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Multivariate Variance Targeting in the BEKK-GARCH Model

Author

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  • Rasmus Søndergaard Pedersen

    (Department of Economics, University of Copenhagen)

  • Anders Rahbek

    (Department of Economics, University of Copenhagen)

Abstract

This paper considers asymptotic inference in the multivariate BEKK model based on (co-)variance targeting (VT). By definition the VT estimator is a two-step estimator and the theory presented is based on expansions of the modifi?ed likelihood function, or estimating function, corresponding to these two steps. Strong consistency is established under weak moment conditions, while sixth order moment restrictions are imposed to establish asymptotic normality. Included simulations indicate that the multivariately induced higher-order moment constraints are indeed necessary.

Suggested Citation

  • Rasmus Søndergaard Pedersen & Anders Rahbek, 2012. "Multivariate Variance Targeting in the BEKK-GARCH Model," Discussion Papers 12-23, University of Copenhagen. Department of Economics.
  • Handle: RePEc:kud:kuiedp:1223
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    References listed on IDEAS

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    1. Sébastien Laurent & Jeroen V. K. Rombouts & Francesco Violante, 2012. "On the forecasting accuracy of multivariate GARCH models," Journal of Applied Econometrics, John Wiley & Sons, Ltd., vol. 27(6), pages 934-955, September.
    2. Silvennoinen, Annastiina & Teräsvirta, Timo, 2007. "Multivariate GARCH models," SSE/EFI Working Paper Series in Economics and Finance 669, Stockholm School of Economics, revised 18 Jan 2008.
    3. Noureldin, Diaa & Shephard, Neil & Sheppard, Kevin, 2014. "Multivariate rotated ARCH models," Journal of Econometrics, Elsevier, vol. 179(1), pages 16-30.
    4. Christian Francq & Lajos Horváth, 2011. "Merits and Drawbacks of Variance Targeting in GARCH Models," Journal of Financial Econometrics, Society for Financial Econometrics, vol. 9(4), pages 619-656.
    5. Jensen, S ren Tolver & Rahbek, Anders, 2004. "Asymptotic Inference For Nonstationary Garch," Econometric Theory, Cambridge University Press, vol. 20(06), pages 1203-1226, December.
    6. Avarucci, Marco & Beutner, Eric & Zaffaroni, Paolo, 2013. "On Moment Conditions For Quasi-Maximum Likelihood Estimation Of Multivariate Arch Models," Econometric Theory, Cambridge University Press, vol. 29(03), pages 545-566, June.
    7. Bollerslev, Tim, 1987. "A Conditionally Heteroskedastic Time Series Model for Speculative Prices and Rates of Return," The Review of Economics and Statistics, MIT Press, vol. 69(3), pages 542-547, August.
    8. Francq, Christian & Zakoian, Jean-Michel, 2010. "QML estimation of a class of multivariate GARCH models without moment conditions on the observed process," MPRA Paper 20779, University Library of Munich, Germany.
    9. Frédérique Bec & Anders Rahbek, 2004. "Vector equilibrium correction models with non-linear discontinuous adjustments," Econometrics Journal, Royal Economic Society, vol. 7(2), pages 628-651, December.
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    Citations

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    Cited by:

