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Publications

by alumni of

Politiikan ja Talouden Tutkimuksen Laitos
Valtiotieteellinen tiedekunta
Helsingin Yliopisto
Helsinki, Finland

(Department of Political and Economic Studies, Faculty of Social Sciences, University of Helsinki)

These are publications listed in RePEc written by alumni of the above institution who are registered with the RePEc Author Service and listed in the RePEc Genealogy. List of alumni. For a list of publications by current members of the department, see here. Register yourself.

This page is updated in the first days of each month.

| Working papers | Journal articles | Books | Chapters |

Working papers

2024

  1. Gόrnicka, Lucyna & Koester, Gerrit & Radowski, Daniel & Gautier, Erwan & Peinado, Mario Izquierdo & Stiglbauer, Alfred & Wittekopf, David & Puente, Sergio & Duarte, Claudia & Martins, Fernando & Basso, 2024. "A forward-looking tracker of negotiated wages in the euro area," Occasional Paper Series 338, European Central Bank.
  2. Jon H. Fiva & Federica Izzo & Janne Tukiainen, 2024. "The Gatekeeper’s Dilemma: Political Selection or Team Effort," Discussion Papers 164, Aboa Centre for Economics.

2023

  1. Changli He & Jian Kang & Annastiina Silvennoinen & Timo Teräsvirta, 2023. "Long Monthly European Temperature Series and the North Atlantic Oscillation," Economics Working Papers 2023-03, Department of Economics and Business Economics, Aarhus University.
  2. Ilpo Kauppinen & Panu Poutvaara, 2023. "Decomposing Migrant Self-Selection: Education, Occupation, and Unobserved Abilities," CESifo Working Paper Series 10334, CESifo.
  3. Amrita Kulka & Till Nikolka & Panu Poutvaara & Silke Uebelmesser, 2023. "International Applicability of Education and Migration Aspirations," CESifo Working Paper Series 10395, CESifo.
  4. Obstbaum, Meri & Oinonen, Sami & Pönkä, Harri & Vanhala, Juuso & Vilmi, Lauri, 2023. "Transmission of recent shocks in a labour-DSGE model with wage rigidity," BoF Economics Review 1/2023, Bank of Finland.
  5. Laine, Olli-Matti & Nelimarkka, Jaakko, 2023. "Assessing targeted longer-term refinancing operations: Identification through search intensity," Bank of Finland Research Discussion Papers 13/2023, Bank of Finland.
  6. Puonti, Päivi, 2023. "Effective Fiscal Policy in an Aging Economy: Evidence from a BVAR Analysis," ETLA Working Papers 110, The Research Institute of the Finnish Economy.
  7. Janne Tukiainen & Sebastian Blesse & Albrecht Bohne & Leonardo M. Giuffrida & Jan Jääskeläinen & Ari Luukinen & Antti Sieppi & Leonardo Maria Giuffrida, 2023. "What Are the Priorities of Bureaucrats? Evidence from Conjoint Experiments with Procurement Officials," CESifo Working Paper Series 10199, CESifo.
  8. Kovacs, Roxanne J. & Dunaiski, Maurice & Tukiainen, Janne, 2023. "The effect of compulsory face mask policies on community mobility in Germany," LSE Research Online Documents on Economics 120492, London School of Economics and Political Science, LSE Library.
  9. Salomo Hirvonen & Maarit Lassander & Lauri Sääksvuori & Janne Tukiainen, 2023. "Who is mobilized to vote by short text messages? Evidence from a nationwide field experiment with young voters," Discussion Papers 157, Aboa Centre for Economics.
  10. Maurice Dunaiski & Janne Tukiainen, 2023. "Does income transparency affect support for redistribution? Evidence from Finland's tax day," Discussion Papers 159, Aboa Centre for Economics.
  11. Salla Simola & Jeremias Nieminen & Janne Tukiainen, 2023. "A century of partisanship in Finnish political speech," Discussion Papers 160, Aboa Centre for Economics.
  12. Jeremias Nieminen & Salla Simola & Janne Tukiainen, 2023. "Political representation and the evolution of group differences within parties: Evidence from 110 years of parliamentary speech," Discussion Papers 161, Aboa Centre for Economics.
  13. Jarkko Harju & Sami Jysmä & Aliisa Koivisto & Tuomas Kosonen, 2023. "Do household tax credits increase consumption? The role of demand elasticity and the extent of demand," Working Papers 8, Finnish Centre of Excellence in Tax Systems Research.
  14. Tuomas Kosonen & Tuomas Matikka, 2023. "Discrete Labor Supply: Quasi-Experimental Evidence and Implications," Working Papers 9, Finnish Centre of Excellence in Tax Systems Research.

2022

  1. Jian Kang & Johan Stax Jakobsen & Annastiina Silvennoinen & Timo Teräsvirta & Glen Wade, 2022. "A parsimonious test of constancy of a positive definite correlation matrix in a multivariate time-varying GARCH model," CREATES Research Papers 2022-01, Department of Economics and Business Economics, Aarhus University.
  2. Kai Gehring & Joop Adema & Panu Poutvaara & Joop Age Harm Adema, 2022. "Immigrant Narratives," CESifo Working Paper Series 10026, CESifo.
  3. Matthias Huber & Till Nikolka & Panu Poutvaara & Ann-Marie Sommerfeld & Silke Uebelmesser, 2022. "Migration Aspirations and Intentions," CESifo Working Paper Series 9708, CESifo.
  4. Joop Age Harm Adema & Cevat Giray Aksoy & Panu Poutvaara, 2022. "Mobile Internet Access and the Desire to Emigrate," CESifo Working Paper Series 9758, CESifo.
  5. Tetyana Panchenko & Panu Poutvaara, 2022. "Intentions to Stay and Employment Prospects of Refugees from Ukraine," EconPol Policy Brief 46, ifo Institute - Leibniz Institute for Economic Research at the University of Munich.
  6. Poutvaara, Panu & Graefe, Andreas, 2022. "Do Americans Favor Female or Male Politicians? Evidence from Experimental Elections," VfS Annual Conference 2022 (Basel): Big Data in Economics 264117, Verein für Socialpolitik / German Economic Association.
  7. Puonti, Päivi & Kangasharju, Aki, 2022. "There Are Ways to Improve Work Incentives Without Increasing Income Inequality," ETLA Brief 112, The Research Institute of the Finnish Economy.
  8. Puonti, Päivi & Kauppi, Eija & Kotamäki, Mauri & Ropponen, Olli, 2022. "Welfare Traps in Finland," ETLA Reports 124, The Research Institute of the Finnish Economy.
  9. Puonti, Päivi, 2022. "Public Debt and Economic Growth," ETLA Reports 127, The Research Institute of the Finnish Economy.
  10. Puonti, Päivi, 2022. "Public Debt and Economic Growth from the Perspective of Private Investment," ETLA Reports 130, The Research Institute of the Finnish Economy.
  11. Olli Palm'en, 2022. "Macroeconomic Effect of Uncertainty and Financial Shocks: a non-Gaussian VAR approach," Papers 2202.10834, arXiv.org.
  12. Markus Jokela & Jaakko Meriläinen & Janne Tukiainen & Åsa von Schoultz, 2022. "Personality Traits and Cognitive Ability in Political Selection," Discussion Papers 152, Aboa Centre for Economics.
  13. Salomo Hirvonen & Jerome Schafer & Janne Tukiainen, 2022. "Policy Feedback and Civic Engagement: Evidence from the Finnish Basic Income Experiment," Discussion Papers 155, Aboa Centre for Economics.
  14. Selcen Çakır & Konstantinos Matakos & Janne Tukiainen, 2022. "Delegation and Recruitment in Organizations: The Slippery Slope to “Bad” Leadership," Discussion Papers 158, Aboa Centre for Economics.
  15. Gruber, Jonathan & Huttunen, Kristiina & Kosonen, Tuomas, 2022. "Paying Moms to Stay Home: Short and Long Run Effects on Parents and Children," Working Papers 151, VATT Institute for Economic Research.

2021

  1. Albert J. Menkveld & Anna Dreber & Felix Holzmeister & Juergen Huber & Magnus Johannesson & Michael Kirchler & Sebastian Neusüss & Michael Razen & Utz Weitzel & David Abad-Díaz & Menachem Abudy & To, 2021. "Non-Standard Errors," Working Paper Series, Social and Economic Sciences 2021-11, Faculty of Social and Economic Sciences, Karl-Franzens-University Graz.
    • Albert J. Menkveld & Anna Dreber & Felix Holzmeister & Juergen Huber & Magnus Johannesson & Michael Kirchler & Sebastian Neussüs & Michael Razen & Utz Weitzel & Christian Brownlees & Javier Gil-Bazo, 2021. "Non-Standard Errors," Working Papers 1303, Barcelona School of Economics.
    • Menkveld, Albert J. & Dreber, Anna & Holzmeister, Felix & Huber, Jürgen & Johannesson, Magnus & Kirchler, Michael & Neusüss, Sebastian & Razen, Michael & Weitzel, Utz, 2021. "Non-standard errors," IWH Discussion Papers 11/2021, Halle Institute for Economic Research (IWH).
    • Albert J. et al. Menkveld, 2021. "Non-Standard Errors," CESifo Working Paper Series 9453, CESifo.
    • Albert J Menkveld & Anna Dreber & Felix Holzmeister & Juergen Huber & Magnus Johannesson & Michael Kirchler & Sebastian Neusüss & Michael Razen & Utz Weitzel & Gunther Capelle-Blancard & David Abad-Dí, 2021. "Non-Standard Errors," Post-Print halshs-03500882, HAL.
    • Menkveld, A. & Dreber, A. & Holzmeister, F. & Huber, J. & Johannesson, M. & Kirchler, M. & Neusüss, S. & Razen, M. & Neusüss, S. & Neusüss, S., 2021. "Non-Standard Errors," Cambridge Working Papers in Economics 2182, Faculty of Economics, University of Cambridge.
    • Menkveld, Albert J. & Dreber, Anna & Holzmeister, Felix & Huber, Juergen & Johannesson, Magnus & Hasse, Jean-Baptiste & e.a.,, 2023. "Non-Standard Errors," LIDAM Reprints LFIN 2023002, Université catholique de Louvain, Louvain Finance (LFIN).
    • Menkveld, Albert J. & Dreber, Anna & Holzmeister, Felix & Huber, Jürgen & Johannesson, Magnus & Kirchler, Michael & Neusüss, Sebastian & Razen, Michael & Weitzel, Utz, 2021. "Non-standard errors," SAFE Working Paper Series 327, Leibniz Institute for Financial Research SAFE.
    • Albert J. Menkveld & Anna Dreber & Felix Holzmeister & Jürgen Huber & Magnus Johannesson & Michael Kirchler & Sebastian Neusüss & Michael Razen & Utz Weitzel & David Abad-Dí­az & Menachem Abudy & Tobi, 2021. "Non-Standard Errors," Working Papers 2021-31, Faculty of Economics and Statistics, Universität Innsbruck.
    • Wolff, Christian & Menkveld, Albert J. & Dreber, Anna & Holzmeister, Felix & Huber, Juergen & Johannesson, Magnus & Kirchler, Michael & Neusüess, Sebastian & Razen, Michael & Weitzel, Utz, 2021. "Non-Standard Errors," CEPR Discussion Papers 16751, C.E.P.R. Discussion Papers.
    • Albert J. Menkveld & Anna Dreber & Felix Holzmeister & Juergen Huber & Magnus Johannesson & Michael Kirchler & Sebastian Neussüs & Michael Razen & Utz Weitzel & Christian T. Brownlees & Javier Gil-Baz, 2021. "Non-standard errors," Economics Working Papers 1807, Department of Economics and Business, Universitat Pompeu Fabra.
    • Menkveld, Albert J. & Dreber, Anna & Holzmeister, Felix & Huber, Juergen & Johannesson, Magnus & Kirchler, Michael & Neusüss, Sebastian & Razen, Michael & Weitzel, Utz & Abad-Díaz, David & Abudy, Mena, 2021. "Non-Standard Errors," Working Papers 2021:17, Lund University, Department of Economics.
    • Albert J. Menkveld & Anna Dreber & Felix Holzmeister & Juergen Huber & Magnus Johannesson & Michael Kirchler & Sebastian Neusüss & Michael Razen & Utz Weitzel & Edwin Baidoo & Michael Frömmel & et al, 2021. "Non-Standard Errors," Working Papers of Faculty of Economics and Business Administration, Ghent University, Belgium 21/1032, Ghent University, Faculty of Economics and Business Administration.
    • Francesco Franzoni & Roxana Mihet & Markus Leippold & Per Ostberg & Olivier Scaillet & Norman Schürhoff & Oksana Bashchenko & Nicola Mano & Michele Pelli, 2022. "Non-Standard Errors," Swiss Finance Institute Research Paper Series 22-09, Swiss Finance Institute.
    • Moinas, Sophie & Declerck, Fany & Menkveld, Albert J. & Dreber, Anna, 2023. "Non-Standard Errors," TSE Working Papers 23-1451, Toulouse School of Economics (TSE).
    • Ferrara, Gerardo & Jurkatis, Simon, 2021. "Non-standard errors," Bank of England working papers 955, Bank of England.
    • Albert J Menkveld & Anna Dreber & Felix Holzmeister & Juergen Huber & Magnus Johannesson & Michael Kirchler & Sebastian Neusüss & Michael Razen & Utz Weitzel & Gunther Capelle-Blancard & David Abad-Dí, 2021. "Non-Standard Errors," Université Paris1 Panthéon-Sorbonne (Post-Print and Working Papers) halshs-03500882, HAL.
    • Ciril Bosch-Rosa & Bernhard Kassner, 2023. "Non-Standard Errors," Rationality and Competition Discussion Paper Series 385, CRC TRR 190 Rationality and Competition.
    • Menkveld, A. & Dreber, A. & Holzmeister, F. & Huber, J. & Johannesson, M. & Kirchler, M. & Neusüss, S. & Razen, M. & Neusüss, S. & Neusüss, S., 2021. "Non-Standard Errors," Janeway Institute Working Papers 2112, Faculty of Economics, University of Cambridge.
    • Albert J. Menkveld & Anna Dreber & Félix Holzmeister & Juergen Huber & Magnus Johannesson & Michael Kirchler & Sebastian Neusüss & Michael Razen & Utz Weitzel & Gunther Capelle-Blancard, 2021. "Non-Standard Errors," Documents de travail du Centre d'Economie de la Sorbonne 21033, Université Panthéon-Sorbonne (Paris 1), Centre d'Economie de la Sorbonne.
  2. Anthony D. Hall & Annastiina Silvennoinen & Timo Teräsvirta, 2021. "Four Australian Banks and the Multivariate Time-Varying Smooth Transition Correlation GARCH model," CREATES Research Papers 2021-13, Department of Economics and Business Economics, Aarhus University.
  3. Panu Poutvaara, 2021. "Population Aging and Migration," CESifo Working Paper Series 9105, CESifo.
  4. Joop Adema & Till Nikolka & Panu Poutvaara & Uwe Sunde & Joop Age Harm Adema, 2021. "On the Stability of Risk Preferences: Measurement Matters," CESifo Working Paper Series 9332, CESifo.
  5. Baumann, Ursel & Darracq Pariès, Matthieu & Westermann, Thomas & Riggi, Marianna & Bobeica, Elena & Meyler, Aidan & Böninghausen, Benjamin & Fritzer, Friedrich & Trezzi, Riccardo & Jonckheere, Jana & , 2021. "Inflation expectations and their role in Eurosystem forecasting," Occasional Paper Series 264, European Central Bank.
  6. Pönkä, Harri & Sariola, Mikko, 2021. "Output gaps and cyclical indicators: Finnish evidence," BoF Economics Review 6/2021, Bank of Finland.
  7. Kim Ristolainen & Tomi Roukka & Henri Nyberg, 2021. "A Thousand Words Tell More Than Just Numbers: Financial Crises and Historical Headlines," Discussion Papers 149, Aboa Centre for Economics.
  8. Nelimarkka, Jaakko & Laine, Olli-Matti, 2021. "The effects of the ECB's pandemic-related monetary policy measures," BoF Economics Review 4/2021, Bank of Finland.
  9. Sulander, Tytti & Kangasharju, Aki & Kauhanen, Antti & Koski, Heli & Kulvik, Martti & Kuusela, Olli-Pekka & Kuusi, Tero & Lehmus, Markku & Puonti, Päivi & Ropponen, Olli & Valkonen, Tarmo, 2021. "Phenomena 2022 – A Glimpse into the Future," ETLA Brief 103, The Research Institute of the Finnish Economy.
  10. Kuusi, Tero & Puonti, Päivi & Kangasharju, Aki, 2021. "The Finnish Fiscal Policy – A Ship Without an Anchor," ETLA Brief 96, The Research Institute of the Finnish Economy.
  11. Kuusi, Tero & Puonti, Päivi, 2021. "EU’s Fiscal Rules: Keep It Simple, Not Stupid!," ETLA Reports 118, The Research Institute of the Finnish Economy.
  12. Kuusi, Tero & Puonti, Päivi, 2021. "Keep It Simple, Not Stupid – How to Save the EU Fiscal Framework?," ETLA Reports 120, The Research Institute of the Finnish Economy.
  13. Jaakko Meriläinen & Janne Tukiainen, 2021. "The Advantage of Incumbents in Coalitional Bargaining," Discussion Papers 137, Aboa Centre for Economics.
  14. Oskari Harjunen & Tuukka Saarimaa & Janne Tukiainen, 2021. "Love Thy (Elected) Neighbor? Residential Segregation, Political Representation and Local Public Goods," Discussion Papers 138, Aboa Centre for Economics.
  15. Torun Dewan & Christopher Kam & Jaakko Meriläinen & Janne Tukiainen, 2021. "Class, Social Mobility, and Voting: Evidence from Historical Voting Records," Discussion Papers 142, Aboa Centre for Economics.
  16. Rafael Hortala-Vallve & Jaakko Meriläinen & Janne Tukiainen, 2021. "Pre-Electoral Coalitions: Insights into the Creation of Political Parties," Discussion Papers 143, Aboa Centre for Economics.

2020

  1. Cevat Giray Aksoy & Michael Ganslmeier & Panu Poutvaara, 2020. "Public Attention and Policy Responses to Covid-19 Pandemic," CESifo Working Paper Series 8409, CESifo.
  2. Cevat Giray Aksoy & Panu Poutvaara & Felicitas Schikora, 2020. "First Time Around: Local Conditions and Multi-Dimensional Integration of Refugees," CESifo Working Paper Series 8747, CESifo.
  3. Ilpo Kauppinen & Till Nikolka & Panu Poutvaara, 2020. "Self-selection and Motivations of Emigrants from a Welfare State," EconPol Policy Reports 19, ifo Institute - Leibniz Institute for Economic Research at the University of Munich.
  4. Panu Poutvaara & Madhinee Valeyatheepillay & Panu Poutvaara, 2020. "Covid-19 Pandemic: Challenges and a Way Forward," EconPol Policy Reports 30, ifo Institute - Leibniz Institute for Economic Research at the University of Munich.
  5. Meya, Johannes & Poutvaara, Panu & Schwager, Robert, 2020. "Pocketbook voting, social preferences, and expressive motives in referenda," Munich Reprints in Economics 84743, University of Munich, Department of Economics.
  6. Kortela, Tomi & Nelimarkka, Jaakko, 2020. "The effects of conventional and unconventional monetary policy: Identification through the yield curve," Bank of Finland Research Discussion Papers 3/2020, Bank of Finland.
  7. Olli Palm'en, 2020. "Inflation Dynamics of Financial Shocks," Papers 2006.03301, arXiv.org.
  8. Olli Palm'en, 2020. "Sovereign Default Risk and Credit Supply: Evidence from the Euro Area," Papers 2006.03592, arXiv.org.
  9. Kovacs, Roxanne & Dunaiski, Maurice & Janne, Tukiainen, 2020. "Compulsory face mask policies do not affect community mobility in Germany," OSF Preprints m3sv8, Center for Open Science.
  10. Kosonen, Tuomas & Matikka, Tuomas, 2020. "Discrete Labor Supply: Empirical Evidence and Implications," Working Papers 132, VATT Institute for Economic Research.

