Financial volatility and economic growth, 1870-2016
Author
Abstract
Suggested Citation
Download full text from publisher
References listed on IDEAS
- Mr. Divya Kirti, 2018.
"Lending Standards and Output Growth,"
IMF Working Papers
2018/023, International Monetary Fund.
- Kirti, Divya, 2018. "Lending standards and output growth," ESRB Working Paper Series 79, European Systemic Risk Board.
- Divya Kirti, 2018. "Lending standards and output growth," 2018 Meeting Papers 203, Society for Economic Dynamics.
- Carolin Pflueger & Emil Siriwardane & Adi Sunderam, 2018. "A Measure of Risk Appetite for the Macroeconomy," NBER Working Papers 24529, National Bureau of Economic Research, Inc.
- Hyman P. Minsky, 1977. "The Financial Instability Hypothesis: An Interpretation of Keynes and an Alternative to“Standard” Theory," Challenge, Taylor & Francis Journals, vol. 20(1), pages 20-27, March.
- Robert J. Barro, 2013.
"Inflation and Economic Growth,"
Annals of Economics and Finance, Society for AEF, vol. 14(1), pages 121-144, May.
- Robert J. Barro, 1995. "Inflation and Economic Growth," NBER Working Papers 5326, National Bureau of Economic Research, Inc.
- Robert J. Barro, 2012. "Inflation and Economic Growth," CEMA Working Papers 568, China Economics and Management Academy, Central University of Finance and Economics.
- Levine, Ross & Zervos, Sara, 1998.
"Stock Markets, Banks, and Economic Growth,"
American Economic Review, American Economic Association, vol. 88(3), pages 537-558, June.
- Ross Levine & Sara Zervos, "undated". "Stock markets, banks and economic growth ," CERF Discussion Paper Series 95-11, Economics and Finance Section, School of Social Sciences, Brunel University.
- Levine, Ross & Zervos, Sara, 1996. "Stock markets, banks, and economic growth," Policy Research Working Paper Series 1690, The World Bank.
- Daron Acemoglu & Simon Johnson & James A. Robinson & Pierre Yared, 2008.
"Income and Democracy,"
American Economic Review, American Economic Association, vol. 98(3), pages 808-842, June.
- Daron Acemoglu & Simon Johnson & James Robinson & Pierre Yared, 2005. "Income and Democracy," NBER Working Papers 11205, National Bureau of Economic Research, Inc.
- Acemoglu, Daron & Johnson, Simon & Robinson, James A. & Yared, Pierre, 2005. "Income and Democracy," CEPR Discussion Papers 5273, C.E.P.R. Discussion Papers.
- Hodrick, Robert J & Prescott, Edward C, 1997.
"Postwar U.S. Business Cycles: An Empirical Investigation,"
Journal of Money, Credit and Banking, Blackwell Publishing, vol. 29(1), pages 1-16, February.
- Robert J. Hodrick & Edward Prescott, 1981. "Post-War U.S. Business Cycles: An Empirical Investigation," Discussion Papers 451, Northwestern University, Center for Mathematical Studies in Economics and Management Science.
- Dario Caldara & Matteo Iacoviello, 2022.
"Measuring Geopolitical Risk,"
American Economic Review, American Economic Association, vol. 112(4), pages 1194-1225, April.
- Dario Caldara & Matteo Iacoviello, 2018. "Measuring Geopolitical Risk," International Finance Discussion Papers 1222r1, Board of Governors of the Federal Reserve System (U.S.), revised 23 Mar 2022.
- Matteo Iacoviello, 2018. "Measuring Geopolitical Risk," 2018 Meeting Papers 79, Society for Economic Dynamics.
- Scott R. Baker & Nicholas Bloom & Steven J. Davis, 2016.
"Measuring Economic Policy Uncertainty,"
The Quarterly Journal of Economics, President and Fellows of Harvard College, vol. 131(4), pages 1593-1636.
- Scott R. Baker & Nicholas Bloom & Steven J. Davis, 2015. "Measuring Economic Policy Uncertainty," Economics Working Papers 15111, Hoover Institution, Stanford University.
