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Diagnostics for conditional heteroscedasticity models: some simulation results

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  • Tsui, Albert K

Abstract

In this paper, we study the size and power of various diagnostic statistics for univariate conditional heteroscedasticity models. These test statistics include the residual-based tests recently derived by Tse, Li and Mak, and Wooldridge, respectively. Monte-Carlo experiments with 1000 replications are conducted to generate conditional variances which follow the autoregressive conditional heteroscedasticity (ARCH)/GARCH processes. We use quasi-maximum likelihood estimation (MLE) method to obtain estimates of parameters under different ARCH/ generalized ARCH (GARCH) models. It is found that the Tse and Li–Mak diagnostics are more powerful.

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  • Tsui, Albert K, 2004. "Diagnostics for conditional heteroscedasticity models: some simulation results," Mathematics and Computers in Simulation (MATCOM), Elsevier, vol. 64(1), pages 113-119.
    • Handle: RePEc:eee:matcom:v:64:y:2004:i:1:p:113-119
    DOI: 10.1016/S0378-4754(03)00125-3
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    1. Fiorentini, Gabriele & Calzolari, Giorgio & Panattoni, Lorenzo, 1996. "Analytic Derivatives and the Computation of GARCH Estimates," Journal of Applied Econometrics, John Wiley & Sons, Ltd., vol. 11(4), pages 399-417, July-Aug..
    2. Tse, Y. K., 2000. "A test for constant correlations in a multivariate GARCH model," Journal of Econometrics, Elsevier, vol. 98(1), pages 107-127, September.
    3. Wooldridge, Jeffrey M., 1991. "On the application of robust, regression- based diagnostics to models of conditional means and conditional variances," Journal of Econometrics, Elsevier, vol. 47(1), pages 5-46, January.
    4. Wooldridge, Jeffrey M., 1990. "A Unified Approach to Robust, Regression-Based Specification Tests," Econometric Theory, Cambridge University Press, vol. 6(1), pages 17-43, March.
    5. Y. K. Tse, 2002. "Residual-based diagnostics for conditional heteroscedasticity models," Econometrics Journal, Royal Economic Society, vol. 5(2), pages 358-374, June.
    6. Bollerslev, Tim, 1987. "A Conditionally Heteroskedastic Time Series Model for Speculative Prices and Rates of Return," The Review of Economics and Statistics, MIT Press, vol. 69(3), pages 542-547, August.
    7. Engle, Robert F, 1982. "Autoregressive Conditional Heteroscedasticity with Estimates of the Variance of United Kingdom Inflation," Econometrica, Econometric Society, vol. 50(4), pages 987-1007, July.
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