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Testing for Leverage Effects in the Returns of US Equities

Author

Listed:
  • Christophe Chorro

    () (CES - Centre d'économie de la Sorbonne - UP1 - Université Panthéon-Sorbonne - CNRS - Centre National de la Recherche Scientifique)

  • Dominique Guegan

    () (CES - Centre d'économie de la Sorbonne - UP1 - Université Panthéon-Sorbonne - CNRS - Centre National de la Recherche Scientifique)

  • Florian Ielpo

    () (CES - Centre d'économie de la Sorbonne - UP1 - Université Panthéon-Sorbonne - CNRS - Centre National de la Recherche Scientifique, IPAG Business School)

  • Hanjarivo Lalaharison

    () (Université d'Antananarivo)

Abstract

This article questions the empirical usefulness of leverage effects to describe the dynamics of equity returns. Relying on both in and out of sample tests we consistently find a weak contribution of leverage effects over the past 25 years of S&P 500 returns. The skewness in the conditional distribution of the returns's time series models in found to explain most of the returns' distribution's asymmetry. This conclusion holds both at the index level and for 70% of the individual stocks constituents of the equity index.

Suggested Citation

  • Christophe Chorro & Dominique Guegan & Florian Ielpo & Hanjarivo Lalaharison, 2017. "Testing for Leverage Effects in the Returns of US Equities," Post-Print halshs-00973922, HAL.
  • Handle: RePEc:hal:journl:halshs-00973922
    Note: View the original document on HAL open archive server: https://halshs.archives-ouvertes.fr/halshs-00973922v2
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    References listed on IDEAS

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    Cited by:

    1. Chevallier, Julien & Ielpo, Florian, 2017. "Investigating the leverage effect in commodity markets with a recursive estimation approach," Research in International Business and Finance, Elsevier, vol. 39(PB), pages 763-778.

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    Keywords

    Leverage effect; S&P 500; Generalized hyperbolic distributions; Mixture of Gaussian distributions; GARCH; Asymmetry;

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