- Scott R. Baker & Nicholas Bloom & Steven J. Davis, 2015. "Measuring Economic Policy Uncertainty," NBER Working Papers 21633, National Bureau of Economic Research, Inc.
- Scott R. Baker & Nicholas Bloom & Steven J. Davis, 2015. "Measuring Economic Policy Uncertainty," CEP Discussion Papers dp1379, Centre for Economic Performance, LSE.
- Baker, Scott R. & Bloom, Nicholas & Davis, Steven J., 2015. "Measuring economic policy uncertainty," LSE Research Online Documents on Economics 64986, London School of Economics and Political Science, LSE Library.
- Davis, Steven & Bloom, Nicholas & Baker, Scott, 2015. "Measuring Economic Policy Uncertainty," CEPR Discussion Papers 10900, C.E.P.R. Discussion Papers.
- Robin Greenwood & Samuel G. Hanson, 2013.
"Issuer Quality and Corporate Bond Returns,"
The Review of Financial Studies, Society for Financial Studies, vol. 26(6), pages 1483-1525.
- Robin Greenwood & Samuel G. Hanson, 2010. "Issuer Quality and Corporate Bond Returns," Harvard Business School Working Papers 11-065, Harvard Business School.
- Jon Danielsson & Marcela Valenzuela & Ilknur Zer, 2018.
"Learning from History: Volatility and Financial Crises,"
The Review of Financial Studies, Society for Financial Studies, vol. 31(7), pages 2774-2805.
- Danielsson, Jon & Valenzuela, Marcela & Zer, Ilknur, 2016. "Learning from history: volatility and financial crises," LSE Research Online Documents on Economics 66046, London School of Economics and Political Science, LSE Library.
- Danielsson, Jon & Valenzuela, Marcela & Zer, Ilknur, 2018. "Learning from history: volatility and financial crises," LSE Research Online Documents on Economics 91136, London School of Economics and Political Science, LSE Library.
- Jón Daníelsson & Marcela Valenzuela & Ilknur Zer, 2016. "Learning from History : Volatility and Financial Crises," Finance and Economics Discussion Series 2016-093, Board of Governors of the Federal Reserve System (U.S.).
- Danielsson, Jon & Valenzuela, Marcela & Zer, Ilknur, 2018. "Learning from history: volatility and financial crises," LSE Research Online Documents on Economics 118942, London School of Economics and Political Science, LSE Library.
- Bollerslev, Tim, 1986.
"Generalized autoregressive conditional heteroskedasticity,"
Journal of Econometrics, Elsevier, vol. 31(3), pages 307-327, April.
- Tim Bollerslev, 1986. "Generalized autoregressive conditional heteroskedasticity," EERI Research Paper Series EERI RP 1986/01, Economics and Econometrics Research Institute (EERI), Brussels.
- Avinash K. Dixit & Robert S. Pindyck, 1994. "Investment under Uncertainty," Economics Books, Princeton University Press, edition 1, number 5474.
- Christina D. Romer & David H. Romer, 2004.
"A New Measure of Monetary Shocks: Derivation and Implications,"
American Economic Review, American Economic Association, vol. 94(4), pages 1055-1084, September.
- Christina D. Romer & David H. Romer, 2003. "A New Measure of Monetary Shocks: Derivation and Implications," NBER Working Papers 9866, National Bureau of Economic Research, Inc.
- James D. Hamilton, 2018. "Why You Should Never Use the Hodrick-Prescott Filter," The Review of Economics and Statistics, MIT Press, vol. 100(5), pages 831-843, December.
- Moritz Schularick & Alan M. Taylor, 2012.
"Credit Booms Gone Bust: Monetary Policy, Leverage Cycles, and Financial Crises, 1870-2008,"
American Economic Review, American Economic Association, vol. 102(2), pages 1029-1061, April.
