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Modeling financial time series with the skew slash distribution

  • Cristina G. de la Fuente

    ()

  • Pedro Galeano

    ()

  • Michael P. Wiper

    ()

Financial returns often present moderate skewness and high kurtosis. As a consequence, it is natural to look for a model that is exible enough to capture these characteristics. The proposal is to undertake inference for a generalized autoregressive conditional heteroskedastic (GARCH) model, where the innovations are assumed to follow a skew slash distribution. Both classical and Bayesian inference are carried out. Simulations and a real data example illustrate the performance of the proposed methodology.

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Paper provided by Universidad Carlos III, Departamento de Estadística y Econometría in its series Statistics and Econometrics Working Papers with number ws121108.

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Date of creation: Jun 2012
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Handle: RePEc:cte:wsrepe:ws121108
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  1. Lawrence R. Glosten & Ravi Jagannathan & David E. Runkle, 1993. "On the relation between the expected value and the volatility of the nominal excess return on stocks," Staff Report 157, Federal Reserve Bank of Minneapolis.
  2. Zakoian, Jean-Michel, 1994. "Threshold heteroskedastic models," Journal of Economic Dynamics and Control, Elsevier, vol. 18(5), pages 931-955, September.
  3. Bai, Xuezheng & Russell, Jeffrey R. & Tiao, George C., 2003. "Kurtosis of GARCH and stochastic volatility models with non-normal innovations," Journal of Econometrics, Elsevier, vol. 114(2), pages 349-360, June.
  4. Tim Bollerslev, 1986. "Generalized autoregressive conditional heteroskedasticity," EERI Research Paper Series EERI RP 1986/01, Economics and Econometrics Research Institute (EERI), Brussels.
  5. Cabral, Celso Rômulo Barbosa & Lachos, Víctor Hugo & Prates, Marcos O., 2012. "Multivariate mixture modeling using skew-normal independent distributions," Computational Statistics & Data Analysis, Elsevier, vol. 56(1), pages 126-142, January.
  6. Bollerslev, Tim, 1987. "A Conditionally Heteroskedastic Time Series Model for Speculative Prices and Rates of Return," The Review of Economics and Statistics, MIT Press, vol. 69(3), pages 542-47, August.
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