2019

  1. Dakyung Seong & Jin Seo Cho & Timo Teräsvirta, 2019. "Comprehensive Testing of Linearity against the Smooth Transition Autoregressive Model," CREATES Research Papers 2019-17, Department of Economics and Business Economics, Aarhus University.
  2. Changli He & Jian Kang & Timo Teräsvirta & Shuhua Zhang, 2019. "Long monthly temperature series and the Vector Seasonal Shifting Mean and Covariance Autoregressive model," CREATES Research Papers 2019-18, Department of Economics and Business Economics, Aarhus University.
  3. Changli He & Jian Kang & Timo Teräsvirta & Shuhua Zhang, 2019. "Comparing long monthly Chinese and selected European temperature series using the Vector Seasonal Shifting Mean and Covariance Autoregressive model," CREATES Research Papers 2019-19, Department of Economics and Business Economics, Aarhus University.
  4. Cevat Giray Aksoy & Panu Poutvaara, 2019. "Refugees' and Irregular Migrants' Self-Selection into Europe: Who Migrates Where?," CESifo Working Paper Series 7781, CESifo.
  5. Ilpo Kauppinen & Panu Poutvaara, 2019. "Preferences for Redistribution and International Migration," ifo Working Paper Series 283, ifo Institute - Leibniz Institute for Economic Research at the University of Munich.
  6. Cevat Giray Aksoy & Panu Poutvaara, 2019. "Refugees’ Self-selection into Europe: Who Migrates Where?," ifo Working Paper Series 289, ifo Institute - Leibniz Institute for Economic Research at the University of Munich.
  7. Christina Fong & Panu Poutvaara, 2019. "Redistributive politics with target-specific beliefs," ifo Working Paper Series 297, ifo Institute - Leibniz Institute for Economic Research at the University of Munich.
  8. Cevat Giray Aksoy & Panu Poutvaara, 2019. "Refugees’ Self-selection into Europe: Who Migrates Where?," RF Berlin - CReAM Discussion Paper Series 1901, Rockwool Foundation Berlin (RF Berlin) - Centre for Research and Analysis of Migration (CReAM).
  9. Meriläinen, Jaakko & Tukiainen, Janne, 2019. "Public procurement versus laissez-faire: evidence from household waste collection," LSE Research Online Documents on Economics 100216, London School of Economics and Political Science, LSE Library.
  10. Lyytikainen, Teemu & Tukiainen, Janne, 2019. "Are voters rational?," LSE Research Online Documents on Economics 100217, London School of Economics and Political Science, LSE Library.
  11. Jääskeläinen, Jan & Tukiainen, Janne, 2019. "Anatomy of public procurement," Working Papers 118, VATT Institute for Economic Research.
  12. Hangartner, Dominik & Ruiz, Nelson A. & Tukiainen, Janne, 2019. "Open or Closed? How List Type Affects Electoral Performance, Candidate Selection, and Campaign Effort," Working Papers 120, VATT Institute for Economic Research.
  13. Dewan, Torun & Meriläinen, Jaakko & Tukiainen, Janne, 2019. "Victorian Voting: The Origins of Party Orientation and Class Alignment," Working Papers 121, VATT Institute for Economic Research.
  14. Eerola, Essi & Kosonen, Tuomas & Kotakorpi, Kaisa & Lyytikäinen, Teemu & Tuimala, Jarno, 2019. "Tax Compliance in the Rental Housing Market: Evidence from a Field Experiment," Working Papers 122, VATT Institute for Economic Research.
  15. Harju, Jarkko & Kosonen, Tuomas & Slemrod, Joel, 2019. "Missing Miles: Evasion Responses to Car Taxes," Working Papers 123, VATT Institute for Economic Research.
  16. Tuomas Kosonen & Tuomas Matikka, 2019. "Discrete earnings responses to tax incentives: Empirical evidence and implications," Working Papers 326, Työn ja talouden tutkimus LABORE, The Labour Institute for Economic Research LABORE.

2018

  1. Lof, Matthijs & Bommel, Jos van, 2018. "Asymmetric information and the distribution of trading volume," Bank of Finland Research Discussion Papers 1/2018, Bank of Finland.
  2. Cristina Amado & Annastiina Silvennoinen & Timo Teräsvirta, 2018. "Models with Multiplicative Decomposition of Conditional Variances and Correlations," CREATES Research Papers 2018-14, Department of Economics and Business Economics, Aarhus University.
  3. Changli He & Jian Kang & Timo Teräsvirta & Shuhua Zhang, 2018. "The Shifting Seasonal Mean Autoregressive Model and Seasonality in the Central England Monthly Temperature Series, 1772-2016," CREATES Research Papers 2018-15, Department of Economics and Business Economics, Aarhus University.
  4. Stan Hurn & Nicholas Johnson & Annastiina Silvennoinen & Timo Teräsvirta, 2018. "Transition from the Taylor rule to the zero lower bound," CREATES Research Papers 2018-31, Department of Economics and Business Economics, Aarhus University.
  5. Anthony Edo & Yvonne Giesing & Jonathan Öztunc & Panu Poutvaara, 2018. "Immigration and Electoral Support for the Far-Left and the Far-Right," CESifo Working Paper Series 6918, CESifo.
  6. Panu Poutvaara & Maximilian Schwefer, 2018. "Husbands’ and wives’ diverging perceptions on who decides," ifo Working Paper Series 279, ifo Institute - Leibniz Institute for Economic Research at the University of Munich.
  7. Battisti, Michele & Felbermayr, Gabriel & Peri, Giovanni & Poutvaara, Panu, 2018. "Immigration, Search and Redistribution," Munich Reprints in Economics 58912, University of Munich, Department of Economics.
  8. Poutvaara, Panu & Ropponen, Olli, 2018. "Shocking news and cognitive performance," Munich Reprints in Economics 62828, University of Munich, Department of Economics.
  9. Kanniainen, Vesa & Poutvaara, Panu, 2018. "The Economics of Peace and War: An Overview," Munich Reprints in Economics 62836, University of Munich, Department of Economics.
  10. Pönkä, Harri & Stenborg, Markku, 2018. "Forecasting the state of the Finnish business cycle," MPRA Paper 91226, University Library of Munich, Germany.
  11. Manu, Ana-Simona & McAdam, Peter & Willman, Alpo, 2018. "The role of factor substitution and technical progress in China's great expansion," Working Paper Series 2180, European Central Bank.
  12. Tukiainen, Janne & Takalo, Tuomas & Hulkkonen, Topi, 2018. "Relative age effects in political selection," Bank of Finland Research Discussion Papers 15/2018, Bank of Finland.
  13. Lapointe, Simon & Perroni, Carlo & Scharf, Kimberley & Tukiainen, Janne, 2018. "Does market size matter for charities," LSE Research Online Documents on Economics 90444, London School of Economics and Political Science, LSE Library.
  14. Almunia, Miguel & Harju, Jarkko & Kotakorpi, Kaisa & Tukiainen, Janne & Verho, Jouko, 2018. "Expanding access to administrative data: the case of tax authorities in Finland and the UK," LSE Research Online Documents on Economics 90617, London School of Economics and Political Science, LSE Library.
  15. Dewan, Torun & Meriläinen, Jaakko & Tukiainen, Janne, 2018. "Victorian Voting: Party Orientation and Class Alignment Revisited," Working Papers 103, VATT Institute for Economic Research.
  16. Lapointe, Simon & Saarimaa, Tuukka & Tukiainen, Janne, 2018. "Effects of Municipal Mergers on Voter Turnout," Working Papers 106, VATT Institute for Economic Research.
  17. Matakos, Konstantinos & Savolainen, Riikka & Troumpounis, Orestis & Tukiainen, Janne & Xefteris, Dimitrios, 2018. "Electoral Institutions and Intraparty Cohesion," Working Papers 109, VATT Institute for Economic Research.
  18. Maczulskij, Terhi & Böckerman, Petri & Kosonen, Tuomas, 2018. "Job Displacement, Inter-Regional Mobility and Long-Term Earnings," IZA Discussion Papers 11635, Institute of Labor Economics (IZA).
  19. Tomer Blumkin & Tuomas Kosonen & Kaisa Kotakorpi, 2018. "Complexity and benefit take-up: Empirical evidence from the Finnish homecare allowance," Discussion Papers 123, Aboa Centre for Economics.

2017

  1. Timo Teräsvirta, 2017. "Sir Clive Granger's contributions to nonlinear time series and econometrics," CREATES Research Papers 2017-04, Department of Economics and Business Economics, Aarhus University.
  2. Matthew T. Holt & Timo Teräsvirta, 2017. "Global Hemispheric Temperatures and Co–Shifting: A Vector Shifting–Mean Autoregressive Analysis," CREATES Research Papers 2017-05, Department of Economics and Business Economics, Aarhus University.
  3. Annastiina Silvennoinen & Timo Teräsvirta, 2017. "Consistency and asymptotic normality of maximum likelihood estimators of a multiplicative time-varying smooth transition correlation GARCH model," CREATES Research Papers 2017-28, Department of Economics and Business Economics, Aarhus University.
  4. Cristina Amado & Annastiina Silvennoinen & Timo Teräsvirta, 2017. "Modelling and forecasting WIG20 daily returns," CREATES Research Papers 2017-29, Department of Economics and Business Economics, Aarhus University.
  5. Timo Teräsvirta, 2017. "Nonlinear models in macroeconometrics," CREATES Research Papers 2017-32, Department of Economics and Business Economics, Aarhus University.
  6. Andrés González & Timo Teräsvirta & Dick van Dijk & Yukai Yang, 2017. "Panel Smooth Transition Regression Models," CREATES Research Papers 2017-36, Department of Economics and Business Economics, Aarhus University.
  7. Martin D. Munk & Till Nikolka & Panu Poutvaara, 2017. "International Family Migration and the Dual-Earner Model," CESifo Working Paper Series 6377, CESifo.
  8. Panu Poutvaara & Tuomas Takalo & Andreas Wagener, 2017. "The Optimal Duration of Contracts," CESifo Working Paper Series 6808, CESifo.
  9. Kotakorpi, Kaisa & Poutvaara, Panu & Tervio, Marko, 2017. "Returns to Office in National and Local Politics: A Bootstrap Method and Evidence from Finland," Munich Reprints in Economics 49891, University of Munich, Department of Economics.
  10. Itkonen, Juha, 2017. "Efficiency and dependency in a network of linked permit markets," Bank of Finland Research Discussion Papers 20/2017, Bank of Finland.
  11. Pönkä, Harri, 2017. "Sentiment and sign predictability of stock returns," MPRA Paper 81861, University Library of Munich, Germany.
  12. Nelimarkka, Jaakko, 2017. "Evidence on News Shocks under Information Deficiency," MPRA Paper 80850, University Library of Munich, Germany.
  13. Nelimarkka, Jaakko, 2017. "The effects of government spending under anticipation: the noncausal VAR approach," MPRA Paper 81303, University Library of Munich, Germany.
  14. Lindblad, Annika, 2017. "Sentiment indicators and macroeconomic data as drivers for low-frequency stock market volatility," MPRA Paper 80266, University Library of Munich, Germany.
  15. Nyholm, Juho, 2017. "Residual-based diagnostic tests for noninvertible ARMA models," MPRA Paper 81033, University Library of Munich, Germany.
  16. Tukiainen, Janne & Takalo, Tuomas & Hulkkonen, Topi, 2017. "Gender Specific Relative Age Effects in Politics and Football," Working Papers 94, VATT Institute for Economic Research.
  17. Harjunen, Oskari & Saarimaa, Tuukka & Tukiainen, Janne, 2017. "Political Representation and Effects of Municipal Mergers," Working Papers 98, VATT Institute for Economic Research.
  18. Youssef Benzarti & Dorian Carloni & Jarkko Harju & Tuomas Kosonen, 2017. "What Goes Up May Not Come Down: Asymmetric Incidence of Value-Added Taxes," NBER Working Papers 23849, National Bureau of Economic Research, Inc.

2016

  1. Dharmapala, Dhammika & Poutvaara, Panu, 2016. "Introduction to the special issue on Taxation in a Global Economy," Munich Reprints in Economics 43530, University of Munich, Department of Economics.
  2. Markku Lanne & Jani Luoto, 2016. "Data-Driven Inference on Sign Restrictions in Bayesian Structural Vector Autoregression," CREATES Research Papers 2016-04, Department of Economics and Business Economics, Aarhus University.
  3. Hyytinen, Ari & Meriläinen, Jaakko & Saarimaa, Tuukka & Toivanen, Otto & Tukiainen, Janne, 2016. "Public Employees as Politicians: Evidence from Close Elections," Working Papers 78, VATT Institute for Economic Research.
  4. Meriläinen, Jaakko & Tukiainen, Janne, 2016. "Primary Effect in Open-List Elections," Working Papers 79, VATT Institute for Economic Research.

2015

  1. Annastiina Silvennoinen & Timo Teräsvirta, 2015. "Testing constancy of unconditional variance in volatility models by misspecification and specification tests," CREATES Research Papers 2015-47, Department of Economics and Business Economics, Aarhus University.
  2. Johannes Meya & Panu Poutvaara & Robert Schwager, 2015. "Pocketbook Voting and Social Preferences in Referenda," CESifo Working Paper Series 5267, CESifo.
  3. George J. Borjas & Ilpo Kauppinen & Panu Poutvaara, 2015. "Self-Selection of Emigrants: Theory and Evidence on Stochastic Dominance in Observable and Unobservable Characteristics," CESifo Working Paper Series 5567, CESifo.
  4. Panu Poutvaara & Max Steinhardt, 2015. "Bitterness in Life and Attitudes Towards Immigration," CESifo Working Paper Series 5611, CESifo.
  5. Henri Nyberg & Harri Pönkä, 2015. "International Sign Predictability of Stock Returns: The Role of the United States," CREATES Research Papers 2015-20, Department of Economics and Business Economics, Aarhus University.
  6. Harri Pönkä, 2015. "The Role of Credit in Predicting US Recessions," CREATES Research Papers 2015-48, Department of Economics and Business Economics, Aarhus University.
  7. Pönkä, Harri, 2015. "Real oil prices and the international sign predictability of stock returns," MPRA Paper 68330, University Library of Munich, Germany.
  8. Leena Kalliovirta & Tuomas Malinen, 2015. "Nonlinearity and cross-country dependence of income inequality," Working Papers 358, ECINEQ, Society for the Study of Economic Inequality.
  9. Markku Lanne & Henri Nyberg, 2015. "Nonlinear dynamic interrelationships between real activity and stock returns," CREATES Research Papers 2015-36, Department of Economics and Business Economics, Aarhus University.
  10. Markku Lanne & Mika Meitz & Pentti Saikkonen, 2015. "Identification and estimation of non-Gaussian structural vector autoregressions," CREATES Research Papers 2015-16, Department of Economics and Business Economics, Aarhus University.
  11. Markku Lanne & Jani Luoto, 2015. "Estimation of DSGE Models under Diffuse Priors and Data-Driven Identification Constraints," CREATES Research Papers 2015-37, Department of Economics and Business Economics, Aarhus University.
  12. McAdam, Peter & Willman, Alpo, 2015. "Unraveling the skill premium," Working Paper Series 1800, European Central Bank.
  13. Sarlin, Peter & Laina, Patrizio & Nyholm, Juho, 2015. "Leading indicators of systemic banking crises: Finland in a panel of EU countries," Working Paper Series 1758, European Central Bank.
  14. Scharf, Kimberley & Tukiainen, Janne, 2015. "Does Market Size Matter Also for Charities?," CAGE Online Working Paper Series 226, Competitive Advantage in the Global Economy (CAGE).
  15. Hyytinen, Ari & Meriläinen, Jaakko & Saarimaa, Tuukka & Toivanen, Otto & Tukiainen, Janne, 2015. "Does Regression Discontinuity Design Work? Evidence from Random Election Outcomes," Working Papers 59, VATT Institute for Economic Research.
  16. Tukiainen, Janne & Saarimaa, Tuukka, 2015. "Local Representation and Strategic Voting: Evidence from Electoral Boundary Reforms," Working Papers 64, VATT Institute for Economic Research.
  17. Jarkko Harju & Tuomas Kosonen & Oskar Nordström Skans, 2015. "Firm Types, Price-Setting Strategies, and Consumption-Tax Incidence," CESifo Working Paper Series 5654, CESifo.

2014

  1. Paul Catani & Timo Teräsvirta & Meiqun Yin, 2014. "A Lagrange Multiplier Test for Testing the Adequacy of the Constant Conditional Correlation GARCH Model," CREATES Research Papers 2014-03, Department of Economics and Business Economics, Aarhus University.
  2. Timo Teräsvirta & Yukai Yang, 2014. "Linearity and Misspecification Tests for Vector Smooth Transition Regression Models," CREATES Research Papers 2014-04, Department of Economics and Business Economics, Aarhus University.
  3. Timo Teräsvirta & Yukai Yang, 2014. "Specification, Estimation and Evaluation of Vector Smooth Transition Autoregressive Models with Applications," CREATES Research Papers 2014-08, Department of Economics and Business Economics, Aarhus University.
  4. A.S. Hurn & Annastiina Silvennoinen & Timo Teräsvirta, 2014. "A Smooth Transition Logit Model of the Effects of Deregulation in the Electricity Market," CREATES Research Papers 2014-09, Department of Economics and Business Economics, Aarhus University.
  5. Martin Junge & Martin D. Munk & Panu Poutvaara, 2014. "International Migration of Couples," CESifo Working Paper Series 4927, CESifo.
  6. Michele Battisti & Gabriel Felbermayr & Giovanni Peri & Panu Poutvaara & Gabriel J. Felbermayr, 2014. "Immigration, Search, and Redistribution: A Quantitative Assessment of Native Welfare," CESifo Working Paper Series 5022, CESifo.
  7. Nikolka, Till & Poutvaara, Panu, 2014. "Family Decision-Making on International Migration," VfS Annual Conference 2014 (Hamburg): Evidence-based Economic Policy 100384, Verein für Socialpolitik / German Economic Association.
  8. Pönkä, Harri, 2014. "Predicting the direction of US stock markets using industry returns," MPRA Paper 62942, University Library of Munich, Germany.
  9. Karolin Kirschenmann & Tuomas Malinen & Henri Nyberg, 2014. "The risk of financial crises: Is it in real or financial factors?," Working Papers 336, ECINEQ, Society for the Study of Economic Inequality.
  10. Malinen, Tuomas, 2014. "Does income inequality contribute to credit cycles?," MPRA Paper 52831, University Library of Munich, Germany.
  11. Markku Lanne & Henri Nyberg, 2014. "Generalized Forecast Error Variance Decomposition for Linear and Nonlinear Multivariate Models," CREATES Research Papers 2014-17, Department of Economics and Business Economics, Aarhus University.
  12. Markku Lanne & Jani Luoto & Henri Nyberg, 2014. "Is the Quantity Theory of Money Useful in Forecasting U.S. Inflation?," CREATES Research Papers 2014-26, Department of Economics and Business Economics, Aarhus University.
  13. Markku Lanne & Jani Luoto, 2014. "Noncausal Bayesian Vector Autoregression," CREATES Research Papers 2014-07, Department of Economics and Business Economics, Aarhus University.
  14. Willman, Alpo & Dieppe, Alistair & Baumann, Ursel & González Pandiella, Alberto, 2014. "Model of the United States economy with learning MUSEL," Working Paper Series 1745, European Central Bank.
  15. Lainà, Patrizio & Nyholm, Juho & Sarlin, Peter, 2014. "Leading indicators of systemic banking crises: Finland in a panel of EU countries," Bank of Finland Research Discussion Papers 14/2014, Bank of Finland.

2013

  1. Lof, Matthijs & Malinen, Tuomas, 2013. "Does sovereign debt weaken economic growth? A Panel VAR analysis," MPRA Paper 52039, University Library of Munich, Germany.
  2. Lof, Matthijs, 2013. "Essays on Expectations and the Econometrics of Asset Pricing," MPRA Paper 59064, University Library of Munich, Germany.
  3. Matthijs Lof & Tseday Jemaneh Mekasha & Finn Tarp, 2013. "Aid and Income: Another Time-Series Perspective," WIDER Working Paper Series wp-2013-069, World Institute for Development Economic Research (UNU-WIDER).
  4. Kirstin Hubrich & Timo Teräsvirta, 2013. "Thresholds and Smooth Transitions in Vector Autoregressive Models," CREATES Research Papers 2013-18, Department of Economics and Business Economics, Aarhus University.
  5. Kappler, Marcus & Schleer, Frauke & Semmler, Willi & Teräsvirta, Timo & Winker, Peter, 2013. "Financial sector and output dynamics in the euro area countries," ZEW policy briefs 9/2013, ZEW - Leibniz Centre for European Economic Research.
  6. Kaisa Kotakorpi & Panu Poutvaara & Marko Terviö, 2013. "Returns to Office in National and Local Politics," CESifo Working Paper Series 4542, CESifo.
  7. Kanniainen, Vesa & Poutvaara, Panu, 2013. "An introduction," Munich Reprints in Economics 19533, University of Munich, Department of Economics.
  8. Tuomas Malinen, 2013. "Is there a relationship between income inequality and credit cycles?," Working Papers 292, ECINEQ, Society for the Study of Economic Inequality.
  9. Markku Lanne & Jani Luoto, 2013. "A Noncausal Autoregressive Model with Time-Varying Parameters: An Application to U.S. Inflation," Discussion Papers of DIW Berlin 1285, DIW Berlin, German Institute for Economic Research.
  10. Markku Lanne, 2013. "Noncausality and Inflation Persistence," Discussion Papers of DIW Berlin 1286, DIW Berlin, German Institute for Economic Research.
  11. Tukiainen, Janne & Saarimaa, Tuukka & Hyytinen, Ari, 2013. "Seat competitiveness and redistricting: Evidence from voting on municipal mergers," Working Papers 38, VATT Institute for Economic Research.
  12. Tukiainen, Janne, 2013. "Effects of minimum bid increment in internet auctions: Evidence from a field experiment," Working Papers 44, VATT Institute for Economic Research.
  13. Saarimaa, Tuukka & Tukiainen, Janne, 2013. "Common Pool Problems in Voluntary Municipal Mergers," Working Papers 53, VATT Institute for Economic Research.
  14. Ollikka, Kimmo & Tukiainen, Janne, 2013. "Central bank liquidity auction mechanism design and the interbank market," Bank of Finland Research Discussion Papers 21/2013, Bank of Finland.
  15. Tuomas Kosonen, 2013. "To Work or not to Work? The Effect of Child-Care Subsidies on the Labour Supply of Parents," CESifo Working Paper Series 4065, CESifo.
  16. Kosonen, Tuomas & Ropponen, Olli, 2013. "The role of information in tax compliance: Evidence from a natural field experiment," Working Papers 48, VATT Institute for Economic Research.
  17. Kosonen, Tuomas, 2013. "More haircut after VAT cut? On the efficiency of service sector consumption taxes," Working Papers 49, VATT Institute for Economic Research.
  18. Kosonen, Tuomas & Harju, Jarkko, 2013. "Restaurant VAT cut: Cheaper meal and more service?," Working Papers 52, VATT Institute for Economic Research.