- Moritz Schularick & Alan M. Taylor, 2009. "Credit Booms Gone Bust: Monetary Policy, Leverage Cycles and Financial Crises, 1870-2008," NBER Working Papers 15512, National Bureau of Economic Research, Inc.
- Taylor, Alan M. & Schularick, Moritz, 2009. "Credit Booms Gone Bust: Monetary Policy, Leverage Cycles and Financial Crises, 1870-2008," CEPR Discussion Papers 7570, C.E.P.R. Discussion Papers.
- Valentina Bruno & Hyun Song Shin, 2015.
"Cross-Border Banking and Global Liquidity,"
The Review of Economic Studies, Review of Economic Studies Ltd, vol. 82(2), pages 535-564.
- Valentina Bruno & Hyun Song Shin, 2014. "Cross-border banking and global liquidity," BIS Working Papers 458, Bank for International Settlements.
- Geert Bekaert & Eric C. Engstrom & Nancy R. Xu, 2022.
"The Time Variation in Risk Appetite and Uncertainty,"
Management Science, INFORMS, vol. 68(6), pages 3975-4004, June.
- Geert Bekaert & Eric C. Engstrom & Nancy R. Xu, 2019. "The Time Variation in Risk Appetite and Uncertainty," NBER Working Papers 25673, National Bureau of Economic Research, Inc.
- Beck, Thorsten & Levine, Ross, 2002.
"Industry growth and capital allocation:*1: does having a market- or bank-based system matter?,"
Journal of Financial Economics, Elsevier, vol. 64(2), pages 147-180, May.
- Thorsten Beck & Ross Levine, 2002. "Industry Growth and Capital Allocation: Does Having a Market- or Bank-Based System Matter?," NBER Working Papers 8982, National Bureau of Economic Research, Inc.
- Jae Sim & Egon Zakrajsek & Simon Gilchrist, 2010.
"Uncertainty, Financial Frictions, and Investment Dynamics,"
2010 Meeting Papers
1285, Society for Economic Dynamics.
- Simon Gilchrist & Jae W. Sim & Egon Zakrajšek, 2014. "Uncertainty, Financial Frictions, and Investment Dynamics," NBER Working Papers 20038, National Bureau of Economic Research, Inc.
- Simon Gilchrist & Jae W. Sim & Egon Zakrajšek, 2014. "Uncertainty, Financial Frictions, and Investment Dynamics," Finance and Economics Discussion Series 2014-69, Board of Governors of the Federal Reserve System (U.S.).
- Engle, Robert F, 1982. "Autoregressive Conditional Heteroscedasticity with Estimates of the Variance of United Kingdom Inflation," Econometrica, Econometric Society, vol. 50(4), pages 987-1007, July.
- Ana Fostel & John Geanakoplos, 2014. "Endogenous Collateral Constraints and the Leverage Cycle," Annual Review of Economics, Annual Reviews, vol. 6(1), pages 771-799, August.
- David López-Salido & Jeremy C. Stein & Egon Zakrajšek, 2017.
"Credit-Market Sentiment and the Business Cycle,"
The Quarterly Journal of Economics, President and Fellows of Harvard College, vol. 132(3), pages 1373-1426.
- J. David López-Salido & Jeremy C. Stein & Egon Zakrajšek, 2015. "Credit-Market Sentiment and the Business Cycle," Finance and Economics Discussion Series 2015-28, Board of Governors of the Federal Reserve System (U.S.).
- David López-Salido & Jeremy C. Stein & Egon Zakrajšek, 2016. "Credit-Market Sentiment and the Business Cycle," NBER Working Papers 21879, National Bureau of Economic Research, Inc.
- Nicholas Bloom, 2009.
"The Impact of Uncertainty Shocks,"
Econometrica, Econometric Society, vol. 77(3), pages 623-685, May.
- Nicholas Bloom, 2007. "The Impact of Uncertainty Shocks," NBER Working Papers 13385, National Bureau of Economic Research, Inc.
- Stefan Avdjiev & Wenxin Du & Cathérine Koch & Hyun Song Shin, 2019.