    1. Bauwens, Luc & Braione, Manuela & Storti, Giuseppe, 2017. "A dynamic component model for forecasting high-dimensional realized covariance matrices," Econometrics and Statistics, Elsevier, vol. 1(C), pages 40-61.
    2. Thieu, Le Quyen, 2016. "Variance targeting estimation of the BEKK-X model," MPRA Paper 75572, University Library of Munich, Germany.
    3. Rasmus Pedersen & Olivier Wintenberger, 2017. "On the tail behavior of a class of multivariate conditionally heteroskedastic processes," Post-Print hal-01436267, HAL.
    4. Pedersen, Rasmus Søndergaard, 2017. "Inference and testing on the boundary in extended constant conditional correlation GARCH models," Journal of Econometrics, Elsevier, vol. 196(1), pages 23-36.
    5. Rasmus Pedersen & Olivier Wintenberger, 2017. "On the tail behavior of a class of multivariate conditionally heteroskedastic processes," Working Papers hal-01436267, HAL.
    6. Pedersen, Rasmus Søndergaard, 2016. "Targeting Estimation Of Ccc-Garch Models With Infinite Fourth Moments," Econometric Theory, Cambridge University Press, vol. 32(02), pages 498-531, April.
    7. repec:eee:intfor:v:34:y:2018:i:1:p:45-63 is not listed on IDEAS
    8. Karanasos, Menelaos & Xu, Yongdeng, 2017. "Matrix Inequality Constraints for Vector (Asymmetric Power) GARCH/HEAVY Models and MEM with spillovers: some New (Mixture) Formulations," Cardiff Economics Working Papers E2017/14, Cardiff University, Cardiff Business School, Economics Section.
    9. Francq, C. & Jiménez-Gamero, M.D. & Meintanis, S.G., 2017. "Tests for conditional ellipticity in multivariate GARCH models," Journal of Econometrics, Elsevier, vol. 196(2), pages 305-319.
    10. BAUWENS, Luc & BRAIONE, Manuela & STORTI, Giuseppe, 2016. "Multiplicative Conditional Correlation Models for Realized Covariance Matrices," CORE Discussion Papers 2016041, Université catholique de Louvain, Center for Operations Research and Econometrics (CORE).
    11. Noureldin, Diaa & Shephard, Neil & Sheppard, Kevin, 2014. "Multivariate rotated ARCH models," Journal of Econometrics, Elsevier, vol. 179(1), pages 16-30.
    12. Stanislav Anatolyev & Stanislav Khrapov, 2015. "Right on Target, or Is it? The Role of Distributional Shape in Variance Targeting," Econometrics, MDPI, Open Access Journal, vol. 3(3), pages 1-23, August.
    13. Hossein Asgharian & Charlotte Christiansen & Ai Jun Hou & Weining Wang, 0610. "Long- and Short-Run Components of Factor Betas: Implications for Equity Pricing," CREATES Research Papers 2017-34, Department of Economics and Business Economics, Aarhus University.
    14. Christian Francq & Lajos Horváth & Jean-Michel Zakoïan, 2016. "Variance Targeting Estimation of Multivariate GARCH Models," Journal of Financial Econometrics, Society for Financial Econometrics, vol. 14(2), pages 353-382.
    15. Rasmus Pedersen & Olivier Wintenberger, 2017. "On the tail behavior of a class of multivariate conditionally heteroskedastic processes," Papers 1701.05091, arXiv.org, revised Dec 2017.
    16. de Almeida, Daniel & Hotta, Luiz K. & Ruiz, Esther, 2018. "MGARCH models: Trade-off between feasibility and flexibility," International Journal of Forecasting, Elsevier, vol. 34(1), pages 45-63.
    17. Thieu, Le Quyen, 2016. "Equation by equation estimation of the semi-diagonal BEKK model with covariates," MPRA Paper 75582, University Library of Munich, Germany.
    18. Pape, Katharina & Wied, Dominik & Galeano, Pedro, 2016. "Monitoring multivariate variance changes," Journal of Empirical Finance, Elsevier, vol. 39(PA), pages 54-68.
    19. Francq, Christian & Zakoian, Jean-Michel, 2015. "Joint inference on market and estimation risks in dynamic portfolios," MPRA Paper 68100, University Library of Munich, Germany.

    More about this item

    JEL classification:

    • C32 - Mathematical and Quantitative Methods - - Multiple or Simultaneous Equation Models; Multiple Variables - - - Time-Series Models; Dynamic Quantile Regressions; Dynamic Treatment Effect Models; Diffusion Processes; State Space Models
    • C51 - Mathematical and Quantitative Methods - - Econometric Modeling - - - Model Construction and Estimation
    • C58 - Mathematical and Quantitative Methods - - Econometric Modeling - - - Financial Econometrics

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