2012

  1. Lof, Matthijs, 2012. "Rational Speculators, Contrarians and Excess Volatility," MPRA Paper 43490, University Library of Munich, Germany.
  2. Cristina Amado & Timo Teräsvirta, 2012. "Modelling Changes in the Unconditional Variance of Long Stock Return Series," CREATES Research Papers 2012-07, Department of Economics and Business Economics, Aarhus University.
  3. Annastiina Silvennoinen & Timo Teräsvirta, 2012. "Modelling conditional correlations of asset returns: A smooth transition approach," CREATES Research Papers 2012-09, Department of Economics and Business Economics, Aarhus University.
  4. Niels Haldrup & Robinson Kruse & Timo Teräsvirta & Rasmus T. Varneskov, 2012. "Unit roots, nonlinearities and structural breaks," CREATES Research Papers 2012-14, Department of Economics and Business Economics, Aarhus University.
  5. Matthew T. Holt & Timo Teräsvirta, 2012. "Global Hemispheric Temperature Trends and Co–Shifting: A Shifting Mean Vector Autoregressive Analysis," CREATES Research Papers 2012-54, Department of Economics and Business Economics, Aarhus University.
  6. Topi Miettinen & Panu Poutvaara, 2012. "A Market for Connections," CESifo Working Paper Series 3810, CESifo.
  7. Ilpo Kauppinen & Panu Poutvaara, 2012. "Preferences for Redistribution among Emigrants from a Welfare State," ifo Working Paper Series 120, ifo Institute - Leibniz Institute for Economic Research at the University of Munich.
  8. Munk, Martin D. & Poutvaara, Panu & Foged, Mette, 2012. "Transnational Cultural Capital, Educational Reproduction, and Privileged Positions," Munich Reprints in Economics 19333, University of Munich, Department of Economics.
  9. Nyberg, Henri & Saikkonen, Pentti, 2012. "Forecasting with a noncausal VAR model," Bank of Finland Research Discussion Papers 33/2012, Bank of Finland.
  10. Kohonen, Anssi, 2012. "On detection of volatility spillovers in simultaneously open stock markets," MPRA Paper 37504, University Library of Munich, Germany.
  11. Kohonen, Anssi, 2012. "Transmission of Government Default Risk in the Eurozone," MPRA Paper 43823, University Library of Munich, Germany.
  12. Markku Lanne & Mika Meitz & Pentti Saikkonen, 2012. "Testing for Predictability in a Noninvertible ARMA Model," Koç University-TUSIAD Economic Research Forum Working Papers 1225, Koc University-TUSIAD Economic Research Forum.
  13. Lanne, Markku & Saikkonen, Pentti, 2012. "Supplementary appendix to "noncausal vector autoregression"," MPRA Paper 37732, University Library of Munich, Germany.
  14. Lanne, Markku & Luoto, Jani, 2012. "Does Output Gap, Labor's Share or Unemployment Rate Drive Inflation?," MPRA Paper 41820, University Library of Munich, Germany.
  15. Alpo Willman & Miguel A. León-Ledesma & Peter McAdam, 2012. "Explaining the Skill Premium: Technical Change or Capita-Skill Complements?," EcoMod2012 4356, EcoMod.
  16. Miguel A León-Ledesma & Peter McAdam & Alpo Willman, 2012. "Non-Balanced Growth and Production Technology Estimation," Studies in Economics 1204, School of Economics, University of Kent.
  17. Tuukka Saarimaa & Janne Tukiainen, 2012. "Politics in Coalition Formation of Local Governments," SERC Discussion Papers 0102, Centre for Economic Performance, LSE.
  18. Jarkko Harju & Tuomas Kosonen, 2012. "The Impact of Tax Incentives on the Economic Activity of Entrepreneurs," Working Papers 1220, Oxford University Centre for Business Taxation.

2011

  1. Lof, Matthijs, 2011. "Noncausality and Asset Pricing," MPRA Paper 30519, University Library of Munich, Germany.
  2. Lof, Matthijs, 2011. "GMM estimation with noncausal instruments under rational expectations," MPRA Paper 35536, University Library of Munich, Germany.
  3. Cristina Amado & Timo Teräsvirta, 2011. "Modelling Volatility by Variance Decomposition," CREATES Research Papers 2011-01, Department of Economics and Business Economics, Aarhus University.
  4. Timo Teräsvirta, 2011. "Nonlinear models for autoregressive conditional heteroskedasticity," CREATES Research Papers 2011-02, Department of Economics and Business Economics, Aarhus University.
  5. Cristina Amado & Timo Teräsvirta, 2011. "Conditional Correlation Models of Autoregressive Conditional Heteroskedasticity with Nonstationary GARCH Equations," CREATES Research Papers 2011-24, Department of Economics and Business Economics, Aarhus University.
  6. Anders Bredahl Kock & Timo Teräsvirta, 2011. "Forecasting Macroeconomic Variables using Neural Network Models and Three Automated Model Selection Techniques," CREATES Research Papers 2011-27, Department of Economics and Business Economics, Aarhus University.
  7. Anders Bredahl Kock & Timo Teräsvirta, 2011. "Forecasting performance of three automated modelling techniques during the economic crisis 2007-2009," CREATES Research Papers 2011-28, Department of Economics and Business Economics, Aarhus University.
  8. Munk, Martin D. & Poutvaara, Panu & Foged, Mette, 2011. "Elite Education Abroad and Social Reproduction," Munich Reprints in Economics 19334, University of Munich, Department of Economics.
  9. Kauppinen, Ilpo & Poutvaara, Panu, 2011. "Family migration and policies: Lessons from denmark," Munich Reprints in Economics 19505, University of Munich, Department of Economics.
  10. Poutvaara, Panu & Priks, Mikael, 2011. "Unemployment and gang crime: Can prosperity backfire?," Munich Reprints in Economics 19790, University of Munich, Department of Economics.
  11. Poutvaara, Panu & Wagener, Andreas, 2011. "Ending military conscription," Munich Reprints in Economics 19821, University of Munich, Department of Economics.
  12. Dreher, Axel & Poutvaara, Panu, 2011. "Foreign students and migration to the United States," Munich Reprints in Economics 20044, University of Munich, Department of Economics.
  13. Itkonen, Juha, 2011. "Causal misspecifications in econometric models," MPRA Paper 31397, University Library of Munich, Germany.
  14. Tuomas Malinen, 2011. "Income Inequality and Savings: A Reassessment of the Relationship in Cointegrated Panels," DEGIT Conference Papers c016_076, DEGIT, Dynamics, Economic Growth, and International Trade.
  15. Tuomas, Malinen, 2011. "Inequality and savings: a reassesment of the relationship in cointegrated panels," MPRA Paper 33350, University Library of Munich, Germany.
  16. Lanne, Markku & Nyberg, Henri & Saarinen, Erkka, 2011. "Forecasting U.S. Macroeconomic and Financial Time Series with Noncausal and Causal AR Models: A Comparison," MPRA Paper 30254, University Library of Munich, Germany.
  17. Lanne, Markku & Luoto, Jani, 2011. "Autoregression-Based Estimation of the New Keynesian Phillips Curve," MPRA Paper 29801, University Library of Munich, Germany.
  18. Klump, Rainer & McAdam, Peter & Willman, Alpo, 2011. "The normalized CES production function: theory and empirics," Working Paper Series 1294, European Central Bank.
  19. Willman, Alpo & Dieppe, Alistair & González Pandiella, Alberto, 2011. "The ECB's New Multi-Country Model for the euro area: NMCM - simulated with rational expectations," Working Paper Series 1315, European Central Bank.
  20. Willman, Alpo & Dieppe, Alistair & González Pandiella, Alberto & Hall, Stephen, 2011. "The ECB's New Multi-Country Model for the euro area: NMCM - with boundedly rational learning expectations," Working Paper Series 1316, European Central Bank.
  21. McAdam, Peter & Willman, Alpo, 2011. "Technology, utilization and inflation: what drives the New Keynesian Phillips Curve?," Working Paper Series 1369, European Central Bank.
  22. McAdam, Peter & Willman, Alpo & León-Ledesma, Miguel A., 2011. "Aggregation, the skill premium, and the two-level production function," Working Paper Series 1400, European Central Bank.
  23. Kosonen, Tuomas, 2011. "Encouragement and discouragement. Essays on taxation and government expenditure," Research Reports P57, VATT Institute for Economic Research.

2010

  1. Lof, Matthijs, 2010. "Heterogeneity in Stock Pricing: A STAR Model with Multivariate Transition Functions," MPRA Paper 30520, University Library of Munich, Germany.
  2. Anders Bredahl Kock & Timo Teräsvirta, 2010. "Forecasting with nonlinear time series models," CREATES Research Papers 2010-01, Department of Economics and Business Economics, Aarhus University.
  3. Panu Poutvaara & Olli Ropponen, 2010. "School Shootings and Student Performance," CESifo Working Paper Series 3114, CESifo.
  4. Kaisa Kotakorpi & Panu Poutvaara, 2010. "Pay for Politicians and Candidate Selection: An Empirical Analysis," CESifo Working Paper Series 3126, CESifo.
  5. Niclas Berggren & Henrik Jordahl & Panu Poutvaara, 2010. "The Right Look: Conservative Politicians Look Better and their Voters Reward it," CESifo Working Paper Series 3310, CESifo.
  6. Berggren, Niclas & Jordahl, Henrik & Poutvaara, Panu, 2010. "The Right Look: Conservative Politicians Look Better and Voters Reward It," Working Paper Series 855, Research Institute of Industrial Economics, revised 08 Feb 2012.
  7. Keller, Katarina & Poutvaara, Panu & Wagener, Andreas, 2010. "Does a military draft discourage enrollment in higher education?," Munich Reprints in Economics 19476, University of Munich, Department of Economics.
  8. Poutvaara, Panu & Wagener, Andreas, 2010. "The invisible hand plays dice: multiple equilibria in sects markets," Munich Reprints in Economics 19822, University of Munich, Department of Economics.
  9. Berggren, Niclas & Jordahl, Henrik & Poutvaara, Panu, 2010. "The looks of a winner: Beauty and electoral success," Munich Reprints in Economics 20267, University of Munich, Department of Economics.
  10. Juha Itkonen, 2010. "Internal Validity of Estimating the Carbon Kuznets Curve by Controlling for Energy Use," ifo Working Paper Series 95, ifo Institute - Leibniz Institute for Economic Research at the University of Munich.
  11. Nyberg, Henri, 2010. "QR-GARCH-M Model for Risk-Return Tradeoff in U.S. Stock Returns and Business Cycles," MPRA Paper 23724, University Library of Munich, Germany.
  12. Lanne, Markku & Luoto, Jani & Saikkonen, Pentti, 2010. "Optimal Forecasting of Noncausal Autoregressive Time Series," MPRA Paper 23648, University Library of Munich, Germany.
  13. Lanne, Markku & Saikkonen, Pentti, 2010. "Noncausal Vector Autoregression," MPRA Paper 23717, University Library of Munich, Germany.
  14. Lanne, Markku & Luoto, Jani, 2010. "Has U.S. Inflation Really Become Harder to Forecast?," MPRA Paper 29992, University Library of Munich, Germany.
  15. Lanne, Markku & Saikkonen, Pentti, 2010. "Noncausal autoregressions for economic time series," MPRA Paper 32943, University Library of Munich, Germany.
  16. Ahoniemi, Katja & Lanne, Markku, 2010. "Realized volatility and overnight returns," Bank of Finland Research Discussion Papers 19/2010, Bank of Finland.
  17. McAdam, Peter & Willman, Alpo & León-Ledesma, Miguel A., 2010. "In dubio pro CES - Supply estimation with mis-specified technical change," Working Paper Series 1175, European Central Bank.
  18. Cantore, Cristiano & León-Ledesma, Miguel A. & McAdam, Peter & Willman, Alpo, 2010. "Shocking stuff: technology, hours, and factor substitution," Working Paper Series 1278, European Central Bank.
  19. Alistair DIEPPE & Alberto GONZÁLEZ PANDIELLA & Stephen HALL & Alpo WILLMAN, 2010. "MEMBER: Multi-Country Euro Area Model with Boundedly Estimated Rationality," EcoMod2010 259600046, EcoMod.
  20. Miguel LEON-LEDESMA & Peter MCADAM & Alpo WILLMAN, 2010. "In Dubio, pro CES: technical progress specification and the elasticity of substitution," EcoMod2010 259600104, EcoMod.
  21. Grégory LEVIEUGE & Cristina BADARAU-SEMENESCU, 2010. "Which policy-mix to mitigate the effects of the financial heterogeneity in a monetary union?," EcoMod2010 259600105, EcoMod.
  22. Saarimaa, Tuukka & Tukiainen, Janne, 2010. "Coalition formation and political decision making: Evidence from Finnish municipal mergers," Working Papers 19, VATT Institute for Economic Research.
  23. Kosonen, Tuomas, 2010. "What was actually cut in the barbers' VAT cut?," Working Papers 18, VATT Institute for Economic Research.

2009

  1. Andrés González & Kirstin Hubrich & Timo Teräsvirta, 2009. "Forecasting inflation with gradual regime shifts and exogenous information," CREATES Research Papers 2009-03, Department of Economics and Business Economics, Aarhus University.
  2. Panu Poutvaara & Andreas Wagener, 2009. "The Political Economy of Conscription," CESifo Working Paper Series 2821, CESifo.
  3. Katarina Keller & Panu Poutvaara & Andreas Wagener, 2009. "Does Military Draft Discourage Enrollment in Higher Education? Evidence from OECD Countries," CESifo Working Paper Series 2838, CESifo.
  4. Poutvaara, Panu & Jordahl, Henrik & Berggren, Niclas, 2009. "Faces of Politicians: Babyfacedness Predicts Inferred Competence but Not Electoral Success," Working Paper Series 803, Research Institute of Industrial Economics.
  5. Koskela, Erkki & Poutvaara, Panu, 2009. "Is There Scope for Gains from Revenue-Neutral Labor Tax Reforms with Flexible Outsourcing?," IZA Discussion Papers 3984, Institute of Labor Economics (IZA).
  6. Poutvaara, Panu & Munk, Martin D. & Junge, Martin, 2009. "Self-Selection and Earnings of Emigrants from a Welfare State," IZA Discussion Papers 4144, Institute of Labor Economics (IZA).
  7. Jordahl, Henrik & Poutvaara, Panu & Tuomala, Juha, 2009. "Education returns of wage earners and self-employed workers: Rejoinder," Munich Reprints in Economics 19543, University of Munich, Department of Economics.
  8. Jordahl, Henrik & Poutvaara, Panu & Tuomala, Juha, 2009. "Education returns of wage earners and self-employed workers: Comment," Munich Reprints in Economics 19544, University of Munich, Department of Economics.
  9. Poutvaara, Panu & Priks, Mikael, 2009. "The effect of police intelligence on group violence: Evidence from reassignments in Sweden," Munich Reprints in Economics 19791, University of Munich, Department of Economics.
  10. Poutvaara, Panu & Priks, Mikael, 2009. "Hooliganism and police tactics," Munich Reprints in Economics 19792, University of Munich, Department of Economics.
  11. Itkonen, Juha, 2009. "Päästökauppajärjestelmien linkittämisen ilmastopoliittiset vaikutukset [Linking emissions trading systems and climate policy]," MPRA Paper 30171, University Library of Munich, Germany.
  12. Markku Lanne & Helmut Luetkepohl & Katarzyna Maciejowska, 2009. "Structural Vector Autoregressions with Markov Switching," Economics Working Papers ECO2009/06, European University Institute.
  13. Lanne, Markku & Luoma, Arto & Luoto, Jani, 2009. "Bayesian Model Selection and Forecasting in Noncausal Autoregressive Models," MPRA Paper 23646, University Library of Munich, Germany.
  14. Lanne, Markku & Saikkonen, Pentti, 2009. "GMM Estimation with Noncausal Instruments," MPRA Paper 23649, University Library of Munich, Germany.
  15. Laakkonen, Helinä & Lanne, Markku, 2009. "The Relevance of Accuracy for the Impact of Macroeconomic News on Volatility," MPRA Paper 23718, University Library of Munich, Germany.
  16. McAdam, Peter & Willman, Alpo & León-Ledesma, Miguel A., 2009. "Identifying the elasticity of substitution with biased technical change," Working Paper Series 1001, European Central Bank.

2008

  1. Annastiina Silvennoinen & Timo Teräsvirta, 2008. "Modelling Multivariate Autoregressive Conditional Heteroskedasticity with the Double Smooth Transition Conditional Correlation GARCH Model," CREATES Research Papers 2008-05, Department of Economics and Business Economics, Aarhus University.
  2. Annastiina Silvennoinen & Timo Teräsvirta, 2008. "Multivariate GARCH models," CREATES Research Papers 2008-06, Department of Economics and Business Economics, Aarhus University.
  3. Changli He & Annastiina Silvennoinen & Timo Teräsvirta, 2008. "Parameterizing unconditional skewness in models for financial time series," CREATES Research Papers 2008-07, Department of Economics and Business Economics, Aarhus University.
  4. Christina Amado & Timo Teräsvirta, 2008. "Modelling Conditional and Unconditional Heteroskedasticity with Smoothly Time-Varying Structure," CREATES Research Papers 2008-08, Department of Economics and Business Economics, Aarhus University.
  5. Anne Péguin-Feissolle & Birgit Strikholm & Timo Teräsvirta, 2008. "Testing the Granger noncausality hypothesis in stationary nonlinear models of unknown functional form," CREATES Research Papers 2008-19, Department of Economics and Business Economics, Aarhus University.
  6. Amihai Glazer & Vesa Kanniainen & Panu Poutvaara, 2008. "Firms’ Ethics, Consumer Boycotts, and Signalling," CESifo Working Paper Series 2323, CESifo.
  7. Erkki Koskela & Panu Poutvaara, 2008. "Outsourcing and Labor Taxation in Dual Labor Markets," CESifo Working Paper Series 2333, CESifo.
  8. Erkki Koskela & Panu Poutvaara, 2008. "Flexible Outsourcing and the Impacts of Labour Taxation in European Welfare States," CESifo Working Paper Series 2440, CESifo.
  9. Mikael Elinder & Henrik Jordahl & Panu Poutvaara, 2008. "Selfish and Prospective: Theory and Evidence of Pocketbook Voting," CESifo Working Paper Series 2489, CESifo.
  10. Jordahl, Henrik & Poutvaara, Panu & Tuomala, Juha, 2008. "Comment on Education Returns of Wage Earners and Self-employed Workers," Working Paper Series 762, Research Institute of Industrial Economics.
  11. Poutvaara, Panu, 2008. "Public and private education in an integrated Europe: Studying to migrate and teaching to stay?," Munich Reprints in Economics 19802, University of Munich, Department of Economics.
  12. Markku Lanne & Helmut Lütkepohl, 2008. "Stock Prices and Economic Fluctuations: A Markov Switching Structural Vector Autoregressive Analysis," CESifo Working Paper Series 2407, CESifo.
  13. Markku Lanne & Pentti Saikkonen, 2008. "Modeling Expectations with Noncausal Autoregressions," Economics Working Papers ECO2008/20, European University Institute.
  14. Markku Lanne & Helmut Luetkepohl, 2008. "A Statistical Comparison of Alternative Identification Schemes for Monetary Policy Shocks," Economics Working Papers ECO2008/23, European University Institute.
  15. Lanne, Markku & Ahoniemi, Katja, 2008. "Implied Volatility with Time-Varying Regime Probabilities," MPRA Paper 23721, University Library of Munich, Germany.
  16. Laakkonen, Helinä & Lanne, Markku, 2008. "Asymmetric News Effects on Volatility: Good vs. Bad News in Good vs. Bad Times," MPRA Paper 8296, University Library of Munich, Germany.
  17. Lanne, Markku & Luoma, Arto & Luoto, Jani, 2008. "A Naïve Sticky Information Model of Households’ Inflation Expectations," MPRA Paper 8663, University Library of Munich, Germany.
  18. McAdam, Peter & Willman, Alpo, 2008. "Medium run redux: technical change, factor shares and frictions in the euro area," Working Paper Series 915, European Central Bank.