"The Dollar, Bank Leverage, and Deviations from Covered Interest Parity,"
American Economic Review: Insights, American Economic Association, vol. 1(2), pages 193-208, September.
- Stefan Avdjiev & Wenxin Du & Catherine Koch & Hyun Song Shin, 2016. "The dollar, bank leverage and the deviation from covered interest parity," BIS Working Papers 592, Bank for International Settlements.
- Beck, Thorsten & Levine, Ross & Loayza, Norman, 2000.
"Finance and the sources of growth,"
Journal of Financial Economics, Elsevier, vol. 58(1-2), pages 261-300.
- Beck,Thorsten & Levine,Ross Eric & Loayza,Norman V., 1999. "Finance and the sources of growth," Policy Research Working Paper Series 2057, The World Bank.
- Mathias Drehmann & James Yetman, 2018. "Why you should use the Hodrick-Prescott filter - at least to generate credit gaps," BIS Working Papers 744, Bank for International Settlements.
- Òscar Jordà, 2005. "Estimation and Inference of Impulse Responses by Local Projections," American Economic Review, American Economic Association, vol. 95(1), pages 161-182, March.
- Bollerslev, Tim, 1987. "A Conditionally Heteroskedastic Time Series Model for Speculative Prices and Rates of Return," The Review of Economics and Statistics, MIT Press, vol. 69(3), pages 542-547, August.
- Hamilton, James D. & Susmel, Raul, 1994.
"Autoregressive conditional heteroskedasticity and changes in regime,"
Journal of Econometrics, Elsevier, vol. 64(1-2), pages 307-333.
- Tom Doan, "undated". "RATS programs to estimate Hamilton-Susmel Markov Switching ARCH model," Statistical Software Components RTZ00083, Boston College Department of Economics.
Most related items
These are the items that most often cite the same works as this one and are cited by the same works as this one.- Jon Danielsson & Marcela Valenzuela & Ilknur Zer, 2023.
"The Impact of Risk Cycles on Business Cycles: A Historical View,"
The Review of Financial Studies, Society for Financial Studies, vol. 36(7), pages 2922-2961.
- Jón Daníelsson & Marcela Valenzuela & Ilknur Zer, 2022. "The impact of risk cycles on business cycles: a historical view," International Finance Discussion Papers 1358, Board of Governors of the Federal Reserve System (U.S.).
- Danielsson, Jon & Valenzuela, Marcela & Zer, Ilknur, 2022. "The impact of risk cycles on business cycles: a historical view," LSE Research Online Documents on Economics 117384, London School of Economics and Political Science, LSE Library.
- Jon Danielsson & Marcela Valenzuela & Ilknur Zer, 2018.
"Learning from History: Volatility and Financial Crises,"
The Review of Financial Studies, Society for Financial Studies, vol. 31(7), pages 2774-2805.
- Danielsson, Jon & Valenzuela, Marcela & Zer, Ilknur, 2016. "Learning from history: volatility and financial crises," LSE Research Online Documents on Economics 66046, London School of Economics and Political Science, LSE Library.
- Danielsson, Jon & Valenzuela, Marcela & Zer, Ilknur, 2018. "Learning from history: volatility and financial crises," LSE Research Online Documents on Economics 91136, London School of Economics and Political Science, LSE Library.
- Jón Daníelsson & Marcela Valenzuela & Ilknur Zer, 2016. "Learning from History : Volatility and Financial Crises," Finance and Economics Discussion Series 2016-093, Board of Governors of the Federal Reserve System (U.S.).
- Danielsson, Jon & Valenzuela, Marcela & Zer, Ilknur, 2018. "Learning from history: volatility and financial crises," LSE Research Online Documents on Economics 118942, London School of Economics and Political Science, LSE Library.
- Hristov, Nikolay & Roth, Markus, 2022. "Uncertainty shocks and systemic-risk indicators," Journal of International Money and Finance, Elsevier, vol. 122(C).
- Wu, Ji & Yao, Yao & Chen, Minghua & Jeon, Bang Nam, 2020.
