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El perro y el frisbee

Author

Listed:
  • Andrew G. Haldane
  • Vasileios Madouros

Abstract

Este escrito analiza por qué el tipo de regulación financiera compleja desarrollado en las últimas décadas puede ser una respuesta subóptima a la creciente complejidad del sistema financiero. Los ejemplos de otras disciplinas muestran que la toma de decisiones en un entorno complejo se puede beneficiar con el uso de reglas prácticas simples o “heurísticas”. Una serie de experimentos empíricos para evaluar el desempeño relativo de las reglas simples y complejas en el entorno financiero muestra que los indicadores simples, como la relación de apalancamiento y las medidas de capital basadas en el mercado superan a las medidas más complejas ponderadas por el riesgo y a los modelos de múltiples indicadores en su capacidad para predecir quiebras bancarias. Un mensaje congruente de estos experimentos es que la complejidad de los modelos o los portafolios puede generar problemas de robustez. Presenta cinco lecciones de política a partir de estos resultados, relacionadas con el diseño de la regulación financiera y las posibles medidas encaminadas a reducir en forma más directa la complejidad del sistema financiero.

Suggested Citation

  • Andrew G. Haldane & Vasileios Madouros, 2012. "El perro y el frisbee," Revista de Economía Institucional, Universidad Externado de Colombia - Facultad de Economía, vol. 14(27), pages 13-56, July-Dece.
    • Handle: RePEc:rei:ecoins:v:14:y:2012:i:27:p:13-56
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    File URL: http://www.uexternado.edu.co/facecono/ecoinstitucional/workingpapers/ahaldane27.pdf
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    References listed on IDEAS

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    More about this item

    Keywords

    crisis bancarias; regulación financiera; complejidad; estabilidad financiera;
    All these keywords.

    JEL classification:

    • G01 - Financial Economics - - General - - - Financial Crises
    • G21 - Financial Economics - - Financial Institutions and Services - - - Banks; Other Depository Institutions; Micro Finance Institutions; Mortgages
    • G28 - Financial Economics - - Financial Institutions and Services - - - Government Policy and Regulation

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