2007

  1. Nakatani, Tomoaki & Teräsvirta, Timo, 2007. "Testing for Volatility Interactions in the Constant Conditional Correlation GARCH Model," SSE/EFI Working Paper Series in Economics and Finance 649, Stockholm School of Economics, revised 04 May 2008.
  2. Teräsvirta, Timo & Zhao, Zhenfang, 2007. "Stylized Facts of Return Series, Robust Estimates, and Three Popular Models of Volatility," SSE/EFI Working Paper Series in Economics and Finance 662, Stockholm School of Economics, revised 01 Aug 2007.
  3. Nakatani, Tomoaki & Teräsvirta, Timo, 2007. "Positivity Constraints on the Conditional Variances in the Family of Conditional Correlation GARCH Models," SSE/EFI Working Paper Series in Economics and Finance 675, Stockholm School of Economics, revised 14 Feb 2008.
  4. Panu Poutvaara & Mikael Priks, 2007. "Unemployment and Gang Crime: Could Prosperity Backfire?," CESifo Working Paper Series 1944, CESifo.
  5. Panu Poutvaara & Lars-H. R. Siemers, 2007. "Smoking and Social Interaction," CESifo Working Paper Series 1956, CESifo.
  6. Niclas Berggren & Henrik Jordahl & Panu Poutvaara, 2007. "The Looks of a Winner: Beauty, Gender, and Electoral Success," CESifo Working Paper Series 2002, CESifo.
  7. Vesa Kanniainen & Panu Poutvaara, 2007. "Imperfect Transmission of Tacit Knowledge and other Barriers to Entrepreneurship," CESifo Working Paper Series 2053, CESifo.
  8. Panu Poutvaara, 2007. "Expansion of Higher Education and Time-Consistent Taxation," CESifo Working Paper Series 2101, CESifo.
  9. Marko Köthenbürger & Panu Poutvaara, 2007. "Rent Taxation and its Intertemporal Welfare Effects in a Small Open Economy," CESifo Working Paper Series 2158, CESifo.
  10. Topi Miettinen & Panu Poutvaara, 2007. "Political Parties and Rent-seeking through Networks," Papers on Strategic Interaction 2006-28, Max Planck Institute of Economics, Strategic Interaction Group.
  11. Koethenbuerger, Marko & Poutvaara, Panu, 2007. "Rent Taxation in a Small Open Economy: The Effect on Transitional Generations," IZA Discussion Papers 2559, Institute of Labor Economics (IZA).
  12. Määttänen, Niku & Poutvaara, Panu, 2007. "Should Old-Age Benefits Be Earnings-Tested?," IZA Discussion Papers 2616, Institute of Labor Economics (IZA).
  13. Poutvaara, Panu & Priks, Mikael, 2007. "Hooliganism and Police Tactics: Should Tear Gas Make Crime Preventers Cry?," IZA Discussion Papers 2812, Institute of Labor Economics (IZA).
  14. Lanne, Markku, 2007. "The Properties of Market-Based and Survey Forecasts for Different Data Releases," MPRA Paper 3877, University Library of Munich, Germany.
  15. Lanne, Markku & Luoto, Jani, 2007. "Robustness of the Risk-Return Relationship in the U.S. Stock Market," MPRA Paper 3879, University Library of Munich, Germany.
  16. Ahoniemi, Katja & Lanne, Markku, 2007. "Joint Modeling of Call and Put Implied Volatility," MPRA Paper 6318, University Library of Munich, Germany.
  17. Willman, Alpo, 2007. "Sequential optimization, front-loaded information, and U.S. consumption," Working Paper Series 765, European Central Bank.
  18. McAdam, Peter & Willman, Alpo, 2007. "State-dependency and firm-level optimization: a contribution to Calvo price staggering," Working Paper Series 806, European Central Bank.
  19. McAdam, Peter & Willman, Alpo, 2007. "Phillips-Curve Dynamics: Mark-Up Cyclicality, Effective Hours and Regime-Dependency," Kiel Working Papers 1359, Kiel Institute for the World Economy (IfW Kiel).
  20. Kosonen, Tuomas, 2007. "The Increased Revenue from Finnish Corporate Income Tax in the 1990s," Discussion Papers 421, VATT Institute for Economic Research.

2006

  1. Timo Terasvirta & Andrés González, 2006. "Modelling autoregressive processes with a shifting mean," Borradores de Economia 420, Banco de la Republica de Colombia.
  2. Teräsvirta, Timo, 2006. "An introduction to univariate GARCH models," SSE/EFI Working Paper Series in Economics and Finance 646, Stockholm School of Economics.
  3. Panu Poutvaara, 2006. "On Human Capital Formation with Exit Options: Comment and New Results," CESifo Working Paper Series 1648, CESifo.
  4. Topi Miettinen & Panu Poutvaara, 2006. "Political Parties and Network Formation," CESifo Working Paper Series 1663, CESifo.
  5. Panu Poutvaara & Mikael Priks, 2006. "Hooliganism in the Shadow of the 9/11 Terrorist Attack and the Tsunami: Do Police Reduce Group Violence?," CESifo Working Paper Series 1882, CESifo.
  6. Keller, Katarina & Poutvaara, Panu & Wagener, Andreas, 2006. "Military Draft and Economic Growth in OECD Countries," IZA Discussion Papers 2022, Institute of Labor Economics (IZA).
  7. Köthenbürger, Marko & Poutvaara, Panu, 2006. "Social security reform and investment in education: Is there scope for a Pareto improvement?," Munich Reprints in Economics 19486, University of Munich, Department of Economics.
  8. Genser, Bernd & Koskela, Erkki & Poutvaara, Panu, 2006. "Editorial note," Munich Reprints in Economics 20318, University of Munich, Department of Economics.
  9. Markku Lanne & Helmut Lütkepohl, 2006. "Structural Vector Autoregressions with Nonnormal Residuals," CESifo Working Paper Series 1651, CESifo.
  10. Markku Lanne & Helmut Lütkepohl, 2006. "Identifying Monetary Policy Shocks via Changes in Volatility," CESifo Working Paper Series 1744, CESifo.
  11. Markku Lanne, 2006. "Forecasting Realized Volatility by Decomposition," Economics Working Papers ECO2006/20, European University Institute.
  12. Markku Lanne, 2006. "A Mixture Multiplicative Error Model for Realized Volatility," Economics Working Papers ECO2006/3, European University Institute.

2005

  1. Silvennoinen, Annastiina & Teräsvirta, Timo, 2005. "Multivariate Autoregressive Conditional Heteroskedasticity with Smooth Transitions in Conditional Correlations," SSE/EFI Working Paper Series in Economics and Finance 577, Stockholm School of Economics, revised 01 Oct 2005.
  2. Strikholm, Birgit & Teräsvirta, Timo, 2005. "Determining the Number of Regimes in a Threshold Autoregressive Model Using Smooth Transition Autoregressions," SSE/EFI Working Paper Series in Economics and Finance 578, Stockholm School of Economics, revised 11 Feb 2005.
  3. Teräsvirta, Timo, 2005. "Univariate nonlinear time series models," SSE/EFI Working Paper Series in Economics and Finance 593, Stockholm School of Economics.
  4. Teräsvirta, Timo, 2005. "Forecasting economic variables with nonlinear models," SSE/EFI Working Paper Series in Economics and Finance 598, Stockholm School of Economics, revised 29 Dec 2005.
  5. González, Andrés & Teräsvirta, Timo, 2005. "Simulation-based finite-sample linearity test against smooth transition models," SSE/EFI Working Paper Series in Economics and Finance 603, Stockholm School of Economics.
  6. Marko Köthenbürger & Panu Poutvaara & Paola Profeta, 2005. "Why are More Redistributive Social Security Systems Smaller? A Median Voter Approach," CESifo Working Paper Series 1397, CESifo.
  7. Panu Poutvaara & Andreas Wagener, 2005. "To Draft or not to Draft? Efficiency, Generational Incidence, and Political Economy of Military Conscription," CESifo Working Paper Series 1454, CESifo.
  8. Axel Dreher & Panu Poutvaara, 2005. "Student Flows and Migration: An Empirical Analysis," CESifo Working Paper Series 1490, CESifo.
  9. Volker Grossmann & Panu Poutvaara, 2005. "Pareto-Improving Bequest Taxation," CESifo Working Paper Series 1515, CESifo.
  10. Panu Poutvaara, 2005. "Social Security Incentives, Human Capital Investment and Mobility of Labor," CESifo Working Paper Series 1544, CESifo.
  11. Panu Poutvaara & Mikael Priks, 2005. "Violent Groups and Police Tactics: Should Tear Gas Make Crime Preventers Cry?," CESifo Working Paper Series 1639, CESifo.
  12. Axel Dreher & Panu Poutvaara, 2005. "Student Flows and Migration: An Empirical Analysis�," TWI Research Paper Series 8, Thurgauer Wirtschaftsinstitut, Universität Konstanz.
  13. Markku Lanne & Pentti Saikkonen, 2005. "Modeling Conditional Skewness in Stock Returns," Economics Working Papers ECO2005/14, European University Institute.
  14. Markku Lanne & Timo Vesalay, 2005. "The Effect of a Transaction Tax on Exchange Rate Volatility," Economics Working Papers ECO2005/19, European University Institute.
  15. Lanne, Markku & Saikkonen, Pentti, 2005. "A Multivariate Generalized Orthogonal Factor GARCH Model," MPRA Paper 23714, University Library of Munich, Germany.
  16. Willman, Alpo & Whelan, Karl & Altissimo, Filippo & Georgiou, Evaggelia & Sastre, Teresa & Valderrama, Maria Teresa & Sterne, Gabriel & Stocker, Marc & Weth, Mark, 2005. "Wealth and asset price effects on economic activity," Occasional Paper Series 29, European Central Bank.

2004

  1. Timo Terasvirta, 2004. "A Time Series Model for an Exchange Rate in a Target Zone with Applications," Econometric Society 2004 Australasian Meetings 340, Econometric Society.
  2. Meitz, Mika & Teräsvirta, Timo, 2004. "Evaluating models of autoregressive conditional duration," SSE/EFI Working Paper Series in Economics and Finance 557, Stockholm School of Economics, revised 13 Dec 2004.
  3. Teräsvirta, Timo & van Dijk, Dick & Medeiros, Marcelo, 2004. "Linear models, smooth transition autoregressions, and neural networks for forecasting macroeconomic time series: A re-examination," SSE/EFI Working Paper Series in Economics and Finance 561, Stockholm School of Economics, revised 09 Nov 2004.
  4. Malmsten, Hans & Teräsvirta, Timo, 2004. "Stylized Facts of Financial Time Series and Three Popular Models of Volatility," SSE/EFI Working Paper Series in Economics and Finance 563, Stockholm School of Economics, revised 03 Sep 2004.
  5. Panu Poutvaara, 2004. "Educating Europe," CESifo Working Paper Series 1114, CESifo.
  6. Amihai Glazer & Vesa Kanniainen & Panu Poutvaara, 2004. "Initial Luck, Status-Seeking and Snowballs Lead to Corporate Success and Failure," CESifo Working Paper Series 1216, CESifo.
  7. Panu Poutvaara & Andreas Wagener, 2004. "The Invisible Hand Plays Dice: Eventualities in Religious Markets," CESifo Working Paper Series 1238, CESifo.
  8. Panu Poutvaara & Andreas Wagener, 2004. "Why is the Public Sector More Labor-Intensive? A Distortionary Tax Argument," CESifo Working Paper Series 1259, CESifo.
  9. Panu Poutvaara, 2004. "Public Education in an Integrated Europe: Studying to Migrate and Teaching to Stay?," CESifo Working Paper Series 1369, CESifo.
  10. Poutvaara, Panu & Tuomala, Juha, 2004. "What Is Left to Residual Claimants? The Empirics of Income Reported by Entrepreneurs and Workers," IZA Discussion Papers 1178, Institute of Labor Economics (IZA).
  11. Poutvaara, Panu, 2004. "Educating Europe: Should Public Education be Financed with Graduate Taxes or Income-contingent Loans?," Munich Reprints in Economics 19296, University of Munich, Department of Economics.
  12. Eerola, Essi & Määttänen, Niku & Poutvaara, Panu, 2004. "Citizens should vote on secession," Munich Reprints in Economics 20524, University of Munich, Department of Economics.
  13. Panu Poutvaara, 2004. "Public Education in an Integrated Europe: Studying for Migration and Teaching for Staying?," Public Economics 0406006, University Library of Munich, Germany.
  14. Pentti Saikkonen & Markku Lanne, 2004. "A Skewed GARCH-in-Mean Model: An Application to U.S. Stock Returns," Econometric Society 2004 North American Summer Meetings 469, Econometric Society.
  15. Markku Lanne, 2004. "Nonlinear dynamics of interest rate and inflation," Macroeconomics 0405014, University Library of Munich, Germany.
  16. Jokivuolle, Esa & Lanne, Markku, 2004. "Trading Nokia: the roles of the Helsinki vs the New York stock exchanges," Bank of Finland Research Discussion Papers 26/2004, Bank of Finland.
  17. Rainer Klump & Peter McAdam & Alpo Willman, 2004. "Factor Substitution and Factor Augmenting Technical Progress in the US: A Normalized Supply-Side System Approach," DEGIT Conference Papers c009_030, DEGIT, Dynamics, Economic Growth, and International Trade.
  18. Tukiainen, Janne, 2004. "Access to Computer, Internet and Mobile Phone at Home in Finland, Ireland, Netherlands and Sweden," Discussion Papers 324, VATT Institute for Economic Research.

2003

  1. Granger, Clive W. J. & Terasvirta, Timo & Patton, Andrew J., 2003. "Common factors in conditional distributions for Bivariate time series," LSE Research Online Documents on Economics 24854, London School of Economics and Political Science, LSE Library.
  2. Eklund, Bruno & Teräsvirta, Timo, 2003. "Testing constancy of the error covariance matrix in vector models," SSE/EFI Working Paper Series in Economics and Finance 549, Stockholm School of Economics, revised 18 Jan 2006.
  3. Amihai Glazer & Vesa Kanniainen & Panu Poutvaara, 2003. "Income Taxes, Property Values, and Migration," CESifo Working Paper Series 1075, CESifo.
  4. Panu Poutvaara & Tuomas Takalo, 2003. "Candidate Quality," CESifo Working Paper Series 1106, CESifo.
  5. Poutvaara, Panu, 2003. "Party platforms with endogenous party membership," Munich Reprints in Economics 19298, University of Munich, Department of Economics.
  6. Poutvaara, Panu, 2003. "Investment in Education and Redistributive Taxation without Precommitment," Munich Reprints in Economics 19299, University of Munich, Department of Economics.
  7. Markku Lanne & Matti Liski, 2003. "Trends and Breaks in per-capita Carbon Dioxide Emissions, 1870-2028," Working Papers 0302, Massachusetts Institute of Technology, Center for Energy and Environmental Policy Research.
  8. Willman, Alpo, 2003. "Consumption, habit persistence, imperfect information and the lifetime budget constraint," Working Paper Series 251, European Central Bank.
  9. McAdam, Peter & Willman, Alpo, 2003. "New Keynesian Phillips Curves: a reassessment using euro-area data," Working Paper Series 265, European Central Bank.

2002

  1. Granger, Clive W.J. & Teräsvirta, Timo & Patton, Andrew J, 2002. "Common Factors in Conditional Distributions," University of California at San Diego, Economics Working Paper Series qt3bd1n1x5, Department of Economics, UC San Diego.
  2. He, Changli & Teräsvirta, Timo & González, Andres, 2002. "Testing parameter constancy in stationary vector autoregressive models against continuous change," SSE/EFI Working Paper Series in Economics and Finance 507, Stockholm School of Economics, revised 11 Jul 2005.
  3. Medeiros, Marcelo C. & Teräsvirta, Timo & Rech, Gianluigi, 2002. "Building neural network models for time series: A statistical approach," SSE/EFI Working Paper Series in Economics and Finance 508, Stockholm School of Economics.
  4. He, Changli & Teräsvirta, Timo, 2002. "An Extended Constant Conditional Correlation GARCH Model and Its Fourth-Moment Structure," SSE/EFI Working Paper Series in Economics and Finance 509, Stockholm School of Economics.
  5. He, Changli & Teräsvirta, Timo, 2002. "An application of the analogy between vector ARCH and vector random coefficient autoregressive models," SSE/EFI Working Paper Series in Economics and Finance 516, Stockholm School of Economics.
  6. Eliasson, Ann-Charlotte & Teräsvirta, Timo, 2002. "Error correction in DHSY," SSE/EFI Working Paper Series in Economics and Finance 517, Stockholm School of Economics.
  7. Morten I. Lau & Panu Poutvaara & Andreas Wagener, 2002. "The Dynamic Cost of the Draft," CESifo Working Paper Series 774, CESifo.
  8. Marko Köthenbürger & Panu Poutvaara, 2002. "Social Security Reform and Intergenerational Trade: Is there Scope for a Pareto-Improvement?," CESifo Working Paper Series 795, CESifo.
  9. Lanne, Markku & Lütkepohl, Helmut & Saikkonen, Pentti, 2002. "Comparison of Unit Root Tests for Time Series with Level Shifts," MPRA Paper 76035, University Library of Munich, Germany.
  10. Lanne, Markku & Saikkonen, Pentti, 2002. "Nonlinear GARCH models for highly persistent volatility," SFB 373 Discussion Papers 2002,20, Humboldt University of Berlin, Interdisciplinary Research Project 373: Quantification and Simulation of Economic Processes.
  11. Alpo Willman & Ángel Estrada, 2002. "The Spanish block of the ESCB-Multi-Country model," Working Papers 0212, Banco de España.
  12. Willman, Alpo, 2002. "Euro area production function and potential output: a supply side system approach," Working Paper Series 153, European Central Bank.

2001

  1. van Dijk, D.J.C. & Strikholm, B. & Terasvirta, T., 2001. "The effects of institutional and technological change and business cycle fluctiations on seasonal patterns in quarterly industrial production series," Econometric Institute Research Papers EI 2001-12, Erasmus University Rotterdam, Erasmus School of Economics (ESE), Econometric Institute.
  2. Marcelo C. Medeiros & Timo Terasvirta, 2001. "Statistical methods for modelling neural networks," Textos para discussão 445, Department of Economics PUC-Rio (Brazil).
  3. Panu Poutvaara, 2001. "On the Political Economy of Social Security and Public Education," CESifo Working Paper Series 424, CESifo.
  4. Morten I. Lau & Panu Poutvaara, 2001. "Social Security Incentives and Human Capital Investment," CESifo Working Paper Series 438, CESifo.
  5. Panu Poutvaara, 2001. "Gerontocracy Revisited. Unilateral Transfer to the Young May Benefit the Middle-Aged," CESifo Working Paper Series 500, CESifo.
  6. Poutvaara, Panu, 2001. "Alternative tax constitutions and risky education in a federation," Munich Reprints in Economics 19302, University of Munich, Department of Economics.
  7. Markku Lanne & Pentti Saikkonen, 2001. "Modeling the U.S. Short-Term Interest Rate by Mixture Autoregressive Processes," CeNDEF Workshop Papers, January 2001 PO5, Universiteit van Amsterdam, Center for Nonlinear Dynamics in Economics and Finance.
  8. Lanne, Markku & Lütkepohl, Helmut & Saikkonen, Pentti, 2001. "Test procedures for unit roots in time series with level shifts at unknown time," SFB 373 Discussion Papers 2001,39, Humboldt University of Berlin, Interdisciplinary Research Project 373: Quantification and Simulation of Economic Processes.
  9. Lanne, Markku & Lütkepohl, Helmut, 2001. "Unit root tests for time series with level shifts: A comparison of different proposals," SFB 373 Discussion Papers 2001,5, Humboldt University of Berlin, Interdisciplinary Research Project 373: Quantification and Simulation of Economic Processes.
  10. Lanne, Markku & Lütkepohl, Helmut & Saikkonen, Pentti, 2001. "Unit root tests in the presence of innovational outliers," SFB 373 Discussion Papers 2001,82, Humboldt University of Berlin, Interdisciplinary Research Project 373: Quantification and Simulation of Economic Processes.

2000

  1. van Dijk, D.J.C. & Terasvirta, T. & Franses, Ph.H.B.F., 2000. "Smooth transition autoregressive models - A survey of recent developments," Econometric Institute Research Papers EI 2000-23/A, Erasmus University Rotterdam, Erasmus School of Economics (ESE), Econometric Institute.
  2. Lundbergh, Stefan & Teräsvirta, Timo & van Dijk, Dick, 2000. "Time-Varying Smooth Transition Autoregressive Models," SSE/EFI Working Paper Series in Economics and Finance 376, Stockholm School of Economics.
  3. Lundbergh, Stefan & Teräsvirta, Timo, 2000. "Forecasting with smooth transition autoregressive models," SSE/EFI Working Paper Series in Economics and Finance 390, Stockholm School of Economics.
  4. Poutvaara, Panu, 2000. "Education, mobility of labour and tax competition," Munich Reprints in Economics 19303, University of Munich, Department of Economics.
  5. Lanne, M., 2000. "Testing the Predictability of Stock Returns," University of Helsinki, Department of Economics 488, Department of Economics.
  6. Lanne, M. & Saikkonen, P., 2000. "Threshold Autoregression for Strongly Autocorrelated Time Series," University of Helsinki, Department of Economics 489, Department of Economics.
  7. Markku Lanne, 2000. "Testing The Expectations Hypothesis Of The Term Structure Of Interest Rates In The Presence Of A Potential Regime Shift," Computing in Economics and Finance 2000 294, Society for Computational Economics.
  8. Lanne, Markku & Saikkonen, Pentti, 2000. "Reducing size distortions of parametric stationarity tests," SFB 373 Discussion Papers 2000,12, Humboldt University of Berlin, Interdisciplinary Research Project 373: Quantification and Simulation of Economic Processes.

1999

  1. Peguin-Feissolle, A. & Terasvirta, T., 1999. "A General Framework for Testing the Granger Noncausality Hypothesis," G.R.E.Q.A.M. 99a42, Universite Aix-Marseille III.
  2. Rech, Gianluigi & Teräsvirta, Timo & Tschernig, Rolf, 1999. "A simple variable selection technique for nonlinear models," SSE/EFI Working Paper Series in Economics and Finance 296, Stockholm School of Economics, revised 06 Apr 2000.
  3. He, Changli & Teräsvirta, Timo, 1999. "Higher-order dependence in the general Power ARCH process and a special case," SSE/EFI Working Paper Series in Economics and Finance 315, Stockholm School of Economics.
  4. Persson, Anna & Teräsvirta, Timo, 1999. "The Net Barter Terms Of Trade : A Smooth Transition Approach," SSE/EFI Working Paper Series in Economics and Finance 335, Stockholm School of Economics.
  5. He, Changli & Teräsvirta, Timo & Malmsten, Hans, 1999. "Fourth Moment Structure of a Family of First-Order Exponential GARCH Models," SSE/EFI Working Paper Series in Economics and Finance 345, Stockholm School of Economics.
  6. Stefan Lundbergh & Timo Teräsvirta, 1999. "Modelling Economic High-Frequency Time Series," Tinbergen Institute Discussion Papers 99-009/4, Tinbergen Institute.
  7. Panu Poutvaara & Vesa Kanniainen, 1999. "Why to Invest in your Neighbor? Social Contract on Educational Investment," CESifo Working Paper Series 202, CESifo.
  8. Poutvaara, P., 1999. "Risky Education, Taxation, and Mobility of Labor," University of Helsinki, Department of Economics 81, Department of Economics.
  9. Poutvaara, Panu, 1999. "Federation's alternative tax constitutions and risky education," ZEW Discussion Papers 99-42, ZEW - Leibniz Centre for European Economic Research.