"Economic uncertainty and bank risk: Evidence from emerging economies,"
Journal of International Financial Markets, Institutions and Money, Elsevier, vol. 68(C).
- Jeon, Bang & Wu, Ji & Yao, Yao & Chen, Minghua, 2019. "Economic uncertainty and bank risk: Evidence from emerging economies," School of Economics Working Paper Series 2019-8, LeBow College of Business, Drexel University.
- Carolin Pflueger & Emil Siriwardane & Adi Sunderam, 2019. "Financial Market Risk Perceptions and the Macroeconomy," NBER Working Papers 26290, National Bureau of Economic Research, Inc.
- Danilo Cascaldi-Garcia & Cisil Sarisoy & Juan M. Londono & Bo Sun & Deepa D. Datta & Thiago Ferreira & Olesya Grishchenko & Mohammad R. Jahan-Parvar & Francesca Loria & Sai Ma & Marius Rodriguez & Ilk, 2023.
"What Is Certain about Uncertainty?,"
Journal of Economic Literature, American Economic Association, vol. 61(2), pages 624-654, June.
- Danilo Cascaldi-Garcia & Deepa Dhume Datta & Thiago Revil T. Ferreira & Olesya V. Grishchenko & Mohammad R. Jahan-Parvar & Juan M. Londono & Francesca Loria & Sai Ma & Marius del Giudice Rodriguez & J, 2020. "What is Certain about Uncertainty?," International Finance Discussion Papers 1294, Board of Governors of the Federal Reserve System (U.S.).
- Carolin Pflueger & Emil Siriwardane & Adi Sunderam, 2018. "A Measure of Risk Appetite for the Macroeconomy," NBER Working Papers 24529, National Bureau of Economic Research, Inc.
- Ecenur Ugurlu-Yildirim & Beyza Mina Ordu-Akkaya, 2022. "Does the impact of geopolitical risk reduce with the financial structure of an economy? A perspective from market vs. bank-based emerging economies," Eurasian Economic Review, Springer;Eurasia Business and Economics Society, vol. 12(4), pages 681-703, December.
- Bonciani, Dario & Ricci, Martino, 2020. "The international effects of global financial uncertainty shocks," Journal of International Money and Finance, Elsevier, vol. 109(C).
- Lorenzo Bretscher & Alex Hsu & Andrea Tamoni, 2019. "Response of the Macroeconomy to Uncertainty Shocks:the Risk Premium Channel," 2019 Meeting Papers 1567, Society for Economic Dynamics.
- Lee, Chi-Chuan & Lee, Chien-Chiang & Xiao, Shunyi, 2021. "Policy-related risk and corporate financing behavior: Evidence from China’s listed companies," Economic Modelling, Elsevier, vol. 94(C), pages 539-547.
- Husted, Lucas & Rogers, John & Sun, Bo, 2020.
"Monetary policy uncertainty,"
Journal of Monetary Economics, Elsevier, vol. 115(C), pages 20-36.
- Lucas F. Husted & John H. Rogers & Bo Sun, 2017. "Monetary Policy Uncertainty," International Finance Discussion Papers 1215, Board of Governors of the Federal Reserve System (U.S.).
- Brandão-Marques, Luis & Chen, Qianying & Raddatz, Claudio & Vandenbussche, Jérôme & Xie, Peichu, 2022. "The riskiness of credit allocation and financial stability," Journal of Financial Intermediation, Elsevier, vol. 51(C).
- Ricardo J Caballero & Alp Simsek, 2020.
"A Risk-Centric Model of Demand Recessions and Speculation,"
The Quarterly Journal of Economics, President and Fellows of Harvard College, vol. 135(3), pages 1493-1566.
- Ricardo J. Caballero & Alp Simsek, 2017. "A Risk-centric Model of Demand Recessions and Speculation," NBER Working Papers 23614, National Bureau of Economic Research, Inc.
- ÅžimÅŸek, Alp & Caballero, Ricardo, 2019. "A Risk-centric Model of Demand Recessions and Speculation," CEPR Discussion Papers 13815, C.E.P.R. Discussion Papers.
