vol. 56(1), pages 217-230, January.
  31. Mateusz Buczyński & Marcin Chlebus, 2017. "Is CAViaR model really so good in Value at Risk forecasting? Evidence from evaluation of a quality of Value-at-Risk forecasts obtained based on the: GARCH(1,1), GARCH-t(1,1), GARCH-st(1,1), QML-GARCH(," Working Papers 2017-29, Faculty of Economic Sciences, University of Warsaw.
  32. Lyu, Yongjian & Wang, Peng & Wei, Yu & Ke, Rui, 2017. "Forecasting the VaR of crude oil market: Do alternative distributions help?," Energy Economics, Elsevier, vol. 66(C), pages 523-534.
  33. N. Antonakakis & J. Darby, 2013. "Forecasting volatility in developing countries' nominal exchange returns," Applied Financial Economics, Taylor & Francis Journals, vol. 23(21), pages 1675-1691, November.
  34. Curto, José Dias & Serrasqueiro, Pedro, 2022. "The impact of COVID-19 on S&P500 sector indices and FATANG stocks volatility: An expanded APARCH model," Finance Research Letters, Elsevier, vol. 46(PA).
  35. Michael McAleer & Marcelo C. Medeiros, 2009. "Forecasting Realized Volatility with Linear and Nonlinear Models," CARF F-Series CARF-F-189, Center for Advanced Research in Finance, Faculty of Economics, The University of Tokyo.
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  37. Neenu Chalissery & Suhaib Anagreh & Mohamed Nishad T. & Mosab I. Tabash, 2022. "Mapping the Trend, Application and Forecasting Performance of Asymmetric GARCH Models: A Review Based on Bibliometric Analysis," JRFM, MDPI, vol. 15(9), pages 1-23, September.
  38. Trino-Manuel Niguez & Javier Perote, 2004. "Forecasting the density of asset returns," STICERD - Econometrics Paper Series 479, Suntory and Toyota International Centres for Economics and Related Disciplines, LSE.
  39. Vladimír Holý & Jan Zouhar, 2022. "Modelling time‐varying rankings with autoregressive and score‐driven dynamics," Journal of the Royal Statistical Society Series C, Royal Statistical Society, vol. 71(5), pages 1427-1450, November.
  40. Cassim, Lucius, 2018. "Non-parametric Estimation of GARCH (2, 2) Volatility model: A new Algorithm," MPRA Paper 86861, University Library of Munich, Germany.
  41. Imran Riaz MALIK* & Attaullah SHAH*, 2014. "Market Varying Conditional Risk-Return Relationship," Pakistan Journal of Applied Economics, Applied Economics Research Centre, vol. 24(2), pages 121-142.
  42. Jinliang Li & Chihwa Kao & Wei David Zhang, 2010. "Bounded influence estimator for GARCH models: evidence from foreign exchange rates," Applied Economics, Taylor & Francis Journals, vol. 42(11), pages 1437-1445.
  43. Bartels, Mariana & Ziegelmann, Flavio A., 2016. "Market risk forecasting for high dimensional portfolios via factor copulas with GAS dynamics," Insurance: Mathematics and Economics, Elsevier, vol. 70(C), pages 66-79.
  44. Turan G. Bali, 2007. "An Extreme Value Approach to Estimating Interest-Rate Volatility: Pricing Implications for Interest-Rate Options," Management Science, INFORMS, vol. 53(2), pages 323-339, February.
  45. Phornchanok Cumperayot, 2003. "Dusting off the Perception of Risk and Returns in FOREX Markets," CESifo Working Paper Series 904, CESifo.
  46. Dark Jonathan Graeme, 2010. "Estimation of Time Varying Skewness and Kurtosis with an Application to Value at Risk," Studies in Nonlinear Dynamics & Econometrics, De Gruyter, vol. 14(2), pages 1-50, March.
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  48. Degiannakis, Stavros, 2004. "Forecasting Realized Intra-day Volatility and Value at Risk: Evidence from a Fractional Integrated Asymmetric Power ARCH Skewed-t Model," MPRA Paper 80488, University Library of Munich, Germany.
  49. Tim Bollerslev, 2008. "Glossary to ARCH (GARCH)," CREATES Research Papers 2008-49, Department of Economics and Business Economics, Aarhus University.
  50. Constantinides, A. & Savel’ev, S.E., 2013. "Modelling price dynamics: A hybrid truncated Lévy Flight–GARCH approach," Physica A: Statistical Mechanics and its Applications, Elsevier, vol. 392(9), pages 2072-2078.
  51. Boldanov, Rustam & Degiannakis, Stavros & Filis, George, 2016. "Time-varying correlation between oil and stock market volatilities: Evidence from oil-importing and oil-exporting countries," International Review of Financial Analysis, Elsevier, vol. 48(C), pages 209-220.
  52. Torben G. Andersen & Tim Bollerslev & Francis X. Diebold & Paul Labys, 2000. "Exchange Rate Returns Standardized by Realized Volatility are (Nearly) Gaussian," Multinational Finance Journal, Multinational Finance Journal, vol. 4(3-4), pages 159-179, September.
  53. C. James Hueng & Ruey Yau, 2006. "Investor preferences and portfolio selection: is diversification an appropriate strategy?," Quantitative Finance, Taylor & Francis Journals, vol. 6(3), pages 255-271.
  54. Kae-Yih Tzeng & Joseph Chang Pying Shieh, 2016. "The transmission from equity markets to commodity markets in crises periods," Applied Economics, Taylor & Francis Journals, vol. 48(48), pages 4666-4689, October.
  55. Xekalaki, Evdokia & Degiannakis, Stavros, 2005. "Evaluating volatility forecasts in option pricing in the context of a simulated options market," Computational Statistics & Data Analysis, Elsevier, vol. 49(2), pages 611-629, April.
  56. Paolo Girardello & Orietta Nicolis & Giovanni Tondini, 2003. "Comparing Conditional Variance Models: Theory and Empirical Evidence," Multinational Finance Journal, Multinational Finance Journal, vol. 7(3-4), pages 177-206, September.
  57. Bollerslev, Tim & Kretschmer, Uta & Pigorsch, Christian & Tauchen, George, 2009. "A discrete-time model for daily S & P500 returns and realized variations: Jumps and leverage effects," Journal of Econometrics, Elsevier, vol. 150(2), pages 151-166, June.
  58. Rosenberg, Joshua V. & Engle, Robert F., 2002. "Empirical pricing kernels," Journal of Financial Economics, Elsevier, vol. 64(3), pages 341-372, June.
  59. Antonio Díaz & Carlos Esparcia, 2021. "Dynamic optimal portfolio choice under time-varying risk aversion," International Economics, CEPII research center, issue 166, pages 1-22.
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  61. Svetlozar T. Rachev & Chufang Wu & Frank J. Fabozzi, 2007. "Empirical Analyses of Industry Stock Index Return Distributions for the Taiwan Stock Exchange," Annals of Economics and Finance, Society for AEF, vol. 8(1), pages 21-31, May.
  62. Audrone Virbickaite & M. Concepción Ausín & Pedro Galeano, 2015. "Bayesian Inference Methods For Univariate And Multivariate Garch Models: A Survey," Journal of Economic Surveys, Wiley Blackwell, vol. 29(1), pages 76-96, February.
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