1998

  1. Granger, Clive W.J. & Teräsvirta, Timo, 1998. "A simple nonlinear time series model with misleading linear properties," SSE/EFI Working Paper Series in Economics and Finance 237, Stockholm School of Economics.
  2. Skalin, Joakim & Teräsvirta, Timo, 1998. "Modelling asymmetries and moving equilibria in unemployment rates," SSE/EFI Working Paper Series in Economics and Finance 262, Stockholm School of Economics, revised Jul 1999.
  3. Hall, Anthony D. & Skalin, Joakim & Teräsvirta, Timo, 1998. "A nonlinear time series model of El Niño," SSE/EFI Working Paper Series in Economics and Finance 263, Stockholm School of Economics.
  4. Teräsvirta, Timo & Eliasson, Ann-Charlotte, 1998. "Nonlinear error-correction and the UK demand for broad money, 1878-1993," SSE/EFI Working Paper Series in Economics and Finance 265, Stockholm School of Economics, revised 30 Nov 1998.
  5. Lundbergh, Stefan & Teräsvirta, Timo, 1998. "Modelling economic high-frequency time series with STAR-STGARCH models," SSE/EFI Working Paper Series in Economics and Finance 291, Stockholm School of Economics.
  6. Lundbergh, Stefan & Teräsvirta, Timo, 1998. "Evaluating GARCH models," SSE/EFI Working Paper Series in Economics and Finance 292, Stockholm School of Economics, revised 03 Oct 2001.
  7. Willman, Alpo & Kortelainen, Mika & Männistö, Hanna-Leena & Tujula, Mika, 1998. "The BOF5 macroeconomic model of Finland: Structure and equations," Bank of Finland Research Discussion Papers 10/1998, Bank of Finland.

1997

  1. He, Changli & Teräsvirta, Timo, 1997. "Fourth Moment Structure of the GARCH (p, q) Process," SSE/EFI Working Paper Series in Economics and Finance 168, Stockholm School of Economics.
  2. He, Changli & Teräsvirta, Timo, 1997. "Properties of the Autocorrelation Function of Squared Observations for Second Order GARCH Processes under Two Sets of Parameter Constraints," SSE/EFI Working Paper Series in Economics and Finance 169, Stockholm School of Economics.
  3. He, Changli & Teräsvirta, Timo, 1997. "Properties of Moments of a Family of GARCH Processes," SSE/EFI Working Paper Series in Economics and Finance 198, Stockholm School of Economics.
  4. He, Changli & Teräsvirta, Timo, 1997. "Statistical Properties of the Asymmetric Power ARCH Process," SSE/EFI Working Paper Series in Economics and Finance 199, Stockholm School of Economics, revised 30 Sep 1997.

1996

  1. Teräsvirta, Timo, 1996. "Power Properties of Linearity Tests for Time Series," SSE/EFI Working Paper Series in Economics and Finance 94, Stockholm School of Economics.
  2. Brännäs, Kurt & Gooijer, Jan G. de & Teräsvirta, Timo, 1996. "Testing Linearity against Nonlinear Moving Average Models," SSE/EFI Working Paper Series in Economics and Finance 95, Stockholm School of Economics.
  3. Teräsvirta, Timo, 1996. "Two Stylized Facts and the Garch (1,1) Model," SSE/EFI Working Paper Series in Economics and Finance 96, Stockholm School of Economics.
  4. Wolters, Jürgen & Teräsvirta, Timo & Lütkepohl, Helmut, 1996. "Modelling the Demand for M3 in the unified Germany," SSE/EFI Working Paper Series in Economics and Finance 113, Stockholm School of Economics.
  5. Rydén, Tobias & Teräsvirta, Timo & Åsbrink, Stefan, 1996. "Stylized Facts of Daily Return Series and the Hidden Markov Model," SSE/EFI Working Paper Series in Economics and Finance 117, Stockholm School of Economics.
  6. Skalin, Joakim & Teräsvirta, Timo, 1996. "Another Look at Swedish Business Cycles, 1861-1988," SSE/EFI Working Paper Series in Economics and Finance 130, Stockholm School of Economics.
  7. Teräsvirta, Timo, 1996. "Modelling Economic Relationships with Smooth Transition Regressions," SSE/EFI Working Paper Series in Economics and Finance 131, Stockholm School of Economics.
  8. Teräsvirta, Timo, 1996. "Smooth Transition Models," SSE/EFI Working Paper Series in Economics and Finance 132, Stockholm School of Economics.
  9. Kauppi, Eija & Lassila, Jukka & Teräsvirta, Timo, 1996. "Short-Term Forecasting of Industrial Production with Business Survey Data: Experience from Finland's Great Depression," Discussion Papers 546, The Research Institute of the Finnish Economy.
  10. Poutvaara, Panu, 1996. "Pörssikurssien kehitys Suomessa 1896-1929: Uudet indeksisarjat ja niiden tulkinta," Bank of Finland Research Discussion Papers 25/1996, Bank of Finland.

1995

  1. Jansen, Eilev S. & Teräsvirta, Timo, 1995. "Testing Parameter Constancy and super Exogeneity in Econometric Equations," SSE/EFI Working Paper Series in Economics and Finance 53, Stockholm School of Economics.
  2. Lin, Chien-Fu & Teräsvirta, Timo, 1995. "Testing Parameter Constancy in Linear Models against Stochastic Stationary Parameters," SSE/EFI Working Paper Series in Economics and Finance 54, Stockholm School of Economics.
  3. Eitrheim, Øyvind & Teräsvirta, Timo, 1995. "Testing the Adequacy of Smooth Transition Autoregressive Models," SSE/EFI Working Paper Series in Economics and Finance 56, Stockholm School of Economics.
  4. Lütkepohl, Helmut & Teräsvirta, Timo & Wolters, Jürgen, 1995. "Investigating Stability and Linearity of a German M1 Money Demand Function," SSE/EFI Working Paper Series in Economics and Finance 64, Stockholm School of Economics.

1991

  1. Rahiala, Markku & Teräsvirta, Timo, 1991. "Forecasting the Outputof Finnish Forest Industries Using Business Survey Data," Discussion Papers 371, The Research Institute of the Finnish Economy.

1990

  1. Tarkka, Juha & Männistö, Hanna-Leena & Willman, Alpo, 1990. "Macroeconomic foundations and simulation properties of the BOF4 quarterly model of the Finnish economy," Bank of Finland Research Discussion Papers 2/1990, Bank of Finland.
  2. Tarkka, Juha & Willman, Alpo, 1990. "Financial markets in the BOF4 model of the Finnish economy," Bank of Finland Research Discussion Papers 1/1990, Bank of Finland.
  3. Tarkka, Juha & Willman, Alpo, 1990. "Income distribution and government finances in the BOF4 model of the Finnish economy," Bank of Finland Research Discussion Papers 7/1990, Bank of Finland.

1989

  1. Rahiala, Markku & Teräsvirta, Timo, 1989. "Labour Hoarding Over the Business Cycle: Testing the Quadratic Adjustment Cost Hypothesis," Discussion Papers 282, The Research Institute of the Finnish Economy.
  2. Boucelham, Jamel & Teräsvirta, Timo, 1989. "How to Use Preliminary Values in Forecasting the Monthly Index of Industrial Production?," Discussion Papers 284, The Research Institute of the Finnish Economy.
  3. Tarkka, Juha & Willman, Alpo & Männistö, Hanna-Leena, 1989. "Consumption and investment in the BOF4 quarterly model of the Finnish economy," Bank of Finland Research Discussion Papers 9/1989, Bank of Finland.
  4. Tarkka, Juha & Willman, Alpo & Rasi, Chris-Marie, 1989. "Labour supply, wages and prices in the BOF4 quarterly model of the Finnish economy," Bank of Finland Research Discussion Papers 6/1989, Bank of Finland.

1988

  1. Teräsvirta, Timo, 1988. "A Review of PC-GIVE: A Statistical Package for Econometric Modelling," Discussion Papers 259, The Research Institute of the Finnish Economy.
  2. Luukkonen, Ritva & Teräsvirta, Timo, 1988. "Testing Linearity of Economic Time Series against Cyclical A symmetry," Discussion Papers 262, The Research Institute of the Finnish Economy.
  3. Willman, Alpo, 1988. "Devaluation expectations and speculative attacks on the currency," Bank of Finland Research Discussion Papers 8/1988, Bank of Finland.
  4. Willman, Alpo, 1988. "If the markka floated: Simulating the BOF4 model with fixed and floating exchange rates," Bank of Finland Research Discussion Papers 17/1988, Bank of Finland.
  5. Tarkka, Juha & Willman, Alpo, 1988. "Exports and imports in the BOF4 quarterly model of the Finnish economy," Bank of Finland Research Discussion Papers 3/1988, Bank of Finland.
  6. Tarkka, Juha & Willman, Alpo & Rasi, Chris-Marie, 1988. "Production and employment in the BOF4 quarterly model of the Finnish economy," Bank of Finland Research Discussion Papers 14/1988, Bank of Finland.

1981

  1. TERÄSVIRTA, Timo, 1981. "Some results on improving the least squares estimation of linear models by mixed estimation," LIDAM Reprints CORE 434, Université catholique de Louvain, Center for Operations Research and Econometrics (CORE).

1980

  1. Teräsvirta, T., 1980. "The polynomial distributed lag revisited," LIDAM Reprints CORE 438, Université catholique de Louvain, Center for Operations Research and Econometrics (CORE).

Journal articles

2024

  1. Henry Jarva & Matthijs Lof, 2024. "Identifying accounting conservatism in the presence of skewness," Review of Quantitative Finance and Accounting, Springer, vol. 62(2), pages 553-577, February.
  2. Haaga Tapio & Kortelainen Mika & Böckerman Petri & Tukiainen Janne, 2024. "Does Abolishing a Copayment Increase Doctor Visits? A Comparative Case Study," The B.E. Journal of Economic Analysis & Policy, De Gruyter, vol. 24(1), pages 187-204, January.
  3. Rafael Hortala-Vallve & Jaakko Meriläinen & Janne Tukiainen, 2024. "Pre-electoral coalitions and the distribution of political power," Public Choice, Springer, vol. 198(1), pages 47-67, January.

2023

  1. Lof, Matthijs & van Bommel, Jos, 2023. "Asymmetric information and the distribution of trading volume," Journal of Corporate Finance, Elsevier, vol. 82(C).
  2. He, Changli & Kang, Jian & Silvennoinen, Annastiina & Teräsvirta, Timo, 2023. "Long monthly European temperature series and the North Atlantic Oscillation," Energy Economics, Elsevier, vol. 126(C).
  3. Anthony D. Hall & Annastiina Silvennoinen & Timo Teräsvirta, 2023. "Building Multivariate Time-Varying Smooth Transition Correlation GARCH Models, with an Application to the Four Largest Australian Banks," Econometrics, MDPI, vol. 11(1), pages 1-37, February.
  4. Joop Adema & Yvonne Giesing & Tetyana Panchenko & Panu Poutvaara & Joop Age Harm Adema, 2023. "The Role of the Diaspora for the Recovery of Ukraine," EconPol Forum, CESifo, vol. 24(02), pages 41-45, March.
  5. Kai Gehring & Joop Adema & Panu Poutvaara & Joop Age Harm Adema, 2023. "Immigrant Narratives in German Newspapers," EconPol Forum, CESifo, vol. 24(04), pages 73-77, July.
  6. Garry Poluschkin & Robert Kirchner & Julian Bergmann & Werner Hoyer & Michael Harms & Gerit Schulze & Stephan von Cramon-Taubadel & Oleg Nivievskyi & Heiko Pleines & Susan Stewart & Joop Adema & Yvonn, 2023. "Wiederaufbauplan: Wie gelingt der Neuanfang in der Ukraine?," ifo Schnelldienst, ifo Institute - Leibniz Institute for Economic Research at the University of Munich, vol. 76(04), pages 03-28, April.
  7. Markku Lanne & Keyan Liu & Jani Luoto, 2023. "Identifying Structural Vector Autoregression via Leptokurtic Economic Shocks," Journal of Business & Economic Statistics, Taylor & Francis Journals, vol. 41(4), pages 1341-1351, October.
  8. Roxanne Kovacs & Maurice Dunaiski & Janne Tukiainen, 2023. "The effect of compulsory face mask policies on community mobility in Germany," Scandinavian Journal of Economics, Wiley Blackwell, vol. 125(4), pages 1027-1055, October.

2022

  1. Jylhä, Petri & Lof, Matthijs, 2022. "Mind the Basel gap," Journal of International Financial Markets, Institutions and Money, Elsevier, vol. 79(C).
  2. Hurn Stan & Johnson Nicholas & Silvennoinen Annastiina & Teräsvirta Timo, 2022. "Transition from the Taylor rule to the zero lower bound," Studies in Nonlinear Dynamics & Econometrics, De Gruyter, vol. 26(5), pages 635-647, December.
  3. Jian Kang & Johan Stax Jakobsen & Annastiina Silvennoinen & Timo Teräsvirta & Glen Wade, 2022. "A Parsimonious Test of Constancy of a Positive Definite Correlation Matrix in a Multivariate Time-Varying GARCH Model," Econometrics, MDPI, vol. 10(3), pages 1-41, August.
  4. Dakyung Seong & Jin Seo Cho & Timo Teräsvirta, 2022. "Comprehensively testing linearity hypothesis using the smooth transition autoregressive model," Econometric Reviews, Taylor & Francis Journals, vol. 41(8), pages 966-984, September.
  5. Yvonne Giesing & Tetyana Panchenko & Panu Poutvaara, 2022. "Können Geflüchtete aus der Ukraine zu einer Reduktion des Fachkräftemangels beitragen?," ifo Schnelldienst, ifo Institute - Leibniz Institute for Economic Research at the University of Munich, vol. 75(09), pages 42-49, September.
  6. Adema, Joop & Nikolka, Till & Poutvaara, Panu & Sunde, Uwe, 2022. "On the stability of risk preferences: Measurement matters," Economics Letters, Elsevier, vol. 210(C).
  7. Martin D Munk & Till Nikolka & Panu Poutvaara, 2022. "International family migration and the dual-earner model [On the origin of gender roles: women and the plough]," Journal of Economic Geography, Oxford University Press, vol. 22(2), pages 263-287.
  8. Tuomas Malinen & Olli Ropponen, 2022. "To default or not? The aftermath of sovereign defaults and IMF programs in economic crises," The World Economy, Wiley Blackwell, vol. 45(7), pages 2052-2083, July.
  9. Manu, Ana S. & McAdam, Peter & Willman, Alpo, 2022. "China’s great expansion: The role of factor substitution and technical progress," European Economic Review, Elsevier, vol. 141(C).
  10. Sirus H. Dehdari & Konstantinos Matakos & Jaakko Meriläinen & Janne Tukiainen, 2022. "A Pink Slip for the Blue Reform: Is Selection, Experience, or Ideology the Elixir of Populists’ Survival?," Journal of Political Institutions and Political Economy, now publishers, vol. 3(1), pages 1-21, March.
  11. Harju, Jarkko & Kosonen, Tuomas & Laukkanen, Marita & Palanne, Kimmo, 2022. "The heterogeneous incidence of fuel carbon taxes: Evidence from station-level data," Journal of Environmental Economics and Management, Elsevier, vol. 112(C).

2021

  1. He, Changli & Kang, Jian & Teräsvirta, Timo & Zhang, Shuhua, 2021. "Comparing long monthly Chinese and selected European temperature series using the Vector Seasonal Shifting Mean and Covariance Autoregressive model," Energy Economics, Elsevier, vol. 97(C).
  2. Johannes Meya & Panu Poutvaara & Robert Schwager, 2021. "How Important are Pocketbook Voting, Social Preferences and Expressive Motives in Referenda?," CESifo Forum, ifo Institute - Leibniz Institute for Economic Research at the University of Munich, vol. 22(04), pages 31-37, July.
  3. Panu Poutvaara, 2021. "Promoting the Immigration of Skilled Workers," ifo Schnelldienst, ifo Institute - Leibniz Institute for Economic Research at the University of Munich, vol. 74(07), pages 11-14, July.
  4. Aksoy, Cevat Giray & Poutvaara, Panu, 2021. "Refugees' and irregular migrants’ self-selection into Europe," Journal of Development Economics, Elsevier, vol. 152(C).
  5. Markku Lanne & Jani Luoto, 2021. "GMM Estimation of Non-Gaussian Structural Vector Autoregression," Journal of Business & Economic Statistics, Taylor & Francis Journals, vol. 39(1), pages 69-81, January.
  6. Harjunen, Oskari & Saarimaa, Tuukka & Tukiainen, Janne, 2021. "Political representation and effects of municipal mergers," Political Science Research and Methods, Cambridge University Press, vol. 9(1), pages 72-88, January.

2020

  1. Holt, Matthew T. & Teräsvirta, Timo, 2020. "Global hemispheric temperatures and co-shifting: A vector shifting-mean autoregressive analysis," Journal of Econometrics, Elsevier, vol. 214(1), pages 198-215.
  2. Meya, Johannes & Poutvaara, Panu & Schwager, Robert, 2020. "Pocketbook voting, social preferences, and expressive motives in referenda," Journal of Economic Behavior & Organization, Elsevier, vol. 175(C), pages 185-205.
  3. Panu Poutvaara & Henrik Jordahl, 2020. "Public sector outsourcing," IZA World of Labor, Institute of Labor Economics (IZA), pages 1-65, November.
  4. Harri Pönkä & Markku Stenborg, 2020. "Forecasting the state of the Finnish business cycle," Finnish Economic Papers, Finnish Economic Association, vol. 29(1), pages 81-99, Spring.
  5. Leena Kalliovirta & Tuomas Malinen, 2020. "Non‐Linearity and Cross‐Country Dependence of Income Inequality," Review of Income and Wealth, International Association for Research in Income and Wealth, vol. 66(1), pages 227-249, March.
  6. Markku Lanne & Jani Luoto, 2020. "Identification of Economic Shocks by Inequality Constraints in Bayesian Structural Vector Autoregression," Oxford Bulletin of Economics and Statistics, Department of Economics, University of Oxford, vol. 82(2), pages 425-452, April.
  7. Palmén, Olli, 2020. "Sovereign default risk and credit supply: Evidence from the euro area," Journal of International Money and Finance, Elsevier, vol. 109(C).
  8. Torun Dewan & Jaakko Meriläinen & Janne Tukiainen, 2020. "Victorian Voting: The Origins of Party Orientation and Class Alignment," American Journal of Political Science, John Wiley & Sons, vol. 64(4), pages 869-886, October.
  9. Harju, Jarkko & Kosonen, Tuomas & Slemrod, Joel, 2020. "Missing miles: Evasion responses to car taxes," Journal of Public Economics, Elsevier, vol. 181(C).
  10. Youssef Benzarti & Dorian Carloni & Jarkko Harju & Tuomas Kosonen, 2020. "What Goes Up May Not Come Down: Asymmetric Incidence of Value-Added Taxes," Journal of Political Economy, University of Chicago Press, vol. 128(12), pages 4438-4474.

2019

  1. Matthijs Lof, 2019. "Expected market returns: SVIX, realized volatility, and the role of dividends," Journal of Applied Econometrics, John Wiley & Sons, Ltd., vol. 34(5), pages 858-864, August.
  2. He, Changli & Kang, Jian & Teräsvirta, Timo & Zhang, Shuhua, 2019. "The shifting seasonal mean autoregressive model and seasonality in the Central England monthly temperature series, 1772–2016," Econometrics and Statistics, Elsevier, vol. 12(C), pages 1-24.
  3. Till Nikolka & Panu Poutvaara, 2019. "Labour Market Reforms and Collective Bargaining in France," ifo DICE Report, ifo Institute - Leibniz Institute for Economic Research at the University of Munich, vol. 16(04), pages 44-49, January.
  4. Panu Poutvaara, 2019. "Migration von Arbeitskräften und Integrationspolitik: Was kann und sollte Europa tun?," ifo Schnelldienst, ifo Institute - Leibniz Institute for Economic Research at the University of Munich, vol. 72(10), pages 20-24, May.
  5. Reiner Klingholz & Felix Braunsdorf & Christian Müller & Panu Poutvaara & Thieß Petersen & Claas Schneiderheinze & Rainer Thiele & Kai Gehring, 2019. "Wachsende Migrationsströme: Wie können die europäischen Länder die Fluchtursachen erfolgreich bekämpfen?," ifo Schnelldienst, ifo Institute - Leibniz Institute for Economic Research at the University of Munich, vol. 72(23), pages 03-26, December.
  6. Edo, Anthony & Giesing, Yvonne & Öztunc, Jonathan & Poutvaara, Panu, 2019. "Immigration and electoral support for the far-left and the far-right," European Economic Review, Elsevier, vol. 115(C), pages 99-143.
  7. George J Borjas & Ilpo Kauppinen & Panu Poutvaara, 2019. "Self-selection of Emigrants: Theory and Evidence on Stochastic Dominance in Observable and Unobservable Characteristics," The Economic Journal, Royal Economic Society, vol. 129(617), pages 143-171.
  8. Pönkä, Harri & Zheng, Yi, 2019. "The role of oil prices on the Russian business cycle," Research in International Business and Finance, Elsevier, vol. 50(C), pages 70-78.
  9. Markku Lanne & Jani Luoto, 2019. "A comment on ‘on inflation expectations in the NKPC model’," Empirical Economics, Springer, vol. 57(6), pages 1865-1867, December.
  10. Puonti, Päivi, 2019. "Data-driven structural BVAR analysis of unconventional monetary policy," Journal of Macroeconomics, Elsevier, vol. 61(C), pages 1-1.
  11. Tukiainen, Janne & Takalo, Tuomas & Hulkkonen, Topi, 2019. "Relative age effects in political selection," European Journal of Political Economy, Elsevier, vol. 58(C), pages 50-63.
  12. Lyytikäinen, Teemu & Tukiainen, Janne, 2019. "Are voters rational?," European Journal of Political Economy, Elsevier, vol. 59(C), pages 230-242.
  13. Miguel Almunia & Jarkko Harju & Kaisa Kotakorpi & Janne Tukiainen & Jouko Verho, 2019. "Expanding access to administrative data: the case of tax authorities in Finland and the UK," International Tax and Public Finance, Springer;International Institute of Public Finance, vol. 26(3), pages 661-676, June.
  14. Jaakko Meriläinen & Janne Tukiainen, 2019. "Public Procurement versus Laissez-Faire: Evidence from Household Waste Collection," CESifo Economic Studies, CESifo Group, vol. 65(4), pages 446-463.