- Bora Durdu & Alex Martin & Ilknur Zer, 2019. "The Role of U.S. Monetary Policy in Global Banking Crises," Finance and Economics Discussion Series 2019-039, Board of Governors of the Federal Reserve System (U.S.).
- Jeremy C. Stein, 2021. "Can Policy Tame the Credit Cycle?," IMF Economic Review, Palgrave Macmillan;International Monetary Fund, vol. 69(1), pages 5-22, March.
- Georgiadis, Georgios & Müller, Gernot J. & Schumann, Ben, 2024.
"Global risk and the dollar,"
Journal of Monetary Economics, Elsevier, vol. 144(C).
- Müller, Gernot & Georgiadis, Georgios & Schumann, Ben, 2021. "Global Risk and the Dollar," CEPR Discussion Papers 16245, C.E.P.R. Discussion Papers.
- Georgios Georgiadis & Gernot J. Müller & Ben Schumann, 2023. "Global Risk and the Dollar," Discussion Papers of DIW Berlin 2057, DIW Berlin, German Institute for Economic Research.
- Georgiadis, Georgios & Müller, Gernot J. & Schumann, Ben, 2021. "Global risk and the dollar," Working Paper Series 2628, European Central Bank.
- Filippou, Ilias & Taylor, Mark P., 2023.
"Forward-Looking Policy Rules and Currency Premia,"
Journal of Financial and Quantitative Analysis, Cambridge University Press, vol. 58(1), pages 449-483, February.
- Taylor, Mark & Filippou, Ilias, 2019. "Forward-Looking Policy Rules and Currency Premia," CEPR Discussion Papers 13835, C.E.P.R. Discussion Papers.
- Fernandez-Gallardo, Alvaro, 2023. "Preventing financial disasters: Macroprudential policy and financial crises," European Economic Review, Elsevier, vol. 151(C).
- Jesus Fernandez-Villaverde & Pablo Guerron-Quintana, 2020.
"Uncertainty Shocks and Business Cycle Research,"
Review of Economic Dynamics, Elsevier for the Society for Economic Dynamics, vol. 37, pages 118-166, August.
- Fernández-Villaverde, Jesús, 2020. "Uncertainty Shocks and Business Cycle Research," CEPR Discussion Papers 14398, C.E.P.R. Discussion Papers.
- Jesús Fernández-Villaverde & Pablo A. Guerrón-Quintana, 2020. "Uncertainty Shocks and Business Cycle Research," NBER Working Papers 26768, National Bureau of Economic Research, Inc.
More about this item
Keywords
financial volatility; economic growth; credit booms;All these keywords.
JEL classification:
- E32 - Macroeconomics and Monetary Economics - - Prices, Business Fluctuations, and Cycles - - - Business Fluctuations; Cycles
- E44 - Macroeconomics and Monetary Economics - - Money and Interest Rates - - - Financial Markets and the Macroeconomy
- G15 - Financial Economics - - General Financial Markets - - - International Financial Markets
Statistics
Access and download statisticsCorrections
All material on this site has been provided by the respective publishers and authors. You can help correct errors and omissions. When requesting a correction, please mention this item's handle: RePEc:ehl:lserod:118886. See general information about how to correct material in RePEc.
If you have authored this item and are not yet registered with RePEc, we encourage you to do it here. This allows to link your profile to this item. It also allows you to accept potential citations to this item that we are uncertain about.
If CitEc recognized a bibliographic reference but did not link an item in RePEc to it, you can help with this form .
If you know of missing items citing this one, you can help us creating those links by adding the relevant references in the same way as above, for each refering item. If you are a registered author of this item, you may also want to check the "citations" tab in your RePEc Author Service profile, as there may be some citations waiting for confirmation.
For technical questions regarding this item, or to correct its authors, title, abstract, bibliographic or download information, contact: LSERO Manager (email available below). General contact details of provider: https://edirc.repec.org/data/lsepsuk.html .
Please note that corrections may take a couple of weeks to filter through the various RePEc services.