2018

  1. Panu Poutvaara & Marcus Drometer & Carla Rhode & Martina Burmann, 2018. "A Novel Two-Track Labour Migration System for Germany," ifo DICE Report, ifo Institute - Leibniz Institute for Economic Research at the University of Munich, vol. 16(01), pages 34-37, May.
  2. Poutvaara, Panu & Ropponen, Olli, 2018. "Shocking news and cognitive performance," European Journal of Political Economy, Elsevier, vol. 51(C), pages 93-106.
  3. Poutvaara, Panu & Steinhardt, Max Friedrich, 2018. "Bitterness in life and attitudes towards immigration," European Journal of Political Economy, Elsevier, vol. 55(C), pages 471-490.
  4. Vesa Kanniainen & Panu Poutvaara, 2018. "The Economics of Peace and War: An Overview," CESifo Economic Studies, CESifo Group, vol. 64(4), pages 545-554.
  5. Michele Battisti & Gabriel Felbermayr & Giovanni Peri & Panu Poutvaara, 2018. "Immigration, Search and Redistribution: A Quantitative Assessment of Native Welfare," Journal of the European Economic Association, European Economic Association, vol. 16(4), pages 1137-1188.
  6. Harri Pönkä, 2018. "Sentiment and sign predictability of stock returns," Economics Bulletin, AccessEcon, vol. 38(3), pages 1676-1684.
  7. Malinen Tuomas & Nyberg Peter & Koskenkylä Heikki & Miettinen Sami & Ala-Peijari Jukka & Törnqvist Stefan & Berghäll Elina & Mellin Ilkka, 2018. "How to Leave the Eurozone: The Case of Finland," The Economists' Voice, De Gruyter, vol. 15(1), pages 1-16, December.
  8. Henri Nyberg, 2018. "Forecasting US interest rates and business cycle with a nonlinear regime switching VAR model," Journal of Forecasting, John Wiley & Sons, Ltd., vol. 37(1), pages 1-15, January.
  9. Markku Lanne & Jani Luoto, 2018. "Data†Driven Identification Constraints for DSGE Models," Oxford Bulletin of Economics and Statistics, Department of Economics, University of Oxford, vol. 80(2), pages 236-258, April.
  10. McAdam, Peter & Willman, Alpo, 2018. "Unraveling The Skill Premium," Macroeconomic Dynamics, Cambridge University Press, vol. 22(1), pages 33-62, January.
  11. Lucey, Brian M. & Vigne, Samuel A. & Ballester, Laura & Barbopoulos, Leonidas & Brzeszczynski, Janusz & Carchano, Oscar & Dimic, Nebojsa & Fernandez, Viviana & Gogolin, Fabian & González-Urteaga, Ana , 2018. "Future directions in international financial integration research - A crowdsourced perspective," International Review of Financial Analysis, Elsevier, vol. 55(C), pages 35-49.
  12. Hyytinen, Ari & Merilã„Inen, Jaakko & Saarimaa, Tuukka & Toivanen, Otto & Tukiainen, Janne, 2018. "Public Employees as Politicians: Evidence from Close Elections," American Political Science Review, Cambridge University Press, vol. 112(1), pages 68-81, February.
  13. Lapointe, Simon & Perroni, Carlo & Scharf, Kimberley & Tukiainen, Janne, 2018. "Does market size matter for charities?," Journal of Public Economics, Elsevier, vol. 168(C), pages 127-145.
  14. Jaakko Meriläinen & Janne Tukiainen, 2018. "Rank effects in political promotions," Public Choice, Springer, vol. 177(1), pages 87-109, October.
  15. Simon Lapointe & Tuukka Saarimaa & Janne Tukiainen, 2018. "Effects of municipal mergers on voter turnout," Local Government Studies, Taylor & Francis Journals, vol. 44(4), pages 512-530, July.
  16. Ari Hyytinen & Jaakko Meriläinen & Tuukka Saarimaa & Otto Toivanen & Janne Tukiainen, 2018. "When does regression discontinuity design work? Evidence from random election outcomes," Quantitative Economics, Econometric Society, vol. 9(2), pages 1019-1051, July.
  17. Harju, Jarkko & Kosonen, Tuomas & Skans, Oskar Nordström, 2018. "Firm types, price-setting strategies, and consumption-tax incidence," Journal of Public Economics, Elsevier, vol. 165(C), pages 48-72.

2017

  1. Lof, Matthijs & Nyberg, Henri, 2017. "Noncausality and the commodity currency hypothesis," Energy Economics, Elsevier, vol. 65(C), pages 424-433.
  2. Cristina Amado & Annastiina Silvennoinen & Timo Terasvirta, 2017. "Modelling and Forecasting WIG20 Daily Returns," Central European Journal of Economic Modelling and Econometrics, Central European Journal of Economic Modelling and Econometrics, vol. 9(3), pages 173-200, September.
  3. Cristina Amado & Timo Teräsvirta, 2017. "Specification and testing of multiplicative time-varying GARCH models with applications," Econometric Reviews, Taylor & Francis Journals, vol. 36(4), pages 421-446, April.
  4. Paul Catani & Timo Teräsvirta & Meiqun Yin, 2017. "A Lagrange multiplier test for testing the adequacy of constant conditional correlation GARCH model," Econometric Reviews, Taylor & Francis Journals, vol. 36(6-9), pages 599-621, October.
  5. Panu Poutvaara & Daniela Wech, 2017. "Integrating Refugees into the Labor Market – a Comparison of Europe and the United States," ifo DICE Report, ifo Institute - Leibniz Institute for Economic Research at the University of Munich, vol. 14(04), pages 32-43, February.
  6. Anthony Edo & Jonathan Öztunc & Panu Poutvaara, 2017. "Immigration and Extreme Voting: Evidence from France," ifo DICE Report, ifo Institute - Leibniz Institute for Economic Research at the University of Munich, vol. 15(04), pages 28-33, December.
  7. Till Nikolka & Panu Poutvaara, 2017. "Brexit – Theory and Empirics," CESifo Forum, ifo Institute - Leibniz Institute for Economic Research at the University of Munich, vol. 17(04), pages 68-75, January.
  8. Panu Poutvaara, 2017. "Beauty in Politics," CESifo Forum, ifo Institute - Leibniz Institute for Economic Research at the University of Munich, vol. 18(01), pages 37-43, April.
  9. Panu Poutvaara, 2017. "Migrationsforschung am ifo Institut und die Herausforderung von intrainstitutionellen Abgrenzungen," ifo Schnelldienst, ifo Institute - Leibniz Institute for Economic Research at the University of Munich, vol. 70(13), pages 65-66, July.
  10. Berggren, Niclas & Jordahl, Henrik & Poutvaara, Panu, 2017. "The right look: Conservative politicians look better and voters reward it," Journal of Public Economics, Elsevier, vol. 146(C), pages 79-86.
  11. Panu Poutvaara, 2017. "How do candidates’ looks affect their election chances?," IZA World of Labor, Institute of Labor Economics (IZA), pages 370-370, June.
  12. Kaisa Kotakorpi & Panu Poutvaara & Marko Terviö, 2017. "Returns to Office in National and Local Politics: A Bootstrap Method and Evidence from Finland," The Journal of Law, Economics, and Organization, Oxford University Press, vol. 33(3), pages 413-442.
  13. Harri Pönkä, 2017. "Predicting the direction of US stock markets using industry returns," Empirical Economics, Springer, vol. 52(4), pages 1451-1480, June.
  14. Harri Ponka, 2017. "The Role of Credit in Predicting US Recessions," Journal of Forecasting, John Wiley & Sons, Ltd., vol. 36(5), pages 469-482, August.
  15. Lanne, Markku & Meitz, Mika & Saikkonen, Pentti, 2017. "Identification and estimation of non-Gaussian structural vector autoregressions," Journal of Econometrics, Elsevier, vol. 196(2), pages 288-304.
  16. Markku Lanne & Jani Luoto, 2017. "A New Time‐Varying Parameter Autoregressive Model for U.S. Inflation Expectations," Journal of Money, Credit and Banking, Blackwell Publishing, vol. 49(5), pages 969-995, August.
  17. Janne Tukiainen, 2017. "Effects of Minimum Bid Increments in Internet Auctions: Evidence from a Field Experiment," Journal of Industrial Economics, Wiley Blackwell, vol. 65(3), pages 597-622, September.

2016

  1. Silvennoinen Annastiina & Teräsvirta Timo, 2016. "Testing constancy of unconditional variance in volatility models by misspecification and specification tests," Studies in Nonlinear Dynamics & Econometrics, De Gruyter, vol. 20(4), pages 347-364, September.
  2. Anders Bredahl Kock & Timo Teräsvirta, 2016. "Forecasting Macroeconomic Variables Using Neural Network Models and Three Automated Model Selection Techniques," Econometric Reviews, Taylor & Francis Journals, vol. 35(8-10), pages 1753-1779, December.
  3. A. Stan Hurn & Annastiina Silvennoinen & Timo Teräsvirta, 2016. "A Smooth Transition Logit Model of The Effects of Deregulation in the Electricity Market," Journal of Applied Econometrics, John Wiley & Sons, Ltd., vol. 31(4), pages 707-733, June.
  4. Oliver Falck & Gabriel Felbermayr & Anita Jacob-Puchalska & Panu Poutvaara, 2016. "The Labour Market Opportunities of Refugees," ifo Schnelldienst, ifo Institute - Leibniz Institute for Economic Research at the University of Munich, vol. 69(04), pages 83-85, February.
  5. Dhammika Dharmapala & Panu Poutvaara, 2016. "Introduction to the special issue on Taxation in a Global Economy," International Tax and Public Finance, Springer;International Institute of Public Finance, vol. 23(4), pages 603-606, August.
  6. Nyberg, Henri & Pönkä, Harri, 2016. "International sign predictability of stock returns: The role of the United States," Economic Modelling, Elsevier, vol. 58(C), pages 323-338.
  7. Pönkä, Harri, 2016. "Real oil prices and the international sign predictability of stock returns," Finance Research Letters, Elsevier, vol. 17(C), pages 79-87.
  8. Kirschenmann, Karolin & Malinen, Tuomas & Nyberg, Henri, 2016. "The risk of financial crises: Is there a role for income inequality?," Journal of International Money and Finance, Elsevier, vol. 68(C), pages 161-180.
  9. Tuomas Malinen, 2016. "Does income inequality contribute to credit cycles?," The Journal of Economic Inequality, Springer;Society for the Study of Economic Inequality, vol. 14(3), pages 309-325, September.
  10. Markku Lanne & Henri Nyberg, 2016. "Generalized Forecast Error Variance Decomposition for Linear and Nonlinear Multivariate Models," Oxford Bulletin of Economics and Statistics, Department of Economics, University of Oxford, vol. 78(4), pages 595-603, August.
  11. Markku Lanne & Jani Luoto, 2016. "Noncausal Bayesian Vector Autoregression," Journal of Applied Econometrics, John Wiley & Sons, Ltd., vol. 31(7), pages 1392-1406, November.
  12. Puonti, Päivi, 2016. "Fiscal multipliers in a structural VEC model with mixed normal errors," Journal of Macroeconomics, Elsevier, vol. 48(C), pages 144-154.
  13. Saarimaa, Tuukka & Tukiainen, Janne, 2016. "Local representation and strategic voting: Evidence from electoral boundary reforms," European Journal of Political Economy, Elsevier, vol. 41(C), pages 31-45.

2015

  1. Lof, Matthijs & Mekasha, Tseday Jemaneh & Tarp, Finn, 2015. "Aid and Income: Another Time-series Perspective," World Development, Elsevier, vol. 69(C), pages 19-30.
  2. Lof, Matthijs & Mekasha, Tseday Jemaneh & Tarp, Finn, 2015. "Rejoinder to Herzer, Nowak-Lehmann, Dreher, Klasen, and Martinez-Zarzoso (2014)," World Development, Elsevier, vol. 70(C), pages 397-399.
  3. Matthijs Lof, 2015. "Rational Speculators, Contrarians, and Excess Volatility," Management Science, INFORMS, vol. 61(8), pages 1889-1901, August.
  4. Annastiina Silvennoinen & Timo Ter�svirta, 2015. "Modeling Conditional Correlations of Asset Returns: A Smooth Transition Approach," Econometric Reviews, Taylor & Francis Journals, vol. 34(1-2), pages 174-197, February.
  5. Panu Poutvaara, 2015. "The Role of Political Parties in Rent-Seeking Societies," ifo DICE Report, ifo Institute - Leibniz Institute for Economic Research at the University of Munich, vol. 13(03), pages 23-26, October.
  6. Michele Battisti & Gabriel Felbermayr & Panu Poutvaara, 2015. "Immigration: How Does it Benefit the Native Population?," ifo Schnelldienst, ifo Institute - Leibniz Institute for Economic Research at the University of Munich, vol. 68(18), September.
  7. Michele Battisti & Gabriel Felbermayr & Panu Poutvaara, 2015. "Opportunities for Refugees in the German Labour Market: Results of a Corporate Survey," ifo Schnelldienst, ifo Institute - Leibniz Institute for Economic Research at the University of Munich, vol. 68(22), pages 22-25, November.
  8. Panu Poutvaara & Daniela Wech, 2015. "Ifo Migration Monitor," ifo Schnelldienst, ifo Institute - Leibniz Institute for Economic Research at the University of Munich, vol. 68(23), pages 24-31, December.
  9. Elinder, Mikael & Jordahl, Henrik & Poutvaara, Panu, 2015. "Promises, policies and pocketbook voting," European Economic Review, Elsevier, vol. 75(C), pages 177-194.
  10. Miettinen, Topi & Poutvaara, Panu, 2015. "Parties as efficiency-improving gatekeepers in rent-seeking societies," European Journal of Political Economy, Elsevier, vol. 38(C), pages 87-101.
  11. Juha Itkonen, 2015. "Social ties and concern for global warming," Climatic Change, Springer, vol. 132(2), pages 173-192, September.
  12. Lanne Markku, 2015. "Noncausality and inflation persistence," Studies in Nonlinear Dynamics & Econometrics, De Gruyter, vol. 19(4), pages 469-481, September.
  13. Miguel A. León-Ledesma & Peter McAdam & Alpo Willman, 2015. "Production Technology Estimates and Balanced Growth," Oxford Bulletin of Economics and Statistics, Department of Economics, University of Oxford, vol. 77(1), pages 40-65, February.
  14. Lainà, Patrizio & Nyholm, Juho & Sarlin, Peter, 2015. "Leading indicators of systemic banking crises: Finland in a panel of EU countries," Review of Financial Economics, Elsevier, vol. 24(C), pages 18-35.
  15. Saarimaa, Tuukka & Tukiainen, Janne, 2015. "Common pool problems in voluntary municipal mergers," European Journal of Political Economy, Elsevier, vol. 38(C), pages 140-152.
  16. Kosonen, Tuomas & Ropponen, Olli, 2015. "The role of information in tax compliance: Evidence from a natural field experiment," Economics Letters, Elsevier, vol. 129(C), pages 18-21.
  17. Kosonen, Tuomas, 2015. "More and cheaper haircuts after VAT cut? On the efficiency and incidence of service sector consumption taxes," Journal of Public Economics, Elsevier, vol. 131(C), pages 87-100.

2014

  1. Matthijs Lof, 2014. "GMM Estimation with Non-causal Instruments under Rational Expectations," Oxford Bulletin of Economics and Statistics, Department of Economics, University of Oxford, vol. 76(2), pages 279-286, April.
  2. Lof, Matthijs & Malinen, Tuomas, 2014. "Does sovereign debt weaken economic growth? A panel VAR analysis," Economics Letters, Elsevier, vol. 122(3), pages 403-407.
  3. Amado, Cristina & Teräsvirta, Timo, 2014. "Modelling changes in the unconditional variance of long stock return series," Journal of Empirical Finance, Elsevier, vol. 25(C), pages 15-35.
  4. Kock, Anders Bredahl & Teräsvirta, Timo, 2014. "Forecasting performances of three automated modelling techniques during the economic crisis 2007–2009," International Journal of Forecasting, Elsevier, vol. 30(3), pages 616-631.
  5. Cristina Amado & Timo Teräsvirta, 2014. "Conditional Correlation Models of Autoregressive Conditional Heteroscedasticity With Nonstationary GARCH Equations," Journal of Business & Economic Statistics, Taylor & Francis Journals, vol. 32(1), pages 69-87, January.
  6. Miettinen, Topi & Poutvaara, Panu, 2014. "A market for connections," European Journal of Political Economy, Elsevier, vol. 33(C), pages 37-52.
  7. Nyberg, Henri & Saikkonen, Pentti, 2014. "Forecasting with a noncausal VAR model," Computational Statistics & Data Analysis, Elsevier, vol. 76(C), pages 536-555.
  8. Nyberg, Henri, 2014. "A Bivariate Autoregressive Probit Model: Business Cycle Linkages And Transmission Of Recession Probabilities," Macroeconomic Dynamics, Cambridge University Press, vol. 18(4), pages 838-862, June.
  9. Kohonen, Anssi, 2014. "Transmission of government default risk in the eurozone," Journal of International Money and Finance, Elsevier, vol. 47(C), pages 71-85.
  10. Markku Lanne & Jani Luoto, 2014. "Does Output Gap, Labour's Share or Unemployment Rate Drive Inflation?," Oxford Bulletin of Economics and Statistics, Department of Economics, University of Oxford, vol. 76(5), pages 715-726, October.
  11. Cristiano Cantore & Miguel León-Ledesma & Peter McAdam & Alpo Willman, 2014. "Shocking Stuff: Technology, Hours, And Factor Substitution," Journal of the European Economic Association, European Economic Association, vol. 12(1), pages 108-128, February.
  12. Saarimaa, Tuukka & Tukiainen, Janne, 2014. "I Don't Care to Belong to Any Club That Will Have Me as a Member: Empirical Analysis of Municipal Mergers," Political Science Research and Methods, Cambridge University Press, vol. 2(1), pages 97-117, April.
  13. Hyytinen, Ari & Saarimaa, Tuukka & Tukiainen, Janne, 2014. "Electoral vulnerability and size of local governments: Evidence from voting on municipal mergers," Journal of Public Economics, Elsevier, vol. 120(C), pages 193-204.
  14. Kosonen Tuomas, 2014. "To Work or Not to Work? The Effect of Childcare Subsidies on the Labour Supply of Parents," The B.E. Journal of Economic Analysis & Policy, De Gruyter, vol. 14(3), pages 1-32, July.

2013

  1. Lof Matthijs, 2013. "Noncausality and asset pricing," Studies in Nonlinear Dynamics & Econometrics, De Gruyter, vol. 17(2), pages 211-220, April.
  2. Amado, Cristina & Teräsvirta, Timo, 2013. "Modelling volatility by variance decomposition," Journal of Econometrics, Elsevier, vol. 175(2), pages 142-153.
  3. Anders Bredahl Kock & Timo Teräsvirta, 2013. "Forecasting the Finnish Consumer Price Inflation Using Artificial Neural Network Models and Three Automated Model Selection Techniques," Finnish Economic Papers, Finnish Economic Association, vol. 26(1), pages 13-24, Spring.
  4. Tuomas Malinen, 2013. "Inequality, Savings, and Consumption: A Reassessment of the Relationships in Cointegrated Panels," Applied Economics Quarterly (formerly: Konjunkturpolitik), Duncker & Humblot, Berlin, vol. 59(3), pages 235-251.
  5. Tuomas Malinen, 2013. "Inequality And Growth: Another Look With A New Measure And Method," Journal of International Development, John Wiley & Sons, Ltd., vol. 25(1), pages 122-138, January.
  6. Nyberg, Henri, 2013. "Predicting bear and bull stock markets with dynamic binary time series models," Journal of Banking & Finance, Elsevier, vol. 37(9), pages 3351-3363.
  7. Kohonen, Anssi, 2013. "On detection of volatility spillovers in overlapping stock markets," Journal of Empirical Finance, Elsevier, vol. 22(C), pages 140-158.
  8. Lanne, Markku & Saikkonen, Pentti, 2013. "Noncausal Vector Autoregression," Econometric Theory, Cambridge University Press, vol. 29(3), pages 447-481, June.
  9. Lanne, Markku & Luoto, Jani, 2013. "Autoregression-based estimation of the new Keynesian Phillips curve," Journal of Economic Dynamics and Control, Elsevier, vol. 37(3), pages 561-570.
  10. Ahoniemi, Katja & Lanne, Markku, 2013. "Overnight stock returns and realized volatility," International Journal of Forecasting, Elsevier, vol. 29(4), pages 592-604.
  11. Markku Lanne & Mika Meitz & Pentti Saikkonen, 2013. "Testing for Linear and Nonlinear Predictability of Stock Returns," Journal of Financial Econometrics, Oxford University Press, vol. 11(4), pages 682-705, September.
  12. HelinÄ LaakkOnen & Markku Lanne, 2013. "The Relevance Of Accuracy For The Impact Of Macroeconomic News On Exchange Rate Volatility," International Journal of Finance & Economics, John Wiley & Sons, Ltd., vol. 18(4), pages 339-351, October.
  13. McAdam, Peter & Willman, Alpo, 2013. "Medium Run Redux," Macroeconomic Dynamics, Cambridge University Press, vol. 17(4), pages 695-727, June.
  14. Dieppe, Alistair & Pandiella, Alberto González & Hall, Stephen & Willman, Alpo, 2013. "Limited information minimal state variable learning in a medium-scale multi-country model," Economic Modelling, Elsevier, vol. 33(C), pages 808-825.
  15. PETER McADAM & ALPO WILLMAN, 2013. "Technology, Utilization, and Inflation: What Drives the New Keynesian Phillips Curve?," Journal of Money, Credit and Banking, Blackwell Publishing, vol. 45(8), pages 1547-1579, December.

2012

  1. Lof, Matthijs, 2012. "Heterogeneity in stock prices: A STAR model with multivariate transition function," Journal of Economic Dynamics and Control, Elsevier, vol. 36(12), pages 1845-1854.
  2. Ilpo Kauppinen & Panu Poutvaara, 2012. "Family Migration and Policies: Lessons from Denmark," ifo DICE Report, ifo Institute - Leibniz Institute for Economic Research at the University of Munich, vol. 9(04), pages 37-40, February.
  3. Itkonen, Juha V.A., 2012. "Problems estimating the carbon Kuznets curve," Energy, Elsevier, vol. 39(1), pages 274-280.
  4. Tuomas Malinen, 2012. "Estimating the long-run relationship between income inequality and economic development," Empirical Economics, Springer, vol. 42(1), pages 209-233, February.
  5. Nyberg, Henri, 2012. "Risk-Return Tradeoff in U.S. Stock Returns over the Business Cycle," Journal of Financial and Quantitative Analysis, Cambridge University Press, vol. 47(1), pages 137-158, February.
  6. Henri Nyberg & Markku Lanne & Erkka Saarinen, 2012. "Does noncausality help in forecasting economic time series?," Economics Bulletin, AccessEcon, vol. 32(4), pages 2849-2859.
  7. Lanne, Markku & Luoto, Jani, 2012. "Has US inflation really become harder to forecast?," Economics Letters, Elsevier, vol. 115(3), pages 383-386.
  8. Lanne, Markku & Luoto, Jani & Saikkonen, Pentti, 2012. "Optimal forecasting of noncausal autoregressive time series," International Journal of Forecasting, Elsevier, vol. 28(3), pages 623-631.
  9. Markku Lanne & Arto Luoma & Jani Luoto, 2012. "Bayesian Model Selection And Forecasting In Noncausal Autoregressive Models," Journal of Applied Econometrics, John Wiley & Sons, Ltd., vol. 27(5), pages 812-830, August.
  10. Rainer Klump & Peter McAdam & Alpo Willman, 2012. "The Normalized Ces Production Function: Theory And Empirics," Journal of Economic Surveys, Wiley Blackwell, vol. 26(5), pages 769-799, December.
  11. Dieppe, Alistair & González Pandiella, Alberto & Willman, Alpo, 2012. "The ECB's New Multi-Country Model for the euro area: NMCM — Simulated with rational expectations," Economic Modelling, Elsevier, vol. 29(6), pages 2597-2614.

2011

  1. Panu Poutvaara & Andreas Wagener, 2011. "Ending Military Conscription," ifo DICE Report, ifo Institute - Leibniz Institute for Economic Research at the University of Munich, vol. 9(02), pages 36-43, July.
  2. Poutvaara, Panu, 2011. "The expansion of higher education and time-consistent taxation," European Journal of Political Economy, Elsevier, vol. 27(2), pages 257-267, June.
  3. Kotakorpi, Kaisa & Poutvaara, Panu, 2011. "Pay for politicians and candidate selection: An empirical analysis," Journal of Public Economics, Elsevier, vol. 95(7-8), pages 877-885, August.
  4. Dreher, Axel & Poutvaara, Panu, 2011. "Foreign Students and Migration to the United States," World Development, Elsevier, vol. 39(8), pages 1294-1307, August.
  5. Panu Poutvaara & Mikael Priks, 2011. "Unemployment and gang crime: can prosperity backfire?," Economics of Governance, Springer, vol. 12(3), pages 259-273, September.
  6. Pellervo Hämäläinen & Tuomas Malinen, 2011. "The relationship between regional value-added and public capital in Finland: what do the new panel econometric techniques tell us?," Empirical Economics, Springer, vol. 40(1), pages 237-252, February.
  7. Nyberg, Henri, 2011. "Forecasting the direction of the US stock market with dynamic binary probit models," International Journal of Forecasting, Elsevier, vol. 27(2), pages 561-578, April.
  8. Markku Lanne & Pentti Saikkonen, 2011. "GMM Estimation with Non‐causal Instruments," Oxford Bulletin of Economics and Statistics, Department of Economics, University of Oxford, vol. 73(5), pages 581-592, October.
  9. Lanne Markku & Saikkonen Pentti, 2011. "Noncausal Autoregressions for Economic Time Series," Journal of Time Series Econometrics, De Gruyter, vol. 3(3), pages 1-32, October.

2010

  1. Timo Teräsvirta, 2010. "Working With Clive Granger: Two Short Memories," Journal of Financial Econometrics, Oxford University Press, vol. 8(2), pages 191-192, spring.
  2. Timo Terasvirta, 2010. "Sir Clive William John Granger, 1934-2009," New Zealand Economic Papers, Taylor & Francis Journals, vol. 44(2), pages 121-127.
  3. Glazer, Amihai & Kanniainen, Vesa & Poutvaara, Panu, 2010. "Firms' ethics, consumer boycotts, and signalling," European Journal of Political Economy, Elsevier, vol. 26(3), pages 340-350, September.
  4. Berggren, Niclas & Jordahl, Henrik & Poutvaara, Panu, 2010. "The looks of a winner: Beauty and electoral success," Journal of Public Economics, Elsevier, vol. 94(1-2), pages 8-15, February.
  5. Panu Poutvaara & Andreas Wagener, 2010. "The invisible hand plays dice: multiple equilibria in sects markets," Public Choice, Springer, vol. 145(3), pages 483-502, December.
  6. Katarina Keller & Panu Poutvaara & Andreas Wagener, 2010. "Does a Military Draft Discourage Enrollment in Higher Education?," FinanzArchiv: Public Finance Analysis, Mohr Siebeck, Tübingen, vol. 66(2), pages 97-120, June.
  7. Henri Nyberg, 2010. "Testing an autoregressive structure in binary time series models," Economics Bulletin, AccessEcon, vol. 30(2), pages 1460-1473.
  8. Henri Nyberg, 2010. "Dynamic probit models and financial variables in recession forecasting," Journal of Forecasting, John Wiley & Sons, Ltd., vol. 29(1-2), pages 215-230.
  9. Lanne, Markku & Lütkepohl, Helmut, 2010. "Structural Vector Autoregressions With Nonnormal Residuals," Journal of Business & Economic Statistics, American Statistical Association, vol. 28(1), pages 159-168.
  10. Lanne, Markku & Lütkepohl, Helmut & Maciejowska, Katarzyna, 2010. "Structural vector autoregressions with Markov switching," Journal of Economic Dynamics and Control, Elsevier, vol. 34(2), pages 121-131, February.
  11. Markku Lanne & Timo Vesala, 2010. "The effect of a transaction tax on exchange rate volatility," International Journal of Finance & Economics, John Wiley & Sons, Ltd., vol. 15(2), pages 123-133.
  12. Miguel A. León-Ledesma & Peter McAdam & Alpo Willman, 2010. "Identifying the Elasticity of Substitution with Biased Technical Change," American Economic Review, American Economic Association, vol. 100(4), pages 1330-1357, September.
  13. Peter Mcadam & Alpo Willman, 2010. "Arrow–Calvo Price Staggering," Manchester School, University of Manchester, vol. 78(6), pages 556-581, December.

2009

  1. Tomoaki Nakatani & Timo Terasvirta, 2009. "Testing for volatility interactions in the Constant Conditional Correlation GARCH model," Econometrics Journal, Royal Economic Society, vol. 12(1), pages 147-163, March.
  2. Annastiina Silvennoinen & Timo Teräsvirta, 2009. "Modeling Multivariate Autoregressive Conditional Heteroskedasticity with the Double Smooth Transition Conditional Correlation GARCH Model," Journal of Financial Econometrics, Oxford University Press, vol. 7(4), pages 373-411, Fall.
  3. Changli He & Timo Terasvirta & Andres Gonzalez, 2009. "Testing Parameter Constancy in Stationary Vector Autoregressive Models Against Continuous Change," Econometric Reviews, Taylor & Francis Journals, vol. 28(1-3), pages 225-245.
  4. Panu Poutvaara & Mikael Priks, 2009. "Hooliganism and Police Tactics," Journal of Public Economic Theory, Association for Public Economic Theory, vol. 11(3), pages 441-453, June.
  5. Jordahl, Henrik & Poutvaara, Panu & Tuomala, Juha, 2009. "Education returns of wage earners and self-employed workers: Comment," Economics of Education Review, Elsevier, vol. 28(5), pages 641-644, October.
  6. Jordahl, Henrik & Poutvaara, Panu & Tuomala, Juha, 2009. "Education returns of wage earners and self-employed workers: Rejoinder," Economics of Education Review, Elsevier, vol. 28(5), pages 648-648, October.
  7. Poutvaara, Panu & Priks, Mikael, 2009. "The effect of police intelligence on group violence: Evidence from reassignments in Sweden," Journal of Public Economics, Elsevier, vol. 93(3-4), pages 403-411, April.
  8. Volker Grossmann & Panu Poutvaara, 2009. "Pareto-improving bequest taxation," International Tax and Public Finance, Springer;International Institute of Public Finance, vol. 16(5), pages 647-669, October.
  9. Marko Koethenbuerger & Panu Poutvaara, 2009. "Rent taxation and its intertemporal welfare effects in a small open economy," International Tax and Public Finance, Springer;International Institute of Public Finance, vol. 16(5), pages 697-709, October.
  10. Katarina Keller & Panu Poutvaara & Andreas Wagener, 2009. "Military Draft And Economic Growth In Oecd Countries," Defence and Peace Economics, Taylor & Francis Journals, vol. 20(5), pages 373-393, October.
  11. Laakkonen Helinä & Lanne Markku, 2009. "Asymmetric News Effects on Exchange Rate Volatility: Good vs. Bad News in Good vs. Bad Times," Studies in Nonlinear Dynamics & Econometrics, De Gruyter, vol. 14(1), pages 1-38, December.
  12. Markku Lanne, 2009. "Properties of Market-Based and Survey Macroeconomic Forecasts for Different Data Releases," Economics Bulletin, AccessEcon, vol. 29(3), pages 2231-2240.
  13. Lanne, Markku & Luoma, Arto & Luoto, Jani, 2009. "A naïve sticky information model of households' inflation expectations," Journal of Economic Dynamics and Control, Elsevier, vol. 33(6), pages 1332-1344, June.
  14. Ahoniemi, Katja & Lanne, Markku, 2009. "Joint modeling of call and put implied volatility," International Journal of Forecasting, Elsevier, vol. 25(2), pages 239-258.

2008

  1. González Andrés & Teräsvirta Timo, 2008. "Modelling Autoregressive Processes with a Shifting Mean," Studies in Nonlinear Dynamics & Econometrics, De Gruyter, vol. 12(1), pages 1-28, March.
  2. Nakatani, Tomoaki & Teräsvirta, Timo, 2008. "Positivity constraints on the conditional variances in the family of conditional correlation GARCH models," Finance Research Letters, Elsevier, vol. 5(2), pages 88-95, June.
  3. Changli He & Annastiina Silvennoinen & Timo Teräsvirta, 2008. "Parameterizing Unconditional Skewness in Models for Financial Time Series," Journal of Financial Econometrics, Oxford University Press, vol. 6(2), pages 208-230, Spring.
  4. Panu Poutvaara, 2008. "Public and Private Education in an Integrated Europe: Studying to Migrate and Teaching to Stay?," Scandinavian Journal of Economics, Wiley Blackwell, vol. 110(3), pages 591-608, September.
  5. Poutvaara, Panu & Siemers, Lars-H. R., 2008. "Smoking and social interaction," Journal of Health Economics, Elsevier, vol. 27(6), pages 1503-1515, December.
  6. Glazer, Amihai & Kanniainen, Vesa & Poutvaara, Panu, 2008. "Income taxes, property values, and migration," Journal of Public Economics, Elsevier, vol. 92(3-4), pages 915-923, April.
  7. Panu Poutvaara & Andreas Wagener, 2008. "Why is the public sector more labor-intensive? A distortionary tax argument," Journal of Economics, Springer, vol. 94(2), pages 105-124, July.
  8. Marko Koethenbuerger & Panu Poutvaara & Paola Profeta, 2008. "Why are more redistributive social security systems smaller? A median voter approach," Oxford Economic Papers, Oxford University Press, vol. 60(2), pages 275-292, April.
  9. Panu Poutvaara, 2008. "On human capital formation with exit options: comment and new results," Journal of Population Economics, Springer;European Society for Population Economics, vol. 21(3), pages 679-684, July.
  10. Lanne, Markku & Luoto, Jani, 2008. "Robustness of the risk-return relationship in the U.S. stock market," Finance Research Letters, Elsevier, vol. 5(2), pages 118-127, June.
  11. Markku Lanne & Helmut L‹Tkepohl, 2008. "Identifying Monetary Policy Shocks via Changes in Volatility," Journal of Money, Credit and Banking, Blackwell Publishing, vol. 40(6), pages 1131-1149, September.
  12. Klump, Rainer & McAdam, Peter & Willman, Alpo, 2008. "Unwrapping some euro area growth puzzles: Factor substitution, productivity and unemployment," Journal of Macroeconomics, Elsevier, vol. 30(2), pages 645-666, June.
  13. Tukiainen, Janne, 2008. "Testing for common costs in the City of Helsinki bus transit auctions," International Journal of Industrial Organization, Elsevier, vol. 26(6), pages 1308-1322, November.

2007

  1. Eklund, Bruno & Terasvirta, Timo, 2007. "Testing constancy of the error covariance matrix in vector models," Journal of Econometrics, Elsevier, vol. 140(2), pages 753-780, October.
  2. Poutvaara, Panu & Wagener, Andreas, 2007. "To draft or not to draft? Inefficiency, generational incidence, and political economy of military conscription," European Journal of Political Economy, Elsevier, vol. 23(4), pages 975-987, December.
  3. Poutvaara, Panu, 2007. "Social security incentives, human capital investment and mobility of labor," Journal of Public Economics, Elsevier, vol. 91(7-8), pages 1299-1325, August.
  4. Panu Poutvaara & Andreas Wagener, 2007. "Conscription: Economic costs and political allure," Economics of Peace and Security Journal, EPS Publishing, vol. 2(1), pages 6-15, January.
  5. Panu Poutvaara & Tuomas Takalo, 2007. "Candidate quality," International Tax and Public Finance, Springer;International Institute of Public Finance, vol. 14(1), pages 7-27, February.
  6. Panu Poutvaara & Andreas Wagener, 2007. "Conscription: Economic costs and political allure," Economics of Peace and Security Journal, EPS Publishing, vol. 2(1), pages 6-15, January.
  7. Lanne, Markku & Saikkonen, Pentti, 2007. "A Multivariate Generalized Orthogonal Factor GARCH Model," Journal of Business & Economic Statistics, American Statistical Association, vol. 25, pages 61-75, January.
  8. Lanne, Markku, 2007. "Forecasting realized exchange rate volatility by decomposition," International Journal of Forecasting, Elsevier, vol. 23(2), pages 307-320.
  9. Markku Lanne & Saikkonen Pentti, 2007. "Modeling Conditional Skewness in Stock Returns," The European Journal of Finance, Taylor & Francis Journals, vol. 13(8), pages 691-704.
  10. Peter McAdam & Alpo Willman, 2007. "Productivity growth in the euro area," Research Bulletin, European Central Bank, vol. 6, pages 7-9.
  11. Rainer Klump & Peter McAdam & Alpo Willman, 2007. "The long-term sucCESs of the neoclassical growth model," Oxford Review of Economic Policy, Oxford University Press and Oxford Review of Economic Policy Limited, vol. 23(1), pages 94-114, Spring.
  12. Rainer Klump & Peter McAdam & Alpo Willman, 2007. "Factor Substitution and Factor-Augmenting Technical Progress in the United States: A Normalized Supply-Side System Approach," The Review of Economics and Statistics, MIT Press, vol. 89(1), pages 183-192, February.

2006

  1. Meitz, Mika & Terasvirta, Timo, 2006. "Evaluating Models of Autoregressive Conditional Duration," Journal of Business & Economic Statistics, American Statistical Association, vol. 24, pages 104-124, January.
  2. Andrés González & Timo Teräsvirta, 2006. "Simulation‐based Finite Sample Linearity Test against Smooth Transition Models," Oxford Bulletin of Economics and Statistics, Department of Economics, University of Oxford, vol. 68(s1), pages 797-812, December.
  3. Birgit Strikholm & Timo Teräsvirta, 2006. "A sequential procedure for determining the number of regimes in a threshold autoregressive model," Econometrics Journal, Royal Economic Society, vol. 9(3), pages 472-491, November.
  4. Lundbergh, Stefan & Terasvirta, Timo, 2006. "A time series model for an exchange rate in a target zone with applications," Journal of Econometrics, Elsevier, vol. 131(1-2), pages 579-609.
  5. Granger, Clive W.J. & Terasvirta, Timo & Patton, Andrew J., 2006. "Common factors in conditional distributions for bivariate time series," Journal of Econometrics, Elsevier, vol. 132(1), pages 43-57, May.
  6. Timo Teräsvirta & Marcelo C. Medeiros & Gianluigi Rech, 2006. "Building neural network models for time series: a statistical approach," Journal of Forecasting, John Wiley & Sons, Ltd., vol. 25(1), pages 49-75.
  7. Marko Köthenbürger & Panu Poutvaara, 2006. "Social Security Reform and Investment in Education: Is There Scope for a Pareto Improvement?," Economica, London School of Economics and Political Science, vol. 73(290), pages 299-319, May.
  8. Morten I. Lau & Panu Poutvaara, 2006. "Social Security Incentives and Human Capital Investment," Finnish Economic Papers, Finnish Economic Association, vol. 19(1), pages 16-24, Spring.
  9. Bernd Genser & Erkki Koskela & Panu Poutvaara, 2006. "Editorial Note," FinanzArchiv: Public Finance Analysis, Mohr Siebeck, Tübingen, vol. 62(3), pages 392-392, September.
  10. Panu Poutvaara, 2006. "On the political economy of social security and public education," Journal of Population Economics, Springer;European Society for Population Economics, vol. 19(2), pages 345-365, June.
  11. Lanne, Markku & Saikkonen, Pentti, 2006. "Why is it so difficult to uncover the risk-return tradeoff in stock returns?," Economics Letters, Elsevier, vol. 92(1), pages 118-125, July.
  12. Markku Lanne, 2006. "Nonlinear dynamics of interest rate and inflation," Journal of Applied Econometrics, John Wiley & Sons, Ltd., vol. 21(8), pages 1157-1168.
  13. Markku Lanne, 2006. "A Mixture Multiplicative Error Model for Realized Volatility," Journal of Financial Econometrics, Oxford University Press, vol. 4(4), pages 594-616.

2005

  1. Terasvirta, Timo & van Dijk, Dick & Medeiros, Marcelo C., 2005. "Linear models, smooth transition autoregressions, and neural networks for forecasting macroeconomic time series: A re-examination," International Journal of Forecasting, Elsevier, vol. 21(4), pages 755-774.
  2. Terasvirta, Timo & van Dijk, Dick & Medeiros, Marcelo C., 2005. "Reply," International Journal of Forecasting, Elsevier, vol. 21(4), pages 781-783.
  3. Katarina R. I. Keller & Panu Poutvaara, 2005. "Growth in OECD countries and elsewhere: how much do education and R&D explain?," Economics Bulletin, AccessEcon, vol. 15(16), pages 1-11.
  4. Markku Lanne & Pentti Saikkonen, 2005. "Non-linear GARCH models for highly persistent volatility," Econometrics Journal, Royal Economic Society, vol. 8(2), pages 251-276, July.

2004

  1. He, Changli & Teräsvirta, Timo, 2004. "An Extended Constant Conditional Correlation Garch Model And Its Fourth-Moment Structure," Econometric Theory, Cambridge University Press, vol. 20(5), pages 904-926, October.
  2. Morten I. Lau & Panu Poutvaara & Andreas Wagener, 2004. "Dynamic Costs of the Draft," German Economic Review, Verein für Socialpolitik, vol. 5(4), pages 381-406, November.
  3. Eerola Essi & Määttänen Niku & Poutvaara Panu, 2004. "Citizens Should Vote on Secession," The B.E. Journal of Economic Analysis & Policy, De Gruyter, vol. 4(1), pages 1-22, October.
  4. Poutvaara, Panu, 2004. "Gerontocracy revisited: unilateral transfer to the young may benefit the middle-aged," Journal of Public Economics, Elsevier, vol. 88(1-2), pages 161-174, January.
  5. Svend E. Hougaard Jensen & Morten I. Lau & Panu Poutvaara, 2004. "Efficiency and Equity Aspects of Alternative Social Security Rules," FinanzArchiv: Public Finance Analysis, Mohr Siebeck, Tübingen, vol. 60(3), pages 325-358, September.
  6. Panu Poutvaara, 2004. "Educating Europe: Should Public Education be Financed with Graduate Taxes or Income-contingent Loans?," CESifo Economic Studies, CESifo Group, vol. 50(4), pages 663-684.
  7. Markku Lanne and Matti Liski, 2004. "Trends and Breaks in Per-Capita Carbon Dioxide Emissions, 1870-2028," The Energy Journal, International Association for Energy Economics, vol. 0(Number 4), pages 41-66.
  8. Peter McAdam & Alpo Willman, 2004. "Supply, Factor Shares and Inflation Persistence: Re‐examining Euro‐area New‐Keynesian Phillips Curves," Oxford Bulletin of Economics and Statistics, Department of Economics, University of Oxford, vol. 66(s1), pages 637-670, September.
  9. McAdam, Peter & Willman, Alpo, 2004. "Production, supply and factor shares: an application to estimating German long-run supply," Economic Modelling, Elsevier, vol. 21(2), pages 191-215, March.

2003

  1. Lundbergh, Stefan & Terasvirta, Timo & van Dijk, Dick, 2003. "Time-Varying Smooth Transition Autoregressive Models," Journal of Business & Economic Statistics, American Statistical Association, vol. 21(1), pages 104-121, January.
  2. Dick van Dijk 1 & Birgit Strikholm & Timo Teräsvirta, 2003. "The effects of institutional and technological change and business cycle fluctuations on seasonal patterns in quarterly industrial production series," Econometrics Journal, Royal Economic Society, vol. 6(1), pages 79-98, June.
  3. Anna Persson & Timo Teräsvirta, 2003. "The net barter terms of trade: A smooth transition approach," International Journal of Finance & Economics, John Wiley & Sons, Ltd., vol. 8(1), pages 81-97.
  4. Poutvaara, Panu, 2003. "Party Platforms with Endogenous Party Membership," Public Choice, Springer, vol. 117(1-2), pages 79-98, October.
  5. Markku Lanne & Pentti Saikkonen, 2003. "Reducing size distortions of parametric stationarity tests," Journal of Time Series Analysis, Wiley Blackwell, vol. 24(4), pages 423-439, July.
  6. Markku Lanne, 2003. "Testing the Expectations Hypothesis of the Term Structure of Interest Rates in the Presence of a Potential Regime Shift," Manchester School, University of Manchester, vol. 71(s1), pages 54-67, September.
  7. Markku Lanne & Helmut Lütkepohl & Pentti Saikkonen, 2003. "Test Procedures for Unit Roots in Time Series with Level Shifts at Unknown Time," Oxford Bulletin of Economics and Statistics, Department of Economics, University of Oxford, vol. 65(1), pages 91-115, February.
  8. Markku Lanne & Pentti Saikkonen, 2003. "Modeling the U.S. Short-Term Interest Rate by Mixture Autoregressive Processes," Journal of Financial Econometrics, Oxford University Press, vol. 1(1), pages 96-125.

2002

  1. He, Changli & Teräsvirta, Timo & Malmsten, Hans, 2002. "Moment Structure Of A Family Of First-Order Exponential Garch Models," Econometric Theory, Cambridge University Press, vol. 18(4), pages 868-885, August.
  2. Skalin, Joakim & Teräsvirta, Timo, 2002. "Modeling Asymmetries And Moving Equilibria In Unemployment Rates," Macroeconomic Dynamics, Cambridge University Press, vol. 6(2), pages 202-241, April.
  3. Davidson, James & Terasvirta, Timo, 2002. "Long memory and nonlinear time series," Journal of Econometrics, Elsevier, vol. 110(2), pages 105-112, October.
  4. Lundbergh, Stefan & Terasvirta, Timo, 2002. "Evaluating GARCH models," Journal of Econometrics, Elsevier, vol. 110(2), pages 417-435, October.
  5. Dick van Dijk & Timo Terasvirta & Philip Hans Franses, 2002. "Smooth Transition Autoregressive Models — A Survey Of Recent Developments," Econometric Reviews, Taylor & Francis Journals, vol. 21(1), pages 1-47.
  6. Poutvaara Panu, 2002. "Income Redistribution and Risky Occupational Choices," The B.E. Journal of Economic Analysis & Policy, De Gruyter, vol. 2(1), pages 1-19, July.
  7. Panu Poutvaara, 2002. "Investment in Education and Redistributive Taxation without Precommitment," FinanzArchiv: Public Finance Analysis, Mohr Siebeck, Tübingen, vol. 59(2), pages 177-188, May.
  8. Lanne, Markku & Saikkonen, Pentti, 2002. "Threshold Autoregressions for Strongly Autocorrelated Time Series," Journal of Business & Economic Statistics, American Statistical Association, vol. 20(2), pages 282-289, April.
  9. Markku Lanne & Helmut Lütkepohl & Pentti Saikkonen, 2002. "Comparison of unit root tests for time series with level shifts," Journal of Time Series Analysis, Wiley Blackwell, vol. 23(6), pages 667-685, November.
  10. Lanne, Markku & Lutkepohl, Helmut, 2002. "Unit root tests for time series with level shifts: a comparison of different proposals," Economics Letters, Elsevier, vol. 75(1), pages 109-114, March.
  11. Markku Lanne, 2002. "Testing The Predictability Of Stock Returns," The Review of Economics and Statistics, MIT Press, vol. 84(3), pages 407-415, August.

2001

  1. Franses, Philip Hans & Teräsvirta, Timo, 2001. "Introduction To The Special Issue: Nonlinear Modeling Of Multivariate Macroeconomic Relations," Macroeconomic Dynamics, Cambridge University Press, vol. 5(4), pages 461-465, September.
  2. Timo Teräsvirta & Ann-Charlotte Eliasson, 2001. "Non-linear error correction and the UK demand for broad money, 1878-1993," Journal of Applied Econometrics, John Wiley & Sons, Ltd., vol. 16(3), pages 277-288.
  3. Poutvaara, Panu, 2001. "Alternative tax constitutions and risky education in a federation," Regional Science and Urban Economics, Elsevier, vol. 31(2-3), pages 355-377, April.
  4. Markku Lanne, 2001. "Near unit root and the relationship between inflation and interest rates: A reexamination of the Fisher effect," Empirical Economics, Springer, vol. 26(2), pages 357-366.

2000

  1. Panu Poutvaara & Vesa Kanniainen, 2000. "Why Invest in Your Neighbor? Social Contract on Educational Investment," International Tax and Public Finance, Springer;International Institute of Public Finance, vol. 7(4), pages 547-562, August.
  2. Panu Poutvaara, 2000. "Education, Mobility of Labour and Tax Competition," International Tax and Public Finance, Springer;International Institute of Public Finance, vol. 7(6), pages 699-719, December.
  3. Markku Lanne, 2000. "Near unit roots, cointegration, and the term structure of interest rates," Journal of Applied Econometrics, John Wiley & Sons, Ltd., vol. 15(5), pages 513-529.
  4. Willman, Alpo & Kortelainen, Mika & Mannisto, Hanna-Leena & Tujula, Mika, 2000. "The BOF5 macroeconomic model of Finland, structure and dynamic microfoundations," Economic Modelling, Elsevier, vol. 17(2), pages 275-303, April.

1999

  1. Changli He & Timo Terasvirta, 1999. "Properties of the Autocorrelation Function of Squared Observations for Second‐order Garch Processes Under Two Sets of Parameter Constraints," Journal of Time Series Analysis, Wiley Blackwell, vol. 20(1), pages 23-30, January.
  2. He, Changli & Teräsvirta, Timo, 1999. "FOURTH MOMENT STRUCTURE OF THE GARCH(p,q) PROCESS," Econometric Theory, Cambridge University Press, vol. 15(6), pages 824-846, December.
  3. Granger, Clive W. J. & Terasvirta, Timo, 1999. "A simple nonlinear time series model with misleading linear properties," Economics Letters, Elsevier, vol. 62(2), pages 161-165, February.
  4. Lin, Chien-Fu Jeff & Terasvirta, Timo, 1999. "Testing parameter constancy in linear models against stochastic stationary parameters," Journal of Econometrics, Elsevier, vol. 90(2), pages 193-213, June.
  5. He, Changli & Terasvirta, Timo, 1999. "Properties of moments of a family of GARCH processes," Journal of Econometrics, Elsevier, vol. 92(1), pages 173-192, September.
  6. Skalin, Joakim & Terasvirta, Timo, 1999. "Another Look at Swedish Business Cycles, 1861-1988," Journal of Applied Econometrics, John Wiley & Sons, Ltd., vol. 14(4), pages 359-378, July-Aug..
  7. Lutkepohl, Helmut & Terasvirta, Timo & Wolters, Jurgen, 1999. "Investigating Stability and Linearity of a German M1 Money Demand Function," Journal of Applied Econometrics, John Wiley & Sons, Ltd., vol. 14(5), pages 511-525, Sept.-Oct.
  8. Markku Lanne, 1999. "Near Unit Roots And The Predictive Power Of Yield Spreads For Changes In Long-Term Interest Rates," The Review of Economics and Statistics, MIT Press, vol. 81(3), pages 393-398, August.

1998

  1. Timo Teräsvirta & Svend Hylleberg, 1998. "Comments on N. R. Ericsson, D. F. Hendry and K.M. Prestwich, “The Demand for Broad Money in the United Kingdom, 1878–1993”," Scandinavian Journal of Economics, Wiley Blackwell, vol. 100(1), pages 325-334, March.
  2. Tobias Rydén & Timo Teräsvirta & Stefan Åsbrink, 1998. "Stylized facts of daily return series and the hidden Markov model," Journal of Applied Econometrics, John Wiley & Sons, Ltd., vol. 13(3), pages 217-244.
  3. Jürgen Wolters & Timo Teräsvirta & Helmut Lütkepohl, 1998. "Modeling The Demand For M3 In The Unified Germany," The Review of Economics and Statistics, MIT Press, vol. 80(3), pages 399-409, August.

1997

  1. Terasvirta, Timo, 1997. "The International Institute of Forecasters Award for the Best Forecasting Paper," International Journal of Forecasting, Elsevier, vol. 13(4), pages 591-592, December.

1996

  1. Jansen, Eilev S & Terasvirta, Timo, 1996. "Testing Parameter Constancy and Super Exogeneity in Econometric Equations," Oxford Bulletin of Economics and Statistics, Department of Economics, University of Oxford, vol. 58(4), pages 735-763, November.
  2. Teräsvirta Timo, 1996. "Power Properties of Linearity Tests for Time Series," Studies in Nonlinear Dynamics & Econometrics, De Gruyter, vol. 1(1), pages 1-10, April.
  3. Eitrheim, Oyvind & Terasvirta, Timo, 1996. "Testing the adequacy of smooth transition autoregressive models," Journal of Econometrics, Elsevier, vol. 74(1), pages 59-75, September.
  4. Kauppi, Eija & Lassila, Jukka & Terasvirta, Timo, 1996. "Short-term forecasting of industrial production with business survey data: experience from Finland's great depression 1990-1993," International Journal of Forecasting, Elsevier, vol. 12(3), pages 373-381, September.

1995

  1. Terasvirta, Timo, 1995. "Professor Clive W.J. Granger: An interview for the International Journal of Forecasting," International Journal of Forecasting, Elsevier, vol. 11(4), pages 585-590, December.
  2. Terasvirta, Timo, 1995. "Modelling Nonlinearity in U.S. Gross National Product 1889-1987," Empirical Economics, Springer, vol. 20(4), pages 577-597.
  3. Markku Lanne, 1995. "Co-integration and the term structure of Finnish short-term interest rates," Finnish Economic Papers, Finnish Economic Association, vol. 8(1), pages 3-16, Spring.

1994

  1. Lin, Chien-Fu Jeff & Terasvirta, Timo, 1994. "Testing the constancy of regression parameters against continuous structural change," Journal of Econometrics, Elsevier, vol. 62(2), pages 211-228, June.
  2. Deutsch, Melinda & Granger, Clive W. J. & Terasvirta, Timo, 1994. "The combination of forecasts using changing weights," International Journal of Forecasting, Elsevier, vol. 10(1), pages 47-57, June.

1993

  1. Timo Teräsvirta & Chien‐Fu Lin & Clive W. J. Granger, 1993. "Power Of The Neural Network Linearity Test," Journal of Time Series Analysis, Wiley Blackwell, vol. 14(2), pages 209-220, March.

1992

  1. Terasvirta, T & Anderson, H M, 1992. "Characterizing Nonlinearities in Business Cycles Using Smooth Transition Autoregressive Models," Journal of Applied Econometrics, John Wiley & Sons, Ltd., vol. 7(S), pages 119-136, Suppl. De.

1991

  1. Alpo Willman, 1991. "Why there is a lower bound on the central bank's foreign reserves," Finnish Economic Papers, Finnish Economic Association, vol. 4(2), pages 113-129, Autumn.

1990

  1. Boucelham, Jamel & Terasvirta, Timo, 1990. "Use of preliminary values in forecasting industrial production," International Journal of Forecasting, Elsevier, vol. 6(4), pages 463-468, December.

1989

  1. Alpo Willman, 1989. "If the markka floated : simulating the BOF4 model with fixed and floating exchange rates," Finnish Economic Papers, Finnish Economic Association, vol. 2(1), pages 3-19, Spring.

1988

  1. Rahiala, Markku & Terasvirta, Timo, 1988. "Formation of Firms' Production Decisions in Finnish Manufacturing Industries," Journal of Applied Econometrics, John Wiley & Sons, Ltd., vol. 3(2), pages 125-137, April.
  2. Willman, Alpo, 1988. "Balance-of-payments crises and monetary policy reactions in a model with imperfect substitutability between domestic and foreign bonds," Economics Letters, Elsevier, vol. 26(1), pages 77-81.
  3. Willman, Alpo, 1988. "The collapse of the fixed exchange rate regime with sticky wages and imperfect substitutability between domestic and foreign bonds," European Economic Review, Elsevier, vol. 32(9), pages 1817-1838, November.

1987

  1. Judge, George & Yi, Gang & Yancey, Thomas & Terasvirta, Timo, 1987. "The extended Stein procedure for simultaneous model selection and parameter estimation," Journal of Econometrics, Elsevier, vol. 35(2-3), pages 375-391, July.
  2. Terasvirta, Timo, 1987. "Usefulness of proxy variables in linear models with stochastic regressors," Journal of Econometrics, Elsevier, vol. 36(3), pages 377-382, November.
  3. Willman, Alpo, 1987. "Speculative attacks on the currency with uncertain monetary policy reactions," Economics Letters, Elsevier, vol. 25(1), pages 75-78.

1985

  1. Timo Teräsvirta, 1985. "Mink And Muskrat Interaction:A Structural Analysis," Journal of Time Series Analysis, Wiley Blackwell, vol. 6(3), pages 171-180, May.

1982

  1. Terasvirta, Timo, 1982. "Underestimation of mean square error matrix in misspecified linear models," Journal of Econometrics, Elsevier, vol. 18(2), pages 281-284, February.

1980

  1. Terasvirta, T, 1980. "The Polynomial Distributed Lag Revisited," Empirical Economics, Springer, vol. 5(2), pages 69-81.

1976

  1. Terasvirta, Timo, 1976. "A Note on Bias in the Almon Distributed Lag Estimator," Econometrica, Econometric Society, vol. 44(6), pages 1317-1321, November.
  2. Leskinen, Esko & Terasvirta, Timo, 1976. "Forecasting the consumption of alcoholic beverages in Finland : A box-Jenkins approach," European Economic Review, Elsevier, vol. 8(4), pages 349-369, December.

Books

Undated material is listed at the end

2022

  1. Yvonne Giesing & Tetyana Panchenko & Panu Poutvaara, 2022. "Adaptation and Intergration Strategies of Refegee from Ukraine in Germany," ifo Forschungsberichte, ifo Institute - Leibniz Institute for Economic Research at the University of Munich, number 135.
  2. Joop Adema & Clara Albrecht & Yvonne Giesing & Tetyana Panchenko & Panu Poutvaara & Joop Age Harm Adema, 2022. "People With a Migration Background and Refugees in Bavaria and Their Importance for the Bavarian Labor Market," ifo Forschungsberichte, ifo Institute - Leibniz Institute for Economic Research at the University of Munich, number 136.

2017

  1. Panu Poutvaara & Marcus Drometer & Romuald Méango & Till Nikolka & Daniel Leithold & Katrin Oesingmann & Sabine Rumscheidt & Daniela Wech, 2017. "Employment effects of regulatorythresholds for French and German companies," ifo Forschungsberichte, ifo Institute - Leibniz Institute for Economic Research at the University of Munich, number 83.
  2. Panu Poutvaara & Till Nikolka & Daniel Leithold & Katrin Oesingmann & Daniela Wech, 2017. "Comparative study about the powers and the representativeness of employee representatives in French and German enterprises," ifo Forschungsberichte, ifo Institute - Leibniz Institute for Economic Research at the University of Munich, number 84.

2010

  1. Terasvirta, Timo & Tjostheim, Dag & Granger, Clive W. J., 2010. "Modelling Nonlinear Economic Time Series," OUP Catalogue, Oxford University Press, number 9780199587155, Decembrie.

2006

  1. Barnett,William A. & Hendry,David F. & Hylleberg,Svend & Teräsvirta,Timo & Tjøstheim,Dag & Würtz, (ed.), 2006. "Nonlinear Econometric Modeling in Time Series," Cambridge Books, Cambridge University Press, number 9780521028684.

2000

  1. Barnett,William A. & Hendry,David F. & Hylleberg,Svend & Teräsvirta,Timo & Tjøstheim,Dag & Würtz, (ed.), 2000. "Nonlinear Econometric Modeling in Time Series," Cambridge Books, Cambridge University Press, number 9780521594240.

1993

  1. Granger, Clive W. J. & Terasvirta, Timo, 1993. "Modelling Non-Linear Economic Relationships," OUP Catalogue, Oxford University Press, number 9780198773207, Decembrie.

Undated

  1. Holmström, Bengt & Honkapohja, Seppo & Huhtala, Anni & Hyytinen, Ari & Kauhanen, Antti & Koski, Heli & Kuusi, Tero & Maliranta, Mika & Nilsson Hakkala, Katariina & Poutvaara, Panu & Rouvinen, Petri & , . "Suomen kasvu (Finnish Economic Growth)," ETLA B, The Research Institute of the Finnish Economy, number 278.

Chapters

Undated material is listed at the end

2022

  1. Markku Lanne & Jani Luoto, 2022. "Statistical Identification of Economic Shocks by Signs in Structural Vector Autoregression," Advances in Econometrics, in: Essays in Honour of Fabio Canova, volume 44, pages 165-175, Emerald Group Publishing Limited.

2013

  1. Niels Haldrup & Robinson Kruse & Timo Teräsvirta & Rasmus T. Varneskov, 2013. "Unit roots, non-linearities and structural breaks," Chapters, in: Nigar Hashimzade & Michael A. Thornton (ed.), Handbook of Research Methods and Applications in Empirical Macroeconomics, chapter 4, pages 61-94, Edward Elgar Publishing.
  2. Kirstin Hubrich & Timo Teräsvirta, 2013. "Thresholds and Smooth Transitions in Vector Autoregressive Models☆The views expressed in this article are those of the authors and should not be interpreted as reflecting the views of the European Cen," Advances in Econometrics, in: VAR Models in Macroeconomics – New Developments and Applications: Essays in Honor of Christopher A. Sims, volume 32, pages 273-326, Emerald Group Publishing Limited.

2011

  1. Panu Poutvaara & Andreas Wagener, 2011. "The Political Economy of Conscription," Chapters, in: Christopher J. Coyne & Rachel L. Mathers (ed.), The Handbook on the Political Economy of War, chapter 9, Edward Elgar Publishing.
  2. Miguel A. León-Ledesma & Peter McAdam & Alpo Willman, 2011. "Chapter 15 Aggregation, the Skill Premium, and the Two-Level Production Function," Frontiers of Economics and Globalization, in: Economic Growth and Development, pages 417-436, Emerald Group Publishing Limited.

2006

  1. Terasvirta, Timo, 2006. "Forecasting economic variables with nonlinear models," Handbook of Economic Forecasting, in: G. Elliott & C. Granger & A. Timmermann (ed.), Handbook of Economic Forecasting, edition 1, volume 1, chapter 8, pages 413-457, Elsevier.

1993

  1. Clive W. Granger & Timo Terasvirta & Heather M. Anderson, 1993. "Modeling Nonlinearity over the Business Cycle," NBER Chapters, in: Business Cycles, Indicators, and Forecasting, pages 311-326, National Bureau of Economic Research, Inc.

1992

  1. Hanna-Leena Mdnnisto & Juha Tarkka & Alpo Willman, 1992. "The structure and foundations of the BOF4 model," Contributions to Economic Analysis, in: Economic Modeling in the Nordic Countries, pages 139-183, Emerald Group Publishing Limited.

1986

  1. Terasvirta, Timo & Tjostheim, Dag & W.J. Granger, Clive, 1986. "Aspects of modelling nonlinear time series," Handbook of Econometrics, in: R. F. Engle & D. McFadden (ed.), Handbook of Econometrics, edition 1, volume 4, chapter 48, pages 2917-2957, Elsevier.

Undated

  1. Poutvaara, Panu, . "Wilson, John D.: The property tax: Competing views and a hybrid theory - Comments," Chapters in Economics,, University of Munich, Department of Economics.

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